What changed since the last report
This is the first edition. From the next update, new data, win rate moves and rank changes
are listed here.
Summary
Units
The median faction has 7 units in at least half of its lists and 27 in at least 10%. 17%
of current datasheets (198 of 1,140) were never played or appeared in under 1% of lists. Of
1,199 units in 40 or more lists, 122 (10%) have a clear effect on results, 57 positive and
65 negative. Those units are picked about as often as others: the median share of lists is
17%, against 16% for all units.
Detachments
The median faction needs 5 detachments to cover 80% of its lists, and 10 factions have one
detachment in at least half of its lists. Of 196 detachments in 150 or more lists, 47 (24%)
differ from their own faction's average. That is a higher share than for units (10%) or combinations
(17%), so detachment choice is the largest source of imbalance inside a faction.
Combinations
59% of lists run two or more detachments. Of 370 combinations in 15 or more lists, 64 differ
from the faction average (28 better, 36 worse). The strongest is Assault Brethren + Deathwatch
Support + Terminator Storm Force in Space Marines (20.0 points above the faction average),
the weakest Dark Age Arsenal + Inner Circle Task Force in Dark Angels (24.9 points below the
faction average).
Time and milestones
10 factions of 28 have a clearly different win rate in the latest period than in the first.
The largest shifts follow "Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases" (3 October): Space
Marines +5.9 points, World Eaters +5.4 points, Adeptus Custodes -4.5 points, Thousand Sons
-7.3 points and Necrons -4.6 points. Other milestones followed by large moves: "July balance
& rules update" (Imperial Knights -5.5 points); "August balance & rules update" (Chaos
Daemons -5.5 points). 37% of detachments and 25% of units (with 25 or more lists) changed their
share of lists by at least 8 points, with a clear margin, between the first period and the
last 28 days. That is a larger share than the 36% of factions whose win rate moved. Each faction
section lists the biggest changes.
Milestones
Data starts at the 11th edition launch on 20 June and runs to 25 October. Weekly games went
from 11,490 in the first full week to 19,900 in the week of 21 September. 5 milestones are
marked below. Effects are measured as the 28 days before against the 28 days after each date.
Games per week
0
10,000
20,000
20 Jun 11th edition launch
22 Jul July balance & rules update
26 Aug August balance & rules update
5 Sep Orks codex
3 Oct Space Marines codex and Power Armour update
17 Oct Adeptus Custodes codex
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Effect by milestone
Milestone
Type
Days of data after
Factions with a clear win rate change
First-turn change (pp)
Detachments shifted
Units shifted
Enhancements shifted
July balance & rules update (22 Jul)
Points/Rules Update
28
3
-0.0
30
49
34
August balance & rules update (26 Aug)
Points/Rules Update
28
1
-0.2
17
58
16
Orks codex (5 Sep)
Codex Release
28
0
+0.9
20
58
22
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 Oct)
Codex Release and Points/Rules Update
23
7
-0.4
65
185
52
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 Oct)
Codex Release
9
1
-1.6
54
130
38
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October) had the widest effect: 7 factions
changed win rate clearly, and 302 detachments, units and enhancements shifted by at least 8
points in their faction's lists. The last three columns count items that moved by at least
8 points of their faction's lists with a clear margin.
July balance & rules update (22 July)
3 factions changed win rate in the 28 days after: Imperial Knights -5.5 points (52.6% to
47.1%), Dark Angels +5.7 points (48.0% to 53.8%) and Thousand Sons -5.3 points (56.8% to 51.5%).
Force Disposition choice changed: Purge the Foe went from 32.6% to 18.9% of games, Priority
Assets went from 19.7% to 27.2% of games and Take and Hold went from 24.5% to 28.9% of games.
30 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Veiled Blade
Elimination Force in Imperial Agents (3% to 92%), Hexwarp Thrallband in Thousand Sons (55%
to 11%) and Advanced Acquisition Cadre in T'au Empire (49% to 12%).
49 units shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Lieutenant with
Combi-weapon in Deathwatch (54% to 16%), Intercessor Squad in Deathwatch (71% to 35%) and Lion
El’jonson in Dark Angels (37% to 66%).
34 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Eldritch
Vortex of E'Taph in Thousand Sons (12% to 42%), The Tome of Ectoclades in Deathwatch (42%
to 73%) and Umbralefic Crystal in Thousand Sons (13% to 43%).
Nothing clear in the first-turn effect.
Faction
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
Imperial Knights
2,114 / 2,127
52.6% to 47.1%
-5.5
-3.6
4.7% to 4.2%
Dark Angels
1,534 / 2,343
48.0% to 53.8%
+5.7
+3.5
3.4% to 4.6%
Thousand Sons
1,928 / 1,824
56.8% to 51.5%
-5.3
-3.3
4.3% to 3.6%
Type
Faction
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Imperial Agents
Veiled Blade Elimination Force
3%
92%
+89
+7.8
Detachment
Thousand Sons
Hexwarp Thrallband
55%
11%
-44
-15.2
Unit
Deathwatch
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon
54%
16%
-37
-5.2
Detachment
T'au Empire
Advanced Acquisition Cadre
49%
12%
-37
-15.2
Detachment
Imperial Knights
Gate Warden Lance
48%
11%
-37
-13.9
Unit
Deathwatch
Intercessor Squad
71%
35%
-36
-4.8
Detachment
Thousand Sons
Grand Coven
14%
49%
+35
+12.4
Enhancement
Thousand Sons
Eldritch Vortex of E'Taph
12%
42%
+31
+11.4
Enhancement
Deathwatch
The Tome of Ectoclades
42%
73%
+30
+4.0
Enhancement
Thousand Sons
Umbralefic Crystal
13%
43%
+30
+11.0
All 113 shifts: 103 more rows
Type
Faction
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Enhancement
Thousand Sons
Empyric Onslaught
36%
7%
-29
-11.3
Unit
Dark Angels
Lion El’jonson
37%
66%
+28
+9.4
Detachment
Imperial Knights
Valourstrike Lance
10%
38%
+27
+11.1
Detachment
Adepta Sororitas
Army of Faith
41%
15%
-27
-7.1
Enhancement
Imperial Knights
Augury Halo
34%
8%
-26
-11.0
Detachment
Thousand Sons
Sekhetar Cohort
37%
11%
-26
-9.8
Unit
Aeldari
Farseer Skyrunner
8%
33%
+26
+8.9
Unit
Dark Angels
Sammael
16%
40%
+25
+8.9
Unit
Space Marines
Sternguard Veteran Squad
44%
20%
-24
-12.3
Detachment
Adepta Sororitas
Bringers of Flame
7%
30%
+24
+7.4
Detachment
Orks
Equatorial Hordes
1%
24%
+24
+14.4
Enhancement
Space Marines
Fusillade
38%
15%
-23
-12.6
Unit
Space Marines
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon
43%
20%
-23
-11.7
Enhancement
Space Wolves
Fierce Example
18%
41%
+23
+6.5
Unit
Aeldari
Avatar of Khaine
36%
58%
+22
+6.3
Unit
Dark Angels
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon
44%
22%
-22
-7.9
Unit
Grey Knights
Grand Master Voldus
37%
15%
-22
-6.8
Detachment
Orks
Taktikal Brigade
29%
7%
-22
-11.9
Unit
Leagues of Votann
Buri Aegnirssen
45%
66%
+21
+6.5
Unit
Adepta Sororitas
Zephyrim Squad
52%
32%
-20
-5.0
Unit
Adepta Sororitas
Battle Sisters Squad
66%
47%
-19
-4.6
Detachment
Thousand Sons
Ritual of Regeneration
31%
12%
-19
-7.4
Unit
Thousand Sons
Chaos Rhino
16%
35%
+19
+7.1
Unit
Blood Angels
Vanguard Veteran Squad With Jump Packs
15%
34%
+19
+6.2
Unit
Dark Angels
Ravenwing Command Squad
25%
43%
+18
+6.2
Unit
World Eaters
Forgefiend
28%
46%
+18
+5.7
Enhancement
Chaos Daemons
Infernal Puppeteer
20%
2%
-18
-9.5
Enhancement
Drukhari
Periapt of Torments
38%
55%
+17
+4.4
Unit
Aeldari
Warlock Skyrunners
54%
38%
-17
-4.7
Enhancement
Space Wolves
Thirst for Glory
9%
26%
+17
+5.7
Unit
Thousand Sons
Defiler
41%
24%
-16
-5.7
Unit
T'au Empire
Riptide Battlesuit
73%
57%
-16
-6.6
Enhancement
Imperial Knights
Bearer of the Judicant's Helm
5%
22%
+16
+8.4
Detachment
Orks
Freebooter Krew
19%
35%
+16
+7.5
Unit
Chaos Daemons
Screamers
31%
15%
-16
-6.3
Unit
Chaos Space Marines
Mutilators
12%
28%
+16
+7.1
Detachment
Chaos Knights
Infernal Lance
29%
13%
-16
-5.0
Unit
Thousand Sons
Sekhetar Robots
73%
57%
-16
-5.4
Enhancement
Adepta Sororitas
Litanies of Faith
24%
8%
-16
-5.2
Detachment
T'au Empire
Experimental Prototype Cadre
7%
23%
+16
+8.4
Unit
Dark Angels
Outrider Squad
27%
42%
+16
+5.4
Detachment
Dark Angels
Company of Hunters
18%
33%
+15
+5.8
Unit
Emperor's Children
Daemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings
67%
52%
-15
-5.3
Unit
Orks
Bigboss
33%
18%
-15
-7.0
Detachment
Chaos Daemons
Scintillating Legion
23%
9%
-14
-6.4
Enhancement
Imperial Knights
Purgation's Hand
19%
5%
-14
-7.4
Enhancement
Space Wolves
Grimnar's Mark
10%
24%
+14
+4.8
Unit
Emperor's Children
Lucius the Eternal
44%
58%
+14
+4.7
Enhancement
Astra Militarum
Exemplar of Duty
4%
17%
+13
+6.9
Unit
Adepta Sororitas
Saint Celestine
21%
8%
-13
-4.5
Unit
Space Marines
Repulsor Executioner
29%
16%
-13
-7.4
Unit
Emperor's Children
Noise Marines
69%
56%
-13
-4.6
Unit
Death Guard
Foetid Bloat-drone with Heavy Blight Launcher
55%
42%
-13
-4.2
Detachment
Drukhari
Kabalite Cartel
11%
23%
+13
+4.4
Enhancement
Dark Angels
Recon Hunter
12%
24%
+13
+5.3
Unit
Thousand Sons
Tzaangor Shaman
32%
20%
-12
-4.6
Enhancement
Thousand Sons
Arcane Might
17%
5%
-12
-6.4
Unit
Tyranids
Neurotyrant
69%
56%
-12
-5.1
Detachment
Astra Militarum
Abhuman Auxiliaries
14%
26%
+12
+4.8
Unit
Orks
Stormboyz
46%
33%
-12
-5.2
Unit
Space Marines
Vanguard Veteran Squad With Jump Packs
14%
26%
+12
+7.3
Enhancement
Dark Angels
Nightforged Battery
15%
27%
+12
+4.9
Unit
Dark Angels
Sternguard Veteran Squad
34%
22%
-12
-4.5
Enhancement
Death Guard
Revolting Regeneration
14%
26%
+12
+5.0
Detachment
Necrons
Cursed Legion
28%
40%
+12
+5.3
Detachment
Space Marines
Vengeful Hosts
0%
12%
+12
+11.9
Unit
Necrons
Doomsday Ark
32%
20%
-11
-5.5
Detachment
World Eaters
Possessed Slaughterband
13%
25%
+11
+4.4
Enhancement
Thousand Sons
Incandaeum
6%
17%
+11
+5.9
Unit
Orks
Wazdakka Gutsmek
56%
68%
+11
+4.8
Detachment
Thousand Sons
Rubricae Phalanx
7%
18%
+11
+5.7
Enhancement
Orks
Kunnin' Hunta
0%
11%
+11
+9.4
Detachment
Orks
Green Tide
20%
9%
-11
-6.4
Detachment
Blood Angels
Vengeful Hosts
0%
11%
+11
+6.8
Unit
Space Marines
Aggressor Squad
15%
26%
+10
+6.2
Unit
Space Marines
Victrix Honour Guard
27%
17%
-10
-6.0
Detachment
Astra Militarum
Combined Arms
7%
18%
+10
+4.8
Detachment
Death Guard
Contagion Engines
20%
10%
-10
-4.8
Detachment
T'au Empire
Kauyon
17%
27%
+10
+4.7
Unit
Orks
Weirdboy
25%
15%
-10
-5.3
Unit
Tyranids
The Swarmlord
42%
52%
+10
+4.0
Unit
Orks
Flash Gitz
29%
39%
+10
+4.3
Enhancement
Thousand Sons
Curse of Life
13%
4%
-10
-5.7
Unit
T'au Empire
Darkstrider
22%
32%
+10
+4.3
Unit
Space Marines
Terminator Squad
19%
29%
+10
+5.5
Detachment
Chaos Space Marines
Murdertalon Raiders
22%
12%
-10
-4.5
Enhancement
Orks
Git-Spotter Squig
10%
20%
+10
+5.5
Unit
Chaos Daemons
Pink Horrors
16%
6%
-10
-5.0
Enhancement
Dark Angels
Fusillade
17%
7%
-9
-5.0
Detachment
Necrons
Skyshroud Spearhead
26%
35%
+9
+4.3
Unit
T'au Empire
Pathfinder Team
85%
76%
-9
-4.5
Enhancement
T'au Empire
Exemplar of the Kauyon
8%
17%
+9
+5.4
Enhancement
Tyranids
Synaptoprescience
21%
30%
+9
+4.2
Unit
Chaos Daemons
Kairos Fateweaver
18%
9%
-9
-4.4
Enhancement
Thousand Sons
Risen Rubricae
4%
13%
+9
+5.3
Enhancement
Chaos Daemons
Soul-shattering Charge
5%
14%
+9
+4.9
Enhancement
Necrons
Deepening Madness
7%
16%
+9
+5.7
Enhancement
Chaos Daemons
Improbable Shield
14%
6%
-9
-4.7
Unit
Space Marines
Librarian In Terminator Armour
21%
30%
+9
+4.7
Enhancement
Chaos Daemons
Inescapable Eye
15%
6%
-8
-4.6
Enhancement
Orks
Bloodthirsty Belligerence
14%
6%
-8
-5.8
Enhancement
Orks
Dead Shiny Shootas
17%
25%
+8
+4.2
Enhancement
Orks
Bionik Workshop
6%
14%
+8
+5.4
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Emperor's Children 2,000 pts
Carnival of Excess + Frenzied Host · Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 7-0 · 100 players · 7 rounds · 31 Jul
Won an event of 100+ players
70 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Keeper of Secrets 255 Living whip, Phantasmagoria, Snapping claws, Witstealer sword
Battleline
Daemonettes 90 Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Daemonettes 90 Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Daemonettes 90 Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Daemonettes 90 Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Infractors 85 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Infractors 85 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Tormentors 80 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Tormentors 80 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 70 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler 370 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Defiler 330 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Lord Exultant + Possessed Blade 105 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash, Plasma pistol
Lord Exultant + Possessed Blade 100 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash, Plasma pistol
Lord Exultant + Possessed Blade 80 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash, Plasma pistol
Adeptus Mechanicus 2,000 pts
Lords of the Forge + Skitarii Hunter Cohort · Priority Assets
Won the event · record 8-0 · 190 players · 8 rounds · 14 Aug
Won an event of 100+ players
9 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Belisarius Cawl 220 Arc scourge, Cawl’s Omnissian axe, Mechadendrite hive, Solar atomiser
Thulia Ghuld 180 Jericho‑class conversion resonator, Rod of the War Forge
Battleline
Skitarii Vanguard 85 Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Radium carbine, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Skitarii Vanguard 85 Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Radium carbine, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Dedicated Transports
Skorpius Dunerider 75 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber array
Skorpius Dunerider 75 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber array
Other Units
Ironstrider Ballistarii 250 Ironstrider feet, Twin cognis autocannon
Skorpius Disintegrator 170 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Skorpius Disintegrator 170 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Inquisitor Draxus 110 Dirgesinger, Power fist, Psychic Tempest
Tech-priest Manipulus 90
Pteraxii Skystalkers 80 Flechette blaster, Taser goad, Close combat weapon, Flechette carbine
Pteraxii Skystalkers 80 Flechette blaster, Taser goad, Close combat weapon, Flechette carbine
Sicarian Infiltrators 75 Flechette blaster, Taser goad
Servitor Battleclade 65 Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Servitor Battleclade 65 Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Servitor Battleclade 65 Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Skitarii Marshal + Cantic Thrallnet 60 Control stave, Mechanicus pistol
Leagues of Votann 1,995 pts
Hearthguard Covenant + Needgaârd Oathband · Priority Assets
Won the event · record 6-0 · 336 players · 6 rounds · 1 Aug
Won an event of 100+ players
69 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Buri Aegnirssen 85 Autoch‑pattern bolt pistol, Bane
Dedicated Transports
Kapricus Carrier 70 Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Other Units
Einhyr Hearthguard 270 EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Teleport Crest, Concussion gauntlet
Hekaton Land Fortress 265 Armoured wheels, Heavy magna-rail cannon, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Twin bolt cannon
Hekaton Land Fortress 250 Armoured wheels, Heavy magna-rail cannon, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Twin bolt cannon
Ironkin Steeljacks with Heavy Volkanite Disintegrators 160 Heavy volkanite disintegrator, Plasma knife, Preymark Crest
Einhyr Hearthguard 130 EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Teleport Crest, Concussion gauntlet
Cthonian Beserks 100 Concussion maul
Ûthar the Destined 90 Blade of the Ancestors, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn 90 Close combat weapon, Graviton blast cannon
Hernkyn Yaegirs 90 Bolt revolver, Close combat weapon, Plasma knife, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Kâhl + Ancestral Crest 80 Mass gauntlet, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn 80 Close combat weapon, Graviton blast cannon
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn 80 Close combat weapon, Graviton blast cannon
Ironkin Steeljacks with Melee Weapons 80 Autoch-pattern bolter, Plasma sword, Preymark Crest
Memnyr Strategist + Oathbound Speculator 75 Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Close combat weapon
August balance & rules update (26 August)
One faction changed win rate in the 28 days after: Chaos Daemons -5.5 points (59.2% to 53.7%).
17 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Might of
the Moritoi in Adeptus Custodes (57% to 18%), Freebooter Krew in Orks (39% to 11%) and Hunting
Warpack in Chaos Knights (26% to 52%).
58 units shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Painboy in Orks
(67% to 30%), Wazdakka Gutsmek in Orks (70% to 36%) and Boyz in Orks (80% to 48%).
16 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Dreadherder
in Orks (0% to 21%), Snarling Rivalry in Chaos Knights (18% to 37%) and Supa-snazz Dakka in
Orks (0% to 17%).
The 28 days after it also contain the milestone on 5 September, so the two
effects overlap. Nothing clear in the first-turn effect and Force Disposition choice.
Faction
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
Chaos Daemons
2,068 / 2,492
59.2% to 53.7%
-5.5
-3.7
4.2% to 4.2%
Type
Faction
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Adeptus Custodes
Might of the Moritoi
57%
18%
-39
-17.9
Unit
Orks
Painboy
67%
30%
-37
-16.5
Unit
Orks
Wazdakka Gutsmek
70%
36%
-34
-14.9
Unit
Orks
Boyz
80%
48%
-32
-14.8
Detachment
Orks
Freebooter Krew
39%
11%
-29
-15.0
Detachment
Chaos Knights
Hunting Warpack
26%
52%
+26
+7.4
Unit
Orks
Ghazghkull Thraka
71%
46%
-25
-11.0
Detachment
Orks
Dread Mob
8%
32%
+24
+12.7
Unit
Aeldari
Warlock Skyrunners
34%
12%
-22
-7.8
Detachment
Orks
Equatorial Hordes
30%
9%
-21
-12.1
All 91 shifts: 81 more rows
Type
Faction
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Enhancement
Orks
Dreadherder
0%
21%
+21
+14.3
Unit
Orks
Zodgrod Wortsnagga
34%
15%
-20
-10.4
Detachment
Orks
More Dakka!
28%
9%
-20
-11.4
Unit
Orks
Bannernob
28%
8%
-19
-11.4
Enhancement
Chaos Knights
Snarling Rivalry
18%
37%
+19
+5.7
Unit
Aeldari
Warlock
24%
5%
-19
-7.9
Detachment
Chaos Knights
Iconoclast Fiefdom
32%
14%
-18
-6.1
Unit
Orks
Nazdreg
0%
18%
+18
+13.0
Enhancement
Orks
Supa-snazz Dakka
0%
17%
+17
+12.9
Unit
Orks
Killa Kans
5%
22%
+17
+10.8
Enhancement
Orks
Dead Shiny Shootas
24%
7%
-17
-11.0
Unit
Orks
Tankbustas
28%
45%
+17
+7.7
Enhancement
Orks
Git-Spotter Squig
21%
5%
-17
-11.3
Unit
Orks
Squighog Boyz
34%
18%
-16
-8.4
Enhancement
Adeptus Custodes
Interred Expertise
26%
10%
-16
-9.3
Detachment
Chaos Knights
Houndpack Lance
24%
40%
+16
+4.7
Unit
Orks
Lootas
24%
8%
-16
-10.1
Unit
Astra Militarum
Leman Russ Exterminator
23%
38%
+15
+5.3
Detachment
Orks
Blitz Brigade
0%
15%
+15
+11.8
Unit
Orks
Deffkoptas
13%
28%
+15
+8.0
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Valerian
26%
40%
+15
+6.8
Unit
Chaos Knights
War Dog Karnivore
66%
81%
+15
+4.7
Unit
Death Guard
Mortarion
39%
54%
+15
+5.0
Unit
World Eaters
Lord Invocatus
21%
35%
+14
+5.4
Unit
Chaos Knights
Cultist Mob
27%
13%
-14
-5.0
Unit
Dark Angels
Outrider Squad
45%
59%
+14
+5.2
Unit
Orks
Big Mek
5%
19%
+14
+8.9
Unit
Chaos Knights
Knight Tyrant
33%
20%
-13
-4.3
Unit
Orks
Beast Snagga Boyz
36%
23%
-13
-6.4
Detachment
Adeptus Custodes
Silent Hunters
15%
3%
-13
-10.1
Unit
Chaos Space Marines
Defiler
60%
48%
-13
-4.7
Enhancement
Adeptus Custodes
Superior Creation
17%
30%
+13
+6.3
Unit
Orks
Meganobz
15%
27%
+13
+6.7
Unit
Death Guard
Defiler
36%
48%
+13
+4.3
Unit
Orks
Boss Snikrot
36%
24%
-12
-6.1
Unit
Astra Militarum
Leman Russ Battle Tank
23%
36%
+12
+4.4
Enhancement
Chaos Knights
Final Howl
6%
18%
+12
+5.0
Unit
Dark Angels
Sammael
44%
56%
+12
+4.7
Unit
Orks
Big Mek Dakkarig
46%
58%
+12
+5.4
Unit
Death Guard
Plague Marines
61%
49%
-12
-4.1
Enhancement
Orks
Bionik Workshop
16%
4%
-12
-9.3
Detachment
Dark Angels
Company of Hunters
35%
48%
+12
+4.6
Unit
Dark Angels
Ravenwing Command Squad
47%
59%
+12
+4.6
Unit
Chaos Daemons
Skarbrand
28%
40%
+12
+4.5
Unit
Astra Militarum
Leman Russ Vanquisher
15%
27%
+12
+4.6
Unit
Chaos Space Marines
Mutilators
29%
40%
+12
+4.5
Unit
Death Guard
Noxious Blightbringer
13%
25%
+12
+5.0
Unit
Dark Angels
Lion El’jonson
71%
83%
+12
+5.2
Detachment
World Eaters
Berzerker Warband
42%
54%
+12
+4.0
Enhancement
World Eaters
Battle-lust
20%
31%
+11
+4.5
Unit
Emperor's Children
Maulerfiend
35%
47%
+11
+4.2
Unit
Death Guard
Deathshroud Terminators
80%
69%
-11
-4.4
Unit
Orks
Kommandos
44%
33%
-11
-5.1
Detachment
Dark Angels
Darkflight Pursuit
35%
46%
+11
+4.3
Unit
Astra Militarum
Krieg Heavy Weapons Squad
18%
7%
-11
-5.3
Unit
Orks
Mek
14%
25%
+11
+5.9
Unit
Orks
Big Mek With Shokk Attack Gun
30%
41%
+11
+4.9
Enhancement
Orks
Targetin' Gizmos
0%
11%
+11
+9.6
Detachment
Death Guard
Shamblerot Vectorium
10%
21%
+10
+4.9
Enhancement
Death Guard
Sorrowsyphon
3%
13%
+10
+6.1
Unit
Chaos Space Marines
Warpsmith
34%
24%
-10
-4.1
Enhancement
Dark Angels
Nightforged Battery
29%
39%
+10
+4.0
Enhancement
Orks
Kunnin' Hunta
14%
4%
-10
-8.0
Unit
Aeldari
Dragon Knights
9%
19%
+10
+4.1
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Custodian Wardens
66%
76%
+10
+4.8
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Prosecutors
56%
66%
+10
+4.4
Unit
Astra Militarum
Leman Russ Commander
14%
24%
+10
+4.0
Unit
Orks
Mozrog Skragbad
29%
19%
-10
-5.1
Unit
Orks
Beastboss
34%
24%
-10
-4.8
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Caladius Grav-Tank
27%
17%
-10
-5.1
Enhancement
Chaos Knights
Panoply of the Cursed Knights
3%
12%
+10
+4.7
Unit
Orks
Bigboss
18%
9%
-9
-6.3
Unit
Orks
Deff Dread
6%
15%
+9
+6.6
Unit
Orks
Stormboyz
30%
21%
-9
-4.7
Detachment
Orks
War Horde
21%
12%
-9
-5.4
Detachment
Orks
Bully Boyz
5%
14%
+9
+6.5
Unit
Orks
Runtherd
0%
9%
+9
+8.9
Unit
Space Marines
Eradicator Squad
30%
21%
-8
-4.6
Enhancement
Orks
Follow Me Ladz
16%
8%
-8
-5.8
Detachment
Chaos Space Marines
Huron's Marauders
4%
12%
+8
+5.6
Unit
Orks
Battlewagon
14%
22%
+8
+4.7
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
World Eaters 2,000 pts
Berzerker Warband · Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 8-1 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
Won an event of 100+ players
15 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Angron 330 Samni’arius and Spinegrinder
Battleline
Khorne Berzerkers 160 Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers 160 Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 75 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Forgefiend 145 Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Forgefiend 145 Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Exalted Eightbound 130 Chainblades
Exalted Eightbound 130 Chainblades
Eightbound 125 Chainblades
Eightbound 125 Chainblades
Slaughterbound + Battle-lust 120 Lacerator and daemonic claw
Khârn The Betrayer 115
Lord Invocatus 100 Bladed horn, Bolt pistol, Coward’s Bane
Goremongers 75 Autopistol, Chainblade, Close combat weapon
Jakhals 65 Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade
Orks 1,995 pts
War Horde · Take and Hold
Won the event · record 8-0 · 198 players · 8 rounds · 28 Aug
Won an event of 100+ players
11 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Wazdakka Gutsmek 175 Fixit’s wrench, Grabba dragga, Psyko‑gatler, Speeding bulk and flaming exhaust
Battleline
Boyz 160 Boy, Shoota, Slugga, Boss Nob
Other Units
Squighog Boyz 270 Bomb Squig, Squighog Boy, Squig jaws, Stikka, Nob on Smasha Squig, Slugga
Squighog Boyz 270 Bomb Squig, Squighog Boy, Squig jaws, Stikka, Nob on Smasha Squig, Slugga
Ghazghkull Thraka 235 Ghazghkull Thraka, Mork’s Roar, Makari, Makari’s stabba
Squighog Boyz 140 Bomb Squig, Squighog Boy, Squig jaws, Stikka, Nob on Smasha Squig, Slugga
Mozrog Skragbad 125 Big Chompa’s jaws, Gutrippa, Thump gun
Painboy + Follow Me Ladz 115 Grot Orderly, Power klaw, ’Urty syringe
Big Mek Dakkarig 115 Blitzkannon, Rokkit launcha, Stompy feet
Beastboss on Squigosaur + Kunnin' but Brutal 110 Beastchoppa, Slugga, Squigosaur’s jaws, Thump gun
Beastboss on Squigosaur + Kunnin' but Brutal 95 Beastchoppa, Slugga, Squigosaur’s jaws, Thump gun
Lootas 50 Spanner, Kustom mega-blasta, Loota, Deffgun
Gretchin 45 Gretchin, Grot blasta, Runtherd, Slugga
Gretchin 45 Gretchin, Grot blasta, Runtherd, Slugga
Gretchin 45 Gretchin, Grot blasta, Runtherd, Slugga
Space Wolves 2,000 pts
Legends of Saga and Song + Saga of the Beastslayer · Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 6-0 · 64 players · 6 rounds · 29 Aug
Show list
Characters
Bjorn The Fell-handed 160
Techmarine 55 Forge bolter, Grav-pistol, Omnissian power axe, Servo-arm
Battleline
Blood Claws 135 Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol
Other Units
Wolf Guard Terminators + Thirst for Glory 350 Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield
Redemptor Dreadnought 205 Icarus rocket pod, Macro plasma incinerator, Onslaught gatling cannon, Redemptor fist, Twin storm bolter
Wulfen with Storm Shields 200 Stormfrag auto-launcher, Thunder hammer
Wolf Guard Terminators + Thirst for Glory 165 Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield
Venerable Dreadnought 125 Blizzard Shield, Fenrisian great axe, Heavy flamer
Venerable Dreadnought 125 Blizzard Shield, Fenrisian great axe, Heavy flamer
Thunderwolf Cavalry 115 Storm Shield, Teeth and Claws, Wolf Guard weapon
Logan Grimnar 100 Axe Morkai, Storm bolter, Tyrnak and Fenrir
Arjac Rockfist 95 Foehammer
Ragnar Blackmane 90 Bolt Pistol, Frostfang
Wolf Guard Battle Leader + Wolf-touched 80 Storm Shield, Thunder hammer
Orks codex (5 September)
Orks, whose codex this was, went from 56.3% to 55.9% and from 5.8% to 7.4% of games.
20 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Might of
the Moritoi in Adeptus Custodes (49% to 13%), Freebooter Krew in Orks (38% to 3%) and Dread
Mob in Orks (9% to 39%).
58 units shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Painboy in Orks
(67% to 18%), Boyz in Orks (79% to 37%) and Wazdakka Gutsmek in Orks (69% to 28%).
22 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Dreadherder
in Orks (0% to 29%), Supa-snazz Dakka in Orks (0% to 25%) and Dead Shiny Shootas in Orks (22%
to 2%).
Nothing clear in faction win rates, the first-turn effect and Force Disposition
choice.
Type
Faction
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Orks
Painboy
67%
18%
-50
-24.2
Unit
Orks
Boyz
79%
37%
-42
-19.8
Unit
Orks
Wazdakka Gutsmek
69%
28%
-41
-19.3
Detachment
Adeptus Custodes
Might of the Moritoi
49%
13%
-36
-18.6
Detachment
Orks
Freebooter Krew
38%
3%
-34
-21.6
Unit
Orks
Ghazghkull Thraka
71%
38%
-33
-15.5
Detachment
Orks
Dread Mob
9%
39%
+30
+15.6
Enhancement
Orks
Dreadherder
0%
29%
+29
+17.8
Unit
Orks
Zodgrod Wortsnagga
35%
8%
-28
-16.6
Detachment
Orks
Equatorial Hordes
29%
3%
-26
-18.4
All 100 shifts: 90 more rows
Type
Faction
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Orks
More Dakka!
28%
2%
-25
-18.2
Unit
Orks
Nazdreg
0%
25%
+25
+16.5
Unit
Orks
Tankbustas
28%
54%
+25
+12.0
Enhancement
Orks
Supa-snazz Dakka
0%
25%
+25
+16.2
Unit
Orks
Squighog Boyz
34%
11%
-23
-13.6
Detachment
Chaos Knights
Hunting Warpack
31%
54%
+23
+6.7
Unit
Orks
Killa Kans
6%
28%
+23
+13.5
Unit
Orks
Bannernob
25%
4%
-21
-15.4
Detachment
Orks
Blitz Brigade
0%
22%
+21
+14.7
Unit
Orks
Lootas
23%
2%
-21
-16.2
Enhancement
Orks
Dead Shiny Shootas
22%
2%
-20
-16.0
Unit
Orks
Meganobz
15%
34%
+19
+10.0
Detachment
Chaos Knights
Houndpack Lance
26%
45%
+18
+5.5
Enhancement
Chaos Knights
Snarling Rivalry
21%
39%
+18
+5.6
Enhancement
Orks
Git-Spotter Squig
19%
1%
-18
-15.0
Unit
Aeldari
Warlock Skyrunners
26%
9%
-18
-7.2
Unit
Emperor's Children
Maulerfiend
35%
52%
+17
+6.7
Unit
Orks
Deffkoptas
14%
31%
+17
+9.0
Unit
Orks
Big Mek
6%
22%
+16
+10.5
Unit
Aeldari
Warlock
19%
3%
-16
-8.1
Unit
Orks
Kommandos
44%
28%
-16
-7.9
Unit
Orks
Big Mek Dakkarig
47%
63%
+16
+7.5
Enhancement
Orks
Targetin' Gizmos
0%
16%
+16
+12.4
Unit
Orks
Boss Snikrot
35%
19%
-16
-8.4
Detachment
Chaos Knights
Iconoclast Fiefdom
28%
13%
-16
-5.7
Enhancement
World Eaters
Battle-lust
21%
36%
+15
+6.1
Unit
Orks
Big Mek With Shokk Attack Gun
30%
45%
+15
+7.3
Detachment
World Eaters
Berzerker Warband
44%
59%
+15
+5.5
Detachment
Orks
War Horde
22%
7%
-15
-10.5
Enhancement
Orks
Bionik Workshop
16%
1%
-15
-13.8
Unit
Orks
Beast Snagga Boyz
34%
20%
-15
-8.1
Unit
Death Guard
Mortarion
42%
57%
+15
+5.3
Unit
Dark Angels
Outrider Squad
49%
63%
+15
+5.9
Unit
World Eaters
Lord Invocatus
25%
40%
+15
+5.7
Unit
Chaos Space Marines
Mutilators
31%
45%
+15
+5.8
Unit
Orks
Battlewagon
13%
28%
+15
+8.2
Unit
Orks
Mek
16%
30%
+14
+7.8
Unit
Dark Angels
Land Speeder Vengeance
42%
56%
+14
+5.6
Enhancement
Adeptus Custodes
Interred Expertise
23%
9%
-14
-9.1
Unit
Orks
Flash Gitz
37%
51%
+14
+6.5
Unit
Astra Militarum
Leman Russ Exterminator
25%
39%
+14
+5.0
Detachment
Orks
Bully Boyz
6%
19%
+14
+9.4
Unit
Orks
Stormboyz
30%
16%
-14
-7.9
Unit
Death Guard
Myphitic Blight-hauler
55%
69%
+14
+5.0
Unit
Dark Angels
Ravenwing Command Squad
49%
63%
+14
+5.5
Enhancement
Orks
Follow Me Ladz
17%
4%
-14
-11.1
Enhancement
Chaos Knights
Final Howl
9%
22%
+13
+5.2
Enhancement
Dark Angels
Nightforged Battery
31%
44%
+13
+5.4
Detachment
Dark Angels
Company of Hunters
37%
50%
+13
+5.2
Detachment
Dark Angels
Darkflight Pursuit
37%
50%
+13
+5.2
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Venerable Contemptor Dreadnought
18%
6%
-13
-9.3
Unit
Orks
Mozrog Skragbad
29%
16%
-13
-7.3
Unit
Orks
Beastboss
33%
21%
-13
-6.8
Detachment
Death Guard
Shamblerot Vectorium
12%
24%
+12
+5.6
Unit
Astra Militarum
Leman Russ Vanquisher
16%
29%
+12
+5.0
Unit
Chaos Knights
Cultist Mob
24%
11%
-12
-4.9
Unit
Chaos Daemons
Skarbrand
31%
43%
+12
+4.7
Enhancement
Orks
Kunnin' Hunta
13%
1%
-12
-12.2
Unit
Chaos Space Marines
Kravek Morne
30%
43%
+12
+4.8
Unit
World Eaters
Daemon Prince of Khorne
51%
39%
-12
-4.4
Unit
Astra Militarum
Leman Russ Battle Tank
26%
37%
+12
+4.3
Unit
Dark Angels
Sammael
48%
60%
+12
+4.7
Detachment
Orks
Green Tide
7%
19%
+12
+8.0
Enhancement
Adeptus Custodes
Superior Creation
19%
31%
+12
+6.1
Unit
Orks
Runtherd
0%
11%
+11
+10.6
Unit
Death Guard
Deathshroud Terminators
78%
67%
-11
-4.5
Unit
Dark Angels
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike
41%
52%
+11
+4.5
Unit
Emperor's Children
Chaos Spawn
46%
58%
+11
+4.3
Unit
Orks
Beastboss on Squigosaur
24%
13%
-11
-6.9
Enhancement
Space Wolves
Grimnar's Mark
24%
13%
-11
-4.1
Unit
Emperor's Children
Daemonettes
31%
20%
-11
-4.9
Enhancement
Orks
Kaptin's Hat
0%
11%
+11
+10.3
Unit
Astra Militarum
Leman Russ Commander
16%
27%
+11
+4.4
Unit
World Eaters
Eightbound
66%
77%
+10
+4.3
Enhancement
Dark Angels
Recon Hunter
30%
40%
+10
+4.2
Unit
Tyranids
Lictor
50%
41%
-10
-4.3
Enhancement
Death Guard
Sorrowsyphon
5%
15%
+10
+5.7
Detachment
Emperor's Children
Carnival of Excess
31%
21%
-10
-4.2
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Prosecutors
59%
68%
+10
+4.6
Unit
Dark Angels
Lion El’jonson
75%
84%
+10
+4.7
Enhancement
Orks
Cybork Boosta
0%
9%
+9
+9.5
Detachment
Adeptus Custodes
Silent Hunters
11%
2%
-9
-9.3
Enhancement
Orks
Da Kaptin
10%
1%
-9
-10.4
Enhancement
Chaos Knights
Panoply of the Cursed Knights
5%
14%
+9
+4.4
Unit
Orks
Deff Dread
6%
15%
+9
+6.8
Unit
Astra Militarum
Krieg Heavy Weapons Squad
17%
8%
-9
-4.5
Detachment
Adeptus Custodes
Lions of the Emperor
60%
69%
+9
+4.1
Unit
Orks
Gunwagon
0%
8%
+8
+8.9
Detachment
Orks
Kult of Speed
6%
14%
+8
+6.2
Enhancement
Orks
Kunnin' but Brutal
9%
1%
-8
-10.0
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Grey Knights 2,000 pts
Argent Assault + Banishers · Priority Assets
Won the event · record 7-0 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
Won an event of 100+ players
20 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Brotherhood Terminator Squad 140 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Ancient’s Banner, Incinerator
Strike Squad 115 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Dedicated Transports
Rhino 70 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Allied Units
Imperial Rhino 65 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Watch Captain Artemis 65 Hellfire Extremis, Master-crafted power weapon
Other Units
Paladin Squad 485 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Ancient’s Banner, Psycannon, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Psilencer
Paladin Squad 480 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Ancient’s Banner, Psycannon, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Psilencer
Interceptor Squad 125 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Interceptor Squad 125 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Brotherhood Librarian + Sixty-sixth Seal 115 Combi-weapon, Nemesis force weapon, Vortex of Doom
Grand Master + Psychic Celerity 110 Nemesis force weapon, Psycannon
Purgation Squad 105 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Close combat weapon, Incinerator
Death Guard 2,000 pts
Paragons of Putrescence + Shamblerot Vectorium · Disruption
Won the event · record 6-0 · 116 players · 6 rounds · 12 Sep
Won an event of 100+ players
82 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Mortarion 375 Lantern, Rotwind, Silence
Malignant Plaguecaster + Sorrowsyphon 60 Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 75 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Allied Units
Knight Despoiler 380 Despoiler battle cannon, Diabolus heavy stubber, Ruinspear rocket pod, Titanic feet
Other Units
Defiler 330 Excruciator cannon, Hades battle cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Poxwalkers 130 Improvised weapon
Typhus 100 Lakrimae
Myphitic Blight-hauler 95
Myphitic Blight-hauler 95
Myphitic Blight-hauler 95
Malignant Plaguecaster + Sorrowsyphon 70 Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Poxwalkers 65 Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers 65 Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers 65 Improvised weapon
Dark Angels 2,000 pts
Company of Hunters + Darkflight Pursuit · Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 6-0 · 106 players · 6 rounds · 11 Sep
Won an event of 100+ players
65 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lion El’jonson 265
Techmarine 55 Forge bolter, Grav-pistol, Omnissian power axe, Servo-arm
Other Units
Nephilim Jetfighter + Thundercowl Turbines 195 Armoured hull, Avenger mega bolter, Blacksword missiles, Twin heavy bolter
Nephilim Jetfighter + Thundercowl Turbines 195 Armoured hull, Avenger mega bolter, Blacksword missiles, Twin heavy bolter
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery 155 Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery 145 Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery 145 Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Ravenwing Command Squad + Recon Hunter 135 Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma talon, Black Knight combat weapon
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 135 Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Sammael 105 Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted plasma cannon, The Raven Sword, Twin storm bolter
Land Speeder 105 Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Land Speeder 105 Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Outrider Squad 70 Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Twin bolt rifle
Scout Squad 65 Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Missile launcher, Scout sniper rifle
Scout Squad 65 Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Missile launcher, Scout sniper rifle
Invader Atv 60 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Multi-melta, Twin bolt rifle
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)
Space Marines, whose codex this was, went from 45.2% to 51.2% and from 6.3% to 9.0% of games.
7 factions changed win rate in the 28 days after: Space Marines +5.9 points (45.2% to 51.2%),
World Eaters +5.4 points (49.1% to 54.5%), Adeptus Custodes -4.5 points (57.0% to 52.5%), Thousand
Sons -7.3 points (47.6% to 40.3%), Necrons -4.6 points (53.0% to 48.4%) and Blood Angels +6.2
points (42.0% to 48.2%), and 1 more.
Force Disposition choice changed: Purge the Foe went from 20.0% to 23.7% of games and Priority
Assets went from 26.6% to 23.6% of games.
65 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Legends of
Saga and Song in Space Wolves (72% to 5%), Lords of the Forge in Adeptus Mechanicus (76% to
27%) and Assault Brethren in Blood Angels (0% to 49%).
185 units shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Bjorn The Fell-handed
in Space Wolves (88% to 30%), Azrael in Dark Angels (83% to 38%) and Arjac Rockfist in Space
Wolves (75% to 32%).
52 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Furious
Assault in Blood Angels (0% to 57%), Thief of Secrets in Deathwatch (60% to 4%) and Furious
Assault in Black Templars (1% to 48%).
Only 23 days of data follow it, so the picture is still forming. The 28
days after it also contain the milestone on 17 October, so the two effects overlap. Nothing
clear in the first-turn effect.
Faction
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
Space Marines
4,109 / 4,522
45.2% to 51.2%
+5.9
+5.5
6.3% to 9.0%
World Eaters
2,688 / 3,134
49.1% to 54.5%
+5.4
+4.1
4.1% to 6.3%
Adeptus Custodes
4,387 / 3,184
57.0% to 52.5%
-4.5
-3.8
6.7% to 6.4%
Thousand Sons
2,003 / 1,046
47.6% to 40.3%
-7.3
-3.8
3.1% to 2.1%
Necrons
3,984 / 2,823
53.0% to 48.4%
-4.6
-3.7
6.1% to 5.6%
Blood Angels
1,779 / 1,276
42.0% to 48.2%
+6.2
+3.4
2.7% to 2.5%
Adeptus Mechanicus
1,528 / 1,354
49.6% to 55.4%
+5.8
+3.1
2.3% to 2.7%
Type
Faction
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Space Wolves
Legends of Saga and Song
72%
5%
-67
-20.6
Unit
Space Wolves
Bjorn The Fell-handed
88%
30%
-58
-17.5
Enhancement
Blood Angels
Furious Assault
0%
57%
+57
+19.3
Enhancement
Deathwatch
Thief of Secrets
60%
4%
-56
-7.8
Detachment
Adeptus Mechanicus
Lords of the Forge
76%
27%
-50
-14.0
Detachment
Blood Angels
Assault Brethren
0%
49%
+49
+17.7
Detachment
Adeptus Mechanicus
Cohort Cybernetica
31%
79%
+48
+13.7
Enhancement
Black Templars
Furious Assault
1%
48%
+48
+12.6
Detachment
Dark Angels
Company of Hunters
50%
5%
-46
-20.1
Unit
Dark Angels
Azrael
83%
38%
-45
-18.5
All 302 shifts: 292 more rows
Type
Faction
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Space Marines
Librarius Conclave
46%
3%
-43
-27.0
Detachment
Black Templars
Assault Brethren
0%
43%
+43
+11.9
Unit
Space Wolves
Arjac Rockfist
75%
32%
-43
-12.7
Unit
Blood Angels
Death Company Marines With Jump Packs
77%
35%
-42
-12.6
Unit
Space Marines
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles
0%
42%
+42
+26.0
Detachment
Blood Angels
Liberator Assault Group
46%
4%
-42
-13.6
Enhancement
Space Wolves
Fierce Example
45%
3%
-42
-14.5
Enhancement
Blood Angels
Imperium's Sword
0%
42%
+42
+15.9
Detachment
Adeptus Mechanicus
Eradication Cohort
6%
46%
+41
+13.3
Enhancement
Adeptus Mechanicus
Martial Signatum Amplificator
3%
43%
+41
+13.8
Enhancement
Deathwatch
The Tome of Ectoclades
77%
37%
-40
-5.6
Enhancement
Adeptus Mechanicus
Necromechanic
28%
68%
+40
+11.2
Unit
Deathwatch
Talonstrike Kill Team
53%
14%
-39
-5.5
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Prosecutors
68%
30%
-39
-18.2
Unit
Black Templars
Marshal
66%
29%
-37
-8.5
Enhancement
Dark Angels
Recon Hunter
40%
3%
-36
-17.2
Unit
Adeptus Mechanicus
Cybernetica Datasmith
48%
84%
+36
+10.7
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Prosecutor Squad
0%
36%
+36
+23.0
Unit
Space Wolves
Intercessor Squad
51%
15%
-35
-11.2
Unit
Adeptus Mechanicus
Kastelan Robots
49%
84%
+35
+10.5
Enhancement
Black Templars
Imperium's Sword
1%
36%
+35
+10.3
Enhancement
Dark Angels
Nightforged Battery
44%
9%
-35
-15.4
Detachment
World Eaters
Vessels of Wrath
12%
46%
+34
+15.4
Unit
Deathwatch
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike
48%
14%
-34
-4.9
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Witchseekers
68%
34%
-34
-16.0
Unit
Blood Angels
Intercessor Squad
58%
24%
-34
-10.0
Unit
Space Wolves
Wolf Guard Terminators
92%
58%
-34
-11.6
Unit
Space Marines
Intercessor Squad
61%
27%
-34
-17.7
Unit
Deathwatch
Fortis Kill Team
43%
10%
-34
-4.9
Detachment
Dark Angels
Assault Brethren
0%
33%
+33
+18.0
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Vertus Praetors
76%
43%
-33
-15.8
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Witchseeker Squad
0%
32%
+32
+21.7
Unit
Space Marines
Impulsor
10%
42%
+32
+18.5
Unit
Black Templars
Intercessor Squad
63%
31%
-32
-7.3
Detachment
Space Wolves
Assault Brethren
0%
32%
+32
+12.9
Unit
Blood Angels
Lemartes
61%
29%
-32
-9.3
Unit
Space Marines
Librarian
41%
10%
-32
-19.3
Unit
Adeptus Mechanicus
Servitor Battleclade
74%
42%
-32
-9.1
Enhancement
Space Marines
Furious Assault
0%
30%
+30
+21.2
Enhancement
Dark Angels
Furious Assault
0%
30%
+30
+17.1
Unit
Dark Angels
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike
52%
22%
-30
-12.4
Enhancement
Dark Angels
Imperium's Sword
0%
30%
+30
+17.1
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Custodian Guard
62%
32%
-30
-14.2
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Telemon Heavy Dreadnought
10%
39%
+30
+16.7
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Custodian Wardens
77%
48%
-30
-14.6
Enhancement
Space Wolves
Wolf-Touched
0%
30%
+30
+12.2
Detachment
Space Marines
Assault Brethren
0%
30%
+30
+20.8
Unit
Blood Angels
Chaplain With Jump Pack
41%
12%
-29
-9.5
Unit
Adeptus Mechanicus
Tech-priest Manipulus
49%
20%
-29
-8.5
Enhancement
Space Wolves
Furious Assault
0%
29%
+29
+12.2
Unit
World Eaters
Angron
53%
82%
+29
+12.7
Unit
Space Marines
Marneus Calgar
0%
28%
+28
+20.1
Unit
Dark Angels
Ravenwing Command Squad
63%
35%
-28
-11.2
Unit
Dark Angels
Land Speeder Vengeance
56%
28%
-28
-11.3
Unit
Black Templars
Bladeguard Veteran Squad
29%
57%
+28
+6.4
Detachment
Adeptus Custodes
Might of the Moritoi
13%
40%
+28
+15.1
Unit
Dark Angels
Sammael
60%
32%
-28
-10.9
Detachment
Blood Angels
Tacticus Attack Force
0%
27%
+27
+12.5
Detachment
Deathwatch
Black Spear Task Force
87%
60%
-27
-4.4
Enhancement
Adeptus Custodes
Augury Uplink (one per army)
0%
27%
+27
+19.4
Enhancement
Space Marines
Temporal Corridor
28%
2%
-27
-20.0
Detachment
Space Marines
Terminator Storm Force
0%
27%
+27
+19.6
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Contemptor-Galatus Dreadnought
7%
33%
+26
+16.0
Detachment
Dark Angels
Wrath of the Rock
21%
47%
+26
+11.0
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Trajann Valoris
31%
57%
+26
+12.4
Unit
Space Marines
Librarian In Terminator Armour
33%
7%
-26
-17.3
Detachment
Dark Angels
Darkflight Pursuit
50%
25%
-26
-10.6
Detachment
Black Templars
Bastion Task Force
27%
1%
-25
-8.4
Enhancement
Space Wolves
Imperium's Sword
0%
25%
+25
+11.3
Detachment
Blood Angels
Encarmine Speartip
3%
28%
+25
+10.7
Unit
Blood Angels
Bladeguard Veteran Squad
56%
31%
-25
-7.4
Enhancement
Space Wolves
Thirst for Glory
26%
1%
-25
-11.0
Unit
Black Templars
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles
0%
25%
+25
+8.6
Unit
Black Templars
Lieutenant
42%
18%
-25
-6.1
Unit
Adeptus Mechanicus
Tech-priest Enginseer
51%
76%
+25
+7.2
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Blade Champion
57%
33%
-24
-11.6
Detachment
Adeptus Mechanicus
Rad-zone Corps
27%
3%
-24
-9.4
Unit
Blood Angels
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles
0%
24%
+24
+11.7
Unit
Space Wolves
Ancient In Terminator Armour
5%
29%
+24
+9.5
Unit
Black Templars
Crusader Squad
71%
47%
-24
-5.6
Unit
Space Wolves
Wolf Guard Headtakers
63%
39%
-24
-7.1
Unit
Black Templars
Assault Intercessor Squad
63%
39%
-24
-5.5
Unit
Space Marines
Marneus Calgar in Armour of Antilochus
26%
2%
-24
-18.2
Unit
Space Wolves
Grey Hunters
18%
42%
+24
+7.7
Unit
Adeptus Mechanicus
Onager Dunecrawler
49%
73%
+24
+6.8
Unit
Dark Angels
Ravenwing Black Knights
42%
19%
-23
-9.9
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Valerian
39%
16%
-23
-11.8
Unit
Black Templars
High Marshal Helbrecht
56%
78%
+23
+5.5
Unit
Dark Angels
Land Speeder
51%
29%
-23
-9.1
Enhancement
Space Marines
Imperium's Sword
0%
22%
+22
+17.8
Unit
Deathwatch
Inceptor Squad
8%
30%
+22
+4.1
Unit
Space Wolves
Thunderwolf Cavalry
31%
53%
+22
+6.6
Unit
Blood Angels
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs
51%
30%
-22
-6.4
Unit
Space Marines
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs
35%
13%
-21
-13.2
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike
46%
25%
-21
-10.4
Unit
Adeptus Mechanicus
Skorpius Dunerider
41%
20%
-21
-6.5
Unit
Dark Angels
Scout Squad
76%
55%
-21
-8.9
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Custodian Guard Sodality
0%
20%
+20
+16.7
Unit
Blood Angels
Company Heroes
2%
22%
+20
+9.5
Detachment
Space Wolves
Stormlance Task Force
2%
22%
+20
+9.1
Enhancement
Adeptus Mechanicus
TL-4ø9
25%
5%
-20
-7.8
Enhancement
World Eaters
Berzerker Glaive
25%
45%
+20
+8.4
Unit
Black Templars
Execrator
31%
11%
-19
-5.4
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Caladius Annihilator Grav-Tank
0%
19%
+19
+16.2
Enhancement
Adeptus Mechanicus
Peerless Eradicator
21%
2%
-19
-8.3
Unit
Black Templars
Impulsor
20%
40%
+19
+4.8
Detachment
Black Templars
Ironstorm Spearhead
4%
23%
+19
+6.4
Unit
Space Marines
Roboute Guilliman
7%
26%
+19
+12.9
Unit
Space Wolves
Land Raider Redeemer
27%
8%
-19
-7.3
Unit
Space Marines
Scout Squad
65%
46%
-19
-9.6
Unit
Space Wolves
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles
0%
19%
+19
+9.5
Unit
Dark Angels
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles
0%
18%
+18
+13.0
Unit
Space Wolves
Ragnar Blackmane
38%
20%
-18
-5.9
Detachment
Black Templars
Tacticus Attack Force
0%
18%
+18
+7.1
Unit
Space Wolves
Terminator Assault Squad
19%
37%
+18
+5.9
Detachment
Space Wolves
Saga of the Beastslayer
25%
43%
+18
+5.6
Unit
Orks
Nazdreg
25%
43%
+18
+9.5
Unit
Dark Angels
Intercessor Squad
48%
31%
-18
-7.2
Unit
Orks
Flash Gitz
51%
33%
-18
-9.0
Unit
World Eaters
Chaos Spawn
33%
16%
-18
-8.6
Unit
Adepta Sororitas
Intranzia Fraye
47%
65%
+18
+5.2
Unit
Dark Angels
Invader Atv
21%
4%
-18
-10.3
Unit
Blood Angels
Sanguinary Priest
56%
39%
-18
-5.1
Enhancement
Adeptus Custodes
Memento Moritoi (one per army)
0%
17%
+17
+15.3
Unit
Adeptus Mechanicus
Skitarii Marshal
51%
34%
-17
-4.9
Unit
Dark Angels
Deathwing Terminator Squad
9%
26%
+17
+9.1
Unit
Space Marines
Deathwatch Terminator Squad
0%
17%
+17
+15.3
Detachment
Dark Angels
Stormlance Task Force
1%
18%
+17
+12.0
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Venatari Custodians
33%
16%
-17
-9.3
Unit
Blood Angels
Chief Librarian Mephiston
33%
16%
-17
-5.7
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Venatari with Verutum Lances
0%
17%
+17
+15.1
Unit
Adeptus Mechanicus
Kataphron Destroyers
27%
10%
-17
-6.1
Detachment
Blood Angels
Rage-cursed Onslaught
18%
1%
-17
-8.0
Unit
Adeptus Mechanicus
Skitarii Vanguard
61%
44%
-17
-4.7
Unit
Space Wolves
Blood Claws
41%
24%
-17
-5.3
Unit
Adeptus Mechanicus
Belisarius Cawl
93%
77%
-17
-6.6
Unit
Blood Angels
Redemptor Dreadnought
5%
21%
+16
+7.5
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Shield-Captain in Allarus Terminator Armour
48%
32%
-16
-7.9
Unit
Dark Angels
Impulsor
5%
21%
+16
+9.9
Unit
Blood Angels
Impulsor
10%
26%
+16
+6.3
Unit
Space Marines
Lieutenant
26%
10%
-16
-11.1
Detachment
Blood Angels
Ironclad Champions
0%
16%
+16
+9.3
Unit
Adeptus Mechanicus
Skorpius Disintegrator
58%
74%
+16
+4.8
Unit
Dark Angels
Assault Intercessor Squad
22%
6%
-16
-9.1
Unit
Space Marines
Land Raider Redeemer
33%
18%
-16
-9.5
Detachment
Dark Angels
Inner Circle Task Force
10%
26%
+16
+8.2
Unit
Space Wolves
Outrider Squad
3%
19%
+16
+7.6
Enhancement
Black Templars
Blades of Valour
17%
1%
-15
-6.2
Enhancement
Space Marines
Celerity
17%
1%
-15
-14.7
Unit
Space Wolves
Impulsor
7%
23%
+15
+6.4
Detachment
Orks
Bully Boyz
19%
35%
+15
+8.7
Enhancement
Adeptus Custodes
Superior Creation
31%
16%
-15
-8.4
Unit
Black Templars
Apothecary
6%
21%
+15
+5.0
Enhancement
Adeptus Mechanicus
Vingh's Wafers of Dynamism
27%
12%
-15
-5.4
Detachment
Tyranids
Subterranean Assault
16%
31%
+15
+7.7
Unit
Dark Angels
Outrider Squad
63%
48%
-15
-5.9
Unit
Orks
Big Mek With Shokk Attack Gun
45%
31%
-15
-7.6
Enhancement
Adeptus Mechanicus
Radial Suffusion
17%
3%
-15
-6.8
Detachment
Grey Knights
Warpbane Task Force
30%
44%
+15
+4.2
Unit
Dark Angels
Lion El’jonson
84%
70%
-14
-6.8
Unit
World Eaters
Chaos Rhino
55%
70%
+14
+6.1
Enhancement
Adeptus Custodes
Admonimortis
31%
16%
-14
-7.9
Unit
World Eaters
Khorne Berzerkers
70%
84%
+14
+7.0
Unit
Orks
Meganobz
34%
48%
+14
+7.2
Unit
Space Marines
Infernus Squad
30%
16%
-14
-8.8
Unit
Chaos Space Marines
Chaos Terminator Squad
41%
55%
+14
+5.3
Unit
Black Templars
Crusade Ancient
27%
13%
-14
-4.0
Detachment
Space Wolves
Terminator Storm Force
0%
14%
+14
+8.1
Unit
Orks
Big Mek Dakkarig
63%
49%
-14
-7.0
Unit
Space Marines
Librarian In Phobos Armour
2%
16%
+14
+12.4
Detachment
Emperor's Children
Carnival of Excess
21%
7%
-14
-6.7
Unit
Emperor's Children
Lucius the Eternal
64%
78%
+14
+5.3
Unit
Grey Knights
Razorback
16%
30%
+14
+4.6
Enhancement
Blood Angels
Angelic Executioner
1%
15%
+14
+7.8
Unit
Emperor's Children
Flawless Blades
74%
88%
+14
+6.0
Unit
Space Wolves
Captain on Bike
0%
14%
+14
+8.1
Unit
Space Marines
Land Speeder
29%
16%
-14
-8.6
Unit
Black Templars
Bladeguard Ancient
4%
18%
+14
+5.0
Unit
Chaos Space Marines
Sorcerer In Terminator Armour
22%
36%
+14
+5.6
Unit
Space Wolves
Bladeguard Veteran Squad
3%
16%
+14
+6.9
Unit
Emperor's Children
Daemonettes
20%
6%
-13
-6.8
Detachment
Emperor's Children
Frenzied Host
28%
15%
-13
-5.6
Unit
Space Wolves
Chaplain On Bike
0%
14%
+13
+7.7
Unit
Blood Angels
Vindicator
15%
1%
-13
-6.8
Detachment
Blood Angels
Ironstorm Spearhead
0%
14%
+13
+8.1
Detachment
Space Marines
Deathwatch Support
0%
13%
+13
+13.2
Enhancement
Black Templars
Hero of the Chapter
14%
0%
-13
-5.9
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Shield-Captain
10%
23%
+13
+8.4
Unit
Dark Angels
Belial
2%
15%
+13
+9.3
Unit
Black Templars
Rhino
0%
13%
+13
+5.8
Unit
Tyranids
Trygon
15%
28%
+13
+6.9
Unit
Black Templars
Inceptor Squad
3%
16%
+13
+5.0
Unit
Space Marines
Reiver Squad
7%
20%
+13
+9.7
Detachment
Imperial Knights
Freeblade Company
26%
39%
+13
+4.5
Unit
Blood Angels
Infiltrator Squad
17%
4%
-13
-5.8
Detachment
Blood Angels
Terminator Storm Force
0%
13%
+13
+8.2
Enhancement
Blood Angels
Gift of Foresight
14%
1%
-12
-6.5
Detachment
Black Templars
Wrathful Procession
15%
2%
-12
-5.1
Unit
Space Wolves
Terminator Squad
5%
17%
+12
+5.8
Enhancement
Space Marines
Fusillade
13%
0%
-12
-13.4
Detachment
Adeptus Custodes
Shield Host
25%
12%
-12
-7.4
Detachment
Space Marines
Ironstorm Spearhead
3%
15%
+12
+10.7
Enhancement
Emperor's Children
Possessed Blade
17%
5%
-12
-6.6
Unit
World Eaters
Lord Invocatus
40%
28%
-12
-5.3
Enhancement
Black Templars
Redoubtable Machine Spirit
0%
13%
+12
+5.6
Unit
Space Marines
Infiltrator Squad
17%
5%
-12
-10.3
Detachment
Space Marines
Reclamation Force
12%
0%
-12
-13.5
Detachment
Space Marines
Forgefather's Seekers
24%
12%
-12
-8.1
Unit
Aeldari
Autarch
11%
23%
+12
+4.9
Unit
World Eaters
Master of Executions
32%
44%
+12
+5.1
Enhancement
Black Templars
Consecrating Aura
6%
18%
+12
+4.2
Detachment
Dark Angels
Terminator Storm Force
0%
12%
+12
+10.2
Detachment
Blood Angels
Legacy of Grace
12%
0%
-12
-6.7
Enhancement
Blood Angels
Rage-fuelled Warrior
13%
1%
-12
-6.4
Enhancement
Space Marines
Immolator
17%
6%
-12
-9.7
Detachment
Black Templars
Companions of Vehemence
14%
2%
-12
-4.9
Detachment
Space Marines
Vengeful Hosts
12%
1%
-12
-12.6
Enhancement
Tyranids
Trygon Prime
9%
21%
+12
+7.0
Unit
Space Marines
Vulkan He’stan
26%
14%
-12
-7.6
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Sentinel Guard Sodality
0%
12%
+12
+12.3
Detachment
World Eaters
Berzerker Warband
59%
71%
+11
+4.9
Enhancement
Space Wolves
Champion of the First Company
0%
11%
+11
+7.2
Detachment
Adeptus Mechanicus
Skitarii Hunter Cohort
19%
7%
-11
-4.7
Unit
Space Marines
Vanguard Veteran Squad With Jump Packs
22%
11%
-11
-8.0
Unit
Thousand Sons
Rubric Marines
87%
76%
-11
-4.2
Detachment
Emperor's Children
Slaanesh's Chosen
0%
11%
+11
+9.3
Enhancement
Orks
Dreadherder
29%
18%
-11
-6.5
Enhancement
Orks
Supa-snazz Dakka
25%
14%
-11
-6.8
Unit
Black Templars
Infiltrator Squad
15%
5%
-11
-4.1
Unit
Space Marines
Kaius Konorius
0%
11%
+11
+11.8
Detachment
Blood Angels
Stormlance Task Force
18%
7%
-11
-4.7
Unit
World Eaters
Khârn The Betrayer
61%
72%
+11
+4.7
Unit
Blood Angels
Brutalis Dreadnought
5%
15%
+10
+5.3
Unit
Black Templars
Reiver Squad
3%
13%
+10
+4.4
Unit
Orks
Ghazghkull Thraka
38%
49%
+10
+5.2
Enhancement
Imperial Knights
Hunter's Eye
18%
28%
+10
+4.1
Unit
Space Marines
Vindicator
11%
1%
-10
-11.3
Unit
Dark Angels
Company Heroes
0%
11%
+10
+9.1
Detachment
Dark Angels
Librarius Conclave
11%
1%
-10
-8.5
Detachment
Space Marines
Ironclad Champions
0%
10%
+10
+11.5
Unit
Space Marines
Ancient In Terminator Armour
16%
26%
+10
+6.4
Unit
Space Marines
Aggressor Squad
28%
18%
-10
-6.2
Unit
Blood Angels
Librarian In Phobos Armour
0%
10%
+10
+7.1
Unit
Death Guard
Noxious Blightbringer
24%
34%
+10
+4.2
Unit
Blood Angels
Inceptor Squad
11%
21%
+10
+4.0
Enhancement
Blood Angels
Artificer Sarcophagus
0%
10%
+10
+7.2
Unit
Dark Angels
Techmarine
16%
6%
-10
-6.1
Unit
Dark Angels
Lieutenant
14%
4%
-10
-6.8
Unit
Tyranids
Genestealers
37%
27%
-10
-4.4
Unit
World Eaters
Lord on Juggernaut
22%
32%
+10
+4.5
Unit
Dark Angels
Inceptor Squad
8%
18%
+10
+5.7
Unit
Space Marines
Bladeguard Veteran Squad
48%
39%
-10
-5.1
Detachment
Blood Angels
Wrath of the Doomed
3%
13%
+10
+5.4
Detachment
Black Templars
Vindication Task Force
11%
2%
-10
-4.5
Enhancement
Space Marines
Artificer Sarcophagus
0%
10%
+10
+11.2
Unit
Blood Angels
Reiver Squad
6%
16%
+10
+4.6
Unit
Space Marines
Eradicator Squad
23%
13%
-10
-6.5
Enhancement
Space Wolves
Grimnar's Mark
13%
4%
-10
-5.1
Unit
Dark Angels
Chaplain On Bike
9%
19%
+10
+5.5
Unit
Dark Angels
Incursor Squad
13%
23%
+10
+5.0
Unit
Dark Angels
Terminator Assault Squad
4%
14%
+10
+6.6
Unit
Blood Angels
Chaplain On Bike
2%
12%
+10
+5.8
Unit
Orks
Trukk
47%
38%
-9
-4.8
Unit
Tyranids
Maleceptor
45%
54%
+9
+4.0
Detachment
World Eaters
Possessed Slaughterband
17%
8%
-9
-6.0
Unit
Space Wolves
Iron Priest
15%
5%
-9
-4.6
Unit
Space Marines
Company Heroes
13%
22%
+9
+6.3
Unit
Space Marines
Chaplain On Bike
3%
12%
+9
+9.1
Detachment
Dark Angels
Ironstorm Spearhead
1%
10%
+9
+8.3
Unit
Tyranids
Broodlord
34%
25%
-9
-4.2
Unit
Space Wolves
Infiltrator Squad
13%
3%
-9
-5.0
Unit
Emperor's Children
Fiends
14%
5%
-9
-5.3
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Allarus Custodians
92%
83%
-9
-6.5
Unit
Space Wolves
Bladeguard Ancient
0%
9%
+9
+6.3
Detachment
World Eaters
Butchers of Khorne
7%
16%
+9
+5.7
Unit
Space Marines
Captain Titus
13%
4%
-9
-8.6
Detachment
Space Wolves
Veterans of the Fang
10%
1%
-9
-5.9
Detachment
Black Templars
The Living Miracle
10%
1%
-9
-4.6
Unit
Orks
Tankbustas
54%
45%
-9
-4.4
Unit
Blood Angels
Ancient In Terminator Armour
5%
14%
+9
+4.5
Enhancement
Adeptus Mechanicus
Cantic Thrallnet
13%
4%
-9
-4.3
Enhancement
Black Templars
Guiding Omens
9%
1%
-9
-4.5
Detachment
Blood Angels
Vengeful Hosts
9%
1%
-8
-5.5
Detachment
Orks
Dread Mob
39%
31%
-8
-4.4
Unit
Space Marines
Outrider Squad
11%
20%
+8
+6.0
Enhancement
World Eaters
Gore-stained Veterans
4%
12%
+8
+6.1
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Inquisitor Draxus
15%
7%
-8
-6.2
Unit
Blood Angels
Librarian
12%
4%
-8
-4.3
Detachment
Space Marines
Devastator Brethren
0%
8%
+8
+10.3
Unit
Dark Angels
Infiltrator Squad
12%
4%
-8
-5.8
Unit
Space Marines
Gladiator Lancer
17%
9%
-8
-6.3
Enhancement
Blood Angels
Carmine Reliquary
8%
0%
-8
-5.5
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Space Marines 2,000 pts
Assault Brethren, Deathwatch Support, and Terminator Storm Force · Take and Hold
Won the event · record 7-1 · 131 players · 8 rounds · 9 Oct
Won an event of 100+ players
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Roboute Guilliman 415 Emperor’s Sword, Hand of Dominion
Librarian In Phobos Armour 75
Battleline
Heavy Intercessor Squad 115 Bolt Pistol, Ceramite Fists, Heavy Bolt Rifle
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor 70 Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Impulsor 70 Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Allied Units
Deathwatch Terminator Squad 200 Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer, Chainfist, Plasma Cannon
Deathwatch Terminator Squad 200 Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer, Chainfist, Plasma Cannon
Other Units
Bladeguard Veteran Squad + Furious Assault 190 Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Sword
Marneus Calgar 180 Gauntlets of Ultramar
Wardens of Ultramar 115 Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Bolt Rifle, Ceramite Fists, Archeotech Laspistol, Power Weapon ...
Eradicator Squad 100
Eradicator Squad 100
Reiver Squad 85 Grapnel Launchers, Grav-chutes, Bolt Carbine, Monomolecular Combat Knife, Special-issue Bolt Pistol
Reiver Squad 85 Grapnel Launchers, Grav-chutes, Bolt Carbine, Monomolecular Combat Knife, Special-issue Bolt Pistol
Necrons 2,000 pts
Cryptek Conclave + Hand of the Dynasty · Priority Assets
Won the event · record 6-0 · 94 players · 6 rounds · 10 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Nekrosor Ammentar 185 Blade tail and whip coils, Enmitic disintegrators, Nullstone Field Generator (Aura), Unmaker Gauntlet
Illuminor Szeras 175 Eldritch Lance, Impaling legs
Battleline
Immortals + Tools of Dominion 155 Close combat weapon, Gauss blaster
Immortals + Tools of Dominion 155 Close combat weapon, Gauss blaster
Immortals + Tools of Dominion 155 Close combat weapon, Gauss blaster
Other Units
Triarch Praetorians 160 Particle caster, Voidblade
Triarch Praetorians 160 Particle caster, Voidblade
Tomb Blades 140 Close combat weapon, Nebuloscope, Particle beamer
Ophydian Destroyers 80 Ophydian hyperphase weapons, Plasmacyte
Canoptek Reanimator 75 Atomiser beam, Reanimator’s claws
Plasmancer 60 Plasmic lance
Plasmancer 60 Plasmic lance
Plasmancer 60 Plasmic lance
Royal Warden 50 Close combat weapon, Relic gauss blaster
Royal Warden 50 Close combat weapon, Relic gauss blaster
Royal Warden 50 Close combat weapon, Relic gauss blaster
Canoptek Tomb Crawlers 50 Claws, Transdimensional isolator, Twin gauss reaper
Canoptek Tomb Crawlers 50 Claws, Transdimensional isolator, Twin gauss reaper
Canoptek Tomb Crawlers 50 Claws, Transdimensional isolator, Twin gauss reaper
Canoptek Scarab Swarms 40 Feeder mandibles
Canoptek Scarab Swarms 40 Feeder mandibles
World Eaters 2,000 pts
Berzerker Warband + Vessels of Wrath · Purge the Foe
2nd place · record 7-1 · 131 players · 8 rounds · 9 Oct
11 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Angron 330 Samni’arius and Spinegrinder
Battleline
Khorne Berzerkers 330 Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers 330 Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers 330 Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers 170 Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 75 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Khârn The Betrayer 115
Lord on Juggernaut + Battle-lust 115 Bladed horn, Exalted chainblade, Plasma pistol
Master of Executions + Favoured of Khorne 80 Axe of dismemberment, Bolt pistol
Jakhals 65 Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade
Master of Executions + Favoured of Khorne 60 Axe of dismemberment, Bolt pistol
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)
Adeptus Custodes, whose codex this was, went from 54.9% to 51.6% and from 6.5% to 7.0% of
games.
One faction changed win rate in the 28 days after: Space Marines +5.2 points (47.3% to 52.5%).
The first player's win rate went from 52.0% to 50.4%.
Force Disposition choice changed: Take and Hold went from 29.6% to 33.5% of games.
54 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Assault Brethren
in Blood Angels (2% to 77%), Assault Brethren in Black Templars (1% to 69%) and Assault Brethren
in Space Wolves (1% to 54%).
130 units shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Prosecutor Squad
in Adeptus Custodes (1% to 58%), Witchseeker Squad in Adeptus Custodes (0% to 53%) and Witchseekers
in Adeptus Custodes (67% to 14%).
38 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Furious
Assault in Blood Angels (17% to 62%), Augury Uplink (one per army) in Adeptus Custodes (0%
to 44%) and Martial Signatum Amplificator in Adeptus Mechanicus (15% to 53%).
Only 9 days of data follow it, so the picture is still forming.
Faction
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
Space Marines
4,158 / 2,622
47.3% to 52.5%
+5.2
+4.2
7.0% to 9.8%
Type
Faction
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Blood Angels
Assault Brethren
2%
77%
+75
+20.0
Detachment
Black Templars
Assault Brethren
1%
69%
+67
+14.7
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Prosecutor Squad
1%
58%
+58
+28.1
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Witchseeker Squad
0%
53%
+53
+26.6
Detachment
Space Wolves
Assault Brethren
1%
54%
+53
+16.3
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Witchseekers
67%
14%
-52
-20.7
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Prosecutors
65%
13%
-52
-20.6
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Custodian Guard
62%
11%
-52
-20.6
Unit
Space Marines
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles
8%
60%
+52
+25.9
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Vertus Praetors
75%
24%
-51
-20.4
All 222 shifts: 212 more rows
Type
Faction
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Dark Angels
Assault Brethren
3%
52%
+49
+20.5
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Custodian Wardens
77%
28%
-49
-19.6
Detachment
Space Wolves
Legends of Saga and Song
46%
0%
-46
-12.8
Enhancement
Blood Angels
Furious Assault
17%
62%
+45
+11.6
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Telemon Heavy Dreadnought
12%
57%
+45
+19.9
Detachment
Space Marines
Assault Brethren
2%
47%
+44
+25.3
Enhancement
Adeptus Custodes
Augury Uplink (one per army)
0%
44%
+44
+23.9
Detachment
Adeptus Custodes
Might of the Moritoi
14%
57%
+43
+18.8
Detachment
Blood Angels
Tacticus Attack Force
1%
43%
+42
+13.7
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Blade Champion
57%
15%
-42
-16.7
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Contemptor-Galatus Dreadnought
8%
49%
+41
+19.6
Detachment
Adeptus Mechanicus
Eradication Cohort
17%
58%
+41
+10.4
Detachment
Space Marines
Terminator Storm Force
2%
42%
+41
+24.1
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Trajann Valoris
32%
71%
+39
+15.6
Enhancement
Adeptus Mechanicus
Martial Signatum Amplificator
15%
53%
+38
+9.9
Unit
Space Wolves
Bjorn The Fell-handed
64%
27%
-37
-9.4
Detachment
Adeptus Mechanicus
Lords of the Forge
58%
22%
-36
-8.5
Unit
Blood Angels
Death Company Marines With Jump Packs
65%
29%
-35
-8.6
Detachment
Adeptus Mechanicus
Cohort Cybernetica
49%
84%
+35
+8.6
Enhancement
Blood Angels
Imperium's Sword
12%
46%
+33
+9.4
Unit
Blood Angels
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles
2%
35%
+33
+11.5
Detachment
Dark Angels
Company of Hunters
33%
0%
-33
-13.4
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Custodian Guard Sodality
0%
33%
+33
+20.1
Detachment
Blood Angels
Liberator Assault Group
32%
0%
-32
-9.7
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Caladius Annihilator Grav-Tank
0%
32%
+32
+19.8
Unit
Dark Angels
Azrael
66%
34%
-31
-10.5
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Valerian
37%
6%
-31
-14.1
Unit
Space Wolves
Arjac Rockfist
58%
27%
-31
-7.8
Unit
Black Templars
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles
4%
35%
+30
+8.1
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike
45%
15%
-30
-12.6
Enhancement
Adeptus Mechanicus
Necromechanic
43%
72%
+30
+7.1
Enhancement
Space Wolves
Fierce Example
30%
0%
-30
-9.6
Enhancement
Black Templars
Furious Assault
21%
50%
+29
+6.1
Unit
Adeptus Mechanicus
Cybernetica Datasmith
61%
90%
+29
+7.6
Enhancement
Adeptus Custodes
Memento Moritoi (one per army)
0%
29%
+29
+18.7
Unit
Adeptus Mechanicus
Kastelan Robots
61%
89%
+29
+7.5
Detachment
Black Templars
Tacticus Attack Force
0%
29%
+29
+8.7
Enhancement
Dark Angels
Recon Hunter
28%
0%
-28
-12.0
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Shield-Captain in Allarus Terminator Armour
48%
20%
-27
-11.2
Unit
Space Marines
Eradicator Squad
27%
0%
-27
-16.9
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Venatari with Verutum Lances
0%
27%
+27
+18.0
Unit
Adeptus Mechanicus
Servitor Battleclade
65%
38%
-27
-6.5
Unit
Blood Angels
Lemartes
52%
25%
-27
-6.6
Detachment
Space Marines
Librarius Conclave
27%
0%
-27
-16.8
Unit
Dark Angels
Ravenwing Command Squad
55%
28%
-27
-8.9
Unit
Space Wolves
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles
2%
29%
+26
+10.2
Unit
Space Marines
Impulsor
22%
48%
+26
+12.8
Unit
Blood Angels
Intercessor Squad
48%
22%
-26
-6.5
Unit
Dark Angels
Sammael
52%
26%
-26
-8.8
Enhancement
Black Templars
Imperium's Sword
14%
40%
+26
+6.0
Enhancement
Adeptus Custodes
Admonimortis
32%
6%
-26
-12.3
Detachment
Blood Angels
Ironclad Champions
0%
26%
+25
+10.4
Enhancement
Space Wolves
Furious Assault
10%
35%
+25
+8.1
Unit
Black Templars
Marshal
50%
25%
-25
-5.0
Enhancement
Space Wolves
Imperium's Sword
8%
32%
+24
+8.1
Unit
Black Templars
Intercessor Squad
51%
27%
-24
-4.7
Unit
Space Wolves
Intercessor Squad
38%
14%
-24
-6.5
Unit
Dark Angels
Land Speeder Vengeance
46%
23%
-23
-8.0
Unit
Adeptus Mechanicus
Tech-priest Manipulus
39%
16%
-23
-6.0
Enhancement
Space Wolves
Wolf-Touched
11%
34%
+23
+7.4
Unit
Dark Angels
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles
3%
26%
+23
+12.2
Unit
Dark Angels
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike
41%
19%
-23
-8.0
Detachment
World Eaters
Vessels of Wrath
27%
49%
+22
+8.4
Unit
Space Wolves
Wolf Guard Terminators
78%
56%
-22
-6.1
Unit
Space Wolves
Thunderwolf Cavalry
37%
59%
+22
+5.6
Enhancement
Adeptus Custodes
Superior Creation
29%
7%
-22
-10.6
Unit
Space Marines
Marneus Calgar
11%
33%
+22
+12.6
Detachment
Dark Angels
Darkflight Pursuit
42%
20%
-22
-7.6
Unit
Dark Angels
Ravenwing Black Knights
36%
15%
-22
-8.0
Unit
Blood Angels
Company Heroes
6%
28%
+22
+7.5
Unit
Space Marines
Intercessor Squad
47%
25%
-22
-10.2
Unit
Blood Angels
Chaplain With Jump Pack
33%
11%
-21
-6.0
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Venatari Custodians
29%
8%
-21
-10.3
Enhancement
Dark Angels
Imperium's Sword
11%
32%
+21
+9.1
Enhancement
Dark Angels
Nightforged Battery
30%
9%
-21
-8.3
Detachment
Space Marines
Deathwatch Support
1%
21%
+21
+16.6
Unit
Black Templars
Assault Intercessor Squad
55%
35%
-21
-4.1
Enhancement
Space Marines
Furious Assault
13%
33%
+21
+11.6
Unit
Adeptus Mechanicus
Skorpius Dunerider
35%
15%
-21
-5.4
Enhancement
Dark Angels
Furious Assault
12%
32%
+20
+8.7
Detachment
Space Wolves
Terminator Storm Force
2%
22%
+20
+8.9
Unit
Space Marines
Librarian
27%
7%
-20
-11.6
Detachment
Adeptus Custodes
Shield Host
24%
5%
-20
-10.2
Unit
Blood Angels
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs
46%
27%
-19
-4.8
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Sentinel Guard Sodality
0%
19%
+19
+15.1
Detachment
Blood Angels
Encarmine Speartip
11%
30%
+19
+6.0
Detachment
Blood Angels
Terminator Storm Force
0%
19%
+19
+8.7
Unit
Black Templars
Lieutenant
33%
14%
-19
-4.2
Unit
Grey Knights
Purgation Squad
43%
24%
-19
-4.2
Unit
Space Wolves
Ancient In Terminator Armour
14%
32%
+19
+5.8
Detachment
Grey Knights
Warpbane Task Force
33%
51%
+19
+4.2
Detachment
Dark Angels
Terminator Storm Force
1%
19%
+19
+12.0
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Shield-Captain
11%
30%
+18
+9.5
Unit
Blood Angels
Bladeguard Veteran Squad
48%
29%
-18
-4.5
Unit
Space Marines
Deathwatch Terminator Squad
4%
23%
+18
+12.8
Unit
Adeptus Mechanicus
Tech-priest Enginseer
60%
78%
+18
+4.5
Detachment
Adeptus Mechanicus
Rad-zone Corps
19%
1%
-18
-6.3
Unit
Dark Angels
Scout Squad
70%
52%
-18
-6.2
Detachment
Space Wolves
Stormlance Task Force
8%
26%
+18
+6.4
Unit
Dark Angels
Land Speeder
44%
26%
-18
-6.1
Unit
Space Marines
Marneus Calgar in Armour of Antilochus
18%
0%
-18
-13.1
Unit
Adepta Sororitas
Intranzia Fraye
53%
71%
+18
+4.3
Unit
Black Templars
Apothecary
9%
26%
+18
+4.8
Unit
Space Wolves
Impulsor
12%
29%
+18
+5.8
Detachment
Dark Angels
Wrath of the Rock
31%
49%
+17
+6.0
Unit
Adeptus Mechanicus
Kataphron Destroyers
23%
6%
-17
-5.5
Unit
Space Wolves
Outrider Squad
7%
24%
+17
+6.4
Detachment
Black Templars
Ironstorm Spearhead
10%
27%
+17
+4.5
Unit
Dark Angels
Invader Atv
17%
0%
-17
-9.0
Unit
Blood Angels
Chief Librarian Mephiston
30%
13%
-17
-4.8
Detachment
Black Templars
Bastion Task Force
17%
0%
-17
-5.4
Unit
Dark Angels
Deathwing Terminator Squad
14%
30%
+16
+6.9
Unit
Space Marines
Librarian In Terminator Armour
21%
5%
-16
-10.5
Unit
Space Marines
Reiver Squad
9%
25%
+16
+10.3
Enhancement
Space Wolves
Thirst for Glory
16%
0%
-16
-6.7
Enhancement
Space Marines
Temporal Corridor
16%
0%
-16
-12.4
Unit
Aeldari
Autarch
12%
27%
+15
+5.0
Detachment
Blood Angels
Ironstorm Spearhead
3%
18%
+15
+6.7
Unit
Orks
Flash Gitz
46%
30%
-15
-6.5
Detachment
Space Marines
Ironclad Champions
1%
16%
+15
+13.8
Unit
Space Marines
Librarian In Phobos Armour
5%
20%
+15
+10.9
Unit
Dark Angels
Impulsor
10%
25%
+15
+7.0
Unit
Chaos Space Marines
Chaos Terminator Squad
45%
60%
+15
+4.3
Unit
Space Wolves
Chaplain On Bike
4%
18%
+15
+6.4
Unit
World Eaters
Angron
68%
83%
+15
+6.0
Unit
Blood Angels
Impulsor
14%
29%
+15
+4.4
Unit
Space Wolves
Captain on Bike
4%
18%
+14
+6.3
Unit
Space Marines
Roboute Guilliman
14%
28%
+14
+8.1
Enhancement
Space Marines
Imperium's Sword
10%
24%
+14
+8.9
Unit
Space Marines
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs
25%
12%
-14
-7.9
Unit
Orks
Ghazghkull Thraka
39%
52%
+14
+5.7
Enhancement
Adeptus Mechanicus
TL-4ø9
17%
4%
-14
-4.9
Unit
Adeptus Mechanicus
Belisarius Cawl
88%
74%
-14
-4.3
Unit
Dark Angels
Outrider Squad
59%
46%
-13
-4.4
Unit
Dark Angels
Assault Intercessor Squad
16%
3%
-13
-6.8
Detachment
Emperor's Children
Frenzied Host
24%
11%
-13
-4.4
Unit
Dark Angels
Intercessor Squad
42%
29%
-13
-4.5
Detachment
Dark Angels
Inner Circle Task Force
15%
28%
+13
+5.4
Unit
Orks
Nazdreg
33%
46%
+13
+5.5
Unit
World Eaters
Master of Executions
34%
47%
+13
+4.8
Unit
Orks
Big Mek Dakkarig
60%
47%
-13
-5.4
Detachment
Blood Angels
Rage-cursed Onslaught
13%
0%
-13
-5.7
Enhancement
World Eaters
Berzerker Glaive
33%
45%
+13
+4.7
Detachment
Space Marines
Devastator Brethren
0%
13%
+13
+12.6
Unit
Orks
Big Mek With Shokk Attack Gun
41%
29%
-12
-5.3
Unit
Space Wolves
Land Raider Redeemer
20%
8%
-12
-4.3
Enhancement
Adeptus Mechanicus
Peerless Eradicator
14%
1%
-12
-5.0
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Caladius Grav-Tank
18%
5%
-12
-7.2
Unit
Dark Angels
Lion El’jonson
80%
68%
-12
-4.7
Detachment
Tyranids
Subterranean Assault
20%
32%
+12
+4.8
Unit
Tyranids
The Red Terror
44%
56%
+12
+4.1
Unit
Black Templars
Rhino
4%
16%
+12
+4.0
Enhancement
Black Templars
Blades of Valour
12%
0%
-12
-4.4
Unit
Blood Angels
Reiver Squad
8%
19%
+12
+4.3
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Allarus Custodians
90%
79%
-12
-6.6
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Inquisitor Draxus
14%
2%
-12
-7.7
Detachment
Adeptus Mechanicus
Skitarii Hunter Cohort
15%
3%
-12
-4.4
Unit
World Eaters
Forgefiend
62%
50%
-11
-4.1
Detachment
Adeptus Custodes
Auric Champions
1%
12%
+11
+10.3
Unit
Space Marines
Scout Squad
56%
45%
-11
-5.1
Detachment
Orks
Dread Mob
39%
28%
-11
-4.8
Enhancement
Orks
Dreadherder
27%
16%
-11
-5.4
Enhancement
Orks
Supa-snazz Dakka
23%
12%
-11
-5.9
Enhancement
Adeptus Mechanicus
Radial Suffusion
12%
1%
-11
-4.6
Detachment
Orks
Bully Boyz
26%
37%
+11
+4.9
Unit
Adeptus Custodes
Aquilon Terminators with Solarite Power Gauntlets
0%
11%
+11
+11.1
Detachment
Black Templars
Wrathful Procession
11%
0%
-11
-4.3
Unit
World Eaters
Chaos Spawn
24%
14%
-11
-4.8
Unit
Orks
Mek
33%
23%
-11
-4.8
Detachment
Emperor's Children
Slaanesh's Chosen
3%
14%
+11
+5.9
Detachment
Emperor's Children
Carnival of Excess
15%
4%
-10
-4.3
Detachment
Black Templars
Companions of Vehemence
10%
0%
-10
-4.2
Unit
Space Marines
Lieutenant
19%
9%
-10
-6.6
Enhancement
Blood Angels
Angelic Executioner
6%
16%
+10
+4.2
Unit
Dark Angels
Incursor Squad
16%
26%
+10
+4.2
Unit
Blood Angels
Eradicator Squad
10%
0%
-10
-5.0
Enhancement
Blood Angels
Gift of Foresight
10%
0%
-10
-5.0
Unit
Orks
Tankbustas
53%
43%
-10
-4.1
Unit
Death Guard
Knight Despoiler
2%
12%
+10
+6.7
Unit
Blood Angels
Vindicator
10%
0%
-10
-4.8
Unit
Space Marines
Infernus Squad
24%
14%
-10
-5.5
Unit
Orks
Meganobz
40%
50%
+10
+4.0
Detachment
Space Marines
Gravis Siege Force
0%
10%
+10
+11.1
Unit
Chaos Daemons
Daemon Prince Of Chaos With Wings
4%
14%
+10
+4.9
Detachment
Dark Angels
Stormlance Task Force
8%
17%
+10
+5.0
Enhancement
Space Marines
Celerity
10%
0%
-10
-9.4
Unit
Dark Angels
Belial
7%
16%
+9
+5.1
Unit
Emperor's Children
Daemonettes
13%
4%
-9
-4.0
Unit
Space Wolves
Company Heroes
1%
10%
+9
+5.6
Enhancement
Blood Angels
Artificer Sarcophagus
2%
12%
+9
+4.7
Unit
Dark Angels
Inceptor Squad
11%
21%
+9
+4.3
Enhancement
Adeptus Custodes
Sally Forth
0%
9%
+9
+9.9
Enhancement
Adeptus Custodes
Panoptispex
10%
1%
-9
-7.1
Detachment
World Eaters
Butchers of Khorne
9%
18%
+9
+4.9
Detachment
Dark Angels
Deathwatch Support
0%
9%
+9
+8.3
Unit
Blood Angels
Librarian In Phobos Armour
3%
12%
+9
+4.5
Enhancement
Adeptus Custodes
Interred Expertise
10%
1%
-9
-7.0
Unit
Space Marines
Infiltrator Squad
13%
4%
-9
-7.0
Detachment
Adeptus Custodes
Tharanatoi Hammerblow
12%
3%
-9
-6.2
Unit
Dark Angels
Company Heroes
4%
12%
+9
+5.9
Unit
Space Marines
Company Heroes
15%
24%
+9
+5.0
Unit
Dark Angels
Terminator Assault Squad
7%
16%
+9
+4.7
Unit
Orks
Warboss In Mega Armour
8%
17%
+9
+5.6
Enhancement
Blood Angels
Rage-fuelled Warrior
8%
0%
-8
-4.6
Unit
Space Marines
Land Raider Redeemer
25%
17%
-8
-4.6
Detachment
Blood Angels
Legacy of Grace
8%
0%
-8
-4.5
Detachment
Space Marines
Forgefather's Seekers
19%
11%
-8
-5.1
Enhancement
Space Marines
Immolator
12%
4%
-8
-6.5
Unit
Space Marines
Captain Titus
11%
3%
-8
-7.0
Unit
Dark Angels
Lieutenant
10%
2%
-8
-5.0
Unit
Space Marines
Land Speeder
23%
15%
-8
-4.6
Detachment
Dark Angels
Ironstorm Spearhead
4%
12%
+8
+5.4
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Adeptus Mechanicus 2,000 pts
Cohort Cybernetica + Eradication Cohort · Take and Hold
Won the event · record 8-0 · 143 players · 8 rounds · 23 Oct
Won an event of 100+ players
46 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Belisarius Cawl 220 Arc scourge, Cawl's Omnissian axe, Mechadendrite hive, Solar atomiser
Thulia Ghuld 180 Jericho-class conversion resonator, Rod of the War Forge
Tech-priest Enginseer 75
Battleline
Skitarii Rangers 85 Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Skitarii Rangers 85 Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Other Units
Kastelan Robots 300 Heavy phosphor blaster, Twin Kastelan fist
Ironstrider Ballistarii 250 Ironstrider Ballistarius (Twin cognis autocannon), Ironstrider feet, Twin cognis autocannon
Skorpius Disintegrator 170 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Skorpius Disintegrator 170 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Onager Dunecrawler 150 Broad spectrum data-tether, Cognis heavy stubber, Dunecrawler legs, Twin Onager heavy phosphor blaster
Pteraxii Skystalkers 75 Flechette blaster, Taser goad, Close combat weapon, Flechette carbine
Pteraxii Skystalkers 75 Flechette blaster, Taser goad, Close combat weapon, Flechette carbine
Sicarian Infiltrators 75 Flechette blaster, Taser goad
Serberys Sulphurhounds 55 Cavalry arc maul, Clawed limbs, Mechanicus pistol, Sulphur breath, Phosphor blast carbine, Phosphor pistol
Cybernetica Datasmith + Martial Signatum Amplificator 35 Mechanicus pistol, Power fist
Grey Knights 1,995 pts
Warpbane Task Force · Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 6-0 · 85 players · 6 rounds · 17 Oct
13 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight 250
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight 240
Battleline
Brotherhood Terminator Squad 195 Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Psycannon, Ancient’s Banner
Strike Squad 125 Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Close Combat Weapon, Psycannon
Dedicated Transports
Razorback 75 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm Bolter, Twin lascannon
Razorback 75 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm Bolter, Twin lascannon
Allied Units
Eversor Assassin 110 Executioner pistol, Power sword and neuro gauntlet
Other Units
Purifier Squad 290 Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter, Close combat weapon, Psycannon
Purifier Squad 145 Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter, Close combat weapon, Psycannon
Interceptor Squad 135 Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter
Interceptor Squad 135 Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter
Grand Master + Radiant Champion 115 Nemesis force weapon, Psycannon
Castellan Crowe 105 Black Blade of Antwyr, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter
Adepta Sororitas 2,000 pts
Bringers of Flame + Chorus of Condemnation · Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 102 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
Won an event of 100+ players
60 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Intranzia Fraye 135 Heavy bolter, Mace of Saint Praxedes, Melta missile array, Ministorum heavy flamer, Throne of Blame
Dedicated Transports
Immolator 100 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Immolator 100 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Immolator 100 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Other Units
Morvenn Vahl 215 Fidelis, Lance of Illumination, Paragon missile launcher
Castigator 185 Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Exorcist + Symphonic Payload 185 Armoured tracks, Exorcist missile launcher, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile
Paragon Warsuits 165 Bolt pistol, Heavy bolter, Paragon grenade launchers, Paragon war blade
Castigator 165 Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Castigator 165 Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Mortifiers 130 Anchorite Sarcophagus, Heavy bolter, Twin penitent buzz-blades
Dominion Squad 100 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Dominion Squad 90 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Dominion Squad 90 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Seraphim Squad 75 Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Ministorum hand flamer
Factions compared
Season win rate by faction
Faction
Games
Share
Win rate
95% CI
Top-10% ratio
First-turn diff (pp)
Top-10% z
Orks
16,345
6.5%
55.6%
54.8% to 56.3%
1.54x
+4.9
+8.8
Chaos Daemons
9,478
3.8%
54.8%
53.8% to 55.8%
1.20x
+3.0
+2.5
Adeptus Custodes
15,013
6.0%
54.4%
53.6% to 55.2%
1.13x
+1.4
+2.0
Deathwatch
1,715
0.7%
53.7%
51.3% to 56.1%
1.23x
+4.0
+1.3
Dark Angels
11,069
4.4%
53.5%
52.5% to 54.4%
1.34x
+1.7
+4.7
T'au Empire
12,041
4.8%
51.8%
51.0% to 52.7%
1.23x
+1.9
+3.2
Leagues of Votann
8,631
3.5%
51.8%
50.7% to 52.8%
1.21x
+2.8
+2.5
Necrons
15,379
6.2%
51.5%
50.8% to 52.3%
1.05x
+1.3
+0.9
Emperor's Children
10,578
4.2%
51.4%
50.5% to 52.4%
1.03x
+2.4
+0.4
Adeptus Mechanicus
5,802
2.3%
50.6%
49.3% to 51.8%
1.01x
+2.9
+0.1
Thousand Sons
8,243
3.3%
50.3%
49.2% to 51.3%
1.29x
+5.8
+3.3
Adepta Sororitas
5,872
2.3%
50.2%
49.0% to 51.5%
1.07x
+2.0
+0.7
World Eaters
10,560
4.2%
49.9%
49.0% to 50.9%
0.78x
+0.9
-2.8
Tyranids
13,907
5.6%
49.8%
49.0% to 50.7%
0.87x
+1.2
-2.0
Space Wolves
6,520
2.6%
49.1%
47.9% to 50.3%
0.83x
+2.0
-1.9
Imperial Knights
9,758
3.9%
48.6%
47.6% to 49.6%
0.78x
+1.6
-2.8
Space Marines
18,737
7.5%
48.6%
47.8% to 49.3%
1.03x
+1.8
+0.5
Death Guard
10,233
4.1%
48.1%
47.2% to 49.1%
0.70x
+3.4
-3.8
Genestealer Cult
3,617
1.4%
47.5%
45.9% to 49.2%
1.01x
+6.6
+0.1
Grey Knights
6,242
2.5%
47.1%
45.9% to 48.3%
0.75x
-5.0
-2.5
Chaos Space Marines
11,032
4.4%
47.1%
46.1% to 48.0%
0.86x
+2.9
-1.8
Chaos Knights
6,148
2.5%
46.9%
45.7% to 48.2%
0.59x
+1.4
-3.9
Drukhari
5,741
2.3%
46.9%
45.6% to 48.2%
0.92x
-1.3
-0.7
Blood Angels
7,157
2.9%
46.0%
44.8% to 47.2%
0.57x
+2.2
-4.9
Aeldari
7,034
2.8%
45.6%
44.4% to 46.7%
0.71x
+0.9
-3.1
Black Templars
3,737
1.5%
45.3%
43.8% to 46.9%
0.90x
+4.6
-0.8
Imperial Agents
868
0.3%
43.7%
40.5% to 47.0%
0.96x
+2.0
-0.2
Astra Militarum
8,479
3.4%
40.3%
39.3% to 41.3%
0.48x
+3.8
-6.0
Adjusted for player skill
A faction's win rate also reflects who plays it. To separate the two, one model on 130,210
games gives every faction and every player a strength. It then estimates what each faction
wins against the opponents it actually met when both players are average and nobody goes first.
Only 52% of the games have a player who appears in five or more games, so skill is known well
for experienced players and is pulled toward average for the rest. The adjustment still improves
predictions on events the model has not seen, so it carries real information.
The adjustment is modest and widens the gaps. The largest changes are Astra Militarum (3.1
points down), Imperial Agents (2.4 points down) and Orks (1.7 points up), and 6 factions change
place in the ranking. Strong factions move up and weak ones down because their opponents tend
to be stronger players: Swiss pairings match winning players against each other, so a faction
that wins a lot meets better opposition in later rounds. The own-players column shows how much
better or worse than average the faction's own players are, the opponents column the same for
the players they met, both as the win rate against an average player.
Faction
Games
Win rate
Adjusted
95% CI
Change (pp)
Own players (pp)
Opponents (pp)
Rank
Orks
16,268
55.6%
57.3%
56.0% to 58.6%
+1.7
+0.3
+1.3
1 to 1
Chaos Daemons
9,433
54.8%
56.3%
55.1% to 57.6%
+1.6
-0.2
+0.9
2 to 2
Adeptus Custodes
14,924
54.3%
55.8%
54.7% to 56.9%
+1.5
-0.1
+0.8
3 to 3
Deathwatch
1,709
53.8%
54.8%
51.3% to 58.3%
+1.1
+0.5
+1.0
4 to 4
Dark Angels
11,012
53.5%
54.4%
53.0% to 55.8%
+0.9
+0.2
+0.7
5 to 5
T'au Empire
11,987
51.8%
52.7%
51.7% to 53.6%
+0.8
-0.1
+0.5
6 to 6
Leagues of Votann
8,601
51.8%
52.5%
51.1% to 54.0%
+0.7
+0.0
+0.5
7 to 7
Emperor's Children
10,534
51.4%
52.3%
51.1% to 53.4%
+0.9
-0.0
+0.7
9 to 8
Necrons
15,319
51.6%
52.1%
51.0% to 53.2%
+0.5
+0.3
+0.6
8 to 9
Adeptus Mechanicus
5,779
50.6%
50.8%
48.8% to 52.7%
+0.2
-0.1
+0.1
10 to 10
Thousand Sons
8,215
50.3%
50.6%
49.0% to 52.2%
+0.3
+0.2
+0.5
11 to 11
Adepta Sororitas
5,818
50.1%
50.3%
48.9% to 51.6%
+0.2
+0.1
+0.2
12 to 12
World Eaters
10,501
50.0%
49.9%
48.7% to 51.2%
-0.1
-0.3
-0.3
13 to 13
Tyranids
13,852
49.8%
49.7%
48.8% to 50.6%
-0.2
+0.0
-0.1
14 to 14
Space Wolves
6,484
49.1%
48.7%
47.2% to 50.2%
-0.4
-0.0
-0.3
15 to 15
Imperial Knights
9,716
48.6%
48.3%
47.1% to 49.6%
-0.3
-0.4
-0.5
16 to 16
Space Marines
18,650
48.6%
47.9%
46.9% to 48.9%
-0.7
+0.1
-0.4
17 to 17
Death Guard
10,190
48.1%
47.5%
46.3% to 48.6%
-0.7
-0.3
-0.7
18 to 18
Genestealer Cult
3,605
47.5%
46.6%
44.5% to 48.8%
-0.9
-0.1
-0.7
19 to 19
Grey Knights
6,223
47.1%
46.3%
44.8% to 47.8%
-0.8
+0.2
-0.2
20 to 20
Chaos Knights
6,108
46.9%
46.1%
44.8% to 47.4%
-0.8
-0.7
-1.1
22 to 21
Chaos Space Marines
10,990
47.0%
45.9%
44.6% to 47.2%
-1.1
+0.2
-0.6
21 to 22
Drukhari
5,721
46.9%
45.9%
44.3% to 47.4%
-1.0
+0.0
-0.6
23 to 23
Blood Angels
7,134
46.0%
44.4%
43.2% to 45.7%
-1.6
+0.0
-1.2
24 to 24
Black Templars
3,723
45.3%
44.1%
42.0% to 46.2%
-1.2
+0.0
-0.6
26 to 25
Aeldari
7,017
45.5%
44.0%
42.9% to 45.1%
-1.5
-0.2
-1.1
25 to 26
Imperial Agents
860
43.4%
41.1%
36.5% to 45.6%
-2.4
+0.3
-1.2
27 to 27
Astra Militarum
8,457
40.3%
37.2%
35.9% to 38.4%
-3.1
-0.1
-2.3
28 to 28
Results brackets
Results come from 396 individual Strike Force events with at least 5 rounds: 17,113 lists
entered and 14,774 played every round. Players are placed in five bands by the share of their
games won. X is the most wins anyone had in the event, so X, X-1 and X-2 mean the same thing
in a 5-round and a 7-round event: 682 lists won X, 2,127 won X-1 and 4,260 won X-2.
0-20%
20-40%
40-60%
60-80%
80-100%
won 60%+
Orks
59%
Necrons
53%
Adeptus Custodes
52%
Leagues of Votann
51%
Deathwatch
51%
Emperor's Children
50%
Thousand Sons
50%
Dark Angels
50%
Genestealer Cult
50%
Chaos Daemons
49%
T'au Empire
49%
Space Wolves
48%
World Eaters
46%
Adepta Sororitas
46%
Adeptus Mechanicus
46%
Tyranids
45%
Space Marines
44%
Grey Knights
44%
Chaos Space Marines
43%
Drukhari
42%
Imperial Knights
42%
Aeldari
42%
Blood Angels
39%
Death Guard
38%
Black Templars
37%
Chaos Knights
35%
Imperial Agents
34%
Astra Militarum
31%
Players of Orks (59%), Necrons (53%) and Adeptus Custodes (52%) won at least 60% of their
games more often than the field (47%). Players of Astra Militarum (31%), Chaos Knights (35%),
Death Guard (38%) and Blood Angels (39%) did so less often.
Lists at X, X-1 and X-2
Over-represented among the lists at X to X-2, compared with their share of entries: Orks
(1.25 times). Under-represented: Astra Militarum (0.71 times) and Chaos Knights (0.75 times).
Faction
Lists entered
X
X-1
X-2
Share of X to X-2
Share of entries
Ratio
z
Orks
1,094
75
197
294
8.0%
6.4%
1.25x
+5.5
Deathwatch
119
9
15
34
0.8%
0.7%
1.18x
+1.3
Necrons
1,037
52
136
288
6.7%
6.1%
1.11x
+2.4
Chaos Daemons
621
29
74
175
3.9%
3.6%
1.08x
+1.4
Adeptus Custodes
961
40
118
272
6.1%
5.6%
1.08x
+1.7
Emperor's Children
739
30
112
186
4.6%
4.3%
1.07x
+1.3
Thousand Sons
548
21
89
133
3.4%
3.2%
1.07x
+1.1
Leagues of Votann
625
21
97
158
3.9%
3.7%
1.07x
+1.1
T'au Empire
859
40
120
212
5.3%
5.0%
1.05x
+0.9
Dark Angels
775
45
97
193
4.7%
4.5%
1.05x
+0.9
Space Wolves
491
20
58
128
2.9%
2.9%
1.02x
+0.2
World Eaters
733
24
95
188
4.3%
4.3%
1.01x
+0.2
Genestealer Cult
249
12
32
60
1.5%
1.5%
1.01x
+0.1
Adepta Sororitas
393
15
50
99
2.3%
2.3%
1.01x
+0.1
Tyranids
939
28
107
250
5.4%
5.5%
0.99x
-0.2
Adeptus Mechanicus
420
22
61
89
2.4%
2.5%
0.99x
-0.1
Space Marines
1,368
60
176
304
7.6%
8.0%
0.96x
-1.1
Imperial Knights
668
15
67
178
3.7%
3.9%
0.94x
-1.0
Grey Knights
391
11
50
88
2.1%
2.3%
0.92x
-1.0
Aeldari
458
11
40
122
2.4%
2.7%
0.91x
-1.2
Chaos Space Marines
754
33
74
176
4.0%
4.4%
0.91x
-1.6
Drukhari
400
15
40
88
2.0%
2.3%
0.87x
-1.8
Death Guard
681
19
66
156
3.4%
4.0%
0.86x
-2.5
Imperial Agents
65
2
8
13
0.3%
0.4%
0.86x
-0.7
Blood Angels
532
14
47
126
2.6%
3.1%
0.85x
-2.2
Black Templars
264
9
21
61
1.3%
1.5%
0.83x
-1.7
Chaos Knights
376
4
36
77
1.7%
2.2%
0.75x
-3.1
Astra Militarum
553
6
44
112
2.3%
3.2%
0.71x
-4.5
Variety of play
Faction
Effective units
Units in 10%+ lists
Units in 50%+ lists
Datasheets never played
Most played unit
Detachments for 80% of picks
Most played detachment
Multi-detachment lists
Avg list overlap
Orks
39
37
4
0 of 60
Gretchin (95%)
9 of 14
Dread Mob (23%)
57%
23%
Chaos Daemons
41
27
1
0 of 68
Flesh Hounds (56%)
6 of 9
Warptide (42%)
78%
18%
Adeptus Custodes
23
18
7
1 of 36
Allarus Custodians (87%)
3 of 10
Lions of the Emperor (60%)
55%
32%
Deathwatch
42
19
5
0 of 11
Indomitor Kill Team (82%)
1 of 3
Black Spear Task Force (78%)
14%
25%
Dark Angels
47
30
5
0 of 39
Azrael (72%)
7 of 21
Darkflight Pursuit (34%)
67%
23%
T'au Empire
27
27
12
0 of 42
Stealth Battlesuits (92%)
4 of 7
Retaliation Cadre (35%)
40%
37%
Leagues of Votann
19
21
13
0 of 22
Hernkyn Pioneers (89%)
4 of 9
Hearthguard Covenant (60%)
83%
52%
Necrons
35
31
5
0 of 52
Ophydian Destroyers (63%)
5 of 12
Cursed Legion (37%)
55%
25%
Emperor's Children
16
15
9
0 of 23
Infractors (94%)
5 of 10
Coterie of the Conceited (36%)
56%
52%
Adeptus Mechanicus
26
27
11
0 of 34
Skitarii Rangers (91%)
4 of 10
Lords of the Forge (61%)
74%
39%
Thousand Sons
22
20
8
0 of 34
Rubric Marines (84%)
5 of 9
Grand Coven (39%)
33%
35%
Adepta Sororitas
28
30
7
1 of 35
Paragon Warsuits (89%)
5 of 8
Bringers of Flame (34%)
61%
36%
World Eaters
21
21
9
1 of 32
Jakhals (91%)
5 of 8
Berzerker Warband (57%)
56%
40%
Tyranids
34
30
5
0 of 52
Biovores (90%)
6 of 10
Talons of the Norn Queen (36%)
57%
27%
Space Wolves
43
28
5
0 of 23
Logan Grimnar (86%)
4 of 13
Saga of the Great Wolf (53%)
80%
26%
Imperial Knights
22
16
2
0 of 29
Knight Castellan (64%)
4 of 8
Dominus Foebreakers (40%)
50%
23%
Space Marines
72
44
2
1 of 67
Scout Squad (60%)
14 of 37
Librarius Conclave (36%)
63%
13%
Death Guard
26
21
8
1 of 37
Poxwalkers (89%)
6 of 9
Paragons of Putrescence (45%)
61%
34%
Genestealer Cult
25
25
14
1 of 77
Achilles Ridgerunners (97%)
5 of 9
Xenocult Masses (62%)
84%
46%
Grey Knights
19
17
7
0 of 28
Strike Squad (90%)
4 of 9
Argent Assault (50%)
64%
36%
Chaos Space Marines
42
36
3
3 of 60
Cultist Mob (88%)
9 of 17
Cabal of Chaos (26%)
50%
21%
Chaos Knights
18
15
4
0 of 29
War Dog Karnivore (74%)
6 of 8
Hunting Warpack (40%)
70%
27%
Drukhari
21
21
15
0 of 38
Venom (98%)
4 of 8
Exhibition of Slaughter (66%)
85%
58%
Blood Angels
45
31
8
2 of 21
Sanguinary Guard (90%)
8 of 17
Liberator Assault Group (37%)
31%
26%
Aeldari
49
41
3
4 of 80
Rangers (62%)
8 of 14
Armoured Warhost (34%)
64%
19%
Black Templars
44
29
10
1 of 13
Emperor’s Champion (70%)
10 of 19
Marshal's Household (20%)
49%
25%
Imperial Agents
28
25
15
0 of 21
Subductor Squad (89%)
2 of 3
Veiled Blade Elimination Force (79%)
75%
40%
Astra Militarum
50
36
4
3 of 77
Cadian Shock Troops (56%)
6 of 11
Steel Hammer (28%)
63%
18%
Emperor's Children, Chaos Knights, Leagues of Votann, Grey Knights and Drukhari play
from the smallest pool of units (effective unit count 16 to 21), while Space Marines, Astra
Militarum and Aeldari have the widest (72 for the broadest). Across factions the correlation
between effective unit count and win rate is -0.14. The narrowest factions include both strong
and weak ones.
In 10 factions a single detachment is in at least half of all lists: Imperial Agents (Veiled
Blade Elimination Force, 79%), Deathwatch (Black Spear Task Force, 78%), Drukhari (Exhibition
of Slaughter, 66%), Genestealer Cult (Xenocult Masses, 62%), Adeptus Mechanicus (Lords of the
Forge, 61%), Leagues of Votann (Hearthguard Covenant, 60%), Adeptus Custodes (Lions of the
Emperor, 60%), World Eaters (Berzerker Warband, 57%), Space Wolves (Saga of the Great Wolf,
53%) and Grey Knights (Argent Assault, 50%).
19 of 1,140 current datasheets never appeared in a Strike Force list, and 179 more appeared
in under 1% of their faction's lists. The factions with the most unused datasheets: Genestealer
Cult (1 never, 37 rare), Chaos Daemons (0 never, 19 rare), Aeldari (4 never, 12 rare) and Astra
Militarum (3 never, 9 rare).
Method
Data
261,570 player-game rows (130,785 matches) from 3,447 events in Strike Force (2000 pts)
format. Mirror matches count once and draws count 0.5. The data holds 72,283 lists from 28
factions.
Effects
Each game result is compared with a prediction from the two factions' strength and the first-turn
effect. A list's effect is its average result minus that prediction. Item effects (units, detachments,
combinations, enhancements, Force Disposition) are group averages of these list results, with
standard errors clustered by list. Detachment effects are measured against the faction average.
Combination effects include the strength of the detachments in them. Enhancement effects are
measured against other lists with the same detachment. Unit effects are measured against lists
with the same detachment strength and the same number of distinct units. Shrinkage towards
the faction mean is used only to rank noisy items.
An effect is called clear when it is at least 3 standard errors from zero and also passes
a false discovery check. Units, detachments, enhancements and combinations are tested in four
groups (2,582 items in all), and within each group the expected share of false findings among
the clear ones is held at 5%. That check removed 6 items that would otherwise have been called
clear. A single borderline item should still be read with care. Items in fewer than 15 to 40
lists, depending on the table, are left out.
Player track record
Each player's average result at their other events (leave-one-event-out, shrunk towards
zero) is subtracted. About 73% of games have such a history. Players with a single event get
no adjustment.
Parse completeness
The parser reads the unit points of nearly every list: the average sum of parsed unit points
is about 1,990 of 2,000, and 97.5% of lists reach 1,950 or more. Lists with fewer parsed points
have a different win rate by up to about 7 points between the lowest and highest groups, and
results were adjusted for this before items were compared. The list-width table uses only lists
with at least 1,850 parsed points. Pick rates are shares of all lists in the faction. Faction,
matchup and detachment results are not affected (detachment effects correlate 1.00 with the
unadjusted values).
Limits
Results show what happens in tournaments. Players choose what to bring, and those choices
follow skill, preparation and the opponents they expect. Points and rules changed during the
period, and milestones fall close together, so a change after a milestone does not prove a
single cause. Effects are associations. Small factions such as Deathwatch and Imperial Agents
have wide uncertainty throughout, and milestones with fewer than 14 days of data (Codex: Adeptus
Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data) cannot yet be judged.
Results brackets use event standings from individual Strike Force events with at least 5
rounds only, a smaller set than the game-level analysis. Swiss pairing makes players with equal
records meet, which compresses records, and strong players choose strong factions, so brackets
reflect players as well as factions. Lists that did not play every round count as entries for
X to X-2 but not for the win bands. Team events are included in all faction results; teams
choose their own pairings, so the team events block of each faction sets them against its individual
events. The charts in the milestone blocks use plain averages for that window without adjustment
for opponent strength or list completeness. A dot is the win rate and the line is its 95% interval;
a dot is coloured when the whole interval lies above or below the window's own win rate.
How to read the tables
Win rate
A win counts 1 and a draw 0.5. The 95% CI is the interval the true win rate lies in with
95% confidence.
Effect (pp)
The difference in win rate, in percentage points, between lists that include an item
and comparable lists of the same faction, after allowing for opponent strength, the first-turn
effect and the player's track record. The figure after the sign is one standard error.
z
The effect divided by its standard error. Values of 3 or more in either direction are
called clear and coloured: blue for better, orange for worse. Units, detachments, enhancements
and combinations must also pass a false discovery check, so a few colours are left out.
Model expects, Diff (pp), Reading
Model expects is the win rate predicted from both factions' strength and the first-turn
effect. Diff is the gap between the actual win rate and that prediction. Reading is shown
when the interval excludes 50% or the gap to the model is clear after multiple-testing control.
Lists, Pick, In % of lists
The number of lists containing the item and their share of the faction's lists. A list
with two detachments counts for both.
P1 to P4
The share of the faction's lists that include the detachment in each period. The period
dates are given in the Over time table of each faction.
Milestone table
Win rate and share of games in the 28 days before and after the milestone. Changes with
z of 3 or more are coloured.
Effective units
The number of equally common units that would give the same spread of play; higher means
more varied. It can exceed a faction's own datasheet count because lists also contain units
from outside the faction's codex.
Avg list overlap
The average share of units two random lists of the faction have in common.
Results brackets
Win bands place each player by the share of games won (a draw counts half) among players
who played every round. X is the most wins in the event; X, X-1 and X-2 count the lists with
that many wins. Share of tier is the faction's share of the lists in that tier, share of
entries its share of all lists entered, and ratio the first divided by the second.
Top-10% ratio
The faction's share of top-10% finishes divided by its share of entrants.
Pick-rate shifts
Share of the faction's lists that include the item in the first period, the 28 days before
the last 28, and the last 28 days. Only changes of 4 or more standard errors and a sizeable
gap are listed.
Orks
Orks Whole edition Results brackets Units Detachments Combinations Enhancements Pick-rate shifts Matchups Over time Force Disposition Lists Team events Milestones 22 Jul 26 Aug 5 Sep 3 Oct 17 Oct
Whole edition
55.6%win rate, rank 1 of 28 16,345 games 4,849 lists from 2,759 players top-10% finishes 1.54x entry share going first 4.9 points better 57.3% adjusted for player skill
59.5% of its players won at least 60% of their games, against 46.5% of
all players. Orks has the highest win rate of the 28 factions: 55.6% over 16,345 games.
More Dakka! went from 29% to 0% of the faction's lists between the first period and the
last 28 days. Orks supplies 8.0% of the lists that won X to X-2 in their events, against
6.4% of entries.
Results brackets
566 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 75 won
X, 197 won X-1 and 294 won X-2, from 1,094 entries.
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
12%
20-40
26%
40-60
35%
60-80
25%
80-100
line = all factions
Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2
11.0%
X
9.3%
X-1
6.9%
X-2
dashed = share of entries, 6.4%
Tier
Lists
Share of tier
Share of entries
Ratio
z
X
75
11.0%
6.4%
1.72x
+4.9
X-1
197
9.3%
6.4%
1.45x
+5.4
X-2
294
6.9%
6.4%
1.08x
+1.4
X to X-2
566
8.0%
6.4%
1.25x
+5.5
Share of games won
Players
Share of players
All players
0 to 20%
24
2.5%
4.1%
20 to 40%
116
12.2%
17.2%
40 to 60%
244
25.7%
32.2%
60 to 80%
330
34.8%
30.1%
80 to 100%
234
24.7%
16.4%
Units
A typical list contains 11 distinct units. 4 units appear in at least half of all lists
and 37 in at least 10%. The most common is Gretchin (95% of lists). 7 datasheets appeared
in under 1% of lists: Blitza-bommer, Burna-bommer, Dakkajet, Grot Tanks, Kaptin Badrukk,
Kill Tank, Warboss on Warbike.
Of 56 units in 40 or more lists, 11 have a clear effect on results (3 positive, 8 negative).
Best: Mozrog Skragbad (4.3 points above comparable lists, 21% of lists), Beastboss on Squigosaur
(3.9 points above comparable lists, 17% of lists) and Wazdakka Gutsmek (2.6 points above
comparable lists, 43% of lists). Weakest: Morkanaut (14.1 points below comparable lists,
3% of lists), Gorkanaut (11.1 points below comparable lists, 5% of lists), Stompa (11.0
points below comparable lists, 7% of lists) and Burna Boyz (10.9 points below comparable
lists, 1% of lists). Killa Kans is in at least 15% of lists but has a win rate below it.
Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-20
-10
0
+10
+20
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Dakkajet
Morkanaut
Stompa
Burna Boyz
Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-2
0
+2
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Freebooter Krew
Dread Mob
Most played units
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Gretchin
4,582
94.5%
-0.1 ± 0.4
-0.2
Warboss
2,762
57.0%
-0.6 ± 0.5
-1.3
Boyz
2,718
56.1%
-0.6 ± 0.5
-1.2
Ghazghkull Thraka
2,654
54.7%
+0.9 ± 0.5
+1.8
Big Mek Dakkarig
2,409
49.7%
-0.5 ± 0.5
-1.0
Trukk
2,210
45.6%
+0.5 ± 0.5
+0.9
Wazdakka Gutsmek
2,091
43.1%
+2.6 ± 0.5
+5.0
Tankbustas
1,882
38.8%
-0.5 ± 0.5
-0.9
Flash Gitz
1,875
38.7%
+1.2 ± 0.6
+2.2
Painboy
1,835
37.8%
+0.7 ± 0.6
+1.3
Kommandos
1,684
34.7%
-0.4 ± 0.6
-0.7
Big Mek With Shokk Attack Gun
1,660
34.2%
+0.3 ± 0.6
+0.6
Other units with a clear effect
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Mozrog Skragbad
1,033
21.3%
+4.3 ± 0.8
+5.7
Beastboss on Squigosaur
822
17.0%
+3.9 ± 0.8
+4.8
Killa Kans
825
17.0%
-3.2 ± 0.9
-3.6
Weirdboy
609
12.6%
-4.9 ± 1.1
-4.3
Mek Gunz
198
4.1%
-6.0 ± 1.9
-3.2
Deff Dread
508
10.5%
-6.1 ± 1.2
-5.2
Burna Boyz
61
1.3%
-10.9 ± 3.5
-3.1
Stompa
335
6.9%
-11.0 ± 1.5
-7.2
Gorkanaut
266
5.5%
-11.1 ± 1.8
-6.2
Morkanaut
126
2.6%
-14.1 ± 2.5
-5.7
Detachments
14 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 9 of them account for 80% of picks. The most
played is Dread Mob (23% of lists), and 57% of lists run more than one detachment. 2 detachments
differ from the faction average. Best: Freebooter Krew (3.3 points above the faction average,
15% of lists). Weakest: Dread Mob (2.5 points below the faction average, 23% of lists).
Detachment
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
P1
P2
P3
P4
Dread Mob
1,132
23%
-2.5 ± 0.8
-3.3
11%
9%
35%
31%
Bully Boyz
800
16%
-1.6 ± 0.9
-1.8
7%
5%
17%
35%
Green Tide
796
16%
-2.0 ± 1.0
-2.1
18%
9%
16%
23%
Freebooter Krew
713
15%
+3.3 ± 0.9
+3.7
18%
37%
7%
0%
More Dakka!
709
15%
+0.8 ± 1.0
+0.9
29%
31%
6%
0%
War Horde
703
14%
+1.3 ± 0.9
+1.4
25%
21%
10%
6%
Blitz Brigade
580
12%
+1.2 ± 1.0
+1.2
1%
0%
18%
24%
Kult of Speed
472
10%
-0.5 ± 1.1
-0.5
4%
6%
13%
14%
Da Big Hunt
454
9%
+1.3 ± 1.2
+1.1
5%
6%
11%
15%
Taktikal Brigade
439
9%
+0.2 ± 1.3
+0.1
27%
6%
5%
5%
Equatorial Hordes
411
8%
+2.4 ± 1.3
+1.9
1%
26%
6%
0%
Rollin' Deff
173
4%
-1.3 ± 1.8
-0.7
9%
6%
1%
0%
Speedwaaagh!
55
1%
-1.5 ± 3.4
-0.4
3%
2%
0%
0%
Runt Swarm, Shoota Boyz and Wreckas
17
0%
-2.3 ± 5.4
-0.4
0%
0%
1%
0%
Combinations
34 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common
is Freebooter Krew + More Dakka! (332 lists, 7%). Best: Green Tide + Taktikal Brigade (12.4
points above the faction average). Weakest: Dread Mob + Taktikal Brigade (18.1 points below
the faction average).
Combination
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Freebooter Krew + More Dakka!
332
7%
+6.3 ± 1.4
+4.4
Equatorial Hordes + Freebooter Krew
274
6%
+5.7 ± 1.8
+3.3
Green Tide + Taktikal Brigade
182
4%
+12.4 ± 2.1
+6.0
Dread Mob + More Dakka!
169
3%
-6.4 ± 2.4
-2.6
Bully Boyz + Dread Mob
164
3%
+0.7 ± 2.0
+0.3
Blitz Brigade + Dread Mob
152
3%
+1.9 ± 2.2
+0.8
Bully Boyz + Green Tide
92
2%
-7.3 ± 3.0
-2.4
Blitz Brigade + Bully Boyz
91
2%
-0.8 ± 2.5
-0.3
Dread Mob + Green Tide
61
1%
-15.8 ± 3.7
-4.2
Dread Mob + Taktikal Brigade
47
1%
-18.1 ± 4.6
-3.9
Enhancements
50 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Dreadherder (13% of lists).
3 enhancements differ from the other enhancements in their detachment: Press It Fasta!
(22.7 points below the rest), Competitive Streak (11.4 points below the rest) and Bloodthirsty
Belligerence (7.0 points above the rest).
Enhancement
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Dreadherder
610
13%
+0.9 ± 1.0
+0.9
Supa-snazz Dakka
504
10%
+0.6 ± 1.1
+0.6
Dead Shiny Shootas
498
10%
+0.0 ± 1.1
+0.0
Follow Me Ladz
479
10%
+1.5 ± 1.1
+1.4
Targetin' Gizmos
422
9%
-0.1 ± 1.1
-0.1
Git-Spotter Squig
375
8%
+0.5 ± 1.2
+0.5
Bionik Workshop
272
6%
+2.2 ± 1.4
+1.6
Kaptin's Hat
254
5%
-1.5 ± 1.6
-0.9
Bloodthirsty Belligerence
184
4%
+7.0 ± 1.7
+4.0
Competitive Streak
50
1%
-11.4 ± 3.2
-3.6
Press It Fasta!
25
1%
-22.7 ± 5.2
-4.4
Pick-rate shifts
Type
Name
First period
Prior 28 days
Last 28 days
Change vs first period (pp)
Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Unit
Boyz
79%
38%
34%
-45
-4
Unit
Nazdreg
0%
24%
43%
+43
+19
Unit
Painboy
56%
18%
16%
-41
-3
Unit
Wazdakka Gutsmek
55%
28%
24%
-32
-5
Unit
Stormboyz
47%
17%
15%
-31
-1
Detachment
More Dakka!
29%
3%
0%
-29
-3
Unit
Meganobz
21%
33%
48%
+27
+15
Detachment
Bully Boyz
7%
19%
34%
+27
+15
Detachment
Blitz Brigade
1%
20%
24%
+23
+4
Detachment
Taktikal Brigade
27%
5%
5%
-22
+0
Unit
Kommandos
46%
29%
24%
-22
-6
Unit
Lootas
22%
3%
0%
-22
-3
Matchups
Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Astra Militarum (60.6% over
569 games) and the worst is Adeptus Mechanicus (52.1% over 390).
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Imperial Agents
66
65.2%
53.1% to 75.5%
61.5%
+3.7
favourable
Astra Militarum
569
60.6%
56.6% to 64.6%
64.5%
-3.8
favourable
Chaos Knights
404
60.3%
55.4% to 64.9%
58.3%
+1.9
favourable
Blood Angels
475
58.6%
54.2% to 63.0%
59.2%
-0.6
favourable
Drukhari
389
58.5%
53.5% to 63.3%
58.3%
+0.2
favourable
Genestealer Cult
239
58.2%
51.8% to 64.2%
57.7%
+0.5
favourable
Adepta Sororitas
415
57.7%
52.9% to 62.4%
55.0%
+2.7
favourable
Imperial Knights
632
57.3%
53.4% to 61.1%
56.7%
+0.6
favourable
Death Guard
706
57.1%
53.4% to 60.7%
57.1%
+0.0
favourable
World Eaters
725
56.8%
53.2% to 60.4%
55.4%
+1.5
favourable
Chaos Space Marines
800
56.6%
53.2% to 60.0%
58.1%
-1.4
favourable
Thousand Sons
574
56.6%
52.5% to 60.6%
54.9%
+1.7
favourable
Grey Knights
400
56.4%
51.5% to 61.2%
58.1%
-1.7
favourable
Necrons
1,103
56.3%
53.3% to 59.2%
53.8%
+2.4
favourable
Space Wolves
442
55.9%
51.2% to 60.4%
56.2%
-0.3
favourable
Space Marines
1,356
55.4%
52.7% to 58.0%
56.6%
-1.2
favourable
Aeldari
475
55.4%
50.9% to 59.8%
59.6%
-4.2
favourable
Tyranids
971
55.1%
52.0% to 58.2%
55.4%
-0.3
favourable
Emperor's Children
721
54.6%
51.0% to 58.2%
53.9%
+0.7
favourable
T'au Empire
809
53.1%
49.6% to 56.5%
53.5%
-0.4
Chaos Daemons
685
52.6%
48.8% to 56.3%
50.6%
+2.0
Adeptus Custodes
1,121
52.4%
49.4% to 55.3%
51.1%
+1.3
Dark Angels
861
52.3%
49.0% to 55.6%
51.9%
+0.4
Adeptus Mechanicus
390
52.1%
47.1% to 57.0%
54.7%
-2.7
All 27 matchups: 3 more rows
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Deathwatch
108
56.0%
46.6% to 65.0%
51.5%
+4.5
Black Templars
251
53.6%
47.4% to 59.7%
59.9%
-6.3
Leagues of Votann
658
53.2%
49.4% to 57.0%
53.5%
-0.3
Over time
Its share of lists went from 5.7% to 7.5%.
Share of games per week (%)
4
6
8
7.5
3.5
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval
50
60
53.0
48.0
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Period
Lists
Share of all lists
Games
Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul
890
5.7%
2,878
57.0%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug
1,157
6.3%
3,938
56.6%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct
1,667
7.2%
5,827
55.5%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct
1,135
7.5%
3,702
53.5%
Around each milestone, 28 days before and after
Milestone
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul)
2,596 / 3,155
57.9% to 57.0%
-0.9
-0.7
5.8% to 6.2%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug)
2,997 / 3,897
56.5% to 55.5%
-1.0
-0.8
6.1% to 6.6%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep)
3,187 / 4,825
56.3% to 55.9%
-0.3
-0.3
5.8% to 7.4%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct)
4,825 / 3,702
55.9% to 53.5%
-2.4
-2.2
7.4% to 7.4%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data
4,613 / 1,988
55.4% to 52.4%
-3.0
-2.3
7.8% to 7.4%
Force Disposition
Force Disposition table
Disposition
Share of games
Games
Win rate
Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Take and Hold
45%
6,644
57.4%
+1.9 ± 0.7
Purge the Foe
26%
3,775
53.7%
-2.0 ± 0.9
Priority Assets
16%
2,334
54.4%
-1.1 ± 1.1
Disruption
7%
1,067
52.2%
-3.4 ± 1.8
Reconnaissance
6%
935
56.8%
+1.1 ± 1.8
Each extra 2.8 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 2.3 points
lower; the average list has 11.4. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength
model, milestone moves, Force Disposition and terrain layout.
Representative lists
Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists
are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events
with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties,
and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.
Green Tide + Taktikal Brigade 1,990 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 8-0 · 530 players · 8 rounds · 17 Jul
Won an event of 100+ players
130 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Wazdakka Gutsmek 175 Fixit’s wrench, Grabba dragga, Psyko‑gatler, Speeding bulk and flaming exhaust
Battleline
Boyz 150 Choppa, Slugga, Power klaw
Boyz 150 Choppa, Slugga, Power klaw
Boyz 150 Choppa, Slugga, Power klaw
Boyz 150 Choppa, Slugga, Power klaw
Boyz 150 Choppa, Slugga, Power klaw
Other Units
Ghazghkull Thraka 235 Gork’s Klaw, Mork’s Roar, Makari’s stabba
Kommandos 120 Bomb Squig, Distraction Grot, Breacha ram, Burna, Choppa, Close combat weapon, Slugga, Power klaw
Painboy 80 Grot Orderly, Power klaw, ’Urty syringe
Painboy 80 Grot Orderly, Power klaw, ’Urty syringe
Painboy 80 Grot Orderly, Power klaw, ’Urty syringe
Warboss 75 Attack squig, Kombi-weapon, Power klaw, Twin sluggas
Bigboss + Bloodthirsty Belligerence 75 Slugga, Two‑handed big choppa
Warboss 75 Attack squig, Kombi-weapon, Power klaw, Twin sluggas
Bigboss + Bloodthirsty Belligerence 70 Slugga, Two‑handed big choppa
Bigboss + Bloodthirsty Belligerence 65 Slugga, Two‑handed big choppa
Stormboyz 65 Choppa, Slugga, Power klaw
Gretchin 45 Close combat weapon, Grot blasta, Runtherd tools, Slugga
War Horde 1,995 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 8-0 · 198 players · 8 rounds · 28 Aug
Won an event of 100+ players
41 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Wazdakka Gutsmek 175 Fixit’s wrench, Grabba dragga, Psyko‑gatler, Speeding bulk and flaming exhaust
Battleline
Boyz 160 Boy, Shoota, Slugga, Boss Nob
Other Units
Squighog Boyz 270 Bomb Squig, Squighog Boy, Squig jaws, Stikka, Nob on Smasha Squig, Slugga
Squighog Boyz 270 Bomb Squig, Squighog Boy, Squig jaws, Stikka, Nob on Smasha Squig, Slugga
Ghazghkull Thraka 235 Ghazghkull Thraka, Mork’s Roar, Makari, Makari’s stabba
Squighog Boyz 140 Bomb Squig, Squighog Boy, Squig jaws, Stikka, Nob on Smasha Squig, Slugga
Mozrog Skragbad 125 Big Chompa’s jaws, Gutrippa, Thump gun
Painboy + Follow Me Ladz 115 Grot Orderly, Power klaw, ’Urty syringe
Big Mek Dakkarig 115 Blitzkannon, Rokkit launcha, Stompy feet
Beastboss on Squigosaur + Kunnin' but Brutal 110 Beastchoppa, Slugga, Squigosaur’s jaws, Thump gun
Beastboss on Squigosaur + Kunnin' but Brutal 95 Beastchoppa, Slugga, Squigosaur’s jaws, Thump gun
Lootas 50 Spanner, Kustom mega-blasta, Loota, Deffgun
Gretchin 45 Gretchin, Grot blasta, Runtherd, Slugga
Gretchin 45 Gretchin, Grot blasta, Runtherd, Slugga
Gretchin 45 Gretchin, Grot blasta, Runtherd, Slugga
Team events
58.0%win rate in team events 3,168 games 794 lists from 690 players +3.0 points against individual events going first 4.1 points better
Orks won 58.0% of 3,168 team event games, against 55.0% of 13,177 in individual events:
3.0 points higher (clear). It makes up 6.7% of team event games and 6.5% of individual
event games.
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
38%
Purge the Foe
24%
Priority Assets
15%
Disruption
14%
Reconnaissance
10%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments
share
win rate
Dread Mob
25%
Blitz Brigade
17%
Green Tide
16%
Bully Boyz
15%
Freebooter Krew
13%
War Horde
11%
Kult of Speed
10%
More Dakka!
10%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups
win rate against
Grey Knights
Chaos Knights
Adepta Sororitas
Drukhari
Space Marines
Adeptus Mechanicus
Leagues of Votann
Adeptus Custodes
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events.
Dashed: team events win rate.
Milestones
5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after,
with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.
July balance & rules update (22 July)
57.0%win rate, rank 2 of 28 3,155 games 914 lists from 786 players X to X-2 finishes 1.39x entry share going first 8.2 points better
Orks won 57.9% of 2,596 games in the 28 days before and 57.0% of 3,155 in the 28 days
after. Its share of games went from 5.8% to 6.2%.
4 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Equatorial Hordes
(1% to 24%), Taktikal Brigade (29% to 7%) and Freebooter Krew (19% to 35%).
5 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Bigboss (33% to 18%), Stormboyz
(46% to 33%) and Wazdakka Gutsmek (56% to 68%).
5 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Kunnin' Hunta
(0% to 11%), Git-Spotter Squig (10% to 20%) and Bloodthirsty Belligerence (14% to 6%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
10%
20-40
22%
40-60
36%
60-80
28%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
64%
Disruption
12%
Priority Assets
11%
Purge the Foe
9%
Reconnaissance
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Freebooter Krew
35%
More Dakka!
31%
Equatorial Hordes
24%
War Horde
21%
Dread Mob
9%
Green Tide
9%
Taktikal Brigade
7%
Rollin' Deff
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Gretchin
97%
Boyz
80%
Ghazghkull Thraka
69%
Wazdakka Gutsmek
68%
Painboy
65%
Warboss
53%
Trukk
51%
Big Mek Dakkarig
45%
Kommandos
43%
Beast Snagga Boyz
39%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Genestealer Cult
Adepta Sororitas
Chaos Knights
Imperial Knights
Blood Angels
Space Marines
Chaos Daemons
Dark Angels
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Equatorial Hordes
1%
24%
+24
+14.4
Detachment
Taktikal Brigade
29%
7%
-22
-11.9
Detachment
Freebooter Krew
19%
35%
+16
+7.5
Unit
Bigboss
33%
18%
-15
-7.0
Unit
Stormboyz
46%
33%
-12
-5.2
Unit
Wazdakka Gutsmek
56%
68%
+11
+4.8
Enhancement
Kunnin' Hunta
0%
11%
+11
+9.4
Detachment
Green Tide
20%
9%
-11
-6.4
All 14 shifts: 6 more rows
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Weirdboy
25%
15%
-10
-5.3
Unit
Flash Gitz
29%
39%
+10
+4.3
Enhancement
Git-Spotter Squig
10%
20%
+10
+5.5
Enhancement
Bloodthirsty Belligerence
14%
6%
-8
-5.8
Enhancement
Dead Shiny Shootas
17%
25%
+8
+4.2
Enhancement
Bionik Workshop
6%
14%
+8
+5.4
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
War Horde 1,995 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 6-0 · 135 players · 6 rounds · 8 Aug
Won an event of 100+ players
21 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Wazdakka Gutsmek 175 Fixit’s wrench, Grabba dragga, Psyko‑gatler, Speeding bulk and flaming exhaust
Battleline
Boyz 160 Choppa, Slugga, Power klaw
Other Units
Squighog Boyz 270 Bomb Squig, Saddlegit weapons, Squig jaws, Stikka, Big choppa, Slugga
Squighog Boyz 270 Bomb Squig, Saddlegit weapons, Squig jaws, Stikka, Big choppa, Slugga
Ghazghkull Thraka 235 Gork’s Klaw, Mork’s Roar, Makari’s stabba
Squighog Boyz 140 Bomb Squig, Saddlegit weapons, Squig jaws, Stikka, Big choppa, Slugga
Mozrog Skragbad 125 Big Chompa’s jaws, Gutrippa, Thump gun
Painboy + Follow Me Ladz 115 Power klaw, ’Urty syringe
Big Mek Dakkarig 115 Blitzkannon, Rokkit launcha, Stompy feet
Beastboss on Squigosaur + Kunnin' but Brutal 110 Beastchoppa, Slugga, Squigosaur’s jaws
Beastboss on Squigosaur + Kunnin' but Brutal 95 Beastchoppa, Slugga, Squigosaur’s jaws
Lootas 50 Close combat weapon, Kustom mega-blasta, Deffgun
Gretchin 45 Close combat weapon, Grot blasta, Runtherd tools, Slugga
Gretchin 45 Close combat weapon, Grot blasta, Runtherd tools, Slugga
Gretchin 45 Close combat weapon, Grot blasta, Runtherd tools, Slugga
Equatorial Hordes + Freebooter Krew 1,995 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 6-0 · 81 players · 6 rounds · 1 Aug
28 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Wazdakka Gutsmek 175 Fixit’s wrench, Grabba dragga, Psyko‑gatler, Speeding bulk and flaming exhaust
Battleline
Boyz 160 Choppa, Slugga, Power klaw
Boyz 160 Choppa, Slugga, Power klaw
Boyz 160 Choppa, Slugga, Power klaw
Dedicated Transports
Trukk 55 Big shoota, Spiked wheels
Other Units
Ghazghkull Thraka 235 Gork’s Klaw, Mork’s Roar, Makari’s stabba
Flash Gitz 150 Ammo Runt, Choppa, Snazzgun
Kommandos 120 Distraction Grot, Breacha ram, Choppa, Slugga, Power klaw
Warboss + Kunnin' Hunta 110 Attack squig, Kustom Choppa, Kustom shoota
Painboy + Bionik Workshop 105 Grot Orderly, Power klaw, ’Urty syringe
Painboy + Bionik Workshop 90 Grot Orderly, Power klaw, ’Urty syringe
Painboy + Bionik Workshop 90 Grot Orderly, Power klaw, ’Urty syringe
Gretchin 90 Close combat weapon, Grot blasta, Runtherd tools, Slugga
Zodgrod Wortsnagga 80 Da Grabzappa, Squigstoppa
Bannernob + Git-Spotter Squig 70 Choppa, Shoota
Bigboss 55 Slugga, Two‑handed big choppa
Gretchin 45 Close combat weapon, Grot blasta, Runtherd tools, Slugga
Gretchin 45 Close combat weapon, Grot blasta, Runtherd tools, Slugga
August balance & rules update (26 August)
53.4%win rate, rank 6 of 27 1,002 games 264 lists from 258 players X to X-2 finishes 1.35x entry share going first 2.1 points better
Orks won 56.5% of 2,997 games in the 28 days before and 55.5% of 3,897 in the 28 days
after. Its share of games went from 6.1% to 6.6%.
7 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Freebooter Krew (39%
to 11%), Dread Mob (8% to 32%) and Equatorial Hordes (30% to 9%).
27 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Painboy (67% to 30%), Wazdakka
Gutsmek (70% to 36%) and Boyz (80% to 48%).
8 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Dreadherder (0% to
21%), Supa-snazz Dakka (0% to 17%) and Dead Shiny Shootas (24% to 7%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
4%
0-20
24%
20-40
17%
40-60
31%
60-80
24%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
61%
Priority Assets
13%
Disruption
12%
Purge the Foe
10%
Reconnaissance
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Freebooter Krew
30%
War Horde
28%
More Dakka!
27%
Equatorial Hordes
25%
Dread Mob
12%
Rollin' Deff
7%
Taktikal Brigade
6%
Da Big Hunt
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Gretchin
96%
Boyz
75%
Ghazghkull Thraka
69%
Wazdakka Gutsmek
63%
Painboy
63%
Big Mek Dakkarig
49%
Warboss
48%
Trukk
45%
Kommandos
44%
Squighog Boyz
36%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
T'au Empire
Thousand Sons
Space Marines
Leagues of Votann
World Eaters
Adeptus Custodes
Tyranids
Dark Angels
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Painboy
67%
30%
-37
-16.5
Unit
Wazdakka Gutsmek
70%
36%
-34
-14.9
Unit
Boyz
80%
48%
-32
-14.8
Detachment
Freebooter Krew
39%
11%
-29
-15.0
Unit
Ghazghkull Thraka
71%
46%
-25
-11.0
Detachment
Dread Mob
8%
32%
+24
+12.7
Detachment
Equatorial Hordes
30%
9%
-21
-12.1
Enhancement
Dreadherder
0%
21%
+21
+14.3
All 42 shifts: 34 more rows
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Zodgrod Wortsnagga
34%
15%
-20
-10.4
Detachment
More Dakka!
28%
9%
-20
-11.4
Unit
Bannernob
28%
8%
-19
-11.4
Unit
Nazdreg
0%
18%
+18
+13.0
Enhancement
Supa-snazz Dakka
0%
17%
+17
+12.9
Unit
Killa Kans
5%
22%
+17
+10.8
Enhancement
Dead Shiny Shootas
24%
7%
-17
-11.0
Unit
Tankbustas
28%
45%
+17
+7.7
Enhancement
Git-Spotter Squig
21%
5%
-17
-11.3
Unit
Squighog Boyz
34%
18%
-16
-8.4
Unit
Lootas
24%
8%
-16
-10.1
Detachment
Blitz Brigade
0%
15%
+15
+11.8
Unit
Deffkoptas
13%
28%
+15
+8.0
Unit
Big Mek
5%
19%
+14
+8.9
Unit
Beast Snagga Boyz
36%
23%
-13
-6.4
Unit
Meganobz
15%
27%
+13
+6.7
Unit
Boss Snikrot
36%
24%
-12
-6.1
Unit
Big Mek Dakkarig
46%
58%
+12
+5.4
Enhancement
Bionik Workshop
16%
4%
-12
-9.3
Unit
Kommandos
44%
33%
-11
-5.1
Unit
Mek
14%
25%
+11
+5.9
Unit
Big Mek With Shokk Attack Gun
30%
41%
+11
+4.9
Enhancement
Targetin' Gizmos
0%
11%
+11
+9.6
Enhancement
Kunnin' Hunta
14%
4%
-10
-8.0
Unit
Mozrog Skragbad
29%
19%
-10
-5.1
Unit
Beastboss
34%
24%
-10
-4.8
Unit
Bigboss
18%
9%
-9
-6.3
Unit
Deff Dread
6%
15%
+9
+6.6
Unit
Stormboyz
30%
21%
-9
-4.7
Detachment
War Horde
21%
12%
-9
-5.4
Detachment
Bully Boyz
5%
14%
+9
+6.5
Unit
Runtherd
0%
9%
+9
+8.9
Enhancement
Follow Me Ladz
16%
8%
-8
-5.8
Unit
Battlewagon
14%
22%
+8
+4.7
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
War Horde 1,995 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 8-0 · 198 players · 8 rounds · 28 Aug
Won an event of 100+ players
11 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Wazdakka Gutsmek 175 Fixit’s wrench, Grabba dragga, Psyko‑gatler, Speeding bulk and flaming exhaust
Battleline
Boyz 160 Boy, Shoota, Slugga, Boss Nob
Other Units
Squighog Boyz 270 Bomb Squig, Squighog Boy, Squig jaws, Stikka, Nob on Smasha Squig, Slugga
Squighog Boyz 270 Bomb Squig, Squighog Boy, Squig jaws, Stikka, Nob on Smasha Squig, Slugga
Ghazghkull Thraka 235 Ghazghkull Thraka, Mork’s Roar, Makari, Makari’s stabba
Squighog Boyz 140 Bomb Squig, Squighog Boy, Squig jaws, Stikka, Nob on Smasha Squig, Slugga
Mozrog Skragbad 125 Big Chompa’s jaws, Gutrippa, Thump gun
Painboy + Follow Me Ladz 115 Grot Orderly, Power klaw, ’Urty syringe
Big Mek Dakkarig 115 Blitzkannon, Rokkit launcha, Stompy feet
Beastboss on Squigosaur + Kunnin' but Brutal 110 Beastchoppa, Slugga, Squigosaur’s jaws, Thump gun
Beastboss on Squigosaur + Kunnin' but Brutal 95 Beastchoppa, Slugga, Squigosaur’s jaws, Thump gun
Lootas 50 Spanner, Kustom mega-blasta, Loota, Deffgun
Gretchin 45 Gretchin, Grot blasta, Runtherd, Slugga
Gretchin 45 Gretchin, Grot blasta, Runtherd, Slugga
Gretchin 45 Gretchin, Grot blasta, Runtherd, Slugga
Freebooter Krew + More Dakka! 1,985 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 32 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
11 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Wazdakka Gutsmek 175 Fixit’s wrench, Grabba dragga, Psyko‑gatler, Speeding bulk and flaming exhaust
Battleline
Boyz 160 Choppa, Close combat weapon, Rokkit launcha, Slugga, Power klaw
Other Units
Squighog Boyz 270 Bomb Squig, Saddlegit weapons, Squig jaws, Stikka, Big choppa, Slugga
Squighog Boyz 270 Bomb Squig, Saddlegit weapons, Squig jaws, Stikka, Big choppa, Slugga
Ghazghkull Thraka 235 Gork’s Klaw, Mork’s Roar, Makari’s stabba
Mozrog Skragbad 125 Big Chompa’s jaws, Gutrippa, Thump gun
Lootas + Dead Shiny Shootas 115 Close combat weapon, Rokkit launcha, Deffgun
Lootas + Dead Shiny Shootas 115 Close combat weapon, Rokkit launcha, Deffgun
Big Mek Dakkarig 115 Blitzkannon, Rokkit launcha, Stompy feet
Painboy + Bionik Workshop 105 Grot Orderly, Power klaw, ’Urty syringe
Beastboss on Squigosaur + Da Kaptin 105 Beastchoppa, Slugga, Squigosaur’s jaws
Big Mek With Shokk Attack Gun 80
Big Mek With Shokk Attack Gun 70
Gretchin 45 Close combat weapon, Grot blasta, Runtherd tools, Slugga
Orks codex (5 September)
55.9%win rate, rank 3 of 28 4,825 games 1,403 lists from 1,188 players X to X-2 finishes 1.17x entry share going first 6.5 points better
Orks's codex arrived on this date.
Orks won 56.3% of 3,187 games in the 28 days before and 55.9% of 4,825 in the 28 days
after. Its share of games went from 5.8% to 7.4%.
9 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Freebooter Krew (38%
to 3%), Dread Mob (9% to 39%) and Equatorial Hordes (29% to 3%).
29 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Painboy (67% to 18%), Boyz
(79% to 37%) and Wazdakka Gutsmek (69% to 28%).
12 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Dreadherder (0%
to 29%), Supa-snazz Dakka (0% to 25%) and Dead Shiny Shootas (22% to 2%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
2%
0-20
10%
20-40
33%
40-60
34%
60-80
21%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
33%
Take and Hold
33%
Priority Assets
21%
Reconnaissance
8%
Disruption
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Dread Mob
39%
Blitz Brigade
22%
Bully Boyz
19%
Green Tide
19%
Kult of Speed
14%
Da Big Hunt
12%
War Horde
7%
Taktikal Brigade
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Gretchin
94%
Big Mek Dakkarig
63%
Warboss
60%
Tankbustas
54%
Flash Gitz
51%
Trukk
47%
Big Mek With Shokk
Attack Gun
45%
Ghazghkull Thraka
38%
Boyz
37%
Meganobz
34%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Blood Angels
Drukhari
Space Marines
Grey Knights
T'au Empire
Adeptus Mechanicus
Genestealer Cult
Adepta Sororitas
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Painboy
67%
18%
-50
-24.2
Unit
Boyz
79%
37%
-42
-19.8
Unit
Wazdakka Gutsmek
69%
28%
-41
-19.3
Detachment
Freebooter Krew
38%
3%
-34
-21.6
Unit
Ghazghkull Thraka
71%
38%
-33
-15.5
Detachment
Dread Mob
9%
39%
+30
+15.6
Enhancement
Dreadherder
0%
29%
+29
+17.8
Unit
Zodgrod Wortsnagga
35%
8%
-28
-16.6
All 50 shifts: 42 more rows
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Equatorial Hordes
29%
3%
-26
-18.4
Detachment
More Dakka!
28%
2%
-25
-18.2
Unit
Nazdreg
0%
25%
+25
+16.5
Unit
Tankbustas
28%
54%
+25
+12.0
Enhancement
Supa-snazz Dakka
0%
25%
+25
+16.2
Unit
Squighog Boyz
34%
11%
-23
-13.6
Unit
Killa Kans
6%
28%
+23
+13.5
Unit
Bannernob
25%
4%
-21
-15.4
Detachment
Blitz Brigade
0%
22%
+21
+14.7
Unit
Lootas
23%
2%
-21
-16.2
Enhancement
Dead Shiny Shootas
22%
2%
-20
-16.0
Unit
Meganobz
15%
34%
+19
+10.0
Enhancement
Git-Spotter Squig
19%
1%
-18
-15.0
Unit
Deffkoptas
14%
31%
+17
+9.0
Unit
Big Mek
6%
22%
+16
+10.5
Unit
Kommandos
44%
28%
-16
-7.9
Unit
Big Mek Dakkarig
47%
63%
+16
+7.5
Enhancement
Targetin' Gizmos
0%
16%
+16
+12.4
Unit
Boss Snikrot
35%
19%
-16
-8.4
Unit
Big Mek With Shokk Attack Gun
30%
45%
+15
+7.3
Detachment
War Horde
22%
7%
-15
-10.5
Enhancement
Bionik Workshop
16%
1%
-15
-13.8
Unit
Beast Snagga Boyz
34%
20%
-15
-8.1
Unit
Battlewagon
13%
28%
+15
+8.2
Unit
Mek
16%
30%
+14
+7.8
Unit
Flash Gitz
37%
51%
+14
+6.5
Detachment
Bully Boyz
6%
19%
+14
+9.4
Unit
Stormboyz
30%
16%
-14
-7.9
Enhancement
Follow Me Ladz
17%
4%
-14
-11.1
Unit
Mozrog Skragbad
29%
16%
-13
-7.3
Unit
Beastboss
33%
21%
-13
-6.8
Enhancement
Kunnin' Hunta
13%
1%
-12
-12.2
Detachment
Green Tide
7%
19%
+12
+8.0
Unit
Runtherd
0%
11%
+11
+10.6
Unit
Beastboss on Squigosaur
24%
13%
-11
-6.9
Enhancement
Kaptin's Hat
0%
11%
+11
+10.3
Enhancement
Cybork Boosta
0%
9%
+9
+9.5
Enhancement
Da Kaptin
10%
1%
-9
-10.4
Unit
Deff Dread
6%
15%
+9
+6.8
Unit
Gunwagon
0%
8%
+8
+8.9
Detachment
Kult of Speed
6%
14%
+8
+6.2
Enhancement
Kunnin' but Brutal
9%
1%
-8
-10.0
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
War Horde 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 82 players · 5 rounds · 12 Sep
5 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Ghazghkull Thraka 300 Adamantine ’Eadbutt, Gork’s Klaw, Mork’s Roar
Wazdakka Gutsmek 200 Fixit’s Wrench, Grabba Dragga, Psyko-gatler, Speeding Bulk and Flaming Exhaust
Mozrog Skragbad 170 Big Chompa’s Jaws, Gutrippa, Thump Gun
Big Mek Dakkarig 135 Blitzkannon, Multi-busta Launcha, Stompy Feet
Big Mek Dakkarig 135 Blitzkannon, Multi-busta Launcha, Stompy Feet
Big Mek With Shokk Attack Gun 95
Other Units
Flash Gitz 210 Choppa, Snazzgun
Meganobz 185 Kombi-weapon, Power Klaw
Meganobz 185 Kombi-weapon, Power Klaw
Battlewagon 150 Crushin’ Bulk, Grabbin’ Klaw, Wreckin’ Ball
Tankbustas 145 Busta Rokkit Launcha, Gitstikka, Pulsa Rokkit, Choppa, Rokkit Pistol, Smash Hammer
Gretchin 45 Grot Blasta, Scavenged Shivs
Gretchin 45 Grot Blasta, Scavenged Shivs
Equatorial Hordes 1,985 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 66 players · 5 rounds · 5 Sep
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
Ghazghkull Thraka 485 Boyz (160 pts) - Power Klaw, 19x Shoota
Painboy 360 Boyz (160 pts) - Power Klaw, 19x Shoota
Painboy 335 Boyz (160 pts) - Power Klaw, 19x Shoota
Bannernob 220 Flash Gitz (150 pts) - Ammo Runt
Wazdakka Gutsmek 175
Zodgrod Wortsnagga 160
Zodgrod Wortsnagga 80
20× Gretchin 80 Kommandos (120 pts) - Bomb Squig, Power Klaw, Burna, Breacha Ram, Rokkit Launcha, Distraction Grot
11× Gretchin 45 Kommandos (120 pts) - Bomb Squig, Power Klaw, Burna, Breacha Ram, Rokkit Launcha, Distraction Grot
11× Gretchin 45 Kommandos (120 pts) - Bomb Squig, Power Klaw, Burna, Breacha Ram, Rokkit Launcha, Distraction Grot
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)
54.8%win rate, rank 1 of 27 1,714 games 511 lists from 478 players X to X-2 finishes 1.26x entry share going first 3.9 points better
Orks won 55.9% of 4,825 games in the 28 days before and 53.5% of 3,702 in the 23 days
after. Its share of games went from 7.4% to 7.4%.
2 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Bully Boyz (19% to
35%) and Dread Mob (39% to 31%).
8 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Nazdreg (25% to 43%), Flash
Gitz (51% to 33%) and Big Mek With Shokk Attack Gun (45% to 31%).
2 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Dreadherder (29%
to 18%) and Supa-snazz Dakka (25% to 14%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
11%
20-40
29%
40-60
32%
60-80
25%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
42%
Take and Hold
27%
Priority Assets
21%
Reconnaissance
7%
Disruption
3%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Dread Mob
34%
Bully Boyz
32%
Blitz Brigade
24%
Green Tide
23%
Da Big Hunt
14%
Kult of Speed
13%
War Horde
6%
Taktikal Brigade
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Gretchin
91%
Warboss
60%
Big Mek Dakkarig
51%
Tankbustas
47%
Meganobz
46%
Ghazghkull Thraka
44%
Nazdreg
40%
Trukk
39%
Flash Gitz
37%
Boyz
33%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Tyranids
Chaos Daemons
Black Templars
Astra Militarum
Adeptus Custodes
Space Wolves
Leagues of Votann
Adepta Sororitas
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Nazdreg
25%
43%
+18
+9.5
Unit
Flash Gitz
51%
33%
-18
-9.0
Detachment
Bully Boyz
19%
35%
+15
+8.7
Unit
Big Mek With Shokk Attack Gun
45%
31%
-15
-7.6
Unit
Meganobz
34%
48%
+14
+7.2
Unit
Big Mek Dakkarig
63%
49%
-14
-7.0
Enhancement
Dreadherder
29%
18%
-11
-6.5
Enhancement
Supa-snazz Dakka
25%
14%
-11
-6.8
All 12 shifts: 4 more rows
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Ghazghkull Thraka
38%
49%
+10
+5.2
Unit
Trukk
47%
38%
-9
-4.8
Unit
Tankbustas
54%
45%
-9
-4.4
Detachment
Dread Mob
39%
31%
-8
-4.4
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Blitz Brigade 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 59 players · 5 rounds · 3 Oct
Show list
Characters
Big Mek Dakkarig 135 Blitzkannon, Multi-busta Launcha, Stompy Feet
Big Mek Dakkarig 135 Blitzkannon, Multi-busta Launcha, Stompy Feet
Warboss 100 Kustom Choppa, Kustom Shoota
Dedicated Transports
Trukk 60 Dual Big Shoota, Grabbin’ Klaw, Spiked Ram
Other Units
Flash Gitz + Supa-snazz Dakka 230 Choppa, Snazzgun
Flash Gitz + Supa-snazz Dakka 230 Choppa, Snazzgun
Gunwagon 160 Big Shoota, Crushin’ Bulk, Grabbin’ Klaw, Lobba, Wreckin’ Ball, Zzap Gun
Gunwagon 160 Big Shoota, Crushin’ Bulk, Grabbin’ Klaw, Lobba, Wreckin’ Ball, Zzap Gun
Tankbustas 145 Busta Rokkit Launcha, Gitstikka, Pulsa Rokkit, Choppa, Rokkit Pistol
Tankbustas 145 Busta Rokkit Launcha, Gitstikka, Pulsa Rokkit, Choppa, Rokkit Pistol
Kommandos 125 Breacha Ram, Burna, Choppa, Kustom Shoota, Rokkit Launcha, Slugga, Power Klaw
Big Mek 85 Power Klaw, Kustom Mega-Blasta
Big Mek 85 Power Klaw, Kustom Mega-Blasta
Stormboyz 70 Choppa, Slugga, Power Klaw
Mek 45 Kustom Mega-slugga, Mek’s Toolz
Mek 45 Kustom Mega-slugga, Mek’s Toolz
Gretchin 45 Grot Blasta, Scavenged Shivs
Bully Boyz + Dread Mob + Green Tide 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 4-0 · 111 players · 4 rounds · 3 Oct
Won an event of 100+ players
Show list
Characters
Ghazghkull Thraka 290 Adamantine ’Eadbutt, Gork’s Klaw, Mork’s Roar
Big Mek Dakkarig + Cybork Boosta 170 Blitzkannon, Multi-busta Launcha, Stompy Feet
Mozrog Skragbad 170 Big Chompa’s Jaws, Gutrippa, Thump Gun
Big Mek Dakkarig + Cybork Boosta 160 Blitzkannon, Multi-busta Launcha, Stompy Feet
Beastboss 85 Beast Snagga Klaw and Beastchoppa, Shoota
Battleline
Boyz 85 Choppa, Shoota, Slugga, Kombi-skorcha, Kustom Choppa
Boyz 85 Choppa, Shoota, Slugga, Kombi-skorcha, Kustom Choppa
Dedicated Transports
Trukk 60 Dual Big Shoota, Spiked Ram
Other Units
Meganobz 185 Kombi-weapon, Power Klaw, Twin Killsaws, Kustom Shoota
Warboss In Mega Armour 135
Warboss + Ferocious Show-off 115 Kustom Choppa, Kustom Shoota
Meganobz 105 Kombi-weapon, Power Klaw, Twin Killsaws, Kustom Shoota
Warboss + Ferocious Show-off 100 Kustom Choppa, Kustom Shoota
Weirdboy 60 Copper Staff, Power Vomit
Bigboss 50 Big Choppa, Slugga
Gretchin 45 Grot Blasta, Scavenged Shivs
Gretchin 45 Grot Blasta, Scavenged Shivs
Gretchin 45 Grot Blasta, Scavenged Shivs
Runtherd 10 Runtherd’s Toolz, Slugga
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)
52.4%win rate, rank 6 of 27 1,988 games 624 lists from 597 players X to X-2 finishes 1.18x entry share going first 0.3 points better
Orks won 55.4% of 4,613 games in the 28 days before and 52.4% of 1,988 in the 9 days
after. Its share of games went from 7.8% to 7.4%.
2 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Dread Mob (39% to
28%) and Bully Boyz (26% to 37%).
9 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Flash Gitz (46% to 30%),
Ghazghkull Thraka (39% to 52%) and Nazdreg (33% to 46%).
2 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Dreadherder (27%
to 16%) and Supa-snazz Dakka (23% to 12%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
1%
0-20
14%
20-40
25%
40-60
38%
60-80
22%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
36%
Take and Hold
31%
Priority Assets
20%
Reconnaissance
9%
Disruption
3%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Bully Boyz
37%
Dread Mob
28%
Green Tide
23%
Blitz Brigade
23%
Da Big Hunt
15%
Kult of Speed
14%
War Horde
6%
Taktikal Brigade
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Gretchin
93%
Warboss
58%
Ghazghkull Thraka
52%
Meganobz
50%
Big Mek Dakkarig
47%
Nazdreg
46%
Tankbustas
43%
Trukk
37%
Deffkoptas
36%
Boyz
35%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Thousand Sons
Imperial Knights
Chaos Space Marines
Tyranids
Space Marines
Necrons
Adeptus Mechanicus
Leagues of Votann
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Flash Gitz
46%
30%
-15
-6.5
Unit
Ghazghkull Thraka
39%
52%
+14
+5.7
Unit
Nazdreg
33%
46%
+13
+5.5
Unit
Big Mek Dakkarig
60%
47%
-13
-5.4
Unit
Big Mek With Shokk Attack Gun
41%
29%
-12
-5.3
Detachment
Dread Mob
39%
28%
-11
-4.8
Enhancement
Dreadherder
27%
16%
-11
-5.4
Enhancement
Supa-snazz Dakka
23%
12%
-11
-5.9
All 13 shifts: 5 more rows
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Bully Boyz
26%
37%
+11
+4.9
Unit
Mek
33%
23%
-11
-4.8
Unit
Tankbustas
53%
43%
-10
-4.1
Unit
Meganobz
40%
50%
+10
+4.0
Unit
Warboss In Mega Armour
8%
17%
+9
+5.6
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Bully Boyz + Da Big Hunt 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 105 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
Won an event of 100+ players
11 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Ghazghkull Thraka 290 Adamantine ’Eadbutt, Gork’s Klaw, Mork’s Roar
Beastboss on Squigosaur + Brutal But Kunnin' 170 Beastchoppa, Slugga, Squigosaur’s Jaws
Mozrog Skragbad 170 Big Chompa’s Jaws, Gutrippa, Thump Gun
Big Mek Dakkarig 160 Blitzkannon, Multi-busta Launcha, Stompy Feet
Big Mek Dakkarig 160 Blitzkannon, Multi-busta Launcha, Stompy Feet
Other Units
Meganobz 200 Twin Killsaws
Meganobz 200 Twin Killsaws
Nazdreg 165 Kustom Blasta X, Moonchewa
Warboss In Mega Armour 135
Squighog Boyz 130 Saddlegit’s Shiv, Squig’s Jaws, Stikka, Big Choppa, Slugga
Squighog Boyz 130 Saddlegit’s Shiv, Squig’s Jaws, Stikka, Big Choppa, Slugga
Gretchin 45 Grot Blasta, Scavenged Shivs
Gretchin 45 Grot Blasta, Scavenged Shivs
War Horde 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 6-0 · 43 players · 6 rounds · 23 Oct
Show list
Characters
Ghazghkull Thraka 290 Adamantine ’Eadbutt, Gork’s Klaw, Mork’s Roar
Wazdakka Gutsmek 200 Fixit’s Wrench, Grabba Dragga, Psyko-gatler, Speeding Bulk and Flaming Exhaust
Mozrog Skragbad 170 Big Chompa’s Jaws, Gutrippa, Thump Gun
Beastboss on Squigosaur + Headwoppa's Killchoppa 155 Beastchoppa, Slugga, Squigosaur’s Jaws, Thump Gun
Battleline
Beast Snagga Boyz 160 Choppa, Slugga, Thump Gun, Power Snappa
Beast Snagga Boyz 160 Choppa, Slugga, Thump Gun, Power Snappa
Other Units
Meganobz 190 Kombi-weapon, Power Klaw, Twin Killsaws
Nazdreg 165 Kustom Blasta X, Moonchewa
Tankbustas 160 Busta Rokkit Launcha, Gitstikka, Choppa, Rokkit Pistol, Smash Hammer
Gunwagon 160 Big Shoota, Crushin’ Bulk, Grabbin’ Klaw, Lobba, Wreckin’ Ball, Zzap Gun
Big Mek 100 Power Klaw, Traktor Blasta
Gretchin 45 Grot Blasta, Scavenged Shivs
Gretchin 45 Grot Blasta, Scavenged Shivs
Chaos Daemons
Chaos Daemons Whole edition Combinations Detachments Matchups Over time Units Pick-rate shifts Results brackets Enhancements Force Disposition Lists Team events Milestones 22 Jul 26 Aug 5 Sep 3 Oct 17 Oct
Whole edition
54.8%win rate, rank 2 of 28 9,478 games 2,671 lists from 1,561 players top-10% finishes 1.20x entry share going first 3.0 points better 56.3% adjusted for player skill
The pairing Legion of Excess + Warptide has a win rate 8.9 points above
the faction average (197 lists). Daemonic Incursion lists have a win rate 6.8 points below
the faction average and make up 11% of the faction's lists. Chaos Daemons won 54.8% of
9,478 games, rank 2 of 28. Blood Legion went from 15% to 29% of the faction's lists between
the first period and the last 28 days. Against Adeptus Custodes it wins 43.1% over 655
games, 7.4 points below what its strength predicts.
Combinations
13 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common
is Plague Legion + Warptide (426 lists, 16%). Best: Legion of Excess + Warptide (8.9 points
above the faction average). Weakest: Shadow Legion + Warptide (7.9 points below the faction
average).
Combination
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Plague Legion + Warptide
426
16%
-2.1 ± 1.3
-1.5
Blood Legion + Cavalcade of Chaos
365
14%
+5.9 ± 1.4
+4.3
Cavalcade of Chaos + Shadow Legion
310
12%
+0.2 ± 1.5
+0.1
Blood Legion + Warptide
232
9%
+4.5 ± 2.0
+2.3
Legion of Excess + Warptide
197
7%
+8.9 ± 1.9
+4.7
Shadow Legion + Warptide
128
5%
-7.9 ± 2.4
-3.3
Scintillating Legion + Warptide
114
4%
-5.3 ± 2.4
-2.2
Lords of the Warp + Scintillating Legion
74
3%
-0.0 ± 2.9
-0.0
Detachments
9 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 6 of them account for 80% of picks. The most
played is Warptide (42% of lists), and 78% of lists run more than one detachment. 2 detachments
differ from the faction average. Best: Blood Legion (4.1 points above the faction average,
24% of lists). Weakest: Daemonic Incursion (6.8 points below the faction average, 11% of
lists).
Detachment
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
P1
P2
P3
P4
Warptide
1,118
42%
-0.3 ± 0.7
-0.4
44%
45%
39%
41%
Cavalcade of Chaos
860
32%
+1.7 ± 0.8
+2.1
22%
35%
38%
28%
Blood Legion
650
24%
+4.1 ± 0.9
+4.3
15%
21%
31%
29%
Plague Legion
552
21%
-0.7 ± 1.0
-0.7
23%
24%
18%
18%
Shadow Legion
540
20%
-2.3 ± 1.1
-2.2
22%
23%
19%
16%
Daemonic Incursion
297
11%
-6.8 ± 1.3
-5.1
7%
7%
12%
19%
Scintillating Legion
275
10%
-2.2 ± 1.4
-1.5
21%
8%
7%
7%
Legion of Excess
240
9%
+3.5 ± 1.4
+2.4
7%
12%
9%
5%
Lords of the Warp
192
7%
-1.7 ± 1.6
-1.1
13%
5%
5%
7%
Matchups
Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Astra Militarum (66.4% over
302 games) and the worst is Adeptus Custodes (43.1% over 655). Against what the faction's
strength predicts, Adeptus Custodes (7.4 points below the prediction) deviates.
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Astra Militarum
302
66.4%
60.9% to 71.5%
64.0%
+2.4
favourable
Drukhari
203
65.5%
58.7% to 71.7%
57.8%
+7.8
favourable
Imperial Knights
421
60.6%
55.8% to 65.1%
56.1%
+4.4
favourable
Adeptus Mechanicus
212
60.1%
53.4% to 66.5%
54.2%
+6.0
favourable
Grey Knights
254
59.8%
53.7% to 65.7%
57.6%
+2.3
favourable
Blood Angels
265
59.1%
53.0% to 64.8%
58.7%
+0.4
favourable
Tyranids
535
58.3%
54.1% to 62.4%
54.8%
+3.5
favourable
Space Wolves
233
57.9%
51.5% to 64.1%
55.7%
+2.3
favourable
Chaos Knights
225
56.7%
50.1% to 63.0%
57.8%
-1.1
favourable
Thousand Sons
331
56.3%
51.0% to 61.6%
54.4%
+2.0
favourable
Death Guard
393
56.0%
51.0% to 60.8%
56.5%
-0.5
favourable
Necrons
613
55.9%
51.9% to 59.8%
53.3%
+2.6
favourable
Space Marines
727
55.7%
52.1% to 59.3%
56.1%
-0.4
favourable
World Eaters
397
55.5%
50.6% to 60.4%
54.8%
+0.7
favourable
T'au Empire
532
55.2%
50.9% to 59.3%
53.0%
+2.2
favourable
Emperor's Children
408
51.6%
46.8% to 56.4%
53.4%
-1.8
Orks
685
47.4%
43.7% to 51.2%
49.4%
-2.0
Adepta Sororitas
201
47.0%
40.2% to 53.9%
54.4%
-7.4
Adeptus Custodes
655
43.1%
39.4% to 47.0%
50.5%
-7.4
unfavourable, below model
Deathwatch
68
39.7%
28.9% to 51.6%
51.0%
-11.3
All 27 matchups: 7 more rows
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Black Templars
148
57.4%
49.4% to 65.1%
59.4%
-1.9
Aeldari
255
55.5%
49.4% to 61.5%
59.0%
-3.6
Chaos Space Marines
440
54.2%
49.5% to 58.8%
57.5%
-3.3
Dark Angels
445
53.7%
49.1% to 58.3%
51.3%
+2.4
Leagues of Votann
346
53.6%
48.3% to 58.8%
52.9%
+0.7
Genestealer Cult
154
53.2%
45.4% to 61.0%
57.2%
-3.9
Imperial Agents
30
51.7%
34.6% to 68.3%
60.9%
-9.3
Over time
Share of games per week (%)
3
4
5
2.8
2.7
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval
40
50
60
August balance & rules update
48.6
46.1
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Period
Lists
Share of all lists
Games
Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul
574
3.7%
1,930
54.8%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug
719
3.9%
2,578
58.3%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct
916
4.0%
3,359
53.8%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct
462
3.1%
1,611
51.2%
August balance & rules update was followed by a change of -5.5 points in win rate,
measured over the 28 days either side.
Around each milestone, 28 days before and after
Milestone
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul)
1,704 / 2,059
56.1% to 57.7%
+1.6
+1.0
3.8% to 4.1%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug)
2,068 / 2,492
59.2% to 53.7%
-5.5
-3.7
4.2% to 4.2%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep)
2,368 / 2,579
57.6% to 53.5%
-4.0
-2.8
4.3% to 4.0%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct)
2,579 / 1,611
53.5% to 51.2%
-2.3
-1.5
4.0% to 3.2%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data
2,175 / 785
53.0% to 49.6%
-3.3
-1.6
3.7% to 2.9%
Units
A typical list contains 8 distinct units. One unit appears in at least half of all lists
and 27 in at least 10%. The most common is Flesh Hounds (56% of lists). 19 datasheets appeared
in under 1% of lists: Accursed Cultists, Chaos Lord, Chaos Terminator Squad, Chosen, Cultist
Firebrand, Dark Apostle, Dark Commune, Feculent Gnarlmaw, Fellgor Beastmen, Legionaries,
Master Of Possession, Possessed and 7 more.
Of 54 units in 40 or more lists, 2 have a clear effect on results (0 positive, 2 negative).
Weakest: Daemon Prince Of Chaos With Wings (6.2 points below comparable lists, 8% of lists)
and Be’lakor (2.2 points below comparable lists, 37% of lists). Be’lakor is in at least
15% of lists but has a win rate below it.
Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-10
-5
0
+5
+10
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Daemon Prince Of Chaos W
Be’lakor
Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-5
0
+5
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Daemonic Incursion
Blood Legion
Most played units
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Flesh Hounds
1,495
56.0%
+0.3 ± 0.6
+0.5
Beasts Of Nurgle
1,159
43.4%
+0.2 ± 0.7
+0.3
Plaguebearers
1,137
42.6%
+0.1 ± 0.7
+0.1
Bloodcrushers
1,111
41.6%
+0.1 ± 0.7
+0.1
Be’lakor
995
37.3%
-2.2 ± 0.7
-3.0
Nurglings
991
37.1%
+0.2 ± 0.8
+0.3
Rendmaster On Blood Throne
950
35.6%
+0.6 ± 0.8
+0.8
Bloodthirster
949
35.5%
-1.2 ± 0.8
-1.5
Great Unclean One
916
34.3%
-0.3 ± 0.8
-0.4
Skarbrand
909
34.0%
+1.0 ± 0.8
+1.3
Lord of Change
810
30.3%
-0.7 ± 0.8
-0.9
Skullmaster
777
29.1%
+1.4 ± 0.8
+1.6
Other units with a clear effect
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Daemon Prince Of Chaos With Wings
212
7.9%
-6.2 ± 1.8
-3.4
Pick-rate shifts
Type
Name
First period
Prior 28 days
Last 28 days
Change vs first period (pp)
Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Unit
Skarbrand
22%
43%
46%
+23
+3
Enhancement
Infernal Puppeteer
18%
1%
1%
-17
-0
Unit
Screamers
30%
14%
15%
-15
+1
Unit
Rendmaster On Blood Throne
24%
43%
39%
+15
-4
Detachment
Blood Legion
15%
32%
29%
+14
-3
Unit
Skullmaster
19%
38%
33%
+14
-6
Detachment
Scintillating Legion
21%
7%
7%
-14
+0
Enhancement
Brazenmaw
13%
29%
26%
+13
-4
Unit
Flesh Hounds
45%
63%
58%
+13
-6
Detachment
Daemonic Incursion
7%
12%
20%
+12
+8
Enhancement
The Everstave
4%
9%
15%
+11
+6
Unit
Pink Horrors
15%
4%
6%
-10
+1
Results brackets
278 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 29 won
X, 74 won X-1 and 175 won X-2, from 621 entries.
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
13%
20-40
34%
40-60
33%
60-80
17%
80-100
line = all factions
Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2
4.3%
X
3.5%
X-1
4.1%
X-2
dashed = share of entries, 3.6%
Bracket tables
Tier
Lists
Share of tier
Share of entries
Ratio
z
X
29
4.3%
3.6%
1.17x
+0.9
X-1
74
3.5%
3.6%
0.96x
-0.4
X-2
175
4.1%
3.6%
1.13x
+1.7
X to X-2
278
3.9%
3.6%
1.08x
+1.4
Share of games won
Players
Share of players
All players
0 to 20%
16
3.0%
4.1%
20 to 40%
71
13.3%
17.2%
40 to 60%
183
34.3%
32.2%
60 to 80%
174
32.6%
30.1%
80 to 100%
89
16.7%
16.4%
Enhancements
29 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Brazenmaw (21% of lists).
Enhancement table
Enhancement
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Brazenmaw
572
21%
+1.4 ± 1.0
+1.4
Cankerblight
450
17%
+0.3 ± 1.1
+0.3
Fade to Darkness
435
16%
-0.7 ± 1.2
-0.6
Droning Shroud
362
14%
-0.0 ± 1.3
-0.0
Bane-forged Weapons
352
13%
-0.2 ± 1.4
-0.2
Font of Spores
332
12%
+1.6 ± 1.3
+1.2
Soul-shattering Charge
322
12%
-0.4 ± 1.3
-0.3
Slaughterthirst
227
8%
+0.5 ± 1.5
+0.3
Force Disposition
Force Disposition table
Disposition
Share of games
Games
Win rate
Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Purge the Foe
39%
3,313
57.2%
+2.4 ± 0.9
Take and Hold
28%
2,357
52.4%
-2.4 ± 1.0
Reconnaissance
12%
966
54.4%
-0.4 ± 1.8
Priority Assets
11%
936
58.0%
+3.1 ± 1.7
Disruption
10%
824
52.0%
-2.8 ± 2.0
Each extra 1.9 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 2.5 points
lower; the average list has 8.5. Nothing clear turned up in enhancement effects, Force
Disposition, results brackets and terrain layout.
Representative lists
Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists
are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events
with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties,
and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.
Blood Legion + Cavalcade of Chaos 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 86 players · 5 rounds · 26 Sep
161 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
Be’lakor 390
Skarbrand 315
6× Bloodcrushers + Apocalyptic Steeds 240 with Instrument of Chaos, with Daemonic Icon, Bloodhunter
6× Bloodcrushers + Apocalyptic Steeds 210 with Instrument of Chaos, with Daemonic Icon, Bloodhunter
6× Bloodcrushers + Apocalyptic Steeds 210 with Instrument of Chaos, with Daemonic Icon, Bloodhunter
Rendmaster On Blood Throne 185
Skullmaster + Brazenmaw 100
Skull Cannon 100
Skull Cannon 100
5× Flesh Hounds 75
5× Flesh Hounds 75
Cavalcade of Chaos + Shadow Legion 1,995 pts
Disruption
Won the event · record 5-0 · 70 players · 5 rounds · 15 Aug
12 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Be’lakor 390 Betraying Shades, The Blade of Shadows
Bloodthirster 320 Great axe of Khorne, Hellfire breath
Rendmaster On Blood Throne 150
Rendmaster On Blood Throne 150
Battleline
Bloodletters 110 Hellblade, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Allied Units
Cultist Mob 50 Bolt pistol, Brutal assault weapon, Autopistol
Cultist Mob 50 Bolt pistol, Brutal assault weapon, Autopistol
Cultist Mob 50 Bolt pistol, Brutal assault weapon, Autopistol
Other Units
Bloodcrushers 190 Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Bloodcrushers 190 Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Skullmaster + Fade to Darkness 115 Blade of blood, Juggernaut’s bladed horn
Seekers 80 Lashing tongue, Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Beasts Of Nurgle 75
Flesh Hounds 75 Burning roar, Collar of Khorne, Gore-drenched fangs
Team events
55.1%win rate in team events 2,035 games 498 lists from 433 players +0.4 points against individual events going first 5.0 points better
Chaos Daemons won 55.1% of 2,035 team event games, against 54.7% of 7,443 in individual
events: 0.4 points higher (not clear). It makes up 4.3% of team event games and 3.7% of
individual event games.
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
41%
Take and Hold
21%
Disruption
17%
Reconnaissance
14%
Priority Assets
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments
share
win rate
Cavalcade of Chaos
40%
Warptide
34%
Blood Legion
29%
Shadow Legion
21%
Plague Legion
18%
Scintillating Legion
9%
Daemonic Incursion
9%
Legion of Excess
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups
win rate against
Tyranids
Drukhari
Aeldari
Grey Knights
Dark Angels
Orks
Space Wolves
Adeptus Custodes
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events.
Dashed: team events win rate.
Milestones
5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after,
with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.
July balance & rules update (22 July)
57.7%win rate, rank 1 of 28 2,059 games 560 lists from 478 players X to X-2 finishes 1.11x entry share going first 5.3 points better
Chaos Daemons won 56.1% of 1,704 games in the 28 days before and 57.7% of 2,059 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.8% to 4.1%.
One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Scintillating Legion
(23% to 9%).
3 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Screamers (31% to 15%),
Pink Horrors (16% to 6%) and Kairos Fateweaver (18% to 9%).
4 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Infernal Puppeteer
(20% to 2%), Soul-shattering Charge (5% to 14%) and Improbable Shield (14% to 6%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
15%
20-40
34%
40-60
33%
60-80
15%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
36%
Take and Hold
23%
Disruption
14%
Reconnaissance
14%
Priority Assets
14%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Warptide
44%
Cavalcade of Chaos
35%
Shadow Legion
26%
Plague Legion
23%
Blood Legion
20%
Legion of Excess
12%
Scintillating Legion
9%
Daemonic Incursion
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Flesh Hounds
53%
Beasts Of Nurgle
46%
Plaguebearers
44%
Bloodcrushers
42%
Nurglings
39%
Bloodthirster
36%
Rendmaster On Blood
Throne
34%
Great Unclean One
33%
Be’lakor
31%
Lord of Change
29%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Adeptus Mechanicus
Imperial Knights
Astra Militarum
Grey Knights
Chaos Space Marines
Emperor's Children
Orks
Adeptus Custodes
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Enhancement
Infernal Puppeteer
20%
2%
-18
-9.5
Unit
Screamers
31%
15%
-16
-6.3
Detachment
Scintillating Legion
23%
9%
-14
-6.4
Unit
Pink Horrors
16%
6%
-10
-5.0
Unit
Kairos Fateweaver
18%
9%
-9
-4.4
Enhancement
Soul-shattering Charge
5%
14%
+9
+4.9
Enhancement
Improbable Shield
14%
6%
-9
-4.7
Enhancement
Inescapable Eye
15%
6%
-8
-4.6
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Cavalcade of Chaos + Shadow Legion 1,995 pts
Disruption
Won the event · record 5-0 · 70 players · 5 rounds · 15 Aug
5 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Be’lakor 390 Betraying Shades, The Blade of Shadows
Bloodthirster 320 Great axe of Khorne, Hellfire breath
Rendmaster On Blood Throne 150
Rendmaster On Blood Throne 150
Battleline
Bloodletters 110 Hellblade, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Allied Units
Cultist Mob 50 Bolt pistol, Brutal assault weapon, Autopistol
Cultist Mob 50 Bolt pistol, Brutal assault weapon, Autopistol
Cultist Mob 50 Bolt pistol, Brutal assault weapon, Autopistol
Other Units
Bloodcrushers 190 Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Bloodcrushers 190 Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Skullmaster + Fade to Darkness 115 Blade of blood, Juggernaut’s bladed horn
Seekers 80 Lashing tongue, Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Beasts Of Nurgle 75
Flesh Hounds 75 Burning roar, Collar of Khorne, Gore-drenched fangs
Cavalcade of Chaos + Shadow Legion 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 64 players · 5 rounds · 15 Aug
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Be’lakor 390 Betraying Shades, The Blade of Shadows
Bloodthirster + Fade to Darkness 350 Great axe of Khorne, Hellfire breath
Lord of Change 320 Bolt of Change, Rod of sorcery, Staff of Tzeentch
Lord of Change 320 Bolt of Change, Rod of sorcery, Staff of Tzeentch
Allied Units
Chaos Lord with Jump Pack 80 Plasma Pistol, Power fist
Other Units
Bloodcrushers + Soul-shattering Charge 200 Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Bloodcrushers + Soul-shattering Charge 95 Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Skullmaster 85 Blade of blood, Juggernaut’s bladed horn
Skullmaster 85 Blade of blood, Juggernaut’s bladed horn
Flesh Hounds 75 Burning roar, Collar of Khorne, Gore-drenched fangs
August balance & rules update (26 August)
54.5%win rate, rank 3 of 27 780 games 202 lists from 197 players X to X-2 finishes 1.01x entry share going first 6.7 points better
Chaos Daemons won 59.2% of 2,068 games in the 28 days before and 53.7% of 2,492 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.2% to 4.2%. The change of -5.5 points is
clear.
One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Skarbrand (28% to 40%).
Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
5%
0-20
11%
20-40
38%
40-60
32%
60-80
14%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
38%
Take and Hold
32%
Priority Assets
13%
Reconnaissance
10%
Disruption
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Warptide
42%
Cavalcade of Chaos
37%
Blood Legion
28%
Plague Legion
21%
Shadow Legion
19%
Legion of Excess
13%
Daemonic Incursion
10%
Lords of the Warp
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Flesh Hounds
60%
Bloodcrushers
46%
Beasts Of Nurgle
45%
Plaguebearers
43%
Rendmaster On Blood
Throne
39%
Nurglings
38%
Great Unclean One
36%
Bloodthirster
36%
Be’lakor
35%
Skarbrand
34%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Dark Angels
Tyranids
Necrons
Space Marines
Orks
Adeptus Custodes
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Skarbrand
28%
40%
+12
+4.5
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Blood Legion + Cavalcade of Chaos 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 39 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
11 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Be’lakor 390 Betraying Shades, The Blade of Shadows
Skarbrand 315 Bellow of endless fury, Slaughter and Carnage
Rendmaster On Blood Throne 150
Other Units
Bloodcrushers + Soul-shattering Charge 210 Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Bloodcrushers + Soul-shattering Charge 200 Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Bloodcrushers + Soul-shattering Charge 190 Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Burning Chariot 115 Fire of Tzeentch, Flamer mouths, Screamer bites
Skullmaster + Brazenmaw 100 Blade of blood, Juggernaut’s bladed horn
Skull Cannon 90 Attendants’ hellblades, Biting maw, Skull cannon
Skull Cannon 90 Attendants’ hellblades, Biting maw, Skull cannon
Flesh Hounds 75 Burning roar, Collar of Khorne, Gore-drenched fangs
Flesh Hounds 75 Burning roar, Collar of Khorne, Gore-drenched fangs
Blood Legion + Cavalcade of Chaos 1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
3rd place · record 5-1 · 64 players · 6 rounds · 29 Aug
Show list
Characters
Be’lakor 390
Skarbrand 315 Bellow of endless fury, Slaughter and Carnage
Great Unclean One 265 Putrid vomit, Bilesword, Plague flail
Great Unclean One 265 Putrid vomit, Bilesword, Plague flail
Other Units
Bloodcrushers 210 Hellblade, Juggernaut's bladed horn
Bloodcrushers 200 Hellblade, Juggernaut's bladed horn
Bloodcrushers 200 Hellblade, Juggernaut's bladed horn
Flesh Hounds 75 Burning roar, Gore-drenched fangs, Collar of Khorne
Flesh Hounds 75 Burning roar, Gore-drenched fangs, Collar of Khorne
Orks codex (5 September)
53.5%win rate, rank 5 of 28 2,579 games 714 lists from 597 players X to X-2 finishes 1.11x entry share going first 0.8 points better
Chaos Daemons won 57.6% of 2,368 games in the 28 days before and 53.5% of 2,579 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.3% to 4.0%.
One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Skarbrand (31% to 43%).
Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
16%
20-40
30%
40-60
39%
60-80
13%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
43%
Take and Hold
30%
Reconnaissance
10%
Priority Assets
9%
Disruption
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Cavalcade of Chaos
38%
Warptide
38%
Blood Legion
32%
Shadow Legion
19%
Plague Legion
17%
Daemonic Incursion
13%
Legion of Excess
9%
Scintillating Legion
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Flesh Hounds
64%
Bloodcrushers
49%
Rendmaster On Blood
Throne
44%
Skarbrand
43%
Be’lakor
42%
Skullmaster
38%
Bloodthirster
37%
Plaguebearers
37%
Beasts Of Nurgle
36%
Nurglings
33%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Drukhari
Genestealer Cult
Blood Angels
World Eaters
Adeptus Mechanicus
Adepta Sororitas
Adeptus Custodes
Dark Angels
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Skarbrand
31%
43%
+12
+4.7
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Blood Legion + Cavalcade of Chaos 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 86 players · 5 rounds · 26 Sep
85 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
Be’lakor 390
Skarbrand 315
6× Bloodcrushers + Apocalyptic Steeds 240 with Instrument of Chaos, with Daemonic Icon, Bloodhunter
6× Bloodcrushers + Apocalyptic Steeds 210 with Instrument of Chaos, with Daemonic Icon, Bloodhunter
6× Bloodcrushers + Apocalyptic Steeds 210 with Instrument of Chaos, with Daemonic Icon, Bloodhunter
Rendmaster On Blood Throne 185
Skullmaster + Brazenmaw 100
Skull Cannon 100
Skull Cannon 100
5× Flesh Hounds 75
5× Flesh Hounds 75
Plague Legion + Warptide 1,990 pts
Take and Hold
3rd place · record 4-1 · 55 players · 5 rounds · 26 Sep
7 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Great Unclean One + Droning Shroud 300 Bileblade, Bilesword, Putrid vomit, Doomsday bell
Great Unclean One + Droning Shroud 285 Bileblade, Bilesword, Putrid vomit, Doomsday bell
Rotigus 280 Gnarlrod, Streams of brackish filth
Battleline
Plaguebearers 115 Plaguesword, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Plaguebearers 115 Plaguesword, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Plaguebearers 115 Plaguesword, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Plaguebearers 115 Plaguesword, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Other Units
Plague Drones 110 Death’s heads, Foul mouthparts, Plaguesword, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Plague Drones 110 Death’s heads, Foul mouthparts, Plaguesword, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Nurglings 90 Diseased claws and teeth
Nurglings 90 Diseased claws and teeth
Epidemius 80 Balesword and Nurgling attendants
Sloppity Bilepiper + Maggot Maws 70 Marotter
Sloppity Bilepiper + Maggot Maws 70 Marotter
Nurglings 45 Diseased claws and teeth
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)
52.8%win rate, rank 7 of 27 826 games 231 lists from 217 players X to X-2 finishes 0.89x entry share going first 5.3 points better
Chaos Daemons won 53.5% of 2,579 games in the 28 days before and 51.2% of 1,611 in the
23 days after. Its share of games went from 4.0% to 3.2%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
6%
0-20
15%
20-40
32%
40-60
30%
60-80
17%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
42%
Take and Hold
33%
Priority Assets
10%
Reconnaissance
8%
Disruption
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Warptide
39%
Cavalcade of Chaos
32%
Blood Legion
30%
Shadow Legion
20%
Daemonic Incursion
17%
Plague Legion
16%
Scintillating Legion
8%
Lords of the Warp
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Flesh Hounds
61%
Skarbrand
45%
Bloodcrushers
44%
Rendmaster On Blood
Throne
43%
Beasts Of Nurgle
40%
Be’lakor
39%
Plaguebearers
38%
Bloodthirster
38%
Skullmaster
35%
Great Unclean One
33%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Tyranids
Dark Angels
Necrons
Imperial Knights
Space Marines
Orks
World Eaters
Adeptus Custodes
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Blood Legion + Warptide 1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 44 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
5 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Skarbrand 330 Bellow of endless fury, Slaughter and Carnage
Daemon Prince Of Chaos With Wings 210
Daemon Prince Of Chaos With Wings 190
Rendmaster On Blood Throne 160
Rendmaster On Blood Throne 160
Battleline
Bloodletters + Bane-forged Weapons 125 Hellblade, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Bloodletters + Bane-forged Weapons 125 Hellblade, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Bloodletters + Bane-forged Weapons 110 Hellblade, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Other Units
Bloodcrushers 210 Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Skullmaster + Brazenmaw 100 Blade of blood, Juggernaut’s bladed horn
Beasts Of Nurgle 80
Bloodmaster 65 Blade of blood
Bloodmaster 65 Blade of blood
Bloodmaster 65 Blade of blood
Cavalcade of Chaos + Shadow Legion 1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
4th place · record 4-1 · 59 players · 5 rounds · 3 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Rendmaster On Blood Throne 160
Rendmaster On Blood Throne 160
Allied Units
Cultist Mob 50 Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Other Units
Bloodcrushers 240 Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Bloodcrushers 200 Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Bloodcrushers 200 Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Seekers 155 Lashing tongue, Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Seekers 155 Lashing tongue, Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Skullmaster + Leaping Shadows 110 Blade of blood, Juggernaut’s bladed horn
Skullmaster + Leaping Shadows 95 Blade of blood, Juggernaut’s bladed horn
Skullmaster + Leaping Shadows 95 Blade of blood, Juggernaut’s bladed horn
Seekers 85 Lashing tongue, Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Beasts Of Nurgle 80
Flesh Hounds 75 Burning roar, Collar of Khorne, Gore-drenched fangs
Nurglings 45 Diseased claws and teeth
Nurglings 45 Diseased claws and teeth
Nurglings 45 Diseased claws and teeth
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)
49.6%win rate, rank 13 of 27 785 games 231 lists from 223 players X to X-2 finishes 0.72x entry share going first 2.0 points better
Chaos Daemons won 53.0% of 2,175 games in the 28 days before and 49.6% of 785 in the
9 days after. Its share of games went from 3.7% to 2.9%.
One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Daemon Prince Of Chaos
With Wings (4% to 14%).
Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
4%
0-20
16%
20-40
44%
40-60
20%
60-80
16%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
38%
Take and Hold
35%
Reconnaissance
11%
Disruption
10%
Priority Assets
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Warptide
43%
Blood Legion
27%
Cavalcade of Chaos
24%
Daemonic Incursion
22%
Plague Legion
20%
Shadow Legion
13%
Lords of the Warp
7%
Scintillating Legion
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Flesh Hounds
53%
Skarbrand
46%
Beasts Of Nurgle
44%
Great Unclean One
43%
Plaguebearers
41%
Nurglings
40%
Be’lakor
40%
Bloodthirster
38%
Bloodcrushers
36%
Rendmaster On Blood
Throne
35%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Dark Angels
Orks
Necrons
Death Guard
Space Marines
World Eaters
T'au Empire
Adeptus Custodes
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Daemon Prince Of Chaos With Wings
4%
14%
+10
+4.9
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Cavalcade of Chaos + Shadow Legion 1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 4-0-1 · 31 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Rendmaster On Blood Throne 160
Rendmaster On Blood Throne 160
Allied Units
Cultist Mob 50 Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Other Units
Bloodcrushers 250 Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Bloodcrushers 210 Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Bloodcrushers 210 Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Seekers 155 Lashing tongue, Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Seekers 155 Lashing tongue, Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Skullmaster + Leaping Shadows 110 Blade of blood, Juggernaut’s bladed horn
Skullmaster + Leaping Shadows 95 Blade of blood, Juggernaut’s bladed horn
Skullmaster + Leaping Shadows 95 Blade of blood, Juggernaut’s bladed horn
Nurglings 90 Diseased claws and teeth
Seekers 85 Lashing tongue, Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Beasts Of Nurgle 80
Nurglings 45 Diseased claws and teeth
Nurglings 45 Diseased claws and teeth
Plague Legion + Warptide 1,995 pts
Take and Hold
3rd place · record 4-1 · 42 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Great Unclean One + Font of Spores 285 Bileblade, Bilesword, Putrid vomit
Rotigus 280 Gnarlrod, Streams of brackish filth
Battleline
Plaguebearers + Bane-forged Weapons 130 Plaguesword
Plaguebearers + Bane-forged Weapons 130 Plaguesword
Bloodletters + Bane-forged Weapons 125 Hellblade
Plaguebearers + Bane-forged Weapons 115 Plaguesword
Allied Units
Knight Abominant 350 Balemace, Diabolus heavy stubber, Electroscourge, Volkite combustor
Other Units
Beasts Of Nurgle 150
Plague Drones 110 Death’s heads, Foul mouthparts, Plaguesword
Epidemius 80 Balesword and Nurgling attendants
Beasts Of Nurgle 80
Poxbringer 60 Foul balesword
Sloppity Bilepiper 55 Marotter
Nurglings 45 Diseased claws and teeth
Adeptus Custodes
Adeptus Custodes Whole edition Force Disposition Matchups Over time Combinations Results brackets Units Detachments Pick-rate shifts Enhancements Lists Team events Milestones 22 Jul 26 Aug 5 Sep 3 Oct 17 Oct
Whole edition
54.4%win rate, rank 3 of 28 15,013 games 4,407 lists from 2,744 players top-10% finishes 1.13x entry share going first 1.4 points better 55.8% adjusted for player skill
Adeptus Custodes won 54.4% of 15,013 games, 4.4 points above an even win
rate (rank 3 of 28). Against Chaos Daemons it wins 56.9% over 655 games, 7.4 points above
what its strength predicts. Might of the Moritoi went from 13% to 39% of the faction's
lists over the last 28 days compared with the 28 before. The pairing Solar Spearhead +
Tharanatoi Hammerblow has a win rate 14.8 points below the faction average (44 lists).
Its codex arrived on 17 October, so only 9 days of data follow it.
Force Disposition
Purge the Foe has a win rate 5.8 points below the faction's other choices and Take and
Hold has a win rate 2.8 points above the faction's other choices.
Disposition
Share of games
Games
Win rate
Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Take and Hold
62%
8,305
57.2%
+2.8 ± 0.6
Purge the Foe
24%
3,275
48.7%
-5.8 ± 0.9
Disruption
6%
761
52.4%
-1.9 ± 2.0
Reconnaissance
4%
576
53.8%
-0.8 ± 2.0
Priority Assets
4%
501
51.9%
-2.5 ± 2.4
Matchups
Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Chaos Knights (63.7% over
395 games) and the worst is Orks (47.6% over 1,121). Against what the faction's strength
predicts, Chaos Daemons (7.4 points above the prediction) deviates.
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Imperial Agents
50
64.0%
50.1% to 75.9%
60.4%
+3.6
favourable
Chaos Knights
395
63.7%
58.8% to 68.3%
57.3%
+6.4
favourable
Astra Militarum
506
63.6%
59.4% to 67.7%
63.4%
+0.2
favourable
Aeldari
460
61.5%
57.0% to 65.9%
58.5%
+3.0
favourable
Genestealer Cult
210
60.0%
53.3% to 66.4%
56.6%
+3.4
favourable
Imperial Knights
616
58.8%
54.9% to 62.7%
55.6%
+3.3
favourable
Tyranids
928
57.9%
54.7% to 61.1%
54.3%
+3.6
favourable
Blood Angels
414
57.7%
52.9% to 62.4%
58.1%
-0.4
favourable
Black Templars
217
57.4%
50.7% to 63.8%
58.8%
-1.5
favourable
Chaos Daemons
655
56.9%
53.0% to 60.6%
49.5%
+7.4
favourable, above model
Space Wolves
414
55.1%
50.3% to 59.8%
55.1%
-0.1
favourable
Emperor's Children
709
54.3%
50.6% to 57.9%
52.9%
+1.4
favourable
World Eaters
703
54.3%
50.6% to 57.9%
54.3%
-0.0
favourable
Leagues of Votann
548
54.2%
50.0% to 58.3%
52.4%
+1.8
favourable
Space Marines
1,181
53.4%
50.6% to 56.3%
55.5%
-2.1
favourable
Adeptus Mechanicus
354
51.6%
46.4% to 56.7%
53.6%
-2.1
Thousand Sons
550
48.9%
44.8% to 53.1%
53.8%
-4.9
Dark Angels
717
48.6%
45.0% to 52.3%
50.8%
-2.2
Orks
1,121
47.6%
44.7% to 50.6%
48.9%
-1.3
Deathwatch
97
47.4%
37.8% to 57.3%
50.4%
-3.0
All 27 matchups: 7 more rows
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Drukhari
343
55.1%
49.8% to 60.3%
57.2%
-2.1
Adepta Sororitas
381
54.3%
49.3% to 59.3%
53.9%
+0.5
Death Guard
658
53.4%
49.6% to 57.2%
56.0%
-2.6
Chaos Space Marines
695
53.4%
49.7% to 57.1%
57.0%
-3.6
T'au Empire
701
52.4%
48.7% to 56.0%
52.4%
-0.1
Grey Knights
386
52.3%
47.4% to 57.3%
57.0%
-4.7
Necrons
1,004
51.8%
48.7% to 54.9%
52.7%
-0.9
Over time
Its share of lists went from 4.9% to 6.7%.
Share of games per week (%)
6
8
8.6
5.1
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval
50
60
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edi
51.7
52.8
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Period
Lists
Share of all lists
Games
Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul
765
4.9%
2,613
52.2%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug
1,069
5.8%
3,651
54.5%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct
1,565
6.8%
5,565
56.3%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct
1,008
6.7%
3,184
52.5%
Codex: Space Marines was followed by a change of -4.5 points in win rate, measured over
the 28 days either side.
Around each milestone, 28 days before and after
Milestone
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul)
2,208 / 2,894
52.1% to 53.8%
+1.7
+1.2
4.9% to 5.7%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug)
2,778 / 3,863
54.8% to 56.9%
+2.1
+1.7
5.6% to 6.5%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep)
3,204 / 4,387
54.7% to 57.0%
+2.3
+2.0
5.9% to 6.7%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct)
4,387 / 3,184
57.0% to 52.5%
-4.5
-3.8
6.7% to 6.4%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data
3,841 / 1,861
54.9% to 51.6%
-3.3
-2.3
6.5% to 7.0%
Combinations
9 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common
is Lions of the Emperor + Might of the Moritoi (938 lists, 21%). Best: Lions of the Emperor
+ Might of the Moritoi (4.4 points above the faction average). Weakest: Solar Spearhead
+ Tharanatoi Hammerblow (14.8 points below the faction average).
Combination
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Lions of the Emperor + Might of the Moritoi
938
21%
+4.4 ± 0.9
+5.0
Shield Host + Tharanatoi Hammerblow
569
13%
-4.0 ± 1.2
-3.4
Might of the Moritoi + Shield Host
452
10%
-7.6 ± 1.3
-5.8
Lions of the Emperor + Silent Hunters
209
5%
+1.5 ± 1.8
+0.8
Shield Host + Silent Hunters
65
1%
-12.4 ± 3.4
-3.6
Solar Spearhead + Tharanatoi Hammerblow
44
1%
-14.8 ± 3.6
-4.1
Auric Champions + Might of the Moritoi
33
1%
+3.9 ± 5.2
+0.7
Silent Hunters + Solar Spearhead
26
1%
-7.7 ± 5.1
-1.5
Results brackets
430 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 40 won
X, 118 won X-1 and 272 won X-2, from 961 entries.
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
13%
20-40
31%
40-60
35%
60-80
17%
80-100
line = all factions
Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2
5.9%
X
5.5%
X-1
6.4%
X-2
dashed = share of entries, 5.6%
Tier
Lists
Share of tier
Share of entries
Ratio
z
X
40
5.9%
5.6%
1.04x
+0.3
X-1
118
5.5%
5.6%
0.99x
-0.1
X-2
272
6.4%
5.6%
1.14x
+2.2
X to X-2
430
6.1%
5.6%
1.08x
+1.7
Share of games won
Players
Share of players
All players
0 to 20%
24
3.0%
4.1%
20 to 40%
108
13.3%
17.2%
40 to 60%
253
31.3%
32.2%
60 to 80%
283
35.0%
30.1%
80 to 100%
141
17.4%
16.4%
Units
A typical list contains 8 distinct units. 7 units appear in at least half of all lists
and 18 in at least 10%. The most common is Allarus Custodians (87% of lists). One datasheet
never appeared: Custodian Guard Sodality with Adrasite Spears. 9 datasheets appeared in
under 1% of lists: Aquilon Terminators with Solarite Power Talons, Ares Gunship, Coronus
Grav-Carrier, Gyrfalcon Jetbike Sodality, Inquisitor Greyfax, Orion Assault Dropship, Pallas
Grav-Attack, Venatari with Kinetic Destroyers, Vigilator Squad.
Of 34 units in 40 or more lists, 6 have a clear effect on results (5 positive, 1 negative).
Best: Inquisitor Draxus (4.1 points above comparable lists, 14% of lists), Valerian (3.0
points above comparable lists, 25% of lists), Prosecutors (2.4 points above comparable
lists, 52% of lists) and Vertus Praetors (1.8 points above comparable lists, 64% of lists).
Weakest: Sentinel Guard Sodality (7.7 points below comparable lists, 3% of lists).
Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-5
0
+5
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Sentinel Guard Sodality
Inquisitor Draxus
Prosecutors
Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-10
-5
0
+5
+10
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Solar Spearhead
Shield Host
Lions of the Emperor
Most played units
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Allarus Custodians
3,831
86.9%
+0.6 ± 0.4
+1.6
Vertus Praetors
2,838
64.4%
+1.8 ± 0.5
+4.0
Custodian Wardens
2,750
62.4%
+1.1 ± 0.5
+2.3
Custodian Guard
2,514
57.0%
+1.1 ± 0.5
+2.3
Witchseekers
2,485
56.4%
+1.7 ± 0.5
+3.4
Blade Champion
2,270
51.5%
+0.8 ± 0.5
+1.5
Prosecutors
2,270
51.5%
+2.4 ± 0.5
+4.6
Shield-Captain in Allarus Terminator Armour
2,067
46.9%
+0.3 ± 0.5
+0.5
Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike
1,891
42.9%
+1.6 ± 0.6
+2.8
Trajann Valoris
1,601
36.3%
-1.0 ± 0.7
-1.5
Venatari Custodians
1,401
31.8%
+1.3 ± 0.7
+1.9
Valerian
1,083
24.6%
+3.0 ± 0.7
+4.1
Other units with a clear effect
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Inquisitor Draxus
608
13.8%
+4.1 ± 1.0
+4.2
Sentinel Guard Sodality
114
2.6%
-7.7 ± 2.4
-3.2
Detachments
10 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 3 of them account for 80% of picks. The most
played is Lions of the Emperor (60% of lists), and 55% of lists run more than one detachment.
3 detachments differ from the faction average. Best: Lions of the Emperor (3.4 points above
the faction average, 60% of lists). Weakest: Solar Spearhead (7.2 points below the faction
average, 2% of lists).
Detachment
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
P1
P2
P3
P4
Lions of the Emperor
2,628
60%
+3.4 ± 0.5
+7.2
49%
53%
67%
64%
Might of the Moritoi
1,590
36%
+0.3 ± 0.6
+0.5
46%
55%
16%
40%
Shield Host
1,177
27%
-3.8 ± 0.8
-4.9
32%
37%
26%
12%
Tharanatoi Hammerblow
662
15%
-2.7 ± 1.0
-2.7
20%
22%
14%
6%
Silent Hunters
323
7%
-2.4 ± 1.4
-1.7
13%
16%
3%
1%
Auric Champions
97
2%
-1.1 ± 2.8
-0.4
0%
1%
1%
8%
Solar Spearhead
91
2%
-7.2 ± 2.3
-3.1
4%
1%
2%
1%
Talons of the Emperor
73
2%
-4.3 ± 2.9
-1.5
6%
1%
1%
0%
Guardians of the Throne
25
1%
-7.2 ± 6.0
-1.2
0%
0%
0%
2%
Null Maiden Vigil
22
0%
-10.1 ± 4.9
-2.0
1%
0%
0%
1%
Pick-rate shifts
Type
Name
First period
Prior 28 days
Last 28 days
Change vs first period (pp)
Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Unit
Custodian Guard
71%
63%
34%
-37
-29
Unit
Prosecutors
46%
68%
33%
-13
-35
Unit
Prosecutor Squad
0%
0%
33%
+33
+33
Unit
Witchseekers
59%
68%
36%
-23
-32
Unit
Vertus Praetors
64%
76%
45%
-18
-31
Unit
Witchseeker Squad
0%
0%
30%
+30
+30
Unit
Caladius Grav-Tank
41%
17%
11%
-30
-5
Unit
Telemon Heavy Dreadnought
29%
9%
38%
+9
+28
Unit
Custodian Wardens
53%
77%
49%
-4
-28
Unit
Blade Champion
60%
57%
34%
-26
-23
Detachment
Might of the Moritoi
46%
13%
39%
-7
+26
Unit
Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike
52%
47%
26%
-26
-21
Enhancements
22 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Admonimortis (30% of lists).
Enhancement table
Enhancement
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Admonimortis
1,319
30%
-0.6 ± 0.7
-0.8
Superior Creation
920
21%
-1.1 ± 0.8
-1.3
Interred Expertise
625
14%
+0.9 ± 1.0
+1.0
Panoptispex
544
12%
+2.9 ± 1.1
+2.5
Fierce Conqueror
437
10%
+0.3 ± 1.2
+0.3
Auric Mantle
347
8%
-3.8 ± 1.4
-2.7
From the Hall of Armouries
340
8%
-2.1 ± 1.5
-1.4
Augury Uplink (one per army)
265
6%
-0.3 ± 1.7
-0.2
Each extra 1.8 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 2.8 points
lower; the average list has 8.2. Nothing clear turned up in enhancement effects and terrain
layout.
Representative lists
Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists
are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events
with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties,
and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.
Adeptus Custodes 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 6-0 · 51 players · 6 rounds · 19 Sep
197 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike + Praesidius 165 Interceptor lance, Bolter :v
Other Units
Allarus Custodians 370 Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Allarus Custodians 340 Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Allarus Custodians 340 Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Custodian Wardens 250 Guardian spear, Vexilla
Vertus Praetors 145 Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Vertus Praetors 145 Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Valerian 110 Gnosis
Prosecutors 45 Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Prosecutors 45 Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Prosecutors 45 Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Lions of the Emperor + Might of the Moritoi 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 91 players · 5 rounds · 21 Aug
334 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
Allarus Custodians 275 Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Allarus Custodians 275 Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Custodian Wardens 250 Guardian spear, Vexilla
Custodian Guard 215 Guardian spear, Misericordia, Praesidium Shield, Vexilla
Vertus Praetors 215 Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike + Admonimortis 170 Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Custodian Guard 170 Guardian spear, Misericordia, Praesidium Shield, Vexilla
Blade Champion + Superior Creation 135 Vaultswords
Inquisitor Draxus 110 Dirgesinger, Power fist, Psychic Tempest
Witchseekers 50 Close combat weapon, Witchseeker flamer
Prosecutors 45 Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Prosecutors 45 Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Prosecutors 45 Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Team events
54.9%win rate in team events 3,233 games 818 lists from 715 players +0.8 points against individual events going first 0.5 points better
Adeptus Custodes won 54.9% of 3,233 team event games, against 54.2% of 11,780 in individual
events: 0.8 points higher (not clear). It makes up 6.9% of team event games and 5.8% of
individual event games.
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
59%
Purge the Foe
19%
Disruption
13%
Reconnaissance
6%
Priority Assets
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments
share
win rate
Lions of the Emperor
63%
Shield Host
24%
Might of the Moritoi
22%
Tharanatoi Hammerblow
16%
Silent Hunters
10%
Talons of the Emperor
3%
Auric Champions
2%
Solar Spearhead
1%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups
win rate against
Chaos Knights
Leagues of Votann
Astra Militarum
Blood Angels
Chaos Space Marines
Necrons
Dark Angels
Thousand Sons
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events.
Dashed: team events win rate.
Milestones
5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after,
with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.
July balance & rules update (22 July)
53.8%win rate, rank 5 of 28 2,894 games 823 lists from 726 players X to X-2 finishes 1.13x entry share going first 0.1 points worse
Adeptus Custodes won 52.1% of 2,208 games in the 28 days before and 53.8% of 2,894 in
the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.9% to 5.7%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
12%
20-40
33%
40-60
37%
60-80
15%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
40%
Purge the Foe
33%
Reconnaissance
10%
Disruption
10%
Priority Assets
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Might of the Moritoi
51%
Lions of the Emperor
49%
Shield Host
41%
Tharanatoi Hammerblow
24%
Silent Hunters
18%
Solar Spearhead
2%
Talons of the Emperor
2%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Allarus Custodians
87%
Vertus Praetors
68%
Custodian Guard
65%
Blade Champion
61%
Custodian Wardens
59%
Witchseekers
58%
Shield-Captain in
Allarus Terminator
Armour
54%
Shield-Captain on
Dawneagle Jetbike
52%
Prosecutors
51%
Venatari Custodians
42%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Death Guard
Astra Militarum
Chaos Knights
Imperial Knights
Orks
Adeptus Mechanicus
Drukhari
World Eaters
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Lions of the Emperor + Might of the Moritoi 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 58 players · 5 rounds · 15 Aug
29 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
Custodian Wardens 250 Guardian spear, Vexilla
Custodian Guard 215 Guardian spear, Misericordia, Praesidium Shield, Vexilla
Custodian Guard 215 Guardian spear, Misericordia, Praesidium Shield, Vexilla
Vertus Praetors 215 Interceptor lance, Salvo launcher
Custodian Guard 215 Guardian spear, Misericordia, Praesidium Shield, Vexilla
Shield-Captain in Allarus Terminator Armour + Admonimortis 160 Balistus grenade launcher, Castellan axe
Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike + Fierce Conqueror 155 Interceptor lance, Salvo launcher
Trajann Valoris 135 Eagle’s Scream, Watcher’s Axe
Allarus Custodians 110 Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Blade Champion 110 Vaultswords
Valerian 110 Gnosis
Allarus Custodians 110 Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Lions of the Emperor + Might of the Moritoi 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
3rd place · record 5-1 · 69 players · 6 rounds · 31 Jul
12 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
Allarus Custodians 330 Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Allarus Custodians 330 Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Vertus Praetors 215 Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Vertus Praetors 215 Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Vertus Praetors 215 Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Venatari Custodians 165 Venatari lance
Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike 140 Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike 140 Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike 140 Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Allarus Custodians 110 Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
August balance & rules update (26 August)
53.9%win rate, rank 4 of 27 1,178 games 322 lists from 314 players X to X-2 finishes 1.13x entry share going first 2.5 points worse
Adeptus Custodes won 54.8% of 2,778 games in the 28 days before and 56.9% of 3,863 in
the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 5.6% to 6.5%.
2 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Might of the Moritoi
(57% to 18%) and Silent Hunters (15% to 3%).
4 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Valerian (26% to 40%), Custodian
Wardens (66% to 76%) and Prosecutors (56% to 66%).
2 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Interred Expertise
(26% to 10%) and Superior Creation (17% to 30%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
2%
0-20
19%
20-40
24%
40-60
35%
60-80
20%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
73%
Purge the Foe
17%
Disruption
5%
Reconnaissance
3%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Lions of the Emperor
61%
Shield Host
32%
Might of the Moritoi
29%
Tharanatoi Hammerblow
16%
Silent Hunters
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Allarus Custodians
93%
Custodian Wardens
75%
Vertus Praetors
73%
Witchseekers
66%
Custodian Guard
64%
Prosecutors
61%
Blade Champion
52%
Shield-Captain in
Allarus Terminator
Armour
50%
Valerian
43%
Shield-Captain on
Dawneagle Jetbike
42%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
World Eaters
Leagues of Votann
Aeldari
Blood Angels
Dark Angels
T'au Empire
Space Marines
Necrons
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Might of the Moritoi
57%
18%
-39
-17.9
Enhancement
Interred Expertise
26%
10%
-16
-9.3
Unit
Valerian
26%
40%
+15
+6.8
Detachment
Silent Hunters
15%
3%
-13
-10.1
Enhancement
Superior Creation
17%
30%
+13
+6.3
Unit
Custodian Wardens
66%
76%
+10
+4.8
Unit
Prosecutors
56%
66%
+10
+4.4
Unit
Caladius Grav-Tank
27%
17%
-10
-5.1
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Lions of the Emperor 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
2nd place · record 8-1 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
5 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Shield-Captain in Allarus Terminator Armour + Superior Creation 155 Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Other Units
Allarus Custodians 340 Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Allarus Custodians 310 Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Allarus Custodians 280 Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Vertus Praetors 215 Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike + Admonimortis 170 Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Custodian Guard 170 Guardian spear, Misericordia, Praesidium Shield, Vexilla
Vertus Praetors 145 Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Inquisitor 65 Combi-weapon, Force weapon, Psychic Gifts, Psychic Shock Wave
Prosecutors 50 Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Prosecutors 50 Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Witchseekers 50 Close combat weapon, Witchseeker flamer
Lions of the Emperor 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
2nd place · record 7-1 · 198 players · 8 rounds · 28 Aug
Show list
Other Units
Allarus Custodians 340 Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian Spear
Allarus Custodians 340 Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian Spear
Custodian Wardens 200 Guardian Spear
Custodian Guard 170 Guardian Spear, Misericordia
Custodian Guard 170 Guardian Spear, Misericordia
Custodian Guard 170 Guardian Spear, Misericordia
Blade Champion 135 Vaultswords
Trajann Valoris 135 Eagle's Scream, Watcher's Axe
Inquisitor 65 Force Weapon, Combi-weapon, Psychic gifts
Inquisitor 65 Force Weapon, Combi-weapon, Psychic gifts
Vigilators 55 Executioner greatblade
Vigilators 55 Executioner greatblade
Witchseekers 55 Close combat weapon, Witchseeker flamer
Prosecutors 45 Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Orks codex (5 September)
57.0%win rate, rank 2 of 28 4,387 games 1,243 lists from 1,072 players X to X-2 finishes 1.20x entry share going first 2.5 points better
Adeptus Custodes won 54.7% of 3,204 games in the 28 days before and 57.0% of 4,387 in
the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 5.9% to 6.7%.
3 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Might of the Moritoi
(49% to 13%), Silent Hunters (11% to 2%) and Lions of the Emperor (60% to 69%).
2 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Venerable Contemptor Dreadnought
(18% to 6%) and Prosecutors (59% to 68%).
2 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Interred Expertise
(23% to 9%) and Superior Creation (19% to 31%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
12%
20-40
28%
40-60
34%
60-80
23%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
81%
Purge the Foe
14%
Disruption
3%
Priority Assets
1%
Reconnaissance
1%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Lions of the Emperor
69%
Shield Host
25%
Tharanatoi Hammerblow
13%
Might of the Moritoi
13%
Solar Spearhead
2%
Silent Hunters
2%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Allarus Custodians
92%
Custodian Wardens
77%
Vertus Praetors
76%
Prosecutors
68%
Witchseekers
68%
Custodian Guard
62%
Blade Champion
57%
Shield-Captain in
Allarus Terminator
Armour
48%
Shield-Captain on
Dawneagle Jetbike
46%
Valerian
39%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Astra Militarum
Black Templars
Aeldari
Genestealer Cult
Death Guard
Grey Knights
Dark Angels
Orks
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Might of the Moritoi
49%
13%
-36
-18.6
Enhancement
Interred Expertise
23%
9%
-14
-9.1
Unit
Venerable Contemptor Dreadnought
18%
6%
-13
-9.3
Enhancement
Superior Creation
19%
31%
+12
+6.1
Unit
Prosecutors
59%
68%
+10
+4.6
Detachment
Silent Hunters
11%
2%
-9
-9.3
Detachment
Lions of the Emperor
60%
69%
+9
+4.1
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Adeptus Custodes 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 6-0 · 51 players · 6 rounds · 19 Sep
118 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike + Praesidius 165 Interceptor lance, Bolter :v
Other Units
Allarus Custodians 370 Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Allarus Custodians 340 Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Allarus Custodians 340 Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Custodian Wardens 250 Guardian spear, Vexilla
Vertus Praetors 145 Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Vertus Praetors 145 Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Valerian 110 Gnosis
Prosecutors 45 Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Prosecutors 45 Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Prosecutors 45 Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Lions of the Emperor 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
62nd place · record 3-0 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
165 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
Allarus Custodians 340 Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Allarus Custodians 310 Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Allarus Custodians 280 Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Vertus Praetors 215 Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Custodian Wardens 200 Guardian spear, Vexilla
Custodian Guard 170 Guardian spear, Misericordia, Praesidium Shield, Vexilla
Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike + Admonimortis 170 Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Blade Champion 110 Vaultswords
Inquisitor Draxus 110 Dirgesinger, Power fist, Psychic Tempest
Witchseekers 50 Close combat weapon, Witchseeker flamer
Prosecutors 45 Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)
53.7%win rate, rank 4 of 27 1,323 games 404 lists from 383 players X to X-2 finishes 1.07x entry share going first 5.6 points better
Adeptus Custodes won 57.0% of 4,387 games in the 28 days before and 52.5% of 3,184 in
the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 6.7% to 6.4%. The change of -4.5 points
is clear.
2 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Might of the Moritoi
(13% to 40%) and Shield Host (25% to 12%).
22 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Prosecutors (68% to 30%),
Prosecutor Squad (0% to 36%) and Witchseekers (68% to 34%).
4 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Augury Uplink (one
per army) (0% to 27%), Memento Moritoi (one per army) (0% to 17%) and Superior Creation
(31% to 16%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
6%
0-20
12%
20-40
30%
40-60
38%
60-80
14%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
75%
Purge the Foe
17%
Disruption
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Lions of the Emperor
67%
Shield Host
24%
Might of the Moritoi
15%
Tharanatoi Hammerblow
11%
Solar Spearhead
2%
Silent Hunters
2%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Allarus Custodians
89%
Custodian Wardens
76%
Vertus Praetors
73%
Custodian Guard
64%
Witchseekers
64%
Blade Champion
59%
Prosecutors
56%
Shield-Captain in
Allarus Terminator
Armour
49%
Shield-Captain on
Dawneagle Jetbike
41%
Trajann Valoris
35%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Chaos Knights
Imperial Knights
Chaos Daemons
Emperor's Children
World Eaters
Leagues of Votann
T'au Empire
Dark Angels
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Prosecutors
68%
30%
-39
-18.2
Unit
Prosecutor Squad
0%
36%
+36
+23.0
Unit
Witchseekers
68%
34%
-34
-16.0
Unit
Vertus Praetors
76%
43%
-33
-15.8
Unit
Witchseeker Squad
0%
32%
+32
+21.7
Unit
Custodian Guard
62%
32%
-30
-14.2
Unit
Telemon Heavy Dreadnought
10%
39%
+30
+16.7
Unit
Custodian Wardens
77%
48%
-30
-14.6
All 28 shifts: 20 more rows
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Might of the Moritoi
13%
40%
+28
+15.1
Enhancement
Augury Uplink (one per army)
0%
27%
+27
+19.4
Unit
Contemptor-Galatus Dreadnought
7%
33%
+26
+16.0
Unit
Trajann Valoris
31%
57%
+26
+12.4
Unit
Blade Champion
57%
33%
-24
-11.6
Unit
Valerian
39%
16%
-23
-11.8
Unit
Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike
46%
25%
-21
-10.4
Unit
Custodian Guard Sodality
0%
20%
+20
+16.7
Unit
Caladius Annihilator Grav-Tank
0%
19%
+19
+16.2
Enhancement
Memento Moritoi (one per army)
0%
17%
+17
+15.3
Unit
Venatari Custodians
33%
16%
-17
-9.3
Unit
Venatari with Verutum Lances
0%
17%
+17
+15.1
Unit
Shield-Captain in Allarus Terminator Armour
48%
32%
-16
-7.9
Enhancement
Superior Creation
31%
16%
-15
-8.4
Enhancement
Admonimortis
31%
16%
-14
-7.9
Unit
Shield-Captain
10%
23%
+13
+8.4
Detachment
Shield Host
25%
12%
-12
-7.4
Unit
Sentinel Guard Sodality
0%
12%
+12
+12.3
Unit
Allarus Custodians
92%
83%
-9
-6.5
Unit
Inquisitor Draxus
15%
7%
-8
-6.2
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Lions of the Emperor 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 4-1 · 83 players · 5 rounds · 3 Oct
24 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
Allarus Custodians 310 Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Allarus Custodians 280 Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Allarus Custodians 280 Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Custodian Wardens 250 Guardian spear, Vexilla
Custodian Guard 170 Guardian spear
Venatari Custodians 165 Venatari lance
Vertus Praetors 145 Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Vertus Praetors 145 Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Valerian 110 Gnosis
Prosecutors 50 Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Witchseekers 50 Close combat weapon, Witchseeker flamer
Prosecutors 45 Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Lions of the Emperor 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 4-1 · 18 players · 5 rounds · 3 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
Allarus Custodians 280 Balistus grenade launcher, Castellan axe
Custodian Guard 215 Guardian spear, Misericordia, Praesidium Shield, Vexilla
Custodian Guard 215 Guardian spear, Misericordia, Praesidium Shield, Vexilla
Custodian Guard 215 Guardian spear, Misericordia, Praesidium Shield, Vexilla
Vertus Praetors 215 Interceptor lance, Salvo launcher
Vertus Praetors 215 Interceptor lance, Salvo launcher
Caladius Grav-Tank 210
Blade Champion 125 Vaultswords
Shield-Captain 110 Guardian spear
Blade Champion 110 Vaultswords
Prosecutors 45 Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Prosecutors 45 Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)
51.6%win rate, rank 8 of 27 1,861 games 604 lists from 580 players X to X-2 finishes 0.79x entry share going first 1.5 points worse
Adeptus Custodes's codex arrived on this date.
Adeptus Custodes won 54.9% of 3,841 games in the 28 days before and 51.6% of 1,861 in
the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 6.5% to 7.0%.
4 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Might of the Moritoi
(14% to 57%), Shield Host (24% to 5%) and Auric Champions (1% to 12%).
24 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Prosecutor Squad (1% to
58%), Witchseeker Squad (0% to 53%) and Witchseekers (67% to 14%).
7 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Augury Uplink (one
per army) (0% to 44%), Memento Moritoi (one per army) (0% to 29%) and Admonimortis (32%
to 6%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
16%
20-40
39%
40-60
34%
60-80
8%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
67%
Purge the Foe
21%
Priority Assets
6%
Disruption
4%
Reconnaissance
2%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Lions of the Emperor
63%
Might of the Moritoi
57%
Auric Champions
12%
Shield Host
5%
Guardians of the Throne
4%
Tharanatoi Hammerblow
3%
Null Maiden Vigil
1%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Allarus Custodians
79%
Trajann Valoris
71%
Prosecutor Squad
58%
Telemon Heavy
Dreadnought
57%
Witchseeker Squad
53%
Contemptor-Galatus
Dreadnought
49%
Custodian Guard Sodality
33%
Caladius Annihilator
Grav-Tank
32%
Shield-Captain
30%
Custodian Wardens
28%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Tyranids
Chaos Knights
Astra Militarum
Emperor's Children
Space Wolves
Chaos Space Marines
Orks
Adepta Sororitas
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Prosecutor Squad
1%
58%
+58
+28.1
Unit
Witchseeker Squad
0%
53%
+53
+26.6
Unit
Witchseekers
67%
14%
-52
-20.7
Unit
Prosecutors
65%
13%
-52
-20.6
Unit
Custodian Guard
62%
11%
-52
-20.6
Unit
Vertus Praetors
75%
24%
-51
-20.4
Unit
Custodian Wardens
77%
28%
-49
-19.6
Unit
Telemon Heavy Dreadnought
12%
57%
+45
+19.9
All 35 shifts: 27 more rows
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Enhancement
Augury Uplink (one per army)
0%
44%
+44
+23.9
Detachment
Might of the Moritoi
14%
57%
+43
+18.8
Unit
Blade Champion
57%
15%
-42
-16.7
Unit
Contemptor-Galatus Dreadnought
8%
49%
+41
+19.6
Unit
Trajann Valoris
32%
71%
+39
+15.6
Unit
Custodian Guard Sodality
0%
33%
+33
+20.1
Unit
Caladius Annihilator Grav-Tank
0%
32%
+32
+19.8
Unit
Valerian
37%
6%
-31
-14.1
Unit
Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike
45%
15%
-30
-12.6
Enhancement
Memento Moritoi (one per army)
0%
29%
+29
+18.7
Unit
Shield-Captain in Allarus Terminator Armour
48%
20%
-27
-11.2
Unit
Venatari with Verutum Lances
0%
27%
+27
+18.0
Enhancement
Admonimortis
32%
6%
-26
-12.3
Enhancement
Superior Creation
29%
7%
-22
-10.6
Unit
Venatari Custodians
29%
8%
-21
-10.3
Detachment
Shield Host
24%
5%
-20
-10.2
Unit
Sentinel Guard Sodality
0%
19%
+19
+15.1
Unit
Shield-Captain
11%
30%
+18
+9.5
Unit
Caladius Grav-Tank
18%
5%
-12
-7.2
Unit
Allarus Custodians
90%
79%
-12
-6.6
Unit
Inquisitor Draxus
14%
2%
-12
-7.7
Detachment
Auric Champions
1%
12%
+11
+10.3
Unit
Aquilon Terminators with Solarite Power Gauntlets
0%
11%
+11
+11.1
Enhancement
Sally Forth
0%
9%
+9
+9.9
Enhancement
Panoptispex
10%
1%
-9
-7.1
Enhancement
Interred Expertise
10%
1%
-9
-7.0
Detachment
Tharanatoi Hammerblow
12%
3%
-9
-6.2
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Might of the Moritoi 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
3rd place · record 5-1 · 85 players · 6 rounds · 17 Oct
13 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Shield-Captain 205
Battleline
Custodian Guard Sodality 240 Guardian Spear
Custodian Guard Sodality 240 Guardian Spear
Other Units
Telemon Heavy Dreadnought + Augury Uplink (one per army) 310 Dual Caestus Fists, Spiculus Bolt Launcher, Twin Neutronium Cascade Projectors
Custodian Wardens 295 Guardian Spear, Vexilla
Caladius Annihilator Grav-Tank 250
Contemptor-Galatus Dreadnought 250
Witchseeker Squad 60 Flamer, Gun Stock
Witchseeker Squad 60 Flamer, Gun Stock
Prosecutor Squad 45 Boltgun, Gun Stock
Prosecutor Squad 45 Boltgun, Gun Stock
Lions of the Emperor + Might of the Moritoi 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 4-1 · 111 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
68 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
Telemon Heavy Dreadnought + Augury Uplink (one per army) 310 Dual Caestus Fists, Spiculus Bolt Launcher, Twin Neutronium Cascade Projectors
Allarus Custodians 270 Balistus Grenade Launcher, Guardian Spear, Vexilla, Castellan Axe
Allarus Custodians 270 Balistus Grenade Launcher, Guardian Spear, Vexilla, Castellan Axe
Venatari with Verutum Lances 270 Verutum Lance
Trajann Valoris 265 Eagle’s Scream, Watcher’s Axe
Caladius Annihilator Grav-Tank 250
Allarus Custodians 210 Balistus Grenade Launcher, Guardian Spear, Vexilla, Castellan Axe
Witchseeker Squad 60 Flamer, Gun Stock
Prosecutor Squad 50 Boltgun, Gun Stock
Prosecutor Squad 45 Boltgun, Gun Stock
Deathwatch
Deathwatch Whole edition Pick-rate shifts Matchups Over time Results brackets Units Detachments Combinations Enhancements Force Disposition Lists Team events Milestones 22 Jul 26 Aug 5 Sep 3 Oct 17 Oct
Whole edition
53.7%win rate, rank 4 of 28 1,715 games 462 lists from 286 players top-10% finishes 1.23x entry share going first 4.0 points better 54.8% adjusted for player skill
Deathwatch won 53.7% of 1,715 games, 3.7 points above an even win rate
(rank 4 of 28). Lieutenant with Combi-weapon went from 59% to 4% of the faction's lists
between the first period and the last 28 days. Without its three most active players the
win rate would be 52.1%, so a few players carry part of the result. With 1,715 games the
intervals are wide throughout.
Pick-rate shifts
Type
Name
First period
Prior 28 days
Last 28 days
Change vs first period (pp)
Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Unit
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon
59%
8%
4%
-55
-4
Enhancement
Thief of Secrets
39%
62%
8%
-31
-53
Unit
Intercessor Squad
72%
43%
25%
-47
-18
Unit
Talonstrike Kill Team
23%
55%
18%
-5
-37
Enhancement
The Tome of Ectoclades
47%
78%
42%
-6
-37
Unit
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike
25%
51%
17%
-9
-34
Unit
Fortis Kill Team
49%
42%
15%
-34
-26
Detachment
Black Spear Task Force
66%
88%
63%
-3
-25
Unit
Inceptor Squad
7%
7%
29%
+22
+22
Detachment
Librarius Conclave
22%
8%
1%
-21
-7
Matchups
Among pairings with 60 or more games, the best matchup is Imperial Knights (67.5% over
63 games) and the worst is Orks (44.0% over 108).
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Imperial Knights
63
67.5%
55.2% to 77.7%
55.1%
+12.3
favourable
Grey Knights
52
67.3%
53.8% to 78.5%
56.6%
+10.7
favourable
Adepta Sororitas
37
64.9%
48.8% to 78.2%
53.4%
+11.4
Chaos Daemons
68
60.3%
48.4% to 71.1%
49.0%
+11.3
Genestealer Cult
25
60.0%
40.7% to 76.6%
56.2%
+3.8
Drukhari
44
47.7%
33.8% to 62.1%
56.8%
-9.1
Adeptus Mechanicus
44
47.7%
33.8% to 62.1%
53.2%
-5.5
Necrons
110
46.4%
37.3% to 55.6%
52.3%
-5.9
World Eaters
95
44.2%
34.6% to 54.2%
53.8%
-9.6
Orks
108
44.0%
35.0% to 53.4%
48.5%
-4.5
All 27 matchups: 17 more rows
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Astra Militarum
42
59.5%
44.5% to 73.0%
63.0%
-3.5
Leagues of Votann
61
59.0%
46.5% to 70.5%
51.9%
+7.1
Chaos Knights
55
58.2%
45.0% to 70.3%
56.8%
+1.4
Chaos Space Marines
73
57.5%
46.1% to 68.2%
56.5%
+1.0
Thousand Sons
49
57.1%
43.3% to 70.0%
53.4%
+3.8
Space Wolves
49
57.1%
43.3% to 70.0%
54.7%
+2.5
Blood Angels
44
56.8%
42.2% to 70.3%
57.7%
-0.9
Black Templars
32
56.2%
39.3% to 71.8%
58.4%
-2.2
Dark Angels
72
55.6%
44.1% to 66.5%
50.3%
+5.2
Space Marines
136
53.7%
45.3% to 61.8%
55.1%
-1.4
Aeldari
46
53.3%
39.2% to 66.9%
58.1%
-4.8
Adeptus Custodes
97
52.6%
42.7% to 62.2%
49.6%
+3.0
Tyranids
83
51.2%
40.6% to 61.7%
53.9%
-2.7
Emperor's Children
76
50.7%
39.7% to 61.6%
52.4%
-1.8
T'au Empire
80
50.6%
39.9% to 61.3%
52.0%
-1.4
Death Guard
70
50.0%
38.6% to 61.4%
55.5%
-5.5
Imperial Agents
4
50.0%
15.0% to 85.0%
60.0%
-10.0
Over time
Share of games per week (%)
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
0.5
0.9
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval
40
60
50.0
47.9
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Period
Lists
Share of all lists
Games
Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul
99
0.6%
343
48.7%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug
126
0.7%
471
54.7%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct
164
0.7%
651
57.5%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct
73
0.5%
250
49.0%
Around each milestone, 28 days before and after
Milestone
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul)
269 / 347
48.5% to 53.9%
+5.4
+1.3
0.6% to 0.7%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug)
369 / 487
53.5% to 57.7%
+4.2
+1.2
0.7% to 0.8%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep)
471 / 483
53.9% to 58.4%
+4.5
+1.4
0.9% to 0.7%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct)
483 / 250
58.4% to 49.0%
-9.4
-2.4
0.7% to 0.5%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data
371 / 115
53.9% to 48.7%
-5.2
-1.0
0.6% to 0.4%
Results brackets
58 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 9 won X,
15 won X-1 and 34 won X-2, from 119 entries.
Share of players by share of games won
5%
0-20
17%
20-40
28%
40-60
31%
60-80
20%
80-100
line = all factions
Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2
1.3%
X
0.7%
X-1
0.8%
X-2
dashed = share of entries, 0.7%
Bracket tables
Tier
Lists
Share of tier
Share of entries
Ratio
z
X
9
1.3%
0.7%
1.90x
+2.0
X-1
15
0.7%
0.7%
1.01x
+0.1
X-2
34
0.8%
0.7%
1.15x
+0.8
X to X-2
58
0.8%
0.7%
1.18x
+1.3
Share of games won
Players
Share of players
All players
0 to 20%
5
4.6%
4.1%
20 to 40%
18
16.7%
17.2%
40 to 60%
30
27.8%
32.2%
60 to 80%
33
30.6%
30.1%
80 to 100%
22
20.4%
16.4%
Units
A typical list contains 10 distinct units. 5 units appear in at least half of all lists
and 19 in at least 10%. The most common is Indomitor Kill Team (82% of lists).
Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-10
-5
0
+5
+10
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-4
-2
0
+2
+4
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Most played units
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Indomitor Kill Team
377
81.6%
-0.8 ± 1.2
-0.6
Captain In Gravis Armour
353
76.4%
-1.1 ± 1.3
-0.9
Deathwatch Terminator Squad
311
67.3%
-0.8 ± 1.4
-0.6
Deathwatch Veterans
304
65.8%
+0.1 ± 1.4
+0.1
Watch Master
234
50.6%
+0.4 ± 1.6
+0.2
Intercessor Squad
203
43.9%
+0.9 ± 1.7
+0.5
Incursor Squad
196
42.4%
+0.2 ± 1.7
+0.1
Talonstrike Kill Team
184
39.8%
-0.3 ± 1.6
-0.2
Fortis Kill Team
180
39.0%
-1.3 ± 1.7
-0.8
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike
168
36.4%
+1.6 ± 1.7
+0.9
Decimus Kill Team
113
24.5%
+1.1 ± 2.5
+0.4
Lieutenant
111
24.0%
+2.0 ± 2.0
+1.0
Detachments
3 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 1 of them accounts for 80% of picks. The most
played is Black Spear Task Force (78% of lists), and 14% of lists run more than one detachment.
Detachment
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
P1
P2
P3
P4
Black Spear Task Force
361
78%
-0.8 ± 1.3
-0.6
66%
86%
88%
60%
Librarius Conclave
50
11%
+4.3 ± 3.6
+1.2
22%
11%
9%
0%
Bastion Task Force
33
7%
-2.6 ± 5.2
-0.5
17%
6%
5%
0%
Combinations
One combination of two or more detachments appears in 15 or more lists. The most common
is Bastion Task Force + Librarius Conclave (26 lists, 6%).
Combination table
Combination
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Bastion Task Force + Librarius Conclave
26
6%
+6.2 ± 6.4
+1.0
Enhancements
4 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is The Tome of Ectoclades
(64% of lists).
Enhancement table
Enhancement
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
The Tome of Ectoclades
294
64%
+1.6 ± 1.4
+1.2
Thief of Secrets
187
40%
+1.5 ± 1.8
+0.9
Beacon Angelis
143
31%
-0.0 ± 2.0
-0.0
Hero of the Chapter
28
6%
-5.7 ± 5.2
-1.1
Force Disposition
Force Disposition table
Disposition
Share of games
Games
Win rate
Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Purge the Foe
76%
1,142
54.5%
+1.0 ± 1.6
Take and Hold
11%
163
58.0%
n/a
Priority Assets
10%
144
47.9%
n/a
Reconnaissance
2%
29
58.6%
n/a
Disruption
1%
19
55.3%
n/a
Each extra 2.3 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 8.8 points
lower; the average list has 9.9. The five most active players account for 9.8% of its games.
Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, milestone moves, unit effects,
detachment effects, combination effects, enhancement effects, Force Disposition, results
brackets and terrain layout.
Representative lists
Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists
are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events
with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties,
and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.
Black Spear Task Force 1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
17th place · record 8-1 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
25 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Deathwatch Veterans 190 Astartes shield, Xenophase blade, Black Shield blades, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Frag cannon, Power weapon
Deathwatch Veterans 100 Astartes shield, Xenophase blade, Black Shield blades, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Frag cannon, Power weapon
Intercessor Squad 80 Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Other Units
Indomitor Kill Team 275 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch heavy bolt rifle, Deathwatch heavy bolter, Flamestorm gauntlets ...
Indomitor Kill Team 275 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch heavy bolt rifle, Deathwatch heavy bolter, Flamestorm gauntlets ...
Talonstrike Kill Team 265 Plasma pistol, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Assault bolters, Close combat weapon
Deathwatch Terminator Squad 180 Power fist, Storm bolter, Cyclone missile launcher
Deathwatch Terminator Squad 180 Power fist, Storm bolter, Cyclone missile launcher
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 135 Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Watch Master + The Tome of Ectoclades 125 Vigil spear
Captain In Gravis Armour 105
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 85
Librarius Conclave 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
2nd place · record 6-0 · 130 players · 6 rounds · 22 Aug
8 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
10× Deathwatch Veterans 190 have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
5× Deathwatch Veterans 100 have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
5× Deathwatch Veterans 100 have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
5× Deathwatch Veterans 100 have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
5× Deathwatch Veterans 100 have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
5× Deathwatch Veterans 100 have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
Dedicated Transports
Rhino 65
Rhino 65
Other Units
Fortis Kill Team 195 has Bolter and Grenade Launcher, have Bolters, have Plamsa Incinerators, has Plasma Incinerator and Plasma Pistol ...
Fortis Kill Team 195 has Bolter and Grenade Launcher, have Bolters, have Plamsa Incinerators, has Plasma Incinerator and Plasma Pistol ...
5× infiltrators 110
Librarian 100
Librarian 95
Librarian 95
5× Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 85
5× Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 85
5× incursors 85
Lieutenant 45
Lieutenant 45
Lieutenant 45
Team events
60.8%win rate in team events 245 games 59 lists from 50 players +8.3 points against individual events going first 5.2 points better
Deathwatch won 60.8% of 245 team event games, against 52.5% of 1,470 in individual events:
8.3 points higher (not clear). It makes up 0.5% of team event games and 0.7% of individual
event games.
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
79%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments
share
win rate
Black Spear Task Force
76%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Milestones
5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after,
with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.
July balance & rules update (22 July)
53.9%win rate, rank 4 of 28 347 games 92 lists from 76 players X to X-2 finishes 1.21x entry share going first 0.8 points better
Deathwatch won 48.5% of 269 games in the 28 days before and 53.9% of 347 in the 28 days
after. Its share of games went from 0.6% to 0.7%.
2 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Lieutenant with Combi-weapon
(54% to 16%) and Intercessor Squad (71% to 35%).
One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: The Tome of Ectoclades
(42% to 73%).
Nothing clear turned up in detachments.
Charts for this window
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
85%
Take and Hold
11%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Black Spear Task Force
84%
Librarius Conclave
12%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Indomitor Kill Team
83%
Captain In Gravis Armour
75%
Deathwatch Veterans
70%
Deathwatch Terminator
Squad
64%
Watch Master
50%
Fortis Kill Team
45%
Talonstrike Kill Team
43%
Incursor Squad
42%
Intercessor Squad
35%
Storm Speeder
Thunderstrike
35%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon
54%
16%
-37
-5.2
Unit
Intercessor Squad
71%
35%
-36
-4.8
Enhancement
The Tome of Ectoclades
42%
73%
+30
+4.0
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Black Spear Task Force 1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
2nd place · record 6-0 · 83 players · 6 rounds · 8 Aug
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Decimus Kill Team 100 Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Plasma incinerator, Heavy thunder hammer ...
Decimus Kill Team 100 Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Plasma incinerator, Heavy thunder hammer ...
Other Units
Indomitor Kill Team 275 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch heavy bolt rifle, Deathwatch heavy bolter, Flamestorm gauntlets ...
Indomitor Kill Team 275 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch heavy bolt rifle, Deathwatch heavy bolter, Flamestorm gauntlets ...
Talonstrike Kill Team 265 Plasma pistol, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Assault bolters, Close combat weapon, Plasma exterminators
Talonstrike Kill Team 265 Plasma pistol, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Assault bolters, Close combat weapon, Plasma exterminators
Deathwatch Terminator Squad 190 Storm Shield, Thunder hammer, Cyclone missile launcher, Power fist, Storm bolter
Spectrus Kill Team 170 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch marksman bolt carbine, Helix Gauntlet, Instigator Bolt Carbine, Las fusil ...
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 135 Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Captain In Gravis Armour 110
Infiltrator Squad 110 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Marksman bolt carbine, Helix Gauntlet, Infiltrator Comms Array
Black Spear Task Force 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 32 players · 5 rounds · 25 Jul
Show list
Characters
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon 85 Combi-weapon, Paired combat blades
Battleline
Deathwatch Veterans 190 Astartes shield, Xenophase blade, Black Shield blades, Boltgun, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Power weapon
Other Units
Indomitor Kill Team 275 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch heavy bolt rifle, Deathwatch heavy bolter, Flamestorm gauntlets ...
Indomitor Kill Team 275 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch heavy bolt rifle, Deathwatch heavy bolter, Flamestorm gauntlets ...
Talonstrike Kill Team 265 Plasma pistol, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Plasma exterminators
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 135 Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 135 Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Captain In Gravis Armour 110
Land Speeder 95 Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Land Speeder 95 Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Chaplain + Beacon Angelis 85 Absolvor bolt pistol, Crozius arcanum
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 85
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 85
Incursor Squad 85 Bolt pistol, Occulus bolt carbine, Paired combat blades, Haywire Mine
August balance & rules update (26 August)
54.8%win rate, rank 2 of 27 168 games 39 lists from 38 players going first 9.7 points better
Deathwatch won 53.5% of 369 games in the 28 days before and 57.7% of 487 in the 28 days
after. Its share of games went from 0.7% to 0.8%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
87%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Black Spear Task Force
90%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Captain In Gravis Armour
90%
Indomitor Kill Team
87%
Deathwatch Veterans
82%
Deathwatch Terminator
Squad
79%
Storm Speeder
Thunderstrike
67%
Talonstrike Kill Team
64%
Watch Master
56%
Intercessor Squad
49%
Incursor Squad
46%
Fortis Kill Team
41%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Black Spear Task Force 1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
17th place · record 8-1 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
9 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Deathwatch Veterans 190 Astartes shield, Xenophase blade, Black Shield blades, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Frag cannon, Power weapon
Deathwatch Veterans 100 Astartes shield, Xenophase blade, Black Shield blades, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Frag cannon, Power weapon
Intercessor Squad 80 Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Other Units
Indomitor Kill Team 275 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch heavy bolt rifle, Deathwatch heavy bolter, Flamestorm gauntlets ...
Indomitor Kill Team 275 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch heavy bolt rifle, Deathwatch heavy bolter, Flamestorm gauntlets ...
Talonstrike Kill Team 265 Plasma pistol, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Assault bolters, Close combat weapon
Deathwatch Terminator Squad 180 Power fist, Storm bolter, Cyclone missile launcher
Deathwatch Terminator Squad 180 Power fist, Storm bolter, Cyclone missile launcher
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 135 Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Watch Master + The Tome of Ectoclades 125 Vigil spear
Captain In Gravis Armour 105
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 85
Librarius Conclave 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 3-0 · 11 players · 3 rounds · 30 Aug
Show list
Battleline
10× Deathwatch Veterans 190 have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
5× Deathwatch Veterans 100 have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
5× Deathwatch Veterans 100 have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
5× Deathwatch Veterans 100 have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
5× Deathwatch Veterans 100 have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
5× Deathwatch Veterans 100 have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
Dedicated Transports
Rhino 65
Rhino 65
Other Units
Fortis Kill Team 195 has Bolter and Grenade Launcher, have Bolters, have Plamsa Incinerators, has Plasma Incinerator and Plasma Pistol ...
Fortis Kill Team 195 has Bolter and Grenade Launcher, have Bolters, have Plamsa Incinerators, has Plasma Incinerator and Plasma Pistol ...
Librarian 100
Librarian 95
Librarian 95
5× Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 85
5× Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 85
5× reivers 75
6× Inquisitorial Agents 60 Tome Skull, has Plasma Pistol, has Eviscerator, has Mystic Stave
6× Inquisitorial Agents 60 Tome Skull, has Plasma Pistol, has Eviscerator, has Mystic Stave
Lieutenant 45
Lieutenant 45
Lieutenant 45
Orks codex (5 September)
58.4%win rate, rank 1 of 28 483 games 125 lists from 104 players going first 2.7 points better
Deathwatch won 53.9% of 471 games in the 28 days before and 58.4% of 483 in the 28 days
after. Its share of games went from 0.9% to 0.7%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
90%
Take and Hold
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Black Spear Task Force
87%
Librarius Conclave
9%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Indomitor Kill Team
86%
Captain In Gravis Armour
82%
Deathwatch Terminator
Squad
72%
Deathwatch Veterans
62%
Watch Master
58%
Talonstrike Kill Team
53%
Storm Speeder
Thunderstrike
48%
Incursor Squad
46%
Fortis Kill Team
43%
Intercessor Squad
42%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Librarius Conclave 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
3rd place · record 5-1 · 52 players · 6 rounds · 19 Sep
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
10× Deathwatch Veterans 190 have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
10× Deathwatch Veterans 190 have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
5× Deathwatch Veterans 100 have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
5× Deathwatch Veterans 100 have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
5× Deathwatch Veterans 100 have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
Dedicated Transports
Rhino 65
Rhino 65
Other Units
Fortis Kill Team 195 has Bolter and Grenade Launcher, have Bolters, have Plamsa Incinerators, has Plasma Incinerator and Plasma Pistol ...
Fortis Kill Team 195 has Bolter and Grenade Launcher, have Bolters, have Plamsa Incinerators, has Plasma Incinerator and Plasma Pistol ...
Librarian 100
Librarian 95
Librarian 95
5× Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 85
5× Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 85
5× incursors 85
6× Inquisitorial Agents 60 Tome Skull, has Plasma Pistol, has Eviscerator, has Mystic Stave
6× Inquisitorial Agents 60 Tome Skull, has Plasma Pistol, has Eviscerator, has Mystic Stave
Lieutenant 45
Lieutenant 45
Lieutenant 45
Black Spear Task Force 1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 32 players · 5 rounds · 12 Sep
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Deathwatch Veterans 190 Astartes shield, Xenophase blade, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Frag cannon, Infernus heavy bolter, Power weapon
Allied Units
Eversor Assassin 110 Executioner pistol, Power sword and neuro gauntlet
Other Units
Indomitor Kill Team 275 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch heavy bolt rifle, Deathwatch heavy bolter, Flamestorm gauntlets ...
Indomitor Kill Team 275 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch heavy bolt rifle, Deathwatch heavy bolter, Flamestorm gauntlets ...
Deathwatch Terminator Squad 190 Storm Shield, Thunder hammer, Cyclone missile launcher, Power fist, Storm bolter
Deathwatch Terminator Squad 190 Storm Shield, Thunder hammer, Cyclone missile launcher, Power fist, Storm bolter
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 135 Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Inceptor Squad 125 Close combat weapon, Plasma exterminators, Assault bolters
Inceptor Squad 125 Close combat weapon, Plasma exterminators, Assault bolters
Captain In Gravis Armour 110
Librarian + Beacon Angelis 95 Bolt pistol, Force weapon, Smite
Ancient In Terminator Armour 90
Incursor Squad 85 Bolt pistol, Occulus bolt carbine, Paired combat blades, Haywire Mine
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)
49.3%win rate, rank 15 of 27 135 games 41 lists from 38 players going first 8.5 points better
Deathwatch won 58.4% of 483 games in the 28 days before and 49.0% of 250 in the 23 days
after. Its share of games went from 0.7% to 0.5%.
One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Black Spear Task
Force (87% to 60%).
4 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Talonstrike Kill Team (53%
to 14%), Storm Speeder Thunderstrike (48% to 14%) and Fortis Kill Team (43% to 10%).
2 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Thief of Secrets
(60% to 4%) and The Tome of Ectoclades (77% to 37%).
Charts for this window
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
66%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Black Spear Task Force
61%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Deathwatch Terminator
Squad
73%
Indomitor Kill Team
68%
Deathwatch Veterans
61%
Captain In Gravis Armour
54%
Watch Master
44%
Inceptor Squad
32%
Incursor Squad
29%
Assault Intercessors
With Jump Packs
27%
Rhino
24%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Enhancement
Thief of Secrets
60%
4%
-56
-7.8
Enhancement
The Tome of Ectoclades
77%
37%
-40
-5.6
Unit
Talonstrike Kill Team
53%
14%
-39
-5.5
Unit
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike
48%
14%
-34
-4.9
Unit
Fortis Kill Team
43%
10%
-34
-4.9
Detachment
Black Spear Task Force
87%
60%
-27
-4.4
Unit
Inceptor Squad
8%
30%
+22
+4.1
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Black Spear Task Force 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 3-0 · 16 players · 3 rounds · 10 Oct
Show list
Battleline
Deathwatch Veterans 220 Combi-weapon, Xenophase Blade, Frag Cannon, Heavy Thunder Hammer, Knives and Fists, Power Weapon, Storm Shield
Deathwatch Veterans 220 Combi-weapon, Xenophase Blade, Frag Cannon, Heavy Thunder Hammer, Knives and Fists, Power Weapon, Storm Shield
Decimus Kill Team 210 Plasma Pistol, Power Weapon, Bolt Pistol, Grenade Launcher, Hellstorm Bolt Rifle, Knives and Fists ...
Other Units
Indomitor Kill Team 280 Ceramite Fists, Deathwatch Heavy Bolt Rifle, Deathwatch Heavy Bolter, Flamestorm Gauntlets, Twin Power Fists ...
Indomitor Kill Team 280 Ceramite Fists, Deathwatch Heavy Bolt Rifle, Deathwatch Heavy Bolter, Flamestorm Gauntlets, Twin Power Fists ...
Inceptor Squad 260 Assault Bolters, Ceramite Fists
Deathwatch Terminator Squad 200 Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer, Plasma Cannon, Power Fist
Deathwatch Terminator Squad 200 Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer, Plasma Cannon, Power Fist
Watch Master + Beacon Angelis 130 Vigil Spear
Black Spear Task Force 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 3-0 · 16 players · 3 rounds · 11 Oct
Show list
Battleline
10× Deathwatch Veterans 220 have Hammers, have Frag Cannons, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, has Black Shield Blades, has Frag Cannon, has Infernus Heavy Bolter
5× Deathwatch Veterans 115 have Hammers, have Frag Cannons, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, has Black Shield Blades, has Frag Cannon, has Infernus Heavy Bolter
5× Deathwatch Veterans 115 have Hammers, have Frag Cannons, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, has Black Shield Blades, has Frag Cannon, has Infernus Heavy Bolter
5× Deathwatch Veterans 115 have Hammers, have Frag Cannons, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, has Black Shield Blades, has Frag Cannon, has Infernus Heavy Bolter
5× Deathwatch Veterans 115 have Hammers, have Frag Cannons, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, has Black Shield Blades, has Frag Cannon, has Infernus Heavy Bolter
5× Deathwatch Veterans 115 have Hammers, have Frag Cannons, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, has Black Shield Blades, has Frag Cannon, has Infernus Heavy Bolter
Dedicated Transports
Rhino 70
Rhino 70
Other Units
Indomitor Kill Team 280 have Flamestorm Gauntlets, have Bolt Rifles, have Heavy Bolters, have Melta Rifles, has Multi-melta
5× deathwatch terminators 200
5× deathwatch terminators 200
Watch Master 130
5× incursors 90
5× incursors 90
librarian in phobos armor 75
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)
48.7%win rate, rank 16 of 27 115 games 32 lists from 32 players
Deathwatch won 53.9% of 371 games in the 28 days before and 48.7% of 115 in the 9 days
after. Its share of games went from 0.6% to 0.4%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
57%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Black Spear Task Force
59%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Deathwatch Terminator
Squad
78%
Indomitor Kill Team
72%
Captain In Gravis Armour
66%
Deathwatch Veterans
50%
Watch Master
34%
Incursor Squad
31%
Inceptor Squad
28%
Intercessor Squad
28%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Black Spear Task Force 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 3-0 · 16 players · 3 rounds · 25 Oct
Show list
Battleline
10× Deathwatch Veterans 220 have Hammers, have Frag Cannons, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, has Black Shield Blades, has Frag Cannon, has Infernus Heavy Bolter
5× Deathwatch Veterans 115 have Hammers, have Frag Cannons, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, has Black Shield Blades, has Frag Cannon, has Infernus Heavy Bolter
5× Deathwatch Veterans 115 have Hammers, have Frag Cannons, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, has Black Shield Blades, has Frag Cannon, has Infernus Heavy Bolter
5× Deathwatch Veterans 115 have Hammers, have Frag Cannons, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, has Black Shield Blades, has Frag Cannon, has Infernus Heavy Bolter
5× Deathwatch Veterans 115 have Hammers, have Frag Cannons, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, has Black Shield Blades, has Frag Cannon, has Infernus Heavy Bolter
5× Deathwatch Veterans 115 have Hammers, have Frag Cannons, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, has Black Shield Blades, has Frag Cannon, has Infernus Heavy Bolter
Dedicated Transports
Rhino 70
Rhino 70
Other Units
Indomitor Kill Team 280 have Flamestorm Gauntlets, have Bolt Rifles, have Heavy Bolters, have Melta Rifles, has Multi-melta
5× deathwatch terminators 200
5× deathwatch terminators 200
Watch Master 130
5× incursors 90
5× incursors 90
librarian in phobos armor 75
Black Spear Task Force 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
3rd place · record 3-1 · 19 players · 4 rounds · 24 Oct
Show list
Battleline
Deathwatch Veterans 220 Combi-weapon, Xenophase Blade, Black Shield Blades, Heavy Thunder Hammer, Power Weapon, Storm Shield
Deathwatch Veterans 220 Combi-weapon, Xenophase Blade, Black Shield Blades, Heavy Thunder Hammer, Power Weapon, Storm Shield
Dedicated Transports
Rhino 70 Armoured Tracks, Hunter-killer Missile, Storm Bolter
Rhino 70 Armoured Tracks, Hunter-killer Missile, Storm Bolter
Other Units
Indomitor Kill Team 280 Ceramite Fists, Deathwatch Heavy Bolt Rifle, Flamestorm Gauntlets, Twin Power Fists, Bolt Pistol, Melta Rifle, Multi-melta
Indomitor Kill Team 280 Ceramite Fists, Deathwatch Heavy Bolt Rifle, Flamestorm Gauntlets, Twin Power Fists, Bolt Pistol, Melta Rifle, Multi-melta
Deathwatch Terminator Squad 190 Power Fist, Storm Bolter, Plasma Cannon
Inceptor Squad 130 Assault Bolters, Ceramite Fists
Watch Master + The Tome of Ectoclades 120 Vigil Spear
Captain In Gravis Armour 90
Incursor Squad 90 Bolt Pistol, Occulus Bolt Carbine, Paired Combat Blades
Incursor Squad 90 Bolt Pistol, Occulus Bolt Carbine, Paired Combat Blades
Ancient In Terminator Armour 75
Watch Captain Artemis 75 Hellfire Extremis, Master-crafted Power Weapon
Dark Angels
Dark Angels Whole edition Force Disposition Over time Units Detachments Combinations Enhancements Pick-rate shifts Matchups Results brackets Lists Team events Milestones 22 Jul 26 Aug 5 Sep 3 Oct 17 Oct
Whole edition
53.5%win rate, rank 5 of 28 11,069 games 3,228 lists from 1,891 players top-10% finishes 1.34x entry share going first 1.7 points better 54.4% adjusted for player skill
Dark Angels climbed from 48.0% in the first period (19 Jun to 21 Jul) to
54.1% in the latest (3 Oct to 25 Oct), one of 10 factions with a clear change over the
period. Redemptor Dreadnought is in 8% of lists, and lists with it have a win rate 7.2
points below comparable lists. The season figure is 53.5% (rank 5 of 28, 11,069 games),
which understates where it stands now. Company of Hunters went from 51% to 7% of the faction's
lists over the last 28 days compared with the 28 before. Stormlance Task Force lists have
a win rate 8.7 points above the faction average and make up 5% of the faction's lists.
Force Disposition
Reconnaissance has a win rate 9.6 points above the faction's other choices, Priority
Assets has a win rate 4.7 points below the faction's other choices and Take and Hold has
a win rate 5.2 points below the faction's other choices.
Disposition
Share of games
Games
Win rate
Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Reconnaissance
34%
3,443
63.0%
+9.6 ± 0.9
Priority Assets
33%
3,274
48.8%
-4.7 ± 0.9
Take and Hold
25%
2,463
48.4%
-5.2 ± 1.0
Disruption
5%
529
58.1%
+4.7 ± 2.4
Purge the Foe
3%
331
52.7%
-1.0 ± 3.2
Over time
Its share of lists went from 3.4% to 5.0%.
Share of games per week (%)
3
4
5
5.5
3.6
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval
40
50
60
July balance & rules update
52.8
48.1
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Period
Lists
Share of all lists
Games
Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul
540
3.4%
1,820
48.0%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug
896
4.9%
2,934
53.6%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct
1,043
4.5%
3,820
55.6%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct
749
5.0%
2,495
54.1%
July balance & rules update was followed by a change of +5.7 points in win rate,
measured over the 28 days either side.
Around each milestone, 28 days before and after
Milestone
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul)
1,534 / 2,343
48.0% to 53.8%
+5.7
+3.5
3.4% to 4.6%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug)
2,338 / 2,623
54.2% to 55.8%
+1.5
+1.1
4.7% to 4.4%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep)
2,545 / 2,984
55.2% to 55.7%
+0.5
+0.4
4.7% to 4.6%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct)
2,984 / 2,495
55.7% to 54.1%
-1.6
-1.1
4.6% to 5.0%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data
2,776 / 1,409
54.9% to 54.0%
-0.9
-0.5
4.7% to 5.3%
Units
A typical list contains 12 distinct units. 5 units appear in at least half of all lists
and 30 in at least 10%. The most common is Azrael (72% of lists). 8 datasheets appeared
in under 1% of lists: Desolation Squad, Hammerfall Bunker, Lazarus, Lieutenant In Phobos
Armour, Predator Destructor, Ravenwing Dark Talon, Stormhawk Interceptor, Watch Captain
Artemis.
Of 77 units in 40 or more lists, 6 have a clear effect on results (1 positive, 5 negative).
Best: Callidus Assassin (6.0 points above comparable lists, 4% of lists). Weakest: Redemptor
Dreadnought (7.2 points below comparable lists, 8% of lists), Repulsor Executioner (7.1
points below comparable lists, 7% of lists), Deathwing Terminator Squad (5.5 points below
comparable lists, 14% of lists) and Ballistus Dreadnought (5.0 points below comparable
lists, 9% of lists). Callidus Assassin is in under 10% of lists but has a win rate above
the faction average. Hellblaster Squad is in at least 15% of lists but has a win rate below
it.
Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-10
0
+10
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Apothecary Biologis
Redemptor Dreadnought
Callidus Assassin
Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-10
0
+10
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Stormlance Task Force
Dark Age Arsenal
Darkflight Pursuit
Most played units
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Azrael
2,318
71.8%
-0.3 ± 0.5
-0.6
Lion El’jonson
2,204
68.3%
-0.3 ± 0.5
-0.6
Deathwing Knights
2,200
68.2%
-0.3 ± 0.5
-0.6
Scout Squad
2,142
66.4%
+1.0 ± 0.5
+2.0
Inner Circle Companions
1,804
55.9%
-0.0 ± 0.6
-0.0
Intercessor Squad
1,553
48.1%
-1.0 ± 0.6
-1.6
Outrider Squad
1,509
46.7%
+0.6 ± 0.6
+1.0
Ravenwing Command Squad
1,398
43.3%
+0.3 ± 0.6
+0.5
Land Speeder Vengeance
1,309
40.6%
-1.1 ± 0.6
-1.7
Sammael
1,285
39.8%
+0.9 ± 0.6
+1.3
Land Speeder
1,260
39.0%
-0.2 ± 0.7
-0.3
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike
1,157
35.8%
-0.3 ± 0.7
-0.4
Other units with a clear effect
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Callidus Assassin
145
4.5%
+6.0 ± 1.9
+3.2
Hellblaster Squad
524
16.2%
-3.9 ± 1.2
-3.3
Ballistus Dreadnought
304
9.4%
-5.0 ± 1.6
-3.1
Deathwing Terminator Squad
463
14.3%
-5.5 ± 1.2
-4.5
Repulsor Executioner
210
6.5%
-7.1 ± 1.7
-4.1
Redemptor Dreadnought
245
7.6%
-7.2 ± 1.7
-4.4
Detachments
21 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 7 of them account for 80% of picks. The most
played is Darkflight Pursuit (34% of lists), and 67% of lists run more than one detachment.
7 detachments differ from the faction average. Best: Stormlance Task Force (8.7 points
above the faction average, 5% of lists). Weakest: Dark Age Arsenal (8.7 points below the
faction average, 8% of lists).
Detachment
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
P1
P2
P3
P4
Darkflight Pursuit
1,101
34%
+5.8 ± 0.7
+8.4
23%
33%
48%
25%
Company of Hunters
920
29%
+5.6 ± 0.8
+7.3
16%
33%
48%
5%
Wrath of the Rock
895
28%
-2.1 ± 0.8
-2.4
26%
21%
21%
47%
Inner Circle Task Force
551
17%
-7.0 ± 1.1
-6.3
14%
18%
12%
26%
Librarius Conclave
425
13%
-5.1 ± 1.2
-4.1
20%
21%
12%
1%
Unforgiven Task Force
252
8%
-8.3 ± 1.6
-5.2
16%
10%
7%
0%
Dark Age Arsenal
249
8%
-8.7 ± 1.7
-5.0
15%
10%
7%
1%
Assault Brethren
246
8%
+2.2 ± 1.6
+1.3
0%
0%
0%
33%
Interrogation Conclave
151
5%
-4.9 ± 2.3
-2.1
9%
6%
5%
0%
Stormlance Task Force
150
5%
+8.7 ± 2.0
+4.3
1%
1%
1%
18%
Ironstorm Spearhead
102
3%
+4.7 ± 2.4
+2.0
2%
1%
1%
10%
Terminator Storm Force
88
3%
-3.5 ± 2.8
-1.2
0%
0%
0%
12%
Gladius Task Force
41
1%
-3.2 ± 4.1
-0.8
3%
1%
1%
0%
Deathwatch Support
41
1%
+8.0 ± 3.8
+2.1
0%
0%
0%
5%
Combinations
25 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common
is Company of Hunters + Darkflight Pursuit (744 lists, 23%). Best: Assault Brethren + Darkflight
Pursuit + Stormlance Task Force (18.4 points above the faction average). Weakest: Dark
Age Arsenal + Inner Circle Task Force (24.9 points below the faction average).
Combination
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Company of Hunters + Darkflight Pursuit
744
23%
+10.9 ± 1.0
+11.4
Inner Circle Task Force + Librarius Conclave
221
7%
-4.9 ± 1.8
-2.7
Librarius Conclave + Unforgiven Task Force
101
3%
-11.7 ± 2.9
-4.0
Inner Circle Task Force + Wrath of the Rock
99
3%
-7.5 ± 2.8
-2.7
Assault Brethren + Wrath of the Rock
95
3%
+3.3 ± 2.7
+1.2
Company of Hunters + Dark Age Arsenal
74
2%
+0.1 ± 3.2
+0.0
Dark Age Arsenal + Unforgiven Task Force
49
2%
-19.3 ± 3.2
-6.1
Darkflight Pursuit + Unforgiven Task Force
46
1%
-5.1 ± 3.8
-1.3
Inner Circle Task Force + Interrogation Conclave
35
1%
-23.5 ± 4.6
-5.1
Assault Brethren + Darkflight Pursuit + Stormlance Task Force
33
1%
+18.4 ± 4.3
+4.2
Dark Age Arsenal + Inner Circle Task Force
27
1%
-24.9 ± 5.5
-4.5
Enhancements
27 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Nightforged Battery (25%
of lists). 2 enhancements differ from the other enhancements in their detachment: Singular
Will (12.6 points below the rest) and Imperium's Sword (5.1 points above the rest).
Enhancement
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Nightforged Battery
819
25%
-1.8 ± 0.8
-2.4
Recon Hunter
696
22%
-1.6 ± 0.9
-1.9
Deathwing Assault
363
11%
+0.1 ± 1.3
+0.1
Thundercowl Turbines
298
9%
-1.9 ± 1.3
-1.5
Celerity
293
9%
+2.7 ± 1.4
+1.9
Ancient Weapons
279
9%
+1.2 ± 1.5
+0.8
Temporal Corridor
252
8%
+0.1 ± 1.6
+0.1
Furious Assault
229
7%
-0.4 ± 1.7
-0.2
Imperium's Sword
226
7%
+5.1 ± 1.5
+3.3
Singular Will
41
1%
-12.6 ± 3.6
-3.5
Pick-rate shifts
Type
Name
First period
Prior 28 days
Last 28 days
Change vs first period (pp)
Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Detachment
Company of Hunters
16%
51%
7%
-10
-44
Unit
Azrael
83%
84%
40%
-43
-43
Unit
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon
43%
12%
7%
-36
-5
Enhancement
Recon Hunter
10%
40%
5%
-5
-35
Enhancement
Nightforged Battery
13%
45%
11%
-2
-33
Detachment
Assault Brethren
0%
0%
31%
+31
+31
Enhancement
Furious Assault
0%
0%
29%
+29
+29
Unit
Lion El’jonson
41%
85%
70%
+28
-16
Enhancement
Imperium's Sword
0%
0%
28%
+28
+28
Unit
Inner Circle Companions
71%
51%
43%
-28
-8
Unit
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike
28%
52%
23%
-4
-28
Unit
Land Speeder Vengeance
38%
56%
29%
-9
-27
Matchups
Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Genestealer Cult (66.9% over
169 games) and the worst is Chaos Daemons (46.3% over 445).
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Genestealer Cult
169
66.9%
59.5% to 73.5%
55.8%
+11.0
favourable
Imperial Agents
38
63.2%
47.3% to 76.6%
59.7%
+3.5
Astra Militarum
408
59.7%
54.9% to 64.3%
62.7%
-3.0
favourable
Aeldari
292
58.4%
52.7% to 63.9%
57.8%
+0.6
favourable
Grey Knights
273
58.1%
52.1% to 63.8%
56.3%
+1.8
favourable
Chaos Space Marines
495
57.7%
53.3% to 62.0%
56.2%
+1.5
favourable
Thousand Sons
341
57.0%
51.7% to 62.2%
53.0%
+4.0
favourable
Imperial Knights
425
56.9%
52.2% to 61.6%
54.8%
+2.1
favourable
Tyranids
652
55.7%
51.8% to 59.4%
53.5%
+2.2
favourable
Death Guard
481
55.4%
50.9% to 59.8%
55.2%
+0.2
favourable
World Eaters
533
54.5%
50.3% to 58.7%
53.5%
+1.0
favourable
Adeptus Mechanicus
266
51.1%
45.1% to 57.1%
52.8%
-1.7
T'au Empire
516
50.1%
45.8% to 54.4%
51.6%
-1.5
Orks
861
47.7%
44.4% to 51.0%
48.1%
-0.4
Chaos Daemons
445
46.3%
41.7% to 50.9%
48.7%
-2.4
Deathwatch
72
44.4%
33.5% to 55.9%
49.7%
-5.2
All 27 matchups: 11 more rows
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Chaos Knights
238
56.1%
49.7% to 62.3%
56.5%
-0.4
Space Wolves
300
55.2%
49.5% to 60.7%
54.4%
+0.8
Black Templars
143
53.8%
45.7% to 61.8%
58.1%
-4.2
Drukhari
245
53.7%
47.4% to 59.8%
56.5%
-2.8
Leagues of Votann
422
53.4%
48.7% to 58.1%
51.6%
+1.9
Adepta Sororitas
290
52.9%
47.2% to 58.6%
53.1%
-0.2
Necrons
678
52.6%
48.8% to 56.3%
51.9%
+0.6
Space Marines
956
51.8%
48.6% to 54.9%
54.7%
-3.0
Blood Angels
316
51.6%
46.1% to 57.0%
57.4%
-5.8
Adeptus Custodes
717
51.4%
47.7% to 55.0%
49.2%
+2.2
Emperor's Children
497
51.3%
46.9% to 55.7%
52.1%
-0.8
Results brackets
335 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 45 won
X, 97 won X-1 and 193 won X-2, from 775 entries.
Share of players by share of games won
4%
0-20
15%
20-40
31%
40-60
30%
60-80
20%
80-100
line = all factions
Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2
6.6%
X
4.6%
X-1
4.5%
X-2
dashed = share of entries, 4.5%
Bracket tables
Tier
Lists
Share of tier
Share of entries
Ratio
z
X
45
6.6%
4.5%
1.46x
+2.6
X-1
97
4.6%
4.5%
1.01x
+0.1
X-2
193
4.5%
4.5%
1.00x
+0.0
X to X-2
335
4.7%
4.5%
1.05x
+0.9
Share of games won
Players
Share of players
All players
0 to 20%
24
3.6%
4.1%
20 to 40%
104
15.5%
17.2%
40 to 60%
211
31.4%
32.2%
60 to 80%
201
29.9%
30.1%
80 to 100%
132
19.6%
16.4%
Each extra 2.2 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 2.5 points
lower; the average list has 11.5. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength
model, results brackets and terrain layout.
Representative lists
Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists
are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events
with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties,
and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.
Company of Hunters + Darkflight Pursuit 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 6-0 · 106 players · 6 rounds · 11 Sep
Won an event of 100+ players
81 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lion El’jonson 265
Techmarine 55 Forge bolter, Grav-pistol, Omnissian power axe, Servo-arm
Other Units
Nephilim Jetfighter + Thundercowl Turbines 195 Armoured hull, Avenger mega bolter, Blacksword missiles, Twin heavy bolter
Nephilim Jetfighter + Thundercowl Turbines 195 Armoured hull, Avenger mega bolter, Blacksword missiles, Twin heavy bolter
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery 155 Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery 145 Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery 145 Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Ravenwing Command Squad + Recon Hunter 135 Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma talon, Black Knight combat weapon
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 135 Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Sammael 105 Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted plasma cannon, The Raven Sword, Twin storm bolter
Land Speeder 105 Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Land Speeder 105 Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Outrider Squad 70 Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Twin bolt rifle
Scout Squad 65 Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Missile launcher, Scout sniper rifle
Scout Squad 65 Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Missile launcher, Scout sniper rifle
Invader Atv 60 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Multi-melta, Twin bolt rifle
Company of Hunters + Darkflight Pursuit 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 6-0 · 86 players · 6 rounds · 1 Aug
Show list
Characters
Lion El’jonson 265
Sammael 95 Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted plasma cannon, The Raven Sword, Twin storm bolter
Belial 75 Master-crafted storm bolter, The Sword of Silence
Other Units
Inner Circle Companions 160 Calibanite greatsword, Heavy bolt pistol
Inner Circle Companions 160 Calibanite greatsword, Heavy bolt pistol
Land Speeder Vengeance 140 Close combat weapon, Heavy bolter, Plasma storm battery
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 135 Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 135 Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Land Speeder Vengeance 130 Close combat weapon, Heavy bolter, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder Vengeance 130 Close combat weapon, Heavy bolter, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder 105 Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Land Speeder 105 Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Land Speeder 105 Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Ravenwing Black Knights 75 Black Knight combat weapon, Bolt pistol, Plasma talon
Ravenwing Black Knights 75 Black Knight combat weapon, Bolt pistol, Plasma talon
Judiciar 55 Absolvor bolt pistol, Executioner relic blade
Judiciar 55 Absolvor bolt pistol, Executioner relic blade
Team events
57.2%win rate in team events 1,688 games 421 lists from 382 players +4.4 points against individual events going first 7.3 points better
Dark Angels won 57.2% of 1,688 team event games, against 52.8% of 9,381 in individual
events: 4.4 points higher (clear). It makes up 3.6% of team event games and 4.6% of individual
event games.
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Reconnaissance
44%
Priority Assets
23%
Take and Hold
16%
Disruption
14%
Purge the Foe
2%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments
share
win rate
Darkflight Pursuit
45%
Company of Hunters
37%
Wrath of the Rock
24%
Inner Circle Task Force
11%
Librarius Conclave
9%
Stormlance Task Force
8%
Assault Brethren
7%
Unforgiven Task Force
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups
win rate against
Grey Knights
Aeldari
Thousand Sons
Astra Militarum
Chaos Daemons
T'au Empire
Adepta Sororitas
Orks
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events.
Dashed: team events win rate.
Milestones
5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after,
with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.
July balance & rules update (22 July)
53.8%win rate, rank 6 of 28 2,343 games 677 lists from 586 players X to X-2 finishes 1.14x entry share going first 4.8 points better
Dark Angels won 48.0% of 1,534 games in the 28 days before and 53.8% of 2,343 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.4% to 4.6%. The change of +5.7 points is
clear.
One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Company of Hunters
(18% to 33%).
6 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Lion El’jonson (37% to 66%),
Sammael (16% to 40%) and Lieutenant with Combi-weapon (44% to 22%).
3 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Recon Hunter (12%
to 24%), Nightforged Battery (15% to 27%) and Fusillade (17% to 7%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
4%
0-20
12%
20-40
31%
40-60
28%
60-80
25%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
44%
Reconnaissance
30%
Take and Hold
17%
Disruption
7%
Purge the Foe
2%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Company of Hunters
33%
Darkflight Pursuit
32%
Wrath of the Rock
22%
Librarius Conclave
22%
Inner Circle Task Force
18%
Dark Age Arsenal
12%
Unforgiven Task Force
11%
Interrogation Conclave
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Azrael
82%
Deathwing Knights
70%
Scout Squad
70%
Lion El’jonson
66%
Inner Circle Companions
65%
Intercessor Squad
56%
Ravenwing Command Squad
43%
Outrider Squad
42%
Land Speeder
42%
Sammael
40%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Imperial Knights
Space Wolves
Chaos Space Marines
Tyranids
T'au Empire
Emperor's Children
Chaos Daemons
Drukhari
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Lion El’jonson
37%
66%
+28
+9.4
Unit
Sammael
16%
40%
+25
+8.9
Unit
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon
44%
22%
-22
-7.9
Unit
Ravenwing Command Squad
25%
43%
+18
+6.2
Unit
Outrider Squad
27%
42%
+16
+5.4
Detachment
Company of Hunters
18%
33%
+15
+5.8
Enhancement
Recon Hunter
12%
24%
+13
+5.3
Enhancement
Nightforged Battery
15%
27%
+12
+4.9
All 10 shifts: 2 more rows
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Sternguard Veteran Squad
34%
22%
-12
-4.5
Enhancement
Fusillade
17%
7%
-9
-5.0
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Company of Hunters + Darkflight Pursuit 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 6-0 · 86 players · 6 rounds · 1 Aug
Show list
Characters
Lion El’jonson 265
Sammael 95 Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted plasma cannon, The Raven Sword, Twin storm bolter
Belial 75 Master-crafted storm bolter, The Sword of Silence
Other Units
Inner Circle Companions 160 Calibanite greatsword, Heavy bolt pistol
Inner Circle Companions 160 Calibanite greatsword, Heavy bolt pistol
Land Speeder Vengeance 140 Close combat weapon, Heavy bolter, Plasma storm battery
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 135 Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 135 Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Land Speeder Vengeance 130 Close combat weapon, Heavy bolter, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder Vengeance 130 Close combat weapon, Heavy bolter, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder 105 Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Land Speeder 105 Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Land Speeder 105 Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Ravenwing Black Knights 75 Black Knight combat weapon, Bolt pistol, Plasma talon
Ravenwing Black Knights 75 Black Knight combat weapon, Bolt pistol, Plasma talon
Judiciar 55 Absolvor bolt pistol, Executioner relic blade
Judiciar 55 Absolvor bolt pistol, Executioner relic blade
Company of Hunters + Darkflight Pursuit 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
2nd place · record 6-1 · 100 players · 7 rounds · 31 Jul
43 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lion El’jonson 265
Battleline
Intercessor Squad 80 Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Astartes grenade launcher, Close combat weapon
Other Units
Inner Circle Companions 160 Calibanite greatsword, Heavy bolt pistol
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery 155 Close combat weapon, Heavy bolter, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery 145 Close combat weapon, Heavy bolter, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery 145 Close combat weapon, Heavy bolter, Plasma storm battery
Azrael 140 Lion’s Wrath, The Lion Helm, The Sword of Secrets
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 135 Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Ravenwing Command Squad + Recon Hunter 125 Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma talon, Black Knight combat weapon
Land Speeder 105 Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Land Speeder 105 Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Sammael 95 Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted plasma cannon, The Raven Sword, Twin storm bolter
Ravenwing Black Knights 75 Black Knight combat weapon, Bolt pistol, Plasma talon
Outrider Squad 70 Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Twin bolt rifle
Ravenwing Darkshroud 70 Close combat weapon, Heavy bolter
Scout Squad 65 Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Astartes shotgun, Missile launcher, Scout sniper rifle, Combat knife
Scout Squad 65 Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Astartes shotgun, Missile launcher, Scout sniper rifle, Combat knife
August balance & rules update (26 August)
55.2%win rate, rank 1 of 27 836 games 212 lists from 206 players X to X-2 finishes 1.48x entry share going first 1.5 points better
Dark Angels won 54.2% of 2,338 games in the 28 days before and 55.8% of 2,623 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.7% to 4.4%.
2 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Company of Hunters
(35% to 48%) and Darkflight Pursuit (35% to 46%).
4 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Outrider Squad (45% to 59%),
Sammael (44% to 56%) and Ravenwing Command Squad (47% to 59%).
One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Nightforged Battery
(29% to 39%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
2%
0-20
2%
20-40
32%
40-60
45%
60-80
18%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
41%
Reconnaissance
40%
Take and Hold
14%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Darkflight Pursuit
40%
Company of Hunters
39%
Wrath of the Rock
21%
Inner Circle Task Force
18%
Librarius Conclave
17%
Unforgiven Task Force
10%
Dark Age Arsenal
7%
Interrogation Conclave
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Azrael
88%
Lion El’jonson
79%
Deathwing Knights
74%
Scout Squad
72%
Inner Circle Companions
60%
Intercessor Squad
56%
Sammael
51%
Ravenwing Command Squad
51%
Outrider Squad
50%
Land Speeder
46%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
T'au Empire
Tyranids
Space Marines
Orks
Adeptus Custodes
Thousand Sons
Chaos Daemons
Necrons
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Outrider Squad
45%
59%
+14
+5.2
Unit
Sammael
44%
56%
+12
+4.7
Detachment
Company of Hunters
35%
48%
+12
+4.6
Unit
Ravenwing Command Squad
47%
59%
+12
+4.6
Unit
Lion El’jonson
71%
83%
+12
+5.2
Detachment
Darkflight Pursuit
35%
46%
+11
+4.3
Enhancement
Nightforged Battery
29%
39%
+10
+4.0
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Darkflight Pursuit 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
4th place · record 8-1 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
6 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lion El’jonson 265
Other Units
Nephilim Jetfighter + Thundercowl Turbines 195 Armoured hull, Avenger mega bolter, Blacksword missiles, Twin heavy bolter
Nephilim Jetfighter + Thundercowl Turbines 195 Armoured hull, Avenger mega bolter, Blacksword missiles, Twin heavy bolter
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery 155 Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike + Thundercowl Turbines 150 Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery 145 Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery 145 Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Ravenwing Command Squad + Recon Hunter 135 Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma talon, Black Knight combat weapon
Sammael 105 Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted plasma cannon, The Raven Sword, Twin storm bolter
Land Speeder 105 Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Ravenwing Black Knights 75 Black Knight combat weapon, Bolt pistol, Plasma talon
Ravenwing Black Knights 75 Black Knight combat weapon, Bolt pistol, Plasma talon
Outrider Squad 70 Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Twin bolt rifle
Scout Squad 65 Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife
Invader Atv 60
Invader Atv 60
Company of Hunters + Darkflight Pursuit 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 40 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
6 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lion El’jonson 265
Other Units
Nephilim Jetfighter + Thundercowl Turbines 195 Armoured hull, Avenger mega bolter, Blacksword missiles, Twin heavy bolter
Nephilim Jetfighter + Thundercowl Turbines 195 Armoured hull, Avenger mega bolter, Blacksword missiles, Twin heavy bolter
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike + Thundercowl Turbines 150 Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery 145 Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery 145 Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Ravenwing Command Squad + Recon Hunter 135 Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma talon, Black Knight combat weapon
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike + Thundercowl Turbines 135 Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Sammael 105 Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted plasma cannon, The Raven Sword, Twin storm bolter
Land Speeder 105 Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Land Speeder 105 Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Outrider Squad 70 Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Twin bolt rifle
Scout Squad 65 Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Heavy bolter, Scout sniper rifle
Scout Squad 65 Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Heavy bolter, Scout sniper rifle
Invader Atv 60
Invader Atv 60
Orks codex (5 September)
55.7%win rate, rank 4 of 28 2,984 games 831 lists from 696 players X to X-2 finishes 0.95x entry share going first 1.8 points better
Dark Angels won 55.2% of 2,545 games in the 28 days before and 55.7% of 2,984 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.7% to 4.6%.
2 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Company of Hunters
(37% to 50%) and Darkflight Pursuit (37% to 50%).
6 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Outrider Squad (49% to 63%),
Land Speeder Vengeance (42% to 56%) and Ravenwing Command Squad (49% to 63%).
2 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Nightforged Battery
(31% to 44%) and Recon Hunter (30% to 40%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
4%
0-20
12%
20-40
42%
40-60
23%
60-80
19%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Reconnaissance
51%
Priority Assets
32%
Take and Hold
9%
Disruption
7%
Purge the Foe
2%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Darkflight Pursuit
50%
Company of Hunters
50%
Wrath of the Rock
21%
Librarius Conclave
11%
Inner Circle Task Force
10%
Dark Age Arsenal
7%
Unforgiven Task Force
6%
Interrogation Conclave
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Lion El’jonson
84%
Azrael
83%
Scout Squad
76%
Deathwing Knights
68%
Outrider Squad
63%
Ravenwing Command Squad
63%
Sammael
60%
Land Speeder Vengeance
56%
Storm Speeder
Thunderstrike
52%
Inner Circle Companions
51%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Astra Militarum
Genestealer Cult
Chaos Space Marines
Imperial Knights
T'au Empire
World Eaters
Adepta Sororitas
Orks
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Outrider Squad
49%
63%
+15
+5.9
Unit
Land Speeder Vengeance
42%
56%
+14
+5.6
Unit
Ravenwing Command Squad
49%
63%
+14
+5.5
Enhancement
Nightforged Battery
31%
44%
+13
+5.4
Detachment
Company of Hunters
37%
50%
+13
+5.2
Detachment
Darkflight Pursuit
37%
50%
+13
+5.2
Unit
Sammael
48%
60%
+12
+4.7
Unit
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike
41%
52%
+11
+4.5
All 10 shifts: 2 more rows
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Enhancement
Recon Hunter
30%
40%
+10
+4.2
Unit
Lion El’jonson
75%
84%
+10
+4.7
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Company of Hunters + Darkflight Pursuit 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 6-0 · 106 players · 6 rounds · 11 Sep
Won an event of 100+ players
65 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lion El’jonson 265
Techmarine 55 Forge bolter, Grav-pistol, Omnissian power axe, Servo-arm
Other Units
Nephilim Jetfighter + Thundercowl Turbines 195 Armoured hull, Avenger mega bolter, Blacksword missiles, Twin heavy bolter
Nephilim Jetfighter + Thundercowl Turbines 195 Armoured hull, Avenger mega bolter, Blacksword missiles, Twin heavy bolter
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery 155 Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery 145 Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery 145 Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Ravenwing Command Squad + Recon Hunter 135 Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma talon, Black Knight combat weapon
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 135 Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Sammael 105 Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted plasma cannon, The Raven Sword, Twin storm bolter
Land Speeder 105 Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Land Speeder 105 Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Outrider Squad 70 Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Twin bolt rifle
Scout Squad 65 Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Missile launcher, Scout sniper rifle
Scout Squad 65 Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Missile launcher, Scout sniper rifle
Invader Atv 60 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Multi-melta, Twin bolt rifle
Company of Hunters + Darkflight Pursuit 1,995 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 58 players · 5 rounds · 5 Sep
46 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lion El’jonson 265
Other Units
Deathwing Knights 240 Great weapon of the Unforgiven, Power weapon
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery 155 Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery, Heavy bolter
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike + Thundercowl Turbines 150 Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery 145 Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery, Heavy bolter
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery 145 Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery, Heavy bolter
Ravenwing Command Squad + Recon Hunter 135 Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma talon, Black Knight combat weapon
Sammael 105 Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted plasma cannon, The Raven Sword, Twin storm bolter
Ravenwing Command Squad + Recon Hunter 105 Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma talon, Black Knight combat weapon
Land Speeder 105 Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Incursor Squad 85 Bolt pistol, Occulus bolt carbine, Paired combat blades, Haywire Mine
Chaplain On Bike 80
Ravenwing Black Knights 75 Black Knight combat weapon, Bolt pistol, Plasma talon
Outrider Squad 70 Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Twin bolt rifle
Outrider Squad 70 Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Twin bolt rifle
Scout Squad 65 Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)
54.3%win rate, rank 3 of 27 1,086 games 325 lists from 310 players X to X-2 finishes 0.92x entry share going first 6.2 points better
Dark Angels won 55.7% of 2,984 games in the 28 days before and 54.1% of 2,495 in the
23 days after. Its share of games went from 4.6% to 5.0%.
9 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Company of Hunters
(50% to 5%), Assault Brethren (0% to 33%) and Wrath of the Rock (21% to 47%).
25 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Azrael (83% to 38%), Storm
Speeder Thunderstrike (52% to 22%) and Ravenwing Command Squad (63% to 35%).
4 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Recon Hunter (40%
to 3%), Nightforged Battery (44% to 9%) and Furious Assault (0% to 30%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
9%
0-20
14%
20-40
30%
40-60
36%
60-80
11%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
48%
Reconnaissance
27%
Priority Assets
17%
Purge the Foe
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Wrath of the Rock
45%
Darkflight Pursuit
30%
Inner Circle Task Force
23%
Stormlance Task Force
18%
Company of Hunters
10%
Ironstorm Spearhead
8%
Assault Brethren
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Lion El’jonson
73%
Deathwing Knights
71%
Scout Squad
60%
Outrider Squad
52%
Inner Circle Companions
46%
Azrael
43%
Ravenwing Command Squad
43%
Sammael
40%
Land Speeder Vengeance
34%
Intercessor Squad
33%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Tyranids
Adeptus Custodes
Emperor's Children
T'au Empire
Space Wolves
Orks
Space Marines
Chaos Daemons
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Company of Hunters
50%
5%
-46
-20.1
Unit
Azrael
83%
38%
-45
-18.5
Enhancement
Recon Hunter
40%
3%
-36
-17.2
Enhancement
Nightforged Battery
44%
9%
-35
-15.4
Detachment
Assault Brethren
0%
33%
+33
+18.0
Enhancement
Furious Assault
0%
30%
+30
+17.1
Unit
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike
52%
22%
-30
-12.4
Enhancement
Imperium's Sword
0%
30%
+30
+17.1
All 38 shifts: 30 more rows
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Ravenwing Command Squad
63%
35%
-28
-11.2
Unit
Land Speeder Vengeance
56%
28%
-28
-11.3
Unit
Sammael
60%
32%
-28
-10.9
Detachment
Wrath of the Rock
21%
47%
+26
+11.0
Detachment
Darkflight Pursuit
50%
25%
-26
-10.6
Unit
Ravenwing Black Knights
42%
19%
-23
-9.9
Unit
Land Speeder
51%
29%
-23
-9.1
Unit
Scout Squad
76%
55%
-21
-8.9
Unit
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles
0%
18%
+18
+13.0
Unit
Intercessor Squad
48%
31%
-18
-7.2
Unit
Invader Atv
21%
4%
-18
-10.3
Unit
Deathwing Terminator Squad
9%
26%
+17
+9.1
Detachment
Stormlance Task Force
1%
18%
+17
+12.0
Unit
Impulsor
5%
21%
+16
+9.9
Unit
Assault Intercessor Squad
22%
6%
-16
-9.1
Detachment
Inner Circle Task Force
10%
26%
+16
+8.2
Unit
Outrider Squad
63%
48%
-15
-5.9
Unit
Lion El’jonson
84%
70%
-14
-6.8
Unit
Belial
2%
15%
+13
+9.3
Detachment
Terminator Storm Force
0%
12%
+12
+10.2
Unit
Company Heroes
0%
11%
+10
+9.1
Detachment
Librarius Conclave
11%
1%
-10
-8.5
Unit
Techmarine
16%
6%
-10
-6.1
Unit
Lieutenant
14%
4%
-10
-6.8
Unit
Inceptor Squad
8%
18%
+10
+5.7
Unit
Chaplain On Bike
9%
19%
+10
+5.5
Unit
Incursor Squad
13%
23%
+10
+5.0
Unit
Terminator Assault Squad
4%
14%
+10
+6.6
Detachment
Ironstorm Spearhead
1%
10%
+9
+8.3
Unit
Infiltrator Squad
12%
4%
-8
-5.8
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Assault Brethren + Deathwatch Support + Terminator Storm Force 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 50 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
Show list
Characters
Librarian In Phobos Armour 75
Other Units
Terminator Squad + Furious Assault 410 Chainfist, Cyclone Missile Launcher, Power Fist, Storm Bolter
Deathwing Knights + Furious Assault 265 Watcher in the Dark, Power Weapon, Relic Weapon, Mace of Absolution, Great Weapon of the Unforgiven
Deathwing Knights + Furious Assault 255 Watcher in the Dark, Power Weapon, Relic Weapon, Mace of Absolution, Great Weapon of the Unforgiven
Deathwatch Terminator Squad 200 Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer, Plasma Cannon, Power Fist
Deathwatch Terminator Squad 200 Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer, Plasma Cannon, Power Fist
Azrael 150 Lion's Wrath, The Lion Helm, The Sword of Secrets
Company Heroes 125 Master-crafted Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Combat Knife, Master-crafted Bolt Rifle, Master-crafted Heavy Bolter
Belial 100 Master-crafted Storm Bolter, The Sword of Silence
Incursor Squad 90 Bolt Pistol, Occulus Bolt Carbine, Paired Combat Blades
Apothecary + Imperium's Sword 65 Absolvor Bolt Pistol, Reductor Pistol, Servo-armature
Scout Squad 65 Bolt Pistol, Combat Knife, Shotgun, Heavy Bolter, Sniper Rifle
Company of Hunters + Darkflight Pursuit 1,995 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 30 players · 5 rounds · 3 Oct
14 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lion El’jonson 265
Techmarine 55 Forge bolter, Grav-pistol, Omnissian power axe, Servo-arm
Techmarine 55 Forge bolter, Grav-pistol, Omnissian power axe, Servo-arm
Battleline
Assault Intercessor Squad 75 Hand flamer, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol
Other Units
Deathwing Knights 240 Watcher in the Dark, Great weapon of the Unforgiven, Power weapon
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery 155 Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery 145 Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery 145 Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Azrael 140 Lion’s Wrath, The Lion Helm, The Sword of Secrets
Ravenwing Command Squad + Recon Hunter 135 Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma talon, Black Knight combat weapon
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 135 Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Sammael 105 Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted plasma cannon, The Raven Sword, Twin storm bolter
Land Speeder 105 Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Land Speeder 105 Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Outrider Squad 70 Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Twin bolt rifle
Scout Squad 65 Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Heavy bolter, Scout sniper rifle
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)
54.0%win rate, rank 4 of 27 1,409 games 424 lists from 408 players X to X-2 finishes 1.07x entry share going first 5.9 points worse
Dark Angels won 54.9% of 2,776 games in the 28 days before and 54.0% of 1,409 in the
9 days after. Its share of games went from 4.7% to 5.3%.
9 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Assault Brethren (3%
to 52%), Company of Hunters (33% to 0%) and Darkflight Pursuit (42% to 20%).
22 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Azrael (66% to 34%), Ravenwing
Command Squad (55% to 28%) and Sammael (52% to 26%).
4 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Recon Hunter (28%
to 0%), Imperium's Sword (11% to 32%) and Nightforged Battery (30% to 9%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
0%
0-20
20%
20-40
25%
40-60
35%
60-80
20%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
63%
Reconnaissance
18%
Priority Assets
12%
Purge the Foe
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Assault Brethren
52%
Wrath of the Rock
49%
Inner Circle Task Force
28%
Darkflight Pursuit
20%
Terminator Storm Force
19%
Stormlance Task Force
17%
Ironstorm Spearhead
12%
Deathwatch Support
9%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Lion El’jonson
68%
Deathwing Knights
67%
Scout Squad
52%
Outrider Squad
46%
Inner Circle Companions
39%
Azrael
34%
Deathwing Terminator
Squad
30%
Intercessor Squad
29%
Ravenwing Command Squad
28%
Eradicator Squad with
Melta Rifles
26%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Chaos Space Marines
Leagues of Votann
World Eaters
Astra Militarum
Adeptus Mechanicus
Chaos Daemons
Space Wolves
Space Marines
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Assault Brethren
3%
52%
+49
+20.5
Detachment
Company of Hunters
33%
0%
-33
-13.4
Unit
Azrael
66%
34%
-31
-10.5
Enhancement
Recon Hunter
28%
0%
-28
-12.0
Unit
Ravenwing Command Squad
55%
28%
-27
-8.9
Unit
Sammael
52%
26%
-26
-8.8
Unit
Land Speeder Vengeance
46%
23%
-23
-8.0
Unit
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles
3%
26%
+23
+12.2
All 35 shifts: 27 more rows
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike
41%
19%
-23
-8.0
Detachment
Darkflight Pursuit
42%
20%
-22
-7.6
Unit
Ravenwing Black Knights
36%
15%
-22
-8.0
Enhancement
Imperium's Sword
11%
32%
+21
+9.1
Enhancement
Nightforged Battery
30%
9%
-21
-8.3
Enhancement
Furious Assault
12%
32%
+20
+8.7
Detachment
Terminator Storm Force
1%
19%
+19
+12.0
Unit
Scout Squad
70%
52%
-18
-6.2
Unit
Land Speeder
44%
26%
-18
-6.1
Detachment
Wrath of the Rock
31%
49%
+17
+6.0
Unit
Invader Atv
17%
0%
-17
-9.0
Unit
Deathwing Terminator Squad
14%
30%
+16
+6.9
Unit
Impulsor
10%
25%
+15
+7.0
Unit
Outrider Squad
59%
46%
-13
-4.4
Unit
Assault Intercessor Squad
16%
3%
-13
-6.8
Unit
Intercessor Squad
42%
29%
-13
-4.5
Detachment
Inner Circle Task Force
15%
28%
+13
+5.4
Unit
Lion El’jonson
80%
68%
-12
-4.7
Unit
Incursor Squad
16%
26%
+10
+4.2
Detachment
Stormlance Task Force
8%
17%
+10
+5.0
Unit
Belial
7%
16%
+9
+5.1
Unit
Inceptor Squad
11%
21%
+9
+4.3
Detachment
Deathwatch Support
0%
9%
+9
+8.3
Unit
Company Heroes
4%
12%
+9
+5.9
Unit
Terminator Assault Squad
7%
16%
+9
+4.7
Unit
Lieutenant
10%
2%
-8
-5.0
Detachment
Ironstorm Spearhead
4%
12%
+8
+5.4
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Assault Brethren + Wrath of the Rock 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 4-0-1 · 41 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
Show list
Characters
Lion El’jonson 415
Other Units
Deathwing Terminator Squad 380 Power Fist, Storm Bolter, Chainfist, Plasma Cannon
Land Raider Redeemer 245 Armoured Tracks, Flamestorm Cannon, Hunter-killer Missile, Multi-melta, Storm Bolter, Twin Assault Cannon
Inner Circle Companions 180 Calibanite Greatsword, Heavy Bolt Pistol
Azrael 150 Lion's Wrath, The Lion Helm, The Sword of Secrets
Captain on Bike + Ancient Weapons 130 Plasma Pistol, Thunder Hammer, Twin Bolt Rifle
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 100
Outrider Squad 80 Chainsword, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Twin Bolt Rifle, Plasma Pistol, Thunder Hammer
Invader ATVs 65 Armoured Impact, Bolt Pistol, Onslaught Gatling Cannon, Twin Bolt Rifle
Invader ATVs 65 Armoured Impact, Bolt Pistol, Onslaught Gatling Cannon, Twin Bolt Rifle
Scout Squad 65 Bolt Pistol, Boltgun, Chainsword, Combat Knife, Missile Launcher, Sniper Rifle, Heavy Bolter
Scout Squad 65 Bolt Pistol, Boltgun, Chainsword, Combat Knife, Missile Launcher, Sniper Rifle, Heavy Bolter
Ancient + Imperium's Sword 60 Bolt Pistol, Bolt Rifle, Ceramite Fists
Assault Brethren + Deathwatch Support + Ironclad Champions 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 38 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
Show list
Characters
Lion El’jonson 415
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor 70 Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Other Units
Deathwing Knights 255 Watcher in the Dark, Mace of Absolution, Relic Weapon
Deathwing Knights 255 Watcher in the Dark, Mace of Absolution, Relic Weapon
Brutalis Dreadnought + Artificer Sarcophagus 200 Bolt Rifles, Brutalis Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Deathwatch Terminator Squad 190 Power Fist, Storm Bolter, Plasma Cannon
Deathwatch Terminator Squad 190 Power Fist, Storm Bolter, Plasma Cannon
Eradicator Squad with Heavy Bolters 100
Chaplain On Bike 95
Reiver Squad 85 Grav-chutes, Bolt Carbine, Monomolecular Combat Knife, Special-issue Bolt Pistol
Outrider Squad 80 Chainsword, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Twin Bolt Rifle, Plasma Pistol, Thunder Hammer
Scout Squad 65 Bolt Pistol, Boltgun, Chainsword, Combat Knife, Heavy Bolter, Sniper Rifle
T'au Empire
T'au Empire Whole edition Enhancements Detachments Units Pick-rate shifts Matchups Over time Results brackets Combinations Force Disposition Lists Team events Milestones 22 Jul 26 Aug 5 Sep 3 Oct 17 Oct
Whole edition
51.8%win rate, rank 6 of 28 12,041 games 3,381 lists from 1,910 players top-10% finishes 1.23x entry share going first 1.9 points better 52.7% adjusted for player skill
The Unmasking Suite enhancement gives a win rate 8.1 points below other
lists with the same detachment. Mont'ka lists have a win rate 3.1 points below the
faction average and make up 26% of the faction's lists. T'au Empire won 51.8% of 12,041
games, rank 6 of 28. Advanced Acquisition Cadre went from 44% to 5% of the faction's lists
between the first period and the last 28 days. Ta’unar Supremacy Armour is in 2% of lists,
and lists with it have a win rate 16.4 points below comparable lists.
Enhancements
21 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Starflare Ignition System
(30% of lists). One enhancement differs from the other enhancements in its detachment:
Unmasking Suite (8.1 points below the rest).
Enhancement
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Starflare Ignition System
998
30%
-0.1 ± 0.8
-0.1
Prototype Weapon System
514
15%
-0.4 ± 1.1
-0.3
Exemplar of the Kauyon
487
14%
-1.3 ± 1.1
-1.2
Strike Swiftly
310
9%
+2.7 ± 1.4
+1.8
Solid-image Projection Unit
240
7%
-4.9 ± 1.7
-2.9
Strategic Conqueror
230
7%
+0.4 ± 1.6
+0.3
Precision of the Patient Hunter
190
6%
-4.6 ± 1.8
-2.6
Kroothawk Flock
169
5%
+3.8 ± 1.8
+2.1
Unmasking Suite
106
3%
-8.1 ± 2.5
-3.3
Detachments
7 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 4 of them account for 80% of picks. The most
played is Retaliation Cadre (35% of lists), and 40% of lists run more than one detachment.
One detachment differs from the faction average. Weakest: Mont'ka (3.1 points below
the faction average, 26% of lists).
Detachment
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
P1
P2
P3
P4
Retaliation Cadre
1,186
35%
+1.2 ± 0.7
+1.6
35%
35%
34%
37%
Kauyon
905
27%
-1.2 ± 0.8
-1.5
16%
29%
33%
31%
Mont'ka
886
26%
-3.1 ± 0.8
-3.7
37%
25%
21%
20%
Experimental Prototype Cadre
763
23%
+0.7 ± 0.9
+0.8
8%
24%
31%
30%
Advanced Acquisition Cadre
608
18%
-0.8 ± 1.1
-0.7
44%
11%
8%
4%
Kroot Hunting Pack
217
6%
+2.3 ± 1.7
+1.3
4%
7%
8%
7%
Auxillary Cadre
106
3%
-3.8 ± 2.6
-1.5
4%
3%
3%
2%
Units
A typical list contains 12 distinct units. 12 units appear in at least half of all lists
and 27 in at least 10%. The most common is Stealth Battlesuits (92% of lists). 6 datasheets
appeared in under 1% of lists: AX-1-0 Tiger Shark, Razorshark Strike Fighter, Sun Shark
Bomber, Tidewall Droneport, Tidewall Gunrig, Tidewall Shieldline.
Of 36 units in 40 or more lists, 6 have a clear effect on results (1 positive, 5 negative).
Best: Kroot Hounds (3.9 points above comparable lists, 11% of lists). Weakest: Ta’unar
Supremacy Armour (16.4 points below comparable lists, 2% of lists), Stormsurge (6.0 points
below comparable lists, 13% of lists), Strike Team (3.7 points below comparable lists,
13% of lists) and Riptide Battlesuit (2.9 points below comparable lists, 54% of lists).
Riptide Battlesuit and Ghostkeel Battlesuit are in at least 15% of lists but have a win
rate below it.
Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-10
0
+10
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Ta’unar Supremacy Armour
Stormsurge
Kroot Hounds
Riptide Battlesuit
Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-4
-2
0
+2
+4
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Mont'ka
Most played units
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Stealth Battlesuits
3,093
91.5%
-0.6 ± 0.4
-1.3
Pathfinder Team
2,644
78.2%
-0.4 ± 0.5
-0.9
The Twin Lance
2,600
76.9%
+0.8 ± 0.5
+1.7
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit
2,223
65.7%
-0.7 ± 0.5
-1.4
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits
2,213
65.5%
-0.2 ± 0.5
-0.4
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits
2,171
64.2%
-0.5 ± 0.5
-0.9
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits
2,077
61.4%
-0.0 ± 0.5
-0.1
Commander Farsight
2,051
60.7%
+0.2 ± 0.5
+0.3
Commander In Enforcer Battlesuit
1,850
54.7%
+0.4 ± 0.6
+0.6
Riptide Battlesuit
1,842
54.5%
-2.9 ± 0.6
-5.0
Broadside Battlesuits
1,836
54.3%
-0.5 ± 0.6
-0.9
Ghostkeel Battlesuit
1,753
51.8%
-2.6 ± 0.6
-4.2
Other units with a clear effect
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Kroot Hounds
370
10.9%
+3.9 ± 1.3
+3.0
Strike Team
437
12.9%
-3.7 ± 1.2
-3.0
Stormsurge
438
13.0%
-6.0 ± 1.2
-4.9
Ta’unar Supremacy Armour
57
1.7%
-16.4 ± 3.2
-5.2
Pick-rate shifts
Type
Name
First period
Prior 28 days
Last 28 days
Change vs first period (pp)
Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Detachment
Advanced Acquisition Cadre
44%
7%
5%
-40
-3
Unit
Riptide Battlesuit
74%
43%
43%
-31
+1
Detachment
Experimental Prototype Cadre
8%
31%
30%
+23
-1
Unit
Commander Farsight
48%
69%
70%
+22
+1
Unit
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits
56%
71%
75%
+19
+4
Unit
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits
53%
66%
71%
+19
+6
Unit
Darkstrider
20%
36%
37%
+17
+1
Detachment
Mont'ka
37%
21%
20%
-17
-1
Unit
Broadside Battlesuits
47%
58%
64%
+17
+6
Detachment
Kauyon
16%
34%
32%
+16
-2
Unit
Commander In Enforcer Battlesuit
46%
60%
62%
+16
+2
Unit
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit
57%
72%
71%
+14
-0
Matchups
Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Astra Militarum (61.5% over
407 games) and the worst is Chaos Daemons (44.8% over 532).
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Astra Militarum
407
61.5%
56.7% to 66.1%
61.2%
+0.4
favourable
Blood Angels
369
56.8%
51.7% to 61.7%
55.7%
+1.0
favourable
Black Templars
174
56.3%
48.9% to 63.5%
56.5%
-0.1
Chaos Space Marines
589
55.9%
51.9% to 59.9%
54.6%
+1.4
favourable
Chaos Knights
275
55.8%
49.9% to 61.6%
54.9%
+0.9
Grey Knights
328
55.8%
50.4% to 61.1%
54.6%
+1.1
favourable
Space Marines
950
55.2%
52.0% to 58.3%
53.1%
+2.0
favourable
Orks
809
46.9%
43.5% to 50.4%
46.5%
+0.4
World Eaters
556
46.7%
42.6% to 50.8%
51.8%
-5.2
Tyranids
716
46.4%
42.8% to 50.1%
51.9%
-5.4
Chaos Daemons
532
44.8%
40.7% to 49.1%
47.0%
-2.2
unfavourable
Imperial Agents
35
44.3%
29.2% to 60.5%
58.1%
-13.8
All 27 matchups: 15 more rows
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Genestealer Cult
187
55.6%
48.5% to 62.6%
54.2%
+1.4
Drukhari
263
55.3%
49.3% to 61.2%
54.8%
+0.5
Aeldari
341
55.0%
49.7% to 60.2%
56.1%
-1.2
Adeptus Mechanicus
302
55.0%
49.3% to 60.5%
51.2%
+3.8
Space Wolves
315
54.1%
48.6% to 59.5%
52.7%
+1.4
Death Guard
497
53.6%
49.2% to 58.0%
53.6%
+0.1
Leagues of Votann
457
53.5%
48.9% to 58.0%
49.9%
+3.6
Thousand Sons
446
53.1%
48.5% to 57.7%
51.4%
+1.7
Emperor's Children
549
52.8%
48.6% to 57.0%
50.4%
+2.4
Imperial Knights
548
51.0%
46.8% to 55.2%
53.2%
-2.2
Adepta Sororitas
268
50.7%
44.8% to 56.7%
51.5%
-0.7
Dark Angels
516
49.9%
45.6% to 54.2%
48.4%
+1.5
Necrons
831
49.6%
46.2% to 53.0%
50.3%
-0.7
Deathwatch
80
49.4%
38.7% to 60.1%
48.0%
+1.4
Adeptus Custodes
701
47.6%
44.0% to 51.3%
47.6%
+0.1
Over time
Its share of lists went from 5.8% to 4.0%.
Share of games per week (%)
4
5
6
3.9
6.0
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval
45
50
55
60
51.4
50.7
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Period
Lists
Share of all lists
Games
Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul
916
5.8%
3,186
52.5%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug
861
4.7%
3,069
51.7%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct
1,001
4.3%
3,724
52.0%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct
603
4.0%
2,062
50.8%
Around each milestone, 28 days before and after
Milestone
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul)
2,696 / 2,508
52.8% to 51.7%
-1.1
-0.8
6.0% to 4.9%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug)
2,412 / 2,631
51.8% to 52.1%
+0.3
+0.2
4.9% to 4.5%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep)
2,611 / 2,855
51.1% to 52.1%
+1.0
+0.8
4.8% to 4.4%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct)
2,855 / 2,062
52.1% to 50.8%
-1.3
-0.9
4.4% to 4.1%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data
2,517 / 1,127
52.4% to 49.8%
-2.6
-1.5
4.2% to 4.2%
Results brackets
372 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 40 won
X, 120 won X-1 and 212 won X-2, from 859 entries.
Share of players by share of games won
4%
0-20
15%
20-40
32%
40-60
32%
60-80
17%
80-100
line = all factions
Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2
5.9%
X
5.6%
X-1
5.0%
X-2
dashed = share of entries, 5.0%
Bracket tables
Tier
Lists
Share of tier
Share of entries
Ratio
z
X
40
5.9%
5.0%
1.17x
+1.0
X-1
120
5.6%
5.0%
1.12x
+1.3
X-2
212
5.0%
5.0%
0.99x
-0.1
X to X-2
372
5.3%
5.0%
1.05x
+0.9
Share of games won
Players
Share of players
All players
0 to 20%
31
4.1%
4.1%
20 to 40%
113
14.9%
17.2%
40 to 60%
241
31.9%
32.2%
60 to 80%
243
32.1%
30.1%
80 to 100%
128
16.9%
16.4%
Combinations
7 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common
is Experimental Prototype Cadre + Kauyon (578 lists, 17%).
Combination table
Combination
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Experimental Prototype Cadre + Kauyon
578
17%
+0.7 ± 1.1
+0.6
Advanced Acquisition Cadre + Retaliation Cadre
271
8%
+4.5 ± 1.8
+2.5
Advanced Acquisition Cadre + Kauyon
204
6%
-5.1 ± 2.0
-2.5
Experimental Prototype Cadre + Kroot Hunting Pack
115
3%
+5.2 ± 2.6
+2.0
Auxillary Cadre + Kauyon
71
2%
-2.8 ± 3.3
-0.9
Advanced Acquisition Cadre + Kroot Hunting Pack
66
2%
-2.4 ± 3.5
-0.7
Auxillary Cadre + Retaliation Cadre
22
1%
-3.6 ± 7.0
-0.5
Force Disposition
Force Disposition table
Disposition
Share of games
Games
Win rate
Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Purge the Foe
38%
3,889
54.1%
+2.1 ± 0.8
Priority Assets
35%
3,588
50.6%
-1.1 ± 0.9
Reconnaissance
21%
2,201
49.8%
-2.0 ± 1.1
Take and Hold
5%
473
54.2%
+2.7 ± 2.6
Disruption
2%
161
48.1%
n/a
Each extra 2.1 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 2.4 points
lower; the average list has 12.0. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength
model, milestone moves, combination effects, Force Disposition, results brackets and terrain
layout.
Representative lists
Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists
are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events
with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties,
and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.
Experimental Prototype Cadre + Kauyon 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 6-0 · 130 players · 6 rounds · 22 Aug
Won an event of 100+ players
25 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Twin Lance 220 Fusion eliminator, MV15 Gun Drone, Shardstorm burst system, XV pulse pistol, Ion scattercannon
Darkstrider 60 Close combat weapon, Shade
Battleline
Breacher Team 90 Support turret, Close combat weapon, Gun Drone, Pulse blaster, Pulse pistol
Dedicated Transports
Devilfish 75 Accelerator burst cannon, Armoured hull, Seeker missile, Twin pulse carbine
Other Units
Broadside Battlesuits 150 Crushing bulk, Heavy rail rifle, Missile Drone, Seeker missile, Twin plasma rifle
Broadside Battlesuits 150 Crushing bulk, Heavy rail rifle, Missile Drone, Seeker missile, Twin plasma rifle
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits 125 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Marker Drone, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits 125 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Marker Drone, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 110
Stealth Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Burst cannon, Homing Beacon
Stealth Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Burst cannon, Homing Beacon
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 95
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 90 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 90 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Commander Farsight 70 Dawn Blade, High-intensity plasma rifle
Vespid Stingwings 70 Neutron blaster, Stingwing claws
Vespid Stingwings 70 Neutron blaster, Stingwing claws
Kroot Carnivores 65 Close combat weapon, Kroot pistol, Kroot rifle, Tanglebomb launcher
Cadre Fireblade 50 Close combat weapon, Fireblade pulse rifle, Gun Drone
Experimental Prototype Cadre + Kauyon 1,990 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 6-0 · 123 players · 6 rounds · 15 Aug
Won an event of 100+ players
9 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Commander Shadowsun 100 Advanced Guardian Drone, Battlesuit fists, Command-link Drone (Aura), Flechette launcher, High-energy fusion blaster ...
Other Units
Tiger Shark 375 Armoured hull, Cyclic ion blaster, Ion cannon, Missile pod, Seeker missile, Skyspear missile rack
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits 125 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Marker Drone, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits 125 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Marker Drone, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Marker Drone, Plasma rifle, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Marker Drone, Plasma rifle, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone, Marker Drone
Stealth Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Fusion blaster, Homing Beacon
Stealth Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Fusion blaster, Homing Beacon
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 95
Commander In Enforcer Battlesuit 95
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 90 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone, Marker Drone
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 90 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone, Marker Drone
Pathfinder Team 85 Close combat weapon, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Recon Drone, Shield Drone, Rail rifle ...
Pathfinder Team 85 Close combat weapon, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Recon Drone, Shield Drone, Rail rifle ...
Piranhas 65 Armoured hull, Piranha fusion blaster, Seeker missile, Twin pulse carbine
Piranhas 65 Armoured hull, Piranha fusion blaster, Seeker missile, Twin pulse carbine
Team events
51.0%win rate in team events 2,556 games 643 lists from 541 players -1.1 points against individual events going first 0.2 points better
T'au Empire won 51.0% of 2,556 team event games, against 52.1% of 9,485 in individual
events: 1.1 points lower (not clear). It makes up 5.4% of team event games and 4.7% of
individual event games.
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
37%
Priority Assets
29%
Reconnaissance
28%
Disruption
4%
Take and Hold
2%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments
share
win rate
Retaliation Cadre
33%
Kauyon
29%
Mont'ka
24%
Experimental Prototype
Cadre
22%
Advanced Acquisition
Cadre
15%
Kroot Hunting Pack
5%
Auxillary Cadre
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups
win rate against
Astra Militarum
Genestealer Cult
Space Marines
Chaos Knights
Adeptus Custodes
World Eaters
Necrons
Orks
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events.
Dashed: team events win rate.
Milestones
5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after,
with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.
July balance & rules update (22 July)
51.7%win rate, rank 8 of 28 2,508 games 690 lists from 616 players X to X-2 finishes 1.10x entry share going first 4.5 points better
T'au Empire won 52.8% of 2,696 games in the 28 days before and 51.7% of 2,508 in
the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 6.0% to 4.9%.
3 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Advanced Acquisition
Cadre (49% to 12%), Experimental Prototype Cadre (7% to 23%) and Kauyon (17% to 27%).
3 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Riptide Battlesuit (73%
to 57%), Darkstrider (22% to 32%) and Pathfinder Team (85% to 76%).
One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Exemplar of the
Kauyon (8% to 17%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
7%
0-20
16%
20-40
29%
40-60
31%
60-80
17%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
38%
Priority Assets
37%
Reconnaissance
19%
Take and Hold
4%
Disruption
2%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Retaliation Cadre
36%
Kauyon
27%
Mont'ka
25%
Experimental Prototype
Cadre
23%
Advanced Acquisition
Cadre
12%
Kroot Hunting Pack
7%
Auxillary Cadre
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Stealth Battlesuits
91%
The Twin Lance
77%
Pathfinder Team
76%
Crisis Starscythe
Battlesuits
69%
Commander In Coldstar
Battlesuit
66%
Crisis Sunforge
Battlesuits
64%
Commander Farsight
60%
Crisis Fireknife
Battlesuits
59%
Riptide Battlesuit
57%
Commander In Enforcer
Battlesuit
52%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Chaos Space Marines
Grey Knights
Space Marines
Astra Militarum
Leagues of Votann
Adeptus Custodes
Tyranids
Chaos Daemons
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Advanced Acquisition Cadre
49%
12%
-37
-15.2
Unit
Riptide Battlesuit
73%
57%
-16
-6.6
Detachment
Experimental Prototype Cadre
7%
23%
+16
+8.4
Detachment
Kauyon
17%
27%
+10
+4.7
Unit
Darkstrider
22%
32%
+10
+4.3
Unit
Pathfinder Team
85%
76%
-9
-4.5
Enhancement
Exemplar of the Kauyon
8%
17%
+9
+5.4
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Experimental Prototype Cadre + Kauyon 1,990 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 6-0 · 123 players · 6 rounds · 15 Aug
Won an event of 100+ players
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Commander Shadowsun 100 Advanced Guardian Drone, Battlesuit fists, Command-link Drone (Aura), Flechette launcher, High-energy fusion blaster ...
Other Units
Tiger Shark 375 Armoured hull, Cyclic ion blaster, Ion cannon, Missile pod, Seeker missile, Skyspear missile rack
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits 125 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Marker Drone, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits 125 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Marker Drone, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Marker Drone, Plasma rifle, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Marker Drone, Plasma rifle, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone, Marker Drone
Stealth Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Fusion blaster, Homing Beacon
Stealth Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Fusion blaster, Homing Beacon
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 95
Commander In Enforcer Battlesuit 95
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 90 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone, Marker Drone
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 90 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone, Marker Drone
Pathfinder Team 85 Close combat weapon, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Recon Drone, Shield Drone, Rail rifle ...
Pathfinder Team 85 Close combat weapon, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Recon Drone, Shield Drone, Rail rifle ...
Piranhas 65 Armoured hull, Piranha fusion blaster, Seeker missile, Twin pulse carbine
Piranhas 65 Armoured hull, Piranha fusion blaster, Seeker missile, Twin pulse carbine
Retaliation Cadre 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 78 players · 5 rounds · 15 Aug
83 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Twin Lance 220 Fusion eliminator, MV15 Gun Drone, Shardstorm burst system, XV pulse pistol, Ion scattercannon
Battleline
Strike Team 70 Support turret, Close combat weapon, Pulse pistol, Pulse rifle
Other Units
Broadside Battlesuits 150 Crushing bulk, Heavy rail rifle, Missile Drone, Seeker missile, Weapon Support System, Marker Drone, Shield Drone
Broadside Battlesuits 150 Crushing bulk, Heavy rail rifle, Missile Drone, Seeker missile, Weapon Support System, Marker Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits 125 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits 125 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Commander In Enforcer Battlesuit 100
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Gun Drone, Plasma rifle, Shield Drone
Stealth Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Burst cannon
Stealth Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Burst cannon
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 95
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 90 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 90 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Pathfinder Team 90 Close combat weapon, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Recon Drone, Semi-automatic grenade launcher, Shield Drone, Ion rifle ...
Pathfinder Team 85 Close combat weapon, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Recon Drone, Semi-automatic grenade launcher, Shield Drone, Ion rifle ...
Commander In Enforcer Battlesuit 80
Commander Farsight 70 Dawn Blade, High-intensity plasma rifle
Kroot Carnivores 65 Close combat weapon, Kroot carbine, Kroot pistol, Kroot rifle, Tanglebomb launcher
August balance & rules update (26 August)
51.4%win rate, rank 10 of 27 869 games 217 lists from 213 players X to X-2 finishes 1.14x entry share going first 1.9 points better
T'au Empire won 51.8% of 2,412 games in the 28 days before and 52.1% of 2,631 in
the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.9% to 4.5%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
2%
0-20
11%
20-40
31%
40-60
42%
60-80
13%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
40%
Purge the Foe
33%
Reconnaissance
22%
Take and Hold
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Retaliation Cadre
34%
Kauyon
32%
Experimental Prototype
Cadre
30%
Mont'ka
20%
Advanced Acquisition
Cadre
12%
Kroot Hunting Pack
11%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Stealth Battlesuits
90%
Pathfinder Team
76%
The Twin Lance
75%
Crisis Starscythe
Battlesuits
70%
Crisis Fireknife
Battlesuits
66%
Commander In Coldstar
Battlesuit
66%
Crisis Sunforge
Battlesuits
65%
Commander Farsight
62%
Commander In Enforcer
Battlesuit
61%
Broadside Battlesuits
53%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Chaos Space Marines
Tyranids
Adeptus Custodes
Necrons
Space Marines
Dark Angels
Emperor's Children
Orks
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Retaliation Cadre 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
18th place · record 8-1 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
17 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Twin Lance 230 Fusion eliminator, MV15 Gun Drone, Shardstorm burst system, XV pulse pistol, Ion scattercannon
Darkstrider 60 Close combat weapon, Shade
Other Units
Ghostkeel Battlesuit 150 Battlesuit Support System, Fusion collider, Ghostkeel fists, Twin fusion blaster
Hammerhead Gunship 150 Accelerator burst cannon, Armoured hull, Railgun, Seeker missile
Hammerhead Gunship 150 Accelerator burst cannon, Armoured hull, Railgun, Seeker missile
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits 130 Battlesuit fists, Marker Drone, Missile pod, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits 130 Battlesuit fists, Marker Drone, Missile pod, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Commander In Enforcer Battlesuit 100
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Stealth Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Burst cannon, Homing Beacon
Stealth Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Burst cannon, Homing Beacon
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 95
Pathfinder Team 85 Close combat weapon, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Recon Drone, Semi-automatic grenade launcher, Shield Drone ...
Pathfinder Team 85 Close combat weapon, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Recon Drone, Semi-automatic grenade launcher, Shield Drone ...
Commander Farsight 70 Dawn Blade, High-intensity plasma rifle
Vespid Stingwings 70 Neutron blaster, Stingwing claws
Retaliation Cadre 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 33 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
10 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Twin Lance 230 Fusion eliminator, MV15 Gun Drone, Shardstorm burst system, XV pulse pistol, Ion scattercannon
Darkstrider 60 Close combat weapon, Shade
Other Units
Broadside Battlesuits 150 Crushing bulk, Heavy rail rifle, Missile Drone, Twin smart missile system, Weapon Support System
Broadside Battlesuits 150 Crushing bulk, Heavy rail rifle, Missile Drone, Twin smart missile system, Weapon Support System
Hammerhead Gunship 150 Accelerator burst cannon, Armoured hull, Ion cannon, Seeker missile
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits 125 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits 125 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 115
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Stealth Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Fusion blaster, Homing Beacon
Stealth Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Fusion blaster, Homing Beacon
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 95
Pathfinder Team 85 Close combat weapon, Grav-inhibitor Drone, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Shield Drone, Rail rifle ...
Pathfinder Team 85 Close combat weapon, Grav-inhibitor Drone, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Shield Drone, Rail rifle ...
Commander Farsight 70 Dawn Blade, High-intensity plasma rifle
Kroot Carnivores 65 Close combat weapon, Kroot carbine, Kroot pistol, Kroot rifle, Tanglebomb launcher
Orks codex (5 September)
52.1%win rate, rank 8 of 28 2,855 games 784 lists from 673 players X to X-2 finishes 0.99x entry share going first 1.7 points better
T'au Empire won 51.1% of 2,611 games in the 28 days before and 52.1% of 2,855 in
the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.8% to 4.4%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
11%
20-40
41%
40-60
30%
60-80
15%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
40%
Purge the Foe
35%
Reconnaissance
19%
Take and Hold
4%
Disruption
2%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Retaliation Cadre
34%
Kauyon
34%
Experimental Prototype
Cadre
31%
Mont'ka
21%
Kroot Hunting Pack
8%
Advanced Acquisition
Cadre
7%
Auxillary Cadre
3%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Stealth Battlesuits
92%
The Twin Lance
78%
Pathfinder Team
76%
Commander In Coldstar
Battlesuit
71%
Crisis Sunforge
Battlesuits
70%
Commander Farsight
69%
Crisis Starscythe
Battlesuits
67%
Crisis Fireknife
Battlesuits
65%
Commander In Enforcer
Battlesuit
59%
Broadside Battlesuits
59%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Space Marines
Emperor's Children
Drukhari
Leagues of Votann
Necrons
World Eaters
Tyranids
Adeptus Custodes
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Retaliation Cadre 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
3rd place · record 6-1 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
40 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Twin Lance 230 Fusion eliminator, MV15 Gun Drone, Shardstorm burst system, XV pulse pistol, Ion scattercannon
Darkstrider 60 Close combat weapon, Shade
Other Units
Broadside Battlesuits 150 Crushing bulk, Heavy rail rifle, Missile Drone, Twin smart missile system, Weapon Support System
Broadside Battlesuits 150 Crushing bulk, Heavy rail rifle, Missile Drone, Twin smart missile system, Weapon Support System
Hammerhead Gunship 150 Accelerator burst cannon, Armoured hull, Ion cannon, Seeker missile
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits 125 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits 125 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 115
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Stealth Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Fusion blaster, Homing Beacon
Stealth Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Fusion blaster, Homing Beacon
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 95
Pathfinder Team 85 Close combat weapon, Grav-inhibitor Drone, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Shield Drone, Rail rifle ...
Pathfinder Team 85 Close combat weapon, Grav-inhibitor Drone, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Shield Drone, Rail rifle ...
Commander Farsight 70 Dawn Blade, High-intensity plasma rifle
Kroot Carnivores 65 Close combat weapon, Kroot carbine, Kroot pistol, Kroot rifle, Tanglebomb launcher
Retaliation Cadre 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 70 players · 5 rounds · 26 Sep
15 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Twin Lance 230 Fusion eliminator, MV15 Gun Drone, Shardstorm burst system, XV pulse pistol, Ion scattercannon
Ethereal 50 Honour stave, Hover Drone, Marker Drone, Shield Drone
Other Units
Riptide Battlesuit 215 Ion accelerator, Missile Drone, Riptide fists, Twin plasma rifle
Broadside Battlesuits 150 Crushing bulk, Heavy rail rifle, Missile Drone, Seeker missile, Weapon Support System
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits 130 Battlesuit fists, Gun Drone, Missile pod, Shield Drone, Marker Drone, Plasma rifle
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits 125 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Commander In Enforcer Battlesuit 100
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Gun Drone, Missile pod, Shield Drone, Marker Drone, Plasma rifle
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone, Marker Drone
Pathfinder Team 100 Close combat weapon, Grav-inhibitor Drone, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Semi-automatic grenade launcher, Shield Drone ...
Stealth Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Burst cannon, Homing Beacon
Stealth Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Burst cannon, Homing Beacon
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 95
Pathfinder Team 85 Close combat weapon, Grav-inhibitor Drone, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Semi-automatic grenade launcher, Shield Drone ...
Pathfinder Team 85 Close combat weapon, Grav-inhibitor Drone, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Semi-automatic grenade launcher, Shield Drone ...
Kroot Hounds 45 Ripping fangs
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)
52.1%win rate, rank 9 of 27 935 games 273 lists from 260 players X to X-2 finishes 1.12x entry share going first 2.4 points better
T'au Empire won 52.1% of 2,855 games in the 28 days before and 50.8% of 2,062 in
the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 4.4% to 4.1%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
2%
0-20
17%
20-40
30%
40-60
33%
60-80
19%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
36%
Purge the Foe
32%
Reconnaissance
24%
Take and Hold
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Retaliation Cadre
37%
Kauyon
34%
Experimental Prototype
Cadre
30%
Mont'ka
19%
Kroot Hunting Pack
7%
Advanced Acquisition
Cadre
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Stealth Battlesuits
92%
Crisis Sunforge
Battlesuits
76%
Pathfinder Team
75%
Commander In Coldstar
Battlesuit
73%
Crisis Fireknife
Battlesuits
72%
The Twin Lance
70%
Commander Farsight
68%
Broadside Battlesuits
63%
Commander In Enforcer
Battlesuit
62%
Crisis Starscythe
Battlesuits
60%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Imperial Knights
Chaos Space Marines
Adeptus Custodes
Death Guard
Tyranids
Orks
Dark Angels
World Eaters
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Retaliation Cadre 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 56 players · 5 rounds · 3 Oct
30 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
The Twin Lance 230 Fusion eliminator, MV15 Gun Drone, Shardstorm burst system, XV pulse pistol, Ion scattercannon
Broadside Battlesuits 150 Crushing bulk, Heavy rail rifle, Missile Drone, Seeker missile, Weapon Support System
Broadside Battlesuits 150 Crushing bulk, Heavy rail rifle, Missile Drone, Seeker missile, Weapon Support System
Ghostkeel Battlesuit 150 Battlesuit Support System, Fusion collider, Ghostkeel fists, Twin fusion blaster
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits 130 Battlesuit fists, Gun Drone, Missile pod, Shield Drone
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits 125 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits 125 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Commander In Enforcer Battlesuit 100
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Stealth Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Burst cannon, Homing Beacon
Stealth Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Burst cannon, Homing Beacon
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 95
Pathfinder Team 85 Close combat weapon, Grav-inhibitor Drone, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol ...
Vespid Stingwings 70 Neutron blaster, Stingwing claws
Experimental Prototype Cadre + Kauyon 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 28 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
Show list
Characters
Commander Shadowsun 100 Advanced Guardian Drone, Battlesuit fists, Command-link Drone (Aura), Flechette launcher, High-energy fusion blaster ...
Other Units
Tiger Shark 395 Armoured hull, Cyclic ion blaster, Ion cannon, Missile pod, Seeker missile, Skyspear missile rack
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits 125 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Marker Drone, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 110
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 110 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Marker Drone, Plasma rifle, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Marker Drone, Plasma rifle, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Stealth Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Fusion blaster, Homing Beacon
Stealth Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Fusion blaster, Homing Beacon
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 95
Pathfinder Team 85 Close combat weapon, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Recon Drone, Shield Drone, Rail rifle ...
Pathfinder Team 85 Close combat weapon, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Recon Drone, Shield Drone, Rail rifle ...
Vespid Stingwings 70 Neutron blaster, Stingwing claws
Piranhas 65 Armoured hull, Piranha fusion blaster, Seeker missile, Twin pulse carbine
Piranhas 65 Armoured hull, Piranha fusion blaster, Seeker missile, Twin pulse carbine
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)
49.8%win rate, rank 11 of 27 1,127 games 330 lists from 323 players X to X-2 finishes 0.95x entry share going first 0.7 points better
T'au Empire won 52.4% of 2,517 games in the 28 days before and 49.8% of 1,127 in
the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 4.2% to 4.2%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
4%
0-20
17%
20-40
34%
40-60
34%
60-80
11%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
38%
Reconnaissance
28%
Purge the Foe
25%
Take and Hold
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Retaliation Cadre
38%
Experimental Prototype
Cadre
31%
Kauyon
28%
Mont'ka
22%
Kroot Hunting Pack
7%
Advanced Acquisition
Cadre
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Stealth Battlesuits
92%
Pathfinder Team
78%
Crisis Sunforge
Battlesuits
77%
The Twin Lance
75%
Crisis Fireknife
Battlesuits
72%
Commander Farsight
72%
Commander In Coldstar
Battlesuit
71%
Broadside Battlesuits
64%
Commander In Enforcer
Battlesuit
62%
Crisis Starscythe
Battlesuits
58%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Astra Militarum
Chaos Daemons
Death Guard
Necrons
Dark Angels
Chaos Space Marines
World Eaters
Tyranids
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Experimental Prototype Cadre + Kauyon 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
4th place · record 7-1 · 143 players · 8 rounds · 23 Oct
5 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Twin Lance 240 Fusion eliminator, MV15 Gun Drone, Shardstorm burst system, XV pulse pistol, Ion scattercannon
Commander Shadowsun 100 Advanced Guardian Drone, Battlesuit fists, Command-link Drone (Aura), Flechette launcher, High-energy fusion blaster ...
Darkstrider 60 Close combat weapon, Shade
Battleline
Breacher Team 80 Support turret, Close combat weapon, Guardian Drone, Gun Drone, Pulse blaster, Pulse pistol
Dedicated Transports
Devilfish 75 Accelerator burst cannon, Armoured hull, Seeker missile, Twin pulse carbine
Other Units
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits 135 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Marker Drone, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits 125 Battlesuit fists, Gun Drone, Missile pod, Shield Drone, Plasma rifle
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits 125 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Marker Drone, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits 125 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Marker Drone, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Gun Drone, Missile pod, Shield Drone, Plasma rifle
Stealth Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Burst cannon, Homing Beacon
Stealth Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Burst cannon, Homing Beacon
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 95
Pathfinder Team 85 Close combat weapon, Grav-inhibitor Drone, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Shield Drone, Rail rifle
Commander In Enforcer Battlesuit 80
Commander Farsight 70 Dawn Blade, High-intensity plasma rifle
Kroot Carnivores 65 Close combat weapon, Kroot carbine, Kroot pistol, Kroot rifle, Tanglebomb launcher
Cadre Fireblade 50 Close combat weapon, Fireblade pulse rifle, Gun Drone
Retaliation Cadre 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 43 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
65 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Twin Lance 240 Fusion eliminator, MV15 Gun Drone, Shardstorm burst system, XV pulse pistol, Ion scattercannon
Darkstrider 60 Close combat weapon, Shade
Other Units
Broadside Battlesuits 150 Crushing bulk, Heavy rail rifle, Missile Drone, Seeker missile, Twin plasma rifle
Hammerhead Gunship 150 Accelerator burst cannon, Armoured hull, Railgun, Seeker missile
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits 125 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits 125 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 110
Commander In Enforcer Battlesuit 100
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Gun Drone, Plasma rifle, Shield Drone
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Stealth Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Burst cannon, Homing Beacon
Stealth Battlesuits 100 Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Burst cannon, Homing Beacon
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 95
Pathfinder Team 95 Close combat weapon, Grav-inhibitor Drone, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Semi-automatic grenade launcher, Shield Drone ...
Pathfinder Team 85 Close combat weapon, Grav-inhibitor Drone, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Semi-automatic grenade launcher, Shield Drone ...
Commander Farsight 70 Dawn Blade, High-intensity plasma rifle
Leagues of Votann
Leagues of Votann Whole edition Combinations Force Disposition Units Pick-rate shifts Matchups Over time Results brackets Detachments Enhancements Lists Team events Milestones 22 Jul 26 Aug 5 Sep 3 Oct 17 Oct
Whole edition
51.8%win rate, rank 7 of 28 8,631 games 2,387 lists from 1,354 players top-10% finishes 1.21x entry share going first 2.8 points better 52.5% adjusted for player skill
The pairing Farseekers + Needgaârd Oathband has a win rate 6.0 points above
the faction average (216 lists). Einhyr Champion is in 30% of lists, and lists with it
have a win rate 3.0 points below comparable lists. Leagues of Votann won 51.8% of 8,631
games, rank 7 of 28. Needgaârd Oathband went from 38% to 60% of the faction's lists between
the first period and the last 28 days.
Combinations
15 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common
is Hearthguard Covenant + Needgaârd Oathband (888 lists, 37%). Best: Farseekers + Needgaârd
Oathband (6.0 points above the faction average).
Combination
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Hearthguard Covenant + Needgaârd Oathband
888
37%
+0.7 ± 0.9
+0.8
Hearthguard Covenant + Mercenary Oathband
301
13%
-0.5 ± 1.4
-0.3
Farseekers + Needgaârd Oathband
216
9%
+6.0 ± 1.8
+3.4
Farseekers + Mercenary Oathband
102
4%
-2.0 ± 2.6
-0.8
Armoured Trailblazers + Needgaârd Oathband
78
3%
+2.1 ± 3.3
+0.6
Dêlve Assault Shift + Hearthguard Covenant
61
3%
+0.8 ± 3.5
+0.2
Armoured Trailblazers + Brandfast Oathband
51
2%
-8.0 ± 4.2
-1.9
Armoured Trailblazers + Mercenary Oathband
50
2%
+3.8 ± 3.4
+1.1
Force Disposition
Reconnaissance has a win rate 5.4 points above the faction's other choices.
Disposition
Share of games
Games
Win rate
Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Priority Assets
54%
4,153
52.5%
+0.8 ± 0.8
Reconnaissance
14%
1,108
57.3%
+5.4 ± 1.5
Purge the Foe
12%
928
50.9%
-1.1 ± 1.8
Take and Hold
11%
830
47.0%
-4.9 ± 1.7
Disruption
9%
694
49.0%
-2.7 ± 2.0
Units
A typical list contains 12 distinct units. 13 units appear in at least half of all lists
and 21 in at least 10%. The most common is Hernkyn Pioneers (89% of lists).
Of 22 units in 40 or more lists, 1 has a clear effect on results (0 positive, 1 negative).
Weakest: Einhyr Champion (3.0 points below comparable lists, 30% of lists). Einhyr Champion
is in at least 15% of lists but has a win rate below it.
Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-2
0
+2
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Einhyr Champion
Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-5
-2.5
0
+2.5
+5
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Most played units
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Hernkyn Pioneers
2,118
88.7%
+0.1 ± 0.5
+0.1
Einhyr Hearthguard
2,117
88.7%
-0.4 ± 0.5
-0.8
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn
2,081
87.2%
-0.5 ± 0.5
-1.0
Hekaton Land Fortress
2,073
86.8%
-0.7 ± 0.5
-1.2
Hernkyn Yaegirs
1,926
80.7%
+0.5 ± 0.6
+0.8
Kâhl
1,893
79.3%
-0.1 ± 0.6
-0.1
Kapricus Carrier
1,852
77.6%
+0.9 ± 0.6
+1.6
Memnyr Strategist
1,748
73.2%
-0.5 ± 0.6
-0.9
Hearthkyn Warriors
1,611
67.5%
-1.0 ± 0.6
-1.6
Ûthar the Destined
1,598
66.9%
+0.5 ± 0.6
+0.8
Sagitaur
1,566
65.6%
-0.6 ± 0.6
-1.0
Buri Aegnirssen
1,486
62.3%
+0.3 ± 0.6
+0.5
Other units with a clear effect
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Einhyr Champion
707
29.6%
-3.0 ± 1.0
-3.1
Pick-rate shifts
Type
Name
First period
Prior 28 days
Last 28 days
Change vs first period (pp)
Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Detachment
Needgaârd Oathband
38%
59%
60%
+22
+1
Enhancement
Oathbound Speculator
33%
51%
54%
+21
+4
Unit
Buri Aegnirssen
47%
67%
65%
+18
-2
Unit
Ironkin Steeljacks with Heavy Volkanite Disintegrators
56%
53%
41%
-15
-12
Detachment
Mercenary Oathband
30%
15%
16%
-14
+1
Detachment
Hearthguard Covenant
50%
61%
63%
+14
+3
Enhancement
Etacarn SB9 Targeting Implant
24%
12%
11%
-13
-1
Unit
Berehk Stornbröw
28%
28%
40%
+12
+13
Enhancement
Metaphysical Brokerage
12%
4%
3%
-9
-1
Matchups
Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Astra Militarum (63.0% over
300 games) and the worst is Adeptus Mechanicus (44.9% over 217).
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Astra Militarum
300
63.0%
57.4% to 68.3%
61.2%
+1.8
favourable
Grey Knights
218
61.5%
54.9% to 67.7%
54.7%
+6.8
favourable
Imperial Knights
317
59.9%
54.5% to 65.2%
53.2%
+6.7
favourable
Blood Angels
220
57.5%
50.9% to 63.8%
55.8%
+1.7
favourable
Black Templars
103
56.8%
47.2% to 65.9%
56.5%
+0.3
Chaos Space Marines
355
56.1%
50.9% to 61.1%
54.6%
+1.4
favourable
World Eaters
358
55.6%
50.4% to 60.6%
51.9%
+3.7
favourable
Space Marines
637
54.7%
50.8% to 58.5%
53.2%
+1.5
favourable
T'au Empire
457
46.5%
42.0% to 51.1%
50.1%
-3.6
Chaos Daemons
346
46.4%
41.2% to 51.7%
47.1%
-0.7
Adeptus Custodes
548
45.8%
41.7% to 50.0%
47.6%
-1.8
unfavourable
Adeptus Mechanicus
217
44.9%
38.5% to 51.6%
51.3%
-6.3
Deathwatch
61
41.0%
29.5% to 53.5%
48.1%
-7.1
All 27 matchups: 14 more rows
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Adepta Sororitas
215
56.0%
49.4% to 62.5%
51.5%
+4.5
Chaos Knights
200
55.2%
48.3% to 62.0%
54.9%
+0.3
Aeldari
225
54.4%
47.9% to 60.8%
56.2%
-1.8
Tyranids
543
53.1%
48.9% to 57.3%
51.9%
+1.2
Thousand Sons
307
52.8%
47.2% to 58.3%
51.5%
+1.3
Emperor's Children
346
52.7%
47.5% to 57.9%
50.5%
+2.3
Genestealer Cult
129
52.7%
44.1% to 61.1%
54.3%
-1.6
Imperial Agents
21
52.4%
32.4% to 71.7%
58.1%
-5.8
Death Guard
408
51.2%
46.4% to 56.0%
53.6%
-2.4
Drukhari
231
50.4%
44.0% to 56.8%
54.9%
-4.5
Space Wolves
191
49.7%
42.7% to 56.8%
52.8%
-3.0
Necrons
598
47.8%
43.8% to 51.8%
50.4%
-2.5
Orks
658
46.8%
43.0% to 50.6%
46.5%
+0.3
Dark Angels
422
46.6%
41.9% to 51.3%
48.4%
-1.9
Over time
Share of games per week (%)
3
4
2.5
2.2
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval
40
50
60
50.6
45.2
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Period
Lists
Share of all lists
Games
Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul
484
3.1%
1,695
50.6%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug
641
3.5%
2,292
53.4%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct
842
3.6%
3,149
51.1%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct
420
2.8%
1,495
51.9%
Around each milestone, 28 days before and after
Milestone
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul)
1,518 / 1,872
51.2% to 53.7%
+2.4
+1.4
3.4% to 3.7%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug)
1,830 / 2,287
53.6% to 51.4%
-2.2
-1.4
3.7% to 3.9%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep)
2,033 / 2,433
53.0% to 50.6%
-2.4
-1.6
3.7% to 3.7%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct)
2,433 / 1,495
50.6% to 51.9%
+1.4
+0.8
3.7% to 3.0%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data
2,050 / 748
50.9% to 51.7%
+0.9
+0.4
3.5% to 2.8%
Results brackets
276 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 21 won
X, 97 won X-1 and 158 won X-2, from 625 entries.
Share of players by share of games won
4%
0-20
15%
20-40
31%
40-60
32%
60-80
19%
80-100
line = all factions
Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2
3.1%
X
4.6%
X-1
3.7%
X-2
dashed = share of entries, 3.7%
Bracket tables
Tier
Lists
Share of tier
Share of entries
Ratio
z
X
21
3.1%
3.7%
0.84x
-0.8
X-1
97
4.6%
3.7%
1.25x
+2.2
X-2
158
3.7%
3.7%
1.02x
+0.2
X to X-2
276
3.9%
3.7%
1.07x
+1.1
Share of games won
Players
Share of players
All players
0 to 20%
20
3.7%
4.1%
20 to 40%
78
14.5%
17.2%
40 to 60%
165
30.7%
32.2%
60 to 80%
170
31.7%
30.1%
80 to 100%
104
19.4%
16.4%
Detachments
9 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 4 of them account for 80% of picks. The most
played is Hearthguard Covenant (60% of lists), and 83% of lists run more than one detachment.
Detachment
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
P1
P2
P3
P4
Hearthguard Covenant
1,430
60%
+0.0 ± 0.6
+0.0
50%
63%
62%
63%
Needgaârd Oathband
1,266
53%
+1.3 ± 0.7
+1.8
38%
51%
59%
60%
Mercenary Oathband
508
21%
-0.9 ± 1.0
-0.9
30%
26%
15%
16%
Farseekers
428
18%
+0.3 ± 1.2
+0.3
17%
18%
19%
17%
Armoured Trailblazers
290
12%
-2.1 ± 1.5
-1.4
12%
12%
12%
12%
Dêlve Assault Shift
131
5%
+0.9 ± 2.3
+0.4
5%
4%
6%
8%
Brandfast Oathband
122
5%
-3.6 ± 2.6
-1.4
6%
5%
5%
5%
Hearthband
119
5%
-3.1 ± 2.0
-1.5
10%
4%
4%
3%
Hearthfyre Arsenal
48
2%
-4.9 ± 3.4
-1.4
1%
3%
2%
2%
Enhancements
20 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Oathbound Speculator
(46% of lists).
Enhancement table
Enhancement
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Oathbound Speculator
1,109
46%
+0.7 ± 0.7
+0.9
Dead Reckoning
645
27%
+0.2 ± 1.0
+0.2
Etacarn SB9 Targeting Implant
408
17%
-0.2 ± 1.1
-0.1
Ancestral Crest
229
10%
-0.1 ± 1.7
-0.0
Ironskein
174
7%
-1.7 ± 1.9
-0.9
Metaphysical Brokerage
158
7%
-4.3 ± 1.9
-2.2
Shroudwërke Talismans
134
6%
-0.2 ± 2.2
-0.1
Pan-spectral Lockons
130
5%
-2.7 ± 2.0
-1.3
Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, milestone
moves, detachment effects, enhancement effects, results brackets, terrain layout and list
width.
Representative lists
Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists
are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events
with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties,
and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.
Hearthguard Covenant + Needgaârd Oathband 1,995 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 6-0 · 336 players · 6 rounds · 1 Aug
Won an event of 100+ players
277 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Buri Aegnirssen 85 Autoch‑pattern bolt pistol, Bane
Dedicated Transports
Kapricus Carrier 70 Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Other Units
Einhyr Hearthguard 270 EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Teleport Crest, Concussion gauntlet
Hekaton Land Fortress 265 Armoured wheels, Heavy magna-rail cannon, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Twin bolt cannon
Hekaton Land Fortress 250 Armoured wheels, Heavy magna-rail cannon, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Twin bolt cannon
Ironkin Steeljacks with Heavy Volkanite Disintegrators 160 Heavy volkanite disintegrator, Plasma knife, Preymark Crest
Einhyr Hearthguard 130 EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Teleport Crest, Concussion gauntlet
Cthonian Beserks 100 Concussion maul
Ûthar the Destined 90 Blade of the Ancestors, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn 90 Close combat weapon, Graviton blast cannon
Hernkyn Yaegirs 90 Bolt revolver, Close combat weapon, Plasma knife, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Kâhl + Ancestral Crest 80 Mass gauntlet, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn 80 Close combat weapon, Graviton blast cannon
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn 80 Close combat weapon, Graviton blast cannon
Ironkin Steeljacks with Melee Weapons 80 Autoch-pattern bolter, Plasma sword, Preymark Crest
Memnyr Strategist + Oathbound Speculator 75 Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Close combat weapon
Hearthguard Covenant + Needgaârd Oathband 1,995 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 6-0 · 85 players · 6 rounds · 18 Sep
279 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Ûthar the Destined 90 Blade of the Ancestors, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Battleline
Hearthkyn Warriors 90 Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Autoch-pattern bolter, Close combat weapon, Theyn’s melee weapon, Weavefield crest ...
Dedicated Transports
Sagitaur 85 Armoured wheels, HYLas beam cannon, Twin bolt cannon
Kapricus Carrier 70 Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Other Units
Einhyr Hearthguard 270 EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Weavefield crest, Concussion gauntlet
Einhyr Hearthguard 270 EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Weavefield crest, Concussion gauntlet
Hekaton Land Fortress 250 Armoured wheels, Heavy magna-rail cannon, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Twin bolt cannon
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn 170 Close combat weapon, SP conversion beamer
Cthonian Beserks 95 Concussion maul, Mole grenade launcher
Einhyr Champion + Oathbound Speculator 95 Autoch-pattern combi-bolter, Mass hammer, Teleport Crest
Cthonian Beserks 95 Concussion maul, Mole grenade launcher
Hernkyn Yaegirs 90 Bolt shotgun, Close combat weapon, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Berehk Stornbröw 85 Kromlôk’s Revenge, Warforge Gauntlets
Kâhl + Ancestral Crest 80 Autoch-pattern combi-bolter, Mass gauntlet, Teleport Crest
Hernkyn Pioneers 80 Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, Magna-coil autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Plasma knife, Rollbar Searchlight
Hernkyn Pioneers 80 Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, Magna-coil autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Plasma knife, Rollbar Searchlight
Team events
50.4%win rate in team events 1,836 games 451 lists from 379 players -1.8 points against individual events going first 3.4 points better
Leagues of Votann won 50.4% of 1,836 team event games, against 52.1% of 6,795 in individual
events: 1.8 points lower (not clear). It makes up 3.9% of team event games and 3.3% of
individual event games.
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
44%
Disruption
20%
Reconnaissance
18%
Purge the Foe
11%
Take and Hold
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments
share
win rate
Needgaârd Oathband
58%
Hearthguard Covenant
51%
Farseekers
20%
Armoured Trailblazers
19%
Mercenary Oathband
16%
Dêlve Assault Shift
5%
Brandfast Oathband
4%
Hearthband
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups
win rate against
Grey Knights
Astra Militarum
Blood Angels
Space Marines
Dark Angels
Death Guard
Adeptus Mechanicus
Adeptus Custodes
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events.
Dashed: team events win rate.
Milestones
5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after,
with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.
July balance & rules update (22 July)
53.7%win rate, rank 7 of 28 1,872 games 506 lists from 429 players X to X-2 finishes 1.08x entry share going first 3.3 points better
Leagues of Votann won 51.2% of 1,518 games in the 28 days before and 53.7% of 1,872
in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.4% to 3.7%.
One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Buri Aegnirssen (45% to 66%).
Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
2%
0-20
14%
20-40
35%
40-60
31%
60-80
18%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
52%
Reconnaissance
14%
Take and Hold
13%
Purge the Foe
12%
Disruption
9%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Hearthguard Covenant
63%
Needgaârd Oathband
49%
Mercenary Oathband
26%
Farseekers
19%
Armoured Trailblazers
11%
Hearthband
5%
Brandfast Oathband
5%
Dêlve Assault Shift
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Einhyr Hearthguard
91%
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn
87%
Hernkyn Pioneers
86%
Hekaton Land Fortress
86%
Hernkyn Yaegirs
81%
Kâhl
81%
Kapricus Carrier
78%
Memnyr Strategist
75%
Buri Aegnirssen
66%
Ûthar the Destined
66%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Grey Knights
Death Guard
Astra Militarum
Chaos Knights
Chaos Daemons
Necrons
Thousand Sons
Orks
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Buri Aegnirssen
45%
66%
+21
+6.5
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Hearthguard Covenant + Needgaârd Oathband 1,995 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 6-0 · 336 players · 6 rounds · 1 Aug
Won an event of 100+ players
69 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Buri Aegnirssen 85 Autoch‑pattern bolt pistol, Bane
Dedicated Transports
Kapricus Carrier 70 Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Other Units
Einhyr Hearthguard 270 EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Teleport Crest, Concussion gauntlet
Hekaton Land Fortress 265 Armoured wheels, Heavy magna-rail cannon, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Twin bolt cannon
Hekaton Land Fortress 250 Armoured wheels, Heavy magna-rail cannon, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Twin bolt cannon
Ironkin Steeljacks with Heavy Volkanite Disintegrators 160 Heavy volkanite disintegrator, Plasma knife, Preymark Crest
Einhyr Hearthguard 130 EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Teleport Crest, Concussion gauntlet
Cthonian Beserks 100 Concussion maul
Ûthar the Destined 90 Blade of the Ancestors, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn 90 Close combat weapon, Graviton blast cannon
Hernkyn Yaegirs 90 Bolt revolver, Close combat weapon, Plasma knife, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Kâhl + Ancestral Crest 80 Mass gauntlet, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn 80 Close combat weapon, Graviton blast cannon
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn 80 Close combat weapon, Graviton blast cannon
Ironkin Steeljacks with Melee Weapons 80 Autoch-pattern bolter, Plasma sword, Preymark Crest
Memnyr Strategist + Oathbound Speculator 75 Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Close combat weapon
Farseekers + Needgaârd Oathband 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 58 players · 5 rounds · 8 Aug
14 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Ûthar the Destined 90 Blade of the Ancestors, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Arkanyst Evaluator 70 Close combat weapon, Transmatter inverter
Arkanyst Evaluator 70 Close combat weapon, Transmatter inverter
Memnyr Strategist + Dead Reckoning 55 Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Close combat weapon
Dedicated Transports
Kapricus Carrier 70 Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Kapricus Carrier 70 Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Other Units
Hekaton Land Fortress 265 Armoured wheels, Heavy magna-rail cannon, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Twin bolt cannon, SP heavy conversion beamer
Hekaton Land Fortress 250 Armoured wheels, Heavy magna-rail cannon, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Twin bolt cannon, SP heavy conversion beamer
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn 160 Close combat weapon, SP conversion beamer
Hernkyn Pioneers 160 Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, HYLas rotary cannon, Magna-coil autocannon, Multiwave Comms Array, Panspectral Scanner ...
Einhyr Hearthguard 130 EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Teleport Crest, Concussion gauntlet
Einhyr Hearthguard 130 EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Teleport Crest, Concussion gauntlet
Hernkyn Pioneers 90 Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, HYLas rotary cannon, Magna-coil autocannon, Multiwave Comms Array, Panspectral Scanner ...
Hernkyn Yaegirs 90 Bolt revolver, Close combat weapon, Plasma knife, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Hernkyn Yaegirs 90 Bolt revolver, Close combat weapon, Plasma knife, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Hernkyn Pioneers 80 Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, HYLas rotary cannon, Magna-coil autocannon, Multiwave Comms Array, Panspectral Scanner ...
Kapricus Defenders 65 Armoured hull, HYLas rotary cannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Kapricus Defenders 65 Armoured hull, HYLas rotary cannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
August balance & rules update (26 August)
53.1%win rate, rank 7 of 27 716 games 186 lists from 183 players X to X-2 finishes 1.03x entry share going first 6.9 points better
Leagues of Votann won 53.6% of 1,830 games in the 28 days before and 51.4% of 2,287
in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.7% to 3.9%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
0%
0-20
15%
20-40
29%
40-60
44%
60-80
12%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
58%
Reconnaissance
16%
Purge the Foe
13%
Take and Hold
8%
Disruption
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Hearthguard Covenant
67%
Needgaârd Oathband
59%
Farseekers
19%
Mercenary Oathband
18%
Armoured Trailblazers
10%
Dêlve Assault Shift
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Einhyr Hearthguard
93%
Hekaton Land Fortress
87%
Hernkyn Pioneers
87%
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn
86%
Hernkyn Yaegirs
81%
Kâhl
79%
Kapricus Carrier
78%
Memnyr Strategist
77%
Ûthar the Destined
72%
Buri Aegnirssen
65%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Space Marines
Tyranids
Necrons
Orks
Adeptus Custodes
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Farseekers + Needgaârd Oathband 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
4th place · record 4-1 · 34 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
9 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Buri Aegnirssen 85 Autoch‑pattern bolt pistol, Bane
Memnyr Strategist 45 Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Close combat weapon
Dedicated Transports
Kapricus Carrier 70 Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Kapricus Carrier 70 Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Other Units
Einhyr Hearthguard 270 EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Teleport Crest, Concussion gauntlet
Hekaton Land Fortress 265 Armoured wheels, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, SP heavy conversion beamer, Twin bolt cannon
Hekaton Land Fortress 250 Armoured wheels, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, SP heavy conversion beamer, Twin bolt cannon
Einhyr Hearthguard 130 EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Teleport Crest, Concussion gauntlet
Cthonian Beserks 100 Concussion maul, Twin concussion gauntlet
Kâhl + Oathbound Speculator 95 Mass gauntlet, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Hernkyn Yaegirs 90 Bolt revolver, Close combat weapon, Plasma knife, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Hernkyn Yaegirs 90 Bolt revolver, Close combat weapon, Plasma knife, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Berehk Stornbröw 85 Kromlôk’s Revenge, Warforge Gauntlets
Hernkyn Pioneers 80 Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, HYLas rotary cannon, Magna-coil autocannon, Multiwave Comms Array, Panspectral Scanner, Plasma knife
Hernkyn Pioneers 80 Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, HYLas rotary cannon, Magna-coil autocannon, Multiwave Comms Array, Panspectral Scanner, Plasma knife
Kapricus Defenders 65 Armoured hull, HYLas rotary cannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Kapricus Defenders 65 Armoured hull, HYLas rotary cannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Kapricus Defenders 65 Armoured hull, HYLas rotary cannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Hearthguard Covenant + Needgaârd Oathband 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
20th place · record 7-2 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
34 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Ûthar the Destined 90 Blade of the Ancestors, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Arkanyst Evaluator + Ancestral Crest 85 Close combat weapon, Transmatter inverter
Buri Aegnirssen 85 Autoch‑pattern bolt pistol, Bane
Memnyr Strategist + Dead Reckoning 55 Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Close combat weapon
Battleline
Hearthkyn Warriors 90 Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Theyn’s melee weapon, Theyn’s pistol, Weavefield crest ...
Dedicated Transports
Sagitaur 85 Armoured wheels, MATR autocannon, Twin bolt cannon
Kapricus Carrier 70 Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Other Units
Einhyr Hearthguard 270 EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Weavefield crest, Concussion gauntlet, Teleport Crest ...
Einhyr Hearthguard 270 EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Weavefield crest, Concussion gauntlet, Teleport Crest ...
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn 170 Close combat weapon, Graviton blast cannon
Einhyr Hearthguard 140 EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Weavefield crest, Concussion gauntlet, Teleport Crest ...
Kâhl + Oathbound Speculator 95 Mass gauntlet, Teleport Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn 90 Close combat weapon, Graviton blast cannon
Hernkyn Yaegirs 90 Bolt revolver, Close combat weapon, Plasma knife, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn 80 Close combat weapon, Graviton blast cannon
Hernkyn Pioneers 80 Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, HYLas rotary cannon, Magna-coil autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Plasma knife, Rollbar Searchlight
Hernkyn Pioneers 80 Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, HYLas rotary cannon, Magna-coil autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Plasma knife, Rollbar Searchlight
Kâhl + Oathbound Speculator 75 Mass gauntlet, Teleport Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Orks codex (5 September)
50.6%win rate, rank 9 of 28 2,433 games 656 lists from 561 players X to X-2 finishes 1.12x entry share going first 4.9 points better
Leagues of Votann won 53.0% of 2,033 games in the 28 days before and 50.6% of 2,433
in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.7% to 3.7%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
15%
20-40
28%
40-60
30%
60-80
24%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
57%
Reconnaissance
14%
Purge the Foe
11%
Disruption
11%
Take and Hold
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Hearthguard Covenant
60%
Needgaârd Oathband
59%
Farseekers
19%
Mercenary Oathband
15%
Armoured Trailblazers
13%
Brandfast Oathband
5%
Dêlve Assault Shift
5%
Hearthband
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Hernkyn Pioneers
89%
Einhyr Hearthguard
89%
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn
88%
Hekaton Land Fortress
87%
Kâhl
80%
Hernkyn Yaegirs
80%
Kapricus Carrier
77%
Memnyr Strategist
75%
Ûthar the Destined
73%
Buri Aegnirssen
68%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Astra Militarum
Chaos Space Marines
Thousand Sons
Blood Angels
Adeptus Mechanicus
Orks
Dark Angels
T'au Empire
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Hearthguard Covenant + Needgaârd Oathband 1,995 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 6-0 · 85 players · 6 rounds · 18 Sep
67 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Ûthar the Destined 90 Blade of the Ancestors, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Battleline
Hearthkyn Warriors 90 Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Autoch-pattern bolter, Close combat weapon, Theyn’s melee weapon, Weavefield crest ...
Dedicated Transports
Sagitaur 85 Armoured wheels, HYLas beam cannon, Twin bolt cannon
Kapricus Carrier 70 Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Other Units
Einhyr Hearthguard 270 EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Weavefield crest, Concussion gauntlet
Einhyr Hearthguard 270 EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Weavefield crest, Concussion gauntlet
Hekaton Land Fortress 250 Armoured wheels, Heavy magna-rail cannon, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Twin bolt cannon
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn 170 Close combat weapon, SP conversion beamer
Cthonian Beserks 95 Concussion maul, Mole grenade launcher
Einhyr Champion + Oathbound Speculator 95 Autoch-pattern combi-bolter, Mass hammer, Teleport Crest
Cthonian Beserks 95 Concussion maul, Mole grenade launcher
Hernkyn Yaegirs 90 Bolt shotgun, Close combat weapon, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Berehk Stornbröw 85 Kromlôk’s Revenge, Warforge Gauntlets
Kâhl + Ancestral Crest 80 Autoch-pattern combi-bolter, Mass gauntlet, Teleport Crest
Hernkyn Pioneers 80 Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, Magna-coil autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Plasma knife, Rollbar Searchlight
Hernkyn Pioneers 80 Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, Magna-coil autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Plasma knife, Rollbar Searchlight
Hearthguard Covenant + Needgaârd Oathband 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 91 players · 5 rounds · 19 Sep
164 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Ûthar the Destined 90 Blade of the Ancestors, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Buri Aegnirssen 85 Autoch‑pattern bolt pistol, Bane
Battleline
Hearthkyn Warriors 90 Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Theyn’s melee weapon, Theyn’s pistol, Weavefield crest ...
Dedicated Transports
Sagitaur 85 Armoured wheels, HYLas beam cannon, Twin bolt cannon
Kapricus Carrier 70 Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Other Units
Einhyr Hearthguard 270 EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Weavefield crest, Concussion gauntlet, Teleport Crest
Hekaton Land Fortress 250 Armoured wheels, Cyclic ion cannon, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Twin bolt cannon
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn 170 Bolt cannon, Close combat weapon
Ironkin Steeljacks with Melee Weapons 150 Autoch-pattern bolter, Plasma sword, Preymark Crest
Einhyr Hearthguard 130 EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Weavefield crest, Concussion gauntlet, Teleport Crest
Kâhl + Oathbound Speculator 95 Mass gauntlet, Teleport Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Hernkyn Yaegirs 90 Bolt revolver, Close combat weapon, Plasma knife, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn 80 Bolt cannon, Close combat weapon
Hernkyn Pioneers 80 Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, HYLas rotary cannon, Magna-coil autocannon, Multiwave Comms Array, Panspectral Scanner, Plasma knife
Hernkyn Pioneers 80 Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, HYLas rotary cannon, Magna-coil autocannon, Multiwave Comms Array, Panspectral Scanner, Plasma knife
Kapricus Defenders 70 Armoured hull, HYLas rotary cannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Kapricus Defenders 70 Armoured hull, HYLas rotary cannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Memnyr Strategist 45 Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Close combat weapon
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)
52.1%win rate, rank 8 of 27 747 games 206 lists from 197 players X to X-2 finishes 1.14x entry share going first 0.9 points better
Leagues of Votann won 50.6% of 2,433 games in the 28 days before and 51.9% of 1,495
in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 3.7% to 3.0%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
4%
0-20
14%
20-40
29%
40-60
39%
60-80
14%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
59%
Reconnaissance
14%
Disruption
10%
Take and Hold
9%
Purge the Foe
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Hearthguard Covenant
62%
Needgaârd Oathband
57%
Mercenary Oathband
19%
Farseekers
19%
Armoured Trailblazers
11%
Brandfast Oathband
6%
Dêlve Assault Shift
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn
87%
Hekaton Land Fortress
87%
Einhyr Hearthguard
85%
Hernkyn Pioneers
85%
Kâhl
80%
Hernkyn Yaegirs
79%
Kapricus Carrier
76%
Memnyr Strategist
71%
Sagitaur
68%
Hearthkyn Warriors
67%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Tyranids
Adeptus Custodes
World Eaters
Necrons
Space Marines
Orks
Dark Angels
Death Guard
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Hearthguard Covenant + Needgaârd Oathband 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
4th place · record 5-1 · 106 players · 6 rounds · 10 Oct
25 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Ûthar the Destined 100 Blade of the Ancestors, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Buri Aegnirssen 85 Autoch‑pattern bolt pistol, Bane
Arkanyst Evaluator 70 Close combat weapon, Transmatter inverter
Memnyr Strategist + Dead Reckoning 55 Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Close combat weapon
Dedicated Transports
Kapricus Carrier 70 Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Kapricus Carrier 70 Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Other Units
Einhyr Hearthguard 270 Concussion gauntlet, EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Weavefield crest
Hekaton Land Fortress 250 Armoured wheels, Heavy magna-rail cannon, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Twin bolt cannon
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn 170 Close combat weapon, SP conversion beamer, Graviton blast cannon
Einhyr Hearthguard 140 Concussion gauntlet, EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Weavefield crest
Einhyr Hearthguard 130 Concussion gauntlet, EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Weavefield crest
Kâhl + Oathbound Speculator 95 Mass gauntlet, Teleport Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Hernkyn Yaegirs 90 Bolt shotgun, Close combat weapon, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Hernkyn Yaegirs 90 Bolt shotgun, Close combat weapon, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Hernkyn Pioneers 85 Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, HYLas rotary cannon, Magna-coil autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Plasma knife, Rollbar Searchlight
Hernkyn Pioneers 85 Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, HYLas rotary cannon, Magna-coil autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Plasma knife, Rollbar Searchlight
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn 80 Close combat weapon, SP conversion beamer, Graviton blast cannon
Einhyr Champion 65 Autoch-pattern combi-bolter, Mass hammer, Weavefield Crest
Dêlve Assault Shift + Hearthguard Covenant 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
2nd place · record 5-0 · 97 players · 5 rounds · 16 Oct
6 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Ûthar the Destined 100 Blade of the Ancestors, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Memnyr Strategist + Multiwave System Jammer 55 Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Close combat weapon
Battleline
Hearthkyn Warriors 90 Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ion blaster, Theyn’s melee weapon, Weavefield crest ...
Dedicated Transports
Sagitaur 85 Armoured wheels, HYLas beam cannon, Twin bolt cannon
Kapricus Carrier 70 Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Other Units
Einhyr Hearthguard 270 Concussion gauntlet, EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Weavefield crest
Cthonian Beserks 180 Heavy plasma axe, Twin concussion gauntlet, Concussion maul
Cthonian Beserks 180 Heavy plasma axe, Twin concussion gauntlet, Concussion maul
Hernkyn Pioneers 95 Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, HYLas rotary cannon, Magna-coil autocannon, Plasma knife
Cthonian Beserks 90 Heavy plasma axe, Twin concussion gauntlet, Concussion maul
Grimnyr + Dêlvewerke Navigator 90 Ancestral Wrath, Ancestral ward stave, Autoch-pattern bolter, Close combat weapon
Cthonian Beserks 90 Heavy plasma axe, Twin concussion gauntlet, Concussion maul
Cthonian Beserks 90 Heavy plasma axe, Twin concussion gauntlet, Concussion maul
Cthonian Beserks 90 Heavy plasma axe, Twin concussion gauntlet, Concussion maul
Hernkyn Yaegirs 90 Bolt revolver, Close combat weapon, Plasma knife, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Berehk Stornbröw 85 Kromlôk’s Revenge, Warforge Gauntlets
Hernkyn Pioneers 85 Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, HYLas rotary cannon, Magna-coil autocannon, Plasma knife
Hernkyn Pioneers 85 Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, HYLas rotary cannon, Magna-coil autocannon, Plasma knife
Kâhl + Piledriver 80 Mass gauntlet, Teleport Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)
51.7%win rate, rank 7 of 27 748 games 214 lists from 205 players X to X-2 finishes 0.99x entry share going first 0.0 points better
Leagues of Votann won 50.9% of 2,050 games in the 28 days before and 51.7% of 748 in
the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 3.5% to 2.8%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
5%
0-20
17%
20-40
32%
40-60
23%
60-80
24%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
63%
Reconnaissance
14%
Disruption
10%
Purge the Foe
8%
Take and Hold
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Hearthguard Covenant
64%
Needgaârd Oathband
63%
Farseekers
16%
Armoured Trailblazers
14%
Mercenary Oathband
13%
Dêlve Assault Shift
10%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Hernkyn Pioneers
88%
Einhyr Hearthguard
87%
Hernkyn Yaegirs
85%
Hekaton Land Fortress
85%
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn
85%
Kapricus Carrier
82%
Kâhl
82%
Memnyr Strategist
76%
Hearthkyn Warriors
71%
Sagitaur
70%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Tyranids
World Eaters
Orks
Death Guard
Space Marines
Necrons
Adeptus Custodes
Dark Angels
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Hearthguard Covenant + Needgaârd Oathband 1,995 pts
Priority Assets
3rd place · record 5-0 · 105 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
13 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Ûthar the Destined 100 Blade of the Ancestors, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Buri Aegnirssen 85 Autoch‑pattern bolt pistol, Bane
Memnyr Strategist + Dead Reckoning 55 Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Close combat weapon
Battleline
Hearthkyn Warriors 90 Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Theyn’s melee weapon, Theyn’s pistol, Weavefield crest ...
Dedicated Transports
Sagitaur 85 Armoured wheels, HYLas beam cannon, Twin bolt cannon
Kapricus Carrier 70 Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Other Units
Einhyr Hearthguard 270 EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Teleport Crest, Concussion gauntlet
Hekaton Land Fortress 270 Armoured wheels, Heavy magna-rail cannon, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Twin bolt cannon
Hekaton Land Fortress 250 Armoured wheels, Heavy magna-rail cannon, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Twin bolt cannon
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn 170 Close combat weapon, SP conversion beamer
Cthonian Earthshakers 100 Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Plasma picks, Tremor shells
Kâhl + Oathbound Speculator 95 Mass gauntlet, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Cthonian Beserks 90 Concussion maul, Mole grenade launcher, Twin concussion gauntlet
Cthonian Beserks 90 Concussion maul, Mole grenade launcher, Twin concussion gauntlet
Hernkyn Yaegirs 90 Bolt shotgun, Close combat weapon, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Berehk Stornbröw 85 Kromlôk’s Revenge, Warforge Gauntlets
Dêlve Assault Shift 1,995 pts
Reconnaissance
2nd place · record 5-0 · 102 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Ûthar the Destined 100
Arkanyst Evaluator + Dêlvewerke Navigator 95
Dedicated Transports
Kapricus Carrier 70
Kapricus Carrier 70
Other Units
Hekaton Land Fortress 250 Twin Bolt Cannons
Cthonian Beserks 180 Heavy Plasma Axe, Twin Concussion Gauntlets, Concussion Maul
Cthonian Beserks 180 Heavy Plasma Axe, Twin Concussion Gauntlets, Concussion Maul
Cthonian Beserks 180 Heavy Plasma Axe, Twin Concussion Gauntlets, Concussion Maul
Hernkyn Yaegirs + Shroudwërke Talismans 105 Bolt Shotgun, Close Combat Weapon
Cthonian Beserks 90 Heavy Plasma Axe, Twin Concussion Gauntlets, Concussion Maul
Cthonian Beserks 90 Heavy Plasma Axe, Twin Concussion Gauntlets, Concussion Maul
Cthonian Beserks 90 Heavy Plasma Axe, Twin Concussion Gauntlets, Concussion Maul
Hernkyn Yaegirs + Shroudwërke Talismans 90 Bolt Shotgun, Close Combat Weapon
Berehk Stornbröw 85
Hernkyn Pioneers 85 Bolt Revolver, Bolt Shotgun, Magna-Coil Autocannon, Plasma Knife
Hernkyn Pioneers 85 Bolt Revolver, Bolt Shotgun, Magna-Coil Autocannon, Plasma Knife
Kapricus Defenders 75
Kapricus Defenders 75
Necrons
Necrons Whole edition Units Detachments Combinations Over time Force Disposition Results brackets Pick-rate shifts Matchups Enhancements Lists Team events Milestones 22 Jul 26 Aug 5 Sep 3 Oct 17 Oct
Whole edition
51.5%win rate, rank 8 of 28 15,379 games 4,476 lists from 2,641 players top-10% finishes 1.05x entry share going first 1.3 points better 52.1% adjusted for player skill
Canoptek Doomstalker is in 7% of lists, and lists with it have a win rate
8.7 points below comparable lists. Hand of the Dynasty lists have a win rate 5.7 points
below the faction average and make up 18% of the faction's lists. Necrons won 51.5% of
15,379 games, rank 8 of 28. Skyshroud Spearhead went from 23% to 34% of the faction's lists
between the first period and the last 28 days. The pairing Cursed Legion + Hand of the
Dynasty has a win rate 9.6 points below the faction average (216 lists).
Units
A typical list contains 12 distinct units. 5 units appear in at least half of all lists
and 31 in at least 10%. The most common is Ophydian Destroyers (63% of lists). 4 datasheets
appeared in under 1% of lists: Canoptek Macrocytes, Convergence Of Dominion, Seraptek Heavy
Construct, Trazyn The Infinite.
Of 48 units in 40 or more lists, 9 have a clear effect on results (4 positive, 5 negative).
Best: Canoptek Tomb Crawlers (5.3 points above comparable lists, 10% of lists), Nekrosor
Ammentar (2.1 points above comparable lists, 58% of lists), Lokhust Destroyers (1.9 points
above comparable lists, 44% of lists) and Lokhust Lord (1.7 points above comparable lists,
46% of lists). Weakest: Canoptek Doomstalker (8.7 points below comparable lists, 7% of
lists), Chronomancer (4.2 points below comparable lists, 9% of lists), Immortals (3.4 points
below comparable lists, 26% of lists) and Necron Warriors (3.4 points below comparable
lists, 26% of lists). Canoptek Tomb Crawlers is in under 10% of lists but has a win rate
above the faction average. Immortals, Necron Warriors and Doomsday Ark are in at least
15% of lists but have a win rate below it.
Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-5
0
+5
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Canoptek Doomstalker
Canoptek Tomb Crawlers
Chronomancer
Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-10
0
+10
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Hand of the Dynasty
Skyshroud Spearhead
Most played units
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Ophydian Destroyers
2,826
63.1%
+1.1 ± 0.5
+2.3
C’tan Shard of the Void Dragon
2,595
58.0%
+1.4 ± 0.5
+2.9
Nekrosor Ammentar
2,592
57.9%
+2.1 ± 0.5
+4.5
Skorpekh Destroyers
2,465
55.1%
+0.2 ± 0.5
+0.4
Skorpekh Lord
2,461
55.0%
+0.9 ± 0.5
+1.8
Technomancer
2,205
49.3%
-0.8 ± 0.5
-1.5
C’tan Shard of the Nightbringer
2,180
48.7%
-0.5 ± 0.5
-1.0
Canoptek Wraiths
2,147
48.0%
-0.4 ± 0.5
-0.7
Flayed Ones
2,079
46.4%
+1.3 ± 0.5
+2.4
Lokhust Lord
2,069
46.2%
+1.7 ± 0.5
+3.2
Canoptek Reanimator
2,044
45.7%
+0.9 ± 0.5
+1.6
Lokhust Heavy Destroyers
2,002
44.7%
-1.4 ± 0.6
-2.4
Other units with a clear effect
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Canoptek Tomb Crawlers
446
10.0%
+5.3 ± 1.1
+4.7
Lokhust Destroyers
1,962
43.8%
+1.9 ± 0.5
+3.6
Doomsday Ark
997
22.3%
-3.1 ± 0.8
-3.8
Necron Warriors
1,170
26.1%
-3.4 ± 0.8
-4.5
Immortals
1,175
26.3%
-3.4 ± 0.8
-4.4
Chronomancer
407
9.1%
-4.2 ± 1.2
-3.4
Canoptek Doomstalker
333
7.4%
-8.7 ± 1.5
-5.8
Detachments
12 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 5 of them account for 80% of picks. The most
played is Cursed Legion (37% of lists), and 55% of lists run more than one detachment.
3 detachments differ from the faction average. Best: Skyshroud Spearhead (4.0 points above
the faction average, 34% of lists). Weakest: Hand of the Dynasty (5.7 points below the
faction average, 18% of lists).
Detachment
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
P1
P2
P3
P4
Cursed Legion
1,644
37%
+2.6 ± 0.6
+4.1
27%
41%
42%
34%
Skyshroud Spearhead
1,535
34%
+4.0 ± 0.6
+6.5
23%
37%
40%
34%
Awakened Dynasty
1,106
25%
-1.4 ± 0.7
-1.9
32%
24%
22%
23%
Hand of the Dynasty
807
18%
-5.7 ± 0.9
-6.4
18%
19%
15%
20%
Starshatter Arsenal
394
9%
+1.7 ± 1.3
+1.3
9%
7%
8%
12%
Hypercrypt Legion
308
7%
-1.2 ± 1.4
-0.8
7%
6%
8%
8%
The Phaeron's Armoury
282
6%
+2.9 ± 1.6
+1.9
4%
7%
8%
6%
Pantheon of Woe
226
5%
-2.8 ± 1.6
-1.7
7%
5%
5%
4%
Obeisance Phalanx
193
4%
+2.3 ± 1.8
+1.3
3%
5%
5%
4%
Cryptek Conclave
168
4%
-4.5 ± 2.0
-2.2
4%
4%
3%
4%
Canoptek Court
145
3%
-5.2 ± 2.1
-2.5
3%
3%
2%
6%
Annihilation Legion
20
0%
-13.4 ± 5.5
-2.4
1%
0%
0%
0%
Combinations
13 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common
is Cursed Legion + Skyshroud Spearhead (1,258 lists, 28%). Best: Obeisance Phalanx + The
Phaeron's Armoury (9.5 points above the faction average). Weakest: Cursed Legion +
Hand of the Dynasty (9.6 points below the faction average).
Combination
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Cursed Legion + Skyshroud Spearhead
1,258
28%
+4.9 ± 0.7
+6.7
Cursed Legion + Hand of the Dynasty
216
5%
-9.6 ± 1.9
-5.1
Hand of the Dynasty + Hypercrypt Legion
185
4%
-4.5 ± 2.1
-2.2
Cryptek Conclave + Hand of the Dynasty
120
3%
-2.2 ± 3.0
-0.7
Hand of the Dynasty + Pantheon of Woe
117
3%
-8.4 ± 2.2
-3.8
Obeisance Phalanx + The Phaeron's Armoury
116
3%
+9.5 ± 2.4
+4.0
Hypercrypt Legion + Skyshroud Spearhead
85
2%
+0.9 ± 2.7
+0.4
Cursed Legion + The Phaeron's Armoury
78
2%
+1.9 ± 3.0
+0.6
Over time
Share of games per week (%)
5.5
6
6.5
7
5.5
6.5
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval
45
50
55
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edi
49.5
52.2
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Period
Lists
Share of all lists
Games
Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul
1,038
6.6%
3,483
53.2%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug
1,157
6.3%
3,985
50.2%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct
1,434
6.2%
5,088
53.2%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct
847
5.6%
2,823
48.4%
Codex: Space Marines was followed by a change of -4.6 points in win rate, measured over
the 28 days either side.
Around each milestone, 28 days before and after
Milestone
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul)
2,960 / 3,138
53.4% to 50.5%
-2.8
-2.2
6.6% to 6.2%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug)
3,125 / 3,603
50.0% to 53.6%
+3.6
+3.0
6.3% to 6.1%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep)
3,421 / 3,984
51.5% to 53.0%
+1.6
+1.4
6.3% to 6.1%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct)
3,984 / 2,823
53.0% to 48.4%
-4.6
-3.7
6.1% to 5.6%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data
3,586 / 1,449
50.3% to 50.3%
-0.0
-0.0
6.0% to 5.4%
Force Disposition
Take and Hold has a win rate 3.7 points below the faction's other choices and Purge
the Foe has a win rate 3.0 points above the faction's other choices.
Disposition
Share of games
Games
Win rate
Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Take and Hold
37%
4,921
47.9%
-3.7 ± 0.7
Purge the Foe
36%
4,820
54.5%
+3.0 ± 0.7
Priority Assets
15%
1,951
52.7%
+1.3 ± 1.2
Reconnaissance
10%
1,347
51.9%
+0.1 ± 1.4
Disruption
3%
370
50.7%
-0.9 ± 2.9
Results brackets
476 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 52 won
X, 136 won X-1 and 288 won X-2, from 1,037 entries.
Share of players by share of games won
2%
0-20
16%
20-40
29%
40-60
34%
60-80
18%
80-100
line = all factions
Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2
7.6%
X
6.4%
X-1
6.8%
X-2
dashed = share of entries, 6.1%
Tier
Lists
Share of tier
Share of entries
Ratio
z
X
52
7.6%
6.1%
1.26x
+1.7
X-1
136
6.4%
6.1%
1.06x
+0.6
X-2
288
6.8%
6.1%
1.12x
+1.9
X to X-2
476
6.7%
6.1%
1.11x
+2.4
Share of games won
Players
Share of players
All players
0 to 20%
20
2.3%
4.1%
20 to 40%
138
15.6%
17.2%
40 to 60%
259
29.2%
32.2%
60 to 80%
306
34.5%
30.1%
80 to 100%
164
18.5%
16.4%
Pick-rate shifts
Type
Name
First period
Prior 28 days
Last 28 days
Change vs first period (pp)
Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Unit
C’tan Shard of the Void Dragon
50%
61%
62%
+11
+0
Unit
Necron Warriors
32%
22%
22%
-11
-0
Unit
Overlord
15%
22%
26%
+11
+4
Detachment
Skyshroud Spearhead
23%
40%
34%
+11
-6
Unit
Technomancer
56%
46%
46%
-10
+0
Enhancement
Deepening Madness
7%
21%
17%
+10
-4
Unit
Lokhust Lord
36%
53%
46%
+10
-7
Unit
Doomsday Ark
32%
17%
22%
-10
+4
Unit
Canoptek Wraiths
55%
45%
45%
-9
+1
Detachment
Awakened Dynasty
32%
23%
22%
-9
-0
Unit
Canoptek Tomb Crawlers
16%
7%
8%
-8
+1
Enhancement
Tools of Dominion
5%
4%
10%
+5
+5
Matchups
Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Astra Militarum (65.8% over
577 games) and the worst is Orks (43.7% over 1,103).
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Astra Militarum
577
65.8%
61.8% to 69.5%
60.9%
+4.9
favourable
Aeldari
457
58.4%
53.9% to 62.9%
55.9%
+2.6
favourable
Death Guard
654
56.5%
52.7% to 60.2%
53.3%
+3.2
favourable
Black Templars
229
55.9%
49.4% to 62.2%
56.2%
-0.3
Genestealer Cult
228
55.7%
49.2% to 62.0%
53.9%
+1.8
Thousand Sons
561
55.0%
50.9% to 59.1%
51.1%
+3.9
favourable
Adeptus Custodes
1,004
48.2%
45.1% to 51.3%
47.3%
+0.9
Adepta Sororitas
356
48.0%
42.9% to 53.2%
51.2%
-3.1
Dark Angels
678
47.4%
43.7% to 51.2%
48.1%
-0.6
Chaos Daemons
613
44.1%
40.2% to 48.1%
46.7%
-2.6
unfavourable
Orks
1,103
43.7%
40.8% to 46.7%
46.2%
-2.4
unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 16 more rows
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Drukhari
367
54.5%
49.4% to 59.5%
54.5%
-0.0
Grey Knights
392
53.8%
48.9% to 58.7%
54.4%
-0.5
Deathwatch
110
53.6%
44.4% to 62.7%
47.7%
+5.9
Emperor's Children
699
53.5%
49.8% to 57.2%
50.1%
+3.4
Blood Angels
436
53.1%
48.4% to 57.7%
55.5%
-2.4
Space Wolves
393
53.1%
48.1% to 57.9%
52.4%
+0.6
Adeptus Mechanicus
343
52.3%
47.1% to 57.6%
50.9%
+1.4
Leagues of Votann
598
52.2%
48.2% to 56.2%
49.6%
+2.5
Chaos Space Marines
713
51.8%
48.1% to 55.4%
54.3%
-2.5
Chaos Knights
394
51.6%
46.7% to 56.5%
54.6%
-2.9
World Eaters
670
51.2%
47.4% to 55.0%
51.5%
-0.4
Imperial Agents
46
51.1%
37.1% to 64.9%
57.8%
-6.7
Tyranids
1,013
51.1%
48.0% to 54.2%
51.6%
-0.5
Imperial Knights
612
50.7%
46.8% to 54.7%
52.9%
-2.1
Space Marines
1,302
50.5%
47.7% to 53.2%
52.8%
-2.4
T'au Empire
831
50.4%
47.0% to 53.8%
49.7%
+0.7
Enhancements
29 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Destroyer Ankh (22% of
lists).
Enhancement table
Enhancement
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Destroyer Ankh
981
22%
+1.4 ± 0.8
+1.7
Murdermind
915
20%
+0.0 ± 0.8
+0.0
Enaegic Dermal Bond
717
16%
+2.2 ± 0.9
+2.4
Deepening Madness
705
16%
-0.6 ± 0.9
-0.7
Mark of the Nekrosor
625
14%
-2.2 ± 1.0
-2.1
Veil of Darkness
461
10%
+0.4 ± 1.1
+0.4
Chrono-impedance Fields
282
6%
+2.2 ± 1.4
+1.6
Nether-realm Casket
271
6%
-1.8 ± 1.4
-1.2
Each extra 2.3 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 2.2 points
lower; the average list has 11.6. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength
model, enhancement effects and terrain layout.
Representative lists
Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists
are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events
with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties,
and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.
Cryptek Conclave + Hand of the Dynasty 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 6-0 · 94 players · 6 rounds · 10 Oct
11 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Nekrosor Ammentar 185 Blade tail and whip coils, Enmitic disintegrators, Nullstone Field Generator (Aura), Unmaker Gauntlet
Illuminor Szeras 175 Eldritch Lance, Impaling legs
Battleline
Immortals + Tools of Dominion 155 Close combat weapon, Gauss blaster
Immortals + Tools of Dominion 155 Close combat weapon, Gauss blaster
Immortals + Tools of Dominion 155 Close combat weapon, Gauss blaster
Other Units
Triarch Praetorians 160 Particle caster, Voidblade
Triarch Praetorians 160 Particle caster, Voidblade
Tomb Blades 140 Close combat weapon, Nebuloscope, Particle beamer
Ophydian Destroyers 80 Ophydian hyperphase weapons, Plasmacyte
Canoptek Reanimator 75 Atomiser beam, Reanimator’s claws
Plasmancer 60 Plasmic lance
Plasmancer 60 Plasmic lance
Plasmancer 60 Plasmic lance
Royal Warden 50 Close combat weapon, Relic gauss blaster
Royal Warden 50 Close combat weapon, Relic gauss blaster
Royal Warden 50 Close combat weapon, Relic gauss blaster
Canoptek Tomb Crawlers 50 Claws, Transdimensional isolator, Twin gauss reaper
Canoptek Tomb Crawlers 50 Claws, Transdimensional isolator, Twin gauss reaper
Canoptek Tomb Crawlers 50 Claws, Transdimensional isolator, Twin gauss reaper
Canoptek Scarab Swarms 40 Feeder mandibles
Canoptek Scarab Swarms 40 Feeder mandibles
Cursed Legion + Skyshroud Spearhead 1,985 pts
Purge the Foe
4th place · record 6-1 · 100 players · 7 rounds · 31 Jul
6 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
C’tan Shard of the Void Dragon 345 Canoptek tail blades, Spear of the Void Dragon, Voltaic storm
C’tan Shard of the Deceiver 330 Cosmic insanity, Golden fists
Nekrosor Ammentar 185 Blade tail and whip coils, Enmitic disintegrators, Nullstone Field Generator (Aura), Unmaker Gauntlet
Other Units
Lokhust Destroyers + Deepening Madness 190 Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Lokhust Destroyers + Deepening Madness 170 Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Ophydian Destroyers 145 Ophydian hyperphase weapons, Plasmacyte
Night Scythe 125 Armoured bulk, Twin tesla destructor
Skorpekh Lord 90 Enmitic annihilator, Flensing claw, Hyperphase harvester
Skorpekh Destroyers 85 Plasmacyte, Skorpekh hyperphase weapons
Canoptek Reanimator 75 Atomiser beam, Reanimator’s claws
Lokhust Lord 70 Lord’s blade, Resurrection Orb
Plasmancer + Murdermind 70 Plasmic lance
Flayed Ones 55 Flayer claws
Canoptek Tomb Crawlers 50 Claws, Twin gauss reaper
Team events
51.6%win rate in team events 3,117 games 796 lists from 678 players +0.0 points against individual events going first 1.5 points better
Necrons won 51.6% of 3,117 team event games, against 51.5% of 12,262 in individual events:
0.0 points higher (not clear). It makes up 6.6% of team event games and 6.0% of individual
event games.
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
35%
Take and Hold
30%
Priority Assets
14%
Reconnaissance
14%
Disruption
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments
share
win rate
Skyshroud Spearhead
38%
Cursed Legion
35%
Awakened Dynasty
21%
Hand of the Dynasty
13%
Starshatter Arsenal
11%
The Phaeron's Armoury
7%
Hypercrypt Legion
7%
Obeisance Phalanx
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups
win rate against
Astra Militarum
Aeldari
Genestealer Cult
Drukhari
Dark Angels
Adeptus Mechanicus
Orks
Adepta Sororitas
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events.
Dashed: team events win rate.
Milestones
5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after,
with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.
July balance & rules update (22 July)
50.5%win rate, rank 12 of 28 3,138 games 886 lists from 796 players X to X-2 finishes 1.07x entry share going first 1.4 points better
Necrons won 53.4% of 2,960 games in the 28 days before and 50.5% of 3,138 in the 28
days after. Its share of games went from 6.6% to 6.2%.
2 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Cursed Legion (28%
to 40%) and Skyshroud Spearhead (26% to 35%).
One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Doomsday Ark (32% to 20%).
One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Deepening Madness
(7% to 16%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
4%
0-20
18%
20-40
28%
40-60
34%
60-80
16%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
41%
Purge the Foe
33%
Priority Assets
13%
Reconnaissance
10%
Disruption
3%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Cursed Legion
40%
Skyshroud Spearhead
35%
Awakened Dynasty
25%
Hand of the Dynasty
20%
The Phaeron's Armoury
7%
Starshatter Arsenal
7%
Hypercrypt Legion
6%
Obeisance Phalanx
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Ophydian Destroyers
63%
Nekrosor Ammentar
61%
C’tan Shard of the Void
Dragon
59%
Skorpekh Destroyers
57%
Skorpekh Lord
57%
Technomancer
51%
Canoptek Wraiths
50%
C’tan Shard of the
Nightbringer
50%
Lokhust Heavy Destroyers
48%
Lokhust Lord
48%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Aeldari
Death Guard
Astra Militarum
Drukhari
Adeptus Custodes
Chaos Daemons
Dark Angels
Orks
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Cursed Legion
28%
40%
+12
+5.3
Unit
Doomsday Ark
32%
20%
-11
-5.5
Detachment
Skyshroud Spearhead
26%
35%
+9
+4.3
Enhancement
Deepening Madness
7%
16%
+9
+5.7
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Cursed Legion + Skyshroud Spearhead 1,985 pts
Purge the Foe
4th place · record 6-1 · 100 players · 7 rounds · 31 Jul
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
C’tan Shard of the Void Dragon 345 Canoptek tail blades, Spear of the Void Dragon, Voltaic storm
C’tan Shard of the Deceiver 330 Cosmic insanity, Golden fists
Nekrosor Ammentar 185 Blade tail and whip coils, Enmitic disintegrators, Nullstone Field Generator (Aura), Unmaker Gauntlet
Other Units
Lokhust Destroyers + Deepening Madness 190 Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Lokhust Destroyers + Deepening Madness 170 Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Ophydian Destroyers 145 Ophydian hyperphase weapons, Plasmacyte
Night Scythe 125 Armoured bulk, Twin tesla destructor
Skorpekh Lord 90 Enmitic annihilator, Flensing claw, Hyperphase harvester
Skorpekh Destroyers 85 Plasmacyte, Skorpekh hyperphase weapons
Canoptek Reanimator 75 Atomiser beam, Reanimator’s claws
Lokhust Lord 70 Lord’s blade, Resurrection Orb
Plasmancer + Murdermind 70 Plasmic lance
Flayed Ones 55 Flayer claws
Canoptek Tomb Crawlers 50 Claws, Twin gauss reaper
Cursed Legion + Skyshroud Spearhead 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 46 players · 5 rounds · 24 Jul
4 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
C’tan Shard of the Void Dragon 345 Canoptek tail blades, Spear of the Void Dragon, Voltaic storm
Nekrosor Ammentar 185 Blade tail and whip coils, Enmitic disintegrators, Nullstone Field Generator (Aura), Unmaker Gauntlet
Imotekh The Stormlord 100
Other Units
Lokhust Destroyers + Deepening Madness 190 Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Lokhust Destroyers + Deepening Madness 190 Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Lokhust Destroyers + Deepening Madness 180 Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Lokhust Heavy Destroyers 160 Close combat weapon, Enmitic exterminator
Chronomancer + Murdermind 85
Skorpekh Destroyers 85 Plasmacyte, Skorpekh hyperphase weapons
Ophydian Destroyers 80 Ophydian hyperphase weapons, Plasmacyte
Canoptek Reanimator 75 Atomiser beam, Reanimator’s claws
Canoptek Reanimator 75 Atomiser beam, Reanimator’s claws
Lokhust Lord 70 Lord’s blade, Resurrection Orb
Lokhust Lord 70 Lord’s blade, Resurrection Orb
Lokhust Lord 70 Lord’s blade, Resurrection Orb
Canoptek Scarab Swarms 40 Feeder mandibles
August balance & rules update (26 August)
53.8%win rate, rank 5 of 27 1,104 games 297 lists from 291 players X to X-2 finishes 1.26x entry share going first 3.7 points worse
Necrons won 50.0% of 3,125 games in the 28 days before and 53.6% of 3,603 in the 28
days after. Its share of games went from 6.3% to 6.1%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
0%
0-20
19%
20-40
26%
40-60
37%
60-80
19%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
40%
Take and Hold
34%
Priority Assets
16%
Reconnaissance
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Cursed Legion
45%
Skyshroud Spearhead
40%
Awakened Dynasty
20%
Hand of the Dynasty
16%
Starshatter Arsenal
9%
The Phaeron's Armoury
8%
Hypercrypt Legion
6%
Obeisance Phalanx
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Ophydian Destroyers
65%
C’tan Shard of the Void
Dragon
63%
Nekrosor Ammentar
60%
Skorpekh Destroyers
59%
Skorpekh Lord
59%
Lokhust Heavy Destroyers
52%
C’tan Shard of the
Nightbringer
52%
Lokhust Lord
51%
Flayed Ones
49%
Imotekh The Stormlord
48%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Emperor's Children
Chaos Space Marines
Adeptus Custodes
Blood Angels
T'au Empire
World Eaters
Chaos Daemons
Orks
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Cursed Legion + Skyshroud Spearhead 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 71 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
14 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
6× Lokhust Destroyers + Deepening Madness 190 with Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Nekrosor Ammentar 185
6× Lokhust Destroyers + Deepening Madness 170 with Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
3× Lokhust Heavy Destroyers 160
10× Lychguard 160
6× Ophydian Destroyers 145
Night Scythe 125
Overlord + Destroyer Ankh 110
Imotekh The Stormlord 100
Lokhust Lord + Mark of the Nekrosor 90
Skorpekh Lord 90
3× Skorpekh Destroyers 85
3× Ophydian Destroyers 80
Canoptek Reanimator 75
Lokhust Lord + Mark of the Nekrosor 70
Plasmancer + Murdermind 70
5× Flayed Ones 55
3× Canoptek Scarab Swarms 40
Cursed Legion + Skyshroud Spearhead 1,985 pts
Won the event · record 4-1 · 19 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
C’tan Shard of the Nightbringer 360
C’tan Shard of the Void Dragon 345
Nekrosor Ammentar 185
Other Units
Canoptek Wraiths 220
Lokhust Destroyers 175
Lokhust Destroyers 175
Lychguard 160 Hyperphase sword and dispersion shield
Overlord with translocation shroud 110
Technomancer 95
Lokhust Lord 80 Lord's blade
Lokhust Lord 80 Lord's blade
Orks codex (5 September)
53.0%win rate, rank 7 of 28 3,984 games 1,137 lists from 970 players X to X-2 finishes 1.16x entry share going first 3.4 points better
Necrons won 51.5% of 3,421 games in the 28 days before and 53.0% of 3,984 in the 28
days after. Its share of games went from 6.3% to 6.1%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
2%
0-20
10%
20-40
30%
40-60
35%
60-80
22%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
38%
Take and Hold
34%
Priority Assets
15%
Reconnaissance
10%
Disruption
3%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Cursed Legion
41%
Skyshroud Spearhead
40%
Awakened Dynasty
22%
Hand of the Dynasty
15%
Starshatter Arsenal
8%
Hypercrypt Legion
8%
The Phaeron's Armoury
7%
Obeisance Phalanx
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Ophydian Destroyers
65%
Nekrosor Ammentar
61%
C’tan Shard of the Void
Dragon
61%
Skorpekh Lord
57%
Skorpekh Destroyers
56%
Lokhust Lord
53%
Imotekh The Stormlord
51%
C’tan Shard of the
Nightbringer
49%
Lokhust Destroyers
49%
Flayed Ones
49%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Genestealer Cult
Astra Militarum
Death Guard
Drukhari
Adeptus Custodes
Orks
Dark Angels
Adepta Sororitas
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Awakened Dynasty 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
2nd place · record 6-1 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Nekrosor Ammentar 185 Blade tail and whip coils, Enmitic disintegrators, Nullstone Field Generator (Aura), Unmaker Gauntlet
Illuminor Szeras 175 Eldritch Lance, Impaling legs
Hexmark Destroyer 75 Close combat weapon, Enmitic disintegrator pistols
Battleline
Necron Warriors 190 Close combat weapon, Gauss flayer
Immortals 140 Close combat weapon, Gauss blaster
Other Units
Canoptek Wraiths 220 Particle caster, Vicious claws
Lokhust Destroyers 175 Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Skorpekh Lord + Enaegic Dermal Bond 125 Enmitic annihilator, Flensing claw, Hyperphase harvester
Imotekh The Stormlord 100
Orikan The Diviner 90
Overlord 90 Resurrection Orb, Voidscythe
Skorpekh Destroyers 85 Skorpekh hyperphase weapons
Technomancer 80 Staff of light
Lokhust Lord 80 Resurrection Orb, Staff of light
Canoptek Reanimator 75 Atomiser beam, Reanimator’s claws
Plasmancer 60 Plasmic lance
Flayed Ones 55 Flayer claws
Cursed Legion + Skyshroud Spearhead 1,995 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 72 players · 5 rounds · 26 Sep
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Nekrosor Ammentar 185 Blade tail and whip coils, Enmitic disintegrators, Unmaker gauntlet
Imotekh The Stormlord 100
Hexmark Destroyer 75 Close combat weapon, Enmitic disintegrator pistols
Other Units
Lokhust Destroyers 195 Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Lokhust Destroyers 195 Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Skorpekh Destroyers 170 Skorpekh hyperphase weapons, Plasmacyte
Skorpekh Destroyers 170 Skorpekh hyperphase weapons, Plasmacyte
Lychguard 160 Dispersion shield, Hyperphase sword
Overlord 110 Voidscythe
Skorpekh Lord 95 Enmitic annihilator, Flensing claw, Hyperphase harvester
Technomancer 95 Staff of light
Skorpekh Lord 95 Enmitic annihilator, Flensing claw, Hyperphase harvester
Lokhust Lord 80 Lord's blade
Lokhust Lord 80 Lord's blade
Canoptek Reanimator 75 Atomiser beam, Reanimator's claws
Cryptothralls 60 Scouring eye, Scythed limbs
Flayed Ones 55 Flayer claws
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)
46.5%win rate, rank 20 of 27 1,374 games 412 lists from 393 players X to X-2 finishes 1.00x entry share going first 4.6 points better
Necrons won 53.0% of 3,984 games in the 28 days before and 48.4% of 2,823 in the 23
days after. Its share of games went from 6.1% to 5.6%. The change of -4.6 points is clear.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
4%
0-20
20%
20-40
24%
40-60
32%
60-80
19%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
35%
Take and Hold
34%
Reconnaissance
15%
Priority Assets
13%
Disruption
3%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Cursed Legion
34%
Skyshroud Spearhead
34%
Awakened Dynasty
25%
Hand of the Dynasty
19%
Starshatter Arsenal
10%
Hypercrypt Legion
8%
Canoptek Court
5%
The Phaeron's Armoury
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Ophydian Destroyers
65%
C’tan Shard of the Void
Dragon
59%
Nekrosor Ammentar
56%
Skorpekh Destroyers
53%
Skorpekh Lord
52%
Flayed Ones
50%
C’tan Shard of the
Nightbringer
49%
Technomancer
47%
Lokhust Lord
46%
Imotekh The Stormlord
46%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Emperor's Children
Adeptus Custodes
Orks
T'au Empire
Death Guard
Aeldari
Space Marines
Chaos Daemons
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Cryptek Conclave + Hand of the Dynasty 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 6-0 · 94 players · 6 rounds · 10 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Nekrosor Ammentar 185 Blade tail and whip coils, Enmitic disintegrators, Nullstone Field Generator (Aura), Unmaker Gauntlet
Illuminor Szeras 175 Eldritch Lance, Impaling legs
Battleline
Immortals + Tools of Dominion 155 Close combat weapon, Gauss blaster
Immortals + Tools of Dominion 155 Close combat weapon, Gauss blaster
Immortals + Tools of Dominion 155 Close combat weapon, Gauss blaster
Other Units
Triarch Praetorians 160 Particle caster, Voidblade
Triarch Praetorians 160 Particle caster, Voidblade
Tomb Blades 140 Close combat weapon, Nebuloscope, Particle beamer
Ophydian Destroyers 80 Ophydian hyperphase weapons, Plasmacyte
Canoptek Reanimator 75 Atomiser beam, Reanimator’s claws
Plasmancer 60 Plasmic lance
Plasmancer 60 Plasmic lance
Plasmancer 60 Plasmic lance
Royal Warden 50 Close combat weapon, Relic gauss blaster
Royal Warden 50 Close combat weapon, Relic gauss blaster
Royal Warden 50 Close combat weapon, Relic gauss blaster
Canoptek Tomb Crawlers 50 Claws, Transdimensional isolator, Twin gauss reaper
Canoptek Tomb Crawlers 50 Claws, Transdimensional isolator, Twin gauss reaper
Canoptek Tomb Crawlers 50 Claws, Transdimensional isolator, Twin gauss reaper
Canoptek Scarab Swarms 40 Feeder mandibles
Canoptek Scarab Swarms 40 Feeder mandibles
Cursed Legion + Skyshroud Spearhead 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
2nd place · record 5-1 · 94 players · 6 rounds · 10 Oct
Show list
Battleline
10× Necron Warriors 85
Other Units
C’tan Shard of the Nightbringer 360
C’tan Shard of the Deceiver 330
Nekrosor Ammentar 185
6× Lokhust Destroyers 175
Skorpekh Lord + Mark of the Nekrosor 115
Overlord + Destroyer Ankh 110
Skorpekh Lord + Mark of the Nekrosor 95
Chronomancer + Murdermind 85
3× Skorpekh Destroyers 85
3× Skorpekh Destroyers 85
Lokhust Lord 80
3× Ophydian Destroyers 80
Hexmark Destroyer 75
5× Flayed Ones 55
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)
50.3%win rate, rank 10 of 27 1,449 games 435 lists from 422 players X to X-2 finishes 1.04x entry share going first 3.5 points worse
Necrons won 50.3% of 3,586 games in the 28 days before and 50.3% of 1,449 in the 9 days
after. Its share of games went from 6.0% to 5.4%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
1%
0-20
19%
20-40
28%
40-60
31%
60-80
21%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
38%
Take and Hold
33%
Priority Assets
16%
Reconnaissance
10%
Disruption
3%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Skyshroud Spearhead
33%
Cursed Legion
33%
Hand of the Dynasty
22%
Awakened Dynasty
21%
Starshatter Arsenal
13%
Canoptek Court
7%
Hypercrypt Legion
7%
The Phaeron's Armoury
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
C’tan Shard of the Void
Dragon
65%
Ophydian Destroyers
63%
Nekrosor Ammentar
53%
C’tan Shard of the
Nightbringer
51%
Skorpekh Destroyers
49%
Flayed Ones
48%
Canoptek Wraiths
47%
Skorpekh Lord
47%
Canoptek Reanimator
47%
Technomancer
46%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Astra Militarum
Chaos Space Marines
Chaos Knights
Orks
Adeptus Custodes
Adepta Sororitas
Dark Angels
Emperor's Children
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Cursed Legion + Skyshroud Spearhead 1,990 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 74 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
6 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Nekrosor Ammentar 195 Blade tail and whip coils, Enmitic disintegrators, Nullstone Field Generator (Aura), Unmaker Gauntlet
Other Units
Lokhust Destroyers + Deepening Madness 210 Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Lokhust Destroyers + Deepening Madness 210 Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Lokhust Heavy Destroyers 165 Close combat weapon, Enmitic exterminator
Lychguard 160 Dispersion Shield, Hyperphase sword
Ophydian Destroyers 150 Ophydian hyperphase weapons, Plasmacyte
Night Scythe 125 Armoured bulk, Twin tesla destructor
Overlord + Destroyer Ankh 110 Resurrection Orb, Voidscythe
Skorpekh Lord 95 Enmitic annihilator, Flensing claw, Hyperphase harvester
Skorpekh Destroyers 85 Plasmacyte, Skorpekh hyperphase weapons
Lokhust Lord 80 Lord’s blade, Resurrection Orb
Lokhust Lord 80 Lord’s blade, Resurrection Orb
Ophydian Destroyers 80 Ophydian hyperphase weapons, Plasmacyte
Plasmancer + Murdermind 75 Plasmic lance
Canoptek Reanimator 75 Atomiser beam, Reanimator’s claws
Flayed Ones 55 Flayer claws
Canoptek Scarab Swarms 40 Feeder mandibles
Cursed Legion + Skyshroud Spearhead 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 40 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
Show list
Characters
C’tan Shard of the Deceiver 330 Cosmic insanity, Golden fists
Nekrosor Ammentar 195 Blade tail and whip coils, Enmitic disintegrators, Nullstone Field Generator (Aura), Unmaker Gauntlet
Imotekh The Stormlord 100
Other Units
Lokhust Destroyers 190 Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Lokhust Destroyers 190 Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Lokhust Heavy Destroyers 165 Close combat weapon, Gauss destructor
Lychguard 160 Dispersion Shield, Hyperphase sword
Night Scythe 125 Armoured bulk, Twin tesla destructor
Overlord with translocation shroud 110
Lokhust Lord 80 Lord’s blade, Resurrection Orb
Lokhust Lord 80 Lord’s blade, Resurrection Orb
Plasmancer + Murdermind 75 Plasmic lance
Canoptek Reanimator 75 Atomiser beam, Reanimator’s claws
Tomb Blades 70 Close combat weapon, Shadowloom, Shieldvanes, Twin tesla carbine
Flayed Ones 55 Flayer claws
Emperor's Children
Emperor's Children Whole edition Enhancements Detachments Combinations Pick-rate shifts Matchups Over time Results brackets Units Force Disposition Lists Team events Milestones 22 Jul 26 Aug 5 Sep 3 Oct 17 Oct
Whole edition
51.4%win rate, rank 9 of 28 10,578 games 2,976 lists from 1,761 players top-10% finishes 1.03x entry share going first 2.4 points better 52.3% adjusted for player skill
The Euphoric Crown enhancement gives a win rate 9.2 points below other
lists with the same detachment. Spectacle of Slaughter lists have a win rate 4.6 points
below the faction average and make up 21% of the faction's lists. Emperor's Children
won 51.4% of 10,578 games, rank 9 of 28. Lucius the Eternal went from 43% to 78% of the
faction's lists between the first period and the last 28 days. The pairing Frenzied Host
+ Peerless Bladesmen has a win rate 9.8 points below the faction average (86 lists).
Enhancements
25 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Possessed Blade (17%
of lists). One enhancement differs from the other enhancements in its detachment: Euphoric
Crown (9.2 points below the rest).
Enhancement
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Possessed Blade
502
17%
-0.0 ± 1.0
-0.0
Pledge of Unholy Fortune
411
14%
-2.5 ± 1.2
-2.1
Distortion
336
11%
+2.8 ± 1.4
+1.9
Warp Walker
334
11%
-1.8 ± 1.2
-1.4
Pledge of Eternal Servitude
290
10%
-3.4 ± 1.5
-2.3
Beguiling Grotesquerie
268
9%
-0.2 ± 1.7
-0.1
Eager Patrons
259
9%
+3.3 ± 1.6
+2.1
Pledge of Mortal Pain
222
7%
-4.7 ± 1.6
-3.0
Euphoric Crown
131
4%
-9.2 ± 2.2
-4.3
Detachments
10 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 5 of them account for 80% of picks. The most
played is Coterie of the Conceited (36% of lists), and 56% of lists run more than one detachment.
4 detachments differ from the faction average. Best: Carnival of Excess (2.8 points above
the faction average, 22% of lists). Weakest: Spectacle of Slaughter (4.6 points below the
faction average, 21% of lists).
Detachment
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
P1
P2
P3
P4
Coterie of the Conceited
1,057
36%
+0.6 ± 0.7
+0.8
38%
33%
35%
36%
Frenzied Host
834
28%
+0.4 ± 0.8
+0.5
24%
37%
30%
15%
Carnival of Excess
646
22%
+2.8 ± 0.9
+3.2
22%
30%
22%
7%
Spectacle of Slaughter
613
21%
-4.6 ± 1.0
-4.5
23%
16%
22%
23%
Court of the Phoenician
601
20%
-3.4 ± 1.0
-3.2
18%
19%
19%
28%
Peerless Bladesmen
445
15%
-4.5 ± 1.2
-3.6
14%
13%
16%
17%
Elegant Brutes
168
6%
-0.5 ± 1.8
-0.2
4%
8%
6%
4%
Mercurial Host
110
4%
-4.7 ± 2.5
-1.9
3%
3%
4%
7%
Slaanesh's Chosen
61
2%
+3.5 ± 2.7
+1.3
0%
0%
0%
11%
Rapid Evisceration
31
1%
-7.2 ± 5.8
-1.3
1%
1%
1%
0%
Combinations
14 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common
is Carnival of Excess + Frenzied Host (421 lists, 14%). Best: Carnival of Excess + Frenzied
Host (7.2 points above the faction average). Weakest: Frenzied Host + Peerless Bladesmen
(9.8 points below the faction average).
Combination
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Carnival of Excess + Frenzied Host
421
14%
+7.2 ± 1.2
+5.9
Court of the Phoenician + Frenzied Host
294
10%
-4.1 ± 1.6
-2.6
Peerless Bladesmen + Spectacle of Slaughter
259
9%
-6.2 ± 1.7
-3.6
Court of the Phoenician + Spectacle of Slaughter
183
6%
-7.0 ± 2.0
-3.4
Carnival of Excess + Elegant Brutes
90
3%
+8.5 ± 2.9
+2.9
Frenzied Host + Peerless Bladesmen
86
3%
-9.8 ± 3.1
-3.2
Mercurial Host + Spectacle of Slaughter
68
2%
-5.2 ± 3.6
-1.4
Carnival of Excess + Spectacle of Slaughter
54
2%
-3.6 ± 4.2
-0.9
Pick-rate shifts
Type
Name
First period
Prior 28 days
Last 28 days
Change vs first period (pp)
Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Unit
Lucius the Eternal
43%
63%
78%
+34
+14
Unit
Maulerfiend
29%
52%
59%
+30
+7
Unit
Noise Marines
70%
45%
41%
-29
-5
Unit
Daemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings
68%
46%
47%
-20
+1
Unit
Chaos Spawn
35%
58%
54%
+19
-4
Unit
Flawless Blades
69%
74%
87%
+18
+13
Unit
Daemonettes
22%
21%
7%
-15
-14
Detachment
Frenzied Host
24%
29%
14%
-9
-15
Detachment
Carnival of Excess
22%
22%
8%
-14
-14
Enhancement
Possessed Blade
17%
18%
5%
-12
-13
Enhancement
Pledge of Unholy Fortune
22%
10%
10%
-12
-0
Detachment
Slaanesh's Chosen
0%
0%
11%
+11
+11
Matchups
Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Black Templars (61.7% over
154 games) and the worst is Orks (45.4% over 721).
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Black Templars
154
61.7%
53.8% to 69.0%
56.1%
+5.6
favourable
Chaos Space Marines
481
60.5%
56.1% to 64.8%
54.2%
+6.3
favourable
Drukhari
278
59.5%
53.7% to 65.1%
54.4%
+5.1
favourable
Genestealer Cult
158
59.5%
51.7% to 66.8%
53.8%
+5.7
favourable
Aeldari
296
59.5%
53.8% to 64.9%
55.7%
+3.7
favourable
Astra Militarum
381
59.4%
54.4% to 64.3%
60.8%
-1.3
favourable
Chaos Knights
269
58.2%
52.2% to 63.9%
54.5%
+3.7
favourable
T'au Empire
549
47.2%
43.0% to 51.4%
49.6%
-2.4
Thousand Sons
388
46.8%
41.9% to 51.8%
51.0%
-4.2
Necrons
699
46.5%
42.8% to 50.2%
49.9%
-3.4
Adeptus Custodes
709
45.7%
42.1% to 49.4%
47.1%
-1.4
unfavourable
Orks
721
45.4%
41.8% to 49.0%
46.1%
-0.7
unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 15 more rows
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Imperial Agents
44
58.0%
43.3% to 71.3%
57.7%
+0.3
Blood Angels
276
55.6%
49.7% to 61.4%
55.3%
+0.3
Adepta Sororitas
263
55.1%
49.1% to 61.0%
51.0%
+4.1
Grey Knights
285
54.2%
48.4% to 59.9%
54.2%
-0.0
Space Wolves
255
53.3%
47.2% to 59.4%
52.3%
+1.0
World Eaters
438
53.2%
48.5% to 57.8%
51.4%
+1.8
Space Marines
870
52.0%
48.6% to 55.3%
52.7%
-0.7
Tyranids
650
51.9%
48.1% to 55.7%
51.5%
+0.5
Death Guard
420
50.5%
45.7% to 55.2%
53.1%
-2.7
Imperial Knights
405
50.0%
45.2% to 54.8%
52.8%
-2.8
Deathwatch
76
49.3%
38.4% to 60.3%
47.6%
+1.8
Dark Angels
497
48.7%
44.3% to 53.1%
47.9%
+0.8
Chaos Daemons
408
48.4%
43.6% to 53.2%
46.6%
+1.8
Adeptus Mechanicus
262
47.5%
41.6% to 53.6%
50.8%
-3.3
Leagues of Votann
346
47.3%
42.1% to 52.5%
49.5%
-2.3
Over time
Share of games per week (%)
3
4
5
2.7
4.4
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval
40
50
60
45.9
50.4
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Period
Lists
Share of all lists
Games
Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul
642
4.1%
2,206
52.6%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug
868
4.7%
3,059
53.3%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct
950
4.1%
3,529
50.6%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct
516
3.4%
1,784
48.3%
Around each milestone, 28 days before and after
Milestone
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul)
1,857 / 2,480
53.0% to 54.1%
+1.1
+0.7
4.1% to 4.9%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug)
2,441 / 2,487
53.1% to 50.5%
-2.6
-1.8
5.0% to 4.2%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep)
2,572 / 2,773
52.4% to 50.3%
-2.1
-1.5
4.7% to 4.3%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct)
2,773 / 1,784
50.3% to 48.3%
-2.0
-1.3
4.3% to 3.6%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data
2,478 / 823
50.0% to 48.9%
-1.1
-0.5
4.2% to 3.1%
Results brackets
328 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 30 won
X, 112 won X-1 and 186 won X-2, from 739 entries.
Share of players by share of games won
4%
0-20
16%
20-40
30%
40-60
30%
60-80
20%
80-100
line = all factions
Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2
4.4%
X
5.3%
X-1
4.4%
X-2
dashed = share of entries, 4.3%
Bracket tables
Tier
Lists
Share of tier
Share of entries
Ratio
z
X
30
4.4%
4.3%
1.02x
+0.1
X-1
112
5.3%
4.3%
1.22x
+2.1
X-2
186
4.4%
4.3%
1.01x
+0.2
X to X-2
328
4.6%
4.3%
1.07x
+1.3
Share of games won
Players
Share of players
All players
0 to 20%
24
3.8%
4.1%
20 to 40%
102
16.1%
17.2%
40 to 60%
187
29.6%
32.2%
60 to 80%
191
30.2%
30.1%
80 to 100%
128
20.3%
16.4%
Units
A typical list contains 9 distinct units. 9 units appear in at least half of all lists
and 15 in at least 10%. The most common is Infractors (94% of lists). One datasheet appeared
in under 1% of lists: Heldrake.
Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-2
0
+2
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-5
0
+5
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Spectacle of Slaughter
Court of the Phoenician
Carnival of Excess
Most played units
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Infractors
2,788
93.7%
-0.5 ± 0.5
-1.1
Lord Exultant
2,782
93.5%
-0.5 ± 0.5
-1.0
Tormentors
2,726
91.6%
-0.6 ± 0.5
-1.2
Defiler
2,524
84.8%
+0.1 ± 0.5
+0.2
Chaos Rhino
2,250
75.6%
+0.0 ± 0.5
+0.1
Flawless Blades
2,168
72.8%
-0.1 ± 0.5
-0.2
Lucius the Eternal
1,778
59.7%
+0.1 ± 0.6
+0.2
Noise Marines
1,582
53.2%
-1.8 ± 0.6
-2.8
Daemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings
1,557
52.3%
-1.2 ± 0.6
-1.9
Chaos Spawn
1,423
47.8%
+0.5 ± 0.6
+0.7
Maulerfiend
1,267
42.6%
+1.0 ± 0.7
+1.5
Fulgrim
825
27.7%
-2.0 ± 0.9
-2.2
Force Disposition
Force Disposition table
Disposition
Share of games
Games
Win rate
Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Priority Assets
42%
3,933
52.3%
+0.9 ± 0.8
Purge the Foe
23%
2,147
49.2%
-2.2 ± 1.1
Reconnaissance
16%
1,539
52.6%
+1.4 ± 1.3
Disruption
14%
1,277
50.4%
-1.0 ± 1.6
Take and Hold
5%
436
53.7%
+2.5 ± 2.5
Each extra 1.5 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 2.1 points
lower; the average list has 9.0. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength
model, milestone moves, unit effects, Force Disposition, results brackets and terrain layout.
Representative lists
Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists
are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events
with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties,
and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.
Carnival of Excess + Frenzied Host 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 7-0 · 100 players · 7 rounds · 31 Jul
Won an event of 100+ players
149 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Keeper of Secrets 255 Living whip, Phantasmagoria, Snapping claws, Witstealer sword
Battleline
Daemonettes 90 Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Daemonettes 90 Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Daemonettes 90 Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Daemonettes 90 Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Infractors 85 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Infractors 85 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Tormentors 80 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Tormentors 80 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 70 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler 370 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Defiler 330 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Lord Exultant + Possessed Blade 105 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash, Plasma pistol
Lord Exultant + Possessed Blade 100 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash, Plasma pistol
Lord Exultant + Possessed Blade 80 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash, Plasma pistol
Coterie of the Conceited 1,995 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-1 · 42 players · 6 rounds · 10 Oct
904 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Daemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings 205 Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Battleline
Infractors 95 Plasma pistol, Rapture lash, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Infractors 95 Plasma pistol, Rapture lash, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Tormentors 85 Plasma pistol, Rapture lash, Boltgun, Close Combat Weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 70 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler 380 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Defiler 330 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Maulerfiend 120 Magma cutters, Maulerfiend fists
Lord Exultant 95 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Lord Exultant 95 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Flawless Blades 95 Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Flawless Blades 95 Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Flawless Blades 95 Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Chaos Spawn 70 Hideous mutations
Chaos Spawn 70 Hideous mutations
Team events
51.3%win rate in team events 2,310 games 561 lists from 495 players -0.1 points against individual events going first 1.4 points better
Emperor's Children won 51.3% of 2,310 team event games, against 51.4% of 8,268
in individual events: 0.1 points lower (not clear). It makes up 4.9% of team event games
and 4.1% of individual event games.
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
32%
Disruption
29%
Reconnaissance
19%
Purge the Foe
18%
Take and Hold
2%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments
share
win rate
Frenzied Host
36%
Carnival of Excess
30%
Coterie of the Conceited
28%
Court of the Phoenician
22%
Spectacle of Slaughter
20%
Peerless Bladesmen
12%
Elegant Brutes
3%
Mercurial Host
3%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups
win rate against
Space Wolves
Chaos Knights
Genestealer Cult
Drukhari
Adepta Sororitas
Adeptus Custodes
Orks
Dark Angels
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events.
Dashed: team events win rate.
Milestones
5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after,
with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.
July balance & rules update (22 July)
54.1%win rate, rank 3 of 28 2,480 games 686 lists from 586 players X to X-2 finishes 1.09x entry share going first 1.1 points better
Emperor's Children won 53.0% of 1,857 games in the 28 days before and 54.1% of
2,480 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.1% to 4.9%.
3 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Daemon Prince of Slaanesh
with Wings (67% to 52%), Lucius the Eternal (44% to 58%) and Noise Marines (69% to 56%).
Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
5%
0-20
19%
20-40
22%
40-60
29%
60-80
26%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
42%
Reconnaissance
19%
Disruption
17%
Purge the Foe
16%
Take and Hold
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Frenzied Host
37%
Coterie of the Conceited
33%
Carnival of Excess
29%
Court of the Phoenician
20%
Spectacle of Slaughter
16%
Peerless Bladesmen
14%
Elegant Brutes
8%
Mercurial Host
3%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Infractors
97%
Lord Exultant
96%
Tormentors
92%
Defiler
86%
Chaos Rhino
78%
Flawless Blades
65%
Lucius the Eternal
58%
Noise Marines
56%
Daemon Prince of
Slaanesh with Wings
52%
Chaos Spawn
44%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Chaos Knights
Blood Angels
Adepta Sororitas
Genestealer Cult
Necrons
Orks
Leagues of Votann
Space Wolves
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Daemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings
67%
52%
-15
-5.3
Unit
Lucius the Eternal
44%
58%
+14
+4.7
Unit
Noise Marines
69%
56%
-13
-4.6
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Carnival of Excess + Frenzied Host 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 7-0 · 100 players · 7 rounds · 31 Jul
Won an event of 100+ players
70 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Keeper of Secrets 255 Living whip, Phantasmagoria, Snapping claws, Witstealer sword
Battleline
Daemonettes 90 Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Daemonettes 90 Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Daemonettes 90 Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Daemonettes 90 Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Infractors 85 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Infractors 85 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Tormentors 80 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Tormentors 80 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 70 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler 370 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Defiler 330 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Lord Exultant + Possessed Blade 105 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash, Plasma pistol
Lord Exultant + Possessed Blade 100 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash, Plasma pistol
Lord Exultant + Possessed Blade 80 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash, Plasma pistol
Carnival of Excess + Elegant Brutes 1,995 pts
Take and Hold
3rd place · record 5-0-1 · 135 players · 6 rounds · 8 Aug
28 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Daemonettes 90 Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Daemonettes 90 Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Daemonettes 90 Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Daemonettes 90 Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Infractors 85 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Infractors 85 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Tormentors 80 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 70 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler 370 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Defiler 330 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Chaos Terminators + Frenzied Ferocity 160 Accursed weapon, Combi-weapon, Chainfist, Power fist, Reaper autocannon
Chaos Terminators + Frenzied Ferocity 160 Accursed weapon, Combi-weapon, Chainfist, Power fist, Reaper autocannon
Lord Exultant + Possessed Blade 110 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Lord Exultant + Possessed Blade 105 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Seekers 80 Lashing tongue, Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
August balance & rules update (26 August)
51.7%win rate, rank 8 of 27 756 games 192 lists from 189 players X to X-2 finishes 0.97x entry share going first 3.1 points better
Emperor's Children won 53.1% of 2,441 games in the 28 days before and 50.5% of
2,487 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 5.0% to 4.2%.
One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Maulerfiend (35% to 47%).
Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
6%
0-20
8%
20-40
44%
40-60
33%
60-80
8%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
49%
Reconnaissance
18%
Disruption
15%
Purge the Foe
13%
Take and Hold
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Frenzied Host
38%
Coterie of the Conceited
33%
Carnival of Excess
24%
Peerless Bladesmen
19%
Spectacle of Slaughter
18%
Court of the Phoenician
17%
Elegant Brutes
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Infractors
97%
Lord Exultant
96%
Tormentors
94%
Defiler
89%
Flawless Blades
75%
Chaos Rhino
73%
Lucius the Eternal
63%
Chaos Spawn
53%
Noise Marines
53%
Daemon Prince of
Slaanesh with Wings
49%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Space Marines
T'au Empire
Adeptus Custodes
Tyranids
Necrons
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Maulerfiend
35%
47%
+11
+4.2
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Court of the Phoenician + Spectacle of Slaughter 1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
17th place · record 7-1 · 198 players · 8 rounds · 28 Aug
48 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Daemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings 205 Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Battleline
Infractors 160 Plasma pistol, Rapture lash, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Tormentors 80 Plasma pistol, Rapture lash, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 70 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Chaos Rhino 70 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler 330 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Flawless Blades + Eager Patrons 210 Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Flawless Blades + Eager Patrons 205 Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Noise Marines 145 Close combat weapon, Sonic blaster, Blastmaster
Lucius the Eternal 120 Blade of the Laer, Lash of Torment
Maulerfiend 120 Magma cutters, Maulerfiend fists
Maulerfiend 120 Magma cutters, Maulerfiend fists
Lord Exultant 90 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Lord Kakophonist 70 Close combat weapon, Screamer pistol
Carnival of Excess + Frenzied Host 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 3-0 · 24 players · 3 rounds · 29 Aug
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Sorcerer 55 Agonising Energies, Bolt pistol, Force weapon
Battleline
Daemonettes 100 Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Infractors 85 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Infractors 85 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Tormentors 80 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 70 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Combi-weapon, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler 380 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Defiler 330 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Lord Exultant + Possessed Blade 125 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Lucius the Eternal 120 Blade of the Laer, Lash of Torment
Maulerfiend 120 Magma cutters, Maulerfiend fists
Flawless Blades 95 Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Lord Exultant + Possessed Blade 90 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Fiends 90 Barbed tail and dissecting claws
Fiends 90 Barbed tail and dissecting claws
Seekers 85 Lashing tongue, Slashing claws
Orks codex (5 September)
50.3%win rate, rank 11 of 28 2,773 games 758 lists from 650 players X to X-2 finishes 1.08x entry share going first 4.2 points better
Emperor's Children won 52.4% of 2,572 games in the 28 days before and 50.3% of
2,773 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.7% to 4.3%.
One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Carnival of Excess
(31% to 21%).
3 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Maulerfiend (35% to 52%),
Chaos Spawn (46% to 58%) and Daemonettes (31% to 20%).
Nothing clear turned up in enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
16%
20-40
34%
40-60
26%
60-80
21%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
47%
Reconnaissance
20%
Disruption
15%
Purge the Foe
14%
Take and Hold
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Coterie of the Conceited
35%
Frenzied Host
28%
Spectacle of Slaughter
23%
Carnival of Excess
21%
Court of the Phoenician
20%
Peerless Bladesmen
15%
Elegant Brutes
5%
Mercurial Host
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Infractors
94%
Lord Exultant
93%
Tormentors
92%
Defiler
84%
Chaos Rhino
78%
Flawless Blades
74%
Lucius the Eternal
64%
Chaos Spawn
58%
Maulerfiend
52%
Daemon Prince of
Slaanesh with Wings
46%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Drukhari
Aeldari
Chaos Space Marines
Genestealer Cult
Orks
Adeptus Custodes
Adeptus Mechanicus
T'au Empire
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Maulerfiend
35%
52%
+17
+6.7
Unit
Chaos Spawn
46%
58%
+11
+4.3
Unit
Daemonettes
31%
20%
-11
-4.9
Detachment
Carnival of Excess
31%
21%
-10
-4.2
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Coterie of the Conceited 1,995 pts
Priority Assets
98th place · record 3-0 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
310 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Infractors 85 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Infractors 85 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Infractors 85 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Tormentors 80 Plasma pistol, Rapture lash, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Tormentors 80 Plasma pistol, Rapture lash, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 70 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Combi-weapon, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler 380 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Defiler 330 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Lucius the Eternal 120 Blade of the Laer, Lash of Torment
Maulerfiend 120 Magma cutters, Maulerfiend fists
Maulerfiend 120 Magma cutters, Maulerfiend fists
Flawless Blades 95 Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Flawless Blades 95 Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Lord Exultant 90 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Lord Exultant 90 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Chaos Spawn 70 Hideous mutations
Carnival of Excess + Elegant Brutes 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 38 players · 5 rounds · 19 Sep
7 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Shalaxi Helbane 315 Lash of Slaanesh, Pavane of Slaanesh, Snapping claws, Soulpiercer
Keeper of Secrets 265 Living whip, Phantasmagoria, Snapping claws, Witstealer sword
Daemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings 205 Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Battleline
Daemonettes 100 Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Infractors 85 Plasma pistol, Rapture lash, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Tormentors 80 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Tormentors 80 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Other Units
Defiler 330 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Lord Exultant + Possessed Blade 125 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Maulerfiend 120 Magma cutters, Maulerfiend fists
Maulerfiend 120 Magma cutters, Maulerfiend fists
Fiends 90 Barbed tail and dissecting claws
Seekers 85 Lashing tongue, Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)
47.8%win rate, rank 17 of 27 961 games 266 lists from 258 players X to X-2 finishes 1.00x entry share going first 0.1 points better
Emperor's Children won 50.3% of 2,773 games in the 28 days before and 48.3% of
1,784 in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 4.3% to 3.6%.
3 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Carnival of Excess
(21% to 7%), Frenzied Host (28% to 15%) and Slaanesh's Chosen (0% to 11%).
4 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Lucius the Eternal (64%
to 78%), Flawless Blades (74% to 88%) and Daemonettes (20% to 6%).
One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Possessed Blade
(17% to 5%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
2%
0-20
25%
20-40
25%
40-60
29%
60-80
18%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
42%
Purge the Foe
29%
Reconnaissance
15%
Disruption
13%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Coterie of the Conceited
37%
Court of the Phoenician
26%
Spectacle of Slaughter
22%
Frenzied Host
18%
Peerless Bladesmen
16%
Carnival of Excess
10%
Slaanesh's Chosen
9%
Mercurial Host
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Lord Exultant
94%
Infractors
93%
Tormentors
91%
Flawless Blades
86%
Defiler
85%
Chaos Rhino
76%
Lucius the Eternal
74%
Maulerfiend
59%
Chaos Spawn
57%
Daemon Prince of
Slaanesh with Wings
46%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Necrons
Space Marines
Death Guard
Tyranids
World Eaters
Orks
Dark Angels
Adeptus Custodes
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Carnival of Excess
21%
7%
-14
-6.7
Unit
Lucius the Eternal
64%
78%
+14
+5.3
Unit
Flawless Blades
74%
88%
+14
+6.0
Unit
Daemonettes
20%
6%
-13
-6.8
Detachment
Frenzied Host
28%
15%
-13
-5.6
Enhancement
Possessed Blade
17%
5%
-12
-6.6
Detachment
Slaanesh's Chosen
0%
11%
+11
+9.3
Unit
Fiends
14%
5%
-9
-5.3
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Coterie of the Conceited 1,995 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-1 · 42 players · 6 rounds · 10 Oct
104 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Daemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings 205 Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Battleline
Infractors 95 Plasma pistol, Rapture lash, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Infractors 95 Plasma pistol, Rapture lash, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Tormentors 85 Plasma pistol, Rapture lash, Boltgun, Close Combat Weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 70 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler 380 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Defiler 330 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Maulerfiend 120 Magma cutters, Maulerfiend fists
Lord Exultant 95 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Lord Exultant 95 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Flawless Blades 95 Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Flawless Blades 95 Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Flawless Blades 95 Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Chaos Spawn 70 Hideous mutations
Chaos Spawn 70 Hideous mutations
Mercurial Host + Spectacle of Slaughter 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 31 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
36 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Infractors 85 Plasma pistol, Rapture lash, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Tormentors 80 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Boltgun, Close Combat Weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Tormentors 80 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Boltgun, Close Combat Weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 70 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Chaos Rhino 70 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler 330 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Chaos Land Raider 220 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher, Soulshatter lascannon, Twin heavy bolter
Flawless Blades + Beguiling Grotesquerie 205 Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Flawless Blades + Beguiling Grotesquerie 205 Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Noise Marines 145 Close Combat Weapon, Sonic blaster, Blastmaster
Lucius the Eternal 120 Blade of the Laer, Lash of Torment
Maulerfiend 120 Magma cutters, Maulerfiend fists
Lord Exultant 90 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Lord Kakophonist + Steeped in Suffering 90 Power sword, Screamer pistol
Lord Exultant 90 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)
48.9%win rate, rank 14 of 27 823 games 250 lists from 236 players X to X-2 finishes 0.94x entry share going first 6.0 points better
Emperor's Children won 50.0% of 2,478 games in the 28 days before and 48.9% of
823 in the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 4.2% to 3.1%.
3 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Frenzied Host (24%
to 11%), Slaanesh's Chosen (3% to 14%) and Carnival of Excess (15% to 4%).
One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Daemonettes (13% to 4%).
Nothing clear turned up in enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
2%
0-20
11%
20-40
38%
40-60
31%
60-80
18%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
42%
Purge the Foe
38%
Reconnaissance
8%
Disruption
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Coterie of the Conceited
36%
Court of the Phoenician
30%
Spectacle of Slaughter
24%
Peerless Bladesmen
19%
Slaanesh's Chosen
14%
Frenzied Host
11%
Mercurial Host
5%
Elegant Brutes
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Tormentors
93%
Flawless Blades
91%
Lord Exultant
89%
Infractors
87%
Defiler
84%
Lucius the Eternal
82%
Chaos Rhino
74%
Maulerfiend
60%
Chaos Spawn
52%
Daemon Prince of
Slaanesh with Wings
48%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Necrons
Orks
World Eaters
Space Marines
Adeptus Custodes
Tyranids
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Frenzied Host
24%
11%
-13
-4.4
Detachment
Slaanesh's Chosen
3%
14%
+11
+5.9
Detachment
Carnival of Excess
15%
4%
-10
-4.3
Unit
Daemonettes
13%
4%
-9
-4.0
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Court of the Phoenician + Frenzied Host 1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
4th place · record 4-1 · 74 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
112 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Daemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings 205 Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Battleline
Infractors 175 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Infractors 175 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Infractors 175 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Tormentors 85 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Boltgun, Close Combat Weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 70 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Chaos Rhino 70 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler 330 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Flawless Blades 190 Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Lucius the Eternal 130 Blade of the Laer, Lash of Torment
Lord Exultant 105 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Flawless Blades 95 Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Lord Exultant 95 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Lord Exultant 95 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Peerless Bladesmen + Slaanesh's Chosen 1,995 pts
Priority Assets
3rd place · record 4-1 · 43 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Daemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings 205 Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Daemon Prince of Slaanesh + Faultless Opportunist 180 Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Battleline
Infractors 95 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Infractors 95 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Infractors 95 Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Other Units
Defiler 330 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Hades lascannon, Shearing Claws
Flawless Blades 190 Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Flawless Blades 190 Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Flawless Blades 190 Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Lucius the Eternal 130 Blade of the Laer, Lash of Torment
Lord Exultant 105 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Lord Exultant 95 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Lord Exultant 95 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Adeptus Mechanicus
Adeptus Mechanicus Whole edition Detachments Combinations Over time Units Enhancements Pick-rate shifts Matchups Results brackets Force Disposition Lists Team events Milestones 22 Jul 26 Aug 5 Sep 3 Oct 17 Oct
Whole edition
50.6%win rate, rank 10 of 28 5,802 games 1,603 lists from 945 players top-10% finishes 1.01x entry share going first 2.9 points better 50.8% adjusted for player skill
Haloscreed Battle Clade lists have a win rate 10.8 points below the faction
average and make up 10% of the faction's lists. The pairing Cohort Cybernetica + Eradication
Cohort has a win rate 9.9 points above the faction average (166 lists). Adeptus Mechanicus
won 50.6% of 5,802 games, rank 10 of 28. Cohort Cybernetica went from 25% to 77% of the
faction's lists between the first period and the last 28 days. Kataphron Breachers is in
16% of lists, and lists with it have a win rate 5.0 points below comparable lists.
Detachments
10 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 4 of them account for 80% of picks. The most
played is Lords of the Forge (61% of lists), and 74% of lists run more than one detachment.
2 detachments differ from the faction average. Best: Cohort Cybernetica (3.0 points above
the faction average, 39% of lists). Weakest: Haloscreed Battle Clade (10.8 points below
the faction average, 10% of lists).
Detachment
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
P1
P2
P3
P4
Lords of the Forge
974
61%
+0.6 ± 0.8
+0.8
63%
72%
76%
27%
Cohort Cybernetica
622
39%
+3.0 ± 1.0
+3.1
25%
22%
30%
79%
Rad-zone Corps
349
22%
+0.3 ± 1.3
+0.2
20%
32%
28%
3%
Eradication Cohort
262
16%
+2.7 ± 1.5
+1.8
9%
6%
6%
46%
Skitarii Hunter Cohort
246
15%
-3.3 ± 1.7
-1.9
20%
16%
18%
7%
Haloscreed Battle Clade
165
10%
-10.8 ± 1.8
-6.1
12%
15%
8%
7%
Cohort Acquisitus
50
3%
-6.5 ± 3.4
-1.9
3%
2%
3%
4%
Luminen Auto-Choir
33
2%
-10.1 ± 4.2
-2.4
2%
2%
2%
2%
Explorator Maniple
31
2%
-5.5 ± 4.2
-1.3
2%
2%
0%
3%
Data-psalm Conclave
16
1%
-0.9 ± 6.2
-0.2
2%
1%
1%
1%
Combinations
7 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common
is Cohort Cybernetica + Lords of the Forge (376 lists, 23%). Best: Cohort Cybernetica +
Eradication Cohort (9.9 points above the faction average).
Combination
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Cohort Cybernetica + Lords of the Forge
376
23%
+3.7 ± 1.4
+2.7
Lords of the Forge + Rad-zone Corps
316
20%
+2.0 ± 1.5
+1.3
Lords of the Forge + Skitarii Hunter Cohort
180
11%
-0.8 ± 2.3
-0.3
Cohort Cybernetica + Eradication Cohort
166
10%
+9.9 ± 2.2
+4.5
Cohort Acquisitus + Skitarii Hunter Cohort
17
1%
-8.6 ± 5.5
-1.6
Explorator Maniple + Lords of the Forge
16
1%
-12.0 ± 6.0
-2.0
Cohort Cybernetica + Skitarii Hunter Cohort
16
1%
-1.3 ± 7.5
-0.2
Over time
Share of games per week (%)
2
2.5
2.8
2.0
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval
40
50
60
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edi
53.5
47.5
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Period
Lists
Share of all lists
Games
Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul
299
1.9%
1,056
45.8%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug
404
2.2%
1,481
50.3%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct
517
2.2%
1,911
50.0%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct
383
2.5%
1,354
55.4%
Codex: Space Marines was followed by a change of +5.8 points in win rate, measured over
the 28 days either side.
Around each milestone, 28 days before and after
Milestone
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul)
894 / 1,199
45.5% to 51.3%
+5.8
+2.6
2.0% to 2.4%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug)
1,103 / 1,289
49.2% to 49.5%
+0.2
+0.1
2.2% to 2.2%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep)
1,222 / 1,528
49.2% to 49.6%
+0.4
+0.2
2.2% to 2.3%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct)
1,528 / 1,354
49.6% to 55.4%
+5.8
+3.1
2.3% to 2.7%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data
1,446 / 759
51.7% to 56.9%
+5.2
+2.3
2.4% to 2.8%
Units
A typical list contains 12 distinct units. 11 units appear in at least half of all lists
and 27 in at least 10%. The most common is Skitarii Rangers (91% of lists). 4 datasheets
appeared in under 1% of lists: Archaeopter Stratoraptor, Archaeopter Transvector, Knight
Errant, Sydonian Dragoons With Radium Jezzails.
Of 32 units in 40 or more lists, 1 has a clear effect on results (0 positive, 1 negative).
Weakest: Kataphron Breachers (5.0 points below comparable lists, 16% of lists). Kataphron
Breachers is in at least 15% of lists but has a win rate below it.
Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-5
-2.5
0
+2.5
+5
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Kataphron Breachers
Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-10
-5
0
+5
+10
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Haloscreed Battle Clade
Cohort Cybernetica
Most played units
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Skitarii Rangers
1,466
91.5%
-0.3 ± 0.6
-0.5
Belisarius Cawl
1,400
87.3%
-0.2 ± 0.6
-0.4
Ironstrider Ballistarii
1,147
71.6%
-0.5 ± 0.7
-0.8
Sicarian Infiltrators
1,145
71.4%
-0.1 ± 0.7
-0.2
Thulia Ghuld
1,137
70.9%
+0.4 ± 0.7
+0.6
Servitor Battleclade
984
61.4%
+0.9 ± 0.7
+1.2
Skorpius Disintegrator
975
60.8%
-0.2 ± 0.8
-0.3
Tech-priest Enginseer
880
54.9%
-0.1 ± 0.8
-0.1
Onager Dunecrawler
870
54.3%
-1.3 ± 0.8
-1.6
Kastelan Robots
845
52.7%
-1.2 ± 0.8
-1.4
Cybernetica Datasmith
842
52.5%
-1.1 ± 0.8
-1.4
Skitarii Vanguard
801
50.0%
-1.5 ± 0.9
-1.7
Other units with a clear effect
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Kataphron Breachers
262
16.3%
-5.0 ± 1.6
-3.2
Enhancements
18 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Necromechanic (34% of
lists). One enhancement differs from the other enhancements in its detachment: Belicosa-class
Capacitor Vanes (12.6 points below the rest).
Enhancement
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Necromechanic
549
34%
+0.5 ± 1.0
+0.5
Vingh's Wafers of Dynamism
335
21%
-0.7 ± 1.3
-0.5
TL-4ø9
318
20%
-0.1 ± 1.4
-0.1
Peerless Eradicator
244
15%
-0.4 ± 1.5
-0.3
Radial Suffusion
234
15%
-2.9 ± 1.6
-1.8
Martial Signatum Amplificator
216
13%
-0.4 ± 1.7
-0.2
Cantic Thrallnet
142
9%
-1.4 ± 2.2
-0.6
Sanctified Ordnance
83
5%
-0.9 ± 2.4
-0.4
Belicosa-class Capacitor Vanes
42
3%
-12.6 ± 3.9
-3.2
Pick-rate shifts
Type
Name
First period
Prior 28 days
Last 28 days
Change vs first period (pp)
Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Detachment
Cohort Cybernetica
25%
30%
77%
+52
+47
Detachment
Lords of the Forge
63%
77%
29%
-34
-48
Enhancement
Necromechanic
24%
28%
66%
+42
+38
Unit
Cybernetica Datasmith
41%
48%
82%
+41
+34
Unit
Kastelan Robots
42%
48%
82%
+40
+34
Detachment
Eradication Cohort
9%
5%
45%
+35
+40
Enhancement
Martial Signatum Amplificator
6%
2%
42%
+36
+39
Unit
Servitor Battleclade
56%
75%
44%
-12
-31
Unit
Tech-priest Manipulus
42%
50%
22%
-20
-28
Unit
Tech-priest Enginseer
46%
52%
73%
+27
+22
Unit
Onager Dunecrawler
48%
48%
71%
+23
+24
Detachment
Rad-zone Corps
20%
27%
4%
-16
-23
Matchups
Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Astra Militarum (64.4% over
177 games) and the worst is Chaos Daemons (39.9% over 212).
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Astra Militarum
177
64.4%
57.1% to 71.1%
60.0%
+4.4
favourable
Blood Angels
174
55.2%
47.8% to 62.4%
54.6%
+0.6
Leagues of Votann
217
55.1%
48.4% to 61.5%
48.7%
+6.3
Drukhari
130
55.0%
46.4% to 63.3%
53.6%
+1.4
Thousand Sons
205
54.4%
47.6% to 61.1%
50.2%
+4.2
Necrons
343
47.7%
42.4% to 52.9%
49.1%
-1.4
Grey Knights
148
47.0%
39.1% to 55.0%
53.5%
-6.5
Black Templars
88
46.6%
36.5% to 56.9%
55.3%
-8.7
T'au Empire
302
45.0%
39.5% to 50.7%
48.8%
-3.8
Chaos Daemons
212
39.9%
33.5% to 46.6%
45.8%
-6.0
unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 17 more rows
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Death Guard
251
54.2%
48.0% to 60.2%
52.4%
+1.8
World Eaters
240
53.5%
47.2% to 59.7%
50.6%
+2.9
Imperial Agents
16
53.1%
30.6% to 74.5%
56.9%
-3.8
Adepta Sororitas
147
53.1%
45.0% to 60.9%
50.3%
+2.8
Chaos Space Marines
274
52.9%
47.0% to 58.7%
53.4%
-0.5
Genestealer Cult
92
52.7%
42.6% to 62.6%
53.0%
-0.3
Emperor's Children
262
52.5%
46.4% to 58.4%
49.2%
+3.3
Deathwatch
44
52.3%
37.9% to 66.2%
46.8%
+5.5
Chaos Knights
134
52.2%
43.8% to 60.5%
53.7%
-1.4
Space Marines
461
50.4%
45.9% to 55.0%
51.9%
-1.5
Aeldari
186
50.3%
43.2% to 57.4%
55.0%
-4.7
Imperial Knights
201
50.0%
43.2% to 56.8%
52.0%
-2.0
Space Wolves
149
49.7%
41.7% to 57.6%
51.5%
-1.9
Dark Angels
266
48.9%
42.9% to 54.9%
47.2%
+1.7
Adeptus Custodes
354
48.4%
43.3% to 53.6%
46.4%
+2.1
Orks
390
47.9%
43.0% to 52.9%
45.3%
+2.7
Tyranids
339
47.9%
42.7% to 53.2%
50.7%
-2.7
Results brackets
172 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 22 won
X, 61 won X-1 and 89 won X-2, from 420 entries.
Share of players by share of games won
5%
0-20
19%
20-40
30%
40-60
27%
60-80
19%
80-100
line = all factions
Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2
3.2%
X
2.9%
X-1
2.1%
X-2
dashed = share of entries, 2.5%
Bracket tables
Tier
Lists
Share of tier
Share of entries
Ratio
z
X
22
3.2%
2.5%
1.31x
+1.3
X-1
61
2.9%
2.5%
1.17x
+1.2
X-2
89
2.1%
2.5%
0.85x
-1.5
X to X-2
172
2.4%
2.5%
0.99x
-0.1
Share of games won
Players
Share of players
All players
0 to 20%
18
4.8%
4.1%
20 to 40%
71
19.1%
17.2%
40 to 60%
113
30.4%
32.2%
60 to 80%
101
27.2%
30.1%
80 to 100%
69
18.5%
16.4%
Force Disposition
Force Disposition table
Disposition
Share of games
Games
Win rate
Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Priority Assets
58%
2,998
51.4%
+0.9 ± 1.0
Take and Hold
22%
1,119
51.9%
+1.4 ± 1.7
Purge the Foe
10%
525
52.3%
+1.5 ± 2.6
Reconnaissance
8%
410
43.2%
-7.5 ± 2.6
Disruption
2%
112
48.7%
n/a
Each extra 2.2 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 4.9 points
lower; the average list has 12.0. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength
model, Force Disposition, results brackets and terrain layout.
Representative lists
Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists
are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events
with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties,
and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.
Cohort Cybernetica + Eradication Cohort 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 8-0 · 143 players · 8 rounds · 23 Oct
Won an event of 100+ players
107 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Belisarius Cawl 220 Arc scourge, Cawl's Omnissian axe, Mechadendrite hive, Solar atomiser
Thulia Ghuld 180 Jericho-class conversion resonator, Rod of the War Forge
Tech-priest Enginseer 75
Battleline
Skitarii Rangers 85 Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Skitarii Rangers 85 Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Other Units
Kastelan Robots 300 Heavy phosphor blaster, Twin Kastelan fist
Ironstrider Ballistarii 250 Ironstrider Ballistarius (Twin cognis autocannon), Ironstrider feet, Twin cognis autocannon
Skorpius Disintegrator 170 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Skorpius Disintegrator 170 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Onager Dunecrawler 150 Broad spectrum data-tether, Cognis heavy stubber, Dunecrawler legs, Twin Onager heavy phosphor blaster
Pteraxii Skystalkers 75 Flechette blaster, Taser goad, Close combat weapon, Flechette carbine
Pteraxii Skystalkers 75 Flechette blaster, Taser goad, Close combat weapon, Flechette carbine
Sicarian Infiltrators 75 Flechette blaster, Taser goad
Serberys Sulphurhounds 55 Cavalry arc maul, Clawed limbs, Mechanicus pistol, Sulphur breath, Phosphor blast carbine, Phosphor pistol
Cybernetica Datasmith + Martial Signatum Amplificator 35 Mechanicus pistol, Power fist
Lords of the Forge + Skitarii Hunter Cohort 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 8-0 · 190 players · 8 rounds · 14 Aug
Won an event of 100+ players
60 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Belisarius Cawl 220 Arc scourge, Cawl’s Omnissian axe, Mechadendrite hive, Solar atomiser
Thulia Ghuld 180 Jericho‑class conversion resonator, Rod of the War Forge
Battleline
Skitarii Vanguard 85 Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Radium carbine, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Skitarii Vanguard 85 Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Radium carbine, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Dedicated Transports
Skorpius Dunerider 75 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber array
Skorpius Dunerider 75 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber array
Other Units
Ironstrider Ballistarii 250 Ironstrider feet, Twin cognis autocannon
Skorpius Disintegrator 170 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Skorpius Disintegrator 170 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Inquisitor Draxus 110 Dirgesinger, Power fist, Psychic Tempest
Tech-priest Manipulus 90
Pteraxii Skystalkers 80 Flechette blaster, Taser goad, Close combat weapon, Flechette carbine
Pteraxii Skystalkers 80 Flechette blaster, Taser goad, Close combat weapon, Flechette carbine
Sicarian Infiltrators 75 Flechette blaster, Taser goad
Servitor Battleclade 65 Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Servitor Battleclade 65 Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Servitor Battleclade 65 Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Skitarii Marshal + Cantic Thrallnet 60 Control stave, Mechanicus pistol
Team events
50.6%win rate in team events 1,096 games 270 lists from 242 players +0.1 points against individual events going first 3.3 points better
Adeptus Mechanicus won 50.6% of 1,096 team event games, against 50.5% of 4,706 in individual
events: 0.1 points higher (not clear). It makes up 2.3% of team event games and 2.3% of
individual event games.
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
55%
Take and Hold
16%
Reconnaissance
14%
Purge the Foe
9%
Disruption
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments
share
win rate
Lords of the Forge
61%
Cohort Cybernetica
37%
Skitarii Hunter Cohort
20%
Rad-zone Corps
19%
Eradication Cohort
13%
Haloscreed Battle Clade
9%
Cohort Acquisitus
4%
Luminen Auto-Choir
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups
win rate against
Chaos Knights
Thousand Sons
Chaos Space Marines
Leagues of Votann
Adeptus Custodes
Dark Angels
Drukhari
Aeldari
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events.
Dashed: team events win rate.
Milestones
5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after,
with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.
July balance & rules update (22 July)
51.3%win rate, rank 11 of 28 1,199 games 323 lists from 276 players X to X-2 finishes 0.90x entry share going first 1.4 points worse
Adeptus Mechanicus won 45.5% of 894 games in the 28 days before and 51.3% of 1,199 in
the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.0% to 2.4%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
22%
20-40
32%
40-60
27%
60-80
16%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
68%
Take and Hold
15%
Reconnaissance
8%
Purge the Foe
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Lords of the Forge
72%
Rad-zone Corps
32%
Cohort Cybernetica
23%
Skitarii Hunter Cohort
16%
Haloscreed Battle Clade
14%
Eradication Cohort
7%
Luminen Auto-Choir
2%
Explorator Maniple
2%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Belisarius Cawl
92%
Skitarii Rangers
91%
Servitor Battleclade
71%
Ironstrider Ballistarii
70%
Thulia Ghuld
69%
Sicarian Infiltrators
69%
Tech-priest Manipulus
57%
Skorpius Disintegrator
56%
Onager Dunecrawler
50%
Skitarii Vanguard
50%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
World Eaters
Thousand Sons
Imperial Knights
Space Marines
Orks
T'au Empire
Necrons
Chaos Daemons
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Lords of the Forge + Skitarii Hunter Cohort 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 8-0 · 190 players · 8 rounds · 14 Aug
Won an event of 100+ players
9 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Belisarius Cawl 220 Arc scourge, Cawl’s Omnissian axe, Mechadendrite hive, Solar atomiser
Thulia Ghuld 180 Jericho‑class conversion resonator, Rod of the War Forge
Battleline
Skitarii Vanguard 85 Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Radium carbine, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Skitarii Vanguard 85 Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Radium carbine, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Dedicated Transports
Skorpius Dunerider 75 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber array
Skorpius Dunerider 75 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber array
Other Units
Ironstrider Ballistarii 250 Ironstrider feet, Twin cognis autocannon
Skorpius Disintegrator 170 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Skorpius Disintegrator 170 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Inquisitor Draxus 110 Dirgesinger, Power fist, Psychic Tempest
Tech-priest Manipulus 90
Pteraxii Skystalkers 80 Flechette blaster, Taser goad, Close combat weapon, Flechette carbine
Pteraxii Skystalkers 80 Flechette blaster, Taser goad, Close combat weapon, Flechette carbine
Sicarian Infiltrators 75 Flechette blaster, Taser goad
Servitor Battleclade 65 Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Servitor Battleclade 65 Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Servitor Battleclade 65 Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Skitarii Marshal + Cantic Thrallnet 60 Control stave, Mechanicus pistol
Cohort Cybernetica + Lords of the Forge 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 39 players · 5 rounds · 1 Aug
17 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Belisarius Cawl 220 Arc scourge, Cawl’s Omnissian axe, Mechadendrite hive, Solar atomiser
Thulia Ghuld 180 Jericho‑class conversion resonator, Rod of the War Forge
Tech-priest Enginseer 75
Battleline
Skitarii Rangers 85 Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Mechanicus pistol, Arc rifle, Galvanic rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver ...
Skitarii Rangers 85 Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Mechanicus pistol, Arc rifle, Galvanic rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver ...
Other Units
Kastelan Robots 320 Incendine combustor, Twin Kastelan fist
Ironstrider Ballistarii 250 Ironstrider feet, Twin cognis autocannon
Skorpius Disintegrator 170 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Skorpius Disintegrator 170 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Onager Dunecrawler 155 Broad spectrum data-tether, Cognis heavy stubber, Dunecrawler legs, Twin Onager heavy phosphor blaster
Servitor Battleclade 65 Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Servitor Battleclade 65 Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Servitor Battleclade 65 Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Cybernetica Datasmith + Vingh's Wafers of Dynamism 50 Mechanicus pistol, Power fist
Technoarcheologist 45 Mechanicus pistol, Servo-arc claw
August balance & rules update (26 August)
51.6%win rate, rank 9 of 27 383 games 101 lists from 96 players going first 0.8 points worse
Adeptus Mechanicus won 49.2% of 1,103 games in the 28 days before and 49.5% of 1,289
in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.2% to 2.2%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
71%
Take and Hold
14%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Lords of the Forge
75%
Rad-zone Corps
31%
Cohort Cybernetica
27%
Skitarii Hunter Cohort
17%
Haloscreed Battle Clade
10%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Belisarius Cawl
93%
Skitarii Rangers
89%
Thulia Ghuld
75%
Sicarian Infiltrators
71%
Ironstrider Ballistarii
65%
Servitor Battleclade
64%
Skorpius Disintegrator
62%
Tech-priest Manipulus
59%
Skitarii Vanguard
51%
Skitarii Marshal
50%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Cohort Cybernetica + Lords of the Forge 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
3rd place · record 4-1 · 32 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
8 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Belisarius Cawl 220 Arc scourge, Cawl’s Omnissian axe, Mechadendrite hive, Solar atomiser
Thulia Ghuld 180 Jericho‑class conversion resonator, Rod of the War Forge
Tech-priest Enginseer 85
Battleline
Skitarii Rangers 85 Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle
Other Units
Kastelan Robots 330 Heavy phosphor blaster, Twin Kastelan fist, Kastelan fist, Kastelan phosphor blaster
Kastelan Robots 300 Heavy phosphor blaster, Twin Kastelan fist, Kastelan fist, Kastelan phosphor blaster
Skorpius Disintegrator 170 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Skorpius Disintegrator 170 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Sicarian Ruststalkers 160 Transonic razor and chordclaw
Sicarian Ruststalkers 85 Transonic razor and chordclaw
Sicarian Ruststalkers 75 Transonic razor and chordclaw
Servitor Battleclade 65 Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Cybernetica Datasmith + Vingh's Wafers of Dynamism 50 Mechanicus pistol, Power fist
Cybernetica Datasmith + Vingh's Wafers of Dynamism 25 Mechanicus pistol, Power fist
Lords of the Forge + Rad-zone Corps 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 3-0 · 24 players · 3 rounds · 29 Aug
Show list
Characters
Belisarius Cawl 220 Arc scourge, Cawl’s Omnissian axe, Mechadendrite hive, Solar atomiser
Thulia Ghuld 180 Jericho‑class conversion resonator, Rod of the War Forge
Sydonian Skatros + Radial Suffusion 75 Mechanicus pistol, Radium jezzail, Sydonian feet
Battleline
Skitarii Rangers 85 Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Skitarii Rangers 85 Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Skitarii Rangers 85 Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Skitarii Rangers 85 Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Skitarii Vanguard 85 Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Radium carbine, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Dedicated Transports
Skorpius Dunerider 75 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber array
Other Units
Kataphron Breachers 310 Arc claw, Heavy arc rifle
Sicarian Ruststalkers 160 Transonic blades and chordclaw, Transonic blades
Corpuscarii Electro-priests 130
Hastarii Fusiliers 115 Hastarii phosphor blaster, Neutron fusil, Power weapon, Close combat weapon
Tech-priest Dominus 85
Tech-priest Manipulus 75
Sicarian Infiltrators 75 Flechette blaster, Taser goad
Sicarian Infiltrators 75 Flechette blaster, Taser goad
Orks codex (5 September)
49.6%win rate, rank 14 of 28 1,528 games 416 lists from 347 players X to X-2 finishes 1.07x entry share going first 4.2 points better
Adeptus Mechanicus won 49.2% of 1,222 games in the 28 days before and 49.6% of 1,528
in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.2% to 2.3%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
25%
20-40
30%
40-60
22%
60-80
21%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
68%
Take and Hold
16%
Reconnaissance
8%
Purge the Foe
5%
Disruption
2%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Lords of the Forge
76%
Cohort Cybernetica
31%
Rad-zone Corps
27%
Skitarii Hunter Cohort
19%
Haloscreed Battle Clade
8%
Eradication Cohort
6%
Cohort Acquisitus
3%
Luminen Auto-Choir
2%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Belisarius Cawl
93%
Skitarii Rangers
90%
Thulia Ghuld
74%
Servitor Battleclade
74%
Sicarian Infiltrators
73%
Ironstrider Ballistarii
73%
Skitarii Vanguard
61%
Skorpius Disintegrator
58%
Tech-priest Enginseer
51%
Skitarii Marshal
51%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Thousand Sons
Emperor's Children
Leagues of Votann
Astra Militarum
Blood Angels
World Eaters
Space Wolves
Adeptus Custodes
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Cohort Cybernetica + Lords of the Forge 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 50 players · 5 rounds · 5 Sep
14 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Belisarius Cawl 220 Arc scourge, Cawl’s Omnissian axe, Mechadendrite hive, Solar atomiser
Thulia Ghuld 180 Jericho‑class conversion resonator, Rod of the War Forge
Battleline
Skitarii Rangers 85 Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Mechanicus pistol, Arc rifle, Galvanic rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver ...
Skitarii Vanguard 85 Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Mechanicus pistol, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Radium carbine ...
Other Units
Kastelan Robots 330 Incendine combustor, Twin Kastelan fist, Close combat weapon, Heavy phosphor blaster, Twin Kastelan phosphor blaster
Kastelan Robots 300 Incendine combustor, Twin Kastelan fist, Close combat weapon, Heavy phosphor blaster, Twin Kastelan phosphor blaster
Ironstrider Ballistarii 250 Ironstrider feet, Twin cognis autocannon
Skorpius Disintegrator 170 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Skorpius Disintegrator 170 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Servitor Battleclade 65 Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Servitor Battleclade 65 Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Cybernetica Datasmith + Vingh's Wafers of Dynamism 50 Mechanicus pistol, Power fist
Cybernetica Datasmith + Vingh's Wafers of Dynamism 30 Mechanicus pistol, Power fist
Lords of the Forge + Rad-zone Corps 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 44 players · 5 rounds · 26 Sep
9 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Belisarius Cawl 220 Arc scourge, Cawl’s Omnissian axe, Mechadendrite hive, Solar atomiser
Thulia Ghuld 180 Jericho‑class conversion resonator, Rod of the War Forge
Tech-priest Enginseer 55
Battleline
Skitarii Vanguard 85 Close combat weapon, Radium carbine, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Skitarii Rangers 85 Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Skitarii Rangers 85 Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Dedicated Transports
Skorpius Dunerider 75 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber array
Allied Units
Callidus Assassin 100 Neural shredder, Phase sword and poison blades
Other Units
Kastelan Robots 300 Heavy phosphor blaster, Twin Kastelan fist
Ironstrider Ballistarii 250 Ironstrider feet, Twin cognis autocannon
Skorpius Disintegrator 170 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Onager Dunecrawler 155 Broad spectrum data-tether, Cognis heavy stubber, Dunecrawler legs, Eradication beamer
Tech-priest Manipulus 90
Servitor Battleclade 65 Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Cybernetica Datasmith + Vingh's Wafers of Dynamism 50 Mechanicus pistol, Power fist
Skitarii Marshal 35 Control stave, Mechanicus pistol
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)
53.4%win rate, rank 6 of 27 595 games 165 lists from 154 players X to X-2 finishes 1.01x entry share going first 5.3 points better
Adeptus Mechanicus won 49.6% of 1,528 games in the 28 days before and 55.4% of 1,354
in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 2.3% to 2.7%. The change of +5.8 points
is clear.
5 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Lords of the Forge
(76% to 27%), Cohort Cybernetica (31% to 79%) and Eradication Cohort (6% to 46%).
12 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Cybernetica Datasmith (48%
to 84%), Kastelan Robots (49% to 84%) and Servitor Battleclade (74% to 42%).
7 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Martial Signatum
Amplificator (3% to 43%), Necromechanic (28% to 68%) and TL-4ø9 (25% to 5%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
11%
0-20
14%
20-40
22%
40-60
33%
60-80
19%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
46%
Take and Hold
31%
Reconnaissance
11%
Purge the Foe
10%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Cohort Cybernetica
73%
Lords of the Forge
33%
Eradication Cohort
32%
Skitarii Hunter Cohort
13%
Haloscreed Battle Clade
11%
Rad-zone Corps
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Skitarii Rangers
96%
Belisarius Cawl
80%
Cybernetica Datasmith
76%
Kastelan Robots
76%
Ironstrider Ballistarii
75%
Thulia Ghuld
73%
Sicarian Infiltrators
72%
Tech-priest Enginseer
72%
Skorpius Disintegrator
71%
Onager Dunecrawler
70%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Space Marines
Orks
Tyranids
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Lords of the Forge
76%
27%
-50
-14.0
Detachment
Cohort Cybernetica
31%
79%
+48
+13.7
Detachment
Eradication Cohort
6%
46%
+41
+13.3
Enhancement
Martial Signatum Amplificator
3%
43%
+41
+13.8
Enhancement
Necromechanic
28%
68%
+40
+11.2
Unit
Cybernetica Datasmith
48%
84%
+36
+10.7
Unit
Kastelan Robots
49%
84%
+35
+10.5
Unit
Servitor Battleclade
74%
42%
-32
-9.1
All 24 shifts: 16 more rows
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Tech-priest Manipulus
49%
20%
-29
-8.5
Unit
Tech-priest Enginseer
51%
76%
+25
+7.2
Detachment
Rad-zone Corps
27%
3%
-24
-9.4
Unit
Onager Dunecrawler
49%
73%
+24
+6.8
Unit
Skorpius Dunerider
41%
20%
-21
-6.5
Enhancement
TL-4ø9
25%
5%
-20
-7.8
Enhancement
Peerless Eradicator
21%
2%
-19
-8.3
Unit
Skitarii Marshal
51%
34%
-17
-4.9
Unit
Kataphron Destroyers
27%
10%
-17
-6.1
Unit
Skitarii Vanguard
61%
44%
-17
-4.7
Unit
Belisarius Cawl
93%
77%
-17
-6.6
Unit
Skorpius Disintegrator
58%
74%
+16
+4.8
Enhancement
Vingh's Wafers of Dynamism
27%
12%
-15
-5.4
Enhancement
Radial Suffusion
17%
3%
-15
-6.8
Detachment
Skitarii Hunter Cohort
19%
7%
-11
-4.7
Enhancement
Cantic Thrallnet
13%
4%
-9
-4.3
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Cohort Cybernetica + Eradication Cohort 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 30 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Belisarius Cawl 220 Arc scourge, Cawl’s Omnissian axe, Mechadendrite hive, Solar atomiser
Thulia Ghuld 180 Jericho‑class conversion resonator, Rod of the War Forge
Tech-priest Enginseer 75
Battleline
Skitarii Rangers 85 Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Plasma caliver
Skitarii Vanguard 85 Close combat weapon, Radium carbine, Arc rifle, Plasma caliver
Skitarii Vanguard 85 Close combat weapon, Radium carbine, Arc rifle, Plasma caliver
Skitarii Vanguard 85 Close combat weapon, Radium carbine, Arc rifle, Plasma caliver
Other Units
Kastelan Robots 300 Heavy phosphor blaster, Kastelan fist, Kastelan phosphor blaster
Kataphron Destroyers 200 Close combat weapon, Cognis flamer, Heavy grav-cannon
Sicarian Infiltrators 155 Flechette blaster, Taser goad
Hastarii Exterminators 100 Eradication caster, Hastarii arc blaster, Power weapon, Close combat weapon
Hastarii Exterminators 100 Eradication caster, Hastarii arc blaster, Power weapon, Close combat weapon
Pteraxii Skystalkers 75 Flechette blaster, Taser goad, Close combat weapon, Flechette carbine
Sicarian Ruststalkers 75 Transonic blades and chordclaw, Transonic razor and chordclaw
Sicarian Ruststalkers 75 Transonic blades and chordclaw, Transonic razor and chordclaw
Skitarii Marshal 35 Control stave, Mechanicus pistol
Skitarii Marshal 35 Control stave, Mechanicus pistol
Cybernetica Datasmith + Martial Signatum Amplificator 35 Mechanicus pistol, Power fist
Cohort Cybernetica + Eradication Cohort 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 18 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
13 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Belisarius Cawl 220 Arc scourge, Cawl's Omnissian axe, Mechadendrite hive, Solar atomiser
Thulia Ghuld 180 Jericho-class conversion resonator, Rod of the War Forge
Tech-priest Enginseer 75
Other Units
Kastelan Robots 300 Heavy phosphor blaster, Twin Kastelan fist
Ironstrider Ballistarii 280 Ironstrider Ballistarius (Twin cognis lascannon), Ironstrider feet, Twin cognis lascannon ...
Ironstrider Ballistarii 250 Ironstrider Ballistarius (Twin cognis lascannon), Ironstrider feet, Twin cognis lascannon ...
Skorpius Disintegrator 170 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Skorpius Disintegrator 170 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Skorpius Disintegrator 170 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Onager Dunecrawler 150 Broad spectrum data-tether, Cognis heavy stubber, Dunecrawler legs, Twin Onager heavy phosphor blaster
Cybernetica Datasmith + Martial Signatum Amplificator 35 Mechanicus pistol, Power fist
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)
56.9%win rate, rank 1 of 27 759 games 218 lists from 207 players X to X-2 finishes 1.28x entry share going first 2.7 points better
Adeptus Mechanicus won 51.7% of 1,446 games in the 28 days before and 56.9% of 759 in
the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 2.4% to 2.8%.
5 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Eradication Cohort
(17% to 58%), Lords of the Forge (58% to 22%) and Cohort Cybernetica (49% to 84%).
8 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Cybernetica Datasmith (61%
to 90%), Kastelan Robots (61% to 89%) and Servitor Battleclade (65% to 38%).
5 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Martial Signatum
Amplificator (15% to 53%), Necromechanic (43% to 72%) and TL-4ø9 (17% to 4%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
0%
0-20
13%
20-40
26%
40-60
31%
60-80
30%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
46%
Priority Assets
26%
Purge the Foe
24%
Reconnaissance
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Cohort Cybernetica
84%
Eradication Cohort
58%
Lords of the Forge
22%
Haloscreed Battle Clade
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Skitarii Rangers
94%
Cybernetica Datasmith
90%
Kastelan Robots
89%
Thulia Ghuld
80%
Tech-priest Enginseer
78%
Skorpius Disintegrator
77%
Ironstrider Ballistarii
76%
Onager Dunecrawler
75%
Belisarius Cawl
74%
Sicarian Infiltrators
67%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Death Guard
Orks
Space Marines
Adeptus Custodes
Dark Angels
Necrons
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Eradication Cohort
17%
58%
+41
+10.4
Enhancement
Martial Signatum Amplificator
15%
53%
+38
+9.9
Detachment
Lords of the Forge
58%
22%
-36
-8.5
Detachment
Cohort Cybernetica
49%
84%
+35
+8.6
Enhancement
Necromechanic
43%
72%
+30
+7.1
Unit
Cybernetica Datasmith
61%
90%
+29
+7.6
Unit
Kastelan Robots
61%
89%
+29
+7.5
Unit
Servitor Battleclade
65%
38%
-27
-6.5
All 18 shifts: 10 more rows
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Tech-priest Manipulus
39%
16%
-23
-6.0
Unit
Skorpius Dunerider
35%
15%
-21
-5.4
Unit
Tech-priest Enginseer
60%
78%
+18
+4.5
Detachment
Rad-zone Corps
19%
1%
-18
-6.3
Unit
Kataphron Destroyers
23%
6%
-17
-5.5
Enhancement
TL-4ø9
17%
4%
-14
-4.9
Unit
Belisarius Cawl
88%
74%
-14
-4.3
Enhancement
Peerless Eradicator
14%
1%
-12
-5.0
Detachment
Skitarii Hunter Cohort
15%
3%
-12
-4.4
Enhancement
Radial Suffusion
12%
1%
-11
-4.6
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Cohort Cybernetica + Eradication Cohort 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 8-0 · 143 players · 8 rounds · 23 Oct
Won an event of 100+ players
46 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Belisarius Cawl 220 Arc scourge, Cawl's Omnissian axe, Mechadendrite hive, Solar atomiser
Thulia Ghuld 180 Jericho-class conversion resonator, Rod of the War Forge
Tech-priest Enginseer 75
Battleline
Skitarii Rangers 85 Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Skitarii Rangers 85 Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Other Units
Kastelan Robots 300 Heavy phosphor blaster, Twin Kastelan fist
Ironstrider Ballistarii 250 Ironstrider Ballistarius (Twin cognis autocannon), Ironstrider feet, Twin cognis autocannon
Skorpius Disintegrator 170 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Skorpius Disintegrator 170 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Onager Dunecrawler 150 Broad spectrum data-tether, Cognis heavy stubber, Dunecrawler legs, Twin Onager heavy phosphor blaster
Pteraxii Skystalkers 75 Flechette blaster, Taser goad, Close combat weapon, Flechette carbine
Pteraxii Skystalkers 75 Flechette blaster, Taser goad, Close combat weapon, Flechette carbine
Sicarian Infiltrators 75 Flechette blaster, Taser goad
Serberys Sulphurhounds 55 Cavalry arc maul, Clawed limbs, Mechanicus pistol, Sulphur breath, Phosphor blast carbine, Phosphor pistol
Cybernetica Datasmith + Martial Signatum Amplificator 35 Mechanicus pistol, Power fist
Cohort Cybernetica 1,995 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 4-1 · 241 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
Show list
Battleline
Skitarii Vanguard 85 Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Radium carbine, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Skitarii Rangers 85 Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Skitarii Rangers 85 Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Dedicated Transports
Skorpius Dunerider 75 Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber array
Other Units
Kastelan Robots 300 Heavy phosphor blaster, Kastelan fist, Kastelan phosphor blaster
Ironstrider Ballistarii 250 Ironstrider feet, Twin cognis autocannon
Ironstrider Ballistarii 250 Ironstrider feet, Twin cognis autocannon
Thulia Ghuld 180 Jericho‑class conversion resonator, Rod of the War Forge
Sydonian Dragoons With Taser Lances 170
Onager Dunecrawler 150 Broad spectrum data-tether, Cognis heavy stubber, Dunecrawler legs, Twin Onager heavy phosphor blaster
Tech-priest Enginseer 75
Sicarian Infiltrators 75 Flechette blaster, Taser goad
Sicarian Ruststalkers 75 Transonic blades and chordclaw, Transonic razor and chordclaw
Tech-priest Dominus 60
Skitarii Marshal 45 Control stave, Mechanicus pistol
Cybernetica Datasmith 35 Mechanicus pistol, Power fist
Thousand Sons
Thousand Sons Whole edition Over time Combinations Detachments Units Pick-rate shifts Matchups Results brackets Enhancements Force Disposition Lists Team events Milestones 22 Jul 26 Aug 5 Sep 3 Oct 17 Oct
Whole edition
50.3%win rate, rank 11 of 28 8,243 games 2,335 lists from 1,401 players top-10% finishes 1.29x entry share going first 5.8 points better 50.6% adjusted for player skill
Thousand Sons fell from 56.9% in the first period (19 Jun to 21 Jul) to
40.3% in the latest (3 Oct to 25 Oct), one of 10 factions with a clear change over the
period. The pairing Hexwarp Thrallband + Sekhetar Cohort has a win rate 14.1 points above
the faction average (170 lists). The season figure is 50.3% (rank 11 of 28, 8,243 games),
which overstates where it stands now. Hexwarp Thrallband went from 52% to 4% of the faction's
lists between the first period and the last 28 days. Sekhetar Cohort lists have a win rate
6.6 points above the faction average and make up 17% of the faction's lists.
Over time
Its share of lists went from 4.2% to 2.1%.
Share of games per week (%)
2
3
4
1.7
3.6
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval
30
40
50
60
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edi
43.3
56.9
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Period
Lists
Share of all lists
Games
Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul
653
4.2%
2,219
56.9%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug
652
3.5%
2,311
51.1%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct
719
3.1%
2,667
47.9%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct
311
2.1%
1,046
40.3%
July balance & rules update was followed by a change of -5.3 points and Codex: Space
Marines was followed by a change of -7.3 points in win rate, measured over the 28 days
either side.
Around each milestone, 28 days before and after
Milestone
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul)
1,928 / 1,824
56.8% to 51.5%
-5.3
-3.3
4.3% to 3.6%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug)
1,808 / 1,902
51.4% to 48.4%
-3.0
-1.8
3.7% to 3.2%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep)
1,971 / 2,003
49.4% to 47.6%
-1.8
-1.1
3.6% to 3.1%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct)
2,003 / 1,046
47.6% to 40.3%
-7.3
-3.8
3.1% to 2.1%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data
1,708 / 488
44.5% to 39.2%
-5.3
-2.0
2.9% to 1.8%
Combinations
8 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common
is Hexwarp Thrallband + Sekhetar Cohort (170 lists, 7%). Best: Hexwarp Thrallband + Sekhetar
Cohort (14.1 points above the faction average).
Combination
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Hexwarp Thrallband + Sekhetar Cohort
170
7%
+14.1 ± 1.9
+7.5
Sekhetar Cohort + Warpforged Cabal
156
7%
+6.3 ± 2.1
+3.1
Hexwarp Thrallband + Ritual of Regeneration
127
5%
-0.8 ± 2.4
-0.3
Changehost of Deceit + Ritual of Regeneration
106
5%
-2.3 ± 2.4
-0.9
Ritual of Regeneration + Warpforged Cabal
88
4%
-7.2 ± 2.6
-2.7
Ritual of Regeneration + Sekhetar Cohort + Servants of Change
41
2%
+0.7 ± 5.1
+0.1
Changehost of Deceit + Sekhetar Cohort
26
1%
+4.7 ± 4.3
+1.1
Ritual of Regeneration + Warpmeld Pact
20
1%
-8.0 ± 6.2
-1.3
Detachments
9 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 5 of them account for 80% of picks. The most
played is Grand Coven (39% of lists), and 33% of lists run more than one detachment. 2
detachments differ from the faction average. Best: Sekhetar Cohort (6.6 points above the
faction average, 17% of lists).
Detachment
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
P1
P2
P3
P4
Grand Coven
919
39%
-0.7 ± 0.8
-0.8
16%
48%
50%
45%
Ritual of Regeneration
428
18%
-1.8 ± 1.2
-1.5
30%
13%
14%
15%
Hexwarp Thrallband
427
18%
+4.4 ± 1.2
+3.7
52%
9%
3%
4%
Sekhetar Cohort
401
17%
+6.6 ± 1.2
+5.5
32%
10%
12%
13%
Rubricae Phalanx
378
16%
-3.1 ± 1.3
-2.3
7%
19%
21%
18%
Warpforged Cabal
280
12%
+0.7 ± 1.4
+0.5
14%
11%
11%
14%
Changehost of Deceit
156
7%
-0.9 ± 1.8
-0.5
3%
8%
8%
9%
Servants of Change
65
3%
-0.6 ± 3.2
-0.2
1%
3%
4%
5%
Warpmeld Pact
28
1%
-4.0 ± 5.1
-0.8
1%
1%
1%
3%
Units
A typical list contains 10 distinct units. 8 units appear in at least half of all lists
and 20 in at least 10%. The most common is Rubric Marines (84% of lists). 3 datasheets
appeared in under 1% of lists: Blue Horrors, Chaos Land Raider, Heldrake.
Of 31 units in 40 or more lists, 2 have a clear effect on results (1 positive, 1 negative).
Best: Defiler (3.3 points above comparable lists, 30% of lists). Weakest: Mutalith Vortex
Beast (3.2 points below comparable lists, 34% of lists). Mutalith Vortex Beast is in at
least 15% of lists but has a win rate below it.
Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-5
-2.5
0
+2.5
+5
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Defiler
Mutalith Vortex Beast
Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-5
0
+5
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Sekhetar Cohort
Hexwarp Thrallband
Most played units
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Rubric Marines
1,951
83.6%
-0.6 ± 0.6
-1.0
Scarab Occult Terminators
1,749
74.9%
-1.0 ± 0.6
-1.7
Sorcerer In Terminator Armour
1,717
73.5%
-0.8 ± 0.6
-1.3
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows
1,424
61.0%
-0.5 ± 0.7
-0.8
Sekhetar Robots
1,396
59.8%
+1.3 ± 0.6
+2.1
Sorcerer
1,374
58.8%
+1.1 ± 0.7
+1.6
Tzaangors
1,286
55.1%
+0.2 ± 0.7
+0.3
Magnus The Red
1,245
53.3%
+0.3 ± 0.7
+0.4
Daemon Prince of Tzeentch with Wings
1,094
46.9%
-0.1 ± 0.8
-0.1
Tzaangor Enlightened
947
40.6%
+2.3 ± 0.8
+2.9
Chaos Spawn
933
40.0%
+1.3 ± 0.8
+1.6
Mutalith Vortex Beast
789
33.8%
-3.2 ± 1.0
-3.3
Other units with a clear effect
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Defiler
695
29.8%
+3.3 ± 0.9
+3.6
Pick-rate shifts
Type
Name
First period
Prior 28 days
Last 28 days
Change vs first period (pp)
Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Detachment
Hexwarp Thrallband
52%
2%
4%
-47
+2
Enhancement
Empyric Onslaught
33%
2%
2%
-31
+1
Detachment
Grand Coven
16%
50%
44%
+28
-6
Enhancement
Umbralefic Crystal
15%
41%
37%
+23
-4
Unit
Sekhetar Robots
72%
54%
51%
-21
-3
Detachment
Sekhetar Cohort
32%
11%
13%
-20
+1
Unit
Chaos Rhino
17%
41%
34%
+18
-7
Unit
Mutalith Vortex Beast
24%
36%
41%
+17
+5
Enhancement
Eldritch Vortex of E'Taph
13%
38%
30%
+17
-8
Unit
Chaos Spawn
26%
55%
42%
+16
-13
Unit
Defiler
43%
26%
27%
-16
+1
Enhancement
Arcane Might
17%
1%
3%
-14
+1
Matchups
Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Grey Knights (64.3% over
203 games) and the worst is Dark Angels (43.0% over 341).
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Imperial Agents
23
71.7%
51.3% to 85.9%
56.7%
+15.0
favourable
Grey Knights
203
64.3%
57.5% to 70.6%
53.3%
+11.0
favourable
Aeldari
205
63.4%
56.6% to 69.7%
54.8%
+8.7
favourable
Blood Angels
234
62.4%
56.0% to 68.4%
54.4%
+8.0
favourable
Drukhari
196
58.9%
51.9% to 65.6%
53.4%
+5.5
favourable
Chaos Space Marines
368
55.2%
50.1% to 60.2%
53.2%
+2.0
favourable
Necrons
561
45.0%
40.9% to 49.1%
48.9%
-3.9
unfavourable
Chaos Daemons
331
43.7%
38.4% to 49.0%
45.6%
-2.0
unfavourable
Orks
574
43.4%
39.4% to 47.5%
45.1%
-1.7
unfavourable
Dark Angels
341
43.0%
37.8% to 48.3%
47.0%
-4.0
unfavourable
Deathwatch
49
42.9%
30.0% to 56.7%
46.6%
-3.8
All 27 matchups: 16 more rows
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Black Templars
116
54.3%
45.3% to 63.1%
55.1%
-0.8
Emperor's Children
388
53.2%
48.2% to 58.1%
49.0%
+4.2
Astra Militarum
252
53.0%
46.8% to 59.0%
59.8%
-6.9
Imperial Knights
376
52.3%
47.2% to 57.3%
51.8%
+0.5
Death Guard
307
51.3%
45.7% to 56.8%
52.2%
-0.9
Space Wolves
199
51.3%
44.4% to 58.1%
51.3%
-0.1
Adeptus Custodes
550
51.1%
46.9% to 55.2%
46.2%
+4.9
Chaos Knights
203
50.7%
43.9% to 57.5%
53.5%
-2.7
Tyranids
477
50.6%
46.2% to 55.1%
50.5%
+0.1
Space Marines
678
49.6%
45.9% to 53.4%
51.7%
-2.1
Genestealer Cult
129
49.2%
40.7% to 57.7%
52.8%
-3.6
World Eaters
313
49.0%
43.5% to 54.6%
50.4%
-1.4
Adepta Sororitas
212
48.3%
41.7% to 55.0%
50.1%
-1.7
Leagues of Votann
307
47.2%
41.7% to 52.8%
48.5%
-1.3
T'au Empire
446
46.9%
42.3% to 51.5%
48.6%
-1.7
Adeptus Mechanicus
205
45.6%
38.9% to 52.4%
49.8%
-4.2
Results brackets
243 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 21 won
X, 89 won X-1 and 133 won X-2, from 548 entries.
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
18%
20-40
28%
40-60
30%
60-80
20%
80-100
line = all factions
Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2
3.1%
X
4.2%
X-1
3.1%
X-2
dashed = share of entries, 3.2%
Bracket tables
Tier
Lists
Share of tier
Share of entries
Ratio
z
X
21
3.1%
3.2%
0.96x
-0.2
X-1
89
4.2%
3.2%
1.31x
+2.6
X-2
133
3.1%
3.2%
0.97x
-0.3
X to X-2
243
3.4%
3.2%
1.07x
+1.1
Share of games won
Players
Share of players
All players
0 to 20%
15
3.2%
4.1%
20 to 40%
86
18.5%
17.2%
40 to 60%
132
28.3%
32.2%
60 to 80%
139
29.8%
30.1%
80 to 100%
94
20.2%
16.4%
Enhancements
24 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Umbralefic Crystal (34%
of lists).
Enhancement table
Enhancement
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Umbralefic Crystal
783
34%
-0.0 ± 0.9
-0.0
Eldritch Vortex of E'Taph
714
31%
+1.4 ± 0.9
+1.5
Incandaeum
323
14%
+0.9 ± 1.5
+0.6
Empyric Onslaught
276
12%
+1.7 ± 1.4
+1.2
Risen Rubricae
247
11%
-1.1 ± 1.7
-0.7
Lord of the Rubricae
215
9%
-1.1 ± 1.7
-0.6
Arcane Thralls
210
9%
+1.7 ± 1.7
+1.0
Curse of Life
171
7%
-4.2 ± 1.9
-2.2
Force Disposition
Force Disposition table
Disposition
Share of games
Games
Win rate
Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Priority Assets
54%
3,816
50.2%
-0.2 ± 0.8
Take and Hold
32%
2,266
48.1%
-2.2 ± 1.1
Disruption
5%
359
50.4%
+0.5 ± 3.0
Reconnaissance
5%
339
45.1%
-5.1 ± 2.6
Purge the Foe
3%
229
51.3%
n/a
Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, enhancement
effects, Force Disposition, results brackets, terrain layout and list width.
Representative lists
Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists
are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events
with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties,
and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.
Grand Coven 1,995 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 131 players · 5 rounds · 12 Sep
Won an event of 100+ players
188 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Magnus The Red 455
Daemon Prince of Tzeentch with Wings + Eldritch Vortex of E'Taph 205 Dark Blessing, Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Battleline
Rubric Marines 100 Force weapon, Malefic Curse, Warpflame pistol, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Other Units
Scarab Occult Terminators 385 Force weapon, Inferno combi-bolter, Malefic Curse, Hellfyre missile rack, Prosperine khopesh, Soulreaper cannon
Defiler 330 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Sorcerer In Terminator Armour 130
Sorcerer 95 Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol, Pandaemonic Delusion
Tzaangors 75 Tzaangor blades, Brayhorn, Herd banner
Chaos Spawn 65 Hideous mutations
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows 55 Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow
Tzaangor Enlightened 50 Divining spear
Tzaangor Enlightened 50 Divining spear
Hexwarp Thrallband + Sekhetar Cohort 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 6-0 · 48 players · 6 rounds · 11 Jul
78 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Magnus The Red 455
Tzaangor Shaman 60 Baleful Devolution, Force stave
Battleline
Rubric Marines 100 Force weapon, Malefic Curse, Warpflame pistol, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Rubric Marines 100 Force weapon, Malefic Curse, Warpflame pistol, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Other Units
Scarab Occult Terminators 370 Force weapon, Inferno combi-bolter, Malefic Curse, Hellfyre missile rack, Prosperine khopesh, Soulreaper cannon
Sekhetar Robots 160 Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Power claw, Warpflame projector, Pyreflux meltagun
Sekhetar Robots 160 Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Power claw, Warpflame projector, Pyreflux meltagun
Sekhetar Robots 160 Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Power claw, Warpflame projector, Pyreflux meltagun
Sorcerer + Empyric Onslaught 110 Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol, Pandaemonic Delusion, Prosperine khopesh
Sorcerer In Terminator Armour 95
Sorcerer + Empyric Onslaught 85 Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol, Pandaemonic Delusion, Prosperine khopesh
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows 55 Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow
Tzaangor Enlightened 45 Divining spear
Tzaangor Enlightened 45 Divining spear
Team events
48.3%win rate in team events 1,807 games 444 lists from 383 players -2.6 points against individual events going first 3.4 points better
Thousand Sons won 48.3% of 1,807 team event games, against 50.8% of 6,436 in individual
events: 2.6 points lower (not clear). It makes up 3.8% of team event games and 3.2% of
individual event games.
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
51%
Take and Hold
31%
Disruption
10%
Reconnaissance
6%
Purge the Foe
3%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments
share
win rate
Grand Coven
41%
Rubricae Phalanx
18%
Sekhetar Cohort
16%
Warpforged Cabal
15%
Hexwarp Thrallband
13%
Ritual of Regeneration
13%
Changehost of Deceit
5%
Servants of Change
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups
win rate against
Aeldari
Chaos Knights
Grey Knights
Astra Militarum
Adeptus Mechanicus
Space Wolves
Orks
Dark Angels
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events.
Dashed: team events win rate.
Milestones
5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after,
with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.
July balance & rules update (22 July)
51.5%win rate, rank 9 of 28 1,824 games 506 lists from 429 players X to X-2 finishes 1.02x entry share going first 3.7 points better
Thousand Sons won 56.8% of 1,928 games in the 28 days before and 51.5% of 1,824 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.3% to 3.6%. The change of -5.3 points is
clear.
5 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Hexwarp Thrallband
(55% to 11%), Grand Coven (14% to 49%) and Sekhetar Cohort (37% to 11%).
4 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Chaos Rhino (16% to 35%),
Defiler (41% to 24%) and Sekhetar Robots (73% to 57%).
7 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Eldritch Vortex of
E'Taph (12% to 42%), Umbralefic Crystal (13% to 43%) and Empyric Onslaught (36% to
7%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
4%
0-20
18%
20-40
31%
40-60
27%
60-80
20%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
59%
Take and Hold
32%
Reconnaissance
5%
Disruption
3%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Grand Coven
49%
Rubricae Phalanx
18%
Ritual of Regeneration
12%
Warpforged Cabal
11%
Hexwarp Thrallband
11%
Sekhetar Cohort
11%
Changehost of Deceit
8%
Servants of Change
3%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Rubric Marines
87%
Scarab Occult
Terminators
78%
Sorcerer In Terminator
Armour
75%
Tzaangor Enlightened
with Fatecaster
Greatbows
64%
Sorcerer
63%
Magnus The Red
58%
Tzaangors
57%
Sekhetar Robots
57%
Daemon Prince of
Tzeentch with Wings
51%
Tzaangor Enlightened
39%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Grey Knights
Astra Militarum
Aeldari
Blood Angels
Adeptus Mechanicus
Dark Angels
T'au Empire
Space Wolves
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Hexwarp Thrallband
55%
11%
-44
-15.2
Detachment
Grand Coven
14%
49%
+35
+12.4
Enhancement
Eldritch Vortex of E'Taph
12%
42%
+31
+11.4
Enhancement
Umbralefic Crystal
13%
43%
+30
+11.0
Enhancement
Empyric Onslaught
36%
7%
-29
-11.3
Detachment
Sekhetar Cohort
37%
11%
-26
-9.8
Detachment
Ritual of Regeneration
31%
12%
-19
-7.4
Unit
Chaos Rhino
16%
35%
+19
+7.1
All 16 shifts: 8 more rows
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Defiler
41%
24%
-16
-5.7
Unit
Sekhetar Robots
73%
57%
-16
-5.4
Unit
Tzaangor Shaman
32%
20%
-12
-4.6
Enhancement
Arcane Might
17%
5%
-12
-6.4
Enhancement
Incandaeum
6%
17%
+11
+5.9
Detachment
Rubricae Phalanx
7%
18%
+11
+5.7
Enhancement
Curse of Life
13%
4%
-10
-5.7
Enhancement
Risen Rubricae
4%
13%
+9
+5.3
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Grand Coven 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 50 players · 5 rounds · 1 Aug
22 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Magnus The Red 455
Daemon Prince of Tzeentch with Wings + Eldritch Vortex of E'Taph 205 Dark Blessing, Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Sorcerer 85 Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol, Pandaemonic Delusion
Battleline
Rubric Marines 100 Force weapon, Malefic Curse, Warpflame pistol, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Other Units
Scarab Occult Terminators 385 Force weapon, Inferno combi-bolter, Malefic Curse, Hellfyre missile rack, Prosperine khopesh, Soulreaper cannon
Defiler 330 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Sorcerer In Terminator Armour 115
Sorcerer 85 Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol, Pandaemonic Delusion
Chaos Spawn 65 Hideous mutations
Chaos Spawn 65 Hideous mutations
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows 55 Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows 55 Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow
Rubricae Phalanx 1,995 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 5-1 · 83 players · 6 rounds · 8 Aug
6 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Daemon Prince of Tzeentch + Arcane Thralls 175 Dark Blessing, Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Other Units
Scarab Occult Terminators 400 Force weapon, Inferno combi-bolter, Malefic Curse, Hellfyre missile rack, Prosperine khopesh, Soulreaper cannon
Scarab Occult Terminators 385 Force weapon, Inferno combi-bolter, Malefic Curse, Hellfyre missile rack, Prosperine khopesh, Soulreaper cannon
Scarab Occult Terminators 385 Force weapon, Inferno combi-bolter, Malefic Curse, Hellfyre missile rack, Prosperine khopesh, Soulreaper cannon
Sorcerer In Terminator Armour 105
Sorcerer In Terminator Armour 95
Sorcerer In Terminator Armour 95
Sekhetar Robots 85 Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Power claw, Warpflame projector
Sekhetar Robots 85 Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Power claw, Warpflame projector
Tzaangors 75 Autopistol, Chainsword, Brayhorn, Herd banner
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows 55 Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows 55 Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow
August balance & rules update (26 August)
48.7%win rate, rank 16 of 27 664 games 164 lists from 161 players X to X-2 finishes 1.48x entry share going first 2.6 points better
Thousand Sons won 51.4% of 1,808 games in the 28 days before and 48.4% of 1,902 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.7% to 3.2%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
14%
20-40
27%
40-60
46%
60-80
11%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
56%
Take and Hold
33%
Reconnaissance
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Grand Coven
48%
Rubricae Phalanx
17%
Ritual of Regeneration
15%
Sekhetar Cohort
13%
Warpforged Cabal
12%
Changehost of Deceit
10%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Rubric Marines
88%
Scarab Occult
Terminators
74%
Sorcerer In Terminator
Armour
73%
Tzaangor Enlightened
with Fatecaster
Greatbows
68%
Sorcerer
63%
Sekhetar Robots
63%
Magnus The Red
54%
Tzaangors
51%
Daemon Prince of
Tzeentch with Wings
48%
Mutalith Vortex Beast
46%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Dark Angels
Adeptus Custodes
Space Marines
Orks
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Rubricae Phalanx 1,995 pts
Take and Hold
10th place · record 6-0-1 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Rubric Marines 190 Force weapon, Malefic Curse, Warpflame pistol, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Rubric Marines 100 Force weapon, Malefic Curse, Warpflame pistol, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Rubric Marines 100 Force weapon, Malefic Curse, Warpflame pistol, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 80 Armoured tracks, Havoc launcher, Inferno combi-bolter
Chaos Rhino 80 Armoured tracks, Havoc launcher, Inferno combi-bolter
Other Units
Scarab Occult Terminators 385 Force weapon, Inferno combi-bolter, Malefic Curse, Hellfyre missile rack, Prosperine khopesh, Soulreaper cannon
Scarab Occult Terminators 385 Force weapon, Inferno combi-bolter, Malefic Curse, Hellfyre missile rack, Prosperine khopesh, Soulreaper cannon
Sorcerer In Terminator Armour 105
Sorcerer In Terminator Armour 100
Exalted Sorcerer 95 Astral Blast, Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol, Prosperine khopesh
Sorcerer 95 Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol, Pandaemonic Delusion, Prosperine khopesh
Sorcerer 95 Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol, Pandaemonic Delusion, Prosperine khopesh
Chaos Spawn 65 Hideous mutations
Chaos Spawn 65 Hideous mutations
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows 55 Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow
Sekhetar Cohort + Warpforged Cabal 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
25th place · record 7-2 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Ahriman 100 Inferno bolt pistol, Transmogrifying Blast
Exalted Sorcerer on Disc of Tzeentch 90 Arcane Fire, Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol
Tzaangor Shaman 65 Baleful Devolution, Force stave
Other Units
Defiler 380 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Defiler 330 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Sekhetar Robots 190 Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Pyreflux meltagun
Sekhetar Robots 175 Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Pyreflux meltagun
Sekhetar Robots 175 Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Pyreflux meltagun
Forgefiend 140 Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Forgefiend 140 Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows 55 Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows 55 Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows 55 Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow
Tzaangor Enlightened 50 Divining spear
Orks codex (5 September)
47.6%win rate, rank 17 of 28 2,003 games 555 lists from 489 players X to X-2 finishes 0.99x entry share going first 7.9 points better
Thousand Sons won 49.4% of 1,971 games in the 28 days before and 47.6% of 2,003 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.6% to 3.1%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
24%
20-40
28%
40-60
29%
60-80
15%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
61%
Take and Hold
29%
Reconnaissance
5%
Disruption
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Grand Coven
50%
Rubricae Phalanx
22%
Ritual of Regeneration
14%
Sekhetar Cohort
11%
Warpforged Cabal
11%
Changehost of Deceit
7%
Servants of Change
4%
Hexwarp Thrallband
2%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Rubric Marines
87%
Scarab Occult
Terminators
75%
Sorcerer In Terminator
Armour
75%
Tzaangor Enlightened
with Fatecaster
Greatbows
64%
Sorcerer
63%
Tzaangors
57%
Chaos Spawn
55%
Magnus The Red
55%
Sekhetar Robots
54%
Daemon Prince of
Tzeentch with Wings
46%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Grey Knights
Blood Angels
Drukhari
Chaos Space Marines
T'au Empire
Orks
Leagues of Votann
Adeptus Mechanicus
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Grand Coven 1,995 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 131 players · 5 rounds · 12 Sep
Won an event of 100+ players
72 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Magnus The Red 455
Daemon Prince of Tzeentch with Wings + Eldritch Vortex of E'Taph 205 Dark Blessing, Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Battleline
Rubric Marines 100 Force weapon, Malefic Curse, Warpflame pistol, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Other Units
Scarab Occult Terminators 385 Force weapon, Inferno combi-bolter, Malefic Curse, Hellfyre missile rack, Prosperine khopesh, Soulreaper cannon
Defiler 330 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Sorcerer In Terminator Armour 130
Sorcerer 95 Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol, Pandaemonic Delusion
Tzaangors 75 Tzaangor blades, Brayhorn, Herd banner
Chaos Spawn 65 Hideous mutations
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows 55 Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow
Tzaangor Enlightened 50 Divining spear
Tzaangor Enlightened 50 Divining spear
Sekhetar Cohort + Warpforged Cabal 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
60th place · record 3-0 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Daemon Prince of Tzeentch with Wings 170 Dark Blessing, Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Tzaangor Shaman + Warp Syphon 85 Baleful Devolution, Force stave
Tzaangor Shaman + Warp Syphon 70 Baleful Devolution, Force stave
Battleline
Rubric Marines 100 Force weapon, Malefic Curse, Warpflame pistol, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Rubric Marines 100 Force weapon, Malefic Curse, Warpflame pistol, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Other Units
Defiler 330 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Sekhetar Robots 190 Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Pyreflux meltagun
Sekhetar Robots 175 Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Pyreflux meltagun
Sekhetar Robots 175 Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Pyreflux meltagun
Forgefiend 140 Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Forgefiend 140 Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Sorcerer + Occulus Infernum 115 Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol, Pandaemonic Delusion, Prosperine khopesh
Helbrute 110 Close combat weapon, Heavy flamer, Helbrute fist
Tzaangor Enlightened 50 Divining spear
Tzaangor Enlightened 50 Divining spear
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)
41.3%win rate, rank 27 of 27 558 games 164 lists from 160 players X to X-2 finishes 0.94x entry share going first 8.7 points better
Thousand Sons won 47.6% of 2,003 games in the 28 days before and 40.3% of 1,046 in the
23 days after. Its share of games went from 3.1% to 2.1%. The change of -7.3 points is
clear.
One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Rubric Marines (87% to 76%).
Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
6%
0-20
18%
20-40
33%
40-60
21%
60-80
21%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
48%
Take and Hold
33%
Disruption
12%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Grand Coven
41%
Rubricae Phalanx
21%
Ritual of Regeneration
16%
Sekhetar Cohort
13%
Warpforged Cabal
12%
Changehost of Deceit
10%
Servants of Change
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Rubric Marines
78%
Scarab Occult
Terminators
68%
Sorcerer In Terminator
Armour
67%
Tzaangor Enlightened
with Fatecaster
Greatbows
62%
Tzaangors
54%
Sorcerer
53%
Sekhetar Robots
52%
Magnus The Red
51%
Chaos Spawn
43%
Mutalith Vortex Beast
41%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Rubric Marines
87%
76%
-11
-4.2
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Grand Coven 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
3rd place · record 5-1 · 94 players · 6 rounds · 10 Oct
Show list
Characters
Magnus The Red 455
Daemon Prince of Tzeentch with Wings + Eldritch Vortex of E'Taph 205 Dark Blessing, Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Battleline
Rubric Marines 190 Force weapon, Malefic Curse, Warpflame pistol, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Inferno boltgun, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Rubric Marines 100 Force weapon, Malefic Curse, Warpflame pistol, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Inferno boltgun, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Rubric Marines 100 Force weapon, Malefic Curse, Warpflame pistol, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Inferno boltgun, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Other Units
Defiler 330 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Forgefiend 150 Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws
Exalted Sorcerer + Incandaeum 110 Astral Blast, Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol
Sorcerer 95 Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol, Pandaemonic Delusion
Exalted Sorcerer + Incandaeum 95 Astral Blast, Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol
Sekhetar Robots 85 Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Pyreflux meltagun
Sekhetar Robots 85 Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Pyreflux meltagun
Grand Coven 1,995 pts
Priority Assets
4th place · record 4-1 · 44 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
5 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Magnus The Red 455
Daemon Prince of Tzeentch with Wings + Eldritch Vortex of E'Taph 205 Dark Blessing, Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Battleline
Rubric Marines 115 Force weapon, Malefic Curse, Warpflame pistol, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Other Units
Scarab Occult Terminators 425 Force weapon, Inferno combi-bolter, Malefic Curse, Hellfyre missile rack, Prosperine khopesh, Soulreaper cannon
Defiler 330 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Sorcerer + Umbralefic Crystal 130 Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol, Pandaemonic Delusion, Prosperine khopesh
Sorcerer In Terminator Armour 110
Sekhetar Robots 85 Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Power claw, Warpflame projector
Tzaangors 75 Autopistol, Chainsword, Brayhorn, Herd banner
Chaos Spawn 65 Hideous mutations
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)
39.2%win rate, rank 27 of 27 488 games 147 lists from 143 players X to X-2 finishes 0.29x entry share going first 3.8 points better
Thousand Sons won 44.5% of 1,708 games in the 28 days before and 39.2% of 488 in the
9 days after. Its share of games went from 2.9% to 1.8%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
42%
20-40
39%
40-60
3%
60-80
13%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
57%
Take and Hold
27%
Disruption
10%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Grand Coven
50%
Rubricae Phalanx
16%
Warpforged Cabal
15%
Ritual of Regeneration
14%
Sekhetar Cohort
12%
Changehost of Deceit
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Rubric Marines
73%
Scarab Occult
Terminators
69%
Tzaangor Enlightened
with Fatecaster
Greatbows
67%
Tzaangors
65%
Sorcerer In Terminator
Armour
63%
Magnus The Red
55%
Sorcerer
52%
Sekhetar Robots
46%
Mutalith Vortex Beast
43%
Chaos Spawn
41%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Sekhetar Cohort + Warpforged Cabal 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
4th place · record 4-1 · 31 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Exalted Sorcerer on Disc of Tzeentch + Perplexing Cloak 115 Arcane Fire, Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol, Prosperine khopesh
Ahriman 105 Black Staff of Ahriman, Inferno bolt pistol, Transmogrifying Blast
Tzaangor Shaman + Warp-Cursed Runemaster 80 Baleful Devolution, Force stave
Tzaangor Shaman + Warp-Cursed Runemaster 75 Baleful Devolution, Force stave
Other Units
Defiler 380 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Defiler 330 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Sekhetar Robots 175 Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Pyreflux meltagun, Power claw, Warpflame projector
Sekhetar Robots 175 Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Pyreflux meltagun, Power claw, Warpflame projector
Forgefiend 140 Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Forgefiend 140 Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Sekhetar Robots 100 Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Pyreflux meltagun, Power claw, Warpflame projector
Tzaangors 75 Tzaangor blades, Brayhorn, Herd banner
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows 55 Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows 55 Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow
Sekhetar Cohort + Warpforged Cabal 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
2nd place · record 4-1 · 23 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
Show list
Characters
Exalted Sorcerer on Disc of Tzeentch + Occulus Infernum 115 Arcane Fire, Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol
Ahriman 105 Inferno bolt pistol, Transmogrifying Blast
Exalted Sorcerer on Disc of Tzeentch + Occulus Infernum 95 Arcane Fire, Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol
Battleline
Rubric Marines 115 Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol, Malefic Curse, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 80 Armoured tracks, Havoc launcher, Inferno combi-bolter
Other Units
Defiler 330 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Sekhetar Robots 190 Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Power claw, Warpflame projector, Pyreflux meltagun
Sekhetar Robots 175 Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Power claw, Warpflame projector, Pyreflux meltagun
Sekhetar Robots 175 Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Power claw, Warpflame projector, Pyreflux meltagun
Chaos Predator Annihilator 140 Armoured tracks, Havoc launcher, Inferno combi-bolter, Lascannon, Predator twin lascannon
Chaos Predator Annihilator 140 Armoured tracks, Havoc launcher, Inferno combi-bolter, Lascannon, Predator twin lascannon
Exalted Sorcerer 100 Astral Blast, Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol
Chaos Spawn 65 Hideous mutations
Chaos Spawn 65 Hideous mutations
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows 55 Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows 55 Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow
Adepta Sororitas
Adepta Sororitas Whole edition Detachments Over time Units Combinations Force Disposition Pick-rate shifts Matchups Results brackets Enhancements Lists Team events Milestones 22 Jul 26 Aug 5 Sep 3 Oct 17 Oct
Whole edition
50.2%win rate, rank 12 of 28 5,872 games 1,652 lists from 1,010 players top-10% finishes 1.07x entry share going first 2.0 points better 50.3% adjusted for player skill
Army of Faith lists have a win rate 7.0 points below the faction average
and make up 15% of the faction's lists. Adepta Sororitas climbed from 46.4% in the first
period (19 Jun to 21 Jul) to 53.7% in the latest (3 Oct to 25 Oct), one of 10 factions
with a clear change over the period. The season figure is 50.2% (rank 12 of 28, 5,872 games),
which understates where it stands now. Bringers of Flame went from 7% to 46% of the faction's
lists between the first period and the last 28 days. Imagifier is in 7% of lists, and lists
with it have a win rate 9.8 points below comparable lists.
Detachments
8 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 5 of them account for 80% of picks. The most
played is Bringers of Flame (34% of lists), and 61% of lists run more than one detachment.
One detachment differs from the faction average. Weakest: Army of Faith (7.0 points below
the faction average, 15% of lists).
Detachment
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
P1
P2
P3
P4
Bringers of Flame
554
34%
+2.2 ± 1.1
+2.1
7%
32%
42%
46%
Hallowed Martyrs
491
30%
+1.2 ± 1.1
+1.1
30%
32%
27%
31%
Chorus of Condemnation
447
27%
+1.0 ± 1.2
+0.8
20%
24%
28%
35%
Sacred Champions
417
25%
-0.4 ± 1.2
-0.3
18%
31%
31%
19%
Army of Faith
255
15%
-7.0 ± 1.5
-4.6
40%
16%
6%
7%
Sanctified Orators
186
11%
-3.9 ± 2.0
-2.0
19%
9%
8%
11%
Penitent Host
158
10%
-0.5 ± 2.2
-0.2
5%
12%
12%
7%
Champions of Faith
116
7%
-4.8 ± 2.6
-1.9
12%
6%
6%
6%
Over time
Share of games per week (%)
2
2.5
2.9
2.3
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval
30
40
50
60
54.8
53.0
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Period
Lists
Share of all lists
Games
Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul
335
2.1%
1,175
46.4%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug
370
2.0%
1,304
47.2%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct
557
2.4%
2,038
52.1%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct
390
2.6%
1,355
53.7%
Around each milestone, 28 days before and after
Milestone
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul)
991 / 1,037
45.2% to 48.1%
+2.9
+1.3
2.2% to 2.0%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug)
981 / 1,438
48.8% to 52.1%
+3.3
+1.6
2.0% to 2.4%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep)
1,159 / 1,634
47.9% to 53.2%
+5.3
+2.7
2.1% to 2.5%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct)
1,634 / 1,355
53.2% to 53.7%
+0.5
+0.3
2.5% to 2.7%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data
1,506 / 752
52.2% to 55.5%
+3.3
+1.5
2.5% to 2.8%
Units
A typical list contains 12 distinct units. 7 units appear in at least half of all lists
and 30 in at least 10%. The most common is Paragon Warsuits (89% of lists). One datasheet
never appeared: Death Cult Assassins. One datasheet appeared in under 1% of lists: Crusaders.
Of 35 units in 40 or more lists, 4 have a clear effect on results (2 positive, 2 negative).
Best: Celestian Insidiants (4.9 points above comparable lists, 32% of lists) and Triumph
Of Saint Katherine (4.4 points above comparable lists, 25% of lists). Weakest: Imagifier
(9.8 points below comparable lists, 7% of lists) and Exorcist (4.7 points below comparable
lists, 33% of lists). Exorcist and Seraphim Squad are in at least 15% of lists but have
a win rate below it.
Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-10
-5
0
+5
+10
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Imagifier
Celestian Insidiants
Exorcist
Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-5
0
+5
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Army of Faith
Most played units
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Paragon Warsuits
1,472
89.1%
-0.1 ± 0.6
-0.1
Morvenn Vahl
1,450
87.8%
+0.1 ± 0.6
+0.1
Immolator
1,318
79.8%
+0.6 ± 0.7
+0.9
Castigator
1,242
75.2%
-0.7 ± 0.7
-1.0
Dominion Squad
1,137
68.8%
+1.2 ± 0.7
+1.6
Celestian Sacresants
989
59.9%
-0.2 ± 0.8
-0.2
Hospitaller
919
55.6%
-0.3 ± 0.8
-0.3
Seraphim Squad
806
48.8%
-2.6 ± 0.9
-2.9
Battle Sisters Squad
788
47.7%
-1.1 ± 0.9
-1.2
Canoness
761
46.1%
+2.1 ± 0.9
+2.4
Intranzia Fraye
701
42.4%
+2.1 ± 1.0
+2.1
Canoness with Jump Pack
701
42.4%
+1.3 ± 1.0
+1.3
Other units with a clear effect
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Celestian Insidiants
531
32.1%
+4.9 ± 1.1
+4.4
Triumph Of Saint Katherine
413
25.0%
+4.4 ± 1.2
+3.5
Exorcist
548
33.2%
-4.7 ± 1.0
-4.5
Imagifier
123
7.4%
-9.8 ± 2.3
-4.3
Combinations
9 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common
is Bringers of Flame + Chorus of Condemnation (274 lists, 17%). Best: Bringers of Flame
+ Chorus of Condemnation (6.6 points above the faction average). Weakest: Army of Faith
+ Sacred Champions (9.0 points below the faction average).
Combination
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Bringers of Flame + Chorus of Condemnation
274
17%
+6.6 ± 1.8
+3.7
Bringers of Flame + Sacred Champions
182
11%
+1.3 ± 1.8
+0.7
Penitent Host + Sacred Champions
121
7%
+2.9 ± 2.7
+1.1
Army of Faith + Chorus of Condemnation
99
6%
-5.2 ± 2.5
-2.0
Army of Faith + Sacred Champions
97
6%
-9.0 ± 2.8
-3.2
Champions of Faith + Sanctified Orators
64
4%
-7.4 ± 3.7
-2.0
Bringers of Flame + Sanctified Orators
44
3%
-0.2 ± 4.5
-0.0
Army of Faith + Sanctified Orators
43
3%
-10.2 ± 4.4
-2.3
Force Disposition
Priority Assets has a win rate 3.1 points above the faction's other choices and Take
and Hold has a win rate 5.7 points below the faction's other choices.
Disposition
Share of games
Games
Win rate
Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Priority Assets
59%
3,089
53.3%
+3.1 ± 0.9
Take and Hold
15%
812
44.5%
-5.7 ± 1.9
Reconnaissance
10%
534
45.3%
-5.0 ± 2.2
Disruption
8%
417
45.9%
-4.4 ± 2.6
Purge the Foe
7%
389
50.1%
+0.0 ± 2.9
Pick-rate shifts
Type
Name
First period
Prior 28 days
Last 28 days
Change vs first period (pp)
Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Unit
Intranzia Fraye
22%
46%
64%
+42
+18
Detachment
Bringers of Flame
7%
44%
46%
+39
+1
Detachment
Army of Faith
40%
6%
7%
-33
+1
Unit
Dominion Squad
52%
74%
82%
+30
+7
Unit
Battle Sisters Squad
66%
39%
41%
-25
+2
Unit
Zephyrim Squad
51%
27%
29%
-22
+3
Unit
Canoness with Jump Pack
58%
33%
36%
-22
+3
Enhancement
Symphonic Payload
8%
22%
29%
+21
+7
Enhancement
Litanies of Faith
22%
3%
3%
-18
+0
Unit
Castigator
68%
76%
86%
+18
+10
Unit
Retributor Squad
41%
32%
24%
-18
-8
Unit
Arco-flagellants
41%
32%
26%
-16
-6
Matchups
Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Aeldari (60.7% over 168 games)
and the worst is Orks (42.3% over 415).
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Aeldari
168
60.7%
53.2% to 67.8%
54.7%
+6.0
favourable
Imperial Knights
234
59.6%
53.2% to 65.7%
51.7%
+7.9
favourable
Astra Militarum
177
59.0%
51.7% to 66.0%
59.8%
-0.7
favourable
Chaos Knights
156
58.0%
50.2% to 65.5%
53.4%
+4.6
favourable
Drukhari
121
56.6%
47.7% to 65.1%
53.4%
+3.2
Chaos Space Marines
298
56.0%
50.4% to 61.6%
53.1%
+2.9
favourable
Grey Knights
131
45.0%
36.8% to 53.6%
53.2%
-8.2
Emperor's Children
263
44.9%
39.0% to 50.9%
49.0%
-4.1
Leagues of Votann
215
44.0%
37.5% to 50.6%
48.5%
-4.5
Orks
415
42.3%
37.6% to 47.1%
45.0%
-2.7
unfavourable
Deathwatch
37
35.1%
21.8% to 51.2%
46.6%
-11.4
All 27 matchups: 16 more rows
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Blood Angels
165
55.5%
47.8% to 62.8%
54.3%
+1.1
Death Guard
254
54.9%
48.8% to 60.9%
52.1%
+2.8
Black Templars
87
54.0%
43.6% to 64.1%
55.0%
-1.0
Chaos Daemons
201
53.0%
46.1% to 59.8%
45.6%
+7.4
Necrons
356
52.0%
46.8% to 57.1%
48.8%
+3.1
Genestealer Cult
79
51.9%
41.1% to 62.6%
52.8%
-0.9
Thousand Sons
212
51.7%
45.0% to 58.3%
49.9%
+1.7
Space Wolves
151
50.0%
42.1% to 57.9%
51.3%
-1.3
World Eaters
252
50.0%
43.9% to 56.1%
50.4%
-0.4
T'au Empire
268
49.3%
43.3% to 55.2%
48.5%
+0.7
Tyranids
320
48.8%
43.3% to 54.2%
50.4%
-1.7
Dark Angels
290
47.1%
41.4% to 52.8%
46.9%
+0.2
Imperial Agents
17
47.1%
26.2% to 69.0%
56.6%
-9.6
Adeptus Mechanicus
147
46.9%
39.1% to 55.0%
49.7%
-2.8
Space Marines
477
46.4%
42.0% to 50.9%
51.7%
-5.2
Adeptus Custodes
381
45.7%
40.7% to 50.7%
46.1%
-0.5
Results brackets
164 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 15 won
X, 50 won X-1 and 99 won X-2, from 393 entries.
Share of players by share of games won
2%
0-20
19%
20-40
33%
40-60
28%
60-80
18%
80-100
line = all factions
Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2
2.2%
X
2.4%
X-1
2.3%
X-2
dashed = share of entries, 2.3%
Bracket tables
Tier
Lists
Share of tier
Share of entries
Ratio
z
X
15
2.2%
2.3%
0.96x
-0.2
X-1
50
2.4%
2.3%
1.02x
+0.2
X-2
99
2.3%
2.3%
1.01x
+0.1
X to X-2
164
2.3%
2.3%
1.01x
+0.1
Share of games won
Players
Share of players
All players
0 to 20%
7
2.1%
4.1%
20 to 40%
62
18.7%
17.2%
40 to 60%
110
33.1%
32.2%
60 to 80%
94
28.3%
30.1%
80 to 100%
59
17.8%
16.4%
Enhancements
21 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Through Suffering, Strength
(22% of lists).
Enhancement table
Enhancement
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Through Suffering, Strength
370
22%
+1.6 ± 1.2
+1.3
Saintly Example
345
21%
+0.8 ± 1.3
+0.6
Symphonic Payload
312
19%
+0.3 ± 1.4
+0.2
Litanies of Faith
131
8%
-3.5 ± 2.1
-1.7
Clarion of Urgency
130
8%
-4.0 ± 2.3
-1.8
Writ of Compunction
115
7%
-4.3 ± 2.2
-2.0
Catechism of Divine Penitence
113
7%
-0.5 ± 2.6
-0.2
Perfervid Haste
101
6%
+2.3 ± 2.5
+0.9
Each extra 2.3 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 5.6 points
lower; the average list has 12.4. The five most active players account for 3.3% of its
games. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, milestone moves,
enhancement effects, results brackets and terrain layout.
Representative lists
Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists
are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events
with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties,
and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.
Bringers of Flame + Chorus of Condemnation 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 102 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
Won an event of 100+ players
157 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Intranzia Fraye 135 Heavy bolter, Mace of Saint Praxedes, Melta missile array, Ministorum heavy flamer, Throne of Blame
Dedicated Transports
Immolator 100 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Immolator 100 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Immolator 100 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Other Units
Morvenn Vahl 215 Fidelis, Lance of Illumination, Paragon missile launcher
Castigator 185 Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Exorcist + Symphonic Payload 185 Armoured tracks, Exorcist missile launcher, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile
Paragon Warsuits 165 Bolt pistol, Heavy bolter, Paragon grenade launchers, Paragon war blade
Castigator 165 Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Castigator 165 Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Mortifiers 130 Anchorite Sarcophagus, Heavy bolter, Twin penitent buzz-blades
Dominion Squad 100 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Dominion Squad 90 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Dominion Squad 90 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Seraphim Squad 75 Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Ministorum hand flamer
Hallowed Martyrs 1,980 pts
250th place · record 3-0 · 267 players · 8 rounds · 19 Jun
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Triumph Of Saint Katherine 235
Morvenn Vahl 185 Fidelis, Lance of Illumination, Paragon missile launcher
Intranzia Fraye 150 Heavy bolter, Mace of Saint Praxedes, Melta missile array, Ministorum heavy flamer, Throne of Blame
Saint Celestine 150 The Ardent Blade, Bolt pistol, Power weapon
Canoness with Jump Pack + Through Suffering, Strength 100 Blessed halberd
Junith Eruita 80 Mace of Castigation, Twin Ministorum heavy flamer
Canoness + Saintly Example 70 Bolt Pistol, Hallowed chainsword
Hospitaller 60 Bolt pistol, Chirurgeon’s tools
Dedicated Transports
Immolator 115 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Twin multi-melta
Sororitas Rhino 75 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Other Units
Paragon Warsuits 210 Bolt pistol, Multi-melta, Paragon grenade launchers, Paragon war mace
Celestian Sacresants 140 Inferno pistol, Spear of the faithful, Bolt pistol, Hallowed mace
Retributor Squad 120 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Inferno pistol, Power weapon, Multi-melta
Retributor Squad 120 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Inferno pistol, Power weapon, Multi-melta
Zephyrim Squad 80 Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Sacred Banner, Bolt pistol
Arco-flagellants 45 Arco-flails
Arco-flagellants 45 Arco-flails
Team events
51.0%win rate in team events 1,160 games 287 lists from 253 players +1.0 points against individual events going first 1.6 points worse
Adepta Sororitas won 51.0% of 1,160 team event games, against 50.1% of 4,712 in individual
events: 1.0 point higher (not clear). It makes up 2.5% of team event games and 2.3% of
individual event games.
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
45%
Reconnaissance
17%
Disruption
16%
Take and Hold
13%
Purge the Foe
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments
share
win rate
Bringers of Flame
35%
Chorus of Condemnation
28%
Hallowed Martyrs
25%
Sacred Champions
22%
Sanctified Orators
16%
Army of Faith
14%
Penitent Host
10%
Champions of Faith
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups
win rate against
Death Guard
Drukhari
Imperial Knights
Necrons
Tyranids
Grey Knights
World Eaters
Orks
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events.
Dashed: team events win rate.
Milestones
5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after,
with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.
July balance & rules update (22 July)
48.1%win rate, rank 17 of 28 1,037 games 289 lists from 245 players X to X-2 finishes 0.92x entry share going first 1.2 points better
Adepta Sororitas won 45.2% of 991 games in the 28 days before and 48.1% of 1,037 in
the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.2% to 2.0%.
2 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Army of Faith (41%
to 15%) and Bringers of Flame (7% to 30%).
3 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Zephyrim Squad (52% to 32%),
Battle Sisters Squad (66% to 47%) and Saint Celestine (21% to 8%).
One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Litanies of Faith
(24% to 8%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
2%
0-20
17%
20-40
38%
40-60
23%
60-80
19%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
61%
Take and Hold
15%
Reconnaissance
9%
Disruption
7%
Purge the Foe
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Hallowed Martyrs
35%
Bringers of Flame
30%
Sacred Champions
29%
Chorus of Condemnation
22%
Army of Faith
15%
Penitent Host
11%
Sanctified Orators
10%
Champions of Faith
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Paragon Warsuits
88%
Morvenn Vahl
88%
Immolator
74%
Castigator
70%
Celestian Sacresants
66%
Dominion Squad
64%
Hospitaller
55%
Canoness
52%
Canoness with Jump Pack
48%
Battle Sisters Squad
47%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Imperial Knights
Tyranids
Chaos Space Marines
Death Guard
Chaos Daemons
Adeptus Custodes
Emperor's Children
Orks
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Army of Faith
41%
15%
-27
-7.1
Detachment
Bringers of Flame
7%
30%
+24
+7.4
Unit
Zephyrim Squad
52%
32%
-20
-5.0
Unit
Battle Sisters Squad
66%
47%
-19
-4.6
Enhancement
Litanies of Faith
24%
8%
-16
-5.2
Unit
Saint Celestine
21%
8%
-13
-4.5
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Bringers of Flame 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
4th place · record 5-1 · 135 players · 6 rounds · 25 Jul
8 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Battle Sisters Squad 100 Sister Superior with Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Inferno pistol and Power weapon, Battle Sisters with Bolt pistol ...
Dedicated Transports
Immolator 115
Immolator 115
Immolator 115
Other Units
Paragon Warsuits 210 Paragon Superior with Bolt pistol, Multi-melta, Paragon grenade launchers and Paragon war blade ...
Morvenn Vahl 200
Castigator 175
Castigator 165
Castigator 165
Celestian Sacresants 150 Sacresant Superior with Inferno pistol and Spear of the faithful, Celestian Sacresants with Bolt pistol and Hallowed mace
Celestian Sacresants 150 Sacresant Superior with Inferno pistol and Spear of the faithful, Celestian Sacresants with Bolt pistol and Hallowed mace
Dominion Squad 110 Dominion Superior with Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Inferno pistol and Power weapon, Dominions with Bolt pistol ...
Dominion Squad 90 Dominion Superior with Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Inferno pistol and Power weapon, Dominions with Bolt pistol ...
Hospitaller 75
Hospitaller 65
Bringers of Flame + Chorus of Condemnation 1,990 pts
Priority Assets
4th place · record 4-0-1 · 138 players · 5 rounds · 1 Aug
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Intranzia Fraye 135 Heavy bolter, Mace of Saint Praxedes, Melta missile array, Ministorum heavy flamer, Throne of Blame
Canoness + Iron Surplice of Saint Istalela 70 Condemnor boltgun, Hallowed chainsword, Null Rod
Battleline
Battle Sisters Squad 100 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Condemnor boltgun, Power weapon, Boltgun, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Simulacrum Imperialis
Dedicated Transports
Immolator 100 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Twin heavy bolter
Immolator 100 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Twin heavy bolter
Immolator 100 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Twin heavy bolter
Allied Units
Callidus Assassin 100 Neural shredder, Phase sword and poison blades
Other Units
Paragon Warsuits 210 Bolt pistol, Multi-melta, Paragon grenade launchers, Paragon war blade
Morvenn Vahl 200 Fidelis, Lance of Illumination, Paragon missile launcher
Exorcist + Symphonic Payload 190 Armoured tracks, Exorcist missile launcher, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile
Castigator 175 Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Castigator 165 Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Castigator 165 Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Dominion Squad 90 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Condemnor boltgun, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Dominion Squad 90 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Condemnor boltgun, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
August balance & rules update (26 August)
47.9%win rate, rank 19 of 27 404 games 107 lists from 104 players going first 2.4 points worse
Adepta Sororitas won 48.8% of 981 games in the 28 days before and 52.1% of 1,438 in
the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.0% to 2.4%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
65%
Take and Hold
10%
Purge the Foe
9%
Disruption
8%
Reconnaissance
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Sacred Champions
38%
Bringers of Flame
37%
Hallowed Martyrs
30%
Chorus of Condemnation
21%
Penitent Host
17%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Morvenn Vahl
82%
Paragon Warsuits
82%
Immolator
75%
Castigator
70%
Dominion Squad
67%
Celestian Sacresants
66%
Hospitaller
63%
Canoness
58%
Battle Sisters Squad
48%
Seraphim Squad
45%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Bringers of Flame + Sacred Champions 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
4th place · record 3-2 · 23 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
Show list
Characters
Daemonifuge 85 Bolt pistol, Sanctity, The Outcast’s Weapons
Battleline
Battle Sisters Squad 100 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Condemnor boltgun, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Ministorum heavy flamer ...
Dedicated Transports
Immolator 100 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Other Units
Triumph Of Saint Katherine 245
Paragon Warsuits 210 Bolt pistol, Multi-melta, Paragon grenade launchers, Paragon war blade
Morvenn Vahl 200 Fidelis, Lance of Illumination, Paragon missile launcher
Castigator 165 Armoured tracks, Castigator battle cannon, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Celestian Sacresants 150 Ministorum hand flamer, Spear of the faithful, Anointed halberd, Bolt pistol, Hallowed mace
Celestian Sacresants 150 Ministorum hand flamer, Spear of the faithful, Anointed halberd, Bolt pistol, Hallowed mace
Seraphim Squad 150 Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Ministorum hand flamer
Retributor Squad 125 Bolt pistol, Chainsword, Close combat weapon, Combi-weapon, Multi-melta
Canoness with Jump Pack + Fire and Fury 105 Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon
Hospitaller 75 Bolt pistol, Chirurgeon’s tools
Canoness + Righteous Rage 75 Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Rod of Office
Hospitaller 65 Bolt pistol, Chirurgeon’s tools
Bringers of Flame + Chorus of Condemnation 1,995 pts
Priority Assets
4th place · record 4-1 · 20 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
4 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Intranzia Fraye 135 Heavy bolter, Mace of Saint Praxedes, Melta missile array, Ministorum heavy flamer, Throne of Blame
Junith Eruita 105 Mace of Castigation, Twin Ministorum heavy flamer
Canoness + Iron Surplice of Saint Istalela 70 Blessed blade, Inferno pistol
Dedicated Transports
Immolator 100 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Immolator 100 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Other Units
Paragon Warsuits 210 Bolt pistol, Multi-melta, Paragon grenade launchers, Paragon war mace, Paragon war blade
Morvenn Vahl 200 Fidelis, Lance of Illumination, Paragon missile launcher
Exorcist + Symphonic Payload 190 Armoured tracks, Exorcist missile launcher, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile
Castigator 175 Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter, Castigator battle cannon
Castigator 165 Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter, Castigator battle cannon
Castigator 165 Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter, Castigator battle cannon
Retributor Squad 125 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combi-weapon, Power weapon, Multi-melta
Dominion Squad 90 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Dominion Squad 90 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Seraphim Squad 75 Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Ministorum hand flamer
Orks codex (5 September)
53.2%win rate, rank 6 of 28 1,634 games 450 lists from 388 players X to X-2 finishes 1.10x entry share going first 0.4 points worse
Adepta Sororitas won 47.9% of 1,159 games in the 28 days before and 53.2% of 1,634 in
the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.1% to 2.5%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
1%
0-20
18%
20-40
27%
40-60
34%
60-80
20%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
63%
Take and Hold
12%
Reconnaissance
9%
Disruption
9%
Purge the Foe
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Bringers of Flame
43%
Chorus of Condemnation
30%
Sacred Champions
29%
Hallowed Martyrs
27%
Penitent Host
11%
Sanctified Orators
9%
Army of Faith
7%
Champions of Faith
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Paragon Warsuits
88%
Morvenn Vahl
86%
Immolator
81%
Castigator
76%
Dominion Squad
73%
Celestian Sacresants
55%
Hospitaller
53%
Seraphim Squad
49%
Intranzia Fraye
47%
Canoness
45%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Imperial Knights
World Eaters
Astra Militarum
Blood Angels
Space Wolves
Leagues of Votann
Death Guard
Adeptus Custodes
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Bringers of Flame + Chorus of Condemnation 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
73rd place · record 3-0 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
57 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Intranzia Fraye 135 Heavy bolter, Mace of Saint Praxedes, Melta missile array, Ministorum heavy flamer, Throne of Blame
Dedicated Transports
Immolator 100 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Immolator 100 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Other Units
Morvenn Vahl 200 Fidelis, Lance of Illumination, Paragon missile launcher
Exorcist + Symphonic Payload 190 Armoured tracks, Exorcist missile launcher, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile
Paragon Warsuits 180 Bolt pistol, Heavy bolter, Paragon storm bolters, Paragon war blade
Castigator 175 Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter, Castigator battle cannon
Castigator 165 Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter, Castigator battle cannon
Castigator 165 Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter, Castigator battle cannon
Mortifiers 130 Anchorite Sarcophagus, Heavy bolter, Twin penitent buzz-blades
Mortifiers 130 Anchorite Sarcophagus, Heavy bolter, Twin penitent buzz-blades
Dominion Squad 90 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer ...
Dominion Squad 90 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer ...
Seraphim Squad 75 Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Ministorum hand flamer
Seraphim Squad 75 Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Ministorum hand flamer
Bringers of Flame + Sacred Champions 1,995 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 29 players · 5 rounds · 12 Sep
7 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Dedicated Transports
Immolator 100 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Immolator 100 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Other Units
Paragon Warsuits 210 Bolt pistol, Multi-melta, Paragon grenade launchers, Paragon war blade, Paragon war mace
Morvenn Vahl 200 Fidelis, Lance of Illumination, Paragon missile launcher
Castigator 165 Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Castigator 165 Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Celestian Sacresants 150 Inferno pistol, Spear of the faithful, Bolt pistol, Hallowed mace
Retributor Squad 125 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Multi-melta
Celestian Insidiants 120 Inferno pistol, Null mace, Blessed sword, Condemnor bolt pistol, Denuncia oratory, Ministorum hand flamer ...
Dominion Squad 110 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis, Meltagun
Junith Eruita 105 Mace of Castigation, Twin Ministorum heavy flamer
Canoness with Jump Pack + Righteous Rage 90 Blessed halberd
Dominion Squad 90 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis, Meltagun
Zephyrim Squad 75 Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Sacred Banner, Bolt pistol
Seraphim Squad 75 Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Ministorum hand flamer
Hospitaller 65 Bolt pistol, Chirurgeon’s tools
Arco-flagellants 50 Arco-flails
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)
51.4%win rate, rank 10 of 27 603 games 173 lists from 159 players X to X-2 finishes 0.99x entry share going first 4.4 points better
Adepta Sororitas won 53.2% of 1,634 games in the 28 days before and 53.7% of 1,355 in
the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 2.5% to 2.7%.
One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Intranzia Fraye (47% to 65%).
Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
0%
0-20
15%
20-40
38%
40-60
18%
60-80
29%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
64%
Take and Hold
17%
Disruption
11%
Reconnaissance
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Bringers of Flame
42%
Hallowed Martyrs
37%
Chorus of Condemnation
26%
Sacred Champions
21%
Sanctified Orators
9%
Army of Faith
8%
Champions of Faith
6%
Penitent Host
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Paragon Warsuits
90%
Morvenn Vahl
89%
Immolator
87%
Castigator
85%
Dominion Squad
79%
Hospitaller
62%
Celestian Sacresants
61%
Intranzia Fraye
57%
Seraphim Squad
51%
Battle Sisters Squad
45%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Intranzia Fraye
47%
65%
+18
+5.2
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Bringers of Flame + Chorus of Condemnation 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 50 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
21 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Intranzia Fraye 135 Heavy bolter, Mace of Saint Praxedes, Melta missile array, Ministorum heavy flamer, Throne of Blame
Canoness 60 Hallowed chainsword, Inferno pistol, Null Rod
Dedicated Transports
Immolator 100 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Immolator 100 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Immolator 100 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Other Units
Morvenn Vahl 215 Fidelis, Lance of Illumination, Paragon missile launcher
Exorcist + Symphonic Payload 190 Armoured tracks, Exorcist missile launcher, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile
Castigator 185 Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Paragon Warsuits 165 Bolt pistol, Heavy bolter, Paragon storm bolters, Paragon war mace
Castigator 165 Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Castigator 165 Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Dominion Squad 90 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Dominion Squad 90 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Sisters Novitiate Squad 90 Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Autopistol, Ministorum flamer, Novitiate melee weapons, Sacred Banner ...
Seraphim Squad 75 Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Ministorum hand flamer
Seraphim Squad 75 Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Ministorum hand flamer
Bringers of Flame 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
2nd place · record 5-0 · 56 players · 5 rounds · 3 Oct
4 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Dedicated Transports
Immolator 100 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Immolator 100 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Immolator 100 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Other Units
Morvenn Vahl 200 Fidelis, Lance of Illumination, Paragon missile launcher
Paragon Warsuits 180 Bolt pistol, Heavy bolter, Paragon grenade launchers, Paragon war blade
Castigator 175 Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Celestian Sacresants 170 Inferno pistol, Spear of the faithful, Anointed halberd, Bolt pistol
Castigator 165 Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Castigator 165 Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Intranzia Fraye 135 Heavy bolter, Mace of Saint Praxedes, Melta missile array, Ministorum heavy flamer, Throne of Blame
Callidus Assassin 100 Neural shredder, Phase sword and poison blades
Dominion Squad 90 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer ...
Dominion Squad 90 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer ...
Sisters Novitiate Squad 90 Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Autopistol, Ministorum flamer, Novitiate melee weapons, Sacred Banner ...
Seraphim Squad 75 Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Ministorum hand flamer
Hospitaller 65 Bolt pistol, Chirurgeon’s tools
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)
55.5%win rate, rank 2 of 27 752 games 217 lists from 210 players X to X-2 finishes 1.12x entry share going first 3.9 points better
Adepta Sororitas won 52.2% of 1,506 games in the 28 days before and 55.5% of 752 in
the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 2.5% to 2.8%.
One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Intranzia Fraye (53% to 71%).
Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
16%
20-40
25%
40-60
34%
60-80
22%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
67%
Take and Hold
10%
Reconnaissance
9%
Disruption
8%
Purge the Foe
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Bringers of Flame
50%
Chorus of Condemnation
42%
Hallowed Martyrs
26%
Sacred Champions
17%
Sanctified Orators
12%
Penitent Host
7%
Army of Faith
6%
Champions of Faith
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Paragon Warsuits
94%
Morvenn Vahl
91%
Immolator
89%
Castigator
88%
Dominion Squad
88%
Intranzia Fraye
71%
Seraphim Squad
53%
Celestian Sacresants
45%
Hospitaller
44%
Exorcist
44%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Adeptus Custodes
Necrons
Dark Angels
World Eaters
Space Marines
Orks
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Intranzia Fraye
53%
71%
+18
+4.3
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Bringers of Flame + Chorus of Condemnation 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 102 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
Won an event of 100+ players
60 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Intranzia Fraye 135 Heavy bolter, Mace of Saint Praxedes, Melta missile array, Ministorum heavy flamer, Throne of Blame
Dedicated Transports
Immolator 100 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Immolator 100 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Immolator 100 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Other Units
Morvenn Vahl 215 Fidelis, Lance of Illumination, Paragon missile launcher
Castigator 185 Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Exorcist + Symphonic Payload 185 Armoured tracks, Exorcist missile launcher, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile
Paragon Warsuits 165 Bolt pistol, Heavy bolter, Paragon grenade launchers, Paragon war blade
Castigator 165 Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Castigator 165 Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Mortifiers 130 Anchorite Sarcophagus, Heavy bolter, Twin penitent buzz-blades
Dominion Squad 100 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Dominion Squad 90 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Dominion Squad 90 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Seraphim Squad 75 Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Ministorum hand flamer
Champions of Faith + Sanctified Orators 2,000 pts
Disruption
2nd place · record 5-0 · 37 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Intranzia Fraye 135 Heavy bolter, Mace of Saint Praxedes, Melta missile array, Ministorum heavy flamer, Throne of Blame
Dedicated Transports
Immolator 100 Armoured tracks, Heavy Bolter, Hunter-Killer Missile, Immolation Flamers
Immolator 100 Armoured tracks, Heavy Bolter, Hunter-Killer Missile, Immolation Flamers
Other Units
Morvenn Vahl 215 Fidelis, Lance of Illumination, Paragon missile launcher
Paragon Warsuits 205 Bolt pistol, Multi-melta, Paragon Grenade Launchers, Paragon War Mace, Heavy Bolter, Paragon War Blade
Paragon Warsuits 195 Bolt pistol, Multi-melta, Paragon Grenade Launchers, Paragon War Mace, Heavy Bolter, Paragon War Blade
Paragon Warsuits 165 Bolt pistol, Multi-melta, Paragon Grenade Launchers, Paragon War Mace, Heavy Bolter, Paragon War Blade
Mortifiers 130 Anchorite Sarcophagus, Heavy Bolter, Twin Penitent Buzz-Blades
Retributor Squad 125 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combi-weapon, Power weapon, Multi-melta
Celestian Insidiants 115 Inferno pistol, Null mace, Blessed sword, Condemnor bolt pistol, Denuncia Oratory, Ministorum hand flamer ...
Canoness with Jump Pack + Mark of Devotion 105 Blessed Halberd
Dominion Squad 90 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum Flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Dominion Squad 90 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum Flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Zephyrim Squad 75 Plasma pistol, Power Weapon, Sacred Banner, Bolt pistol
Dialogus + Triptych of Judgement 55 Bolt pistol, Dialogus Staff
Ministorum Priest 50 Zealot's vindictor
Arco-flagellants 50
World Eaters
World Eaters Whole edition Over time Detachments Combinations Units Enhancements Pick-rate shifts Matchups Results brackets Force Disposition Lists Team events Milestones 22 Jul 26 Aug 5 Sep 3 Oct 17 Oct
Whole edition
49.9%win rate, rank 13 of 28 10,560 games 3,116 lists from 1,883 players top-10% finishes 0.78x entry share going first 0.9 points better 49.9% adjusted for player skill
World Eaters climbed from 44.5% in the first period (19 Jun to 21 Jul)
to 54.5% in the latest (3 Oct to 25 Oct), one of 10 factions with a clear change over the
period. Berzerker Warband lists have a win rate 2.5 points above the faction average and
make up 57% of the faction's lists. The season figure is 49.9% (rank 13 of 28, 10,560 games),
which understates where it stands now. Vessels of Wrath went from 12% to 45% of the faction's
lists over the last 28 days compared with the 28 before. The pairing Butchers of Khorne
+ Goretrack Onslaught has a win rate 14.0 points below the faction average (40 lists).
Over time
Its share of lists went from 3.3% to 6.2%.
Share of games per week (%)
4
6
6.3
3.7
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval
40
50
60
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edi
53.3
48.3
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Period
Lists
Share of all lists
Games
Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul
510
3.3%
1,696
44.5%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug
710
3.9%
2,354
49.5%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct
961
4.2%
3,376
48.7%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct
935
6.2%
3,134
54.5%
Codex: Space Marines was followed by a change of +5.4 points in win rate, measured over
the 28 days either side.
Around each milestone, 28 days before and after
Milestone
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul)
1,400 / 1,808
43.6% to 48.7%
+5.1
+2.8
3.1% to 3.6%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug)
1,795 / 2,394
49.5% to 48.6%
-0.9
-0.6
3.6% to 4.1%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep)
2,019 / 2,688
49.9% to 49.1%
-0.8
-0.5
3.7% to 4.1%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct)
2,688 / 3,134
49.1% to 54.5%
+5.4
+4.1
4.1% to 6.3%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data
2,902 / 1,748
51.6% to 54.6%
+3.1
+2.0
4.9% to 6.5%
Detachments
8 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 5 of them account for 80% of picks. The most
played is Berzerker Warband (57% of lists), and 56% of lists run more than one detachment.
One detachment differs from the faction average. Best: Berzerker Warband (2.5 points above
the faction average, 57% of lists).
Detachment
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
P1
P2
P3
P4
Berzerker Warband
1,778
57%
+2.5 ± 0.6
+4.3
52%
44%
57%
71%
Brazen Engines
795
26%
+0.3 ± 0.9
+0.3
23%
31%
24%
24%
Vessels of Wrath
736
24%
+2.5 ± 0.9
+2.7
14%
16%
13%
46%
Possessed Slaughterband
476
15%
-0.2 ± 1.2
-0.2
12%
24%
18%
8%
Khorne Daemonkin
423
14%
-1.7 ± 1.2
-1.4
21%
17%
13%
8%
Butchers of Khorne
338
11%
+1.2 ± 1.4
+0.9
7%
11%
7%
16%
Goretrack Onslaught
227
7%
-4.6 ± 1.9
-2.5
9%
8%
4%
8%
Cult of Blood
27
1%
-7.8 ± 4.9
-1.6
1%
1%
1%
0%
Combinations
14 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common
is Berzerker Warband + Vessels of Wrath (339 lists, 11%). Best: Berzerker Warband + Vessels
of Wrath (8.4 points above the faction average). Weakest: Butchers of Khorne + Goretrack
Onslaught (14.0 points below the faction average).
Combination
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Berzerker Warband + Vessels of Wrath
339
11%
+8.4 ± 1.5
+5.7
Brazen Engines + Possessed Slaughterband
319
10%
+0.6 ± 1.5
+0.4
Brazen Engines + Khorne Daemonkin
202
6%
-5.6 ± 1.9
-3.0
Khorne Daemonkin + Vessels of Wrath
123
4%
-3.3 ± 2.4
-1.4
Berzerker Warband + Butchers of Khorne
119
4%
+6.8 ± 2.3
+2.9
Berzerker Warband + Brazen Engines
111
4%
+6.4 ± 2.6
+2.4
Goretrack Onslaught + Vessels of Wrath
101
3%
-5.4 ± 2.9
-1.9
Possessed Slaughterband + Vessels of Wrath
82
3%
-5.7 ± 2.9
-2.0
Butchers of Khorne + Goretrack Onslaught
40
1%
-14.0 ± 4.3
-3.3
Units
A typical list contains 10 distinct units. 9 units appear in at least half of all lists
and 21 in at least 10%. The most common is Jakhals (91% of lists). One datasheet never
appeared: Warlord Titan. 4 datasheets appeared in under 1% of lists: Chaos Predator Annihilator,
Chaos Predator Destructor, Heldrake, Typhon.
Of 27 units in 40 or more lists, 1 has a clear effect on results (1 positive, 0 negative).
Best: Forgefiend (2.4 points above comparable lists, 50% of lists).
Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-5
-2.5
0
+2.5
+5
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Forgefiend
Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-5
0
+5
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Berzerker Warband
Most played units
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Jakhals
2,825
90.7%
+1.2 ± 0.5
+2.5
Exalted Eightbound
2,432
78.0%
+0.6 ± 0.5
+1.1
Slaughterbound
2,281
73.2%
+0.8 ± 0.5
+1.6
Khorne Berzerkers
2,241
71.9%
+1.1 ± 0.5
+2.1
Eightbound
2,146
68.9%
+1.1 ± 0.5
+2.0
Khârn The Betrayer
1,929
61.9%
+1.5 ± 0.6
+2.5
Angron
1,796
57.6%
+1.1 ± 0.6
+1.9
Chaos Rhino
1,777
57.0%
+1.7 ± 0.6
+2.9
Forgefiend
1,562
50.1%
+2.4 ± 0.6
+3.8
Daemon Prince of Khorne
1,294
41.5%
+0.3 ± 0.7
+0.4
Goremongers
1,235
39.6%
+1.3 ± 0.7
+1.8
Master of Executions
1,161
37.3%
-0.5 ± 0.7
-0.7
Enhancements
21 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Berzerker Glaive (33%
of lists). One enhancement differs from the other enhancements in its detachment: Battle-lust
(2.6 points above the rest).
Enhancement
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Berzerker Glaive
1,021
33%
+0.8 ± 0.8
+1.0
Battle-lust
855
27%
+2.6 ± 0.8
+3.2
Frenzied Focus
404
13%
+0.2 ± 1.3
+0.2
Helm of Brazen Ire
384
12%
-0.6 ± 1.2
-0.5
Disciple of Khorne
318
10%
+0.5 ± 1.3
+0.4
Favoured of Khorne
289
9%
-2.8 ± 1.6
-1.8
Blade of Endless Bloodshed
266
9%
+2.0 ± 1.5
+1.3
Gore-stained Veterans
216
7%
+3.3 ± 1.7
+2.0
Pick-rate shifts
Type
Name
First period
Prior 28 days
Last 28 days
Change vs first period (pp)
Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Unit
Angron
43%
52%
81%
+37
+29
Unit
Chaos Spawn
50%
33%
17%
-33
-16
Detachment
Vessels of Wrath
14%
12%
45%
+31
+32
Unit
Forgefiend
29%
63%
54%
+25
-8
Detachment
Berzerker Warband
52%
58%
70%
+18
+12
Enhancement
Berzerker Glaive
32%
25%
44%
+12
+18
Unit
Lord Invocatus
12%
39%
29%
+16
-10
Unit
Daemon Prince of Khorne
47%
40%
31%
-16
-10
Enhancement
Battle-lust
17%
35%
33%
+15
-3
Unit
Chaos Rhino
57%
54%
69%
+12
+15
Unit
Khorne Berzerkers
70%
69%
84%
+14
+14
Unit
Defiler
35%
29%
21%
-14
-8
Matchups
Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Astra Militarum (61.6% over
367 games) and the worst is Orks (43.2% over 725).
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Imperial Agents
39
66.7%
51.0% to 79.4%
56.3%
+10.4
favourable
Astra Militarum
367
61.6%
56.5% to 66.4%
59.4%
+2.2
favourable
Deathwatch
95
55.8%
45.8% to 65.4%
46.2%
+9.6
Genestealer Cult
142
55.6%
47.4% to 63.6%
52.4%
+3.3
Chaos Space Marines
493
55.6%
51.2% to 59.9%
52.7%
+2.8
favourable
Adeptus Custodes
703
45.7%
42.1% to 49.4%
45.7%
+0.0
unfavourable
Dark Angels
533
45.5%
41.3% to 49.7%
46.5%
-1.0
unfavourable
Chaos Daemons
397
44.5%
39.6% to 49.4%
45.2%
-0.7
unfavourable
Leagues of Votann
358
44.4%
39.4% to 49.6%
48.1%
-3.7
unfavourable
Orks
725
43.2%
39.6% to 46.8%
44.6%
-1.5
unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 17 more rows
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Aeldari
310
54.8%
49.3% to 60.3%
54.3%
+0.5
Chaos Knights
249
54.4%
48.2% to 60.5%
53.0%
+1.4
Grey Knights
252
53.8%
47.6% to 59.8%
52.8%
+1.0
T'au Empire
556
53.3%
49.2% to 57.4%
48.2%
+5.2
Drukhari
258
52.1%
46.0% to 58.2%
53.0%
-0.9
Black Templars
168
52.1%
44.6% to 59.5%
54.6%
-2.6
Space Marines
890
51.9%
48.6% to 55.2%
51.3%
+0.6
Space Wolves
292
51.4%
45.7% to 57.0%
50.9%
+0.5
Thousand Sons
313
51.0%
45.4% to 56.5%
49.6%
+1.4
Tyranids
614
50.8%
46.9% to 54.8%
50.0%
+0.8
Blood Angels
347
50.6%
45.3% to 55.8%
53.9%
-3.3
Adepta Sororitas
252
50.0%
43.9% to 56.1%
49.6%
+0.4
Imperial Knights
403
49.9%
45.0% to 54.7%
51.3%
-1.5
Necrons
670
48.8%
45.0% to 52.6%
48.5%
+0.4
Death Guard
456
47.0%
42.5% to 51.6%
51.7%
-4.7
Emperor's Children
438
46.8%
42.2% to 51.5%
48.6%
-1.8
Adeptus Mechanicus
240
46.5%
40.3% to 52.8%
49.4%
-2.9
Results brackets
307 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 24 won
X, 95 won X-1 and 188 won X-2, from 733 entries.
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
17%
20-40
34%
40-60
31%
60-80
16%
80-100
line = all factions
Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2
3.5%
X
4.5%
X-1
4.4%
X-2
dashed = share of entries, 4.3%
Bracket tables
Tier
Lists
Share of tier
Share of entries
Ratio
z
X
24
3.5%
4.3%
0.82x
-1.0
X-1
95
4.5%
4.3%
1.04x
+0.4
X-2
188
4.4%
4.3%
1.03x
+0.4
X to X-2
307
4.3%
4.3%
1.01x
+0.2
Share of games won
Players
Share of players
All players
0 to 20%
22
3.5%
4.1%
20 to 40%
105
16.5%
17.2%
40 to 60%
214
33.7%
32.2%
60 to 80%
194
30.6%
30.1%
80 to 100%
100
15.7%
16.4%
Force Disposition
Force Disposition table
Disposition
Share of games
Games
Win rate
Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Purge the Foe
67%
6,394
51.8%
+1.9 ± 0.6
Take and Hold
12%
1,142
49.3%
-0.6 ± 1.5
Priority Assets
9%
851
49.4%
-0.2 ± 1.8
Reconnaissance
6%
559
45.3%
-4.5 ± 2.2
Disruption
6%
548
45.9%
-3.8 ± 2.4
Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, Force
Disposition, results brackets, terrain layout and list width.
Representative lists
Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists
are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events
with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties,
and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.
Berzerker Warband 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 8-1 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
Won an event of 100+ players
532 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Angron 330 Samni’arius and Spinegrinder
Battleline
Khorne Berzerkers 160 Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers 160 Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 75 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Forgefiend 145 Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Forgefiend 145 Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Exalted Eightbound 130 Chainblades
Exalted Eightbound 130 Chainblades
Eightbound 125 Chainblades
Eightbound 125 Chainblades
Slaughterbound + Battle-lust 120 Lacerator and daemonic claw
Khârn The Betrayer 115
Lord Invocatus 100 Bladed horn, Bolt pistol, Coward’s Bane
Goremongers 75 Autopistol, Chainblade, Close combat weapon
Jakhals 65 Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade
Berzerker Warband 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 6-0 · 52 players · 6 rounds · 19 Sep
102 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Angron 330 Samni’arius and Spinegrinder
Battleline
Khorne Berzerkers 160 Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers 160 Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers 160 Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 75 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Chaos Rhino 75 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Eightbound 125 Chainblades
Eightbound 125 Chainblades
Khârn The Betrayer 115
Lord Invocatus 100 Bladed horn, Bolt pistol, Coward’s Bane
Master of Executions + Berzerker Glaive 95 Axe of dismemberment, Bolt pistol
Chaos Spawn 95 Hideous mutations
Chaos Spawn 95 Hideous mutations
Chaos Spawn 95 Hideous mutations
Jakhals 65 Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade
Jakhals 65 Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade
Jakhals 65 Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade
Team events
49.4%win rate in team events 1,829 games 467 lists from 416 players -0.7 points against individual events going first 2.8 points better
World Eaters won 49.4% of 1,829 team event games, against 50.0% of 8,731 in individual
events: 0.7 points lower (not clear). It makes up 3.9% of team event games and 4.3% of
individual event games.
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
63%
Disruption
11%
Take and Hold
11%
Reconnaissance
8%
Priority Assets
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments
share
win rate
Berzerker Warband
57%
Brazen Engines
30%
Vessels of Wrath
19%
Possessed Slaughterband
16%
Butchers of Khorne
12%
Khorne Daemonkin
11%
Goretrack Onslaught
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups
win rate against
Astra Militarum
Adepta Sororitas
Blood Angels
Grey Knights
Chaos Daemons
Space Marines
Orks
Dark Angels
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events.
Dashed: team events win rate.
Milestones
5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after,
with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.
July balance & rules update (22 July)
48.7%win rate, rank 15 of 28 1,808 games 546 lists from 491 players X to X-2 finishes 0.85x entry share going first 4.8 points better
World Eaters won 43.6% of 1,400 games in the 28 days before and 48.7% of 1,808 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.1% to 3.6%.
One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Possessed Slaughterband
(13% to 25%).
One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Forgefiend (28% to 46%).
Nothing clear turned up in enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
5%
0-20
20%
20-40
39%
40-60
25%
60-80
12%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
66%
Take and Hold
16%
Reconnaissance
8%
Priority Assets
7%
Disruption
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Berzerker Warband
44%
Brazen Engines
30%
Possessed Slaughterband
25%
Khorne Daemonkin
16%
Vessels of Wrath
15%
Butchers of Khorne
10%
Goretrack Onslaught
9%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Jakhals
91%
Exalted Eightbound
80%
Slaughterbound
74%
Eightbound
67%
Khorne Berzerkers
63%
Daemon Prince of Khorne
54%
Khârn The Betrayer
52%
Forgefiend
46%
Angron
46%
Chaos Rhino
46%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Chaos Space Marines
Death Guard
Blood Angels
Astra Militarum
Orks
Space Wolves
Leagues of Votann
Chaos Daemons
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Forgefiend
28%
46%
+18
+5.7
Detachment
Possessed Slaughterband
13%
25%
+11
+4.4
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Berzerker Warband 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 40 players · 5 rounds · 15 Aug
33 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Angron 330 Samni’arius and Spinegrinder
Battleline
Khorne Berzerkers 170 Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers 170 Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers 170 Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 75 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Chaos Rhino 75 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Exalted Eightbound 130 Chainblades
Eightbound 125 Chainblades
Eightbound 125 Chainblades
Khârn The Betrayer 115
Lord Invocatus 100 Bladed horn, Bolt pistol, Coward’s Bane
Master of Executions + Berzerker Glaive 95 Axe of dismemberment, Bolt pistol
Chaos Spawn 95 Hideous mutations
Chaos Spawn 95 Hideous mutations
Jakhals 65 Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade
Jakhals 65 Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade
Brazen Engines + Possessed Slaughterband 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
2nd place · record 4-0-1 · 58 players · 5 rounds · 15 Aug
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Daemon Prince of Khorne + Violent Demise 210 Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Other Units
Khorne Lord of Skulls 505 Gorestorm cannon, Great cleaver of Khorne, Skullhurler
Defiler 310 Ectoplasma destructor, Electroscourge, Excruciator cannon, Heavy baleflamer, Shearing claws
Defiler 270 Ectoplasma destructor, Electroscourge, Excruciator cannon, Heavy baleflamer, Shearing claws
Maulerfiend + Talons of Butchery 160 Lasher tendrils, Maulerfiend fists
Maulerfiend + Talons of Butchery 160 Lasher tendrils, Maulerfiend fists
Eightbound 125 Chainblades
Slaughterbound + Frenzied Focus 120 Lacerator and daemonic claw
Goremongers 75 Autopistol, Chainblade, Close combat weapon
Jakhals 65 Autopistol, Chainblades, Paired manglers
August balance & rules update (26 August)
47.4%win rate, rank 21 of 27 688 games 190 lists from 185 players X to X-2 finishes 1.17x entry share going first 0.5 points better
World Eaters won 49.5% of 1,795 games in the 28 days before and 48.6% of 2,394 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.6% to 4.1%.
One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Berzerker Warband
(42% to 54%).
One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Lord Invocatus (21% to 35%).
One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Battle-lust (20%
to 31%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
16%
20-40
27%
40-60
38%
60-80
16%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
60%
Take and Hold
11%
Priority Assets
10%
Reconnaissance
10%
Disruption
9%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Berzerker Warband
47%
Brazen Engines
29%
Possessed Slaughterband
21%
Khorne Daemonkin
17%
Vessels of Wrath
16%
Butchers of Khorne
9%
Goretrack Onslaught
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Jakhals
91%
Exalted Eightbound
81%
Slaughterbound
72%
Eightbound
68%
Khorne Berzerkers
64%
Khârn The Betrayer
57%
Forgefiend
52%
Daemon Prince of Khorne
48%
Chaos Rhino
47%
Angron
44%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Necrons
Orks
Space Marines
Adeptus Custodes
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Lord Invocatus
21%
35%
+14
+5.4
Detachment
Berzerker Warband
42%
54%
+12
+4.0
Enhancement
Battle-lust
20%
31%
+11
+4.5
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Berzerker Warband 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 8-1 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
Won an event of 100+ players
15 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Angron 330 Samni’arius and Spinegrinder
Battleline
Khorne Berzerkers 160 Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers 160 Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 75 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Forgefiend 145 Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Forgefiend 145 Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Exalted Eightbound 130 Chainblades
Exalted Eightbound 130 Chainblades
Eightbound 125 Chainblades
Eightbound 125 Chainblades
Slaughterbound + Battle-lust 120 Lacerator and daemonic claw
Khârn The Betrayer 115
Lord Invocatus 100 Bladed horn, Bolt pistol, Coward’s Bane
Goremongers 75 Autopistol, Chainblade, Close combat weapon
Jakhals 65 Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade
Brazen Engines + Possessed Slaughterband 1,995 pts
Disruption
19th place · record 8-1 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
21 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Daemon Prince of Khorne 200 Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Other Units
Defiler 300 Excruciator cannon, Hades battle cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Forgefiend 145 Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Forgefiend 145 Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Eightbound 140 Chainblades
Maulerfiend 140 Lasher tendrils, Maulerfiend fists
Exalted Eightbound 130 Chainblades
Exalted Eightbound 130 Chainblades
Eightbound 125 Chainblades
Eightbound 125 Chainblades
Slaughterbound + Frenzied Focus 120 Lacerator and daemonic claw
Slaughterbound + Frenzied Focus 100 Lacerator and daemonic claw
Jakhals 65 Autopistol, Chainblades, Paired manglers
Jakhals 65 Autopistol, Chainblades, Paired manglers
Jakhals 65 Autopistol, Chainblades, Paired manglers
Orks codex (5 September)
49.1%win rate, rank 15 of 28 2,688 games 771 lists from 660 players X to X-2 finishes 1.03x entry share going first 0.1 points better
World Eaters won 49.9% of 2,019 games in the 28 days before and 49.1% of 2,688 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.7% to 4.1%.
One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Berzerker Warband
(44% to 59%).
3 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Lord Invocatus (25% to 40%),
Daemon Prince of Khorne (51% to 39%) and Eightbound (66% to 77%).
One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Battle-lust (21%
to 36%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
2%
0-20
15%
20-40
33%
40-60
33%
60-80
17%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
72%
Take and Hold
8%
Priority Assets
8%
Disruption
7%
Reconnaissance
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Berzerker Warband
59%
Brazen Engines
23%
Possessed Slaughterband
17%
Vessels of Wrath
12%
Khorne Daemonkin
12%
Butchers of Khorne
7%
Goretrack Onslaught
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Jakhals
92%
Exalted Eightbound
80%
Eightbound
77%
Slaughterbound
75%
Khorne Berzerkers
70%
Forgefiend
63%
Khârn The Betrayer
61%
Chaos Rhino
55%
Angron
53%
Goremongers
45%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Grey Knights
Space Marines
Aeldari
Astra Militarum
Death Guard
Adeptus Custodes
Chaos Daemons
Adepta Sororitas
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Enhancement
Battle-lust
21%
36%
+15
+6.1
Detachment
Berzerker Warband
44%
59%
+15
+5.5
Unit
Lord Invocatus
25%
40%
+15
+5.7
Unit
Daemon Prince of Khorne
51%
39%
-12
-4.4
Unit
Eightbound
66%
77%
+10
+4.3
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Berzerker Warband 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 6-0 · 52 players · 6 rounds · 19 Sep
26 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Angron 330 Samni’arius and Spinegrinder
Battleline
Khorne Berzerkers 160 Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers 160 Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers 160 Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 75 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Chaos Rhino 75 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Eightbound 125 Chainblades
Eightbound 125 Chainblades
Khârn The Betrayer 115
Lord Invocatus 100 Bladed horn, Bolt pistol, Coward’s Bane
Master of Executions + Berzerker Glaive 95 Axe of dismemberment, Bolt pistol
Chaos Spawn 95 Hideous mutations
Chaos Spawn 95 Hideous mutations
Chaos Spawn 95 Hideous mutations
Jakhals 65 Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade
Jakhals 65 Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade
Jakhals 65 Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade
Berzerker Warband 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
96th place · record 3-0 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
196 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Angron 330 Samni’arius and Spinegrinder
Battleline
Khorne Berzerkers 160 Chainblade, Icon of Khorne, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers 160 Chainblade, Icon of Khorne, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Khornate eviscerator
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 75 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Forgefiend 145 Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Forgefiend 145 Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Exalted Eightbound 130 Chainblades
Exalted Eightbound 130 Chainblades
Eightbound 125 Chainblades
Eightbound 125 Chainblades
Slaughterbound + Battle-lust 120 Lacerator and daemonic claw
Khârn The Betrayer 115
Lord Invocatus 100 Bladed horn, Bolt pistol, Coward’s Bane
Goremongers 75 Autopistol, Chainblade, Close combat weapon
Jakhals 65 Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)
54.3%win rate, rank 2 of 27 1,386 games 411 lists from 390 players X to X-2 finishes 1.00x entry share going first 0.1 points better
World Eaters won 49.1% of 2,688 games in the 28 days before and 54.5% of 3,134 in the
23 days after. Its share of games went from 4.1% to 6.3%. The change of +5.4 points is
clear.
4 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Vessels of Wrath (12%
to 46%), Berzerker Warband (59% to 71%) and Possessed Slaughterband (17% to 8%).
8 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Angron (53% to 82%), Chaos
Spawn (33% to 16%) and Chaos Rhino (55% to 70%).
2 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Berzerker Glaive
(25% to 45%) and Gore-stained Veterans (4% to 12%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
12%
20-40
38%
40-60
31%
60-80
17%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
66%
Take and Hold
13%
Priority Assets
11%
Disruption
6%
Reconnaissance
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Berzerker Warband
69%
Vessels of Wrath
43%
Brazen Engines
27%
Butchers of Khorne
14%
Possessed Slaughterband
10%
Khorne Daemonkin
9%
Goretrack Onslaught
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Jakhals
91%
Khorne Berzerkers
82%
Angron
80%
Exalted Eightbound
78%
Slaughterbound
76%
Eightbound
71%
Khârn The Betrayer
70%
Chaos Rhino
68%
Forgefiend
59%
Goremongers
40%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Chaos Space Marines
Imperial Knights
Chaos Daemons
T'au Empire
Dark Angels
Leagues of Votann
Orks
Death Guard
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Vessels of Wrath
12%
46%
+34
+15.4
Unit
Angron
53%
82%
+29
+12.7
Enhancement
Berzerker Glaive
25%
45%
+20
+8.4
Unit
Chaos Spawn
33%
16%
-18
-8.6
Unit
Chaos Rhino
55%
70%
+14
+6.1
Unit
Khorne Berzerkers
70%
84%
+14
+7.0
Unit
Lord Invocatus
40%
28%
-12
-5.3
Unit
Master of Executions
32%
44%
+12
+5.1
All 14 shifts: 6 more rows
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Berzerker Warband
59%
71%
+11
+4.9
Unit
Khârn The Betrayer
61%
72%
+11
+4.7
Unit
Lord on Juggernaut
22%
32%
+10
+4.5
Detachment
Possessed Slaughterband
17%
8%
-9
-6.0
Detachment
Butchers of Khorne
7%
16%
+9
+5.7
Enhancement
Gore-stained Veterans
4%
12%
+8
+6.1
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Berzerker Warband + Vessels of Wrath 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
2nd place · record 7-1 · 131 players · 8 rounds · 9 Oct
11 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Angron 330 Samni’arius and Spinegrinder
Battleline
Khorne Berzerkers 330 Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers 330 Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers 330 Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers 170 Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 75 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Khârn The Betrayer 115
Lord on Juggernaut + Battle-lust 115 Bladed horn, Exalted chainblade, Plasma pistol
Master of Executions + Favoured of Khorne 80 Axe of dismemberment, Bolt pistol
Jakhals 65 Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade
Master of Executions + Favoured of Khorne 60 Axe of dismemberment, Bolt pistol
Berzerker Warband + Vessels of Wrath 1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 30 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
126 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Angron 330 Samni’arius and Spinegrinder
Slaughterbound + Berzerker Glaive 90 Lacerator and daemonic claw
Slaughterbound + Berzerker Glaive 90 Lacerator and daemonic claw
Battleline
Khorne Berzerkers 170 Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 75 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Forgefiend 145 Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Forgefiend 145 Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Exalted Eightbound 130 Chainblades
Exalted Eightbound 130 Chainblades
Slaughterbound + Berzerker Glaive 125 Lacerator and daemonic claw
Eightbound 125 Chainblades
Eightbound 125 Chainblades
Khârn The Betrayer 115
Goremongers 70 Autopistol, Chainblade, Close combat weapon
Jakhals 65 Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade
Jakhals 65 Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)
54.6%win rate, rank 3 of 27 1,748 games 524 lists from 505 players X to X-2 finishes 1.25x entry share going first 0.1 points worse
World Eaters won 51.6% of 2,902 games in the 28 days before and 54.6% of 1,748 in the
9 days after. Its share of games went from 4.9% to 6.5%.
2 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Vessels of Wrath (27%
to 49%) and Butchers of Khorne (9% to 18%).
4 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Angron (68% to 83%), Master
of Executions (34% to 47%) and Forgefiend (62% to 50%).
One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Berzerker Glaive
(33% to 45%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
12%
20-40
30%
40-60
31%
60-80
25%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
64%
Take and Hold
15%
Priority Assets
12%
Disruption
7%
Reconnaissance
3%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Berzerker Warband
72%
Vessels of Wrath
49%
Brazen Engines
22%
Butchers of Khorne
18%
Goretrack Onslaught
9%
Khorne Daemonkin
8%
Possessed Slaughterband
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Jakhals
91%
Khorne Berzerkers
86%
Angron
83%
Exalted Eightbound
77%
Slaughterbound
76%
Khârn The Betrayer
74%
Chaos Rhino
71%
Eightbound
66%
Forgefiend
50%
Master of Executions
47%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Astra Militarum
Drukhari
Aeldari
Space Wolves
Adeptus Custodes
Grey Knights
Dark Angels
Leagues of Votann
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Vessels of Wrath
27%
49%
+22
+8.4
Unit
Angron
68%
83%
+15
+6.0
Unit
Master of Executions
34%
47%
+13
+4.8
Enhancement
Berzerker Glaive
33%
45%
+13
+4.7
Unit
Forgefiend
62%
50%
-11
-4.1
Unit
Chaos Spawn
24%
14%
-11
-4.8
Detachment
Butchers of Khorne
9%
18%
+9
+4.9
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Berzerker Warband 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 4-1 · 241 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
Won an event of 100+ players
92 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Khorne Berzerkers 170 Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers 170 Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers 170 Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 75 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter
Other Units
Angron 330 Samni’arius and Spinegrinder
Forgefiend 140 Forgefiend jaws, Hades autocannon
Forgefiend 140 Forgefiend jaws, Hades autocannon
Exalted Eightbound 130 Chainblades
Eightbound 125 Chainblades
Khârn The Betrayer 115
Slaughterbound 110 Lacerator and daemonic claw
Lord Invocatus 100 Bladed horn, Bolt pistol, Coward’s Bane
Lord on Juggernaut 95 Bladed horn, Exalted chainblade, Plasma pistol
Jakhals 65 Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Mauler hainblade, Icon of Khorne
Jakhals 65 Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Mauler hainblade, Icon of Khorne
Berzerker Warband + Vessels of Wrath 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 43 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
134 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Angron 330 Samni’arius and Spinegrinder
Lord Invocatus 100 Bladed horn, Bolt pistol, Coward’s Bane
Slaughterbound + Battle-lust 90 Lacerator and daemonic claw
Slaughterbound + Battle-lust 90 Lacerator and daemonic claw
Battleline
Khorne Berzerkers 170 Chainblade, Icon of Khorne, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers 170 Chainblade, Icon of Khorne, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Khornate eviscerator
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 75 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Chaos Rhino 75 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Exalted Eightbound 130 Chainblades
Eightbound 125 Chainblades
Eightbound 125 Chainblades
Khârn The Betrayer 115
Slaughterbound + Battle-lust 110 Lacerator and daemonic claw
Master of Executions + Berzerker Glaive 95 Axe of dismemberment, Bolt pistol
Goremongers 70 Autopistol, Chainblade, Close combat weapon
Jakhals 65 Autopistol, Chainblades, Paired manglers, Mauler chainblade
Jakhals 65 Autopistol, Chainblades, Paired manglers, Mauler chainblade
Tyranids
Tyranids Whole edition Combinations Matchups Detachments Units Force Disposition Enhancements Pick-rate shifts Over time Results brackets Lists Team events Milestones 22 Jul 26 Aug 5 Sep 3 Oct 17 Oct
Whole edition
49.8%win rate, rank 14 of 28 13,907 games 4,058 lists from 2,452 players top-10% finishes 0.87x entry share going first 1.2 points better 49.7% adjusted for player skill
The pairing Assimilation Swarm + Talons of the Norn Queen has a win rate
6.6 points above the faction average (729 lists). Against Imperial Knights it wins 41.3%
over 569 games, 10.0 points below what its strength predicts. Tyranids won 49.8% of 13,907
games, rank 14 of 28. Subterranean Assault went from 15% to 29% of the faction's lists
over the last 28 days compared with the 28 before. Assimilation Swarm lists have a win
rate 4.4 points above the faction average and make up 20% of the faction's lists.
Combinations
12 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common
is Assimilation Swarm + Talons of the Norn Queen (729 lists, 18%). Best: Assimilation Swarm
+ Talons of the Norn Queen (6.6 points above the faction average).
Combination
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Assimilation Swarm + Talons of the Norn Queen
729
18%
+6.6 ± 0.9
+7.6
Ambush Predators + Vanguard Onslaught
609
15%
-0.8 ± 1.1
-0.7
Crusher Stampede + Talons of the Norn Queen
321
8%
-2.9 ± 1.6
-1.8
Synaptic Nexus + Talons of the Norn Queen
219
5%
-3.6 ± 1.8
-1.9
Talons of the Norn Queen + Vanguard Onslaught
67
2%
-1.7 ± 3.1
-0.6
Ambush Predators + Synaptic Nexus
64
2%
-0.4 ± 3.5
-0.1
Ambush Predators + Crusher Stampede
63
2%
+0.1 ± 3.5
+0.0
Vanguard Onslaught + Warrior Bioform Onslaught
62
2%
+1.1 ± 3.3
+0.3
Matchups
Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Blood Angels (61.3% over
398 games) and the worst is Imperial Knights (41.3% over 569). Against what the faction's
strength predicts, Imperial Knights (10.0 points below the prediction) deviates.
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Blood Angels
398
61.3%
56.4% to 66.0%
53.9%
+7.4
favourable
Astra Militarum
476
61.0%
56.6% to 65.3%
59.4%
+1.7
favourable
Genestealer Cult
197
59.6%
52.7% to 66.2%
52.3%
+7.3
favourable
Chaos Space Marines
623
57.3%
53.4% to 61.1%
52.7%
+4.6
favourable
Drukhari
340
54.6%
49.2% to 59.8%
53.0%
+1.6
Space Marines
1,087
53.2%
50.2% to 56.1%
51.2%
+1.9
favourable
Orks
971
44.9%
41.8% to 48.0%
44.6%
+0.3
unfavourable
Dark Angels
652
44.3%
40.6% to 48.2%
46.5%
-2.2
unfavourable
Adeptus Custodes
928
42.1%
38.9% to 45.3%
45.7%
-3.6
unfavourable
Chaos Daemons
535
41.7%
37.6% to 45.9%
45.2%
-3.5
unfavourable
Imperial Knights
569
41.3%
37.3% to 45.4%
51.3%
-10.0
unfavourable, below model
All 27 matchups: 16 more rows
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Black Templars
221
54.5%
47.9% to 61.0%
54.6%
-0.1
Aeldari
416
53.8%
49.0% to 58.6%
54.3%
-0.4
T'au Empire
716
53.6%
49.9% to 57.2%
48.1%
+5.4
Grey Knights
367
52.2%
47.1% to 57.2%
52.8%
-0.6
Adeptus Mechanicus
339
52.1%
46.8% to 57.3%
49.3%
+2.7
Space Wolves
392
51.5%
46.6% to 56.4%
50.8%
+0.7
Death Guard
571
51.4%
47.3% to 55.5%
51.7%
-0.3
Adepta Sororitas
320
51.2%
45.8% to 56.7%
49.6%
+1.7
Thousand Sons
477
49.4%
44.9% to 53.8%
49.5%
-0.1
World Eaters
614
49.2%
45.2% to 53.1%
50.0%
-0.8
Necrons
1,013
48.9%
45.8% to 52.0%
48.4%
+0.5
Deathwatch
83
48.8%
38.3% to 59.4%
46.1%
+2.7
Imperial Agents
56
48.2%
35.7% to 61.0%
56.2%
-8.0
Emperor's Children
650
48.1%
44.3% to 51.9%
48.5%
-0.5
Leagues of Votann
543
46.9%
42.7% to 51.1%
48.1%
-1.2
Chaos Knights
353
45.9%
40.8% to 51.1%
53.0%
-7.1
Detachments
10 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 6 of them account for 80% of picks. The most
played is Talons of the Norn Queen (36% of lists), and 57% of lists run more than one detachment.
2 detachments differ from the faction average. Best: Assimilation Swarm (4.4 points above
the faction average, 20% of lists).
Detachment
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
P1
P2
P3
P4
Talons of the Norn Queen
1,453
36%
+2.5 ± 0.6
+4.0
34%
40%
38%
30%
Vanguard Onslaught
843
21%
-0.9 ± 0.8
-1.1
22%
24%
22%
14%
Assimilation Swarm
819
20%
+4.4 ± 0.8
+5.6
17%
23%
23%
16%
Ambush Predators
789
19%
-0.6 ± 0.9
-0.8
18%
24%
20%
14%
Subterranean Assault
725
18%
-0.5 ± 0.9
-0.6
16%
13%
15%
31%
Invasion Fleet
660
16%
+1.1 ± 1.0
+1.1
18%
14%
16%
17%
Crusher Stampede
428
11%
-0.7 ± 1.3
-0.5
12%
12%
10%
10%
Synaptic Nexus
341
8%
-2.3 ± 1.4
-1.6
9%
10%
9%
5%
Warrior Bioform Onslaught
175
4%
-4.1 ± 2.0
-2.1
6%
4%
5%
2%
Unending Swarm
18
0%
-15.3 ± 6.3
-2.4
1%
0%
0%
1%
Units
A typical list contains 12 distinct units. 5 units appear in at least half of all lists
and 30 in at least 10%. The most common is Biovores (90% of lists). 7 datasheets appeared
in under 1% of lists: Harpy, Harridan, Hierophant, Hive Crone, Mucolid Spores, Spore Mines,
Sporocyst.
Of 45 units in 40 or more lists, 5 have a clear effect on results (5 positive, 0 negative).
Best: Hive Guard (4.5 points above comparable lists, 9% of lists), Tyranid Prime with Lash
Whip (2.4 points above comparable lists, 40% of lists), Hyperadapted Raveners (2.2 points
above comparable lists, 40% of lists) and Raveners (2.1 points above comparable lists,
37% of lists). Hive Guard is in under 10% of lists but has a win rate above the faction
average.
Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-20
-10
0
+10
+20
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Hierophant
Hive Guard
Raveners
Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-10
0
+10
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Assimilation Swarm
Most played units
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Biovores
3,657
90.1%
+1.0 ± 0.4
+2.4
Neurolictor
2,402
59.2%
+1.5 ± 0.5
+3.0
Neurotyrant
2,174
53.6%
+0.0 ± 0.5
+0.0
The Swarmlord
2,088
51.5%
+1.0 ± 0.5
+2.0
Zoanthropes
2,075
51.1%
+0.2 ± 0.5
+0.4
Norn Emissary
2,010
49.5%
-0.6 ± 0.6
-1.1
Hormagaunts
1,992
49.1%
+1.2 ± 0.5
+2.3
Maleceptor
1,919
47.3%
+1.2 ± 0.6
+2.2
Lictor
1,885
46.5%
+1.4 ± 0.6
+2.5
Von Ryan’s Leapers
1,861
45.9%
+1.4 ± 0.6
+2.5
Tyrannofex
1,745
43.0%
-0.5 ± 0.6
-0.9
Hyperadapted Raveners
1,642
40.5%
+2.2 ± 0.6
+3.7
Other units with a clear effect
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Hive Guard
361
8.9%
+4.5 ± 1.2
+3.8
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip
1,628
40.1%
+2.4 ± 0.6
+4.0
Raveners
1,496
36.9%
+2.1 ± 0.6
+3.4
The Red Terror
1,636
40.3%
+2.1 ± 0.6
+3.4
Force Disposition
Take and Hold has a win rate 2.3 points above the faction's other choices and Disruption
has a win rate 3.3 points below the faction's other choices.
Disposition
Share of games
Games
Win rate
Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Take and Hold
46%
5,509
52.1%
+2.3 ± 0.7
Disruption
22%
2,694
46.6%
-3.3 ± 1.0
Reconnaissance
22%
2,682
49.3%
-0.7 ± 1.0
Priority Assets
6%
665
52.3%
+2.3 ± 1.8
Purge the Foe
4%
490
43.4%
-6.2 ± 2.4
Enhancements
31 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Synaptoprescience (26%
of lists). 3 enhancements differ from the other enhancements in their detachment: Enraged
Reserves (19.3 points below the rest), Regenerating Monstrosity (11.2 points below the
rest) and Vanguard Intellect (5.4 points below the rest).
Enhancement
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Synaptoprescience
1,069
26%
+1.8 ± 0.7
+2.6
Encircling Horrors
503
12%
+0.5 ± 1.1
+0.5
Trygon Prime
459
11%
+0.2 ± 1.1
+0.2
Adaptive Biology
296
7%
+0.1 ± 1.5
+0.1
Neuronode
260
6%
-1.6 ± 1.6
-1.0
Tremor Senses
244
6%
-0.1 ± 1.5
-0.1
Destabilising Predation
233
6%
-3.7 ± 1.6
-2.4
Power of the Hive Mind
222
5%
-0.6 ± 1.7
-0.3
Vanguard Intellect
175
4%
-5.4 ± 1.6
-3.3
Regenerating Monstrosity
61
2%
-11.2 ± 2.8
-4.1
Enraged Reserves
27
1%
-19.3 ± 4.7
-4.1
Pick-rate shifts
Type
Name
First period
Prior 28 days
Last 28 days
Change vs first period (pp)
Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Unit
Neurotyrant
69%
46%
45%
-24
-1
Unit
Von Ryan’s Leapers
34%
51%
54%
+21
+4
Unit
The Red Terror
35%
42%
51%
+16
+9
Unit
The Swarmlord
42%
54%
58%
+16
+3
Detachment
Subterranean Assault
16%
15%
29%
+14
+14
Unit
Genestealers
40%
37%
27%
-13
-10
Unit
Lictor
53%
41%
40%
-13
-1
Unit
Trygon
15%
15%
27%
+12
+12
Unit
Deathleaper
31%
24%
20%
-12
-4
Unit
Broodlord
37%
35%
25%
-11
-9
Enhancement
Trygon Prime
9%
9%
20%
+11
+11
Unit
Hyperadapted Raveners
36%
42%
47%
+10
+4
Over time
Share of games per week (%)
5
6
5.1
5.4
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval
45
50
55
47.2
49.0
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Period
Lists
Share of all lists
Games
Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul
938
6.0%
3,175
50.0%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug
992
5.4%
3,426
49.4%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct
1,339
5.8%
4,747
50.5%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct
789
5.2%
2,559
49.1%
Around each milestone, 28 days before and after
Milestone
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul)
2,743 / 2,761
50.1% to 48.8%
-1.3
-1.0
6.1% to 5.4%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug)
2,664 / 3,393
49.5% to 49.3%
-0.2
-0.2
5.4% to 5.7%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep)
3,041 / 3,727
49.8% to 50.4%
+0.6
+0.5
5.6% to 5.7%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct)
3,727 / 2,559
50.4% to 49.1%
-1.3
-1.0
5.7% to 5.1%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data
3,248 / 1,334
50.8% to 48.7%
-2.1
-1.3
5.5% to 5.0%
Results brackets
385 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 28 won
X, 107 won X-1 and 250 won X-2, from 939 entries.
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
17%
20-40
36%
40-60
31%
60-80
14%
80-100
line = all factions
Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2
4.1%
X
5.0%
X-1
5.9%
X-2
dashed = share of entries, 5.5%
Bracket tables
Tier
Lists
Share of tier
Share of entries
Ratio
z
X
28
4.1%
5.5%
0.75x
-1.6
X-1
107
5.0%
5.5%
0.92x
-0.9
X-2
250
5.9%
5.5%
1.07x
+1.1
X to X-2
385
5.4%
5.5%
0.99x
-0.2
Share of games won
Players
Share of players
All players
0 to 20%
21
2.5%
4.1%
20 to 40%
143
17.2%
17.2%
40 to 60%
298
35.8%
32.2%
60 to 80%
258
31.0%
30.1%
80 to 100%
113
13.6%
16.4%
Each extra 2.4 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 3.7 points
lower; the average list has 11.8. Nothing clear turned up in milestone moves, results brackets
and terrain layout.
Representative lists
Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists
are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events
with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties,
and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.
Ambush Predators + Vanguard Onslaught 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 60 players · 5 rounds · 5 Sep
277 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Swarmlord 210 Bone sabres, Synaptic pulse
The Red Terror 130 Gaping maw, Scything talons
Deathleaper 80 Lictor claws and talons
Battleline
Hormagaunts 70 Hormagaunt talons
Other Units
Zoanthropes 190 Chitinous claws and teeth, Warp Blast
Hyperadapted Raveners 165 Prime claws and talons, Ravener heavy claws and talons, Venom bolt
Genestealers 140 Genestealers claws and talons
Genestealers 140 Genestealers claws and talons
Raveners 125 Ravener claws and talons
Von Ryan’s Leapers + Cryptophotaic Camouflage 105 Leaper’s talons
Neurolictor + Encircling Horrors 100 Piercing claws and talons
Neurolictor + Encircling Horrors 100 Piercing claws and talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip + Neuronode 95 Rending claw, Scything talons
Broodlord 80
Broodlord 80
Von Ryan’s Leapers + Cryptophotaic Camouflage 70 Leaper’s talons
Biovores 60 Chitin-barbed limbs, Spore Mine launcher
Lictor 60
Subterranean Assault 2,000 pts
Disruption
183rd place · record 3-0 · 198 players · 8 rounds · 28 Aug
4 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Swarmlord 210 Bone sabres, Synaptic pulse
Hyperadapted Raveners 165 Prime claws and talons, Ravener heavy claws and talons, Venom bolt
Trygon + Trygon Prime 160 Bio-electric pulse, Trygon scything talons
The Red Terror 130 Gaping maw, Scything talons
Deathleaper 80 Lictor claws and talons
Battleline
Gargoyles 80 Blinding venom, Fleshborer
Hormagaunts 70 Hormagaunt talons
Hormagaunts 70 Hormagaunt talons
Other Units
Zoanthropes 190 Chitinous claws and teeth, Warp Blast
Neurotyrant + Tremor Senses 150 Neurotyrant claws and lashes, Psychic scream
Raveners 125 Ravener claws and talons
Raveners 125 Ravener claws and talons
Screamer-killer 125
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 75 Lash whip, Rending claw, Scything talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 75 Lash whip, Rending claw, Scything talons
Biovores 60 Chitin-barbed limbs, Spore Mine launcher
Von Ryan’s Leapers 55 Leaper’s talons
Von Ryan’s Leapers 55 Leaper’s talons
Team events
49.7%win rate in team events 2,679 games 679 lists from 592 players -0.1 points against individual events going first 0.2 points better
Tyranids won 49.7% of 2,679 team event games, against 49.9% of 11,228 in individual
events: 0.1 points lower (not clear). It makes up 5.7% of team event games and 5.5% of
individual event games.
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Disruption
40%
Take and Hold
31%
Reconnaissance
21%
Priority Assets
6%
Purge the Foe
3%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments
share
win rate
Talons of the Norn Queen
32%
Vanguard Onslaught
25%
Subterranean Assault
24%
Ambush Predators
23%
Assimilation Swarm
18%
Invasion Fleet
10%
Synaptic Nexus
9%
Crusher Stampede
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups
win rate against
Astra Militarum
Genestealer Cult
Blood Angels
Chaos Space Marines
Chaos Knights
Adeptus Custodes
Imperial Knights
Chaos Daemons
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events.
Dashed: team events win rate.
Milestones
5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after,
with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.
July balance & rules update (22 July)
48.8%win rate, rank 14 of 28 2,761 games 786 lists from 710 players X to X-2 finishes 1.02x entry share going first 2.9 points better
Tyranids won 50.1% of 2,743 games in the 28 days before and 48.8% of 2,761 in the 28
days after. Its share of games went from 6.1% to 5.4%.
2 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Neurotyrant (69% to 56%)
and The Swarmlord (42% to 52%).
One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Synaptoprescience
(21% to 30%).
Nothing clear turned up in detachments.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
2%
0-20
20%
20-40
38%
40-60
29%
60-80
11%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
47%
Disruption
22%
Reconnaissance
20%
Priority Assets
6%
Purge the Foe
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Talons of the Norn Queen
41%
Ambush Predators
24%
Vanguard Onslaught
24%
Assimilation Swarm
23%
Invasion Fleet
14%
Subterranean Assault
13%
Crusher Stampede
12%
Synaptic Nexus
10%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Biovores
92%
Neurolictor
60%
Neurotyrant
56%
Norn Emissary
54%
The Swarmlord
52%
Lictor
52%
Zoanthropes
51%
Hormagaunts
49%
Von Ryan’s Leapers
45%
Maleceptor
42%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Chaos Space Marines
Astra Militarum
Space Marines
T'au Empire
Dark Angels
Chaos Daemons
Adepta Sororitas
Emperor's Children
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Neurotyrant
69%
56%
-12
-5.1
Unit
The Swarmlord
42%
52%
+10
+4.0
Enhancement
Synaptoprescience
21%
30%
+9
+4.2
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Assimilation Swarm + Talons of the Norn Queen 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 5-1 · 81 players · 6 rounds · 1 Aug
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
Norn Assimilator + Synaptoprescience 295
Norn Emissary + Destabilising Predation 290
Norn Emissary + Destabilising Predation 290
Norn Assimilator + Synaptoprescience 275
Norn Emissary + Destabilising Predation 270
Hive Tyrant + Instinctive Defense 210
Psychophage 110
3× Tyrant Guard 80
Biovores 60
Lictor 60
Lictor 60
Subterranean Assault 1,995 pts
Disruption
4th place · record 5-1 · 73 players · 6 rounds · 25 Jul
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Swarmlord 210 Bone sabres, Synaptic pulse
Hyperadapted Raveners 165 Prime claws and talons, Ravener heavy claws and talons, Venom bolt
Hyperadapted Raveners 165 Prime claws and talons, Ravener heavy claws and talons, Venom bolt
The Red Terror 130 Gaping maw, Scything talons
Battleline
Hormagaunts 70 Hormagaunt talons
Hormagaunts 70 Hormagaunt talons
Other Units
Hive Guard 160 Chitinous claws and teeth, Shockcannon
Tyranid Warriors With Melee Bio-weapons 150
Old One Eye 140
Raveners 125 Ravener claws and talons
Carnifexes 90 Bio-plasma, Carnifex crushing claws, Chitinous claws and teeth, Heavy venom cannon, Spine banks
Zoanthropes 90 Chitinous claws and teeth, Warp Blast
Zoanthropes 90 Chitinous claws and teeth, Warp Blast
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 75 Lash whip, Rending claw, Scything talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 75 Lash whip, Rending claw, Scything talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 75 Lash whip, Rending claw, Scything talons
Biovores 60 Chitin-barbed limbs, Spore Mine launcher
Von Ryan’s Leapers 55 Leaper’s talons
August balance & rules update (26 August)
50.6%win rate, rank 11 of 27 1,020 games 278 lists from 273 players X to X-2 finishes 0.96x entry share going first 4.3 points better
Tyranids won 49.5% of 2,664 games in the 28 days before and 49.3% of 3,393 in the 28
days after. Its share of games went from 5.4% to 5.7%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
4%
0-20
22%
20-40
35%
40-60
24%
60-80
16%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
47%
Disruption
26%
Reconnaissance
18%
Priority Assets
5%
Purge the Foe
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Talons of the Norn Queen
40%
Vanguard Onslaught
23%
Ambush Predators
22%
Assimilation Swarm
22%
Subterranean Assault
14%
Invasion Fleet
13%
Crusher Stampede
12%
Synaptic Nexus
11%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Biovores
88%
Neurolictor
61%
Neurotyrant
55%
The Swarmlord
52%
Hormagaunts
52%
Zoanthropes
51%
Norn Emissary
49%
Lictor
46%
Von Ryan’s Leapers
45%
Maleceptor
44%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Chaos Space Marines
Space Marines
Emperor's Children
Orks
Necrons
Chaos Daemons
Dark Angels
Imperial Knights
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Subterranean Assault 2,000 pts
Disruption
183rd place · record 3-0 · 198 players · 8 rounds · 28 Aug
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Swarmlord 210 Bone sabres, Synaptic pulse
Hyperadapted Raveners 165 Prime claws and talons, Ravener heavy claws and talons, Venom bolt
Trygon + Trygon Prime 160 Bio-electric pulse, Trygon scything talons
The Red Terror 130 Gaping maw, Scything talons
Deathleaper 80 Lictor claws and talons
Battleline
Gargoyles 80 Blinding venom, Fleshborer
Hormagaunts 70 Hormagaunt talons
Hormagaunts 70 Hormagaunt talons
Other Units
Zoanthropes 190 Chitinous claws and teeth, Warp Blast
Neurotyrant + Tremor Senses 150 Neurotyrant claws and lashes, Psychic scream
Raveners 125 Ravener claws and talons
Raveners 125 Ravener claws and talons
Screamer-killer 125
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 75 Lash whip, Rending claw, Scything talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 75 Lash whip, Rending claw, Scything talons
Biovores 60 Chitin-barbed limbs, Spore Mine launcher
Von Ryan’s Leapers 55 Leaper’s talons
Von Ryan’s Leapers 55 Leaper’s talons
Assimilation Swarm + Talons of the Norn Queen 1,990 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 4-1 · 99 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
6 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Red Terror 130 Gaping maw, Scything talons
Other Units
Norn Assimilator + Synaptoprescience 295 Monstrous scything talons, Toxinjector Harpoon
Norn Assimilator + Synaptoprescience 275 Monstrous scything talons, Toxinjector Harpoon
Norn Emissary + Destabilising Predation 270 Monstrous rending claws, Monstrous scything talons, Psychic Tendril
Hive Tyrant + Parasitic Biomorphology 220 Monstrous bonesword and lash whip, Monstrous scything talons
The Swarmlord 210 Bone sabres, Synaptic pulse
Tyrant Guard 160 Bone cleaver, lash whip and rending claws
Tyrant Guard 80 Bone cleaver, lash whip and rending claws
Neurolictor 80 Piercing claws and talons
Neurolictor 80 Piercing claws and talons
Pyrovores 65 Chitin-barbed limbs, Flamespurt
Pyrovores 65 Chitin-barbed limbs, Flamespurt
Biovores 60 Chitin-barbed limbs, Spore Mine launcher
Orks codex (5 September)
50.4%win rate, rank 10 of 28 3,727 games 1,061 lists from 913 players X to X-2 finishes 1.00x entry share going first 1.5 points better
Tyranids won 49.8% of 3,041 games in the 28 days before and 50.4% of 3,727 in the 28
days after. Its share of games went from 5.6% to 5.7%.
One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Lictor (50% to 41%).
Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
1%
0-20
18%
20-40
35%
40-60
29%
60-80
16%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
50%
Disruption
25%
Reconnaissance
18%
Purge the Foe
4%
Priority Assets
3%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Talons of the Norn Queen
37%
Assimilation Swarm
23%
Vanguard Onslaught
22%
Ambush Predators
20%
Invasion Fleet
17%
Subterranean Assault
16%
Crusher Stampede
9%
Synaptic Nexus
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Biovores
91%
Neurolictor
58%
The Swarmlord
54%
Hormagaunts
50%
Von Ryan’s Leapers
50%
Norn Emissary
48%
Zoanthropes
47%
Neurotyrant
45%
Tyrannofex
45%
Maleceptor
45%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Blood Angels
Astra Militarum
Drukhari
Genestealer Cult
Adepta Sororitas
Chaos Knights
Chaos Daemons
Adeptus Custodes
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Lictor
50%
41%
-10
-4.3
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Ambush Predators + Vanguard Onslaught 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 60 players · 5 rounds · 5 Sep
86 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Swarmlord 210 Bone sabres, Synaptic pulse
The Red Terror 130 Gaping maw, Scything talons
Deathleaper 80 Lictor claws and talons
Battleline
Hormagaunts 70 Hormagaunt talons
Other Units
Zoanthropes 190 Chitinous claws and teeth, Warp Blast
Hyperadapted Raveners 165 Prime claws and talons, Ravener heavy claws and talons, Venom bolt
Genestealers 140 Genestealers claws and talons
Genestealers 140 Genestealers claws and talons
Raveners 125 Ravener claws and talons
Von Ryan’s Leapers + Cryptophotaic Camouflage 105 Leaper’s talons
Neurolictor + Encircling Horrors 100 Piercing claws and talons
Neurolictor + Encircling Horrors 100 Piercing claws and talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip + Neuronode 95 Rending claw, Scything talons
Broodlord 80
Broodlord 80
Von Ryan’s Leapers + Cryptophotaic Camouflage 70 Leaper’s talons
Biovores 60 Chitin-barbed limbs, Spore Mine launcher
Lictor 60
Invasion Fleet 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 5-1 · 106 players · 6 rounds · 11 Sep
11 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Hive Tyrant 195 Monstrous bonesword and lash whip, Heavy venom cannon
Battleline
Hormagaunts 70 Hormagaunt talons
Hormagaunts 70 Hormagaunt talons
Other Units
Tyrannofex 190 Powerful limbs, Stinger salvoes, Rupture cannon
Tyrannofex 190 Powerful limbs, Stinger salvoes, Rupture cannon
Hyperadapted Raveners 165 Prime claws and talons, Ravener heavy claws and talons, Venom bolt
Hyperadapted Raveners 165 Prime claws and talons, Ravener heavy claws and talons, Venom bolt
Exocrine 145 Bio-plasmic cannon, Powerful limbs
Exocrine 135 Bio-plasmic cannon, Powerful limbs
Exocrine 135 Bio-plasmic cannon, Powerful limbs
Raveners 125 Ravener claws and talons
Raveners 125 Ravener claws and talons
Neurolictor 80 Piercing claws and talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 75 Lash whip, Rending claw, Scything talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 75 Lash whip, Rending claw, Scything talons
Biovores 60 Chitin-barbed limbs, Spore mine launcher
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)
49.6%win rate, rank 12 of 27 1,225 games 366 lists from 348 players X to X-2 finishes 1.00x entry share going first 3.1 points worse
Tyranids won 50.4% of 3,727 games in the 28 days before and 49.1% of 2,559 in the 23
days after. Its share of games went from 5.7% to 5.1%.
One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Subterranean Assault
(16% to 31%).
4 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Trygon (15% to 28%), Genestealers
(37% to 27%) and Maleceptor (45% to 54%).
One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Trygon Prime (9%
to 21%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
1%
0-20
8%
20-40
42%
40-60
39%
60-80
8%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
43%
Reconnaissance
27%
Disruption
20%
Priority Assets
5%
Purge the Foe
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Talons of the Norn Queen
31%
Subterranean Assault
28%
Assimilation Swarm
19%
Invasion Fleet
17%
Ambush Predators
14%
Vanguard Onslaught
13%
Crusher Stampede
10%
Synaptic Nexus
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Biovores
90%
The Swarmlord
56%
Neurolictor
54%
Zoanthropes
53%
Von Ryan’s Leapers
52%
Maleceptor
50%
Neurotyrant
47%
Hormagaunts
46%
The Red Terror
46%
Hyperadapted Raveners
45%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Chaos Space Marines
Astra Militarum
Emperor's Children
Necrons
Orks
Dark Angels
Imperial Knights
Chaos Daemons
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Subterranean Assault
16%
31%
+15
+7.7
Unit
Trygon
15%
28%
+13
+6.9
Enhancement
Trygon Prime
9%
21%
+12
+7.0
Unit
Genestealers
37%
27%
-10
-4.4
Unit
Maleceptor
45%
54%
+9
+4.0
Unit
Broodlord
34%
25%
-9
-4.2
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Subterranean Assault 2,000 pts
Disruption
Won the event · record 5-0 · 26 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
19 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Swarmlord 210 Bone sabres, Synaptic pulse
Trygon + Trygon Prime 155 Bio-electric pulse, Trygon scything talons
The Red Terror 120 Gaping maw, Scything talons
Battleline
Hormagaunts 70 Hormagaunt talons
Hormagaunts 70 Hormagaunt talons
Other Units
Zoanthropes 190 Chitinous claws and teeth, Warp Blast
Hyperadapted Raveners + Synaptic Strategy 180 Prime claws and talons, Ravener heavy claws and talons, Venom bolt
Maleceptor 180 Massive scything talons, Psychic overload
Maleceptor 180 Massive scything talons, Psychic overload
Raveners 125 Ravener claws and talons
Neurotyrant 120 Psychic scream
Neurolictor 80 Piercing claws and talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 75 Rending claw, Scything talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 75 Rending claw, Scything talons
Biovores 60 Chitin-barbed limbs, Spore Mine launcher
Von Ryan’s Leapers 55 Leaper’s talons
Von Ryan’s Leapers 55 Leaper’s talons
Invasion Fleet 1,990 pts
Priority Assets
3rd place · record 4-1 · 50 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Hive Tyrant + Adaptive Biology 220 Monstrous bonesword and lash whip, Monstrous scything talons
Hyperadapted Raveners 180 Perfectly Adapted, Prime claws and talons, Ravener heavy claws and talons, Venom bolt
The Red Terror 120 Gaping maw, Scything talons
Battleline
Hormagaunts 70 Hormagaunt talons
Hormagaunts 70 Hormagaunt talons
Hormagaunts 70 Hormagaunt talons
Other Units
Tyrannofex 190 Powerful limbs, Rupture cannon, Stinger salvoes, Acid spray
Maleceptor 180 Massive scything talons, Psychic overload
Maleceptor 180 Massive scything talons, Psychic overload
Tyrannofex 180 Powerful limbs, Rupture cannon, Stinger salvoes, Acid spray
Exocrine 135 Bio-plasmic cannon, Powerful limbs
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 75 Lash whip, Rending claw, Scything talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 75 Lash whip, Rending claw, Scything talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 75 Lash whip, Rending claw, Scything talons
Biovores 60 Chitin-barbed limbs, Spore mine launcher
Von Ryan’s Leapers 55
Von Ryan’s Leapers 55
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)
48.7%win rate, rank 15 of 27 1,334 games 423 lists from 409 players X to X-2 finishes 0.98x entry share going first 7.6 points better
Tyranids won 50.8% of 3,248 games in the 28 days before and 48.7% of 1,334 in the 9
days after. Its share of games went from 5.5% to 5.0%.
One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Subterranean Assault
(20% to 32%).
One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: The Red Terror (44% to 56%).
Nothing clear turned up in enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
4%
0-20
15%
20-40
30%
40-60
30%
60-80
20%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
38%
Reconnaissance
37%
Disruption
14%
Priority Assets
7%
Purge the Foe
3%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Subterranean Assault
32%
Talons of the Norn Queen
28%
Invasion Fleet
17%
Vanguard Onslaught
15%
Assimilation Swarm
14%
Ambush Predators
13%
Crusher Stampede
10%
Synaptic Nexus
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Biovores
93%
The Swarmlord
59%
Von Ryan’s Leapers
59%
Maleceptor
58%
The Red Terror
56%
Neurolictor
55%
Zoanthropes
54%
Hormagaunts
52%
Tyranid Prime with Lash
Whip
50%
Hyperadapted Raveners
49%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
T'au Empire
Emperor's Children
Chaos Space Marines
Necrons
World Eaters
Orks
Leagues of Votann
Adeptus Custodes
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Subterranean Assault
20%
32%
+12
+4.8
Unit
The Red Terror
44%
56%
+12
+4.1
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Subterranean Assault 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 35 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Swarmlord 210 Bone sabres, Synaptic pulse
Trygon + Trygon Prime 155 Bio-electric pulse, Trygon scything talons
The Red Terror 120 Gaping maw, Scything talons
Other Units
Maleceptor 180 Massive scything talons, Psychic overload
Maleceptor 180 Massive scything talons, Psychic overload
Tyrannofex 180 Acid spray, Powerful limbs, Stinger salvoes
Hyperadapted Raveners 165 Prime claws and talons, Ravener heavy claws and talons, Venom bolt
Tyranid Warriors With Melee Bio-weapons 150
Raveners 125 Ravener claws and talons
Haruspex 125 Grasping tongue, Ravenous maw, Shovelling claws
Raveners 125 Ravener claws and talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip + Synaptic Strategy 90 Lash whip, Rending claw, Scything talons
Neurolictor 80 Piercing claws and talons
Biovores 60 Chitin-barbed limbs, Spore Mine launcher
Von Ryan’s Leapers 55 Leaper’s talons
Invasion Fleet 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
2nd place · record 5-0 · 105 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Hive Tyrant + Adaptive Biology 220 Heavy venom cannon, Monstrous bonesword and lash whip
Hyperadapted Raveners + Perfectly Adapted 180 Prime claws and talons, Ravener heavy claws and talons, Venom bolt
Battleline
Hormagaunts 70 Hormagaunt talons
Hormagaunts 70 Hormagaunt talons
Other Units
Norn Emissary 250 Monstrous rending claws, Monstrous scything talons, Psychic Tendril
Maleceptor 190 Massive scything talons, Psychic overload
Maleceptor 180 Massive scything talons, Psychic overload
Maleceptor 180 Massive scything talons, Psychic overload
Tyrannofex 180 Acid spray, Powerful limbs, Stinger salvoes
Exocrine 135 Bio-plasmic cannon, Powerful limbs
Neurolictor 80 Piercing claws and talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 75 Rending claw, Scything talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 75 Rending claw, Scything talons
Biovores 60 Chitin-barbed limbs, Spore Mine launcher
Von Ryan’s Leapers 55 Leaper’s talons
Space Wolves
Space Wolves Whole edition Force Disposition Detachments Combinations Units Pick-rate shifts Matchups Over time Results brackets Enhancements Lists Team events Milestones 22 Jul 26 Aug 5 Sep 3 Oct 17 Oct
Whole edition
49.1%win rate, rank 15 of 28 6,520 games 1,868 lists from 1,160 players top-10% finishes 0.83x entry share going first 2.0 points better 48.7% adjusted for player skill
Champions of Fenris lists have a win rate 7.6 points below the faction
average and make up 7% of the faction's lists. The pairing Champions of Fenris + Saga of
the Beastslayer has a win rate 16.0 points below the faction average (34 lists). Space
Wolves won 49.1% of 6,520 games, rank 15 of 28. Legends of Saga and Song went from 72%
to 8% of the faction's lists over the last 28 days compared with the 28 before. Eradicator
Squad with Melta Rifles is in 4% of lists, and lists with it have a win rate 9.0 points
above comparable lists.
Force Disposition
Priority Assets has a win rate 8.3 points below the faction's other choices.
Disposition
Share of games
Games
Win rate
Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Take and Hold
68%
3,899
51.1%
+2.0 ± 0.8
Purge the Foe
17%
984
48.1%
-0.9 ± 1.7
Disruption
8%
454
42.5%
-6.5 ± 2.5
Priority Assets
5%
284
40.7%
-8.3 ± 2.7
Reconnaissance
2%
131
50.0%
n/a
Detachments
13 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 4 of them account for 80% of picks. The most
played is Saga of the Great Wolf (53% of lists), and 80% of lists run more than one detachment.
One detachment differs from the faction average. Weakest: Champions of Fenris (7.6 points
below the faction average, 7% of lists).
Detachment
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
P1
P2
P3
P4
Saga of the Great Wolf
997
53%
+1.3 ± 0.8
+1.6
44%
58%
56%
53%
Legends of Saga and Song
951
51%
+1.6 ± 0.8
+2.1
48%
70%
72%
5%
Saga of the Beastslayer
550
29%
+0.8 ± 1.1
+0.7
26%
23%
26%
43%
Veterans of the Fang
159
9%
-4.6 ± 2.1
-2.1
14%
10%
9%
1%
Assault Brethren
141
8%
+3.2 ± 2.0
+1.6
0%
0%
0%
32%
Stormlance Task Force
137
7%
+2.4 ± 2.2
+1.1
5%
2%
2%
22%
Champions of Fenris
132
7%
-7.6 ± 2.1
-3.6
8%
7%
7%
7%
Terminator Storm Force
62
3%
+0.4 ± 3.3
+0.1
0%
0%
0%
14%
Saga of the Hunter
49
3%
-9.2 ± 3.8
-2.4
3%
4%
3%
1%
Librarius Conclave
38
2%
+3.4 ± 4.1
+0.8
5%
2%
2%
0%
Bastion Task Force
27
1%
+6.0 ± 4.6
+1.3
2%
2%
2%
0%
Ironstorm Spearhead
21
1%
-11.8 ± 6.9
-1.7
2%
1%
1%
1%
Gladius Task Force
16
1%
-2.1 ± 6.2
-0.3
2%
1%
1%
0%
Combinations
14 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common
is Legends of Saga and Song + Saga of the Great Wolf (581 lists, 31%). Weakest: Champions
of Fenris + Saga of the Beastslayer (16.0 points below the faction average).
Combination
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Legends of Saga and Song + Saga of the Great Wolf
581
31%
+2.0 ± 1.1
+1.9
Legends of Saga and Song + Saga of the Beastslayer
247
13%
+1.9 ± 1.7
+1.1
Champions of Fenris + Saga of the Great Wolf
66
4%
-6.9 ± 3.0
-2.4
Saga of the Great Wolf + Veterans of the Fang
65
3%
-1.3 ± 3.3
-0.4
Assault Brethren + Saga of the Beastslayer + Stormlance Task Force
58
3%
+8.6 ± 2.9
+2.9
Assault Brethren + Saga of the Great Wolf
50
3%
+3.3 ± 4.2
+0.8
Saga of the Beastslayer + Saga of the Great Wolf
46
2%
-1.6 ± 4.2
-0.4
Saga of the Beastslayer + Veterans of the Fang
43
2%
-11.1 ± 4.2
-2.6
Champions of Fenris + Saga of the Beastslayer
34
2%
-16.0 ± 4.3
-3.8
Units
A typical list contains 11 distinct units. 5 units appear in at least half of all lists
and 28 in at least 10%. The most common is Logan Grimnar (86% of lists).
Of 64 units in 40 or more lists, 4 have a clear effect on results (4 positive, 0 negative).
Best: Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles (9.0 points above comparable lists, 4% of lists),
Impulsor (6.6 points above comparable lists, 9% of lists), Terminator Assault Squad (3.9
points above comparable lists, 20% of lists) and Scout Squad (2.7 points above comparable
lists, 37% of lists). Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles and Impulsor are in under 10%
of lists but have a win rate above the faction average.
Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-10
0
+10
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Company Heroes
Eradicator Squad with Me
Impulsor
Terminator Assault Squad
Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-10
0
+10
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Champions of Fenris
Most played units
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Logan Grimnar
1,597
85.5%
+0.7 ± 0.6
+1.2
Wolf Guard Terminators
1,544
82.7%
+0.0 ± 0.6
+0.0
Bjorn The Fell-handed
1,340
71.7%
+0.1 ± 0.7
+0.1
Arjac Rockfist
1,163
62.3%
+0.2 ± 0.7
+0.2
Wolf Guard Headtakers
1,062
56.9%
-0.5 ± 0.7
-0.7
Wolf Guard Battle Leader
921
49.3%
+0.2 ± 0.8
+0.2
Intercessor Squad
778
41.6%
+0.6 ± 0.8
+0.7
Thunderwolf Cavalry
698
37.4%
-0.8 ± 0.9
-0.8
Blood Claws
692
37.0%
-0.7 ± 0.9
-0.8
Scout Squad
689
36.9%
+2.7 ± 0.9
+3.2
Wulfen with Storm Shields
649
34.7%
-0.2 ± 0.9
-0.2
Ragnar Blackmane
629
33.7%
-0.1 ± 1.0
-0.1
Other units with a clear effect
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles
82
4.4%
+9.0 ± 2.8
+3.2
Impulsor
177
9.5%
+6.6 ± 1.8
+3.6
Terminator Assault Squad
379
20.3%
+3.9 ± 1.3
+3.1
Pick-rate shifts
Type
Name
First period
Prior 28 days
Last 28 days
Change vs first period (pp)
Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Detachment
Legends of Saga and Song
48%
72%
8%
-40
-64
Unit
Bjorn The Fell-handed
83%
88%
32%
-51
-55
Unit
Arjac Rockfist
60%
74%
35%
-25
-40
Enhancement
Fierce Example
17%
44%
5%
-12
-39
Unit
Intercessor Squad
49%
50%
17%
-32
-33
Unit
Wolf Guard Terminators
87%
92%
60%
-27
-32
Detachment
Assault Brethren
0%
0%
30%
+30
+30
Unit
Wolf Guard Headtakers
68%
63%
40%
-28
-23
Enhancement
Wolf-Touched
1%
0%
29%
+28
+28
Enhancement
Furious Assault
0%
0%
28%
+28
+28
Unit
Terminator Assault Squad
9%
19%
36%
+27
+17
Unit
Ancient In Terminator Armour
2%
5%
28%
+26
+23
Matchups
Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Astra Militarum (60.0% over
245 games) and the worst is Chaos Daemons (42.1% over 233).
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Astra Militarum
245
60.0%
53.8% to 65.9%
58.6%
+1.4
favourable
Grey Knights
184
55.7%
48.5% to 62.7%
51.9%
+3.8
Chaos Space Marines
309
55.0%
49.4% to 60.5%
51.9%
+3.1
Space Marines
565
54.6%
50.5% to 58.7%
50.4%
+4.2
favourable
Chaos Knights
169
53.8%
46.3% to 61.2%
52.2%
+1.7
Adeptus Custodes
414
44.9%
40.2% to 49.7%
44.9%
+0.1
unfavourable
Dark Angels
300
44.8%
39.3% to 50.5%
45.6%
-0.8
Orks
442
44.1%
39.6% to 48.8%
43.8%
+0.3
unfavourable
Deathwatch
49
42.9%
30.0% to 56.7%
45.3%
-2.5
Chaos Daemons
233
42.1%
35.9% to 48.5%
44.3%
-2.3
unfavourable
Imperial Agents
21
28.6%
13.8% to 50.0%
55.4%
-26.8
unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 16 more rows
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Aeldari
170
52.1%
44.6% to 59.4%
53.4%
-1.4
Genestealer Cult
88
51.7%
41.4% to 61.9%
51.5%
+0.2
Blood Angels
219
51.1%
44.6% to 57.7%
53.0%
-1.9
Adeptus Mechanicus
149
50.3%
42.4% to 58.3%
48.5%
+1.9
Leagues of Votann
191
50.3%
43.2% to 57.3%
47.2%
+3.0
Adepta Sororitas
151
50.0%
42.1% to 57.9%
48.7%
+1.3
Imperial Knights
256
49.2%
43.2% to 55.3%
50.5%
-1.2
Thousand Sons
199
48.7%
41.9% to 55.6%
48.7%
+0.1
World Eaters
292
48.6%
43.0% to 54.3%
49.1%
-0.5
Tyranids
392
48.5%
43.6% to 53.4%
49.2%
-0.7
Black Templars
96
48.4%
38.7% to 58.3%
53.8%
-5.3
Drukhari
157
47.5%
39.8% to 55.2%
52.1%
-4.7
Death Guard
266
47.4%
41.4% to 53.4%
50.9%
-3.5
Necrons
393
46.9%
42.1% to 51.9%
47.6%
-0.6
Emperor's Children
255
46.7%
40.6% to 52.8%
47.7%
-1.0
T'au Empire
315
45.9%
40.5% to 51.4%
47.3%
-1.4
Over time
Share of games per week (%)
2.5
3
3.5
3.5
2.6
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval
40
50
51.2
45.3
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Period
Lists
Share of all lists
Games
Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul
389
2.5%
1,334
47.5%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug
473
2.6%
1,616
50.6%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct
563
2.4%
2,076
48.2%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct
443
2.9%
1,494
50.2%
Around each milestone, 28 days before and after
Milestone
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul)
1,121 / 1,272
47.9% to 51.4%
+3.5
+1.7
2.5% to 2.5%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug)
1,261 / 1,509
49.8% to 48.7%
-1.1
-0.6
2.6% to 2.6%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep)
1,426 / 1,602
49.4% to 48.0%
-1.4
-0.8
2.6% to 2.5%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct)
1,602 / 1,494
48.0% to 50.2%
+2.2
+1.2
2.5% to 3.0%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data
1,507 / 841
49.3% to 49.7%
+0.4
+0.2
2.5% to 3.1%
Results brackets
206 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 20 won
X, 58 won X-1 and 128 won X-2, from 491 entries.
Share of players by share of games won
4%
0-20
15%
20-40
33%
40-60
32%
60-80
15%
80-100
line = all factions
Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2
2.9%
X
2.7%
X-1
3.0%
X-2
dashed = share of entries, 2.9%
Bracket tables
Tier
Lists
Share of tier
Share of entries
Ratio
z
X
20
2.9%
2.9%
1.02x
+0.1
X-1
58
2.7%
2.9%
0.95x
-0.4
X-2
128
3.0%
2.9%
1.05x
+0.5
X to X-2
206
2.9%
2.9%
1.02x
+0.2
Share of games won
Players
Share of players
All players
0 to 20%
16
3.7%
4.1%
20 to 40%
66
15.3%
17.2%
40 to 60%
144
33.3%
32.2%
60 to 80%
140
32.4%
30.1%
80 to 100%
66
15.3%
16.4%
Enhancements
19 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Fierce Example (28% of
lists).
Enhancement table
Enhancement
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Fierce Example
521
28%
+0.7 ± 1.0
+0.7
Skjald's Foretelling
333
18%
-0.2 ± 1.3
-0.2
Thirst for Glory
307
16%
+1.6 ± 1.3
+1.2
Grimnar's Mark
252
13%
+3.6 ± 1.5
+2.4
Chariots of the Storm
152
8%
-3.1 ± 2.1
-1.5
Wolf-Touched
141
8%
+4.5 ± 2.2
+2.1
Wolf-touched
141
8%
-0.7 ± 2.0
-0.4
Furious Assault
128
7%
+3.1 ± 2.3
+1.4
By terrain layout, Layout C (+5.1 points over 859 games) differs from
the faction average. Each extra 2.5 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 3.6 points
lower; the average list has 11.2. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength
model, milestone moves, enhancement effects and results brackets.
Representative lists
Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists
are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events
with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties,
and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.
Legends of Saga and Song + Saga of the Great Wolf 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 6-0 · 83 players · 6 rounds · 8 Aug
13 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Bjorn The Fell-handed 160
Other Units
Wolf Guard Terminators + Fierce Example 360 Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield
Wolf Guard Terminators + Fierce Example 360 Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield
Wolf Guard Terminators + Fierce Example 350 Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield
Land Raider Redeemer 250 Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon
Captain In Terminator Armour 105
Logan Grimnar 100 Axe Morkai, Storm bolter, Tyrnak and Fenrir
Arjac Rockfist 95 Foehammer
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 85
Outrider Squad 70 Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Twin bolt rifle
Scout Squad 65 Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Missile launcher, Scout sniper rifle
Saga of the Beastslayer 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 6-0 · 77 players · 6 rounds · 25 Sep
Show list
Characters
Bjorn The Fell-handed 160
Battleline
Blood Claws 270 Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol
Blood Claws 270 Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol
Grey Hunters 165 Bolt carbine, Bolt pistol, Power fist, Astartes chainsword
Blood Claws 135 Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol
Intercessor Squad 80 Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Other Units
Wolf Guard Terminators 175 Relic greataxe, Master-crafted power weapon, Storm Shield
Wulfen 170 Death Totem, Wulfen weapons
Wulfen 170 Death Totem, Wulfen weapons
Logan Grimnar 100 Axe Morkai, Storm bolter, Tyrnak and Fenrir
Ragnar Blackmane 90 Bolt Pistol, Frostfang
Wolf Guard Battle Leader + Helm of the Beastslayer 80 Master-crafted power weapon, Storm Shield
Ulrik The Slayer 70
Wolf Guard Battle Leader + Helm of the Beastslayer 65 Master-crafted power weapon, Storm Shield
Team events
48.8%win rate in team events 770 games 194 lists from 175 players -0.4 points against individual events going first 5.7 points better
Space Wolves won 48.8% of 770 team event games, against 49.2% of 5,750 in individual
events: 0.4 points lower (not clear). It makes up 1.6% of team event games and 2.8% of
individual event games.
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
59%
Disruption
18%
Purge the Foe
15%
Priority Assets
4%
Reconnaissance
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments
share
win rate
Legends of Saga and Song
45%
Saga of the Great Wolf
45%
Saga of the Beastslayer
27%
Stormlance Task Force
12%
Veterans of the Fang
9%
Assault Brethren
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups
win rate against
Death Guard
Astra Militarum
Thousand Sons
Chaos Daemons
World Eaters
Adepta Sororitas
Dark Angels
Emperor's Children
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events.
Dashed: team events win rate.
Milestones
5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after,
with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.
July balance & rules update (22 July)
51.4%win rate, rank 10 of 28 1,272 games 367 lists from 314 players X to X-2 finishes 1.12x entry share going first 4.6 points better
Space Wolves won 47.9% of 1,121 games in the 28 days before and 51.4% of 1,272 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.5% to 2.5%.
3 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Fierce Example (18%
to 41%), Thirst for Glory (9% to 26%) and Grimnar's Mark (10% to 24%).
Nothing clear turned up in detachments and units.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
5%
0-20
15%
20-40
29%
40-60
31%
60-80
20%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
69%
Purge the Foe
14%
Disruption
9%
Priority Assets
5%
Reconnaissance
3%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Legends of Saga and Song
69%
Saga of the Great Wolf
59%
Saga of the Beastslayer
22%
Veterans of the Fang
11%
Champions of Fenris
7%
Saga of the Hunter
4%
Librarius Conclave
3%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Wolf Guard Terminators
93%
Logan Grimnar
89%
Bjorn The Fell-handed
84%
Arjac Rockfist
76%
Wolf Guard Headtakers
58%
Intercessor Squad
50%
Wolf Guard Battle Leader
47%
Blood Claws
36%
Scout Squad
36%
Ragnar Blackmane
33%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Thousand Sons
Space Marines
World Eaters
Astra Militarum
Adeptus Custodes
Chaos Daemons
Dark Angels
Orks
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Enhancement
Fierce Example
18%
41%
+23
+6.5
Enhancement
Thirst for Glory
9%
26%
+17
+5.7
Enhancement
Grimnar's Mark
10%
24%
+14
+4.8
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Legends of Saga and Song + Saga of the Great Wolf 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 6-0 · 83 players · 6 rounds · 8 Aug
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Bjorn The Fell-handed 160
Other Units
Wolf Guard Terminators + Fierce Example 360 Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield
Wolf Guard Terminators + Fierce Example 360 Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield
Wolf Guard Terminators + Fierce Example 350 Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield
Land Raider Redeemer 250 Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon
Captain In Terminator Armour 105
Logan Grimnar 100 Axe Morkai, Storm bolter, Tyrnak and Fenrir
Arjac Rockfist 95 Foehammer
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 85
Outrider Squad 70 Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Twin bolt rifle
Scout Squad 65 Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Missile launcher, Scout sniper rifle
Legends of Saga and Song + Saga of the Great Wolf 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 6-0 · 73 players · 6 rounds · 25 Jul
19 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Bjorn The Fell-handed 160
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon + Chariots of the Storm 120 Paired combat blades
Other Units
Wolf Guard Terminators + Fierce Example 355 Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield, Storm bolter
Wolf Guard Terminators + Fierce Example 355 Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield, Storm bolter
Wolf Guard Terminators + Fierce Example 350 Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield, Storm bolter
Land Raider Redeemer 250 Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon
Infiltrator Squad 110 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Marksman bolt carbine, Helix Gauntlet, Infiltrator Comms Array
Captain In Terminator Armour 105
Logan Grimnar 100 Axe Morkai, Storm bolter, Tyrnak and Fenrir
Arjac Rockfist 95 Foehammer
August balance & rules update (26 August)
49.1%win rate, rank 13 of 27 474 games 124 lists from 122 players X to X-2 finishes 0.74x entry share going first 1.1 points better
Space Wolves won 49.8% of 1,261 games in the 28 days before and 48.7% of 1,509 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.6% to 2.6%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
63%
Purge the Foe
24%
Disruption
10%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Legends of Saga and Song
73%
Saga of the Great Wolf
53%
Saga of the Beastslayer
31%
Champions of Fenris
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Wolf Guard Terminators
89%
Bjorn The Fell-handed
86%
Logan Grimnar
85%
Arjac Rockfist
77%
Wolf Guard Headtakers
60%
Wolf Guard Battle Leader
56%
Intercessor Squad
48%
Blood Claws
44%
Ragnar Blackmane
38%
Scout Squad
34%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Legends of Saga and Song + Saga of the Beastslayer 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 6-0 · 64 players · 6 rounds · 29 Aug
Show list
Characters
Bjorn The Fell-handed 160
Techmarine 55 Forge bolter, Grav-pistol, Omnissian power axe, Servo-arm
Battleline
Blood Claws 135 Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol
Other Units
Wolf Guard Terminators + Thirst for Glory 350 Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield
Redemptor Dreadnought 205 Icarus rocket pod, Macro plasma incinerator, Onslaught gatling cannon, Redemptor fist, Twin storm bolter
Wulfen with Storm Shields 200 Stormfrag auto-launcher, Thunder hammer
Wolf Guard Terminators + Thirst for Glory 165 Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield
Venerable Dreadnought 125 Blizzard Shield, Fenrisian great axe, Heavy flamer
Venerable Dreadnought 125 Blizzard Shield, Fenrisian great axe, Heavy flamer
Thunderwolf Cavalry 115 Storm Shield, Teeth and Claws, Wolf Guard weapon
Logan Grimnar 100 Axe Morkai, Storm bolter, Tyrnak and Fenrir
Arjac Rockfist 95 Foehammer
Ragnar Blackmane 90 Bolt Pistol, Frostfang
Wolf Guard Battle Leader + Wolf-touched 80 Storm Shield, Thunder hammer
Legends of Saga and Song + Saga of the Great Wolf 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 3-0 · 40 players · 3 rounds · 29 Aug
Show list
Characters
Bjorn The Fell-handed 160
Battleline
Intercessor Squad 80 Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Close combat weapon
Other Units
Wolf Guard Terminators + Thirst for Glory 360 Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield
Wolf Guard Terminators + Thirst for Glory 360 Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield
Repulsor Executioner 240 Armoured hull, Heavy laser destroyer, Heavy onslaught gatling cannon, Icarus rocket pod, Ironhail heavy stubber ...
Wolf Guard Headtakers 170 Heavy bolt pistol, Paired master‑crafted power weapons
Venerable Dreadnought 125 Blizzard Shield, Fenrisian great axe, Heavy flamer
Infiltrator Squad 110 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Marksman bolt carbine, Helix Gauntlet, Infiltrator Comms Array
Logan Grimnar 100 Axe Morkai, Storm bolter, Tyrnak and Fenrir
Arjac Rockfist 95 Foehammer
Wolf Guard Battle Leader + Skjald's Foretelling 90 Storm Shield, Thunder hammer
Scout Squad 65 Bolt pistol, Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Fenrisian Wolves 45 Fenrisian Wolf, Teeth and claws
Orks codex (5 September)
48.0%win rate, rank 16 of 28 1,602 games 439 lists from 393 players X to X-2 finishes 1.03x entry share going first 2.8 points better
Space Wolves won 49.4% of 1,426 games in the 28 days before and 48.0% of 1,602 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.6% to 2.5%.
One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Grimnar's Mark
(24% to 13%).
Nothing clear turned up in detachments and units.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
1%
0-20
14%
20-40
37%
40-60
29%
60-80
19%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
75%
Purge the Foe
9%
Disruption
8%
Priority Assets
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Legends of Saga and Song
72%
Saga of the Great Wolf
57%
Saga of the Beastslayer
25%
Veterans of the Fang
10%
Champions of Fenris
7%
Saga of the Hunter
3%
Stormlance Task Force
2%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Wolf Guard Terminators
92%
Logan Grimnar
89%
Bjorn The Fell-handed
88%
Arjac Rockfist
75%
Wolf Guard Headtakers
63%
Wolf Guard Battle Leader
51%
Intercessor Squad
51%
Scout Squad
41%
Blood Claws
41%
Ragnar Blackmane
38%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Grey Knights
Astra Militarum
Chaos Space Marines
Adeptus Mechanicus
Emperor's Children
Chaos Knights
Chaos Daemons
Adeptus Custodes
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Enhancement
Grimnar's Mark
24%
13%
-11
-4.1
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Saga of the Beastslayer 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 6-0 · 77 players · 6 rounds · 25 Sep
Show list
Characters
Bjorn The Fell-handed 160
Battleline
Blood Claws 270 Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol
Blood Claws 270 Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol
Grey Hunters 165 Bolt carbine, Bolt pistol, Power fist, Astartes chainsword
Blood Claws 135 Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol
Intercessor Squad 80 Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Other Units
Wolf Guard Terminators 175 Relic greataxe, Master-crafted power weapon, Storm Shield
Wulfen 170 Death Totem, Wulfen weapons
Wulfen 170 Death Totem, Wulfen weapons
Logan Grimnar 100 Axe Morkai, Storm bolter, Tyrnak and Fenrir
Ragnar Blackmane 90 Bolt Pistol, Frostfang
Wolf Guard Battle Leader + Helm of the Beastslayer 80 Master-crafted power weapon, Storm Shield
Ulrik The Slayer 70
Wolf Guard Battle Leader + Helm of the Beastslayer 65 Master-crafted power weapon, Storm Shield
Space Wolves 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 6-1 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
Show list
Characters
Captain In Terminator Armour 110
Other Units
Terminator Assault Squad + Thirst for Glory 375 Storm Shield, Thunder hammer
Wolf Guard Terminators + Thirst for Glory 360 Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield
Land Raider Redeemer 260 Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon
Land Raider Redeemer 260 Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon
Wolf Guard Terminators + Thirst for Glory 185 Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield
logan grimnar (greiner fjall 100
Arjac Rockfist 95 Foehammer
Wolf Scouts 90 Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Combat blade, Haywire Mine, Plasma gun, Runic stave, Thunderclap, Teeth and claws
Wolf Scouts 90 Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Combat blade, Haywire Mine, Plasma gun, Runic stave, Thunderclap, Teeth and claws
Chaplain In Terminator Armour 75
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)
50.8%win rate, rank 11 of 27 653 games 193 lists from 189 players X to X-2 finishes 1.09x entry share going first 6.0 points worse
Space Wolves won 48.0% of 1,602 games in the 28 days before and 50.2% of 1,494 in the
23 days after. Its share of games went from 2.5% to 3.0%.
6 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Legends of Saga and
Song (72% to 5%), Assault Brethren (0% to 32%) and Stormlance Task Force (2% to 22%).
22 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Bjorn The Fell-handed (88%
to 30%), Arjac Rockfist (75% to 32%) and Intercessor Squad (51% to 15%).
7 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Fierce Example (45%
to 3%), Wolf-Touched (0% to 30%) and Furious Assault (0% to 29%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
6%
0-20
14%
20-40
28%
40-60
36%
60-80
17%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
67%
Purge the Foe
20%
Priority Assets
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Saga of the Great Wolf
56%
Saga of the Beastslayer
40%
Stormlance Task Force
16%
Legends of Saga and Song
11%
Champions of Fenris
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Logan Grimnar
81%
Wolf Guard Terminators
62%
Thunderwolf Cavalry
47%
Wolf Guard Battle Leader
45%
Grey Hunters
42%
Wolf Guard Headtakers
39%
Arjac Rockfist
39%
Wulfen with Storm
Shields
36%
Bjorn The Fell-handed
33%
Terminator Assault Squad
33%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Space Marines
Dark Angels
Orks
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Legends of Saga and Song
72%
5%
-67
-20.6
Unit
Bjorn The Fell-handed
88%
30%
-58
-17.5
Unit
Arjac Rockfist
75%
32%
-43
-12.7
Enhancement
Fierce Example
45%
3%
-42
-14.5
Unit
Intercessor Squad
51%
15%
-35
-11.2
Unit
Wolf Guard Terminators
92%
58%
-34
-11.6
Detachment
Assault Brethren
0%
32%
+32
+12.9
Enhancement
Wolf-Touched
0%
30%
+30
+12.2
All 35 shifts: 27 more rows
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Enhancement
Furious Assault
0%
29%
+29
+12.2
Enhancement
Imperium's Sword
0%
25%
+25
+11.3
Enhancement
Thirst for Glory
26%
1%
-25
-11.0
Unit
Ancient In Terminator Armour
5%
29%
+24
+9.5
Unit
Wolf Guard Headtakers
63%
39%
-24
-7.1
Unit
Grey Hunters
18%
42%
+24
+7.7
Unit
Thunderwolf Cavalry
31%
53%
+22
+6.6
Detachment
Stormlance Task Force
2%
22%
+20
+9.1
Unit
Land Raider Redeemer
27%
8%
-19
-7.3
Unit
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles
0%
19%
+19
+9.5
Unit
Ragnar Blackmane
38%
20%
-18
-5.9
Unit
Terminator Assault Squad
19%
37%
+18
+5.9
Detachment
Saga of the Beastslayer
25%
43%
+18
+5.6
Unit
Blood Claws
41%
24%
-17
-5.3
Unit
Outrider Squad
3%
19%
+16
+7.6
Unit
Impulsor
7%
23%
+15
+6.4
Detachment
Terminator Storm Force
0%
14%
+14
+8.1
Unit
Captain on Bike
0%
14%
+14
+8.1
Unit
Bladeguard Veteran Squad
3%
16%
+14
+6.9
Unit
Chaplain On Bike
0%
14%
+13
+7.7
Unit
Terminator Squad
5%
17%
+12
+5.8
Enhancement
Champion of the First Company
0%
11%
+11
+7.2
Enhancement
Grimnar's Mark
13%
4%
-10
-5.1
Unit
Iron Priest
15%
5%
-9
-4.6
Unit
Infiltrator Squad
13%
3%
-9
-5.0
Unit
Bladeguard Ancient
0%
9%
+9
+6.3
Detachment
Veterans of the Fang
10%
1%
-9
-5.9
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Saga of the Beastslayer + Stormlance Task Force 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 30 players · 5 rounds · 3 Oct
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor 70 Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Impulsor 70 Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Other Units
Thunderwolf Cavalry 260 Boltgun, Storm Shield, Teeth and Claws, Wolf Guard Weapon
Thunderwolf Cavalry 260 Boltgun, Storm Shield, Teeth and Claws, Wolf Guard Weapon
Wulfen with Storm Shields 250 Death Totem, Stormfrag Auto-launcher, Thunder Hammer
Terminator Assault Squad + Furious Assault 205 Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer
Logan Grimnar 150 Axe Morkai, Storm Bolter, Tyrnak and Fenrir
Captain on Bike + Wolf-Touched 125 Plasma Pistol, Thunder Hammer, Twin Bolt Rifle
Company Heroes 125 Master-crafted Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Combat Knife, Master-crafted Bolt Rifle, Master-crafted Heavy Bolter
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 100
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 100
Chaplain On Bike 95
Outrider Squad 80 Chainsword, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Twin Bolt Rifle, Thunder Hammer
Scout Squad 65 Bolt Pistol, Combat Knife, Shotgun, Heavy Bolter, Sniper Rifle
Fenrisian Wolves 45 Fenrisian Wolf, Teeth and Claws
Saga of the Beastslayer + Stormlance Task Force 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
4th place · record 5-1 · 42 players · 6 rounds · 10 Oct
Show list
Characters
Bjorn The Fell-handed 160
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon + Imperium's Sword 105 Paired Combat Blades
Battleline
Intercessor Squad 85 Bolt Pistol, Bolt Rifle, Grenade Launcher, Knives and Fists, Power Fist
Other Units
Wolf Guard Terminators + Furious Assault 410 Relic Greataxe, Assault Cannon, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Power Fist, Storm Shield
Thunderwolf Cavalry + Supercharged Engines 290 Boltgun, Storm Shield, Teeth and Claws, Wolf Guard Weapon
Thunderwolf Cavalry + Supercharged Engines 270 Boltgun, Storm Shield, Teeth and Claws, Wolf Guard Weapon
Thunderwolf Cavalry + Supercharged Engines 270 Boltgun, Storm Shield, Teeth and Claws, Wolf Guard Weapon
Wolf Guard Headtakers 170 Heavy Bolt Pistol, Paired Master-crafted Power Weapons
Logan Grimnar 150 Axe Morkai, Storm Bolter, Tyrnak and Fenrir
Wolf Priest + Wolf-Touched 90 Absolvor Bolt Pistol, Crozius Arcanum
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)
49.7%win rate, rank 12 of 27 841 games 250 lists from 239 players X to X-2 finishes 1.05x entry share going first 0.2 points better
Space Wolves won 49.3% of 1,507 games in the 28 days before and 49.7% of 841 in the
9 days after. Its share of games went from 2.5% to 3.1%.
4 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Assault Brethren (1%
to 54%), Legends of Saga and Song (46% to 0%) and Terminator Storm Force (2% to 22%).
13 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Bjorn The Fell-handed (64%
to 27%), Arjac Rockfist (58% to 27%) and Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles (2% to 29%).
5 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Fierce Example (30%
to 0%), Furious Assault (10% to 35%) and Imperium's Sword (8% to 32%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
7%
20-40
38%
40-60
33%
60-80
19%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
67%
Purge the Foe
23%
Reconnaissance
5%
Priority Assets
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Assault Brethren
54%
Saga of the Great Wolf
52%
Saga of the Beastslayer
45%
Stormlance Task Force
26%
Terminator Storm Force
22%
Champions of Fenris
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Logan Grimnar
87%
Thunderwolf Cavalry
59%
Wolf Guard Terminators
56%
Wulfen with Storm
Shields
44%
Grey Hunters
41%
Terminator Assault Squad
39%
Wolf Guard Battle Leader
39%
Wolf Guard Headtakers
38%
Scout Squad
34%
Ancient In Terminator
Armour
32%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Adeptus Custodes
Dark Angels
Orks
Tyranids
Space Marines
Necrons
World Eaters
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Assault Brethren
1%
54%
+53
+16.3
Detachment
Legends of Saga and Song
46%
0%
-46
-12.8
Unit
Bjorn The Fell-handed
64%
27%
-37
-9.4
Unit
Arjac Rockfist
58%
27%
-31
-7.8
Enhancement
Fierce Example
30%
0%
-30
-9.6
Unit
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles
2%
29%
+26
+10.2
Enhancement
Furious Assault
10%
35%
+25
+8.1
Enhancement
Imperium's Sword
8%
32%
+24
+8.1
All 22 shifts: 14 more rows
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Intercessor Squad
38%
14%
-24
-6.5
Enhancement
Wolf-Touched
11%
34%
+23
+7.4
Unit
Wolf Guard Terminators
78%
56%
-22
-6.1
Unit
Thunderwolf Cavalry
37%
59%
+22
+5.6
Detachment
Terminator Storm Force
2%
22%
+20
+8.9
Unit
Ancient In Terminator Armour
14%
32%
+19
+5.8
Detachment
Stormlance Task Force
8%
26%
+18
+6.4
Unit
Impulsor
12%
29%
+18
+5.8
Unit
Outrider Squad
7%
24%
+17
+6.4
Enhancement
Thirst for Glory
16%
0%
-16
-6.7
Unit
Chaplain On Bike
4%
18%
+15
+6.4
Unit
Captain on Bike
4%
18%
+14
+6.3
Unit
Land Raider Redeemer
20%
8%
-12
-4.3
Unit
Company Heroes
1%
10%
+9
+5.6
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Assault Brethren + Saga of the Great Wolf 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 111 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
Won an event of 100+ players
Show list
Characters
Bjorn The Fell-handed 160
Battleline
Heavy Intercessor Squad 115 Bolt Pistol, Ceramite Fists, Heavy Bolt Rifle, Heavy Bolter
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor 70 Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Impulsor 70 Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Other Units
Wolf Guard Terminators 400 Master-crafted Power Weapon, Storm Bolter, Assault Cannon, Power Fist, Storm Shield
Terminator Assault Squad + Furious Assault 200 Twin Lightning Claws, Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer
Logan Grimnar 150 Axe Morkai, Storm Bolter, Tyrnak and Fenrir
Captain on Bike + Imperium's Sword 130 Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Twin Bolt Rifle
Venerable Dreadnought 130 Blizzard Shield, Fenrisian Great Axe, Heavy Flamer
Arjac Rockfist 105 Foehammer
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 100
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 100
Wolf Scouts 95 Plasma Pistol, Power Weapon, Bolt Pistol, Combat Knife, Haywire Mine (Once per battle, per unit), Plasma Gun ...
Wolf Scouts 95 Plasma Pistol, Power Weapon, Bolt Pistol, Combat Knife, Haywire Mine (Once per battle, per unit), Plasma Gun ...
Outrider Squad 80 Chainsword, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Twin Bolt Rifle, Plasma Pistol, Thunder Hammer
Assault Brethren + Saga of the Beastslayer + Stormlance Task Force 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 43 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
10 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor 70 Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Impulsor 70 Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Other Units
Thunderwolf Cavalry 260 Boltgun, Storm Shield, Teeth and Claws, Wolf Guard Weapon
Thunderwolf Cavalry 260 Boltgun, Storm Shield, Teeth and Claws, Wolf Guard Weapon
Wulfen with Storm Shields 250 Death Totem, Stormfrag Auto-launcher, Thunder Hammer
Terminator Assault Squad + Furious Assault 205 Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer
Logan Grimnar 150 Axe Morkai, Storm Bolter, Tyrnak and Fenrir
Captain on Bike + Wolf-Touched 125 Plasma Pistol, Thunder Hammer, Twin Bolt Rifle
Company Heroes 125 Master-crafted Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Combat Knife, Master-crafted Bolt Rifle, Master-crafted Heavy Bolter
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 100
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 100
Chaplain On Bike 95
Outrider Squad 80 Chainsword, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Twin Bolt Rifle, Thunder Hammer
Scout Squad 65 Bolt Pistol, Combat Knife, Shotgun, Heavy Bolter, Sniper Rifle
Fenrisian Wolves 45 Fenrisian Wolf, Teeth and Claws
Imperial Knights
Imperial Knights Whole edition Matchups Over time Force Disposition Pick-rate shifts Results brackets Units Detachments Combinations Enhancements Lists Team events Milestones 22 Jul 26 Aug 5 Sep 3 Oct 17 Oct
Whole edition
48.6%win rate, rank 16 of 28 9,758 games 2,749 lists from 1,671 players top-10% finishes 0.78x entry share going first 1.6 points better 48.3% adjusted for player skill
Against Tyranids it wins 58.7% over 569 games, 10.0 points above what its
strength predicts. Imperial Knights fell from 53.0% in the first period (19 Jun to 21 Jul)
to 46.5% in the latest (3 Oct to 25 Oct), one of 10 factions with a clear change over the
period. The season figure is 48.6% (rank 16 of 28, 9,758 games), which overstates where
it stands now. Gate Warden Lance went from 44% to 8% of the faction's lists between the
first period and the last 28 days.
Matchups
Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Astra Militarum (62.6% over
349 games) and the worst is Chaos Daemons (39.4% over 421). Against what the faction's
strength predicts, Tyranids (10.0 points above the prediction) deviates.
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Astra Militarum
349
62.6%
57.4% to 67.5%
58.1%
+4.5
favourable
Black Templars
152
61.8%
53.9% to 69.2%
53.3%
+8.5
favourable
Tyranids
569
58.7%
54.6% to 62.7%
48.7%
+10.0
favourable, above model
Drukhari
232
55.6%
49.2% to 61.9%
51.7%
+3.9
Imperial Agents
41
54.9%
39.9% to 69.0%
54.9%
-0.1
Chaos Space Marines
439
44.1%
39.5% to 48.8%
51.4%
-7.3
unfavourable
Dark Angels
425
43.1%
38.4% to 47.8%
45.2%
-2.1
unfavourable
Orks
632
42.7%
38.9% to 46.6%
43.3%
-0.6
unfavourable
Adeptus Custodes
616
41.2%
37.3% to 45.1%
44.4%
-3.3
unfavourable
Adepta Sororitas
234
40.4%
34.3% to 46.8%
48.3%
-7.9
unfavourable
Leagues of Votann
317
40.1%
34.8% to 45.5%
46.8%
-6.7
unfavourable
Chaos Daemons
421
39.4%
34.9% to 44.2%
43.9%
-4.4
unfavourable
Deathwatch
63
32.5%
22.3% to 44.8%
44.9%
-12.3
unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 14 more rows
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Blood Angels
290
53.4%
47.7% to 59.1%
52.6%
+0.9
Death Guard
421
53.2%
48.4% to 57.9%
50.4%
+2.8
Chaos Knights
307
51.5%
45.9% to 57.0%
51.7%
-0.2
Space Marines
775
51.0%
47.5% to 54.5%
49.9%
+1.1
Space Wolves
256
50.8%
44.7% to 56.8%
49.5%
+1.2
World Eaters
403
50.1%
45.3% to 55.0%
48.7%
+1.5
Emperor's Children
405
50.0%
45.2% to 54.8%
47.2%
+2.8
Adeptus Mechanicus
201
50.0%
43.2% to 56.8%
48.0%
+2.0
Necrons
612
49.3%
45.3% to 53.2%
47.1%
+2.1
T'au Empire
548
49.0%
44.8% to 53.2%
46.8%
+2.2
Thousand Sons
376
47.7%
42.7% to 52.8%
48.2%
-0.5
Grey Knights
247
47.2%
41.0% to 53.4%
51.5%
-4.3
Aeldari
288
47.0%
41.4% to 52.8%
53.0%
-5.9
Genestealer Cult
139
46.4%
38.3% to 54.7%
51.0%
-4.6
Over time
Its share of lists went from 4.5% to 3.3%.
Share of games per week (%)
3
4
5
2.8
3.9
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval
40
50
60
July balance & rules update
46.1
55.6
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Period
Lists
Share of all lists
Games
Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul
710
4.5%
2,431
53.0%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug
726
3.9%
2,603
47.7%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct
811
3.5%
3,023
47.0%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct
502
3.3%
1,701
46.5%
July balance & rules update was followed by a change of -5.5 points in win rate,
measured over the 28 days either side.
Around each milestone, 28 days before and after
Milestone
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul)
2,114 / 2,127
52.6% to 47.1%
-5.5
-3.6
4.7% to 4.2%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug)
2,030 / 2,166
47.3% to 47.5%
+0.2
+0.2
4.1% to 3.7%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep)
2,119 / 2,299
47.7% to 46.4%
-1.3
-0.9
3.9% to 3.5%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct)
2,299 / 1,701
46.4% to 46.5%
+0.1
+0.1
3.5% to 3.4%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data
2,124 / 805
46.8% to 46.2%
-0.6
-0.3
3.6% to 3.0%
Force Disposition
Reconnaissance has a win rate 9.5 points below the faction's other choices.
Disposition
Share of games
Games
Win rate
Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Purge the Foe
40%
3,304
48.0%
-0.5 ± 0.9
Priority Assets
39%
3,276
47.8%
-0.9 ± 0.9
Take and Hold
14%
1,195
50.3%
+1.8 ± 1.5
Reconnaissance
4%
311
38.9%
-9.5 ± 2.7
Disruption
3%
220
43.2%
n/a
Pick-rate shifts
Type
Name
First period
Prior 28 days
Last 28 days
Change vs first period (pp)
Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Detachment
Gate Warden Lance
44%
10%
8%
-36
-2
Enhancement
Augury Halo
31%
7%
4%
-27
-3
Detachment
Valourstrike Lance
10%
40%
36%
+26
-4
Enhancement
Purgation's Hand
17%
4%
2%
-15
-1
Unit
Knight Castellan
72%
59%
57%
-15
-2
Enhancement
Bearer of the Judicant's Helm
5%
20%
19%
+14
-1
Detachment
Freeblade Company
33%
26%
38%
+5
+12
Enhancement
Vengeful Tread
10%
3%
2%
-8
-1
Results brackets
260 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 15 won
X, 67 won X-1 and 178 won X-2, from 668 entries.
Share of players by share of games won
4%
0-20
19%
20-40
35%
40-60
31%
60-80
11%
80-100
line = all factions
Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2
2.2%
X
3.1%
X-1
4.2%
X-2
dashed = share of entries, 3.9%
Bracket tables
Tier
Lists
Share of tier
Share of entries
Ratio
z
X
15
2.2%
3.9%
0.56x
-2.3
X-1
67
3.1%
3.9%
0.81x
-1.8
X-2
178
4.2%
3.9%
1.07x
+0.9
X to X-2
260
3.7%
3.9%
0.94x
-1.0
Share of games won
Players
Share of players
All players
0 to 20%
21
3.5%
4.1%
20 to 40%
114
19.1%
17.2%
40 to 60%
210
35.2%
32.2%
60 to 80%
184
30.8%
30.1%
80 to 100%
68
11.4%
16.4%
Units
A typical list contains 6 distinct units. 2 units appear in at least half of all lists
and 16 in at least 10%. The most common is Knight Castellan (64% of lists). 9 datasheets
appeared in under 1% of lists: Acastus Knight Asterius, Cerastus Knight Acheron, Questoris
Knight Magaera, Questoris Knight Styrix, Sir Hekhtur, Skitarii Marshal, Skitarii Vanguard,
Tech-priest Dominus, Tech-priest Manipulus.
Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-10
0
+10
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-2
0
+2
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Most played units
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Knight Castellan
1,755
63.8%
+0.4 ± 0.6
+0.7
Armiger Warglaive
1,598
58.1%
+0.7 ± 0.6
+1.1
Knight Crusader
1,332
48.5%
+1.0 ± 0.7
+1.5
Armiger Helverin
1,297
47.2%
+0.5 ± 0.7
+0.7
Cerastus Knight Lancer
1,289
46.9%
+0.7 ± 0.7
+1.0
Knight Destrier
1,214
44.2%
-0.1 ± 0.7
-0.2
Cerastus Knight Atrapos
730
26.6%
+2.4 ± 0.9
+2.7
Knight Paladin
690
25.1%
+0.6 ± 0.9
+0.6
Canis Rex
690
25.1%
-0.3 ± 1.0
-0.3
Knight Errant
615
22.4%
+1.3 ± 1.0
+1.4
Callidus Assassin
530
19.3%
-0.5 ± 1.1
-0.5
Navigator
434
15.8%
-0.2 ± 1.1
-0.1
Detachments
8 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 4 of them account for 80% of picks. The most
played is Dominus Foebreakers (40% of lists), and 50% of lists run more than one detachment.
Detachment
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
P1
P2
P3
P4
Dominus Foebreakers
1,102
40%
+0.4 ± 0.7
+0.5
44%
40%
39%
36%
Freeblade Company
896
33%
+1.5 ± 0.8
+1.8
33%
34%
27%
39%
Valourstrike Lance
836
30%
-1.5 ± 0.8
-1.8
10%
38%
39%
36%
Gate Warden Lance
505
18%
+2.6 ± 1.1
+2.3
44%
11%
10%
8%
Questoris Companions
265
10%
+3.1 ± 1.5
+2.1
6%
8%
14%
10%
Throne-bonded Outriders
247
9%
-1.5 ± 1.6
-0.9
10%
10%
9%
6%
Questor Forgepact
132
5%
-2.0 ± 2.2
-0.9
3%
5%
5%
7%
Spearhead-at-arms
112
4%
+0.6 ± 2.3
+0.2
3%
4%
5%
4%
Combinations
8 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common
is Dominus Foebreakers + Valourstrike Lance (604 lists, 22%).
Combination table
Combination
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Dominus Foebreakers + Valourstrike Lance
604
22%
-1.4 ± 1.1
-1.3
Dominus Foebreakers + Gate Warden Lance
366
13%
+4.2 ± 1.4
+2.9
Throne-bonded Outriders + Valourstrike Lance
143
5%
-3.8 ± 2.1
-1.8
Gate Warden Lance + Throne-bonded Outriders
82
3%
-0.4 ± 3.0
-0.1
Dominus Foebreakers + Spearhead-at-arms
49
2%
-2.8 ± 4.0
-0.7
Questor Forgepact + Spearhead-at-arms
41
1%
+2.3 ± 3.7
+0.6
Questor Forgepact + Valourstrike Lance
40
1%
-9.3 ± 4.7
-2.0
Gate Warden Lance + Questor Forgepact
37
1%
-2.7 ± 4.4
-0.6
Enhancements
21 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Archeotech Autoloaders
(26% of lists).
Enhancement table
Enhancement
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Archeotech Autoloaders
717
26%
-0.1 ± 0.9
-0.1
Hunter's Eye
647
24%
+2.9 ± 1.0
+3.0
Bringer of Justice
522
19%
+1.3 ± 1.1
+1.2
Mysterious Guardian
504
18%
+2.4 ± 1.1
+2.1
Bearer of the Judicant's Helm
447
16%
+1.3 ± 1.1
+1.2
Augury Halo
336
12%
+1.7 ± 1.4
+1.2
Sanctuary
267
10%
-0.2 ± 1.6
-0.1
Bearer of the Iron Chalice
247
9%
-2.8 ± 1.5
-1.9
Nothing clear turned up in unit effects, detachment effects, combination
effects, enhancement effects, results brackets, terrain layout and list width.
Representative lists
Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists
are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events
with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties,
and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.
Dominus Foebreakers + Valourstrike Lance 1,995 pts
Priority Assets
110th place · record 3-0 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
45 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Knight Castellan + Archeotech Autoloaders 450 Plasma decimator, Shieldbreaker missile launcher, Titanic feet, Twin meltagun, Twin siegebreaker cannon, Volcano lance
Cerastus Knight Atrapos + Bearer of the Judicant's Helm 430 Atrapos lascutter, Graviton singularity cannon
Canis Rex 415 Freedom’s Hand, Las-impulsor, Questoris multi-laser
Knight Crusader 410 Avenger gatling cannon, Heavy flamer, Questoris heavy stubber, Rapid-fire battle cannon, Titanic feet, Twin Icarus autocannon
Allied Units
Sisters of Battle Squad 110 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combi-weapon, Power weapon, Boltgun, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Simulacrum Imperialis
Sisters of Battle Immolator 105 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Navigator 75 Force-orb cane, Laspistol
Questoris Companions 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
3rd place · record 5-1 · 104 players · 6 rounds · 21 Aug
50 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
Cerastus Knight Lancer + Pennant of Silvered Fury 430
Knight Crusader + Wyrmslayer Divination 420
2× Canis Rex 415 Canis Rex: Freedom's Hand, Las-impulsor, Questoris multi-laser, Sir Hekhtur: Close combat weapon, Hekhtur's pistol
Cerastus Knight Atrapos 405
Knight Destrier 265
watch captain artemis 65
Team events
46.7%win rate in team events 1,944 games 482 lists from 425 players -2.4 points against individual events going first 1.1 points worse
Imperial Knights won 46.7% of 1,944 team event games, against 49.0% of 7,814 in individual
events: 2.4 points lower (not clear). It makes up 4.1% of team event games and 3.9% of
individual event games.
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
47%
Priority Assets
31%
Take and Hold
12%
Reconnaissance
5%
Disruption
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments
share
win rate
Dominus Foebreakers
44%
Valourstrike Lance
41%
Freeblade Company
24%
Gate Warden Lance
12%
Questoris Companions
11%
Throne-bonded Outriders
9%
Questor Forgepact
5%
Spearhead-at-arms
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups
win rate against
Drukhari
Astra Militarum
Tyranids
Death Guard
Chaos Daemons
Adepta Sororitas
Dark Angels
Aeldari
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events.
Dashed: team events win rate.
Milestones
5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after,
with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.
July balance & rules update (22 July)
47.1%win rate, rank 20 of 28 2,127 games 576 lists from 501 players X to X-2 finishes 0.91x entry share going first 0.8 points better
Imperial Knights won 52.6% of 2,114 games in the 28 days before and 47.1% of 2,127 in
the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.7% to 4.2%. The change of -5.5 points
is clear.
2 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Gate Warden Lance
(48% to 11%) and Valourstrike Lance (10% to 38%).
3 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Augury Halo (34%
to 8%), Bearer of the Judicant's Helm (5% to 22%) and Purgation's Hand (19% to
5%).
Nothing clear turned up in units.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
21%
20-40
38%
40-60
30%
60-80
8%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
49%
Purge the Foe
34%
Take and Hold
11%
Reconnaissance
4%
Disruption
3%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Dominus Foebreakers
40%
Valourstrike Lance
38%
Freeblade Company
35%
Gate Warden Lance
11%
Throne-bonded Outriders
10%
Questoris Companions
7%
Questor Forgepact
5%
Spearhead-at-arms
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Knight Castellan
65%
Armiger Warglaive
59%
Armiger Helverin
52%
Knight Crusader
51%
Cerastus Knight Lancer
44%
Knight Destrier
42%
Knight Paladin
26%
Cerastus Knight Atrapos
25%
Canis Rex
25%
Knight Errant
22%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Death Guard
Drukhari
Astra Militarum
World Eaters
Adepta Sororitas
Dark Angels
Orks
Chaos Daemons
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Gate Warden Lance
48%
11%
-37
-13.9
Detachment
Valourstrike Lance
10%
38%
+27
+11.1
Enhancement
Augury Halo
34%
8%
-26
-11.0
Enhancement
Bearer of the Judicant's Helm
5%
22%
+16
+8.4
Enhancement
Purgation's Hand
19%
5%
-14
-7.4
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Gate Warden Lance + Throne-bonded Outriders 1,990 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 6-0 · 336 players · 6 rounds · 1 Aug
Show list
Characters
Canis Rex 415 Freedom’s Hand, Las-impulsor, Questoris multi-laser
Knight Errant + Vengeful Tread 370 Meltagun, Stormspear rocket pod, Thermal cannon, Thunderstrike gauntlet
Knight Destrier + Augury Halo 285 Chastiser gatling cannon, Frag bombard, Questoris heavy stubber, Titanic feet
Knight Destrier + Augury Halo 285 Chastiser gatling cannon, Frag bombard, Questoris heavy stubber, Titanic feet
Allied Units
Sisters of Battle Squad 110 Bolt pistol, Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Sisters of Battle Immolator 105 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Other Units
Armiger Warglaive 140 Questoris heavy stubber, Reaper chain-cleaver, Thermal spear
Armiger Warglaive 140 Questoris heavy stubber, Reaper chain-cleaver, Thermal spear
Armiger Warglaive 140 Questoris heavy stubber, Reaper chain-cleaver, Thermal spear
Dominus Foebreakers + Valourstrike Lance 1,995 pts
Priority Assets
4th place · record 4-1 · 36 players · 5 rounds · 15 Aug
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
Knight Castellan + Archeotech Autoloaders 450
Cerastus Knight Lancer 415
Knight Crusader 410
Knight Errant + Bearer of the Judicant's Helm 380
Knight Destrier 265
Navigator 75
August balance & rules update (26 August)
48.8%win rate, rank 15 of 27 724 games 177 lists from 174 players X to X-2 finishes 0.44x entry share going first 0.4 points better
Imperial Knights won 47.3% of 2,030 games in the 28 days before and 47.5% of 2,166 in
the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.1% to 3.7%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
8%
0-20
34%
20-40
39%
40-60
18%
60-80
0%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
45%
Purge the Foe
33%
Take and Hold
17%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Dominus Foebreakers
37%
Valourstrike Lance
37%
Freeblade Company
30%
Questoris Companions
14%
Throne-bonded Outriders
10%
Gate Warden Lance
7%
Questor Forgepact
6%
Spearhead-at-arms
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Knight Castellan
63%
Armiger Warglaive
60%
Cerastus Knight Lancer
53%
Knight Destrier
52%
Knight Crusader
51%
Armiger Helverin
46%
Cerastus Knight Atrapos
28%
Knight Paladin
24%
Canis Rex
23%
Knight Errant
20%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Tyranids
Space Marines
Necrons
Adeptus Custodes
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Dominus Foebreakers + Spearhead-at-arms 1,990 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 3-0 · 19 players · 3 rounds · 30 Aug
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Knight Castellan + Archeotech Autoloaders 450 Plasma decimator, Shieldbreaker missile launcher, Titanic feet, Twin meltagun, Twin siegebreaker cannon, Volcano lance
Knight Crusader + Mentor's Pride 430 Avenger gatling cannon, Heavy flamer, Questoris heavy stubber, Rapid-fire battle cannon, Stormspear rocket pod, Titanic feet
Knight Defender + Tales of Heroism 410 Conversion beam obliterator, Phosphor blaster, Plasma executor, Titanic feet, Twin incendine combustor
Other Units
Armiger Helverin 140 Armiger autocannon, Armoured feet, Questoris heavy stubber
Armiger Helverin 140 Armiger autocannon, Armoured feet, Questoris heavy stubber
Armiger Warglaive 140 Questoris heavy stubber, Reaper chain-cleaver, Thermal spear
Armiger Warglaive 140 Questoris heavy stubber, Reaper chain-cleaver, Thermal spear
Armiger Warglaive 140 Questoris heavy stubber, Reaper chain-cleaver, Thermal spear
Dominus Foebreakers + Gate Warden Lance 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 3-0 · 40 players · 3 rounds · 29 Aug
Show list
Characters
Knight Castellan + Archeotech Autoloaders 450 Plasma decimator, Shieldbreaker missile launcher, Titanic feet, Twin meltagun, Twin siegebreaker cannon, Volcano lance
Cerastus Knight Lancer + Purgation's Hand 435 Cerastus shock lance
Knight Crusader + Augury Halo 430 Avenger gatling cannon, Heavy flamer, Meltagun, Questoris heavy stubber, Rapid-fire battle cannon ...
Knight Gallant + Vengeful Tread 370 Meltagun, Reaper chainsword, Stormspear rocket pod, Thunderstrike gauntlet
Allied Units
Eversor Assassin 110 Executioner pistol, Power sword and neuro gauntlet
Culexus Assassin 85 Animus speculum, Life-draining touch
Inquisitorial Agents 60 Agent firearm, Agent melee weapon, Eviscerator, Mystic stave, Plasma pistol, Multi-melta
Inquisitorial Agents 60 Agent firearm, Agent melee weapon, Eviscerator, Mystic stave, Plasma pistol, Multi-melta
Orks codex (5 September)
46.4%win rate, rank 21 of 28 2,299 games 634 lists from 547 players X to X-2 finishes 1.02x entry share going first 1.9 points better
Imperial Knights won 47.7% of 2,119 games in the 28 days before and 46.4% of 2,299 in
the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.9% to 3.5%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
6%
0-20
16%
20-40
35%
40-60
31%
60-80
12%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
41%
Purge the Foe
33%
Take and Hold
21%
Reconnaissance
4%
Disruption
2%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Dominus Foebreakers
39%
Valourstrike Lance
39%
Freeblade Company
26%
Questoris Companions
14%
Gate Warden Lance
10%
Throne-bonded Outriders
9%
Spearhead-at-arms
5%
Questor Forgepact
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Knight Castellan
59%
Armiger Warglaive
58%
Cerastus Knight Lancer
51%
Knight Crusader
47%
Knight Destrier
46%
Armiger Helverin
45%
Canis Rex
27%
Cerastus Knight Atrapos
27%
Knight Paladin
27%
Knight Errant
25%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Blood Angels
Astra Militarum
Grey Knights
Space Marines
Dark Angels
Adeptus Custodes
Aeldari
Adepta Sororitas
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Dominus Foebreakers + Valourstrike Lance 1,995 pts
Priority Assets
110th place · record 3-0 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
5 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Knight Castellan + Archeotech Autoloaders 450 Plasma decimator, Shieldbreaker missile launcher, Titanic feet, Twin meltagun, Twin siegebreaker cannon, Volcano lance
Cerastus Knight Atrapos + Bearer of the Judicant's Helm 430 Atrapos lascutter, Graviton singularity cannon
Canis Rex 415 Freedom’s Hand, Las-impulsor, Questoris multi-laser
Knight Crusader 410 Avenger gatling cannon, Heavy flamer, Questoris heavy stubber, Rapid-fire battle cannon, Titanic feet, Twin Icarus autocannon
Allied Units
Sisters of Battle Squad 110 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combi-weapon, Power weapon, Boltgun, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Simulacrum Imperialis
Sisters of Battle Immolator 105 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Navigator 75 Force-orb cane, Laspistol
Questoris Companions 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 30 players · 5 rounds · 5 Sep
7 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Canis Rex 415 Freedom’s Hand, Las-impulsor, Questoris multi-laser
Cerastus Knight Lancer 415 Cerastus shock lance
Cerastus Knight Atrapos 405 Atrapos lascutter, Graviton singularity cannon
Knight Paladin + Wyrmslayer Divination 385 Questoris heavy stubber, Rapid-fire battle cannon, Reaper chainsword, Stormspear rocket pod
Cerastus Knight Castigator 380 Castigator bolt cannon, Tempest warblade
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)
46.8%win rate, rank 19 of 27 896 games 264 lists from 249 players X to X-2 finishes 0.82x entry share going first 6.3 points better
Imperial Knights won 46.4% of 2,299 games in the 28 days before and 46.5% of 1,701 in
the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 3.5% to 3.4%.
One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Freeblade Company
(26% to 39%).
One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Hunter's Eye
(18% to 28%).
Nothing clear turned up in units.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
2%
0-20
19%
20-40
43%
40-60
30%
60-80
6%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
45%
Priority Assets
30%
Take and Hold
15%
Disruption
6%
Reconnaissance
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Freeblade Company
40%
Valourstrike Lance
36%
Dominus Foebreakers
34%
Questoris Companions
10%
Gate Warden Lance
8%
Throne-bonded Outriders
7%
Questor Forgepact
6%
Spearhead-at-arms
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Armiger Warglaive
57%
Knight Castellan
57%
Cerastus Knight Lancer
48%
Knight Destrier
45%
Armiger Helverin
43%
Knight Crusader
42%
Canis Rex
28%
Cerastus Knight Atrapos
28%
Knight Errant
23%
Knight Paladin
23%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Tyranids
Necrons
Space Marines
Orks
Chaos Daemons
T'au Empire
World Eaters
Adeptus Custodes
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Freeblade Company
26%
39%
+13
+4.5
Enhancement
Hunter's Eye
18%
28%
+10
+4.1
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Freeblade Company 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
3rd place · record 5-0 · 97 players · 5 rounds · 16 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Cerastus Knight Atrapos 440 Atrapos lascutter, Graviton singularity cannon
Cerastus Knight Atrapos 420 Atrapos lascutter, Graviton singularity cannon
Cerastus Knight Lancer 415 Cerastus shock lance
Other Units
Acastus Knight Porphyrion 725 Helios defence missiles, Lascannon, Titanic feet, Twin magna lascannon
Dominus Foebreakers + Valourstrike Lance 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
4th place · record 4-1 · 42 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Knight Castellan 425 Plasma decimator, Shieldbreaker missile launcher, Titanic feet, Twin meltagun, Twin siegebreaker cannon, Volcano lance
Knight Crusader + Bearer of the Judicant's Helm 420 Avenger gatling cannon, Heavy flamer, Questoris heavy stubber, Stormspear rocket pod, Thermal cannon, Titanic feet
Cerastus Knight Lancer 415 Cerastus shock lance
Knight Destrier 265 Chastiser gatling cannon, Frag bombard, Questoris heavy stubber, Titanic feet
Knight Destrier 265 Chastiser gatling cannon, Frag bombard, Questoris heavy stubber, Titanic feet
Allied Units
Voidsmen-at-arms 70
Other Units
Armiger Helverin 140 Armiger autocannon, Armoured feet, Questoris heavy stubber
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)
46.2%win rate, rank 21 of 27 805 games 238 lists from 230 players X to X-2 finishes 1.00x entry share going first 4.1 points better
Imperial Knights won 46.8% of 2,124 games in the 28 days before and 46.2% of 805 in
the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 3.6% to 3.0%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
24%
20-40
26%
40-60
34%
60-80
13%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
45%
Priority Assets
36%
Take and Hold
13%
Disruption
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Dominus Foebreakers
39%
Freeblade Company
38%
Valourstrike Lance
37%
Questoris Companions
11%
Gate Warden Lance
8%
Questor Forgepact
7%
Throne-bonded Outriders
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Knight Castellan
55%
Knight Crusader
48%
Cerastus Knight Lancer
47%
Armiger Warglaive
47%
Knight Destrier
42%
Armiger Helverin
37%
Canis Rex
31%
Cerastus Knight Atrapos
30%
Knight Errant
25%
Knight Paladin
25%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Necrons
Space Marines
Adeptus Custodes
Death Guard
Orks
World Eaters
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Dominus Foebreakers + Valourstrike Lance 1,990 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 26 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Knight Castellan + Archeotech Autoloaders 450 Plasma decimator, Shieldbreaker missile launcher, Titanic feet, Twin meltagun, Twin siegebreaker cannon, Volcano lance
Knight Defender 385 Conversion beam obliterator, Phosphor blaster, Plasma executor, Titanic feet, Twin incendine combustor
Knight Errant + Bearer of the Judicant's Helm 380 Meltagun, Reaper chainsword, Thermal cannon
Knight Gallant 355 Meltagun, Reaper chainsword, Thunderstrike gauntlet
Other Units
Armiger Helverin 140 Armiger autocannon, Armoured feet, Questoris heavy stubber
Armiger Warglaive 140 Meltagun, Reaper chain-cleaver, Thermal spear
Armiger Warglaive 140 Meltagun, Reaper chain-cleaver, Thermal spear
Freeblade Company 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 4-1 · 10 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
Show list
Characters
Knight Crusader + Hunter's Eye 420 Avenger gatling cannon, Heavy flamer, Meltagun, Stormspear rocket pod, Thermal cannon, Titanic feet
Canis Rex 415 Freedom’s Hand, Las-impulsor, Questoris multi-laser
Cerastus Knight Lancer 415 Cerastus shock lance
Knight Destrier + Bringer of Justice 295 Bellatus reaper chainsword, Questoris heavy stubber, Thundershock spear, Titanic feet
Allied Units
Callidus Assassin 100 Neural shredder, Phase sword and poison blades
Navigator 75 Force-orb cane, Laspistol
Other Units
Armiger Helverin 140 Armiger autocannon, Armoured feet, Meltagun
Armiger Helverin 140 Armiger autocannon, Armoured feet, Meltagun
Space Marines
Space Marines Whole edition Combinations Over time Force Disposition Enhancements Units Detachments Pick-rate shifts Matchups Results brackets Lists Team events Milestones 22 Jul 26 Aug 5 Sep 3 Oct 17 Oct
Whole edition
48.6%win rate, rank 17 of 28 18,737 games 5,866 lists from 3,678 players top-10% finishes 1.03x entry share going first 1.8 points better 47.9% adjusted for player skill
The pairing Assault Brethren + Deathwatch Support + Terminator Storm Force
has a win rate 20.0 points above the faction average (135 lists). The Blackwing Shroud
enhancement gives a win rate 11.8 points below other lists with the same detachment. Space
Marines won 48.6% of 18,737 games, rank 17 of 28. Librarius Conclave went from 46% to 4%
of the faction's lists over the last 28 days compared with the 28 before. Dreadnought is
in 1% of lists, and lists with it have a win rate 13.6 points below comparable lists.
Combinations
39 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common
is Forgefather's Seekers + Librarius Conclave (806 lists, 14%). Best: Assault Brethren
+ Deathwatch Support + Terminator Storm Force (20.0 points above the faction average).
Weakest: Anvil Siege Force + Librarius Conclave (17.0 points below the faction average).
Combination
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Forgefather's Seekers + Librarius Conclave
806
14%
+6.1 ± 1.0
+6.1
Librarius Conclave + Reclamation Force
324
6%
+6.7 ± 1.5
+4.5
Hammer of Avernii + Librarius Conclave
192
3%
+0.4 ± 2.0
+0.2
Librarius Conclave + Shadowmark Talon
192
3%
+5.5 ± 2.2
+2.5
Assault Brethren + Deathwatch Support + Terminator Storm Force
135
2%
+20.0 ± 1.9
+10.2
Bastion Task Force + Librarius Conclave
87
1%
+1.6 ± 3.0
+0.5
Shadowmark Talon + Vengeful Hosts
78
1%
-7.7 ± 3.1
-2.5
Hammer of Avernii + Vengeful Hosts
72
1%
-0.8 ± 3.1
-0.3
Shadowmark Talon + Subversion Assets
37
1%
-15.4 ± 4.2
-3.7
Forgefather's Seekers + Subversion Assets
31
1%
-15.6 ± 3.9
-4.0
Forgefather's Seekers + Ironstorm Spearhead
28
0%
+14.9 ± 4.9
+3.0
Anvil Siege Force + Librarius Conclave
23
0%
-17.0 ± 4.8
-3.5
Over time
Its share of lists went from 8.4% to 9.8%.
Share of games per week (%)
6
8
10
9.9
7.1
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval
40
50
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edi
53.9
44.0
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Period
Lists
Share of all lists
Games
Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul
1,323
8.4%
4,168
50.0%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug
1,461
7.9%
4,635
47.8%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct
1,602
6.9%
5,412
46.0%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct
1,480
9.8%
4,522
51.2%
Codex: Space Marines was followed by a change of +5.9 points and Codex: Adeptus Custodes
was followed by a change of +5.2 points in win rate, measured over the 28 days either side.
Around each milestone, 28 days before and after
Milestone
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul)
3,597 / 3,735
50.8% to 47.5%
-3.3
-2.8
8.0% to 7.3%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug)
3,486 / 3,934
47.5% to 46.3%
-1.2
-1.0
7.1% to 6.7%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep)
3,889 / 4,109
47.7% to 45.2%
-2.4
-2.2
7.1% to 6.3%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct)
4,109 / 4,522
45.2% to 51.2%
+5.9
+5.5
6.3% to 9.0%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data
4,158 / 2,622
47.3% to 52.5%
+5.2
+4.2
7.0% to 9.8%
Force Disposition
Disruption has a win rate 7.2 points below the faction's other choices and Priority
Assets has a win rate 2.4 points below the faction's other choices.
Disposition
Share of games
Games
Win rate
Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Priority Assets
34%
5,514
46.2%
-2.4 ± 0.7
Take and Hold
33%
5,438
50.3%
+1.7 ± 0.7
Reconnaissance
14%
2,370
51.2%
+2.6 ± 1.1
Purge the Foe
13%
2,174
51.0%
+2.4 ± 1.2
Disruption
6%
935
41.3%
-7.2 ± 1.7
Enhancements
67 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Temporal Corridor (20%
of lists). 4 enhancements differ from the other enhancements in their detachment: Blackwing
Shroud (11.8 points below the rest), Adamantine Mantle (11.6 points below the rest), War-tempered
Artifice (9.5 points below the rest) and Corporeum Reliquary (8.5 points below the rest).
Enhancement
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Temporal Corridor
1,145
20%
+0.5 ± 0.7
+0.7
Immolator
890
15%
+0.9 ± 0.9
+1.0
Fusillade
874
15%
+1.7 ± 0.9
+1.9
Celerity
630
11%
+0.7 ± 1.0
+0.7
Furious Assault
448
8%
+1.7 ± 1.2
+1.5
Imperium's Sword
330
6%
+2.6 ± 1.4
+1.8
Forged in Battle
266
5%
+0.1 ± 1.5
+0.1
Steel Font
254
4%
+1.0 ± 1.6
+0.6
War-tempered Artifice
102
2%
-9.5 ± 2.6
-3.6
Corporeum Reliquary
89
2%
-8.5 ± 2.6
-3.2
Adamantine Mantle
84
1%
-11.6 ± 3.0
-3.9
Blackwing Shroud
65
1%
-11.8 ± 3.2
-3.6
Units
A typical list contains 12 distinct units. 2 units appear in at least half of all lists
and 44 in at least 10%. The most common is Scout Squad (60% of lists). One datasheet never
appeared: Sicaran. 9 datasheets appeared in under 1% of lists: Centurion Assault Squad,
Corvus Blackstar, Dreadnought, Razorback, Stormraven Gunship, Stormtalon Gunship, Thunderhawk
Gunship, Vanguard Veteran Squad, Whirlwind.
Of 102 units in 40 or more lists, 20 have a clear effect on results (11 positive, 9
negative). Best: Captain on Bike (9.5 points above comparable lists, 1% of lists), Kor’sarro
Khan (6.5 points above comparable lists, 3% of lists), Suboden Khan (6.0 points above comparable
lists, 4% of lists) and Wardens of Ultramar (5.2 points above comparable lists, 11% of
lists). Weakest: Dreadnought (13.6 points below comparable lists, 1% of lists), Desolation
Squad (13.3 points below comparable lists, 1% of lists), Chaplain In Terminator Armour
(8.2 points below comparable lists, 4% of lists) and Captain In Terminator Armour (7.8
points below comparable lists, 7% of lists). Captain on Bike, Kor’sarro Khan, Suboden Khan
and Chief Librarian Tigurius are in under 10% of lists but have a win rate above the faction
average. Redemptor Dreadnought and Terminator Squad are in at least 15% of lists but have
a win rate below it.
Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-10
0
+10
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Dreadnought
Captain on Bike
Chaplain In Terminator A
Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-10
0
+10
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Assault Brethren, Deathw
Anvil Siege Force
Deathwatch Support
Most played units
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Scout Squad
3,488
59.5%
+1.6 ± 0.4
+3.8
Intercessor Squad
3,092
52.7%
-0.7 ± 0.5
-1.5
Bladeguard Veteran Squad
2,680
45.7%
+0.5 ± 0.5
+1.0
Librarian
2,022
34.5%
+0.7 ± 0.6
+1.3
Terminator Assault Squad
2,016
34.4%
-0.8 ± 0.6
-1.3
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs
1,764
30.1%
+0.6 ± 0.6
+0.9
Land Raider Redeemer
1,653
28.2%
+1.9 ± 0.6
+3.0
Terminator Squad
1,587
27.1%
-3.2 ± 0.7
-4.8
Infernus Squad
1,570
26.8%
-0.1 ± 0.7
-0.2
Incursor Squad
1,494
25.5%
+3.1 ± 0.6
+4.8
Land Speeder
1,455
24.8%
+2.3 ± 0.7
+3.5
Ballistus Dreadnought
1,398
23.8%
-1.1 ± 0.7
-1.6
Other units with a clear effect
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Captain on Bike
59
1.0%
+9.5 ± 3.1
+3.1
Kor’sarro Khan
200
3.4%
+6.5 ± 1.8
+3.6
Suboden Khan
253
4.3%
+6.0 ± 1.6
+3.7
Wardens of Ultramar
671
11.4%
+5.2 ± 0.9
+5.6
Outrider Squad
724
12.3%
+4.3 ± 1.0
+4.5
Judiciar
131
2.2%
-6.1 ± 2.0
-3.0
Captain In Terminator Armour
431
7.3%
-7.8 ± 1.3
-6.2
Chaplain In Terminator Armour
262
4.5%
-8.2 ± 1.5
-5.3
Desolation Squad
54
0.9%
-13.3 ± 3.5
-3.8
Dreadnought
49
0.8%
-13.6 ± 3.4
-4.0
Detachments
37 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 14 of them account for 80% of picks. The
most played is Librarius Conclave (36% of lists), and 63% of lists run more than one detachment.
12 detachments differ from the faction average. Best: Assault Brethren, Deathwatch Support
and Terminator Storm Force (17.9 points above the faction average, 0% of lists). Weakest:
Anvil Siege Force (12.7 points below the faction average, 1% of lists).
Detachment
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
P1
P2
P3
P4
Librarius Conclave
2,085
36%
+2.3 ± 0.6
+4.1
44%
50%
46%
3%
Forgefather's Seekers
1,271
22%
+2.1 ± 0.7
+2.9
23%
27%
24%
12%
Blade of Ultramar
539
9%
-3.5 ± 1.1
-3.3
17%
10%
9%
2%
Reclamation Force
462
8%
+3.1 ± 1.2
+2.7
9%
10%
12%
0%
Assault Brethren
434
7%
+5.9 ± 1.2
+4.8
0%
0%
0%
30%
Shadowmark Talon
421
7%
-2.2 ± 1.3
-1.7
6%
9%
9%
4%
Vengeful Hosts
400
7%
-2.9 ± 1.2
-2.4
0%
12%
13%
1%
Terminator Storm Force
391
7%
+5.3 ± 1.3
+4.2
0%
0%
0%
27%
Ironstorm Spearhead
375
6%
+1.6 ± 1.4
+1.2
5%
3%
3%
15%
Ceramite Sentinels
367
6%
+2.7 ± 1.3
+2.1
5%
5%
6%
8%
Hammer of Avernii
322
5%
-0.9 ± 1.4
-0.7
6%
8%
8%
0%
Fulguris Task Force
293
5%
-2.5 ± 1.6
-1.6
7%
7%
5%
0%
Spearpoint Task Force
230
4%
+0.5 ± 1.6
+0.3
4%
4%
4%
4%
Gladius Task Force
223
4%
-9.8 ± 1.9
-5.3
6%
3%
5%
1%
Pick-rate shifts
Type
Name
First period
Prior 28 days
Last 28 days
Change vs first period (pp)
Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Detachment
Librarius Conclave
44%
46%
4%
-40
-42
Unit
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles
0%
0%
41%
+41
+41
Unit
Librarian
46%
41%
11%
-35
-30
Unit
Intercessor Squad
64%
61%
28%
-35
-33
Unit
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon
43%
12%
8%
-35
-4
Enhancement
Fusillade
35%
13%
1%
-34
-12
Unit
Impulsor
12%
11%
41%
+30
+31
Unit
Sternguard Veteran Squad
41%
17%
12%
-29
-5
Enhancement
Furious Assault
0%
0%
29%
+29
+29
Detachment
Assault Brethren
0%
0%
28%
+28
+28
Unit
Marneus Calgar in Armour of Antilochus
32%
26%
4%
-28
-22
Unit
Marneus Calgar
0%
0%
27%
+27
+27
Matchups
Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Black Templars (58.7% over
317 games) and the worst is Chaos Daemons (44.3% over 727).
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Black Templars
317
58.7%
53.2% to 64.0%
53.4%
+5.3
favourable
Astra Militarum
713
55.7%
52.0% to 59.3%
58.2%
-2.5
favourable
Aeldari
560
54.6%
50.4% to 58.6%
53.1%
+1.5
favourable
Adepta Sororitas
477
53.6%
49.1% to 58.0%
48.3%
+5.2
Grey Knights
455
51.0%
46.4% to 55.6%
51.5%
-0.6
Tyranids
1,087
46.8%
43.9% to 49.8%
48.8%
-1.9
unfavourable
Adeptus Custodes
1,181
46.6%
43.7% to 49.4%
44.5%
+2.1
unfavourable
Space Wolves
565
45.4%
41.3% to 49.5%
49.6%
-4.2
unfavourable
Leagues of Votann
637
45.3%
41.5% to 49.2%
46.8%
-1.5
unfavourable
T'au Empire
950
44.8%
41.7% to 48.0%
46.9%
-2.0
unfavourable
Orks
1,356
44.6%
42.0% to 47.3%
43.4%
+1.2
unfavourable
Chaos Daemons
727
44.3%
40.7% to 47.9%
43.9%
+0.4
unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 15 more rows
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Thousand Sons
678
50.4%
46.6% to 54.1%
48.3%
+2.1
Death Guard
854
50.2%
46.8% to 53.5%
50.5%
-0.3
Chaos Space Marines
868
50.1%
46.7% to 53.4%
51.5%
-1.4
Adeptus Mechanicus
461
49.6%
45.0% to 54.1%
48.1%
+1.5
Necrons
1,302
49.5%
46.8% to 52.3%
47.2%
+2.4
Genestealer Cult
295
49.5%
43.8% to 55.2%
51.1%
-1.6
Chaos Knights
508
49.4%
45.1% to 53.7%
51.8%
-2.4
Blood Angels
615
49.3%
45.3% to 53.2%
52.7%
-3.4
Imperial Agents
68
49.3%
37.7% to 60.9%
55.0%
-5.7
Imperial Knights
775
49.0%
45.5% to 52.5%
50.1%
-1.1
Dark Angels
956
48.2%
45.1% to 51.4%
45.3%
+3.0
World Eaters
890
48.1%
44.8% to 51.4%
48.7%
-0.6
Emperor's Children
870
48.0%
44.7% to 51.4%
47.3%
+0.7
Drukhari
436
47.1%
42.5% to 51.8%
51.7%
-4.6
Deathwatch
136
46.3%
38.2% to 54.7%
44.9%
+1.4
Results brackets
540 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 60 won
X, 176 won X-1 and 304 won X-2, from 1,368 entries.
Share of players by share of games won
5%
0-20
18%
20-40
33%
40-60
27%
60-80
18%
80-100
line = all factions
Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2
8.8%
X
8.3%
X-1
7.1%
X-2
dashed = share of entries, 8.0%
Bracket tables
Tier
Lists
Share of tier
Share of entries
Ratio
z
X
60
8.8%
8.0%
1.10x
+0.8
X-1
176
8.3%
8.0%
1.04x
+0.5
X-2
304
7.1%
8.0%
0.89x
-2.1
X to X-2
540
7.6%
8.0%
0.96x
-1.1
Share of games won
Players
Share of players
All players
0 to 20%
56
4.8%
4.1%
20 to 40%
215
18.4%
17.2%
40 to 60%
380
32.5%
32.2%
60 to 80%
313
26.8%
30.1%
80 to 100%
205
17.5%
16.4%
Each extra 2.5 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 4.6 points
lower; the average list has 12.2. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength
model, results brackets and terrain layout.
Representative lists
Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists
are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events
with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties,
and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.
Assault Brethren, Deathwatch Support, and Terminator Storm Force 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 7-1 · 131 players · 8 rounds · 9 Oct
Won an event of 100+ players
32 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Roboute Guilliman 415 Emperor’s Sword, Hand of Dominion
Librarian In Phobos Armour 75
Battleline
Heavy Intercessor Squad 115 Bolt Pistol, Ceramite Fists, Heavy Bolt Rifle
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor 70 Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Impulsor 70 Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Allied Units
Deathwatch Terminator Squad 200 Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer, Chainfist, Plasma Cannon
Deathwatch Terminator Squad 200 Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer, Chainfist, Plasma Cannon
Other Units
Bladeguard Veteran Squad + Furious Assault 190 Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Sword
Marneus Calgar 180 Gauntlets of Ultramar
Wardens of Ultramar 115 Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Bolt Rifle, Ceramite Fists, Archeotech Laspistol, Power Weapon ...
Eradicator Squad 100
Eradicator Squad 100
Reiver Squad 85 Grapnel Launchers, Grav-chutes, Bolt Carbine, Monomolecular Combat Knife, Special-issue Bolt Pistol
Reiver Squad 85 Grapnel Launchers, Grav-chutes, Bolt Carbine, Monomolecular Combat Knife, Special-issue Bolt Pistol
Forgefather's Seekers + Librarius Conclave 1,990 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 6-0 · 135 players · 6 rounds · 25 Jul
Won an event of 100+ players
42 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Librarian In Terminator Armour 110
Captain In Gravis Armour 90
Vulkan He’stan 85 Bolt Pistol, Gauntlet of the Forge, Spear of Vulkan
Adrax Agatone 80 Drakkis, Malleus Noctum
Other Units
Terminator Squad 320 Power fist, Storm bolter, Cyclone missile launcher
Land Raider Redeemer 250 Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon
Land Raider Redeemer 250 Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon
Aggressor Squad 165 Flamestorm gauntlets, Twin power fists
Bladeguard Veteran Squad 160 Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma pistol, Heavy bolt pistol
Eradicator Squad 90
Eradicator Squad 90
Infernus Squad 85 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Pyreblaster
Infernus Squad 85 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Pyreblaster
Scout Squad 65 Bolt pistol, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolter, Missile launcher
Scout Squad 65 Bolt pistol, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolter, Missile launcher
Team events
49.8%win rate in team events 2,369 games 604 lists from 552 players +1.5 points against individual events going first 1.4 points better
Space Marines won 49.8% of 2,369 team event games, against 48.4% of 16,368 in individual
events: 1.5 points higher (not clear). It makes up 5.0% of team event games and 8.1% of
individual event games.
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
32%
Reconnaissance
23%
Take and Hold
20%
Disruption
14%
Purge the Foe
12%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments
share
win rate
Librarius Conclave
33%
Forgefather's Seekers
21%
Shadowmark Talon
11%
Blade of Ultramar
10%
Terminator Storm Force
8%
Assault Brethren
7%
Reclamation Force
6%
Ceramite Sentinels
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups
win rate against
World Eaters
Imperial Knights
Space Wolves
Astra Militarum
Adeptus Custodes
Tyranids
Leagues of Votann
T'au Empire
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events.
Dashed: team events win rate.
Milestones
5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after,
with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.
July balance & rules update (22 July)
47.5%win rate, rank 19 of 28 3,735 games 1,154 lists from 1,011 players X to X-2 finishes 0.99x entry share going first 0.0 points worse
Space Marines won 50.8% of 3,597 games in the 28 days before and 47.5% of 3,735 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 8.0% to 7.3%.
One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Vengeful Hosts (0%
to 12%).
8 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Sternguard Veteran Squad
(44% to 20%), Lieutenant with Combi-weapon (43% to 20%) and Repulsor Executioner (29% to
16%).
One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Fusillade (38% to 15%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
7%
0-20
21%
20-40
28%
40-60
28%
60-80
15%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
36%
Take and Hold
29%
Reconnaissance
17%
Purge the Foe
11%
Disruption
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Librarius Conclave
49%
Forgefather's Seekers
27%
Vengeful Hosts
12%
Reclamation Force
11%
Blade of Ultramar
10%
Shadowmark Talon
8%
Hammer of Avernii
8%
Fulguris Task Force
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Scout Squad
65%
Intercessor Squad
59%
Bladeguard Veteran Squad
51%
Librarian
42%
Terminator Assault Squad
35%
Assault Intercessors
With Jump Packs
34%
Land Raider Redeemer
34%
Infernus Squad
33%
Librarian In Terminator
Armour
30%
Terminator Squad
29%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Aeldari
Black Templars
Astra Militarum
World Eaters
Chaos Daemons
T'au Empire
Drukhari
Space Wolves
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Sternguard Veteran Squad
44%
20%
-24
-12.3
Enhancement
Fusillade
38%
15%
-23
-12.6
Unit
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon
43%
20%
-23
-11.7
Unit
Repulsor Executioner
29%
16%
-13
-7.4
Unit
Vanguard Veteran Squad With Jump Packs
14%
26%
+12
+7.3
Detachment
Vengeful Hosts
0%
12%
+12
+11.9
Unit
Aggressor Squad
15%
26%
+10
+6.2
Unit
Victrix Honour Guard
27%
17%
-10
-6.0
All 10 shifts: 2 more rows
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Terminator Squad
19%
29%
+10
+5.5
Unit
Librarian In Terminator Armour
21%
30%
+9
+4.7
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Forgefather's Seekers + Librarius Conclave 1,990 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 6-0 · 135 players · 6 rounds · 25 Jul
Won an event of 100+ players
17 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Librarian In Terminator Armour 110
Captain In Gravis Armour 90
Vulkan He’stan 85 Bolt Pistol, Gauntlet of the Forge, Spear of Vulkan
Adrax Agatone 80 Drakkis, Malleus Noctum
Other Units
Terminator Squad 320 Power fist, Storm bolter, Cyclone missile launcher
Land Raider Redeemer 250 Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon
Land Raider Redeemer 250 Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon
Aggressor Squad 165 Flamestorm gauntlets, Twin power fists
Bladeguard Veteran Squad 160 Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma pistol, Heavy bolt pistol
Eradicator Squad 90
Eradicator Squad 90
Infernus Squad 85 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Pyreblaster
Infernus Squad 85 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Pyreblaster
Scout Squad 65 Bolt pistol, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolter, Missile launcher
Scout Squad 65 Bolt pistol, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolter, Missile launcher
Librarius Conclave + Shadowmark Talon 2,000 pts
2nd place · record 6-0 · 135 players · 6 rounds · 8 Aug
14 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Aethon Shaan 100 Claws of Severax, Heavy Bolt Pistol
Battleline
Intercessor Squad 80 Bolt pistol, Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt Rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Intercessor Squad 80 Bolt pistol, Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt Rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Other Units
Centurion Devastator Squad 350 Centurion Fists, Centurion missile launcher, Grav-cannon
Terminator Assault Squad 340 Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer, Twin Lightning Claws
Terminator Squad 320 Storm bolter, Power fist, Cyclone missile launcher
Inceptor Squad 125 Close combat weapon, Assault Bolters
Inceptor Squad 125 Close combat weapon, Assault Bolters
Librarian In Terminator Armour 110
Librarian In Terminator Armour 100
Incursor Squad 85 Bolt pistol, Occulus Bolt Carbine, Paired Combat Blades
Reiver Squad 75 Combat Knife, Special Issue Bolt Pistol
Scout Squad 65 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Astartes Chainsword, Combat Knife
Lieutenant In Phobos Armour 45
August balance & rules update (26 August)
48.2%win rate, rank 17 of 27 1,303 games 368 lists from 360 players X to X-2 finishes 0.85x entry share going first 0.4 points better
Space Marines won 47.5% of 3,486 games in the 28 days before and 46.3% of 3,934 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 7.1% to 6.7%.
One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Eradicator Squad (30% to 21%).
Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
1%
0-20
23%
20-40
41%
40-60
23%
60-80
13%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
34%
Take and Hold
32%
Reconnaissance
17%
Purge the Foe
10%
Disruption
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Librarius Conclave
48%
Forgefather's Seekers
24%
Vengeful Hosts
14%
Reclamation Force
11%
Hammer of Avernii
10%
Blade of Ultramar
10%
Shadowmark Talon
9%
Ceramite Sentinels
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Scout Squad
65%
Intercessor Squad
63%
Bladeguard Veteran Squad
48%
Terminator Assault Squad
40%
Librarian
40%
Assault Intercessors
With Jump Packs
35%
Terminator Squad
35%
Librarian In Terminator
Armour
33%
Land Raider Redeemer
32%
Lieutenant
29%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Blood Angels
World Eaters
T'au Empire
Chaos Knights
Dark Angels
Emperor's Children
Tyranids
Leagues of Votann
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Eradicator Squad
30%
21%
-8
-4.6
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Librarius Conclave + Shadowmark Talon 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 99 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
10 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Aethon Shaan 100 Claws of Severax, Heavy bolt pistol
Battleline
Intercessor Squad 80 Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Intercessor Squad 80 Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Other Units
Centurion Devastator Squad 350 Centurion fists, Centurion missile launcher, Grav-cannon
Terminator Assault Squad 340 Storm Shield, Thunder hammer, Twin lightning claws
Terminator Squad 320 Power fist, Storm bolter, Cyclone missile launcher
Inceptor Squad 125 Assault bolters, Close combat weapon
Inceptor Squad 125 Assault bolters, Close combat weapon
Librarian In Terminator Armour 110
Librarian In Terminator Armour 100
Incursor Squad 85 Bolt pistol, Occulus bolt carbine, Paired combat blades, Haywire Mine
Reiver Squad 75 Combat knife, Grapnel Launcher, Reiver Grav-chute, Special issue bolt pistol
Scout Squad 65 Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Heavy bolter
Lieutenant In Phobos Armour 45
Forgefather's Seekers + Librarius Conclave 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 22 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
Show list
Characters
Vulkan He’stan 95 Bolt Pistol, Gauntlet of the Forge, Spear of Vulkan
Battleline
Intercessor Squad 80 Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Other Units
Land Raider Redeemer 260 Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon, Hunter-killer missile
Land Raider Redeemer 260 Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon, Hunter-killer missile
Inceptor Squad 250 Close combat weapon, Plasma exterminators
Infernus Squad 180 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Pyreblaster
Aggressor Squad 165 Flamestorm gauntlets, Twin power fists
Aggressor Squad 165 Flamestorm gauntlets, Twin power fists
Land Speeder 105 Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Land Speeder 105 Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Librarian + Temporal Corridor 95 Bolt pistol, Force weapon, Smite
Captain In Gravis Armour 90
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 85
Scout Squad 65 Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Boltgun, Missile launcher, Scout sniper rifle
Orks codex (5 September)
45.2%win rate, rank 24 of 28 4,109 games 1,234 lists from 1,073 players X to X-2 finishes 0.78x entry share going first 2.2 points better
Space Marines won 47.7% of 3,889 games in the 28 days before and 45.2% of 4,109 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 7.1% to 6.3%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
7%
0-20
20%
20-40
37%
40-60
25%
60-80
11%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
38%
Take and Hold
32%
Reconnaissance
16%
Purge the Foe
9%
Disruption
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Librarius Conclave
46%
Forgefather's Seekers
24%
Vengeful Hosts
12%
Reclamation Force
12%
Shadowmark Talon
9%
Blade of Ultramar
8%
Hammer of Avernii
7%
Ceramite Sentinels
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Scout Squad
65%
Intercessor Squad
61%
Bladeguard Veteran Squad
48%
Librarian
41%
Terminator Assault Squad
39%
Assault Intercessors
With Jump Packs
35%
Land Raider Redeemer
33%
Librarian In Terminator
Armour
33%
Terminator Squad
32%
Infernus Squad
30%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Black Templars
Blood Angels
Thousand Sons
Aeldari
Chaos Daemons
World Eaters
T'au Empire
Orks
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Forgefather's Seekers + Librarius Conclave 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
77th place · record 3-0 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
Show list
Battleline
5× Assault Intercessor Squad 75 Assault Intercessor Sergeant: Hand flamer, Power fist, Assault Intercessors: 4 with Astartes Chainsword, Heavy Bolt Pistol
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor 70
Drop Pod 60
Other Units
Land Raider Redeemer 260
10× Infernus Squad 180 Infernus Marines: 9 with Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Pyreblaster, Infernus Sergeant: Bolt pistol ...
10× Infernus Squad 180 Infernus Marines: 9 with Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Pyreblaster, Infernus Sergeant: Bolt pistol ...
6× Aggressor Squad 165 Aggressor Sergeant: Twin power fist, Flamestorm Gauntlets, Aggressors: 5 with Twin power fist, Flamestorm Gauntlets
Gladiator Valiant 150
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 135
4× Company Heroes 105 with Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Master-crafted Bolt Rifle, with Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon ...
Librarian + Immolator 95
Vulkan He’stan 95
3× Eradicator Squad 90 Eradicator: Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Melta rifle, Eradicator Sergeant: Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon ...
3× Eradicator Squad 90 Eradicator: Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Melta rifle, Eradicator Sergeant: Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon ...
5× Incursor Squad 85 with Bolt pistol, Occulus Bolt Carbine, Paired Combat Blades, with Haywire Mine, Bolt pistol, Occulus Bolt Carbine ...
5× Infernus Squad 85 Infernus Marines: 9 with Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Pyreblaster, Infernus Sergeant: Bolt pistol ...
Librarian + Immolator 80
Librarius Conclave + Orbital Assault Force 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 48 players · 5 rounds · 12 Sep
Show list
Other Units
Centurion Devastator Squad 395 Centurion fists, Centurion missile launcher, Twin lascannon
Terminator Squad 320 Power fist, Storm bolter, Cyclone missile launcher
Eradicator Squad 180 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Melta rifle, Multi-melta
Terminator Assault Squad 160 Storm Shield, Thunder hammer, Twin lightning claws
Devastator Squad 120 Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Bolt pistol, Plasma cannon
Librarian In Terminator Armour 110
Infiltrator Squad 110 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Marksman bolt carbine, Helix Gauntlet, Infiltrator Comms Array
Infiltrator Squad 110 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Marksman bolt carbine, Helix Gauntlet, Infiltrator Comms Array
Darnath Lysander 100 Fist of Dorn
Librarian + Fusillade 95 Bolt pistol, Force weapon, Smite
Ancient In Terminator Armour 85
Tor Garadon 80 Artificer grav-gun, Hand of Defiance
Apothecary Biologis 70 Absolvor bolt pistol, Close combat weapon
Scout Squad 65 Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)
49.3%win rate, rank 14 of 27 1,900 games 607 lists from 585 players X to X-2 finishes 1.00x entry share going first 3.1 points better
Space Marines's codex arrived on this date.
Space Marines won 45.2% of 4,109 games in the 28 days before and 51.2% of 4,522 in the
23 days after. Its share of games went from 6.3% to 9.0%. The change of +5.9 points is
clear.
10 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Librarius Conclave
(46% to 3%), Assault Brethren (0% to 30%) and Terminator Storm Force (0% to 27%).
31 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Eradicator Squad with Melta
Rifles (0% to 42%), Intercessor Squad (61% to 27%) and Impulsor (10% to 42%).
7 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Furious Assault (0%
to 30%), Temporal Corridor (28% to 2%) and Imperium's Sword (0% to 22%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
16%
20-40
34%
40-60
24%
60-80
22%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
42%
Priority Assets
30%
Purge the Foe
15%
Reconnaissance
8%
Disruption
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Ironstorm Spearhead
16%
Forgefather's Seekers
14%
Ceramite Sentinels
8%
Librarius Conclave
6%
Shadowmark Talon
6%
Spearpoint Task Force
5%
Assault Brethren
5%
Stormlance Task Force
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Scout Squad
47%
Bladeguard Veteran Squad
37%
Terminator Assault Squad
35%
Impulsor
35%
Eradicator Squad
32%
Terminator Squad
30%
Intercessor Squad
30%
Inceptor Squad
28%
Ancient In Terminator
Armour
26%
Incursor Squad
25%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Necrons
Thousand Sons
Adepta Sororitas
Dark Angels
Adeptus Custodes
Blood Angels
Grey Knights
Aeldari
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Librarius Conclave
46%
3%
-43
-27.0
Unit
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles
0%
42%
+42
+26.0
Unit
Intercessor Squad
61%
27%
-34
-17.7
Unit
Impulsor
10%
42%
+32
+18.5
Unit
Librarian
41%
10%
-32
-19.3
Enhancement
Furious Assault
0%
30%
+30
+21.2
Detachment
Assault Brethren
0%
30%
+30
+20.8
Unit
Marneus Calgar
0%
28%
+28
+20.1
All 48 shifts: 40 more rows
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Enhancement
Temporal Corridor
28%
2%
-27
-20.0
Detachment
Terminator Storm Force
0%
27%
+27
+19.6
Unit
Librarian In Terminator Armour
33%
7%
-26
-17.3
Unit
Marneus Calgar in Armour of Antilochus
26%
2%
-24
-18.2
Enhancement
Imperium's Sword
0%
22%
+22
+17.8
Unit
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs
35%
13%
-21
-13.2
Unit
Roboute Guilliman
7%
26%
+19
+12.9
Unit
Scout Squad
65%
46%
-19
-9.6
Unit
Deathwatch Terminator Squad
0%
17%
+17
+15.3
Unit
Lieutenant
26%
10%
-16
-11.1
Unit
Land Raider Redeemer
33%
18%
-16
-9.5
Enhancement
Celerity
17%
1%
-15
-14.7
Unit
Infernus Squad
30%
16%
-14
-8.8
Unit
Librarian In Phobos Armour
2%
16%
+14
+12.4
Unit
Land Speeder
29%
16%
-14
-8.6
Detachment
Deathwatch Support
0%
13%
+13
+13.2
Unit
Reiver Squad
7%
20%
+13
+9.7
Enhancement
Fusillade
13%
0%
-12
-13.4
Detachment
Ironstorm Spearhead
3%
15%
+12
+10.7
Unit
Infiltrator Squad
17%
5%
-12
-10.3
Detachment
Reclamation Force
12%
0%
-12
-13.5
Detachment
Forgefather's Seekers
24%
12%
-12
-8.1
Enhancement
Immolator
17%
6%
-12
-9.7
Detachment
Vengeful Hosts
12%
1%
-12
-12.6
Unit
Vulkan He’stan
26%
14%
-12
-7.6
Unit
Vanguard Veteran Squad With Jump Packs
22%
11%
-11
-8.0
Unit
Kaius Konorius
0%
11%
+11
+11.8
Unit
Vindicator
11%
1%
-10
-11.3
Detachment
Ironclad Champions
0%
10%
+10
+11.5
Unit
Ancient In Terminator Armour
16%
26%
+10
+6.4
Unit
Aggressor Squad
28%
18%
-10
-6.2
Unit
Bladeguard Veteran Squad
48%
39%
-10
-5.1
Enhancement
Artificer Sarcophagus
0%
10%
+10
+11.2
Unit
Eradicator Squad
23%
13%
-10
-6.5
Unit
Company Heroes
13%
22%
+9
+6.3
Unit
Chaplain On Bike
3%
12%
+9
+9.1
Unit
Captain Titus
13%
4%
-9
-8.6
Unit
Outrider Squad
11%
20%
+8
+6.0
Detachment
Devastator Brethren
0%
8%
+8
+10.3
Unit
Gladiator Lancer
17%
9%
-8
-6.3
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Assault Brethren, Deathwatch Support, and Terminator Storm Force 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 7-1 · 131 players · 8 rounds · 9 Oct
Won an event of 100+ players
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Roboute Guilliman 415 Emperor’s Sword, Hand of Dominion
Librarian In Phobos Armour 75
Battleline
Heavy Intercessor Squad 115 Bolt Pistol, Ceramite Fists, Heavy Bolt Rifle
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor 70 Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Impulsor 70 Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Allied Units
Deathwatch Terminator Squad 200 Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer, Chainfist, Plasma Cannon
Deathwatch Terminator Squad 200 Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer, Chainfist, Plasma Cannon
Other Units
Bladeguard Veteran Squad + Furious Assault 190 Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Sword
Marneus Calgar 180 Gauntlets of Ultramar
Wardens of Ultramar 115 Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Bolt Rifle, Ceramite Fists, Archeotech Laspistol, Power Weapon ...
Eradicator Squad 100
Eradicator Squad 100
Reiver Squad 85 Grapnel Launchers, Grav-chutes, Bolt Carbine, Monomolecular Combat Knife, Special-issue Bolt Pistol
Reiver Squad 85 Grapnel Launchers, Grav-chutes, Bolt Carbine, Monomolecular Combat Knife, Special-issue Bolt Pistol
Forgefather's Seekers + Ironstorm Spearhead 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 6-0 · 106 players · 6 rounds · 10 Oct
Won an event of 100+ players
Show list
Characters
Vulkan He’stan 105 Bolt Pistol, Gauntlet of the Forge, Spear of Vulkan
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor 80 Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Orbital Comms Array, Storm Bolters
Impulsor 80 Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Orbital Comms Array, Storm Bolters
Impulsor 80 Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Orbital Comms Array, Storm Bolters
Other Units
Land Raider Redeemer 245 Armoured Tracks, Flamestorm Cannon, Hunter-killer Missile, Multi-melta, Storm Bolter, Twin Assault Cannon
Gladiator Valiant 185 Armoured Hull, Defensive Array, Multi-melta, Twin Las-talon
Aggressor Squad 180 Flamestorm Gauntlets, Twin Power Fists
Gladiator Valiant 165 Armoured Hull, Defensive Array, Multi-melta, Twin Las-talon
Gladiator Valiant 165 Armoured Hull, Defensive Array, Multi-melta, Twin Las-talon
Eradicator Squad with Heavy Bolters 100
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 100
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 100
Infernus Squad 95 Bolt Pistol, Ceramite Fists, Pyreblaster
Infernus Squad 95 Bolt Pistol, Ceramite Fists, Pyreblaster
Aggressor Squad 90 Flamestorm Gauntlets, Twin Power Fists
Invader ATVs 70 Armoured Impact, Bolt Pistol, Multi-melta, Twin Bolt Rifle
Scout Squad 65 Bolt Pistol, Boltgun, Chainsword, Combat Knife, Missile Launcher, Sniper Rifle
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)
52.5%win rate, rank 5 of 27 2,622 games 873 lists from 834 players X to X-2 finishes 1.03x entry share going first 2.3 points better
Space Marines won 47.3% of 4,158 games in the 28 days before and 52.5% of 2,622 in the
9 days after. Its share of games went from 7.0% to 9.8%. The change of +5.2 points is clear.
8 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Assault Brethren (2%
to 47%), Terminator Storm Force (2% to 42%) and Librarius Conclave (27% to 0%).
21 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Eradicator Squad with Melta
Rifles (8% to 60%), Eradicator Squad (27% to 0%) and Impulsor (22% to 48%).
5 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Furious Assault (13%
to 33%), Temporal Corridor (16% to 0%) and Imperium's Sword (10% to 24%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
4%
0-20
15%
20-40
31%
40-60
29%
60-80
21%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
49%
Priority Assets
27%
Purge the Foe
14%
Reconnaissance
5%
Disruption
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Assault Brethren
47%
Terminator Storm Force
42%
Deathwatch Support
21%
Ironclad Champions
16%
Ironstorm Spearhead
15%
Devastator Brethren
13%
Forgefather's Seekers
11%
Gravis Siege Force
10%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Eradicator Squad with
Melta Rifles
60%
Impulsor
48%
Scout Squad
45%
Bladeguard Veteran Squad
40%
Terminator Assault Squad
37%
Marneus Calgar
33%
Roboute Guilliman
28%
Inceptor Squad
27%
Incursor Squad
26%
Ancient In Terminator
Armour
26%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Drukhari
Chaos Space Marines
Thousand Sons
Astra Militarum
Chaos Knights
Aeldari
Leagues of Votann
Adeptus Mechanicus
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles
8%
60%
+52
+25.9
Detachment
Assault Brethren
2%
47%
+44
+25.3
Detachment
Terminator Storm Force
2%
42%
+41
+24.1
Unit
Eradicator Squad
27%
0%
-27
-16.9
Detachment
Librarius Conclave
27%
0%
-27
-16.8
Unit
Impulsor
22%
48%
+26
+12.8
Unit
Marneus Calgar
11%
33%
+22
+12.6
Unit
Intercessor Squad
47%
25%
-22
-10.2
All 34 shifts: 26 more rows
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Deathwatch Support
1%
21%
+21
+16.6
Enhancement
Furious Assault
13%
33%
+21
+11.6
Unit
Librarian
27%
7%
-20
-11.6
Unit
Deathwatch Terminator Squad
4%
23%
+18
+12.8
Unit
Marneus Calgar in Armour of Antilochus
18%
0%
-18
-13.1
Unit
Librarian In Terminator Armour
21%
5%
-16
-10.5
Unit
Reiver Squad
9%
25%
+16
+10.3
Enhancement
Temporal Corridor
16%
0%
-16
-12.4
Detachment
Ironclad Champions
1%
16%
+15
+13.8
Unit
Librarian In Phobos Armour
5%
20%
+15
+10.9
Unit
Roboute Guilliman
14%
28%
+14
+8.1
Enhancement
Imperium's Sword
10%
24%
+14
+8.9
Unit
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs
25%
12%
-14
-7.9
Detachment
Devastator Brethren
0%
13%
+13
+12.6
Unit
Scout Squad
56%
45%
-11
-5.1
Unit
Lieutenant
19%
9%
-10
-6.6
Unit
Infernus Squad
24%
14%
-10
-5.5
Detachment
Gravis Siege Force
0%
10%
+10
+11.1
Enhancement
Celerity
10%
0%
-10
-9.4
Unit
Infiltrator Squad
13%
4%
-9
-7.0
Unit
Company Heroes
15%
24%
+9
+5.0
Unit
Land Raider Redeemer
25%
17%
-8
-4.6
Detachment
Forgefather's Seekers
19%
11%
-8
-5.1
Enhancement
Immolator
12%
4%
-8
-6.5
Unit
Captain Titus
11%
3%
-8
-7.0
Unit
Land Speeder
23%
15%
-8
-4.6
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Assault Brethren + Deathwatch Support + Terminator Storm Force 1,995 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 50 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
9 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Roboute Guilliman 415 Emperor’s Sword, Hand of Dominion
Company Heroes + Imperium's Sword 145 Master-crafted Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Combat Knife, Master-crafted Bolt Rifle, Master-crafted Heavy Bolter
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor 70 Armoured Hull, Bellicatus Missile Array, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Storm Bolters
Impulsor 70 Armoured Hull, Bellicatus Missile Array, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Storm Bolters
Allied Units
Deathwatch Terminator Squad 220 Chainfist, Storm Bolter, Plasma Cannon, Power Fist, Cyclone Missile Launcher
Deathwatch Terminator Squad 190 Chainfist, Storm Bolter, Plasma Cannon, Power Fist, Cyclone Missile Launcher
Other Units
Marneus Calgar 180 Gauntlets of Ultramar
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 140 Armoured Impact, Stormfury Missile Launcher, Thunderstrike Icarus Rocket Pod, Thunderstrike Las-talon
Victrix Honour Guard 135 Blades of Honour, Banner of Macragge, Master-crafted Bolt Carbine, Master-crafted Power Weapon
Kaius Konorius 100 Heavy Bolt Pistol, Severance and Rebuke
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 100
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 100
Scout Squad 65 Bolt Pistol, Boltgun, Chainsword, Combat Knife, Missile Launcher, Sniper Rifle
Scout Squad 65 Bolt Pistol, Boltgun, Chainsword, Combat Knife, Missile Launcher, Sniper Rifle
Assault Brethren + Deathwatch Support + Terminator Storm Force 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
2nd place · record 6-0 · 85 players · 6 rounds · 17 Oct
43 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Roboute Guilliman 415 Emperor’s Sword, Hand of Dominion
Librarian In Phobos Armour 75
Battleline
Heavy Intercessor Squad 115 Bolt Pistol, Ceramite Fists, Heavy Bolt Rifle, Heavy Bolter
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor 70 Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Impulsor 70 Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Other Units
Deathwatch Terminator Squad 200 Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer, Chainfist, Plasma Cannon
Deathwatch Terminator Squad 200 Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer, Chainfist, Plasma Cannon
Bladeguard Veteran Squad + Furious Assault 190 Master-crafted Power Sword, Neo-volkite Pistol, Heavy Bolt Pistol
Marneus Calgar 180 Gauntlets of Ultramar
Wardens of Ultramar 115 Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Bolt Rifle, Ceramite Fists, Archeotech Laspistol, Power Weapon ...
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 100
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 100
Reiver Squad 85 Grav-chutes, Bolt Carbine, Monomolecular Combat Knife, Special-issue Bolt Pistol
Reiver Squad 85 Grav-chutes, Bolt Carbine, Monomolecular Combat Knife, Special-issue Bolt Pistol
Death Guard
Death Guard Whole edition Detachments Over time Force Disposition Results brackets Enhancements Combinations Units Pick-rate shifts Matchups Lists Team events Milestones 22 Jul 26 Aug 5 Sep 3 Oct 17 Oct
Whole edition
48.1%win rate, rank 18 of 28 10,233 games 2,983 lists from 1,891 players top-10% finishes 0.70x entry share going first 3.4 points better 47.5% adjusted for player skill
Shamblerot Vectorium lists have a win rate 7.2 points above the faction
average and make up 19% of the faction's lists. Death Guard climbed from 45.9% in the first
period (19 Jun to 21 Jul) to 52.1% in the latest (3 Oct to 25 Oct), one of 10 factions
with a clear change over the period. The season figure is 48.1% (rank 18 of 28, 10,233
games), which understates where it stands now. Shamblerot Vectorium went from 7% to 33%
of the faction's lists between the first period and the last 28 days. 38.3% of its players
won at least 60% of their games, against 46.5% of all players.
Detachments
9 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 6 of them account for 80% of picks. The most
played is Paragons of Putrescence (45% of lists), and 61% of lists run more than one detachment.
3 detachments differ from the faction average. Best: Shamblerot Vectorium (7.2 points above
the faction average, 19% of lists). Weakest: Flyblown Host (6.1 points below the faction
average, 9% of lists).
Detachment
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
P1
P2
P3
P4
Paragons of Putrescence
1,349
45%
+2.1 ± 0.7
+3.0
38%
48%
48%
47%
Virulent Vectorium
899
30%
+0.2 ± 0.9
+0.2
30%
33%
27%
31%
Shamblerot Vectorium
562
19%
+7.2 ± 1.1
+6.9
7%
10%
22%
33%
Contagion Engines
421
14%
-3.0 ± 1.2
-2.5
18%
10%
16%
12%
Champions of Contagion
399
13%
-1.3 ± 1.3
-1.0
17%
15%
13%
9%
Tallyband Summoners
316
11%
-1.9 ± 1.3
-1.4
9%
13%
13%
7%
Death Lord's Chosen
308
10%
-1.7 ± 1.4
-1.2
14%
13%
8%
7%
Mortarion's Hammer
277
9%
-4.4 ± 1.6
-2.7
10%
9%
10%
8%
Flyblown Host
254
9%
-6.1 ± 1.5
-4.0
13%
11%
6%
5%
Over time
Share of games per week (%)
3
4
5
5.0
4.9
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval
40
50
51.5
52.4
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Period
Lists
Share of all lists
Games
Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul
653
4.2%
2,179
45.9%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug
701
3.8%
2,432
44.3%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct
885
3.8%
3,167
49.5%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct
744
4.9%
2,455
52.1%
Around each milestone, 28 days before and after
Milestone
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul)
1,783 / 1,966
44.5% to 44.1%
-0.4
-0.2
4.0% to 3.9%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug)
1,878 / 2,226
43.9% to 48.5%
+4.6
+3.0
3.8% to 3.8%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep)
1,941 / 2,593
45.6% to 49.9%
+4.4
+2.9
3.6% to 4.0%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct)
2,593 / 2,455
49.9% to 52.1%
+2.2
+1.5
4.0% to 4.9%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data
2,524 / 1,318
51.9% to 50.8%
-1.1
-0.6
4.3% to 4.9%
Force Disposition
Disruption has a win rate 5.8 points above the faction's other choices.
Disposition
Share of games
Games
Win rate
Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Take and Hold
35%
3,128
46.6%
-1.6 ± 0.9
Priority Assets
30%
2,694
49.3%
+1.2 ± 1.0
Disruption
15%
1,296
53.5%
+5.8 ± 1.5
Purge the Foe
12%
1,033
45.0%
-3.2 ± 1.7
Reconnaissance
9%
774
48.3%
+0.2 ± 1.8
Results brackets
241 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 19 won
X, 66 won X-1 and 156 won X-2, from 681 entries.
Share of players by share of games won
5%
0-20
19%
20-40
37%
40-60
27%
60-80
12%
80-100
line = all factions
Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2
2.8%
X
3.1%
X-1
3.7%
X-2
dashed = share of entries, 4.0%
Tier
Lists
Share of tier
Share of entries
Ratio
z
X
19
2.8%
4.0%
0.70x
-1.6
X-1
66
3.1%
4.0%
0.78x
-2.1
X-2
156
3.7%
4.0%
0.92x
-1.1
X to X-2
241
3.4%
4.0%
0.86x
-2.5
Share of games won
Players
Share of players
All players
0 to 20%
32
5.4%
4.1%
20 to 40%
115
19.4%
17.2%
40 to 60%
218
36.8%
32.2%
60 to 80%
158
26.7%
30.1%
80 to 100%
69
11.7%
16.4%
Enhancements
28 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Rejuvenating Swarm (23%
of lists). One enhancement differs from the other enhancements in its detachment: Insectile
Murmuration (10.2 points below the rest).
Enhancement
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Rejuvenating Swarm
685
23%
+1.7 ± 0.9
+1.8
Revolting Regeneration
643
22%
+1.5 ± 1.0
+1.5
Daemon Weapon of Nurgle
376
13%
-1.8 ± 1.3
-1.3
Furnace of Plagues
277
9%
-3.4 ± 1.7
-2.1
Sorrowsyphon
252
8%
+4.1 ± 1.5
+2.8
Beckoning Blight
227
8%
+0.2 ± 1.6
+0.2
Warprot Talisman
218
7%
+1.4 ± 1.6
+0.8
Arch Contaminator
183
6%
-0.2 ± 1.9
-0.1
Insectile Murmuration
59
2%
-10.2 ± 2.8
-3.7
Combinations
16 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common
is Paragons of Putrescence + Shamblerot Vectorium (384 lists, 13%). Best: Paragons of Putrescence
+ Shamblerot Vectorium (11.8 points above the faction average). Weakest: Death Lord's
Chosen + Flyblown Host (17.9 points below the faction average).
Combination
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Paragons of Putrescence + Shamblerot Vectorium
384
13%
+11.8 ± 1.4
+8.6
Champions of Contagion + Paragons of Putrescence
316
11%
-1.7 ± 1.5
-1.1
Death Lord's Chosen + Paragons of Putrescence
186
6%
+1.6 ± 1.8
+0.9
Paragons of Putrescence + Tallyband Summoners
181
6%
-2.1 ± 1.9
-1.1
Mortarion's Hammer + Paragons of Putrescence
120
4%
-3.9 ± 2.6
-1.5
Contagion Engines + Mortarion's Hammer
86
3%
-3.1 ± 3.2
-1.0
Contagion Engines + Shamblerot Vectorium
85
3%
+4.6 ± 3.2
+1.5
Contagion Engines + Death Lord's Chosen
78
3%
-8.2 ± 3.1
-2.6
Flyblown Host + Tallyband Summoners
41
1%
-11.7 ± 3.7
-3.2
Flyblown Host + Mortarion's Hammer
38
1%
-15.9 ± 4.7
-3.3
Death Lord's Chosen + Flyblown Host
27
1%
-17.9 ± 4.3
-4.2
Units
A typical list contains 11 distinct units. 8 units appear in at least half of all lists
and 21 in at least 10%. The most common is Poxwalkers (89% of lists). One datasheet never
appeared: Death Guard Cultists. 3 datasheets appeared in under 1% of lists: Chaos Predator
Annihilator, Miasmic Malignifier, Plague Drones.
Of 35 units in 40 or more lists, 3 have a clear effect on results (3 positive, 0 negative).
Best: Malignant Plaguecaster (2.2 points above comparable lists, 56% of lists), Defiler
(2.1 points above comparable lists, 45% of lists) and Chaos Rhino (2.1 points above comparable
lists, 48% of lists).
Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-5
0
+5
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Malignant Plaguecaster
Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-5
0
+5
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Shamblerot Vectorium
Flyblown Host
Paragons of Putrescence
Most played units
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Poxwalkers
2,639
88.5%
+0.7 ± 0.5
+1.5
Deathshroud Terminators
2,187
73.3%
-0.0 ± 0.5
-0.0
Lord of Contagion
2,065
69.2%
+0.4 ± 0.6
+0.8
Myphitic Blight-hauler
1,907
63.9%
-0.1 ± 0.6
-0.1
Malignant Plaguecaster
1,674
56.1%
+2.2 ± 0.6
+3.5
Tallyman
1,619
54.3%
+0.4 ± 0.6
+0.7
Plague Marines
1,591
53.3%
-0.6 ± 0.6
-0.9
Typhus
1,561
52.3%
+0.9 ± 0.6
+1.3
Mortarion
1,457
48.8%
+1.4 ± 0.6
+2.2
Chaos Rhino
1,445
48.4%
+2.1 ± 0.7
+3.2
Defiler
1,341
45.0%
+2.1 ± 0.7
+3.3
Lord of Virulence
1,317
44.2%
-1.2 ± 0.7
-1.7
Pick-rate shifts
Type
Name
First period
Prior 28 days
Last 28 days
Change vs first period (pp)
Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Unit
Mortarion
36%
57%
62%
+26
+6
Unit
Foetid Bloat-drone with Heavy Blight Launcher
55%
34%
29%
-26
-5
Detachment
Shamblerot Vectorium
7%
24%
33%
+26
+9
Unit
Typhus
38%
55%
64%
+25
+9
Unit
Chaos Rhino
36%
53%
60%
+24
+8
Unit
Deathshroud Terminators
84%
67%
62%
-23
-5
Unit
Noxious Blightbringer
11%
24%
34%
+22
+10
Unit
Defiler
38%
50%
57%
+19
+6
Unit
Lord of Contagion
78%
64%
59%
-19
-5
Unit
Plague Marines
62%
49%
43%
-18
-6
Unit
Myphitic Blight-hauler
56%
69%
73%
+17
+4
Unit
Malignant Plaguecaster
47%
61%
63%
+16
+2
Matchups
Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Chaos Knights (58.3% over
242 games) and the worst is Orks (42.9% over 706).
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Chaos Knights
242
58.3%
52.0% to 64.3%
51.3%
+6.9
favourable
Black Templars
145
55.9%
47.7% to 63.7%
52.9%
+2.9
Imperial Agents
45
55.6%
41.2% to 69.1%
54.6%
+1.0
World Eaters
456
53.0%
48.4% to 57.5%
48.3%
+4.7
Grey Knights
263
52.7%
46.6% to 58.6%
51.1%
+1.6
Dark Angels
481
44.6%
40.2% to 49.1%
44.8%
-0.2
unfavourable
Chaos Daemons
393
44.0%
39.2% to 49.0%
43.5%
+0.5
unfavourable
Drukhari
235
43.8%
37.6% to 50.2%
51.3%
-7.4
Necrons
654
43.5%
39.8% to 47.3%
46.7%
-3.2
unfavourable
Orks
706
42.9%
39.3% to 46.6%
42.9%
-0.0
unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 17 more rows
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Space Wolves
266
52.6%
46.6% to 58.6%
49.1%
+3.5
Aeldari
293
51.4%
45.7% to 57.0%
52.6%
-1.2
Blood Angels
317
50.9%
45.5% to 56.4%
52.2%
-1.3
Astra Militarum
393
50.8%
45.8% to 55.7%
57.7%
-7.0
Chaos Space Marines
497
50.3%
45.9% to 54.7%
51.0%
-0.7
Deathwatch
70
50.0%
38.6% to 61.4%
44.5%
+5.5
Space Marines
854
49.8%
46.5% to 53.2%
49.5%
+0.3
Emperor's Children
420
49.5%
44.8% to 54.3%
46.9%
+2.7
Leagues of Votann
408
48.8%
44.0% to 53.6%
46.4%
+2.4
Thousand Sons
307
48.7%
43.2% to 54.3%
47.8%
+0.9
Tyranids
571
48.6%
44.5% to 52.7%
48.3%
+0.3
Imperial Knights
421
46.8%
42.1% to 51.6%
49.6%
-2.8
Adeptus Custodes
658
46.6%
42.8% to 50.4%
44.0%
+2.6
T'au Empire
497
46.4%
42.0% to 50.8%
46.4%
-0.1
Genestealer Cult
136
46.0%
37.8% to 54.3%
50.7%
-4.7
Adeptus Mechanicus
251
45.8%
39.8% to 52.0%
47.6%
-1.8
Adepta Sororitas
254
45.1%
39.1% to 51.2%
47.9%
-2.8
Each extra 2.0 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 3.8 points
lower; the average list has 10.5. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength
model, milestone moves and terrain layout.
Representative lists
Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists
are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events
with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties,
and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.
Paragons of Putrescence + Shamblerot Vectorium 2,000 pts
Disruption
Won the event · record 6-0 · 116 players · 6 rounds · 12 Sep
Won an event of 100+ players
221 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Mortarion 375 Lantern, Rotwind, Silence
Malignant Plaguecaster + Sorrowsyphon 60 Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 75 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Allied Units
Knight Despoiler 380 Despoiler battle cannon, Diabolus heavy stubber, Ruinspear rocket pod, Titanic feet
Other Units
Defiler 330 Excruciator cannon, Hades battle cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Poxwalkers 130 Improvised weapon
Typhus 100 Lakrimae
Myphitic Blight-hauler 95
Myphitic Blight-hauler 95
Myphitic Blight-hauler 95
Malignant Plaguecaster + Sorrowsyphon 70 Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Poxwalkers 65 Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers 65 Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers 65 Improvised weapon
Virulent Vectorium 2,000 pts
4th place · record 7-1 · 267 players · 8 rounds · 19 Jun
104 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Mortarion 380 Lantern, Rotwind, Silence
Daemon Prince of Nurgle + Revolting Regeneration 215 Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Lord of Contagion 120 Manreaper
Malignant Plaguecaster 60 Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Malignant Plaguecaster 60 Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Tallyman 50 Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol
Battleline
Plague Marines 95 Plasma gun, Power fist, Blight launcher, Heavy plague weapon, Plague knives, Plague spewer
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 85 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler 250 Excruciator cannon, Hades battle cannon, Hades lascannon, Shearing claws
Defiler 250 Excruciator cannon, Hades battle cannon, Hades lascannon, Shearing claws
Deathshroud Terminators 160 Icon of Despair (Aura), Manreaper, Plaguespurt gauntlet
Chaos Spawn 80 Hideous mutations
Poxwalkers 65 Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers 65 Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers 65 Improvised weapon
Team events
47.8%win rate in team events 2,048 games 522 lists from 450 players -0.5 points against individual events going first 5.2 points better
Death Guard won 47.8% of 2,048 team event games, against 48.2% of 8,185 in individual
events: 0.5 points lower (not clear). It makes up 4.4% of team event games and 4.0% of
individual event games.
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
34%
Disruption
26%
Priority Assets
22%
Reconnaissance
9%
Purge the Foe
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments
share
win rate
Paragons of Putrescence
45%
Virulent Vectorium
30%
Shamblerot Vectorium
25%
Contagion Engines
12%
Champions of Contagion
11%
Tallyband Summoners
11%
Mortarion's Hammer
7%
Flyblown Host
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups
win rate against
Chaos Space Marines
Chaos Knights
Leagues of Votann
Grey Knights
Drukhari
Space Marines
Space Wolves
Adepta Sororitas
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events.
Dashed: team events win rate.
Milestones
5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after,
with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.
July balance & rules update (22 July)
44.1%win rate, rank 26 of 28 1,966 games 557 lists from 497 players X to X-2 finishes 0.67x entry share going first 4.9 points better
Death Guard won 44.5% of 1,783 games in the 28 days before and 44.1% of 1,966 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.0% to 3.9%.
One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Contagion Engines
(20% to 10%).
One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Foetid Bloat-drone with
Heavy Blight Launcher (55% to 42%).
One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Revolting Regeneration
(14% to 26%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
11%
0-20
22%
20-40
40%
40-60
23%
60-80
5%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
44%
Priority Assets
31%
Disruption
9%
Purge the Foe
8%
Reconnaissance
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Paragons of Putrescence
47%
Virulent Vectorium
33%
Champions of Contagion
16%
Tallyband Summoners
13%
Death Lord's Chosen
12%
Mortarion's Hammer
10%
Flyblown Host
10%
Shamblerot Vectorium
10%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Poxwalkers
86%
Deathshroud Terminators
83%
Lord of Contagion
77%
Plague Marines
62%
Tallyman
59%
Myphitic Blight-hauler
57%
Malignant Plaguecaster
52%
Typhus
50%
Lord of Virulence
48%
Chaos Rhino
43%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Aeldari
Chaos Knights
Space Wolves
T'au Empire
Dark Angels
Necrons
Adeptus Custodes
Leagues of Votann
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Foetid Bloat-drone with Heavy Blight Launcher
55%
42%
-13
-4.2
Enhancement
Revolting Regeneration
14%
26%
+12
+5.0
Detachment
Contagion Engines
20%
10%
-10
-4.8
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Virulent Vectorium 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
2nd place · record 4-1 · 25 players · 5 rounds · 25 Jul
6 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Mortarion 390 Lantern, Rotwind, Silence
Daemon Prince of Nurgle + Revolting Regeneration 225 Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Tallyman 60 Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol
Battleline
Plague Marines 180 Plasma gun, Power fist, Blight launcher, Bubotic weapons, Heavy plague weapon, Plague knives, Plague spewer
Plague Marines 180 Plasma gun, Power fist, Blight launcher, Bubotic weapons, Heavy plague weapon, Plague knives, Plague spewer
Plague Marines 180 Plasma gun, Power fist, Blight launcher, Bubotic weapons, Heavy plague weapon, Plague knives, Plague spewer
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 75 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Deathshroud Terminators 160 Icon of Despair (Aura), Manreaper, Plaguespurt gauntlet
Malignant Plaguecaster + Daemon Weapon of Nurgle 85 Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Malignant Plaguecaster + Daemon Weapon of Nurgle 85 Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Malignant Plaguecaster + Daemon Weapon of Nurgle 70 Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Poxwalkers 65 Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers 65 Improvised weapon
Biologus Putrifier 60 Hyper blight grenades, Injector pistol, Plague knives
Biologus Putrifier 60 Hyper blight grenades, Injector pistol, Plague knives
Biologus Putrifier 60 Hyper blight grenades, Injector pistol, Plague knives
Virulent Vectorium 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
34th place · record 4-1-1 · 336 players · 6 rounds · 1 Aug
18 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Mortarion 390 Lantern, Rotwind, Silence
Tallyman 60 Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol
Other Units
Deathshroud Terminators 305 Icon of Despair (Aura), Manreaper, Plaguespurt gauntlet
Deathshroud Terminators 305 Icon of Despair (Aura), Manreaper, Plaguespurt gauntlet
Lord of Contagion + Daemon Weapon of Nurgle 130 Manreaper
Poxwalkers 130 Improvised weapon
Lord of Contagion + Daemon Weapon of Nurgle 120 Manreaper
Foetid Bloat-drone 100
Foetid Bloat-drone 100
Myphitic Blight-hauler 100
Myphitic Blight-hauler 100
Chaos Spawn 80 Hideous mutations
Chaos Spawn 80 Hideous mutations
August balance & rules update (26 August)
47.7%win rate, rank 20 of 27 574 games 150 lists from 147 players X to X-2 finishes 0.86x entry share going first 9.2 points worse
Death Guard won 43.9% of 1,878 games in the 28 days before and 48.5% of 2,226 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.8% to 3.8%.
One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Shamblerot Vectorium
(10% to 21%).
5 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Mortarion (39% to 54%),
Defiler (36% to 48%) and Plague Marines (61% to 49%).
One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Sorrowsyphon (3%
to 13%).
Charts for this window
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
35%
Take and Hold
32%
Disruption
11%
Purge the Foe
11%
Reconnaissance
10%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Paragons of Putrescence
50%
Virulent Vectorium
25%
Tallyband Summoners
18%
Contagion Engines
18%
Champions of Contagion
15%
Shamblerot Vectorium
14%
Mortarion's Hammer
11%
Flyblown Host
10%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Poxwalkers
84%
Deathshroud Terminators
77%
Lord of Contagion
74%
Myphitic Blight-hauler
63%
Tallyman
62%
Mortarion
53%
Typhus
51%
Malignant Plaguecaster
50%
Plague Marines
47%
Lord of Virulence
46%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Mortarion
39%
54%
+15
+5.0
Unit
Defiler
36%
48%
+13
+4.3
Unit
Plague Marines
61%
49%
-12
-4.1
Unit
Noxious Blightbringer
13%
25%
+12
+5.0
Unit
Deathshroud Terminators
80%
69%
-11
-4.4
Detachment
Shamblerot Vectorium
10%
21%
+10
+4.9
Enhancement
Sorrowsyphon
3%
13%
+10
+6.1
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Contagion Engines + Mortarion's Hammer 1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
3rd place · record 4-1 · 30 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lord of Virulence + Tendrilous Emissions 130 Power fist, Twin plague spewer
Other Units
Plagueburst Crawler 200 Armoured tracks, Entropy cannon, Heavy slugger, Plagueburst mortar, Rothail volley gun
Plagueburst Crawler 200 Armoured tracks, Entropy cannon, Heavy slugger, Plagueburst mortar, Rothail volley gun
Plagueburst Crawler 170 Armoured tracks, Entropy cannon, Heavy slugger, Plagueburst mortar, Rothail volley gun
Foetid Bloat-drone with Heavy Blight Launcher 135
Foetid Bloat-drone with Heavy Blight Launcher 125
Foetid Bloat-drone with Heavy Blight Launcher 125
Helbrute + Parasitic Woe‑reaper 125 Close combat weapon, Heavy flamer, Helbrute fist
Helbrute + Parasitic Woe‑reaper 125 Close combat weapon, Heavy flamer, Helbrute fist
Foetid Bloat-drone 100
Myphitic Blight-hauler 95
Myphitic Blight-hauler 95
Myphitic Blight-hauler 95
Chaos Spawn 80 Hideous mutations
Poxwalkers 65 Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers 65 Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers 65 Improvised weapon
Paragons of Putrescence + Tallyband Summoners 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 3-0 · 19 players · 3 rounds · 29 Aug
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Rotigus 280 Gnarlrod, Streams of brackish filth
Great Unclean One 265 Bilesword, Plague flail, Putrid vomit
Lord of Virulence + Beckoning Blight 120 Power fist, Twin plague spewer
Lord of Poxes + Host of the Hybridised Pox 105 Great plague blade, Plasma pistol
Battleline
Plague Marines 180 Plasma gun, Power fist, Blight launcher, Heavy plague weapon, Plague knives, Plague spewer
Plaguebearers 115 Plaguesword, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 75 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler 330 Excruciator cannon, Hades battle cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Chaos Predator Destructor 145 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher, Heavy bolter, Predator autocannon
Malignant Plaguecaster + Fell Harvester 70 Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Beasts of Nurgle 70 Putrid appendages
Beasts of Nurgle 70 Putrid appendages
Beasts of Nurgle 70 Putrid appendages
Biologus Putrifier 60 Hyper blight grenades, Injector pistol, Plague knives
Nurglings 45 Diseased claws and teeth
Orks codex (5 September)
49.9%win rate, rank 12 of 28 2,593 games 735 lists from 645 players X to X-2 finishes 1.09x entry share going first 7.4 points better
Death Guard won 45.6% of 1,941 games in the 28 days before and 49.9% of 2,593 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.6% to 4.0%.
One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Shamblerot Vectorium
(12% to 24%).
3 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Mortarion (42% to 57%),
Myphitic Blight-hauler (55% to 69%) and Deathshroud Terminators (78% to 67%).
One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Sorrowsyphon (5%
to 15%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
2%
0-20
17%
20-40
35%
40-60
31%
60-80
16%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
34%
Priority Assets
28%
Disruption
22%
Reconnaissance
9%
Purge the Foe
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Paragons of Putrescence
47%
Virulent Vectorium
27%
Shamblerot Vectorium
24%
Contagion Engines
16%
Champions of Contagion
13%
Tallyband Summoners
11%
Mortarion's Hammer
9%
Death Lord's Chosen
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Poxwalkers
90%
Myphitic Blight-hauler
69%
Deathshroud Terminators
67%
Lord of Contagion
64%
Malignant Plaguecaster
61%
Mortarion
57%
Typhus
54%
Chaos Rhino
53%
Tallyman
51%
Defiler
50%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Blood Angels
World Eaters
Chaos Knights
Leagues of Votann
Drukhari
Adeptus Mechanicus
Dark Angels
Necrons
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Mortarion
42%
57%
+15
+5.3
Unit
Myphitic Blight-hauler
55%
69%
+14
+5.0
Detachment
Shamblerot Vectorium
12%
24%
+12
+5.6
Unit
Deathshroud Terminators
78%
67%
-11
-4.5
Enhancement
Sorrowsyphon
5%
15%
+10
+5.7
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Paragons of Putrescence + Shamblerot Vectorium 2,000 pts
Disruption
Won the event · record 6-0 · 116 players · 6 rounds · 12 Sep
Won an event of 100+ players
82 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Mortarion 375 Lantern, Rotwind, Silence
Malignant Plaguecaster + Sorrowsyphon 60 Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 75 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Allied Units
Knight Despoiler 380 Despoiler battle cannon, Diabolus heavy stubber, Ruinspear rocket pod, Titanic feet
Other Units
Defiler 330 Excruciator cannon, Hades battle cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Poxwalkers 130 Improvised weapon
Typhus 100 Lakrimae
Myphitic Blight-hauler 95
Myphitic Blight-hauler 95
Myphitic Blight-hauler 95
Malignant Plaguecaster + Sorrowsyphon 70 Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Poxwalkers 65 Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers 65 Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers 65 Improvised weapon
Virulent Vectorium 1,995 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 15 players · 5 rounds · 19 Sep
5 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Mortarion 375 Lantern, Rotwind, Silence
Daemon Prince of Nurgle + Revolting Regeneration 225 Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Tallyman 60 Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol
Icon Bearer 45 Boltgun, Plague knife
Battleline
Plague Marines 180 Plasma gun, Power fist, Blight launcher, Heavy plague weapon, Plague knives, Plague spewer
Plague Marines 180 Plasma gun, Power fist, Blight launcher, Heavy plague weapon, Plague knives, Plague spewer
Plague Marines 180 Plasma gun, Power fist, Blight launcher, Heavy plague weapon, Plague knives, Plague spewer
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 75 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Deathshroud Terminators 160 Icon of Despair (Aura), Manreaper, Plaguespurt gauntlet
Malignant Plaguecaster + Arch Contaminator 85 Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Poxwalkers 65 Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers 65 Improvised weapon
Biologus Putrifier 60 Hyper blight grenades, Injector pistol, Plague knives
Malignant Plaguecaster + Arch Contaminator 60 Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Malignant Plaguecaster + Arch Contaminator 60 Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Biologus Putrifier 60 Hyper blight grenades, Injector pistol, Plague knives
Biologus Putrifier 60 Hyper blight grenades, Injector pistol, Plague knives
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)
53.6%win rate, rank 5 of 27 1,137 games 335 lists from 323 players X to X-2 finishes 0.96x entry share going first 0.8 points better
Death Guard won 49.9% of 2,593 games in the 28 days before and 52.1% of 2,455 in the
23 days after. Its share of games went from 4.0% to 4.9%.
One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Noxious Blightbringer (24%
to 34%).
Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
8%
0-20
11%
20-40
31%
40-60
31%
60-80
18%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
29%
Take and Hold
29%
Disruption
17%
Purge the Foe
14%
Reconnaissance
10%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Paragons of Putrescence
46%
Virulent Vectorium
32%
Shamblerot Vectorium
30%
Contagion Engines
12%
Tallyband Summoners
10%
Champions of Contagion
8%
Mortarion's Hammer
8%
Death Lord's Chosen
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Poxwalkers
88%
Myphitic Blight-hauler
70%
Malignant Plaguecaster
64%
Typhus
62%
Deathshroud Terminators
62%
Mortarion
61%
Chaos Rhino
60%
Lord of Contagion
58%
Defiler
53%
Plague Marines
46%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Leagues of Votann
World Eaters
Necrons
Chaos Space Marines
Orks
Tyranids
T'au Empire
Dark Angels
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Noxious Blightbringer
24%
34%
+10
+4.2
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Virulent Vectorium 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 47 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
6 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Mortarion 375 Lantern, Rotwind, Silence
Daemon Prince of Nurgle with Wings + Revolting Regeneration 190 Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Daemon Prince of Nurgle 185 Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Typhus 90 Lakrimae
Tallyman 60 Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol
Other Units
Defiler 330 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Deathshroud Terminators 150 Icon of Despair (Aura), Manreaper, Plaguespurt gauntlet
Deathshroud Terminators 150 Icon of Despair (Aura), Manreaper, Plaguespurt gauntlet
Lord of Contagion + Furnace of Plagues 135 Manreaper
Lord of Contagion + Furnace of Plagues 110 Manreaper
Myphitic Blight-hauler 95
Poxwalkers 65 Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers 65 Improvised weapon
Virulent Vectorium 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 39 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
Show list
Characters
Mortarion 375 Lantern, Rotwind, Silence
Daemon Prince of Nurgle + Revolting Regeneration 215 Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Typhus 90 Lakrimae
Tallyman 60 Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol
Icon Bearer 45 Boltgun, Plague knife
Battleline
Plague Marines 175 Plasma gun, Power fist, Blight launcher, Heavy plague weapon, Plague knives, Plague spewer
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 75 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Blightlord Terminators 370 Bubotic blade, Combi-bolter, Blight launcher, Plague spewer, Reaper autocannon
Defiler 330 Excruciator cannon, Hades battle cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Chaos Spawn 80 Hideous mutations
Poxwalkers 65 Improvised weapon
Biologus Putrifier 60 Hyper blight grenades, Injector pistol, Plague knives
Malignant Plaguecaster 60 Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)
50.8%win rate, rank 9 of 27 1,318 games 409 lists from 393 players X to X-2 finishes 0.93x entry share going first 1.7 points better
Death Guard won 51.9% of 2,524 games in the 28 days before and 50.8% of 1,318 in the
9 days after. Its share of games went from 4.3% to 4.9%.
One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Knight Despoiler (2% to 12%).
Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
2%
0-20
17%
20-40
36%
40-60
27%
60-80
18%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
32%
Take and Hold
25%
Disruption
18%
Purge the Foe
18%
Reconnaissance
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Paragons of Putrescence
47%
Shamblerot Vectorium
36%
Virulent Vectorium
31%
Contagion Engines
12%
Champions of Contagion
9%
Mortarion's Hammer
8%
Death Lord's Chosen
6%
Tallyband Summoners
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Poxwalkers
91%
Myphitic Blight-hauler
75%
Typhus
66%
Malignant Plaguecaster
64%
Mortarion
64%
Chaos Rhino
61%
Defiler
60%
Deathshroud Terminators
60%
Lord of Contagion
59%
Tallyman
45%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Chaos Space Marines
Imperial Knights
Adeptus Custodes
Aeldari
T'au Empire
Leagues of Votann
Adeptus Mechanicus
Orks
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Knight Despoiler
2%
12%
+10
+6.7
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Paragons of Putrescence + Shamblerot Vectorium 1,995 pts
Priority Assets
2nd place · record 7-1 · 143 players · 8 rounds · 23 Oct
87 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Mortarion 375 Lantern, Rotwind, Silence
Malignant Plaguecaster + Sorrowsyphon 60 Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 75 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Allied Units
Knight Despoiler 380 Despoiler battle cannon, Diabolus heavy stubber, Ruinspear rocket pod, Titanic feet
Other Units
Defiler 330 Excruciator cannon, Hades battle cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Poxwalkers 130 Improvised weapon
Myphitic Blight-hauler 95
Myphitic Blight-hauler 95
Myphitic Blight-hauler 95
Typhus 90 Lakrimae
Noxious Blightbringer + Rejuvenating Swarm 70 Cursed plague bell, Plasma pistol
Malignant Plaguecaster + Sorrowsyphon 70 Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Poxwalkers 65 Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers 65 Improvised weapon
Paragons of Putrescence 1,995 pts
Disruption
Won the event · record 5-0 · 40 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
87 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Mortarion 375 Lantern, Rotwind, Silence
Malignant Plaguecaster + Sorrowsyphon 60 Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 75 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Allied Units
Knight Despoiler 380 Daemonbreath meltagun, Despoiler battle cannon, Diabolus heavy stubber, Ruinspear rocket pod, Titanic feet
Other Units
Defiler 330 Excruciator cannon, Hades battle cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Poxwalkers 130 Improvised weapon
Myphitic Blight-hauler 95
Myphitic Blight-hauler 95
Myphitic Blight-hauler 95
Typhus 90 Lakrimae
Noxious Blightbringer + Rejuvenating Swarm 70 Cursed plague bell, Plasma pistol
Malignant Plaguecaster + Sorrowsyphon 70 Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Poxwalkers 65 Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers 65 Improvised weapon
Genestealer Cult
Genestealer Cult Whole edition Over time Detachments Pick-rate shifts Matchups Results brackets Units Combinations Enhancements Force Disposition Lists Team events Milestones 22 Jul 26 Aug 5 Sep 3 Oct 17 Oct
Whole edition
47.5%win rate, rank 19 of 28 3,617 games 1,010 lists from 646 players top-10% finishes 1.01x entry share going first 6.6 points better 46.6% adjusted for player skill
Genestealer Cult fell from 50.8% in the first period (19 Jun to 21 Jul)
to 42.6% in the latest (3 Oct to 25 Oct), one of 10 factions with a clear change over the
period. Purestrain Broodswarm lists have a win rate 4.9 points below the faction average
and make up 25% of the faction's lists. The season figure is 47.5% (rank 19 of 28, 3,617
games), which overstates where it stands now. Biosanctic Broodsurge went from 25% to 45%
of the faction's lists between the first period and the last 28 days.
Over time
Share of games per week (%)
1
1.5
2
1.0
1.2
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval
40
60
36.1
55.1
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Period
Lists
Share of all lists
Games
Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul
210
1.3%
728
50.8%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug
269
1.5%
941
47.9%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct
355
1.5%
1,352
47.7%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct
176
1.2%
596
42.6%
Around each milestone, 28 days before and after
Milestone
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul)
627 / 792
50.0% to 48.4%
-1.6
-0.6
1.4% to 1.6%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug)
698 / 1,025
49.6% to 47.6%
-2.0
-0.8
1.4% to 1.7%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep)
879 / 990
48.8% to 47.0%
-1.8
-0.8
1.6% to 1.5%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct)
990 / 596
47.0% to 42.6%
-4.4
-1.7
1.5% to 1.2%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data
827 / 301
45.8% to 41.2%
-4.6
-1.4
1.4% to 1.1%
Detachments
9 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 5 of them account for 80% of picks. The most
played is Xenocult Masses (62% of lists), and 84% of lists run more than one detachment.
One detachment differs from the faction average. Weakest: Purestrain Broodswarm (4.9 points
below the faction average, 25% of lists).
Detachment
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
P1
P2
P3
P4
Xenocult Masses
624
62%
+0.6 ± 1.0
+0.6
52%
69%
65%
56%
Biosanctic Broodsurge
376
37%
+1.7 ± 1.2
+1.4
25%
38%
40%
45%
Heroes of the Uprising
256
25%
-4.7 ± 1.6
-2.9
21%
25%
27%
28%
Purestrain Broodswarm
254
25%
-4.9 ± 1.6
-3.1
29%
24%
20%
32%
Final Day
157
16%
+2.3 ± 1.9
+1.2
19%
16%
14%
14%
Xenocreed Congregation
118
12%
-1.5 ± 2.2
-0.7
13%
9%
15%
8%
Outlander Claw
103
10%
-6.0 ± 2.6
-2.3
16%
12%
7%
7%
Host of Ascension
41
4%
-1.4 ± 4.2
-0.3
5%
3%
3%
6%
Brood Brothers Auxillia
20
2%
-7.8 ± 6.0
-1.3
1%
0%
3%
5%
Pick-rate shifts
Type
Name
First period
Prior 28 days
Last 28 days
Change vs first period (pp)
Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Unit
Abominant
34%
58%
69%
+35
+11
Unit
Aberrants
34%
55%
65%
+32
+10
Unit
Biophagus
41%
67%
66%
+25
-1
Detachment
Biosanctic Broodsurge
25%
40%
45%
+20
+5
Matchups
Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Space Marines (50.5% over
295 games) and the worst is Dark Angels (33.1% over 169).
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Astra Militarum
125
65.6%
56.9% to 73.4%
57.1%
+8.5
favourable
Drukhari
92
61.4%
51.2% to 70.7%
50.6%
+10.8
favourable
Imperial Agents
10
60.0%
31.3% to 83.2%
53.9%
+6.1
Blood Angels
111
55.0%
45.7% to 63.9%
51.5%
+3.4
Death Guard
136
54.0%
45.7% to 62.2%
49.3%
+4.7
Orks
239
41.8%
35.8% to 48.2%
42.3%
-0.5
unfavourable
Emperor's Children
158
40.5%
33.2% to 48.3%
46.2%
-5.7
unfavourable
Tyranids
197
40.4%
33.8% to 47.3%
47.7%
-7.3
unfavourable
Adeptus Custodes
210
40.0%
33.6% to 46.7%
43.4%
-3.4
unfavourable
Deathwatch
25
40.0%
23.4% to 59.3%
43.8%
-3.8
Dark Angels
169
33.1%
26.5% to 40.5%
44.2%
-11.0
unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 16 more rows
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Aeldari
124
54.0%
45.3% to 62.6%
51.9%
+2.1
Imperial Knights
139
53.6%
45.3% to 61.7%
49.0%
+4.6
Grey Knights
88
52.8%
42.5% to 62.9%
50.4%
+2.4
Chaos Space Marines
143
52.4%
44.3% to 60.5%
50.4%
+2.1
Black Templars
50
52.0%
38.5% to 65.2%
52.3%
-0.3
Thousand Sons
129
50.8%
42.3% to 59.3%
47.2%
+3.6
Space Marines
295
50.5%
44.8% to 56.2%
48.9%
+1.6
Chaos Knights
78
50.0%
39.2% to 60.8%
50.7%
-0.7
Space Wolves
88
48.3%
38.1% to 58.6%
48.5%
-0.2
Adepta Sororitas
79
48.1%
37.4% to 58.9%
47.2%
+0.9
Leagues of Votann
129
47.3%
38.9% to 55.9%
45.7%
+1.6
Adeptus Mechanicus
92
47.3%
37.4% to 57.4%
47.0%
+0.3
Chaos Daemons
154
46.8%
39.0% to 54.6%
42.8%
+3.9
T'au Empire
187
44.4%
37.4% to 51.5%
45.8%
-1.4
World Eaters
142
44.4%
36.4% to 52.6%
47.6%
-3.3
Necrons
228
44.3%
38.0% to 50.8%
46.1%
-1.8
Results brackets
104 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 12 won
X, 32 won X-1 and 60 won X-2, from 249 entries.
Share of players by share of games won
6%
0-20
18%
20-40
27%
40-60
34%
60-80
16%
80-100
line = all factions
Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2
1.8%
X
1.5%
X-1
1.4%
X-2
dashed = share of entries, 1.5%
Bracket tables
Tier
Lists
Share of tier
Share of entries
Ratio
z
X
12
1.8%
1.5%
1.21x
+0.7
X-1
32
1.5%
1.5%
1.03x
+0.2
X-2
60
1.4%
1.5%
0.97x
-0.3
X to X-2
104
1.5%
1.5%
1.01x
+0.1
Share of games won
Players
Share of players
All players
0 to 20%
12
5.6%
4.1%
20 to 40%
39
18.2%
17.2%
40 to 60%
57
26.6%
32.2%
60 to 80%
72
33.6%
30.1%
80 to 100%
34
15.9%
16.4%
Units
A typical list contains 12 distinct units. 14 units appear in at least half of all lists
and 25 in at least 10%. The most common is Achilles Ridgerunners (97% of lists). One datasheet
never appeared: Leman Russ Eradicator. 37 datasheets appeared in under 1% of lists: Aegis
Defence Line, Artillery Team, Attilan Rough Riders, Baneblade, Banesword, Basilisk, Cadian
Castellan, Cadian Heavy Weapons Squad, Cadian Recon Squad, Cadian Shock Troops, Catachan
Heavy Weapons Squad, Catachan Jungle Fighters and 25 more.
Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-5
0
+5
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-5
0
+5
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Purestrain Broodswarm
Most played units
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Achilles Ridgerunners
984
97.4%
-0.7 ± 0.8
-0.9
Purestrain Genestealers
950
94.1%
-0.5 ± 0.8
-0.6
Neophyte Hybrids
878
86.9%
-0.7 ± 0.8
-0.8
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols
821
81.3%
-0.8 ± 0.9
-1.0
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers
779
77.1%
-0.3 ± 0.9
-0.4
Patriarch
764
75.6%
-0.0 ± 0.9
-0.0
Benefictus
722
71.5%
+0.2 ± 0.9
+0.2
Reductus Saboteur
668
66.1%
-1.5 ± 1.0
-1.5
Biophagus
584
57.8%
+0.8 ± 1.0
+0.8
Atalan Jackals
582
57.6%
-1.1 ± 1.1
-1.0
Hybrid Metamorphs
582
57.6%
-0.6 ± 1.0
-0.5
Goliath Truck
552
54.7%
-0.4 ± 1.1
-0.4
Combinations
10 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common
is Biosanctic Broodsurge + Xenocult Masses (247 lists, 24%).
Combination table
Combination
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Biosanctic Broodsurge + Xenocult Masses
247
24%
+3.4 ± 1.7
+2.0
Heroes of the Uprising + Purestrain Broodswarm + Xenocult Masses
130
13%
-5.1 ± 2.4
-2.1
Final Day + Xenocult Masses
116
11%
+3.8 ± 2.5
+1.6
Xenocreed Congregation + Xenocult Masses
83
8%
-0.9 ± 3.2
-0.3
Biosanctic Broodsurge + Heroes of the Uprising
65
6%
-2.5 ± 3.1
-0.8
Outlander Claw + Purestrain Broodswarm
44
4%
-8.8 ± 4.9
-1.8
Heroes of the Uprising + Outlander Claw
29
3%
-8.7 ± 5.5
-1.6
Final Day + Purestrain Broodswarm
29
3%
-0.5 ± 5.1
-0.1
Enhancements
19 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Biomorph Adaptation (27%
of lists).
Enhancement table
Enhancement
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Biomorph Adaptation
276
27%
+0.7 ± 1.4
+0.5
Predatory Instincts
273
27%
+1.7 ± 1.4
+1.2
Gene-tailored Toxins
212
21%
-2.2 ± 1.7
-1.2
Mark of the Star Children
210
21%
-2.5 ± 1.8
-1.4
Devious Disguises
154
15%
-0.7 ± 2.0
-0.3
Inhuman Integration
140
14%
+0.4 ± 2.0
+0.2
Enraptured Damnation
120
12%
+0.7 ± 2.4
+0.3
Deeds that Speak to the Masses
91
9%
-2.2 ± 2.5
-0.9
Force Disposition
Force Disposition table
Disposition
Share of games
Games
Win rate
Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Reconnaissance
45%
1,427
48.1%
+0.7 ± 1.4
Take and Hold
22%
711
47.5%
-0.3 ± 1.9
Priority Assets
19%
590
44.9%
-2.7 ± 2.1
Disruption
13%
412
45.8%
-1.8 ± 2.7
Purge the Foe
1%
27
51.9%
n/a
The five most active players account for 3.9% of its games. Nothing
clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, milestone moves, unit effects,
combination effects, enhancement effects, Force Disposition, results brackets, terrain
layout and list width.
Representative lists
Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists
are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events
with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties,
and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.
Xenocreed Congregation + Xenocult Masses 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 59 players · 5 rounds · 1 Aug
72 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Reductus Saboteur 70 Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Demolition charges, Remote explosives
Reductus Saboteur 70 Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Demolition charges, Remote explosives
Kelermorph 60 Close combat weapon, Liberator autostubs
Battleline
Neophyte Hybrids 135 Anointed pistol, Autopistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Hybrid firearm ...
Neophyte Hybrids 135 Anointed pistol, Autopistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Hybrid firearm ...
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers 75
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols 70
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols 70
Dedicated Transports
Goliath Truck 75 Armoured hull, Demolition charge cache, Heavy stubber, Twin autocannon
Other Units
Purestrain Genestealers 140 Cult claws and talons
Hybrid Metamorphs 140 Hand flamer, Leader’s cult weapons, Cult Icon, Metamorph mutations
Hybrid Metamorphs 140 Hand flamer, Leader’s cult weapons, Cult Icon, Metamorph mutations
Achilles Ridgerunners 95 Armoured hull, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur, Twin heavy stubber
Achilles Ridgerunners 95 Armoured hull, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur, Twin heavy stubber
Purestrain Genestealers 85 Cult claws and talons
Patriarch 80
Acolyte Iconward + Deeds that Speak to the Masses 75 Autopistol, Cult claws
Benefictus 75 Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade
Acolyte Iconward + Deeds that Speak to the Masses 75 Autopistol, Cult claws
Purestrain Genestealers 75 Cult claws and talons
Acolyte Iconward + Deeds that Speak to the Masses 65 Autopistol, Cult claws
Biophagus 50 Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Biophagus 50 Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Xenocreed Congregation + Xenocult Masses 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
2nd place · record 5-0-1 · 116 players · 6 rounds · 12 Sep
6 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Kelermorph 60 Close combat weapon, Liberator autostubs
Battleline
Neophyte Hybrids + Devious Disguises 150 Anointed pistol, Autopistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Hybrid firearm ...
Neophyte Hybrids + Devious Disguises 135 Anointed pistol, Autopistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Hybrid firearm ...
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols 130
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols 130
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols 70
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols 70
Other Units
Achilles Ridgerunners 180 Armoured hull, Heavy mining laser, Spotter, Twin heavy stubber, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur
Hybrid Metamorphs 140 Hand flamer, Leader’s cult weapons, Cult Icon, Metamorph mutations
Hybrid Metamorphs 140 Hand flamer, Leader’s cult weapons, Cult Icon, Metamorph mutations
Achilles Ridgerunners 105 Armoured hull, Heavy mining laser, Spotter, Twin heavy stubber, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur
Primus + Deeds that Speak to the Masses 95 Cult bonesword, Scoped needle pistol, Toxin injector claw
Achilles Ridgerunners 95 Armoured hull, Heavy mining laser, Spotter, Twin heavy stubber, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur
Atalan Jackals 85 Atalan power weapon, Atalan small arms, Close combat weapon, Grenade launcher, Mining laser
Acolyte Iconward + Denunciator of Tyrants 75 Autopistol, Cult claws
Purestrain Genestealers 75 Cult claws and talons
Magus + Incendiary Inspiration 65 Autopistol, Force stave
Biophagus 50 Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Biophagus 50 Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Biophagus 50 Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Acolyte Iconward + Denunciator of Tyrants 50 Autopistol, Cult claws
Team events
44.3%win rate in team events 732 games 172 lists from 155 players -4.1 points against individual events going first 4.1 points better
Genestealer Cult won 44.3% of 732 team event games, against 48.4% of 2,885 in individual
events: 4.1 points lower (not clear). It makes up 1.6% of team event games and 1.4% of
individual event games.
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Reconnaissance
51%
Disruption
30%
Take and Hold
10%
Priority Assets
9%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments
share
win rate
Xenocult Masses
59%
Biosanctic Broodsurge
35%
Heroes of the Uprising
35%
Purestrain Broodswarm
24%
Final Day
14%
Outlander Claw
12%
Xenocreed Congregation
9%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups
win rate against
Astra Militarum
Aeldari
Drukhari
World Eaters
Orks
Necrons
T'au Empire
Tyranids
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events.
Dashed: team events win rate.
Milestones
5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after,
with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.
July balance & rules update (22 July)
48.4%win rate, rank 16 of 28 792 games 221 lists from 195 players X to X-2 finishes 0.87x entry share going first 11.8 points better
Genestealer Cult won 50.0% of 627 games in the 28 days before and 48.4% of 792 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 1.4% to 1.6%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
8%
0-20
17%
20-40
33%
40-60
23%
60-80
19%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Reconnaissance
50%
Take and Hold
22%
Priority Assets
15%
Disruption
12%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Xenocult Masses
71%
Biosanctic Broodsurge
39%
Heroes of the Uprising
26%
Purestrain Broodswarm
24%
Final Day
14%
Outlander Claw
14%
Xenocreed Congregation
9%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Achilles Ridgerunners
96%
Purestrain Genestealers
95%
Neophyte Hybrids
91%
Acolyte Hybrids With
Hand Flamers
81%
Acolyte Hybrids With
Autopistols
81%
Benefictus
76%
Patriarch
73%
Reductus Saboteur
71%
Atalan Jackals
58%
Biophagus
51%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Space Marines
Necrons
T'au Empire
Tyranids
Adeptus Custodes
Emperor's Children
Orks
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Xenocreed Congregation + Xenocult Masses 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 59 players · 5 rounds · 1 Aug
16 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Reductus Saboteur 70 Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Demolition charges, Remote explosives
Reductus Saboteur 70 Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Demolition charges, Remote explosives
Kelermorph 60 Close combat weapon, Liberator autostubs
Battleline
Neophyte Hybrids 135 Anointed pistol, Autopistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Hybrid firearm ...
Neophyte Hybrids 135 Anointed pistol, Autopistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Hybrid firearm ...
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers 75
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols 70
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols 70
Dedicated Transports
Goliath Truck 75 Armoured hull, Demolition charge cache, Heavy stubber, Twin autocannon
Other Units
Purestrain Genestealers 140 Cult claws and talons
Hybrid Metamorphs 140 Hand flamer, Leader’s cult weapons, Cult Icon, Metamorph mutations
Hybrid Metamorphs 140 Hand flamer, Leader’s cult weapons, Cult Icon, Metamorph mutations
Achilles Ridgerunners 95 Armoured hull, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur, Twin heavy stubber
Achilles Ridgerunners 95 Armoured hull, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur, Twin heavy stubber
Purestrain Genestealers 85 Cult claws and talons
Patriarch 80
Acolyte Iconward + Deeds that Speak to the Masses 75 Autopistol, Cult claws
Benefictus 75 Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade
Acolyte Iconward + Deeds that Speak to the Masses 75 Autopistol, Cult claws
Purestrain Genestealers 75 Cult claws and talons
Acolyte Iconward + Deeds that Speak to the Masses 65 Autopistol, Cult claws
Biophagus 50 Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Biophagus 50 Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Biosanctic Broodsurge + Xenocult Masses 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 4-1 · 31 players · 5 rounds · 15 Aug
33 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Neophyte Hybrids 135 Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Hybrid firearm, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Mining laser, Seismic cannon, Webber
Neophyte Hybrids 135 Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Hybrid firearm, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Mining laser, Seismic cannon, Webber
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols 130
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers 75
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols 70
Other Units
Aberrants 280 Aberrant weapons
Aberrants 280 Aberrant weapons
Purestrain Genestealers 140 Cult claws and talons
Patriarch + Biomorph Adaptation 105
Abominant + Predatory Instincts 105 Power sledgehammer
Achilles Ridgerunners 95 Armoured hull, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur, Twin heavy stubber
Achilles Ridgerunners 95 Armoured hull, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur, Twin heavy stubber
Abominant + Predatory Instincts 85 Power sledgehammer
Benefictus 75 Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade
Benefictus 75 Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade
Primus 70 Cult bonesword, Scoped needle pistol, Toxin injector claw
Biophagus 50 Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
August balance & rules update (26 August)
49.7%win rate, rank 12 of 27 362 games 93 lists from 91 players going first 3.7 points better
Genestealer Cult won 49.6% of 698 games in the 28 days before and 47.6% of 1,025 in
the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 1.4% to 1.7%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Reconnaissance
44%
Take and Hold
29%
Priority Assets
18%
Disruption
9%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Xenocult Masses
66%
Biosanctic Broodsurge
41%
Heroes of the Uprising
29%
Purestrain Broodswarm
23%
Xenocreed Congregation
14%
Final Day
13%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Achilles Ridgerunners
97%
Purestrain Genestealers
96%
Neophyte Hybrids
89%
Acolyte Hybrids With
Autopistols
83%
Acolyte Hybrids With
Hand Flamers
80%
Patriarch
77%
Benefictus
77%
Biophagus
69%
Reductus Saboteur
68%
Goliath Truck
65%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Heroes of the Uprising + Purestrain Broodswarm + Xenocult Masses 1,995 pts
Disruption
3rd place · record 4-0-1 · 71 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Sanctus + Gene-tailored Toxins 100
Reductus Saboteur 70 Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Demolition charges, Remote explosives
Reductus Saboteur 70 Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Demolition charges, Remote explosives
Battleline
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers 140
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers 140
Neophyte Hybrids 135 Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Hybrid firearm, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Mining laser, Seismic cannon, Webber
Neophyte Hybrids 135 Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Hybrid firearm, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Mining laser, Seismic cannon, Webber
Neophyte Hybrids 135 Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Hybrid firearm, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Mining laser, Seismic cannon, Webber
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers 75
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers 75
Other Units
Purestrain Genestealers + Mark of the Star Children 170 Cult claws and talons
Purestrain Genestealers + Mark of the Star Children 105 Cult claws and talons
Achilles Ridgerunners 95 Armoured hull, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur, Twin heavy stubber
Achilles Ridgerunners 95 Armoured hull, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur, Twin heavy stubber
Atalan Jackals 85 Atalan small arms, Close combat weapon, Heavy stubber
Atalan Jackals 85 Atalan small arms, Close combat weapon, Heavy stubber
Benefictus 75 Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade
Benefictus 75 Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade
Benefictus 75 Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade
Nexos 60 Autopistol, Close combat weapon
Heroes of the Uprising + Purestrain Broodswarm + Xenocult Masses 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
2nd place · record 4-1 · 33 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Sanctus + Gene-tailored Toxins 100 Close combat weapon, Cult sniper rifle
Sanctus + Gene-tailored Toxins 65 Close combat weapon, Cult sniper rifle
Sanctus + Gene-tailored Toxins 65 Close combat weapon, Cult sniper rifle
Kelermorph 60 Close combat weapon, Liberator autostubs
Jackal Alphus 55 Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Cult sniper rifle
Battleline
Neophyte Hybrids 135 Anointed pistol, Autopistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Hybrid firearm ...
Neophyte Hybrids 135 Anointed pistol, Autopistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Hybrid firearm ...
Neophyte Hybrids 135 Anointed pistol, Autopistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Hybrid firearm ...
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols 70
Neophyte Hybrids 70 Anointed pistol, Autopistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Hybrid firearm ...
Dedicated Transports
Goliath Truck 75 Armoured hull, Demolition charge cache, Heavy stubber, Twin autocannon
Other Units
Purestrain Genestealers + Mark of the Star Children 170 Cult claws and talons
Purestrain Genestealers + Mark of the Star Children 170 Cult claws and talons
Purestrain Genestealers + Mark of the Star Children 115 Cult claws and talons
Achilles Ridgerunners 95 Armoured hull, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur, Twin heavy stubber
Achilles Ridgerunners 95 Armoured hull, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur, Twin heavy stubber
Atalan Jackals 85 Atalan power weapon, Atalan small arms, Close combat weapon, Grenade launcher, Mining laser
Patriarch 80
Benefictus 75 Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade
Benefictus 75 Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade
Benefictus 75 Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade
Orks codex (5 September)
47.0%win rate, rank 19 of 28 990 games 262 lists from 225 players X to X-2 finishes 1.18x entry share going first 0.6 points worse
Genestealer Cult won 48.8% of 879 games in the 28 days before and 47.0% of 990 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 1.6% to 1.5%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
4%
0-20
26%
20-40
15%
40-60
38%
60-80
17%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Reconnaissance
51%
Take and Hold
21%
Priority Assets
17%
Disruption
11%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Xenocult Masses
64%
Biosanctic Broodsurge
40%
Heroes of the Uprising
26%
Purestrain Broodswarm
19%
Xenocreed Congregation
15%
Final Day
15%
Outlander Claw
9%
Brood Brothers Auxillia
3%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Achilles Ridgerunners
98%
Purestrain Genestealers
94%
Neophyte Hybrids
89%
Acolyte Hybrids With
Autopistols
85%
Patriarch
79%
Acolyte Hybrids With
Hand Flamers
73%
Benefictus
70%
Biophagus
66%
Hybrid Metamorphs
66%
Goliath Truck
65%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Imperial Knights
Orks
Space Marines
T'au Empire
Chaos Daemons
Necrons
Dark Angels
Adeptus Custodes
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Xenocreed Congregation + Xenocult Masses 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
2nd place · record 5-0-1 · 116 players · 6 rounds · 12 Sep
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Kelermorph 60 Close combat weapon, Liberator autostubs
Battleline
Neophyte Hybrids + Devious Disguises 150 Anointed pistol, Autopistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Hybrid firearm ...
Neophyte Hybrids + Devious Disguises 135 Anointed pistol, Autopistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Hybrid firearm ...
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols 130
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols 130
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols 70
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols 70
Other Units
Achilles Ridgerunners 180 Armoured hull, Heavy mining laser, Spotter, Twin heavy stubber, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur
Hybrid Metamorphs 140 Hand flamer, Leader’s cult weapons, Cult Icon, Metamorph mutations
Hybrid Metamorphs 140 Hand flamer, Leader’s cult weapons, Cult Icon, Metamorph mutations
Achilles Ridgerunners 105 Armoured hull, Heavy mining laser, Spotter, Twin heavy stubber, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur
Primus + Deeds that Speak to the Masses 95 Cult bonesword, Scoped needle pistol, Toxin injector claw
Achilles Ridgerunners 95 Armoured hull, Heavy mining laser, Spotter, Twin heavy stubber, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur
Atalan Jackals 85 Atalan power weapon, Atalan small arms, Close combat weapon, Grenade launcher, Mining laser
Acolyte Iconward + Denunciator of Tyrants 75 Autopistol, Cult claws
Purestrain Genestealers 75 Cult claws and talons
Magus + Incendiary Inspiration 65 Autopistol, Force stave
Biophagus 50 Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Biophagus 50 Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Biophagus 50 Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Acolyte Iconward + Denunciator of Tyrants 50 Autopistol, Cult claws
Xenocreed Congregation + Xenocult Masses 1,995 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0-1 · 20 players · 6 rounds · 11 Sep
28 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Magus + Deeds that Speak to the Masses 75 Autopistol, Magus stave
Reductus Saboteur 70 Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Demolition charges, Remote explosives
Sanctus 65
Battleline
Neophyte Hybrids + Devious Disguises 150 Autopistol, Hybrid Firearm, Close Combat Weapon, Mining Laser, Seismic Cannon, Grenade Launcher, Webber ...
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers 140 Hand Flamer, Leader's Bio-weapons, Cult Claws & Knife, Demolition Charges, Cult Icon
Neophyte Hybrids + Devious Disguises 135 Autopistol, Hybrid Firearm, Close Combat Weapon, Mining Laser, Seismic Cannon, Grenade Launcher, Webber ...
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols 130 Autopistol, Leader's Bio-weapons, Cult Claws & Knife, Heavy Mining Tool, Cult Icon
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers 75 Hand Flamer, Leader's Bio-weapons, Cult Claws & Knife, Demolition Charges, Cult Icon
Dedicated Transports
Goliath Truck 75 Demolition charge cache, Goliath wheels, Heavy stubber, Twin autocannon
Other Units
Hybrid Metamorphs 140 Leader's Bio-weapons, Hand Flamer, Metamorph Mutations, Cult Icon
Hybrid Metamorphs 140 Leader's Bio-weapons, Hand Flamer, Metamorph Mutations, Cult Icon
Primus + Denunciator of Tyrants 95 Cult bonesword, Scoped needle pistol, Toxin injector claw
Achilles Ridgerunners 95 Heavy mortar, Ridgerunner wheels, Survey augur, Twin heavy stubbers
Achilles Ridgerunners 95 Heavy mortar, Ridgerunner wheels, Survey augur, Twin heavy stubbers
Atalan Jackals 85 Atalan Small Arms, Close Combat Weapon, Grenade Launcher, Atalan Power Weapon, Mining Laser
Patriarch 80
Purestrain Genestealers 75 Cult Claws & Talons
Benefictus 75 Close combat weapon, Psionic cascade
Biophagus 50 Alchemicus familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Biophagus 50 Alchemicus familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Biophagus 50 Alchemicus familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Acolyte Iconward 50 Autopistol, Cult claws
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)
44.1%win rate, rank 25 of 27 295 games 85 lists from 80 players going first 5.0 points better
Genestealer Cult won 47.0% of 990 games in the 28 days before and 42.6% of 596 in the
23 days after. Its share of games went from 1.5% to 1.2%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Reconnaissance
48%
Disruption
18%
Priority Assets
18%
Take and Hold
15%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Xenocult Masses
49%
Biosanctic Broodsurge
46%
Purestrain Broodswarm
33%
Heroes of the Uprising
25%
Final Day
15%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Achilles Ridgerunners
96%
Purestrain Genestealers
93%
Acolyte Hybrids With
Autopistols
89%
Neophyte Hybrids
78%
Patriarch
75%
Acolyte Hybrids With
Hand Flamers
68%
Abominant
68%
Hybrid Metamorphs
64%
Reductus Saboteur
64%
Benefictus
62%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Final Day + Xenocult Masses 1,995 pts
Reconnaissance
4th place · record 4-1 · 49 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Neophyte Hybrids 135 Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Hybrid firearm, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Mining laser, Seismic cannon, Webber
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers 75
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers 75
Allied Units
Hyperadapted Raveners 165 Prime claws and talons, Ravener heavy claws and talons, Venom bolt
Hyperadapted Raveners 165 Prime claws and talons, Ravener heavy claws and talons, Venom bolt
The Red Terror 120 Gaping maw, Scything talons
Deathleaper 80 Lictor claws and talons
Von Ryan’s Leapers 55 Leaper’s talons
Von Ryan’s Leapers 55 Leaper’s talons
Von Ryan’s Leapers 55 Leaper’s talons
Other Units
Achilles Ridgerunners 180 Armoured hull, Heavy mining laser, Spotter, Twin heavy stubber, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur
Achilles Ridgerunners 180 Armoured hull, Heavy mining laser, Spotter, Twin heavy stubber, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur
Purestrain Genestealers 140 Cult claws and talons
Aberrants 140 Aberrant weapons
Achilles Ridgerunners 105 Armoured hull, Heavy mining laser, Spotter, Twin heavy stubber, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur
Benefictus + Inhuman Integration 95 Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade
Patriarch + Enraptured Damnation 90
Abominant 85 Power sledgehammer
Purestrain Broodswarm + Xenocreed Congregation 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 3-0 · 20 players · 3 rounds · 10 Oct
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Reductus Saboteur 70 Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Demolition charges, Remote explosives
Battleline
Neophyte Hybrids 135 Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Hybrid firearm, Cult Icon, Flamer, Grenade launcher, Mining laser, Seismic cannon
Neophyte Hybrids 135 Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Hybrid firearm, Cult Icon, Flamer, Grenade launcher, Mining laser, Seismic cannon
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers 75
Neophyte Hybrids 70 Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Hybrid firearm, Cult Icon, Flamer, Grenade launcher, Mining laser, Seismic cannon
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols 65
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols 65
Other Units
Achilles Ridgerunners 180 Armoured hull, Heavy mining laser, Spotter, Twin heavy stubber, Survey Augur
Purestrain Genestealers + Mark of the Star Children 170 Cult claws and talons
Hybrid Metamorphs 140 Hand flamer, Leader’s cult weapons, Cult Icon, Metamorph mutations
Achilles Ridgerunners 115 Armoured hull, Heavy mining laser, Spotter, Twin heavy stubber, Survey Augur
Achilles Ridgerunners 105 Armoured hull, Heavy mining laser, Spotter, Twin heavy stubber, Survey Augur
Primus + Deeds that Speak to the Masses 85 Cult bonesword, Scoped needle pistol, Toxin injector claw
Primus + Deeds that Speak to the Masses 85 Cult bonesword, Scoped needle pistol, Toxin injector claw
Purestrain Genestealers + Mark of the Star Children 85 Cult claws and talons
Patriarch 80
Benefictus 75 Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade
Benefictus 75 Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade
Purestrain Genestealers + Mark of the Star Children 75 Cult claws and talons
Acolyte Iconward + Incendiary Inspiration 65 Autopistol, Cult claws
Biophagus 50 Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)
41.2%win rate, rank 25 of 27 301 games 91 lists from 84 players going first 8.0 points better
Genestealer Cult won 45.8% of 827 games in the 28 days before and 41.2% of 301 in the
9 days after. Its share of games went from 1.4% to 1.1%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Reconnaissance
38%
Take and Hold
25%
Priority Assets
24%
Disruption
11%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Xenocult Masses
63%
Biosanctic Broodsurge
45%
Purestrain Broodswarm
32%
Heroes of the Uprising
31%
Final Day
13%
Xenocreed Congregation
10%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Achilles Ridgerunners
100%
Purestrain Genestealers
96%
Neophyte Hybrids
86%
Acolyte Hybrids With
Autopistols
86%
Patriarch
82%
Acolyte Hybrids With
Hand Flamers
75%
Biophagus
71%
Abominant
71%
Benefictus
71%
Aberrants
70%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Biosanctic Broodsurge + Xenocult Masses 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
2nd place · record 5-0 · 50 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Abominant 85 Power sledgehammer
Jackal Alphus 55 Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Cult sniper rifle
Battleline
Neophyte Hybrids 135 Anointed pistol, Autopistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Hybrid firearm ...
Neophyte Hybrids 135 Anointed pistol, Autopistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Hybrid firearm ...
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols 120
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols 65
Dedicated Transports
Goliath Truck 75 Armoured hull, Demolition charge cache, Heavy stubber, Twin autocannon
Goliath Truck 75 Armoured hull, Demolition charge cache, Heavy stubber, Twin autocannon
Other Units
Purestrain Genestealers 140 Cult claws and talons
Hybrid Metamorphs 140 Hand flamer, Leader’s cult weapons, Cult Icon, Metamorph mutations
Hybrid Metamorphs 140 Hand flamer, Leader’s cult weapons, Cult Icon, Metamorph mutations
Achilles Ridgerunners 95 Armoured hull, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur, Twin heavy stubber
Achilles Ridgerunners 95 Armoured hull, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur, Twin heavy stubber
Patriarch + Mutagenic Regeneration 90
Benefictus 75 Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade
Benefictus 75 Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade
Purestrain Genestealers 75 Cult claws and talons
Primus 60 Cult bonesword, Scoped needle pistol, Toxin injector claw
Primus 60 Cult bonesword, Scoped needle pistol, Toxin injector claw
Primus 60 Cult bonesword, Scoped needle pistol, Toxin injector claw
Biophagus 50 Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Biophagus 50 Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Biophagus 50 Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Biosanctic Broodsurge + Purestrain Broodswarm 1,995 pts
Priority Assets
2nd place · record 4-1 · 42 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
9 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers 75
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers 75
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols 65
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols 65
Other Units
Aberrants 280 Aberrant weapons
Aberrants 280 Aberrant weapons
Purestrain Genestealers + Mark of the Star Children 170 Cult claws and talons
Purestrain Genestealers + Mark of the Star Children 170 Cult claws and talons
Abominant + Predatory Instincts 105 Power sledgehammer
Achilles Ridgerunners 95 Armoured hull, Heavy mortar, Survey augur, Twin heavy stubber
Achilles Ridgerunners 95 Armoured hull, Heavy mortar, Survey augur, Twin heavy stubber
Abominant + Predatory Instincts 85 Power sledgehammer
Atalan Jackals 85 Atalan small arms, Close combat weapon, Heavy stubber
Atalan Jackals 85 Atalan small arms, Close combat weapon, Heavy stubber
Purestrain Genestealers + Mark of the Star Children 85 Cult claws and talons
Patriarch 80
Biophagus 50 Alchemicus familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Biophagus 50 Alchemicus familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Grey Knights
Grey Knights Whole edition Force Disposition Enhancements Combinations Detachments Pick-rate shifts Matchups Over time Results brackets Units Lists Team events Milestones 22 Jul 26 Aug 5 Sep 3 Oct 17 Oct
Whole edition
47.1%win rate, rank 20 of 28 6,242 games 1,777 lists from 1,045 players top-10% finishes 0.75x entry share going first 5.0 points worse 46.3% adjusted for player skill
Going first is worth 5.0 points to Grey Knights (44.9% against 49.8%),
below the field's 2.3 points. The Predestined Coordinates enhancement gives a win rate
15.4 points below other lists with the same detachment. Grey Knights won 47.1% of 6,242
games, rank 20 of 28. Warpbane Task Force went from 18% to 43% of the faction's lists between
the first period and the last 28 days. The pairing Argent Assault + Augurium Task Force
has a win rate 23.7 points below the faction average (16 lists).
Force Disposition
Take and Hold has a win rate 6.3 points above the faction's other choices, Disruption
has a win rate 8.8 points below the faction's other choices and Reconnaissance has a win
rate 10.7 points below the faction's other choices.
Disposition
Share of games
Games
Win rate
Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Priority Assets
30%
1,647
44.9%
-2.0 ± 1.3
Take and Hold
28%
1,533
53.4%
+6.3 ± 1.3
Purge the Foe
25%
1,358
47.7%
+0.5 ± 1.5
Disruption
12%
639
38.2%
-8.8 ± 2.0
Reconnaissance
6%
303
36.3%
-10.7 ± 2.9
Enhancements
16 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Psychic Celerity (33%
of lists). One enhancement differs from the other enhancements in its detachment: Predestined
Coordinates (15.4 points below the rest).
Enhancement
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Psychic Celerity
592
33%
+0.4 ± 1.0
+0.4
Sixty-sixth Seal
456
26%
+0.7 ± 1.1
+0.6
Sigil of the Hunt
272
15%
-1.6 ± 1.4
-1.1
Boons of Deimos
155
9%
-1.0 ± 2.0
-0.5
Tome of Forbidden Ways
137
8%
-0.4 ± 2.4
-0.2
Paragon of Sanctity
135
8%
-6.2 ± 2.2
-2.8
Purity of Purpose
115
6%
-4.7 ± 2.6
-1.8
Pyresoul (Psychic)
98
6%
-1.1 ± 2.6
-0.4
Predestined Coordinates
43
2%
-15.4 ± 3.2
-4.8
Combinations
10 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common
is Argent Assault + Banishers (570 lists, 32%). Weakest: Argent Assault + Augurium Task
Force (23.7 points below the faction average).
Combination
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Argent Assault + Banishers
570
32%
-0.2 ± 1.2
-0.1
Brotherhood Strike + Fires of Purgation
132
7%
+2.6 ± 2.2
+1.2
Argent Assault + Hallowed Conclave
130
7%
-0.3 ± 2.3
-0.1
Argent Assault + Brotherhood Strike
94
5%
-7.9 ± 3.0
-2.6
Banishers + Immaterial Interdiction
63
4%
-9.0 ± 3.3
-2.8
Argent Assault + Sanctic Spearhead
32
2%
-13.3 ± 4.4
-3.0
Immaterial Interdiction + Sanctic Spearhead
22
1%
-3.0 ± 6.0
-0.5
Banishers + Fires of Purgation
17
1%
-8.7 ± 6.7
-1.3
Argent Assault + Augurium Task Force
16
1%
-23.7 ± 4.8
-4.9
Detachments
9 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 4 of them account for 80% of picks. The most
played is Argent Assault (50% of lists), and 64% of lists run more than one detachment.
3 detachments differ from the faction average. Best: Warpbane Task Force (6.3 points above
the faction average, 26% of lists). Weakest: Augurium Task Force (16.3 points below the
faction average, 2% of lists).
Detachment
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
P1
P2
P3
P4
Argent Assault
895
50%
-2.3 ± 0.8
-2.7
57%
58%
48%
35%
Banishers
686
39%
-2.1 ± 0.9
-2.3
40%
44%
38%
30%
Warpbane Task Force
468
26%
+6.3 ± 1.1
+5.5
18%
19%
28%
44%
Brotherhood Strike
268
15%
-2.5 ± 1.6
-1.5
11%
18%
17%
12%
Fires of Purgation
190
11%
-0.7 ± 1.8
-0.4
11%
12%
11%
8%
Hallowed Conclave
146
8%
+0.1 ± 2.0
+0.1
16%
8%
5%
6%
Immaterial Interdiction
118
7%
-9.4 ± 2.1
-4.4
5%
7%
8%
6%
Sanctic Spearhead
78
4%
-6.3 ± 2.9
-2.2
6%
5%
4%
3%
Augurium Task Force
27
2%
-16.3 ± 4.3
-3.8
1%
1%
2%
2%
Pick-rate shifts
Type
Name
First period
Prior 28 days
Last 28 days
Change vs first period (pp)
Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Detachment
Warpbane Task Force
18%
30%
43%
+25
+13
Unit
Grand Master Voldus
35%
10%
14%
-22
+3
Unit
Paladin Squad
74%
64%
53%
-21
-11
Unit
Brotherhood Chaplain
36%
22%
15%
-21
-7
Detachment
Argent Assault
57%
48%
36%
-21
-12
Unit
Purifier Squad
51%
66%
71%
+20
+5
Unit
Castellan Crowe
48%
63%
67%
+18
+3
Unit
Land Raider Redeemer
22%
10%
8%
-14
-2
Unit
Razorback
18%
17%
29%
+12
+13
Enhancement
Paragon of Sanctity
4%
9%
14%
+10
+5
Detachment
Hallowed Conclave
16%
5%
6%
-10
+1
Matchups
Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Aeldari (56.9% over 174 games)
and the worst is Thousand Sons (35.7% over 203).
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Imperial Agents
20
65.0%
43.3% to 81.9%
53.5%
+11.5
Aeldari
174
56.9%
49.5% to 64.0%
51.5%
+5.4
Chaos Knights
161
56.8%
49.1% to 64.2%
50.2%
+6.6
Adepta Sororitas
131
55.0%
46.4% to 63.2%
46.8%
+8.2
Astra Militarum
240
54.2%
47.8% to 60.4%
56.7%
-2.5
T'au Empire
328
44.2%
38.9% to 49.6%
45.4%
-1.1
unfavourable
Orks
400
43.6%
38.8% to 48.5%
41.9%
+1.7
unfavourable
Dark Angels
273
41.9%
36.2% to 47.9%
43.7%
-1.8
unfavourable
Chaos Daemons
254
40.2%
34.3% to 46.3%
42.4%
-2.3
unfavourable
Leagues of Votann
218
38.5%
32.3% to 45.1%
45.3%
-6.8
unfavourable
Thousand Sons
203
35.7%
29.4% to 42.5%
46.7%
-11.0
unfavourable
Deathwatch
52
32.7%
21.5% to 46.2%
43.4%
-10.7
unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 15 more rows
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Blood Angels
176
53.1%
45.8% to 60.4%
51.1%
+2.0
Adeptus Mechanicus
148
53.0%
45.0% to 60.9%
46.5%
+6.5
Imperial Knights
247
52.8%
46.6% to 59.0%
48.5%
+4.3
Drukhari
150
50.3%
42.4% to 58.2%
50.2%
+0.1
Black Templars
103
49.5%
40.1% to 59.0%
51.8%
-2.3
Space Marines
455
49.0%
44.4% to 53.6%
48.5%
+0.6
Tyranids
367
47.8%
42.8% to 52.9%
47.2%
+0.6
Adeptus Custodes
386
47.7%
42.7% to 52.6%
43.0%
+4.7
Death Guard
263
47.3%
41.4% to 53.4%
48.9%
-1.6
Chaos Space Marines
292
47.3%
41.6% to 53.0%
49.9%
-2.7
Genestealer Cult
88
47.2%
37.1% to 57.5%
49.6%
-2.4
World Eaters
252
46.2%
40.2% to 52.4%
47.2%
-1.0
Necrons
392
46.2%
41.3% to 51.1%
45.6%
+0.5
Emperor's Children
285
45.8%
40.1% to 51.6%
45.8%
+0.0
Space Wolves
184
44.3%
37.3% to 51.5%
48.1%
-3.8
Over time
Share of games per week (%)
2
2.5
3
2.1
2.2
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval
40
50
60
48.6
46.0
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Period
Lists
Share of all lists
Games
Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul
398
2.5%
1,337
49.4%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug
477
2.6%
1,683
46.3%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct
581
2.5%
2,132
46.4%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct
321
2.1%
1,090
46.9%
Around each milestone, 28 days before and after
Milestone
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul)
1,161 / 1,423
49.9% to 46.5%
-3.4
-1.7
2.6% to 2.8%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug)
1,279 / 1,473
46.0% to 46.5%
+0.5
+0.2
2.6% to 2.5%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep)
1,397 / 1,663
47.3% to 45.7%
-1.6
-0.9
2.6% to 2.6%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct)
1,663 / 1,090
45.7% to 46.9%
+1.2
+0.6
2.6% to 2.2%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data
1,520 / 547
46.0% to 46.7%
+0.7
+0.3
2.6% to 2.0%
Results brackets
149 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 11 won
X, 50 won X-1 and 88 won X-2, from 391 entries.
Share of players by share of games won
4%
0-20
17%
20-40
35%
40-60
28%
60-80
16%
80-100
line = all factions
Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2
1.6%
X
2.4%
X-1
2.1%
X-2
dashed = share of entries, 2.3%
Bracket tables
Tier
Lists
Share of tier
Share of entries
Ratio
z
X
11
1.6%
2.3%
0.71x
-1.2
X-1
50
2.4%
2.3%
1.03x
+0.2
X-2
88
2.1%
2.3%
0.90x
-1.0
X to X-2
149
2.1%
2.3%
0.92x
-1.0
Share of games won
Players
Share of players
All players
0 to 20%
14
4.1%
4.1%
20 to 40%
58
17.0%
17.2%
40 to 60%
120
35.1%
32.2%
60 to 80%
96
28.1%
30.1%
80 to 100%
54
15.8%
16.4%
Units
A typical list contains 8 distinct units. 7 units appear in at least half of all lists
and 17 in at least 10%. The most common is Strike Squad (90% of lists). 5 datasheets appeared
in under 1% of lists: Grey Knights Thunderhawk Gunship, Kaldor Draigo, Land Raider Crusader,
Stormraven Gunship, Stormtalon Gunship.
Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-5
0
+5
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-10
0
+10
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Augurium Task Force
Immaterial Interdiction
Warpbane Task Force
Most played units
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Strike Squad
1,593
89.6%
+0.0 ± 0.6
+0.1
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight
1,236
69.6%
-0.3 ± 0.7
-0.5
Paladin Squad
1,184
66.6%
-0.0 ± 0.7
-0.0
Brotherhood Terminator Squad
1,095
61.6%
-0.7 ± 0.7
-0.9
Purifier Squad
1,092
61.5%
-0.5 ± 0.8
-0.7
Castellan Crowe
1,040
58.5%
-0.8 ± 0.8
-1.0
Interceptor Squad
986
55.5%
-0.6 ± 0.8
-0.8
Brotherhood Librarian
732
41.2%
-0.8 ± 1.0
-0.9
Purgation Squad
674
37.9%
-0.1 ± 1.0
-0.1
Grand Master
507
28.5%
+1.0 ± 1.1
+0.9
Nemesis Dreadknight
500
28.1%
-2.9 ± 1.1
-2.6
Brotherhood Chaplain
488
27.5%
+0.0 ± 1.1
+0.0
Each extra 1.5 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 2.5 points
lower; the average list has 7.6. The five most active players account for 3.5% of its games.
Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, milestone moves, unit effects,
results brackets and terrain layout.
Representative lists
Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists
are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events
with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties,
and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.
Argent Assault + Banishers 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 7-0 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
Won an event of 100+ players
40 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Brotherhood Terminator Squad 140 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Ancient’s Banner, Incinerator
Strike Squad 115 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Dedicated Transports
Rhino 70 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Allied Units
Imperial Rhino 65 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Watch Captain Artemis 65 Hellfire Extremis, Master-crafted power weapon
Other Units
Paladin Squad 485 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Ancient’s Banner, Psycannon, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Psilencer
Paladin Squad 480 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Ancient’s Banner, Psycannon, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Psilencer
Interceptor Squad 125 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Interceptor Squad 125 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Brotherhood Librarian + Sixty-sixth Seal 115 Combi-weapon, Nemesis force weapon, Vortex of Doom
Grand Master + Psychic Celerity 110 Nemesis force weapon, Psycannon
Purgation Squad 105 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Close combat weapon, Incinerator
Warpbane Task Force 1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 6-0 · 85 players · 6 rounds · 17 Oct
40 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight 250
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight 240
Battleline
Brotherhood Terminator Squad 195 Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Psycannon, Ancient’s Banner
Strike Squad 125 Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Close Combat Weapon, Psycannon
Dedicated Transports
Razorback 75 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm Bolter, Twin lascannon
Razorback 75 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm Bolter, Twin lascannon
Allied Units
Eversor Assassin 110 Executioner pistol, Power sword and neuro gauntlet
Other Units
Purifier Squad 290 Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter, Close combat weapon, Psycannon
Purifier Squad 145 Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter, Close combat weapon, Psycannon
Interceptor Squad 135 Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter
Interceptor Squad 135 Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter
Grand Master + Radiant Champion 115 Nemesis force weapon, Psycannon
Castellan Crowe 105 Black Blade of Antwyr, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter
Team events
43.4%win rate in team events 1,201 games 300 lists from 268 players -4.6 points against individual events going first 4.3 points worse
Grey Knights won 43.4% of 1,201 team event games, against 48.0% of 5,041 in individual
events: 4.6 points lower (not clear). It makes up 2.6% of team event games and 2.5% of
individual event games.
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Disruption
29%
Purge the Foe
24%
Priority Assets
22%
Take and Hold
19%
Reconnaissance
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments
share
win rate
Argent Assault
48%
Banishers
37%
Warpbane Task Force
21%
Brotherhood Strike
21%
Fires of Purgation
16%
Immaterial Interdiction
10%
Hallowed Conclave
5%
Sanctic Spearhead
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups
win rate against
Adepta Sororitas
Drukhari
Chaos Knights
Space Marines
Thousand Sons
Leagues of Votann
Orks
Dark Angels
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events.
Dashed: team events win rate.
Milestones
5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after,
with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.
July balance & rules update (22 July)
46.5%win rate, rank 21 of 28 1,423 games 396 lists from 333 players X to X-2 finishes 0.79x entry share going first 6.8 points worse
Grey Knights won 49.9% of 1,161 games in the 28 days before and 46.5% of 1,423 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.6% to 2.8%.
One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Grand Master Voldus (37%
to 15%).
Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
7%
0-20
16%
20-40
41%
40-60
24%
60-80
11%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
39%
Take and Hold
22%
Purge the Foe
20%
Disruption
13%
Reconnaissance
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Argent Assault
59%
Banishers
45%
Brotherhood Strike
19%
Warpbane Task Force
17%
Fires of Purgation
12%
Hallowed Conclave
8%
Immaterial Interdiction
8%
Sanctic Spearhead
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Strike Squad
93%
Paladin Squad
74%
Grand Master In Nemesis
Dreadknight
69%
Brotherhood Terminator
Squad
63%
Purifier Squad
56%
Castellan Crowe
53%
Interceptor Squad
51%
Brotherhood Librarian
45%
Purgation Squad
38%
Brotherhood Chaplain
33%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Astra Militarum
Imperial Knights
Death Guard
Chaos Space Marines
Orks
Chaos Daemons
Thousand Sons
Leagues of Votann
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Grand Master Voldus
37%
15%
-22
-6.8
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Argent Assault + Banishers 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 20 players · 5 rounds · 25 Jul
8 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight 240
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight 230
Battleline
Strike Squad 120 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Other Units
Paladin Squad 370 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Ancient’s Banner, Psilencer, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Psycannon
Interceptor Squad 250 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Land Raider Redeemer 250 Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon
Paladin Squad 215 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Ancient’s Banner, Psilencer, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Psycannon
Interceptor Squad 125 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Grand Master + Sixty-sixth Seal 120 Nemesis force weapon, Psycannon
Brotherhood Chaplain + Psychic Celerity 80 Crozius arcanum, Storm bolter
Argent Assault + Hallowed Conclave 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 3-0 · 53 players · 3 rounds · 31 Jul
Show list
Characters
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight 230
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight 230
Brotherhood Chaplain + Psychic Celerity 90 Crozius arcanum, Storm bolter
Brotherhood Chaplain + Psychic Celerity 80 Crozius arcanum, Storm bolter
Battleline
Brotherhood Terminator Squad 140 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Ancient’s Banner
Brotherhood Terminator Squad 140 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Ancient’s Banner
Brotherhood Terminator Squad 140 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Ancient’s Banner
Other Units
Paladin Squad 475 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Ancient’s Banner, Psycannon, Apothecary’s Narthecium
Paladin Squad 475 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Ancient’s Banner, Psycannon, Apothecary’s Narthecium
August balance & rules update (26 August)
49.0%win rate, rank 14 of 27 469 games 124 lists from 123 players going first 8.8 points worse
Grey Knights won 46.0% of 1,279 games in the 28 days before and 46.5% of 1,473 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.6% to 2.5%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
30%
Priority Assets
26%
Purge the Foe
22%
Disruption
18%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Argent Assault
50%
Banishers
37%
Brotherhood Strike
25%
Warpbane Task Force
24%
Fires of Purgation
11%
Immaterial Interdiction
9%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Strike Squad
97%
Grand Master In Nemesis
Dreadknight
71%
Paladin Squad
69%
Purifier Squad
66%
Castellan Crowe
65%
Brotherhood Terminator
Squad
61%
Brotherhood Librarian
44%
Interceptor Squad
43%
Purgation Squad
43%
Brotherhood Chaplain
33%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Warpbane Task Force 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
3rd place · record 6-1-1 · 198 players · 8 rounds · 28 Aug
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight 250
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight 240
Battleline
Brotherhood Terminator Squad 180 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Ancient’s Banner, Psycannon
Strike Squad 115 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Close combat weapon, Psycannon
Dedicated Transports
Razorback 75 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter, Twin lascannon
Razorback 75 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter, Twin lascannon
Allied Units
Eversor Assassin 110 Executioner pistol, Power sword and neuro gauntlet
Other Units
Purifier Squad 260 Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm bolter, Close combat weapon, Psycannon
Purifier Squad 130 Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm bolter, Close combat weapon, Psycannon
Interceptor Squad 125 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Interceptor Squad 125 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Grand Master + Radiant Champion 110 Nemesis force weapon, Psycannon
Purgation Squad 105 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Close combat weapon, Psilencer
Castellan Crowe 100 Black Blade of Antwyr, Purifying Flame, Storm bolter
Argent Assault + Brotherhood Strike 1,985 pts
Purge the Foe
351st place · record 1-1 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
10 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
5× Strike Squad 115 Justicar: Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Grey Knight: 4 with Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
5× Strike Squad 115 Justicar: Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Grey Knight: 4 with Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Dedicated Transports
Razorback 75
Other Units
10× Paladin Squad 485 Paragon: Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Paladin: 3 with Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter ...
10× Purifier Squad 260 with Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm bolter, with Close combat weapon, Psycannon, Purifying Flame ...
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight 255
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight 245
5× Interceptor Squad 125 Justicar: Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Interceptor: 4 with Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Brotherhood Librarian + Psychic Celerity 105
5× Purgation Squad 105 Justicar: Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Purgator: 4 with Close combat weapon, Incinerator
Castellan Crowe 100
Orks codex (5 September)
45.7%win rate, rank 23 of 28 1,663 games 457 lists from 392 players X to X-2 finishes 0.91x entry share going first 2.8 points worse
Grey Knights won 47.3% of 1,397 games in the 28 days before and 45.7% of 1,663 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.6% to 2.6%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
21%
20-40
34%
40-60
26%
60-80
16%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
34%
Take and Hold
34%
Purge the Foe
13%
Disruption
12%
Reconnaissance
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Argent Assault
48%
Banishers
38%
Warpbane Task Force
30%
Brotherhood Strike
15%
Fires of Purgation
11%
Immaterial Interdiction
7%
Hallowed Conclave
5%
Sanctic Spearhead
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Strike Squad
91%
Grand Master In Nemesis
Dreadknight
71%
Brotherhood Terminator
Squad
67%
Purifier Squad
65%
Paladin Squad
64%
Castellan Crowe
62%
Interceptor Squad
53%
Purgation Squad
45%
Brotherhood Librarian
42%
Grand Master
31%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Aeldari
Astra Militarum
Death Guard
Chaos Space Marines
Orks
World Eaters
Space Wolves
Thousand Sons
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Argent Assault + Banishers 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 7-0 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
Won an event of 100+ players
20 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Brotherhood Terminator Squad 140 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Ancient’s Banner, Incinerator
Strike Squad 115 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Dedicated Transports
Rhino 70 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Allied Units
Imperial Rhino 65 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Watch Captain Artemis 65 Hellfire Extremis, Master-crafted power weapon
Other Units
Paladin Squad 485 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Ancient’s Banner, Psycannon, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Psilencer
Paladin Squad 480 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Ancient’s Banner, Psycannon, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Psilencer
Interceptor Squad 125 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Interceptor Squad 125 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Brotherhood Librarian + Sixty-sixth Seal 115 Combi-weapon, Nemesis force weapon, Vortex of Doom
Grand Master + Psychic Celerity 110 Nemesis force weapon, Psycannon
Purgation Squad 105 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Close combat weapon, Incinerator
Warpbane Task Force 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
74th place · record 3-0 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight 230
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight 230
Brotherhood Techmarine 70 Forge bolter, Grav-pistol, Omnissian power axe, Servo-arm
Battleline
Strike Squad 115 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Close combat weapon, Psycannon
Strike Squad 115 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Close combat weapon, Psycannon
Strike Squad 115 Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Close combat weapon, Psycannon
Dedicated Transports
Razorback 75 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter, Twin lascannon
Razorback 75 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter, Twin lascannon
Razorback 75 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter, Twin lascannon
Other Units
Land Raider 220 Armoured tracks, Godhammer lascannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin heavy bolter
Nemesis Dreadknight 210 Gatling psilencer, Heavy psycannon, Nemesis daemon greathammer
Nemesis Dreadknight 210 Gatling psilencer, Heavy psycannon, Nemesis daemon greathammer
Purifier Squad 130 Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm bolter, Close combat weapon, Psycannon
Purifier Squad 130 Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm bolter, Close combat weapon, Psycannon
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)
47.1%win rate, rank 18 of 27 543 games 157 lists from 148 players X to X-2 finishes 0.91x entry share going first 0.7 points worse
Grey Knights won 45.7% of 1,663 games in the 28 days before and 46.9% of 1,090 in the
23 days after. Its share of games went from 2.6% to 2.2%.
One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Warpbane Task Force
(30% to 44%).
One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Razorback (16% to 30%).
Nothing clear turned up in enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
12%
0-20
9%
20-40
35%
40-60
21%
60-80
24%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
29%
Take and Hold
28%
Purge the Foe
24%
Disruption
11%
Reconnaissance
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Argent Assault
42%
Warpbane Task Force
37%
Banishers
36%
Brotherhood Strike
13%
Fires of Purgation
8%
Hallowed Conclave
6%
Immaterial Interdiction
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Strike Squad
87%
Grand Master In Nemesis
Dreadknight
73%
Purifier Squad
69%
Castellan Crowe
67%
Interceptor Squad
66%
Brotherhood Terminator
Squad
62%
Paladin Squad
56%
Purgation Squad
41%
Brotherhood Librarian
39%
Nemesis Dreadknight
27%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Warpbane Task Force
30%
44%
+15
+4.2
Unit
Razorback
16%
30%
+14
+4.6
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Warpbane Task Force 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
2nd place · record 4-1 · 39 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight 240
Battleline
Brotherhood Terminator Squad 150 Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Ancient’s Banner, Incinerator
Brotherhood Terminator Squad 150 Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Ancient’s Banner, Incinerator
Brotherhood Terminator Squad 150 Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Ancient’s Banner, Incinerator
Strike Squad 125 Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter
Other Units
Purifier Squad 290 Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter
Purifier Squad 290 Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter
Interceptor Squad 270 Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter
Nemesis Dreadknight 220 Heavy incinerator, Heavy psycannon, Nemesis daemon greathammer
Grand Master + Radiant Champion 115 Nemesis force weapon, Psycannon
Warpbane Task Force 1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
3rd place · record 4-1 · 27 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight 235
Battleline
Strike Squad 125 Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter
Strike Squad 125 Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter
Other Units
Paladin Squad 400 Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Ancient’s Banner, Psycannon, Apothecary’s Narthecium
Purifier Squad 290 Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter
Nemesis Dreadknight 220 Gatling psilencer, Heavy psycannon, Nemesis daemon greathammer, Heavy incinerator
Nemesis Dreadknight 220 Gatling psilencer, Heavy psycannon, Nemesis daemon greathammer, Heavy incinerator
Purifier Squad 145 Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter
Grand Master Voldus 130 Malleus Argyrum, Searing Purity, Storm Bolter
Castellan Crowe 105 Black Blade of Antwyr, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)
46.7%win rate, rank 20 of 27 547 games 164 lists from 156 players X to X-2 finishes 0.69x entry share going first 7.8 points worse
Grey Knights won 46.0% of 1,520 games in the 28 days before and 46.7% of 547 in the
9 days after. Its share of games went from 2.6% to 2.0%.
One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Warpbane Task Force
(33% to 51%).
One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Purgation Squad (43% to 24%).
Nothing clear turned up in enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
0%
0-20
22%
20-40
35%
40-60
30%
60-80
14%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
37%
Purge the Foe
32%
Priority Assets
20%
Disruption
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Warpbane Task Force
51%
Argent Assault
27%
Banishers
24%
Brotherhood Strike
10%
Fires of Purgation
8%
Immaterial Interdiction
6%
Hallowed Conclave
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Strike Squad
86%
Grand Master In Nemesis
Dreadknight
79%
Purifier Squad
75%
Castellan Crowe
69%
Interceptor Squad
65%
Brotherhood Terminator
Squad
59%
Paladin Squad
48%
Razorback
34%
Nemesis Dreadknight
29%
Brotherhood Librarian
28%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
World Eaters
Space Marines
Adeptus Custodes
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Purgation Squad
43%
24%
-19
-4.2
Detachment
Warpbane Task Force
33%
51%
+19
+4.2
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Warpbane Task Force 1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 6-0 · 85 players · 6 rounds · 17 Oct
13 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight 250
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight 240
Battleline
Brotherhood Terminator Squad 195 Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Psycannon, Ancient’s Banner
Strike Squad 125 Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Close Combat Weapon, Psycannon
Dedicated Transports
Razorback 75 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm Bolter, Twin lascannon
Razorback 75 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm Bolter, Twin lascannon
Allied Units
Eversor Assassin 110 Executioner pistol, Power sword and neuro gauntlet
Other Units
Purifier Squad 290 Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter, Close combat weapon, Psycannon
Purifier Squad 145 Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter, Close combat weapon, Psycannon
Interceptor Squad 135 Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter
Interceptor Squad 135 Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter
Grand Master + Radiant Champion 115 Nemesis force weapon, Psycannon
Castellan Crowe 105 Black Blade of Antwyr, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter
Warpbane Task Force 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 36 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight 240
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight 240
Brotherhood Librarian 95 Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Vortex of Doom
Brotherhood Techmarine 75 Forge bolter, Grav-pistol, Omnissian power axe, Servo-arm
Battleline
Strike Squad 125 Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Close Combat Weapon, Psycannon
Strike Squad 125 Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Close Combat Weapon, Psycannon
Dedicated Transports
Razorback 75 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm Bolter, Twin lascannon
Razorback 75 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm Bolter, Twin lascannon
Other Units
Land Raider 220 Armoured tracks, Godhammer lascannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm Bolter, Twin heavy bolter
Nemesis Dreadknight 220 Gatling psilencer, Heavy psycannon, Nemesis greatsword, Nemesis daemon greathammer
Nemesis Dreadknight 220 Gatling psilencer, Heavy psycannon, Nemesis greatsword, Nemesis daemon greathammer
Purifier Squad 145 Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter, Close Combat Weapon, Psycannon
Purifier Squad 145 Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter, Close Combat Weapon, Psycannon
Chaos Space Marines
Chaos Space Marines Whole edition Over time Force Disposition Combinations Enhancements Units Detachments Pick-rate shifts Matchups Results brackets Lists Team events Milestones 22 Jul 26 Aug 5 Sep 3 Oct 17 Oct
Whole edition
47.1%win rate, rank 21 of 28 11,032 games 3,207 lists from 2,037 players top-10% finishes 0.86x entry share going first 2.9 points better 45.9% adjusted for player skill
Chaos Space Marines fell from 51.4% in the first period (19 Jun to 21 Jul)
to 45.5% in the latest (3 Oct to 25 Oct), one of 10 factions with a clear change over the
period. The pairing Devotees of Destruction + Nightmare Hunt has a win rate 17.4 points
below the faction average (25 lists). The season figure is 47.1% (rank 21 of 28, 11,032
games), which overstates where it stands now. Mutilators went from 12% to 48% of the faction's
lists between the first period and the last 28 days. The Eye of Tzeentch enhancement gives
a win rate 19.9 points below other lists with the same detachment.
Over time
Share of games per week (%)
4
5
6
7
3.5
6.8
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval
40
50
60
45.3
60.7
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Period
Lists
Share of all lists
Games
Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul
758
4.8%
2,628
51.4%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug
823
4.5%
2,835
45.6%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct
1,007
4.4%
3,554
45.8%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct
619
4.1%
2,015
45.5%
Around each milestone, 28 days before and after
Milestone
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul)
2,079 / 2,271
49.2% to 45.6%
-3.6
-2.3
4.6% to 4.5%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug)
2,199 / 2,515
45.5% to 45.4%
-0.1
-0.1
4.5% to 4.3%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep)
2,447 / 2,793
45.4% to 45.9%
+0.5
+0.4
4.5% to 4.3%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct)
2,793 / 2,015
45.9% to 45.5%
-0.4
-0.3
4.3% to 4.0%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data
2,622 / 945
46.7% to 44.5%
-2.2
-1.1
4.4% to 3.5%
Force Disposition
Priority Assets has a win rate 4.0 points below the faction's other choices.
Disposition
Share of games
Games
Win rate
Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Take and Hold
27%
2,606
46.1%
-1.0 ± 1.0
Priority Assets
23%
2,173
43.1%
-4.0 ± 1.1
Purge the Foe
19%
1,830
50.0%
+3.1 ± 1.3
Disruption
16%
1,550
44.5%
-2.7 ± 1.4
Reconnaissance
14%
1,355
47.5%
+0.6 ± 1.5
Combinations
18 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common
is Cabal of Chaos + Fellhammer Siege-host (223 lists, 7%). Weakest: Devotees of Destruction
+ Nightmare Hunt (17.4 points below the faction average).
Combination
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Cabal of Chaos + Fellhammer Siege-host
223
7%
+4.1 ± 1.9
+2.1
Cabal of Chaos + Veterans of the Long War
219
7%
+3.2 ± 2.0
+1.6
Murdertalon Raiders + Veterans of the Long War
167
5%
+0.3 ± 2.3
+0.1
Cabal of Chaos + Soulforged Warpack
130
4%
+1.9 ± 2.4
+0.8
Cabal of Chaos + Warpstrike Champions
112
3%
+3.8 ± 2.6
+1.5
Devotees of Destruction + Veterans of the Long War
93
3%
-4.2 ± 3.2
-1.3
Devotees of Destruction + Warpstrike Champions
93
3%
-5.5 ± 2.9
-1.9
Murdertalon Raiders + Warpstrike Champions
65
2%
-9.5 ± 3.3
-2.9
Devotees of Destruction + Fellhammer Siege-host
59
2%
-11.3 ± 3.1
-3.6
Cabal of Chaos + Nightmare Hunt
57
2%
-16.6 ± 3.0
-5.5
Devotees of Destruction + Nightmare Hunt
25
1%
-17.4 ± 4.1
-4.2
Enhancements
41 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Tempting Addendum (7%
of lists). 3 enhancements differ from the other enhancements in their detachment: Eye of
Tzeentch (19.9 points below the rest), Eye of the Warp (14.0 points below the rest) and
Mark of the Hound (13.2 points below the rest).
Enhancement
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Tempting Addendum
221
7%
+2.3 ± 1.6
+1.4
Touched by the Warp
214
7%
-1.7 ± 1.8
-0.9
Pact of Cursed Pinions
208
6%
-0.7 ± 1.7
-0.4
Conduit of Chaos
191
6%
-3.9 ± 1.8
-2.1
Dread Reaver
169
5%
-0.9 ± 1.9
-0.4
Akshur's Binding Runes
139
4%
-1.3 ± 2.2
-0.6
Intoxicating Elixir
134
4%
-0.1 ± 2.2
-0.1
Tzagulla
125
4%
+1.4 ± 2.1
+0.7
Mark of the Hound
49
2%
-13.2 ± 3.7
-3.6
Eye of the Warp
35
1%
-14.0 ± 4.3
-3.2
Eye of Tzeentch
25
1%
-19.9 ± 4.9
-4.0
Units
A typical list contains 11 distinct units. 3 units appear in at least half of all lists
and 36 in at least 10%. The most common is Cultist Mob (88% of lists). 3 datasheets never
appeared: Cultist Mob with Firearms, Reaver Titan, Rogue Psyker. One datasheet appeared
in under 1% of lists: Khorne Berzerkers.
Of 57 units in 40 or more lists, 19 have a clear effect on results (5 positive, 14 negative).
Best: Masters of the Maelstrom (4.7 points above comparable lists, 41% of lists), Cypher
(3.8 points above comparable lists, 21% of lists), Huron Blackheart (3.2 points above comparable
lists, 36% of lists) and Chaos Bikers (3.1 points above comparable lists, 35% of lists).
Weakest: Khorne Lord Of Skulls (11.3 points below comparable lists, 2% of lists), Sorcerer
(7.8 points below comparable lists, 6% of lists), Chaos Predator Annihilator (7.6 points
below comparable lists, 5% of lists) and Havocs (7.6 points below comparable lists, 14%
of lists). Beasts Of Nurgle is in under 10% of lists but has a win rate above the faction
average. Forgefiend, Obliterators, Warp Talons and Chaos Lord are in at least 15% of lists
but have a win rate below it.
Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-10
-5
0
+5
+10
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Khorne Lord Of Skulls
Sorcerer
Havocs
Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-20
-10
0
+10
+20
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Dread Talons
Nightmare Hunt
Devotees of Destruction
Most played units
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Cultist Mob
2,804
87.4%
+0.4 ± 0.5
+0.9
Chosen
1,860
58.0%
+1.4 ± 0.6
+2.3
Defiler
1,769
55.2%
+1.9 ± 0.6
+3.2
Chaos Rhino
1,523
47.5%
+0.8 ± 0.7
+1.2
Masters of the Maelstrom
1,318
41.1%
+4.7 ± 0.7
+6.9
Red Corsairs Raiders
1,303
40.6%
+1.7 ± 0.7
+2.5
Chaos Terminator Squad
1,251
39.0%
-3.2 ± 0.7
-4.4
Legionaries
1,245
38.8%
-3.3 ± 0.7
-4.6
Huron Blackheart
1,157
36.1%
+3.2 ± 0.7
+4.4
Chaos Bikers
1,137
35.5%
+3.1 ± 0.7
+4.4
Kravek Morne
1,087
33.9%
+1.8 ± 0.8
+2.4
Mutilators
1,055
32.9%
+1.9 ± 0.8
+2.5
Other units with a clear effect
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Warp Talons
690
21.5%
-4.0 ± 1.0
-4.2
Obliterators
902
28.1%
-4.3 ± 0.9
-5.0
Helbrute
357
11.1%
-4.9 ± 1.4
-3.4
Forgefiend
552
17.2%
-5.9 ± 1.1
-5.3
Red Corsairs Reave-Captain
234
7.3%
-6.4 ± 1.7
-3.7
Heretic Astartes Daemon Prince
194
6.0%
-6.5 ± 1.8
-3.7
Havocs
455
14.2%
-7.6 ± 1.2
-6.1
Chaos Predator Annihilator
149
4.6%
-7.6 ± 2.1
-3.7
Sorcerer
202
6.3%
-7.8 ± 1.7
-4.6
Khorne Lord Of Skulls
50
1.6%
-11.3 ± 3.3
-3.4
Detachments
17 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 9 of them account for 80% of picks. The most
played is Cabal of Chaos (26% of lists), and 50% of lists run more than one detachment.
4 detachments differ from the faction average. Weakest: Dread Talons (18.7 points below
the faction average, 1% of lists).
Detachment
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
P1
P2
P3
P4
Cabal of Chaos
845
26%
+0.6 ± 0.9
+0.7
20%
29%
26%
32%
Veterans of the Long War
538
17%
-1.0 ± 1.1
-0.8
16%
17%
17%
17%
Pactbound Zealots
424
13%
+1.9 ± 1.3
+1.5
18%
14%
10%
11%
Murdertalon Raiders
393
12%
-3.7 ± 1.2
-3.0
19%
13%
10%
6%
Devotees of Destruction
377
12%
-7.2 ± 1.4
-5.3
10%
14%
12%
10%
Fellhammer Siege-host
366
11%
-0.6 ± 1.3
-0.5
11%
15%
11%
8%
Renegade Raiders
363
11%
+1.9 ± 1.3
+1.4
11%
12%
11%
11%
Creations of Bile
314
10%
+2.2 ± 1.4
+1.6
5%
8%
12%
15%
Warpstrike Champions
300
9%
-2.6 ± 1.4
-1.8
7%
9%
10%
13%
Soulforged Warpack
266
8%
+1.7 ± 1.6
+1.1
12%
9%
6%
6%
Huron's Marauders
235
7%
+0.9 ± 1.7
+0.5
5%
4%
11%
8%
Nightmare Hunt
91
3%
-13.3 ± 2.2
-6.2
4%
3%
2%
2%
Cult of the Arkifane
56
2%
-11.7 ± 4.0
-2.9
2%
1%
2%
1%
Chaos Cult
47
1%
-1.1 ± 3.8
-0.3
1%
2%
1%
2%
Pick-rate shifts
Type
Name
First period
Prior 28 days
Last 28 days
Change vs first period (pp)
Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Unit
Mutilators
12%
45%
48%
+35
+2
Unit
Chaos Terminator Squad
26%
41%
53%
+27
+12
Unit
Kravek Morne
22%
42%
45%
+23
+2
Unit
Sorcerer In Terminator Armour
17%
22%
35%
+19
+13
Unit
Fabius Bile
10%
21%
26%
+16
+5
Unit
Huron Blackheart
42%
36%
26%
-16
-9
Unit
Warp Talons
29%
20%
14%
-15
-7
Unit
Defiler
63%
49%
48%
-15
-1
Unit
Vashtorr The Arkifane
32%
22%
18%
-14
-4
Detachment
Murdertalon Raiders
19%
10%
6%
-13
-4
Detachment
Cabal of Chaos
20%
27%
31%
+12
+4
Unit
Abaddon The Despoiler
25%
17%
14%
-12
-3
Matchups
Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Black Templars (58.2% over
184 games) and the worst is Emperor's Children (39.5% over 481).
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Black Templars
184
58.2%
50.9% to 65.0%
51.9%
+6.2
favourable
Astra Militarum
387
58.1%
53.2% to 63.0%
56.7%
+1.4
favourable
Imperial Knights
439
55.9%
51.2% to 60.5%
48.6%
+7.3
favourable
Imperial Agents
34
54.4%
38.1% to 69.8%
53.5%
+0.9
Grey Knights
292
52.7%
47.0% to 58.4%
50.1%
+2.7
Thousand Sons
368
44.8%
39.8% to 49.9%
46.8%
-2.0
unfavourable
World Eaters
493
44.4%
40.1% to 48.8%
47.3%
-2.8
unfavourable
T'au Empire
589
44.1%
40.1% to 48.1%
45.4%
-1.4
unfavourable
Adepta Sororitas
298
44.0%
38.4% to 49.6%
46.9%
-2.9
unfavourable
Leagues of Votann
355
43.9%
38.9% to 49.1%
45.4%
-1.4
unfavourable
Orks
800
43.4%
40.0% to 46.8%
41.9%
+1.4
unfavourable
Tyranids
623
42.7%
38.9% to 46.6%
47.3%
-4.6
unfavourable
Deathwatch
73
42.5%
31.8% to 53.9%
43.5%
-1.0
Dark Angels
495
42.3%
38.0% to 46.7%
43.8%
-1.5
unfavourable
Emperor's Children
481
39.5%
35.2% to 43.9%
45.8%
-6.3
unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 12 more rows
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Aeldari
320
52.2%
46.7% to 57.6%
51.6%
+0.6
Space Marines
868
49.9%
46.6% to 53.3%
48.5%
+1.4
Death Guard
497
49.7%
45.3% to 54.1%
49.0%
+0.7
Blood Angels
321
49.4%
43.9% to 54.8%
51.2%
-1.8
Necrons
713
48.2%
44.6% to 51.9%
45.7%
+2.5
Drukhari
263
48.1%
42.1% to 54.1%
50.3%
-2.2
Genestealer Cult
143
47.6%
39.5% to 55.7%
49.6%
-2.1
Adeptus Mechanicus
274
47.1%
41.3% to 53.0%
46.6%
+0.5
Adeptus Custodes
695
46.6%
42.9% to 50.3%
43.0%
+3.6
Chaos Knights
278
46.4%
40.6% to 52.3%
50.3%
-3.9
Chaos Daemons
440
45.8%
41.2% to 50.5%
42.5%
+3.3
Space Wolves
309
45.0%
39.5% to 50.6%
48.1%
-3.1
Results brackets
283 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 33 won
X, 74 won X-1 and 176 won X-2, from 754 entries.
Share of players by share of games won
6%
0-20
21%
20-40
30%
40-60
28%
60-80
15%
80-100
line = all factions
Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2
4.8%
X
3.5%
X-1
4.1%
X-2
dashed = share of entries, 4.4%
Bracket tables
Tier
Lists
Share of tier
Share of entries
Ratio
z
X
33
4.8%
4.4%
1.10x
+0.6
X-1
74
3.5%
4.4%
0.79x
-2.1
X-2
176
4.1%
4.4%
0.94x
-0.9
X to X-2
283
4.0%
4.4%
0.91x
-1.6
Share of games won
Players
Share of players
All players
0 to 20%
37
5.7%
4.1%
20 to 40%
139
21.5%
17.2%
40 to 60%
194
29.9%
32.2%
60 to 80%
182
28.1%
30.1%
80 to 100%
96
14.8%
16.4%
Each extra 2.3 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 3.1 points
lower; the average list has 10.9. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength
model, milestone moves, results brackets and terrain layout.
Representative lists
Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists
are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events
with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties,
and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.
Renegade Raiders 1,990 pts
Won the event · record 6-0 · 133 players · 6 rounds · 18 Jul
Won an event of 100+ players
34 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Vashtorr The Arkifane 205
Lord Discordant On Helstalker 175
Warpsmith 60 Flamer tendril, Forge weapon, Melta tendril, Plasma pistol
Battleline
Cultist Mob 50 Bolt pistol, Brutal assault weapon, Autopistol
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 75 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Chaos Rhino 75 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Allied Units
Noise Marines 145 Close combat weapon, Sonic blaster, Blastmaster
Noise Marines 145 Close combat weapon, Sonic blaster, Blastmaster
Other Units
Defiler 320 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Hades lascannon, Shearing claws
Masters of the Maelstrom 135 Absolvor bolt pistol, Reductor array, Force stave, Mind Wrench, Axe of Ending, Bolt pistol, Laspistol, Power sabre ...
Chosen 125 Boltgun, Chaos Icon, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Accursed weapon, Bolt pistol, Paired accursed weapons
Huron Blackheart 120 Tyrant’s Claw and exalted power weapon, Tyrant’s Claw heavy flamer
Raptors 110 Heavy melee weapon, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Flamer, Mutations
Red Corsairs Raiders 110 Boltgun, Hand flamer, Reaver’s blade, Bolt pistol, Meltagun, Power fist
Chaos Bikers 70 Chaos Icon, Close combat weapon, Combi-bolter, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Plasma gun
Traitor Guardsmen Squad 70 Boltgun, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Flamer, Lasgun, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Devotees of Destruction + Veterans of the Long War 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0-1 · 104 players · 6 rounds · 21 Aug
Won an event of 100+ players
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Vashtorr The Arkifane 220
Battleline
Cultist Mob 50 Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Cultist Mob 50 Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 65 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Combi-weapon, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler 330 Excruciator cannon, Hades battle cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Chaos Vindicator 185 Armoured tracks, Combi-weapon, Demolisher cannon, Havoc launcher
Chaos Vindicator 185 Armoured tracks, Combi-weapon, Demolisher cannon, Havoc launcher
Mutilators 165 Fleshmetal weapons
Masters of the Maelstrom 145 Absolvor bolt pistol, Reductor array, Force stave, Mind Wrench, Axe of Ending, Bolt pistol, Laspistol, Power sabre ...
Chosen 135 Boltgun, Chaos Icon, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Accursed weapon, Bolt pistol, Combi-weapon, Paired accursed weapons
Huron Blackheart 130 Tyrant’s Claw and exalted power weapon, Tyrant’s Claw heavy flamer
Red Corsairs Raiders 110 Boltgun, Hand flamer, Reaver’s blade, Bolt pistol, Meltagun, Power fist
Accursed Cultists 90 Blasphemous appendages, Hideous mutations
Chaos Bikers 70 Chaos Icon, Close combat weapon, Combi-bolter, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Meltagun
Chaos Bikers 70 Chaos Icon, Close combat weapon, Combi-bolter, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Meltagun
Team events
48.5%win rate in team events 2,244 games 567 lists from 496 players +1.8 points against individual events going first 4.7 points better
Chaos Space Marines won 48.5% of 2,244 team event games, against 46.7% of 8,788 in individual
events: 1.8 points higher (not clear). It makes up 4.8% of team event games and 4.3% of
individual event games.
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Disruption
25%
Purge the Foe
22%
Priority Assets
20%
Take and Hold
17%
Reconnaissance
16%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments
share
win rate
Cabal of Chaos
22%
Pactbound Zealots
16%
Veterans of the Long War
15%
Renegade Raiders
14%
Creations of Bile
11%
Huron's Marauders
10%
Warpstrike Champions
9%
Fellhammer Siege-host
9%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups
win rate against
Imperial Knights
Aeldari
Drukhari
Astra Militarum
Death Guard
Orks
Chaos Daemons
Tyranids
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events.
Dashed: team events win rate.
Milestones
5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after,
with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.
July balance & rules update (22 July)
45.6%win rate, rank 22 of 28 2,271 games 658 lists from 571 players X to X-2 finishes 0.93x entry share going first 3.2 points better
Chaos Space Marines won 49.2% of 2,079 games in the 28 days before and 45.6% of 2,271
in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.6% to 4.5%.
One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Murdertalon Raiders
(22% to 12%).
One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Mutilators (12% to 28%).
Nothing clear turned up in enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
4%
0-20
17%
20-40
35%
40-60
31%
60-80
13%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
31%
Priority Assets
27%
Reconnaissance
16%
Disruption
16%
Purge the Foe
10%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Cabal of Chaos
28%
Veterans of the Long War
16%
Fellhammer Siege-host
16%
Pactbound Zealots
15%
Devotees of Destruction
15%
Murdertalon Raiders
12%
Renegade Raiders
11%
Soulforged Warpack
9%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Cultist Mob
87%
Defiler
62%
Chosen
57%
Chaos Rhino
46%
Red Corsairs Raiders
43%
Chaos Bikers
38%
Huron Blackheart
38%
Legionaries
37%
Masters of the Maelstrom
37%
Chaos Terminator Squad
36%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Black Templars
Death Guard
Astra Militarum
Aeldari
Emperor's Children
Dark Angels
World Eaters
T'au Empire
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Mutilators
12%
28%
+16
+7.1
Detachment
Murdertalon Raiders
22%
12%
-10
-4.5
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Cabal of Chaos + Veterans of the Long War 1,995 pts
Take and Hold
2nd place · record 5-0 · 138 players · 5 rounds · 1 Aug
6 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Vashtorr The Arkifane 220
Heretic Astartes Daemon Prince With Wings 200
Heretic Astartes Daemon Prince With Wings 180
Battleline
Cultist Mob 50 Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Cultist Mob 50 Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 65 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler 370 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Defiler 330 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Masters of the Maelstrom 145 Absolvor bolt pistol, Reductor array, Force stave, Mind Wrench, Axe of Ending, Bolt pistol, Laspistol, Power sabre ...
Chosen 135 Boltgun, Chaos Icon, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Accursed weapon, Bolt pistol, Combi-weapon, Paired accursed weapons
Huron Blackheart 130 Tyrant’s Claw and exalted power weapon, Tyrant’s Claw heavy flamer
Venomcrawler 120 Excruciator cannon, Soulflayer tendrils and claws
Murdertalon Raiders + Veterans of the Long War 1,990 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 23 players · 5 rounds · 25 Jul
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Warpsmith + Eye of Abaddon 75 Flamer tendril, Forge weapon, Melta tendril, Plasma pistol
Battleline
Cultist Mob 50 Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Other Units
Defiler 330 Excruciator cannon, Hades battle cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Warp Talons 280 Warp claws
Chaos Vindicator 185 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Demolisher cannon, Havoc launcher
Chaos Predator Destructor 150 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher, Lascannon, Predator autocannon
Masters of the Maelstrom 145 Absolvor bolt pistol, Reductor array, Force stave, Mind Wrench, Axe of Ending, Bolt pistol, Laspistol, Power sabre ...
Chosen 135 Boltgun, Chaos Icon, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Accursed weapon, Bolt pistol, Combi-weapon, Paired accursed weapons
Huron Blackheart 130 Tyrant’s Claw and exalted power weapon, Tyrant’s Claw heavy flamer
Possessed 120 Chaos Icon, Hideous mutations
Raptors 110 Heavy melee weapon, Plasma pistol, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol
Red Corsairs Raiders 110 Boltgun, Hand flamer, Reaver’s blade, Bolt pistol, Meltagun, Power fist
Chaos Lord with Jump Pack + Pact of Cursed Pinions 100 Plasma pistol, Power fist
Chaos Bikers 70 Chaos Icon, Close combat weapon, Combi-bolter, Power fist, Bolt pistol, Plasma gun
August balance & rules update (26 August)
45.5%win rate, rank 25 of 27 761 games 212 lists from 206 players X to X-2 finishes 0.94x entry share going first 4.6 points better
Chaos Space Marines won 45.5% of 2,199 games in the 28 days before and 45.4% of 2,515
in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.5% to 4.3%.
One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Huron's Marauders
(4% to 12%).
3 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Defiler (60% to 48%), Mutilators
(29% to 40%) and Warpsmith (34% to 24%).
Nothing clear turned up in enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
6%
0-20
34%
20-40
20%
40-60
29%
60-80
11%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
29%
Priority Assets
24%
Purge the Foe
20%
Reconnaissance
15%
Disruption
13%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Cabal of Chaos
22%
Devotees of Destruction
14%
Veterans of the Long War
14%
Fellhammer Siege-host
13%
Pactbound Zealots
12%
Huron's Marauders
11%
Creations of Bile
11%
Renegade Raiders
11%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Cultist Mob
85%
Chosen
61%
Defiler
51%
Chaos Rhino
50%
Chaos Terminator Squad
44%
Masters of the Maelstrom
43%
Legionaries
43%
Huron Blackheart
42%
Red Corsairs Raiders
39%
Chaos Bikers
33%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Space Marines
Adeptus Custodes
Necrons
T'au Empire
Tyranids
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Defiler
60%
48%
-13
-4.7
Unit
Mutilators
29%
40%
+12
+4.5
Unit
Warpsmith
34%
24%
-10
-4.1
Detachment
Huron's Marauders
4%
12%
+8
+5.6
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Cabal of Chaos + Chaos Cult 1,995 pts
Priority Assets
2nd place · record 4-0-1 · 37 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
Show list
Characters
Heretic Astartes Daemon Prince With Wings 200
Heretic Astartes Daemon Prince With Wings 180
Battleline
Cultist Mob 50 Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Cultist Mob 50 Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Cultist Mob 50 Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Allied Units
Nurglings 45 Diseased claws and teeth
Other Units
Defiler 330 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Accursed Cultists 215 Blasphemous appendages, Hideous mutations
Accursed Cultists 195 Blasphemous appendages, Hideous mutations
Accursed Cultists 195 Blasphemous appendages, Hideous mutations
Dark Commune + Incendiary Goad 130 Autopistol, Commune stave, Close combat weapon, Warp Curse, Chaos Icon, Commune blade
Dark Commune + Incendiary Goad 115 Autopistol, Commune stave, Close combat weapon, Warp Curse, Chaos Icon, Commune blade
Dark Commune + Incendiary Goad 100 Autopistol, Commune stave, Close combat weapon, Warp Curse, Chaos Icon, Commune blade
Traitor Guardsmen Squad 70 Close combat weapon, Corrupted pistol, Lasgun
Traitor Guardsmen Squad 70 Close combat weapon, Corrupted pistol, Lasgun
Huron's Marauders 1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 12 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Cultist Mob 50 Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Cultist Mob 50 Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 65 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Combi-weapon, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Chaos Terminator Squad 350 Combi-bolter, Power fist, Accursed weapon, Chainfist, Reaper autocannon
Chosen 270 Boltgun, Chaos Icon, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Accursed weapon, Bolt pistol, Combi-weapon, Paired accursed weapons
Possessed 250 Hideous mutations, Chaos Icon
Mutilators 165 Fleshmetal weapons
Mutilators 165 Fleshmetal weapons
Masters of the Maelstrom 145 Absolvor bolt pistol, Reductor array, Force stave, Mind Wrench, Axe of Ending, Bolt pistol, Laspistol, Power sabre ...
Chosen 135 Boltgun, Chaos Icon, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Accursed weapon, Bolt pistol, Combi-weapon, Paired accursed weapons
Huron Blackheart 130 Tyrant’s Claw and exalted power weapon, Tyrant’s Claw heavy flamer
Kravek Morne 120 Baleflamer, Combi-bolter, Last Argument and power fist, Servo-harness
Fabius Bile 100 Chirurgeon, Rod of Torment, Xyclos Needler, Surgeon Acolyte’s tools
Orks codex (5 September)
45.9%win rate, rank 22 of 28 2,793 games 795 lists from 699 players X to X-2 finishes 0.88x entry share going first 4.2 points better
Chaos Space Marines won 45.4% of 2,447 games in the 28 days before and 45.9% of 2,793
in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.5% to 4.3%.
2 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Mutilators (31% to 45%)
and Kravek Morne (30% to 43%).
Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
9%
0-20
19%
20-40
30%
40-60
27%
60-80
15%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
25%
Take and Hold
25%
Priority Assets
20%
Reconnaissance
18%
Disruption
12%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Cabal of Chaos
27%
Veterans of the Long War
18%
Devotees of Destruction
12%
Creations of Bile
12%
Renegade Raiders
11%
Huron's Marauders
11%
Fellhammer Siege-host
10%
Warpstrike Champions
10%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Cultist Mob
88%
Chosen
60%
Defiler
50%
Chaos Rhino
49%
Masters of the Maelstrom
45%
Mutilators
45%
Red Corsairs Raiders
43%
Kravek Morne
43%
Chaos Terminator Squad
41%
Legionaries
40%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Imperial Knights
World Eaters
Aeldari
Space Marines
Adeptus Custodes
Dark Angels
Emperor's Children
Leagues of Votann
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Mutilators
31%
45%
+15
+5.8
Unit
Kravek Morne
30%
43%
+12
+4.8
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Devotees of Destruction + Veterans of the Long War 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
3rd place · record 5-1 · 77 players · 6 rounds · 25 Sep
5 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Cultist Mob 50 Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Cultist Mob 50 Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 65 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Combi-weapon, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler 330 Excruciator cannon, Hades battle cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Chaos Vindicator 185 Armoured tracks, Combi-weapon, Demolisher cannon, Havoc launcher
Chaos Vindicator 185 Armoured tracks, Combi-weapon, Demolisher cannon, Havoc launcher
Mutilators 165 Fleshmetal weapons
Obliterators 160 Crushing fists, Fleshmetal guns
Obliterators 160 Crushing fists, Fleshmetal guns
Masters of the Maelstrom 145 Absolvor bolt pistol, Reductor array, Force stave, Mind Wrench, Axe of Ending, Bolt pistol, Laspistol, Power sabre ...
Chosen 135 Boltgun, Chaos Icon, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Accursed weapon, Bolt pistol, Combi-weapon, Paired accursed weapons
Kravek Morne 120 Baleflamer, Combi-bolter, Last Argument and power fist, Servo-harness
Red Corsairs Raiders 110 Boltgun, Hand flamer, Reaver’s blade, Bolt pistol, Meltagun, Power fist
Master Of Possession 70
Chaos Bikers 70 Chaos Icon, Close combat weapon, Combi-bolter, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Meltagun
Cabal of Chaos + Fellhammer Siege-host 1,990 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 5-1 · 52 players · 6 rounds · 19 Sep
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lord Discordant On Helstalker 175
Battleline
Cultist Mob 50 Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Other Units
Abaddon The Despoiler 295
Chosen 270 Boltgun, Chaos Icon, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Accursed weapon, Bolt pistol, Combi-weapon, Paired accursed weapons
Possessed 260 Hideous mutations
Possessed 250 Hideous mutations
Possessed 250 Hideous mutations
Mutilators 165 Fleshmetal weapons
Mutilators 165 Fleshmetal weapons
Red Corsairs Raiders 110 Boltgun, Hand flamer, Reaver’s blade, Bolt pistol, Meltagun, Power fist
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)
46.4%win rate, rank 21 of 27 1,070 games 319 lists from 299 players X to X-2 finishes 0.88x entry share going first 7.3 points better
Chaos Space Marines won 45.9% of 2,793 games in the 28 days before and 45.5% of 2,015
in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 4.3% to 4.0%.
2 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Chaos Terminator Squad (41%
to 55%) and Sorcerer In Terminator Armour (22% to 36%).
Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
5%
0-20
29%
20-40
21%
40-60
29%
60-80
16%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
28%
Priority Assets
23%
Disruption
22%
Purge the Foe
19%
Reconnaissance
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Cabal of Chaos
33%
Veterans of the Long War
18%
Warpstrike Champions
13%
Creations of Bile
13%
Pactbound Zealots
11%
Devotees of Destruction
11%
Renegade Raiders
10%
Fellhammer Siege-host
9%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Cultist Mob
88%
Chosen
54%
Chaos Terminator Squad
50%
Chaos Rhino
48%
Defiler
48%
Mutilators
47%
Kravek Morne
45%
Masters of the Maelstrom
37%
Legionaries
36%
Sorcerer In Terminator
Armour
35%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Necrons
Dark Angels
Adeptus Custodes
Death Guard
Chaos Daemons
T'au Empire
World Eaters
Tyranids
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Chaos Terminator Squad
41%
55%
+14
+5.3
Unit
Sorcerer In Terminator Armour
22%
36%
+14
+5.6
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Cabal of Chaos + Veterans of the Long War 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
3rd place · record 5-1 · 106 players · 6 rounds · 10 Oct
Show list
Battleline
Cultist Mob 50 Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Cultist Mob 50 Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Other Units
Chaos Terminator Squad 370 Chainfist, Combi-bolter, Accursed weapon, Power fist, Reaper autocannon
Defiler 330 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Possessed 260 Chaos Icon, Hideous mutations
Possessed 260 Chaos Icon, Hideous mutations
Mutilators 165 Fleshmetal weapons
Kravek Morne 130 Baleflamer, Combi-bolter, Last Argument and power fist, Servo-harness
Red Corsairs Raiders 120 Boltgun, Hand flamer, Reaver’s blade, Bolt pistol, Meltagun, Power fist
Sorcerer In Terminator Armour 105
Chaos Bikers 80 Close Combat Weapon, Combi-bolter, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Chaos Icon, Meltagun
Chaos Bikers 80 Close Combat Weapon, Combi-bolter, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Chaos Icon, Meltagun
Cabal of Chaos + Veterans of the Long War 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 4-1 · 40 players · 5 rounds · 3 Oct
8 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Heretic Astartes Daemon Prince With Wings 180
Kravek Morne 130 Baleflamer, Combi-bolter, Last Argument and power fist, Servo-harness
Fabius Bile 110 Chirurgeon, Rod of Torment, Xyclos Needler, Surgeon Acolyte’s tools
Battleline
Cultist Mob 50 Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino 65 Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter
Allied Units
Noise Marines 160 Close Combat Weapon, Power sword, Screamer pistol, Blastmaster, Sonic blaster
Other Units
Defiler 330 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Hades lascannon, Shearing claws
Mutilators 165 Fleshmetal weapons
Obliterators 160 Crushing fists, Fleshmetal guns
Obliterators 160 Crushing fists, Fleshmetal guns
Masters of the Maelstrom 150 Absolvor bolt pistol, Reductor array, Force stave, Mind Wrench, Axe of Ending, Bolt pistol, Laspistol, Power sabre ...
Chosen 140 Boltgun, Chaos Icon, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Accursed weapon, Bolt pistol, Combi-weapon, Paired accursed weapons
Red Corsairs Raiders 120 Boltgun, Hand flamer, Reaver’s blade, Bolt pistol, Meltagun, Power fist
Chaos Bikers 80 Chaos Icon, Close Combat Weapon, Combi-bolter, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Meltagun
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)
44.5%win rate, rank 24 of 27 945 games 300 lists from 292 players X to X-2 finishes 0.76x entry share going first 1.8 points worse
Chaos Space Marines won 46.7% of 2,622 games in the 28 days before and 44.5% of 945
in the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 4.4% to 3.5%.
One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Chaos Terminator Squad
(45% to 60%).
Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
8%
0-20
27%
20-40
27%
40-60
27%
60-80
11%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
34%
Priority Assets
23%
Disruption
20%
Purge the Foe
15%
Reconnaissance
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Cabal of Chaos
30%
Veterans of the Long War
17%
Creations of Bile
16%
Renegade Raiders
13%
Warpstrike Champions
13%
Pactbound Zealots
11%
Devotees of Destruction
10%
Huron's Marauders
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Cultist Mob
88%
Chaos Terminator Squad
60%
Chosen
51%
Mutilators
50%
Kravek Morne
46%
Defiler
46%
Chaos Rhino
43%
Masters of the Maelstrom
41%
Legionaries
40%
Sorcerer In Terminator
Armour
37%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
T'au Empire
Adeptus Custodes
Tyranids
Necrons
World Eaters
Space Marines
Death Guard
Dark Angels
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Chaos Terminator Squad
45%
60%
+15
+4.3
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Cabal of Chaos + Veterans of the Long War 1,985 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 30 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lord Discordant On Helstalker 165
Battleline
Cultist Mob 50 Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Cultist Mob 50 Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Other Units
Chaos Terminator Squad 370 Chainfist, Combi-bolter, Accursed weapon, Power fist, Reaper autocannon
Defiler 330 Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Chosen 280 Boltgun, Chaos Icon, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Accursed weapon, Bolt pistol, Paired accursed weapons
Mutilators 165 Fleshmetal weapons
Masters of the Maelstrom 150 Absolvor bolt pistol, Reductor array, Force stave, Mind Wrench, Axe of Ending, Bolt pistol, Laspistol, Power sabre ...
Kravek Morne 130 Baleflamer, Combi-bolter, Last Argument and power fist, Servo-harness
Fabius Bile 110 Chirurgeon, Rod of Torment, Xyclos Needler, Surgeon Acolyte’s tools
Sorcerer In Terminator Armour 105
Chaos Bikers 80 Chaos Icon, Close Combat Weapon, Combi-bolter, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Meltagun
Cabal of Chaos + Renegade Warband 1,995 pts
Priority Assets
4th place · record 4-1 · 30 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
Show list
Characters
Vashtorr The Arkifane 220
Lord Discordant On Helstalker 190
Lord Discordant On Helstalker 165
Battleline
Cultist Mob 50 Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Other Units
Mutilators 185 Fleshmetal weapons
Obliterators 170 Crushing fists, Fleshmetal guns
Mutilators 165 Fleshmetal weapons
Mutilators 165 Fleshmetal weapons
Obliterators 160 Crushing fists, Fleshmetal guns
Obliterators 160 Crushing fists, Fleshmetal guns
Maulerfiend 125 Magma cutters, Maulerfiend fists
Chaos Bikers 80 Chaos Icon, Close Combat Weapon, Combi-bolter, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Meltagun
Chaos Bikers 80 Chaos Icon, Close Combat Weapon, Combi-bolter, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Meltagun
Chaos Bikers 80 Chaos Icon, Close Combat Weapon, Combi-bolter, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Meltagun
Chaos Knights
Chaos Knights Whole edition Force Disposition Detachments Results brackets Combinations Enhancements Units Pick-rate shifts Matchups Over time Lists Team events Milestones 22 Jul 26 Aug 5 Sep 3 Oct 17 Oct
Whole edition
46.9%win rate, rank 22 of 28 6,148 games 1,742 lists from 1,148 players top-10% finishes 0.59x entry share going first 1.4 points better 46.1% adjusted for player skill
Results depend on event size: the faction's effect is +4.2 points in events
of 24 players or fewer and -4.5 points in events above 48. Houndpack Lance lists have a
win rate 5.8 points above the faction average and make up 33% of the faction's lists. Chaos
Knights won 46.9% of 6,148 games, rank 22 of 28. Hunting Warpack went from 21% to 55% of
the faction's lists between the first period and the last 28 days. 34.8% of its players
won at least 60% of their games, against 46.5% of all players.
Force Disposition
Reconnaissance has a win rate 6.7 points above the faction's other choices, Purge the
Foe has a win rate 5.1 points below the faction's other choices and Priority Assets has
a win rate 4.2 points below the faction's other choices.
Disposition
Share of games
Games
Win rate
Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Reconnaissance
40%
2,184
53.5%
+6.7 ± 1.1
Priority Assets
21%
1,128
42.7%
-4.2 ± 1.4
Take and Hold
17%
905
45.2%
-1.7 ± 1.5
Purge the Foe
16%
871
42.0%
-5.1 ± 1.6
Disruption
6%
332
45.3%
-1.8 ± 2.5
Detachments
8 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 6 of them account for 80% of picks. The most
played is Hunting Warpack (40% of lists), and 70% of lists run more than one detachment.
3 detachments differ from the faction average. Best: Houndpack Lance (5.8 points above
the faction average, 33% of lists).
Detachment
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
P1
P2
P3
P4
Hunting Warpack
704
40%
+3.0 ± 0.9
+3.3
21%
27%
52%
54%
Houndpack Lance
576
33%
+5.8 ± 1.0
+5.9
17%
23%
41%
47%
Infernal Lance
335
19%
-1.4 ± 1.3
-1.1
30%
15%
17%
18%
Iconoclast Fiefdom
322
18%
+4.4 ± 1.3
+3.3
21%
31%
13%
11%
Bastions of Tyranny
282
16%
-3.3 ± 1.4
-2.3
18%
23%
14%
11%
Traitoris Lance
276
16%
-3.0 ± 1.4
-2.2
19%
23%
13%
10%
Lords of Dread
275
16%
-2.1 ± 1.5
-1.5
18%
19%
15%
11%
Helhunt Lance
160
9%
+1.3 ± 1.9
+0.7
9%
11%
8%
9%
Results brackets
117 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 4 won X,
36 won X-1 and 77 won X-2, from 376 entries.
Share of players by share of games won
7%
0-20
16%
20-40
42%
40-60
25%
60-80
10%
80-100
line = all factions
Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2
0.6%
X
1.7%
X-1
1.8%
X-2
dashed = share of entries, 2.2%
Tier
Lists
Share of tier
Share of entries
Ratio
z
X
4
0.6%
2.2%
0.27x
-2.9
X-1
36
1.7%
2.2%
0.77x
-1.6
X-2
77
1.8%
2.2%
0.82x
-1.7
X to X-2
117
1.7%
2.2%
0.75x
-3.1
Share of games won
Players
Share of players
All players
0 to 20%
24
7.4%
4.1%
20 to 40%
52
16.0%
17.2%
40 to 60%
136
41.8%
32.2%
60 to 80%
81
24.9%
30.1%
80 to 100%
32
9.8%
16.4%
Combinations
11 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common
is Houndpack Lance + Hunting Warpack (329 lists, 19%). Best: Houndpack Lance + Hunting
Warpack (7.3 points above the faction average). Weakest: Hunting Warpack + Lords of Dread
(10.0 points below the faction average).
Combination
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Houndpack Lance + Hunting Warpack
329
19%
+7.3 ± 1.4
+5.2
Hunting Warpack + Traitoris Lance
153
9%
-5.2 ± 1.9
-2.7
Houndpack Lance + Iconoclast Fiefdom
147
8%
+5.3 ± 2.1
+2.5
Bastions of Tyranny + Lords of Dread
128
7%
-3.0 ± 2.1
-1.4
Helhunt Lance + Hunting Warpack
112
6%
+1.8 ± 2.4
+0.8
Iconoclast Fiefdom + Lords of Dread
67
4%
+0.6 ± 3.2
+0.2
Hunting Warpack + Lords of Dread
64
4%
-10.0 ± 3.1
-3.2
Bastions of Tyranny + Traitoris Lance
61
4%
-6.8 ± 3.5
-2.0
Enhancements
25 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Snarling Rivalry (29%
of lists). One enhancement differs from the other enhancements in its detachment: Snarling
Rivalry (3.8 points above the rest).
Enhancement
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Snarling Rivalry
498
29%
+3.8 ± 1.0
+3.6
Final Howl
269
15%
+2.7 ± 1.5
+1.8
Veil of Medrengard
173
10%
-0.5 ± 1.7
-0.3
Hate-filled Dominion
170
10%
-0.1 ± 1.8
-0.1
Warp-borne Stalker
163
9%
+0.2 ± 2.0
+0.1
Throne Mechanicum of Skulls
160
9%
+1.9 ± 1.9
+1.0
Preyslayer's Mantle
154
9%
+2.1 ± 2.0
+1.0
Panoply of the Cursed Knights
154
9%
+3.6 ± 2.0
+1.8
Units
A typical list contains 5 distinct units. 4 units appear in at least half of all lists
and 15 in at least 10%. The most common is War Dog Karnivore (74% of lists). 12 datasheets
appeared in under 1% of lists: Accursed Cultists, Chaos Acastus Knight Asterius, Chaos
Acastus Knight Porphyrion, Chaos Cerastus Knight Acheron, Chaos Questoris Knight Magaera,
Chaos Questoris Knight Styrix, Cultist Firebrand, Daemon Prince Of Chaos With Wings, Dark
Commune, Sloppity Bilepiper, Traitor Enforcer, War Dog Moirax.
Of 20 units in 40 or more lists, 3 have a clear effect on results (3 positive, 0 negative).
Best: War Dog Executioner (2.7 points above comparable lists, 53% of lists), War Dog Stalker
(2.6 points above comparable lists, 53% of lists) and War Dog Brigand (2.3 points above
comparable lists, 58% of lists). Fellgor Beastmen is in under 10% of lists but has a win
rate above the faction average.
Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-5
0
+5
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
War Dog Executioner
Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-5
0
+5
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Houndpack Lance
Iconoclast Fiefdom
Hunting Warpack
Most played units
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
War Dog Karnivore
1,290
74.1%
+1.7 ± 0.7
+2.5
War Dog Brigand
1,002
57.5%
+2.3 ± 0.8
+3.1
War Dog Executioner
921
52.9%
+2.7 ± 0.8
+3.4
War Dog Stalker
920
52.8%
+2.6 ± 0.8
+3.3
Knight Despoiler
623
35.8%
+0.1 ± 1.0
+0.1
Nurglings
589
33.8%
+2.5 ± 1.0
+2.6
Knight Abominant
502
28.8%
-0.2 ± 1.0
-0.2
Knight Rampager
459
26.3%
-0.5 ± 1.1
-0.4
Knight Tyrant
434
24.9%
+0.9 ± 1.1
+0.8
War Dog Huntsman
332
19.1%
+1.3 ± 1.4
+1.0
Chaos Cerastus Knight Lancer
328
18.8%
+0.1 ± 1.3
+0.1
Knight Desecrator
326
18.7%
+1.5 ± 1.3
+1.1
Pick-rate shifts
Type
Name
First period
Prior 28 days
Last 28 days
Change vs first period (pp)
Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Enhancement
Snarling Rivalry
10%
39%
44%
+34
+5
Detachment
Hunting Warpack
21%
54%
55%
+33
+0
Detachment
Houndpack Lance
17%
43%
48%
+31
+5
Enhancement
Final Howl
6%
22%
28%
+22
+6
Unit
War Dog Executioner
40%
61%
61%
+21
+1
Unit
Knight Abominant
37%
22%
20%
-17
-2
Unit
Knight Despoiler
48%
30%
31%
-17
+1
Unit
War Dog Karnivore
68%
81%
81%
+14
+1
Enhancement
Panoply of the Cursed Knights
2%
14%
14%
+12
+0
Enhancement
Preyslayer's Mantle
5%
10%
14%
+9
+4
Matchups
Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Astra Militarum (58.2% over
233 games) and the worst is Adeptus Custodes (36.3% over 395).
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Imperial Agents
22
77.3%
56.6% to 89.9%
53.2%
+24.0
favourable
Astra Militarum
233
58.2%
51.7% to 64.3%
56.4%
+1.7
favourable
Blood Angels
187
57.0%
49.8% to 63.8%
50.9%
+6.1
Drukhari
136
54.4%
46.0% to 62.5%
50.0%
+4.5
Tyranids
353
54.1%
48.9% to 59.2%
47.0%
+7.1
Chaos Daemons
225
43.3%
37.0% to 49.9%
42.2%
+1.1
unfavourable
Adepta Sororitas
156
42.0%
34.5% to 49.8%
46.6%
-4.6
unfavourable
Emperor's Children
269
41.8%
36.1% to 47.8%
45.5%
-3.7
unfavourable
Deathwatch
55
41.8%
29.7% to 55.0%
43.2%
-1.4
Death Guard
242
41.7%
35.7% to 48.0%
48.7%
-6.9
unfavourable
Orks
404
39.7%
35.1% to 44.6%
41.7%
-1.9
unfavourable
Adeptus Custodes
395
36.3%
31.7% to 41.2%
42.7%
-6.4
unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 15 more rows
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Chaos Space Marines
278
53.6%
47.7% to 59.4%
49.7%
+3.9
Space Marines
508
50.6%
46.3% to 54.9%
48.2%
+2.4
Genestealer Cult
78
50.0%
39.2% to 60.8%
49.3%
+0.7
Thousand Sons
203
49.3%
42.5% to 56.1%
46.5%
+2.7
Imperial Knights
307
48.5%
43.0% to 54.1%
48.3%
+0.2
Aeldari
184
48.4%
41.3% to 55.5%
51.3%
-2.9
Necrons
394
48.4%
43.5% to 53.3%
45.4%
+2.9
Adeptus Mechanicus
134
47.8%
39.5% to 56.2%
46.3%
+1.4
Black Templars
93
47.3%
37.5% to 57.4%
51.6%
-4.3
Space Wolves
169
46.2%
38.8% to 53.7%
47.8%
-1.7
World Eaters
249
45.6%
39.5% to 51.8%
47.0%
-1.4
Leagues of Votann
200
44.8%
38.0% to 51.7%
45.1%
-0.3
T'au Empire
275
44.2%
38.4% to 50.1%
45.1%
-0.9
Dark Angels
238
43.9%
37.7% to 50.3%
43.5%
+0.4
Grey Knights
161
43.2%
35.8% to 50.9%
49.8%
-6.6
Over time
Share of games per week (%)
2
2.5
3
2.1
2.6
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval
30
40
50
45.3
38.1
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Period
Lists
Share of all lists
Games
Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul
345
2.2%
1,202
43.0%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug
415
2.3%
1,465
46.1%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct
634
2.7%
2,296
48.7%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct
348
2.3%
1,185
48.4%
Around each milestone, 28 days before and after
Milestone
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul)
992 / 1,210
44.1% to 45.3%
+1.2
+0.6
2.2% to 2.4%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug)
1,125 / 1,704
46.3% to 49.1%
+2.8
+1.5
2.3% to 2.9%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep)
1,275 / 1,811
46.4% to 49.8%
+3.5
+1.9
2.3% to 2.8%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct)
1,811 / 1,185
49.8% to 48.4%
-1.4
-0.8
2.8% to 2.4%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data
1,573 / 572
49.6% to 47.7%
-1.8
-0.7
2.6% to 2.1%
Each extra 1.5 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 2.6 points
lower; the average list has 5.4. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength
model, milestone moves and terrain layout.
Representative lists
Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists
are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events
with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties,
and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.
Lords of Dread 2,000 pts
4th place · record 4-1 · 66 players · 5 rounds · 20 Jun
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Chaos Cerastus Knight Lancer + Mirror of Fates 415 Cerastus shock lance
Knight Despoiler + Warp-borne Stalker 415 Despoiler gatling cannon, Diabolus heavy stubber, Heavy darkflamer, Ruinspear rocket pod, Titanic feet ...
Knight Despoiler + Warp-borne Stalker 390 Despoiler gatling cannon, Diabolus heavy stubber, Heavy darkflamer, Ruinspear rocket pod, Titanic feet ...
Allied Units
Nurglings 40 Diseased claws and teeth
Nurglings 40 Diseased claws and teeth
Other Units
Chaos Acastus Knight Porphyrion 700 Helios defence missiles, Lascannon, Titanic feet, Twin magna lascannon
Houndpack Lance + Hunting Warpack 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 18 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
138 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle 160
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl 155
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle 145
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle 145
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle 145
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle 145
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle 145
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry 140
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry 140
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry 140
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl 135
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl 135
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl 135
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl 135
Team events
43.1%win rate in team events 1,367 games 332 lists from 304 players -4.9 points against individual events going first 4.0 points worse
Chaos Knights won 43.1% of 1,367 team event games, against 48.0% of 4,781 in individual
events: 4.9 points lower (clear). It makes up 2.9% of team event games and 2.4% of individual
event games.
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Reconnaissance
49%
Priority Assets
16%
Purge the Foe
14%
Disruption
11%
Take and Hold
10%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments
share
win rate
Hunting Warpack
45%
Houndpack Lance
37%
Iconoclast Fiefdom
16%
Infernal Lance
15%
Bastions of Tyranny
14%
Traitoris Lance
14%
Lords of Dread
11%
Helhunt Lance
11%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups
win rate against
Tyranids
Drukhari
Astra Militarum
Blood Angels
Thousand Sons
Adeptus Mechanicus
Orks
Adeptus Custodes
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events.
Dashed: team events win rate.
Milestones
5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after,
with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.
July balance & rules update (22 July)
45.3%win rate, rank 23 of 28 1,210 games 333 lists from 290 players X to X-2 finishes 0.76x entry share going first 2.3 points better
Chaos Knights won 44.1% of 992 games in the 28 days before and 45.3% of 1,210 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.2% to 2.4%.
One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Infernal Lance (29%
to 13%).
Nothing clear turned up in units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
11%
0-20
15%
20-40
39%
40-60
26%
60-80
9%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Reconnaissance
28%
Take and Hold
24%
Priority Assets
21%
Purge the Foe
19%
Disruption
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Hunting Warpack
30%
Iconoclast Fiefdom
30%
Traitoris Lance
24%
Bastions of Tyranny
24%
Houndpack Lance
23%
Lords of Dread
20%
Infernal Lance
13%
Helhunt Lance
11%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
War Dog Karnivore
66%
War Dog Brigand
50%
War Dog Executioner
49%
War Dog Stalker
46%
Knight Abominant
39%
Knight Despoiler
35%
Knight Tyrant
33%
Nurglings
31%
Knight Rampager
30%
Cultist Mob
26%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Blood Angels
Chaos Space Marines
Space Marines
T'au Empire
Adeptus Custodes
Leagues of Votann
Emperor's Children
Orks
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Infernal Lance
29%
13%
-16
-5.0
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Bastions of Tyranny + Traitoris Lance 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
3rd place · record 4-1 · 36 players · 5 rounds · 15 Aug
Show list
Characters
Knight Tyrant + Veil of Medrengard 435 Brimstone volcano lance, Ectoplasma decimator, Gheiststrike missile launcher, Titanic feet, Twin Desecrator cannon ...
Knight Abominant 355 Balemace, Diabolus heavy stubber, Electroscourge, Volkite combustor
Knight Abominant 355 Balemace, Diabolus heavy stubber, Electroscourge, Volkite combustor
Knight Desecrator 355 Desecrator laser destructor, Diabolus heavy stubber, Warpstrike claw
Allied Units
Nurglings 90 Diseased claws and teeth
Other Units
War Dog Brigand 140 Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Havoc multi-launcher
War Dog Huntsman 135 Daemonbreath meltagun, Daemonbreath spear, Reaper chaintalon
War Dog Huntsman 135 Daemonbreath meltagun, Daemonbreath spear, Reaper chaintalon
Houndpack Lance + Iconoclast Fiefdom 1,990 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 3-0 · 34 players · 3 rounds · 25 Jul
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl 175 Havoc multi-launcher, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw, Diabolus heavy stubber
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl 170 Havoc multi-launcher, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw, Diabolus heavy stubber
War Dog Brigand + Loping Predator 150 Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber
Allied Units
Traitor Guardsmen Squad 70 Close combat weapon, Corrupted pistol, Flamer, Lasgun, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Fellgor Beastmen 60 Bolt pistol, Chainsword, Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Corrupted stave, Great weapon
Cultist Mob 50 Bolt pistol, Brutal assault weapon, Autopistol
Other Units
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl 155 Havoc multi-launcher, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw, Diabolus heavy stubber
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl 155 Havoc multi-launcher, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw, Diabolus heavy stubber
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl 155 Havoc multi-launcher, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw, Diabolus heavy stubber
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl 155 Havoc multi-launcher, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw, Diabolus heavy stubber
War Dog Brigand + Loping Predator 140 Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber
War Dog Brigand + Loping Predator 140 Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber
War Dog Brigand + Loping Predator 140 Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber
War Dog Brigand + Loping Predator 140 Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber
War Dog Stalker 135 Avenger chaincannon, Diabolus heavy stubber, Slaughterclaw
August balance & rules update (26 August)
44.6%win rate, rank 26 of 27 485 games 124 lists from 121 players going first 4.6 points worse
Chaos Knights won 46.3% of 1,125 games in the 28 days before and 49.1% of 1,704 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.3% to 2.9%.
3 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Hunting Warpack (26%
to 52%), Iconoclast Fiefdom (32% to 14%) and Houndpack Lance (24% to 40%).
3 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: War Dog Karnivore (66% to
81%), Cultist Mob (27% to 13%) and Knight Tyrant (33% to 20%).
3 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Snarling Rivalry
(18% to 37%), Final Howl (6% to 18%) and Panoply of the Cursed Knights (3% to 12%).
Charts for this window
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
35%
Reconnaissance
27%
Take and Hold
15%
Disruption
13%
Purge the Foe
10%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Hunting Warpack
42%
Houndpack Lance
26%
Infernal Lance
21%
Bastions of Tyranny
19%
Traitoris Lance
18%
Iconoclast Fiefdom
16%
Helhunt Lance
15%
Lords of Dread
15%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
War Dog Karnivore
77%
War Dog Brigand
55%
War Dog Stalker
53%
War Dog Executioner
52%
Knight Despoiler
40%
Nurglings
38%
Knight Rampager
32%
Knight Abominant
31%
Knight Tyrant
27%
Knight Desecrator
26%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Hunting Warpack
26%
52%
+26
+7.4
Enhancement
Snarling Rivalry
18%
37%
+19
+5.7
Detachment
Iconoclast Fiefdom
32%
14%
-18
-6.1
Detachment
Houndpack Lance
24%
40%
+16
+4.7
Unit
War Dog Karnivore
66%
81%
+15
+4.7
Unit
Cultist Mob
27%
13%
-14
-5.0
Unit
Knight Tyrant
33%
20%
-13
-4.3
Enhancement
Final Howl
6%
18%
+12
+5.0
All 9 shifts: one more row
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Enhancement
Panoply of the Cursed Knights
3%
12%
+10
+4.7
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Bastions of Tyranny + Houndpack Lance 1,995 pts
Reconnaissance
2nd place · record 4-1 · 39 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
Show list
Characters
Knight Desecrator 355 Desecrator laser destructor, Diabolus heavy stubber, Warpstrike claw
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl 175 Havoc multi-launcher, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl 170 Havoc multi-launcher, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl 155 Havoc multi-launcher, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
Other Units
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl 155 Havoc multi-launcher, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl 155 Havoc multi-launcher, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Brigand 140 Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Havoc multi-launcher
War Dog Brigand 140 Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Havoc multi-launcher
War Dog Brigand 140 Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Havoc multi-launcher
War Dog Brigand 140 Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Havoc multi-launcher
War Dog Stalker 135 Daemonbreath spear, Havoc multi-launcher, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Stalker 135 Daemonbreath spear, Havoc multi-launcher, Slaughterclaw
Infernal Lance 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 3-0 · 30 players · 3 rounds · 29 Aug
Show list
Characters
Knight Despoiler 410 Despoiler gatling cannon, Diabolus heavy stubber, Heavy darkflamer, Ruinspear rocket pod, Titanic feet, Despoiler battle cannon
Knight Despoiler 410 Despoiler gatling cannon, Diabolus heavy stubber, Heavy darkflamer, Ruinspear rocket pod, Titanic feet, Despoiler battle cannon
Chaos Cerastus Knight Castigator 370 Castigator bolt cannon, Tempest warblade
Allied Units
Plaguebearers 115 Plaguesword, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Other Units
War Dog Karnivore 145 Havoc multi-launcher, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore 145 Havoc multi-launcher, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore 145 Havoc multi-launcher, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Executioner 130 Armoured feet, Daemonbreath meltagun, War Dog autocannon
War Dog Executioner 130 Armoured feet, Daemonbreath meltagun, War Dog autocannon
Orks codex (5 September)
49.8%win rate, rank 13 of 28 1,811 games 510 lists from 452 players X to X-2 finishes 0.84x entry share going first 1.9 points better
Chaos Knights won 46.4% of 1,275 games in the 28 days before and 49.8% of 1,811 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.3% to 2.8%.
3 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Hunting Warpack (31%
to 54%), Houndpack Lance (26% to 45%) and Iconoclast Fiefdom (28% to 13%).
One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Cultist Mob (24% to 11%).
3 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Snarling Rivalry
(21% to 39%), Final Howl (9% to 22%) and Panoply of the Cursed Knights (5% to 14%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
5%
0-20
12%
20-40
48%
40-60
24%
60-80
12%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Reconnaissance
52%
Priority Assets
22%
Take and Hold
16%
Purge the Foe
8%
Disruption
3%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Hunting Warpack
54%
Houndpack Lance
45%
Infernal Lance
16%
Lords of Dread
15%
Iconoclast Fiefdom
13%
Bastions of Tyranny
12%
Traitoris Lance
12%
Helhunt Lance
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
War Dog Karnivore
81%
War Dog Brigand
66%
War Dog Executioner
61%
War Dog Stalker
58%
Nurglings
33%
Knight Despoiler
30%
Knight Abominant
21%
Knight Rampager
19%
War Dog Huntsman
19%
Knight Tyrant
19%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Blood Angels
Space Wolves
Tyranids
Space Marines
Death Guard
Chaos Daemons
Dark Angels
Adeptus Custodes
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Hunting Warpack
31%
54%
+23
+6.7
Detachment
Houndpack Lance
26%
45%
+18
+5.5
Enhancement
Snarling Rivalry
21%
39%
+18
+5.6
Detachment
Iconoclast Fiefdom
28%
13%
-16
-5.7
Enhancement
Final Howl
9%
22%
+13
+5.2
Unit
Cultist Mob
24%
11%
-12
-4.9
Enhancement
Panoply of the Cursed Knights
5%
14%
+9
+4.4
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Houndpack Lance + Hunting Warpack 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
4th place · record 4-1 · 34 players · 5 rounds · 26 Sep
17 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
War Dog Karnivore + Panoply of the Cursed Knights 160 Diabolus heavy stubber, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl 155 Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl 145 Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber
Allied Units
Beasts Of Nurgle 80
Nurglings 45 Diseased claws and teeth
Other Units
War Dog Karnivore + Panoply of the Cursed Knights 145 Diabolus heavy stubber, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore + Panoply of the Cursed Knights 145 Diabolus heavy stubber, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore + Panoply of the Cursed Knights 145 Diabolus heavy stubber, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore + Panoply of the Cursed Knights 145 Diabolus heavy stubber, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore + Panoply of the Cursed Knights 145 Diabolus heavy stubber, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry 140 Armoured feet, Daemonbreath meltagun, War Dog autocannon
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry 140 Armoured feet, Daemonbreath meltagun, War Dog autocannon
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry 140 Armoured feet, Daemonbreath meltagun, War Dog autocannon
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl 135 Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl 135 Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber
Houndpack Lance + Hunting Warpack 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 3-0 · 32 players · 3 rounds · 26 Sep
51 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl 165 Diabolus heavy stubber, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl 160 Diabolus heavy stubber, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry 140 Armoured feet, Diabolus heavy stubber, War Dog autocannon
Other Units
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl 145 Diabolus heavy stubber, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl 145 Diabolus heavy stubber, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl 145 Diabolus heavy stubber, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl 145 Diabolus heavy stubber, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry 140 Armoured feet, Diabolus heavy stubber, War Dog autocannon
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry 140 Armoured feet, Diabolus heavy stubber, War Dog autocannon
War Dog Stalker 135 Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Stalker 135 Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Stalker 135 Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Stalker 135 Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Stalker 135 Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber, Slaughterclaw
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)
49.0%win rate, rank 16 of 27 613 games 179 lists from 169 players X to X-2 finishes 0.93x entry share going first 1.2 points better
Chaos Knights won 49.8% of 1,811 games in the 28 days before and 48.4% of 1,185 in the
23 days after. Its share of games went from 2.8% to 2.4%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
14%
20-40
39%
40-60
22%
60-80
22%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Reconnaissance
52%
Purge the Foe
18%
Priority Assets
15%
Take and Hold
9%
Disruption
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Hunting Warpack
56%
Houndpack Lance
49%
Infernal Lance
19%
Traitoris Lance
12%
Iconoclast Fiefdom
10%
Helhunt Lance
9%
Bastions of Tyranny
8%
Lords of Dread
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
War Dog Karnivore
78%
War Dog Executioner
64%
War Dog Brigand
64%
War Dog Stalker
59%
Nurglings
34%
Knight Despoiler
31%
Knight Rampager
21%
War Dog Huntsman
21%
Knight Abominant
21%
Beasts Of Nurgle
19%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Necrons
Space Marines
Adeptus Custodes
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Houndpack Lance + Hunting Warpack 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 18 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
22 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle 160
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl 155
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle 145
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle 145
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle 145
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle 145
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle 145
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry 140
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry 140
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry 140
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl 135
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl 135
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl 135
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl 135
Infernal Lance 1,990 pts
Purge the Foe
4th place · record 4-1 · 24 players · 5 rounds · 16 Oct
Show list
Characters
Knight Despoiler + Bestial Aspect 440 Daemonbreath meltagun, Despoiler gatling cannon, Heavy darkflamer, Ruinspear rocket pod, Titanic feet
Knight Despoiler + Bestial Aspect 440 Daemonbreath meltagun, Despoiler gatling cannon, Heavy darkflamer, Ruinspear rocket pod, Titanic feet
Chaos Cerastus Knight Lancer 385 Cerastus shock lance
Knight Desecrator + Knight Diabolus 375 Desecrator laser destructor, Diabolus heavy stubber, Reaper chainsword
Knight Rampager 350 Diabolus heavy stubber, Reaper chainsword, Warpstrike claw
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)
47.7%win rate, rank 17 of 27 572 games 169 lists from 162 players X to X-2 finishes 0.85x entry share going first 2.4 points better
Chaos Knights won 49.6% of 1,573 games in the 28 days before and 47.7% of 572 in the
9 days after. Its share of games went from 2.6% to 2.1%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
3%
0-20
14%
20-40
40%
40-60
37%
60-80
6%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Reconnaissance
49%
Take and Hold
18%
Purge the Foe
16%
Priority Assets
12%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Hunting Warpack
52%
Houndpack Lance
46%
Infernal Lance
17%
Lords of Dread
16%
Bastions of Tyranny
14%
Iconoclast Fiefdom
11%
Helhunt Lance
9%
Traitoris Lance
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
War Dog Karnivore
85%
War Dog Brigand
63%
War Dog Stalker
59%
War Dog Executioner
58%
Nurglings
32%
Knight Despoiler
30%
Knight Rampager
26%
War Dog Huntsman
25%
Knight Tyrant
24%
Knight Abominant
21%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Space Marines
Necrons
Adeptus Custodes
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Houndpack Lance + Hunting Warpack 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 3-0 · 30 players · 3 rounds · 25 Oct
29 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle 160 Diabolus heavy stubber, Houndpack Lance Character, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl 155 Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber, Houndpack Lance Character
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl 145 Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber, Houndpack Lance Character
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle 145 Diabolus heavy stubber, Houndpack Lance Character, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle 145 Diabolus heavy stubber, Houndpack Lance Character, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle 145 Diabolus heavy stubber, Houndpack Lance Character, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle 145 Diabolus heavy stubber, Houndpack Lance Character, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry 140 Armoured feet, Diabolus heavy stubber, War Dog autocannon
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry 140 Armoured feet, Diabolus heavy stubber, War Dog autocannon
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry 140 Armoured feet, Diabolus heavy stubber, War Dog autocannon
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl 135 Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber, Houndpack Lance Character
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl 135 Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber, Houndpack Lance Character
War Dog Stalker 135 Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Stalker 135 Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber, Slaughterclaw
Hunting Warpack + Traitoris Lance 1,995 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 3-0 · 16 players · 3 rounds · 17 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Chaos Cerastus Knight Lancer + Nightmare's Master 405 Cerastus shock lance
Knight Abominant + Malevolent Heraldry 385 Balemace, Diabolus heavy stubber, Electroscourge, Volkite combustor
Knight Abominant + Malevolent Heraldry 380 Balemace, Diabolus heavy stubber, Electroscourge, Volkite combustor
Other Units
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry 140 Armoured feet, Diabolus heavy stubber, War Dog autocannon
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry 140 Armoured feet, Diabolus heavy stubber, War Dog autocannon
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry 140 Armoured feet, Diabolus heavy stubber, War Dog autocannon
War Dog Brigand 135 Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Havoc multi-launcher
War Dog Brigand 135 Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Havoc multi-launcher
War Dog Brigand 135 Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Havoc multi-launcher
Drukhari
Drukhari Whole edition Combinations Pick-rate shifts Matchups Over time Results brackets Units Detachments Enhancements Force Disposition Lists Team events Milestones 22 Jul 26 Aug 5 Sep 3 Oct 17 Oct
Whole edition
46.9%win rate, rank 23 of 28 5,741 games 1,604 lists from 952 players top-10% finishes 0.92x entry share going first 1.3 points worse 45.9% adjusted for player skill
The pairing Exhibition of Slaughter + Realspace Raiders has a win rate
19.9 points below the faction average (21 lists). Drukhari won 46.9% of 5,741 games, 3.1
points below an even win rate (rank 23 of 28). Skysplinter Assault went from 63% to 43%
of the faction's lists between the first period and the last 28 days.
Combinations
10 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common
is Exhibition of Slaughter + Skysplinter Assault (669 lists, 42%). Best: Exhibition of
Slaughter + Spectacle of Spite (16.5 points above the faction average). Weakest: Exhibition
of Slaughter + Realspace Raiders (19.9 points below the faction average).
Combination
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Exhibition of Slaughter + Skysplinter Assault
669
42%
+0.8 ± 1.1
+0.7
Exhibition of Slaughter + Kabalite Cartel
253
16%
-5.2 ± 1.7
-3.2
Kabalite Agonysts + Skysplinter Assault
131
8%
+1.4 ± 2.6
+0.5
Kabalite Cartel + Tools of Torment
88
5%
+2.0 ± 2.9
+0.7
Kabalite Agonysts + Spectacle of Spite
40
2%
+1.8 ± 4.5
+0.4
Skysplinter Assault + Tools of Torment
35
2%
+6.4 ± 4.8
+1.3
Realspace Raiders + Tools of Torment
32
2%
+3.6 ± 4.7
+0.8
Exhibition of Slaughter + Spectacle of Spite
25
2%
+16.5 ± 5.4
+3.0
Exhibition of Slaughter + Realspace Raiders
21
1%
-19.9 ± 5.5
-3.6
Pick-rate shifts
Type
Name
First period
Prior 28 days
Last 28 days
Change vs first period (pp)
Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Detachment
Skysplinter Assault
63%
51%
43%
-20
-8
Unit
Scourges with Shardcarbines
13%
29%
32%
+18
+3
Unit
Reavers
78%
68%
61%
-17
-7
Detachment
Kabalite Cartel
12%
27%
28%
+17
+2
Enhancement
Leechbite Plate
3%
6%
12%
+9
+5
Matchups
Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Death Guard (56.2% over 235
games) and the worst is Chaos Daemons (34.5% over 203).
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Death Guard
235
56.2%
49.8% to 62.4%
48.7%
+7.4
Black Templars
67
56.0%
44.1% to 67.2%
51.7%
+4.3
Astra Militarum
204
55.9%
49.0% to 62.5%
56.5%
-0.6
Imperial Agents
20
55.0%
34.2% to 74.2%
53.3%
+1.7
Space Marines
436
52.9%
48.2% to 57.5%
48.3%
+4.6
Orks
389
41.5%
36.7% to 46.5%
41.7%
-0.2
unfavourable
Thousand Sons
196
41.1%
34.4% to 48.1%
46.6%
-5.5
unfavourable
Emperor's Children
278
40.5%
34.9% to 46.3%
45.6%
-5.1
unfavourable
Genestealer Cult
92
38.6%
29.3% to 48.8%
49.4%
-10.8
unfavourable
Chaos Daemons
203
34.5%
28.3% to 41.3%
42.2%
-7.8
unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 17 more rows
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Space Wolves
157
52.5%
44.8% to 60.2%
47.9%
+4.7
Deathwatch
44
52.3%
37.9% to 66.2%
43.2%
+9.1
Chaos Space Marines
263
51.9%
45.9% to 57.9%
49.7%
+2.2
Blood Angels
174
51.4%
44.1% to 58.8%
50.9%
+0.5
Grey Knights
150
49.7%
41.8% to 57.6%
49.8%
-0.1
Leagues of Votann
231
49.6%
43.2% to 56.0%
45.1%
+4.5
Aeldari
167
48.5%
41.0% to 56.0%
51.3%
-2.8
World Eaters
258
47.9%
41.8% to 54.0%
47.0%
+0.9
Dark Angels
245
46.3%
40.2% to 52.6%
43.5%
+2.8
Chaos Knights
136
45.6%
37.5% to 54.0%
50.0%
-4.5
Necrons
367
45.5%
40.5% to 50.6%
45.5%
+0.0
Tyranids
340
45.4%
40.2% to 50.8%
47.0%
-1.6
Adeptus Mechanicus
130
45.0%
36.7% to 53.6%
46.4%
-1.4
Adeptus Custodes
343
44.9%
39.7% to 50.2%
42.8%
+2.1
T'au Empire
263
44.7%
38.8% to 50.7%
45.2%
-0.5
Imperial Knights
232
44.4%
38.1% to 50.8%
48.3%
-3.9
Adepta Sororitas
121
43.4%
34.9% to 52.3%
46.6%
-3.2
Over time
Share of games per week (%)
2
2.5
3
1.8
2.8
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval
40
50
60
44.0
52.4
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Period
Lists
Share of all lists
Games
Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul
422
2.7%
1,453
48.5%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug
408
2.2%
1,462
49.2%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct
490
2.1%
1,859
44.9%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct
284
1.9%
967
44.9%
Around each milestone, 28 days before and after
Milestone
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul)
1,226 / 1,165
47.8% to 49.5%
+1.8
+0.9
2.7% to 2.3%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug)
1,173 / 1,334
48.5% to 45.3%
-3.2
-1.6
2.4% to 2.3%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep)
1,262 / 1,415
47.8% to 43.9%
-3.9
-2.0
2.3% to 2.2%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct)
1,415 / 967
43.9% to 44.9%
+1.0
+0.5
2.2% to 1.9%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data
1,220 / 514
44.9% to 44.6%
-0.4
-0.1
2.1% to 1.9%
Results brackets
143 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 15 won
X, 40 won X-1 and 88 won X-2, from 400 entries.
Share of players by share of games won
5%
0-20
21%
20-40
32%
40-60
28%
60-80
15%
80-100
line = all factions
Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2
2.2%
X
1.9%
X-1
2.1%
X-2
dashed = share of entries, 2.3%
Bracket tables
Tier
Lists
Share of tier
Share of entries
Ratio
z
X
15
2.2%
2.3%
0.94x
-0.2
X-1
40
1.9%
2.3%
0.80x
-1.4
X-2
88
2.1%
2.3%
0.88x
-1.2
X to X-2
143
2.0%
2.3%
0.87x
-1.8
Share of games won
Players
Share of players
All players
0 to 20%
16
4.8%
4.1%
20 to 40%
69
20.6%
17.2%
40 to 60%
108
32.2%
32.2%
60 to 80%
93
27.8%
30.1%
80 to 100%
49
14.6%
16.4%
Units
A typical list contains 14 distinct units. 15 units appear in at least half of all lists
and 21 in at least 10%. The most common is Venom (98% of lists). 8 datasheets appeared
in under 1% of lists: Corsair Skyreavers, Grotesques, Prince Yriel, Razorwing Jetfighter,
Shadowseer, Starfangs, Urien Rakarth, Voidweaver.
Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-5
0
+5
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-5
0
+5
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Most played units
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Venom
1,571
97.9%
-0.0 ± 0.6
-0.1
Incubi
1,471
91.7%
+0.1 ± 0.7
+0.2
Wyches
1,423
88.7%
+0.1 ± 0.7
+0.2
Scourges with Heavy Weapons
1,405
87.6%
+0.1 ± 0.7
+0.2
Lady Malys
1,382
86.2%
+0.1 ± 0.7
+0.2
Mandrakes
1,367
85.2%
+0.1 ± 0.7
+0.2
Archon
1,361
84.9%
-0.1 ± 0.7
-0.2
Raider
1,334
83.2%
-0.4 ± 0.7
-0.7
Drazhar
1,235
77.0%
+0.5 ± 0.7
+0.7
Reavers
1,100
68.6%
-0.5 ± 0.7
-0.7
Succubus
1,060
66.1%
-0.5 ± 0.8
-0.6
Kabalite Warriors
1,046
65.2%
-0.3 ± 0.8
-0.3
Detachments
8 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 4 of them account for 80% of picks. The most
played is Exhibition of Slaughter (66% of lists), and 85% of lists run more than one detachment.
Detachment
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
P1
P2
P3
P4
Exhibition of Slaughter
1,053
66%
-1.2 ± 0.8
-1.6
61%
72%
69%
58%
Skysplinter Assault
882
55%
+0.3 ± 0.8
+0.4
63%
60%
51%
43%
Kabalite Cartel
360
22%
-2.1 ± 1.3
-1.6
12%
25%
26%
28%
Kabalite Agonysts
207
13%
-0.0 ± 1.7
-0.0
10%
12%
13%
17%
Tools of Torment
176
11%
+4.4 ± 1.9
+2.3
9%
10%
12%
13%
Spectacle of Spite
94
6%
+6.2 ± 2.4
+2.7
5%
5%
5%
11%
Realspace Raiders
78
5%
-2.2 ± 2.6
-0.9
6%
2%
6%
6%
Reaper's Wager
69
4%
+0.6 ± 2.9
+0.2
8%
2%
2%
7%
Enhancements
14 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Periapt of Torments (48%
of lists).
Enhancement table
Enhancement
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Periapt of Torments
770
48%
-0.5 ± 0.9
-0.5
Nightmare Shroud
665
41%
+0.9 ± 1.0
+1.0
Webway Awl
123
8%
-2.4 ± 2.0
-1.2
Elixir of the Corpse Courts
112
7%
+3.8 ± 2.3
+1.7
Leechbite Plate
111
7%
-1.7 ± 2.4
-0.7
Spiteful Raider
110
7%
+0.2 ± 2.3
+0.1
Morghenna's Curse
74
5%
+1.8 ± 2.6
+0.7
Informant Network
73
5%
-2.0 ± 3.0
-0.7
Force Disposition
Force Disposition table
Disposition
Share of games
Games
Win rate
Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Reconnaissance
73%
3,585
46.9%
-0.0 ± 0.9
Disruption
14%
709
45.0%
-1.9 ± 1.9
Priority Assets
5%
238
50.4%
n/a
Purge the Foe
5%
236
50.0%
n/a
Take and Hold
3%
124
40.7%
n/a
Each extra 2.2 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 2.6 points
lower; the average list has 13.7. The five most active players account for 3.3% of its
games. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, milestone moves,
unit effects, detachment effects, enhancement effects, Force Disposition, results brackets
and terrain layout.
Representative lists
Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists
are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events
with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties,
and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.
Exhibition of Slaughter 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
2nd place · record 7-1 · 190 players · 8 rounds · 14 Aug
503 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Wyches 90 Hekatrix, Power weapon, Wych, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Wyches 90 Hekatrix, Power weapon, Wych, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Wyches 90 Hekatrix, Power weapon, Wych, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Wyches 90 Hekatrix, Power weapon, Wych, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Dedicated Transports
Raider 75 Bladevanes and chainsnares, Dark lance
Raider 75 Bladevanes and chainsnares, Dark lance
Venom 75 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Other Units
Incubi 190 Incubi Shrine Token, Klaivex, Demiklaives, Incubi, Klaive
Scourges with Heavy Weapons 130 Solarite, Shardcarbine, Scourge, Dark lance
Scourges with Heavy Weapons 130 Solarite, Shardcarbine, Scourge, Dark lance
Archon + Nightmare Shroud 100 Huskblade, Shadowfield, Splinter pistol
Lady Malys 100 Lady’s Blade, Razor fan
Incubi 90 Incubi Shrine Token, Klaivex, Demiklaives, Incubi, Klaive
Incubi 90 Incubi Shrine Token, Klaivex, Demiklaives, Incubi, Klaive
Drazhar 85 Executioner’s demiklaives
Lelith Hesperax 80 Lelith’s blades
Mandrakes 80 Nightfiend, Glimmersteel blade, Mandrake
Reavers 75 Arena Champion, Cluster caltrops, Heat lance, Splinter pistol, Reaver, Splinter rifle
Succubus + Periapt of Torments 70 Archite glaive and agoniser
Exhibition of Slaughter + Kabalite Cartel 1,995 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 49 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
598 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Kabalite Warriors 110 Phantasm Grenade Launcher, Power weapon, Splinter rifle, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Shredder, Splinter cannon
Kabalite Warriors 110 Phantasm Grenade Launcher, Power weapon, Splinter rifle, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Shredder, Splinter cannon
Wyches 90 Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Dedicated Transports
Raider 75 Bladevanes and chainsnares, Dark lance
Venom 75 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Other Units
Scourges with Heavy Weapons 130 Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine, Heat lance, Dark lance
Hand of the Archon 115 Kabalite Icon, Power weapon, Splinter rifle, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Pain sculptors, Razorflail ...
Archon + Informant Network 110 Huskblade, Shadowfield, Soul Trap
Ravager 110 Bladevanes, Disintegrator cannon
Ravager 110 Bladevanes, Disintegrator cannon
Scourges with Heavy Weapons 110 Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine, Heat lance, Dark lance
Lady Malys 100 Lady’s Blade, Razor fan
Incubi 90 Incubi Shrine Token, Demi-Klaive, Klaive
Incubi 90 Incubi Shrine Token, Demi-Klaive, Klaive
Drazhar 85 Executioner’s demiklaives
Archon + Informant Network 85 Huskblade, Shadowfield, Soul Trap
Mandrakes 80 Baleblast, Glimmersteel blade
Succubus + Periapt of Torments 70 Archite glaive and agoniser
Cronos 55 Spirit syphon, Spirit-leech tentacles
Team events
43.8%win rate in team events 1,252 games 308 lists from 266 players -3.9 points against individual events going first 1.9 points worse
Drukhari won 43.8% of 1,252 team event games, against 47.8% of 4,489 in individual events:
3.9 points lower (not clear). It makes up 2.7% of team event games and 2.2% of individual
event games.
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Reconnaissance
71%
Disruption
20%
Priority Assets
4%
Purge the Foe
3%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments
share
win rate
Exhibition of Slaughter
67%
Skysplinter Assault
54%
Kabalite Cartel
22%
Kabalite Agonysts
13%
Tools of Torment
9%
Spectacle of Spite
6%
Realspace Raiders
5%
Reaper's Wager
3%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups
win rate against
Adeptus Mechanicus
Death Guard
Astra Militarum
Blood Angels
Orks
Chaos Daemons
Adepta Sororitas
Imperial Knights
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events.
Dashed: team events win rate.
Milestones
5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after,
with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.
July balance & rules update (22 July)
49.5%win rate, rank 13 of 28 1,165 games 321 lists from 267 players X to X-2 finishes 0.92x entry share going first 3.3 points worse
Drukhari won 47.8% of 1,226 games in the 28 days before and 49.5% of 1,165 in the 28
days after. Its share of games went from 2.7% to 2.3%.
One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Kabalite Cartel (11%
to 23%).
One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Periapt of Torments
(38% to 55%).
Nothing clear turned up in units.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
8%
0-20
19%
20-40
31%
40-60
25%
60-80
16%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Reconnaissance
79%
Disruption
12%
Purge the Foe
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Exhibition of Slaughter
73%
Skysplinter Assault
62%
Kabalite Cartel
23%
Kabalite Agonysts
13%
Tools of Torment
9%
Spectacle of Spite
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Venom
99%
Incubi
96%
Mandrakes
90%
Wyches
89%
Lady Malys
88%
Scourges with Heavy
Weapons
87%
Archon
86%
Raider
85%
Drazhar
80%
Reavers
69%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Dark Angels
Space Marines
Death Guard
Chaos Space Marines
Necrons
Imperial Knights
Emperor's Children
Chaos Daemons
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Enhancement
Periapt of Torments
38%
55%
+17
+4.4
Detachment
Kabalite Cartel
11%
23%
+13
+4.4
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Exhibition of Slaughter 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
2nd place · record 7-1 · 190 players · 8 rounds · 14 Aug
109 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Wyches 90 Hekatrix, Power weapon, Wych, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Wyches 90 Hekatrix, Power weapon, Wych, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Wyches 90 Hekatrix, Power weapon, Wych, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Wyches 90 Hekatrix, Power weapon, Wych, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Dedicated Transports
Raider 75 Bladevanes and chainsnares, Dark lance
Raider 75 Bladevanes and chainsnares, Dark lance
Venom 75 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Other Units
Incubi 190 Incubi Shrine Token, Klaivex, Demiklaives, Incubi, Klaive
Scourges with Heavy Weapons 130 Solarite, Shardcarbine, Scourge, Dark lance
Scourges with Heavy Weapons 130 Solarite, Shardcarbine, Scourge, Dark lance
Archon + Nightmare Shroud 100 Huskblade, Shadowfield, Splinter pistol
Lady Malys 100 Lady’s Blade, Razor fan
Incubi 90 Incubi Shrine Token, Klaivex, Demiklaives, Incubi, Klaive
Incubi 90 Incubi Shrine Token, Klaivex, Demiklaives, Incubi, Klaive
Drazhar 85 Executioner’s demiklaives
Lelith Hesperax 80 Lelith’s blades
Mandrakes 80 Nightfiend, Glimmersteel blade, Mandrake
Reavers 75 Arena Champion, Cluster caltrops, Heat lance, Splinter pistol, Reaver, Splinter rifle
Succubus + Periapt of Torments 70 Archite glaive and agoniser
Exhibition of Slaughter + Skysplinter Assault 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
2nd place · record 6-0 · 73 players · 6 rounds · 25 Jul
140 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Kabalite Warriors 110 Blast pistol, Phantasm Grenade Launcher, Power weapon, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Shredder ...
Wyches 90 Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Wyches 90 Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Dedicated Transports
Raider 75 Bladevanes and chainsnares, Dark lance
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Other Units
Scourges with Heavy Weapons 130 Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine, Dark lance, Heat lance
Hand of the Archon 115 Blast pistol, Kabalite Icon, Power weapon, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Pain sculptors, Razorflail ...
Ravager 110 Bladevanes, Disintegrator cannon
Ravager 110 Bladevanes, Disintegrator cannon
Scourges with Heavy Weapons 110 Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine, Dark lance, Heat lance
Lady Malys 100 Lady’s Blade, Razor fan
Archon + Nightmare Shroud 100 Huskblade, Shadowfield, Soul Trap
Cronos 100 Spirit syphon, Spirit vortex, Spirit-leech tentacles
Incubi 90 Incubi Shrine Token, Demiklaives, Klaive
Incubi 90 Incubi Shrine Token, Demiklaives, Klaive
Drazhar 85 Executioner’s demiklaives
Mandrakes 80 Baleblast, Glimmersteel blade
Reavers 75 Bladevanes, Grav-talon, Heat lance, Splinter pistol, Splinter rifle
Scourges with Shardcarbines 75 Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine, Shredder
Succubus + Periapt of Torments 70 Archite glaive and agoniser
August balance & rules update (26 August)
48.2%win rate, rank 18 of 27 444 games 112 lists from 108 players X to X-2 finishes 0.76x entry share going first 2.2 points better
Drukhari won 48.5% of 1,173 games in the 28 days before and 45.3% of 1,334 in the 28
days after. Its share of games went from 2.4% to 2.3%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Reconnaissance
82%
Disruption
10%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Exhibition of Slaughter
77%
Skysplinter Assault
57%
Kabalite Cartel
23%
Tools of Torment
10%
Kabalite Agonysts
9%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Venom
99%
Wyches
94%
Mandrakes
92%
Lady Malys
92%
Incubi
90%
Archon
88%
Scourges with Heavy
Weapons
88%
Raider
85%
Drazhar
79%
Succubus
74%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Kabalite Agonysts + Skysplinter Assault 1,995 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 3-0 · 19 players · 3 rounds · 31 Aug
38 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Kabalite Warriors 110 Blast pistol, Kabalite Icon, Power weapon, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Shredder, Splinter cannon, Splinter rifle
Wyches 90 Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Dedicated Transports
Raider 75 Bladevanes and chainsnares, Dark lance
Venom 75 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Other Units
Incubi 180 Incubi Shrine Token, Demiklaives, Klaive
Scourges with Heavy Weapons 130 Blast pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Dark lance
Hand of the Archon 115 Blast pistol, Kabalite Icon, Power weapon, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Pain sculptors, Razorflail ...
Ravager 110 Bladevanes, Disintegrator cannon
Ravager 110 Bladevanes, Disintegrator cannon
Archon + Nightmare Shroud 100 Huskblade, Shadowfield, Soul Trap, Splinter pistol
Lady Malys 100 Lady’s Blade, Razor fan
Incubi 100 Incubi Shrine Token, Demiklaives, Klaive
Archon + Nightmare Shroud 100 Huskblade, Shadowfield, Soul Trap, Splinter pistol
Incubi 90 Incubi Shrine Token, Demiklaives, Klaive
Drazhar 85 Executioner’s demiklaives
Mandrakes 80 Baleblast, Glimmersteel blade
Reavers 75 Bladevanes, Cluster caltrops, Heat lance, Splinter pistol, Splinter rifle
Scourges with Shardcarbines 75 Blast pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Shardcarbine, Shredder
Exhibition of Slaughter + Skysplinter Assault 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
3rd place · record 3-0 · 25 players · 3 rounds · 29 Aug
55 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lady Malys 100 Lady’s Blade, Razor fan
Drazhar 85 Executioner’s demiklaives
Archon 80 Huskblade, Shadowfield, Splinter pistol
Lelith Hesperax 80 Lelith’s blades
Succubus + Periapt of Torments 70 Archite glaive and agoniser
Battleline
Kabalite Warriors 110 Blast pistol, Phantasm Grenade Launcher, Power weapon, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Shredder ...
Wyches 90 Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Wyches 90 Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Dedicated Transports
Raider 75 Bladevanes and chainsnares, Dark lance
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Other Units
Hellions 180 Hellglaive, Phantasm Grenade Launcher, Splinter pods
Scourges with Heavy Weapons 130 Blast pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Dark lance
Scourges with Heavy Weapons 130 Blast pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Dark lance
Cronos 100 Spirit syphon, Spirit vortex, Spirit-leech tentacles
Hellions 90 Hellglaive, Phantasm Grenade Launcher, Splinter pods
Incubi 90 Demiklaives, Klaive
Mandrakes 80 Baleblast, Glimmersteel blade
Reavers 75 Bladevanes, Cluster caltrops, Heat lance, Splinter pistol, Splinter rifle
Reavers 75 Bladevanes, Cluster caltrops, Heat lance, Splinter pistol, Splinter rifle
Scourges with Shardcarbines 75 Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine
Orks codex (5 September)
43.9%win rate, rank 26 of 28 1,415 games 378 lists from 333 players X to X-2 finishes 0.77x entry share going first 2.9 points worse
Drukhari won 47.8% of 1,262 games in the 28 days before and 43.9% of 1,415 in the 28
days after. Its share of games went from 2.3% to 2.2%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
5%
0-20
21%
20-40
31%
40-60
22%
60-80
21%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Reconnaissance
71%
Disruption
18%
Purge the Foe
6%
Priority Assets
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Exhibition of Slaughter
67%
Skysplinter Assault
50%
Kabalite Cartel
27%
Kabalite Agonysts
14%
Tools of Torment
13%
Realspace Raiders
6%
Spectacle of Spite
5%
Reaper's Wager
3%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Venom
98%
Incubi
92%
Scourges with Heavy
Weapons
91%
Wyches
90%
Mandrakes
87%
Lady Malys
87%
Raider
86%
Archon
86%
Drazhar
79%
Succubus
74%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Astra Militarum
Death Guard
Chaos Space Marines
Space Marines
Tyranids
Chaos Daemons
Orks
Emperor's Children
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Exhibition of Slaughter 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 68 players · 5 rounds · 26 Sep
77 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Kabalite Warriors 110 Blast pistol, Phantasm Grenade Launcher, Power weapon, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Shredder ...
Wyches 90 Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Wyches 90 Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Dedicated Transports
Raider 75 Bladevanes and chainsnares, Dark lance
Raider 75 Bladevanes and chainsnares, Dark lance
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Allied Units
Corsair Voidreavers 65 Close combat weapon, Mistshield, Neuro disruptor, Power sword, Shuriken pistol
Other Units
Scourges with Heavy Weapons 130 Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine, Dark lance, Heat lance
Hand of the Archon 115 Blast pistol, Kabalite Icon, Power weapon, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Pain sculptors, Razorflail ...
Scourges with Heavy Weapons 110 Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine, Dark lance, Heat lance
archon gheislein de wiart 100
Lady Malys 100 Lady’s Blade, Razor fan
Cronos 100 Spirit syphon, Spirit vortex, Spirit-leech tentacles
Incubi 90 Incubi Shrine Token, Demiklaives, Klaive
Incubi 90 Incubi Shrine Token, Demiklaives, Klaive
Drazhar 85 Executioner’s demiklaives
Lelith Hesperax 80 Lelith’s blades
Mandrakes 80 Baleblast, Glimmersteel blade
Reavers 75 Bladevanes, Cluster caltrops, Heat lance, Splinter pistol, Splinter rifle
Scourges with Shardcarbines 75 Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine, Shredder
Succubus + Periapt of Torments 70 Archite glaive and agoniser
Exhibition of Slaughter + Skysplinter Assault 1,995 pts
Reconnaissance
3rd place · record 4-0-1 · 72 players · 5 rounds · 26 Sep
84 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Wyches 90 Blast Pistol, Power Weapon, Splinter Pistol, Hekatarii Blade, Gladiatorial Weapons
Wyches 90 Blast Pistol, Power Weapon, Splinter Pistol, Hekatarii Blade, Gladiatorial Weapons
Wyches 90 Blast Pistol, Power Weapon, Splinter Pistol, Hekatarii Blade, Gladiatorial Weapons
Wyches 90 Blast Pistol, Power Weapon, Splinter Pistol, Hekatarii Blade, Gladiatorial Weapons
Wyches 90 Blast Pistol, Power Weapon, Splinter Pistol, Hekatarii Blade, Gladiatorial Weapons
Wyches 90 Blast Pistol, Power Weapon, Splinter Pistol, Hekatarii Blade, Gladiatorial Weapons
Dedicated Transports
Raider 75 Bladevanes & chainsnares, Dark lance
Raider 75 Bladevanes & chainsnares, Dark lance
Venom 75 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 75 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Other Units
Incubi 190 Demiklaives, Klaive, Incubi Shrine Token
Archon + Nightmare Shroud 100 Huskblade, Shadowfield, Soul trap
Lady Malys 100 Lady’s blade, Razor fan
Incubi 90 Demiklaives, Klaive, Incubi Shrine Token
Incubi 90 Demiklaives, Klaive, Incubi Shrine Token
Drazhar 85 Executioner’s demiklaives
Lelith Hesperax 80 Lelith’s blades
Mandrakes 80 Baleblast, Glimmersteel Blade
Reavers 75 Splinter Pistol, Bladevanes, Cluster Caltrops, Heat Lance, Splinter Rifle
Succubus + Periapt of Torments 70 Archite glaive & agoniser
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)
45.3%win rate, rank 23 of 27 453 games 135 lists from 131 players going first 12.9 points better
Drukhari won 43.9% of 1,415 games in the 28 days before and 44.9% of 967 in the 23 days
after. Its share of games went from 2.2% to 1.9%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Reconnaissance
69%
Disruption
14%
Priority Assets
11%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Exhibition of Slaughter
57%
Skysplinter Assault
47%
Kabalite Cartel
24%
Kabalite Agonysts
19%
Spectacle of Spite
10%
Reaper's Wager
9%
Tools of Torment
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Venom
96%
Incubi
90%
Wyches
90%
Scourges with Heavy
Weapons
87%
Raider
85%
Archon
84%
Lady Malys
84%
Mandrakes
83%
Drazhar
80%
Kabalite Warriors
67%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Exhibition of Slaughter + Kabalite Cartel 1,995 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 49 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
50 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Kabalite Warriors 110 Phantasm Grenade Launcher, Power weapon, Splinter rifle, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Shredder, Splinter cannon
Kabalite Warriors 110 Phantasm Grenade Launcher, Power weapon, Splinter rifle, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Shredder, Splinter cannon
Wyches 90 Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Dedicated Transports
Raider 75 Bladevanes and chainsnares, Dark lance
Venom 75 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Other Units
Scourges with Heavy Weapons 130 Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine, Heat lance, Dark lance
Hand of the Archon 115 Kabalite Icon, Power weapon, Splinter rifle, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Pain sculptors, Razorflail ...
Archon + Informant Network 110 Huskblade, Shadowfield, Soul Trap
Ravager 110 Bladevanes, Disintegrator cannon
Ravager 110 Bladevanes, Disintegrator cannon
Scourges with Heavy Weapons 110 Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine, Heat lance, Dark lance
Lady Malys 100 Lady’s Blade, Razor fan
Incubi 90 Incubi Shrine Token, Demi-Klaive, Klaive
Incubi 90 Incubi Shrine Token, Demi-Klaive, Klaive
Drazhar 85 Executioner’s demiklaives
Archon + Informant Network 85 Huskblade, Shadowfield, Soul Trap
Mandrakes 80 Baleblast, Glimmersteel blade
Succubus + Periapt of Torments 70 Archite glaive and agoniser
Cronos 55 Spirit syphon, Spirit-leech tentacles
Exhibition of Slaughter + Spectacle of Spite 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 27 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
5 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Kabalite Warriors 110 Blast pistol, Phantasm Grenade Launcher, Power weapon, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Shredder ...
Wyches 90 Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Wyches 90 Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Wyches 90 Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Wyches 90 Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Dedicated Transports
Raider 75 Bladevanes and chainsnares, Dark lance
Raider 75 Bladevanes and chainsnares, Dark lance
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Other Units
Hellions 180 Hellglaive, Splinter pods
Scourges with Heavy Weapons 130 Blast pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Dark lance
Scourges with Heavy Weapons 130 Blast pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Dark lance
Lady Malys 100 Lady’s Blade, Razor fan
Incubi 90 Klaive
Hellions 90 Hellglaive, Splinter pods
Drazhar 85 Executioner’s demiklaives
Lelith Hesperax 80 Lelith’s blades
Scourges with Shardcarbines 75 Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine
Succubus + Morghenna's Curse 70 Archite glaive and agoniser
Cronos 55 Spirit syphon, Spirit-leech tentacles
Succubus + Morghenna's Curse 50 Archite glaive and agoniser
Succubus + Morghenna's Curse 50 Archite glaive and agoniser
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)
44.6%win rate, rank 23 of 27 514 games 149 lists from 146 players X to X-2 finishes 0.87x entry share going first 2.0 points worse
Drukhari won 44.9% of 1,220 games in the 28 days before and 44.6% of 514 in the 9 days
after. Its share of games went from 2.1% to 1.9%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
0%
0-20
23%
20-40
37%
40-60
26%
60-80
14%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Reconnaissance
64%
Disruption
18%
Priority Assets
8%
Take and Hold
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Exhibition of Slaughter
58%
Skysplinter Assault
40%
Kabalite Cartel
32%
Tools of Torment
17%
Kabalite Agonysts
15%
Spectacle of Spite
12%
Realspace Raiders
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Venom
97%
Scourges with Heavy
Weapons
95%
Incubi
88%
Lady Malys
86%
Raider
85%
Archon
85%
Wyches
83%
Mandrakes
82%
Drazhar
75%
Kabalite Warriors
74%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Kabalite Agonysts + Skysplinter Assault 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 24 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
10 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Kabalite Warriors 110 Blast pistol, Phantasm Grenade Launcher, Power weapon, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Shredder ...
Kabalite Warriors 110 Blast pistol, Phantasm Grenade Launcher, Power weapon, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Shredder ...
Wyches 90 Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Dedicated Transports
Raider 75 Bladevanes and chainsnares, Dark lance
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Allied Units
Solitaire 105 Flip Belt, Solitaire weapons
Kharseth 80 Dread of the Deep Void, Waystave
Other Units
Incubi 180 Incubi Shrine Token, Demiklaives, Klaive
Scourges with Heavy Weapons 130 Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine, Dark lance
Scourges with Heavy Weapons 130 Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine, Dark lance
Archon + Nightmare Shroud 100 Huskblade, Shadowfield, Soul Trap
Lady Malys 100 Lady’s Blade, Razor fan
Incubi 90 Incubi Shrine Token, Demiklaives, Klaive
Hellions 90 Hellglaive, Phantasm Grenade Launcher, Splinter pistol, Splinter pods, Stunclaw
Hellions 90 Hellglaive, Phantasm Grenade Launcher, Splinter pistol, Splinter pods, Stunclaw
Drazhar 85 Executioner’s demiklaives
Archon + Nightmare Shroud 80 Huskblade, Shadowfield, Soul Trap
Lelith Hesperax 80 Lelith’s blades
Mandrakes 80 Baleblast, Glimmersteel blade
Skysplinter Assault + Tools of Torment 1,995 pts
Reconnaissance
3rd place · record 4-1 · 46 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Wyches 90 Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Dedicated Transports
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom 65 Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Other Units
Talos + Elixir of the Corpse Courts 165 Macro-scalpel, Twin heat lance
Talos + Elixir of the Corpse Courts 155 Macro-scalpel, Twin heat lance
Talos + Elixir of the Corpse Courts 155 Macro-scalpel, Twin heat lance
Scourges with Heavy Weapons 130 Blast pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Dark lance
Scourges with Heavy Weapons 130 Blast pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Dark lance
Hand of the Archon 115 Blast pistol, Kabalite Icon, Power weapon, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Pain sculptors, Razorflail ...
Ravager 110 Bladevanes, Disintegrator cannon
Archon + Nightmare Shroud 100 Huskblade, Shadowfield, Soul Trap
Incubi 90 Incubi Shrine Token, Demiklaives, Klaive
Incubi 90 Incubi Shrine Token, Demiklaives, Klaive
Drazhar 85 Executioner’s demiklaives
Lelith Hesperax 80 Lelith’s blades
Mandrakes 80 Baleblast, Glimmersteel blade
Reavers 75 Bladevanes, Grav-talon, Heat lance, Splinter pistol, Splinter rifle
Reavers 75 Bladevanes, Grav-talon, Heat lance, Splinter pistol, Splinter rifle
Scourges with Shardcarbines 75 Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine, Shredder
Blood Angels
Blood Angels Whole edition Over time Results brackets Detachments Units Pick-rate shifts Matchups Combinations Enhancements Force Disposition Lists Team events Milestones 22 Jul 26 Aug 5 Sep 3 Oct 17 Oct
Whole edition
46.0%win rate, rank 24 of 28 7,157 games 2,056 lists from 1,357 players top-10% finishes 0.57x entry share going first 2.2 points better 44.4% adjusted for player skill
Blood Angels won 46.0% of 7,157 games, 4.0 points below an even win rate
(rank 24 of 28). 38.9% of its players won at least 60% of their games, against 46.5% of
all players. Assault Brethren went from 0% to 46% of the faction's lists between the first
period and the last 28 days. Ironstorm Spearhead lists have a win rate 10.9 points above
the faction average and make up 3% of the faction's lists.
Over time
Share of games per week (%)
2
2.5
3
3.5
2.8
3.8
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval
40
50
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edi
48.5
48.7
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Period
Lists
Share of all lists
Games
Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul
482
3.1%
1,660
46.8%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug
547
3.0%
1,884
47.6%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct
652
2.8%
2,337
43.0%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct
375
2.5%
1,276
48.2%
Codex: Space Marines was followed by a change of +6.2 points in win rate, measured over
the 28 days either side.
Around each milestone, 28 days before and after
Milestone
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul)
1,358 / 1,438
46.3% to 47.7%
+1.4
+0.8
3.0% to 2.8%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug)
1,429 / 1,698
47.2% to 43.3%
-3.9
-2.2
2.9% to 2.9%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep)
1,693 / 1,779
46.3% to 42.0%
-4.3
-2.5
3.1% to 2.7%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct)
1,779 / 1,276
42.0% to 48.2%
+6.2
+3.4
2.7% to 2.5%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data
1,408 / 790
44.0% to 47.5%
+3.5
+1.6
2.4% to 3.0%
Results brackets
187 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 14 won
X, 47 won X-1 and 126 won X-2, from 532 entries.
Share of players by share of games won
5%
0-20
18%
20-40
38%
40-60
27%
60-80
12%
80-100
line = all factions
Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2
2.1%
X
2.2%
X-1
3.0%
X-2
dashed = share of entries, 3.1%
Tier
Lists
Share of tier
Share of entries
Ratio
z
X
14
2.1%
3.1%
0.66x
-1.6
X-1
47
2.2%
3.1%
0.71x
-2.4
X-2
126
3.0%
3.1%
0.95x
-0.6
X to X-2
187
2.6%
3.1%
0.85x
-2.2
Share of games won
Players
Share of players
All players
0 to 20%
21
4.7%
4.1%
20 to 40%
82
18.2%
17.2%
40 to 60%
172
38.2%
32.2%
60 to 80%
122
27.1%
30.1%
80 to 100%
53
11.8%
16.4%
Detachments
17 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 8 of them account for 80% of picks. The most
played is Liberator Assault Group (37% of lists), and 31% of lists run more than one detachment.
One detachment differs from the faction average. Best: Ironstorm Spearhead (10.9 points
above the faction average, 3% of lists).
Detachment
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
P1
P2
P3
P4
Liberator Assault Group
769
37%
+0.4 ± 0.9
+0.5
45%
44%
45%
4%
Rage-cursed Onslaught
321
16%
+1.3 ± 1.4
+0.9
24%
16%
17%
1%
Stormlance Task Force
290
14%
+2.8 ± 1.3
+2.2
10%
18%
18%
7%
Legacy of Grace
225
11%
+1.1 ± 1.5
+0.7
13%
16%
11%
0%
Assault Brethren
185
9%
+4.6 ± 1.8
+2.5
0%
0%
0%
49%
Encarmine Speartip
161
8%
-1.7 ± 2.0
-0.8
4%
3%
3%
28%
Angelic Inheritors
144
7%
-5.1 ± 2.0
-2.6
7%
6%
6%
10%
Vengeful Hosts
134
7%
-1.8 ± 2.0
-0.9
0%
13%
10%
1%
Tacticus Attack Force
103
5%
+5.8 ± 2.3
+2.5
0%
0%
0%
27%
Wrath of the Doomed
94
5%
+0.1 ± 2.6
+0.0
2%
2%
3%
13%
The Angelic Host
78
4%
-4.5 ± 3.0
-1.5
4%
5%
4%
1%
Ironclad Champions
60
3%
+2.9 ± 3.3
+0.9
0%
0%
0%
16%
Ironstorm Spearhead
54
3%
+10.9 ± 3.5
+3.2
0%
0%
0%
14%
Terminator Storm Force
47
2%
+0.1 ± 3.7
+0.0
0%
0%
0%
13%
Units
A typical list contains 12 distinct units. 8 units appear in at least half of all lists
and 31 in at least 10%. The most common is Sanguinary Guard (90% of lists). 2 datasheets
never appeared: Astraeus, Kratos. One datasheet appeared in under 1% of lists: Mastodon.
Of 66 units in 40 or more lists, 6 have a clear effect on results (4 positive, 2 negative).
Best: Chaplain On Bike (8.0 points above comparable lists, 4% of lists), Reiver Squad (6.7
points above comparable lists, 8% of lists), Baal Predator (2.9 points above comparable
lists, 30% of lists) and Sanguinary Priest (2.4 points above comparable lists, 51% of lists).
Weakest: Infernus Squad (9.2 points below comparable lists, 2% of lists) and Terminator
Squad (7.1 points below comparable lists, 6% of lists). Chaplain On Bike and Reiver Squad
are in under 10% of lists but have a win rate above the faction average.
Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-10
-5
0
+5
+10
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Infernus Squad
Chaplain On Bike
Terminator Squad
Reiver Squad
Baal Predator
Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-10
0
+10
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Ironstorm Spearhead
Most played units
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Sanguinary Guard
1,850
90.0%
+0.6 ± 0.6
+1.0
Captain With Jump Pack
1,476
71.8%
+0.4 ± 0.6
+0.6
Death Company Marines With Jump Packs
1,354
65.9%
+0.7 ± 0.7
+1.0
Scout Squad
1,315
64.0%
+1.3 ± 0.7
+2.0
Commander Dante
1,079
52.5%
+0.2 ± 0.7
+0.3
Intercessor Squad
1,065
51.8%
+0.2 ± 0.7
+0.3
Sanguinary Priest
1,056
51.4%
+2.4 ± 0.7
+3.3
Lemartes
1,049
51.0%
+0.6 ± 0.7
+0.9
Bladeguard Veteran Squad
994
48.3%
+2.0 ± 0.8
+2.6
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs
968
47.1%
-0.2 ± 0.8
-0.3
Chaplain With Jump Pack
684
33.3%
-0.8 ± 0.9
-0.9
Chief Librarian Mephiston
614
29.9%
+0.1 ± 1.0
+0.1
Other units with a clear effect
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Chaplain On Bike
85
4.1%
+8.0 ± 2.4
+3.3
Reiver Squad
165
8.0%
+6.7 ± 1.7
+3.9
Baal Predator
612
29.8%
+2.9 ± 0.9
+3.2
Terminator Squad
121
5.9%
-7.1 ± 2.2
-3.3
Infernus Squad
43
2.1%
-9.2 ± 3.0
-3.1
Pick-rate shifts
Type
Name
First period
Prior 28 days
Last 28 days
Change vs first period (pp)
Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Enhancement
Furious Assault
0%
0%
52%
+52
+52
Detachment
Assault Brethren
0%
0%
46%
+46
+46
Enhancement
Imperium's Sword
0%
0%
39%
+39
+39
Detachment
Liberator Assault Group
45%
46%
7%
-37
-38
Unit
Death Company Marines With Jump Packs
72%
76%
39%
-33
-38
Unit
Intercessor Squad
61%
57%
26%
-35
-31
Unit
Lemartes
56%
60%
32%
-24
-28
Unit
Chaplain With Jump Pack
35%
41%
14%
-20
-26
Detachment
Tacticus Attack Force
0%
0%
25%
+25
+25
Unit
Bladeguard Veteran Squad
49%
57%
33%
-16
-23
Detachment
Encarmine Speartip
4%
3%
26%
+22
+23
Unit
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon
33%
14%
10%
-23
-5
Matchups
Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Astra Militarum (56.3% over
245 games) and the worst is Thousand Sons (37.6% over 234).
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Astra Militarum
245
56.3%
50.1% to 62.4%
55.6%
+0.8
favourable
Imperial Agents
23
52.2%
33.0% to 70.8%
52.4%
-0.2
Black Templars
126
51.2%
42.6% to 59.8%
50.7%
+0.5
Space Marines
615
50.7%
46.8% to 54.7%
47.3%
+3.4
Chaos Space Marines
321
50.6%
45.2% to 56.1%
48.8%
+1.8
T'au Empire
369
43.2%
38.3% to 48.3%
44.3%
-1.0
unfavourable
Leagues of Votann
220
42.5%
36.2% to 49.1%
44.2%
-1.7
unfavourable
Adeptus Custodes
414
42.3%
37.6% to 47.1%
41.9%
+0.4
unfavourable
Orks
475
41.4%
37.0% to 45.8%
40.8%
+0.6
unfavourable
Chaos Daemons
265
40.9%
35.2% to 47.0%
41.3%
-0.4
unfavourable
Tyranids
398
38.7%
34.0% to 43.6%
46.1%
-7.4
unfavourable
Thousand Sons
234
37.6%
31.6% to 44.0%
45.6%
-8.0
unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 15 more rows
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Aeldari
220
50.5%
43.9% to 57.0%
50.4%
+0.1
World Eaters
347
49.4%
44.2% to 54.7%
46.1%
+3.3
Death Guard
317
49.1%
43.6% to 54.5%
47.8%
+1.3
Space Wolves
219
48.9%
42.3% to 55.4%
47.0%
+1.9
Drukhari
174
48.6%
41.2% to 55.9%
49.1%
-0.5
Dark Angels
316
48.4%
43.0% to 53.9%
42.6%
+5.8
Necrons
436
46.9%
42.3% to 51.6%
44.5%
+2.4
Grey Knights
176
46.9%
39.6% to 54.2%
48.9%
-2.0
Imperial Knights
290
46.6%
40.9% to 52.3%
47.4%
-0.9
Genestealer Cult
111
45.0%
36.1% to 54.3%
48.5%
-3.4
Adeptus Mechanicus
174
44.8%
37.6% to 52.2%
45.4%
-0.6
Adepta Sororitas
165
44.5%
37.2% to 52.2%
45.7%
-1.1
Emperor's Children
276
44.4%
38.6% to 50.3%
44.7%
-0.3
Deathwatch
44
43.2%
29.7% to 57.8%
42.3%
+0.9
Chaos Knights
187
43.0%
36.2% to 50.2%
49.1%
-6.1
Combinations
7 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common
is Legacy of Grace + Stormlance Task Force (147 lists, 7%).
Combination table
Combination
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Legacy of Grace + Stormlance Task Force
147
7%
+2.9 ± 2.1
+1.4
Stormlance Task Force + Vengeful Hosts
83
4%
+1.3 ± 2.7
+0.5
The Angelic Host + Vengeful Hosts
28
1%
-0.8 ± 5.9
-0.1
Assault Brethren + Ironclad Champions + Tacticus Attack Force
26
1%
+6.1 ± 5.7
+1.1
Assault Brethren + Encarmine Speartip + Tacticus Attack Force
25
1%
+7.5 ± 4.3
+1.7
Bastion Task Force + Legacy of Grace
19
1%
+14.8 ± 5.3
+2.8
Legacy of Grace + The Angelic Host
19
1%
-5.4 ± 5.5
-1.0
Enhancements
22 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Gift of Foresight (10%
of lists).
Enhancement table
Enhancement
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Gift of Foresight
214
10%
-1.7 ± 1.6
-1.0
Furious Assault
212
10%
+2.9 ± 1.7
+1.7
Rage-fuelled Warrior
197
10%
-0.4 ± 1.7
-0.2
Imperium's Sword
156
8%
+5.0 ± 1.9
+2.6
Carmine Reliquary
147
7%
-2.3 ± 2.1
-1.1
Angel's Fang
107
5%
+1.7 ± 2.5
+0.7
Orksbane
101
5%
-1.7 ± 2.2
-0.7
Speed of the Primarch
99
5%
+5.2 ± 2.5
+2.1
Force Disposition
Force Disposition table
Disposition
Share of games
Games
Win rate
Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Take and Hold
51%
3,212
45.6%
-0.5 ± 0.9
Purge the Foe
24%
1,486
48.6%
+2.5 ± 1.4
Priority Assets
18%
1,112
46.4%
+0.4 ± 1.5
Disruption
6%
380
41.1%
-4.9 ± 2.4
Reconnaissance
1%
71
38.0%
n/a
Each extra 2.3 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 4.4 points
lower; the average list has 11.9. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength
model, combination effects, enhancement effects, Force Disposition and terrain layout.
Representative lists
Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists
are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events
with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties,
and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.
Assault Brethren + Ironclad Champions + Tacticus Attack Force 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 70 players · 5 rounds · 23 Oct
Show list
Characters
Company Heroes 125 Master-crafted Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Combat Knife, Master-crafted Bolt Rifle, Master-crafted Heavy Bolter
Battleline
Intercessor Squad 85 Bolt Pistol, Bolt Rifle, Grenade Launcher, Knives and Fists, Thunder Hammer
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor 70 Armoured Hull, Bellicatus Missile Array, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Storm Bolters
Other Units
Sanguinary Guard + Furious Assault 300 Angelus Boltgun, Encarmine Weapon, Inferno Pistol
Sanguinary Guard + Furious Assault 285 Angelus Boltgun, Encarmine Weapon, Inferno Pistol
Death Company Dreadnought + Artificer Sarcophagus 205 Blood Fist Bolt Rifles, Blood Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Death Company Dreadnought + Artificer Sarcophagus 205 Blood Fist Bolt Rifles, Blood Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Commander Dante 140 Perdition Pistol, The Axe Mortalis
Sanguinary Guard + Furious Assault 135 Angelus Boltgun, Encarmine Weapon, Inferno Pistol
Captain With Jump Pack 110
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 100
Captain With Jump Pack 90
Reiver Squad 85 Grapnel Launchers, Grav-chutes, Bolt Carbine, Monomolecular Combat Knife, Special-issue Bolt Pistol
Scout Squad 65 Bolt Pistol, Chainsword, Shotgun, Combat Knife, Missile Launcher, Sniper Rifle
Assault Brethren + Encarmine Speartip + Ironclad Champions 1,995 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 50 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Librarian In Phobos Armour 75
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor 70 Armoured Hull, Fragstorm Grenade Launchers, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome
Other Units
Sanguinary Guard + Furious Assault 285 Angelus Boltgun, Encarmine Weapon, Inferno Pistol
Inceptor Squad 260 Ceramite Fists, Plasma Exterminators
Death Company Dreadnought + Venerable Champion 205 Blood Fist Bolt Rifles, Blood Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Death Company Dreadnought + Venerable Champion 195 Blood Fist Bolt Rifles, Blood Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Brutalis Dreadnought 160 Bolt Rifles, Brutalis Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Sanguinary Guard + Furious Assault 145 Angelus Boltgun, Encarmine Weapon, Inferno Pistol
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 100
Captain With Jump Pack 90
Death Company Marines 90 Chainsword, Eviscerator, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Inferno Pistol, Power Fist
Incursor Squad 90 Bolt Pistol, Occulus Bolt Carbine, Paired Combat Blades
Reiver Squad 85 Grapnel Launchers, Grav-chutes, Bolt Carbine, Monomolecular Combat Knife, Special-issue Bolt Pistol
Chaplain + Imperium's Sword 80 Absolvor Bolt Pistol, Crozius Arcanum
Scout Squad 65 Bolt Pistol, Boltgun, Chainsword, Combat Knife, Heavy Bolter
Team events
46.1%win rate in team events 868 games 215 lists from 198 players +0.1 points against individual events going first 5.9 points better
Blood Angels won 46.1% of 868 team event games, against 46.0% of 6,289 in individual
events: 0.1 points higher (not clear). It makes up 1.8% of team event games and 3.1% of
individual event games.
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
36%
Take and Hold
28%
Priority Assets
17%
Disruption
16%
Reconnaissance
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments
share
win rate
Rage-cursed Onslaught
32%
Liberator Assault Group
25%
Stormlance Task Force
10%
Legacy of Grace
7%
Angelic Inheritors
7%
The Angelic Host
7%
Assault Brethren
6%
Encarmine Speartip
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups
win rate against
Imperial Knights
Astra Militarum
Necrons
Death Guard
Leagues of Votann
Adeptus Custodes
World Eaters
Tyranids
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events.
Dashed: team events win rate.
Milestones
5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after,
with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.
July balance & rules update (22 July)
47.7%win rate, rank 18 of 28 1,438 games 408 lists from 371 players X to X-2 finishes 0.95x entry share going first 0.2 points better
Blood Angels won 46.3% of 1,358 games in the 28 days before and 47.7% of 1,438 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.0% to 2.8%.
One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Vengeful Hosts (0%
to 11%).
One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Vanguard Veteran Squad
With Jump Packs (15% to 34%).
Nothing clear turned up in enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
5%
0-20
18%
20-40
36%
40-60
26%
60-80
15%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
56%
Purge the Foe
20%
Priority Assets
19%
Disruption
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Liberator Assault Group
47%
Legacy of Grace
16%
Rage-cursed Onslaught
16%
Stormlance Task Force
15%
Vengeful Hosts
11%
Angelic Inheritors
6%
The Angelic Host
5%
Encarmine Speartip
3%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Sanguinary Guard
92%
Captain With Jump Pack
75%
Death Company Marines
With Jump Packs
69%
Scout Squad
64%
Intercessor Squad
58%
Sanguinary Priest
54%
Commander Dante
53%
Bladeguard Veteran Squad
52%
Assault Intercessors
With Jump Packs
51%
Lemartes
51%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Aeldari
Astra Militarum
Death Guard
Chaos Space Marines
Chaos Knights
Leagues of Votann
Thousand Sons
Emperor's Children
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Vanguard Veteran Squad With Jump Packs
15%
34%
+19
+6.2
Detachment
Vengeful Hosts
0%
11%
+11
+6.8
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Stormlance Task Force + Vengeful Hosts 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
3rd place · record 5-1 · 46 players · 6 rounds · 15 Aug
Show list
Characters
The Sanguinor 130 Encarmine broadsword
Other Units
Sanguinary Guard 260 Angelus boltgun, Encarmine spear, Inferno pistol, Sanguinary Banner, Encarmine blade
Inceptor Squad 250 Close combat weapon, Plasma exterminators
Vindicator 185 Armoured tracks, Demolisher cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Bladeguard Veteran Squad 170 Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma pistol, Heavy bolt pistol
Sanguinary Guard 145 Angelus boltgun, Encarmine spear, Inferno pistol, Sanguinary Banner, Encarmine blade
Commander Dante 125 Perdition Pistol, The Axe Mortalis
Sanguinary Guard 125 Angelus boltgun, Encarmine spear, Inferno pistol, Sanguinary Banner, Encarmine blade
Infiltrator Squad 110 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Marksman bolt carbine, Helix Gauntlet, Infiltrator Comms Array
Captain With Jump Pack 100
Captain With Jump Pack 95
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 95
Sanguinary Priest 75 Absolvor bolt pistol, Astartes chainsword
Chaplain + Feinting Withdrawal 70 Absolvor bolt pistol, Crozius arcanum
Scout Squad 65 Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife
The Angelic Host + Vengeful Hosts 1,995 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 25 players · 5 rounds · 25 Jul
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Intercessor Squad 80 Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Other Units
Sanguinary Guard 260 Angelus boltgun, Encarmine blade, Inferno pistol, Sanguinary Banner, Encarmine spear
Death Company Marines With Jump Packs 230
Death Company Marines With Jump Packs 135
Sanguinary Guard 125 Angelus boltgun, Encarmine blade, Inferno pistol, Sanguinary Banner, Encarmine spear
Inceptor Squad 125 Assault bolters, Close combat weapon, Plasma exterminators
Inceptor Squad 125 Assault bolters, Close combat weapon, Plasma exterminators
Death Company Marines With Jump Packs 120
Lemartes 100 Absolvor bolt pistol, The Blood Crozius
Captain With Jump Pack 100
Captain With Jump Pack 95
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 95
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 95
Suppressor Squad 85 Accelerator autocannon, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon
Chaplain With Jump Pack 80
Chaplain With Jump Pack 80
Scout Squad 65 Astartes shotgun, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Boltgun, Missile launcher, Scout sniper rifle
August balance & rules update (26 August)
46.0%win rate, rank 23 of 27 558 games 150 lists from 147 players X to X-2 finishes 0.74x entry share going first 3.0 points worse
Blood Angels won 47.2% of 1,429 games in the 28 days before and 43.3% of 1,698 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.9% to 2.9%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
50%
Purge the Foe
25%
Priority Assets
14%
Disruption
11%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Liberator Assault Group
43%
Stormlance Task Force
20%
Rage-cursed Onslaught
17%
Vengeful Hosts
11%
Legacy of Grace
9%
Angelic Inheritors
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Sanguinary Guard
91%
Captain With Jump Pack
73%
Scout Squad
73%
Death Company Marines
With Jump Packs
72%
Sanguinary Priest
61%
Commander Dante
59%
Bladeguard Veteran Squad
56%
Intercessor Squad
53%
Lemartes
50%
Assault Intercessors
With Jump Packs
45%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Adeptus Custodes
Necrons
Space Marines
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Liberator Assault Group 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 23 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon 95 Paired combat blades
Battleline
Intercessor Squad 80 Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Astartes grenade launcher, Close combat weapon
Other Units
Sanguinary Guard 260 Angelus boltgun, Encarmine spear, Inferno pistol, Sanguinary Banner
Death Company Marines With Jump Packs 230
Death Company Marines With Jump Packs 230
Bladeguard Veteran Squad 170 Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma pistol, Heavy bolt pistol
Commander Dante 125 Perdition Pistol, The Axe Mortalis
Baal Predator 125 Armoured tracks, Baal flamestorm cannon, Heavy flamer, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Vanguard Veteran Squad With Jump Packs 110
Lemartes 100 Absolvor bolt pistol, The Blood Crozius
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 95
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 95
Chaplain With Jump Pack 80
Sanguinary Priest 75 Absolvor bolt pistol, Astartes chainsword
Scout Squad 65 Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife
Scout Squad 65 Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife
Rage-cursed Onslaught 1,990 pts
Purge the Foe
75th place · record 7-2 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
Show list
Other Units
Death Company Marines With Jump Packs 230
Death Company Marines With Jump Packs 230
Land Raider 220 Armoured tracks, Godhammer lascannon, Hunter-killer missile, Twin heavy bolter
Bladeguard Veteran Squad 170 Master-crafted power weapon, Neo-volkite pistol, Heavy bolt pistol
Death Company Marines 160 Astartes chainsword, Eviscerator, Heavy bolt pistol, Inferno pistol, Power fist
Gladiator Lancer 160 Armoured hull, Icarus rocket pod, Lancer laser destroyer, Storm bolter
Gladiator Lancer 160 Armoured hull, Icarus rocket pod, Lancer laser destroyer, Storm bolter
Sanguinary Guard 120 Angelus boltgun, Encarmine blade, Inferno pistol, Sanguinary Banner
Chaplain With Jump Pack 115
Lemartes 100 Absolvor bolt pistol, The Blood Crozius
Sanguinary Priest 75 Absolvor bolt pistol, Astartes chainsword
Scout Squad 65 Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Missile launcher
Scout Squad 65 Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Missile launcher
Chaplain 60 Absolvor bolt pistol, Crozius arcanum
Chaplain 60 Absolvor bolt pistol, Crozius arcanum
Orks codex (5 September)
42.0%win rate, rank 27 of 28 1,779 games 502 lists from 455 players X to X-2 finishes 0.57x entry share going first 3.8 points better
Blood Angels won 46.3% of 1,693 games in the 28 days before and 42.0% of 1,779 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.1% to 2.7%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
7%
0-20
19%
20-40
45%
40-60
21%
60-80
7%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
54%
Purge the Foe
23%
Priority Assets
17%
Disruption
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Liberator Assault Group
46%
Stormlance Task Force
18%
Rage-cursed Onslaught
18%
Legacy of Grace
12%
Vengeful Hosts
9%
Angelic Inheritors
5%
The Angelic Host
4%
Wrath of the Doomed
3%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Sanguinary Guard
90%
Death Company Marines
With Jump Packs
77%
Captain With Jump Pack
72%
Scout Squad
68%
Lemartes
61%
Intercessor Squad
58%
Bladeguard Veteran Squad
56%
Sanguinary Priest
56%
Commander Dante
52%
Assault Intercessors
With Jump Packs
51%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Astra Militarum
Adeptus Mechanicus
World Eaters
Space Wolves
Thousand Sons
Chaos Knights
Orks
Tyranids
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Headhunter Task Force + Wrath of the Doomed 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
2nd place · record 5-0 · 72 players · 5 rounds · 26 Sep
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Vindicator + Astartes Tank Ace 225 Armoured tracks, Demolisher cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Vindicator + Astartes Tank Ace 220 Armoured tracks, Demolisher cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Other Units
Land Raider Redeemer 260 Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon
Vindicator + Astartes Tank Ace 185 Armoured tracks, Demolisher cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Gladiator Lancer 160 Armoured hull, Icarus rocket pod, Ironhail heavy stubber, Lancer laser destroyer, Storm bolter
Gladiator Valiant 150 Armoured hull, Icarus rocket pod, Ironhail heavy stubber, Multi-melta, Twin las-talon
Predator Destructor 140 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Predator autocannon, Storm bolter
Storm Speeder Hammerstrike 140 Close combat weapon, Hammerstrike missile launcher, Krakstorm grenade launcher, Melta destroyer
Baal Predator 135 Armoured tracks, Baal flamestorm cannon, Heavy flamer, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 135 Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Baal Predator 125 Armoured tracks, Baal flamestorm cannon, Heavy flamer, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Baal Predator 125 Armoured tracks, Baal flamestorm cannon, Heavy flamer, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Liberator Assault Group 1,995 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 4-1 · 38 players · 5 rounds · 19 Sep
Show list
Battleline
Intercessor Squad 150 Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Astartes grenade launcher, Close combat weapon
Assault Intercessor Squad 80 Plasma pistol, Thunder hammer, Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor 70 Armoured hull, Bellicatus missile array, Fragstorm grenade launcher, Ironhail heavy stubber
Other Units
Death Company Marines With Jump Packs 230
Bladeguard Veteran Squad 170 Heavy bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon
Terminator Assault Squad 165 Storm Shield, Thunder hammer, Twin lightning claws
Gladiator Lancer 160 Armoured hull, Fragstorm grenade launcher, Icarus rocket pod, Ironhail heavy stubber, Lancer laser destroyer
Ballistus Dreadnought 150 Armoured feet, Ballistus lascannon, Ballistus missile launcher, Twin storm bolter
Sanguinary Guard 120 Angelus boltgun, Encarmine spear, Inferno pistol, Sanguinary Banner
Captain + Rage-fuelled Warrior 115 Heavy bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon, Relic Shield
Lemartes 100 Absolvor bolt pistol, The Blood Crozius
Captain With Jump Pack 95
Sanguinary Priest 75 Absolvor bolt pistol, Astartes chainsword
Chaplain In Terminator Armour 75
Reiver Squad 75 Combat knife, Special issue bolt pistol
Scout Squad 65 Bolt pistol, Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Chaplain 60 Absolvor bolt pistol, Crozius arcanum
Ancient 40 Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Close combat weapon
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)
49.5%win rate, rank 13 of 27 486 games 144 lists from 140 players X to X-2 finishes 1.18x entry share going first 6.3 points better
Blood Angels won 42.0% of 1,779 games in the 28 days before and 48.2% of 1,276 in the
23 days after. Its share of games went from 2.7% to 2.5%. The change of +6.2 points is
clear.
12 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Assault Brethren
(0% to 49%), Liberator Assault Group (46% to 4%) and Tacticus Attack Force (0% to 27%).
21 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Death Company Marines With
Jump Packs (77% to 35%), Intercessor Squad (58% to 24%) and Lemartes (61% to 29%).
7 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Furious Assault (0%
to 57%), Imperium's Sword (0% to 42%) and Angelic Executioner (1% to 15%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
0%
0-20
21%
20-40
30%
40-60
30%
60-80
18%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
45%
Priority Assets
24%
Purge the Foe
21%
Disruption
10%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Encarmine Speartip
25%
Wrath of the Doomed
14%
Liberator Assault Group
11%
Angelic Inheritors
10%
Assault Brethren,
Ironclad Champions and
Tacticus Attack Force
8%
Stormlance Task Force
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Sanguinary Guard
87%
Captain With Jump Pack
71%
Scout Squad
59%
Death Company Marines
With Jump Packs
44%
Commander Dante
44%
Sanguinary Priest
40%
Lemartes
37%
Baal Predator
35%
Bladeguard Veteran Squad
34%
Assault Intercessors
With Jump Packs
33%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Enhancement
Furious Assault
0%
57%
+57
+19.3
Detachment
Assault Brethren
0%
49%
+49
+17.7
Unit
Death Company Marines With Jump Packs
77%
35%
-42
-12.6
Detachment
Liberator Assault Group
46%
4%
-42
-13.6
Enhancement
Imperium's Sword
0%
42%
+42
+15.9
Unit
Intercessor Squad
58%
24%
-34
-10.0
Unit
Lemartes
61%
29%
-32
-9.3
Unit
Chaplain With Jump Pack
41%
12%
-29
-9.5
All 40 shifts: 32 more rows
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Tacticus Attack Force
0%
27%
+27
+12.5
Detachment
Encarmine Speartip
3%
28%
+25
+10.7
Unit
Bladeguard Veteran Squad
56%
31%
-25
-7.4
Unit
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles
0%
24%
+24
+11.7
Unit
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs
51%
30%
-22
-6.4
Unit
Company Heroes
2%
22%
+20
+9.5
Unit
Sanguinary Priest
56%
39%
-18
-5.1
Unit
Chief Librarian Mephiston
33%
16%
-17
-5.7
Detachment
Rage-cursed Onslaught
18%
1%
-17
-8.0
Unit
Redemptor Dreadnought
5%
21%
+16
+7.5
Unit
Impulsor
10%
26%
+16
+6.3
Detachment
Ironclad Champions
0%
16%
+16
+9.3
Enhancement
Angelic Executioner
1%
15%
+14
+7.8
Unit
Vindicator
15%
1%
-13
-6.8
Detachment
Ironstorm Spearhead
0%
14%
+13
+8.1
Unit
Infiltrator Squad
17%
4%
-13
-5.8
Detachment
Terminator Storm Force
0%
13%
+13
+8.2
Enhancement
Gift of Foresight
14%
1%
-12
-6.5
Detachment
Legacy of Grace
12%
0%
-12
-6.7
Enhancement
Rage-fuelled Warrior
13%
1%
-12
-6.4
Detachment
Stormlance Task Force
18%
7%
-11
-4.7
Unit
Brutalis Dreadnought
5%
15%
+10
+5.3
Unit
Librarian In Phobos Armour
0%
10%
+10
+7.1
Unit
Inceptor Squad
11%
21%
+10
+4.0
Enhancement
Artificer Sarcophagus
0%
10%
+10
+7.2
Detachment
Wrath of the Doomed
3%
13%
+10
+5.4
Unit
Reiver Squad
6%
16%
+10
+4.6
Unit
Chaplain On Bike
2%
12%
+10
+5.8
Unit
Ancient In Terminator Armour
5%
14%
+9
+4.5
Detachment
Vengeful Hosts
9%
1%
-8
-5.5
Unit
Librarian
12%
4%
-8
-4.3
Enhancement
Carmine Reliquary
8%
0%
-8
-5.5
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Campeones férreos, Fuerza de ataque Tacticus y Hermandad de asalto 1,995 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 22 players · 5 rounds · 3 Oct
Show list
Characters
bibliotecario con armadura phobos 75
Dedicated Transports
Rhino 70 Bólter tormenta, Misil cazador-asesino, Orugas blindadas
Other Units
escuadra de veteranos de ferreaguardia 180
dreadnought de la compañía de la muerte 165
dreadnought de la compañía de la muerte 165
dreadnought brutalis 160
dreadnought brutalis 160
dreadnought ballistus 150
héroes de la compañía 125
escuadra de veteranos de vanguardia con propulsores de salto 110
capitán 90
escuadra de incursores 90
escuadra de incursores 90
escuadra de intercesores de asalto 85
escuadra de batidores 80
escuadra de batidores 80
sacerdote sanguinario 60
capellán 60
Assault Brethren, Ironclad Champions and Tacticus Attack Force 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
5th place · record 5-1 · 42 players · 6 rounds · 10 Oct
Show list
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor 70 Armoured Hull, Bellicatus Missile Array, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Storm Bolters
Other Units
Sanguinary Guard + Furious Assault 300 Angelus Boltgun, Encarmine Weapon, Inferno Pistol
Sanguinary Guard + Furious Assault 285 Angelus Boltgun, Encarmine Weapon, Inferno Pistol
Sanguinary Guard + Furious Assault 275 Angelus Boltgun, Encarmine Weapon, Inferno Pistol
Death Company Dreadnought + Venerable Champion 195 Blood Fist Bolt Rifles, Blood Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Death Company Dreadnought + Venerable Champion 165 Blood Fist Bolt Rifles, Blood Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Commander Dante 140 Perdition Pistol, The Axe Mortalis
Company Heroes 125 Master-crafted Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Combat Knife, Master-crafted Bolt Rifle, Master-crafted Heavy Bolter
Captain With Jump Pack 110
Eradicator Squad 100
Captain With Jump Pack 90
Outrider Squad 80 Chainsword, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Twin Bolt Rifle
Scout Squad 65 Bolt Pistol, Boltgun, Combat Knife
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)
47.5%win rate, rank 18 of 27 790 games 231 lists from 221 players X to X-2 finishes 1.00x entry share going first 2.1 points better
Blood Angels won 44.0% of 1,408 games in the 28 days before and 47.5% of 790 in the
9 days after. Its share of games went from 2.4% to 3.0%.
9 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Assault Brethren (2%
to 77%), Tacticus Attack Force (1% to 43%) and Liberator Assault Group (32% to 0%).
14 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Death Company Marines With
Jump Packs (65% to 29%), Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles (2% to 35%) and Lemartes (52%
to 25%).
6 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Furious Assault (17%
to 62%), Imperium's Sword (12% to 46%) and Angelic Executioner (6% to 16%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
4%
0-20
17%
20-40
31%
40-60
30%
60-80
18%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
48%
Purge the Foe
29%
Priority Assets
17%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Assault Brethren
77%
Tacticus Attack Force
43%
Encarmine Speartip
30%
Ironclad Champions
26%
Terminator Storm Force
19%
Ironstorm Spearhead
18%
Wrath of the Doomed
13%
Angelic Inheritors
11%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Sanguinary Guard
86%
Captain With Jump Pack
69%
Scout Squad
58%
Commander Dante
42%
Baal Predator
41%
Sanguinary Priest
38%
Eradicator Squad with
Melta Rifles
35%
Death Company Marines
With Jump Packs
29%
Bladeguard Veteran Squad
29%
Impulsor
29%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Adeptus Custodes
Space Marines
World Eaters
Necrons
Orks
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Assault Brethren
2%
77%
+75
+20.0
Enhancement
Furious Assault
17%
62%
+45
+11.6
Detachment
Tacticus Attack Force
1%
43%
+42
+13.7
Unit
Death Company Marines With Jump Packs
65%
29%
-35
-8.6
Enhancement
Imperium's Sword
12%
46%
+33
+9.4
Unit
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles
2%
35%
+33
+11.5
Detachment
Liberator Assault Group
32%
0%
-32
-9.7
Unit
Lemartes
52%
25%
-27
-6.6
All 29 shifts: 21 more rows
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Intercessor Squad
48%
22%
-26
-6.5
Detachment
Ironclad Champions
0%
26%
+25
+10.4
Unit
Company Heroes
6%
28%
+22
+7.5
Unit
Chaplain With Jump Pack
33%
11%
-21
-6.0
Unit
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs
46%
27%
-19
-4.8
Detachment
Encarmine Speartip
11%
30%
+19
+6.0
Detachment
Terminator Storm Force
0%
19%
+19
+8.7
Unit
Bladeguard Veteran Squad
48%
29%
-18
-4.5
Unit
Chief Librarian Mephiston
30%
13%
-17
-4.8
Detachment
Ironstorm Spearhead
3%
18%
+15
+6.7
Unit
Impulsor
14%
29%
+15
+4.4
Detachment
Rage-cursed Onslaught
13%
0%
-13
-5.7
Unit
Reiver Squad
8%
19%
+12
+4.3
Enhancement
Angelic Executioner
6%
16%
+10
+4.2
Enhancement
Gift of Foresight
10%
0%
-10
-5.0
Unit
Eradicator Squad
10%
0%
-10
-5.0
Unit
Vindicator
10%
0%
-10
-4.8
Enhancement
Artificer Sarcophagus
2%
12%
+9
+4.7
Unit
Librarian In Phobos Armour
3%
12%
+9
+4.5
Enhancement
Rage-fuelled Warrior
8%
0%
-8
-4.6
Detachment
Legacy of Grace
8%
0%
-8
-4.5
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Assault Brethren + Ironclad Champions + Tacticus Attack Force 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 70 players · 5 rounds · 23 Oct
Show list
Characters
Company Heroes 125 Master-crafted Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Combat Knife, Master-crafted Bolt Rifle, Master-crafted Heavy Bolter
Battleline
Intercessor Squad 85 Bolt Pistol, Bolt Rifle, Grenade Launcher, Knives and Fists, Thunder Hammer
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor 70 Armoured Hull, Bellicatus Missile Array, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Storm Bolters
Other Units
Sanguinary Guard + Furious Assault 300 Angelus Boltgun, Encarmine Weapon, Inferno Pistol
Sanguinary Guard + Furious Assault 285 Angelus Boltgun, Encarmine Weapon, Inferno Pistol
Death Company Dreadnought + Artificer Sarcophagus 205 Blood Fist Bolt Rifles, Blood Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Death Company Dreadnought + Artificer Sarcophagus 205 Blood Fist Bolt Rifles, Blood Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Commander Dante 140 Perdition Pistol, The Axe Mortalis
Sanguinary Guard + Furious Assault 135 Angelus Boltgun, Encarmine Weapon, Inferno Pistol
Captain With Jump Pack 110
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 100
Captain With Jump Pack 90
Reiver Squad 85 Grapnel Launchers, Grav-chutes, Bolt Carbine, Monomolecular Combat Knife, Special-issue Bolt Pistol
Scout Squad 65 Bolt Pistol, Chainsword, Shotgun, Combat Knife, Missile Launcher, Sniper Rifle
Assault Brethren + Encarmine Speartip + Ironclad Champions 1,995 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 50 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Librarian In Phobos Armour 75
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor 70 Armoured Hull, Fragstorm Grenade Launchers, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome
Other Units
Sanguinary Guard + Furious Assault 285 Angelus Boltgun, Encarmine Weapon, Inferno Pistol
Inceptor Squad 260 Ceramite Fists, Plasma Exterminators
Death Company Dreadnought + Venerable Champion 205 Blood Fist Bolt Rifles, Blood Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Death Company Dreadnought + Venerable Champion 195 Blood Fist Bolt Rifles, Blood Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Brutalis Dreadnought 160 Bolt Rifles, Brutalis Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Sanguinary Guard + Furious Assault 145 Angelus Boltgun, Encarmine Weapon, Inferno Pistol
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 100
Captain With Jump Pack 90
Death Company Marines 90 Chainsword, Eviscerator, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Inferno Pistol, Power Fist
Incursor Squad 90 Bolt Pistol, Occulus Bolt Carbine, Paired Combat Blades
Reiver Squad 85 Grapnel Launchers, Grav-chutes, Bolt Carbine, Monomolecular Combat Knife, Special-issue Bolt Pistol
Chaplain + Imperium's Sword 80 Absolvor Bolt Pistol, Crozius Arcanum
Scout Squad 65 Bolt Pistol, Boltgun, Chainsword, Combat Knife, Heavy Bolter
Aeldari
Aeldari Whole edition Combinations Units Detachments Pick-rate shifts Matchups Over time Results brackets Enhancements Force Disposition Lists Team events Milestones 22 Jul 26 Aug 5 Sep 3 Oct 17 Oct
Whole edition
45.6%win rate, rank 25 of 28 7,034 games 1,994 lists from 1,270 players top-10% finishes 0.71x entry share going first 0.9 points better 44.0% adjusted for player skill
Aeldari won 45.6% of 7,034 games, 4.4 points below an even win rate (rank
25 of 28). The pairing Armoured Warhost + Corsair Coterie has a win rate 23.3 points below
the faction average (15 lists). Warlock Skyrunners went from 53% to 5% of the faction's
lists between the first period and the last 28 days. Wraithknight is in 4% of lists, and
lists with it have a win rate 10.6 points below comparable lists.
Combinations
18 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common
is Armoured Warhost + Serpent's Brood (151 lists, 8%). Best: Armoured Warhost + Guardian
Battlehost (14.7 points above the faction average). Weakest: Armoured Warhost + Corsair
Coterie (23.3 points below the faction average).
Combination
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Armoured Warhost + Serpent's Brood
151
8%
-4.0 ± 2.4
-1.7
Armoured Warhost + Seer Council
145
7%
+4.7 ± 2.2
+2.1
Armoured Warhost + Spirit Conclave
122
6%
+1.6 ± 2.9
+0.5
Path of the Outcast + Seer Council
122
6%
+4.7 ± 2.3
+2.0
Armoured Warhost + Windrider Host
81
4%
-1.7 ± 3.3
-0.5
Path of the Outcast + Spirit Conclave
77
4%
+2.5 ± 3.7
+0.7
Path of the Outcast + Windrider Host
74
4%
-3.2 ± 3.2
-1.0
Corsair Coterie + Path of the Outcast
67
3%
-1.6 ± 3.3
-0.5
Armoured Warhost + Guardian Battlehost
62
3%
+14.7 ± 3.6
+4.0
Armoured Warhost + Corsair Coterie
15
1%
-23.3 ± 3.4
-6.8
Units
A typical list contains 13 distinct units. 3 units appear in at least half of all lists
and 41 in at least 10%. The most common is Rangers (62% of lists). 4 datasheets never appeared:
Corsair Cloud Dancer Band, Hornet, Karandras, Nightwing. 12 datasheets appeared in under
1% of lists: Bonesinger, Crimson Hunter, Hemlock Wraithfighter, Revenant Titan, The Visarch,
Vibro Cannon Platform, Ynnari Archon, Ynnari Incubi, Ynnari Raider, Ynnari Reavers, Ynnari
Succubus, Ynnari Wyches.
Of 58 units in 40 or more lists, 5 have a clear effect on results (1 positive, 4 negative).
Best: Farseer Skyrunner (3.2 points above comparable lists, 31% of lists). Weakest: Wraithknight
(10.6 points below comparable lists, 4% of lists), Solitaire (7.6 points below comparable
lists, 9% of lists), Wraithknight with Ghostglaive (6.9 points below comparable lists,
6% of lists) and Death Jester (6.4 points below comparable lists, 9% of lists).
Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-10
-5
0
+5
+10
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Wraithknight
Solitaire
Farseer Skyrunner
Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-5
0
+5
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Seer Council
Most played units
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Rangers
1,235
61.9%
-0.0 ± 0.7
-0.0
Avatar of Khaine
1,122
56.3%
+1.5 ± 0.8
+2.0
Warp Spiders
1,019
51.1%
-0.3 ± 0.8
-0.3
Howling Banshees
944
47.3%
-0.4 ± 0.8
-0.5
Eldrad Ulthran
936
46.9%
+1.5 ± 0.8
+1.8
Fire Dragons
929
46.6%
-0.2 ± 0.8
-0.2
Lhykhis
783
39.3%
-0.3 ± 0.9
-0.4
Jain Zar
777
39.0%
+1.3 ± 0.9
+1.4
Corsair Voidreavers
774
38.8%
+1.3 ± 0.9
+1.5
War Walkers
761
38.2%
+0.3 ± 0.9
+0.3
Fuegan
676
33.9%
+1.0 ± 0.9
+1.1
Swooping Hawks
660
33.1%
-0.6 ± 1.0
-0.6
Other units with a clear effect
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Farseer Skyrunner
628
31.5%
+3.2 ± 1.0
+3.2
Death Jester
174
8.7%
-6.4 ± 2.0
-3.2
Wraithknight with Ghostglaive
117
5.9%
-6.9 ± 2.3
-3.1
Solitaire
189
9.5%
-7.6 ± 1.9
-4.0
Wraithknight
81
4.1%
-10.6 ± 2.9
-3.7
Detachments
14 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 8 of them account for 80% of picks. The most
played is Armoured Warhost (34% of lists), and 64% of lists run more than one detachment.
One detachment differs from the faction average. Best: Seer Council (3.9 points above the
faction average, 18% of lists).
Detachment
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
P1
P2
P3
P4
Armoured Warhost
687
34%
+0.7 ± 1.0
+0.7
29%
40%
34%
34%
Path of the Outcast
435
22%
+0.1 ± 1.3
+0.1
28%
22%
23%
14%
Aspect Host
402
20%
-0.8 ± 1.3
-0.6
20%
12%
20%
31%
Seer Council
356
18%
+3.9 ± 1.2
+3.1
18%
20%
17%
15%
Spirit Conclave
273
14%
+0.3 ± 1.7
+0.2
9%
13%
16%
16%
Serpent's Brood
189
9%
-2.4 ± 1.9
-1.3
11%
8%
10%
9%
Windrider Host
187
9%
-2.7 ± 1.9
-1.4
11%
10%
10%
6%
Eldritch Raiders
151
8%
-1.6 ± 2.2
-0.8
5%
9%
8%
8%
Twilight Flickers
116
6%
+1.9 ± 2.2
+0.9
3%
7%
5%
8%
Corsair Coterie
110
6%
-6.0 ± 2.4
-2.4
8%
7%
3%
4%
Fateful Performance
102
5%
-2.3 ± 2.6
-0.9
3%
5%
5%
8%
Warhost
95
5%
-3.2 ± 2.4
-1.3
3%
7%
5%
3%
Guardian Battlehost
77
4%
+7.7 ± 2.8
+2.7
3%
5%
4%
2%
Devoted of Ynnead
34
2%
-5.4 ± 4.0
-1.4
2%
2%
2%
2%
Pick-rate shifts
Type
Name
First period
Prior 28 days
Last 28 days
Change vs first period (pp)
Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Unit
Warlock Skyrunners
53%
8%
5%
-48
-3
Unit
Avatar of Khaine
34%
62%
71%
+37
+9
Unit
Farseer Skyrunner
7%
44%
39%
+32
-5
Unit
Warlock
19%
3%
2%
-18
-1
Unit
Shroud Runners
30%
17%
13%
-17
-4
Detachment
Path of the Outcast
28%
22%
14%
-14
-8
Unit
Rangers
67%
62%
53%
-14
-10
Unit
Autarch
12%
11%
22%
+10
+11
Unit
Dragon Knights
0%
18%
11%
+11
-7
Enhancement
Aspect of Murder
1%
2%
8%
+7
+7
Matchups
Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Astra Militarum (57.4% over
249 games) and the worst is Thousand Sons (36.6% over 205).
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Imperial Agents
27
63.0%
44.2% to 78.5%
52.0%
+11.0
Astra Militarum
249
57.4%
51.2% to 63.4%
55.2%
+2.3
favourable
Imperial Knights
288
53.0%
47.2% to 58.6%
47.0%
+5.9
Chaos Knights
184
51.6%
44.5% to 58.7%
48.7%
+2.9
Drukhari
167
51.5%
44.0% to 59.0%
48.7%
+2.8
Space Marines
560
45.4%
41.4% to 49.6%
46.9%
-1.5
unfavourable
Orks
475
44.6%
40.2% to 49.1%
40.4%
+4.2
unfavourable
Dark Angels
292
41.6%
36.1% to 47.3%
42.2%
-0.6
unfavourable
Necrons
457
41.6%
37.1% to 46.1%
44.1%
-2.6
unfavourable
Emperor's Children
296
40.5%
35.1% to 46.2%
44.3%
-3.7
unfavourable
Adepta Sororitas
168
39.3%
32.2% to 46.8%
45.3%
-6.0
unfavourable
Adeptus Custodes
460
38.5%
34.1% to 43.0%
41.5%
-3.0
unfavourable
Thousand Sons
205
36.6%
30.3% to 43.4%
45.2%
-8.7
unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 14 more rows
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Adeptus Mechanicus
186
49.7%
42.6% to 56.8%
45.0%
+4.7
Blood Angels
220
49.5%
43.0% to 56.1%
49.6%
-0.1
Black Templars
126
49.2%
40.6% to 57.8%
50.3%
-1.1
Death Guard
293
48.6%
43.0% to 54.3%
47.4%
+1.2
Space Wolves
170
47.9%
40.6% to 55.4%
46.6%
+1.4
Chaos Space Marines
320
47.8%
42.4% to 53.3%
48.4%
-0.6
Deathwatch
46
46.7%
33.1% to 60.8%
41.9%
+4.8
Tyranids
416
46.2%
41.4% to 51.0%
45.7%
+0.4
Genestealer Cult
124
46.0%
37.4% to 54.7%
48.1%
-2.1
Leagues of Votann
225
45.6%
39.2% to 52.1%
43.8%
+1.8
World Eaters
310
45.2%
39.7% to 50.7%
45.7%
-0.5
T'au Empire
341
45.0%
39.8% to 50.3%
43.9%
+1.2
Chaos Daemons
255
44.5%
38.5% to 50.6%
41.0%
+3.6
Grey Knights
174
43.1%
36.0% to 50.5%
48.5%
-5.4
Over time
Share of games per week (%)
2.5
2.75
3
3.25
2.7
2.6
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval
40
50
47.4
44.2
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Period
Lists
Share of all lists
Games
Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul
445
2.8%
1,496
43.4%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug
507
2.8%
1,800
45.2%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct
642
2.8%
2,381
46.6%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct
400
2.7%
1,357
46.6%
Around each milestone, 28 days before and after
Milestone
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul)
1,286 / 1,451
43.3% to 44.9%
+1.6
+0.8
2.9% to 2.9%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug)
1,363 / 1,705
44.6% to 46.4%
+1.8
+1.0
2.8% to 2.9%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep)
1,542 / 1,817
45.5% to 46.9%
+1.4
+0.8
2.8% to 2.8%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct)
1,817 / 1,357
46.9% to 46.6%
-0.2
-0.1
2.8% to 2.7%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data
1,647 / 714
46.4% to 47.1%
+0.7
+0.3
2.8% to 2.7%
Results brackets
173 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 11 won
X, 40 won X-1 and 122 won X-2, from 458 entries.
Share of players by share of games won
6%
0-20
19%
20-40
34%
40-60
30%
60-80
12%
80-100
line = all factions
Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2
1.6%
X
1.9%
X-1
2.9%
X-2
dashed = share of entries, 2.7%
Bracket tables
Tier
Lists
Share of tier
Share of entries
Ratio
z
X
11
1.6%
2.7%
0.60x
-1.7
X-1
40
1.9%
2.7%
0.70x
-2.3
X-2
122
2.9%
2.7%
1.07x
+0.8
X to X-2
173
2.4%
2.7%
0.91x
-1.2
Share of games won
Players
Share of players
All players
0 to 20%
23
6.0%
4.1%
20 to 40%
71
18.5%
17.2%
40 to 60%
129
33.7%
32.2%
60 to 80%
114
29.8%
30.1%
80 to 100%
46
12.0%
16.4%
Enhancements
24 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Torc of Morai-Heg (8%
of lists).
Enhancement table
Enhancement
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Torc of Morai-Heg
153
8%
+4.2 ± 1.9
+2.2
Light of Clarity
125
6%
+3.0 ± 2.3
+1.3
Weavers' Wail
103
5%
-3.4 ± 2.5
-1.3
Lucid Eye
95
5%
-1.5 ± 2.6
-0.6
Alacritous Assault
94
5%
-2.9 ± 2.8
-1.0
Assassins' Eye
80
4%
-5.3 ± 2.6
-2.1
Rune of Mists
74
4%
-2.2 ± 3.2
-0.7
Guiding Presence
61
3%
-4.4 ± 3.6
-1.2
Force Disposition
Force Disposition table
Disposition
Share of games
Games
Win rate
Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Reconnaissance
43%
2,643
45.6%
-0.0 ± 1.1
Priority Assets
26%
1,639
47.2%
+1.8 ± 1.3
Take and Hold
13%
806
46.2%
+0.7 ± 2.0
Disruption
13%
794
44.5%
-1.2 ± 1.9
Purge the Foe
5%
319
46.6%
+1.1 ± 3.3
Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, milestone
moves, enhancement effects, Force Disposition, results brackets, terrain layout and list
width.
Representative lists
Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists
are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events
with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties,
and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.
Aspect Host 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
4th place · record 5-1 · 116 players · 6 rounds · 12 Sep
Show list
Characters
Avatar of Khaine 250 The Wailing Doom
Eldrad Ulthran 120 Mind War, Shuriken pistol, The Staff of Ulthamar and witchblade
Dedicated Transports
Wave Serpent 115 Shuriken cannon, Twin bright lance, Wraithbone hull
Other Units
Dragon Knights 180 Drakesteed Fangs and Talons, Laser Lance, Solar Carbine
Howling Banshees 165 Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Dire Avengers 140 Aspect Shrine Token, Avenger shuriken catapult, Close combat weapon
Dire Avengers 140 Aspect Shrine Token, Avenger shuriken catapult, Close combat weapon
Asurmen 135 Bloody Twins, Sword of Asur
Wraithlord 125 Bright lance, Flamer, Ghostglaive, Wraithbone fists
Wraithlord 125 Bright lance, Flamer, Ghostglaive, Wraithbone fists
Wraithlord 125 Bright lance, Flamer, Ghostglaive, Wraithbone fists
Jain Zar 105 Blade of Destruction, Silent Death
Dark Reapers 95 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Dark Reapers 95 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Howling Banshees 85 Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Aspect Host 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 47 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Avatar of Khaine 250 The Wailing Doom
Farseer Skyrunner 60 Eldritch Storm, Shuriken pistol, Singing spear, Twin shuriken catapult
Other Units
Asurmen 135 Bloody Twins, Sword of Asur
Falcon 130 Bright lance, Pulse laser, Shuriken cannon, Wraithbone hull
Fire Dragons 110 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Exarch’s Dragon fusion gun, Dragon fusion gun
Jain Zar 105 Blade of Destruction, Silent Death
Shining Spears 100 Shimmershield, Shuriken cannon, Star lance, Laser lance, Twin shuriken catapult
Shining Spears 100 Shimmershield, Shuriken cannon, Star lance, Laser lance, Twin shuriken catapult
Dark Reapers 95 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Dark Reapers 95 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Dark Reapers 95 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Swooping Hawks 95 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Hawk’s talon, Lasblaster
Swooping Hawks 95 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Hawk’s talon, Lasblaster
Howling Banshees 85 Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Howling Banshees 85 Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Howling Banshees 85 Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
War Walkers 80 Bright lance, Scatter laser, War Walker feet
Dire Avengers 70 Aspect Shrine Token, Avenger shuriken catapult, Close combat weapon
Autarch 70 Dragon fusion gun, Star glaive
Rangers 60 Close combat weapon, Long rifle, Shuriken pistol
Team events
45.6%win rate in team events 1,451 games 347 lists from 297 players +0.1 points against individual events going first 0.4 points better
Aeldari won 45.6% of 1,451 team event games, against 45.5% of 5,583 in individual events:
0.1 points higher (not clear). It makes up 3.1% of team event games and 2.8% of individual
event games.
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Reconnaissance
51%
Disruption
19%
Priority Assets
15%
Take and Hold
10%
Purge the Foe
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments
share
win rate
Armoured Warhost
31%
Path of the Outcast
27%
Seer Council
19%
Spirit Conclave
15%
Aspect Host
14%
Windrider Host
10%
Fateful Performance
8%
Serpent's Brood
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups
win rate against
Adeptus Mechanicus
Imperial Knights
Astra Militarum
Chaos Knights
Necrons
Thousand Sons
Chaos Daemons
Dark Angels
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events.
Dashed: team events win rate.
Milestones
5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after,
with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.
July balance & rules update (22 July)
44.9%win rate, rank 24 of 28 1,451 games 403 lists from 352 players X to X-2 finishes 0.77x entry share going first 1.0 points better
Aeldari won 43.3% of 1,286 games in the 28 days before and 44.9% of 1,451 in the 28
days after. Its share of games went from 2.9% to 2.9%.
3 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Farseer Skyrunner (8% to
33%), Avatar of Khaine (36% to 58%) and Warlock Skyrunners (54% to 38%).
Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
7%
0-20
23%
20-40
37%
40-60
24%
60-80
9%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Reconnaissance
48%
Disruption
18%
Priority Assets
17%
Take and Hold
14%
Purge the Foe
3%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Armoured Warhost
39%
Path of the Outcast
21%
Seer Council
21%
Spirit Conclave
14%
Aspect Host
13%
Eldritch Raiders
9%
Windrider Host
9%
Corsair Coterie
9%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Rangers
64%
Avatar of Khaine
58%
Warp Spiders
53%
Eldrad Ulthran
47%
Fire Dragons
44%
Howling Banshees
43%
Corsair Voidreavers
43%
War Walkers
41%
Warlock Conclave
41%
Lhykhis
38%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Astra Militarum
Chaos Knights
World Eaters
Imperial Knights
Space Marines
Blood Angels
Thousand Sons
Necrons
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Farseer Skyrunner
8%
33%
+26
+8.9
Unit
Avatar of Khaine
36%
58%
+22
+6.3
Unit
Warlock Skyrunners
54%
38%
-17
-4.7
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Armoured Warhost + Spirit Conclave 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
3rd place · record 5-1 · 73 players · 6 rounds · 25 Jul
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Autarch Wayleaper 70 Dragon fusion gun, Star glaive
Spiritseer + Rune of Mists 65 Shuriken pistol, Witch staff
Spiritseer + Rune of Mists 55 Shuriken pistol, Witch staff
Other Units
Fire Prism 150 Prism cannon, Shuriken cannon, Wraithbone hull
Fire Prism 150 Prism cannon, Shuriken cannon, Wraithbone hull
Wraithguard 145 Close combat weapon, D-scythe
Wraithguard 145 Close combat weapon, D-scythe
Wraithblades 140 Forceshield, Ghostaxe
Wraithblades 140 Forceshield, Ghostaxe
Wraithlord 125 Bright lance, Flamer, Ghostglaive, Wraithbone fists
Wraithlord 125 Bright lance, Flamer, Ghostglaive, Wraithbone fists
Wraithlord 125 Bright lance, Flamer, Ghostglaive, Wraithbone fists
Shroud Runners 90 Close combat weapon, Long rifle, Scatter laser, Shuriken pistol
War Walkers 85 Shuriken cannon, War Walker feet
Rangers 60 Close combat weapon, Long rifle, Shuriken pistol
Warlock Conclave 55 Destructor, Shuriken pistol, Singing Spear
Warlock Conclave 55 Destructor, Shuriken pistol, Singing Spear
Warlock Conclave 55 Destructor, Shuriken pistol, Singing Spear
Warlock Skyrunners 55 Destructor, Shuriken pistol, Singing Spear, Twin shuriken catapult
Warlock Skyrunners 55 Destructor, Shuriken pistol, Singing Spear, Twin shuriken catapult
Warlock Skyrunners 55 Destructor, Shuriken pistol, Singing Spear, Twin shuriken catapult
Path of the Outcast + Seer Council 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 42 players · 5 rounds · 15 Aug
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Storm Guardians 110 Close combat weapon, Flamer, Fusion gun, Power sword, Shuriken pistol, Serpent shield
Other Units
Fire Dragons 240 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Firepike, Dragon fusion gun
Dark Reapers 210 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Lhykhis 135 Brood Twain, Spider’s Fangs, Weaverender
Eldrad Ulthran 130 Mind War, Shuriken pistol, The Staff of Ulthamar and witchblade
Fuegan 130 Fire Axe, Searsong
Warlock Conclave 120 Destructor, Shuriken pistol, Singing Spear
Jain Zar 105 Blade of Destruction, Silent Death
Warp Spiders 105 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Powerblade array, Death spinner, Death weavers, Spinneret rifle
Warp Spiders 105 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Powerblade array, Death spinner, Death weavers, Spinneret rifle
Maugan Ra 100 Maugetar
Howling Banshees 85 Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Striking Scorpions 75 Aspect Shrine Token, Biting blade, Shuriken pistol, Scorpion chainsword
Warlock + Torc of Morai-Heg 65 Destructor, Shuriken pistol, Singing Spear
Rangers 60 Close combat weapon, Long rifle, Shuriken pistol
Rangers 60 Close combat weapon, Long rifle, Shuriken pistol
Warlock Skyrunners 55 Destructor, Shuriken pistol, Singing Spear, Twin shuriken catapult
Warlock Skyrunners 55 Destructor, Shuriken pistol, Singing Spear, Twin shuriken catapult
Warlock Skyrunners 55 Destructor, Shuriken pistol, Singing Spear, Twin shuriken catapult
August balance & rules update (26 August)
45.6%win rate, rank 24 of 27 564 games 148 lists from 146 players X to X-2 finishes 0.32x entry share going first 1.2 points better
Aeldari won 44.6% of 1,363 games in the 28 days before and 46.4% of 1,705 in the 28
days after. Its share of games went from 2.8% to 2.9%.
3 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Warlock Skyrunners (34%
to 12%), Warlock (24% to 5%) and Dragon Knights (9% to 19%).
Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Reconnaissance
50%
Priority Assets
29%
Take and Hold
11%
Disruption
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Armoured Warhost
34%
Path of the Outcast
24%
Seer Council
20%
Aspect Host
16%
Spirit Conclave
15%
Serpent's Brood
11%
Windrider Host
11%
Warhost
9%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Rangers
67%
Avatar of Khaine
60%
Warp Spiders
56%
War Walkers
47%
Eldrad Ulthran
46%
Howling Banshees
43%
Lhykhis
43%
Fire Dragons
42%
Corsair Voidreavers
41%
Farseer Skyrunner
40%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Space Marines
Orks
Adeptus Custodes
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Warlock Skyrunners
34%
12%
-22
-7.8
Unit
Warlock
24%
5%
-19
-7.9
Unit
Dragon Knights
9%
19%
+10
+4.1
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Aspect Host 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 3-0 · 28 players · 3 rounds · 30 Aug
Show list
Characters
Avatar of Khaine 250 The Wailing Doom
Battleline
Corsair Voidreavers 65 Close combat weapon, Mistshield, Neuro disruptor, Power sword, Shredder, Shuriken pistol, Shuriken rifle
Dedicated Transports
Wave Serpent 115 Shuriken cannon, Twin bright lance, Wraithbone hull
Other Units
Fire Dragons 240 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Firepike, Dragon fusion gun
Fuegan 130 Fire Axe, Searsong
Jain Zar 105 Blade of Destruction, Silent Death
Warp Spiders 105 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Death weavers, Spinneret rifle, Death spinner
Dark Reapers 95 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Dark Reapers 95 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Swooping Hawks 95 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Exarch’s lasblaster, Lasblaster
Howling Banshees 85 Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Howling Banshees 85 Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Howling Banshees 85 Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Windriders 80 Close combat weapon, Shuriken cannon
Windriders 80 Close combat weapon, Shuriken cannon
Windriders 80 Close combat weapon, Shuriken cannon
Autarch 75 Dragon fusion gun, Star glaive
Autarch 75 Dragon fusion gun, Star glaive
Rangers 60 Close combat weapon, Long rifle, Shuriken pistol
Path of the Outcast + Spirit Conclave 1,985 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 2-1 · 19 players · 3 rounds · 31 Aug
Show list
Characters
Avatar of Khaine 250 The Wailing Doom
Spiritseer + Rune of Mists 65 Shuriken pistol, Witch staff
Spiritseer + Rune of Mists 55 Shuriken pistol, Witch staff
Spiritseer + Rune of Mists 55 Shuriken pistol, Witch staff
Other Units
Wraithknight 385 Scattershield, Starcannon, Suncannon, Titanic feet
Wraithguard 145 Close combat weapon, D-scythe
Wraithguard 145 Close combat weapon, D-scythe
Wraithguard 145 Close combat weapon, D-scythe
Wraithblades 140 Forceshield, Ghostaxe, Ghostswords
Wraithblades 140 Forceshield, Ghostaxe, Ghostswords
Wraithlord 125 Bright lance, Ghostglaive, Shuriken catapult, Wraithbone fists
Wraithlord 125 Bright lance, Ghostglaive, Shuriken catapult, Wraithbone fists
Shroud Runners 90 Close combat weapon, Long rifle, Scatter laser, Shuriken pistol
Rangers 60 Close combat weapon, Long rifle, Shuriken pistol
Rangers 60 Close combat weapon, Long rifle, Shuriken pistol
Orks codex (5 September)
46.9%win rate, rank 20 of 28 1,817 games 494 lists from 439 players X to X-2 finishes 0.87x entry share going first 3.5 points better
Aeldari won 45.5% of 1,542 games in the 28 days before and 46.9% of 1,817 in the 28
days after. Its share of games went from 2.8% to 2.8%.
2 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Warlock Skyrunners (26%
to 9%) and Warlock (19% to 3%).
Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
5%
0-20
16%
20-40
40%
40-60
24%
60-80
15%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Reconnaissance
37%
Priority Assets
35%
Take and Hold
14%
Disruption
8%
Purge the Foe
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Armoured Warhost
34%
Path of the Outcast
22%
Aspect Host
21%
Seer Council
17%
Spirit Conclave
16%
Windrider Host
10%
Serpent's Brood
9%
Eldritch Raiders
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Rangers
62%
Avatar of Khaine
62%
Warp Spiders
51%
Eldrad Ulthran
50%
Howling Banshees
47%
Fire Dragons
46%
Farseer Skyrunner
44%
Lhykhis
41%
Jain Zar
39%
Corsair Voidreavers
37%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Imperial Knights
Blood Angels
Drukhari
Astra Militarum
Adepta Sororitas
World Eaters
Emperor's Children
Adeptus Custodes
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Warlock Skyrunners
26%
9%
-18
-7.2
Unit
Warlock
19%
3%
-16
-8.1
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Aspect Host 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
4th place · record 5-1 · 116 players · 6 rounds · 12 Sep
Show list
Characters
Avatar of Khaine 250 The Wailing Doom
Eldrad Ulthran 120 Mind War, Shuriken pistol, The Staff of Ulthamar and witchblade
Dedicated Transports
Wave Serpent 115 Shuriken cannon, Twin bright lance, Wraithbone hull
Other Units
Dragon Knights 180 Drakesteed Fangs and Talons, Laser Lance, Solar Carbine
Howling Banshees 165 Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Dire Avengers 140 Aspect Shrine Token, Avenger shuriken catapult, Close combat weapon
Dire Avengers 140 Aspect Shrine Token, Avenger shuriken catapult, Close combat weapon
Asurmen 135 Bloody Twins, Sword of Asur
Wraithlord 125 Bright lance, Flamer, Ghostglaive, Wraithbone fists
Wraithlord 125 Bright lance, Flamer, Ghostglaive, Wraithbone fists
Wraithlord 125 Bright lance, Flamer, Ghostglaive, Wraithbone fists
Jain Zar 105 Blade of Destruction, Silent Death
Dark Reapers 95 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Dark Reapers 95 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Howling Banshees 85 Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Armoured Warhost + Eldritch Raiders 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
3rd place · record 5-1 · 85 players · 6 rounds · 18 Sep
Show list
Characters
Avatar of Khaine 250 The Wailing Doom
Kharseth 85 Dread of the Deep Void, Waystave
Dedicated Transports
Wave Serpent 115 Shuriken cannon, Twin bright lance, Wraithbone hull
Other Units
Corsair Voidscarred + Alacritous Assault 160 Close combat weapon, Mistshield, Power sword, Shuriken pistol, Blaster, Faolchú, Fusion pistol, Paired Hekatarii blades ...
Lhykhis 135 Brood Twain, Spider’s Fangs, Weaverender
Fuegan 130 Fire Axe, Searsong
Falcon 130 Bright lance, Pulse laser, Shuriken cannon, Wraithbone hull
Fire Dragons 120 Close combat weapon, Dragon axe, Dragon fusion pistol, Dragon fusion gun
Fire Dragons 120 Close combat weapon, Dragon axe, Dragon fusion pistol, Dragon fusion gun
Warp Spiders 105 Close combat weapon, Powerblade array, Death spinner, Death weavers, Spinneret rifle
Warp Spiders 105 Close combat weapon, Powerblade array, Death spinner, Death weavers, Spinneret rifle
Prince Yriel 95 Eye of Wrath, Shuriken pistol, Spear of Twilight
War Walkers 80 Bright lance, Scatter laser, War Walker feet
War Walkers 80 Bright lance, Scatter laser, War Walker feet
Autarch 75 Dragon fusion gun, Star glaive
Striking Scorpions 75 Scorpion chainsword, Scorpion’s claw, Shuriken pistol
Corsair Voidscarred + Alacritous Assault 70 Close combat weapon, Mistshield, Power sword, Shuriken pistol, Blaster, Faolchú, Fusion pistol, Paired Hekatarii blades ...
Dire Avengers 70 Avenger shuriken catapult, Close combat weapon
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)
46.1%win rate, rank 22 of 27 643 games 181 lists from 175 players X to X-2 finishes 0.87x entry share going first 3.0 points better
Aeldari won 46.9% of 1,817 games in the 28 days before and 46.6% of 1,357 in the 23
days after. Its share of games went from 2.8% to 2.7%.
One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Autarch (11% to 23%).
Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
9%
0-20
21%
20-40
24%
40-60
32%
60-80
15%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Reconnaissance
35%
Priority Assets
31%
Take and Hold
17%
Disruption
8%
Purge the Foe
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Armoured Warhost
32%
Aspect Host
30%
Spirit Conclave
18%
Path of the Outcast
15%
Seer Council
13%
Serpent's Brood
10%
Fateful Performance
8%
Twilight Flickers
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Avatar of Khaine
70%
Howling Banshees
55%
Fire Dragons
54%
Rangers
52%
Warp Spiders
47%
Jain Zar
43%
Eldrad Ulthran
41%
Farseer Skyrunner
40%
Fuegan
38%
Lhykhis
35%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Space Marines
Necrons
World Eaters
Orks
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Autarch
11%
23%
+12
+4.9
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Aspect Host 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
4th place · record 4-1 · 97 players · 5 rounds · 16 Oct
Show list
Battleline
Corsair Voidreavers 65 Close combat weapon, Mistshield, Neuro disruptor, Power sword, Blaster, Shuriken pistol
Corsair Voidreavers 65 Close combat weapon, Mistshield, Neuro disruptor, Power sword, Blaster, Shuriken pistol
Dedicated Transports
Wave Serpent 115 Shuriken cannon, Twin bright lance, Wraithbone hull
Other Units
Swooping Hawks 190 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Hawk’s talon, Lasblaster
Asurmen 135 Bloody Twins, Sword of Asur
Lhykhis 135 Brood Twain, Spider’s Fangs, Weaverender
Fuegan 130 Fire Axe, Searsong
Fire Dragons 110 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Firepike, Dragon fusion gun
Jain Zar 105 Blade of Destruction, Silent Death
Warp Spiders 105 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Powerblade array, Death spinner
Shining Spears 100 Shimmershield, Shuriken cannon, Star lance, Laser lance, Twin shuriken catapult
Shining Spears 100 Shimmershield, Shuriken cannon, Star lance, Laser lance, Twin shuriken catapult
Prince Yriel 95 Eye of Wrath, Shuriken pistol, Spear of Twilight
Swooping Hawks 95 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Hawk’s talon, Lasblaster
Howling Banshees 85 Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Howling Banshees 85 Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Howling Banshees 85 Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Dire Avengers 70 Aspect Shrine Token, Avenger shuriken catapult, Close combat weapon
Dire Avengers 70 Aspect Shrine Token, Avenger shuriken catapult, Close combat weapon
Rangers 60 Close combat weapon, Long rifle, Shuriken pistol
Aspect Host 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
2nd place · record 4-1 · 21 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
Show list
Characters
Avatar of Khaine 250 The Wailing Doom
Battleline
Storm Guardians 100 Close combat weapon, Flamer, Fusion gun, Power sword, Shuriken pistol, Serpent shield
Corsair Voidreavers 65 Close combat weapon, Mistshield, Neuro disruptor, Power sword, Blaster, Shuriken pistol
Other Units
Swooping Hawks 190 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Hawk’s talon, Lasblaster
Swooping Hawks 190 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Hawk’s talon, Lasblaster
Lhykhis 135 Brood Twain, Spider’s Fangs, Weaverender
Baharroth 125 Fury of the Tempest, Shining Blade
Warp Spiders 105 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Powerblade array, Death spinner, Death weavers, Spinneret rifle
Jain Zar 105 Blade of Destruction, Silent Death
Warp Spiders 105 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Powerblade array, Death spinner, Death weavers, Spinneret rifle
Shining Spears 100 Shimmershield, Shuriken cannon, Star lance, Laser lance, Twin shuriken catapult
Shining Spears 100 Shimmershield, Shuriken cannon, Star lance, Laser lance, Twin shuriken catapult
Dark Reapers 95 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Dark Reapers 95 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Howling Banshees 85 Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
War Walkers 80 Bright lance, Scatter laser, War Walker feet
Striking Scorpions 75 Aspect Shrine Token, Biting blade, Shuriken pistol, Scorpion chainsword
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)
47.1%win rate, rank 19 of 27 714 games 219 lists from 212 players X to X-2 finishes 1.14x entry share going first 4.5 points worse
Aeldari won 46.4% of 1,647 games in the 28 days before and 47.1% of 714 in the 9 days
after. Its share of games went from 2.8% to 2.7%.
One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Autarch (12% to 27%).
Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
6%
0-20
17%
20-40
23%
40-60
40%
60-80
15%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
39%
Reconnaissance
36%
Take and Hold
13%
Disruption
7%
Purge the Foe
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Armoured Warhost
35%
Aspect Host
32%
Seer Council
16%
Spirit Conclave
14%
Path of the Outcast
12%
Serpent's Brood
8%
Twilight Flickers
8%
Eldritch Raiders
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Avatar of Khaine
73%
Howling Banshees
58%
Fire Dragons
58%
Jain Zar
52%
Rangers
52%
Warp Spiders
46%
Eldrad Ulthran
45%
Fuegan
45%
Corsair Voidreavers
41%
War Walkers
39%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Tyranids
Space Marines
Necrons
Death Guard
Adeptus Custodes
Orks
World Eaters
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Autarch
12%
27%
+15
+5.0
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Aspect Host 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 47 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Avatar of Khaine 250 The Wailing Doom
Farseer Skyrunner 60 Eldritch Storm, Shuriken pistol, Singing spear, Twin shuriken catapult
Other Units
Asurmen 135 Bloody Twins, Sword of Asur
Falcon 130 Bright lance, Pulse laser, Shuriken cannon, Wraithbone hull
Fire Dragons 110 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Exarch’s Dragon fusion gun, Dragon fusion gun
Jain Zar 105 Blade of Destruction, Silent Death
Shining Spears 100 Shimmershield, Shuriken cannon, Star lance, Laser lance, Twin shuriken catapult
Shining Spears 100 Shimmershield, Shuriken cannon, Star lance, Laser lance, Twin shuriken catapult
Dark Reapers 95 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Dark Reapers 95 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Dark Reapers 95 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Swooping Hawks 95 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Hawk’s talon, Lasblaster
Swooping Hawks 95 Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Hawk’s talon, Lasblaster
Howling Banshees 85 Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Howling Banshees 85 Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Howling Banshees 85 Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
War Walkers 80 Bright lance, Scatter laser, War Walker feet
Dire Avengers 70 Aspect Shrine Token, Avenger shuriken catapult, Close combat weapon
Autarch 70 Dragon fusion gun, Star glaive
Rangers 60 Close combat weapon, Long rifle, Shuriken pistol
Fateful Performance + Seer Council 1,985 pts
Disruption
4th place · record 4-1 · 26 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
Show list
Battleline
11× Storm Guardians 100 Storm Guardian: 6 with Close Combat Weapon, Shuriken Pistol, Storm Guardian with Flamer: 2 with Close Combat Weapon ...
Dedicated Transports
Starweaver 70
Other Units
10× Fire Dragons 240 Fire Dragon Exarch: Close combat weapon, Firepike, Fire Dragon: 9 with Close combat weapon, Dragon Fusion Gun
10× Howling Banshees 165 Howling Banshee Exarch: Executioner, Shuriken Pistol, Howling Banshee: 9 with Banshee Blade, Shuriken Pistol
Fuegan 130
Eldrad Ulthran 120
4× Warlock Conclave 110
Jain Zar 105
Solitaire 105
Troupe Master + A Foot in the Future 90
5× Troupe 85 Lead Player: Power sword, Fusion Pistol, Player with Harlequin's Special Weapon: Harlequin's Special Weapon ...
5× Troupe 85 Lead Player: Power sword, Fusion Pistol, Player with Harlequin's Special Weapon: Harlequin's Special Weapon ...
Farseer Skyrunner + Torc of Morai-Heg 80
3× Windriders 80
3× Windriders 80
5× Corsair Skyreavers 75 with Corsair Blade, Shuriken Pistol, with Close combat weapon, Corsair blaster, with Close combat weapon, Fusion gun ...
5× Corsair Skyreavers 75 with Corsair Blade, Shuriken Pistol, with Close combat weapon, Corsair blaster, with Close combat weapon, Fusion gun ...
Shadowseer + Mistweave 70
Farseer 60
Farseer Skyrunner + Torc of Morai-Heg 60
Black Templars
Black Templars Whole edition Units Combinations Pick-rate shifts Matchups Over time Results brackets Detachments Enhancements Force Disposition Lists Team events Milestones 22 Jul 26 Aug 5 Sep 3 Oct 17 Oct
Whole edition
45.3%win rate, rank 26 of 28 3,737 games 1,103 lists from 732 players top-10% finishes 0.90x entry share going first 4.6 points better 44.1% adjusted for player skill
Redemptor Dreadnought is in 11% of lists, and lists with it have a win
rate 7.0 points below comparable lists. Black Templars won 45.3% of 3,737 games, 4.7 points
below an even win rate (rank 26 of 28). Assault Brethren went from 0% to 40% of the faction's
lists between the first period and the last 28 days. The pairing Godhammer Assault Force
+ Marshal's Household has a win rate 14.4 points below the faction average (20 lists).
Units
A typical list contains 12 distinct units. 10 units appear in at least half of all lists
and 29 in at least 10%. The most common is Emperor’s Champion (70% of lists). One datasheet
never appeared: Falchion.
Of 55 units in 40 or more lists, 2 have a clear effect on results (1 positive, 1 negative).
Best: Assault Intercessor Squad (3.8 points above comparable lists, 54% of lists). Weakest:
Redemptor Dreadnought (7.0 points below comparable lists, 11% of lists).
Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-10
-5
0
+5
+10
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Redemptor Dreadnought
Assault Intercessor Squa
Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-10
-5
0
+5
+10
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Most played units
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Emperor’s Champion
770
69.8%
+2.2 ± 0.9
+2.4
Sword Brethren Squad
739
67.0%
-0.1 ± 0.9
-0.1
Crusader Squad
689
62.5%
+0.8 ± 0.9
+0.8
Repulsor Executioner
682
61.8%
+0.3 ± 1.0
+0.3
Scout Squad
666
60.4%
+1.9 ± 1.0
+2.0
High Marshal Helbrecht
649
58.8%
+1.0 ± 1.0
+1.0
Castellan
644
58.4%
+1.0 ± 1.0
+1.0
Marshal
621
56.3%
+0.5 ± 1.0
+0.5
Assault Intercessor Squad
595
53.9%
+3.8 ± 1.1
+3.6
Intercessor Squad
568
51.5%
+1.3 ± 1.1
+1.2
Chaplain Grimaldus
423
38.3%
+3.1 ± 1.2
+2.6
Bladeguard Veteran Squad
396
35.9%
+2.9 ± 1.2
+2.5
Other units with a clear effect
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Redemptor Dreadnought
123
11.2%
-7.0 ± 2.3
-3.0
Combinations
11 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common
is Vindication Task Force + Wrathful Procession (54 lists, 5%). Weakest: Godhammer Assault
Force + Marshal's Household (14.4 points below the faction average).
Combination
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Vindication Task Force + Wrathful Procession
54
5%
+4.5 ± 3.6
+1.3
Companions of Vehemence + Wrathful Procession
47
4%
-0.1 ± 4.6
-0.0
Companions of Vehemence + Marshal's Household
47
4%
-6.4 ± 3.7
-1.7
Marshal's Household + Stormlance Task Force
38
3%
-3.4 ± 3.8
-0.9
Godhammer Assault Force + The Living Miracle
29
3%
+0.1 ± 4.8
+0.0
Stormlance Task Force + The Living Miracle
21
2%
-2.1 ± 4.9
-0.4
Companions of Vehemence + The Living Miracle
21
2%
-10.3 ± 6.1
-1.7
Ironstorm Spearhead + Marshal's Household
21
2%
-5.0 ± 5.7
-0.9
Godhammer Assault Force + Marshal's Household
20
2%
-14.4 ± 4.8
-3.0
Pick-rate shifts
Type
Name
First period
Prior 28 days
Last 28 days
Change vs first period (pp)
Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Enhancement
Furious Assault
0%
0%
47%
+47
+47
Detachment
Assault Brethren
0%
0%
40%
+40
+40
Unit
Marshal
69%
67%
30%
-39
-36
Enhancement
Imperium's Sword
0%
0%
35%
+35
+35
Unit
Intercessor Squad
57%
61%
32%
-24
-29
Unit
Bladeguard Veteran Squad
29%
29%
56%
+27
+27
Unit
High Marshal Helbrecht
51%
54%
78%
+27
+24
Unit
Chaplain Grimaldus
27%
37%
53%
+26
+15
Detachment
The Living Miracle
26%
10%
1%
-25
-9
Unit
Assault Intercessor Squad
61%
64%
40%
-21
-24
Detachment
Bastion Task Force
18%
26%
2%
-16
-24
Enhancement
Guiding Omens
25%
9%
1%
-24
-9
Matchups
Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is World Eaters (47.9% over
168 games) and the worst is Imperial Knights (38.2% over 152).
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Imperial Agents
22
59.1%
38.7% to 76.7%
51.6%
+7.5
Astra Militarum
125
54.8%
46.1% to 63.3%
54.8%
-0.0
Adeptus Mechanicus
88
53.4%
43.1% to 63.5%
44.7%
+8.7
Chaos Knights
93
52.7%
42.6% to 62.5%
48.4%
+4.3
Space Wolves
96
51.6%
41.7% to 61.3%
46.2%
+5.3
Adeptus Custodes
217
42.6%
36.2% to 49.3%
41.2%
+1.5
unfavourable
Chaos Daemons
148
42.6%
34.9% to 50.6%
40.6%
+1.9
Chaos Space Marines
184
41.8%
35.0% to 49.1%
48.1%
-6.2
unfavourable
Space Marines
317
41.3%
36.0% to 46.8%
46.6%
-5.3
unfavourable
Emperor's Children
154
38.3%
31.0% to 46.2%
43.9%
-5.6
unfavourable
Imperial Knights
152
38.2%
30.8% to 46.1%
46.7%
-8.5
unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 16 more rows
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Aeldari
126
50.8%
42.2% to 59.4%
49.7%
+1.1
Grey Knights
103
50.5%
41.0% to 59.9%
48.2%
+2.3
Blood Angels
126
48.8%
40.2% to 57.4%
49.3%
-0.5
Genestealer Cult
50
48.0%
34.8% to 61.5%
47.7%
+0.3
World Eaters
168
47.9%
40.5% to 55.4%
45.4%
+2.6
Orks
251
46.4%
40.3% to 52.6%
40.1%
+6.3
Dark Angels
143
46.2%
38.2% to 54.3%
41.9%
+4.2
Adepta Sororitas
87
46.0%
35.9% to 56.4%
45.0%
+1.0
Thousand Sons
116
45.7%
36.9% to 54.7%
44.9%
+0.8
Tyranids
221
45.5%
39.0% to 52.1%
45.4%
+0.1
Death Guard
145
44.1%
36.3% to 52.3%
47.1%
-2.9
Necrons
229
44.1%
37.8% to 50.6%
43.8%
+0.3
Drukhari
67
44.0%
32.8% to 55.9%
48.3%
-4.3
Deathwatch
32
43.8%
28.2% to 60.7%
41.6%
+2.2
T'au Empire
174
43.7%
36.5% to 51.1%
43.5%
+0.1
Leagues of Votann
103
43.2%
34.1% to 52.8%
43.5%
-0.3
Over time
Share of games per week (%)
1.25
1.5
1.75
1.9
1.8
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval
40
60
44.8
57.6
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Period
Lists
Share of all lists
Games
Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul
241
1.5%
819
47.3%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug
265
1.4%
906
44.0%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct
335
1.5%
1,150
45.2%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct
262
1.7%
862
45.1%
Around each milestone, 28 days before and after
Milestone
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul)
673 / 683
45.2% to 44.0%
-1.2
-0.4
1.5% to 1.3%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug)
735 / 836
45.1% to 46.1%
+1.0
+0.4
1.5% to 1.4%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep)
838 / 877
45.0% to 44.5%
-0.5
-0.2
1.5% to 1.3%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct)
877 / 862
44.5% to 45.1%
+0.5
+0.2
1.3% to 1.7%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data
807 / 530
43.8% to 45.7%
+1.9
+0.7
1.4% to 2.0%
Results brackets
91 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 9 won X,
21 won X-1 and 61 won X-2, from 264 entries.
Share of players by share of games won
5%
0-20
24%
20-40
33%
40-60
27%
60-80
11%
80-100
line = all factions
Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2
1.3%
X
1.0%
X-1
1.4%
X-2
dashed = share of entries, 1.5%
Bracket tables
Tier
Lists
Share of tier
Share of entries
Ratio
z
X
9
1.3%
1.5%
0.86x
-0.5
X-1
21
1.0%
1.5%
0.64x
-2.1
X-2
61
1.4%
1.5%
0.93x
-0.6
X to X-2
91
1.3%
1.5%
0.83x
-1.7
Share of games won
Players
Share of players
All players
0 to 20%
12
5.2%
4.1%
20 to 40%
56
24.3%
17.2%
40 to 60%
76
33.0%
32.2%
60 to 80%
61
26.5%
30.1%
80 to 100%
25
10.9%
16.4%
Detachments
19 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 10 of them account for 80% of picks. The
most played is Marshal's Household (20% of lists), and 49% of lists run more than
one detachment.
Detachment
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
P1
P2
P3
P4
Marshal's Household
217
20%
-3.8 ± 1.6
-2.3
15%
21%
19%
24%
Bastion Task Force
184
17%
+1.2 ± 1.8
+0.7
18%
21%
24%
1%
Wrathful Procession
147
13%
+3.1 ± 2.2
+1.4
17%
18%
16%
2%
The Living Miracle
132
12%
-3.2 ± 2.3
-1.4
26%
12%
11%
1%
Companions of Vehemence
130
12%
-2.4 ± 2.3
-1.1
13%
18%
13%
2%
Assault Brethren
112
10%
+3.7 ± 2.4
+1.5
0%
0%
0%
43%
Ironstorm Spearhead
104
9%
+4.0 ± 2.5
+1.6
10%
3%
4%
23%
Stormlance Task Force
99
9%
+2.0 ± 2.5
+0.8
10%
10%
11%
4%
Vindication Task Force
97
9%
+2.8 ± 2.3
+1.2
10%
11%
12%
2%
Godhammer Assault Force
75
7%
-2.2 ± 2.8
-0.8
10%
11%
7%
0%
Gladius Task Force
69
6%
+5.7 ± 3.3
+1.8
8%
6%
10%
1%
Ceramite Sentinels
55
5%
+6.5 ± 3.4
+1.9
5%
6%
7%
0%
Tacticus Attack Force
47
4%
+6.4 ± 3.7
+1.8
0%
0%
0%
18%
Armoured Speartip
36
3%
+4.0 ± 4.7
+0.9
3%
5%
4%
0%
Enhancements
24 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Furious Assault (12%
of lists).
Enhancement table
Enhancement
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Furious Assault
128
12%
+1.7 ± 2.2
+0.8
Blades of Valour
125
11%
+1.8 ± 2.2
+0.8
Guiding Omens
124
11%
-0.0 ± 2.3
-0.0
Hero of the Chapter
99
9%
-0.9 ± 2.2
-0.4
Imperium's Sword
96
9%
+1.5 ± 2.6
+0.6
Consecrating Aura
94
9%
+1.1 ± 2.5
+0.4
Fervent Exemplars
88
8%
+0.8 ± 2.2
+0.4
Incendiary Animus
80
7%
-2.0 ± 2.7
-0.7
Force Disposition
Force Disposition table
Disposition
Share of games
Games
Win rate
Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Take and Hold
50%
1,652
47.4%
+2.1 ± 1.2
Purge the Foe
25%
837
40.8%
-4.6 ± 1.8
Priority Assets
20%
653
44.6%
-0.9 ± 1.9
Disruption
4%
121
38.4%
n/a
Reconnaissance
1%
35
41.4%
n/a
Each extra 2.6 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 3.2 points
lower; the average list has 12.2. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength
model, milestone moves, detachment effects, enhancement effects, Force Disposition, results
brackets and terrain layout.
Representative lists
Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists
are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events
with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties,
and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.
Vindication Task Force + Wrathful Procession 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 6-2 · 198 players · 8 rounds · 28 Aug
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon 95 Paired combat blades
Battleline
Crusader Squad 290 Master-crafted power weapon, Pyre pistol, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolt pistol, Power fist
Crusader Squad 290 Master-crafted power weapon, Pyre pistol, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolt pistol, Power fist
Crusader Squad 290 Master-crafted power weapon, Pyre pistol, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolt pistol, Power fist
Assault Intercessor Squad 150 Plasma pistol, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol
Intercessor Squad 80 Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Other Units
Land Raider Redeemer 260 Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon
High Marshal Helbrecht 110 Ferocity, Sword of the High Marshals
Chaplain Grimaldus 100 Artificer crozius, Plasma pistol, Close combat weapon
Emperor’s Champion 90 Black Sword, Bolt Pistol
Scout Squad 65 Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Astartes shotgun, Missile launcher, Scout sniper rifle
Execrator 50 Absolvor bolt pistol, Crozius arcanum, Master-crafted power weapon
Crusade Ancient + Orb of the Emperor's Aegis 50 Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon
Crusade Ancient + Orb of the Emperor's Aegis 40 Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon
Crusade Ancient + Orb of the Emperor's Aegis 40 Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon
Bastion Task Force 2,000 pts
Won the event · record 5-0 · 66 players · 5 rounds · 20 Jun
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
High Marshal Helbrecht 120 Ferocity, Sword of the High Marshals
Chaplain Grimaldus 110 Artificer crozius, Plasma pistol, Close combat weapon
Emperor’s Champion 100 Black Sword, Bolt Pistol
Captain + Bombast Omnivox 95 Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted bolter, Power fist
Marshal + Blades of Valour 95 Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma pistol
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon 85 Paired combat blades
Battleline
Assault Intercessor Squad 150 Hand flamer, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol
Crusader Squad 150 Master-crafted power weapon, Pyre pistol, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolt pistol, Power fist
Intercessor Squad 80 Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Assault Intercessor Squad 75 Hand flamer, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol
Assault Intercessor Squad 75 Hand flamer, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol
Assault Intercessor Squad 75 Hand flamer, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol
Other Units
Repulsor Executioner 235 Armoured hull, Heavy laser destroyer, Heavy onslaught gatling cannon, Icarus rocket pod, Multi-melta ...
Repulsor Executioner 235 Armoured hull, Heavy laser destroyer, Heavy onslaught gatling cannon, Icarus rocket pod, Multi-melta ...
Repulsor 180 Armoured hull, Hunter-slayer missile, Las-talon, Multi-melta, Repulsor defensive array, Twin lascannon
Scout Squad 70 Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife
Scout Squad 70 Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife
Team events
43.0%win rate in team events 363 games 98 lists from 93 players -2.6 points against individual events going first 11.3 points better
Black Templars won 43.0% of 363 team event games, against 45.6% of 3,374 in individual
events: 2.6 points lower (not clear). It makes up 0.8% of team event games and 1.7% of
individual event games.
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
47%
Purge the Foe
28%
Priority Assets
15%
Disruption
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments
share
win rate
Marshal's Household
18%
Companions of Vehemence
17%
Wrathful Procession
15%
Stormlance Task Force
13%
Assault Brethren
10%
Godhammer Assault Force
10%
The Living Miracle
10%
Bastion Task Force
9%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Milestones
5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after,
with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.
July balance & rules update (22 July)
44.0%win rate, rank 27 of 28 683 games 200 lists from 179 players X to X-2 finishes 0.72x entry share going first 4.8 points better
Black Templars won 45.2% of 673 games in the 28 days before and 44.0% of 683 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 1.5% to 1.3%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
11%
0-20
27%
20-40
34%
40-60
23%
60-80
5%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
52%
Purge the Foe
24%
Priority Assets
17%
Disruption
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Bastion Task Force
22%
Marshal's Household
19%
Wrathful Procession
18%
Companions of Vehemence
16%
The Living Miracle
14%
Godhammer Assault Force
12%
Stormlance Task Force
11%
Vindication Task Force
11%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Emperor’s Champion
74%
Crusader Squad
70%
Repulsor Executioner
68%
Sword Brethren Squad
68%
Scout Squad
60%
Marshal
60%
Castellan
60%
Intercessor Squad
57%
Assault Intercessor
Squad
56%
High Marshal Helbrecht
51%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Tyranids
Necrons
Space Marines
Adeptus Custodes
Chaos Space Marines
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Armoured Speartip 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
2nd place · record 5-0 · 38 players · 5 rounds · 15 Aug
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon 95 Paired combat blades
Techmarine 55 Forge bolter, Grav-pistol, Omnissian power axe, Servo-arm
Techmarine 55 Forge bolter, Grav-pistol, Omnissian power axe, Servo-arm
Other Units
Land Raider Redeemer 270 Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Twin assault cannon
Land Raider Redeemer 250 Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Twin assault cannon
Land Raider Redeemer 250 Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Twin assault cannon
Bladeguard Veteran Squad 170 Heavy bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon
Bladeguard Veteran Squad 160 Heavy bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon
Bladeguard Veteran Squad 160 Heavy bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon
Sword Brethren Squad 130 Sword Brother, Heavy bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma pistol, Pyre pistol
Sword Brethren Squad 130 Sword Brother, Heavy bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma pistol, Pyre pistol
Castellan 70 Combi-weapon, Master-crafted power weapon
Castellan 70 Combi-weapon, Master-crafted power weapon
Lieutenant 45 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Master-crafted bolter
Lieutenant 45 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Master-crafted bolter
Lieutenant 45 Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Master-crafted bolter
Bastion Task Force 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
10th place · record 5-1 · 123 players · 6 rounds · 15 Aug
Show list
Battleline
Crusader Squad 150 Master-crafted Power Weapon, Pyre Pistol, Bolt Pistol, Astartes Chainsword, Close Combat Weapon ...
Crusader Squad 150 Master-crafted Power Weapon, Pyre Pistol, Bolt Pistol, Astartes Chainsword, Close Combat Weapon ...
Crusader Squad 150 Master-crafted Power Weapon, Pyre Pistol, Bolt Pistol, Astartes Chainsword, Close Combat Weapon ...
Intercessor Squad 80 Bolt Pistol, Bolt Rifle and Astartes Grenade Launcher, Power Fist, Bolt Rifle, Close Combat Weapon
Assault Intercessor Squad 75 Plasma Pistol, Power Fist, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Astartes Chainsword
Assault Intercessor Squad 75 Plasma Pistol, Power Fist, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Astartes Chainsword
Assault Intercessor Squad 75 Plasma Pistol, Power Fist, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Astartes Chainsword
Other Units
Repulsor Executioner 265 Armoured hull, Heavy laser destroyer, Heavy onslaught gatling cannon, Icarus rocket pod, Multi-melta ...
Repulsor Executioner 265 Armoured hull, Heavy laser destroyer, Heavy onslaught gatling cannon, Icarus rocket pod, Multi-melta ...
High Marshal Helbrecht 110 Ferocity, Sword of the high marshals
Vanguard Veteran Squad With Jump Packs 105 Plasma Pistol and Master-crafted Power Weapon, Heavy Bolt Pistol and Master-crafted Power Weapon
Vanguard Veteran Squad With Jump Packs 105 Plasma Pistol and Master-crafted Power Weapon, Heavy Bolt Pistol and Master-crafted Power Weapon
Chaplain Grimaldus 100 Plasma Pistol, Artificer Crozius, Close Combat Weapon
Marshal + Blades Of Valour 95 Combi-weapon, Master-crafted power weapon
Emperor’s Champion 90 Black sword, Bolt pistol
Scout Squad 65 Bolt Pistol, Close Combat Weapon, Astartes Chainsword, Combat Knife
Lieutenant 45 Neo-volkite pistol, master-crafted power weapon and storm shield
August balance & rules update (26 August)
47.3%win rate, rank 22 of 27 273 games 76 lists from 73 players going first 8.9 points better
Black Templars won 45.1% of 735 games in the 28 days before and 46.1% of 836 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 1.5% to 1.4%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
52%
Priority Assets
20%
Purge the Foe
16%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Wrathful Procession
18%
Marshal's Household
17%
Bastion Task Force
17%
The Living Miracle
16%
Vindication Task Force
14%
Gladius Task Force
14%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Emperor’s Champion
71%
Sword Brethren Squad
68%
Marshal
66%
Scout Squad
64%
Crusader Squad
63%
Repulsor Executioner
63%
High Marshal Helbrecht
59%
Castellan
54%
Intercessor Squad
54%
Assault Intercessor
Squad
51%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Vindication Task Force + Wrathful Procession 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 6-2 · 198 players · 8 rounds · 28 Aug
Show list
Characters
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon 95 Paired combat blades
Battleline
Crusader Squad 290 Master-crafted power weapon, Pyre pistol, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolt pistol, Power fist
Crusader Squad 290 Master-crafted power weapon, Pyre pistol, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolt pistol, Power fist
Crusader Squad 290 Master-crafted power weapon, Pyre pistol, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolt pistol, Power fist
Assault Intercessor Squad 150 Plasma pistol, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol
Intercessor Squad 80 Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Other Units
Land Raider Redeemer 260 Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon
High Marshal Helbrecht 110 Ferocity, Sword of the High Marshals
Chaplain Grimaldus 100 Artificer crozius, Plasma pistol, Close combat weapon
Emperor’s Champion 90 Black Sword, Bolt Pistol
Scout Squad 65 Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Astartes shotgun, Missile launcher, Scout sniper rifle
Execrator 50 Absolvor bolt pistol, Crozius arcanum, Master-crafted power weapon
Crusade Ancient + Orb of the Emperor's Aegis 50 Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon
Crusade Ancient + Orb of the Emperor's Aegis 40 Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon
Crusade Ancient + Orb of the Emperor's Aegis 40 Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon
Ironstorm Spearhead + Wrathful Procession 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 4-1 · 39 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
Show list
Characters
Emperor’s Champion + The Flesh Is Weak 110 Black Sword, Bolt Pistol
Techmarine + Adept of the Omnissiah 90 Forge bolter, Grav-pistol, Omnissian power axe, Servo-arm
Techmarine + Adept of the Omnissiah 55 Forge bolter, Grav-pistol, Omnissian power axe, Servo-arm
Battleline
Assault Intercessor Squad 150 Plasma pistol, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol
Crusader Squad 150 Master-crafted power weapon, Pyre pistol, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolt pistol, Power fist
Crusader Squad 150 Master-crafted power weapon, Pyre pistol, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolt pistol, Power fist
Intercessor Squad 80 Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Astartes grenade launcher, Close combat weapon
Other Units
Repulsor Executioner 265 Armoured hull, Heavy laser destroyer, Heavy onslaught gatling cannon, Icarus rocket pod, Multi-melta ...
Repulsor Executioner 265 Armoured hull, Heavy laser destroyer, Heavy onslaught gatling cannon, Icarus rocket pod, Multi-melta ...
Gladiator Lancer 160 Armoured hull, Icarus rocket pod, Lancer laser destroyer, Multi-melta, Storm bolter
Ballistus Dreadnought 150 Armoured feet, Ballistus lascannon, Ballistus missile launcher, Twin storm bolter
Chaplain Grimaldus 100 Artificer crozius, Plasma pistol, Close combat weapon
Execrator + Adaptable Executioner 70 Absolvor bolt pistol, Crozius arcanum, Master-crafted power weapon
Scout Squad 65 Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Missile launcher
Execrator + Adaptable Executioner 50 Absolvor bolt pistol, Crozius arcanum, Master-crafted power weapon
Lieutenant 45 Bolt Pistol, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Master-crafted bolter, Master-crafted power weapon
Lieutenant 45 Bolt Pistol, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Master-crafted bolter, Master-crafted power weapon
Orks codex (5 September)
44.5%win rate, rank 25 of 28 877 games 259 lists from 232 players X to X-2 finishes 0.70x entry share going first 2.2 points better
Black Templars won 45.0% of 838 games in the 28 days before and 44.5% of 877 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 1.5% to 1.3%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
2%
0-20
24%
20-40
39%
40-60
22%
60-80
12%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
58%
Priority Assets
23%
Purge the Foe
16%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Bastion Task Force
27%
Marshal's Household
19%
Wrathful Procession
15%
Companions of Vehemence
14%
Stormlance Task Force
11%
Vindication Task Force
11%
The Living Miracle
10%
Ceramite Sentinels
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Emperor’s Champion
75%
Sword Brethren Squad
71%
Crusader Squad
71%
Marshal
66%
Scout Squad
64%
Repulsor Executioner
64%
Assault Intercessor
Squad
63%
Intercessor Squad
63%
Castellan
57%
High Marshal Helbrecht
56%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Chaos Daemons
Orks
Tyranids
T'au Empire
Necrons
Space Marines
Adeptus Custodes
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Bastion Task Force 1,995 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 3-0 · 50 players · 3 rounds · 13 Sep
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Crusader Squad 290 Master-crafted power weapon, Pyre pistol, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolt pistol, Power fist
Crusader Squad 290 Master-crafted power weapon, Pyre pistol, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolt pistol, Power fist
Intercessor Squad 80 Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Intercessor Squad 80 Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Assault Intercessor Squad 75 Heavy bolt pistol, Power fist, Astartes chainsword
Assault Intercessor Squad 75 Heavy bolt pistol, Power fist, Astartes chainsword
Other Units
Repulsor Executioner 265 Armoured hull, Heavy laser destroyer, Heavy onslaught gatling cannon, Icarus rocket pod, Multi-melta ...
Repulsor Executioner 265 Armoured hull, Heavy laser destroyer, Heavy onslaught gatling cannon, Icarus rocket pod, Multi-melta ...
High Marshal Helbrecht 110 Ferocity, Sword of the High Marshals
Chaplain Grimaldus 100 Artificer crozius, Plasma pistol, Close combat weapon
Marshal + Blades of Valour 95 Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma pistol
Emperor’s Champion 90 Black Sword, Bolt Pistol
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 85
Crusade Ancient + Bombast Omnivox 55 Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon
Crusade Ancient + Bombast Omnivox 40 Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon
Marshal's Household 1,995 pts
Take and Hold
2nd place · record 4-1 · 24 players · 5 rounds · 2 Oct
Show list
Battleline
Assault Intercessor Squad + Furious Assault 100 Chainsword, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Plasma Pistol, Power Fist
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor 90 Armoured Hull, Multi-melta, Orbital Comms Array, Storm Bolters
Impulsor 90 Armoured Hull, Multi-melta, Orbital Comms Array, Storm Bolters
Other Units
Terminator Squad 410 Cyclone Missile Launcher, Power Fist, Storm Bolter
Repulsor Executioner 275 Armoured Hull, Defensive Array, Heavy Laser Destroyer, Heavy Onslaught Gatling Cannon, Multi-melta, Twin Heavy Bolter
High Marshal Helbrecht 125 Ferocity, Sword of the High Marshals
Sword Brethren Squad + Furious Assault 125 Sword Brother, Hand Flamer, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Plasma Pistol, Thunder Hammer
Chaplain Grimaldus 120 Close combat weapon, Artificer crozius, Plasma Pistol
Sword Brethren Squad + Furious Assault 115 Sword Brother, Hand Flamer, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Plasma Pistol, Thunder Hammer
Captain + Imperium's Sword 110 Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Bolter, Master-crafted Power Weapon
Ancient In Terminator Armour 100
Incursor Squad 95 Bolt Pistol, Occulus Bolt Carbine, Paired Combat Blades
Eradicator Squad 90
Castellan 75 Combi-weapon, Master-crafted Power Weapon
Castellan 75 Combi-weapon, Master-crafted Power Weapon
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)
44.1%win rate, rank 24 of 27 332 games 103 lists from 100 players going first 12.0 points better
Black Templars won 44.5% of 877 games in the 28 days before and 45.1% of 862 in the
23 days after. Its share of games went from 1.3% to 1.7%.
8 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Assault Brethren (0%
to 43%), Bastion Task Force (27% to 1%) and Ironstorm Spearhead (4% to 23%).
17 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Marshal (66% to 29%), Intercessor
Squad (63% to 31%) and Bladeguard Veteran Squad (29% to 57%).
7 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Furious Assault (1%
to 48%), Imperium's Sword (1% to 36%) and Blades of Valour (17% to 1%).
Charts for this window
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
49%
Purge the Foe
28%
Priority Assets
18%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Marshal's Household
25%
Assault Brethren and
Vow-sworn Crusaders
20%
Ironstorm Spearhead
17%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
High Marshal Helbrecht
75%
Emperor’s Champion
63%
Sword Brethren Squad
60%
Bladeguard Veteran Squad
59%
Castellan
54%
Scout Squad
54%
Chaplain Grimaldus
52%
Crusader Squad
52%
Repulsor Executioner
50%
Assault Intercessor
Squad
47%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Enhancement
Furious Assault
1%
48%
+48
+12.6
Detachment
Assault Brethren
0%
43%
+43
+11.9
Unit
Marshal
66%
29%
-37
-8.5
Enhancement
Imperium's Sword
1%
36%
+35
+10.3
Unit
Intercessor Squad
63%
31%
-32
-7.3
Unit
Bladeguard Veteran Squad
29%
57%
+28
+6.4
Detachment
Bastion Task Force
27%
1%
-25
-8.4
Unit
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles
0%
25%
+25
+8.6
All 32 shifts: 24 more rows
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Lieutenant
42%
18%
-25
-6.1
Unit
Crusader Squad
71%
47%
-24
-5.6
Unit
Assault Intercessor Squad
63%
39%
-24
-5.5
Unit
High Marshal Helbrecht
56%
78%
+23
+5.5
Unit
Execrator
31%
11%
-19
-5.4
Unit
Impulsor
20%
40%
+19
+4.8
Detachment
Ironstorm Spearhead
4%
23%
+19
+6.4
Detachment
Tacticus Attack Force
0%
18%
+18
+7.1
Enhancement
Blades of Valour
17%
1%
-15
-6.2
Unit
Apothecary
6%
21%
+15
+5.0
Unit
Crusade Ancient
27%
13%
-14
-4.0
Unit
Bladeguard Ancient
4%
18%
+14
+5.0
Enhancement
Hero of the Chapter
14%
0%
-13
-5.9
Unit
Rhino
0%
13%
+13
+5.8
Unit
Inceptor Squad
3%
16%
+13
+5.0
Detachment
Wrathful Procession
15%
2%
-12
-5.1
Enhancement
Redoubtable Machine Spirit
0%
13%
+12
+5.6
Enhancement
Consecrating Aura
6%
18%
+12
+4.2
Detachment
Companions of Vehemence
14%
2%
-12
-4.9
Unit
Infiltrator Squad
15%
5%
-11
-4.1
Unit
Reiver Squad
3%
13%
+10
+4.4
Detachment
Vindication Task Force
11%
2%
-10
-4.5
Detachment
The Living Miracle
10%
1%
-9
-4.6
Enhancement
Guiding Omens
9%
1%
-9
-4.5
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Ironstorm Spearhead 2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 21 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
Show list
Battleline
Assault Intercessor Squad 170 Chainsword, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Plasma Pistol, Thunder Hammer
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor 80 Armoured Hull, Multi-melta, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Impulsor 80 Armoured Hull, Multi-melta, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Rhino 70 Armoured Tracks, Hunter-killer Missile, Storm Bolter
Other Units
Repulsor Executioner 275 Armoured Hull, Defensive Array, Heavy Laser Destroyer, Heavy Onslaught Gatling Cannon, Multi-melta, Twin Heavy Bolter
Repulsor Executioner 275 Armoured Hull, Defensive Array, Heavy Laser Destroyer, Heavy Onslaught Gatling Cannon, Multi-melta, Twin Heavy Bolter
Bladeguard Veteran Squad 180 Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Sword
Outrider Squad 160 Chainsword, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Twin Bolt Rifle
High Marshal Helbrecht 125 Ferocity, Sword of the High Marshals
Chaplain Grimaldus 120 Close combat weapon, Artificer crozius, Plasma Pistol
Sword Brethren Squad 115 Sword Brother, Hand Flamer, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Thunder Hammer, Twin Lightning Claws
Emperor’s Champion 100
Chaplain On Bike 95
Incursor Squad 90 Bolt Pistol, Occulus Bolt Carbine, Paired Combat Blades
Scout Squad 65 Bolt Pistol, Boltgun, Combat Knife, Heavy Bolter, Sniper Rifle
Gladius Task Force 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
3rd place · record 4-1 · 48 players · 5 rounds · 3 Oct
Show list
Characters
Emperor’s Champion 90
Battleline
Crusader Squad 290 Master-crafted Power Weapon, Pyre Pistol, Astartes Chainsword, Bolt pistol, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Power fist
Crusader Squad 290 Master-crafted Power Weapon, Pyre Pistol, Astartes Chainsword, Bolt pistol, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Power fist
Crusader Squad 290 Master-crafted Power Weapon, Pyre Pistol, Astartes Chainsword, Bolt pistol, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Power fist
Crusader Squad 150 Master-crafted Power Weapon, Pyre Pistol, Astartes Chainsword, Bolt pistol, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Power fist
Intercessor Squad 80 Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt pistol, Bolt Rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Other Units
High Marshal Helbrecht 110 Ferocity, Sword of the High Marshals
Chaplain Grimaldus 100 Close Combat Weapon, Artificer Crozius, Plasma Pistol
Eradicator Squad 90
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 85
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 85
Marshal 80 Combi-weapon, Master-crafted Power Weapon
Scout Squad 65 Astartes Chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat Knife, Heavy Bolter, Scout Sniper Rifle
Invader Atv 60
Lieutenant 45 Master-crafted power weapon, Neo-volkite Pistol, Storm Shield
Lieutenant 45 Master-crafted power weapon, Neo-volkite Pistol, Storm Shield
Lieutenant 45 Master-crafted power weapon, Neo-volkite Pistol, Storm Shield
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)
45.7%win rate, rank 22 of 27 530 games 159 lists from 154 players X to X-2 finishes 0.93x entry share going first 8.7 points better
Black Templars won 43.8% of 807 games in the 28 days before and 45.7% of 530 in the
9 days after. Its share of games went from 1.4% to 2.0%.
6 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Assault Brethren (1%
to 69%), Tacticus Attack Force (0% to 29%) and Ironstorm Spearhead (10% to 27%).
7 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Eradicator Squad with Melta
Rifles (4% to 35%), Marshal (50% to 25%) and Intercessor Squad (51% to 27%).
3 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Furious Assault (21%
to 50%), Imperium's Sword (14% to 40%) and Blades of Valour (12% to 0%).
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
7%
0-20
18%
20-40
31%
40-60
33%
60-80
11%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Take and Hold
46%
Purge the Foe
35%
Priority Assets
18%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Assault Brethren
69%
Tacticus Attack Force
29%
Ironstorm Spearhead
27%
Marshal's Household
24%
Ironclad Champions
15%
Terminator Storm Force
15%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
High Marshal Helbrecht
81%
Scout Squad
57%
Bladeguard Veteran Squad
56%
Emperor’s Champion
56%
Chaplain Grimaldus
52%
Sword Brethren Squad
52%
Castellan
50%
Repulsor Executioner
45%
Impulsor
43%
Crusader Squad
43%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Assault Brethren
1%
69%
+67
+14.7
Unit
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles
4%
35%
+30
+8.1
Enhancement
Furious Assault
21%
50%
+29
+6.1
Detachment
Tacticus Attack Force
0%
29%
+29
+8.7
Enhancement
Imperium's Sword
14%
40%
+26
+6.0
Unit
Marshal
50%
25%
-25
-5.0
Unit
Intercessor Squad
51%
27%
-24
-4.7
Unit
Assault Intercessor Squad
55%
35%
-21
-4.1
All 16 shifts: 8 more rows
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Lieutenant
33%
14%
-19
-4.2
Unit
Apothecary
9%
26%
+18
+4.8
Detachment
Ironstorm Spearhead
10%
27%
+17
+4.5
Detachment
Bastion Task Force
17%
0%
-17
-5.4
Unit
Rhino
4%
16%
+12
+4.0
Enhancement
Blades of Valour
12%
0%
-12
-4.4
Detachment
Wrathful Procession
11%
0%
-11
-4.3
Detachment
Companions of Vehemence
10%
0%
-10
-4.2
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Devastator Brethren + Ironclad Champions + Ironstorm Spearhead 1,995 pts
Priority Assets
3rd place · record 4-1 · 74 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
Show list
Characters
Captain In Gravis Armour 90
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon 85 Combi-weapon, Paired Combat Blades
Techmarine 55 Forge Bolter, Grav-pistol, Omnissian Power Axe and Servo-arm
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor 80 Armoured Hull, Multi-melta, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Impulsor 80 Armoured Hull, Multi-melta, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Other Units
Repulsor Executioner 275 Armoured Hull, Defensive Array, Heavy Laser Destroyer, Heavy Onslaught Gatling Cannon, Multi-melta, Twin Heavy Bolter
Brutalis Dreadnought 160 Bolt Rifles, Brutalis Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Brutalis Dreadnought 160 Bolt Rifles, Brutalis Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Gladiator Valiant 155 Armoured Hull, Defensive Array, Multi-melta, Twin Las-talon
Gladiator Valiant 155 Armoured Hull, Defensive Array, Multi-melta, Twin Las-talon
Inceptor Squad 130 Assault Bolters, Ceramite Fists
Company Heroes 125 Master-crafted Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Combat Knife, Master-crafted Bolt Rifle, Master-crafted Heavy Bolter
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 100
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 100
Incursor Squad 90 Bolt Pistol, Occulus Bolt Carbine, Paired Combat Blades
Incursor Squad 90 Bolt Pistol, Occulus Bolt Carbine, Paired Combat Blades
Scout Squad 65 Bolt Pistol, Boltgun, Combat Knife, Heavy Bolter, Sniper Rifle
Assault Brethren + Marshal's Household + Tacticus Attack Force 1,995 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 18 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
Show list
Characters
Company Heroes 125 Master-crafted Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Combat Knife, Master-crafted Bolt Rifle, Master-crafted Heavy Bolter
Execrator 65 Absolvor Bolt Pistol, Crozius Arcanum, Master-crafted Power Weapon
Execrator 65 Absolvor Bolt Pistol, Crozius Arcanum, Master-crafted Power Weapon
Battleline
Assault Intercessor Squad 170 Chainsword, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Plasma Pistol, Power Fist
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor 80 Armoured Hull, Multi-melta, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Impulsor 80 Armoured Hull, Multi-melta, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Rhino 70 Armoured Tracks, Hunter-killer Missile, Storm Bolter
Rhino 70 Armoured Tracks, Hunter-killer Missile, Storm Bolter
Other Units
Sword Brethren Squad 140 Sword Brother, Hand Flamer, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Plasma Pistol, Thunder Hammer, Twin Lightning Claws
High Marshal Helbrecht 125 Ferocity, Sword of the High Marshals
Chaplain Grimaldus 120 Close combat weapon, Artificer crozius, Plasma Pistol
Sword Brethren Squad 115 Sword Brother, Hand Flamer, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Plasma Pistol, Thunder Hammer, Twin Lightning Claws
Emperor’s Champion 100
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 100
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 100
Incursor Squad 90 Bolt Pistol, Occulus Bolt Carbine, Paired Combat Blades
Incursor Squad 90 Bolt Pistol, Occulus Bolt Carbine, Paired Combat Blades
Castellan + Furious Assault 85 Combi-weapon, Master-crafted Power Weapon
Castellan + Furious Assault 75 Combi-weapon, Master-crafted Power Weapon
Apothecary + Imperium's Sword 65 Absolvor Bolt Pistol, Reductor Pistol, Servo-armature
Scout Squad 65 Bolt Pistol, Boltgun, Chainsword, Combat Knife, Heavy Bolter, Sniper Rifle
Imperial Agents
Imperial Agents Whole edition Pick-rate shifts Matchups Over time Results brackets Units Detachments Combinations Enhancements Force Disposition Lists Team events Milestones 22 Jul 26 Aug 5 Sep 3 Oct 17 Oct
Whole edition
43.7%win rate, rank 27 of 28 868 games 241 lists from 147 players top-10% finishes 0.96x entry share going first 2.0 points better 41.1% adjusted for player skill
Imperial Agents won 43.7% of 868 games, 6.3 points below an even win rate
(rank 27 of 28). Veiled Blade Elimination Force went from 5% to 100% of the faction's lists
between the first period and the last 28 days. Without its three most active players the
win rate would be 41.6%, so a few players carry part of the result. With 868 games the
intervals are wide throughout.
Pick-rate shifts
Type
Name
First period
Prior 28 days
Last 28 days
Change vs first period (pp)
Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Detachment
Veiled Blade Elimination Force
5%
94%
100%
+95
+6
Matchups
Among pairings with 60 or more games, the best matchup is Space Marines (50.7% over
68 games) and the worst is Orks (34.8% over 66).
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Space Wolves
21
71.4%
50.0% to 86.2%
44.6%
+26.8
favourable
T'au Empire
35
55.7%
39.5% to 70.8%
41.9%
+13.8
Adepta Sororitas
17
52.9%
31.0% to 73.8%
43.4%
+9.6
Tyranids
56
51.8%
39.0% to 64.3%
43.8%
+8.0
Space Marines
68
50.7%
39.1% to 62.3%
45.0%
+5.7
Adeptus Custodes
50
36.0%
24.1% to 49.9%
39.6%
-3.6
unfavourable
Grey Knights
20
35.0%
18.1% to 56.7%
46.5%
-11.5
Orks
66
34.8%
24.5% to 46.9%
38.5%
-3.7
unfavourable
World Eaters
39
33.3%
20.6% to 49.0%
43.7%
-10.4
unfavourable
Thousand Sons
23
28.3%
14.1% to 48.7%
43.3%
-15.0
unfavourable
Chaos Knights
22
22.7%
10.1% to 43.4%
46.8%
-24.0
unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 16 more rows
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Deathwatch
4
50.0%
15.0% to 85.0%
40.0%
+10.0
Necrons
46
48.9%
35.1% to 62.9%
42.2%
+6.7
Chaos Daemons
30
48.3%
31.7% to 65.4%
39.1%
+9.3
Blood Angels
23
47.8%
29.2% to 67.0%
47.6%
+0.2
Leagues of Votann
21
47.6%
28.3% to 67.6%
41.9%
+5.8
Adeptus Mechanicus
16
46.9%
25.5% to 69.4%
43.1%
+3.8
Astra Militarum
30
46.7%
30.2% to 63.9%
53.2%
-6.5
Chaos Space Marines
34
45.6%
30.2% to 61.9%
46.5%
-0.9
Imperial Knights
41
45.1%
31.0% to 60.1%
45.1%
+0.1
Drukhari
20
45.0%
25.8% to 65.8%
46.7%
-1.7
Death Guard
45
44.4%
30.9% to 58.8%
45.4%
-1.0
Emperor's Children
44
42.0%
28.7% to 56.7%
42.3%
-0.3
Black Templars
22
40.9%
23.3% to 61.3%
48.4%
-7.5
Genestealer Cult
10
40.0%
16.8% to 68.7%
46.1%
-6.1
Aeldari
27
37.0%
21.5% to 55.8%
48.0%
-11.0
Dark Angels
38
36.8%
23.4% to 52.7%
40.3%
-3.5
Over time
Share of games per week (%)
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.4
0.5
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval
20
40
60
38.3
54.7
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Period
Lists
Share of all lists
Games
Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul
44
0.3%
155
44.2%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug
66
0.4%
238
41.2%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct
89
0.4%
334
46.4%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct
42
0.3%
141
41.1%
Around each milestone, 28 days before and after
Milestone
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul)
112 / 173
40.2% to 44.2%
+4.0
+0.7
0.2% to 0.3%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug)
197 / 230
40.4% to 47.4%
+7.0
+1.4
0.4% to 0.4%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep)
231 / 260
42.4% to 47.1%
+4.7
+1.0
0.4% to 0.4%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct)
260 / 141
47.1% to 41.1%
-6.0
-1.1
0.4% to 0.3%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data
245 / 57
44.9% to 45.6%
+0.7
+0.1
0.4% to 0.2%
Results brackets
23 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 2 won X,
8 won X-1 and 13 won X-2, from 65 entries.
Share of players by share of games won
7%
0-20
18%
20-40
41%
40-60
20%
60-80
15%
80-100
line = all factions
Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2
0.3%
X
0.4%
X-1
0.3%
X-2
dashed = share of entries, 0.4%
Bracket tables
Tier
Lists
Share of tier
Share of entries
Ratio
z
X
2
0.3%
0.4%
0.77x
-0.4
X-1
8
0.4%
0.4%
0.99x
-0.0
X-2
13
0.3%
0.4%
0.80x
-0.8
X to X-2
23
0.3%
0.4%
0.86x
-0.7
Share of games won
Players
Share of players
All players
0 to 20%
4
6.6%
4.1%
20 to 40%
11
18.0%
17.2%
40 to 60%
25
41.0%
32.2%
60 to 80%
12
19.7%
30.1%
80 to 100%
9
14.8%
16.4%
Units
A typical list contains 14 distinct units. 15 units appear in at least half of all lists
and 25 in at least 10%. The most common is Subductor Squad (89% of lists).
Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-5
0
+5
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Most played units
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Subductor Squad
214
88.8%
+1.3 ± 1.7
+0.8
Imperial Navy Breachers
196
81.3%
+1.9 ± 1.8
+1.0
Inquisitor Kroyle
173
71.8%
-0.7 ± 2.0
-0.4
Sisters of Battle Squad
168
69.7%
+1.1 ± 2.0
+0.6
Rogue Trader Entourage
164
68.0%
+0.5 ± 2.0
+0.2
Sisters of Battle Immolator
159
66.0%
+1.7 ± 2.0
+0.8
Deathwatch Kill Team
157
65.1%
-0.1 ± 1.9
-0.0
Callidus Assassin
156
64.7%
+0.4 ± 2.1
+0.2
Navigator
154
63.9%
+1.5 ± 1.9
+0.8
Inquisitor
152
63.1%
+1.8 ± 2.0
+0.9
Inquisitor Draxus
152
63.1%
+0.5 ± 1.9
+0.3
Inquisitorial Agents
140
58.1%
+0.4 ± 2.3
+0.2
Detachments
3 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 2 of them account for 80% of picks. The most
played is Veiled Blade Elimination Force (79% of lists), and 75% of lists run more than
one detachment.
Detachment
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
P1
P2
P3
P4
Veiled Blade Elimination Force
191
79%
-1.1 ± 1.8
-0.6
5%
94%
96%
100%
Imperialis Fleet
187
78%
-0.0 ± 1.9
-0.0
68%
82%
76%
83%
Ordo Hereticus, Purgation Force
16
7%
+2.2 ± 3.9
+0.6
14%
6%
6%
2%
Combinations
One combination of two or more detachments appears in 15 or more lists. The most common
is Imperialis Fleet + Veiled Blade Elimination Force (153 lists, 63%).
Combination table
Combination
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Imperialis Fleet + Veiled Blade Elimination Force
153
63%
+0.8 ± 2.3
+0.3
Enhancements
4 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Clandestine Operation
(70% of lists).
Enhancement table
Enhancement
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Clandestine Operation
169
70%
+0.2 ± 1.9
+0.1
Combat Landers
134
56%
+0.8 ± 2.1
+0.4
Fleetmaster
82
34%
+0.6 ± 3.1
+0.2
Digital Weapons
64
27%
+0.1 ± 3.1
+0.0
Force Disposition
Force Disposition table
Disposition
Share of games
Games
Win rate
Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Reconnaissance
63%
502
45.7%
+2.1 ± 2.3
Disruption
25%
200
40.5%
n/a
Purge the Foe
5%
41
37.8%
n/a
Take and Hold
4%
29
34.5%
n/a
Priority Assets
3%
21
42.9%
n/a
The five most active players account for 16.3% of its games. Nothing
clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, milestone moves, unit effects,
detachment effects, combination effects, enhancement effects, Force Disposition, results
brackets, terrain layout and list width.
Representative lists
Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists
are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events
with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties,
and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.
Imperialis Fleet + Veiled Blade Elimination Force 1,985 pts
Reconnaissance
6th place · record 5-1 · 104 players · 6 rounds · 21 Aug
6 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Culexus Assassin 95 Animus speculum, Life-draining touch
Navigator + Clandestine Operation 75 Force-orb cane, Laspistol
Battleline
Aquila Kill Team 200 Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Stalker bolt rifle, Heavy thunder hammer ...
Deathwatch Kill Team 190 Astartes shield, Xenophase blade, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Infernus heavy bolter, Power weapon, Frag cannon
Deathwatch Kill Team 190 Astartes shield, Xenophase blade, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Infernus heavy bolter, Power weapon, Frag cannon
Aquila Kill Team 100 Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Stalker bolt rifle, Heavy thunder hammer ...
Aquila Kill Team 100 Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Stalker bolt rifle, Heavy thunder hammer ...
Imperial Navy Breachers 90 Close combat weapon, Navis shotgun, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun, Navis heavy shotgun
Dedicated Transports
Imperial Rhino 65 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Imperial Rhino 65 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Other Units
Sanctifiers 100 Burning hands, Holy fire, Close combat weapon, Salvationist Medikit, Death Cult blades, Ministorum flamer, Plasma gun ...
Sanctifiers 100 Burning hands, Holy fire, Close combat weapon, Salvationist Medikit, Death Cult blades, Ministorum flamer, Plasma gun ...
Watch Master 95 Vigil spear
Watch Master 95 Vigil spear
Watch Master 95 Vigil spear
Subductor Squad 85 Arbites shotpistol, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Subductor Squad 85 Arbites shotpistol, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Subductor Squad 85 Arbites shotpistol, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Inquisitor Draxus 75 Dirgesinger, Power fist, Psychic Tempest
Imperialis Fleet 2,000 pts
2nd place · record 5-0 · 66 players · 5 rounds · 20 Jun
Show list
Characters
Watch Master + Clandestine Operation 110 Vigil spear
Inquisitor Kroyle 100 Butcher blade, Garralisk’s claws and teeth, Jindarii tox‑cycler, Stubcarbine
Rogue Trader Entourage + Fleetmaster 95 Household pistol, Monomolecular cane-rapier, Dartmask, Death Cult power blade, Close combat weapon, Voltaic pistol ...
Watch Master + Clandestine Operation 95 Vigil spear
Watch Master + Clandestine Operation 95 Vigil spear
Inquisitor Coteaz 75 Bolt pistol, Glovodan Psyber‐eagle, Nemesis daemon hammer, Psychic Blast
Watch Captain Artemis 65 Hellfire Extremis, Master-crafted power weapon
Inquisitor 55 Combi-weapon, Force weapon, Psychic Gifts, Psychic Shock Wave
Inquisitor 55 Combi-weapon, Force weapon, Psychic Gifts, Psychic Shock Wave
Battleline
Deathwatch Kill Team 190 Astartes shield, Xenophase blade, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Frag cannon, Power weapon, Combi-weapon
Deathwatch Kill Team 190 Astartes shield, Xenophase blade, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Frag cannon, Power weapon, Combi-weapon
Deathwatch Kill Team 190 Astartes shield, Xenophase blade, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Frag cannon, Power weapon, Combi-weapon
Deathwatch Kill Team 100 Astartes shield, Xenophase blade, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Frag cannon, Power weapon, Combi-weapon
Imperial Navy Breachers 90 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Autopistol, Chainfist, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun ...
Dedicated Transports
Inquisitorial Chimera 70 Armoured tracks, Heavy flamer, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lasgun array
Inquisitorial Chimera 70 Armoured tracks, Heavy flamer, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lasgun array
Other Units
Subductor Squad 85 Arbites shotpistol, Nuncio-acquila, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Subductor Squad 85 Arbites shotpistol, Nuncio-acquila, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Subductor Squad 85 Arbites shotpistol, Nuncio-acquila, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Inquisitorial Agents 50 Tome‐skull, Agent firearm, Agent melee weapon, Eviscerator, Mystic stave, Plasma pistol, Multi-melta
Inquisitorial Agents 50 Tome‐skull, Agent firearm, Agent melee weapon, Eviscerator, Mystic stave, Plasma pistol, Multi-melta
Team events
98 games in team events, too few for a breakdown.
Milestones
5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after,
with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.
July balance & rules update (22 July)
44.2%win rate, rank 25 of 28 173 games 48 lists from 43 players going first 11.2 points worse
Imperial Agents won 40.2% of 112 games in the 28 days before and 44.2% of 173 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 0.2% to 0.3%.
One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Veiled Blade Elimination
Force (3% to 92%).
Nothing clear turned up in units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Reconnaissance
75%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Veiled Blade Elimination
Force
92%
Imperialis Fleet
81%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Subductor Squad
88%
Imperial Navy Breachers
79%
Deathwatch Kill Team
67%
Inquisitor Draxus
65%
Navigator
65%
Rogue Trader Entourage
65%
Inquisitor
62%
Inquisitor Kroyle
62%
Watch Master
60%
Imperial Rhino
54%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Detachment
Veiled Blade Elimination Force
3%
92%
+89
+7.8
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Imperialis Fleet + Veiled Blade Elimination Force 1,995 pts
Reconnaissance
5th place · record 5-1 · 135 players · 6 rounds · 25 Jul
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Culexus Assassin 95 Animus speculum, Life-draining touch
Navigator + Combat Landers 70 Force-orb cane, Laspistol
Battleline
Aquila Kill Team 200 Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Stalker bolt rifle, Astartes shield ...
Deathwatch Kill Team 190 Combi-weapon, Xenophase blade, Black Shield blades, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Frag cannon ...
Deathwatch Kill Team 190 Combi-weapon, Xenophase blade, Black Shield blades, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Frag cannon ...
Aquila Kill Team 100 Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Stalker bolt rifle, Astartes shield ...
Aquila Kill Team 100 Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Stalker bolt rifle, Astartes shield ...
Imperial Navy Breachers 90 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Autopistol, Chainfist, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun ...
Dedicated Transports
Imperial Rhino 65 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Imperial Rhino 65 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Other Units
Watch Master + Clandestine Operation 110 Vigil spear
Sanctifiers 100 Burning hands, Holy fire, Close combat weapon, Salvationist Medikit, Death Cult blades, Ministorum flamer, Plasma gun ...
Sanctifiers 100 Burning hands, Holy fire, Close combat weapon, Salvationist Medikit, Death Cult blades, Ministorum flamer, Plasma gun ...
Watch Master + Clandestine Operation 95 Vigil spear
Watch Master + Clandestine Operation 95 Vigil spear
Subductor Squad 85 Arbites shotpistol, Nuncio-acquila, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Subductor Squad 85 Arbites shotpistol, Nuncio-acquila, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Subductor Squad 85 Arbites shotpistol, Nuncio-acquila, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Inquisitor Draxus 75 Dirgesinger, Power fist, Psychic Tempest
Imperialis Fleet + Veiled Blade Elimination Force 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 3-0 · 17 players · 3 rounds · 8 Aug
Show list
Characters
Vindicare Assassin 130 Exitus pistol, Exitus rifle, Vindicare combat knife
Callidus Assassin 115 Neural shredder, Phase sword and poison blades
Inquisitor Kroyle 100 Butcher blade, Garralisk’s claws and teeth, Jindarii tox‑cycler, Stubcarbine
Navigator + Combat Landers 70 Force-orb cane, Laspistol
Battleline
Imperial Navy Breachers 90 Close combat weapon, Navis shotgun, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun, Navis heavy shotgun
Imperial Navy Breachers 90 Close combat weapon, Navis shotgun, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun, Navis heavy shotgun
Imperial Navy Breachers 90 Close combat weapon, Navis shotgun, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun, Navis heavy shotgun
Dedicated Transports
Sisters of Battle Immolator 90 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Sisters of Battle Immolator 90 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Inquisitorial Chimera 60 Armoured tracks, Heavy flamer, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lasgun array
Inquisitorial Chimera 60 Armoured tracks, Heavy flamer, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lasgun array
Other Units
Inquisitorial Agents 100 Agent firearm, Agent melee weapon, Eviscerator, Mystic stave, Plasma pistol, Multi-melta
Inquisitorial Agents 100 Agent firearm, Agent melee weapon, Eviscerator, Mystic stave, Plasma pistol, Multi-melta
Sisters of Battle Squad 100 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Inferno pistol, Power weapon, Boltgun, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Simulacrum Imperialis
Sisters of Battle Squad 100 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Inferno pistol, Power weapon, Boltgun, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Simulacrum Imperialis
Rogue Trader Entourage + Fleetmaster 95 Household pistol, Monomolecular cane-rapier, Dartmask, Death Cult power blade, Close combat weapon, Voltaic pistol ...
Subductor Squad 85 Arbites shotpistol, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Subductor Squad 85 Arbites shotpistol, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Subductor Squad 85 Arbites shotpistol, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Inquisitor Draxus 75 Dirgesinger, Power fist, Psychic Tempest
Inquisitor + Digital Weapons 70 Combi-weapon, Force weapon, Psychic Gifts, Psychic Shock Wave
Inquisitor + Digital Weapons 65 Combi-weapon, Force weapon, Psychic Gifts, Psychic Shock Wave
Inquisitor + Digital Weapons 55 Combi-weapon, Force weapon, Psychic Gifts, Psychic Shock Wave
August balance & rules update (26 August)
Imperial Agents won 40.4% of 197 games in the 28 days before and 47.4% of 230 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 0.4% to 0.4%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Imperialis Fleet + Veiled Blade Elimination Force 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 3-0 · 14 players · 3 rounds · 30 Aug
Show list
Characters
Vindicare Assassin 130 Exitus pistol, Exitus rifle, Vindicare combat knife
Eversor Assassin 115 Executioner pistol, Power sword and neuro gauntlet
Navigator + Combat Landers 70 Force-orb cane, Laspistol
Battleline
Deathwatch Kill Team 190 Combi-weapon, Xenophase blade, Astartes shield, Black Shield blades, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Power weapon
Deathwatch Kill Team 190 Combi-weapon, Xenophase blade, Astartes shield, Black Shield blades, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Power weapon
Imperial Navy Breachers 90 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Autopistol, Chainfist, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun ...
Imperial Navy Breachers 90 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Autopistol, Chainfist, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun ...
Imperial Navy Breachers 90 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Autopistol, Chainfist, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun ...
Vigilant Squad 85 Arbites combat shotgun, Arbites shotpistol, Close combat weapon, Arbites grenade launcher, Heavy stubber, Mechanical bite
Dedicated Transports
Sisters of Battle Immolator 90 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Allied Units
Cerastus Knight Atrapos 405 Atrapos lascutter, Graviton singularity cannon
Other Units
Watch Master + Clandestine Operation 110 Vigil spear
Sisters of Battle Squad 100 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Condemnor boltgun, Power weapon, Boltgun, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Simulacrum Imperialis
Watch Master + Clandestine Operation 95 Vigil spear
Rogue Trader Entourage + Fleetmaster 95 Household pistol, Monomolecular cane-rapier, Dartmask, Death Cult power blade, Close combat weapon, Voltaic pistol ...
Inquisitor 55 Combi-weapon, Force weapon, Psychic Gifts, Psychic Shock Wave
Orks codex (5 September)
47.1%win rate, rank 18 of 28 260 games 70 lists from 53 players going first 0.6 points better
Imperial Agents won 42.4% of 231 games in the 28 days before and 47.1% of 260 in the
28 days after. Its share of games went from 0.4% to 0.4%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Reconnaissance
80%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Veiled Blade Elimination
Force
94%
Imperialis Fleet
79%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Subductor Squad
94%
Imperial Navy Breachers
89%
Sisters of Battle
Immolator
76%
Sisters of Battle Squad
76%
Callidus Assassin
73%
Rogue Trader Entourage
73%
Inquisitor Kroyle
73%
Navigator
69%
Inquisitor Draxus
67%
Inquisitorial Agents
66%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Imperialis Fleet + Veiled Blade Elimination Force 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
4th place · record 4-1 · 60 players · 5 rounds · 5 Sep
10 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Callidus Assassin 115 Neural shredder, Phase sword and poison blades
Eversor Assassin 115 Executioner pistol, Power sword and neuro gauntlet
Inquisitor Kroyle 100 Butcher blade, Garralisk’s claws and teeth, Jindarii tox‑cycler, Stubcarbine
Navigator 60 Force-orb cane, Laspistol
Battleline
Aquila Kill Team 200 Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Stalker bolt rifle, Heavy thunder hammer ...
Deathwatch Kill Team 190 Astartes shield, Xenophase blade, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Frag cannon, Infernus heavy bolter, Power weapon
Imperial Navy Breachers 90 Close combat weapon, Navis shotgun, Autopistol, Chainfist, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun ...
Dedicated Transports
Sisters of Battle Immolator 105 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Twin multi-melta
Sisters of Battle Immolator 105 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Twin multi-melta
Imperial Rhino 65 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Inquisitorial Chimera 60 Armoured tracks, Heavy flamer, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lasgun array
Other Units
Watch Master + Clandestine Operation 110 Vigil spear
Inquisitorial Agents 100 Tome‐skull, Agent firearm, Agent melee weapon, Eviscerator, Mystic stave, Plasma pistol, Multi-melta
Sisters of Battle Squad 100 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Inferno pistol, Power weapon, Boltgun, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Simulacrum Imperialis
Sisters of Battle Squad 100 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Inferno pistol, Power weapon, Boltgun, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Simulacrum Imperialis
Subductor Squad 85 Arbites shotpistol, Nuncio-acquila, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Subductor Squad 85 Arbites shotpistol, Nuncio-acquila, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Subductor Squad 85 Arbites shotpistol, Nuncio-acquila, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Inquisitor Draxus 75 Dirgesinger, Power fist, Psychic Tempest
Inquisitor 55 Bolt pistol, Force weapon, Psychic Gifts, Psychic Shock Wave
Imperialis Fleet + Veiled Blade Elimination Force 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
2nd place · record 4-1 · 33 players · 5 rounds · 26 Sep
Show list
Characters
Callidus Assassin 115 Neural shredder, Phase sword and poison blades
Eversor Assassin 115 Executioner pistol, Power sword and neuro gauntlet
Inquisitor Kroyle 100 Butcher blade, Garralisk’s claws and teeth, Jindarii tox‑cycler, Stubcarbine
Battleline
Imperial Navy Breachers 90 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Autopistol, Chainfist, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun ...
Imperial Navy Breachers 90 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Autopistol, Chainfist, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun ...
Imperial Navy Breachers 90 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Autopistol, Chainfist, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun ...
Dedicated Transports
Imperial Rhino 65 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Other Units
Inquisitorial Agents 100 Tome‐skull, Agent firearm, Agent melee weapon, Eviscerator, Mystic stave, Plasma pistol, Multi-melta
Inquisitorial Agents 100 Tome‐skull, Agent firearm, Agent melee weapon, Eviscerator, Mystic stave, Plasma pistol, Multi-melta
Sanctifiers 100 Burning hands, Holy fire, Close combat weapon, Salvationist Medikit, Death Cult blades, Ministorum flamer, Plasma gun ...
Sanctifiers 100 Burning hands, Holy fire, Close combat weapon, Salvationist Medikit, Death Cult blades, Ministorum flamer, Plasma gun ...
Sanctifiers 100 Burning hands, Holy fire, Close combat weapon, Salvationist Medikit, Death Cult blades, Ministorum flamer, Plasma gun ...
Rogue Trader Entourage + Combat Landers 85 Household pistol, Monomolecular cane-rapier, Dartmask, Death Cult power blade, Close combat weapon, Voltaic pistol ...
Subductor Squad 85 Arbites shotpistol, Nuncio-acquila, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Subductor Squad 85 Arbites shotpistol, Nuncio-acquila, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Subductor Squad 85 Arbites shotpistol, Nuncio-acquila, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Inquisitor Draxus 75 Dirgesinger, Power fist, Psychic Tempest
Rogue Trader Entourage + Combat Landers 75 Household pistol, Monomolecular cane-rapier, Dartmask, Death Cult power blade, Close combat weapon, Voltaic pistol ...
Inquisitor + Clandestine Operation 70 Combi-weapon, Force weapon, Psychic Gifts, Psychic Shock Wave
Inquisitor + Clandestine Operation 55 Combi-weapon, Force weapon, Psychic Gifts, Psychic Shock Wave
Inquisitorial Agents 50 Tome‐skull, Agent firearm, Agent melee weapon, Eviscerator, Mystic stave, Plasma pistol, Multi-melta
Voidsmen-at-arms 50
Ministorum Priest 40 Zealot’s vindictor
Ministorum Priest 40 Zealot’s vindictor
Ministorum Priest 40 Zealot’s vindictor
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)
Imperial Agents won 47.1% of 260 games in the 28 days before and 41.1% of 141 in the
23 days after. Its share of games went from 0.4% to 0.3%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Imperialis Fleet + Veiled Blade Elimination Force 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
2nd place · record 4-1 · 31 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Callidus Assassin + Decoy Targets 115 Neural shredder, Phase sword & poison blades
Eversor Assassin + Intraneural Biotech 115 Executioner pistol, Power sword & neuro gauntlet
Inquisitor Kroyle 100 Butcher blade, Garralisk's claws & teeth, Jindarii tox-cycler, Stubcarbine
Navigator + Combat Landers 70 Force-orb cane, Laspistol
Navigator + Combat Landers 60 Force-orb cane, Laspistol
Battleline
Aquila Kill Team 100 Plasma Pistol, Power Weapon, Bolt Pistol, Close Combat Weapon, Hellstorm Bolt Rifle and Astartes Grenade Launcher ...
Imperial Navy Breachers 90 Close Combat Weapon, Bolt Pistol and Power Weapon, Meltagun, Demolition Charge, Navis Heavy Shotgun, Endurant Shield ...
Imperial Navy Breachers 90 Close Combat Weapon, Bolt Pistol and Power Weapon, Meltagun, Demolition Charge, Navis Heavy Shotgun, Endurant Shield ...
Dedicated Transports
Sisters of Battle Immolator 90 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Twin heavy bolter
Imperial Rhino 65 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Inquisitorial Chimera 60 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lasgun array
Inquisitorial Chimera 60 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lasgun array
Other Units
Inquisitorial Agents 100 Agent Firearm, Agent Melee Weapon, Tome-skull, Agent Firearm and Mystic Stave, Agent Firearm and Eviscerator ...
Inquisitorial Agents 100 Agent Firearm, Agent Melee Weapon, Tome-skull, Agent Firearm and Mystic Stave, Agent Firearm and Eviscerator ...
Sanctifiers 100 Holy Fire, Burning Hands, Close Combat Weapon, Salvationist Medikit, Death Cult Blades, Sanctifier Melee Weapon ...
Sisters of Battle Squad 100 Bolt Pistol, Close Combat Weapon, Inferno Pistol, Power Weapon, Boltgun, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Simulacrum Imperialis and Boltgun
Rogue Trader Entourage + Fleetmaster 95 Household Pistol, Monomolecular Cane-rapier, Dartmask, Death Cult Power Blade, Voltaic Pistol, Close Combat Weapon ...
Subductor Squad 85 Arbites Shotpistol, Shock Maul, Mechanical Bite
Subductor Squad 85 Arbites Shotpistol, Shock Maul, Mechanical Bite
Subductor Squad 85 Arbites Shotpistol, Shock Maul, Mechanical Bite
Inquisitor Draxus 75 Dirgesinger, Power fist, Psychic tempest
Inquisitor + Digital Weapons 65 Combi-weapon, Psychic gift, psychic shock wave and force weapon
Inquisitor + Digital Weapons 55 Combi-weapon, Psychic gift, psychic shock wave and force weapon
Ministorum Priest 40 Zealot’s vindictor
Veiled Blade Elimination Force 2,000 pts
Disruption
3rd place · record 2-1 · 12 players · 3 rounds · 3 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Aquila Kill Team 200
Aquila Kill Team 200
Dedicated Transports
Sisters of Battle Immolator 105
Sisters of Battle Immolator 105
Sisters of Battle Immolator 105
Inquisitorial Chimera 60
Inquisitorial Chimera 60
Other Units
Grey Knights Terminator Squad 175
Armiger Warglaive 140
Armiger Warglaive 140
Inquisitorial Agents 100
Inquisitorial Agents 100
Sisters of Battle Squad 100
Sisters of Battle Squad 100
Sisters of Battle Squad 100
Subductor Squad 85
Inquisitor 70
Inquisitor 55
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)
Too few games for a before and after comparison: 245 before and 57 after.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Imperialis Fleet + Veiled Blade Elimination Force 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
4th place · record 2-0-1 · 26 players · 3 rounds · 24 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Vindicare Assassin 130 Exitus pistol, Exitus rifle, Vindicare combat knife
Callidus Assassin 115 Neural shredder, Phase sword and poison blades
Inquisitor Kroyle 100 Butcher blade, Garralisk’s claws and teeth, Jindarii tox‑cycler, Stubcarbine
Navigator + Clandestine Operation 75 Force-orb cane, Laspistol
Navigator + Clandestine Operation 60 Force-orb cane, Laspistol
Battleline
Imperial Navy Breachers 90 Close combat weapon, Navis shotgun, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun, Navis heavy shotgun
Imperial Navy Breachers 90 Close combat weapon, Navis shotgun, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun, Navis heavy shotgun
Dedicated Transports
Sisters of Battle Immolator 90 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Twin heavy bolter
Imperial Rhino 65 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm Bolter
Imperial Rhino 65 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm Bolter
Inquisitorial Chimera 60 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lasgun array
Inquisitorial Chimera 60 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lasgun array
Other Units
Inquisitorial Agents 100 Agent firearm, Agent melee weapon, Eviscerator, Mystic stave, Plasma pistol, Multi-melta
Inquisitorial Agents 100 Agent firearm, Agent melee weapon, Eviscerator, Mystic stave, Plasma pistol, Multi-melta
Sanctifiers 100 Burning hands, Holy fire, Close combat weapon, Salvationist Medikit, Death Cult blades, Ministorum flamer, Plasma gun ...
Sanctifiers 100 Burning hands, Holy fire, Close combat weapon, Salvationist Medikit, Death Cult blades, Ministorum flamer, Plasma gun ...
Sisters of Battle Squad 100 Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Inferno pistol, Power weapon, Boltgun, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Simulacrum Imperialis
Rogue Trader Entourage + Fleetmaster 95 Household pistol, Monomolecular cane-rapier, Dartmask, Death Cult power blade, Close combat weapon, Voltaic pistol ...
Subductor Squad 85 Arbites shotpistol, Nuncio-acquila, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Subductor Squad 85 Arbites shotpistol, Nuncio-acquila, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Inquisitor Draxus 75 Dirgesinger, Power fist, Psychic Tempest
Inquisitor + Digital Weapons 65 Bolt pistol, Force weapon, Psychic Gifts, Psychic Shock Wave
Inquisitor + Digital Weapons 55 Bolt pistol, Force weapon, Psychic Gifts, Psychic Shock Wave
Ministorum Priest 40 Zealot’s vindictor
Veiled Blade Elimination Force 1,980 pts
Reconnaissance
3rd place · record 1-2 · 5 players · 3 rounds · 25 Oct
Show list
Characters
Vindicare Assassin 130 Exitus pistol, Exitus rifle, Vindicare combat knife
Callidus Assassin 115 Neural shredder, Phase sword and poison blades
Eversor Assassin 115 Executioner pistol, Power sword and neuro gauntlet
Culexus Assassin 95 Animus speculum, Life-draining touch
Rogue Trader Entourage + Fleetmaster 95 Household pistol, Monomolecular cane-rapier, Dartmask, Death Cult power blade, Close combat weapon, Voltaic pistol ...
Navigator + Combat Landers 70 Force-orb cane, Laspistol
Battleline
Imperial Navy Breachers 90 Close combat weapon, Navis shotgun, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun, Navis heavy shotgun, Navis las-volley
Imperial Navy Breachers 90 Close combat weapon, Navis shotgun, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun, Navis heavy shotgun, Navis las-volley
Imperial Navy Breachers 90 Close combat weapon, Navis shotgun, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun, Navis heavy shotgun, Navis las-volley
Imperial Navy Breachers 90 Close combat weapon, Navis shotgun, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun, Navis heavy shotgun, Navis las-volley
Other Units
Grey Knights Terminator Squad 180 Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Narthecium, Psycannon
Grey Knights Terminator Squad 180 Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Narthecium, Psycannon
Grey Knights Terminator Squad 180 Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Narthecium, Psycannon
comando vigías de la muerte 115
comando vigías de la muerte 115
comando vigías de la muerte 115
comando vigías de la muerte 115
Astra Militarum
Astra Militarum Whole edition Results brackets Units Combinations Detachments Pick-rate shifts Matchups Over time Enhancements Force Disposition Lists Team events Milestones 22 Jul 26 Aug 5 Sep 3 Oct 17 Oct
Whole edition
40.3%win rate, rank 28 of 28 8,479 games 2,482 lists from 1,616 players top-10% finishes 0.48x entry share going first 3.8 points better 37.2% adjusted for player skill
Astra Militarum has the lowest win rate of the 28 factions: 40.3% over
8,479 games. 31.1% of its players won at least 60% of their games, against 46.5% of all
players. Bridgehead Strike went from 11% to 25% of the faction's lists between the first
period and the last 28 days. Astra Militarum supplies 2.3% of the lists that won X to X-2
in their events, against 3.2% of entries.
Results brackets
162 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 6 won X,
44 won X-1 and 112 won X-2, from 553 entries.
Share of players by share of games won
9%
0-20
29%
20-40
30%
40-60
22%
60-80
9%
80-100
line = all factions
Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2
0.9%
X
2.1%
X-1
2.6%
X-2
dashed = share of entries, 3.2%
Tier
Lists
Share of tier
Share of entries
Ratio
z
X
6
0.9%
3.2%
0.27x
-3.5
X-1
44
2.1%
3.2%
0.64x
-3.0
X-2
112
2.6%
3.2%
0.81x
-2.2
X to X-2
162
2.3%
3.2%
0.71x
-4.5
Share of games won
Players
Share of players
All players
0 to 20%
43
9.0%
4.1%
20 to 40%
140
29.4%
17.2%
40 to 60%
145
30.5%
32.2%
60 to 80%
107
22.5%
30.1%
80 to 100%
41
8.6%
16.4%
Units
A typical list contains 12 distinct units. 4 units appear in at least half of all lists
and 36 in at least 10%. The most common is Cadian Shock Troops (56% of lists). 3 datasheets
never appeared: Knight Preceptor, Rapier Laser Destroyer Battery, Sergeant Harker. 9 datasheets
appeared in under 1% of lists: Aegis Defence Line, Avenger Strike Fighter, Cyclops Demolition
Vehicle, Deathstrike, Manticore, Valkyrie, Vulture Gunship, Warhound Titan, Wyvern.
Of 66 units in 40 or more lists, 6 have a clear effect on results (2 positive, 4 negative).
Best: Lord Solar Leontus (2.7 points above comparable lists, 39% of lists) and Gaunt’s
Ghosts (2.2 points above comparable lists, 51% of lists). Weakest: Cadian Heavy Weapons
Squad (8.8 points below comparable lists, 4% of lists), Armoured Sentinels (7.8 points
below comparable lists, 6% of lists), Cadian Castellan (4.4 points below comparable lists,
18% of lists) and Chimera (3.6 points below comparable lists, 25% of lists). Doomhammer
is in under 10% of lists but has a win rate above the faction average. Cadian Castellan
and Chimera are in at least 15% of lists but have a win rate below it.
Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-5
0
+5
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Cadian Heavy Weapons Squ
Cadian Castellan
Lord Solar Leontus
Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists
-10
-5
0
+5
+10
1%
3%
10%
30%
100%
Armoured Infantry
Bridgehead Strike
Most played units
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Cadian Shock Troops
1,391
56.0%
-0.9 ± 0.7
-1.4
Tech-Priest Enginseer
1,390
56.0%
+1.0 ± 0.7
+1.5
Scout Sentinels
1,288
51.9%
+1.3 ± 0.7
+1.9
Gaunt’s Ghosts
1,272
51.2%
+2.2 ± 0.7
+3.2
Cadian Command Squad
1,155
46.5%
-0.5 ± 0.7
-0.7
Hellhound
1,089
43.9%
+1.8 ± 0.7
+2.4
Rogal Dorn Commander
1,033
41.6%
-0.9 ± 0.8
-1.2
Lord Solar Leontus
958
38.6%
+2.7 ± 0.8
+3.5
Tempestus Scions
947
38.2%
+0.1 ± 0.8
+0.2
Krieg Combat Engineers
906
36.5%
+1.1 ± 0.8
+1.4
Bullgryn Squad
861
34.7%
+0.5 ± 0.8
+0.6
Commissar
838
33.8%
-1.5 ± 0.9
-1.8
Other units with a clear effect
Unit
Lists
In % of lists
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Chimera
625
25.2%
-3.6 ± 1.0
-3.6
Cadian Castellan
452
18.2%
-4.4 ± 1.2
-3.7
Armoured Sentinels
158
6.4%
-7.8 ± 1.9
-4.0
Cadian Heavy Weapons Squad
96
3.9%
-8.8 ± 2.7
-3.2
Combinations
16 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common
is Abhuman Auxiliaries + Steel Hammer (288 lists, 12%). Best: Abhuman Auxiliaries + Hammer
of the Emperor (11.8 points above the faction average). Weakest: Abhuman Auxiliaries +
Armoured Infantry (13.2 points below the faction average).
Combination
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Abhuman Auxiliaries + Steel Hammer
288
12%
-3.3 ± 1.6
-2.1
Designation Force + Steel Hammer
232
9%
+0.0 ± 1.8
+0.0
Bridgehead Strike + Combined Arms
169
7%
+6.6 ± 2.1
+3.2
Bridgehead Strike + Mechanised Assault
122
5%
+7.1 ± 2.6
+2.8
Combined Arms + Designation Force
117
5%
+0.1 ± 2.6
+0.0
Bridgehead Strike + Steel Hammer
97
4%
+1.7 ± 2.9
+0.6
Abhuman Auxiliaries + Combined Arms
86
3%
-0.4 ± 3.1
-0.1
Designation Force + Hammer of the Emperor
81
3%
+0.0 ± 3.1
+0.0
Abhuman Auxiliaries + Hammer of the Emperor
50
2%
+11.8 ± 3.9
+3.1
Abhuman Auxiliaries + Armoured Infantry
16
1%
-13.2 ± 3.4
-3.8
Detachments
11 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 6 of them account for 80% of picks. The most
played is Steel Hammer (28% of lists), and 63% of lists run more than one detachment. 2
detachments differ from the faction average. Best: Bridgehead Strike (3.3 points above
the faction average, 21% of lists). Weakest: Armoured Infantry (9.4 points below the faction
average, 3% of lists).
Detachment
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
P1
P2
P3
P4
Steel Hammer
706
28%
+0.6 ± 1.0
+0.7
22%
34%
28%
29%
Designation Force
630
25%
-0.5 ± 1.0
-0.5
25%
28%
24%
24%
Bridgehead Strike
520
21%
+3.3 ± 1.1
+3.0
11%
20%
27%
25%
Abhuman Auxiliaries
517
21%
-0.6 ± 1.1
-0.5
12%
27%
22%
22%
Grizzled Company
510
21%
-0.2 ± 1.1
-0.2
31%
17%
16%
19%
Combined Arms
438
18%
+1.0 ± 1.2
+0.8
7%
17%
23%
22%
Hammer of the Emperor
210
8%
+1.7 ± 1.8
+1.0
11%
7%
8%
8%
Mechanised Assault
203
8%
+4.4 ± 1.8
+2.5
7%
7%
10%
7%
Siege Regiment
142
6%
-1.6 ± 2.1
-0.8
5%
7%
5%
6%
Armoured Infantry
74
3%
-9.4 ± 2.9
-3.2
4%
4%
2%
2%
Recon Element
53
2%
-7.5 ± 3.9
-1.9
4%
2%
2%
1%
Pick-rate shifts
Type
Name
First period
Prior 28 days
Last 28 days
Change vs first period (pp)
Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Detachment
Bridgehead Strike
11%
28%
25%
+15
-3
Detachment
Combined Arms
7%
23%
22%
+14
-1
Unit
Leman Russ Exterminator
24%
39%
37%
+13
-2
Detachment
Grizzled Company
31%
16%
19%
-12
+3
Enhancement
Grand Strategist
5%
14%
16%
+11
+2
Detachment
Abhuman Auxiliaries
12%
22%
22%
+10
-1
Unit
Leman Russ Commander
12%
27%
21%
+9
-6
Enhancement
Exemplar of Duty
3%
12%
12%
+9
+0
Unit
Tempestus Aquilons
10%
20%
19%
+9
-1
Matchups
Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Death Guard (49.2% over 393
games) and the worst is Chaos Daemons (33.6% over 302).
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Imperial Agents
30
53.3%
36.1% to 69.8%
46.8%
+6.5
Death Guard
393
49.2%
44.3% to 54.2%
42.3%
+7.0
Thousand Sons
252
47.0%
41.0% to 53.2%
40.2%
+6.9
Grey Knights
240
45.8%
39.6% to 52.2%
43.3%
+2.5
Black Templars
125
45.2%
36.7% to 53.9%
45.2%
+0.0
Space Marines
713
44.3%
40.7% to 48.0%
41.8%
+2.5
unfavourable
Blood Angels
245
43.7%
37.6% to 49.9%
44.4%
-0.8
unfavourable
Aeldari
249
42.6%
36.6% to 48.8%
44.8%
-2.3
unfavourable
Chaos Space Marines
387
41.9%
37.0% to 46.8%
43.3%
-1.4
unfavourable
Chaos Knights
233
41.8%
35.7% to 48.3%
43.6%
-1.7
unfavourable
Adepta Sororitas
177
41.0%
34.0% to 48.3%
40.2%
+0.7
unfavourable
Emperor's Children
381
40.6%
35.7% to 45.6%
39.2%
+1.3
unfavourable
Dark Angels
408
40.3%
35.7% to 45.1%
37.3%
+3.0
unfavourable
Space Wolves
245
40.0%
34.1% to 46.2%
41.4%
-1.4
unfavourable
Orks
569
39.4%
35.4% to 43.4%
35.5%
+3.8
unfavourable
Tyranids
476
39.0%
34.7% to 43.4%
40.6%
-1.7
unfavourable
T'au Empire
407
38.5%
33.9% to 43.3%
38.8%
-0.4
unfavourable
World Eaters
367
38.4%
33.6% to 43.5%
40.6%
-2.2
unfavourable
Imperial Knights
349
37.4%
32.5% to 42.6%
41.9%
-4.5
unfavourable
Leagues of Votann
300
37.0%
31.7% to 42.6%
38.8%
-1.8
unfavourable
Adeptus Custodes
506
36.4%
32.3% to 40.6%
36.6%
-0.2
unfavourable
Adeptus Mechanicus
177
35.6%
28.9% to 42.9%
40.0%
-4.4
unfavourable
Genestealer Cult
125
34.4%
26.6% to 43.1%
42.9%
-8.5
unfavourable
Necrons
577
34.2%
30.5% to 38.2%
39.1%
-4.9
unfavourable
Chaos Daemons
302
33.6%
28.5% to 39.1%
36.0%
-2.4
unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 2 more rows
Opponent
Games
Win rate
95% CI
Model expects
Diff (pp)
Reading
Drukhari
204
44.1%
37.5% to 51.0%
43.5%
+0.6
Deathwatch
42
40.5%
27.0% to 55.5%
37.0%
+3.5
Over time
Share of games per week (%)
3
4
5
2.6
5.2
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval
30
40
50
40.7
43.7
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Period
Lists
Share of all lists
Games
Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul
587
3.7%
2,013
38.2%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug
658
3.6%
2,177
41.5%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct
780
3.4%
2,748
40.3%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct
457
3.0%
1,541
41.4%
Around each milestone, 28 days before and after
Milestone
Games before / after
Win rate
Change (pp)
z
Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul)
1,595 / 1,687
36.6% to 40.9%
+4.3
+2.4
3.5% to 3.3%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug)
1,678 / 1,889
40.7% to 40.3%
-0.4
-0.3
3.4% to 3.2%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep)
1,803 / 2,183
40.9% to 40.1%
-0.8
-0.5
3.3% to 3.4%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct)
2,183 / 1,541
40.1% to 41.4%
+1.3
+0.8
3.4% to 3.1%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data
1,975 / 810
41.0% to 39.9%
-1.0
-0.5
3.3% to 3.0%
Enhancements
25 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Battalion Commander (21%
of lists).
Enhancement table
Enhancement
Lists
Pick
Effect on win rate (pp)
z
Battalion Commander
510
21%
-0.0 ± 1.1
-0.0
Engine Speaker
370
15%
+2.2 ± 1.3
+1.7
Exemplar of Duty
278
11%
-0.8 ± 1.4
-0.6
Grand Strategist
262
11%
+0.0 ± 1.6
+0.0
Titan Killer
248
10%
+3.8 ± 1.6
+2.4
Abhuman Detail
188
8%
+1.3 ± 1.7
+0.8
Long-range Scout
151
6%
-2.3 ± 2.2
-1.1
Bombast-class Vox-array
119
5%
-1.8 ± 2.2
-0.8
Force Disposition
Force Disposition table
Disposition
Share of games
Games
Win rate
Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Priority Assets
32%
2,362
42.8%
+2.6 ± 1.1
Purge the Foe
26%
1,922
39.5%
-0.8 ± 1.1
Take and Hold
22%
1,598
37.3%
-3.2 ± 1.3
Reconnaissance
16%
1,151
43.0%
+2.9 ± 1.6
Disruption
4%
286
39.0%
-1.5 ± 2.7
Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, milestone
moves, enhancement effects, Force Disposition, terrain layout and list width.
Representative lists
Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists
are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events
with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties,
and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.
Bridgehead Strike 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 83 players · 5 rounds · 3 Oct
Show list
Characters
Gaunt’s Ghosts 95 Ibram Gaunt, Gaunt’s chainsword, Colm Corbec, Straight silver knife, Elim Rawne, Hlaine Larkin, ’Try Again’ Bragg ...
Tech-Priest Enginseer 45 Enginseer axe, Mechanicus pistol, Servo-arm
Battleline
Cadian Shock Troops 70 Shock Trooper Sergeant, Chainsword, Shock Trooper, Lasgun, Meltagun, Plasma gun, Vox-caster
Death Korps Of Krieg 70
Other Units
Rogal Dorn Battle Tank 260 Armoured tracks, Coaxial autocannon, Heavy stubber, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Oppressor cannon, Pulveriser cannon
Leman Russ Demolisher 175 Armoured tracks, Demolisher battle cannon, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Multi-melta
Tempestus Scions 150 Tempestor, Power fist, Tempestus Scion, Hot-shot lasgun, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Tempestus Scions 150 Tempestor, Power fist, Tempestus Scion, Hot-shot lasgun, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Lord Solar Leontus 130 Conquest, Konstantin’s hooves, Sol’s Righteous Gaze
Basilisk 115 Armoured tracks, Earthshaker cannon, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile
Kasrkin 105 Kasrkin Sergeant, Power weapon, Kasrkin, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Hot-shot marksman rifle, Melta Mine ...
Militarum Tempestus Command Squad 95 Tempestus Scion, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Hot-shot volley gun, Medi-pack, Meltagun, Plasma gun ...
Tempestus Aquilons 95 Tempestor Aquilon, Hot-shot laspistol, Power weapon, Sentry hot‐shot volley gun, Tempestus Aquilon, Hot-shot lascarbine ...
militarum tempestus command squada 85
Krieg Combat Engineers 65 Krieg Engineer Watchmaster, Power weapon, Krieg Combat Engineer, Close combat weapon, Combat shotgun, Flamer, Remote Mine
Cadian Command Squad + Death Mask of Ollanius 60 Cadian Commander, Power fist, Cadian Veteran Guardsman, Lasgun, Master Vox, Medi-pack, Regimental Standard
Attilan Rough Riders 60 Rough Rider Sergeant, Lasgun, Laspistol, Power sabre, Steed’s hooves, Rough Rider
Death Riders 60 Ridemaster, Frag lance, Power sabre, Savage claws, Death Rider
Ratlings 60 Ratling Sniper, Sniper rifle
Scout Sentinels 55 Close combat weapon, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Sentinel chainsaw
Combined Arms + Designation Force 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
85th place · record 3-0 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Gaunt’s Ghosts 95 Bolt Pistol, Gaunt’s chainsword, Corbec’s hot-shot lascarbine, Straight silver knife, Rawne’s lascarbine ...
Ogryn Bodyguard 40 Brute Shield, Bullgryn maul, Close combat weapon
Battleline
Death Korps Of Krieg 135
Other Units
Bullgryn Squad 200 Bullgryn maul, Close combat weapon, Slabshield, Brute Shield
Leman Russ Battle Tank 175 Armoured tracks, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Leman Russ battle cannon, Multi-melta
Leman Russ Battle Tank 175 Armoured tracks, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Leman Russ battle cannon, Multi-melta
Tempestus Scions 150 Plasma pistol, Power fist, Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Meltagun, Plasma gun, Vox-caster
Tempestus Scions 150 Plasma pistol, Power fist, Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Meltagun, Plasma gun, Vox-caster
Commissar Yarrick 120 Bale Eye, Laspistol, Power klaw, Power sword, Storm bolter
Tempestus Aquilons 95 Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lascarbine, Sentry flamer, Hot‐shot long‐las, Plasma carbine
Militarum Tempestus Command Squad 85 Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Hot-shot volley gun, Medi-pack, Meltagun, Plasma gun ...
Militarum Tempestus Command Squad 85 Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Hot-shot volley gun, Medi-pack, Meltagun, Plasma gun ...
Cadian Recon Squad 80 Close combat weapon, Lasgun, Autostubber, Laspistol, Long-las, Missile launcher, Plasma gun, Vox-caster, Vox‑relay Beacon
Krieg Combat Engineers 65 Hand flamer, Power weapon, Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Combat shotgun, Flamer, Remote Mine
Krieg Combat Engineers 65 Hand flamer, Power weapon, Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Combat shotgun, Flamer, Remote Mine
Krieg Command Squad 60 Laspistol, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Power weapon, Alchemyk Counteragents, Close combat weapon, Servo-scribes, Lasgun ...
Death Riders 60 Death Rider lascarbine, Frag lance, Power sabre, Savage claws
Scout Sentinels 55 Close combat weapon, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Sentinel chainsaw
Scout Sentinels 55 Close combat weapon, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Sentinel chainsaw
Scout Sentinels 55 Close combat weapon, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Sentinel chainsaw
Team events
39.2%win rate in team events 1,536 games 390 lists from 342 players -1.3 points against individual events going first 0.1 points worse
Astra Militarum won 39.2% of 1,536 team event games, against 40.5% of 6,943 in individual
events: 1.3 points lower (not clear). It makes up 3.3% of team event games and 3.4% of
individual event games.
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
31%
Reconnaissance
25%
Purge the Foe
19%
Take and Hold
17%
Disruption
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments
share
win rate
Designation Force
28%
Steel Hammer
24%
Grizzled Company
21%
Bridgehead Strike
19%
Abhuman Auxiliaries
17%
Combined Arms
14%
Mechanised Assault
10%
Hammer of the Emperor
10%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: individual events.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups
win rate against
Death Guard
Grey Knights
Adeptus Mechanicus
Drukhari
Tyranids
Imperial Knights
Genestealer Cult
T'au Empire
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events.
Dashed: team events win rate.
Milestones
5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after,
with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.
July balance & rules update (22 July)
40.9%win rate, rank 28 of 28 1,687 games 501 lists from 459 players X to X-2 finishes 0.77x entry share going first 1.5 points better
Astra Militarum won 36.6% of 1,595 games in the 28 days before and 40.9% of 1,687 in
the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.5% to 3.3%.
2 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Abhuman Auxiliaries
(14% to 26%) and Combined Arms (7% to 18%).
One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Exemplar of Duty
(4% to 17%).
Nothing clear turned up in units.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
8%
0-20
33%
20-40
29%
40-60
23%
60-80
8%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
29%
Purge the Foe
27%
Take and Hold
23%
Reconnaissance
19%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Steel Hammer
32%
Designation Force
28%
Abhuman Auxiliaries
26%
Bridgehead Strike
19%
Grizzled Company
18%
Combined Arms
18%
Hammer of the Emperor
7%
Mechanised Assault
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Cadian Shock Troops
58%
Tech-Priest Enginseer
58%
Scout Sentinels
52%
Gaunt’s Ghosts
51%
Cadian Command Squad
49%
Hellhound
43%
Rogal Dorn Commander
41%
Lord Solar Leontus
40%
Tempestus Scions
39%
Bullgryn Squad
38%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Death Guard
Dark Angels
Chaos Space Marines
Space Marines
Thousand Sons
Grey Knights
Leagues of Votann
Chaos Daemons
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Enhancement
Exemplar of Duty
4%
17%
+13
+6.9
Detachment
Abhuman Auxiliaries
14%
26%
+12
+4.8
Detachment
Combined Arms
7%
18%
+10
+4.8
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Bridgehead Strike + Steel Hammer 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
4th place · record 4-1 · 30 players · 5 rounds · 25 Jul
Show list
Characters
Banesword + Battalion Commander 445 Armoured tracks, Lascannon, Quake cannon, Twin heavy bolter
Stormsword 430 Armoured tracks, Lascannon, Stormsword siege cannon, Twin heavy bolter
Baneblade 415 Armoured tracks, Baneblade cannon, Coaxial autocannon, Demolisher cannon, Heavy stubber, Lascannon, Twin heavy bolter
Lord Solar Leontus 130 Conquest, Konstantin’s hooves, Sol’s Righteous Gaze
Gaunt’s Ghosts 95 Bolt Pistol, Gaunt’s chainsword, Corbec’s hot-shot lascarbine, Straight silver knife, Rawne’s lascarbine ...
Tech-Priest Enginseer + Engine Speaker 60 Enginseer axe, Mechanicus pistol, Servo-arm
Tech-Priest Enginseer + Engine Speaker 45 Enginseer axe, Mechanicus pistol, Servo-arm
Other Units
Hellhound 125 Armoured tracks, Heavy flamer, Hunter-killer missile, Inferno cannon
Hellhound 125 Armoured tracks, Heavy flamer, Hunter-killer missile, Inferno cannon
Krieg Combat Engineers 65 Hand flamer, Power weapon, Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Flamer, Remote Mine, Trench club
Krieg Combat Engineers 65 Hand flamer, Power weapon, Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Flamer, Remote Mine, Trench club
Grizzled Company 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
2nd place · record 4-1 · 26 players · 5 rounds · 1 Aug
Show list
Characters
Rogal Dorn Commander 290 Armoured tracks, Castigator gatling cannon, Coaxial autocannon, Heavy stubber, Multi-melta, Oppressor cannon
Gaunt’s Ghosts 95 Bolt Pistol, Gaunt’s chainsword, Corbec’s hot-shot lascarbine, Straight silver knife, Rawne’s lascarbine ...
Sly Marbo 55 Envenomed blade, Ripper pistol
Tech-Priest Enginseer 45 Enginseer axe, Mechanicus pistol, Servo-arm
Other Units
Leman Russ Battle Tank 195 Armoured tracks, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Leman Russ battle cannon, Plasma cannon
Leman Russ Battle Tank 185 Armoured tracks, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Leman Russ battle cannon, Plasma cannon
Leman Russ Battle Tank 185 Armoured tracks, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Leman Russ battle cannon, Plasma cannon
Tempestus Scions 150 Plasma pistol, Power fist, Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Meltagun, Plasma gun, Vox-caster
Lord Solar Leontus 130 Conquest, Konstantin’s hooves, Sol’s Righteous Gaze
Hellhound 125 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Melta cannon, Multi-melta, Heavy flamer, Inferno cannon
Hellhound 125 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Melta cannon, Multi-melta, Heavy flamer, Inferno cannon
Bullgryn Squad 90 Brute Shield, Bullgryn maul, Close combat weapon
Militarum Tempestus Command Squad 85 Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Master Vox, Medi-pack, Plasma gun, Regimental Standard ...
Lord Marshal Dreir 75 Laspistol, Sabre of Sacrifice, Savage claws
Attilan Rough Riders 60 Hunting lance, Lasgun, Laspistol, Steed’s hooves
Death Riders 60 Death Rider lascarbine, Frag lance, Power sabre, Savage claws
Commissar + Abhuman Detail 50 Plasma pistol, Power weapon
August balance & rules update (26 August)
41.0%win rate, rank 27 of 27 565 games 142 lists from 139 players X to X-2 finishes 0.57x entry share going first 0.6 points better
Astra Militarum won 40.7% of 1,678 games in the 28 days before and 40.3% of 1,889 in
the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.4% to 3.2%.
5 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Leman Russ Exterminator
(23% to 38%), Leman Russ Battle Tank (23% to 36%) and Leman Russ Vanquisher (15% to 27%).
Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
34%
Purge the Foe
25%
Take and Hold
19%
Reconnaissance
17%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Steel Hammer
30%
Designation Force
27%
Abhuman Auxiliaries
24%
Combined Arms
24%
Bridgehead Strike
21%
Grizzled Company
18%
Mechanised Assault
8%
Hammer of the Emperor
7%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Tech-Priest Enginseer
59%
Cadian Shock Troops
55%
Scout Sentinels
51%
Cadian Command Squad
49%
Gaunt’s Ghosts
48%
Hellhound
45%
Lord Solar Leontus
40%
Tempestus Scions
39%
Krieg Combat Engineers
39%
Kasrkin
39%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Leman Russ Exterminator
23%
38%
+15
+5.3
Unit
Leman Russ Battle Tank
23%
36%
+12
+4.4
Unit
Leman Russ Vanquisher
15%
27%
+12
+4.6
Unit
Krieg Heavy Weapons Squad
18%
7%
-11
-5.3
Unit
Leman Russ Commander
14%
24%
+10
+4.0
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Armoured Infantry + Designation Force 1,995 pts
Reconnaissance
27th place · record 7-2 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
Show list
Battleline
Cadian Shock Troops 70 Close combat weapon, Sergeant’s autogun, Lasgun, Meltagun, Plasma gun, Vox-caster
Cadian Shock Troops 70 Close combat weapon, Sergeant’s autogun, Lasgun, Meltagun, Plasma gun, Vox-caster
Cadian Shock Troops 70 Close combat weapon, Sergeant’s autogun, Lasgun, Meltagun, Plasma gun, Vox-caster
Other Units
Leman Russ Vanquisher 145 Armoured tracks, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Multi-melta, Vanquisher battle cannon
Hippogriff AFV 140 Armoured hull, Melta cannon, Meltagun, Vigilator cannon
Hellhound 125 Armoured tracks, Heavy flamer, Hunter-killer missile, Inferno cannon
Hellhound 125 Armoured tracks, Heavy flamer, Hunter-killer missile, Inferno cannon
Kasrkin 120 Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Hot-shot marksman rifle ...
Kasrkin 105 Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Hot-shot marksman rifle ...
Kasrkin 105 Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Hot-shot marksman rifle ...
Tempestus Aquilons 95 Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lascarbine, Sentry flamer, Hot‐shot long‐las, Melta carbine
Tempestus Aquilons 95 Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lascarbine, Sentry flamer, Hot‐shot long‐las, Melta carbine
Tempestus Aquilons 95 Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lascarbine, Sentry flamer, Hot‐shot long‐las, Melta carbine
Ursula Creed 85 Duty and Vengeance, Power weapon
Cadian Recon Squad 80 Close combat weapon, Lasgun, Autostubber, Laspistol, Long-las, Meltagun, Missile launcher, Vox-caster, Vox‑relay Beacon
Hippogriff AFV 70 Armoured hull, Melta cannon, Meltagun, Vigilator cannon
Cadian Command Squad 60 Plasma pistol, Power fist, Close combat weapon, Laspistol, Meltagun, Lasgun, Master Vox, Medi-pack, Regimental Standard
Attilan Rough Riders 60 Hunting lance, Lasgun, Laspistol, Power sabre, Steed’s hooves
Attilan Rough Riders 60 Hunting lance, Lasgun, Laspistol, Power sabre, Steed’s hooves
Cadian Castellan 55 Plasma pistol, Power fist
Cadian Castellan 55 Plasma pistol, Power fist
Scout Sentinels 55 Autocannon, Close combat weapon, Hunter-killer missile, Sentinel chainsaw
Scout Sentinels 55 Autocannon, Close combat weapon, Hunter-killer missile, Sentinel chainsaw
Grizzled Company 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
3rd place · record 3-0 · 20 players · 3 rounds · 29 Aug
Show list
Characters
Rogal Dorn Commander 305 Armoured tracks, Coaxial autocannon, Heavy stubber, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Oppressor cannon, Pulveriser cannon
Rogal Dorn Commander 290 Armoured tracks, Coaxial autocannon, Heavy stubber, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Oppressor cannon, Pulveriser cannon
Gaunt’s Ghosts 95 Bolt Pistol, Gaunt’s chainsword, Corbec’s hot-shot lascarbine, Straight silver knife, Rawne’s lascarbine ...
Sly Marbo 55 Envenomed blade, Ripper pistol
Tech-Priest Enginseer 45 Enginseer axe, Mechanicus pistol, Servo-arm
Tech-Priest Enginseer 45 Enginseer axe, Mechanicus pistol, Servo-arm
Battleline
Cadian Shock Troops 70 Close combat weapon, Sergeant’s autogun, Grenade launcher, Lasgun, Plasma gun, Vox-caster
Cadian Shock Troops 70 Close combat weapon, Sergeant’s autogun, Grenade launcher, Lasgun, Plasma gun, Vox-caster
Catachan Jungle Fighters 70 Close combat weapon, Laspistol, Flamer, Lasgun, Vox-caster
Catachan Jungle Fighters 70 Close combat weapon, Laspistol, Flamer, Lasgun, Vox-caster
Dedicated Transports
Taurox 65 Armoured tracks, Storm bolter, Twin autocannon
Other Units
Leman Russ Battle Tank 175 Armoured tracks, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Leman Russ battle cannon, Multi-melta
Leman Russ Exterminator 160 Armoured tracks, Exterminator autocannon, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile
Hellhound 125 Armoured tracks, Heavy flamer, Hunter-killer missile, Inferno cannon
Kasrkin 105 Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Hot-shot marksman rifle ...
Ursula Creed 85 Duty and Vengeance, Power weapon
Cadian Command Squad 60 Plasma pistol, Power fist, Close combat weapon, Plasma gun, Lasgun, Master Vox, Medi-pack, Regimental Standard
Scout Sentinels 55 Close combat weapon, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Sentinel chainsaw, Autocannon
Scout Sentinels 55 Close combat weapon, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Sentinel chainsaw, Autocannon
Orks codex (5 September)
40.1%win rate, rank 28 of 28 2,183 games 638 lists from 558 players X to X-2 finishes 0.71x entry share going first 3.0 points better
Astra Militarum won 40.9% of 1,803 games in the 28 days before and 40.1% of 2,183 in
the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.3% to 3.4%.
5 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Leman Russ Exterminator
(25% to 39%), Leman Russ Vanquisher (16% to 29%) and Leman Russ Battle Tank (26% to 37%).
Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
10%
0-20
26%
20-40
29%
40-60
22%
60-80
12%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
37%
Purge the Foe
24%
Take and Hold
22%
Reconnaissance
14%
Disruption
4%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Bridgehead Strike
28%
Steel Hammer
28%
Designation Force
24%
Combined Arms
23%
Abhuman Auxiliaries
22%
Grizzled Company
16%
Mechanised Assault
10%
Hammer of the Emperor
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Tech-Priest Enginseer
57%
Scout Sentinels
54%
Gaunt’s Ghosts
52%
Cadian Shock Troops
51%
Hellhound
45%
Cadian Command Squad
42%
Leman Russ Exterminator
39%
Tempestus Scions
39%
Leman Russ Battle Tank
37%
Lord Solar Leontus
36%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Chaos Space Marines
Thousand Sons
Death Guard
Space Marines
Dark Angels
Adeptus Custodes
Blood Angels
Leagues of Votann
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Type
Name
Before
After
Change (pp)
z
Unit
Leman Russ Exterminator
25%
39%
+14
+5.0
Unit
Leman Russ Vanquisher
16%
29%
+12
+5.0
Unit
Leman Russ Battle Tank
26%
37%
+12
+4.3
Unit
Leman Russ Commander
16%
27%
+11
+4.4
Unit
Krieg Heavy Weapons Squad
17%
8%
-9
-4.5
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Combined Arms + Designation Force 2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
85th place · record 3-0 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Gaunt’s Ghosts 95 Bolt Pistol, Gaunt’s chainsword, Corbec’s hot-shot lascarbine, Straight silver knife, Rawne’s lascarbine ...
Ogryn Bodyguard 40 Brute Shield, Bullgryn maul, Close combat weapon
Battleline
Death Korps Of Krieg 135
Other Units
Bullgryn Squad 200 Bullgryn maul, Close combat weapon, Slabshield, Brute Shield
Leman Russ Battle Tank 175 Armoured tracks, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Leman Russ battle cannon, Multi-melta
Leman Russ Battle Tank 175 Armoured tracks, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Leman Russ battle cannon, Multi-melta
Tempestus Scions 150 Plasma pistol, Power fist, Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Meltagun, Plasma gun, Vox-caster
Tempestus Scions 150 Plasma pistol, Power fist, Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Meltagun, Plasma gun, Vox-caster
Commissar Yarrick 120 Bale Eye, Laspistol, Power klaw, Power sword, Storm bolter
Tempestus Aquilons 95 Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lascarbine, Sentry flamer, Hot‐shot long‐las, Plasma carbine
Militarum Tempestus Command Squad 85 Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Hot-shot volley gun, Medi-pack, Meltagun, Plasma gun ...
Militarum Tempestus Command Squad 85 Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Hot-shot volley gun, Medi-pack, Meltagun, Plasma gun ...
Cadian Recon Squad 80 Close combat weapon, Lasgun, Autostubber, Laspistol, Long-las, Missile launcher, Plasma gun, Vox-caster, Vox‑relay Beacon
Krieg Combat Engineers 65 Hand flamer, Power weapon, Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Combat shotgun, Flamer, Remote Mine
Krieg Combat Engineers 65 Hand flamer, Power weapon, Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Combat shotgun, Flamer, Remote Mine
Krieg Command Squad 60 Laspistol, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Power weapon, Alchemyk Counteragents, Close combat weapon, Servo-scribes, Lasgun ...
Death Riders 60 Death Rider lascarbine, Frag lance, Power sabre, Savage claws
Scout Sentinels 55 Close combat weapon, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Sentinel chainsaw
Scout Sentinels 55 Close combat weapon, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Sentinel chainsaw
Scout Sentinels 55 Close combat weapon, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Sentinel chainsaw
Abhuman Auxiliaries + Combined Arms 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
3rd place · record 4-1 · 70 players · 5 rounds · 26 Sep
Show list
Characters
Rogal Dorn Commander + Grand Strategist 305 Armoured tracks, Coaxial autocannon, Heavy stubber, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Oppressor cannon, Pulveriser cannon
Lord Solar Leontus 130 Conquest, Konstantin’s hooves, Sol’s Righteous Gaze
Commissar 30 Plasma pistol, Power weapon
Commissar 30 Plasma pistol, Power weapon
Other Units
Bullgryn Squad 215 Brute Shield, Bullgryn maul, Close combat weapon
Bullgryn Squad 200 Brute Shield, Bullgryn maul, Close combat weapon
Leman Russ Battle Tank 160 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Leman Russ battle cannon
Leman Russ Battle Tank 160 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Leman Russ battle cannon
Leman Russ Exterminator 160 Armoured tracks, Exterminator autocannon, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile
Leman Russ Eradicator 145 Armoured tracks, Eradicator nova cannon, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile
Leman Russ Vanquisher 135 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Vanquisher battle cannon
Kasrkin 105 Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Hot-shot marksman rifle ...
Kasrkin 105 Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Hot-shot marksman rifle ...
Ratlings 60 Close combat weapon, Sniper rifle
Ratlings 60 Close combat weapon, Sniper rifle
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)
43.0%win rate, rank 26 of 27 731 games 213 lists from 205 players X to X-2 finishes 0.80x entry share going first 6.6 points better
Astra Militarum won 40.1% of 2,183 games in the 28 days before and 41.4% of 1,541 in
the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 3.4% to 3.1%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
11%
0-20
23%
20-40
30%
40-60
30%
60-80
6%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Priority Assets
32%
Purge the Foe
26%
Take and Hold
22%
Reconnaissance
15%
Disruption
5%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Bridgehead Strike
28%
Steel Hammer
26%
Combined Arms
23%
Designation Force
23%
Abhuman Auxiliaries
20%
Grizzled Company
20%
Hammer of the Emperor
10%
Mechanised Assault
8%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Cadian Shock Troops
57%
Tech-Priest Enginseer
56%
Gaunt’s Ghosts
54%
Scout Sentinels
48%
Cadian Command Squad
48%
Lord Solar Leontus
46%
Hellhound
44%
Krieg Combat Engineers
41%
Bullgryn Squad
39%
Rogal Dorn Commander
39%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Space Marines
Death Guard
Adeptus Custodes
Tyranids
World Eaters
Orks
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Bridgehead Strike 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 83 players · 5 rounds · 3 Oct
Show list
Characters
Gaunt’s Ghosts 95 Ibram Gaunt, Gaunt’s chainsword, Colm Corbec, Straight silver knife, Elim Rawne, Hlaine Larkin, ’Try Again’ Bragg ...
Tech-Priest Enginseer 45 Enginseer axe, Mechanicus pistol, Servo-arm
Battleline
Cadian Shock Troops 70 Shock Trooper Sergeant, Chainsword, Shock Trooper, Lasgun, Meltagun, Plasma gun, Vox-caster
Death Korps Of Krieg 70
Other Units
Rogal Dorn Battle Tank 260 Armoured tracks, Coaxial autocannon, Heavy stubber, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Oppressor cannon, Pulveriser cannon
Leman Russ Demolisher 175 Armoured tracks, Demolisher battle cannon, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Multi-melta
Tempestus Scions 150 Tempestor, Power fist, Tempestus Scion, Hot-shot lasgun, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Tempestus Scions 150 Tempestor, Power fist, Tempestus Scion, Hot-shot lasgun, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Lord Solar Leontus 130 Conquest, Konstantin’s hooves, Sol’s Righteous Gaze
Basilisk 115 Armoured tracks, Earthshaker cannon, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile
Kasrkin 105 Kasrkin Sergeant, Power weapon, Kasrkin, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Hot-shot marksman rifle, Melta Mine ...
Militarum Tempestus Command Squad 95 Tempestus Scion, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Hot-shot volley gun, Medi-pack, Meltagun, Plasma gun ...
Tempestus Aquilons 95 Tempestor Aquilon, Hot-shot laspistol, Power weapon, Sentry hot‐shot volley gun, Tempestus Aquilon, Hot-shot lascarbine ...
militarum tempestus command squada 85
Krieg Combat Engineers 65 Krieg Engineer Watchmaster, Power weapon, Krieg Combat Engineer, Close combat weapon, Combat shotgun, Flamer, Remote Mine
Cadian Command Squad + Death Mask of Ollanius 60 Cadian Commander, Power fist, Cadian Veteran Guardsman, Lasgun, Master Vox, Medi-pack, Regimental Standard
Attilan Rough Riders 60 Rough Rider Sergeant, Lasgun, Laspistol, Power sabre, Steed’s hooves, Rough Rider
Death Riders 60 Ridemaster, Frag lance, Power sabre, Savage claws, Death Rider
Ratlings 60 Ratling Sniper, Sniper rifle
Scout Sentinels 55 Close combat weapon, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Sentinel chainsaw
Abhuman Auxiliaries + Steel Hammer 1,995 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 4-1 · 16 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
Show list
Characters
Stormsword + Battalion Commander 460 Armoured tracks, Lascannon, Stormsword siege cannon, Twin heavy bolter
Doomhammer + Assault Hatches 405 Armoured tracks, Lascannon, Magma cannon, Twin heavy bolter
Tech-Priest Enginseer + Engine Speaker 60 Enginseer axe, Mechanicus pistol, Servo-arm
Tech-Priest Enginseer + Engine Speaker 45 Enginseer axe, Mechanicus pistol, Servo-arm
Ministorum Priest 35 Zealot’s vindictor
Other Units
Bullgryn Squad 230 Brute Shield, Bullgryn maul, Close combat weapon
Bullgryn Squad 200 Brute Shield, Bullgryn maul, Close combat weapon
Bullgryn Squad 200 Brute Shield, Bullgryn maul, Close combat weapon
Ogryn Squad 120 Ripper gun
Ogryn Squad 60 Ripper gun
Ogryn Squad 60 Ripper gun
Commissar + Exemplar of Duty 40 Plasma pistol, Power weapon
Commissar + Exemplar of Duty 40 Plasma pistol, Power weapon
Commissar + Exemplar of Duty 40 Plasma pistol, Power weapon
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)
39.9%win rate, rank 26 of 27 810 games 244 lists from 232 players X to X-2 finishes 0.85x entry share going first 5.6 points better
Astra Militarum won 41.0% of 1,975 games in the 28 days before and 39.9% of 810 in the
9 days after. Its share of games went from 3.3% to 3.0%.
Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.
Charts for this window
Share of players by share of games won
10%
0-20
27%
20-40
28%
40-60
25%
60-80
10%
80-100
line = all factions
Force Disposition
share
win rate
Purge the Foe
27%
Take and Hold
26%
Priority Assets
25%
Reconnaissance
15%
Disruption
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments
share
win rate
Steel Hammer
32%
Designation Force
25%
Abhuman Auxiliaries
23%
Bridgehead Strike
23%
Combined Arms
20%
Grizzled Company
19%
Mechanised Assault
7%
Hammer of the Emperor
6%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units
share
win rate
Tech-Priest Enginseer
63%
Scout Sentinels
56%
Cadian Shock Troops
55%
Gaunt’s Ghosts
52%
Hellhound
47%
Cadian Command Squad
44%
Rogal Dorn Commander
43%
Leman Russ Exterminator
39%
Lord Solar Leontus
39%
Krieg Combat Engineers
37%
25%
75%
Bar: share. Tick: whole edition.
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups
win rate against
Tyranids
Death Guard
Dark Angels
Orks
Necrons
Adeptus Custodes
T'au Empire
World Eaters
20% to 80%
Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation.
Dashed: overall in this window.
Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)
Grizzled Company 2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 35 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
Show list
Characters
Rogal Dorn Commander 290 Armoured tracks, Coaxial autocannon, Heavy stubber, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Oppressor cannon, Pulveriser cannon
Leman Russ Commander 200 Armoured tracks, Exterminator autocannon, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon
Gaunt’s Ghosts 95 Bolt Pistol, Gaunt’s chainsword, Corbec’s hot-shot lascarbine, Straight silver knife, Rawne’s lascarbine ...
Tech-Priest Enginseer 45 Enginseer axe, Mechanicus pistol, Servo-arm
Battleline
Cadian Shock Troops 70 Close combat weapon, Sergeant’s autogun, Lasgun, Meltagun, Plasma gun, Vox-caster
Other Units
Leman Russ Battle Tank 175 Armoured tracks, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Leman Russ battle cannon, Multi-melta
Leman Russ Demolisher 165 Armoured tracks, Demolisher battle cannon, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon
Leman Russ Exterminator 165 Armoured tracks, Exterminator autocannon, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon
Leman Russ Eradicator 150 Armoured tracks, Eradicator nova cannon, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon
Leman Russ Executioner 150 Armoured tracks, Executioner plasma cannon, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon
Leman Russ Vanquisher 135 Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Vanquisher battle cannon
Leman Russ Punisher 130 Armoured tracks, Heavy flamer, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Punisher gatling cannon
Hellhound 115 Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Inferno cannon, Multi-melta
Ratlings 60 Close combat weapon, Sniper rifle
Scout Sentinels 55 Close combat weapon, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Sentinel chainsaw
Bridgehead Strike + Combined Arms 2,000 pts
Take and Hold
117th place · record 5-0 · 241 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
5 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
10× Cadian Shock Troops 70 with Close combat weapon, Lasgun, with Vox-caster, Close combat weapon, Lasgun, with Close combat weapon, Meltagun ...
Other Units
Rogal Dorn Commander + Grand Strategist 305
Leman Russ Battle Tank 175
Leman Russ Battle Tank 175
Leman Russ Exterminator 170
10× Tempestus Scions 150 with Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, with Vox-caster, Close combat weapon, Hot-shot laspistol ...
Leman Russ Eradicator 145
Leman Russ Vanquisher 130
Leman Russ Vanquisher 130
Hellhound 115
6× Gaunt’s Ghosts 95 with Bragg's autocannon, Straight silver knife, with Corbec's hot-shot lascarbine, Straight silver knife ...
5× Militarum Tempestus Command Squad 85 with Close combat weapon, Hot-shot volley gun, with Close combat weapon, Plasma gun, with Medi-pack ...
Ursula Creed 85
5× Cadian Command Squad 60 with Close combat weapon, Plasma gun, Plasma pistol, with Master vox, Close combat weapon, Lasgun, with Medi-pack ...
Scout Sentinels 55
Scout Sentinels 55