updated 28 October 2026

40k 11th edition: faction balance

Strike Force (2000 pts) games from 19 June to 25 October: 130,785 matches from 3,447 events, 72,283 lists. The first player wins 51.2%.

What changed since the last report

This is the first edition. From the next update, new data, win rate moves and rank changes are listed here.

Summary

Units

The median faction has 7 units in at least half of its lists and 27 in at least 10%. 17% of current datasheets (198 of 1,140) were never played or appeared in under 1% of lists. Of 1,199 units in 40 or more lists, 122 (10%) have a clear effect on results, 57 positive and 65 negative. Those units are picked about as often as others: the median share of lists is 17%, against 16% for all units.

Detachments

The median faction needs 5 detachments to cover 80% of its lists, and 10 factions have one detachment in at least half of its lists. Of 196 detachments in 150 or more lists, 47 (24%) differ from their own faction's average. That is a higher share than for units (10%) or combinations (17%), so detachment choice is the largest source of imbalance inside a faction.

Combinations

59% of lists run two or more detachments. Of 370 combinations in 15 or more lists, 64 differ from the faction average (28 better, 36 worse). The strongest is Assault Brethren + Deathwatch Support + Terminator Storm Force in Space Marines (20.0 points above the faction average), the weakest Dark Age Arsenal + Inner Circle Task Force in Dark Angels (24.9 points below the faction average).

Time and milestones

10 factions of 28 have a clearly different win rate in the latest period than in the first. The largest shifts follow "Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases" (3 October): Space Marines +5.9 points, World Eaters +5.4 points, Adeptus Custodes -4.5 points, Thousand Sons -7.3 points and Necrons -4.6 points. Other milestones followed by large moves: "July balance & rules update" (Imperial Knights -5.5 points); "August balance & rules update" (Chaos Daemons -5.5 points). 37% of detachments and 25% of units (with 25 or more lists) changed their share of lists by at least 8 points, with a clear margin, between the first period and the last 28 days. That is a larger share than the 36% of factions whose win rate moved. Each faction section lists the biggest changes.

Milestones

Data starts at the 11th edition launch on 20 June and runs to 25 October. Weekly games went from 11,490 in the first full week to 19,900 in the week of 21 September. 5 milestones are marked below. Effects are measured as the 28 days before against the 28 days after each date.

Games per week 0 10,000 20,000 20 Jun 11th edition launch 22 Jul July balance & rules update 26 Aug August balance & rules update 5 Sep Orks codex 3 Oct Space Marines codex and Power Armour update 17 Oct Adeptus Custodes codex Jul Aug Sep Oct

Effect by milestone

Milestone Type Days of data after Factions with a clear win rate change First-turn change (pp) Detachments shifted Units shifted Enhancements shifted
July balance & rules update (22 Jul) Points/Rules Update 28 3 -0.0 30 49 34
August balance & rules update (26 Aug) Points/Rules Update 28 1 -0.2 17 58 16
Orks codex (5 Sep) Codex Release 28 0 +0.9 20 58 22
Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 Oct) Codex Release and Points/Rules Update 23 7 -0.4 65 185 52
Adeptus Custodes codex (17 Oct) Codex Release 9 1 -1.6 54 130 38

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October) had the widest effect: 7 factions changed win rate clearly, and 302 detachments, units and enhancements shifted by at least 8 points in their faction's lists. The last three columns count items that moved by at least 8 points of their faction's lists with a clear margin.

July balance & rules update (22 July)

3 factions changed win rate in the 28 days after: Imperial Knights -5.5 points (52.6% to 47.1%), Dark Angels +5.7 points (48.0% to 53.8%) and Thousand Sons -5.3 points (56.8% to 51.5%).

Force Disposition choice changed: Purge the Foe went from 32.6% to 18.9% of games, Priority Assets went from 19.7% to 27.2% of games and Take and Hold went from 24.5% to 28.9% of games.

30 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Veiled Blade Elimination Force in Imperial Agents (3% to 92%), Hexwarp Thrallband in Thousand Sons (55% to 11%) and Advanced Acquisition Cadre in T'au Empire (49% to 12%).

49 units shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Lieutenant with Combi-weapon in Deathwatch (54% to 16%), Intercessor Squad in Deathwatch (71% to 35%) and Lion El’jonson in Dark Angels (37% to 66%).

34 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Eldritch Vortex of E'Taph in Thousand Sons (12% to 42%), The Tome of Ectoclades in Deathwatch (42% to 73%) and Umbralefic Crystal in Thousand Sons (13% to 43%).

Nothing clear in the first-turn effect.

Faction Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
Imperial Knights 2,114 / 2,127 52.6% to 47.1% -5.5 -3.6 4.7% to 4.2%
Dark Angels 1,534 / 2,343 48.0% to 53.8% +5.7 +3.5 3.4% to 4.6%
Thousand Sons 1,928 / 1,824 56.8% to 51.5% -5.3 -3.3 4.3% to 3.6%
Type Faction Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Imperial Agents Veiled Blade Elimination Force 3% 92% +89 +7.8
Detachment Thousand Sons Hexwarp Thrallband 55% 11% -44 -15.2
Unit Deathwatch Lieutenant with Combi-weapon 54% 16% -37 -5.2
Detachment T'au Empire Advanced Acquisition Cadre 49% 12% -37 -15.2
Detachment Imperial Knights Gate Warden Lance 48% 11% -37 -13.9
Unit Deathwatch Intercessor Squad 71% 35% -36 -4.8
Detachment Thousand Sons Grand Coven 14% 49% +35 +12.4
Enhancement Thousand Sons Eldritch Vortex of E'Taph 12% 42% +31 +11.4
Enhancement Deathwatch The Tome of Ectoclades 42% 73% +30 +4.0
Enhancement Thousand Sons Umbralefic Crystal 13% 43% +30 +11.0
All 113 shifts: 103 more rows
Type Faction Name Before After Change (pp) z
Enhancement Thousand Sons Empyric Onslaught 36% 7% -29 -11.3
Unit Dark Angels Lion El’jonson 37% 66% +28 +9.4
Detachment Imperial Knights Valourstrike Lance 10% 38% +27 +11.1
Detachment Adepta Sororitas Army of Faith 41% 15% -27 -7.1
Enhancement Imperial Knights Augury Halo 34% 8% -26 -11.0
Detachment Thousand Sons Sekhetar Cohort 37% 11% -26 -9.8
Unit Aeldari Farseer Skyrunner 8% 33% +26 +8.9
Unit Dark Angels Sammael 16% 40% +25 +8.9
Unit Space Marines Sternguard Veteran Squad 44% 20% -24 -12.3
Detachment Adepta Sororitas Bringers of Flame 7% 30% +24 +7.4
Detachment Orks Equatorial Hordes 1% 24% +24 +14.4
Enhancement Space Marines Fusillade 38% 15% -23 -12.6
Unit Space Marines Lieutenant with Combi-weapon 43% 20% -23 -11.7
Enhancement Space Wolves Fierce Example 18% 41% +23 +6.5
Unit Aeldari Avatar of Khaine 36% 58% +22 +6.3
Unit Dark Angels Lieutenant with Combi-weapon 44% 22% -22 -7.9
Unit Grey Knights Grand Master Voldus 37% 15% -22 -6.8
Detachment Orks Taktikal Brigade 29% 7% -22 -11.9
Unit Leagues of Votann Buri Aegnirssen 45% 66% +21 +6.5
Unit Adepta Sororitas Zephyrim Squad 52% 32% -20 -5.0
Unit Adepta Sororitas Battle Sisters Squad 66% 47% -19 -4.6
Detachment Thousand Sons Ritual of Regeneration 31% 12% -19 -7.4
Unit Thousand Sons Chaos Rhino 16% 35% +19 +7.1
Unit Blood Angels Vanguard Veteran Squad With Jump Packs 15% 34% +19 +6.2
Unit Dark Angels Ravenwing Command Squad 25% 43% +18 +6.2
Unit World Eaters Forgefiend 28% 46% +18 +5.7
Enhancement Chaos Daemons Infernal Puppeteer 20% 2% -18 -9.5
Enhancement Drukhari Periapt of Torments 38% 55% +17 +4.4
Unit Aeldari Warlock Skyrunners 54% 38% -17 -4.7
Enhancement Space Wolves Thirst for Glory 9% 26% +17 +5.7
Unit Thousand Sons Defiler 41% 24% -16 -5.7
Unit T'au Empire Riptide Battlesuit 73% 57% -16 -6.6
Enhancement Imperial Knights Bearer of the Judicant's Helm 5% 22% +16 +8.4
Detachment Orks Freebooter Krew 19% 35% +16 +7.5
Unit Chaos Daemons Screamers 31% 15% -16 -6.3
Unit Chaos Space Marines Mutilators 12% 28% +16 +7.1
Detachment Chaos Knights Infernal Lance 29% 13% -16 -5.0
Unit Thousand Sons Sekhetar Robots 73% 57% -16 -5.4
Enhancement Adepta Sororitas Litanies of Faith 24% 8% -16 -5.2
Detachment T'au Empire Experimental Prototype Cadre 7% 23% +16 +8.4
Unit Dark Angels Outrider Squad 27% 42% +16 +5.4
Detachment Dark Angels Company of Hunters 18% 33% +15 +5.8
Unit Emperor's Children Daemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings 67% 52% -15 -5.3
Unit Orks Bigboss 33% 18% -15 -7.0
Detachment Chaos Daemons Scintillating Legion 23% 9% -14 -6.4
Enhancement Imperial Knights Purgation's Hand 19% 5% -14 -7.4
Enhancement Space Wolves Grimnar's Mark 10% 24% +14 +4.8
Unit Emperor's Children Lucius the Eternal 44% 58% +14 +4.7
Enhancement Astra Militarum Exemplar of Duty 4% 17% +13 +6.9
Unit Adepta Sororitas Saint Celestine 21% 8% -13 -4.5
Unit Space Marines Repulsor Executioner 29% 16% -13 -7.4
Unit Emperor's Children Noise Marines 69% 56% -13 -4.6
Unit Death Guard Foetid Bloat-drone with Heavy Blight Launcher 55% 42% -13 -4.2
Detachment Drukhari Kabalite Cartel 11% 23% +13 +4.4
Enhancement Dark Angels Recon Hunter 12% 24% +13 +5.3
Unit Thousand Sons Tzaangor Shaman 32% 20% -12 -4.6
Enhancement Thousand Sons Arcane Might 17% 5% -12 -6.4
Unit Tyranids Neurotyrant 69% 56% -12 -5.1
Detachment Astra Militarum Abhuman Auxiliaries 14% 26% +12 +4.8
Unit Orks Stormboyz 46% 33% -12 -5.2
Unit Space Marines Vanguard Veteran Squad With Jump Packs 14% 26% +12 +7.3
Enhancement Dark Angels Nightforged Battery 15% 27% +12 +4.9
Unit Dark Angels Sternguard Veteran Squad 34% 22% -12 -4.5
Enhancement Death Guard Revolting Regeneration 14% 26% +12 +5.0
Detachment Necrons Cursed Legion 28% 40% +12 +5.3
Detachment Space Marines Vengeful Hosts 0% 12% +12 +11.9
Unit Necrons Doomsday Ark 32% 20% -11 -5.5
Detachment World Eaters Possessed Slaughterband 13% 25% +11 +4.4
Enhancement Thousand Sons Incandaeum 6% 17% +11 +5.9
Unit Orks Wazdakka Gutsmek 56% 68% +11 +4.8
Detachment Thousand Sons Rubricae Phalanx 7% 18% +11 +5.7
Enhancement Orks Kunnin' Hunta 0% 11% +11 +9.4
Detachment Orks Green Tide 20% 9% -11 -6.4
Detachment Blood Angels Vengeful Hosts 0% 11% +11 +6.8
Unit Space Marines Aggressor Squad 15% 26% +10 +6.2
Unit Space Marines Victrix Honour Guard 27% 17% -10 -6.0
Detachment Astra Militarum Combined Arms 7% 18% +10 +4.8
Detachment Death Guard Contagion Engines 20% 10% -10 -4.8
Detachment T'au Empire Kauyon 17% 27% +10 +4.7
Unit Orks Weirdboy 25% 15% -10 -5.3
Unit Tyranids The Swarmlord 42% 52% +10 +4.0
Unit Orks Flash Gitz 29% 39% +10 +4.3
Enhancement Thousand Sons Curse of Life 13% 4% -10 -5.7
Unit T'au Empire Darkstrider 22% 32% +10 +4.3
Unit Space Marines Terminator Squad 19% 29% +10 +5.5
Detachment Chaos Space Marines Murdertalon Raiders 22% 12% -10 -4.5
Enhancement Orks Git-Spotter Squig 10% 20% +10 +5.5
Unit Chaos Daemons Pink Horrors 16% 6% -10 -5.0
Enhancement Dark Angels Fusillade 17% 7% -9 -5.0
Detachment Necrons Skyshroud Spearhead 26% 35% +9 +4.3
Unit T'au Empire Pathfinder Team 85% 76% -9 -4.5
Enhancement T'au Empire Exemplar of the Kauyon 8% 17% +9 +5.4
Enhancement Tyranids Synaptoprescience 21% 30% +9 +4.2
Unit Chaos Daemons Kairos Fateweaver 18% 9% -9 -4.4
Enhancement Thousand Sons Risen Rubricae 4% 13% +9 +5.3
Enhancement Chaos Daemons Soul-shattering Charge 5% 14% +9 +4.9
Enhancement Necrons Deepening Madness 7% 16% +9 +5.7
Enhancement Chaos Daemons Improbable Shield 14% 6% -9 -4.7
Unit Space Marines Librarian In Terminator Armour 21% 30% +9 +4.7
Enhancement Chaos Daemons Inescapable Eye 15% 6% -8 -4.6
Enhancement Orks Bloodthirsty Belligerence 14% 6% -8 -5.8
Enhancement Orks Dead Shiny Shootas 17% 25% +8 +4.2
Enhancement Orks Bionik Workshop 6% 14% +8 +5.4

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Emperor's Children2,000 pts
Carnival of Excess + Frenzied Host · Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 7-0 · 100 players · 7 rounds · 31 Jul
Won an event of 100+ players
70 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Keeper of Secrets255Living whip, Phantasmagoria, Snapping claws, Witstealer sword
Battleline
Daemonettes90Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Daemonettes90Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Daemonettes90Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Daemonettes90Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Infractors85Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Infractors85Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Tormentors80Plasma pistol, Power sword, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Tormentors80Plasma pistol, Power sword, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino70Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler370Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Defiler330Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Lord Exultant + Possessed Blade105Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash, Plasma pistol
Lord Exultant + Possessed Blade100Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash, Plasma pistol
Lord Exultant + Possessed Blade80Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash, Plasma pistol
Adeptus Mechanicus2,000 pts
Lords of the Forge + Skitarii Hunter Cohort · Priority Assets
Won the event · record 8-0 · 190 players · 8 rounds · 14 Aug
Won an event of 100+ players
9 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Belisarius Cawl220Arc scourge, Cawl’s Omnissian axe, Mechadendrite hive, Solar atomiser
Thulia Ghuld180Jericho‑class conversion resonator, Rod of the War Forge
Battleline
Skitarii Vanguard85Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Radium carbine, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Skitarii Vanguard85Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Radium carbine, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Dedicated Transports
Skorpius Dunerider75Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber array
Skorpius Dunerider75Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber array
Other Units
Ironstrider Ballistarii250Ironstrider feet, Twin cognis autocannon
Skorpius Disintegrator170Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Skorpius Disintegrator170Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Inquisitor Draxus110Dirgesinger, Power fist, Psychic Tempest
Tech-priest Manipulus90
Pteraxii Skystalkers80Flechette blaster, Taser goad, Close combat weapon, Flechette carbine
Pteraxii Skystalkers80Flechette blaster, Taser goad, Close combat weapon, Flechette carbine
Sicarian Infiltrators75Flechette blaster, Taser goad
Servitor Battleclade65Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Servitor Battleclade65Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Servitor Battleclade65Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Skitarii Marshal + Cantic Thrallnet60Control stave, Mechanicus pistol
Leagues of Votann1,995 pts
Hearthguard Covenant + Needgaârd Oathband · Priority Assets
Won the event · record 6-0 · 336 players · 6 rounds · 1 Aug
Won an event of 100+ players
69 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Buri Aegnirssen85Autoch‑pattern bolt pistol, Bane
Dedicated Transports
Kapricus Carrier70Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Other Units
Einhyr Hearthguard270EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Teleport Crest, Concussion gauntlet
Hekaton Land Fortress265Armoured wheels, Heavy magna-rail cannon, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Twin bolt cannon
Hekaton Land Fortress250Armoured wheels, Heavy magna-rail cannon, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Twin bolt cannon
Ironkin Steeljacks with Heavy Volkanite Disintegrators160Heavy volkanite disintegrator, Plasma knife, Preymark Crest
Einhyr Hearthguard130EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Teleport Crest, Concussion gauntlet
Cthonian Beserks100Concussion maul
Ûthar the Destined90Blade of the Ancestors, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn90Close combat weapon, Graviton blast cannon
Hernkyn Yaegirs90Bolt revolver, Close combat weapon, Plasma knife, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Kâhl + Ancestral Crest80Mass gauntlet, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn80Close combat weapon, Graviton blast cannon
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn80Close combat weapon, Graviton blast cannon
Ironkin Steeljacks with Melee Weapons80Autoch-pattern bolter, Plasma sword, Preymark Crest
Memnyr Strategist + Oathbound Speculator75Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Close combat weapon

August balance & rules update (26 August)

One faction changed win rate in the 28 days after: Chaos Daemons -5.5 points (59.2% to 53.7%).

17 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Might of the Moritoi in Adeptus Custodes (57% to 18%), Freebooter Krew in Orks (39% to 11%) and Hunting Warpack in Chaos Knights (26% to 52%).

58 units shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Painboy in Orks (67% to 30%), Wazdakka Gutsmek in Orks (70% to 36%) and Boyz in Orks (80% to 48%).

16 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Dreadherder in Orks (0% to 21%), Snarling Rivalry in Chaos Knights (18% to 37%) and Supa-snazz Dakka in Orks (0% to 17%).

The 28 days after it also contain the milestone on 5 September, so the two effects overlap. Nothing clear in the first-turn effect and Force Disposition choice.

Faction Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
Chaos Daemons 2,068 / 2,492 59.2% to 53.7% -5.5 -3.7 4.2% to 4.2%
Type Faction Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Adeptus Custodes Might of the Moritoi 57% 18% -39 -17.9
Unit Orks Painboy 67% 30% -37 -16.5
Unit Orks Wazdakka Gutsmek 70% 36% -34 -14.9
Unit Orks Boyz 80% 48% -32 -14.8
Detachment Orks Freebooter Krew 39% 11% -29 -15.0
Detachment Chaos Knights Hunting Warpack 26% 52% +26 +7.4
Unit Orks Ghazghkull Thraka 71% 46% -25 -11.0
Detachment Orks Dread Mob 8% 32% +24 +12.7
Unit Aeldari Warlock Skyrunners 34% 12% -22 -7.8
Detachment Orks Equatorial Hordes 30% 9% -21 -12.1
All 91 shifts: 81 more rows
Type Faction Name Before After Change (pp) z
Enhancement Orks Dreadherder 0% 21% +21 +14.3
Unit Orks Zodgrod Wortsnagga 34% 15% -20 -10.4
Detachment Orks More Dakka! 28% 9% -20 -11.4
Unit Orks Bannernob 28% 8% -19 -11.4
Enhancement Chaos Knights Snarling Rivalry 18% 37% +19 +5.7
Unit Aeldari Warlock 24% 5% -19 -7.9
Detachment Chaos Knights Iconoclast Fiefdom 32% 14% -18 -6.1
Unit Orks Nazdreg 0% 18% +18 +13.0
Enhancement Orks Supa-snazz Dakka 0% 17% +17 +12.9
Unit Orks Killa Kans 5% 22% +17 +10.8
Enhancement Orks Dead Shiny Shootas 24% 7% -17 -11.0
Unit Orks Tankbustas 28% 45% +17 +7.7
Enhancement Orks Git-Spotter Squig 21% 5% -17 -11.3
Unit Orks Squighog Boyz 34% 18% -16 -8.4
Enhancement Adeptus Custodes Interred Expertise 26% 10% -16 -9.3
Detachment Chaos Knights Houndpack Lance 24% 40% +16 +4.7
Unit Orks Lootas 24% 8% -16 -10.1
Unit Astra Militarum Leman Russ Exterminator 23% 38% +15 +5.3
Detachment Orks Blitz Brigade 0% 15% +15 +11.8
Unit Orks Deffkoptas 13% 28% +15 +8.0
Unit Adeptus Custodes Valerian 26% 40% +15 +6.8
Unit Chaos Knights War Dog Karnivore 66% 81% +15 +4.7
Unit Death Guard Mortarion 39% 54% +15 +5.0
Unit World Eaters Lord Invocatus 21% 35% +14 +5.4
Unit Chaos Knights Cultist Mob 27% 13% -14 -5.0
Unit Dark Angels Outrider Squad 45% 59% +14 +5.2
Unit Orks Big Mek 5% 19% +14 +8.9
Unit Chaos Knights Knight Tyrant 33% 20% -13 -4.3
Unit Orks Beast Snagga Boyz 36% 23% -13 -6.4
Detachment Adeptus Custodes Silent Hunters 15% 3% -13 -10.1
Unit Chaos Space Marines Defiler 60% 48% -13 -4.7
Enhancement Adeptus Custodes Superior Creation 17% 30% +13 +6.3
Unit Orks Meganobz 15% 27% +13 +6.7
Unit Death Guard Defiler 36% 48% +13 +4.3
Unit Orks Boss Snikrot 36% 24% -12 -6.1
Unit Astra Militarum Leman Russ Battle Tank 23% 36% +12 +4.4
Enhancement Chaos Knights Final Howl 6% 18% +12 +5.0
Unit Dark Angels Sammael 44% 56% +12 +4.7
Unit Orks Big Mek Dakkarig 46% 58% +12 +5.4
Unit Death Guard Plague Marines 61% 49% -12 -4.1
Enhancement Orks Bionik Workshop 16% 4% -12 -9.3
Detachment Dark Angels Company of Hunters 35% 48% +12 +4.6
Unit Dark Angels Ravenwing Command Squad 47% 59% +12 +4.6
Unit Chaos Daemons Skarbrand 28% 40% +12 +4.5
Unit Astra Militarum Leman Russ Vanquisher 15% 27% +12 +4.6
Unit Chaos Space Marines Mutilators 29% 40% +12 +4.5
Unit Death Guard Noxious Blightbringer 13% 25% +12 +5.0
Unit Dark Angels Lion El’jonson 71% 83% +12 +5.2
Detachment World Eaters Berzerker Warband 42% 54% +12 +4.0
Enhancement World Eaters Battle-lust 20% 31% +11 +4.5
Unit Emperor's Children Maulerfiend 35% 47% +11 +4.2
Unit Death Guard Deathshroud Terminators 80% 69% -11 -4.4
Unit Orks Kommandos 44% 33% -11 -5.1
Detachment Dark Angels Darkflight Pursuit 35% 46% +11 +4.3
Unit Astra Militarum Krieg Heavy Weapons Squad 18% 7% -11 -5.3
Unit Orks Mek 14% 25% +11 +5.9
Unit Orks Big Mek With Shokk Attack Gun 30% 41% +11 +4.9
Enhancement Orks Targetin' Gizmos 0% 11% +11 +9.6
Detachment Death Guard Shamblerot Vectorium 10% 21% +10 +4.9
Enhancement Death Guard Sorrowsyphon 3% 13% +10 +6.1
Unit Chaos Space Marines Warpsmith 34% 24% -10 -4.1
Enhancement Dark Angels Nightforged Battery 29% 39% +10 +4.0
Enhancement Orks Kunnin' Hunta 14% 4% -10 -8.0
Unit Aeldari Dragon Knights 9% 19% +10 +4.1
Unit Adeptus Custodes Custodian Wardens 66% 76% +10 +4.8
Unit Adeptus Custodes Prosecutors 56% 66% +10 +4.4
Unit Astra Militarum Leman Russ Commander 14% 24% +10 +4.0
Unit Orks Mozrog Skragbad 29% 19% -10 -5.1
Unit Orks Beastboss 34% 24% -10 -4.8
Unit Adeptus Custodes Caladius Grav-Tank 27% 17% -10 -5.1
Enhancement Chaos Knights Panoply of the Cursed Knights 3% 12% +10 +4.7
Unit Orks Bigboss 18% 9% -9 -6.3
Unit Orks Deff Dread 6% 15% +9 +6.6
Unit Orks Stormboyz 30% 21% -9 -4.7
Detachment Orks War Horde 21% 12% -9 -5.4
Detachment Orks Bully Boyz 5% 14% +9 +6.5
Unit Orks Runtherd 0% 9% +9 +8.9
Unit Space Marines Eradicator Squad 30% 21% -8 -4.6
Enhancement Orks Follow Me Ladz 16% 8% -8 -5.8
Detachment Chaos Space Marines Huron's Marauders 4% 12% +8 +5.6
Unit Orks Battlewagon 14% 22% +8 +4.7

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

World Eaters2,000 pts
Berzerker Warband · Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 8-1 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
Won an event of 100+ players
15 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Angron330Samni’arius and Spinegrinder
Battleline
Khorne Berzerkers160Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers160Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino75Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Forgefiend145Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Forgefiend145Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Exalted Eightbound130Chainblades
Exalted Eightbound130Chainblades
Eightbound125Chainblades
Eightbound125Chainblades
Slaughterbound + Battle-lust120Lacerator and daemonic claw
Khârn The Betrayer115
Lord Invocatus100Bladed horn, Bolt pistol, Coward’s Bane
Goremongers75Autopistol, Chainblade, Close combat weapon
Jakhals65Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade
Orks1,995 pts
War Horde · Take and Hold
Won the event · record 8-0 · 198 players · 8 rounds · 28 Aug
Won an event of 100+ players
11 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Wazdakka Gutsmek175Fixit’s wrench, Grabba dragga, Psyko‑gatler, Speeding bulk and flaming exhaust
Battleline
Boyz160Boy, Shoota, Slugga, Boss Nob
Other Units
Squighog Boyz270Bomb Squig, Squighog Boy, Squig jaws, Stikka, Nob on Smasha Squig, Slugga
Squighog Boyz270Bomb Squig, Squighog Boy, Squig jaws, Stikka, Nob on Smasha Squig, Slugga
Ghazghkull Thraka235Ghazghkull Thraka, Mork’s Roar, Makari, Makari’s stabba
Squighog Boyz140Bomb Squig, Squighog Boy, Squig jaws, Stikka, Nob on Smasha Squig, Slugga
Mozrog Skragbad125Big Chompa’s jaws, Gutrippa, Thump gun
Painboy + Follow Me Ladz115Grot Orderly, Power klaw, ’Urty syringe
Big Mek Dakkarig115Blitzkannon, Rokkit launcha, Stompy feet
Beastboss on Squigosaur + Kunnin' but Brutal110Beastchoppa, Slugga, Squigosaur’s jaws, Thump gun
Beastboss on Squigosaur + Kunnin' but Brutal95Beastchoppa, Slugga, Squigosaur’s jaws, Thump gun
Lootas50Spanner, Kustom mega-blasta, Loota, Deffgun
Gretchin45Gretchin, Grot blasta, Runtherd, Slugga
Gretchin45Gretchin, Grot blasta, Runtherd, Slugga
Gretchin45Gretchin, Grot blasta, Runtherd, Slugga
Space Wolves2,000 pts
Legends of Saga and Song + Saga of the Beastslayer · Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 6-0 · 64 players · 6 rounds · 29 Aug
Show list
Characters
Bjorn The Fell-handed160
Techmarine55Forge bolter, Grav-pistol, Omnissian power axe, Servo-arm
Battleline
Blood Claws135Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol
Other Units
Wolf Guard Terminators + Thirst for Glory350Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield
Redemptor Dreadnought205Icarus rocket pod, Macro plasma incinerator, Onslaught gatling cannon, Redemptor fist, Twin storm bolter
Wulfen with Storm Shields200Stormfrag auto-launcher, Thunder hammer
Wolf Guard Terminators + Thirst for Glory165Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield
Venerable Dreadnought125Blizzard Shield, Fenrisian great axe, Heavy flamer
Venerable Dreadnought125Blizzard Shield, Fenrisian great axe, Heavy flamer
Thunderwolf Cavalry115Storm Shield, Teeth and Claws, Wolf Guard weapon
Logan Grimnar100Axe Morkai, Storm bolter, Tyrnak and Fenrir
Arjac Rockfist95Foehammer
Ragnar Blackmane90Bolt Pistol, Frostfang
Wolf Guard Battle Leader + Wolf-touched80Storm Shield, Thunder hammer

Orks codex (5 September)

Orks, whose codex this was, went from 56.3% to 55.9% and from 5.8% to 7.4% of games.

20 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Might of the Moritoi in Adeptus Custodes (49% to 13%), Freebooter Krew in Orks (38% to 3%) and Dread Mob in Orks (9% to 39%).

58 units shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Painboy in Orks (67% to 18%), Boyz in Orks (79% to 37%) and Wazdakka Gutsmek in Orks (69% to 28%).

22 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Dreadherder in Orks (0% to 29%), Supa-snazz Dakka in Orks (0% to 25%) and Dead Shiny Shootas in Orks (22% to 2%).

Nothing clear in faction win rates, the first-turn effect and Force Disposition choice.

Type Faction Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Orks Painboy 67% 18% -50 -24.2
Unit Orks Boyz 79% 37% -42 -19.8
Unit Orks Wazdakka Gutsmek 69% 28% -41 -19.3
Detachment Adeptus Custodes Might of the Moritoi 49% 13% -36 -18.6
Detachment Orks Freebooter Krew 38% 3% -34 -21.6
Unit Orks Ghazghkull Thraka 71% 38% -33 -15.5
Detachment Orks Dread Mob 9% 39% +30 +15.6
Enhancement Orks Dreadherder 0% 29% +29 +17.8
Unit Orks Zodgrod Wortsnagga 35% 8% -28 -16.6
Detachment Orks Equatorial Hordes 29% 3% -26 -18.4
All 100 shifts: 90 more rows
Type Faction Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Orks More Dakka! 28% 2% -25 -18.2
Unit Orks Nazdreg 0% 25% +25 +16.5
Unit Orks Tankbustas 28% 54% +25 +12.0
Enhancement Orks Supa-snazz Dakka 0% 25% +25 +16.2
Unit Orks Squighog Boyz 34% 11% -23 -13.6
Detachment Chaos Knights Hunting Warpack 31% 54% +23 +6.7
Unit Orks Killa Kans 6% 28% +23 +13.5
Unit Orks Bannernob 25% 4% -21 -15.4
Detachment Orks Blitz Brigade 0% 22% +21 +14.7
Unit Orks Lootas 23% 2% -21 -16.2
Enhancement Orks Dead Shiny Shootas 22% 2% -20 -16.0
Unit Orks Meganobz 15% 34% +19 +10.0
Detachment Chaos Knights Houndpack Lance 26% 45% +18 +5.5
Enhancement Chaos Knights Snarling Rivalry 21% 39% +18 +5.6
Enhancement Orks Git-Spotter Squig 19% 1% -18 -15.0
Unit Aeldari Warlock Skyrunners 26% 9% -18 -7.2
Unit Emperor's Children Maulerfiend 35% 52% +17 +6.7
Unit Orks Deffkoptas 14% 31% +17 +9.0
Unit Orks Big Mek 6% 22% +16 +10.5
Unit Aeldari Warlock 19% 3% -16 -8.1
Unit Orks Kommandos 44% 28% -16 -7.9
Unit Orks Big Mek Dakkarig 47% 63% +16 +7.5
Enhancement Orks Targetin' Gizmos 0% 16% +16 +12.4
Unit Orks Boss Snikrot 35% 19% -16 -8.4
Detachment Chaos Knights Iconoclast Fiefdom 28% 13% -16 -5.7
Enhancement World Eaters Battle-lust 21% 36% +15 +6.1
Unit Orks Big Mek With Shokk Attack Gun 30% 45% +15 +7.3
Detachment World Eaters Berzerker Warband 44% 59% +15 +5.5
Detachment Orks War Horde 22% 7% -15 -10.5
Enhancement Orks Bionik Workshop 16% 1% -15 -13.8
Unit Orks Beast Snagga Boyz 34% 20% -15 -8.1
Unit Death Guard Mortarion 42% 57% +15 +5.3
Unit Dark Angels Outrider Squad 49% 63% +15 +5.9
Unit World Eaters Lord Invocatus 25% 40% +15 +5.7
Unit Chaos Space Marines Mutilators 31% 45% +15 +5.8
Unit Orks Battlewagon 13% 28% +15 +8.2
Unit Orks Mek 16% 30% +14 +7.8
Unit Dark Angels Land Speeder Vengeance 42% 56% +14 +5.6
Enhancement Adeptus Custodes Interred Expertise 23% 9% -14 -9.1
Unit Orks Flash Gitz 37% 51% +14 +6.5
Unit Astra Militarum Leman Russ Exterminator 25% 39% +14 +5.0
Detachment Orks Bully Boyz 6% 19% +14 +9.4
Unit Orks Stormboyz 30% 16% -14 -7.9
Unit Death Guard Myphitic Blight-hauler 55% 69% +14 +5.0
Unit Dark Angels Ravenwing Command Squad 49% 63% +14 +5.5
Enhancement Orks Follow Me Ladz 17% 4% -14 -11.1
Enhancement Chaos Knights Final Howl 9% 22% +13 +5.2
Enhancement Dark Angels Nightforged Battery 31% 44% +13 +5.4
Detachment Dark Angels Company of Hunters 37% 50% +13 +5.2
Detachment Dark Angels Darkflight Pursuit 37% 50% +13 +5.2
Unit Adeptus Custodes Venerable Contemptor Dreadnought 18% 6% -13 -9.3
Unit Orks Mozrog Skragbad 29% 16% -13 -7.3
Unit Orks Beastboss 33% 21% -13 -6.8
Detachment Death Guard Shamblerot Vectorium 12% 24% +12 +5.6
Unit Astra Militarum Leman Russ Vanquisher 16% 29% +12 +5.0
Unit Chaos Knights Cultist Mob 24% 11% -12 -4.9
Unit Chaos Daemons Skarbrand 31% 43% +12 +4.7
Enhancement Orks Kunnin' Hunta 13% 1% -12 -12.2
Unit Chaos Space Marines Kravek Morne 30% 43% +12 +4.8
Unit World Eaters Daemon Prince of Khorne 51% 39% -12 -4.4
Unit Astra Militarum Leman Russ Battle Tank 26% 37% +12 +4.3
Unit Dark Angels Sammael 48% 60% +12 +4.7
Detachment Orks Green Tide 7% 19% +12 +8.0
Enhancement Adeptus Custodes Superior Creation 19% 31% +12 +6.1
Unit Orks Runtherd 0% 11% +11 +10.6
Unit Death Guard Deathshroud Terminators 78% 67% -11 -4.5
Unit Dark Angels Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 41% 52% +11 +4.5
Unit Emperor's Children Chaos Spawn 46% 58% +11 +4.3
Unit Orks Beastboss on Squigosaur 24% 13% -11 -6.9
Enhancement Space Wolves Grimnar's Mark 24% 13% -11 -4.1
Unit Emperor's Children Daemonettes 31% 20% -11 -4.9
Enhancement Orks Kaptin's Hat 0% 11% +11 +10.3
Unit Astra Militarum Leman Russ Commander 16% 27% +11 +4.4
Unit World Eaters Eightbound 66% 77% +10 +4.3
Enhancement Dark Angels Recon Hunter 30% 40% +10 +4.2
Unit Tyranids Lictor 50% 41% -10 -4.3
Enhancement Death Guard Sorrowsyphon 5% 15% +10 +5.7
Detachment Emperor's Children Carnival of Excess 31% 21% -10 -4.2
Unit Adeptus Custodes Prosecutors 59% 68% +10 +4.6
Unit Dark Angels Lion El’jonson 75% 84% +10 +4.7
Enhancement Orks Cybork Boosta 0% 9% +9 +9.5
Detachment Adeptus Custodes Silent Hunters 11% 2% -9 -9.3
Enhancement Orks Da Kaptin 10% 1% -9 -10.4
Enhancement Chaos Knights Panoply of the Cursed Knights 5% 14% +9 +4.4
Unit Orks Deff Dread 6% 15% +9 +6.8
Unit Astra Militarum Krieg Heavy Weapons Squad 17% 8% -9 -4.5
Detachment Adeptus Custodes Lions of the Emperor 60% 69% +9 +4.1
Unit Orks Gunwagon 0% 8% +8 +8.9
Detachment Orks Kult of Speed 6% 14% +8 +6.2
Enhancement Orks Kunnin' but Brutal 9% 1% -8 -10.0

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Grey Knights2,000 pts
Argent Assault + Banishers · Priority Assets
Won the event · record 7-0 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
Won an event of 100+ players
20 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Brotherhood Terminator Squad140Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Ancient’s Banner, Incinerator
Strike Squad115Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Dedicated Transports
Rhino70Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Allied Units
Imperial Rhino65Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Watch Captain Artemis65Hellfire Extremis, Master-crafted power weapon
Other Units
Paladin Squad485Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Ancient’s Banner, Psycannon, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Psilencer
Paladin Squad480Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Ancient’s Banner, Psycannon, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Psilencer
Interceptor Squad125Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Interceptor Squad125Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Brotherhood Librarian + Sixty-sixth Seal115Combi-weapon, Nemesis force weapon, Vortex of Doom
Grand Master + Psychic Celerity110Nemesis force weapon, Psycannon
Purgation Squad105Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Close combat weapon, Incinerator
Death Guard2,000 pts
Paragons of Putrescence + Shamblerot Vectorium · Disruption
Won the event · record 6-0 · 116 players · 6 rounds · 12 Sep
Won an event of 100+ players
82 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Mortarion375Lantern, Rotwind, Silence
Malignant Plaguecaster + Sorrowsyphon60Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino75Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Allied Units
Knight Despoiler380Despoiler battle cannon, Diabolus heavy stubber, Ruinspear rocket pod, Titanic feet
Other Units
Defiler330Excruciator cannon, Hades battle cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Poxwalkers130Improvised weapon
Typhus100Lakrimae
Myphitic Blight-hauler95
Myphitic Blight-hauler95
Myphitic Blight-hauler95
Malignant Plaguecaster + Sorrowsyphon70Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Poxwalkers65Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers65Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers65Improvised weapon
Dark Angels2,000 pts
Company of Hunters + Darkflight Pursuit · Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 6-0 · 106 players · 6 rounds · 11 Sep
Won an event of 100+ players
65 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lion El’jonson265
Techmarine55Forge bolter, Grav-pistol, Omnissian power axe, Servo-arm
Other Units
Nephilim Jetfighter + Thundercowl Turbines195Armoured hull, Avenger mega bolter, Blacksword missiles, Twin heavy bolter
Nephilim Jetfighter + Thundercowl Turbines195Armoured hull, Avenger mega bolter, Blacksword missiles, Twin heavy bolter
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery155Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery145Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery145Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Ravenwing Command Squad + Recon Hunter135Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma talon, Black Knight combat weapon
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike135Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Sammael105Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted plasma cannon, The Raven Sword, Twin storm bolter
Land Speeder105Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Land Speeder105Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Outrider Squad70Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Twin bolt rifle
Scout Squad65Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Missile launcher, Scout sniper rifle
Scout Squad65Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Missile launcher, Scout sniper rifle
Invader Atv60Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Multi-melta, Twin bolt rifle

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)

Space Marines, whose codex this was, went from 45.2% to 51.2% and from 6.3% to 9.0% of games.

7 factions changed win rate in the 28 days after: Space Marines +5.9 points (45.2% to 51.2%), World Eaters +5.4 points (49.1% to 54.5%), Adeptus Custodes -4.5 points (57.0% to 52.5%), Thousand Sons -7.3 points (47.6% to 40.3%), Necrons -4.6 points (53.0% to 48.4%) and Blood Angels +6.2 points (42.0% to 48.2%), and 1 more.

Force Disposition choice changed: Purge the Foe went from 20.0% to 23.7% of games and Priority Assets went from 26.6% to 23.6% of games.

65 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Legends of Saga and Song in Space Wolves (72% to 5%), Lords of the Forge in Adeptus Mechanicus (76% to 27%) and Assault Brethren in Blood Angels (0% to 49%).

185 units shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Bjorn The Fell-handed in Space Wolves (88% to 30%), Azrael in Dark Angels (83% to 38%) and Arjac Rockfist in Space Wolves (75% to 32%).

52 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Furious Assault in Blood Angels (0% to 57%), Thief of Secrets in Deathwatch (60% to 4%) and Furious Assault in Black Templars (1% to 48%).

Only 23 days of data follow it, so the picture is still forming. The 28 days after it also contain the milestone on 17 October, so the two effects overlap. Nothing clear in the first-turn effect.

Faction Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
Space Marines 4,109 / 4,522 45.2% to 51.2% +5.9 +5.5 6.3% to 9.0%
World Eaters 2,688 / 3,134 49.1% to 54.5% +5.4 +4.1 4.1% to 6.3%
Adeptus Custodes 4,387 / 3,184 57.0% to 52.5% -4.5 -3.8 6.7% to 6.4%
Thousand Sons 2,003 / 1,046 47.6% to 40.3% -7.3 -3.8 3.1% to 2.1%
Necrons 3,984 / 2,823 53.0% to 48.4% -4.6 -3.7 6.1% to 5.6%
Blood Angels 1,779 / 1,276 42.0% to 48.2% +6.2 +3.4 2.7% to 2.5%
Adeptus Mechanicus 1,528 / 1,354 49.6% to 55.4% +5.8 +3.1 2.3% to 2.7%
Type Faction Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Space Wolves Legends of Saga and Song 72% 5% -67 -20.6
Unit Space Wolves Bjorn The Fell-handed 88% 30% -58 -17.5
Enhancement Blood Angels Furious Assault 0% 57% +57 +19.3
Enhancement Deathwatch Thief of Secrets 60% 4% -56 -7.8
Detachment Adeptus Mechanicus Lords of the Forge 76% 27% -50 -14.0
Detachment Blood Angels Assault Brethren 0% 49% +49 +17.7
Detachment Adeptus Mechanicus Cohort Cybernetica 31% 79% +48 +13.7
Enhancement Black Templars Furious Assault 1% 48% +48 +12.6
Detachment Dark Angels Company of Hunters 50% 5% -46 -20.1
Unit Dark Angels Azrael 83% 38% -45 -18.5
All 302 shifts: 292 more rows
Type Faction Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Space Marines Librarius Conclave 46% 3% -43 -27.0
Detachment Black Templars Assault Brethren 0% 43% +43 +11.9
Unit Space Wolves Arjac Rockfist 75% 32% -43 -12.7
Unit Blood Angels Death Company Marines With Jump Packs 77% 35% -42 -12.6
Unit Space Marines Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 0% 42% +42 +26.0
Detachment Blood Angels Liberator Assault Group 46% 4% -42 -13.6
Enhancement Space Wolves Fierce Example 45% 3% -42 -14.5
Enhancement Blood Angels Imperium's Sword 0% 42% +42 +15.9
Detachment Adeptus Mechanicus Eradication Cohort 6% 46% +41 +13.3
Enhancement Adeptus Mechanicus Martial Signatum Amplificator 3% 43% +41 +13.8
Enhancement Deathwatch The Tome of Ectoclades 77% 37% -40 -5.6
Enhancement Adeptus Mechanicus Necromechanic 28% 68% +40 +11.2
Unit Deathwatch Talonstrike Kill Team 53% 14% -39 -5.5
Unit Adeptus Custodes Prosecutors 68% 30% -39 -18.2
Unit Black Templars Marshal 66% 29% -37 -8.5
Enhancement Dark Angels Recon Hunter 40% 3% -36 -17.2
Unit Adeptus Mechanicus Cybernetica Datasmith 48% 84% +36 +10.7
Unit Adeptus Custodes Prosecutor Squad 0% 36% +36 +23.0
Unit Space Wolves Intercessor Squad 51% 15% -35 -11.2
Unit Adeptus Mechanicus Kastelan Robots 49% 84% +35 +10.5
Enhancement Black Templars Imperium's Sword 1% 36% +35 +10.3
Enhancement Dark Angels Nightforged Battery 44% 9% -35 -15.4
Detachment World Eaters Vessels of Wrath 12% 46% +34 +15.4
Unit Deathwatch Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 48% 14% -34 -4.9
Unit Adeptus Custodes Witchseekers 68% 34% -34 -16.0
Unit Blood Angels Intercessor Squad 58% 24% -34 -10.0
Unit Space Wolves Wolf Guard Terminators 92% 58% -34 -11.6
Unit Space Marines Intercessor Squad 61% 27% -34 -17.7
Unit Deathwatch Fortis Kill Team 43% 10% -34 -4.9
Detachment Dark Angels Assault Brethren 0% 33% +33 +18.0
Unit Adeptus Custodes Vertus Praetors 76% 43% -33 -15.8
Unit Adeptus Custodes Witchseeker Squad 0% 32% +32 +21.7
Unit Space Marines Impulsor 10% 42% +32 +18.5
Unit Black Templars Intercessor Squad 63% 31% -32 -7.3
Detachment Space Wolves Assault Brethren 0% 32% +32 +12.9
Unit Blood Angels Lemartes 61% 29% -32 -9.3
Unit Space Marines Librarian 41% 10% -32 -19.3
Unit Adeptus Mechanicus Servitor Battleclade 74% 42% -32 -9.1
Enhancement Space Marines Furious Assault 0% 30% +30 +21.2
Enhancement Dark Angels Furious Assault 0% 30% +30 +17.1
Unit Dark Angels Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 52% 22% -30 -12.4
Enhancement Dark Angels Imperium's Sword 0% 30% +30 +17.1
Unit Adeptus Custodes Custodian Guard 62% 32% -30 -14.2
Unit Adeptus Custodes Telemon Heavy Dreadnought 10% 39% +30 +16.7
Unit Adeptus Custodes Custodian Wardens 77% 48% -30 -14.6
Enhancement Space Wolves Wolf-Touched 0% 30% +30 +12.2
Detachment Space Marines Assault Brethren 0% 30% +30 +20.8
Unit Blood Angels Chaplain With Jump Pack 41% 12% -29 -9.5
Unit Adeptus Mechanicus Tech-priest Manipulus 49% 20% -29 -8.5
Enhancement Space Wolves Furious Assault 0% 29% +29 +12.2
Unit World Eaters Angron 53% 82% +29 +12.7
Unit Space Marines Marneus Calgar 0% 28% +28 +20.1
Unit Dark Angels Ravenwing Command Squad 63% 35% -28 -11.2
Unit Dark Angels Land Speeder Vengeance 56% 28% -28 -11.3
Unit Black Templars Bladeguard Veteran Squad 29% 57% +28 +6.4
Detachment Adeptus Custodes Might of the Moritoi 13% 40% +28 +15.1
Unit Dark Angels Sammael 60% 32% -28 -10.9
Detachment Blood Angels Tacticus Attack Force 0% 27% +27 +12.5
Detachment Deathwatch Black Spear Task Force 87% 60% -27 -4.4
Enhancement Adeptus Custodes Augury Uplink (one per army) 0% 27% +27 +19.4
Enhancement Space Marines Temporal Corridor 28% 2% -27 -20.0
Detachment Space Marines Terminator Storm Force 0% 27% +27 +19.6
Unit Adeptus Custodes Contemptor-Galatus Dreadnought 7% 33% +26 +16.0
Detachment Dark Angels Wrath of the Rock 21% 47% +26 +11.0
Unit Adeptus Custodes Trajann Valoris 31% 57% +26 +12.4
Unit Space Marines Librarian In Terminator Armour 33% 7% -26 -17.3
Detachment Dark Angels Darkflight Pursuit 50% 25% -26 -10.6
Detachment Black Templars Bastion Task Force 27% 1% -25 -8.4
Enhancement Space Wolves Imperium's Sword 0% 25% +25 +11.3
Detachment Blood Angels Encarmine Speartip 3% 28% +25 +10.7
Unit Blood Angels Bladeguard Veteran Squad 56% 31% -25 -7.4
Enhancement Space Wolves Thirst for Glory 26% 1% -25 -11.0
Unit Black Templars Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 0% 25% +25 +8.6
Unit Black Templars Lieutenant 42% 18% -25 -6.1
Unit Adeptus Mechanicus Tech-priest Enginseer 51% 76% +25 +7.2
Unit Adeptus Custodes Blade Champion 57% 33% -24 -11.6
Detachment Adeptus Mechanicus Rad-zone Corps 27% 3% -24 -9.4
Unit Blood Angels Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 0% 24% +24 +11.7
Unit Space Wolves Ancient In Terminator Armour 5% 29% +24 +9.5
Unit Black Templars Crusader Squad 71% 47% -24 -5.6
Unit Space Wolves Wolf Guard Headtakers 63% 39% -24 -7.1
Unit Black Templars Assault Intercessor Squad 63% 39% -24 -5.5
Unit Space Marines Marneus Calgar in Armour of Antilochus 26% 2% -24 -18.2
Unit Space Wolves Grey Hunters 18% 42% +24 +7.7
Unit Adeptus Mechanicus Onager Dunecrawler 49% 73% +24 +6.8
Unit Dark Angels Ravenwing Black Knights 42% 19% -23 -9.9
Unit Adeptus Custodes Valerian 39% 16% -23 -11.8
Unit Black Templars High Marshal Helbrecht 56% 78% +23 +5.5
Unit Dark Angels Land Speeder 51% 29% -23 -9.1
Enhancement Space Marines Imperium's Sword 0% 22% +22 +17.8
Unit Deathwatch Inceptor Squad 8% 30% +22 +4.1
Unit Space Wolves Thunderwolf Cavalry 31% 53% +22 +6.6
Unit Blood Angels Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 51% 30% -22 -6.4
Unit Space Marines Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 35% 13% -21 -13.2
Unit Adeptus Custodes Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike 46% 25% -21 -10.4
Unit Adeptus Mechanicus Skorpius Dunerider 41% 20% -21 -6.5
Unit Dark Angels Scout Squad 76% 55% -21 -8.9
Unit Adeptus Custodes Custodian Guard Sodality 0% 20% +20 +16.7
Unit Blood Angels Company Heroes 2% 22% +20 +9.5
Detachment Space Wolves Stormlance Task Force 2% 22% +20 +9.1
Enhancement Adeptus Mechanicus TL-4ø9 25% 5% -20 -7.8
Enhancement World Eaters Berzerker Glaive 25% 45% +20 +8.4
Unit Black Templars Execrator 31% 11% -19 -5.4
Unit Adeptus Custodes Caladius Annihilator Grav-Tank 0% 19% +19 +16.2
Enhancement Adeptus Mechanicus Peerless Eradicator 21% 2% -19 -8.3
Unit Black Templars Impulsor 20% 40% +19 +4.8
Detachment Black Templars Ironstorm Spearhead 4% 23% +19 +6.4
Unit Space Marines Roboute Guilliman 7% 26% +19 +12.9
Unit Space Wolves Land Raider Redeemer 27% 8% -19 -7.3
Unit Space Marines Scout Squad 65% 46% -19 -9.6
Unit Space Wolves Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 0% 19% +19 +9.5
Unit Dark Angels Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 0% 18% +18 +13.0
Unit Space Wolves Ragnar Blackmane 38% 20% -18 -5.9
Detachment Black Templars Tacticus Attack Force 0% 18% +18 +7.1
Unit Space Wolves Terminator Assault Squad 19% 37% +18 +5.9
Detachment Space Wolves Saga of the Beastslayer 25% 43% +18 +5.6
Unit Orks Nazdreg 25% 43% +18 +9.5
Unit Dark Angels Intercessor Squad 48% 31% -18 -7.2
Unit Orks Flash Gitz 51% 33% -18 -9.0
Unit World Eaters Chaos Spawn 33% 16% -18 -8.6
Unit Adepta Sororitas Intranzia Fraye 47% 65% +18 +5.2
Unit Dark Angels Invader Atv 21% 4% -18 -10.3
Unit Blood Angels Sanguinary Priest 56% 39% -18 -5.1
Enhancement Adeptus Custodes Memento Moritoi (one per army) 0% 17% +17 +15.3
Unit Adeptus Mechanicus Skitarii Marshal 51% 34% -17 -4.9
Unit Dark Angels Deathwing Terminator Squad 9% 26% +17 +9.1
Unit Space Marines Deathwatch Terminator Squad 0% 17% +17 +15.3
Detachment Dark Angels Stormlance Task Force 1% 18% +17 +12.0
Unit Adeptus Custodes Venatari Custodians 33% 16% -17 -9.3
Unit Blood Angels Chief Librarian Mephiston 33% 16% -17 -5.7
Unit Adeptus Custodes Venatari with Verutum Lances 0% 17% +17 +15.1
Unit Adeptus Mechanicus Kataphron Destroyers 27% 10% -17 -6.1
Detachment Blood Angels Rage-cursed Onslaught 18% 1% -17 -8.0
Unit Adeptus Mechanicus Skitarii Vanguard 61% 44% -17 -4.7
Unit Space Wolves Blood Claws 41% 24% -17 -5.3
Unit Adeptus Mechanicus Belisarius Cawl 93% 77% -17 -6.6
Unit Blood Angels Redemptor Dreadnought 5% 21% +16 +7.5
Unit Adeptus Custodes Shield-Captain in Allarus Terminator Armour 48% 32% -16 -7.9
Unit Dark Angels Impulsor 5% 21% +16 +9.9
Unit Blood Angels Impulsor 10% 26% +16 +6.3
Unit Space Marines Lieutenant 26% 10% -16 -11.1
Detachment Blood Angels Ironclad Champions 0% 16% +16 +9.3
Unit Adeptus Mechanicus Skorpius Disintegrator 58% 74% +16 +4.8
Unit Dark Angels Assault Intercessor Squad 22% 6% -16 -9.1
Unit Space Marines Land Raider Redeemer 33% 18% -16 -9.5
Detachment Dark Angels Inner Circle Task Force 10% 26% +16 +8.2
Unit Space Wolves Outrider Squad 3% 19% +16 +7.6
Enhancement Black Templars Blades of Valour 17% 1% -15 -6.2
Enhancement Space Marines Celerity 17% 1% -15 -14.7
Unit Space Wolves Impulsor 7% 23% +15 +6.4
Detachment Orks Bully Boyz 19% 35% +15 +8.7
Enhancement Adeptus Custodes Superior Creation 31% 16% -15 -8.4
Unit Black Templars Apothecary 6% 21% +15 +5.0
Enhancement Adeptus Mechanicus Vingh's Wafers of Dynamism 27% 12% -15 -5.4
Detachment Tyranids Subterranean Assault 16% 31% +15 +7.7
Unit Dark Angels Outrider Squad 63% 48% -15 -5.9
Unit Orks Big Mek With Shokk Attack Gun 45% 31% -15 -7.6
Enhancement Adeptus Mechanicus Radial Suffusion 17% 3% -15 -6.8
Detachment Grey Knights Warpbane Task Force 30% 44% +15 +4.2
Unit Dark Angels Lion El’jonson 84% 70% -14 -6.8
Unit World Eaters Chaos Rhino 55% 70% +14 +6.1
Enhancement Adeptus Custodes Admonimortis 31% 16% -14 -7.9
Unit World Eaters Khorne Berzerkers 70% 84% +14 +7.0
Unit Orks Meganobz 34% 48% +14 +7.2
Unit Space Marines Infernus Squad 30% 16% -14 -8.8
Unit Chaos Space Marines Chaos Terminator Squad 41% 55% +14 +5.3
Unit Black Templars Crusade Ancient 27% 13% -14 -4.0
Detachment Space Wolves Terminator Storm Force 0% 14% +14 +8.1
Unit Orks Big Mek Dakkarig 63% 49% -14 -7.0
Unit Space Marines Librarian In Phobos Armour 2% 16% +14 +12.4
Detachment Emperor's Children Carnival of Excess 21% 7% -14 -6.7
Unit Emperor's Children Lucius the Eternal 64% 78% +14 +5.3
Unit Grey Knights Razorback 16% 30% +14 +4.6
Enhancement Blood Angels Angelic Executioner 1% 15% +14 +7.8
Unit Emperor's Children Flawless Blades 74% 88% +14 +6.0
Unit Space Wolves Captain on Bike 0% 14% +14 +8.1
Unit Space Marines Land Speeder 29% 16% -14 -8.6
Unit Black Templars Bladeguard Ancient 4% 18% +14 +5.0
Unit Chaos Space Marines Sorcerer In Terminator Armour 22% 36% +14 +5.6
Unit Space Wolves Bladeguard Veteran Squad 3% 16% +14 +6.9
Unit Emperor's Children Daemonettes 20% 6% -13 -6.8
Detachment Emperor's Children Frenzied Host 28% 15% -13 -5.6
Unit Space Wolves Chaplain On Bike 0% 14% +13 +7.7
Unit Blood Angels Vindicator 15% 1% -13 -6.8
Detachment Blood Angels Ironstorm Spearhead 0% 14% +13 +8.1
Detachment Space Marines Deathwatch Support 0% 13% +13 +13.2
Enhancement Black Templars Hero of the Chapter 14% 0% -13 -5.9
Unit Adeptus Custodes Shield-Captain 10% 23% +13 +8.4
Unit Dark Angels Belial 2% 15% +13 +9.3
Unit Black Templars Rhino 0% 13% +13 +5.8
Unit Tyranids Trygon 15% 28% +13 +6.9
Unit Black Templars Inceptor Squad 3% 16% +13 +5.0
Unit Space Marines Reiver Squad 7% 20% +13 +9.7
Detachment Imperial Knights Freeblade Company 26% 39% +13 +4.5
Unit Blood Angels Infiltrator Squad 17% 4% -13 -5.8
Detachment Blood Angels Terminator Storm Force 0% 13% +13 +8.2
Enhancement Blood Angels Gift of Foresight 14% 1% -12 -6.5
Detachment Black Templars Wrathful Procession 15% 2% -12 -5.1
Unit Space Wolves Terminator Squad 5% 17% +12 +5.8
Enhancement Space Marines Fusillade 13% 0% -12 -13.4
Detachment Adeptus Custodes Shield Host 25% 12% -12 -7.4
Detachment Space Marines Ironstorm Spearhead 3% 15% +12 +10.7
Enhancement Emperor's Children Possessed Blade 17% 5% -12 -6.6
Unit World Eaters Lord Invocatus 40% 28% -12 -5.3
Enhancement Black Templars Redoubtable Machine Spirit 0% 13% +12 +5.6
Unit Space Marines Infiltrator Squad 17% 5% -12 -10.3
Detachment Space Marines Reclamation Force 12% 0% -12 -13.5
Detachment Space Marines Forgefather's Seekers 24% 12% -12 -8.1
Unit Aeldari Autarch 11% 23% +12 +4.9
Unit World Eaters Master of Executions 32% 44% +12 +5.1
Enhancement Black Templars Consecrating Aura 6% 18% +12 +4.2
Detachment Dark Angels Terminator Storm Force 0% 12% +12 +10.2
Detachment Blood Angels Legacy of Grace 12% 0% -12 -6.7
Enhancement Blood Angels Rage-fuelled Warrior 13% 1% -12 -6.4
Enhancement Space Marines Immolator 17% 6% -12 -9.7
Detachment Black Templars Companions of Vehemence 14% 2% -12 -4.9
Detachment Space Marines Vengeful Hosts 12% 1% -12 -12.6
Enhancement Tyranids Trygon Prime 9% 21% +12 +7.0
Unit Space Marines Vulkan He’stan 26% 14% -12 -7.6
Unit Adeptus Custodes Sentinel Guard Sodality 0% 12% +12 +12.3
Detachment World Eaters Berzerker Warband 59% 71% +11 +4.9
Enhancement Space Wolves Champion of the First Company 0% 11% +11 +7.2
Detachment Adeptus Mechanicus Skitarii Hunter Cohort 19% 7% -11 -4.7
Unit Space Marines Vanguard Veteran Squad With Jump Packs 22% 11% -11 -8.0
Unit Thousand Sons Rubric Marines 87% 76% -11 -4.2
Detachment Emperor's Children Slaanesh's Chosen 0% 11% +11 +9.3
Enhancement Orks Dreadherder 29% 18% -11 -6.5
Enhancement Orks Supa-snazz Dakka 25% 14% -11 -6.8
Unit Black Templars Infiltrator Squad 15% 5% -11 -4.1
Unit Space Marines Kaius Konorius 0% 11% +11 +11.8
Detachment Blood Angels Stormlance Task Force 18% 7% -11 -4.7
Unit World Eaters Khârn The Betrayer 61% 72% +11 +4.7
Unit Blood Angels Brutalis Dreadnought 5% 15% +10 +5.3
Unit Black Templars Reiver Squad 3% 13% +10 +4.4
Unit Orks Ghazghkull Thraka 38% 49% +10 +5.2
Enhancement Imperial Knights Hunter's Eye 18% 28% +10 +4.1
Unit Space Marines Vindicator 11% 1% -10 -11.3
Unit Dark Angels Company Heroes 0% 11% +10 +9.1
Detachment Dark Angels Librarius Conclave 11% 1% -10 -8.5
Detachment Space Marines Ironclad Champions 0% 10% +10 +11.5
Unit Space Marines Ancient In Terminator Armour 16% 26% +10 +6.4
Unit Space Marines Aggressor Squad 28% 18% -10 -6.2
Unit Blood Angels Librarian In Phobos Armour 0% 10% +10 +7.1
Unit Death Guard Noxious Blightbringer 24% 34% +10 +4.2
Unit Blood Angels Inceptor Squad 11% 21% +10 +4.0
Enhancement Blood Angels Artificer Sarcophagus 0% 10% +10 +7.2
Unit Dark Angels Techmarine 16% 6% -10 -6.1
Unit Dark Angels Lieutenant 14% 4% -10 -6.8
Unit Tyranids Genestealers 37% 27% -10 -4.4
Unit World Eaters Lord on Juggernaut 22% 32% +10 +4.5
Unit Dark Angels Inceptor Squad 8% 18% +10 +5.7
Unit Space Marines Bladeguard Veteran Squad 48% 39% -10 -5.1
Detachment Blood Angels Wrath of the Doomed 3% 13% +10 +5.4
Detachment Black Templars Vindication Task Force 11% 2% -10 -4.5
Enhancement Space Marines Artificer Sarcophagus 0% 10% +10 +11.2
Unit Blood Angels Reiver Squad 6% 16% +10 +4.6
Unit Space Marines Eradicator Squad 23% 13% -10 -6.5
Enhancement Space Wolves Grimnar's Mark 13% 4% -10 -5.1
Unit Dark Angels Chaplain On Bike 9% 19% +10 +5.5
Unit Dark Angels Incursor Squad 13% 23% +10 +5.0
Unit Dark Angels Terminator Assault Squad 4% 14% +10 +6.6
Unit Blood Angels Chaplain On Bike 2% 12% +10 +5.8
Unit Orks Trukk 47% 38% -9 -4.8
Unit Tyranids Maleceptor 45% 54% +9 +4.0
Detachment World Eaters Possessed Slaughterband 17% 8% -9 -6.0
Unit Space Wolves Iron Priest 15% 5% -9 -4.6
Unit Space Marines Company Heroes 13% 22% +9 +6.3
Unit Space Marines Chaplain On Bike 3% 12% +9 +9.1
Detachment Dark Angels Ironstorm Spearhead 1% 10% +9 +8.3
Unit Tyranids Broodlord 34% 25% -9 -4.2
Unit Space Wolves Infiltrator Squad 13% 3% -9 -5.0
Unit Emperor's Children Fiends 14% 5% -9 -5.3
Unit Adeptus Custodes Allarus Custodians 92% 83% -9 -6.5
Unit Space Wolves Bladeguard Ancient 0% 9% +9 +6.3
Detachment World Eaters Butchers of Khorne 7% 16% +9 +5.7
Unit Space Marines Captain Titus 13% 4% -9 -8.6
Detachment Space Wolves Veterans of the Fang 10% 1% -9 -5.9
Detachment Black Templars The Living Miracle 10% 1% -9 -4.6
Unit Orks Tankbustas 54% 45% -9 -4.4
Unit Blood Angels Ancient In Terminator Armour 5% 14% +9 +4.5
Enhancement Adeptus Mechanicus Cantic Thrallnet 13% 4% -9 -4.3
Enhancement Black Templars Guiding Omens 9% 1% -9 -4.5
Detachment Blood Angels Vengeful Hosts 9% 1% -8 -5.5
Detachment Orks Dread Mob 39% 31% -8 -4.4
Unit Space Marines Outrider Squad 11% 20% +8 +6.0
Enhancement World Eaters Gore-stained Veterans 4% 12% +8 +6.1
Unit Adeptus Custodes Inquisitor Draxus 15% 7% -8 -6.2
Unit Blood Angels Librarian 12% 4% -8 -4.3
Detachment Space Marines Devastator Brethren 0% 8% +8 +10.3
Unit Dark Angels Infiltrator Squad 12% 4% -8 -5.8
Unit Space Marines Gladiator Lancer 17% 9% -8 -6.3
Enhancement Blood Angels Carmine Reliquary 8% 0% -8 -5.5

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Space Marines2,000 pts
Assault Brethren, Deathwatch Support, and Terminator Storm Force · Take and Hold
Won the event · record 7-1 · 131 players · 8 rounds · 9 Oct
Won an event of 100+ players
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Roboute Guilliman415Emperor’s Sword, Hand of Dominion
Librarian In Phobos Armour75
Battleline
Heavy Intercessor Squad115Bolt Pistol, Ceramite Fists, Heavy Bolt Rifle
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor70Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Impulsor70Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Allied Units
Deathwatch Terminator Squad200Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer, Chainfist, Plasma Cannon
Deathwatch Terminator Squad200Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer, Chainfist, Plasma Cannon
Other Units
Bladeguard Veteran Squad + Furious Assault190Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Sword
Marneus Calgar180Gauntlets of Ultramar
Wardens of Ultramar115Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Bolt Rifle, Ceramite Fists, Archeotech Laspistol, Power Weapon ...
Eradicator Squad100
Eradicator Squad100
Reiver Squad85Grapnel Launchers, Grav-chutes, Bolt Carbine, Monomolecular Combat Knife, Special-issue Bolt Pistol
Reiver Squad85Grapnel Launchers, Grav-chutes, Bolt Carbine, Monomolecular Combat Knife, Special-issue Bolt Pistol
Necrons2,000 pts
Cryptek Conclave + Hand of the Dynasty · Priority Assets
Won the event · record 6-0 · 94 players · 6 rounds · 10 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Nekrosor Ammentar185Blade tail and whip coils, Enmitic disintegrators, Nullstone Field Generator (Aura), Unmaker Gauntlet
Illuminor Szeras175Eldritch Lance, Impaling legs
Battleline
Immortals + Tools of Dominion155Close combat weapon, Gauss blaster
Immortals + Tools of Dominion155Close combat weapon, Gauss blaster
Immortals + Tools of Dominion155Close combat weapon, Gauss blaster
Other Units
Triarch Praetorians160Particle caster, Voidblade
Triarch Praetorians160Particle caster, Voidblade
Tomb Blades140Close combat weapon, Nebuloscope, Particle beamer
Ophydian Destroyers80Ophydian hyperphase weapons, Plasmacyte
Canoptek Reanimator75Atomiser beam, Reanimator’s claws
Plasmancer60Plasmic lance
Plasmancer60Plasmic lance
Plasmancer60Plasmic lance
Royal Warden50Close combat weapon, Relic gauss blaster
Royal Warden50Close combat weapon, Relic gauss blaster
Royal Warden50Close combat weapon, Relic gauss blaster
Canoptek Tomb Crawlers50Claws, Transdimensional isolator, Twin gauss reaper
Canoptek Tomb Crawlers50Claws, Transdimensional isolator, Twin gauss reaper
Canoptek Tomb Crawlers50Claws, Transdimensional isolator, Twin gauss reaper
Canoptek Scarab Swarms40Feeder mandibles
Canoptek Scarab Swarms40Feeder mandibles
World Eaters2,000 pts
Berzerker Warband + Vessels of Wrath · Purge the Foe
2nd place · record 7-1 · 131 players · 8 rounds · 9 Oct
11 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Angron330Samni’arius and Spinegrinder
Battleline
Khorne Berzerkers330Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers330Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers330Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers170Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino75Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Khârn The Betrayer115
Lord on Juggernaut + Battle-lust115Bladed horn, Exalted chainblade, Plasma pistol
Master of Executions + Favoured of Khorne80Axe of dismemberment, Bolt pistol
Jakhals65Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade
Master of Executions + Favoured of Khorne60Axe of dismemberment, Bolt pistol

Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)

Adeptus Custodes, whose codex this was, went from 54.9% to 51.6% and from 6.5% to 7.0% of games.

One faction changed win rate in the 28 days after: Space Marines +5.2 points (47.3% to 52.5%).

The first player's win rate went from 52.0% to 50.4%.

Force Disposition choice changed: Take and Hold went from 29.6% to 33.5% of games.

54 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Assault Brethren in Blood Angels (2% to 77%), Assault Brethren in Black Templars (1% to 69%) and Assault Brethren in Space Wolves (1% to 54%).

130 units shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Prosecutor Squad in Adeptus Custodes (1% to 58%), Witchseeker Squad in Adeptus Custodes (0% to 53%) and Witchseekers in Adeptus Custodes (67% to 14%).

38 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of their faction's lists. Largest: Furious Assault in Blood Angels (17% to 62%), Augury Uplink (one per army) in Adeptus Custodes (0% to 44%) and Martial Signatum Amplificator in Adeptus Mechanicus (15% to 53%).

Only 9 days of data follow it, so the picture is still forming.

Faction Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
Space Marines 4,158 / 2,622 47.3% to 52.5% +5.2 +4.2 7.0% to 9.8%
Type Faction Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Blood Angels Assault Brethren 2% 77% +75 +20.0
Detachment Black Templars Assault Brethren 1% 69% +67 +14.7
Unit Adeptus Custodes Prosecutor Squad 1% 58% +58 +28.1
Unit Adeptus Custodes Witchseeker Squad 0% 53% +53 +26.6
Detachment Space Wolves Assault Brethren 1% 54% +53 +16.3
Unit Adeptus Custodes Witchseekers 67% 14% -52 -20.7
Unit Adeptus Custodes Prosecutors 65% 13% -52 -20.6
Unit Adeptus Custodes Custodian Guard 62% 11% -52 -20.6
Unit Space Marines Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 8% 60% +52 +25.9
Unit Adeptus Custodes Vertus Praetors 75% 24% -51 -20.4
All 222 shifts: 212 more rows
Type Faction Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Dark Angels Assault Brethren 3% 52% +49 +20.5
Unit Adeptus Custodes Custodian Wardens 77% 28% -49 -19.6
Detachment Space Wolves Legends of Saga and Song 46% 0% -46 -12.8
Enhancement Blood Angels Furious Assault 17% 62% +45 +11.6
Unit Adeptus Custodes Telemon Heavy Dreadnought 12% 57% +45 +19.9
Detachment Space Marines Assault Brethren 2% 47% +44 +25.3
Enhancement Adeptus Custodes Augury Uplink (one per army) 0% 44% +44 +23.9
Detachment Adeptus Custodes Might of the Moritoi 14% 57% +43 +18.8
Detachment Blood Angels Tacticus Attack Force 1% 43% +42 +13.7
Unit Adeptus Custodes Blade Champion 57% 15% -42 -16.7
Unit Adeptus Custodes Contemptor-Galatus Dreadnought 8% 49% +41 +19.6
Detachment Adeptus Mechanicus Eradication Cohort 17% 58% +41 +10.4
Detachment Space Marines Terminator Storm Force 2% 42% +41 +24.1
Unit Adeptus Custodes Trajann Valoris 32% 71% +39 +15.6
Enhancement Adeptus Mechanicus Martial Signatum Amplificator 15% 53% +38 +9.9
Unit Space Wolves Bjorn The Fell-handed 64% 27% -37 -9.4
Detachment Adeptus Mechanicus Lords of the Forge 58% 22% -36 -8.5
Unit Blood Angels Death Company Marines With Jump Packs 65% 29% -35 -8.6
Detachment Adeptus Mechanicus Cohort Cybernetica 49% 84% +35 +8.6
Enhancement Blood Angels Imperium's Sword 12% 46% +33 +9.4
Unit Blood Angels Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 2% 35% +33 +11.5
Detachment Dark Angels Company of Hunters 33% 0% -33 -13.4
Unit Adeptus Custodes Custodian Guard Sodality 0% 33% +33 +20.1
Detachment Blood Angels Liberator Assault Group 32% 0% -32 -9.7
Unit Adeptus Custodes Caladius Annihilator Grav-Tank 0% 32% +32 +19.8
Unit Dark Angels Azrael 66% 34% -31 -10.5
Unit Adeptus Custodes Valerian 37% 6% -31 -14.1
Unit Space Wolves Arjac Rockfist 58% 27% -31 -7.8
Unit Black Templars Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 4% 35% +30 +8.1
Unit Adeptus Custodes Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike 45% 15% -30 -12.6
Enhancement Adeptus Mechanicus Necromechanic 43% 72% +30 +7.1
Enhancement Space Wolves Fierce Example 30% 0% -30 -9.6
Enhancement Black Templars Furious Assault 21% 50% +29 +6.1
Unit Adeptus Mechanicus Cybernetica Datasmith 61% 90% +29 +7.6
Enhancement Adeptus Custodes Memento Moritoi (one per army) 0% 29% +29 +18.7
Unit Adeptus Mechanicus Kastelan Robots 61% 89% +29 +7.5
Detachment Black Templars Tacticus Attack Force 0% 29% +29 +8.7
Enhancement Dark Angels Recon Hunter 28% 0% -28 -12.0
Unit Adeptus Custodes Shield-Captain in Allarus Terminator Armour 48% 20% -27 -11.2
Unit Space Marines Eradicator Squad 27% 0% -27 -16.9
Unit Adeptus Custodes Venatari with Verutum Lances 0% 27% +27 +18.0
Unit Adeptus Mechanicus Servitor Battleclade 65% 38% -27 -6.5
Unit Blood Angels Lemartes 52% 25% -27 -6.6
Detachment Space Marines Librarius Conclave 27% 0% -27 -16.8
Unit Dark Angels Ravenwing Command Squad 55% 28% -27 -8.9
Unit Space Wolves Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 2% 29% +26 +10.2
Unit Space Marines Impulsor 22% 48% +26 +12.8
Unit Blood Angels Intercessor Squad 48% 22% -26 -6.5
Unit Dark Angels Sammael 52% 26% -26 -8.8
Enhancement Black Templars Imperium's Sword 14% 40% +26 +6.0
Enhancement Adeptus Custodes Admonimortis 32% 6% -26 -12.3
Detachment Blood Angels Ironclad Champions 0% 26% +25 +10.4
Enhancement Space Wolves Furious Assault 10% 35% +25 +8.1
Unit Black Templars Marshal 50% 25% -25 -5.0
Enhancement Space Wolves Imperium's Sword 8% 32% +24 +8.1
Unit Black Templars Intercessor Squad 51% 27% -24 -4.7
Unit Space Wolves Intercessor Squad 38% 14% -24 -6.5
Unit Dark Angels Land Speeder Vengeance 46% 23% -23 -8.0
Unit Adeptus Mechanicus Tech-priest Manipulus 39% 16% -23 -6.0
Enhancement Space Wolves Wolf-Touched 11% 34% +23 +7.4
Unit Dark Angels Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 3% 26% +23 +12.2
Unit Dark Angels Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 41% 19% -23 -8.0
Detachment World Eaters Vessels of Wrath 27% 49% +22 +8.4
Unit Space Wolves Wolf Guard Terminators 78% 56% -22 -6.1
Unit Space Wolves Thunderwolf Cavalry 37% 59% +22 +5.6
Enhancement Adeptus Custodes Superior Creation 29% 7% -22 -10.6
Unit Space Marines Marneus Calgar 11% 33% +22 +12.6
Detachment Dark Angels Darkflight Pursuit 42% 20% -22 -7.6
Unit Dark Angels Ravenwing Black Knights 36% 15% -22 -8.0
Unit Blood Angels Company Heroes 6% 28% +22 +7.5
Unit Space Marines Intercessor Squad 47% 25% -22 -10.2
Unit Blood Angels Chaplain With Jump Pack 33% 11% -21 -6.0
Unit Adeptus Custodes Venatari Custodians 29% 8% -21 -10.3
Enhancement Dark Angels Imperium's Sword 11% 32% +21 +9.1
Enhancement Dark Angels Nightforged Battery 30% 9% -21 -8.3
Detachment Space Marines Deathwatch Support 1% 21% +21 +16.6
Unit Black Templars Assault Intercessor Squad 55% 35% -21 -4.1
Enhancement Space Marines Furious Assault 13% 33% +21 +11.6
Unit Adeptus Mechanicus Skorpius Dunerider 35% 15% -21 -5.4
Enhancement Dark Angels Furious Assault 12% 32% +20 +8.7
Detachment Space Wolves Terminator Storm Force 2% 22% +20 +8.9
Unit Space Marines Librarian 27% 7% -20 -11.6
Detachment Adeptus Custodes Shield Host 24% 5% -20 -10.2
Unit Blood Angels Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 46% 27% -19 -4.8
Unit Adeptus Custodes Sentinel Guard Sodality 0% 19% +19 +15.1
Detachment Blood Angels Encarmine Speartip 11% 30% +19 +6.0
Detachment Blood Angels Terminator Storm Force 0% 19% +19 +8.7
Unit Black Templars Lieutenant 33% 14% -19 -4.2
Unit Grey Knights Purgation Squad 43% 24% -19 -4.2
Unit Space Wolves Ancient In Terminator Armour 14% 32% +19 +5.8
Detachment Grey Knights Warpbane Task Force 33% 51% +19 +4.2
Detachment Dark Angels Terminator Storm Force 1% 19% +19 +12.0
Unit Adeptus Custodes Shield-Captain 11% 30% +18 +9.5
Unit Blood Angels Bladeguard Veteran Squad 48% 29% -18 -4.5
Unit Space Marines Deathwatch Terminator Squad 4% 23% +18 +12.8
Unit Adeptus Mechanicus Tech-priest Enginseer 60% 78% +18 +4.5
Detachment Adeptus Mechanicus Rad-zone Corps 19% 1% -18 -6.3
Unit Dark Angels Scout Squad 70% 52% -18 -6.2
Detachment Space Wolves Stormlance Task Force 8% 26% +18 +6.4
Unit Dark Angels Land Speeder 44% 26% -18 -6.1
Unit Space Marines Marneus Calgar in Armour of Antilochus 18% 0% -18 -13.1
Unit Adepta Sororitas Intranzia Fraye 53% 71% +18 +4.3
Unit Black Templars Apothecary 9% 26% +18 +4.8
Unit Space Wolves Impulsor 12% 29% +18 +5.8
Detachment Dark Angels Wrath of the Rock 31% 49% +17 +6.0
Unit Adeptus Mechanicus Kataphron Destroyers 23% 6% -17 -5.5
Unit Space Wolves Outrider Squad 7% 24% +17 +6.4
Detachment Black Templars Ironstorm Spearhead 10% 27% +17 +4.5
Unit Dark Angels Invader Atv 17% 0% -17 -9.0
Unit Blood Angels Chief Librarian Mephiston 30% 13% -17 -4.8
Detachment Black Templars Bastion Task Force 17% 0% -17 -5.4
Unit Dark Angels Deathwing Terminator Squad 14% 30% +16 +6.9
Unit Space Marines Librarian In Terminator Armour 21% 5% -16 -10.5
Unit Space Marines Reiver Squad 9% 25% +16 +10.3
Enhancement Space Wolves Thirst for Glory 16% 0% -16 -6.7
Enhancement Space Marines Temporal Corridor 16% 0% -16 -12.4
Unit Aeldari Autarch 12% 27% +15 +5.0
Detachment Blood Angels Ironstorm Spearhead 3% 18% +15 +6.7
Unit Orks Flash Gitz 46% 30% -15 -6.5
Detachment Space Marines Ironclad Champions 1% 16% +15 +13.8
Unit Space Marines Librarian In Phobos Armour 5% 20% +15 +10.9
Unit Dark Angels Impulsor 10% 25% +15 +7.0
Unit Chaos Space Marines Chaos Terminator Squad 45% 60% +15 +4.3
Unit Space Wolves Chaplain On Bike 4% 18% +15 +6.4
Unit World Eaters Angron 68% 83% +15 +6.0
Unit Blood Angels Impulsor 14% 29% +15 +4.4
Unit Space Wolves Captain on Bike 4% 18% +14 +6.3
Unit Space Marines Roboute Guilliman 14% 28% +14 +8.1
Enhancement Space Marines Imperium's Sword 10% 24% +14 +8.9
Unit Space Marines Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 25% 12% -14 -7.9
Unit Orks Ghazghkull Thraka 39% 52% +14 +5.7
Enhancement Adeptus Mechanicus TL-4ø9 17% 4% -14 -4.9
Unit Adeptus Mechanicus Belisarius Cawl 88% 74% -14 -4.3
Unit Dark Angels Outrider Squad 59% 46% -13 -4.4
Unit Dark Angels Assault Intercessor Squad 16% 3% -13 -6.8
Detachment Emperor's Children Frenzied Host 24% 11% -13 -4.4
Unit Dark Angels Intercessor Squad 42% 29% -13 -4.5
Detachment Dark Angels Inner Circle Task Force 15% 28% +13 +5.4
Unit Orks Nazdreg 33% 46% +13 +5.5
Unit World Eaters Master of Executions 34% 47% +13 +4.8
Unit Orks Big Mek Dakkarig 60% 47% -13 -5.4
Detachment Blood Angels Rage-cursed Onslaught 13% 0% -13 -5.7
Enhancement World Eaters Berzerker Glaive 33% 45% +13 +4.7
Detachment Space Marines Devastator Brethren 0% 13% +13 +12.6
Unit Orks Big Mek With Shokk Attack Gun 41% 29% -12 -5.3
Unit Space Wolves Land Raider Redeemer 20% 8% -12 -4.3
Enhancement Adeptus Mechanicus Peerless Eradicator 14% 1% -12 -5.0
Unit Adeptus Custodes Caladius Grav-Tank 18% 5% -12 -7.2
Unit Dark Angels Lion El’jonson 80% 68% -12 -4.7
Detachment Tyranids Subterranean Assault 20% 32% +12 +4.8
Unit Tyranids The Red Terror 44% 56% +12 +4.1
Unit Black Templars Rhino 4% 16% +12 +4.0
Enhancement Black Templars Blades of Valour 12% 0% -12 -4.4
Unit Blood Angels Reiver Squad 8% 19% +12 +4.3
Unit Adeptus Custodes Allarus Custodians 90% 79% -12 -6.6
Unit Adeptus Custodes Inquisitor Draxus 14% 2% -12 -7.7
Detachment Adeptus Mechanicus Skitarii Hunter Cohort 15% 3% -12 -4.4
Unit World Eaters Forgefiend 62% 50% -11 -4.1
Detachment Adeptus Custodes Auric Champions 1% 12% +11 +10.3
Unit Space Marines Scout Squad 56% 45% -11 -5.1
Detachment Orks Dread Mob 39% 28% -11 -4.8
Enhancement Orks Dreadherder 27% 16% -11 -5.4
Enhancement Orks Supa-snazz Dakka 23% 12% -11 -5.9
Enhancement Adeptus Mechanicus Radial Suffusion 12% 1% -11 -4.6
Detachment Orks Bully Boyz 26% 37% +11 +4.9
Unit Adeptus Custodes Aquilon Terminators with Solarite Power Gauntlets 0% 11% +11 +11.1
Detachment Black Templars Wrathful Procession 11% 0% -11 -4.3
Unit World Eaters Chaos Spawn 24% 14% -11 -4.8
Unit Orks Mek 33% 23% -11 -4.8
Detachment Emperor's Children Slaanesh's Chosen 3% 14% +11 +5.9
Detachment Emperor's Children Carnival of Excess 15% 4% -10 -4.3
Detachment Black Templars Companions of Vehemence 10% 0% -10 -4.2
Unit Space Marines Lieutenant 19% 9% -10 -6.6
Enhancement Blood Angels Angelic Executioner 6% 16% +10 +4.2
Unit Dark Angels Incursor Squad 16% 26% +10 +4.2
Unit Blood Angels Eradicator Squad 10% 0% -10 -5.0
Enhancement Blood Angels Gift of Foresight 10% 0% -10 -5.0
Unit Orks Tankbustas 53% 43% -10 -4.1
Unit Death Guard Knight Despoiler 2% 12% +10 +6.7
Unit Blood Angels Vindicator 10% 0% -10 -4.8
Unit Space Marines Infernus Squad 24% 14% -10 -5.5
Unit Orks Meganobz 40% 50% +10 +4.0
Detachment Space Marines Gravis Siege Force 0% 10% +10 +11.1
Unit Chaos Daemons Daemon Prince Of Chaos With Wings 4% 14% +10 +4.9
Detachment Dark Angels Stormlance Task Force 8% 17% +10 +5.0
Enhancement Space Marines Celerity 10% 0% -10 -9.4
Unit Dark Angels Belial 7% 16% +9 +5.1
Unit Emperor's Children Daemonettes 13% 4% -9 -4.0
Unit Space Wolves Company Heroes 1% 10% +9 +5.6
Enhancement Blood Angels Artificer Sarcophagus 2% 12% +9 +4.7
Unit Dark Angels Inceptor Squad 11% 21% +9 +4.3
Enhancement Adeptus Custodes Sally Forth 0% 9% +9 +9.9
Enhancement Adeptus Custodes Panoptispex 10% 1% -9 -7.1
Detachment World Eaters Butchers of Khorne 9% 18% +9 +4.9
Detachment Dark Angels Deathwatch Support 0% 9% +9 +8.3
Unit Blood Angels Librarian In Phobos Armour 3% 12% +9 +4.5
Enhancement Adeptus Custodes Interred Expertise 10% 1% -9 -7.0
Unit Space Marines Infiltrator Squad 13% 4% -9 -7.0
Detachment Adeptus Custodes Tharanatoi Hammerblow 12% 3% -9 -6.2
Unit Dark Angels Company Heroes 4% 12% +9 +5.9
Unit Space Marines Company Heroes 15% 24% +9 +5.0
Unit Dark Angels Terminator Assault Squad 7% 16% +9 +4.7
Unit Orks Warboss In Mega Armour 8% 17% +9 +5.6
Enhancement Blood Angels Rage-fuelled Warrior 8% 0% -8 -4.6
Unit Space Marines Land Raider Redeemer 25% 17% -8 -4.6
Detachment Blood Angels Legacy of Grace 8% 0% -8 -4.5
Detachment Space Marines Forgefather's Seekers 19% 11% -8 -5.1
Enhancement Space Marines Immolator 12% 4% -8 -6.5
Unit Space Marines Captain Titus 11% 3% -8 -7.0
Unit Dark Angels Lieutenant 10% 2% -8 -5.0
Unit Space Marines Land Speeder 23% 15% -8 -4.6
Detachment Dark Angels Ironstorm Spearhead 4% 12% +8 +5.4

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Adeptus Mechanicus2,000 pts
Cohort Cybernetica + Eradication Cohort · Take and Hold
Won the event · record 8-0 · 143 players · 8 rounds · 23 Oct
Won an event of 100+ players
46 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Belisarius Cawl220Arc scourge, Cawl's Omnissian axe, Mechadendrite hive, Solar atomiser
Thulia Ghuld180Jericho-class conversion resonator, Rod of the War Forge
Tech-priest Enginseer75
Battleline
Skitarii Rangers85Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Skitarii Rangers85Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Other Units
Kastelan Robots300Heavy phosphor blaster, Twin Kastelan fist
Ironstrider Ballistarii250Ironstrider Ballistarius (Twin cognis autocannon), Ironstrider feet, Twin cognis autocannon
Skorpius Disintegrator170Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Skorpius Disintegrator170Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Onager Dunecrawler150Broad spectrum data-tether, Cognis heavy stubber, Dunecrawler legs, Twin Onager heavy phosphor blaster
Pteraxii Skystalkers75Flechette blaster, Taser goad, Close combat weapon, Flechette carbine
Pteraxii Skystalkers75Flechette blaster, Taser goad, Close combat weapon, Flechette carbine
Sicarian Infiltrators75Flechette blaster, Taser goad
Serberys Sulphurhounds55Cavalry arc maul, Clawed limbs, Mechanicus pistol, Sulphur breath, Phosphor blast carbine, Phosphor pistol
Cybernetica Datasmith + Martial Signatum Amplificator35Mechanicus pistol, Power fist
Grey Knights1,995 pts
Warpbane Task Force · Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 6-0 · 85 players · 6 rounds · 17 Oct
13 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight250
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight240
Battleline
Brotherhood Terminator Squad195Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Psycannon, Ancient’s Banner
Strike Squad125Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Close Combat Weapon, Psycannon
Dedicated Transports
Razorback75Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm Bolter, Twin lascannon
Razorback75Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm Bolter, Twin lascannon
Allied Units
Eversor Assassin110Executioner pistol, Power sword and neuro gauntlet
Other Units
Purifier Squad290Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter, Close combat weapon, Psycannon
Purifier Squad145Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter, Close combat weapon, Psycannon
Interceptor Squad135Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter
Interceptor Squad135Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter
Grand Master + Radiant Champion115Nemesis force weapon, Psycannon
Castellan Crowe105Black Blade of Antwyr, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter
Adepta Sororitas2,000 pts
Bringers of Flame + Chorus of Condemnation · Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 102 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
Won an event of 100+ players
60 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Intranzia Fraye135Heavy bolter, Mace of Saint Praxedes, Melta missile array, Ministorum heavy flamer, Throne of Blame
Dedicated Transports
Immolator100Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Immolator100Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Immolator100Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Other Units
Morvenn Vahl215Fidelis, Lance of Illumination, Paragon missile launcher
Castigator185Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Exorcist + Symphonic Payload185Armoured tracks, Exorcist missile launcher, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile
Paragon Warsuits165Bolt pistol, Heavy bolter, Paragon grenade launchers, Paragon war blade
Castigator165Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Castigator165Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Mortifiers130Anchorite Sarcophagus, Heavy bolter, Twin penitent buzz-blades
Dominion Squad100Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Dominion Squad90Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Dominion Squad90Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Seraphim Squad75Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Ministorum hand flamer

Factions compared

Season win rate by faction

Faction Games Share Win rate 95% CI Top-10% ratio First-turn diff (pp) Top-10% z
Orks 16,345 6.5% 55.6% 54.8% to 56.3% 1.54x +4.9 +8.8
Chaos Daemons 9,478 3.8% 54.8% 53.8% to 55.8% 1.20x +3.0 +2.5
Adeptus Custodes 15,013 6.0% 54.4% 53.6% to 55.2% 1.13x +1.4 +2.0
Deathwatch 1,715 0.7% 53.7% 51.3% to 56.1% 1.23x +4.0 +1.3
Dark Angels 11,069 4.4% 53.5% 52.5% to 54.4% 1.34x +1.7 +4.7
T'au Empire 12,041 4.8% 51.8% 51.0% to 52.7% 1.23x +1.9 +3.2
Leagues of Votann 8,631 3.5% 51.8% 50.7% to 52.8% 1.21x +2.8 +2.5
Necrons 15,379 6.2% 51.5% 50.8% to 52.3% 1.05x +1.3 +0.9
Emperor's Children 10,578 4.2% 51.4% 50.5% to 52.4% 1.03x +2.4 +0.4
Adeptus Mechanicus 5,802 2.3% 50.6% 49.3% to 51.8% 1.01x +2.9 +0.1
Thousand Sons 8,243 3.3% 50.3% 49.2% to 51.3% 1.29x +5.8 +3.3
Adepta Sororitas 5,872 2.3% 50.2% 49.0% to 51.5% 1.07x +2.0 +0.7
World Eaters 10,560 4.2% 49.9% 49.0% to 50.9% 0.78x +0.9 -2.8
Tyranids 13,907 5.6% 49.8% 49.0% to 50.7% 0.87x +1.2 -2.0
Space Wolves 6,520 2.6% 49.1% 47.9% to 50.3% 0.83x +2.0 -1.9
Imperial Knights 9,758 3.9% 48.6% 47.6% to 49.6% 0.78x +1.6 -2.8
Space Marines 18,737 7.5% 48.6% 47.8% to 49.3% 1.03x +1.8 +0.5
Death Guard 10,233 4.1% 48.1% 47.2% to 49.1% 0.70x +3.4 -3.8
Genestealer Cult 3,617 1.4% 47.5% 45.9% to 49.2% 1.01x +6.6 +0.1
Grey Knights 6,242 2.5% 47.1% 45.9% to 48.3% 0.75x -5.0 -2.5
Chaos Space Marines 11,032 4.4% 47.1% 46.1% to 48.0% 0.86x +2.9 -1.8
Chaos Knights 6,148 2.5% 46.9% 45.7% to 48.2% 0.59x +1.4 -3.9
Drukhari 5,741 2.3% 46.9% 45.6% to 48.2% 0.92x -1.3 -0.7
Blood Angels 7,157 2.9% 46.0% 44.8% to 47.2% 0.57x +2.2 -4.9
Aeldari 7,034 2.8% 45.6% 44.4% to 46.7% 0.71x +0.9 -3.1
Black Templars 3,737 1.5% 45.3% 43.8% to 46.9% 0.90x +4.6 -0.8
Imperial Agents 868 0.3% 43.7% 40.5% to 47.0% 0.96x +2.0 -0.2
Astra Militarum 8,479 3.4% 40.3% 39.3% to 41.3% 0.48x +3.8 -6.0

Adjusted for player skill

A faction's win rate also reflects who plays it. To separate the two, one model on 130,210 games gives every faction and every player a strength. It then estimates what each faction wins against the opponents it actually met when both players are average and nobody goes first. Only 52% of the games have a player who appears in five or more games, so skill is known well for experienced players and is pulled toward average for the rest. The adjustment still improves predictions on events the model has not seen, so it carries real information.

The adjustment is modest and widens the gaps. The largest changes are Astra Militarum (3.1 points down), Imperial Agents (2.4 points down) and Orks (1.7 points up), and 6 factions change place in the ranking. Strong factions move up and weak ones down because their opponents tend to be stronger players: Swiss pairings match winning players against each other, so a faction that wins a lot meets better opposition in later rounds. The own-players column shows how much better or worse than average the faction's own players are, the opponents column the same for the players they met, both as the win rate against an average player.

Faction Games Win rate Adjusted 95% CI Change (pp) Own players (pp) Opponents (pp) Rank
Orks 16,268 55.6% 57.3% 56.0% to 58.6% +1.7 +0.3 +1.3 1 to 1
Chaos Daemons 9,433 54.8% 56.3% 55.1% to 57.6% +1.6 -0.2 +0.9 2 to 2
Adeptus Custodes 14,924 54.3% 55.8% 54.7% to 56.9% +1.5 -0.1 +0.8 3 to 3
Deathwatch 1,709 53.8% 54.8% 51.3% to 58.3% +1.1 +0.5 +1.0 4 to 4
Dark Angels 11,012 53.5% 54.4% 53.0% to 55.8% +0.9 +0.2 +0.7 5 to 5
T'au Empire 11,987 51.8% 52.7% 51.7% to 53.6% +0.8 -0.1 +0.5 6 to 6
Leagues of Votann 8,601 51.8% 52.5% 51.1% to 54.0% +0.7 +0.0 +0.5 7 to 7
Emperor's Children 10,534 51.4% 52.3% 51.1% to 53.4% +0.9 -0.0 +0.7 9 to 8
Necrons 15,319 51.6% 52.1% 51.0% to 53.2% +0.5 +0.3 +0.6 8 to 9
Adeptus Mechanicus 5,779 50.6% 50.8% 48.8% to 52.7% +0.2 -0.1 +0.1 10 to 10
Thousand Sons 8,215 50.3% 50.6% 49.0% to 52.2% +0.3 +0.2 +0.5 11 to 11
Adepta Sororitas 5,818 50.1% 50.3% 48.9% to 51.6% +0.2 +0.1 +0.2 12 to 12
World Eaters 10,501 50.0% 49.9% 48.7% to 51.2% -0.1 -0.3 -0.3 13 to 13
Tyranids 13,852 49.8% 49.7% 48.8% to 50.6% -0.2 +0.0 -0.1 14 to 14
Space Wolves 6,484 49.1% 48.7% 47.2% to 50.2% -0.4 -0.0 -0.3 15 to 15
Imperial Knights 9,716 48.6% 48.3% 47.1% to 49.6% -0.3 -0.4 -0.5 16 to 16
Space Marines 18,650 48.6% 47.9% 46.9% to 48.9% -0.7 +0.1 -0.4 17 to 17
Death Guard 10,190 48.1% 47.5% 46.3% to 48.6% -0.7 -0.3 -0.7 18 to 18
Genestealer Cult 3,605 47.5% 46.6% 44.5% to 48.8% -0.9 -0.1 -0.7 19 to 19
Grey Knights 6,223 47.1% 46.3% 44.8% to 47.8% -0.8 +0.2 -0.2 20 to 20
Chaos Knights 6,108 46.9% 46.1% 44.8% to 47.4% -0.8 -0.7 -1.1 22 to 21
Chaos Space Marines 10,990 47.0% 45.9% 44.6% to 47.2% -1.1 +0.2 -0.6 21 to 22
Drukhari 5,721 46.9% 45.9% 44.3% to 47.4% -1.0 +0.0 -0.6 23 to 23
Blood Angels 7,134 46.0% 44.4% 43.2% to 45.7% -1.6 +0.0 -1.2 24 to 24
Black Templars 3,723 45.3% 44.1% 42.0% to 46.2% -1.2 +0.0 -0.6 26 to 25
Aeldari 7,017 45.5% 44.0% 42.9% to 45.1% -1.5 -0.2 -1.1 25 to 26
Imperial Agents 860 43.4% 41.1% 36.5% to 45.6% -2.4 +0.3 -1.2 27 to 27
Astra Militarum 8,457 40.3% 37.2% 35.9% to 38.4% -3.1 -0.1 -2.3 28 to 28

Results brackets

Results come from 396 individual Strike Force events with at least 5 rounds: 17,113 lists entered and 14,774 played every round. Players are placed in five bands by the share of their games won. X is the most wins anyone had in the event, so X, X-1 and X-2 mean the same thing in a 5-round and a 7-round event: 682 lists won X, 2,127 won X-1 and 4,260 won X-2.

0-20% 20-40% 40-60% 60-80% 80-100% won 60%+ Orks 59% Necrons 53% Adeptus Custodes 52% Leagues of Votann 51% Deathwatch 51% Emperor's Children 50% Thousand Sons 50% Dark Angels 50% Genestealer Cult 50% Chaos Daemons 49% T'au Empire 49% Space Wolves 48% World Eaters 46% Adepta Sororitas 46% Adeptus Mechanicus 46% Tyranids 45% Space Marines 44% Grey Knights 44% Chaos Space Marines 43% Drukhari 42% Imperial Knights 42% Aeldari 42% Blood Angels 39% Death Guard 38% Black Templars 37% Chaos Knights 35% Imperial Agents 34% Astra Militarum 31%

Players of Orks (59%), Necrons (53%) and Adeptus Custodes (52%) won at least 60% of their games more often than the field (47%). Players of Astra Militarum (31%), Chaos Knights (35%), Death Guard (38%) and Blood Angels (39%) did so less often.

Lists at X, X-1 and X-2

Over-represented among the lists at X to X-2, compared with their share of entries: Orks (1.25 times). Under-represented: Astra Militarum (0.71 times) and Chaos Knights (0.75 times).

Faction Lists entered X X-1 X-2 Share of X to X-2 Share of entries Ratio z
Orks 1,094 75 197 294 8.0% 6.4% 1.25x +5.5
Deathwatch 119 9 15 34 0.8% 0.7% 1.18x +1.3
Necrons 1,037 52 136 288 6.7% 6.1% 1.11x +2.4
Chaos Daemons 621 29 74 175 3.9% 3.6% 1.08x +1.4
Adeptus Custodes 961 40 118 272 6.1% 5.6% 1.08x +1.7
Emperor's Children 739 30 112 186 4.6% 4.3% 1.07x +1.3
Thousand Sons 548 21 89 133 3.4% 3.2% 1.07x +1.1
Leagues of Votann 625 21 97 158 3.9% 3.7% 1.07x +1.1
T'au Empire 859 40 120 212 5.3% 5.0% 1.05x +0.9
Dark Angels 775 45 97 193 4.7% 4.5% 1.05x +0.9
Space Wolves 491 20 58 128 2.9% 2.9% 1.02x +0.2
World Eaters 733 24 95 188 4.3% 4.3% 1.01x +0.2
Genestealer Cult 249 12 32 60 1.5% 1.5% 1.01x +0.1
Adepta Sororitas 393 15 50 99 2.3% 2.3% 1.01x +0.1
Tyranids 939 28 107 250 5.4% 5.5% 0.99x -0.2
Adeptus Mechanicus 420 22 61 89 2.4% 2.5% 0.99x -0.1
Space Marines 1,368 60 176 304 7.6% 8.0% 0.96x -1.1
Imperial Knights 668 15 67 178 3.7% 3.9% 0.94x -1.0
Grey Knights 391 11 50 88 2.1% 2.3% 0.92x -1.0
Aeldari 458 11 40 122 2.4% 2.7% 0.91x -1.2
Chaos Space Marines 754 33 74 176 4.0% 4.4% 0.91x -1.6
Drukhari 400 15 40 88 2.0% 2.3% 0.87x -1.8
Death Guard 681 19 66 156 3.4% 4.0% 0.86x -2.5
Imperial Agents 65 2 8 13 0.3% 0.4% 0.86x -0.7
Blood Angels 532 14 47 126 2.6% 3.1% 0.85x -2.2
Black Templars 264 9 21 61 1.3% 1.5% 0.83x -1.7
Chaos Knights 376 4 36 77 1.7% 2.2% 0.75x -3.1
Astra Militarum 553 6 44 112 2.3% 3.2% 0.71x -4.5

Variety of play

Faction Effective units Units in 10%+ lists Units in 50%+ lists Datasheets never played Most played unit Detachments for 80% of picks Most played detachment Multi-detachment lists Avg list overlap
Orks 39 37 4 0 of 60 Gretchin (95%) 9 of 14 Dread Mob (23%) 57% 23%
Chaos Daemons 41 27 1 0 of 68 Flesh Hounds (56%) 6 of 9 Warptide (42%) 78% 18%
Adeptus Custodes 23 18 7 1 of 36 Allarus Custodians (87%) 3 of 10 Lions of the Emperor (60%) 55% 32%
Deathwatch 42 19 5 0 of 11 Indomitor Kill Team (82%) 1 of 3 Black Spear Task Force (78%) 14% 25%
Dark Angels 47 30 5 0 of 39 Azrael (72%) 7 of 21 Darkflight Pursuit (34%) 67% 23%
T'au Empire 27 27 12 0 of 42 Stealth Battlesuits (92%) 4 of 7 Retaliation Cadre (35%) 40% 37%
Leagues of Votann 19 21 13 0 of 22 Hernkyn Pioneers (89%) 4 of 9 Hearthguard Covenant (60%) 83% 52%
Necrons 35 31 5 0 of 52 Ophydian Destroyers (63%) 5 of 12 Cursed Legion (37%) 55% 25%
Emperor's Children 16 15 9 0 of 23 Infractors (94%) 5 of 10 Coterie of the Conceited (36%) 56% 52%
Adeptus Mechanicus 26 27 11 0 of 34 Skitarii Rangers (91%) 4 of 10 Lords of the Forge (61%) 74% 39%
Thousand Sons 22 20 8 0 of 34 Rubric Marines (84%) 5 of 9 Grand Coven (39%) 33% 35%
Adepta Sororitas 28 30 7 1 of 35 Paragon Warsuits (89%) 5 of 8 Bringers of Flame (34%) 61% 36%
World Eaters 21 21 9 1 of 32 Jakhals (91%) 5 of 8 Berzerker Warband (57%) 56% 40%
Tyranids 34 30 5 0 of 52 Biovores (90%) 6 of 10 Talons of the Norn Queen (36%) 57% 27%
Space Wolves 43 28 5 0 of 23 Logan Grimnar (86%) 4 of 13 Saga of the Great Wolf (53%) 80% 26%
Imperial Knights 22 16 2 0 of 29 Knight Castellan (64%) 4 of 8 Dominus Foebreakers (40%) 50% 23%
Space Marines 72 44 2 1 of 67 Scout Squad (60%) 14 of 37 Librarius Conclave (36%) 63% 13%
Death Guard 26 21 8 1 of 37 Poxwalkers (89%) 6 of 9 Paragons of Putrescence (45%) 61% 34%
Genestealer Cult 25 25 14 1 of 77 Achilles Ridgerunners (97%) 5 of 9 Xenocult Masses (62%) 84% 46%
Grey Knights 19 17 7 0 of 28 Strike Squad (90%) 4 of 9 Argent Assault (50%) 64% 36%
Chaos Space Marines 42 36 3 3 of 60 Cultist Mob (88%) 9 of 17 Cabal of Chaos (26%) 50% 21%
Chaos Knights 18 15 4 0 of 29 War Dog Karnivore (74%) 6 of 8 Hunting Warpack (40%) 70% 27%
Drukhari 21 21 15 0 of 38 Venom (98%) 4 of 8 Exhibition of Slaughter (66%) 85% 58%
Blood Angels 45 31 8 2 of 21 Sanguinary Guard (90%) 8 of 17 Liberator Assault Group (37%) 31% 26%
Aeldari 49 41 3 4 of 80 Rangers (62%) 8 of 14 Armoured Warhost (34%) 64% 19%
Black Templars 44 29 10 1 of 13 Emperor’s Champion (70%) 10 of 19 Marshal's Household (20%) 49% 25%
Imperial Agents 28 25 15 0 of 21 Subductor Squad (89%) 2 of 3 Veiled Blade Elimination Force (79%) 75% 40%
Astra Militarum 50 36 4 3 of 77 Cadian Shock Troops (56%) 6 of 11 Steel Hammer (28%) 63% 18%

Emperor's Children, Chaos Knights, Leagues of Votann, Grey Knights and Drukhari play from the smallest pool of units (effective unit count 16 to 21), while Space Marines, Astra Militarum and Aeldari have the widest (72 for the broadest). Across factions the correlation between effective unit count and win rate is -0.14. The narrowest factions include both strong and weak ones.

In 10 factions a single detachment is in at least half of all lists: Imperial Agents (Veiled Blade Elimination Force, 79%), Deathwatch (Black Spear Task Force, 78%), Drukhari (Exhibition of Slaughter, 66%), Genestealer Cult (Xenocult Masses, 62%), Adeptus Mechanicus (Lords of the Forge, 61%), Leagues of Votann (Hearthguard Covenant, 60%), Adeptus Custodes (Lions of the Emperor, 60%), World Eaters (Berzerker Warband, 57%), Space Wolves (Saga of the Great Wolf, 53%) and Grey Knights (Argent Assault, 50%).

19 of 1,140 current datasheets never appeared in a Strike Force list, and 179 more appeared in under 1% of their faction's lists. The factions with the most unused datasheets: Genestealer Cult (1 never, 37 rare), Chaos Daemons (0 never, 19 rare), Aeldari (4 never, 12 rare) and Astra Militarum (3 never, 9 rare).

Extra areas

List width

Lists were ranked by the number of distinct unit types within each faction and split into four equal groups, using only lists whose parsed unit points add up to at least 1,850. Lists with fewer distinct units have a higher win rate: +2.9 points in the group with the fewest against -4.7 in the group with the most.

Group (within faction) Avg distinct units Lists Effect on win rate (pp)
lowest quarter 8.0 16,404 +2.9 ± 0.2
second quarter 10.0 19,394 +1.6 ± 0.2
third quarter 11.5 17,548 -0.2 ± 0.2
highest quarter 13.5 16,954 -4.7 ± 0.2

Within factions, a negative link between list width and results shows up in 20 of 28 factions (largest: Deathwatch -8.8, Adepta Sororitas -5.6, Adeptus Mechanicus -4.9, Space Marines -4.6, Blood Angels -4.4 and Death Guard -3.8 points per standard deviation of distinct units), and a positive link in 0.

Multiple copies of the same unit

For units that appear both as a single copy and as two or more copies in at least 50 lists each, taking multiples gives a higher win rate for Heretic Astartes Daemon Prince With Wings (Chaos Space Marines, 19.4 points above single-copy lists), Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles (Space Marines, 18.7 points above single-copy lists), Land Speeder Vengeance (Dark Angels, 18.0 points above single-copy lists), Impulsor (Space Marines, 17.4 points above single-copy lists), Librarian (Blood Angels, 16.6 points above single-copy lists) and Wraithblades (Aeldari, 16.3 points above single-copy lists) and lower for Cadian Shock Troops (Astra Militarum, 14.2 points below single-copy lists), Raptors (Chaos Space Marines, 11.0 points below single-copy lists), Cadian Command Squad (Astra Militarum, 10.1 points below single-copy lists), Intercessor Squad (Dark Angels, 8.5 points below single-copy lists), Death Korps Of Krieg (Astra Militarum, 8.3 points below single-copy lists) and Vespid Stingwings (T'au Empire, 7.5 points below single-copy lists). The comparison does not adjust for what else is in the list.

Event size

Events of 24 players or fewer compared with events above 48 players. 3 factions change with event size:

Faction Lists (small) Lists (large) Effect small (pp) Effect large (pp) Large minus small (pp) z
Chaos Knights 831 506 +4.2 -4.5 -8.7 -6.2
Adeptus Custodes 1,978 1,356 +1.9 -1.1 -2.9 -3.1
Orks 2,263 1,388 -2.6 +1.9 +4.5 +4.7

Movers over time

Factions whose win rate in the first period (19 Jun to 21 Jul) differs from the latest period (3 Oct to 25 Oct):

Faction First period Latest period Change (pp) z List share then List share now
Thousand Sons 56.9% 40.3% -16.5 -9.2 4.2% 2.1%
Genestealer Cult 50.8% 42.6% -8.1 -3.1 1.3% 1.2%
Imperial Knights 53.0% 46.5% -6.5 -4.3 4.5% 3.3%
Chaos Space Marines 51.4% 45.5% -5.9 -4.2 4.8% 4.1%
Necrons 53.2% 48.4% -4.7 -3.9 6.6% 5.6%
Death Guard 45.9% 52.1% +6.2 +4.4 4.2% 4.9%
Dark Angels 48.0% 54.1% +6.2 +4.2 3.4% 5.0%
Adepta Sororitas 46.4% 53.7% +7.2 +3.8 2.1% 2.6%
Adeptus Mechanicus 45.8% 55.4% +9.6 +4.9 1.9% 2.5%
World Eaters 44.5% 54.5% +10.0 +6.9 3.3% 6.2%

Terrain layout

First-player win rate by layout: Layout C 51.5%, Layout B 51.4%, Layout A 51.1%. Some layouts differ from the faction average for individual factions:

Faction Layout Games Effect (pp) z
Space Wolves Layout C 859 +5.1 +3.1

Player base

Dropping each faction's three most active players changes its win rate by less than 1 point in 26 of 28 factions. The exceptions are Imperial Agents (-2.1 points, five most active players = 16% of games) and Deathwatch (-1.6 points, five most active players = 10% of games). The skill proxy (each player's results at their other events) differs little between factions, from -1.5 to +1.3 points, so player track record does not explain the ranking.

Points changes and pick rates

Unit costs are read from the lists themselves: a cost counts as changed when the most common cost of a unit in its faction's lists differs between the window before and the window after an update, with at least 10 lists and a clear majority cost in each. 396 cost changes qualify across 5 updates (22 July, 26 August, 5 September, 3 October and 17 October): 224 increases and 172 decreases, with a median size of 8%. Units that kept their cost in the same window are the comparison group.

Among units in at least 5% of their faction's lists before the update, a cost increase went with a median change in pick rate of -10% (-13% to -6%, 186 units), and a decrease with 6% (2% to 12%, 150 units). Units with an unchanged cost moved by -1% (2,498 units). The pick rate fell for 66% of the units that got more expensive and rose for 63% of those that got cheaper.

Lists with a unit that got cheaper also did better afterwards: the unit's effect on win rate moved by +2.2 points (+0.9 to +3.9), against -0.7 points (-1.5 to +0.2) for units that got more expensive. A cost change often comes with a rules change and with a faction update, so the pick rates and win rates are associated with the change but not caused by cost alone. A straight line through all 2,831 units gives no stable relation between the size of the change and the size of the pick rate response (-0.03 per unit of relative cost, standard error 0.24), so the direction matters more than the size.

Faction Unit Update Points Pick rate Win rate effect (pp)
Orks Painboy 5 Sep 90 to 45 64% to 17% +0.2 to -3.4
Dark Angels Azrael 3 Oct 140 to 150 84% to 43% +1.4 to -3.0
Deathwatch Lieutenant with Combi-weapon 22 Jul 85 to 95 55% to 17% -2.1 to -1.0
Adeptus Custodes Trajann Valoris 17 Oct 135 to 265 36% to 73% -6.3 to -2.0
Orks Wazdakka Gutsmek 5 Sep 175 to 200 64% to 28% +3.1 to +0.7
Space Wolves Arjac Rockfist 3 Oct 95 to 105 76% to 41% -0.2 to -1.1
Dark Angels Lion El’jonson 22 Jul 285 to 265 39% to 66% -11.0 to +1.9
Space Wolves Grey Hunters 3 Oct 165 to 180 16% to 43% -3.9 to +0.2
Deathwatch Inceptor Squad 3 Oct 125 to 130 8% to 34% n/a
Orks Ghazghkull Thraka 5 Sep 235 to 300 64% to 38% +2.8 to -2.6
Dark Angels Sammael 22 Jul 105 to 95 15% to 41% +2.2 to +8.3
Orks Tankbustas 5 Sep 125 to 145 25% to 51% -1.7 to +3.5

Method

Data

261,570 player-game rows (130,785 matches) from 3,447 events in Strike Force (2000 pts) format. Mirror matches count once and draws count 0.5. The data holds 72,283 lists from 28 factions.

Effects

Each game result is compared with a prediction from the two factions' strength and the first-turn effect. A list's effect is its average result minus that prediction. Item effects (units, detachments, combinations, enhancements, Force Disposition) are group averages of these list results, with standard errors clustered by list. Detachment effects are measured against the faction average. Combination effects include the strength of the detachments in them. Enhancement effects are measured against other lists with the same detachment. Unit effects are measured against lists with the same detachment strength and the same number of distinct units. Shrinkage towards the faction mean is used only to rank noisy items.

An effect is called clear when it is at least 3 standard errors from zero and also passes a false discovery check. Units, detachments, enhancements and combinations are tested in four groups (2,582 items in all), and within each group the expected share of false findings among the clear ones is held at 5%. That check removed 6 items that would otherwise have been called clear. A single borderline item should still be read with care. Items in fewer than 15 to 40 lists, depending on the table, are left out.

Player track record

Each player's average result at their other events (leave-one-event-out, shrunk towards zero) is subtracted. About 73% of games have such a history. Players with a single event get no adjustment.

Parse completeness

The parser reads the unit points of nearly every list: the average sum of parsed unit points is about 1,990 of 2,000, and 97.5% of lists reach 1,950 or more. Lists with fewer parsed points have a different win rate by up to about 7 points between the lowest and highest groups, and results were adjusted for this before items were compared. The list-width table uses only lists with at least 1,850 parsed points. Pick rates are shares of all lists in the faction. Faction, matchup and detachment results are not affected (detachment effects correlate 1.00 with the unadjusted values).

Limits

Results show what happens in tournaments. Players choose what to bring, and those choices follow skill, preparation and the opponents they expect. Points and rules changed during the period, and milestones fall close together, so a change after a milestone does not prove a single cause. Effects are associations. Small factions such as Deathwatch and Imperial Agents have wide uncertainty throughout, and milestones with fewer than 14 days of data (Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data) cannot yet be judged.

Results brackets use event standings from individual Strike Force events with at least 5 rounds only, a smaller set than the game-level analysis. Swiss pairing makes players with equal records meet, which compresses records, and strong players choose strong factions, so brackets reflect players as well as factions. Lists that did not play every round count as entries for X to X-2 but not for the win bands. Team events are included in all faction results; teams choose their own pairings, so the team events block of each faction sets them against its individual events. The charts in the milestone blocks use plain averages for that window without adjustment for opponent strength or list completeness. A dot is the win rate and the line is its 95% interval; a dot is coloured when the whole interval lies above or below the window's own win rate.

How to read the tables

Win rate
A win counts 1 and a draw 0.5. The 95% CI is the interval the true win rate lies in with 95% confidence.
Effect (pp)
The difference in win rate, in percentage points, between lists that include an item and comparable lists of the same faction, after allowing for opponent strength, the first-turn effect and the player's track record. The figure after the sign is one standard error.
z
The effect divided by its standard error. Values of 3 or more in either direction are called clear and coloured: blue for better, orange for worse. Units, detachments, enhancements and combinations must also pass a false discovery check, so a few colours are left out.
Model expects, Diff (pp), Reading
Model expects is the win rate predicted from both factions' strength and the first-turn effect. Diff is the gap between the actual win rate and that prediction. Reading is shown when the interval excludes 50% or the gap to the model is clear after multiple-testing control.
Lists, Pick, In % of lists
The number of lists containing the item and their share of the faction's lists. A list with two detachments counts for both.
P1 to P4
The share of the faction's lists that include the detachment in each period. The period dates are given in the Over time table of each faction.
Milestone table
Win rate and share of games in the 28 days before and after the milestone. Changes with z of 3 or more are coloured.
Effective units
The number of equally common units that would give the same spread of play; higher means more varied. It can exceed a faction's own datasheet count because lists also contain units from outside the faction's codex.
Avg list overlap
The average share of units two random lists of the faction have in common.
Results brackets
Win bands place each player by the share of games won (a draw counts half) among players who played every round. X is the most wins in the event; X, X-1 and X-2 count the lists with that many wins. Share of tier is the faction's share of the lists in that tier, share of entries its share of all lists entered, and ratio the first divided by the second.
Top-10% ratio
The faction's share of top-10% finishes divided by its share of entrants.
Pick-rate shifts
Share of the faction's lists that include the item in the first period, the 28 days before the last 28, and the last 28 days. Only changes of 4 or more standard errors and a sizeable gap are listed.

Factions

Orks

Whole edition

55.6%win rate, rank 1 of 2816,345 games4,849 lists from 2,759 playerstop-10% finishes 1.54x entry sharegoing first 4.9 points better57.3% adjusted for player skill

59.5% of its players won at least 60% of their games, against 46.5% of all players. Orks has the highest win rate of the 28 factions: 55.6% over 16,345 games. More Dakka! went from 29% to 0% of the faction's lists between the first period and the last 28 days. Orks supplies 8.0% of the lists that won X to X-2 in their events, against 6.4% of entries.

Results brackets

566 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 75 won X, 197 won X-1 and 294 won X-2, from 1,094 entries.

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 12% 20-40 26% 40-60 35% 60-80 25% 80-100 line = all factions Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2 11.0% X 9.3% X-1 6.9% X-2 dashed = share of entries, 6.4%
Tier Lists Share of tier Share of entries Ratio z
X 75 11.0% 6.4% 1.72x +4.9
X-1 197 9.3% 6.4% 1.45x +5.4
X-2 294 6.9% 6.4% 1.08x +1.4
X to X-2 566 8.0% 6.4% 1.25x +5.5
Share of games won Players Share of players All players
0 to 20% 24 2.5% 4.1%
20 to 40% 116 12.2% 17.2%
40 to 60% 244 25.7% 32.2%
60 to 80% 330 34.8% 30.1%
80 to 100% 234 24.7% 16.4%

Units

A typical list contains 11 distinct units. 4 units appear in at least half of all lists and 37 in at least 10%. The most common is Gretchin (95% of lists). 7 datasheets appeared in under 1% of lists: Blitza-bommer, Burna-bommer, Dakkajet, Grot Tanks, Kaptin Badrukk, Kill Tank, Warboss on Warbike.

Of 56 units in 40 or more lists, 11 have a clear effect on results (3 positive, 8 negative). Best: Mozrog Skragbad (4.3 points above comparable lists, 21% of lists), Beastboss on Squigosaur (3.9 points above comparable lists, 17% of lists) and Wazdakka Gutsmek (2.6 points above comparable lists, 43% of lists). Weakest: Morkanaut (14.1 points below comparable lists, 3% of lists), Gorkanaut (11.1 points below comparable lists, 5% of lists), Stompa (11.0 points below comparable lists, 7% of lists) and Burna Boyz (10.9 points below comparable lists, 1% of lists). Killa Kans is in at least 15% of lists but has a win rate below it.

Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -20 -10 0 +10 +20 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Dakkajet Morkanaut Stompa Burna Boyz Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -2 0 +2 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Freebooter Krew Dread Mob

Most played units

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Gretchin 4,582 94.5% -0.1 ± 0.4 -0.2
Warboss 2,762 57.0% -0.6 ± 0.5 -1.3
Boyz 2,718 56.1% -0.6 ± 0.5 -1.2
Ghazghkull Thraka 2,654 54.7% +0.9 ± 0.5 +1.8
Big Mek Dakkarig 2,409 49.7% -0.5 ± 0.5 -1.0
Trukk 2,210 45.6% +0.5 ± 0.5 +0.9
Wazdakka Gutsmek 2,091 43.1% +2.6 ± 0.5 +5.0
Tankbustas 1,882 38.8% -0.5 ± 0.5 -0.9
Flash Gitz 1,875 38.7% +1.2 ± 0.6 +2.2
Painboy 1,835 37.8% +0.7 ± 0.6 +1.3
Kommandos 1,684 34.7% -0.4 ± 0.6 -0.7
Big Mek With Shokk Attack Gun 1,660 34.2% +0.3 ± 0.6 +0.6

Other units with a clear effect

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Mozrog Skragbad 1,033 21.3% +4.3 ± 0.8 +5.7
Beastboss on Squigosaur 822 17.0% +3.9 ± 0.8 +4.8
Killa Kans 825 17.0% -3.2 ± 0.9 -3.6
Weirdboy 609 12.6% -4.9 ± 1.1 -4.3
Mek Gunz 198 4.1% -6.0 ± 1.9 -3.2
Deff Dread 508 10.5% -6.1 ± 1.2 -5.2
Burna Boyz 61 1.3% -10.9 ± 3.5 -3.1
Stompa 335 6.9% -11.0 ± 1.5 -7.2
Gorkanaut 266 5.5% -11.1 ± 1.8 -6.2
Morkanaut 126 2.6% -14.1 ± 2.5 -5.7

Detachments

14 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 9 of them account for 80% of picks. The most played is Dread Mob (23% of lists), and 57% of lists run more than one detachment. 2 detachments differ from the faction average. Best: Freebooter Krew (3.3 points above the faction average, 15% of lists). Weakest: Dread Mob (2.5 points below the faction average, 23% of lists).

Detachment Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z P1 P2 P3 P4
Dread Mob 1,132 23% -2.5 ± 0.8 -3.3 11% 9% 35% 31%
Bully Boyz 800 16% -1.6 ± 0.9 -1.8 7% 5% 17% 35%
Green Tide 796 16% -2.0 ± 1.0 -2.1 18% 9% 16% 23%
Freebooter Krew 713 15% +3.3 ± 0.9 +3.7 18% 37% 7% 0%
More Dakka! 709 15% +0.8 ± 1.0 +0.9 29% 31% 6% 0%
War Horde 703 14% +1.3 ± 0.9 +1.4 25% 21% 10% 6%
Blitz Brigade 580 12% +1.2 ± 1.0 +1.2 1% 0% 18% 24%
Kult of Speed 472 10% -0.5 ± 1.1 -0.5 4% 6% 13% 14%
Da Big Hunt 454 9% +1.3 ± 1.2 +1.1 5% 6% 11% 15%
Taktikal Brigade 439 9% +0.2 ± 1.3 +0.1 27% 6% 5% 5%
Equatorial Hordes 411 8% +2.4 ± 1.3 +1.9 1% 26% 6% 0%
Rollin' Deff 173 4% -1.3 ± 1.8 -0.7 9% 6% 1% 0%
Speedwaaagh! 55 1% -1.5 ± 3.4 -0.4 3% 2% 0% 0%
Runt Swarm, Shoota Boyz and Wreckas 17 0% -2.3 ± 5.4 -0.4 0% 0% 1% 0%

Combinations

34 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common is Freebooter Krew + More Dakka! (332 lists, 7%). Best: Green Tide + Taktikal Brigade (12.4 points above the faction average). Weakest: Dread Mob + Taktikal Brigade (18.1 points below the faction average).

Combination Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Freebooter Krew + More Dakka! 332 7% +6.3 ± 1.4 +4.4
Equatorial Hordes + Freebooter Krew 274 6% +5.7 ± 1.8 +3.3
Green Tide + Taktikal Brigade 182 4% +12.4 ± 2.1 +6.0
Dread Mob + More Dakka! 169 3% -6.4 ± 2.4 -2.6
Bully Boyz + Dread Mob 164 3% +0.7 ± 2.0 +0.3
Blitz Brigade + Dread Mob 152 3% +1.9 ± 2.2 +0.8
Bully Boyz + Green Tide 92 2% -7.3 ± 3.0 -2.4
Blitz Brigade + Bully Boyz 91 2% -0.8 ± 2.5 -0.3
Dread Mob + Green Tide 61 1% -15.8 ± 3.7 -4.2
Dread Mob + Taktikal Brigade 47 1% -18.1 ± 4.6 -3.9

Enhancements

50 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Dreadherder (13% of lists). 3 enhancements differ from the other enhancements in their detachment: Press It Fasta! (22.7 points below the rest), Competitive Streak (11.4 points below the rest) and Bloodthirsty Belligerence (7.0 points above the rest).

Enhancement Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Dreadherder 610 13% +0.9 ± 1.0 +0.9
Supa-snazz Dakka 504 10% +0.6 ± 1.1 +0.6
Dead Shiny Shootas 498 10% +0.0 ± 1.1 +0.0
Follow Me Ladz 479 10% +1.5 ± 1.1 +1.4
Targetin' Gizmos 422 9% -0.1 ± 1.1 -0.1
Git-Spotter Squig 375 8% +0.5 ± 1.2 +0.5
Bionik Workshop 272 6% +2.2 ± 1.4 +1.6
Kaptin's Hat 254 5% -1.5 ± 1.6 -0.9
Bloodthirsty Belligerence 184 4% +7.0 ± 1.7 +4.0
Competitive Streak 50 1% -11.4 ± 3.2 -3.6
Press It Fasta! 25 1% -22.7 ± 5.2 -4.4

Pick-rate shifts

Type Name First period Prior 28 days Last 28 days Change vs first period (pp) Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Unit Boyz 79% 38% 34% -45 -4
Unit Nazdreg 0% 24% 43% +43 +19
Unit Painboy 56% 18% 16% -41 -3
Unit Wazdakka Gutsmek 55% 28% 24% -32 -5
Unit Stormboyz 47% 17% 15% -31 -1
Detachment More Dakka! 29% 3% 0% -29 -3
Unit Meganobz 21% 33% 48% +27 +15
Detachment Bully Boyz 7% 19% 34% +27 +15
Detachment Blitz Brigade 1% 20% 24% +23 +4
Detachment Taktikal Brigade 27% 5% 5% -22 +0
Unit Kommandos 46% 29% 24% -22 -6
Unit Lootas 22% 3% 0% -22 -3

Matchups

Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Astra Militarum (60.6% over 569 games) and the worst is Adeptus Mechanicus (52.1% over 390).

Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Imperial Agents 66 65.2% 53.1% to 75.5% 61.5% +3.7 favourable
Astra Militarum 569 60.6% 56.6% to 64.6% 64.5% -3.8 favourable
Chaos Knights 404 60.3% 55.4% to 64.9% 58.3% +1.9 favourable
Blood Angels 475 58.6% 54.2% to 63.0% 59.2% -0.6 favourable
Drukhari 389 58.5% 53.5% to 63.3% 58.3% +0.2 favourable
Genestealer Cult 239 58.2% 51.8% to 64.2% 57.7% +0.5 favourable
Adepta Sororitas 415 57.7% 52.9% to 62.4% 55.0% +2.7 favourable
Imperial Knights 632 57.3% 53.4% to 61.1% 56.7% +0.6 favourable
Death Guard 706 57.1% 53.4% to 60.7% 57.1% +0.0 favourable
World Eaters 725 56.8% 53.2% to 60.4% 55.4% +1.5 favourable
Chaos Space Marines 800 56.6% 53.2% to 60.0% 58.1% -1.4 favourable
Thousand Sons 574 56.6% 52.5% to 60.6% 54.9% +1.7 favourable
Grey Knights 400 56.4% 51.5% to 61.2% 58.1% -1.7 favourable
Necrons 1,103 56.3% 53.3% to 59.2% 53.8% +2.4 favourable
Space Wolves 442 55.9% 51.2% to 60.4% 56.2% -0.3 favourable
Space Marines 1,356 55.4% 52.7% to 58.0% 56.6% -1.2 favourable
Aeldari 475 55.4% 50.9% to 59.8% 59.6% -4.2 favourable
Tyranids 971 55.1% 52.0% to 58.2% 55.4% -0.3 favourable
Emperor's Children 721 54.6% 51.0% to 58.2% 53.9% +0.7 favourable
T'au Empire 809 53.1% 49.6% to 56.5% 53.5% -0.4
Chaos Daemons 685 52.6% 48.8% to 56.3% 50.6% +2.0
Adeptus Custodes 1,121 52.4% 49.4% to 55.3% 51.1% +1.3
Dark Angels 861 52.3% 49.0% to 55.6% 51.9% +0.4
Adeptus Mechanicus 390 52.1% 47.1% to 57.0% 54.7% -2.7
All 27 matchups: 3 more rows
Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Deathwatch 108 56.0% 46.6% to 65.0% 51.5% +4.5
Black Templars 251 53.6% 47.4% to 59.7% 59.9% -6.3
Leagues of Votann 658 53.2% 49.4% to 57.0% 53.5% -0.3

Over time

Its share of lists went from 5.7% to 7.5%.

Share of games per week (%) 4 6 8 7.5 3.5 Jul Aug Sep Oct Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval 50 60 53.0 48.0 Jul Aug Sep Oct
Period Lists Share of all lists Games Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul 890 5.7% 2,878 57.0%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug 1,157 6.3% 3,938 56.6%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct 1,667 7.2% 5,827 55.5%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct 1,135 7.5% 3,702 53.5%

Around each milestone, 28 days before and after

Milestone Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul) 2,596 / 3,155 57.9% to 57.0% -0.9 -0.7 5.8% to 6.2%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug) 2,997 / 3,897 56.5% to 55.5% -1.0 -0.8 6.1% to 6.6%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep) 3,187 / 4,825 56.3% to 55.9% -0.3 -0.3 5.8% to 7.4%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct) 4,825 / 3,702 55.9% to 53.5% -2.4 -2.2 7.4% to 7.4%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data 4,613 / 1,988 55.4% to 52.4% -3.0 -2.3 7.8% to 7.4%

Force Disposition

Force Disposition table
Disposition Share of games Games Win rate Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Take and Hold 45% 6,644 57.4% +1.9 ± 0.7
Purge the Foe 26% 3,775 53.7% -2.0 ± 0.9
Priority Assets 16% 2,334 54.4% -1.1 ± 1.1
Disruption 7% 1,067 52.2% -3.4 ± 1.8
Reconnaissance 6% 935 56.8% +1.1 ± 1.8

Each extra 2.8 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 2.3 points lower; the average list has 11.4. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, milestone moves, Force Disposition and terrain layout.

Representative lists

Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties, and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.

Green Tide + Taktikal Brigade1,990 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 8-0 · 530 players · 8 rounds · 17 Jul
Won an event of 100+ players
130 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Wazdakka Gutsmek175Fixit’s wrench, Grabba dragga, Psyko‑gatler, Speeding bulk and flaming exhaust
Battleline
Boyz150Choppa, Slugga, Power klaw
Boyz150Choppa, Slugga, Power klaw
Boyz150Choppa, Slugga, Power klaw
Boyz150Choppa, Slugga, Power klaw
Boyz150Choppa, Slugga, Power klaw
Other Units
Ghazghkull Thraka235Gork’s Klaw, Mork’s Roar, Makari’s stabba
Kommandos120Bomb Squig, Distraction Grot, Breacha ram, Burna, Choppa, Close combat weapon, Slugga, Power klaw
Painboy80Grot Orderly, Power klaw, ’Urty syringe
Painboy80Grot Orderly, Power klaw, ’Urty syringe
Painboy80Grot Orderly, Power klaw, ’Urty syringe
Warboss75Attack squig, Kombi-weapon, Power klaw, Twin sluggas
Bigboss + Bloodthirsty Belligerence75Slugga, Two‑handed big choppa
Warboss75Attack squig, Kombi-weapon, Power klaw, Twin sluggas
Bigboss + Bloodthirsty Belligerence70Slugga, Two‑handed big choppa
Bigboss + Bloodthirsty Belligerence65Slugga, Two‑handed big choppa
Stormboyz65Choppa, Slugga, Power klaw
Gretchin45Close combat weapon, Grot blasta, Runtherd tools, Slugga
War Horde1,995 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 8-0 · 198 players · 8 rounds · 28 Aug
Won an event of 100+ players
41 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Wazdakka Gutsmek175Fixit’s wrench, Grabba dragga, Psyko‑gatler, Speeding bulk and flaming exhaust
Battleline
Boyz160Boy, Shoota, Slugga, Boss Nob
Other Units
Squighog Boyz270Bomb Squig, Squighog Boy, Squig jaws, Stikka, Nob on Smasha Squig, Slugga
Squighog Boyz270Bomb Squig, Squighog Boy, Squig jaws, Stikka, Nob on Smasha Squig, Slugga
Ghazghkull Thraka235Ghazghkull Thraka, Mork’s Roar, Makari, Makari’s stabba
Squighog Boyz140Bomb Squig, Squighog Boy, Squig jaws, Stikka, Nob on Smasha Squig, Slugga
Mozrog Skragbad125Big Chompa’s jaws, Gutrippa, Thump gun
Painboy + Follow Me Ladz115Grot Orderly, Power klaw, ’Urty syringe
Big Mek Dakkarig115Blitzkannon, Rokkit launcha, Stompy feet
Beastboss on Squigosaur + Kunnin' but Brutal110Beastchoppa, Slugga, Squigosaur’s jaws, Thump gun
Beastboss on Squigosaur + Kunnin' but Brutal95Beastchoppa, Slugga, Squigosaur’s jaws, Thump gun
Lootas50Spanner, Kustom mega-blasta, Loota, Deffgun
Gretchin45Gretchin, Grot blasta, Runtherd, Slugga
Gretchin45Gretchin, Grot blasta, Runtherd, Slugga
Gretchin45Gretchin, Grot blasta, Runtherd, Slugga

Team events

58.0%win rate in team events3,168 games794 lists from 690 players+3.0 points against individual eventsgoing first 4.1 points better

Orks won 58.0% of 3,168 team event games, against 55.0% of 13,177 in individual events: 3.0 points higher (clear). It makes up 6.7% of team event games and 6.5% of individual event games.

Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 38% Purge the Foe 24% Priority Assets 15% Disruption 14% Reconnaissance 10% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments share win rate Dread Mob 25% Blitz Brigade 17% Green Tide 16% Bully Boyz 15% Freebooter Krew 13% War Horde 11% Kult of Speed 10% More Dakka! 10% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups win rate against Grey Knights Chaos Knights Adepta Sororitas Drukhari Space Marines Adeptus Mechanicus Leagues of Votann Adeptus Custodes 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events. Dashed: team events win rate.

Milestones

5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after, with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.

July balance & rules update (22 July)

57.0%win rate, rank 2 of 283,155 games914 lists from 786 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.39x entry sharegoing first 8.2 points better

Orks won 57.9% of 2,596 games in the 28 days before and 57.0% of 3,155 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 5.8% to 6.2%.

4 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Equatorial Hordes (1% to 24%), Taktikal Brigade (29% to 7%) and Freebooter Krew (19% to 35%).

5 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Bigboss (33% to 18%), Stormboyz (46% to 33%) and Wazdakka Gutsmek (56% to 68%).

5 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Kunnin' Hunta (0% to 11%), Git-Spotter Squig (10% to 20%) and Bloodthirsty Belligerence (14% to 6%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 10% 20-40 22% 40-60 36% 60-80 28% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 64% Disruption 12% Priority Assets 11% Purge the Foe 9% Reconnaissance 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Freebooter Krew 35% More Dakka! 31% Equatorial Hordes 24% War Horde 21% Dread Mob 9% Green Tide 9% Taktikal Brigade 7% Rollin' Deff 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Gretchin 97% Boyz 80% Ghazghkull Thraka 69% Wazdakka Gutsmek 68% Painboy 65% Warboss 53% Trukk 51% Big Mek Dakkarig 45% Kommandos 43% Beast Snagga Boyz 39% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Genestealer Cult Adepta Sororitas Chaos Knights Imperial Knights Blood Angels Space Marines Chaos Daemons Dark Angels 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Equatorial Hordes 1% 24% +24 +14.4
Detachment Taktikal Brigade 29% 7% -22 -11.9
Detachment Freebooter Krew 19% 35% +16 +7.5
Unit Bigboss 33% 18% -15 -7.0
Unit Stormboyz 46% 33% -12 -5.2
Unit Wazdakka Gutsmek 56% 68% +11 +4.8
Enhancement Kunnin' Hunta 0% 11% +11 +9.4
Detachment Green Tide 20% 9% -11 -6.4
All 14 shifts: 6 more rows
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Weirdboy 25% 15% -10 -5.3
Unit Flash Gitz 29% 39% +10 +4.3
Enhancement Git-Spotter Squig 10% 20% +10 +5.5
Enhancement Bloodthirsty Belligerence 14% 6% -8 -5.8
Enhancement Dead Shiny Shootas 17% 25% +8 +4.2
Enhancement Bionik Workshop 6% 14% +8 +5.4

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

War Horde1,995 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 6-0 · 135 players · 6 rounds · 8 Aug
Won an event of 100+ players
21 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Wazdakka Gutsmek175Fixit’s wrench, Grabba dragga, Psyko‑gatler, Speeding bulk and flaming exhaust
Battleline
Boyz160Choppa, Slugga, Power klaw
Other Units
Squighog Boyz270Bomb Squig, Saddlegit weapons, Squig jaws, Stikka, Big choppa, Slugga
Squighog Boyz270Bomb Squig, Saddlegit weapons, Squig jaws, Stikka, Big choppa, Slugga
Ghazghkull Thraka235Gork’s Klaw, Mork’s Roar, Makari’s stabba
Squighog Boyz140Bomb Squig, Saddlegit weapons, Squig jaws, Stikka, Big choppa, Slugga
Mozrog Skragbad125Big Chompa’s jaws, Gutrippa, Thump gun
Painboy + Follow Me Ladz115Power klaw, ’Urty syringe
Big Mek Dakkarig115Blitzkannon, Rokkit launcha, Stompy feet
Beastboss on Squigosaur + Kunnin' but Brutal110Beastchoppa, Slugga, Squigosaur’s jaws
Beastboss on Squigosaur + Kunnin' but Brutal95Beastchoppa, Slugga, Squigosaur’s jaws
Lootas50Close combat weapon, Kustom mega-blasta, Deffgun
Gretchin45Close combat weapon, Grot blasta, Runtherd tools, Slugga
Gretchin45Close combat weapon, Grot blasta, Runtherd tools, Slugga
Gretchin45Close combat weapon, Grot blasta, Runtherd tools, Slugga
Equatorial Hordes + Freebooter Krew1,995 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 6-0 · 81 players · 6 rounds · 1 Aug
28 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Wazdakka Gutsmek175Fixit’s wrench, Grabba dragga, Psyko‑gatler, Speeding bulk and flaming exhaust
Battleline
Boyz160Choppa, Slugga, Power klaw
Boyz160Choppa, Slugga, Power klaw
Boyz160Choppa, Slugga, Power klaw
Dedicated Transports
Trukk55Big shoota, Spiked wheels
Other Units
Ghazghkull Thraka235Gork’s Klaw, Mork’s Roar, Makari’s stabba
Flash Gitz150Ammo Runt, Choppa, Snazzgun
Kommandos120Distraction Grot, Breacha ram, Choppa, Slugga, Power klaw
Warboss + Kunnin' Hunta110Attack squig, Kustom Choppa, Kustom shoota
Painboy + Bionik Workshop105Grot Orderly, Power klaw, ’Urty syringe
Painboy + Bionik Workshop90Grot Orderly, Power klaw, ’Urty syringe
Painboy + Bionik Workshop90Grot Orderly, Power klaw, ’Urty syringe
Gretchin90Close combat weapon, Grot blasta, Runtherd tools, Slugga
Zodgrod Wortsnagga80Da Grabzappa, Squigstoppa
Bannernob + Git-Spotter Squig70Choppa, Shoota
Bigboss55Slugga, Two‑handed big choppa
Gretchin45Close combat weapon, Grot blasta, Runtherd tools, Slugga
Gretchin45Close combat weapon, Grot blasta, Runtherd tools, Slugga

August balance & rules update (26 August)

53.4%win rate, rank 6 of 271,002 games264 lists from 258 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.35x entry sharegoing first 2.1 points better

Orks won 56.5% of 2,997 games in the 28 days before and 55.5% of 3,897 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 6.1% to 6.6%.

7 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Freebooter Krew (39% to 11%), Dread Mob (8% to 32%) and Equatorial Hordes (30% to 9%).

27 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Painboy (67% to 30%), Wazdakka Gutsmek (70% to 36%) and Boyz (80% to 48%).

8 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Dreadherder (0% to 21%), Supa-snazz Dakka (0% to 17%) and Dead Shiny Shootas (24% to 7%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 4% 0-20 24% 20-40 17% 40-60 31% 60-80 24% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 61% Priority Assets 13% Disruption 12% Purge the Foe 10% Reconnaissance 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Freebooter Krew 30% War Horde 28% More Dakka! 27% Equatorial Hordes 25% Dread Mob 12% Rollin' Deff 7% Taktikal Brigade 6% Da Big Hunt 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Gretchin 96% Boyz 75% Ghazghkull Thraka 69% Wazdakka Gutsmek 63% Painboy 63% Big Mek Dakkarig 49% Warboss 48% Trukk 45% Kommandos 44% Squighog Boyz 36% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against T'au Empire Thousand Sons Space Marines Leagues of Votann World Eaters Adeptus Custodes Tyranids Dark Angels 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Painboy 67% 30% -37 -16.5
Unit Wazdakka Gutsmek 70% 36% -34 -14.9
Unit Boyz 80% 48% -32 -14.8
Detachment Freebooter Krew 39% 11% -29 -15.0
Unit Ghazghkull Thraka 71% 46% -25 -11.0
Detachment Dread Mob 8% 32% +24 +12.7
Detachment Equatorial Hordes 30% 9% -21 -12.1
Enhancement Dreadherder 0% 21% +21 +14.3
All 42 shifts: 34 more rows
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Zodgrod Wortsnagga 34% 15% -20 -10.4
Detachment More Dakka! 28% 9% -20 -11.4
Unit Bannernob 28% 8% -19 -11.4
Unit Nazdreg 0% 18% +18 +13.0
Enhancement Supa-snazz Dakka 0% 17% +17 +12.9
Unit Killa Kans 5% 22% +17 +10.8
Enhancement Dead Shiny Shootas 24% 7% -17 -11.0
Unit Tankbustas 28% 45% +17 +7.7
Enhancement Git-Spotter Squig 21% 5% -17 -11.3
Unit Squighog Boyz 34% 18% -16 -8.4
Unit Lootas 24% 8% -16 -10.1
Detachment Blitz Brigade 0% 15% +15 +11.8
Unit Deffkoptas 13% 28% +15 +8.0
Unit Big Mek 5% 19% +14 +8.9
Unit Beast Snagga Boyz 36% 23% -13 -6.4
Unit Meganobz 15% 27% +13 +6.7
Unit Boss Snikrot 36% 24% -12 -6.1
Unit Big Mek Dakkarig 46% 58% +12 +5.4
Enhancement Bionik Workshop 16% 4% -12 -9.3
Unit Kommandos 44% 33% -11 -5.1
Unit Mek 14% 25% +11 +5.9
Unit Big Mek With Shokk Attack Gun 30% 41% +11 +4.9
Enhancement Targetin' Gizmos 0% 11% +11 +9.6
Enhancement Kunnin' Hunta 14% 4% -10 -8.0
Unit Mozrog Skragbad 29% 19% -10 -5.1
Unit Beastboss 34% 24% -10 -4.8
Unit Bigboss 18% 9% -9 -6.3
Unit Deff Dread 6% 15% +9 +6.6
Unit Stormboyz 30% 21% -9 -4.7
Detachment War Horde 21% 12% -9 -5.4
Detachment Bully Boyz 5% 14% +9 +6.5
Unit Runtherd 0% 9% +9 +8.9
Enhancement Follow Me Ladz 16% 8% -8 -5.8
Unit Battlewagon 14% 22% +8 +4.7

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

War Horde1,995 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 8-0 · 198 players · 8 rounds · 28 Aug
Won an event of 100+ players
11 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Wazdakka Gutsmek175Fixit’s wrench, Grabba dragga, Psyko‑gatler, Speeding bulk and flaming exhaust
Battleline
Boyz160Boy, Shoota, Slugga, Boss Nob
Other Units
Squighog Boyz270Bomb Squig, Squighog Boy, Squig jaws, Stikka, Nob on Smasha Squig, Slugga
Squighog Boyz270Bomb Squig, Squighog Boy, Squig jaws, Stikka, Nob on Smasha Squig, Slugga
Ghazghkull Thraka235Ghazghkull Thraka, Mork’s Roar, Makari, Makari’s stabba
Squighog Boyz140Bomb Squig, Squighog Boy, Squig jaws, Stikka, Nob on Smasha Squig, Slugga
Mozrog Skragbad125Big Chompa’s jaws, Gutrippa, Thump gun
Painboy + Follow Me Ladz115Grot Orderly, Power klaw, ’Urty syringe
Big Mek Dakkarig115Blitzkannon, Rokkit launcha, Stompy feet
Beastboss on Squigosaur + Kunnin' but Brutal110Beastchoppa, Slugga, Squigosaur’s jaws, Thump gun
Beastboss on Squigosaur + Kunnin' but Brutal95Beastchoppa, Slugga, Squigosaur’s jaws, Thump gun
Lootas50Spanner, Kustom mega-blasta, Loota, Deffgun
Gretchin45Gretchin, Grot blasta, Runtherd, Slugga
Gretchin45Gretchin, Grot blasta, Runtherd, Slugga
Gretchin45Gretchin, Grot blasta, Runtherd, Slugga
Freebooter Krew + More Dakka!1,985 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 32 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
11 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Wazdakka Gutsmek175Fixit’s wrench, Grabba dragga, Psyko‑gatler, Speeding bulk and flaming exhaust
Battleline
Boyz160Choppa, Close combat weapon, Rokkit launcha, Slugga, Power klaw
Other Units
Squighog Boyz270Bomb Squig, Saddlegit weapons, Squig jaws, Stikka, Big choppa, Slugga
Squighog Boyz270Bomb Squig, Saddlegit weapons, Squig jaws, Stikka, Big choppa, Slugga
Ghazghkull Thraka235Gork’s Klaw, Mork’s Roar, Makari’s stabba
Mozrog Skragbad125Big Chompa’s jaws, Gutrippa, Thump gun
Lootas + Dead Shiny Shootas115Close combat weapon, Rokkit launcha, Deffgun
Lootas + Dead Shiny Shootas115Close combat weapon, Rokkit launcha, Deffgun
Big Mek Dakkarig115Blitzkannon, Rokkit launcha, Stompy feet
Painboy + Bionik Workshop105Grot Orderly, Power klaw, ’Urty syringe
Beastboss on Squigosaur + Da Kaptin105Beastchoppa, Slugga, Squigosaur’s jaws
Big Mek With Shokk Attack Gun80
Big Mek With Shokk Attack Gun70
Gretchin45Close combat weapon, Grot blasta, Runtherd tools, Slugga

Orks codex (5 September)

55.9%win rate, rank 3 of 284,825 games1,403 lists from 1,188 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.17x entry sharegoing first 6.5 points better

Orks's codex arrived on this date.

Orks won 56.3% of 3,187 games in the 28 days before and 55.9% of 4,825 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 5.8% to 7.4%.

9 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Freebooter Krew (38% to 3%), Dread Mob (9% to 39%) and Equatorial Hordes (29% to 3%).

29 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Painboy (67% to 18%), Boyz (79% to 37%) and Wazdakka Gutsmek (69% to 28%).

12 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Dreadherder (0% to 29%), Supa-snazz Dakka (0% to 25%) and Dead Shiny Shootas (22% to 2%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 2% 0-20 10% 20-40 33% 40-60 34% 60-80 21% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 33% Take and Hold 33% Priority Assets 21% Reconnaissance 8% Disruption 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Dread Mob 39% Blitz Brigade 22% Bully Boyz 19% Green Tide 19% Kult of Speed 14% Da Big Hunt 12% War Horde 7% Taktikal Brigade 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Gretchin 94% Big Mek Dakkarig 63% Warboss 60% Tankbustas 54% Flash Gitz 51% Trukk 47% Big Mek With Shokk Attack Gun 45% Ghazghkull Thraka 38% Boyz 37% Meganobz 34% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Blood Angels Drukhari Space Marines Grey Knights T'au Empire Adeptus Mechanicus Genestealer Cult Adepta Sororitas 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Painboy 67% 18% -50 -24.2
Unit Boyz 79% 37% -42 -19.8
Unit Wazdakka Gutsmek 69% 28% -41 -19.3
Detachment Freebooter Krew 38% 3% -34 -21.6
Unit Ghazghkull Thraka 71% 38% -33 -15.5
Detachment Dread Mob 9% 39% +30 +15.6
Enhancement Dreadherder 0% 29% +29 +17.8
Unit Zodgrod Wortsnagga 35% 8% -28 -16.6
All 50 shifts: 42 more rows
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Equatorial Hordes 29% 3% -26 -18.4
Detachment More Dakka! 28% 2% -25 -18.2
Unit Nazdreg 0% 25% +25 +16.5
Unit Tankbustas 28% 54% +25 +12.0
Enhancement Supa-snazz Dakka 0% 25% +25 +16.2
Unit Squighog Boyz 34% 11% -23 -13.6
Unit Killa Kans 6% 28% +23 +13.5
Unit Bannernob 25% 4% -21 -15.4
Detachment Blitz Brigade 0% 22% +21 +14.7
Unit Lootas 23% 2% -21 -16.2
Enhancement Dead Shiny Shootas 22% 2% -20 -16.0
Unit Meganobz 15% 34% +19 +10.0
Enhancement Git-Spotter Squig 19% 1% -18 -15.0
Unit Deffkoptas 14% 31% +17 +9.0
Unit Big Mek 6% 22% +16 +10.5
Unit Kommandos 44% 28% -16 -7.9
Unit Big Mek Dakkarig 47% 63% +16 +7.5
Enhancement Targetin' Gizmos 0% 16% +16 +12.4
Unit Boss Snikrot 35% 19% -16 -8.4
Unit Big Mek With Shokk Attack Gun 30% 45% +15 +7.3
Detachment War Horde 22% 7% -15 -10.5
Enhancement Bionik Workshop 16% 1% -15 -13.8
Unit Beast Snagga Boyz 34% 20% -15 -8.1
Unit Battlewagon 13% 28% +15 +8.2
Unit Mek 16% 30% +14 +7.8
Unit Flash Gitz 37% 51% +14 +6.5
Detachment Bully Boyz 6% 19% +14 +9.4
Unit Stormboyz 30% 16% -14 -7.9
Enhancement Follow Me Ladz 17% 4% -14 -11.1
Unit Mozrog Skragbad 29% 16% -13 -7.3
Unit Beastboss 33% 21% -13 -6.8
Enhancement Kunnin' Hunta 13% 1% -12 -12.2
Detachment Green Tide 7% 19% +12 +8.0
Unit Runtherd 0% 11% +11 +10.6
Unit Beastboss on Squigosaur 24% 13% -11 -6.9
Enhancement Kaptin's Hat 0% 11% +11 +10.3
Enhancement Cybork Boosta 0% 9% +9 +9.5
Enhancement Da Kaptin 10% 1% -9 -10.4
Unit Deff Dread 6% 15% +9 +6.8
Unit Gunwagon 0% 8% +8 +8.9
Detachment Kult of Speed 6% 14% +8 +6.2
Enhancement Kunnin' but Brutal 9% 1% -8 -10.0

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

War Horde2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 82 players · 5 rounds · 12 Sep
5 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Ghazghkull Thraka300Adamantine ’Eadbutt, Gork’s Klaw, Mork’s Roar
Wazdakka Gutsmek200Fixit’s Wrench, Grabba Dragga, Psyko-gatler, Speeding Bulk and Flaming Exhaust
Mozrog Skragbad170Big Chompa’s Jaws, Gutrippa, Thump Gun
Big Mek Dakkarig135Blitzkannon, Multi-busta Launcha, Stompy Feet
Big Mek Dakkarig135Blitzkannon, Multi-busta Launcha, Stompy Feet
Big Mek With Shokk Attack Gun95
Other Units
Flash Gitz210Choppa, Snazzgun
Meganobz185Kombi-weapon, Power Klaw
Meganobz185Kombi-weapon, Power Klaw
Battlewagon150Crushin’ Bulk, Grabbin’ Klaw, Wreckin’ Ball
Tankbustas145Busta Rokkit Launcha, Gitstikka, Pulsa Rokkit, Choppa, Rokkit Pistol, Smash Hammer
Gretchin45Grot Blasta, Scavenged Shivs
Gretchin45Grot Blasta, Scavenged Shivs
Equatorial Hordes1,985 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 66 players · 5 rounds · 5 Sep
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
Ghazghkull Thraka485Boyz (160 pts) - Power Klaw, 19x Shoota
Painboy360Boyz (160 pts) - Power Klaw, 19x Shoota
Painboy335Boyz (160 pts) - Power Klaw, 19x Shoota
Bannernob220Flash Gitz (150 pts) - Ammo Runt
Wazdakka Gutsmek175
Zodgrod Wortsnagga160
Zodgrod Wortsnagga80
20× Gretchin80Kommandos (120 pts) - Bomb Squig, Power Klaw, Burna, Breacha Ram, Rokkit Launcha, Distraction Grot
11× Gretchin45Kommandos (120 pts) - Bomb Squig, Power Klaw, Burna, Breacha Ram, Rokkit Launcha, Distraction Grot
11× Gretchin45Kommandos (120 pts) - Bomb Squig, Power Klaw, Burna, Breacha Ram, Rokkit Launcha, Distraction Grot

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)

54.8%win rate, rank 1 of 271,714 games511 lists from 478 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.26x entry sharegoing first 3.9 points better

Orks won 55.9% of 4,825 games in the 28 days before and 53.5% of 3,702 in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 7.4% to 7.4%.

2 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Bully Boyz (19% to 35%) and Dread Mob (39% to 31%).

8 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Nazdreg (25% to 43%), Flash Gitz (51% to 33%) and Big Mek With Shokk Attack Gun (45% to 31%).

2 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Dreadherder (29% to 18%) and Supa-snazz Dakka (25% to 14%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 11% 20-40 29% 40-60 32% 60-80 25% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 42% Take and Hold 27% Priority Assets 21% Reconnaissance 7% Disruption 3% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Dread Mob 34% Bully Boyz 32% Blitz Brigade 24% Green Tide 23% Da Big Hunt 14% Kult of Speed 13% War Horde 6% Taktikal Brigade 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Gretchin 91% Warboss 60% Big Mek Dakkarig 51% Tankbustas 47% Meganobz 46% Ghazghkull Thraka 44% Nazdreg 40% Trukk 39% Flash Gitz 37% Boyz 33% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Tyranids Chaos Daemons Black Templars Astra Militarum Adeptus Custodes Space Wolves Leagues of Votann Adepta Sororitas 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Nazdreg 25% 43% +18 +9.5
Unit Flash Gitz 51% 33% -18 -9.0
Detachment Bully Boyz 19% 35% +15 +8.7
Unit Big Mek With Shokk Attack Gun 45% 31% -15 -7.6
Unit Meganobz 34% 48% +14 +7.2
Unit Big Mek Dakkarig 63% 49% -14 -7.0
Enhancement Dreadherder 29% 18% -11 -6.5
Enhancement Supa-snazz Dakka 25% 14% -11 -6.8
All 12 shifts: 4 more rows
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Ghazghkull Thraka 38% 49% +10 +5.2
Unit Trukk 47% 38% -9 -4.8
Unit Tankbustas 54% 45% -9 -4.4
Detachment Dread Mob 39% 31% -8 -4.4

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Blitz Brigade2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 59 players · 5 rounds · 3 Oct
Show list
Characters
Big Mek Dakkarig135Blitzkannon, Multi-busta Launcha, Stompy Feet
Big Mek Dakkarig135Blitzkannon, Multi-busta Launcha, Stompy Feet
Warboss100Kustom Choppa, Kustom Shoota
Dedicated Transports
Trukk60Dual Big Shoota, Grabbin’ Klaw, Spiked Ram
Other Units
Flash Gitz + Supa-snazz Dakka230Choppa, Snazzgun
Flash Gitz + Supa-snazz Dakka230Choppa, Snazzgun
Gunwagon160Big Shoota, Crushin’ Bulk, Grabbin’ Klaw, Lobba, Wreckin’ Ball, Zzap Gun
Gunwagon160Big Shoota, Crushin’ Bulk, Grabbin’ Klaw, Lobba, Wreckin’ Ball, Zzap Gun
Tankbustas145Busta Rokkit Launcha, Gitstikka, Pulsa Rokkit, Choppa, Rokkit Pistol
Tankbustas145Busta Rokkit Launcha, Gitstikka, Pulsa Rokkit, Choppa, Rokkit Pistol
Kommandos125Breacha Ram, Burna, Choppa, Kustom Shoota, Rokkit Launcha, Slugga, Power Klaw
Big Mek85Power Klaw, Kustom Mega-Blasta
Big Mek85Power Klaw, Kustom Mega-Blasta
Stormboyz70Choppa, Slugga, Power Klaw
Mek45Kustom Mega-slugga, Mek’s Toolz
Mek45Kustom Mega-slugga, Mek’s Toolz
Gretchin45Grot Blasta, Scavenged Shivs
Bully Boyz + Dread Mob + Green Tide2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 4-0 · 111 players · 4 rounds · 3 Oct
Won an event of 100+ players
Show list
Characters
Ghazghkull Thraka290Adamantine ’Eadbutt, Gork’s Klaw, Mork’s Roar
Big Mek Dakkarig + Cybork Boosta170Blitzkannon, Multi-busta Launcha, Stompy Feet
Mozrog Skragbad170Big Chompa’s Jaws, Gutrippa, Thump Gun
Big Mek Dakkarig + Cybork Boosta160Blitzkannon, Multi-busta Launcha, Stompy Feet
Beastboss85Beast Snagga Klaw and Beastchoppa, Shoota
Battleline
Boyz85Choppa, Shoota, Slugga, Kombi-skorcha, Kustom Choppa
Boyz85Choppa, Shoota, Slugga, Kombi-skorcha, Kustom Choppa
Dedicated Transports
Trukk60Dual Big Shoota, Spiked Ram
Other Units
Meganobz185Kombi-weapon, Power Klaw, Twin Killsaws, Kustom Shoota
Warboss In Mega Armour135
Warboss + Ferocious Show-off115Kustom Choppa, Kustom Shoota
Meganobz105Kombi-weapon, Power Klaw, Twin Killsaws, Kustom Shoota
Warboss + Ferocious Show-off100Kustom Choppa, Kustom Shoota
Weirdboy60Copper Staff, Power Vomit
Bigboss50Big Choppa, Slugga
Gretchin45Grot Blasta, Scavenged Shivs
Gretchin45Grot Blasta, Scavenged Shivs
Gretchin45Grot Blasta, Scavenged Shivs
Runtherd10Runtherd’s Toolz, Slugga

Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)

52.4%win rate, rank 6 of 271,988 games624 lists from 597 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.18x entry sharegoing first 0.3 points better

Orks won 55.4% of 4,613 games in the 28 days before and 52.4% of 1,988 in the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 7.8% to 7.4%.

2 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Dread Mob (39% to 28%) and Bully Boyz (26% to 37%).

9 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Flash Gitz (46% to 30%), Ghazghkull Thraka (39% to 52%) and Nazdreg (33% to 46%).

2 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Dreadherder (27% to 16%) and Supa-snazz Dakka (23% to 12%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 1% 0-20 14% 20-40 25% 40-60 38% 60-80 22% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 36% Take and Hold 31% Priority Assets 20% Reconnaissance 9% Disruption 3% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Bully Boyz 37% Dread Mob 28% Green Tide 23% Blitz Brigade 23% Da Big Hunt 15% Kult of Speed 14% War Horde 6% Taktikal Brigade 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Gretchin 93% Warboss 58% Ghazghkull Thraka 52% Meganobz 50% Big Mek Dakkarig 47% Nazdreg 46% Tankbustas 43% Trukk 37% Deffkoptas 36% Boyz 35% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Thousand Sons Imperial Knights Chaos Space Marines Tyranids Space Marines Necrons Adeptus Mechanicus Leagues of Votann 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Flash Gitz 46% 30% -15 -6.5
Unit Ghazghkull Thraka 39% 52% +14 +5.7
Unit Nazdreg 33% 46% +13 +5.5
Unit Big Mek Dakkarig 60% 47% -13 -5.4
Unit Big Mek With Shokk Attack Gun 41% 29% -12 -5.3
Detachment Dread Mob 39% 28% -11 -4.8
Enhancement Dreadherder 27% 16% -11 -5.4
Enhancement Supa-snazz Dakka 23% 12% -11 -5.9
All 13 shifts: 5 more rows
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Bully Boyz 26% 37% +11 +4.9
Unit Mek 33% 23% -11 -4.8
Unit Tankbustas 53% 43% -10 -4.1
Unit Meganobz 40% 50% +10 +4.0
Unit Warboss In Mega Armour 8% 17% +9 +5.6

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Bully Boyz + Da Big Hunt2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 105 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
Won an event of 100+ players
11 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Ghazghkull Thraka290Adamantine ’Eadbutt, Gork’s Klaw, Mork’s Roar
Beastboss on Squigosaur + Brutal But Kunnin'170Beastchoppa, Slugga, Squigosaur’s Jaws
Mozrog Skragbad170Big Chompa’s Jaws, Gutrippa, Thump Gun
Big Mek Dakkarig160Blitzkannon, Multi-busta Launcha, Stompy Feet
Big Mek Dakkarig160Blitzkannon, Multi-busta Launcha, Stompy Feet
Other Units
Meganobz200Twin Killsaws
Meganobz200Twin Killsaws
Nazdreg165Kustom Blasta X, Moonchewa
Warboss In Mega Armour135
Squighog Boyz130Saddlegit’s Shiv, Squig’s Jaws, Stikka, Big Choppa, Slugga
Squighog Boyz130Saddlegit’s Shiv, Squig’s Jaws, Stikka, Big Choppa, Slugga
Gretchin45Grot Blasta, Scavenged Shivs
Gretchin45Grot Blasta, Scavenged Shivs
War Horde2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 6-0 · 43 players · 6 rounds · 23 Oct
Show list
Characters
Ghazghkull Thraka290Adamantine ’Eadbutt, Gork’s Klaw, Mork’s Roar
Wazdakka Gutsmek200Fixit’s Wrench, Grabba Dragga, Psyko-gatler, Speeding Bulk and Flaming Exhaust
Mozrog Skragbad170Big Chompa’s Jaws, Gutrippa, Thump Gun
Beastboss on Squigosaur + Headwoppa's Killchoppa155Beastchoppa, Slugga, Squigosaur’s Jaws, Thump Gun
Battleline
Beast Snagga Boyz160Choppa, Slugga, Thump Gun, Power Snappa
Beast Snagga Boyz160Choppa, Slugga, Thump Gun, Power Snappa
Other Units
Meganobz190Kombi-weapon, Power Klaw, Twin Killsaws
Nazdreg165Kustom Blasta X, Moonchewa
Tankbustas160Busta Rokkit Launcha, Gitstikka, Choppa, Rokkit Pistol, Smash Hammer
Gunwagon160Big Shoota, Crushin’ Bulk, Grabbin’ Klaw, Lobba, Wreckin’ Ball, Zzap Gun
Big Mek100Power Klaw, Traktor Blasta
Gretchin45Grot Blasta, Scavenged Shivs
Gretchin45Grot Blasta, Scavenged Shivs

Chaos Daemons

Whole edition

54.8%win rate, rank 2 of 289,478 games2,671 lists from 1,561 playerstop-10% finishes 1.20x entry sharegoing first 3.0 points better56.3% adjusted for player skill

The pairing Legion of Excess + Warptide has a win rate 8.9 points above the faction average (197 lists). Daemonic Incursion lists have a win rate 6.8 points below the faction average and make up 11% of the faction's lists. Chaos Daemons won 54.8% of 9,478 games, rank 2 of 28. Blood Legion went from 15% to 29% of the faction's lists between the first period and the last 28 days. Against Adeptus Custodes it wins 43.1% over 655 games, 7.4 points below what its strength predicts.

Combinations

13 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common is Plague Legion + Warptide (426 lists, 16%). Best: Legion of Excess + Warptide (8.9 points above the faction average). Weakest: Shadow Legion + Warptide (7.9 points below the faction average).

Combination Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Plague Legion + Warptide 426 16% -2.1 ± 1.3 -1.5
Blood Legion + Cavalcade of Chaos 365 14% +5.9 ± 1.4 +4.3
Cavalcade of Chaos + Shadow Legion 310 12% +0.2 ± 1.5 +0.1
Blood Legion + Warptide 232 9% +4.5 ± 2.0 +2.3
Legion of Excess + Warptide 197 7% +8.9 ± 1.9 +4.7
Shadow Legion + Warptide 128 5% -7.9 ± 2.4 -3.3
Scintillating Legion + Warptide 114 4% -5.3 ± 2.4 -2.2
Lords of the Warp + Scintillating Legion 74 3% -0.0 ± 2.9 -0.0

Detachments

9 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 6 of them account for 80% of picks. The most played is Warptide (42% of lists), and 78% of lists run more than one detachment. 2 detachments differ from the faction average. Best: Blood Legion (4.1 points above the faction average, 24% of lists). Weakest: Daemonic Incursion (6.8 points below the faction average, 11% of lists).

Detachment Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z P1 P2 P3 P4
Warptide 1,118 42% -0.3 ± 0.7 -0.4 44% 45% 39% 41%
Cavalcade of Chaos 860 32% +1.7 ± 0.8 +2.1 22% 35% 38% 28%
Blood Legion 650 24% +4.1 ± 0.9 +4.3 15% 21% 31% 29%
Plague Legion 552 21% -0.7 ± 1.0 -0.7 23% 24% 18% 18%
Shadow Legion 540 20% -2.3 ± 1.1 -2.2 22% 23% 19% 16%
Daemonic Incursion 297 11% -6.8 ± 1.3 -5.1 7% 7% 12% 19%
Scintillating Legion 275 10% -2.2 ± 1.4 -1.5 21% 8% 7% 7%
Legion of Excess 240 9% +3.5 ± 1.4 +2.4 7% 12% 9% 5%
Lords of the Warp 192 7% -1.7 ± 1.6 -1.1 13% 5% 5% 7%

Matchups

Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Astra Militarum (66.4% over 302 games) and the worst is Adeptus Custodes (43.1% over 655). Against what the faction's strength predicts, Adeptus Custodes (7.4 points below the prediction) deviates.

Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Astra Militarum 302 66.4% 60.9% to 71.5% 64.0% +2.4 favourable
Drukhari 203 65.5% 58.7% to 71.7% 57.8% +7.8 favourable
Imperial Knights 421 60.6% 55.8% to 65.1% 56.1% +4.4 favourable
Adeptus Mechanicus 212 60.1% 53.4% to 66.5% 54.2% +6.0 favourable
Grey Knights 254 59.8% 53.7% to 65.7% 57.6% +2.3 favourable
Blood Angels 265 59.1% 53.0% to 64.8% 58.7% +0.4 favourable
Tyranids 535 58.3% 54.1% to 62.4% 54.8% +3.5 favourable
Space Wolves 233 57.9% 51.5% to 64.1% 55.7% +2.3 favourable
Chaos Knights 225 56.7% 50.1% to 63.0% 57.8% -1.1 favourable
Thousand Sons 331 56.3% 51.0% to 61.6% 54.4% +2.0 favourable
Death Guard 393 56.0% 51.0% to 60.8% 56.5% -0.5 favourable
Necrons 613 55.9% 51.9% to 59.8% 53.3% +2.6 favourable
Space Marines 727 55.7% 52.1% to 59.3% 56.1% -0.4 favourable
World Eaters 397 55.5% 50.6% to 60.4% 54.8% +0.7 favourable
T'au Empire 532 55.2% 50.9% to 59.3% 53.0% +2.2 favourable
Emperor's Children 408 51.6% 46.8% to 56.4% 53.4% -1.8
Orks 685 47.4% 43.7% to 51.2% 49.4% -2.0
Adepta Sororitas 201 47.0% 40.2% to 53.9% 54.4% -7.4
Adeptus Custodes 655 43.1% 39.4% to 47.0% 50.5% -7.4 unfavourable, below model
Deathwatch 68 39.7% 28.9% to 51.6% 51.0% -11.3
All 27 matchups: 7 more rows
Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Black Templars 148 57.4% 49.4% to 65.1% 59.4% -1.9
Aeldari 255 55.5% 49.4% to 61.5% 59.0% -3.6
Chaos Space Marines 440 54.2% 49.5% to 58.8% 57.5% -3.3
Dark Angels 445 53.7% 49.1% to 58.3% 51.3% +2.4
Leagues of Votann 346 53.6% 48.3% to 58.8% 52.9% +0.7
Genestealer Cult 154 53.2% 45.4% to 61.0% 57.2% -3.9
Imperial Agents 30 51.7% 34.6% to 68.3% 60.9% -9.3

Over time

Share of games per week (%) 3 4 5 2.8 2.7 Jul Aug Sep Oct Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval 40 50 60 August balance & rules update 48.6 46.1 Jul Aug Sep Oct
Period Lists Share of all lists Games Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul 574 3.7% 1,930 54.8%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug 719 3.9% 2,578 58.3%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct 916 4.0% 3,359 53.8%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct 462 3.1% 1,611 51.2%

August balance & rules update was followed by a change of -5.5 points in win rate, measured over the 28 days either side.

Around each milestone, 28 days before and after

Milestone Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul) 1,704 / 2,059 56.1% to 57.7% +1.6 +1.0 3.8% to 4.1%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug) 2,068 / 2,492 59.2% to 53.7% -5.5 -3.7 4.2% to 4.2%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep) 2,368 / 2,579 57.6% to 53.5% -4.0 -2.8 4.3% to 4.0%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct) 2,579 / 1,611 53.5% to 51.2% -2.3 -1.5 4.0% to 3.2%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data 2,175 / 785 53.0% to 49.6% -3.3 -1.6 3.7% to 2.9%

Units

A typical list contains 8 distinct units. One unit appears in at least half of all lists and 27 in at least 10%. The most common is Flesh Hounds (56% of lists). 19 datasheets appeared in under 1% of lists: Accursed Cultists, Chaos Lord, Chaos Terminator Squad, Chosen, Cultist Firebrand, Dark Apostle, Dark Commune, Feculent Gnarlmaw, Fellgor Beastmen, Legionaries, Master Of Possession, Possessed and 7 more.

Of 54 units in 40 or more lists, 2 have a clear effect on results (0 positive, 2 negative). Weakest: Daemon Prince Of Chaos With Wings (6.2 points below comparable lists, 8% of lists) and Be’lakor (2.2 points below comparable lists, 37% of lists). Be’lakor is in at least 15% of lists but has a win rate below it.

Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -10 -5 0 +5 +10 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Daemon Prince Of Chaos W Be’lakor Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -5 0 +5 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Daemonic Incursion Blood Legion

Most played units

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Flesh Hounds 1,495 56.0% +0.3 ± 0.6 +0.5
Beasts Of Nurgle 1,159 43.4% +0.2 ± 0.7 +0.3
Plaguebearers 1,137 42.6% +0.1 ± 0.7 +0.1
Bloodcrushers 1,111 41.6% +0.1 ± 0.7 +0.1
Be’lakor 995 37.3% -2.2 ± 0.7 -3.0
Nurglings 991 37.1% +0.2 ± 0.8 +0.3
Rendmaster On Blood Throne 950 35.6% +0.6 ± 0.8 +0.8
Bloodthirster 949 35.5% -1.2 ± 0.8 -1.5
Great Unclean One 916 34.3% -0.3 ± 0.8 -0.4
Skarbrand 909 34.0% +1.0 ± 0.8 +1.3
Lord of Change 810 30.3% -0.7 ± 0.8 -0.9
Skullmaster 777 29.1% +1.4 ± 0.8 +1.6

Other units with a clear effect

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Daemon Prince Of Chaos With Wings 212 7.9% -6.2 ± 1.8 -3.4

Pick-rate shifts

Type Name First period Prior 28 days Last 28 days Change vs first period (pp) Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Unit Skarbrand 22% 43% 46% +23 +3
Enhancement Infernal Puppeteer 18% 1% 1% -17 -0
Unit Screamers 30% 14% 15% -15 +1
Unit Rendmaster On Blood Throne 24% 43% 39% +15 -4
Detachment Blood Legion 15% 32% 29% +14 -3
Unit Skullmaster 19% 38% 33% +14 -6
Detachment Scintillating Legion 21% 7% 7% -14 +0
Enhancement Brazenmaw 13% 29% 26% +13 -4
Unit Flesh Hounds 45% 63% 58% +13 -6
Detachment Daemonic Incursion 7% 12% 20% +12 +8
Enhancement The Everstave 4% 9% 15% +11 +6
Unit Pink Horrors 15% 4% 6% -10 +1

Results brackets

278 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 29 won X, 74 won X-1 and 175 won X-2, from 621 entries.

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 13% 20-40 34% 40-60 33% 60-80 17% 80-100 line = all factions Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2 4.3% X 3.5% X-1 4.1% X-2 dashed = share of entries, 3.6%
Bracket tables
Tier Lists Share of tier Share of entries Ratio z
X 29 4.3% 3.6% 1.17x +0.9
X-1 74 3.5% 3.6% 0.96x -0.4
X-2 175 4.1% 3.6% 1.13x +1.7
X to X-2 278 3.9% 3.6% 1.08x +1.4
Share of games won Players Share of players All players
0 to 20% 16 3.0% 4.1%
20 to 40% 71 13.3% 17.2%
40 to 60% 183 34.3% 32.2%
60 to 80% 174 32.6% 30.1%
80 to 100% 89 16.7% 16.4%

Enhancements

29 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Brazenmaw (21% of lists).

Enhancement table
Enhancement Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Brazenmaw 572 21% +1.4 ± 1.0 +1.4
Cankerblight 450 17% +0.3 ± 1.1 +0.3
Fade to Darkness 435 16% -0.7 ± 1.2 -0.6
Droning Shroud 362 14% -0.0 ± 1.3 -0.0
Bane-forged Weapons 352 13% -0.2 ± 1.4 -0.2
Font of Spores 332 12% +1.6 ± 1.3 +1.2
Soul-shattering Charge 322 12% -0.4 ± 1.3 -0.3
Slaughterthirst 227 8% +0.5 ± 1.5 +0.3

Force Disposition

Force Disposition table
Disposition Share of games Games Win rate Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Purge the Foe 39% 3,313 57.2% +2.4 ± 0.9
Take and Hold 28% 2,357 52.4% -2.4 ± 1.0
Reconnaissance 12% 966 54.4% -0.4 ± 1.8
Priority Assets 11% 936 58.0% +3.1 ± 1.7
Disruption 10% 824 52.0% -2.8 ± 2.0

Each extra 1.9 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 2.5 points lower; the average list has 8.5. Nothing clear turned up in enhancement effects, Force Disposition, results brackets and terrain layout.

Representative lists

Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties, and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.

Blood Legion + Cavalcade of Chaos2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 86 players · 5 rounds · 26 Sep
161 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
Be’lakor390
Skarbrand315
6× Bloodcrushers + Apocalyptic Steeds240with Instrument of Chaos, with Daemonic Icon, Bloodhunter
6× Bloodcrushers + Apocalyptic Steeds210with Instrument of Chaos, with Daemonic Icon, Bloodhunter
6× Bloodcrushers + Apocalyptic Steeds210with Instrument of Chaos, with Daemonic Icon, Bloodhunter
Rendmaster On Blood Throne185
Skullmaster + Brazenmaw100
Skull Cannon100
Skull Cannon100
5× Flesh Hounds75
5× Flesh Hounds75
Cavalcade of Chaos + Shadow Legion1,995 pts
Disruption
Won the event · record 5-0 · 70 players · 5 rounds · 15 Aug
12 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Be’lakor390Betraying Shades, The Blade of Shadows
Bloodthirster320Great axe of Khorne, Hellfire breath
Rendmaster On Blood Throne150
Rendmaster On Blood Throne150
Battleline
Bloodletters110Hellblade, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Allied Units
Cultist Mob50Bolt pistol, Brutal assault weapon, Autopistol
Cultist Mob50Bolt pistol, Brutal assault weapon, Autopistol
Cultist Mob50Bolt pistol, Brutal assault weapon, Autopistol
Other Units
Bloodcrushers190Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Bloodcrushers190Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Skullmaster + Fade to Darkness115Blade of blood, Juggernaut’s bladed horn
Seekers80Lashing tongue, Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Beasts Of Nurgle75
Flesh Hounds75Burning roar, Collar of Khorne, Gore-drenched fangs

Team events

55.1%win rate in team events2,035 games498 lists from 433 players+0.4 points against individual eventsgoing first 5.0 points better

Chaos Daemons won 55.1% of 2,035 team event games, against 54.7% of 7,443 in individual events: 0.4 points higher (not clear). It makes up 4.3% of team event games and 3.7% of individual event games.

Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 41% Take and Hold 21% Disruption 17% Reconnaissance 14% Priority Assets 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments share win rate Cavalcade of Chaos 40% Warptide 34% Blood Legion 29% Shadow Legion 21% Plague Legion 18% Scintillating Legion 9% Daemonic Incursion 9% Legion of Excess 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups win rate against Tyranids Drukhari Aeldari Grey Knights Dark Angels Orks Space Wolves Adeptus Custodes 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events. Dashed: team events win rate.

Milestones

5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after, with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.

July balance & rules update (22 July)

57.7%win rate, rank 1 of 282,059 games560 lists from 478 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.11x entry sharegoing first 5.3 points better

Chaos Daemons won 56.1% of 1,704 games in the 28 days before and 57.7% of 2,059 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.8% to 4.1%.

One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Scintillating Legion (23% to 9%).

3 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Screamers (31% to 15%), Pink Horrors (16% to 6%) and Kairos Fateweaver (18% to 9%).

4 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Infernal Puppeteer (20% to 2%), Soul-shattering Charge (5% to 14%) and Improbable Shield (14% to 6%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 15% 20-40 34% 40-60 33% 60-80 15% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 36% Take and Hold 23% Disruption 14% Reconnaissance 14% Priority Assets 14% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Warptide 44% Cavalcade of Chaos 35% Shadow Legion 26% Plague Legion 23% Blood Legion 20% Legion of Excess 12% Scintillating Legion 9% Daemonic Incursion 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Flesh Hounds 53% Beasts Of Nurgle 46% Plaguebearers 44% Bloodcrushers 42% Nurglings 39% Bloodthirster 36% Rendmaster On Blood Throne 34% Great Unclean One 33% Be’lakor 31% Lord of Change 29% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Adeptus Mechanicus Imperial Knights Astra Militarum Grey Knights Chaos Space Marines Emperor's Children Orks Adeptus Custodes 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Enhancement Infernal Puppeteer 20% 2% -18 -9.5
Unit Screamers 31% 15% -16 -6.3
Detachment Scintillating Legion 23% 9% -14 -6.4
Unit Pink Horrors 16% 6% -10 -5.0
Unit Kairos Fateweaver 18% 9% -9 -4.4
Enhancement Soul-shattering Charge 5% 14% +9 +4.9
Enhancement Improbable Shield 14% 6% -9 -4.7
Enhancement Inescapable Eye 15% 6% -8 -4.6

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Cavalcade of Chaos + Shadow Legion1,995 pts
Disruption
Won the event · record 5-0 · 70 players · 5 rounds · 15 Aug
5 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Be’lakor390Betraying Shades, The Blade of Shadows
Bloodthirster320Great axe of Khorne, Hellfire breath
Rendmaster On Blood Throne150
Rendmaster On Blood Throne150
Battleline
Bloodletters110Hellblade, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Allied Units
Cultist Mob50Bolt pistol, Brutal assault weapon, Autopistol
Cultist Mob50Bolt pistol, Brutal assault weapon, Autopistol
Cultist Mob50Bolt pistol, Brutal assault weapon, Autopistol
Other Units
Bloodcrushers190Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Bloodcrushers190Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Skullmaster + Fade to Darkness115Blade of blood, Juggernaut’s bladed horn
Seekers80Lashing tongue, Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Beasts Of Nurgle75
Flesh Hounds75Burning roar, Collar of Khorne, Gore-drenched fangs
Cavalcade of Chaos + Shadow Legion2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 64 players · 5 rounds · 15 Aug
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Be’lakor390Betraying Shades, The Blade of Shadows
Bloodthirster + Fade to Darkness350Great axe of Khorne, Hellfire breath
Lord of Change320Bolt of Change, Rod of sorcery, Staff of Tzeentch
Lord of Change320Bolt of Change, Rod of sorcery, Staff of Tzeentch
Allied Units
Chaos Lord with Jump Pack80Plasma Pistol, Power fist
Other Units
Bloodcrushers + Soul-shattering Charge200Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Bloodcrushers + Soul-shattering Charge95Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Skullmaster85Blade of blood, Juggernaut’s bladed horn
Skullmaster85Blade of blood, Juggernaut’s bladed horn
Flesh Hounds75Burning roar, Collar of Khorne, Gore-drenched fangs

August balance & rules update (26 August)

54.5%win rate, rank 3 of 27780 games202 lists from 197 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.01x entry sharegoing first 6.7 points better

Chaos Daemons won 59.2% of 2,068 games in the 28 days before and 53.7% of 2,492 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.2% to 4.2%. The change of -5.5 points is clear.

One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Skarbrand (28% to 40%).

Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 5% 0-20 11% 20-40 38% 40-60 32% 60-80 14% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 38% Take and Hold 32% Priority Assets 13% Reconnaissance 10% Disruption 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Warptide 42% Cavalcade of Chaos 37% Blood Legion 28% Plague Legion 21% Shadow Legion 19% Legion of Excess 13% Daemonic Incursion 10% Lords of the Warp 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Flesh Hounds 60% Bloodcrushers 46% Beasts Of Nurgle 45% Plaguebearers 43% Rendmaster On Blood Throne 39% Nurglings 38% Great Unclean One 36% Bloodthirster 36% Be’lakor 35% Skarbrand 34% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Dark Angels Tyranids Necrons Space Marines Orks Adeptus Custodes 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Skarbrand 28% 40% +12 +4.5

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Blood Legion + Cavalcade of Chaos2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 39 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
11 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Be’lakor390Betraying Shades, The Blade of Shadows
Skarbrand315Bellow of endless fury, Slaughter and Carnage
Rendmaster On Blood Throne150
Other Units
Bloodcrushers + Soul-shattering Charge210Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Bloodcrushers + Soul-shattering Charge200Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Bloodcrushers + Soul-shattering Charge190Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Burning Chariot115Fire of Tzeentch, Flamer mouths, Screamer bites
Skullmaster + Brazenmaw100Blade of blood, Juggernaut’s bladed horn
Skull Cannon90Attendants’ hellblades, Biting maw, Skull cannon
Skull Cannon90Attendants’ hellblades, Biting maw, Skull cannon
Flesh Hounds75Burning roar, Collar of Khorne, Gore-drenched fangs
Flesh Hounds75Burning roar, Collar of Khorne, Gore-drenched fangs
Blood Legion + Cavalcade of Chaos1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
3rd place · record 5-1 · 64 players · 6 rounds · 29 Aug
Show list
Characters
Be’lakor390
Skarbrand315Bellow of endless fury, Slaughter and Carnage
Great Unclean One265Putrid vomit, Bilesword, Plague flail
Great Unclean One265Putrid vomit, Bilesword, Plague flail
Other Units
Bloodcrushers210Hellblade, Juggernaut's bladed horn
Bloodcrushers200Hellblade, Juggernaut's bladed horn
Bloodcrushers200Hellblade, Juggernaut's bladed horn
Flesh Hounds75Burning roar, Gore-drenched fangs, Collar of Khorne
Flesh Hounds75Burning roar, Gore-drenched fangs, Collar of Khorne

Orks codex (5 September)

53.5%win rate, rank 5 of 282,579 games714 lists from 597 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.11x entry sharegoing first 0.8 points better

Chaos Daemons won 57.6% of 2,368 games in the 28 days before and 53.5% of 2,579 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.3% to 4.0%.

One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Skarbrand (31% to 43%).

Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 16% 20-40 30% 40-60 39% 60-80 13% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 43% Take and Hold 30% Reconnaissance 10% Priority Assets 9% Disruption 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Cavalcade of Chaos 38% Warptide 38% Blood Legion 32% Shadow Legion 19% Plague Legion 17% Daemonic Incursion 13% Legion of Excess 9% Scintillating Legion 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Flesh Hounds 64% Bloodcrushers 49% Rendmaster On Blood Throne 44% Skarbrand 43% Be’lakor 42% Skullmaster 38% Bloodthirster 37% Plaguebearers 37% Beasts Of Nurgle 36% Nurglings 33% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Drukhari Genestealer Cult Blood Angels World Eaters Adeptus Mechanicus Adepta Sororitas Adeptus Custodes Dark Angels 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Skarbrand 31% 43% +12 +4.7

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Blood Legion + Cavalcade of Chaos2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 86 players · 5 rounds · 26 Sep
85 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
Be’lakor390
Skarbrand315
6× Bloodcrushers + Apocalyptic Steeds240with Instrument of Chaos, with Daemonic Icon, Bloodhunter
6× Bloodcrushers + Apocalyptic Steeds210with Instrument of Chaos, with Daemonic Icon, Bloodhunter
6× Bloodcrushers + Apocalyptic Steeds210with Instrument of Chaos, with Daemonic Icon, Bloodhunter
Rendmaster On Blood Throne185
Skullmaster + Brazenmaw100
Skull Cannon100
Skull Cannon100
5× Flesh Hounds75
5× Flesh Hounds75
Plague Legion + Warptide1,990 pts
Take and Hold
3rd place · record 4-1 · 55 players · 5 rounds · 26 Sep
7 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Great Unclean One + Droning Shroud300Bileblade, Bilesword, Putrid vomit, Doomsday bell
Great Unclean One + Droning Shroud285Bileblade, Bilesword, Putrid vomit, Doomsday bell
Rotigus280Gnarlrod, Streams of brackish filth
Battleline
Plaguebearers115Plaguesword, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Plaguebearers115Plaguesword, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Plaguebearers115Plaguesword, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Plaguebearers115Plaguesword, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Other Units
Plague Drones110Death’s heads, Foul mouthparts, Plaguesword, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Plague Drones110Death’s heads, Foul mouthparts, Plaguesword, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Nurglings90Diseased claws and teeth
Nurglings90Diseased claws and teeth
Epidemius80Balesword and Nurgling attendants
Sloppity Bilepiper + Maggot Maws70Marotter
Sloppity Bilepiper + Maggot Maws70Marotter
Nurglings45Diseased claws and teeth

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)

52.8%win rate, rank 7 of 27826 games231 lists from 217 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.89x entry sharegoing first 5.3 points better

Chaos Daemons won 53.5% of 2,579 games in the 28 days before and 51.2% of 1,611 in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 4.0% to 3.2%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 6% 0-20 15% 20-40 32% 40-60 30% 60-80 17% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 42% Take and Hold 33% Priority Assets 10% Reconnaissance 8% Disruption 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Warptide 39% Cavalcade of Chaos 32% Blood Legion 30% Shadow Legion 20% Daemonic Incursion 17% Plague Legion 16% Scintillating Legion 8% Lords of the Warp 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Flesh Hounds 61% Skarbrand 45% Bloodcrushers 44% Rendmaster On Blood Throne 43% Beasts Of Nurgle 40% Be’lakor 39% Plaguebearers 38% Bloodthirster 38% Skullmaster 35% Great Unclean One 33% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Tyranids Dark Angels Necrons Imperial Knights Space Marines Orks World Eaters Adeptus Custodes 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Blood Legion + Warptide1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 44 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
5 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Skarbrand330Bellow of endless fury, Slaughter and Carnage
Daemon Prince Of Chaos With Wings210
Daemon Prince Of Chaos With Wings190
Rendmaster On Blood Throne160
Rendmaster On Blood Throne160
Battleline
Bloodletters + Bane-forged Weapons125Hellblade, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Bloodletters + Bane-forged Weapons125Hellblade, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Bloodletters + Bane-forged Weapons110Hellblade, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Other Units
Bloodcrushers210Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Skullmaster + Brazenmaw100Blade of blood, Juggernaut’s bladed horn
Beasts Of Nurgle80
Bloodmaster65Blade of blood
Bloodmaster65Blade of blood
Bloodmaster65Blade of blood
Cavalcade of Chaos + Shadow Legion1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
4th place · record 4-1 · 59 players · 5 rounds · 3 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Rendmaster On Blood Throne160
Rendmaster On Blood Throne160
Allied Units
Cultist Mob50Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Other Units
Bloodcrushers240Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Bloodcrushers200Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Bloodcrushers200Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Seekers155Lashing tongue, Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Seekers155Lashing tongue, Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Skullmaster + Leaping Shadows110Blade of blood, Juggernaut’s bladed horn
Skullmaster + Leaping Shadows95Blade of blood, Juggernaut’s bladed horn
Skullmaster + Leaping Shadows95Blade of blood, Juggernaut’s bladed horn
Seekers85Lashing tongue, Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Beasts Of Nurgle80
Flesh Hounds75Burning roar, Collar of Khorne, Gore-drenched fangs
Nurglings45Diseased claws and teeth
Nurglings45Diseased claws and teeth
Nurglings45Diseased claws and teeth

Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)

49.6%win rate, rank 13 of 27785 games231 lists from 223 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.72x entry sharegoing first 2.0 points better

Chaos Daemons won 53.0% of 2,175 games in the 28 days before and 49.6% of 785 in the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 3.7% to 2.9%.

One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Daemon Prince Of Chaos With Wings (4% to 14%).

Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 4% 0-20 16% 20-40 44% 40-60 20% 60-80 16% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 38% Take and Hold 35% Reconnaissance 11% Disruption 10% Priority Assets 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Warptide 43% Blood Legion 27% Cavalcade of Chaos 24% Daemonic Incursion 22% Plague Legion 20% Shadow Legion 13% Lords of the Warp 7% Scintillating Legion 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Flesh Hounds 53% Skarbrand 46% Beasts Of Nurgle 44% Great Unclean One 43% Plaguebearers 41% Nurglings 40% Be’lakor 40% Bloodthirster 38% Bloodcrushers 36% Rendmaster On Blood Throne 35% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Dark Angels Orks Necrons Death Guard Space Marines World Eaters T'au Empire Adeptus Custodes 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Daemon Prince Of Chaos With Wings 4% 14% +10 +4.9

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Cavalcade of Chaos + Shadow Legion1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 4-0-1 · 31 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Rendmaster On Blood Throne160
Rendmaster On Blood Throne160
Allied Units
Cultist Mob50Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Other Units
Bloodcrushers250Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Bloodcrushers210Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Bloodcrushers210Hellblade, Juggernaut’s bladed horn, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Seekers155Lashing tongue, Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Seekers155Lashing tongue, Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Skullmaster + Leaping Shadows110Blade of blood, Juggernaut’s bladed horn
Skullmaster + Leaping Shadows95Blade of blood, Juggernaut’s bladed horn
Skullmaster + Leaping Shadows95Blade of blood, Juggernaut’s bladed horn
Nurglings90Diseased claws and teeth
Seekers85Lashing tongue, Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Beasts Of Nurgle80
Nurglings45Diseased claws and teeth
Nurglings45Diseased claws and teeth
Plague Legion + Warptide1,995 pts
Take and Hold
3rd place · record 4-1 · 42 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Great Unclean One + Font of Spores285Bileblade, Bilesword, Putrid vomit
Rotigus280Gnarlrod, Streams of brackish filth
Battleline
Plaguebearers + Bane-forged Weapons130Plaguesword
Plaguebearers + Bane-forged Weapons130Plaguesword
Bloodletters + Bane-forged Weapons125Hellblade
Plaguebearers + Bane-forged Weapons115Plaguesword
Allied Units
Knight Abominant350Balemace, Diabolus heavy stubber, Electroscourge, Volkite combustor
Other Units
Beasts Of Nurgle150
Plague Drones110Death’s heads, Foul mouthparts, Plaguesword
Epidemius80Balesword and Nurgling attendants
Beasts Of Nurgle80
Poxbringer60Foul balesword
Sloppity Bilepiper55Marotter
Nurglings45Diseased claws and teeth

Adeptus Custodes

Whole edition

54.4%win rate, rank 3 of 2815,013 games4,407 lists from 2,744 playerstop-10% finishes 1.13x entry sharegoing first 1.4 points better55.8% adjusted for player skill

Adeptus Custodes won 54.4% of 15,013 games, 4.4 points above an even win rate (rank 3 of 28). Against Chaos Daemons it wins 56.9% over 655 games, 7.4 points above what its strength predicts. Might of the Moritoi went from 13% to 39% of the faction's lists over the last 28 days compared with the 28 before. The pairing Solar Spearhead + Tharanatoi Hammerblow has a win rate 14.8 points below the faction average (44 lists). Its codex arrived on 17 October, so only 9 days of data follow it.

Force Disposition

Purge the Foe has a win rate 5.8 points below the faction's other choices and Take and Hold has a win rate 2.8 points above the faction's other choices.

Disposition Share of games Games Win rate Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Take and Hold 62% 8,305 57.2% +2.8 ± 0.6
Purge the Foe 24% 3,275 48.7% -5.8 ± 0.9
Disruption 6% 761 52.4% -1.9 ± 2.0
Reconnaissance 4% 576 53.8% -0.8 ± 2.0
Priority Assets 4% 501 51.9% -2.5 ± 2.4

Matchups

Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Chaos Knights (63.7% over 395 games) and the worst is Orks (47.6% over 1,121). Against what the faction's strength predicts, Chaos Daemons (7.4 points above the prediction) deviates.

Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Imperial Agents 50 64.0% 50.1% to 75.9% 60.4% +3.6 favourable
Chaos Knights 395 63.7% 58.8% to 68.3% 57.3% +6.4 favourable
Astra Militarum 506 63.6% 59.4% to 67.7% 63.4% +0.2 favourable
Aeldari 460 61.5% 57.0% to 65.9% 58.5% +3.0 favourable
Genestealer Cult 210 60.0% 53.3% to 66.4% 56.6% +3.4 favourable
Imperial Knights 616 58.8% 54.9% to 62.7% 55.6% +3.3 favourable
Tyranids 928 57.9% 54.7% to 61.1% 54.3% +3.6 favourable
Blood Angels 414 57.7% 52.9% to 62.4% 58.1% -0.4 favourable
Black Templars 217 57.4% 50.7% to 63.8% 58.8% -1.5 favourable
Chaos Daemons 655 56.9% 53.0% to 60.6% 49.5% +7.4 favourable, above model
Space Wolves 414 55.1% 50.3% to 59.8% 55.1% -0.1 favourable
Emperor's Children 709 54.3% 50.6% to 57.9% 52.9% +1.4 favourable
World Eaters 703 54.3% 50.6% to 57.9% 54.3% -0.0 favourable
Leagues of Votann 548 54.2% 50.0% to 58.3% 52.4% +1.8 favourable
Space Marines 1,181 53.4% 50.6% to 56.3% 55.5% -2.1 favourable
Adeptus Mechanicus 354 51.6% 46.4% to 56.7% 53.6% -2.1
Thousand Sons 550 48.9% 44.8% to 53.1% 53.8% -4.9
Dark Angels 717 48.6% 45.0% to 52.3% 50.8% -2.2
Orks 1,121 47.6% 44.7% to 50.6% 48.9% -1.3
Deathwatch 97 47.4% 37.8% to 57.3% 50.4% -3.0
All 27 matchups: 7 more rows
Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Drukhari 343 55.1% 49.8% to 60.3% 57.2% -2.1
Adepta Sororitas 381 54.3% 49.3% to 59.3% 53.9% +0.5
Death Guard 658 53.4% 49.6% to 57.2% 56.0% -2.6
Chaos Space Marines 695 53.4% 49.7% to 57.1% 57.0% -3.6
T'au Empire 701 52.4% 48.7% to 56.0% 52.4% -0.1
Grey Knights 386 52.3% 47.4% to 57.3% 57.0% -4.7
Necrons 1,004 51.8% 48.7% to 54.9% 52.7% -0.9

Over time

Its share of lists went from 4.9% to 6.7%.

Share of games per week (%) 6 8 8.6 5.1 Jul Aug Sep Oct Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval 50 60 Codex: Space Marines (11th Edi 51.7 52.8 Jul Aug Sep Oct
Period Lists Share of all lists Games Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul 765 4.9% 2,613 52.2%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug 1,069 5.8% 3,651 54.5%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct 1,565 6.8% 5,565 56.3%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct 1,008 6.7% 3,184 52.5%

Codex: Space Marines was followed by a change of -4.5 points in win rate, measured over the 28 days either side.

Around each milestone, 28 days before and after

Milestone Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul) 2,208 / 2,894 52.1% to 53.8% +1.7 +1.2 4.9% to 5.7%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug) 2,778 / 3,863 54.8% to 56.9% +2.1 +1.7 5.6% to 6.5%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep) 3,204 / 4,387 54.7% to 57.0% +2.3 +2.0 5.9% to 6.7%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct) 4,387 / 3,184 57.0% to 52.5% -4.5 -3.8 6.7% to 6.4%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data 3,841 / 1,861 54.9% to 51.6% -3.3 -2.3 6.5% to 7.0%

Combinations

9 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common is Lions of the Emperor + Might of the Moritoi (938 lists, 21%). Best: Lions of the Emperor + Might of the Moritoi (4.4 points above the faction average). Weakest: Solar Spearhead + Tharanatoi Hammerblow (14.8 points below the faction average).

Combination Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Lions of the Emperor + Might of the Moritoi 938 21% +4.4 ± 0.9 +5.0
Shield Host + Tharanatoi Hammerblow 569 13% -4.0 ± 1.2 -3.4
Might of the Moritoi + Shield Host 452 10% -7.6 ± 1.3 -5.8
Lions of the Emperor + Silent Hunters 209 5% +1.5 ± 1.8 +0.8
Shield Host + Silent Hunters 65 1% -12.4 ± 3.4 -3.6
Solar Spearhead + Tharanatoi Hammerblow 44 1% -14.8 ± 3.6 -4.1
Auric Champions + Might of the Moritoi 33 1% +3.9 ± 5.2 +0.7
Silent Hunters + Solar Spearhead 26 1% -7.7 ± 5.1 -1.5

Results brackets

430 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 40 won X, 118 won X-1 and 272 won X-2, from 961 entries.

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 13% 20-40 31% 40-60 35% 60-80 17% 80-100 line = all factions Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2 5.9% X 5.5% X-1 6.4% X-2 dashed = share of entries, 5.6%
Tier Lists Share of tier Share of entries Ratio z
X 40 5.9% 5.6% 1.04x +0.3
X-1 118 5.5% 5.6% 0.99x -0.1
X-2 272 6.4% 5.6% 1.14x +2.2
X to X-2 430 6.1% 5.6% 1.08x +1.7
Share of games won Players Share of players All players
0 to 20% 24 3.0% 4.1%
20 to 40% 108 13.3% 17.2%
40 to 60% 253 31.3% 32.2%
60 to 80% 283 35.0% 30.1%
80 to 100% 141 17.4% 16.4%

Units

A typical list contains 8 distinct units. 7 units appear in at least half of all lists and 18 in at least 10%. The most common is Allarus Custodians (87% of lists). One datasheet never appeared: Custodian Guard Sodality with Adrasite Spears. 9 datasheets appeared in under 1% of lists: Aquilon Terminators with Solarite Power Talons, Ares Gunship, Coronus Grav-Carrier, Gyrfalcon Jetbike Sodality, Inquisitor Greyfax, Orion Assault Dropship, Pallas Grav-Attack, Venatari with Kinetic Destroyers, Vigilator Squad.

Of 34 units in 40 or more lists, 6 have a clear effect on results (5 positive, 1 negative). Best: Inquisitor Draxus (4.1 points above comparable lists, 14% of lists), Valerian (3.0 points above comparable lists, 25% of lists), Prosecutors (2.4 points above comparable lists, 52% of lists) and Vertus Praetors (1.8 points above comparable lists, 64% of lists). Weakest: Sentinel Guard Sodality (7.7 points below comparable lists, 3% of lists).

Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -5 0 +5 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Sentinel Guard Sodality Inquisitor Draxus Prosecutors Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -10 -5 0 +5 +10 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Solar Spearhead Shield Host Lions of the Emperor

Most played units

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Allarus Custodians 3,831 86.9% +0.6 ± 0.4 +1.6
Vertus Praetors 2,838 64.4% +1.8 ± 0.5 +4.0
Custodian Wardens 2,750 62.4% +1.1 ± 0.5 +2.3
Custodian Guard 2,514 57.0% +1.1 ± 0.5 +2.3
Witchseekers 2,485 56.4% +1.7 ± 0.5 +3.4
Blade Champion 2,270 51.5% +0.8 ± 0.5 +1.5
Prosecutors 2,270 51.5% +2.4 ± 0.5 +4.6
Shield-Captain in Allarus Terminator Armour 2,067 46.9% +0.3 ± 0.5 +0.5
Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike 1,891 42.9% +1.6 ± 0.6 +2.8
Trajann Valoris 1,601 36.3% -1.0 ± 0.7 -1.5
Venatari Custodians 1,401 31.8% +1.3 ± 0.7 +1.9
Valerian 1,083 24.6% +3.0 ± 0.7 +4.1

Other units with a clear effect

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Inquisitor Draxus 608 13.8% +4.1 ± 1.0 +4.2
Sentinel Guard Sodality 114 2.6% -7.7 ± 2.4 -3.2

Detachments

10 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 3 of them account for 80% of picks. The most played is Lions of the Emperor (60% of lists), and 55% of lists run more than one detachment. 3 detachments differ from the faction average. Best: Lions of the Emperor (3.4 points above the faction average, 60% of lists). Weakest: Solar Spearhead (7.2 points below the faction average, 2% of lists).

Detachment Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z P1 P2 P3 P4
Lions of the Emperor 2,628 60% +3.4 ± 0.5 +7.2 49% 53% 67% 64%
Might of the Moritoi 1,590 36% +0.3 ± 0.6 +0.5 46% 55% 16% 40%
Shield Host 1,177 27% -3.8 ± 0.8 -4.9 32% 37% 26% 12%
Tharanatoi Hammerblow 662 15% -2.7 ± 1.0 -2.7 20% 22% 14% 6%
Silent Hunters 323 7% -2.4 ± 1.4 -1.7 13% 16% 3% 1%
Auric Champions 97 2% -1.1 ± 2.8 -0.4 0% 1% 1% 8%
Solar Spearhead 91 2% -7.2 ± 2.3 -3.1 4% 1% 2% 1%
Talons of the Emperor 73 2% -4.3 ± 2.9 -1.5 6% 1% 1% 0%
Guardians of the Throne 25 1% -7.2 ± 6.0 -1.2 0% 0% 0% 2%
Null Maiden Vigil 22 0% -10.1 ± 4.9 -2.0 1% 0% 0% 1%

Pick-rate shifts

Type Name First period Prior 28 days Last 28 days Change vs first period (pp) Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Unit Custodian Guard 71% 63% 34% -37 -29
Unit Prosecutors 46% 68% 33% -13 -35
Unit Prosecutor Squad 0% 0% 33% +33 +33
Unit Witchseekers 59% 68% 36% -23 -32
Unit Vertus Praetors 64% 76% 45% -18 -31
Unit Witchseeker Squad 0% 0% 30% +30 +30
Unit Caladius Grav-Tank 41% 17% 11% -30 -5
Unit Telemon Heavy Dreadnought 29% 9% 38% +9 +28
Unit Custodian Wardens 53% 77% 49% -4 -28
Unit Blade Champion 60% 57% 34% -26 -23
Detachment Might of the Moritoi 46% 13% 39% -7 +26
Unit Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike 52% 47% 26% -26 -21

Enhancements

22 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Admonimortis (30% of lists).

Enhancement table
Enhancement Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Admonimortis 1,319 30% -0.6 ± 0.7 -0.8
Superior Creation 920 21% -1.1 ± 0.8 -1.3
Interred Expertise 625 14% +0.9 ± 1.0 +1.0
Panoptispex 544 12% +2.9 ± 1.1 +2.5
Fierce Conqueror 437 10% +0.3 ± 1.2 +0.3
Auric Mantle 347 8% -3.8 ± 1.4 -2.7
From the Hall of Armouries 340 8% -2.1 ± 1.5 -1.4
Augury Uplink (one per army) 265 6% -0.3 ± 1.7 -0.2

Each extra 1.8 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 2.8 points lower; the average list has 8.2. Nothing clear turned up in enhancement effects and terrain layout.

Representative lists

Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties, and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.

Adeptus Custodes2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 6-0 · 51 players · 6 rounds · 19 Sep
197 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike + Praesidius165Interceptor lance, Bolter :v
Other Units
Allarus Custodians370Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Allarus Custodians340Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Allarus Custodians340Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Custodian Wardens250Guardian spear, Vexilla
Vertus Praetors145Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Vertus Praetors145Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Valerian110Gnosis
Prosecutors45Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Prosecutors45Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Prosecutors45Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Lions of the Emperor + Might of the Moritoi2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 91 players · 5 rounds · 21 Aug
334 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
Allarus Custodians275Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Allarus Custodians275Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Custodian Wardens250Guardian spear, Vexilla
Custodian Guard215Guardian spear, Misericordia, Praesidium Shield, Vexilla
Vertus Praetors215Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike + Admonimortis170Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Custodian Guard170Guardian spear, Misericordia, Praesidium Shield, Vexilla
Blade Champion + Superior Creation135Vaultswords
Inquisitor Draxus110Dirgesinger, Power fist, Psychic Tempest
Witchseekers50Close combat weapon, Witchseeker flamer
Prosecutors45Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Prosecutors45Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Prosecutors45Boltgun, Close combat weapon

Team events

54.9%win rate in team events3,233 games818 lists from 715 players+0.8 points against individual eventsgoing first 0.5 points better

Adeptus Custodes won 54.9% of 3,233 team event games, against 54.2% of 11,780 in individual events: 0.8 points higher (not clear). It makes up 6.9% of team event games and 5.8% of individual event games.

Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 59% Purge the Foe 19% Disruption 13% Reconnaissance 6% Priority Assets 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments share win rate Lions of the Emperor 63% Shield Host 24% Might of the Moritoi 22% Tharanatoi Hammerblow 16% Silent Hunters 10% Talons of the Emperor 3% Auric Champions 2% Solar Spearhead 1% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups win rate against Chaos Knights Leagues of Votann Astra Militarum Blood Angels Chaos Space Marines Necrons Dark Angels Thousand Sons 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events. Dashed: team events win rate.

Milestones

5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after, with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.

July balance & rules update (22 July)

53.8%win rate, rank 5 of 282,894 games823 lists from 726 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.13x entry sharegoing first 0.1 points worse

Adeptus Custodes won 52.1% of 2,208 games in the 28 days before and 53.8% of 2,894 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.9% to 5.7%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 12% 20-40 33% 40-60 37% 60-80 15% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 40% Purge the Foe 33% Reconnaissance 10% Disruption 10% Priority Assets 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Might of the Moritoi 51% Lions of the Emperor 49% Shield Host 41% Tharanatoi Hammerblow 24% Silent Hunters 18% Solar Spearhead 2% Talons of the Emperor 2% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Allarus Custodians 87% Vertus Praetors 68% Custodian Guard 65% Blade Champion 61% Custodian Wardens 59% Witchseekers 58% Shield-Captain in Allarus Terminator Armour 54% Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike 52% Prosecutors 51% Venatari Custodians 42% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Death Guard Astra Militarum Chaos Knights Imperial Knights Orks Adeptus Mechanicus Drukhari World Eaters 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Lions of the Emperor + Might of the Moritoi2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 58 players · 5 rounds · 15 Aug
29 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
Custodian Wardens250Guardian spear, Vexilla
Custodian Guard215Guardian spear, Misericordia, Praesidium Shield, Vexilla
Custodian Guard215Guardian spear, Misericordia, Praesidium Shield, Vexilla
Vertus Praetors215Interceptor lance, Salvo launcher
Custodian Guard215Guardian spear, Misericordia, Praesidium Shield, Vexilla
Shield-Captain in Allarus Terminator Armour + Admonimortis160Balistus grenade launcher, Castellan axe
Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike + Fierce Conqueror155Interceptor lance, Salvo launcher
Trajann Valoris135Eagle’s Scream, Watcher’s Axe
Allarus Custodians110Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Blade Champion110Vaultswords
Valerian110Gnosis
Allarus Custodians110Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Lions of the Emperor + Might of the Moritoi2,000 pts
Take and Hold
3rd place · record 5-1 · 69 players · 6 rounds · 31 Jul
12 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
Allarus Custodians330Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Allarus Custodians330Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Vertus Praetors215Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Vertus Praetors215Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Vertus Praetors215Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Venatari Custodians165Venatari lance
Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike140Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike140Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike140Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Allarus Custodians110Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear

August balance & rules update (26 August)

53.9%win rate, rank 4 of 271,178 games322 lists from 314 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.13x entry sharegoing first 2.5 points worse

Adeptus Custodes won 54.8% of 2,778 games in the 28 days before and 56.9% of 3,863 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 5.6% to 6.5%.

2 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Might of the Moritoi (57% to 18%) and Silent Hunters (15% to 3%).

4 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Valerian (26% to 40%), Custodian Wardens (66% to 76%) and Prosecutors (56% to 66%).

2 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Interred Expertise (26% to 10%) and Superior Creation (17% to 30%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 2% 0-20 19% 20-40 24% 40-60 35% 60-80 20% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 73% Purge the Foe 17% Disruption 5% Reconnaissance 3% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Lions of the Emperor 61% Shield Host 32% Might of the Moritoi 29% Tharanatoi Hammerblow 16% Silent Hunters 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Allarus Custodians 93% Custodian Wardens 75% Vertus Praetors 73% Witchseekers 66% Custodian Guard 64% Prosecutors 61% Blade Champion 52% Shield-Captain in Allarus Terminator Armour 50% Valerian 43% Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike 42% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against World Eaters Leagues of Votann Aeldari Blood Angels Dark Angels T'au Empire Space Marines Necrons 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Might of the Moritoi 57% 18% -39 -17.9
Enhancement Interred Expertise 26% 10% -16 -9.3
Unit Valerian 26% 40% +15 +6.8
Detachment Silent Hunters 15% 3% -13 -10.1
Enhancement Superior Creation 17% 30% +13 +6.3
Unit Custodian Wardens 66% 76% +10 +4.8
Unit Prosecutors 56% 66% +10 +4.4
Unit Caladius Grav-Tank 27% 17% -10 -5.1

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Lions of the Emperor2,000 pts
Take and Hold
2nd place · record 8-1 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
5 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Shield-Captain in Allarus Terminator Armour + Superior Creation155Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Other Units
Allarus Custodians340Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Allarus Custodians310Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Allarus Custodians280Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Vertus Praetors215Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike + Admonimortis170Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Custodian Guard170Guardian spear, Misericordia, Praesidium Shield, Vexilla
Vertus Praetors145Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Inquisitor65Combi-weapon, Force weapon, Psychic Gifts, Psychic Shock Wave
Prosecutors50Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Prosecutors50Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Witchseekers50Close combat weapon, Witchseeker flamer
Lions of the Emperor2,000 pts
Take and Hold
2nd place · record 7-1 · 198 players · 8 rounds · 28 Aug
Show list
Other Units
Allarus Custodians340Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian Spear
Allarus Custodians340Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian Spear
Custodian Wardens200Guardian Spear
Custodian Guard170Guardian Spear, Misericordia
Custodian Guard170Guardian Spear, Misericordia
Custodian Guard170Guardian Spear, Misericordia
Blade Champion135Vaultswords
Trajann Valoris135Eagle's Scream, Watcher's Axe
Inquisitor65Force Weapon, Combi-weapon, Psychic gifts
Inquisitor65Force Weapon, Combi-weapon, Psychic gifts
Vigilators55Executioner greatblade
Vigilators55Executioner greatblade
Witchseekers55Close combat weapon, Witchseeker flamer
Prosecutors45Boltgun, Close combat weapon

Orks codex (5 September)

57.0%win rate, rank 2 of 284,387 games1,243 lists from 1,072 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.20x entry sharegoing first 2.5 points better

Adeptus Custodes won 54.7% of 3,204 games in the 28 days before and 57.0% of 4,387 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 5.9% to 6.7%.

3 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Might of the Moritoi (49% to 13%), Silent Hunters (11% to 2%) and Lions of the Emperor (60% to 69%).

2 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Venerable Contemptor Dreadnought (18% to 6%) and Prosecutors (59% to 68%).

2 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Interred Expertise (23% to 9%) and Superior Creation (19% to 31%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 12% 20-40 28% 40-60 34% 60-80 23% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 81% Purge the Foe 14% Disruption 3% Priority Assets 1% Reconnaissance 1% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Lions of the Emperor 69% Shield Host 25% Tharanatoi Hammerblow 13% Might of the Moritoi 13% Solar Spearhead 2% Silent Hunters 2% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Allarus Custodians 92% Custodian Wardens 77% Vertus Praetors 76% Prosecutors 68% Witchseekers 68% Custodian Guard 62% Blade Champion 57% Shield-Captain in Allarus Terminator Armour 48% Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike 46% Valerian 39% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Astra Militarum Black Templars Aeldari Genestealer Cult Death Guard Grey Knights Dark Angels Orks 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Might of the Moritoi 49% 13% -36 -18.6
Enhancement Interred Expertise 23% 9% -14 -9.1
Unit Venerable Contemptor Dreadnought 18% 6% -13 -9.3
Enhancement Superior Creation 19% 31% +12 +6.1
Unit Prosecutors 59% 68% +10 +4.6
Detachment Silent Hunters 11% 2% -9 -9.3
Detachment Lions of the Emperor 60% 69% +9 +4.1

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Adeptus Custodes2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 6-0 · 51 players · 6 rounds · 19 Sep
118 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike + Praesidius165Interceptor lance, Bolter :v
Other Units
Allarus Custodians370Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Allarus Custodians340Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Allarus Custodians340Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Custodian Wardens250Guardian spear, Vexilla
Vertus Praetors145Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Vertus Praetors145Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Valerian110Gnosis
Prosecutors45Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Prosecutors45Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Prosecutors45Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Lions of the Emperor2,000 pts
Take and Hold
62nd place · record 3-0 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
165 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
Allarus Custodians340Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Allarus Custodians310Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Allarus Custodians280Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Vertus Praetors215Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Custodian Wardens200Guardian spear, Vexilla
Custodian Guard170Guardian spear, Misericordia, Praesidium Shield, Vexilla
Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike + Admonimortis170Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Blade Champion110Vaultswords
Inquisitor Draxus110Dirgesinger, Power fist, Psychic Tempest
Witchseekers50Close combat weapon, Witchseeker flamer
Prosecutors45Boltgun, Close combat weapon

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)

53.7%win rate, rank 4 of 271,323 games404 lists from 383 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.07x entry sharegoing first 5.6 points better

Adeptus Custodes won 57.0% of 4,387 games in the 28 days before and 52.5% of 3,184 in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 6.7% to 6.4%. The change of -4.5 points is clear.

2 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Might of the Moritoi (13% to 40%) and Shield Host (25% to 12%).

22 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Prosecutors (68% to 30%), Prosecutor Squad (0% to 36%) and Witchseekers (68% to 34%).

4 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Augury Uplink (one per army) (0% to 27%), Memento Moritoi (one per army) (0% to 17%) and Superior Creation (31% to 16%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 6% 0-20 12% 20-40 30% 40-60 38% 60-80 14% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 75% Purge the Foe 17% Disruption 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Lions of the Emperor 67% Shield Host 24% Might of the Moritoi 15% Tharanatoi Hammerblow 11% Solar Spearhead 2% Silent Hunters 2% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Allarus Custodians 89% Custodian Wardens 76% Vertus Praetors 73% Custodian Guard 64% Witchseekers 64% Blade Champion 59% Prosecutors 56% Shield-Captain in Allarus Terminator Armour 49% Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike 41% Trajann Valoris 35% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Chaos Knights Imperial Knights Chaos Daemons Emperor's Children World Eaters Leagues of Votann T'au Empire Dark Angels 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Prosecutors 68% 30% -39 -18.2
Unit Prosecutor Squad 0% 36% +36 +23.0
Unit Witchseekers 68% 34% -34 -16.0
Unit Vertus Praetors 76% 43% -33 -15.8
Unit Witchseeker Squad 0% 32% +32 +21.7
Unit Custodian Guard 62% 32% -30 -14.2
Unit Telemon Heavy Dreadnought 10% 39% +30 +16.7
Unit Custodian Wardens 77% 48% -30 -14.6
All 28 shifts: 20 more rows
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Might of the Moritoi 13% 40% +28 +15.1
Enhancement Augury Uplink (one per army) 0% 27% +27 +19.4
Unit Contemptor-Galatus Dreadnought 7% 33% +26 +16.0
Unit Trajann Valoris 31% 57% +26 +12.4
Unit Blade Champion 57% 33% -24 -11.6
Unit Valerian 39% 16% -23 -11.8
Unit Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike 46% 25% -21 -10.4
Unit Custodian Guard Sodality 0% 20% +20 +16.7
Unit Caladius Annihilator Grav-Tank 0% 19% +19 +16.2
Enhancement Memento Moritoi (one per army) 0% 17% +17 +15.3
Unit Venatari Custodians 33% 16% -17 -9.3
Unit Venatari with Verutum Lances 0% 17% +17 +15.1
Unit Shield-Captain in Allarus Terminator Armour 48% 32% -16 -7.9
Enhancement Superior Creation 31% 16% -15 -8.4
Enhancement Admonimortis 31% 16% -14 -7.9
Unit Shield-Captain 10% 23% +13 +8.4
Detachment Shield Host 25% 12% -12 -7.4
Unit Sentinel Guard Sodality 0% 12% +12 +12.3
Unit Allarus Custodians 92% 83% -9 -6.5
Unit Inquisitor Draxus 15% 7% -8 -6.2

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Lions of the Emperor2,000 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 4-1 · 83 players · 5 rounds · 3 Oct
24 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
Allarus Custodians310Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Allarus Custodians280Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Allarus Custodians280Balistus grenade launcher, Guardian spear
Custodian Wardens250Guardian spear, Vexilla
Custodian Guard170Guardian spear
Venatari Custodians165Venatari lance
Vertus Praetors145Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Vertus Praetors145Interceptor lance, Vertus hurricane bolter
Valerian110Gnosis
Prosecutors50Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Witchseekers50Close combat weapon, Witchseeker flamer
Prosecutors45Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Lions of the Emperor2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 4-1 · 18 players · 5 rounds · 3 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
Allarus Custodians280Balistus grenade launcher, Castellan axe
Custodian Guard215Guardian spear, Misericordia, Praesidium Shield, Vexilla
Custodian Guard215Guardian spear, Misericordia, Praesidium Shield, Vexilla
Custodian Guard215Guardian spear, Misericordia, Praesidium Shield, Vexilla
Vertus Praetors215Interceptor lance, Salvo launcher
Vertus Praetors215Interceptor lance, Salvo launcher
Caladius Grav-Tank210
Blade Champion125Vaultswords
Shield-Captain110Guardian spear
Blade Champion110Vaultswords
Prosecutors45Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Prosecutors45Boltgun, Close combat weapon

Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)

51.6%win rate, rank 8 of 271,861 games604 lists from 580 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.79x entry sharegoing first 1.5 points worse

Adeptus Custodes's codex arrived on this date.

Adeptus Custodes won 54.9% of 3,841 games in the 28 days before and 51.6% of 1,861 in the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 6.5% to 7.0%.

4 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Might of the Moritoi (14% to 57%), Shield Host (24% to 5%) and Auric Champions (1% to 12%).

24 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Prosecutor Squad (1% to 58%), Witchseeker Squad (0% to 53%) and Witchseekers (67% to 14%).

7 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Augury Uplink (one per army) (0% to 44%), Memento Moritoi (one per army) (0% to 29%) and Admonimortis (32% to 6%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 16% 20-40 39% 40-60 34% 60-80 8% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 67% Purge the Foe 21% Priority Assets 6% Disruption 4% Reconnaissance 2% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Lions of the Emperor 63% Might of the Moritoi 57% Auric Champions 12% Shield Host 5% Guardians of the Throne 4% Tharanatoi Hammerblow 3% Null Maiden Vigil 1% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Allarus Custodians 79% Trajann Valoris 71% Prosecutor Squad 58% Telemon Heavy Dreadnought 57% Witchseeker Squad 53% Contemptor-Galatus Dreadnought 49% Custodian Guard Sodality 33% Caladius Annihilator Grav-Tank 32% Shield-Captain 30% Custodian Wardens 28% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Tyranids Chaos Knights Astra Militarum Emperor's Children Space Wolves Chaos Space Marines Orks Adepta Sororitas 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Prosecutor Squad 1% 58% +58 +28.1
Unit Witchseeker Squad 0% 53% +53 +26.6
Unit Witchseekers 67% 14% -52 -20.7
Unit Prosecutors 65% 13% -52 -20.6
Unit Custodian Guard 62% 11% -52 -20.6
Unit Vertus Praetors 75% 24% -51 -20.4
Unit Custodian Wardens 77% 28% -49 -19.6
Unit Telemon Heavy Dreadnought 12% 57% +45 +19.9
All 35 shifts: 27 more rows
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Enhancement Augury Uplink (one per army) 0% 44% +44 +23.9
Detachment Might of the Moritoi 14% 57% +43 +18.8
Unit Blade Champion 57% 15% -42 -16.7
Unit Contemptor-Galatus Dreadnought 8% 49% +41 +19.6
Unit Trajann Valoris 32% 71% +39 +15.6
Unit Custodian Guard Sodality 0% 33% +33 +20.1
Unit Caladius Annihilator Grav-Tank 0% 32% +32 +19.8
Unit Valerian 37% 6% -31 -14.1
Unit Shield-Captain on Dawneagle Jetbike 45% 15% -30 -12.6
Enhancement Memento Moritoi (one per army) 0% 29% +29 +18.7
Unit Shield-Captain in Allarus Terminator Armour 48% 20% -27 -11.2
Unit Venatari with Verutum Lances 0% 27% +27 +18.0
Enhancement Admonimortis 32% 6% -26 -12.3
Enhancement Superior Creation 29% 7% -22 -10.6
Unit Venatari Custodians 29% 8% -21 -10.3
Detachment Shield Host 24% 5% -20 -10.2
Unit Sentinel Guard Sodality 0% 19% +19 +15.1
Unit Shield-Captain 11% 30% +18 +9.5
Unit Caladius Grav-Tank 18% 5% -12 -7.2
Unit Allarus Custodians 90% 79% -12 -6.6
Unit Inquisitor Draxus 14% 2% -12 -7.7
Detachment Auric Champions 1% 12% +11 +10.3
Unit Aquilon Terminators with Solarite Power Gauntlets 0% 11% +11 +11.1
Enhancement Sally Forth 0% 9% +9 +9.9
Enhancement Panoptispex 10% 1% -9 -7.1
Enhancement Interred Expertise 10% 1% -9 -7.0
Detachment Tharanatoi Hammerblow 12% 3% -9 -6.2

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Might of the Moritoi2,000 pts
Take and Hold
3rd place · record 5-1 · 85 players · 6 rounds · 17 Oct
13 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Shield-Captain205
Battleline
Custodian Guard Sodality240Guardian Spear
Custodian Guard Sodality240Guardian Spear
Other Units
Telemon Heavy Dreadnought + Augury Uplink (one per army)310Dual Caestus Fists, Spiculus Bolt Launcher, Twin Neutronium Cascade Projectors
Custodian Wardens295Guardian Spear, Vexilla
Caladius Annihilator Grav-Tank250
Contemptor-Galatus Dreadnought250
Witchseeker Squad60Flamer, Gun Stock
Witchseeker Squad60Flamer, Gun Stock
Prosecutor Squad45Boltgun, Gun Stock
Prosecutor Squad45Boltgun, Gun Stock
Lions of the Emperor + Might of the Moritoi2,000 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 4-1 · 111 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
68 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
Telemon Heavy Dreadnought + Augury Uplink (one per army)310Dual Caestus Fists, Spiculus Bolt Launcher, Twin Neutronium Cascade Projectors
Allarus Custodians270Balistus Grenade Launcher, Guardian Spear, Vexilla, Castellan Axe
Allarus Custodians270Balistus Grenade Launcher, Guardian Spear, Vexilla, Castellan Axe
Venatari with Verutum Lances270Verutum Lance
Trajann Valoris265Eagle’s Scream, Watcher’s Axe
Caladius Annihilator Grav-Tank250
Allarus Custodians210Balistus Grenade Launcher, Guardian Spear, Vexilla, Castellan Axe
Witchseeker Squad60Flamer, Gun Stock
Prosecutor Squad50Boltgun, Gun Stock
Prosecutor Squad45Boltgun, Gun Stock

Deathwatch

Whole edition

53.7%win rate, rank 4 of 281,715 games462 lists from 286 playerstop-10% finishes 1.23x entry sharegoing first 4.0 points better54.8% adjusted for player skill

Deathwatch won 53.7% of 1,715 games, 3.7 points above an even win rate (rank 4 of 28). Lieutenant with Combi-weapon went from 59% to 4% of the faction's lists between the first period and the last 28 days. Without its three most active players the win rate would be 52.1%, so a few players carry part of the result. With 1,715 games the intervals are wide throughout.

Pick-rate shifts

Type Name First period Prior 28 days Last 28 days Change vs first period (pp) Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Unit Lieutenant with Combi-weapon 59% 8% 4% -55 -4
Enhancement Thief of Secrets 39% 62% 8% -31 -53
Unit Intercessor Squad 72% 43% 25% -47 -18
Unit Talonstrike Kill Team 23% 55% 18% -5 -37
Enhancement The Tome of Ectoclades 47% 78% 42% -6 -37
Unit Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 25% 51% 17% -9 -34
Unit Fortis Kill Team 49% 42% 15% -34 -26
Detachment Black Spear Task Force 66% 88% 63% -3 -25
Unit Inceptor Squad 7% 7% 29% +22 +22
Detachment Librarius Conclave 22% 8% 1% -21 -7

Matchups

Among pairings with 60 or more games, the best matchup is Imperial Knights (67.5% over 63 games) and the worst is Orks (44.0% over 108).

Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Imperial Knights 63 67.5% 55.2% to 77.7% 55.1% +12.3 favourable
Grey Knights 52 67.3% 53.8% to 78.5% 56.6% +10.7 favourable
Adepta Sororitas 37 64.9% 48.8% to 78.2% 53.4% +11.4
Chaos Daemons 68 60.3% 48.4% to 71.1% 49.0% +11.3
Genestealer Cult 25 60.0% 40.7% to 76.6% 56.2% +3.8
Drukhari 44 47.7% 33.8% to 62.1% 56.8% -9.1
Adeptus Mechanicus 44 47.7% 33.8% to 62.1% 53.2% -5.5
Necrons 110 46.4% 37.3% to 55.6% 52.3% -5.9
World Eaters 95 44.2% 34.6% to 54.2% 53.8% -9.6
Orks 108 44.0% 35.0% to 53.4% 48.5% -4.5
All 27 matchups: 17 more rows
Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Astra Militarum 42 59.5% 44.5% to 73.0% 63.0% -3.5
Leagues of Votann 61 59.0% 46.5% to 70.5% 51.9% +7.1
Chaos Knights 55 58.2% 45.0% to 70.3% 56.8% +1.4
Chaos Space Marines 73 57.5% 46.1% to 68.2% 56.5% +1.0
Thousand Sons 49 57.1% 43.3% to 70.0% 53.4% +3.8
Space Wolves 49 57.1% 43.3% to 70.0% 54.7% +2.5
Blood Angels 44 56.8% 42.2% to 70.3% 57.7% -0.9
Black Templars 32 56.2% 39.3% to 71.8% 58.4% -2.2
Dark Angels 72 55.6% 44.1% to 66.5% 50.3% +5.2
Space Marines 136 53.7% 45.3% to 61.8% 55.1% -1.4
Aeldari 46 53.3% 39.2% to 66.9% 58.1% -4.8
Adeptus Custodes 97 52.6% 42.7% to 62.2% 49.6% +3.0
Tyranids 83 51.2% 40.6% to 61.7% 53.9% -2.7
Emperor's Children 76 50.7% 39.7% to 61.6% 52.4% -1.8
T'au Empire 80 50.6% 39.9% to 61.3% 52.0% -1.4
Death Guard 70 50.0% 38.6% to 61.4% 55.5% -5.5
Imperial Agents 4 50.0% 15.0% to 85.0% 60.0% -10.0

Over time

Share of games per week (%) 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 0.5 0.9 Jul Aug Sep Oct Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval 40 60 50.0 47.9 Jul Aug Sep Oct
Period Lists Share of all lists Games Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul 99 0.6% 343 48.7%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug 126 0.7% 471 54.7%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct 164 0.7% 651 57.5%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct 73 0.5% 250 49.0%

Around each milestone, 28 days before and after

Milestone Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul) 269 / 347 48.5% to 53.9% +5.4 +1.3 0.6% to 0.7%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug) 369 / 487 53.5% to 57.7% +4.2 +1.2 0.7% to 0.8%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep) 471 / 483 53.9% to 58.4% +4.5 +1.4 0.9% to 0.7%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct) 483 / 250 58.4% to 49.0% -9.4 -2.4 0.7% to 0.5%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data 371 / 115 53.9% to 48.7% -5.2 -1.0 0.6% to 0.4%

Results brackets

58 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 9 won X, 15 won X-1 and 34 won X-2, from 119 entries.

Share of players by share of games won 5% 0-20 17% 20-40 28% 40-60 31% 60-80 20% 80-100 line = all factions Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2 1.3% X 0.7% X-1 0.8% X-2 dashed = share of entries, 0.7%
Bracket tables
Tier Lists Share of tier Share of entries Ratio z
X 9 1.3% 0.7% 1.90x +2.0
X-1 15 0.7% 0.7% 1.01x +0.1
X-2 34 0.8% 0.7% 1.15x +0.8
X to X-2 58 0.8% 0.7% 1.18x +1.3
Share of games won Players Share of players All players
0 to 20% 5 4.6% 4.1%
20 to 40% 18 16.7% 17.2%
40 to 60% 30 27.8% 32.2%
60 to 80% 33 30.6% 30.1%
80 to 100% 22 20.4% 16.4%

Units

A typical list contains 10 distinct units. 5 units appear in at least half of all lists and 19 in at least 10%. The most common is Indomitor Kill Team (82% of lists).

Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -10 -5 0 +5 +10 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -4 -2 0 +2 +4 1% 3% 10% 30% 100%

Most played units

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Indomitor Kill Team 377 81.6% -0.8 ± 1.2 -0.6
Captain In Gravis Armour 353 76.4% -1.1 ± 1.3 -0.9
Deathwatch Terminator Squad 311 67.3% -0.8 ± 1.4 -0.6
Deathwatch Veterans 304 65.8% +0.1 ± 1.4 +0.1
Watch Master 234 50.6% +0.4 ± 1.6 +0.2
Intercessor Squad 203 43.9% +0.9 ± 1.7 +0.5
Incursor Squad 196 42.4% +0.2 ± 1.7 +0.1
Talonstrike Kill Team 184 39.8% -0.3 ± 1.6 -0.2
Fortis Kill Team 180 39.0% -1.3 ± 1.7 -0.8
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 168 36.4% +1.6 ± 1.7 +0.9
Decimus Kill Team 113 24.5% +1.1 ± 2.5 +0.4
Lieutenant 111 24.0% +2.0 ± 2.0 +1.0

Detachments

3 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 1 of them accounts for 80% of picks. The most played is Black Spear Task Force (78% of lists), and 14% of lists run more than one detachment.

Detachment Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z P1 P2 P3 P4
Black Spear Task Force 361 78% -0.8 ± 1.3 -0.6 66% 86% 88% 60%
Librarius Conclave 50 11% +4.3 ± 3.6 +1.2 22% 11% 9% 0%
Bastion Task Force 33 7% -2.6 ± 5.2 -0.5 17% 6% 5% 0%

Combinations

One combination of two or more detachments appears in 15 or more lists. The most common is Bastion Task Force + Librarius Conclave (26 lists, 6%).

Combination table
Combination Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Bastion Task Force + Librarius Conclave 26 6% +6.2 ± 6.4 +1.0

Enhancements

4 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is The Tome of Ectoclades (64% of lists).

Enhancement table
Enhancement Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
The Tome of Ectoclades 294 64% +1.6 ± 1.4 +1.2
Thief of Secrets 187 40% +1.5 ± 1.8 +0.9
Beacon Angelis 143 31% -0.0 ± 2.0 -0.0
Hero of the Chapter 28 6% -5.7 ± 5.2 -1.1

Force Disposition

Force Disposition table
Disposition Share of games Games Win rate Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Purge the Foe 76% 1,142 54.5% +1.0 ± 1.6
Take and Hold 11% 163 58.0% n/a
Priority Assets 10% 144 47.9% n/a
Reconnaissance 2% 29 58.6% n/a
Disruption 1% 19 55.3% n/a

Each extra 2.3 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 8.8 points lower; the average list has 9.9. The five most active players account for 9.8% of its games. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, milestone moves, unit effects, detachment effects, combination effects, enhancement effects, Force Disposition, results brackets and terrain layout.

Representative lists

Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties, and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.

Black Spear Task Force1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
17th place · record 8-1 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
25 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Deathwatch Veterans190Astartes shield, Xenophase blade, Black Shield blades, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Frag cannon, Power weapon
Deathwatch Veterans100Astartes shield, Xenophase blade, Black Shield blades, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Frag cannon, Power weapon
Intercessor Squad80Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Other Units
Indomitor Kill Team275Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch heavy bolt rifle, Deathwatch heavy bolter, Flamestorm gauntlets ...
Indomitor Kill Team275Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch heavy bolt rifle, Deathwatch heavy bolter, Flamestorm gauntlets ...
Talonstrike Kill Team265Plasma pistol, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Assault bolters, Close combat weapon
Deathwatch Terminator Squad180Power fist, Storm bolter, Cyclone missile launcher
Deathwatch Terminator Squad180Power fist, Storm bolter, Cyclone missile launcher
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike135Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Watch Master + The Tome of Ectoclades125Vigil spear
Captain In Gravis Armour105
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs85
Librarius Conclave2,000 pts
Take and Hold
2nd place · record 6-0 · 130 players · 6 rounds · 22 Aug
8 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
10× Deathwatch Veterans190have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
5× Deathwatch Veterans100have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
5× Deathwatch Veterans100have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
5× Deathwatch Veterans100have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
5× Deathwatch Veterans100have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
5× Deathwatch Veterans100have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
Dedicated Transports
Rhino65
Rhino65
Other Units
Fortis Kill Team195has Bolter and Grenade Launcher, have Bolters, have Plamsa Incinerators, has Plasma Incinerator and Plasma Pistol ...
Fortis Kill Team195has Bolter and Grenade Launcher, have Bolters, have Plamsa Incinerators, has Plasma Incinerator and Plasma Pistol ...
5× infiltrators110
Librarian100
Librarian95
Librarian95
5× Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs85
5× Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs85
5× incursors85
Lieutenant45
Lieutenant45
Lieutenant45

Team events

60.8%win rate in team events245 games59 lists from 50 players+8.3 points against individual eventsgoing first 5.2 points better

Deathwatch won 60.8% of 245 team event games, against 52.5% of 1,470 in individual events: 8.3 points higher (not clear). It makes up 0.5% of team event games and 0.7% of individual event games.

Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 79% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments share win rate Black Spear Task Force 76% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.

Milestones

5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after, with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.

July balance & rules update (22 July)

53.9%win rate, rank 4 of 28347 games92 lists from 76 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.21x entry sharegoing first 0.8 points better

Deathwatch won 48.5% of 269 games in the 28 days before and 53.9% of 347 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 0.6% to 0.7%.

2 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Lieutenant with Combi-weapon (54% to 16%) and Intercessor Squad (71% to 35%).

One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: The Tome of Ectoclades (42% to 73%).

Nothing clear turned up in detachments.

Charts for this window

Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 85% Take and Hold 11% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Black Spear Task Force 84% Librarius Conclave 12% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Indomitor Kill Team 83% Captain In Gravis Armour 75% Deathwatch Veterans 70% Deathwatch Terminator Squad 64% Watch Master 50% Fortis Kill Team 45% Talonstrike Kill Team 43% Incursor Squad 42% Intercessor Squad 35% Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 35% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Lieutenant with Combi-weapon 54% 16% -37 -5.2
Unit Intercessor Squad 71% 35% -36 -4.8
Enhancement The Tome of Ectoclades 42% 73% +30 +4.0

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Black Spear Task Force1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
2nd place · record 6-0 · 83 players · 6 rounds · 8 Aug
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Decimus Kill Team100Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Plasma incinerator, Heavy thunder hammer ...
Decimus Kill Team100Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Plasma incinerator, Heavy thunder hammer ...
Other Units
Indomitor Kill Team275Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch heavy bolt rifle, Deathwatch heavy bolter, Flamestorm gauntlets ...
Indomitor Kill Team275Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch heavy bolt rifle, Deathwatch heavy bolter, Flamestorm gauntlets ...
Talonstrike Kill Team265Plasma pistol, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Assault bolters, Close combat weapon, Plasma exterminators
Talonstrike Kill Team265Plasma pistol, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Assault bolters, Close combat weapon, Plasma exterminators
Deathwatch Terminator Squad190Storm Shield, Thunder hammer, Cyclone missile launcher, Power fist, Storm bolter
Spectrus Kill Team170Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch marksman bolt carbine, Helix Gauntlet, Instigator Bolt Carbine, Las fusil ...
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike135Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Captain In Gravis Armour110
Infiltrator Squad110Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Marksman bolt carbine, Helix Gauntlet, Infiltrator Comms Array
Black Spear Task Force2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 32 players · 5 rounds · 25 Jul
Show list
Characters
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon85Combi-weapon, Paired combat blades
Battleline
Deathwatch Veterans190Astartes shield, Xenophase blade, Black Shield blades, Boltgun, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Power weapon
Other Units
Indomitor Kill Team275Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch heavy bolt rifle, Deathwatch heavy bolter, Flamestorm gauntlets ...
Indomitor Kill Team275Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch heavy bolt rifle, Deathwatch heavy bolter, Flamestorm gauntlets ...
Talonstrike Kill Team265Plasma pistol, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Plasma exterminators
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike135Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike135Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Captain In Gravis Armour110
Land Speeder95Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Land Speeder95Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Chaplain + Beacon Angelis85Absolvor bolt pistol, Crozius arcanum
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs85
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs85
Incursor Squad85Bolt pistol, Occulus bolt carbine, Paired combat blades, Haywire Mine

August balance & rules update (26 August)

54.8%win rate, rank 2 of 27168 games39 lists from 38 playersgoing first 9.7 points better

Deathwatch won 53.5% of 369 games in the 28 days before and 57.7% of 487 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 0.7% to 0.8%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 87% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Black Spear Task Force 90% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Captain In Gravis Armour 90% Indomitor Kill Team 87% Deathwatch Veterans 82% Deathwatch Terminator Squad 79% Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 67% Talonstrike Kill Team 64% Watch Master 56% Intercessor Squad 49% Incursor Squad 46% Fortis Kill Team 41% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Black Spear Task Force1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
17th place · record 8-1 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
9 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Deathwatch Veterans190Astartes shield, Xenophase blade, Black Shield blades, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Frag cannon, Power weapon
Deathwatch Veterans100Astartes shield, Xenophase blade, Black Shield blades, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Frag cannon, Power weapon
Intercessor Squad80Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Other Units
Indomitor Kill Team275Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch heavy bolt rifle, Deathwatch heavy bolter, Flamestorm gauntlets ...
Indomitor Kill Team275Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch heavy bolt rifle, Deathwatch heavy bolter, Flamestorm gauntlets ...
Talonstrike Kill Team265Plasma pistol, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Assault bolters, Close combat weapon
Deathwatch Terminator Squad180Power fist, Storm bolter, Cyclone missile launcher
Deathwatch Terminator Squad180Power fist, Storm bolter, Cyclone missile launcher
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike135Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Watch Master + The Tome of Ectoclades125Vigil spear
Captain In Gravis Armour105
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs85
Librarius Conclave2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 3-0 · 11 players · 3 rounds · 30 Aug
Show list
Battleline
10× Deathwatch Veterans190have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
5× Deathwatch Veterans100have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
5× Deathwatch Veterans100have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
5× Deathwatch Veterans100have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
5× Deathwatch Veterans100have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
5× Deathwatch Veterans100have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
Dedicated Transports
Rhino65
Rhino65
Other Units
Fortis Kill Team195has Bolter and Grenade Launcher, have Bolters, have Plamsa Incinerators, has Plasma Incinerator and Plasma Pistol ...
Fortis Kill Team195has Bolter and Grenade Launcher, have Bolters, have Plamsa Incinerators, has Plasma Incinerator and Plasma Pistol ...
Librarian100
Librarian95
Librarian95
5× Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs85
5× Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs85
5× reivers75
6× Inquisitorial Agents60Tome Skull, has Plasma Pistol, has Eviscerator, has Mystic Stave
6× Inquisitorial Agents60Tome Skull, has Plasma Pistol, has Eviscerator, has Mystic Stave
Lieutenant45
Lieutenant45
Lieutenant45

Orks codex (5 September)

58.4%win rate, rank 1 of 28483 games125 lists from 104 playersgoing first 2.7 points better

Deathwatch won 53.9% of 471 games in the 28 days before and 58.4% of 483 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 0.9% to 0.7%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 90% Take and Hold 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Black Spear Task Force 87% Librarius Conclave 9% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Indomitor Kill Team 86% Captain In Gravis Armour 82% Deathwatch Terminator Squad 72% Deathwatch Veterans 62% Watch Master 58% Talonstrike Kill Team 53% Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 48% Incursor Squad 46% Fortis Kill Team 43% Intercessor Squad 42% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Librarius Conclave2,000 pts
Take and Hold
3rd place · record 5-1 · 52 players · 6 rounds · 19 Sep
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
10× Deathwatch Veterans190have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
10× Deathwatch Veterans190have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
5× Deathwatch Veterans100have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
5× Deathwatch Veterans100have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
5× Deathwatch Veterans100have Deathwatch Hammers, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, have Frag Cannons, has Black Shield Blades ...
Dedicated Transports
Rhino65
Rhino65
Other Units
Fortis Kill Team195has Bolter and Grenade Launcher, have Bolters, have Plamsa Incinerators, has Plasma Incinerator and Plasma Pistol ...
Fortis Kill Team195has Bolter and Grenade Launcher, have Bolters, have Plamsa Incinerators, has Plasma Incinerator and Plasma Pistol ...
Librarian100
Librarian95
Librarian95
5× Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs85
5× Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs85
5× incursors85
6× Inquisitorial Agents60Tome Skull, has Plasma Pistol, has Eviscerator, has Mystic Stave
6× Inquisitorial Agents60Tome Skull, has Plasma Pistol, has Eviscerator, has Mystic Stave
Lieutenant45
Lieutenant45
Lieutenant45
Black Spear Task Force1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 32 players · 5 rounds · 12 Sep
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Deathwatch Veterans190Astartes shield, Xenophase blade, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Frag cannon, Infernus heavy bolter, Power weapon
Allied Units
Eversor Assassin110Executioner pistol, Power sword and neuro gauntlet
Other Units
Indomitor Kill Team275Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch heavy bolt rifle, Deathwatch heavy bolter, Flamestorm gauntlets ...
Indomitor Kill Team275Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch heavy bolt rifle, Deathwatch heavy bolter, Flamestorm gauntlets ...
Deathwatch Terminator Squad190Storm Shield, Thunder hammer, Cyclone missile launcher, Power fist, Storm bolter
Deathwatch Terminator Squad190Storm Shield, Thunder hammer, Cyclone missile launcher, Power fist, Storm bolter
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike135Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Inceptor Squad125Close combat weapon, Plasma exterminators, Assault bolters
Inceptor Squad125Close combat weapon, Plasma exterminators, Assault bolters
Captain In Gravis Armour110
Librarian + Beacon Angelis95Bolt pistol, Force weapon, Smite
Ancient In Terminator Armour90
Incursor Squad85Bolt pistol, Occulus bolt carbine, Paired combat blades, Haywire Mine

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)

49.3%win rate, rank 15 of 27135 games41 lists from 38 playersgoing first 8.5 points better

Deathwatch won 58.4% of 483 games in the 28 days before and 49.0% of 250 in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 0.7% to 0.5%.

One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Black Spear Task Force (87% to 60%).

4 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Talonstrike Kill Team (53% to 14%), Storm Speeder Thunderstrike (48% to 14%) and Fortis Kill Team (43% to 10%).

2 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Thief of Secrets (60% to 4%) and The Tome of Ectoclades (77% to 37%).

Charts for this window

Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 66% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Black Spear Task Force 61% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Deathwatch Terminator Squad 73% Indomitor Kill Team 68% Deathwatch Veterans 61% Captain In Gravis Armour 54% Watch Master 44% Inceptor Squad 32% Incursor Squad 29% Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 27% Rhino 24% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Enhancement Thief of Secrets 60% 4% -56 -7.8
Enhancement The Tome of Ectoclades 77% 37% -40 -5.6
Unit Talonstrike Kill Team 53% 14% -39 -5.5
Unit Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 48% 14% -34 -4.9
Unit Fortis Kill Team 43% 10% -34 -4.9
Detachment Black Spear Task Force 87% 60% -27 -4.4
Unit Inceptor Squad 8% 30% +22 +4.1

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Black Spear Task Force2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 3-0 · 16 players · 3 rounds · 10 Oct
Show list
Battleline
Deathwatch Veterans220Combi-weapon, Xenophase Blade, Frag Cannon, Heavy Thunder Hammer, Knives and Fists, Power Weapon, Storm Shield
Deathwatch Veterans220Combi-weapon, Xenophase Blade, Frag Cannon, Heavy Thunder Hammer, Knives and Fists, Power Weapon, Storm Shield
Decimus Kill Team210Plasma Pistol, Power Weapon, Bolt Pistol, Grenade Launcher, Hellstorm Bolt Rifle, Knives and Fists ...
Other Units
Indomitor Kill Team280Ceramite Fists, Deathwatch Heavy Bolt Rifle, Deathwatch Heavy Bolter, Flamestorm Gauntlets, Twin Power Fists ...
Indomitor Kill Team280Ceramite Fists, Deathwatch Heavy Bolt Rifle, Deathwatch Heavy Bolter, Flamestorm Gauntlets, Twin Power Fists ...
Inceptor Squad260Assault Bolters, Ceramite Fists
Deathwatch Terminator Squad200Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer, Plasma Cannon, Power Fist
Deathwatch Terminator Squad200Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer, Plasma Cannon, Power Fist
Watch Master + Beacon Angelis130Vigil Spear
Black Spear Task Force2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 3-0 · 16 players · 3 rounds · 11 Oct
Show list
Battleline
10× Deathwatch Veterans220have Hammers, have Frag Cannons, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, has Black Shield Blades, has Frag Cannon, has Infernus Heavy Bolter
5× Deathwatch Veterans115have Hammers, have Frag Cannons, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, has Black Shield Blades, has Frag Cannon, has Infernus Heavy Bolter
5× Deathwatch Veterans115have Hammers, have Frag Cannons, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, has Black Shield Blades, has Frag Cannon, has Infernus Heavy Bolter
5× Deathwatch Veterans115have Hammers, have Frag Cannons, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, has Black Shield Blades, has Frag Cannon, has Infernus Heavy Bolter
5× Deathwatch Veterans115have Hammers, have Frag Cannons, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, has Black Shield Blades, has Frag Cannon, has Infernus Heavy Bolter
5× Deathwatch Veterans115have Hammers, have Frag Cannons, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, has Black Shield Blades, has Frag Cannon, has Infernus Heavy Bolter
Dedicated Transports
Rhino70
Rhino70
Other Units
Indomitor Kill Team280have Flamestorm Gauntlets, have Bolt Rifles, have Heavy Bolters, have Melta Rifles, has Multi-melta
5× deathwatch terminators200
5× deathwatch terminators200
Watch Master130
5× incursors90
5× incursors90
librarian in phobos armor75

Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)

48.7%win rate, rank 16 of 27115 games32 lists from 32 players

Deathwatch won 53.9% of 371 games in the 28 days before and 48.7% of 115 in the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 0.6% to 0.4%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 57% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Black Spear Task Force 59% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Deathwatch Terminator Squad 78% Indomitor Kill Team 72% Captain In Gravis Armour 66% Deathwatch Veterans 50% Watch Master 34% Incursor Squad 31% Inceptor Squad 28% Intercessor Squad 28% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Black Spear Task Force2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 3-0 · 16 players · 3 rounds · 25 Oct
Show list
Battleline
10× Deathwatch Veterans220have Hammers, have Frag Cannons, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, has Black Shield Blades, has Frag Cannon, has Infernus Heavy Bolter
5× Deathwatch Veterans115have Hammers, have Frag Cannons, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, has Black Shield Blades, has Frag Cannon, has Infernus Heavy Bolter
5× Deathwatch Veterans115have Hammers, have Frag Cannons, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, has Black Shield Blades, has Frag Cannon, has Infernus Heavy Bolter
5× Deathwatch Veterans115have Hammers, have Frag Cannons, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, has Black Shield Blades, has Frag Cannon, has Infernus Heavy Bolter
5× Deathwatch Veterans115have Hammers, have Frag Cannons, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, has Black Shield Blades, has Frag Cannon, has Infernus Heavy Bolter
5× Deathwatch Veterans115have Hammers, have Frag Cannons, have Infernus Heavy Bolters, has Black Shield Blades, has Frag Cannon, has Infernus Heavy Bolter
Dedicated Transports
Rhino70
Rhino70
Other Units
Indomitor Kill Team280have Flamestorm Gauntlets, have Bolt Rifles, have Heavy Bolters, have Melta Rifles, has Multi-melta
5× deathwatch terminators200
5× deathwatch terminators200
Watch Master130
5× incursors90
5× incursors90
librarian in phobos armor75
Black Spear Task Force2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
3rd place · record 3-1 · 19 players · 4 rounds · 24 Oct
Show list
Battleline
Deathwatch Veterans220Combi-weapon, Xenophase Blade, Black Shield Blades, Heavy Thunder Hammer, Power Weapon, Storm Shield
Deathwatch Veterans220Combi-weapon, Xenophase Blade, Black Shield Blades, Heavy Thunder Hammer, Power Weapon, Storm Shield
Dedicated Transports
Rhino70Armoured Tracks, Hunter-killer Missile, Storm Bolter
Rhino70Armoured Tracks, Hunter-killer Missile, Storm Bolter
Other Units
Indomitor Kill Team280Ceramite Fists, Deathwatch Heavy Bolt Rifle, Flamestorm Gauntlets, Twin Power Fists, Bolt Pistol, Melta Rifle, Multi-melta
Indomitor Kill Team280Ceramite Fists, Deathwatch Heavy Bolt Rifle, Flamestorm Gauntlets, Twin Power Fists, Bolt Pistol, Melta Rifle, Multi-melta
Deathwatch Terminator Squad190Power Fist, Storm Bolter, Plasma Cannon
Inceptor Squad130Assault Bolters, Ceramite Fists
Watch Master + The Tome of Ectoclades120Vigil Spear
Captain In Gravis Armour90
Incursor Squad90Bolt Pistol, Occulus Bolt Carbine, Paired Combat Blades
Incursor Squad90Bolt Pistol, Occulus Bolt Carbine, Paired Combat Blades
Ancient In Terminator Armour75
Watch Captain Artemis75Hellfire Extremis, Master-crafted Power Weapon

Dark Angels

Whole edition

53.5%win rate, rank 5 of 2811,069 games3,228 lists from 1,891 playerstop-10% finishes 1.34x entry sharegoing first 1.7 points better54.4% adjusted for player skill

Dark Angels climbed from 48.0% in the first period (19 Jun to 21 Jul) to 54.1% in the latest (3 Oct to 25 Oct), one of 10 factions with a clear change over the period. Redemptor Dreadnought is in 8% of lists, and lists with it have a win rate 7.2 points below comparable lists. The season figure is 53.5% (rank 5 of 28, 11,069 games), which understates where it stands now. Company of Hunters went from 51% to 7% of the faction's lists over the last 28 days compared with the 28 before. Stormlance Task Force lists have a win rate 8.7 points above the faction average and make up 5% of the faction's lists.

Force Disposition

Reconnaissance has a win rate 9.6 points above the faction's other choices, Priority Assets has a win rate 4.7 points below the faction's other choices and Take and Hold has a win rate 5.2 points below the faction's other choices.

Disposition Share of games Games Win rate Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Reconnaissance 34% 3,443 63.0% +9.6 ± 0.9
Priority Assets 33% 3,274 48.8% -4.7 ± 0.9
Take and Hold 25% 2,463 48.4% -5.2 ± 1.0
Disruption 5% 529 58.1% +4.7 ± 2.4
Purge the Foe 3% 331 52.7% -1.0 ± 3.2

Over time

Its share of lists went from 3.4% to 5.0%.

Share of games per week (%) 3 4 5 5.5 3.6 Jul Aug Sep Oct Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval 40 50 60 July balance & rules update 52.8 48.1 Jul Aug Sep Oct
Period Lists Share of all lists Games Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul 540 3.4% 1,820 48.0%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug 896 4.9% 2,934 53.6%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct 1,043 4.5% 3,820 55.6%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct 749 5.0% 2,495 54.1%

July balance & rules update was followed by a change of +5.7 points in win rate, measured over the 28 days either side.

Around each milestone, 28 days before and after

Milestone Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul) 1,534 / 2,343 48.0% to 53.8% +5.7 +3.5 3.4% to 4.6%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug) 2,338 / 2,623 54.2% to 55.8% +1.5 +1.1 4.7% to 4.4%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep) 2,545 / 2,984 55.2% to 55.7% +0.5 +0.4 4.7% to 4.6%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct) 2,984 / 2,495 55.7% to 54.1% -1.6 -1.1 4.6% to 5.0%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data 2,776 / 1,409 54.9% to 54.0% -0.9 -0.5 4.7% to 5.3%

Units

A typical list contains 12 distinct units. 5 units appear in at least half of all lists and 30 in at least 10%. The most common is Azrael (72% of lists). 8 datasheets appeared in under 1% of lists: Desolation Squad, Hammerfall Bunker, Lazarus, Lieutenant In Phobos Armour, Predator Destructor, Ravenwing Dark Talon, Stormhawk Interceptor, Watch Captain Artemis.

Of 77 units in 40 or more lists, 6 have a clear effect on results (1 positive, 5 negative). Best: Callidus Assassin (6.0 points above comparable lists, 4% of lists). Weakest: Redemptor Dreadnought (7.2 points below comparable lists, 8% of lists), Repulsor Executioner (7.1 points below comparable lists, 7% of lists), Deathwing Terminator Squad (5.5 points below comparable lists, 14% of lists) and Ballistus Dreadnought (5.0 points below comparable lists, 9% of lists). Callidus Assassin is in under 10% of lists but has a win rate above the faction average. Hellblaster Squad is in at least 15% of lists but has a win rate below it.

Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -10 0 +10 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Apothecary Biologis Redemptor Dreadnought Callidus Assassin Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -10 0 +10 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Stormlance Task Force Dark Age Arsenal Darkflight Pursuit

Most played units

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Azrael 2,318 71.8% -0.3 ± 0.5 -0.6
Lion El’jonson 2,204 68.3% -0.3 ± 0.5 -0.6
Deathwing Knights 2,200 68.2% -0.3 ± 0.5 -0.6
Scout Squad 2,142 66.4% +1.0 ± 0.5 +2.0
Inner Circle Companions 1,804 55.9% -0.0 ± 0.6 -0.0
Intercessor Squad 1,553 48.1% -1.0 ± 0.6 -1.6
Outrider Squad 1,509 46.7% +0.6 ± 0.6 +1.0
Ravenwing Command Squad 1,398 43.3% +0.3 ± 0.6 +0.5
Land Speeder Vengeance 1,309 40.6% -1.1 ± 0.6 -1.7
Sammael 1,285 39.8% +0.9 ± 0.6 +1.3
Land Speeder 1,260 39.0% -0.2 ± 0.7 -0.3
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 1,157 35.8% -0.3 ± 0.7 -0.4

Other units with a clear effect

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Callidus Assassin 145 4.5% +6.0 ± 1.9 +3.2
Hellblaster Squad 524 16.2% -3.9 ± 1.2 -3.3
Ballistus Dreadnought 304 9.4% -5.0 ± 1.6 -3.1
Deathwing Terminator Squad 463 14.3% -5.5 ± 1.2 -4.5
Repulsor Executioner 210 6.5% -7.1 ± 1.7 -4.1
Redemptor Dreadnought 245 7.6% -7.2 ± 1.7 -4.4

Detachments

21 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 7 of them account for 80% of picks. The most played is Darkflight Pursuit (34% of lists), and 67% of lists run more than one detachment. 7 detachments differ from the faction average. Best: Stormlance Task Force (8.7 points above the faction average, 5% of lists). Weakest: Dark Age Arsenal (8.7 points below the faction average, 8% of lists).

Detachment Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z P1 P2 P3 P4
Darkflight Pursuit 1,101 34% +5.8 ± 0.7 +8.4 23% 33% 48% 25%
Company of Hunters 920 29% +5.6 ± 0.8 +7.3 16% 33% 48% 5%
Wrath of the Rock 895 28% -2.1 ± 0.8 -2.4 26% 21% 21% 47%
Inner Circle Task Force 551 17% -7.0 ± 1.1 -6.3 14% 18% 12% 26%
Librarius Conclave 425 13% -5.1 ± 1.2 -4.1 20% 21% 12% 1%
Unforgiven Task Force 252 8% -8.3 ± 1.6 -5.2 16% 10% 7% 0%
Dark Age Arsenal 249 8% -8.7 ± 1.7 -5.0 15% 10% 7% 1%
Assault Brethren 246 8% +2.2 ± 1.6 +1.3 0% 0% 0% 33%
Interrogation Conclave 151 5% -4.9 ± 2.3 -2.1 9% 6% 5% 0%
Stormlance Task Force 150 5% +8.7 ± 2.0 +4.3 1% 1% 1% 18%
Ironstorm Spearhead 102 3% +4.7 ± 2.4 +2.0 2% 1% 1% 10%
Terminator Storm Force 88 3% -3.5 ± 2.8 -1.2 0% 0% 0% 12%
Gladius Task Force 41 1% -3.2 ± 4.1 -0.8 3% 1% 1% 0%
Deathwatch Support 41 1% +8.0 ± 3.8 +2.1 0% 0% 0% 5%

Combinations

25 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common is Company of Hunters + Darkflight Pursuit (744 lists, 23%). Best: Assault Brethren + Darkflight Pursuit + Stormlance Task Force (18.4 points above the faction average). Weakest: Dark Age Arsenal + Inner Circle Task Force (24.9 points below the faction average).

Combination Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Company of Hunters + Darkflight Pursuit 744 23% +10.9 ± 1.0 +11.4
Inner Circle Task Force + Librarius Conclave 221 7% -4.9 ± 1.8 -2.7
Librarius Conclave + Unforgiven Task Force 101 3% -11.7 ± 2.9 -4.0
Inner Circle Task Force + Wrath of the Rock 99 3% -7.5 ± 2.8 -2.7
Assault Brethren + Wrath of the Rock 95 3% +3.3 ± 2.7 +1.2
Company of Hunters + Dark Age Arsenal 74 2% +0.1 ± 3.2 +0.0
Dark Age Arsenal + Unforgiven Task Force 49 2% -19.3 ± 3.2 -6.1
Darkflight Pursuit + Unforgiven Task Force 46 1% -5.1 ± 3.8 -1.3
Inner Circle Task Force + Interrogation Conclave 35 1% -23.5 ± 4.6 -5.1
Assault Brethren + Darkflight Pursuit + Stormlance Task Force 33 1% +18.4 ± 4.3 +4.2
Dark Age Arsenal + Inner Circle Task Force 27 1% -24.9 ± 5.5 -4.5

Enhancements

27 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Nightforged Battery (25% of lists). 2 enhancements differ from the other enhancements in their detachment: Singular Will (12.6 points below the rest) and Imperium's Sword (5.1 points above the rest).

Enhancement Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Nightforged Battery 819 25% -1.8 ± 0.8 -2.4
Recon Hunter 696 22% -1.6 ± 0.9 -1.9
Deathwing Assault 363 11% +0.1 ± 1.3 +0.1
Thundercowl Turbines 298 9% -1.9 ± 1.3 -1.5
Celerity 293 9% +2.7 ± 1.4 +1.9
Ancient Weapons 279 9% +1.2 ± 1.5 +0.8
Temporal Corridor 252 8% +0.1 ± 1.6 +0.1
Furious Assault 229 7% -0.4 ± 1.7 -0.2
Imperium's Sword 226 7% +5.1 ± 1.5 +3.3
Singular Will 41 1% -12.6 ± 3.6 -3.5

Pick-rate shifts

Type Name First period Prior 28 days Last 28 days Change vs first period (pp) Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Detachment Company of Hunters 16% 51% 7% -10 -44
Unit Azrael 83% 84% 40% -43 -43
Unit Lieutenant with Combi-weapon 43% 12% 7% -36 -5
Enhancement Recon Hunter 10% 40% 5% -5 -35
Enhancement Nightforged Battery 13% 45% 11% -2 -33
Detachment Assault Brethren 0% 0% 31% +31 +31
Enhancement Furious Assault 0% 0% 29% +29 +29
Unit Lion El’jonson 41% 85% 70% +28 -16
Enhancement Imperium's Sword 0% 0% 28% +28 +28
Unit Inner Circle Companions 71% 51% 43% -28 -8
Unit Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 28% 52% 23% -4 -28
Unit Land Speeder Vengeance 38% 56% 29% -9 -27

Matchups

Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Genestealer Cult (66.9% over 169 games) and the worst is Chaos Daemons (46.3% over 445).

Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Genestealer Cult 169 66.9% 59.5% to 73.5% 55.8% +11.0 favourable
Imperial Agents 38 63.2% 47.3% to 76.6% 59.7% +3.5
Astra Militarum 408 59.7% 54.9% to 64.3% 62.7% -3.0 favourable
Aeldari 292 58.4% 52.7% to 63.9% 57.8% +0.6 favourable
Grey Knights 273 58.1% 52.1% to 63.8% 56.3% +1.8 favourable
Chaos Space Marines 495 57.7% 53.3% to 62.0% 56.2% +1.5 favourable
Thousand Sons 341 57.0% 51.7% to 62.2% 53.0% +4.0 favourable
Imperial Knights 425 56.9% 52.2% to 61.6% 54.8% +2.1 favourable
Tyranids 652 55.7% 51.8% to 59.4% 53.5% +2.2 favourable
Death Guard 481 55.4% 50.9% to 59.8% 55.2% +0.2 favourable
World Eaters 533 54.5% 50.3% to 58.7% 53.5% +1.0 favourable
Adeptus Mechanicus 266 51.1% 45.1% to 57.1% 52.8% -1.7
T'au Empire 516 50.1% 45.8% to 54.4% 51.6% -1.5
Orks 861 47.7% 44.4% to 51.0% 48.1% -0.4
Chaos Daemons 445 46.3% 41.7% to 50.9% 48.7% -2.4
Deathwatch 72 44.4% 33.5% to 55.9% 49.7% -5.2
All 27 matchups: 11 more rows
Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Chaos Knights 238 56.1% 49.7% to 62.3% 56.5% -0.4
Space Wolves 300 55.2% 49.5% to 60.7% 54.4% +0.8
Black Templars 143 53.8% 45.7% to 61.8% 58.1% -4.2
Drukhari 245 53.7% 47.4% to 59.8% 56.5% -2.8
Leagues of Votann 422 53.4% 48.7% to 58.1% 51.6% +1.9
Adepta Sororitas 290 52.9% 47.2% to 58.6% 53.1% -0.2
Necrons 678 52.6% 48.8% to 56.3% 51.9% +0.6
Space Marines 956 51.8% 48.6% to 54.9% 54.7% -3.0
Blood Angels 316 51.6% 46.1% to 57.0% 57.4% -5.8
Adeptus Custodes 717 51.4% 47.7% to 55.0% 49.2% +2.2
Emperor's Children 497 51.3% 46.9% to 55.7% 52.1% -0.8

Results brackets

335 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 45 won X, 97 won X-1 and 193 won X-2, from 775 entries.

Share of players by share of games won 4% 0-20 15% 20-40 31% 40-60 30% 60-80 20% 80-100 line = all factions Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2 6.6% X 4.6% X-1 4.5% X-2 dashed = share of entries, 4.5%
Bracket tables
Tier Lists Share of tier Share of entries Ratio z
X 45 6.6% 4.5% 1.46x +2.6
X-1 97 4.6% 4.5% 1.01x +0.1
X-2 193 4.5% 4.5% 1.00x +0.0
X to X-2 335 4.7% 4.5% 1.05x +0.9
Share of games won Players Share of players All players
0 to 20% 24 3.6% 4.1%
20 to 40% 104 15.5% 17.2%
40 to 60% 211 31.4% 32.2%
60 to 80% 201 29.9% 30.1%
80 to 100% 132 19.6% 16.4%

Each extra 2.2 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 2.5 points lower; the average list has 11.5. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, results brackets and terrain layout.

Representative lists

Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties, and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.

Company of Hunters + Darkflight Pursuit2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 6-0 · 106 players · 6 rounds · 11 Sep
Won an event of 100+ players
81 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lion El’jonson265
Techmarine55Forge bolter, Grav-pistol, Omnissian power axe, Servo-arm
Other Units
Nephilim Jetfighter + Thundercowl Turbines195Armoured hull, Avenger mega bolter, Blacksword missiles, Twin heavy bolter
Nephilim Jetfighter + Thundercowl Turbines195Armoured hull, Avenger mega bolter, Blacksword missiles, Twin heavy bolter
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery155Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery145Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery145Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Ravenwing Command Squad + Recon Hunter135Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma talon, Black Knight combat weapon
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike135Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Sammael105Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted plasma cannon, The Raven Sword, Twin storm bolter
Land Speeder105Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Land Speeder105Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Outrider Squad70Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Twin bolt rifle
Scout Squad65Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Missile launcher, Scout sniper rifle
Scout Squad65Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Missile launcher, Scout sniper rifle
Invader Atv60Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Multi-melta, Twin bolt rifle
Company of Hunters + Darkflight Pursuit2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 6-0 · 86 players · 6 rounds · 1 Aug
Show list
Characters
Lion El’jonson265
Sammael95Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted plasma cannon, The Raven Sword, Twin storm bolter
Belial75Master-crafted storm bolter, The Sword of Silence
Other Units
Inner Circle Companions160Calibanite greatsword, Heavy bolt pistol
Inner Circle Companions160Calibanite greatsword, Heavy bolt pistol
Land Speeder Vengeance140Close combat weapon, Heavy bolter, Plasma storm battery
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike135Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike135Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Land Speeder Vengeance130Close combat weapon, Heavy bolter, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder Vengeance130Close combat weapon, Heavy bolter, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder105Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Land Speeder105Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Land Speeder105Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Ravenwing Black Knights75Black Knight combat weapon, Bolt pistol, Plasma talon
Ravenwing Black Knights75Black Knight combat weapon, Bolt pistol, Plasma talon
Judiciar55Absolvor bolt pistol, Executioner relic blade
Judiciar55Absolvor bolt pistol, Executioner relic blade

Team events

57.2%win rate in team events1,688 games421 lists from 382 players+4.4 points against individual eventsgoing first 7.3 points better

Dark Angels won 57.2% of 1,688 team event games, against 52.8% of 9,381 in individual events: 4.4 points higher (clear). It makes up 3.6% of team event games and 4.6% of individual event games.

Force Disposition share win rate Reconnaissance 44% Priority Assets 23% Take and Hold 16% Disruption 14% Purge the Foe 2% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments share win rate Darkflight Pursuit 45% Company of Hunters 37% Wrath of the Rock 24% Inner Circle Task Force 11% Librarius Conclave 9% Stormlance Task Force 8% Assault Brethren 7% Unforgiven Task Force 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups win rate against Grey Knights Aeldari Thousand Sons Astra Militarum Chaos Daemons T'au Empire Adepta Sororitas Orks 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events. Dashed: team events win rate.

Milestones

5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after, with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.

July balance & rules update (22 July)

53.8%win rate, rank 6 of 282,343 games677 lists from 586 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.14x entry sharegoing first 4.8 points better

Dark Angels won 48.0% of 1,534 games in the 28 days before and 53.8% of 2,343 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.4% to 4.6%. The change of +5.7 points is clear.

One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Company of Hunters (18% to 33%).

6 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Lion El’jonson (37% to 66%), Sammael (16% to 40%) and Lieutenant with Combi-weapon (44% to 22%).

3 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Recon Hunter (12% to 24%), Nightforged Battery (15% to 27%) and Fusillade (17% to 7%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 4% 0-20 12% 20-40 31% 40-60 28% 60-80 25% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 44% Reconnaissance 30% Take and Hold 17% Disruption 7% Purge the Foe 2% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Company of Hunters 33% Darkflight Pursuit 32% Wrath of the Rock 22% Librarius Conclave 22% Inner Circle Task Force 18% Dark Age Arsenal 12% Unforgiven Task Force 11% Interrogation Conclave 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Azrael 82% Deathwing Knights 70% Scout Squad 70% Lion El’jonson 66% Inner Circle Companions 65% Intercessor Squad 56% Ravenwing Command Squad 43% Outrider Squad 42% Land Speeder 42% Sammael 40% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Imperial Knights Space Wolves Chaos Space Marines Tyranids T'au Empire Emperor's Children Chaos Daemons Drukhari 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Lion El’jonson 37% 66% +28 +9.4
Unit Sammael 16% 40% +25 +8.9
Unit Lieutenant with Combi-weapon 44% 22% -22 -7.9
Unit Ravenwing Command Squad 25% 43% +18 +6.2
Unit Outrider Squad 27% 42% +16 +5.4
Detachment Company of Hunters 18% 33% +15 +5.8
Enhancement Recon Hunter 12% 24% +13 +5.3
Enhancement Nightforged Battery 15% 27% +12 +4.9
All 10 shifts: 2 more rows
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Sternguard Veteran Squad 34% 22% -12 -4.5
Enhancement Fusillade 17% 7% -9 -5.0

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Company of Hunters + Darkflight Pursuit2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 6-0 · 86 players · 6 rounds · 1 Aug
Show list
Characters
Lion El’jonson265
Sammael95Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted plasma cannon, The Raven Sword, Twin storm bolter
Belial75Master-crafted storm bolter, The Sword of Silence
Other Units
Inner Circle Companions160Calibanite greatsword, Heavy bolt pistol
Inner Circle Companions160Calibanite greatsword, Heavy bolt pistol
Land Speeder Vengeance140Close combat weapon, Heavy bolter, Plasma storm battery
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike135Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike135Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Land Speeder Vengeance130Close combat weapon, Heavy bolter, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder Vengeance130Close combat weapon, Heavy bolter, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder105Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Land Speeder105Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Land Speeder105Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Ravenwing Black Knights75Black Knight combat weapon, Bolt pistol, Plasma talon
Ravenwing Black Knights75Black Knight combat weapon, Bolt pistol, Plasma talon
Judiciar55Absolvor bolt pistol, Executioner relic blade
Judiciar55Absolvor bolt pistol, Executioner relic blade
Company of Hunters + Darkflight Pursuit2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
2nd place · record 6-1 · 100 players · 7 rounds · 31 Jul
43 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lion El’jonson265
Battleline
Intercessor Squad80Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Astartes grenade launcher, Close combat weapon
Other Units
Inner Circle Companions160Calibanite greatsword, Heavy bolt pistol
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery155Close combat weapon, Heavy bolter, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery145Close combat weapon, Heavy bolter, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery145Close combat weapon, Heavy bolter, Plasma storm battery
Azrael140Lion’s Wrath, The Lion Helm, The Sword of Secrets
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike135Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Ravenwing Command Squad + Recon Hunter125Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma talon, Black Knight combat weapon
Land Speeder105Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Land Speeder105Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Sammael95Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted plasma cannon, The Raven Sword, Twin storm bolter
Ravenwing Black Knights75Black Knight combat weapon, Bolt pistol, Plasma talon
Outrider Squad70Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Twin bolt rifle
Ravenwing Darkshroud70Close combat weapon, Heavy bolter
Scout Squad65Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Astartes shotgun, Missile launcher, Scout sniper rifle, Combat knife
Scout Squad65Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Astartes shotgun, Missile launcher, Scout sniper rifle, Combat knife

August balance & rules update (26 August)

55.2%win rate, rank 1 of 27836 games212 lists from 206 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.48x entry sharegoing first 1.5 points better

Dark Angels won 54.2% of 2,338 games in the 28 days before and 55.8% of 2,623 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.7% to 4.4%.

2 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Company of Hunters (35% to 48%) and Darkflight Pursuit (35% to 46%).

4 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Outrider Squad (45% to 59%), Sammael (44% to 56%) and Ravenwing Command Squad (47% to 59%).

One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Nightforged Battery (29% to 39%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 2% 0-20 2% 20-40 32% 40-60 45% 60-80 18% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 41% Reconnaissance 40% Take and Hold 14% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Darkflight Pursuit 40% Company of Hunters 39% Wrath of the Rock 21% Inner Circle Task Force 18% Librarius Conclave 17% Unforgiven Task Force 10% Dark Age Arsenal 7% Interrogation Conclave 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Azrael 88% Lion El’jonson 79% Deathwing Knights 74% Scout Squad 72% Inner Circle Companions 60% Intercessor Squad 56% Sammael 51% Ravenwing Command Squad 51% Outrider Squad 50% Land Speeder 46% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against T'au Empire Tyranids Space Marines Orks Adeptus Custodes Thousand Sons Chaos Daemons Necrons 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Outrider Squad 45% 59% +14 +5.2
Unit Sammael 44% 56% +12 +4.7
Detachment Company of Hunters 35% 48% +12 +4.6
Unit Ravenwing Command Squad 47% 59% +12 +4.6
Unit Lion El’jonson 71% 83% +12 +5.2
Detachment Darkflight Pursuit 35% 46% +11 +4.3
Enhancement Nightforged Battery 29% 39% +10 +4.0

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Darkflight Pursuit2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
4th place · record 8-1 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
6 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lion El’jonson265
Other Units
Nephilim Jetfighter + Thundercowl Turbines195Armoured hull, Avenger mega bolter, Blacksword missiles, Twin heavy bolter
Nephilim Jetfighter + Thundercowl Turbines195Armoured hull, Avenger mega bolter, Blacksword missiles, Twin heavy bolter
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery155Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike + Thundercowl Turbines150Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery145Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery145Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Ravenwing Command Squad + Recon Hunter135Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma talon, Black Knight combat weapon
Sammael105Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted plasma cannon, The Raven Sword, Twin storm bolter
Land Speeder105Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Ravenwing Black Knights75Black Knight combat weapon, Bolt pistol, Plasma talon
Ravenwing Black Knights75Black Knight combat weapon, Bolt pistol, Plasma talon
Outrider Squad70Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Twin bolt rifle
Scout Squad65Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife
Invader Atv60
Invader Atv60
Company of Hunters + Darkflight Pursuit2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 40 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
6 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lion El’jonson265
Other Units
Nephilim Jetfighter + Thundercowl Turbines195Armoured hull, Avenger mega bolter, Blacksword missiles, Twin heavy bolter
Nephilim Jetfighter + Thundercowl Turbines195Armoured hull, Avenger mega bolter, Blacksword missiles, Twin heavy bolter
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike + Thundercowl Turbines150Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery145Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery145Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Ravenwing Command Squad + Recon Hunter135Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma talon, Black Knight combat weapon
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike + Thundercowl Turbines135Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Sammael105Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted plasma cannon, The Raven Sword, Twin storm bolter
Land Speeder105Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Land Speeder105Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Outrider Squad70Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Twin bolt rifle
Scout Squad65Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Heavy bolter, Scout sniper rifle
Scout Squad65Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Heavy bolter, Scout sniper rifle
Invader Atv60
Invader Atv60

Orks codex (5 September)

55.7%win rate, rank 4 of 282,984 games831 lists from 696 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.95x entry sharegoing first 1.8 points better

Dark Angels won 55.2% of 2,545 games in the 28 days before and 55.7% of 2,984 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.7% to 4.6%.

2 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Company of Hunters (37% to 50%) and Darkflight Pursuit (37% to 50%).

6 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Outrider Squad (49% to 63%), Land Speeder Vengeance (42% to 56%) and Ravenwing Command Squad (49% to 63%).

2 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Nightforged Battery (31% to 44%) and Recon Hunter (30% to 40%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 4% 0-20 12% 20-40 42% 40-60 23% 60-80 19% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Reconnaissance 51% Priority Assets 32% Take and Hold 9% Disruption 7% Purge the Foe 2% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Darkflight Pursuit 50% Company of Hunters 50% Wrath of the Rock 21% Librarius Conclave 11% Inner Circle Task Force 10% Dark Age Arsenal 7% Unforgiven Task Force 6% Interrogation Conclave 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Lion El’jonson 84% Azrael 83% Scout Squad 76% Deathwing Knights 68% Outrider Squad 63% Ravenwing Command Squad 63% Sammael 60% Land Speeder Vengeance 56% Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 52% Inner Circle Companions 51% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Astra Militarum Genestealer Cult Chaos Space Marines Imperial Knights T'au Empire World Eaters Adepta Sororitas Orks 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Outrider Squad 49% 63% +15 +5.9
Unit Land Speeder Vengeance 42% 56% +14 +5.6
Unit Ravenwing Command Squad 49% 63% +14 +5.5
Enhancement Nightforged Battery 31% 44% +13 +5.4
Detachment Company of Hunters 37% 50% +13 +5.2
Detachment Darkflight Pursuit 37% 50% +13 +5.2
Unit Sammael 48% 60% +12 +4.7
Unit Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 41% 52% +11 +4.5
All 10 shifts: 2 more rows
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Enhancement Recon Hunter 30% 40% +10 +4.2
Unit Lion El’jonson 75% 84% +10 +4.7

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Company of Hunters + Darkflight Pursuit2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 6-0 · 106 players · 6 rounds · 11 Sep
Won an event of 100+ players
65 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lion El’jonson265
Techmarine55Forge bolter, Grav-pistol, Omnissian power axe, Servo-arm
Other Units
Nephilim Jetfighter + Thundercowl Turbines195Armoured hull, Avenger mega bolter, Blacksword missiles, Twin heavy bolter
Nephilim Jetfighter + Thundercowl Turbines195Armoured hull, Avenger mega bolter, Blacksword missiles, Twin heavy bolter
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery155Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery145Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery145Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Ravenwing Command Squad + Recon Hunter135Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma talon, Black Knight combat weapon
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike135Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Sammael105Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted plasma cannon, The Raven Sword, Twin storm bolter
Land Speeder105Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Land Speeder105Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Outrider Squad70Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Twin bolt rifle
Scout Squad65Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Missile launcher, Scout sniper rifle
Scout Squad65Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Missile launcher, Scout sniper rifle
Invader Atv60Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Multi-melta, Twin bolt rifle
Company of Hunters + Darkflight Pursuit1,995 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 58 players · 5 rounds · 5 Sep
46 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lion El’jonson265
Other Units
Deathwing Knights240Great weapon of the Unforgiven, Power weapon
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery155Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery, Heavy bolter
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike + Thundercowl Turbines150Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery145Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery, Heavy bolter
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery145Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery, Heavy bolter
Ravenwing Command Squad + Recon Hunter135Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma talon, Black Knight combat weapon
Sammael105Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted plasma cannon, The Raven Sword, Twin storm bolter
Ravenwing Command Squad + Recon Hunter105Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma talon, Black Knight combat weapon
Land Speeder105Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Incursor Squad85Bolt pistol, Occulus bolt carbine, Paired combat blades, Haywire Mine
Chaplain On Bike80
Ravenwing Black Knights75Black Knight combat weapon, Bolt pistol, Plasma talon
Outrider Squad70Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Twin bolt rifle
Outrider Squad70Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Twin bolt rifle
Scout Squad65Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)

54.3%win rate, rank 3 of 271,086 games325 lists from 310 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.92x entry sharegoing first 6.2 points better

Dark Angels won 55.7% of 2,984 games in the 28 days before and 54.1% of 2,495 in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 4.6% to 5.0%.

9 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Company of Hunters (50% to 5%), Assault Brethren (0% to 33%) and Wrath of the Rock (21% to 47%).

25 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Azrael (83% to 38%), Storm Speeder Thunderstrike (52% to 22%) and Ravenwing Command Squad (63% to 35%).

4 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Recon Hunter (40% to 3%), Nightforged Battery (44% to 9%) and Furious Assault (0% to 30%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 9% 0-20 14% 20-40 30% 40-60 36% 60-80 11% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 48% Reconnaissance 27% Priority Assets 17% Purge the Foe 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Wrath of the Rock 45% Darkflight Pursuit 30% Inner Circle Task Force 23% Stormlance Task Force 18% Company of Hunters 10% Ironstorm Spearhead 8% Assault Brethren 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Lion El’jonson 73% Deathwing Knights 71% Scout Squad 60% Outrider Squad 52% Inner Circle Companions 46% Azrael 43% Ravenwing Command Squad 43% Sammael 40% Land Speeder Vengeance 34% Intercessor Squad 33% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Tyranids Adeptus Custodes Emperor's Children T'au Empire Space Wolves Orks Space Marines Chaos Daemons 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Company of Hunters 50% 5% -46 -20.1
Unit Azrael 83% 38% -45 -18.5
Enhancement Recon Hunter 40% 3% -36 -17.2
Enhancement Nightforged Battery 44% 9% -35 -15.4
Detachment Assault Brethren 0% 33% +33 +18.0
Enhancement Furious Assault 0% 30% +30 +17.1
Unit Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 52% 22% -30 -12.4
Enhancement Imperium's Sword 0% 30% +30 +17.1
All 38 shifts: 30 more rows
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Ravenwing Command Squad 63% 35% -28 -11.2
Unit Land Speeder Vengeance 56% 28% -28 -11.3
Unit Sammael 60% 32% -28 -10.9
Detachment Wrath of the Rock 21% 47% +26 +11.0
Detachment Darkflight Pursuit 50% 25% -26 -10.6
Unit Ravenwing Black Knights 42% 19% -23 -9.9
Unit Land Speeder 51% 29% -23 -9.1
Unit Scout Squad 76% 55% -21 -8.9
Unit Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 0% 18% +18 +13.0
Unit Intercessor Squad 48% 31% -18 -7.2
Unit Invader Atv 21% 4% -18 -10.3
Unit Deathwing Terminator Squad 9% 26% +17 +9.1
Detachment Stormlance Task Force 1% 18% +17 +12.0
Unit Impulsor 5% 21% +16 +9.9
Unit Assault Intercessor Squad 22% 6% -16 -9.1
Detachment Inner Circle Task Force 10% 26% +16 +8.2
Unit Outrider Squad 63% 48% -15 -5.9
Unit Lion El’jonson 84% 70% -14 -6.8
Unit Belial 2% 15% +13 +9.3
Detachment Terminator Storm Force 0% 12% +12 +10.2
Unit Company Heroes 0% 11% +10 +9.1
Detachment Librarius Conclave 11% 1% -10 -8.5
Unit Techmarine 16% 6% -10 -6.1
Unit Lieutenant 14% 4% -10 -6.8
Unit Inceptor Squad 8% 18% +10 +5.7
Unit Chaplain On Bike 9% 19% +10 +5.5
Unit Incursor Squad 13% 23% +10 +5.0
Unit Terminator Assault Squad 4% 14% +10 +6.6
Detachment Ironstorm Spearhead 1% 10% +9 +8.3
Unit Infiltrator Squad 12% 4% -8 -5.8

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Assault Brethren + Deathwatch Support + Terminator Storm Force2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 50 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
Show list
Characters
Librarian In Phobos Armour75
Other Units
Terminator Squad + Furious Assault410Chainfist, Cyclone Missile Launcher, Power Fist, Storm Bolter
Deathwing Knights + Furious Assault265Watcher in the Dark, Power Weapon, Relic Weapon, Mace of Absolution, Great Weapon of the Unforgiven
Deathwing Knights + Furious Assault255Watcher in the Dark, Power Weapon, Relic Weapon, Mace of Absolution, Great Weapon of the Unforgiven
Deathwatch Terminator Squad200Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer, Plasma Cannon, Power Fist
Deathwatch Terminator Squad200Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer, Plasma Cannon, Power Fist
Azrael150Lion's Wrath, The Lion Helm, The Sword of Secrets
Company Heroes125Master-crafted Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Combat Knife, Master-crafted Bolt Rifle, Master-crafted Heavy Bolter
Belial100Master-crafted Storm Bolter, The Sword of Silence
Incursor Squad90Bolt Pistol, Occulus Bolt Carbine, Paired Combat Blades
Apothecary + Imperium's Sword65Absolvor Bolt Pistol, Reductor Pistol, Servo-armature
Scout Squad65Bolt Pistol, Combat Knife, Shotgun, Heavy Bolter, Sniper Rifle
Company of Hunters + Darkflight Pursuit1,995 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 30 players · 5 rounds · 3 Oct
14 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lion El’jonson265
Techmarine55Forge bolter, Grav-pistol, Omnissian power axe, Servo-arm
Techmarine55Forge bolter, Grav-pistol, Omnissian power axe, Servo-arm
Battleline
Assault Intercessor Squad75Hand flamer, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol
Other Units
Deathwing Knights240Watcher in the Dark, Great weapon of the Unforgiven, Power weapon
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery155Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery145Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Land Speeder Vengeance + Nightforged Battery145Assault cannon, Close combat weapon, Plasma storm battery
Azrael140Lion’s Wrath, The Lion Helm, The Sword of Secrets
Ravenwing Command Squad + Recon Hunter135Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma talon, Black Knight combat weapon
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike135Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Sammael105Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted plasma cannon, The Raven Sword, Twin storm bolter
Land Speeder105Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Land Speeder105Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Outrider Squad70Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Twin bolt rifle
Scout Squad65Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Heavy bolter, Scout sniper rifle

Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)

54.0%win rate, rank 4 of 271,409 games424 lists from 408 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.07x entry sharegoing first 5.9 points worse

Dark Angels won 54.9% of 2,776 games in the 28 days before and 54.0% of 1,409 in the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 4.7% to 5.3%.

9 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Assault Brethren (3% to 52%), Company of Hunters (33% to 0%) and Darkflight Pursuit (42% to 20%).

22 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Azrael (66% to 34%), Ravenwing Command Squad (55% to 28%) and Sammael (52% to 26%).

4 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Recon Hunter (28% to 0%), Imperium's Sword (11% to 32%) and Nightforged Battery (30% to 9%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 0% 0-20 20% 20-40 25% 40-60 35% 60-80 20% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 63% Reconnaissance 18% Priority Assets 12% Purge the Foe 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Assault Brethren 52% Wrath of the Rock 49% Inner Circle Task Force 28% Darkflight Pursuit 20% Terminator Storm Force 19% Stormlance Task Force 17% Ironstorm Spearhead 12% Deathwatch Support 9% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Lion El’jonson 68% Deathwing Knights 67% Scout Squad 52% Outrider Squad 46% Inner Circle Companions 39% Azrael 34% Deathwing Terminator Squad 30% Intercessor Squad 29% Ravenwing Command Squad 28% Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 26% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Chaos Space Marines Leagues of Votann World Eaters Astra Militarum Adeptus Mechanicus Chaos Daemons Space Wolves Space Marines 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Assault Brethren 3% 52% +49 +20.5
Detachment Company of Hunters 33% 0% -33 -13.4
Unit Azrael 66% 34% -31 -10.5
Enhancement Recon Hunter 28% 0% -28 -12.0
Unit Ravenwing Command Squad 55% 28% -27 -8.9
Unit Sammael 52% 26% -26 -8.8
Unit Land Speeder Vengeance 46% 23% -23 -8.0
Unit Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 3% 26% +23 +12.2
All 35 shifts: 27 more rows
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Storm Speeder Thunderstrike 41% 19% -23 -8.0
Detachment Darkflight Pursuit 42% 20% -22 -7.6
Unit Ravenwing Black Knights 36% 15% -22 -8.0
Enhancement Imperium's Sword 11% 32% +21 +9.1
Enhancement Nightforged Battery 30% 9% -21 -8.3
Enhancement Furious Assault 12% 32% +20 +8.7
Detachment Terminator Storm Force 1% 19% +19 +12.0
Unit Scout Squad 70% 52% -18 -6.2
Unit Land Speeder 44% 26% -18 -6.1
Detachment Wrath of the Rock 31% 49% +17 +6.0
Unit Invader Atv 17% 0% -17 -9.0
Unit Deathwing Terminator Squad 14% 30% +16 +6.9
Unit Impulsor 10% 25% +15 +7.0
Unit Outrider Squad 59% 46% -13 -4.4
Unit Assault Intercessor Squad 16% 3% -13 -6.8
Unit Intercessor Squad 42% 29% -13 -4.5
Detachment Inner Circle Task Force 15% 28% +13 +5.4
Unit Lion El’jonson 80% 68% -12 -4.7
Unit Incursor Squad 16% 26% +10 +4.2
Detachment Stormlance Task Force 8% 17% +10 +5.0
Unit Belial 7% 16% +9 +5.1
Unit Inceptor Squad 11% 21% +9 +4.3
Detachment Deathwatch Support 0% 9% +9 +8.3
Unit Company Heroes 4% 12% +9 +5.9
Unit Terminator Assault Squad 7% 16% +9 +4.7
Unit Lieutenant 10% 2% -8 -5.0
Detachment Ironstorm Spearhead 4% 12% +8 +5.4

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Assault Brethren + Wrath of the Rock2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 4-0-1 · 41 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
Show list
Characters
Lion El’jonson415
Other Units
Deathwing Terminator Squad380Power Fist, Storm Bolter, Chainfist, Plasma Cannon
Land Raider Redeemer245Armoured Tracks, Flamestorm Cannon, Hunter-killer Missile, Multi-melta, Storm Bolter, Twin Assault Cannon
Inner Circle Companions180Calibanite Greatsword, Heavy Bolt Pistol
Azrael150Lion's Wrath, The Lion Helm, The Sword of Secrets
Captain on Bike + Ancient Weapons130Plasma Pistol, Thunder Hammer, Twin Bolt Rifle
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles100
Outrider Squad80Chainsword, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Twin Bolt Rifle, Plasma Pistol, Thunder Hammer
Invader ATVs65Armoured Impact, Bolt Pistol, Onslaught Gatling Cannon, Twin Bolt Rifle
Invader ATVs65Armoured Impact, Bolt Pistol, Onslaught Gatling Cannon, Twin Bolt Rifle
Scout Squad65Bolt Pistol, Boltgun, Chainsword, Combat Knife, Missile Launcher, Sniper Rifle, Heavy Bolter
Scout Squad65Bolt Pistol, Boltgun, Chainsword, Combat Knife, Missile Launcher, Sniper Rifle, Heavy Bolter
Ancient + Imperium's Sword60Bolt Pistol, Bolt Rifle, Ceramite Fists
Assault Brethren + Deathwatch Support + Ironclad Champions2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 38 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
Show list
Characters
Lion El’jonson415
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor70Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Other Units
Deathwing Knights255Watcher in the Dark, Mace of Absolution, Relic Weapon
Deathwing Knights255Watcher in the Dark, Mace of Absolution, Relic Weapon
Brutalis Dreadnought + Artificer Sarcophagus200Bolt Rifles, Brutalis Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Deathwatch Terminator Squad190Power Fist, Storm Bolter, Plasma Cannon
Deathwatch Terminator Squad190Power Fist, Storm Bolter, Plasma Cannon
Eradicator Squad with Heavy Bolters100
Chaplain On Bike95
Reiver Squad85Grav-chutes, Bolt Carbine, Monomolecular Combat Knife, Special-issue Bolt Pistol
Outrider Squad80Chainsword, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Twin Bolt Rifle, Plasma Pistol, Thunder Hammer
Scout Squad65Bolt Pistol, Boltgun, Chainsword, Combat Knife, Heavy Bolter, Sniper Rifle

T'au Empire

Whole edition

51.8%win rate, rank 6 of 2812,041 games3,381 lists from 1,910 playerstop-10% finishes 1.23x entry sharegoing first 1.9 points better52.7% adjusted for player skill

The Unmasking Suite enhancement gives a win rate 8.1 points below other lists with the same detachment. Mont'ka lists have a win rate 3.1 points below the faction average and make up 26% of the faction's lists. T'au Empire won 51.8% of 12,041 games, rank 6 of 28. Advanced Acquisition Cadre went from 44% to 5% of the faction's lists between the first period and the last 28 days. Ta’unar Supremacy Armour is in 2% of lists, and lists with it have a win rate 16.4 points below comparable lists.

Enhancements

21 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Starflare Ignition System (30% of lists). One enhancement differs from the other enhancements in its detachment: Unmasking Suite (8.1 points below the rest).

Enhancement Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Starflare Ignition System 998 30% -0.1 ± 0.8 -0.1
Prototype Weapon System 514 15% -0.4 ± 1.1 -0.3
Exemplar of the Kauyon 487 14% -1.3 ± 1.1 -1.2
Strike Swiftly 310 9% +2.7 ± 1.4 +1.8
Solid-image Projection Unit 240 7% -4.9 ± 1.7 -2.9
Strategic Conqueror 230 7% +0.4 ± 1.6 +0.3
Precision of the Patient Hunter 190 6% -4.6 ± 1.8 -2.6
Kroothawk Flock 169 5% +3.8 ± 1.8 +2.1
Unmasking Suite 106 3% -8.1 ± 2.5 -3.3

Detachments

7 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 4 of them account for 80% of picks. The most played is Retaliation Cadre (35% of lists), and 40% of lists run more than one detachment. One detachment differs from the faction average. Weakest: Mont'ka (3.1 points below the faction average, 26% of lists).

Detachment Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z P1 P2 P3 P4
Retaliation Cadre 1,186 35% +1.2 ± 0.7 +1.6 35% 35% 34% 37%
Kauyon 905 27% -1.2 ± 0.8 -1.5 16% 29% 33% 31%
Mont'ka 886 26% -3.1 ± 0.8 -3.7 37% 25% 21% 20%
Experimental Prototype Cadre 763 23% +0.7 ± 0.9 +0.8 8% 24% 31% 30%
Advanced Acquisition Cadre 608 18% -0.8 ± 1.1 -0.7 44% 11% 8% 4%
Kroot Hunting Pack 217 6% +2.3 ± 1.7 +1.3 4% 7% 8% 7%
Auxillary Cadre 106 3% -3.8 ± 2.6 -1.5 4% 3% 3% 2%

Units

A typical list contains 12 distinct units. 12 units appear in at least half of all lists and 27 in at least 10%. The most common is Stealth Battlesuits (92% of lists). 6 datasheets appeared in under 1% of lists: AX-1-0 Tiger Shark, Razorshark Strike Fighter, Sun Shark Bomber, Tidewall Droneport, Tidewall Gunrig, Tidewall Shieldline.

Of 36 units in 40 or more lists, 6 have a clear effect on results (1 positive, 5 negative). Best: Kroot Hounds (3.9 points above comparable lists, 11% of lists). Weakest: Ta’unar Supremacy Armour (16.4 points below comparable lists, 2% of lists), Stormsurge (6.0 points below comparable lists, 13% of lists), Strike Team (3.7 points below comparable lists, 13% of lists) and Riptide Battlesuit (2.9 points below comparable lists, 54% of lists). Riptide Battlesuit and Ghostkeel Battlesuit are in at least 15% of lists but have a win rate below it.

Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -10 0 +10 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Ta’unar Supremacy Armour Stormsurge Kroot Hounds Riptide Battlesuit Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -4 -2 0 +2 +4 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Mont'ka

Most played units

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Stealth Battlesuits 3,093 91.5% -0.6 ± 0.4 -1.3
Pathfinder Team 2,644 78.2% -0.4 ± 0.5 -0.9
The Twin Lance 2,600 76.9% +0.8 ± 0.5 +1.7
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 2,223 65.7% -0.7 ± 0.5 -1.4
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits 2,213 65.5% -0.2 ± 0.5 -0.4
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 2,171 64.2% -0.5 ± 0.5 -0.9
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits 2,077 61.4% -0.0 ± 0.5 -0.1
Commander Farsight 2,051 60.7% +0.2 ± 0.5 +0.3
Commander In Enforcer Battlesuit 1,850 54.7% +0.4 ± 0.6 +0.6
Riptide Battlesuit 1,842 54.5% -2.9 ± 0.6 -5.0
Broadside Battlesuits 1,836 54.3% -0.5 ± 0.6 -0.9
Ghostkeel Battlesuit 1,753 51.8% -2.6 ± 0.6 -4.2

Other units with a clear effect

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Kroot Hounds 370 10.9% +3.9 ± 1.3 +3.0
Strike Team 437 12.9% -3.7 ± 1.2 -3.0
Stormsurge 438 13.0% -6.0 ± 1.2 -4.9
Ta’unar Supremacy Armour 57 1.7% -16.4 ± 3.2 -5.2

Pick-rate shifts

Type Name First period Prior 28 days Last 28 days Change vs first period (pp) Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Detachment Advanced Acquisition Cadre 44% 7% 5% -40 -3
Unit Riptide Battlesuit 74% 43% 43% -31 +1
Detachment Experimental Prototype Cadre 8% 31% 30% +23 -1
Unit Commander Farsight 48% 69% 70% +22 +1
Unit Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits 56% 71% 75% +19 +4
Unit Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits 53% 66% 71% +19 +6
Unit Darkstrider 20% 36% 37% +17 +1
Detachment Mont'ka 37% 21% 20% -17 -1
Unit Broadside Battlesuits 47% 58% 64% +17 +6
Detachment Kauyon 16% 34% 32% +16 -2
Unit Commander In Enforcer Battlesuit 46% 60% 62% +16 +2
Unit Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 57% 72% 71% +14 -0

Matchups

Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Astra Militarum (61.5% over 407 games) and the worst is Chaos Daemons (44.8% over 532).

Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Astra Militarum 407 61.5% 56.7% to 66.1% 61.2% +0.4 favourable
Blood Angels 369 56.8% 51.7% to 61.7% 55.7% +1.0 favourable
Black Templars 174 56.3% 48.9% to 63.5% 56.5% -0.1
Chaos Space Marines 589 55.9% 51.9% to 59.9% 54.6% +1.4 favourable
Chaos Knights 275 55.8% 49.9% to 61.6% 54.9% +0.9
Grey Knights 328 55.8% 50.4% to 61.1% 54.6% +1.1 favourable
Space Marines 950 55.2% 52.0% to 58.3% 53.1% +2.0 favourable
Orks 809 46.9% 43.5% to 50.4% 46.5% +0.4
World Eaters 556 46.7% 42.6% to 50.8% 51.8% -5.2
Tyranids 716 46.4% 42.8% to 50.1% 51.9% -5.4
Chaos Daemons 532 44.8% 40.7% to 49.1% 47.0% -2.2 unfavourable
Imperial Agents 35 44.3% 29.2% to 60.5% 58.1% -13.8
All 27 matchups: 15 more rows
Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Genestealer Cult 187 55.6% 48.5% to 62.6% 54.2% +1.4
Drukhari 263 55.3% 49.3% to 61.2% 54.8% +0.5
Aeldari 341 55.0% 49.7% to 60.2% 56.1% -1.2
Adeptus Mechanicus 302 55.0% 49.3% to 60.5% 51.2% +3.8
Space Wolves 315 54.1% 48.6% to 59.5% 52.7% +1.4
Death Guard 497 53.6% 49.2% to 58.0% 53.6% +0.1
Leagues of Votann 457 53.5% 48.9% to 58.0% 49.9% +3.6
Thousand Sons 446 53.1% 48.5% to 57.7% 51.4% +1.7
Emperor's Children 549 52.8% 48.6% to 57.0% 50.4% +2.4
Imperial Knights 548 51.0% 46.8% to 55.2% 53.2% -2.2
Adepta Sororitas 268 50.7% 44.8% to 56.7% 51.5% -0.7
Dark Angels 516 49.9% 45.6% to 54.2% 48.4% +1.5
Necrons 831 49.6% 46.2% to 53.0% 50.3% -0.7
Deathwatch 80 49.4% 38.7% to 60.1% 48.0% +1.4
Adeptus Custodes 701 47.6% 44.0% to 51.3% 47.6% +0.1

Over time

Its share of lists went from 5.8% to 4.0%.

Share of games per week (%) 4 5 6 3.9 6.0 Jul Aug Sep Oct Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval 45 50 55 60 51.4 50.7 Jul Aug Sep Oct
Period Lists Share of all lists Games Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul 916 5.8% 3,186 52.5%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug 861 4.7% 3,069 51.7%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct 1,001 4.3% 3,724 52.0%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct 603 4.0% 2,062 50.8%

Around each milestone, 28 days before and after

Milestone Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul) 2,696 / 2,508 52.8% to 51.7% -1.1 -0.8 6.0% to 4.9%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug) 2,412 / 2,631 51.8% to 52.1% +0.3 +0.2 4.9% to 4.5%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep) 2,611 / 2,855 51.1% to 52.1% +1.0 +0.8 4.8% to 4.4%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct) 2,855 / 2,062 52.1% to 50.8% -1.3 -0.9 4.4% to 4.1%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data 2,517 / 1,127 52.4% to 49.8% -2.6 -1.5 4.2% to 4.2%

Results brackets

372 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 40 won X, 120 won X-1 and 212 won X-2, from 859 entries.

Share of players by share of games won 4% 0-20 15% 20-40 32% 40-60 32% 60-80 17% 80-100 line = all factions Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2 5.9% X 5.6% X-1 5.0% X-2 dashed = share of entries, 5.0%
Bracket tables
Tier Lists Share of tier Share of entries Ratio z
X 40 5.9% 5.0% 1.17x +1.0
X-1 120 5.6% 5.0% 1.12x +1.3
X-2 212 5.0% 5.0% 0.99x -0.1
X to X-2 372 5.3% 5.0% 1.05x +0.9
Share of games won Players Share of players All players
0 to 20% 31 4.1% 4.1%
20 to 40% 113 14.9% 17.2%
40 to 60% 241 31.9% 32.2%
60 to 80% 243 32.1% 30.1%
80 to 100% 128 16.9% 16.4%

Combinations

7 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common is Experimental Prototype Cadre + Kauyon (578 lists, 17%).

Combination table
Combination Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Experimental Prototype Cadre + Kauyon 578 17% +0.7 ± 1.1 +0.6
Advanced Acquisition Cadre + Retaliation Cadre 271 8% +4.5 ± 1.8 +2.5
Advanced Acquisition Cadre + Kauyon 204 6% -5.1 ± 2.0 -2.5
Experimental Prototype Cadre + Kroot Hunting Pack 115 3% +5.2 ± 2.6 +2.0
Auxillary Cadre + Kauyon 71 2% -2.8 ± 3.3 -0.9
Advanced Acquisition Cadre + Kroot Hunting Pack 66 2% -2.4 ± 3.5 -0.7
Auxillary Cadre + Retaliation Cadre 22 1% -3.6 ± 7.0 -0.5

Force Disposition

Force Disposition table
Disposition Share of games Games Win rate Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Purge the Foe 38% 3,889 54.1% +2.1 ± 0.8
Priority Assets 35% 3,588 50.6% -1.1 ± 0.9
Reconnaissance 21% 2,201 49.8% -2.0 ± 1.1
Take and Hold 5% 473 54.2% +2.7 ± 2.6
Disruption 2% 161 48.1% n/a

Each extra 2.1 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 2.4 points lower; the average list has 12.0. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, milestone moves, combination effects, Force Disposition, results brackets and terrain layout.

Representative lists

Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties, and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.

Experimental Prototype Cadre + Kauyon2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 6-0 · 130 players · 6 rounds · 22 Aug
Won an event of 100+ players
25 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Twin Lance220Fusion eliminator, MV15 Gun Drone, Shardstorm burst system, XV pulse pistol, Ion scattercannon
Darkstrider60Close combat weapon, Shade
Battleline
Breacher Team90Support turret, Close combat weapon, Gun Drone, Pulse blaster, Pulse pistol
Dedicated Transports
Devilfish75Accelerator burst cannon, Armoured hull, Seeker missile, Twin pulse carbine
Other Units
Broadside Battlesuits150Crushing bulk, Heavy rail rifle, Missile Drone, Seeker missile, Twin plasma rifle
Broadside Battlesuits150Crushing bulk, Heavy rail rifle, Missile Drone, Seeker missile, Twin plasma rifle
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits125Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Marker Drone, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits125Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Marker Drone, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit110
Stealth Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Burst cannon, Homing Beacon
Stealth Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Burst cannon, Homing Beacon
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit95
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits90Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits90Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Commander Farsight70Dawn Blade, High-intensity plasma rifle
Vespid Stingwings70Neutron blaster, Stingwing claws
Vespid Stingwings70Neutron blaster, Stingwing claws
Kroot Carnivores65Close combat weapon, Kroot pistol, Kroot rifle, Tanglebomb launcher
Cadre Fireblade50Close combat weapon, Fireblade pulse rifle, Gun Drone
Experimental Prototype Cadre + Kauyon1,990 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 6-0 · 123 players · 6 rounds · 15 Aug
Won an event of 100+ players
9 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Commander Shadowsun100Advanced Guardian Drone, Battlesuit fists, Command-link Drone (Aura), Flechette launcher, High-energy fusion blaster ...
Other Units
Tiger Shark375Armoured hull, Cyclic ion blaster, Ion cannon, Missile pod, Seeker missile, Skyspear missile rack
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits125Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Marker Drone, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits125Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Marker Drone, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Marker Drone, Plasma rifle, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Marker Drone, Plasma rifle, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone, Marker Drone
Stealth Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Fusion blaster, Homing Beacon
Stealth Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Fusion blaster, Homing Beacon
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit95
Commander In Enforcer Battlesuit95
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits90Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone, Marker Drone
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits90Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone, Marker Drone
Pathfinder Team85Close combat weapon, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Recon Drone, Shield Drone, Rail rifle ...
Pathfinder Team85Close combat weapon, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Recon Drone, Shield Drone, Rail rifle ...
Piranhas65Armoured hull, Piranha fusion blaster, Seeker missile, Twin pulse carbine
Piranhas65Armoured hull, Piranha fusion blaster, Seeker missile, Twin pulse carbine

Team events

51.0%win rate in team events2,556 games643 lists from 541 players-1.1 points against individual eventsgoing first 0.2 points better

T'au Empire won 51.0% of 2,556 team event games, against 52.1% of 9,485 in individual events: 1.1 points lower (not clear). It makes up 5.4% of team event games and 4.7% of individual event games.

Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 37% Priority Assets 29% Reconnaissance 28% Disruption 4% Take and Hold 2% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments share win rate Retaliation Cadre 33% Kauyon 29% Mont'ka 24% Experimental Prototype Cadre 22% Advanced Acquisition Cadre 15% Kroot Hunting Pack 5% Auxillary Cadre 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups win rate against Astra Militarum Genestealer Cult Space Marines Chaos Knights Adeptus Custodes World Eaters Necrons Orks 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events. Dashed: team events win rate.

Milestones

5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after, with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.

July balance & rules update (22 July)

51.7%win rate, rank 8 of 282,508 games690 lists from 616 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.10x entry sharegoing first 4.5 points better

T'au Empire won 52.8% of 2,696 games in the 28 days before and 51.7% of 2,508 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 6.0% to 4.9%.

3 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Advanced Acquisition Cadre (49% to 12%), Experimental Prototype Cadre (7% to 23%) and Kauyon (17% to 27%).

3 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Riptide Battlesuit (73% to 57%), Darkstrider (22% to 32%) and Pathfinder Team (85% to 76%).

One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Exemplar of the Kauyon (8% to 17%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 7% 0-20 16% 20-40 29% 40-60 31% 60-80 17% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 38% Priority Assets 37% Reconnaissance 19% Take and Hold 4% Disruption 2% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Retaliation Cadre 36% Kauyon 27% Mont'ka 25% Experimental Prototype Cadre 23% Advanced Acquisition Cadre 12% Kroot Hunting Pack 7% Auxillary Cadre 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Stealth Battlesuits 91% The Twin Lance 77% Pathfinder Team 76% Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 69% Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 66% Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits 64% Commander Farsight 60% Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits 59% Riptide Battlesuit 57% Commander In Enforcer Battlesuit 52% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Chaos Space Marines Grey Knights Space Marines Astra Militarum Leagues of Votann Adeptus Custodes Tyranids Chaos Daemons 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Advanced Acquisition Cadre 49% 12% -37 -15.2
Unit Riptide Battlesuit 73% 57% -16 -6.6
Detachment Experimental Prototype Cadre 7% 23% +16 +8.4
Detachment Kauyon 17% 27% +10 +4.7
Unit Darkstrider 22% 32% +10 +4.3
Unit Pathfinder Team 85% 76% -9 -4.5
Enhancement Exemplar of the Kauyon 8% 17% +9 +5.4

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Experimental Prototype Cadre + Kauyon1,990 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 6-0 · 123 players · 6 rounds · 15 Aug
Won an event of 100+ players
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Commander Shadowsun100Advanced Guardian Drone, Battlesuit fists, Command-link Drone (Aura), Flechette launcher, High-energy fusion blaster ...
Other Units
Tiger Shark375Armoured hull, Cyclic ion blaster, Ion cannon, Missile pod, Seeker missile, Skyspear missile rack
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits125Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Marker Drone, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits125Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Marker Drone, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Marker Drone, Plasma rifle, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Marker Drone, Plasma rifle, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone, Marker Drone
Stealth Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Fusion blaster, Homing Beacon
Stealth Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Fusion blaster, Homing Beacon
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit95
Commander In Enforcer Battlesuit95
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits90Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone, Marker Drone
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits90Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone, Marker Drone
Pathfinder Team85Close combat weapon, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Recon Drone, Shield Drone, Rail rifle ...
Pathfinder Team85Close combat weapon, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Recon Drone, Shield Drone, Rail rifle ...
Piranhas65Armoured hull, Piranha fusion blaster, Seeker missile, Twin pulse carbine
Piranhas65Armoured hull, Piranha fusion blaster, Seeker missile, Twin pulse carbine
Retaliation Cadre2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 78 players · 5 rounds · 15 Aug
83 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Twin Lance220Fusion eliminator, MV15 Gun Drone, Shardstorm burst system, XV pulse pistol, Ion scattercannon
Battleline
Strike Team70Support turret, Close combat weapon, Pulse pistol, Pulse rifle
Other Units
Broadside Battlesuits150Crushing bulk, Heavy rail rifle, Missile Drone, Seeker missile, Weapon Support System, Marker Drone, Shield Drone
Broadside Battlesuits150Crushing bulk, Heavy rail rifle, Missile Drone, Seeker missile, Weapon Support System, Marker Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits125Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits125Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Commander In Enforcer Battlesuit100
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Gun Drone, Plasma rifle, Shield Drone
Stealth Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Burst cannon
Stealth Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Burst cannon
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit95
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits90Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits90Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Pathfinder Team90Close combat weapon, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Recon Drone, Semi-automatic grenade launcher, Shield Drone, Ion rifle ...
Pathfinder Team85Close combat weapon, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Recon Drone, Semi-automatic grenade launcher, Shield Drone, Ion rifle ...
Commander In Enforcer Battlesuit80
Commander Farsight70Dawn Blade, High-intensity plasma rifle
Kroot Carnivores65Close combat weapon, Kroot carbine, Kroot pistol, Kroot rifle, Tanglebomb launcher

August balance & rules update (26 August)

51.4%win rate, rank 10 of 27869 games217 lists from 213 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.14x entry sharegoing first 1.9 points better

T'au Empire won 51.8% of 2,412 games in the 28 days before and 52.1% of 2,631 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.9% to 4.5%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 2% 0-20 11% 20-40 31% 40-60 42% 60-80 13% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 40% Purge the Foe 33% Reconnaissance 22% Take and Hold 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Retaliation Cadre 34% Kauyon 32% Experimental Prototype Cadre 30% Mont'ka 20% Advanced Acquisition Cadre 12% Kroot Hunting Pack 11% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Stealth Battlesuits 90% Pathfinder Team 76% The Twin Lance 75% Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 70% Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits 66% Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 66% Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits 65% Commander Farsight 62% Commander In Enforcer Battlesuit 61% Broadside Battlesuits 53% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Chaos Space Marines Tyranids Adeptus Custodes Necrons Space Marines Dark Angels Emperor's Children Orks 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Retaliation Cadre2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
18th place · record 8-1 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
17 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Twin Lance230Fusion eliminator, MV15 Gun Drone, Shardstorm burst system, XV pulse pistol, Ion scattercannon
Darkstrider60Close combat weapon, Shade
Other Units
Ghostkeel Battlesuit150Battlesuit Support System, Fusion collider, Ghostkeel fists, Twin fusion blaster
Hammerhead Gunship150Accelerator burst cannon, Armoured hull, Railgun, Seeker missile
Hammerhead Gunship150Accelerator burst cannon, Armoured hull, Railgun, Seeker missile
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits130Battlesuit fists, Marker Drone, Missile pod, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits130Battlesuit fists, Marker Drone, Missile pod, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Commander In Enforcer Battlesuit100
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Stealth Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Burst cannon, Homing Beacon
Stealth Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Burst cannon, Homing Beacon
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit95
Pathfinder Team85Close combat weapon, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Recon Drone, Semi-automatic grenade launcher, Shield Drone ...
Pathfinder Team85Close combat weapon, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Recon Drone, Semi-automatic grenade launcher, Shield Drone ...
Commander Farsight70Dawn Blade, High-intensity plasma rifle
Vespid Stingwings70Neutron blaster, Stingwing claws
Retaliation Cadre2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 33 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
10 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Twin Lance230Fusion eliminator, MV15 Gun Drone, Shardstorm burst system, XV pulse pistol, Ion scattercannon
Darkstrider60Close combat weapon, Shade
Other Units
Broadside Battlesuits150Crushing bulk, Heavy rail rifle, Missile Drone, Twin smart missile system, Weapon Support System
Broadside Battlesuits150Crushing bulk, Heavy rail rifle, Missile Drone, Twin smart missile system, Weapon Support System
Hammerhead Gunship150Accelerator burst cannon, Armoured hull, Ion cannon, Seeker missile
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits125Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits125Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit115
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Stealth Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Fusion blaster, Homing Beacon
Stealth Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Fusion blaster, Homing Beacon
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit95
Pathfinder Team85Close combat weapon, Grav-inhibitor Drone, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Shield Drone, Rail rifle ...
Pathfinder Team85Close combat weapon, Grav-inhibitor Drone, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Shield Drone, Rail rifle ...
Commander Farsight70Dawn Blade, High-intensity plasma rifle
Kroot Carnivores65Close combat weapon, Kroot carbine, Kroot pistol, Kroot rifle, Tanglebomb launcher

Orks codex (5 September)

52.1%win rate, rank 8 of 282,855 games784 lists from 673 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.99x entry sharegoing first 1.7 points better

T'au Empire won 51.1% of 2,611 games in the 28 days before and 52.1% of 2,855 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.8% to 4.4%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 11% 20-40 41% 40-60 30% 60-80 15% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 40% Purge the Foe 35% Reconnaissance 19% Take and Hold 4% Disruption 2% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Retaliation Cadre 34% Kauyon 34% Experimental Prototype Cadre 31% Mont'ka 21% Kroot Hunting Pack 8% Advanced Acquisition Cadre 7% Auxillary Cadre 3% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Stealth Battlesuits 92% The Twin Lance 78% Pathfinder Team 76% Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 71% Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits 70% Commander Farsight 69% Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 67% Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits 65% Commander In Enforcer Battlesuit 59% Broadside Battlesuits 59% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Space Marines Emperor's Children Drukhari Leagues of Votann Necrons World Eaters Tyranids Adeptus Custodes 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Retaliation Cadre2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
3rd place · record 6-1 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
40 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Twin Lance230Fusion eliminator, MV15 Gun Drone, Shardstorm burst system, XV pulse pistol, Ion scattercannon
Darkstrider60Close combat weapon, Shade
Other Units
Broadside Battlesuits150Crushing bulk, Heavy rail rifle, Missile Drone, Twin smart missile system, Weapon Support System
Broadside Battlesuits150Crushing bulk, Heavy rail rifle, Missile Drone, Twin smart missile system, Weapon Support System
Hammerhead Gunship150Accelerator burst cannon, Armoured hull, Ion cannon, Seeker missile
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits125Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits125Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit115
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Stealth Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Fusion blaster, Homing Beacon
Stealth Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Fusion blaster, Homing Beacon
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit95
Pathfinder Team85Close combat weapon, Grav-inhibitor Drone, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Shield Drone, Rail rifle ...
Pathfinder Team85Close combat weapon, Grav-inhibitor Drone, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Shield Drone, Rail rifle ...
Commander Farsight70Dawn Blade, High-intensity plasma rifle
Kroot Carnivores65Close combat weapon, Kroot carbine, Kroot pistol, Kroot rifle, Tanglebomb launcher
Retaliation Cadre2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 70 players · 5 rounds · 26 Sep
15 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Twin Lance230Fusion eliminator, MV15 Gun Drone, Shardstorm burst system, XV pulse pistol, Ion scattercannon
Ethereal50Honour stave, Hover Drone, Marker Drone, Shield Drone
Other Units
Riptide Battlesuit215Ion accelerator, Missile Drone, Riptide fists, Twin plasma rifle
Broadside Battlesuits150Crushing bulk, Heavy rail rifle, Missile Drone, Seeker missile, Weapon Support System
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits130Battlesuit fists, Gun Drone, Missile pod, Shield Drone, Marker Drone, Plasma rifle
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits125Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Commander In Enforcer Battlesuit100
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Gun Drone, Missile pod, Shield Drone, Marker Drone, Plasma rifle
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone, Marker Drone
Pathfinder Team100Close combat weapon, Grav-inhibitor Drone, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Semi-automatic grenade launcher, Shield Drone ...
Stealth Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Burst cannon, Homing Beacon
Stealth Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Burst cannon, Homing Beacon
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit95
Pathfinder Team85Close combat weapon, Grav-inhibitor Drone, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Semi-automatic grenade launcher, Shield Drone ...
Pathfinder Team85Close combat weapon, Grav-inhibitor Drone, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Semi-automatic grenade launcher, Shield Drone ...
Kroot Hounds45Ripping fangs

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)

52.1%win rate, rank 9 of 27935 games273 lists from 260 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.12x entry sharegoing first 2.4 points better

T'au Empire won 52.1% of 2,855 games in the 28 days before and 50.8% of 2,062 in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 4.4% to 4.1%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 2% 0-20 17% 20-40 30% 40-60 33% 60-80 19% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 36% Purge the Foe 32% Reconnaissance 24% Take and Hold 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Retaliation Cadre 37% Kauyon 34% Experimental Prototype Cadre 30% Mont'ka 19% Kroot Hunting Pack 7% Advanced Acquisition Cadre 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Stealth Battlesuits 92% Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits 76% Pathfinder Team 75% Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 73% Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits 72% The Twin Lance 70% Commander Farsight 68% Broadside Battlesuits 63% Commander In Enforcer Battlesuit 62% Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 60% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Imperial Knights Chaos Space Marines Adeptus Custodes Death Guard Tyranids Orks Dark Angels World Eaters 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Retaliation Cadre2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 56 players · 5 rounds · 3 Oct
30 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
The Twin Lance230Fusion eliminator, MV15 Gun Drone, Shardstorm burst system, XV pulse pistol, Ion scattercannon
Broadside Battlesuits150Crushing bulk, Heavy rail rifle, Missile Drone, Seeker missile, Weapon Support System
Broadside Battlesuits150Crushing bulk, Heavy rail rifle, Missile Drone, Seeker missile, Weapon Support System
Ghostkeel Battlesuit150Battlesuit Support System, Fusion collider, Ghostkeel fists, Twin fusion blaster
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits130Battlesuit fists, Gun Drone, Missile pod, Shield Drone
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits125Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits125Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Commander In Enforcer Battlesuit100
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Stealth Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Burst cannon, Homing Beacon
Stealth Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Burst cannon, Homing Beacon
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit95
Pathfinder Team85Close combat weapon, Grav-inhibitor Drone, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol ...
Vespid Stingwings70Neutron blaster, Stingwing claws
Experimental Prototype Cadre + Kauyon2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 28 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
Show list
Characters
Commander Shadowsun100Advanced Guardian Drone, Battlesuit fists, Command-link Drone (Aura), Flechette launcher, High-energy fusion blaster ...
Other Units
Tiger Shark395Armoured hull, Cyclic ion blaster, Ion cannon, Missile pod, Seeker missile, Skyspear missile rack
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits125Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Marker Drone, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit110
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits110Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Marker Drone, Plasma rifle, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Marker Drone, Plasma rifle, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Stealth Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Fusion blaster, Homing Beacon
Stealth Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Fusion blaster, Homing Beacon
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit95
Pathfinder Team85Close combat weapon, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Recon Drone, Shield Drone, Rail rifle ...
Pathfinder Team85Close combat weapon, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Recon Drone, Shield Drone, Rail rifle ...
Vespid Stingwings70Neutron blaster, Stingwing claws
Piranhas65Armoured hull, Piranha fusion blaster, Seeker missile, Twin pulse carbine
Piranhas65Armoured hull, Piranha fusion blaster, Seeker missile, Twin pulse carbine

Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)

49.8%win rate, rank 11 of 271,127 games330 lists from 323 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.95x entry sharegoing first 0.7 points better

T'au Empire won 52.4% of 2,517 games in the 28 days before and 49.8% of 1,127 in the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 4.2% to 4.2%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 4% 0-20 17% 20-40 34% 40-60 34% 60-80 11% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 38% Reconnaissance 28% Purge the Foe 25% Take and Hold 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Retaliation Cadre 38% Experimental Prototype Cadre 31% Kauyon 28% Mont'ka 22% Kroot Hunting Pack 7% Advanced Acquisition Cadre 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Stealth Battlesuits 92% Pathfinder Team 78% Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits 77% The Twin Lance 75% Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits 72% Commander Farsight 72% Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit 71% Broadside Battlesuits 64% Commander In Enforcer Battlesuit 62% Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits 58% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Astra Militarum Chaos Daemons Death Guard Necrons Dark Angels Chaos Space Marines World Eaters Tyranids 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Experimental Prototype Cadre + Kauyon2,000 pts
Priority Assets
4th place · record 7-1 · 143 players · 8 rounds · 23 Oct
5 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Twin Lance240Fusion eliminator, MV15 Gun Drone, Shardstorm burst system, XV pulse pistol, Ion scattercannon
Commander Shadowsun100Advanced Guardian Drone, Battlesuit fists, Command-link Drone (Aura), Flechette launcher, High-energy fusion blaster ...
Darkstrider60Close combat weapon, Shade
Battleline
Breacher Team80Support turret, Close combat weapon, Guardian Drone, Gun Drone, Pulse blaster, Pulse pistol
Dedicated Transports
Devilfish75Accelerator burst cannon, Armoured hull, Seeker missile, Twin pulse carbine
Other Units
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits135Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Marker Drone, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits125Battlesuit fists, Gun Drone, Missile pod, Shield Drone, Plasma rifle
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits125Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Marker Drone, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits125Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Marker Drone, Shield Drone, Gun Drone
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Gun Drone, Missile pod, Shield Drone, Plasma rifle
Stealth Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Burst cannon, Homing Beacon
Stealth Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Burst cannon, Homing Beacon
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit95
Pathfinder Team85Close combat weapon, Grav-inhibitor Drone, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Shield Drone, Rail rifle
Commander In Enforcer Battlesuit80
Commander Farsight70Dawn Blade, High-intensity plasma rifle
Kroot Carnivores65Close combat weapon, Kroot carbine, Kroot pistol, Kroot rifle, Tanglebomb launcher
Cadre Fireblade50Close combat weapon, Fireblade pulse rifle, Gun Drone
Retaliation Cadre2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 43 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
65 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Twin Lance240Fusion eliminator, MV15 Gun Drone, Shardstorm burst system, XV pulse pistol, Ion scattercannon
Darkstrider60Close combat weapon, Shade
Other Units
Broadside Battlesuits150Crushing bulk, Heavy rail rifle, Missile Drone, Seeker missile, Twin plasma rifle
Hammerhead Gunship150Accelerator burst cannon, Armoured hull, Railgun, Seeker missile
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits125Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Sunforge Battlesuits125Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit110
Commander In Enforcer Battlesuit100
Crisis Fireknife Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Gun Drone, Plasma rifle, Shield Drone
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Crisis Starscythe Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Burst cannon, Gun Drone, Shield Drone
Stealth Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Burst cannon, Homing Beacon
Stealth Battlesuits100Battlesuit fists, Fusion blaster, Gun Drone, Marker Drone, Pulse pistol, Burst cannon, Homing Beacon
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit95
Commander In Coldstar Battlesuit95
Pathfinder Team95Close combat weapon, Grav-inhibitor Drone, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Semi-automatic grenade launcher, Shield Drone ...
Pathfinder Team85Close combat weapon, Grav-inhibitor Drone, Pulse carbine, Pulse pistol, Semi-automatic grenade launcher, Shield Drone ...
Commander Farsight70Dawn Blade, High-intensity plasma rifle

Leagues of Votann

Whole edition

51.8%win rate, rank 7 of 288,631 games2,387 lists from 1,354 playerstop-10% finishes 1.21x entry sharegoing first 2.8 points better52.5% adjusted for player skill

The pairing Farseekers + Needgaârd Oathband has a win rate 6.0 points above the faction average (216 lists). Einhyr Champion is in 30% of lists, and lists with it have a win rate 3.0 points below comparable lists. Leagues of Votann won 51.8% of 8,631 games, rank 7 of 28. Needgaârd Oathband went from 38% to 60% of the faction's lists between the first period and the last 28 days.

Combinations

15 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common is Hearthguard Covenant + Needgaârd Oathband (888 lists, 37%). Best: Farseekers + Needgaârd Oathband (6.0 points above the faction average).

Combination Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Hearthguard Covenant + Needgaârd Oathband 888 37% +0.7 ± 0.9 +0.8
Hearthguard Covenant + Mercenary Oathband 301 13% -0.5 ± 1.4 -0.3
Farseekers + Needgaârd Oathband 216 9% +6.0 ± 1.8 +3.4
Farseekers + Mercenary Oathband 102 4% -2.0 ± 2.6 -0.8
Armoured Trailblazers + Needgaârd Oathband 78 3% +2.1 ± 3.3 +0.6
Dêlve Assault Shift + Hearthguard Covenant 61 3% +0.8 ± 3.5 +0.2
Armoured Trailblazers + Brandfast Oathband 51 2% -8.0 ± 4.2 -1.9
Armoured Trailblazers + Mercenary Oathband 50 2% +3.8 ± 3.4 +1.1

Force Disposition

Reconnaissance has a win rate 5.4 points above the faction's other choices.

Disposition Share of games Games Win rate Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Priority Assets 54% 4,153 52.5% +0.8 ± 0.8
Reconnaissance 14% 1,108 57.3% +5.4 ± 1.5
Purge the Foe 12% 928 50.9% -1.1 ± 1.8
Take and Hold 11% 830 47.0% -4.9 ± 1.7
Disruption 9% 694 49.0% -2.7 ± 2.0

Units

A typical list contains 12 distinct units. 13 units appear in at least half of all lists and 21 in at least 10%. The most common is Hernkyn Pioneers (89% of lists).

Of 22 units in 40 or more lists, 1 has a clear effect on results (0 positive, 1 negative). Weakest: Einhyr Champion (3.0 points below comparable lists, 30% of lists). Einhyr Champion is in at least 15% of lists but has a win rate below it.

Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -2 0 +2 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Einhyr Champion Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -5 -2.5 0 +2.5 +5 1% 3% 10% 30% 100%

Most played units

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Hernkyn Pioneers 2,118 88.7% +0.1 ± 0.5 +0.1
Einhyr Hearthguard 2,117 88.7% -0.4 ± 0.5 -0.8
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn 2,081 87.2% -0.5 ± 0.5 -1.0
Hekaton Land Fortress 2,073 86.8% -0.7 ± 0.5 -1.2
Hernkyn Yaegirs 1,926 80.7% +0.5 ± 0.6 +0.8
Kâhl 1,893 79.3% -0.1 ± 0.6 -0.1
Kapricus Carrier 1,852 77.6% +0.9 ± 0.6 +1.6
Memnyr Strategist 1,748 73.2% -0.5 ± 0.6 -0.9
Hearthkyn Warriors 1,611 67.5% -1.0 ± 0.6 -1.6
Ûthar the Destined 1,598 66.9% +0.5 ± 0.6 +0.8
Sagitaur 1,566 65.6% -0.6 ± 0.6 -1.0
Buri Aegnirssen 1,486 62.3% +0.3 ± 0.6 +0.5

Other units with a clear effect

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Einhyr Champion 707 29.6% -3.0 ± 1.0 -3.1

Pick-rate shifts

Type Name First period Prior 28 days Last 28 days Change vs first period (pp) Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Detachment Needgaârd Oathband 38% 59% 60% +22 +1
Enhancement Oathbound Speculator 33% 51% 54% +21 +4
Unit Buri Aegnirssen 47% 67% 65% +18 -2
Unit Ironkin Steeljacks with Heavy Volkanite Disintegrators 56% 53% 41% -15 -12
Detachment Mercenary Oathband 30% 15% 16% -14 +1
Detachment Hearthguard Covenant 50% 61% 63% +14 +3
Enhancement Etacarn SB9 Targeting Implant 24% 12% 11% -13 -1
Unit Berehk Stornbröw 28% 28% 40% +12 +13
Enhancement Metaphysical Brokerage 12% 4% 3% -9 -1

Matchups

Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Astra Militarum (63.0% over 300 games) and the worst is Adeptus Mechanicus (44.9% over 217).

Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Astra Militarum 300 63.0% 57.4% to 68.3% 61.2% +1.8 favourable
Grey Knights 218 61.5% 54.9% to 67.7% 54.7% +6.8 favourable
Imperial Knights 317 59.9% 54.5% to 65.2% 53.2% +6.7 favourable
Blood Angels 220 57.5% 50.9% to 63.8% 55.8% +1.7 favourable
Black Templars 103 56.8% 47.2% to 65.9% 56.5% +0.3
Chaos Space Marines 355 56.1% 50.9% to 61.1% 54.6% +1.4 favourable
World Eaters 358 55.6% 50.4% to 60.6% 51.9% +3.7 favourable
Space Marines 637 54.7% 50.8% to 58.5% 53.2% +1.5 favourable
T'au Empire 457 46.5% 42.0% to 51.1% 50.1% -3.6
Chaos Daemons 346 46.4% 41.2% to 51.7% 47.1% -0.7
Adeptus Custodes 548 45.8% 41.7% to 50.0% 47.6% -1.8 unfavourable
Adeptus Mechanicus 217 44.9% 38.5% to 51.6% 51.3% -6.3
Deathwatch 61 41.0% 29.5% to 53.5% 48.1% -7.1
All 27 matchups: 14 more rows
Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Adepta Sororitas 215 56.0% 49.4% to 62.5% 51.5% +4.5
Chaos Knights 200 55.2% 48.3% to 62.0% 54.9% +0.3
Aeldari 225 54.4% 47.9% to 60.8% 56.2% -1.8
Tyranids 543 53.1% 48.9% to 57.3% 51.9% +1.2
Thousand Sons 307 52.8% 47.2% to 58.3% 51.5% +1.3
Emperor's Children 346 52.7% 47.5% to 57.9% 50.5% +2.3
Genestealer Cult 129 52.7% 44.1% to 61.1% 54.3% -1.6
Imperial Agents 21 52.4% 32.4% to 71.7% 58.1% -5.8
Death Guard 408 51.2% 46.4% to 56.0% 53.6% -2.4
Drukhari 231 50.4% 44.0% to 56.8% 54.9% -4.5
Space Wolves 191 49.7% 42.7% to 56.8% 52.8% -3.0
Necrons 598 47.8% 43.8% to 51.8% 50.4% -2.5
Orks 658 46.8% 43.0% to 50.6% 46.5% +0.3
Dark Angels 422 46.6% 41.9% to 51.3% 48.4% -1.9

Over time

Share of games per week (%) 3 4 2.5 2.2 Jul Aug Sep Oct Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval 40 50 60 50.6 45.2 Jul Aug Sep Oct
Period Lists Share of all lists Games Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul 484 3.1% 1,695 50.6%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug 641 3.5% 2,292 53.4%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct 842 3.6% 3,149 51.1%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct 420 2.8% 1,495 51.9%

Around each milestone, 28 days before and after

Milestone Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul) 1,518 / 1,872 51.2% to 53.7% +2.4 +1.4 3.4% to 3.7%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug) 1,830 / 2,287 53.6% to 51.4% -2.2 -1.4 3.7% to 3.9%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep) 2,033 / 2,433 53.0% to 50.6% -2.4 -1.6 3.7% to 3.7%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct) 2,433 / 1,495 50.6% to 51.9% +1.4 +0.8 3.7% to 3.0%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data 2,050 / 748 50.9% to 51.7% +0.9 +0.4 3.5% to 2.8%

Results brackets

276 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 21 won X, 97 won X-1 and 158 won X-2, from 625 entries.

Share of players by share of games won 4% 0-20 15% 20-40 31% 40-60 32% 60-80 19% 80-100 line = all factions Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2 3.1% X 4.6% X-1 3.7% X-2 dashed = share of entries, 3.7%
Bracket tables
Tier Lists Share of tier Share of entries Ratio z
X 21 3.1% 3.7% 0.84x -0.8
X-1 97 4.6% 3.7% 1.25x +2.2
X-2 158 3.7% 3.7% 1.02x +0.2
X to X-2 276 3.9% 3.7% 1.07x +1.1
Share of games won Players Share of players All players
0 to 20% 20 3.7% 4.1%
20 to 40% 78 14.5% 17.2%
40 to 60% 165 30.7% 32.2%
60 to 80% 170 31.7% 30.1%
80 to 100% 104 19.4% 16.4%

Detachments

9 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 4 of them account for 80% of picks. The most played is Hearthguard Covenant (60% of lists), and 83% of lists run more than one detachment.

Detachment Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z P1 P2 P3 P4
Hearthguard Covenant 1,430 60% +0.0 ± 0.6 +0.0 50% 63% 62% 63%
Needgaârd Oathband 1,266 53% +1.3 ± 0.7 +1.8 38% 51% 59% 60%
Mercenary Oathband 508 21% -0.9 ± 1.0 -0.9 30% 26% 15% 16%
Farseekers 428 18% +0.3 ± 1.2 +0.3 17% 18% 19% 17%
Armoured Trailblazers 290 12% -2.1 ± 1.5 -1.4 12% 12% 12% 12%
Dêlve Assault Shift 131 5% +0.9 ± 2.3 +0.4 5% 4% 6% 8%
Brandfast Oathband 122 5% -3.6 ± 2.6 -1.4 6% 5% 5% 5%
Hearthband 119 5% -3.1 ± 2.0 -1.5 10% 4% 4% 3%
Hearthfyre Arsenal 48 2% -4.9 ± 3.4 -1.4 1% 3% 2% 2%

Enhancements

20 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Oathbound Speculator (46% of lists).

Enhancement table
Enhancement Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Oathbound Speculator 1,109 46% +0.7 ± 0.7 +0.9
Dead Reckoning 645 27% +0.2 ± 1.0 +0.2
Etacarn SB9 Targeting Implant 408 17% -0.2 ± 1.1 -0.1
Ancestral Crest 229 10% -0.1 ± 1.7 -0.0
Ironskein 174 7% -1.7 ± 1.9 -0.9
Metaphysical Brokerage 158 7% -4.3 ± 1.9 -2.2
Shroudwërke Talismans 134 6% -0.2 ± 2.2 -0.1
Pan-spectral Lockons 130 5% -2.7 ± 2.0 -1.3

Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, milestone moves, detachment effects, enhancement effects, results brackets, terrain layout and list width.

Representative lists

Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties, and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.

Hearthguard Covenant + Needgaârd Oathband1,995 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 6-0 · 336 players · 6 rounds · 1 Aug
Won an event of 100+ players
277 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Buri Aegnirssen85Autoch‑pattern bolt pistol, Bane
Dedicated Transports
Kapricus Carrier70Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Other Units
Einhyr Hearthguard270EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Teleport Crest, Concussion gauntlet
Hekaton Land Fortress265Armoured wheels, Heavy magna-rail cannon, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Twin bolt cannon
Hekaton Land Fortress250Armoured wheels, Heavy magna-rail cannon, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Twin bolt cannon
Ironkin Steeljacks with Heavy Volkanite Disintegrators160Heavy volkanite disintegrator, Plasma knife, Preymark Crest
Einhyr Hearthguard130EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Teleport Crest, Concussion gauntlet
Cthonian Beserks100Concussion maul
Ûthar the Destined90Blade of the Ancestors, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn90Close combat weapon, Graviton blast cannon
Hernkyn Yaegirs90Bolt revolver, Close combat weapon, Plasma knife, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Kâhl + Ancestral Crest80Mass gauntlet, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn80Close combat weapon, Graviton blast cannon
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn80Close combat weapon, Graviton blast cannon
Ironkin Steeljacks with Melee Weapons80Autoch-pattern bolter, Plasma sword, Preymark Crest
Memnyr Strategist + Oathbound Speculator75Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Close combat weapon
Hearthguard Covenant + Needgaârd Oathband1,995 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 6-0 · 85 players · 6 rounds · 18 Sep
279 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Ûthar the Destined90Blade of the Ancestors, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Battleline
Hearthkyn Warriors90Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Autoch-pattern bolter, Close combat weapon, Theyn’s melee weapon, Weavefield crest ...
Dedicated Transports
Sagitaur85Armoured wheels, HYLas beam cannon, Twin bolt cannon
Kapricus Carrier70Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Other Units
Einhyr Hearthguard270EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Weavefield crest, Concussion gauntlet
Einhyr Hearthguard270EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Weavefield crest, Concussion gauntlet
Hekaton Land Fortress250Armoured wheels, Heavy magna-rail cannon, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Twin bolt cannon
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn170Close combat weapon, SP conversion beamer
Cthonian Beserks95Concussion maul, Mole grenade launcher
Einhyr Champion + Oathbound Speculator95Autoch-pattern combi-bolter, Mass hammer, Teleport Crest
Cthonian Beserks95Concussion maul, Mole grenade launcher
Hernkyn Yaegirs90Bolt shotgun, Close combat weapon, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Berehk Stornbröw85Kromlôk’s Revenge, Warforge Gauntlets
Kâhl + Ancestral Crest80Autoch-pattern combi-bolter, Mass gauntlet, Teleport Crest
Hernkyn Pioneers80Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, Magna-coil autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Plasma knife, Rollbar Searchlight
Hernkyn Pioneers80Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, Magna-coil autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Plasma knife, Rollbar Searchlight

Team events

50.4%win rate in team events1,836 games451 lists from 379 players-1.8 points against individual eventsgoing first 3.4 points better

Leagues of Votann won 50.4% of 1,836 team event games, against 52.1% of 6,795 in individual events: 1.8 points lower (not clear). It makes up 3.9% of team event games and 3.3% of individual event games.

Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 44% Disruption 20% Reconnaissance 18% Purge the Foe 11% Take and Hold 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments share win rate Needgaârd Oathband 58% Hearthguard Covenant 51% Farseekers 20% Armoured Trailblazers 19% Mercenary Oathband 16% Dêlve Assault Shift 5% Brandfast Oathband 4% Hearthband 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups win rate against Grey Knights Astra Militarum Blood Angels Space Marines Dark Angels Death Guard Adeptus Mechanicus Adeptus Custodes 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events. Dashed: team events win rate.

Milestones

5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after, with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.

July balance & rules update (22 July)

53.7%win rate, rank 7 of 281,872 games506 lists from 429 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.08x entry sharegoing first 3.3 points better

Leagues of Votann won 51.2% of 1,518 games in the 28 days before and 53.7% of 1,872 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.4% to 3.7%.

One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Buri Aegnirssen (45% to 66%).

Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 2% 0-20 14% 20-40 35% 40-60 31% 60-80 18% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 52% Reconnaissance 14% Take and Hold 13% Purge the Foe 12% Disruption 9% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Hearthguard Covenant 63% Needgaârd Oathband 49% Mercenary Oathband 26% Farseekers 19% Armoured Trailblazers 11% Hearthband 5% Brandfast Oathband 5% Dêlve Assault Shift 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Einhyr Hearthguard 91% Brôkhyr Thunderkyn 87% Hernkyn Pioneers 86% Hekaton Land Fortress 86% Hernkyn Yaegirs 81% Kâhl 81% Kapricus Carrier 78% Memnyr Strategist 75% Buri Aegnirssen 66% Ûthar the Destined 66% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Grey Knights Death Guard Astra Militarum Chaos Knights Chaos Daemons Necrons Thousand Sons Orks 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Buri Aegnirssen 45% 66% +21 +6.5

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Hearthguard Covenant + Needgaârd Oathband1,995 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 6-0 · 336 players · 6 rounds · 1 Aug
Won an event of 100+ players
69 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Buri Aegnirssen85Autoch‑pattern bolt pistol, Bane
Dedicated Transports
Kapricus Carrier70Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Other Units
Einhyr Hearthguard270EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Teleport Crest, Concussion gauntlet
Hekaton Land Fortress265Armoured wheels, Heavy magna-rail cannon, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Twin bolt cannon
Hekaton Land Fortress250Armoured wheels, Heavy magna-rail cannon, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Twin bolt cannon
Ironkin Steeljacks with Heavy Volkanite Disintegrators160Heavy volkanite disintegrator, Plasma knife, Preymark Crest
Einhyr Hearthguard130EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Teleport Crest, Concussion gauntlet
Cthonian Beserks100Concussion maul
Ûthar the Destined90Blade of the Ancestors, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn90Close combat weapon, Graviton blast cannon
Hernkyn Yaegirs90Bolt revolver, Close combat weapon, Plasma knife, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Kâhl + Ancestral Crest80Mass gauntlet, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn80Close combat weapon, Graviton blast cannon
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn80Close combat weapon, Graviton blast cannon
Ironkin Steeljacks with Melee Weapons80Autoch-pattern bolter, Plasma sword, Preymark Crest
Memnyr Strategist + Oathbound Speculator75Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Close combat weapon
Farseekers + Needgaârd Oathband2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 58 players · 5 rounds · 8 Aug
14 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Ûthar the Destined90Blade of the Ancestors, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Arkanyst Evaluator70Close combat weapon, Transmatter inverter
Arkanyst Evaluator70Close combat weapon, Transmatter inverter
Memnyr Strategist + Dead Reckoning55Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Close combat weapon
Dedicated Transports
Kapricus Carrier70Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Kapricus Carrier70Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Other Units
Hekaton Land Fortress265Armoured wheels, Heavy magna-rail cannon, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Twin bolt cannon, SP heavy conversion beamer
Hekaton Land Fortress250Armoured wheels, Heavy magna-rail cannon, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Twin bolt cannon, SP heavy conversion beamer
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn160Close combat weapon, SP conversion beamer
Hernkyn Pioneers160Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, HYLas rotary cannon, Magna-coil autocannon, Multiwave Comms Array, Panspectral Scanner ...
Einhyr Hearthguard130EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Teleport Crest, Concussion gauntlet
Einhyr Hearthguard130EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Teleport Crest, Concussion gauntlet
Hernkyn Pioneers90Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, HYLas rotary cannon, Magna-coil autocannon, Multiwave Comms Array, Panspectral Scanner ...
Hernkyn Yaegirs90Bolt revolver, Close combat weapon, Plasma knife, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Hernkyn Yaegirs90Bolt revolver, Close combat weapon, Plasma knife, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Hernkyn Pioneers80Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, HYLas rotary cannon, Magna-coil autocannon, Multiwave Comms Array, Panspectral Scanner ...
Kapricus Defenders65Armoured hull, HYLas rotary cannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Kapricus Defenders65Armoured hull, HYLas rotary cannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon

August balance & rules update (26 August)

53.1%win rate, rank 7 of 27716 games186 lists from 183 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.03x entry sharegoing first 6.9 points better

Leagues of Votann won 53.6% of 1,830 games in the 28 days before and 51.4% of 2,287 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.7% to 3.9%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 0% 0-20 15% 20-40 29% 40-60 44% 60-80 12% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 58% Reconnaissance 16% Purge the Foe 13% Take and Hold 8% Disruption 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Hearthguard Covenant 67% Needgaârd Oathband 59% Farseekers 19% Mercenary Oathband 18% Armoured Trailblazers 10% Dêlve Assault Shift 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Einhyr Hearthguard 93% Hekaton Land Fortress 87% Hernkyn Pioneers 87% Brôkhyr Thunderkyn 86% Hernkyn Yaegirs 81% Kâhl 79% Kapricus Carrier 78% Memnyr Strategist 77% Ûthar the Destined 72% Buri Aegnirssen 65% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Space Marines Tyranids Necrons Orks Adeptus Custodes 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Farseekers + Needgaârd Oathband2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
4th place · record 4-1 · 34 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
9 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Buri Aegnirssen85Autoch‑pattern bolt pistol, Bane
Memnyr Strategist45Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Close combat weapon
Dedicated Transports
Kapricus Carrier70Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Kapricus Carrier70Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Other Units
Einhyr Hearthguard270EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Teleport Crest, Concussion gauntlet
Hekaton Land Fortress265Armoured wheels, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, SP heavy conversion beamer, Twin bolt cannon
Hekaton Land Fortress250Armoured wheels, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, SP heavy conversion beamer, Twin bolt cannon
Einhyr Hearthguard130EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Teleport Crest, Concussion gauntlet
Cthonian Beserks100Concussion maul, Twin concussion gauntlet
Kâhl + Oathbound Speculator95Mass gauntlet, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Hernkyn Yaegirs90Bolt revolver, Close combat weapon, Plasma knife, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Hernkyn Yaegirs90Bolt revolver, Close combat weapon, Plasma knife, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Berehk Stornbröw85Kromlôk’s Revenge, Warforge Gauntlets
Hernkyn Pioneers80Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, HYLas rotary cannon, Magna-coil autocannon, Multiwave Comms Array, Panspectral Scanner, Plasma knife
Hernkyn Pioneers80Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, HYLas rotary cannon, Magna-coil autocannon, Multiwave Comms Array, Panspectral Scanner, Plasma knife
Kapricus Defenders65Armoured hull, HYLas rotary cannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Kapricus Defenders65Armoured hull, HYLas rotary cannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Kapricus Defenders65Armoured hull, HYLas rotary cannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Hearthguard Covenant + Needgaârd Oathband2,000 pts
Priority Assets
20th place · record 7-2 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
34 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Ûthar the Destined90Blade of the Ancestors, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Arkanyst Evaluator + Ancestral Crest85Close combat weapon, Transmatter inverter
Buri Aegnirssen85Autoch‑pattern bolt pistol, Bane
Memnyr Strategist + Dead Reckoning55Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Close combat weapon
Battleline
Hearthkyn Warriors90Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Theyn’s melee weapon, Theyn’s pistol, Weavefield crest ...
Dedicated Transports
Sagitaur85Armoured wheels, MATR autocannon, Twin bolt cannon
Kapricus Carrier70Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Other Units
Einhyr Hearthguard270EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Weavefield crest, Concussion gauntlet, Teleport Crest ...
Einhyr Hearthguard270EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Weavefield crest, Concussion gauntlet, Teleport Crest ...
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn170Close combat weapon, Graviton blast cannon
Einhyr Hearthguard140EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Weavefield crest, Concussion gauntlet, Teleport Crest ...
Kâhl + Oathbound Speculator95Mass gauntlet, Teleport Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn90Close combat weapon, Graviton blast cannon
Hernkyn Yaegirs90Bolt revolver, Close combat weapon, Plasma knife, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn80Close combat weapon, Graviton blast cannon
Hernkyn Pioneers80Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, HYLas rotary cannon, Magna-coil autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Plasma knife, Rollbar Searchlight
Hernkyn Pioneers80Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, HYLas rotary cannon, Magna-coil autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Plasma knife, Rollbar Searchlight
Kâhl + Oathbound Speculator75Mass gauntlet, Teleport Crest, Volkanite disintegrator

Orks codex (5 September)

50.6%win rate, rank 9 of 282,433 games656 lists from 561 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.12x entry sharegoing first 4.9 points better

Leagues of Votann won 53.0% of 2,033 games in the 28 days before and 50.6% of 2,433 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.7% to 3.7%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 15% 20-40 28% 40-60 30% 60-80 24% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 57% Reconnaissance 14% Purge the Foe 11% Disruption 11% Take and Hold 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Hearthguard Covenant 60% Needgaârd Oathband 59% Farseekers 19% Mercenary Oathband 15% Armoured Trailblazers 13% Brandfast Oathband 5% Dêlve Assault Shift 5% Hearthband 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Hernkyn Pioneers 89% Einhyr Hearthguard 89% Brôkhyr Thunderkyn 88% Hekaton Land Fortress 87% Kâhl 80% Hernkyn Yaegirs 80% Kapricus Carrier 77% Memnyr Strategist 75% Ûthar the Destined 73% Buri Aegnirssen 68% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Astra Militarum Chaos Space Marines Thousand Sons Blood Angels Adeptus Mechanicus Orks Dark Angels T'au Empire 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Hearthguard Covenant + Needgaârd Oathband1,995 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 6-0 · 85 players · 6 rounds · 18 Sep
67 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Ûthar the Destined90Blade of the Ancestors, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Battleline
Hearthkyn Warriors90Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Autoch-pattern bolter, Close combat weapon, Theyn’s melee weapon, Weavefield crest ...
Dedicated Transports
Sagitaur85Armoured wheels, HYLas beam cannon, Twin bolt cannon
Kapricus Carrier70Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Other Units
Einhyr Hearthguard270EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Weavefield crest, Concussion gauntlet
Einhyr Hearthguard270EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Weavefield crest, Concussion gauntlet
Hekaton Land Fortress250Armoured wheels, Heavy magna-rail cannon, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Twin bolt cannon
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn170Close combat weapon, SP conversion beamer
Cthonian Beserks95Concussion maul, Mole grenade launcher
Einhyr Champion + Oathbound Speculator95Autoch-pattern combi-bolter, Mass hammer, Teleport Crest
Cthonian Beserks95Concussion maul, Mole grenade launcher
Hernkyn Yaegirs90Bolt shotgun, Close combat weapon, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Berehk Stornbröw85Kromlôk’s Revenge, Warforge Gauntlets
Kâhl + Ancestral Crest80Autoch-pattern combi-bolter, Mass gauntlet, Teleport Crest
Hernkyn Pioneers80Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, Magna-coil autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Plasma knife, Rollbar Searchlight
Hernkyn Pioneers80Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, Magna-coil autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Plasma knife, Rollbar Searchlight
Hearthguard Covenant + Needgaârd Oathband2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 91 players · 5 rounds · 19 Sep
164 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Ûthar the Destined90Blade of the Ancestors, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Buri Aegnirssen85Autoch‑pattern bolt pistol, Bane
Battleline
Hearthkyn Warriors90Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Theyn’s melee weapon, Theyn’s pistol, Weavefield crest ...
Dedicated Transports
Sagitaur85Armoured wheels, HYLas beam cannon, Twin bolt cannon
Kapricus Carrier70Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Other Units
Einhyr Hearthguard270EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Weavefield crest, Concussion gauntlet, Teleport Crest
Hekaton Land Fortress250Armoured wheels, Cyclic ion cannon, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Twin bolt cannon
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn170Bolt cannon, Close combat weapon
Ironkin Steeljacks with Melee Weapons150Autoch-pattern bolter, Plasma sword, Preymark Crest
Einhyr Hearthguard130EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Weavefield crest, Concussion gauntlet, Teleport Crest
Kâhl + Oathbound Speculator95Mass gauntlet, Teleport Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Hernkyn Yaegirs90Bolt revolver, Close combat weapon, Plasma knife, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn80Bolt cannon, Close combat weapon
Hernkyn Pioneers80Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, HYLas rotary cannon, Magna-coil autocannon, Multiwave Comms Array, Panspectral Scanner, Plasma knife
Hernkyn Pioneers80Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, HYLas rotary cannon, Magna-coil autocannon, Multiwave Comms Array, Panspectral Scanner, Plasma knife
Kapricus Defenders70Armoured hull, HYLas rotary cannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Kapricus Defenders70Armoured hull, HYLas rotary cannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Memnyr Strategist45Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Close combat weapon

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)

52.1%win rate, rank 8 of 27747 games206 lists from 197 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.14x entry sharegoing first 0.9 points better

Leagues of Votann won 50.6% of 2,433 games in the 28 days before and 51.9% of 1,495 in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 3.7% to 3.0%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 4% 0-20 14% 20-40 29% 40-60 39% 60-80 14% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 59% Reconnaissance 14% Disruption 10% Take and Hold 9% Purge the Foe 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Hearthguard Covenant 62% Needgaârd Oathband 57% Mercenary Oathband 19% Farseekers 19% Armoured Trailblazers 11% Brandfast Oathband 6% Dêlve Assault Shift 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Brôkhyr Thunderkyn 87% Hekaton Land Fortress 87% Einhyr Hearthguard 85% Hernkyn Pioneers 85% Kâhl 80% Hernkyn Yaegirs 79% Kapricus Carrier 76% Memnyr Strategist 71% Sagitaur 68% Hearthkyn Warriors 67% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Tyranids Adeptus Custodes World Eaters Necrons Space Marines Orks Dark Angels Death Guard 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Hearthguard Covenant + Needgaârd Oathband2,000 pts
Priority Assets
4th place · record 5-1 · 106 players · 6 rounds · 10 Oct
25 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Ûthar the Destined100Blade of the Ancestors, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Buri Aegnirssen85Autoch‑pattern bolt pistol, Bane
Arkanyst Evaluator70Close combat weapon, Transmatter inverter
Memnyr Strategist + Dead Reckoning55Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Close combat weapon
Dedicated Transports
Kapricus Carrier70Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Kapricus Carrier70Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Smoke Launcher, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Other Units
Einhyr Hearthguard270Concussion gauntlet, EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Weavefield crest
Hekaton Land Fortress250Armoured wheels, Heavy magna-rail cannon, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Twin bolt cannon
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn170Close combat weapon, SP conversion beamer, Graviton blast cannon
Einhyr Hearthguard140Concussion gauntlet, EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Weavefield crest
Einhyr Hearthguard130Concussion gauntlet, EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Weavefield crest
Kâhl + Oathbound Speculator95Mass gauntlet, Teleport Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Hernkyn Yaegirs90Bolt shotgun, Close combat weapon, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Hernkyn Yaegirs90Bolt shotgun, Close combat weapon, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Hernkyn Pioneers85Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, HYLas rotary cannon, Magna-coil autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Plasma knife, Rollbar Searchlight
Hernkyn Pioneers85Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, HYLas rotary cannon, Magna-coil autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Plasma knife, Rollbar Searchlight
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn80Close combat weapon, SP conversion beamer, Graviton blast cannon
Einhyr Champion65Autoch-pattern combi-bolter, Mass hammer, Weavefield Crest
Dêlve Assault Shift + Hearthguard Covenant2,000 pts
Priority Assets
2nd place · record 5-0 · 97 players · 5 rounds · 16 Oct
6 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Ûthar the Destined100Blade of the Ancestors, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Memnyr Strategist + Multiwave System Jammer55Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Close combat weapon
Battleline
Hearthkyn Warriors90Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ion blaster, Theyn’s melee weapon, Weavefield crest ...
Dedicated Transports
Sagitaur85Armoured wheels, HYLas beam cannon, Twin bolt cannon
Kapricus Carrier70Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Other Units
Einhyr Hearthguard270Concussion gauntlet, EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Weavefield crest
Cthonian Beserks180Heavy plasma axe, Twin concussion gauntlet, Concussion maul
Cthonian Beserks180Heavy plasma axe, Twin concussion gauntlet, Concussion maul
Hernkyn Pioneers95Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, HYLas rotary cannon, Magna-coil autocannon, Plasma knife
Cthonian Beserks90Heavy plasma axe, Twin concussion gauntlet, Concussion maul
Grimnyr + Dêlvewerke Navigator90Ancestral Wrath, Ancestral ward stave, Autoch-pattern bolter, Close combat weapon
Cthonian Beserks90Heavy plasma axe, Twin concussion gauntlet, Concussion maul
Cthonian Beserks90Heavy plasma axe, Twin concussion gauntlet, Concussion maul
Cthonian Beserks90Heavy plasma axe, Twin concussion gauntlet, Concussion maul
Hernkyn Yaegirs90Bolt revolver, Close combat weapon, Plasma knife, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Berehk Stornbröw85Kromlôk’s Revenge, Warforge Gauntlets
Hernkyn Pioneers85Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, HYLas rotary cannon, Magna-coil autocannon, Plasma knife
Hernkyn Pioneers85Bolt revolver, Bolt shotgun, HYLas rotary cannon, Magna-coil autocannon, Plasma knife
Kâhl + Piledriver80Mass gauntlet, Teleport Crest, Volkanite disintegrator

Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)

51.7%win rate, rank 7 of 27748 games214 lists from 205 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.99x entry sharegoing first 0.0 points better

Leagues of Votann won 50.9% of 2,050 games in the 28 days before and 51.7% of 748 in the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 3.5% to 2.8%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 5% 0-20 17% 20-40 32% 40-60 23% 60-80 24% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 63% Reconnaissance 14% Disruption 10% Purge the Foe 8% Take and Hold 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Hearthguard Covenant 64% Needgaârd Oathband 63% Farseekers 16% Armoured Trailblazers 14% Mercenary Oathband 13% Dêlve Assault Shift 10% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Hernkyn Pioneers 88% Einhyr Hearthguard 87% Hernkyn Yaegirs 85% Hekaton Land Fortress 85% Brôkhyr Thunderkyn 85% Kapricus Carrier 82% Kâhl 82% Memnyr Strategist 76% Hearthkyn Warriors 71% Sagitaur 70% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Tyranids World Eaters Orks Death Guard Space Marines Necrons Adeptus Custodes Dark Angels 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Hearthguard Covenant + Needgaârd Oathband1,995 pts
Priority Assets
3rd place · record 5-0 · 105 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
13 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Ûthar the Destined100Blade of the Ancestors, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Buri Aegnirssen85Autoch‑pattern bolt pistol, Bane
Memnyr Strategist + Dead Reckoning55Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Close combat weapon
Battleline
Hearthkyn Warriors90Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Theyn’s melee weapon, Theyn’s pistol, Weavefield crest ...
Dedicated Transports
Sagitaur85Armoured wheels, HYLas beam cannon, Twin bolt cannon
Kapricus Carrier70Armoured hull, Magna-coil autocannon, Twin magna‑coil autocannon
Other Units
Einhyr Hearthguard270EtaCarn plasma gun, Exoarmour grenade launcher, Graviton hammer, Teleport Crest, Concussion gauntlet
Hekaton Land Fortress270Armoured wheels, Heavy magna-rail cannon, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Twin bolt cannon
Hekaton Land Fortress250Armoured wheels, Heavy magna-rail cannon, MATR autocannon, Panspectral Scanner, Twin bolt cannon
Brôkhyr Thunderkyn170Close combat weapon, SP conversion beamer
Cthonian Earthshakers100Autoch-pattern bolt pistol, Plasma picks, Tremor shells
Kâhl + Oathbound Speculator95Mass gauntlet, Rampart Crest, Volkanite disintegrator
Cthonian Beserks90Concussion maul, Mole grenade launcher, Twin concussion gauntlet
Cthonian Beserks90Concussion maul, Mole grenade launcher, Twin concussion gauntlet
Hernkyn Yaegirs90Bolt shotgun, Close combat weapon, APM launcher, Magna-coil rifle
Berehk Stornbröw85Kromlôk’s Revenge, Warforge Gauntlets
Dêlve Assault Shift1,995 pts
Reconnaissance
2nd place · record 5-0 · 102 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Ûthar the Destined100
Arkanyst Evaluator + Dêlvewerke Navigator95
Dedicated Transports
Kapricus Carrier70
Kapricus Carrier70
Other Units
Hekaton Land Fortress250Twin Bolt Cannons
Cthonian Beserks180Heavy Plasma Axe, Twin Concussion Gauntlets, Concussion Maul
Cthonian Beserks180Heavy Plasma Axe, Twin Concussion Gauntlets, Concussion Maul
Cthonian Beserks180Heavy Plasma Axe, Twin Concussion Gauntlets, Concussion Maul
Hernkyn Yaegirs + Shroudwërke Talismans105Bolt Shotgun, Close Combat Weapon
Cthonian Beserks90Heavy Plasma Axe, Twin Concussion Gauntlets, Concussion Maul
Cthonian Beserks90Heavy Plasma Axe, Twin Concussion Gauntlets, Concussion Maul
Cthonian Beserks90Heavy Plasma Axe, Twin Concussion Gauntlets, Concussion Maul
Hernkyn Yaegirs + Shroudwërke Talismans90Bolt Shotgun, Close Combat Weapon
Berehk Stornbröw85
Hernkyn Pioneers85Bolt Revolver, Bolt Shotgun, Magna-Coil Autocannon, Plasma Knife
Hernkyn Pioneers85Bolt Revolver, Bolt Shotgun, Magna-Coil Autocannon, Plasma Knife
Kapricus Defenders75
Kapricus Defenders75

Necrons

Whole edition

51.5%win rate, rank 8 of 2815,379 games4,476 lists from 2,641 playerstop-10% finishes 1.05x entry sharegoing first 1.3 points better52.1% adjusted for player skill

Canoptek Doomstalker is in 7% of lists, and lists with it have a win rate 8.7 points below comparable lists. Hand of the Dynasty lists have a win rate 5.7 points below the faction average and make up 18% of the faction's lists. Necrons won 51.5% of 15,379 games, rank 8 of 28. Skyshroud Spearhead went from 23% to 34% of the faction's lists between the first period and the last 28 days. The pairing Cursed Legion + Hand of the Dynasty has a win rate 9.6 points below the faction average (216 lists).

Units

A typical list contains 12 distinct units. 5 units appear in at least half of all lists and 31 in at least 10%. The most common is Ophydian Destroyers (63% of lists). 4 datasheets appeared in under 1% of lists: Canoptek Macrocytes, Convergence Of Dominion, Seraptek Heavy Construct, Trazyn The Infinite.

Of 48 units in 40 or more lists, 9 have a clear effect on results (4 positive, 5 negative). Best: Canoptek Tomb Crawlers (5.3 points above comparable lists, 10% of lists), Nekrosor Ammentar (2.1 points above comparable lists, 58% of lists), Lokhust Destroyers (1.9 points above comparable lists, 44% of lists) and Lokhust Lord (1.7 points above comparable lists, 46% of lists). Weakest: Canoptek Doomstalker (8.7 points below comparable lists, 7% of lists), Chronomancer (4.2 points below comparable lists, 9% of lists), Immortals (3.4 points below comparable lists, 26% of lists) and Necron Warriors (3.4 points below comparable lists, 26% of lists). Canoptek Tomb Crawlers is in under 10% of lists but has a win rate above the faction average. Immortals, Necron Warriors and Doomsday Ark are in at least 15% of lists but have a win rate below it.

Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -5 0 +5 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Canoptek Doomstalker Canoptek Tomb Crawlers Chronomancer Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -10 0 +10 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Hand of the Dynasty Skyshroud Spearhead

Most played units

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Ophydian Destroyers 2,826 63.1% +1.1 ± 0.5 +2.3
C’tan Shard of the Void Dragon 2,595 58.0% +1.4 ± 0.5 +2.9
Nekrosor Ammentar 2,592 57.9% +2.1 ± 0.5 +4.5
Skorpekh Destroyers 2,465 55.1% +0.2 ± 0.5 +0.4
Skorpekh Lord 2,461 55.0% +0.9 ± 0.5 +1.8
Technomancer 2,205 49.3% -0.8 ± 0.5 -1.5
C’tan Shard of the Nightbringer 2,180 48.7% -0.5 ± 0.5 -1.0
Canoptek Wraiths 2,147 48.0% -0.4 ± 0.5 -0.7
Flayed Ones 2,079 46.4% +1.3 ± 0.5 +2.4
Lokhust Lord 2,069 46.2% +1.7 ± 0.5 +3.2
Canoptek Reanimator 2,044 45.7% +0.9 ± 0.5 +1.6
Lokhust Heavy Destroyers 2,002 44.7% -1.4 ± 0.6 -2.4

Other units with a clear effect

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Canoptek Tomb Crawlers 446 10.0% +5.3 ± 1.1 +4.7
Lokhust Destroyers 1,962 43.8% +1.9 ± 0.5 +3.6
Doomsday Ark 997 22.3% -3.1 ± 0.8 -3.8
Necron Warriors 1,170 26.1% -3.4 ± 0.8 -4.5
Immortals 1,175 26.3% -3.4 ± 0.8 -4.4
Chronomancer 407 9.1% -4.2 ± 1.2 -3.4
Canoptek Doomstalker 333 7.4% -8.7 ± 1.5 -5.8

Detachments

12 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 5 of them account for 80% of picks. The most played is Cursed Legion (37% of lists), and 55% of lists run more than one detachment. 3 detachments differ from the faction average. Best: Skyshroud Spearhead (4.0 points above the faction average, 34% of lists). Weakest: Hand of the Dynasty (5.7 points below the faction average, 18% of lists).

Detachment Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z P1 P2 P3 P4
Cursed Legion 1,644 37% +2.6 ± 0.6 +4.1 27% 41% 42% 34%
Skyshroud Spearhead 1,535 34% +4.0 ± 0.6 +6.5 23% 37% 40% 34%
Awakened Dynasty 1,106 25% -1.4 ± 0.7 -1.9 32% 24% 22% 23%
Hand of the Dynasty 807 18% -5.7 ± 0.9 -6.4 18% 19% 15% 20%
Starshatter Arsenal 394 9% +1.7 ± 1.3 +1.3 9% 7% 8% 12%
Hypercrypt Legion 308 7% -1.2 ± 1.4 -0.8 7% 6% 8% 8%
The Phaeron's Armoury 282 6% +2.9 ± 1.6 +1.9 4% 7% 8% 6%
Pantheon of Woe 226 5% -2.8 ± 1.6 -1.7 7% 5% 5% 4%
Obeisance Phalanx 193 4% +2.3 ± 1.8 +1.3 3% 5% 5% 4%
Cryptek Conclave 168 4% -4.5 ± 2.0 -2.2 4% 4% 3% 4%
Canoptek Court 145 3% -5.2 ± 2.1 -2.5 3% 3% 2% 6%
Annihilation Legion 20 0% -13.4 ± 5.5 -2.4 1% 0% 0% 0%

Combinations

13 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common is Cursed Legion + Skyshroud Spearhead (1,258 lists, 28%). Best: Obeisance Phalanx + The Phaeron's Armoury (9.5 points above the faction average). Weakest: Cursed Legion + Hand of the Dynasty (9.6 points below the faction average).

Combination Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Cursed Legion + Skyshroud Spearhead 1,258 28% +4.9 ± 0.7 +6.7
Cursed Legion + Hand of the Dynasty 216 5% -9.6 ± 1.9 -5.1
Hand of the Dynasty + Hypercrypt Legion 185 4% -4.5 ± 2.1 -2.2
Cryptek Conclave + Hand of the Dynasty 120 3% -2.2 ± 3.0 -0.7
Hand of the Dynasty + Pantheon of Woe 117 3% -8.4 ± 2.2 -3.8
Obeisance Phalanx + The Phaeron's Armoury 116 3% +9.5 ± 2.4 +4.0
Hypercrypt Legion + Skyshroud Spearhead 85 2% +0.9 ± 2.7 +0.4
Cursed Legion + The Phaeron's Armoury 78 2% +1.9 ± 3.0 +0.6

Over time

Share of games per week (%) 5.5 6 6.5 7 5.5 6.5 Jul Aug Sep Oct Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval 45 50 55 Codex: Space Marines (11th Edi 49.5 52.2 Jul Aug Sep Oct
Period Lists Share of all lists Games Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul 1,038 6.6% 3,483 53.2%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug 1,157 6.3% 3,985 50.2%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct 1,434 6.2% 5,088 53.2%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct 847 5.6% 2,823 48.4%

Codex: Space Marines was followed by a change of -4.6 points in win rate, measured over the 28 days either side.

Around each milestone, 28 days before and after

Milestone Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul) 2,960 / 3,138 53.4% to 50.5% -2.8 -2.2 6.6% to 6.2%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug) 3,125 / 3,603 50.0% to 53.6% +3.6 +3.0 6.3% to 6.1%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep) 3,421 / 3,984 51.5% to 53.0% +1.6 +1.4 6.3% to 6.1%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct) 3,984 / 2,823 53.0% to 48.4% -4.6 -3.7 6.1% to 5.6%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data 3,586 / 1,449 50.3% to 50.3% -0.0 -0.0 6.0% to 5.4%

Force Disposition

Take and Hold has a win rate 3.7 points below the faction's other choices and Purge the Foe has a win rate 3.0 points above the faction's other choices.

Disposition Share of games Games Win rate Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Take and Hold 37% 4,921 47.9% -3.7 ± 0.7
Purge the Foe 36% 4,820 54.5% +3.0 ± 0.7
Priority Assets 15% 1,951 52.7% +1.3 ± 1.2
Reconnaissance 10% 1,347 51.9% +0.1 ± 1.4
Disruption 3% 370 50.7% -0.9 ± 2.9

Results brackets

476 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 52 won X, 136 won X-1 and 288 won X-2, from 1,037 entries.

Share of players by share of games won 2% 0-20 16% 20-40 29% 40-60 34% 60-80 18% 80-100 line = all factions Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2 7.6% X 6.4% X-1 6.8% X-2 dashed = share of entries, 6.1%
Tier Lists Share of tier Share of entries Ratio z
X 52 7.6% 6.1% 1.26x +1.7
X-1 136 6.4% 6.1% 1.06x +0.6
X-2 288 6.8% 6.1% 1.12x +1.9
X to X-2 476 6.7% 6.1% 1.11x +2.4
Share of games won Players Share of players All players
0 to 20% 20 2.3% 4.1%
20 to 40% 138 15.6% 17.2%
40 to 60% 259 29.2% 32.2%
60 to 80% 306 34.5% 30.1%
80 to 100% 164 18.5% 16.4%

Pick-rate shifts

Type Name First period Prior 28 days Last 28 days Change vs first period (pp) Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Unit C’tan Shard of the Void Dragon 50% 61% 62% +11 +0
Unit Necron Warriors 32% 22% 22% -11 -0
Unit Overlord 15% 22% 26% +11 +4
Detachment Skyshroud Spearhead 23% 40% 34% +11 -6
Unit Technomancer 56% 46% 46% -10 +0
Enhancement Deepening Madness 7% 21% 17% +10 -4
Unit Lokhust Lord 36% 53% 46% +10 -7
Unit Doomsday Ark 32% 17% 22% -10 +4
Unit Canoptek Wraiths 55% 45% 45% -9 +1
Detachment Awakened Dynasty 32% 23% 22% -9 -0
Unit Canoptek Tomb Crawlers 16% 7% 8% -8 +1
Enhancement Tools of Dominion 5% 4% 10% +5 +5

Matchups

Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Astra Militarum (65.8% over 577 games) and the worst is Orks (43.7% over 1,103).

Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Astra Militarum 577 65.8% 61.8% to 69.5% 60.9% +4.9 favourable
Aeldari 457 58.4% 53.9% to 62.9% 55.9% +2.6 favourable
Death Guard 654 56.5% 52.7% to 60.2% 53.3% +3.2 favourable
Black Templars 229 55.9% 49.4% to 62.2% 56.2% -0.3
Genestealer Cult 228 55.7% 49.2% to 62.0% 53.9% +1.8
Thousand Sons 561 55.0% 50.9% to 59.1% 51.1% +3.9 favourable
Adeptus Custodes 1,004 48.2% 45.1% to 51.3% 47.3% +0.9
Adepta Sororitas 356 48.0% 42.9% to 53.2% 51.2% -3.1
Dark Angels 678 47.4% 43.7% to 51.2% 48.1% -0.6
Chaos Daemons 613 44.1% 40.2% to 48.1% 46.7% -2.6 unfavourable
Orks 1,103 43.7% 40.8% to 46.7% 46.2% -2.4 unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 16 more rows
Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Drukhari 367 54.5% 49.4% to 59.5% 54.5% -0.0
Grey Knights 392 53.8% 48.9% to 58.7% 54.4% -0.5
Deathwatch 110 53.6% 44.4% to 62.7% 47.7% +5.9
Emperor's Children 699 53.5% 49.8% to 57.2% 50.1% +3.4
Blood Angels 436 53.1% 48.4% to 57.7% 55.5% -2.4
Space Wolves 393 53.1% 48.1% to 57.9% 52.4% +0.6
Adeptus Mechanicus 343 52.3% 47.1% to 57.6% 50.9% +1.4
Leagues of Votann 598 52.2% 48.2% to 56.2% 49.6% +2.5
Chaos Space Marines 713 51.8% 48.1% to 55.4% 54.3% -2.5
Chaos Knights 394 51.6% 46.7% to 56.5% 54.6% -2.9
World Eaters 670 51.2% 47.4% to 55.0% 51.5% -0.4
Imperial Agents 46 51.1% 37.1% to 64.9% 57.8% -6.7
Tyranids 1,013 51.1% 48.0% to 54.2% 51.6% -0.5
Imperial Knights 612 50.7% 46.8% to 54.7% 52.9% -2.1
Space Marines 1,302 50.5% 47.7% to 53.2% 52.8% -2.4
T'au Empire 831 50.4% 47.0% to 53.8% 49.7% +0.7

Enhancements

29 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Destroyer Ankh (22% of lists).

Enhancement table
Enhancement Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Destroyer Ankh 981 22% +1.4 ± 0.8 +1.7
Murdermind 915 20% +0.0 ± 0.8 +0.0
Enaegic Dermal Bond 717 16% +2.2 ± 0.9 +2.4
Deepening Madness 705 16% -0.6 ± 0.9 -0.7
Mark of the Nekrosor 625 14% -2.2 ± 1.0 -2.1
Veil of Darkness 461 10% +0.4 ± 1.1 +0.4
Chrono-impedance Fields 282 6% +2.2 ± 1.4 +1.6
Nether-realm Casket 271 6% -1.8 ± 1.4 -1.2

Each extra 2.3 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 2.2 points lower; the average list has 11.6. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, enhancement effects and terrain layout.

Representative lists

Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties, and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.

Cryptek Conclave + Hand of the Dynasty2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 6-0 · 94 players · 6 rounds · 10 Oct
11 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Nekrosor Ammentar185Blade tail and whip coils, Enmitic disintegrators, Nullstone Field Generator (Aura), Unmaker Gauntlet
Illuminor Szeras175Eldritch Lance, Impaling legs
Battleline
Immortals + Tools of Dominion155Close combat weapon, Gauss blaster
Immortals + Tools of Dominion155Close combat weapon, Gauss blaster
Immortals + Tools of Dominion155Close combat weapon, Gauss blaster
Other Units
Triarch Praetorians160Particle caster, Voidblade
Triarch Praetorians160Particle caster, Voidblade
Tomb Blades140Close combat weapon, Nebuloscope, Particle beamer
Ophydian Destroyers80Ophydian hyperphase weapons, Plasmacyte
Canoptek Reanimator75Atomiser beam, Reanimator’s claws
Plasmancer60Plasmic lance
Plasmancer60Plasmic lance
Plasmancer60Plasmic lance
Royal Warden50Close combat weapon, Relic gauss blaster
Royal Warden50Close combat weapon, Relic gauss blaster
Royal Warden50Close combat weapon, Relic gauss blaster
Canoptek Tomb Crawlers50Claws, Transdimensional isolator, Twin gauss reaper
Canoptek Tomb Crawlers50Claws, Transdimensional isolator, Twin gauss reaper
Canoptek Tomb Crawlers50Claws, Transdimensional isolator, Twin gauss reaper
Canoptek Scarab Swarms40Feeder mandibles
Canoptek Scarab Swarms40Feeder mandibles
Cursed Legion + Skyshroud Spearhead1,985 pts
Purge the Foe
4th place · record 6-1 · 100 players · 7 rounds · 31 Jul
6 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
C’tan Shard of the Void Dragon345Canoptek tail blades, Spear of the Void Dragon, Voltaic storm
C’tan Shard of the Deceiver330Cosmic insanity, Golden fists
Nekrosor Ammentar185Blade tail and whip coils, Enmitic disintegrators, Nullstone Field Generator (Aura), Unmaker Gauntlet
Other Units
Lokhust Destroyers + Deepening Madness190Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Lokhust Destroyers + Deepening Madness170Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Ophydian Destroyers145Ophydian hyperphase weapons, Plasmacyte
Night Scythe125Armoured bulk, Twin tesla destructor
Skorpekh Lord90Enmitic annihilator, Flensing claw, Hyperphase harvester
Skorpekh Destroyers85Plasmacyte, Skorpekh hyperphase weapons
Canoptek Reanimator75Atomiser beam, Reanimator’s claws
Lokhust Lord70Lord’s blade, Resurrection Orb
Plasmancer + Murdermind70Plasmic lance
Flayed Ones55Flayer claws
Canoptek Tomb Crawlers50Claws, Twin gauss reaper

Team events

51.6%win rate in team events3,117 games796 lists from 678 players+0.0 points against individual eventsgoing first 1.5 points better

Necrons won 51.6% of 3,117 team event games, against 51.5% of 12,262 in individual events: 0.0 points higher (not clear). It makes up 6.6% of team event games and 6.0% of individual event games.

Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 35% Take and Hold 30% Priority Assets 14% Reconnaissance 14% Disruption 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments share win rate Skyshroud Spearhead 38% Cursed Legion 35% Awakened Dynasty 21% Hand of the Dynasty 13% Starshatter Arsenal 11% The Phaeron's Armoury 7% Hypercrypt Legion 7% Obeisance Phalanx 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups win rate against Astra Militarum Aeldari Genestealer Cult Drukhari Dark Angels Adeptus Mechanicus Orks Adepta Sororitas 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events. Dashed: team events win rate.

Milestones

5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after, with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.

July balance & rules update (22 July)

50.5%win rate, rank 12 of 283,138 games886 lists from 796 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.07x entry sharegoing first 1.4 points better

Necrons won 53.4% of 2,960 games in the 28 days before and 50.5% of 3,138 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 6.6% to 6.2%.

2 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Cursed Legion (28% to 40%) and Skyshroud Spearhead (26% to 35%).

One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Doomsday Ark (32% to 20%).

One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Deepening Madness (7% to 16%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 4% 0-20 18% 20-40 28% 40-60 34% 60-80 16% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 41% Purge the Foe 33% Priority Assets 13% Reconnaissance 10% Disruption 3% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Cursed Legion 40% Skyshroud Spearhead 35% Awakened Dynasty 25% Hand of the Dynasty 20% The Phaeron's Armoury 7% Starshatter Arsenal 7% Hypercrypt Legion 6% Obeisance Phalanx 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Ophydian Destroyers 63% Nekrosor Ammentar 61% C’tan Shard of the Void Dragon 59% Skorpekh Destroyers 57% Skorpekh Lord 57% Technomancer 51% Canoptek Wraiths 50% C’tan Shard of the Nightbringer 50% Lokhust Heavy Destroyers 48% Lokhust Lord 48% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Aeldari Death Guard Astra Militarum Drukhari Adeptus Custodes Chaos Daemons Dark Angels Orks 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Cursed Legion 28% 40% +12 +5.3
Unit Doomsday Ark 32% 20% -11 -5.5
Detachment Skyshroud Spearhead 26% 35% +9 +4.3
Enhancement Deepening Madness 7% 16% +9 +5.7

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Cursed Legion + Skyshroud Spearhead1,985 pts
Purge the Foe
4th place · record 6-1 · 100 players · 7 rounds · 31 Jul
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
C’tan Shard of the Void Dragon345Canoptek tail blades, Spear of the Void Dragon, Voltaic storm
C’tan Shard of the Deceiver330Cosmic insanity, Golden fists
Nekrosor Ammentar185Blade tail and whip coils, Enmitic disintegrators, Nullstone Field Generator (Aura), Unmaker Gauntlet
Other Units
Lokhust Destroyers + Deepening Madness190Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Lokhust Destroyers + Deepening Madness170Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Ophydian Destroyers145Ophydian hyperphase weapons, Plasmacyte
Night Scythe125Armoured bulk, Twin tesla destructor
Skorpekh Lord90Enmitic annihilator, Flensing claw, Hyperphase harvester
Skorpekh Destroyers85Plasmacyte, Skorpekh hyperphase weapons
Canoptek Reanimator75Atomiser beam, Reanimator’s claws
Lokhust Lord70Lord’s blade, Resurrection Orb
Plasmancer + Murdermind70Plasmic lance
Flayed Ones55Flayer claws
Canoptek Tomb Crawlers50Claws, Twin gauss reaper
Cursed Legion + Skyshroud Spearhead2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 46 players · 5 rounds · 24 Jul
4 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
C’tan Shard of the Void Dragon345Canoptek tail blades, Spear of the Void Dragon, Voltaic storm
Nekrosor Ammentar185Blade tail and whip coils, Enmitic disintegrators, Nullstone Field Generator (Aura), Unmaker Gauntlet
Imotekh The Stormlord100
Other Units
Lokhust Destroyers + Deepening Madness190Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Lokhust Destroyers + Deepening Madness190Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Lokhust Destroyers + Deepening Madness180Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Lokhust Heavy Destroyers160Close combat weapon, Enmitic exterminator
Chronomancer + Murdermind85
Skorpekh Destroyers85Plasmacyte, Skorpekh hyperphase weapons
Ophydian Destroyers80Ophydian hyperphase weapons, Plasmacyte
Canoptek Reanimator75Atomiser beam, Reanimator’s claws
Canoptek Reanimator75Atomiser beam, Reanimator’s claws
Lokhust Lord70Lord’s blade, Resurrection Orb
Lokhust Lord70Lord’s blade, Resurrection Orb
Lokhust Lord70Lord’s blade, Resurrection Orb
Canoptek Scarab Swarms40Feeder mandibles

August balance & rules update (26 August)

53.8%win rate, rank 5 of 271,104 games297 lists from 291 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.26x entry sharegoing first 3.7 points worse

Necrons won 50.0% of 3,125 games in the 28 days before and 53.6% of 3,603 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 6.3% to 6.1%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 0% 0-20 19% 20-40 26% 40-60 37% 60-80 19% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 40% Take and Hold 34% Priority Assets 16% Reconnaissance 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Cursed Legion 45% Skyshroud Spearhead 40% Awakened Dynasty 20% Hand of the Dynasty 16% Starshatter Arsenal 9% The Phaeron's Armoury 8% Hypercrypt Legion 6% Obeisance Phalanx 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Ophydian Destroyers 65% C’tan Shard of the Void Dragon 63% Nekrosor Ammentar 60% Skorpekh Destroyers 59% Skorpekh Lord 59% Lokhust Heavy Destroyers 52% C’tan Shard of the Nightbringer 52% Lokhust Lord 51% Flayed Ones 49% Imotekh The Stormlord 48% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Emperor's Children Chaos Space Marines Adeptus Custodes Blood Angels T'au Empire World Eaters Chaos Daemons Orks 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Cursed Legion + Skyshroud Spearhead2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 71 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
14 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
6× Lokhust Destroyers + Deepening Madness190with Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Nekrosor Ammentar185
6× Lokhust Destroyers + Deepening Madness170with Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
3× Lokhust Heavy Destroyers160
10× Lychguard160
6× Ophydian Destroyers145
Night Scythe125
Overlord + Destroyer Ankh110
Imotekh The Stormlord100
Lokhust Lord + Mark of the Nekrosor90
Skorpekh Lord90
3× Skorpekh Destroyers85
3× Ophydian Destroyers80
Canoptek Reanimator75
Lokhust Lord + Mark of the Nekrosor70
Plasmancer + Murdermind70
5× Flayed Ones55
3× Canoptek Scarab Swarms40
Cursed Legion + Skyshroud Spearhead1,985 pts
Won the event · record 4-1 · 19 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
C’tan Shard of the Nightbringer360
C’tan Shard of the Void Dragon345
Nekrosor Ammentar185
Other Units
Canoptek Wraiths220
Lokhust Destroyers175
Lokhust Destroyers175
Lychguard160Hyperphase sword and dispersion shield
Overlord with translocation shroud110
Technomancer95
Lokhust Lord80Lord's blade
Lokhust Lord80Lord's blade

Orks codex (5 September)

53.0%win rate, rank 7 of 283,984 games1,137 lists from 970 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.16x entry sharegoing first 3.4 points better

Necrons won 51.5% of 3,421 games in the 28 days before and 53.0% of 3,984 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 6.3% to 6.1%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 2% 0-20 10% 20-40 30% 40-60 35% 60-80 22% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 38% Take and Hold 34% Priority Assets 15% Reconnaissance 10% Disruption 3% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Cursed Legion 41% Skyshroud Spearhead 40% Awakened Dynasty 22% Hand of the Dynasty 15% Starshatter Arsenal 8% Hypercrypt Legion 8% The Phaeron's Armoury 7% Obeisance Phalanx 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Ophydian Destroyers 65% Nekrosor Ammentar 61% C’tan Shard of the Void Dragon 61% Skorpekh Lord 57% Skorpekh Destroyers 56% Lokhust Lord 53% Imotekh The Stormlord 51% C’tan Shard of the Nightbringer 49% Lokhust Destroyers 49% Flayed Ones 49% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Genestealer Cult Astra Militarum Death Guard Drukhari Adeptus Custodes Orks Dark Angels Adepta Sororitas 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Awakened Dynasty2,000 pts
Take and Hold
2nd place · record 6-1 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Nekrosor Ammentar185Blade tail and whip coils, Enmitic disintegrators, Nullstone Field Generator (Aura), Unmaker Gauntlet
Illuminor Szeras175Eldritch Lance, Impaling legs
Hexmark Destroyer75Close combat weapon, Enmitic disintegrator pistols
Battleline
Necron Warriors190Close combat weapon, Gauss flayer
Immortals140Close combat weapon, Gauss blaster
Other Units
Canoptek Wraiths220Particle caster, Vicious claws
Lokhust Destroyers175Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Skorpekh Lord + Enaegic Dermal Bond125Enmitic annihilator, Flensing claw, Hyperphase harvester
Imotekh The Stormlord100
Orikan The Diviner90
Overlord90Resurrection Orb, Voidscythe
Skorpekh Destroyers85Skorpekh hyperphase weapons
Technomancer80Staff of light
Lokhust Lord80Resurrection Orb, Staff of light
Canoptek Reanimator75Atomiser beam, Reanimator’s claws
Plasmancer60Plasmic lance
Flayed Ones55Flayer claws
Cursed Legion + Skyshroud Spearhead1,995 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 72 players · 5 rounds · 26 Sep
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Nekrosor Ammentar185Blade tail and whip coils, Enmitic disintegrators, Unmaker gauntlet
Imotekh The Stormlord100
Hexmark Destroyer75Close combat weapon, Enmitic disintegrator pistols
Other Units
Lokhust Destroyers195Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Lokhust Destroyers195Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Skorpekh Destroyers170Skorpekh hyperphase weapons, Plasmacyte
Skorpekh Destroyers170Skorpekh hyperphase weapons, Plasmacyte
Lychguard160Dispersion shield, Hyperphase sword
Overlord110Voidscythe
Skorpekh Lord95Enmitic annihilator, Flensing claw, Hyperphase harvester
Technomancer95Staff of light
Skorpekh Lord95Enmitic annihilator, Flensing claw, Hyperphase harvester
Lokhust Lord80Lord's blade
Lokhust Lord80Lord's blade
Canoptek Reanimator75Atomiser beam, Reanimator's claws
Cryptothralls60Scouring eye, Scythed limbs
Flayed Ones55Flayer claws

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)

46.5%win rate, rank 20 of 271,374 games412 lists from 393 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.00x entry sharegoing first 4.6 points better

Necrons won 53.0% of 3,984 games in the 28 days before and 48.4% of 2,823 in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 6.1% to 5.6%. The change of -4.6 points is clear.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 4% 0-20 20% 20-40 24% 40-60 32% 60-80 19% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 35% Take and Hold 34% Reconnaissance 15% Priority Assets 13% Disruption 3% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Cursed Legion 34% Skyshroud Spearhead 34% Awakened Dynasty 25% Hand of the Dynasty 19% Starshatter Arsenal 10% Hypercrypt Legion 8% Canoptek Court 5% The Phaeron's Armoury 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Ophydian Destroyers 65% C’tan Shard of the Void Dragon 59% Nekrosor Ammentar 56% Skorpekh Destroyers 53% Skorpekh Lord 52% Flayed Ones 50% C’tan Shard of the Nightbringer 49% Technomancer 47% Lokhust Lord 46% Imotekh The Stormlord 46% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Emperor's Children Adeptus Custodes Orks T'au Empire Death Guard Aeldari Space Marines Chaos Daemons 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Cryptek Conclave + Hand of the Dynasty2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 6-0 · 94 players · 6 rounds · 10 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Nekrosor Ammentar185Blade tail and whip coils, Enmitic disintegrators, Nullstone Field Generator (Aura), Unmaker Gauntlet
Illuminor Szeras175Eldritch Lance, Impaling legs
Battleline
Immortals + Tools of Dominion155Close combat weapon, Gauss blaster
Immortals + Tools of Dominion155Close combat weapon, Gauss blaster
Immortals + Tools of Dominion155Close combat weapon, Gauss blaster
Other Units
Triarch Praetorians160Particle caster, Voidblade
Triarch Praetorians160Particle caster, Voidblade
Tomb Blades140Close combat weapon, Nebuloscope, Particle beamer
Ophydian Destroyers80Ophydian hyperphase weapons, Plasmacyte
Canoptek Reanimator75Atomiser beam, Reanimator’s claws
Plasmancer60Plasmic lance
Plasmancer60Plasmic lance
Plasmancer60Plasmic lance
Royal Warden50Close combat weapon, Relic gauss blaster
Royal Warden50Close combat weapon, Relic gauss blaster
Royal Warden50Close combat weapon, Relic gauss blaster
Canoptek Tomb Crawlers50Claws, Transdimensional isolator, Twin gauss reaper
Canoptek Tomb Crawlers50Claws, Transdimensional isolator, Twin gauss reaper
Canoptek Tomb Crawlers50Claws, Transdimensional isolator, Twin gauss reaper
Canoptek Scarab Swarms40Feeder mandibles
Canoptek Scarab Swarms40Feeder mandibles
Cursed Legion + Skyshroud Spearhead2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
2nd place · record 5-1 · 94 players · 6 rounds · 10 Oct
Show list
Battleline
10× Necron Warriors85
Other Units
C’tan Shard of the Nightbringer360
C’tan Shard of the Deceiver330
Nekrosor Ammentar185
6× Lokhust Destroyers175
Skorpekh Lord + Mark of the Nekrosor115
Overlord + Destroyer Ankh110
Skorpekh Lord + Mark of the Nekrosor95
Chronomancer + Murdermind85
3× Skorpekh Destroyers85
3× Skorpekh Destroyers85
Lokhust Lord80
3× Ophydian Destroyers80
Hexmark Destroyer75
5× Flayed Ones55

Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)

50.3%win rate, rank 10 of 271,449 games435 lists from 422 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.04x entry sharegoing first 3.5 points worse

Necrons won 50.3% of 3,586 games in the 28 days before and 50.3% of 1,449 in the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 6.0% to 5.4%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 1% 0-20 19% 20-40 28% 40-60 31% 60-80 21% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 38% Take and Hold 33% Priority Assets 16% Reconnaissance 10% Disruption 3% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Skyshroud Spearhead 33% Cursed Legion 33% Hand of the Dynasty 22% Awakened Dynasty 21% Starshatter Arsenal 13% Canoptek Court 7% Hypercrypt Legion 7% The Phaeron's Armoury 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate C’tan Shard of the Void Dragon 65% Ophydian Destroyers 63% Nekrosor Ammentar 53% C’tan Shard of the Nightbringer 51% Skorpekh Destroyers 49% Flayed Ones 48% Canoptek Wraiths 47% Skorpekh Lord 47% Canoptek Reanimator 47% Technomancer 46% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Astra Militarum Chaos Space Marines Chaos Knights Orks Adeptus Custodes Adepta Sororitas Dark Angels Emperor's Children 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Cursed Legion + Skyshroud Spearhead1,990 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 74 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
6 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Nekrosor Ammentar195Blade tail and whip coils, Enmitic disintegrators, Nullstone Field Generator (Aura), Unmaker Gauntlet
Other Units
Lokhust Destroyers + Deepening Madness210Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Lokhust Destroyers + Deepening Madness210Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Lokhust Heavy Destroyers165Close combat weapon, Enmitic exterminator
Lychguard160Dispersion Shield, Hyperphase sword
Ophydian Destroyers150Ophydian hyperphase weapons, Plasmacyte
Night Scythe125Armoured bulk, Twin tesla destructor
Overlord + Destroyer Ankh110Resurrection Orb, Voidscythe
Skorpekh Lord95Enmitic annihilator, Flensing claw, Hyperphase harvester
Skorpekh Destroyers85Plasmacyte, Skorpekh hyperphase weapons
Lokhust Lord80Lord’s blade, Resurrection Orb
Lokhust Lord80Lord’s blade, Resurrection Orb
Ophydian Destroyers80Ophydian hyperphase weapons, Plasmacyte
Plasmancer + Murdermind75Plasmic lance
Canoptek Reanimator75Atomiser beam, Reanimator’s claws
Flayed Ones55Flayer claws
Canoptek Scarab Swarms40Feeder mandibles
Cursed Legion + Skyshroud Spearhead2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 40 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
Show list
Characters
C’tan Shard of the Deceiver330Cosmic insanity, Golden fists
Nekrosor Ammentar195Blade tail and whip coils, Enmitic disintegrators, Nullstone Field Generator (Aura), Unmaker Gauntlet
Imotekh The Stormlord100
Other Units
Lokhust Destroyers190Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Lokhust Destroyers190Close combat weapon, Gauss cannon
Lokhust Heavy Destroyers165Close combat weapon, Gauss destructor
Lychguard160Dispersion Shield, Hyperphase sword
Night Scythe125Armoured bulk, Twin tesla destructor
Overlord with translocation shroud110
Lokhust Lord80Lord’s blade, Resurrection Orb
Lokhust Lord80Lord’s blade, Resurrection Orb
Plasmancer + Murdermind75Plasmic lance
Canoptek Reanimator75Atomiser beam, Reanimator’s claws
Tomb Blades70Close combat weapon, Shadowloom, Shieldvanes, Twin tesla carbine
Flayed Ones55Flayer claws

Emperor's Children

Whole edition

51.4%win rate, rank 9 of 2810,578 games2,976 lists from 1,761 playerstop-10% finishes 1.03x entry sharegoing first 2.4 points better52.3% adjusted for player skill

The Euphoric Crown enhancement gives a win rate 9.2 points below other lists with the same detachment. Spectacle of Slaughter lists have a win rate 4.6 points below the faction average and make up 21% of the faction's lists. Emperor's Children won 51.4% of 10,578 games, rank 9 of 28. Lucius the Eternal went from 43% to 78% of the faction's lists between the first period and the last 28 days. The pairing Frenzied Host + Peerless Bladesmen has a win rate 9.8 points below the faction average (86 lists).

Enhancements

25 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Possessed Blade (17% of lists). One enhancement differs from the other enhancements in its detachment: Euphoric Crown (9.2 points below the rest).

Enhancement Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Possessed Blade 502 17% -0.0 ± 1.0 -0.0
Pledge of Unholy Fortune 411 14% -2.5 ± 1.2 -2.1
Distortion 336 11% +2.8 ± 1.4 +1.9
Warp Walker 334 11% -1.8 ± 1.2 -1.4
Pledge of Eternal Servitude 290 10% -3.4 ± 1.5 -2.3
Beguiling Grotesquerie 268 9% -0.2 ± 1.7 -0.1
Eager Patrons 259 9% +3.3 ± 1.6 +2.1
Pledge of Mortal Pain 222 7% -4.7 ± 1.6 -3.0
Euphoric Crown 131 4% -9.2 ± 2.2 -4.3

Detachments

10 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 5 of them account for 80% of picks. The most played is Coterie of the Conceited (36% of lists), and 56% of lists run more than one detachment. 4 detachments differ from the faction average. Best: Carnival of Excess (2.8 points above the faction average, 22% of lists). Weakest: Spectacle of Slaughter (4.6 points below the faction average, 21% of lists).

Detachment Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z P1 P2 P3 P4
Coterie of the Conceited 1,057 36% +0.6 ± 0.7 +0.8 38% 33% 35% 36%
Frenzied Host 834 28% +0.4 ± 0.8 +0.5 24% 37% 30% 15%
Carnival of Excess 646 22% +2.8 ± 0.9 +3.2 22% 30% 22% 7%
Spectacle of Slaughter 613 21% -4.6 ± 1.0 -4.5 23% 16% 22% 23%
Court of the Phoenician 601 20% -3.4 ± 1.0 -3.2 18% 19% 19% 28%
Peerless Bladesmen 445 15% -4.5 ± 1.2 -3.6 14% 13% 16% 17%
Elegant Brutes 168 6% -0.5 ± 1.8 -0.2 4% 8% 6% 4%
Mercurial Host 110 4% -4.7 ± 2.5 -1.9 3% 3% 4% 7%
Slaanesh's Chosen 61 2% +3.5 ± 2.7 +1.3 0% 0% 0% 11%
Rapid Evisceration 31 1% -7.2 ± 5.8 -1.3 1% 1% 1% 0%

Combinations

14 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common is Carnival of Excess + Frenzied Host (421 lists, 14%). Best: Carnival of Excess + Frenzied Host (7.2 points above the faction average). Weakest: Frenzied Host + Peerless Bladesmen (9.8 points below the faction average).

Combination Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Carnival of Excess + Frenzied Host 421 14% +7.2 ± 1.2 +5.9
Court of the Phoenician + Frenzied Host 294 10% -4.1 ± 1.6 -2.6
Peerless Bladesmen + Spectacle of Slaughter 259 9% -6.2 ± 1.7 -3.6
Court of the Phoenician + Spectacle of Slaughter 183 6% -7.0 ± 2.0 -3.4
Carnival of Excess + Elegant Brutes 90 3% +8.5 ± 2.9 +2.9
Frenzied Host + Peerless Bladesmen 86 3% -9.8 ± 3.1 -3.2
Mercurial Host + Spectacle of Slaughter 68 2% -5.2 ± 3.6 -1.4
Carnival of Excess + Spectacle of Slaughter 54 2% -3.6 ± 4.2 -0.9

Pick-rate shifts

Type Name First period Prior 28 days Last 28 days Change vs first period (pp) Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Unit Lucius the Eternal 43% 63% 78% +34 +14
Unit Maulerfiend 29% 52% 59% +30 +7
Unit Noise Marines 70% 45% 41% -29 -5
Unit Daemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings 68% 46% 47% -20 +1
Unit Chaos Spawn 35% 58% 54% +19 -4
Unit Flawless Blades 69% 74% 87% +18 +13
Unit Daemonettes 22% 21% 7% -15 -14
Detachment Frenzied Host 24% 29% 14% -9 -15
Detachment Carnival of Excess 22% 22% 8% -14 -14
Enhancement Possessed Blade 17% 18% 5% -12 -13
Enhancement Pledge of Unholy Fortune 22% 10% 10% -12 -0
Detachment Slaanesh's Chosen 0% 0% 11% +11 +11

Matchups

Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Black Templars (61.7% over 154 games) and the worst is Orks (45.4% over 721).

Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Black Templars 154 61.7% 53.8% to 69.0% 56.1% +5.6 favourable
Chaos Space Marines 481 60.5% 56.1% to 64.8% 54.2% +6.3 favourable
Drukhari 278 59.5% 53.7% to 65.1% 54.4% +5.1 favourable
Genestealer Cult 158 59.5% 51.7% to 66.8% 53.8% +5.7 favourable
Aeldari 296 59.5% 53.8% to 64.9% 55.7% +3.7 favourable
Astra Militarum 381 59.4% 54.4% to 64.3% 60.8% -1.3 favourable
Chaos Knights 269 58.2% 52.2% to 63.9% 54.5% +3.7 favourable
T'au Empire 549 47.2% 43.0% to 51.4% 49.6% -2.4
Thousand Sons 388 46.8% 41.9% to 51.8% 51.0% -4.2
Necrons 699 46.5% 42.8% to 50.2% 49.9% -3.4
Adeptus Custodes 709 45.7% 42.1% to 49.4% 47.1% -1.4 unfavourable
Orks 721 45.4% 41.8% to 49.0% 46.1% -0.7 unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 15 more rows
Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Imperial Agents 44 58.0% 43.3% to 71.3% 57.7% +0.3
Blood Angels 276 55.6% 49.7% to 61.4% 55.3% +0.3
Adepta Sororitas 263 55.1% 49.1% to 61.0% 51.0% +4.1
Grey Knights 285 54.2% 48.4% to 59.9% 54.2% -0.0
Space Wolves 255 53.3% 47.2% to 59.4% 52.3% +1.0
World Eaters 438 53.2% 48.5% to 57.8% 51.4% +1.8
Space Marines 870 52.0% 48.6% to 55.3% 52.7% -0.7
Tyranids 650 51.9% 48.1% to 55.7% 51.5% +0.5
Death Guard 420 50.5% 45.7% to 55.2% 53.1% -2.7
Imperial Knights 405 50.0% 45.2% to 54.8% 52.8% -2.8
Deathwatch 76 49.3% 38.4% to 60.3% 47.6% +1.8
Dark Angels 497 48.7% 44.3% to 53.1% 47.9% +0.8
Chaos Daemons 408 48.4% 43.6% to 53.2% 46.6% +1.8
Adeptus Mechanicus 262 47.5% 41.6% to 53.6% 50.8% -3.3
Leagues of Votann 346 47.3% 42.1% to 52.5% 49.5% -2.3

Over time

Share of games per week (%) 3 4 5 2.7 4.4 Jul Aug Sep Oct Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval 40 50 60 45.9 50.4 Jul Aug Sep Oct
Period Lists Share of all lists Games Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul 642 4.1% 2,206 52.6%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug 868 4.7% 3,059 53.3%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct 950 4.1% 3,529 50.6%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct 516 3.4% 1,784 48.3%

Around each milestone, 28 days before and after

Milestone Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul) 1,857 / 2,480 53.0% to 54.1% +1.1 +0.7 4.1% to 4.9%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug) 2,441 / 2,487 53.1% to 50.5% -2.6 -1.8 5.0% to 4.2%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep) 2,572 / 2,773 52.4% to 50.3% -2.1 -1.5 4.7% to 4.3%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct) 2,773 / 1,784 50.3% to 48.3% -2.0 -1.3 4.3% to 3.6%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data 2,478 / 823 50.0% to 48.9% -1.1 -0.5 4.2% to 3.1%

Results brackets

328 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 30 won X, 112 won X-1 and 186 won X-2, from 739 entries.

Share of players by share of games won 4% 0-20 16% 20-40 30% 40-60 30% 60-80 20% 80-100 line = all factions Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2 4.4% X 5.3% X-1 4.4% X-2 dashed = share of entries, 4.3%
Bracket tables
Tier Lists Share of tier Share of entries Ratio z
X 30 4.4% 4.3% 1.02x +0.1
X-1 112 5.3% 4.3% 1.22x +2.1
X-2 186 4.4% 4.3% 1.01x +0.2
X to X-2 328 4.6% 4.3% 1.07x +1.3
Share of games won Players Share of players All players
0 to 20% 24 3.8% 4.1%
20 to 40% 102 16.1% 17.2%
40 to 60% 187 29.6% 32.2%
60 to 80% 191 30.2% 30.1%
80 to 100% 128 20.3% 16.4%

Units

A typical list contains 9 distinct units. 9 units appear in at least half of all lists and 15 in at least 10%. The most common is Infractors (94% of lists). One datasheet appeared in under 1% of lists: Heldrake.

Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -2 0 +2 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -5 0 +5 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Spectacle of Slaughter Court of the Phoenician Carnival of Excess

Most played units

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Infractors 2,788 93.7% -0.5 ± 0.5 -1.1
Lord Exultant 2,782 93.5% -0.5 ± 0.5 -1.0
Tormentors 2,726 91.6% -0.6 ± 0.5 -1.2
Defiler 2,524 84.8% +0.1 ± 0.5 +0.2
Chaos Rhino 2,250 75.6% +0.0 ± 0.5 +0.1
Flawless Blades 2,168 72.8% -0.1 ± 0.5 -0.2
Lucius the Eternal 1,778 59.7% +0.1 ± 0.6 +0.2
Noise Marines 1,582 53.2% -1.8 ± 0.6 -2.8
Daemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings 1,557 52.3% -1.2 ± 0.6 -1.9
Chaos Spawn 1,423 47.8% +0.5 ± 0.6 +0.7
Maulerfiend 1,267 42.6% +1.0 ± 0.7 +1.5
Fulgrim 825 27.7% -2.0 ± 0.9 -2.2

Force Disposition

Force Disposition table
Disposition Share of games Games Win rate Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Priority Assets 42% 3,933 52.3% +0.9 ± 0.8
Purge the Foe 23% 2,147 49.2% -2.2 ± 1.1
Reconnaissance 16% 1,539 52.6% +1.4 ± 1.3
Disruption 14% 1,277 50.4% -1.0 ± 1.6
Take and Hold 5% 436 53.7% +2.5 ± 2.5

Each extra 1.5 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 2.1 points lower; the average list has 9.0. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, milestone moves, unit effects, Force Disposition, results brackets and terrain layout.

Representative lists

Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties, and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.

Carnival of Excess + Frenzied Host2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 7-0 · 100 players · 7 rounds · 31 Jul
Won an event of 100+ players
149 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Keeper of Secrets255Living whip, Phantasmagoria, Snapping claws, Witstealer sword
Battleline
Daemonettes90Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Daemonettes90Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Daemonettes90Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Daemonettes90Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Infractors85Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Infractors85Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Tormentors80Plasma pistol, Power sword, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Tormentors80Plasma pistol, Power sword, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino70Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler370Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Defiler330Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Lord Exultant + Possessed Blade105Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash, Plasma pistol
Lord Exultant + Possessed Blade100Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash, Plasma pistol
Lord Exultant + Possessed Blade80Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash, Plasma pistol
Coterie of the Conceited1,995 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-1 · 42 players · 6 rounds · 10 Oct
904 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Daemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings205Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Battleline
Infractors95Plasma pistol, Rapture lash, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Infractors95Plasma pistol, Rapture lash, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Tormentors85Plasma pistol, Rapture lash, Boltgun, Close Combat Weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino70Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler380Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Defiler330Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Maulerfiend120Magma cutters, Maulerfiend fists
Lord Exultant95Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Lord Exultant95Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Flawless Blades95Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Flawless Blades95Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Flawless Blades95Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Chaos Spawn70Hideous mutations
Chaos Spawn70Hideous mutations

Team events

51.3%win rate in team events2,310 games561 lists from 495 players-0.1 points against individual eventsgoing first 1.4 points better

Emperor's Children won 51.3% of 2,310 team event games, against 51.4% of 8,268 in individual events: 0.1 points lower (not clear). It makes up 4.9% of team event games and 4.1% of individual event games.

Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 32% Disruption 29% Reconnaissance 19% Purge the Foe 18% Take and Hold 2% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments share win rate Frenzied Host 36% Carnival of Excess 30% Coterie of the Conceited 28% Court of the Phoenician 22% Spectacle of Slaughter 20% Peerless Bladesmen 12% Elegant Brutes 3% Mercurial Host 3% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups win rate against Space Wolves Chaos Knights Genestealer Cult Drukhari Adepta Sororitas Adeptus Custodes Orks Dark Angels 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events. Dashed: team events win rate.

Milestones

5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after, with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.

July balance & rules update (22 July)

54.1%win rate, rank 3 of 282,480 games686 lists from 586 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.09x entry sharegoing first 1.1 points better

Emperor's Children won 53.0% of 1,857 games in the 28 days before and 54.1% of 2,480 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.1% to 4.9%.

3 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Daemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings (67% to 52%), Lucius the Eternal (44% to 58%) and Noise Marines (69% to 56%).

Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 5% 0-20 19% 20-40 22% 40-60 29% 60-80 26% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 42% Reconnaissance 19% Disruption 17% Purge the Foe 16% Take and Hold 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Frenzied Host 37% Coterie of the Conceited 33% Carnival of Excess 29% Court of the Phoenician 20% Spectacle of Slaughter 16% Peerless Bladesmen 14% Elegant Brutes 8% Mercurial Host 3% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Infractors 97% Lord Exultant 96% Tormentors 92% Defiler 86% Chaos Rhino 78% Flawless Blades 65% Lucius the Eternal 58% Noise Marines 56% Daemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings 52% Chaos Spawn 44% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Chaos Knights Blood Angels Adepta Sororitas Genestealer Cult Necrons Orks Leagues of Votann Space Wolves 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Daemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings 67% 52% -15 -5.3
Unit Lucius the Eternal 44% 58% +14 +4.7
Unit Noise Marines 69% 56% -13 -4.6

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Carnival of Excess + Frenzied Host2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 7-0 · 100 players · 7 rounds · 31 Jul
Won an event of 100+ players
70 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Keeper of Secrets255Living whip, Phantasmagoria, Snapping claws, Witstealer sword
Battleline
Daemonettes90Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Daemonettes90Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Daemonettes90Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Daemonettes90Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Infractors85Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Infractors85Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Tormentors80Plasma pistol, Power sword, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Tormentors80Plasma pistol, Power sword, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino70Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler370Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Defiler330Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Lord Exultant + Possessed Blade105Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash, Plasma pistol
Lord Exultant + Possessed Blade100Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash, Plasma pistol
Lord Exultant + Possessed Blade80Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash, Plasma pistol
Carnival of Excess + Elegant Brutes1,995 pts
Take and Hold
3rd place · record 5-0-1 · 135 players · 6 rounds · 8 Aug
28 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Daemonettes90Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Daemonettes90Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Daemonettes90Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Daemonettes90Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Infractors85Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Infractors85Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Tormentors80Plasma pistol, Power sword, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino70Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler370Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Defiler330Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Chaos Terminators + Frenzied Ferocity160Accursed weapon, Combi-weapon, Chainfist, Power fist, Reaper autocannon
Chaos Terminators + Frenzied Ferocity160Accursed weapon, Combi-weapon, Chainfist, Power fist, Reaper autocannon
Lord Exultant + Possessed Blade110Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Lord Exultant + Possessed Blade105Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Seekers80Lashing tongue, Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos

August balance & rules update (26 August)

51.7%win rate, rank 8 of 27756 games192 lists from 189 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.97x entry sharegoing first 3.1 points better

Emperor's Children won 53.1% of 2,441 games in the 28 days before and 50.5% of 2,487 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 5.0% to 4.2%.

One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Maulerfiend (35% to 47%).

Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 6% 0-20 8% 20-40 44% 40-60 33% 60-80 8% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 49% Reconnaissance 18% Disruption 15% Purge the Foe 13% Take and Hold 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Frenzied Host 38% Coterie of the Conceited 33% Carnival of Excess 24% Peerless Bladesmen 19% Spectacle of Slaughter 18% Court of the Phoenician 17% Elegant Brutes 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Infractors 97% Lord Exultant 96% Tormentors 94% Defiler 89% Flawless Blades 75% Chaos Rhino 73% Lucius the Eternal 63% Chaos Spawn 53% Noise Marines 53% Daemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings 49% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Space Marines T'au Empire Adeptus Custodes Tyranids Necrons 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Maulerfiend 35% 47% +11 +4.2

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Court of the Phoenician + Spectacle of Slaughter1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
17th place · record 7-1 · 198 players · 8 rounds · 28 Aug
48 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Daemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings205Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Battleline
Infractors160Plasma pistol, Rapture lash, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Tormentors80Plasma pistol, Rapture lash, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino70Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Chaos Rhino70Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler330Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Flawless Blades + Eager Patrons210Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Flawless Blades + Eager Patrons205Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Noise Marines145Close combat weapon, Sonic blaster, Blastmaster
Lucius the Eternal120Blade of the Laer, Lash of Torment
Maulerfiend120Magma cutters, Maulerfiend fists
Maulerfiend120Magma cutters, Maulerfiend fists
Lord Exultant90Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Lord Kakophonist70Close combat weapon, Screamer pistol
Carnival of Excess + Frenzied Host2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 3-0 · 24 players · 3 rounds · 29 Aug
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Sorcerer55Agonising Energies, Bolt pistol, Force weapon
Battleline
Daemonettes100Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Infractors85Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Infractors85Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Tormentors80Plasma pistol, Power sword, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino70Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Combi-weapon, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler380Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Defiler330Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Lord Exultant + Possessed Blade125Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Lucius the Eternal120Blade of the Laer, Lash of Torment
Maulerfiend120Magma cutters, Maulerfiend fists
Flawless Blades95Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Lord Exultant + Possessed Blade90Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Fiends90Barbed tail and dissecting claws
Fiends90Barbed tail and dissecting claws
Seekers85Lashing tongue, Slashing claws

Orks codex (5 September)

50.3%win rate, rank 11 of 282,773 games758 lists from 650 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.08x entry sharegoing first 4.2 points better

Emperor's Children won 52.4% of 2,572 games in the 28 days before and 50.3% of 2,773 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.7% to 4.3%.

One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Carnival of Excess (31% to 21%).

3 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Maulerfiend (35% to 52%), Chaos Spawn (46% to 58%) and Daemonettes (31% to 20%).

Nothing clear turned up in enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 16% 20-40 34% 40-60 26% 60-80 21% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 47% Reconnaissance 20% Disruption 15% Purge the Foe 14% Take and Hold 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Coterie of the Conceited 35% Frenzied Host 28% Spectacle of Slaughter 23% Carnival of Excess 21% Court of the Phoenician 20% Peerless Bladesmen 15% Elegant Brutes 5% Mercurial Host 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Infractors 94% Lord Exultant 93% Tormentors 92% Defiler 84% Chaos Rhino 78% Flawless Blades 74% Lucius the Eternal 64% Chaos Spawn 58% Maulerfiend 52% Daemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings 46% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Drukhari Aeldari Chaos Space Marines Genestealer Cult Orks Adeptus Custodes Adeptus Mechanicus T'au Empire 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Maulerfiend 35% 52% +17 +6.7
Unit Chaos Spawn 46% 58% +11 +4.3
Unit Daemonettes 31% 20% -11 -4.9
Detachment Carnival of Excess 31% 21% -10 -4.2

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Coterie of the Conceited1,995 pts
Priority Assets
98th place · record 3-0 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
310 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Infractors85Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Infractors85Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Infractors85Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Tormentors80Plasma pistol, Rapture lash, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Tormentors80Plasma pistol, Rapture lash, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino70Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Combi-weapon, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler380Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Defiler330Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Lucius the Eternal120Blade of the Laer, Lash of Torment
Maulerfiend120Magma cutters, Maulerfiend fists
Maulerfiend120Magma cutters, Maulerfiend fists
Flawless Blades95Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Flawless Blades95Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Lord Exultant90Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Lord Exultant90Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Chaos Spawn70Hideous mutations
Carnival of Excess + Elegant Brutes2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 38 players · 5 rounds · 19 Sep
7 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Shalaxi Helbane315Lash of Slaanesh, Pavane of Slaanesh, Snapping claws, Soulpiercer
Keeper of Secrets265Living whip, Phantasmagoria, Snapping claws, Witstealer sword
Daemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings205Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Battleline
Daemonettes100Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Infractors85Plasma pistol, Rapture lash, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Tormentors80Plasma pistol, Power sword, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Tormentors80Plasma pistol, Power sword, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Other Units
Defiler330Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Lord Exultant + Possessed Blade125Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Maulerfiend120Magma cutters, Maulerfiend fists
Maulerfiend120Magma cutters, Maulerfiend fists
Fiends90Barbed tail and dissecting claws
Seekers85Lashing tongue, Slashing claws, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)

47.8%win rate, rank 17 of 27961 games266 lists from 258 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.00x entry sharegoing first 0.1 points better

Emperor's Children won 50.3% of 2,773 games in the 28 days before and 48.3% of 1,784 in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 4.3% to 3.6%.

3 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Carnival of Excess (21% to 7%), Frenzied Host (28% to 15%) and Slaanesh's Chosen (0% to 11%).

4 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Lucius the Eternal (64% to 78%), Flawless Blades (74% to 88%) and Daemonettes (20% to 6%).

One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Possessed Blade (17% to 5%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 2% 0-20 25% 20-40 25% 40-60 29% 60-80 18% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 42% Purge the Foe 29% Reconnaissance 15% Disruption 13% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Coterie of the Conceited 37% Court of the Phoenician 26% Spectacle of Slaughter 22% Frenzied Host 18% Peerless Bladesmen 16% Carnival of Excess 10% Slaanesh's Chosen 9% Mercurial Host 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Lord Exultant 94% Infractors 93% Tormentors 91% Flawless Blades 86% Defiler 85% Chaos Rhino 76% Lucius the Eternal 74% Maulerfiend 59% Chaos Spawn 57% Daemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings 46% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Necrons Space Marines Death Guard Tyranids World Eaters Orks Dark Angels Adeptus Custodes 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Carnival of Excess 21% 7% -14 -6.7
Unit Lucius the Eternal 64% 78% +14 +5.3
Unit Flawless Blades 74% 88% +14 +6.0
Unit Daemonettes 20% 6% -13 -6.8
Detachment Frenzied Host 28% 15% -13 -5.6
Enhancement Possessed Blade 17% 5% -12 -6.6
Detachment Slaanesh's Chosen 0% 11% +11 +9.3
Unit Fiends 14% 5% -9 -5.3

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Coterie of the Conceited1,995 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-1 · 42 players · 6 rounds · 10 Oct
104 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Daemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings205Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Battleline
Infractors95Plasma pistol, Rapture lash, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Infractors95Plasma pistol, Rapture lash, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Tormentors85Plasma pistol, Rapture lash, Boltgun, Close Combat Weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino70Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler380Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Defiler330Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Maulerfiend120Magma cutters, Maulerfiend fists
Lord Exultant95Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Lord Exultant95Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Flawless Blades95Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Flawless Blades95Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Flawless Blades95Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Chaos Spawn70Hideous mutations
Chaos Spawn70Hideous mutations
Mercurial Host + Spectacle of Slaughter2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 31 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
36 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Infractors85Plasma pistol, Rapture lash, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Tormentors80Plasma pistol, Power sword, Boltgun, Close Combat Weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Tormentors80Plasma pistol, Power sword, Boltgun, Close Combat Weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino70Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Chaos Rhino70Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler330Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Chaos Land Raider220Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher, Soulshatter lascannon, Twin heavy bolter
Flawless Blades + Beguiling Grotesquerie205Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Flawless Blades + Beguiling Grotesquerie205Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Noise Marines145Close Combat Weapon, Sonic blaster, Blastmaster
Lucius the Eternal120Blade of the Laer, Lash of Torment
Maulerfiend120Magma cutters, Maulerfiend fists
Lord Exultant90Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Lord Kakophonist + Steeped in Suffering90Power sword, Screamer pistol
Lord Exultant90Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash

Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)

48.9%win rate, rank 14 of 27823 games250 lists from 236 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.94x entry sharegoing first 6.0 points better

Emperor's Children won 50.0% of 2,478 games in the 28 days before and 48.9% of 823 in the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 4.2% to 3.1%.

3 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Frenzied Host (24% to 11%), Slaanesh's Chosen (3% to 14%) and Carnival of Excess (15% to 4%).

One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Daemonettes (13% to 4%).

Nothing clear turned up in enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 2% 0-20 11% 20-40 38% 40-60 31% 60-80 18% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 42% Purge the Foe 38% Reconnaissance 8% Disruption 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Coterie of the Conceited 36% Court of the Phoenician 30% Spectacle of Slaughter 24% Peerless Bladesmen 19% Slaanesh's Chosen 14% Frenzied Host 11% Mercurial Host 5% Elegant Brutes 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Tormentors 93% Flawless Blades 91% Lord Exultant 89% Infractors 87% Defiler 84% Lucius the Eternal 82% Chaos Rhino 74% Maulerfiend 60% Chaos Spawn 52% Daemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings 48% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Necrons Orks World Eaters Space Marines Adeptus Custodes Tyranids 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Frenzied Host 24% 11% -13 -4.4
Detachment Slaanesh's Chosen 3% 14% +11 +5.9
Detachment Carnival of Excess 15% 4% -10 -4.3
Unit Daemonettes 13% 4% -9 -4.0

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Court of the Phoenician + Frenzied Host1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
4th place · record 4-1 · 74 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
112 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Daemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings205Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Battleline
Infractors175Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Infractors175Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Infractors175Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Tormentors85Plasma pistol, Power sword, Boltgun, Close Combat Weapon, Icon of Excess, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino70Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Chaos Rhino70Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler330Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing Claws
Flawless Blades190Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Lucius the Eternal130Blade of the Laer, Lash of Torment
Lord Exultant105Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Flawless Blades95Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Lord Exultant95Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Lord Exultant95Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Peerless Bladesmen + Slaanesh's Chosen1,995 pts
Priority Assets
3rd place · record 4-1 · 43 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Daemon Prince of Slaanesh with Wings205Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Daemon Prince of Slaanesh + Faultless Opportunist180Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Battleline
Infractors95Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Infractors95Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Infractors95Plasma pistol, Power sword, Bolt pistol, Duelling sabre, Icon of Excess
Other Units
Defiler330Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Hades lascannon, Shearing Claws
Flawless Blades190Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Flawless Blades190Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Flawless Blades190Blissblade, Bolt pistol
Lucius the Eternal130Blade of the Laer, Lash of Torment
Lord Exultant105Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Lord Exultant95Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash
Lord Exultant95Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Phoenix power spear, Rapture lash

Adeptus Mechanicus

Whole edition

50.6%win rate, rank 10 of 285,802 games1,603 lists from 945 playerstop-10% finishes 1.01x entry sharegoing first 2.9 points better50.8% adjusted for player skill

Haloscreed Battle Clade lists have a win rate 10.8 points below the faction average and make up 10% of the faction's lists. The pairing Cohort Cybernetica + Eradication Cohort has a win rate 9.9 points above the faction average (166 lists). Adeptus Mechanicus won 50.6% of 5,802 games, rank 10 of 28. Cohort Cybernetica went from 25% to 77% of the faction's lists between the first period and the last 28 days. Kataphron Breachers is in 16% of lists, and lists with it have a win rate 5.0 points below comparable lists.

Detachments

10 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 4 of them account for 80% of picks. The most played is Lords of the Forge (61% of lists), and 74% of lists run more than one detachment. 2 detachments differ from the faction average. Best: Cohort Cybernetica (3.0 points above the faction average, 39% of lists). Weakest: Haloscreed Battle Clade (10.8 points below the faction average, 10% of lists).

Detachment Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z P1 P2 P3 P4
Lords of the Forge 974 61% +0.6 ± 0.8 +0.8 63% 72% 76% 27%
Cohort Cybernetica 622 39% +3.0 ± 1.0 +3.1 25% 22% 30% 79%
Rad-zone Corps 349 22% +0.3 ± 1.3 +0.2 20% 32% 28% 3%
Eradication Cohort 262 16% +2.7 ± 1.5 +1.8 9% 6% 6% 46%
Skitarii Hunter Cohort 246 15% -3.3 ± 1.7 -1.9 20% 16% 18% 7%
Haloscreed Battle Clade 165 10% -10.8 ± 1.8 -6.1 12% 15% 8% 7%
Cohort Acquisitus 50 3% -6.5 ± 3.4 -1.9 3% 2% 3% 4%
Luminen Auto-Choir 33 2% -10.1 ± 4.2 -2.4 2% 2% 2% 2%
Explorator Maniple 31 2% -5.5 ± 4.2 -1.3 2% 2% 0% 3%
Data-psalm Conclave 16 1% -0.9 ± 6.2 -0.2 2% 1% 1% 1%

Combinations

7 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common is Cohort Cybernetica + Lords of the Forge (376 lists, 23%). Best: Cohort Cybernetica + Eradication Cohort (9.9 points above the faction average).

Combination Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Cohort Cybernetica + Lords of the Forge 376 23% +3.7 ± 1.4 +2.7
Lords of the Forge + Rad-zone Corps 316 20% +2.0 ± 1.5 +1.3
Lords of the Forge + Skitarii Hunter Cohort 180 11% -0.8 ± 2.3 -0.3
Cohort Cybernetica + Eradication Cohort 166 10% +9.9 ± 2.2 +4.5
Cohort Acquisitus + Skitarii Hunter Cohort 17 1% -8.6 ± 5.5 -1.6
Explorator Maniple + Lords of the Forge 16 1% -12.0 ± 6.0 -2.0
Cohort Cybernetica + Skitarii Hunter Cohort 16 1% -1.3 ± 7.5 -0.2

Over time

Share of games per week (%) 2 2.5 2.8 2.0 Jul Aug Sep Oct Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval 40 50 60 Codex: Space Marines (11th Edi 53.5 47.5 Jul Aug Sep Oct
Period Lists Share of all lists Games Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul 299 1.9% 1,056 45.8%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug 404 2.2% 1,481 50.3%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct 517 2.2% 1,911 50.0%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct 383 2.5% 1,354 55.4%

Codex: Space Marines was followed by a change of +5.8 points in win rate, measured over the 28 days either side.

Around each milestone, 28 days before and after

Milestone Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul) 894 / 1,199 45.5% to 51.3% +5.8 +2.6 2.0% to 2.4%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug) 1,103 / 1,289 49.2% to 49.5% +0.2 +0.1 2.2% to 2.2%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep) 1,222 / 1,528 49.2% to 49.6% +0.4 +0.2 2.2% to 2.3%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct) 1,528 / 1,354 49.6% to 55.4% +5.8 +3.1 2.3% to 2.7%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data 1,446 / 759 51.7% to 56.9% +5.2 +2.3 2.4% to 2.8%

Units

A typical list contains 12 distinct units. 11 units appear in at least half of all lists and 27 in at least 10%. The most common is Skitarii Rangers (91% of lists). 4 datasheets appeared in under 1% of lists: Archaeopter Stratoraptor, Archaeopter Transvector, Knight Errant, Sydonian Dragoons With Radium Jezzails.

Of 32 units in 40 or more lists, 1 has a clear effect on results (0 positive, 1 negative). Weakest: Kataphron Breachers (5.0 points below comparable lists, 16% of lists). Kataphron Breachers is in at least 15% of lists but has a win rate below it.

Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -5 -2.5 0 +2.5 +5 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Kataphron Breachers Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -10 -5 0 +5 +10 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Haloscreed Battle Clade Cohort Cybernetica

Most played units

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Skitarii Rangers 1,466 91.5% -0.3 ± 0.6 -0.5
Belisarius Cawl 1,400 87.3% -0.2 ± 0.6 -0.4
Ironstrider Ballistarii 1,147 71.6% -0.5 ± 0.7 -0.8
Sicarian Infiltrators 1,145 71.4% -0.1 ± 0.7 -0.2
Thulia Ghuld 1,137 70.9% +0.4 ± 0.7 +0.6
Servitor Battleclade 984 61.4% +0.9 ± 0.7 +1.2
Skorpius Disintegrator 975 60.8% -0.2 ± 0.8 -0.3
Tech-priest Enginseer 880 54.9% -0.1 ± 0.8 -0.1
Onager Dunecrawler 870 54.3% -1.3 ± 0.8 -1.6
Kastelan Robots 845 52.7% -1.2 ± 0.8 -1.4
Cybernetica Datasmith 842 52.5% -1.1 ± 0.8 -1.4
Skitarii Vanguard 801 50.0% -1.5 ± 0.9 -1.7

Other units with a clear effect

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Kataphron Breachers 262 16.3% -5.0 ± 1.6 -3.2

Enhancements

18 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Necromechanic (34% of lists). One enhancement differs from the other enhancements in its detachment: Belicosa-class Capacitor Vanes (12.6 points below the rest).

Enhancement Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Necromechanic 549 34% +0.5 ± 1.0 +0.5
Vingh's Wafers of Dynamism 335 21% -0.7 ± 1.3 -0.5
TL-4ø9 318 20% -0.1 ± 1.4 -0.1
Peerless Eradicator 244 15% -0.4 ± 1.5 -0.3
Radial Suffusion 234 15% -2.9 ± 1.6 -1.8
Martial Signatum Amplificator 216 13% -0.4 ± 1.7 -0.2
Cantic Thrallnet 142 9% -1.4 ± 2.2 -0.6
Sanctified Ordnance 83 5% -0.9 ± 2.4 -0.4
Belicosa-class Capacitor Vanes 42 3% -12.6 ± 3.9 -3.2

Pick-rate shifts

Type Name First period Prior 28 days Last 28 days Change vs first period (pp) Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Detachment Cohort Cybernetica 25% 30% 77% +52 +47
Detachment Lords of the Forge 63% 77% 29% -34 -48
Enhancement Necromechanic 24% 28% 66% +42 +38
Unit Cybernetica Datasmith 41% 48% 82% +41 +34
Unit Kastelan Robots 42% 48% 82% +40 +34
Detachment Eradication Cohort 9% 5% 45% +35 +40
Enhancement Martial Signatum Amplificator 6% 2% 42% +36 +39
Unit Servitor Battleclade 56% 75% 44% -12 -31
Unit Tech-priest Manipulus 42% 50% 22% -20 -28
Unit Tech-priest Enginseer 46% 52% 73% +27 +22
Unit Onager Dunecrawler 48% 48% 71% +23 +24
Detachment Rad-zone Corps 20% 27% 4% -16 -23

Matchups

Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Astra Militarum (64.4% over 177 games) and the worst is Chaos Daemons (39.9% over 212).

Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Astra Militarum 177 64.4% 57.1% to 71.1% 60.0% +4.4 favourable
Blood Angels 174 55.2% 47.8% to 62.4% 54.6% +0.6
Leagues of Votann 217 55.1% 48.4% to 61.5% 48.7% +6.3
Drukhari 130 55.0% 46.4% to 63.3% 53.6% +1.4
Thousand Sons 205 54.4% 47.6% to 61.1% 50.2% +4.2
Necrons 343 47.7% 42.4% to 52.9% 49.1% -1.4
Grey Knights 148 47.0% 39.1% to 55.0% 53.5% -6.5
Black Templars 88 46.6% 36.5% to 56.9% 55.3% -8.7
T'au Empire 302 45.0% 39.5% to 50.7% 48.8% -3.8
Chaos Daemons 212 39.9% 33.5% to 46.6% 45.8% -6.0 unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 17 more rows
Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Death Guard 251 54.2% 48.0% to 60.2% 52.4% +1.8
World Eaters 240 53.5% 47.2% to 59.7% 50.6% +2.9
Imperial Agents 16 53.1% 30.6% to 74.5% 56.9% -3.8
Adepta Sororitas 147 53.1% 45.0% to 60.9% 50.3% +2.8
Chaos Space Marines 274 52.9% 47.0% to 58.7% 53.4% -0.5
Genestealer Cult 92 52.7% 42.6% to 62.6% 53.0% -0.3
Emperor's Children 262 52.5% 46.4% to 58.4% 49.2% +3.3
Deathwatch 44 52.3% 37.9% to 66.2% 46.8% +5.5
Chaos Knights 134 52.2% 43.8% to 60.5% 53.7% -1.4
Space Marines 461 50.4% 45.9% to 55.0% 51.9% -1.5
Aeldari 186 50.3% 43.2% to 57.4% 55.0% -4.7
Imperial Knights 201 50.0% 43.2% to 56.8% 52.0% -2.0
Space Wolves 149 49.7% 41.7% to 57.6% 51.5% -1.9
Dark Angels 266 48.9% 42.9% to 54.9% 47.2% +1.7
Adeptus Custodes 354 48.4% 43.3% to 53.6% 46.4% +2.1
Orks 390 47.9% 43.0% to 52.9% 45.3% +2.7
Tyranids 339 47.9% 42.7% to 53.2% 50.7% -2.7

Results brackets

172 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 22 won X, 61 won X-1 and 89 won X-2, from 420 entries.

Share of players by share of games won 5% 0-20 19% 20-40 30% 40-60 27% 60-80 19% 80-100 line = all factions Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2 3.2% X 2.9% X-1 2.1% X-2 dashed = share of entries, 2.5%
Bracket tables
Tier Lists Share of tier Share of entries Ratio z
X 22 3.2% 2.5% 1.31x +1.3
X-1 61 2.9% 2.5% 1.17x +1.2
X-2 89 2.1% 2.5% 0.85x -1.5
X to X-2 172 2.4% 2.5% 0.99x -0.1
Share of games won Players Share of players All players
0 to 20% 18 4.8% 4.1%
20 to 40% 71 19.1% 17.2%
40 to 60% 113 30.4% 32.2%
60 to 80% 101 27.2% 30.1%
80 to 100% 69 18.5% 16.4%

Force Disposition

Force Disposition table
Disposition Share of games Games Win rate Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Priority Assets 58% 2,998 51.4% +0.9 ± 1.0
Take and Hold 22% 1,119 51.9% +1.4 ± 1.7
Purge the Foe 10% 525 52.3% +1.5 ± 2.6
Reconnaissance 8% 410 43.2% -7.5 ± 2.6
Disruption 2% 112 48.7% n/a

Each extra 2.2 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 4.9 points lower; the average list has 12.0. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, Force Disposition, results brackets and terrain layout.

Representative lists

Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties, and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.

Cohort Cybernetica + Eradication Cohort2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 8-0 · 143 players · 8 rounds · 23 Oct
Won an event of 100+ players
107 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Belisarius Cawl220Arc scourge, Cawl's Omnissian axe, Mechadendrite hive, Solar atomiser
Thulia Ghuld180Jericho-class conversion resonator, Rod of the War Forge
Tech-priest Enginseer75
Battleline
Skitarii Rangers85Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Skitarii Rangers85Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Other Units
Kastelan Robots300Heavy phosphor blaster, Twin Kastelan fist
Ironstrider Ballistarii250Ironstrider Ballistarius (Twin cognis autocannon), Ironstrider feet, Twin cognis autocannon
Skorpius Disintegrator170Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Skorpius Disintegrator170Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Onager Dunecrawler150Broad spectrum data-tether, Cognis heavy stubber, Dunecrawler legs, Twin Onager heavy phosphor blaster
Pteraxii Skystalkers75Flechette blaster, Taser goad, Close combat weapon, Flechette carbine
Pteraxii Skystalkers75Flechette blaster, Taser goad, Close combat weapon, Flechette carbine
Sicarian Infiltrators75Flechette blaster, Taser goad
Serberys Sulphurhounds55Cavalry arc maul, Clawed limbs, Mechanicus pistol, Sulphur breath, Phosphor blast carbine, Phosphor pistol
Cybernetica Datasmith + Martial Signatum Amplificator35Mechanicus pistol, Power fist
Lords of the Forge + Skitarii Hunter Cohort2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 8-0 · 190 players · 8 rounds · 14 Aug
Won an event of 100+ players
60 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Belisarius Cawl220Arc scourge, Cawl’s Omnissian axe, Mechadendrite hive, Solar atomiser
Thulia Ghuld180Jericho‑class conversion resonator, Rod of the War Forge
Battleline
Skitarii Vanguard85Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Radium carbine, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Skitarii Vanguard85Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Radium carbine, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Dedicated Transports
Skorpius Dunerider75Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber array
Skorpius Dunerider75Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber array
Other Units
Ironstrider Ballistarii250Ironstrider feet, Twin cognis autocannon
Skorpius Disintegrator170Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Skorpius Disintegrator170Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Inquisitor Draxus110Dirgesinger, Power fist, Psychic Tempest
Tech-priest Manipulus90
Pteraxii Skystalkers80Flechette blaster, Taser goad, Close combat weapon, Flechette carbine
Pteraxii Skystalkers80Flechette blaster, Taser goad, Close combat weapon, Flechette carbine
Sicarian Infiltrators75Flechette blaster, Taser goad
Servitor Battleclade65Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Servitor Battleclade65Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Servitor Battleclade65Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Skitarii Marshal + Cantic Thrallnet60Control stave, Mechanicus pistol

Team events

50.6%win rate in team events1,096 games270 lists from 242 players+0.1 points against individual eventsgoing first 3.3 points better

Adeptus Mechanicus won 50.6% of 1,096 team event games, against 50.5% of 4,706 in individual events: 0.1 points higher (not clear). It makes up 2.3% of team event games and 2.3% of individual event games.

Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 55% Take and Hold 16% Reconnaissance 14% Purge the Foe 9% Disruption 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments share win rate Lords of the Forge 61% Cohort Cybernetica 37% Skitarii Hunter Cohort 20% Rad-zone Corps 19% Eradication Cohort 13% Haloscreed Battle Clade 9% Cohort Acquisitus 4% Luminen Auto-Choir 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups win rate against Chaos Knights Thousand Sons Chaos Space Marines Leagues of Votann Adeptus Custodes Dark Angels Drukhari Aeldari 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events. Dashed: team events win rate.

Milestones

5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after, with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.

July balance & rules update (22 July)

51.3%win rate, rank 11 of 281,199 games323 lists from 276 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.90x entry sharegoing first 1.4 points worse

Adeptus Mechanicus won 45.5% of 894 games in the 28 days before and 51.3% of 1,199 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.0% to 2.4%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 22% 20-40 32% 40-60 27% 60-80 16% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 68% Take and Hold 15% Reconnaissance 8% Purge the Foe 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Lords of the Forge 72% Rad-zone Corps 32% Cohort Cybernetica 23% Skitarii Hunter Cohort 16% Haloscreed Battle Clade 14% Eradication Cohort 7% Luminen Auto-Choir 2% Explorator Maniple 2% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Belisarius Cawl 92% Skitarii Rangers 91% Servitor Battleclade 71% Ironstrider Ballistarii 70% Thulia Ghuld 69% Sicarian Infiltrators 69% Tech-priest Manipulus 57% Skorpius Disintegrator 56% Onager Dunecrawler 50% Skitarii Vanguard 50% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against World Eaters Thousand Sons Imperial Knights Space Marines Orks T'au Empire Necrons Chaos Daemons 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Lords of the Forge + Skitarii Hunter Cohort2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 8-0 · 190 players · 8 rounds · 14 Aug
Won an event of 100+ players
9 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Belisarius Cawl220Arc scourge, Cawl’s Omnissian axe, Mechadendrite hive, Solar atomiser
Thulia Ghuld180Jericho‑class conversion resonator, Rod of the War Forge
Battleline
Skitarii Vanguard85Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Radium carbine, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Skitarii Vanguard85Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Radium carbine, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Dedicated Transports
Skorpius Dunerider75Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber array
Skorpius Dunerider75Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber array
Other Units
Ironstrider Ballistarii250Ironstrider feet, Twin cognis autocannon
Skorpius Disintegrator170Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Skorpius Disintegrator170Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Inquisitor Draxus110Dirgesinger, Power fist, Psychic Tempest
Tech-priest Manipulus90
Pteraxii Skystalkers80Flechette blaster, Taser goad, Close combat weapon, Flechette carbine
Pteraxii Skystalkers80Flechette blaster, Taser goad, Close combat weapon, Flechette carbine
Sicarian Infiltrators75Flechette blaster, Taser goad
Servitor Battleclade65Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Servitor Battleclade65Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Servitor Battleclade65Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Skitarii Marshal + Cantic Thrallnet60Control stave, Mechanicus pistol
Cohort Cybernetica + Lords of the Forge2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 39 players · 5 rounds · 1 Aug
17 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Belisarius Cawl220Arc scourge, Cawl’s Omnissian axe, Mechadendrite hive, Solar atomiser
Thulia Ghuld180Jericho‑class conversion resonator, Rod of the War Forge
Tech-priest Enginseer75
Battleline
Skitarii Rangers85Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Mechanicus pistol, Arc rifle, Galvanic rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver ...
Skitarii Rangers85Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Mechanicus pistol, Arc rifle, Galvanic rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver ...
Other Units
Kastelan Robots320Incendine combustor, Twin Kastelan fist
Ironstrider Ballistarii250Ironstrider feet, Twin cognis autocannon
Skorpius Disintegrator170Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Skorpius Disintegrator170Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Onager Dunecrawler155Broad spectrum data-tether, Cognis heavy stubber, Dunecrawler legs, Twin Onager heavy phosphor blaster
Servitor Battleclade65Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Servitor Battleclade65Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Servitor Battleclade65Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Cybernetica Datasmith + Vingh's Wafers of Dynamism50Mechanicus pistol, Power fist
Technoarcheologist45Mechanicus pistol, Servo-arc claw

August balance & rules update (26 August)

51.6%win rate, rank 9 of 27383 games101 lists from 96 playersgoing first 0.8 points worse

Adeptus Mechanicus won 49.2% of 1,103 games in the 28 days before and 49.5% of 1,289 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.2% to 2.2%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 71% Take and Hold 14% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Lords of the Forge 75% Rad-zone Corps 31% Cohort Cybernetica 27% Skitarii Hunter Cohort 17% Haloscreed Battle Clade 10% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Belisarius Cawl 93% Skitarii Rangers 89% Thulia Ghuld 75% Sicarian Infiltrators 71% Ironstrider Ballistarii 65% Servitor Battleclade 64% Skorpius Disintegrator 62% Tech-priest Manipulus 59% Skitarii Vanguard 51% Skitarii Marshal 50% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Cohort Cybernetica + Lords of the Forge2,000 pts
Take and Hold
3rd place · record 4-1 · 32 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
8 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Belisarius Cawl220Arc scourge, Cawl’s Omnissian axe, Mechadendrite hive, Solar atomiser
Thulia Ghuld180Jericho‑class conversion resonator, Rod of the War Forge
Tech-priest Enginseer85
Battleline
Skitarii Rangers85Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle
Other Units
Kastelan Robots330Heavy phosphor blaster, Twin Kastelan fist, Kastelan fist, Kastelan phosphor blaster
Kastelan Robots300Heavy phosphor blaster, Twin Kastelan fist, Kastelan fist, Kastelan phosphor blaster
Skorpius Disintegrator170Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Skorpius Disintegrator170Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Sicarian Ruststalkers160Transonic razor and chordclaw
Sicarian Ruststalkers85Transonic razor and chordclaw
Sicarian Ruststalkers75Transonic razor and chordclaw
Servitor Battleclade65Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Cybernetica Datasmith + Vingh's Wafers of Dynamism50Mechanicus pistol, Power fist
Cybernetica Datasmith + Vingh's Wafers of Dynamism25Mechanicus pistol, Power fist
Lords of the Forge + Rad-zone Corps2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 3-0 · 24 players · 3 rounds · 29 Aug
Show list
Characters
Belisarius Cawl220Arc scourge, Cawl’s Omnissian axe, Mechadendrite hive, Solar atomiser
Thulia Ghuld180Jericho‑class conversion resonator, Rod of the War Forge
Sydonian Skatros + Radial Suffusion75Mechanicus pistol, Radium jezzail, Sydonian feet
Battleline
Skitarii Rangers85Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Skitarii Rangers85Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Skitarii Rangers85Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Skitarii Rangers85Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Skitarii Vanguard85Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Radium carbine, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Dedicated Transports
Skorpius Dunerider75Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber array
Other Units
Kataphron Breachers310Arc claw, Heavy arc rifle
Sicarian Ruststalkers160Transonic blades and chordclaw, Transonic blades
Corpuscarii Electro-priests130
Hastarii Fusiliers115Hastarii phosphor blaster, Neutron fusil, Power weapon, Close combat weapon
Tech-priest Dominus85
Tech-priest Manipulus75
Sicarian Infiltrators75Flechette blaster, Taser goad
Sicarian Infiltrators75Flechette blaster, Taser goad

Orks codex (5 September)

49.6%win rate, rank 14 of 281,528 games416 lists from 347 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.07x entry sharegoing first 4.2 points better

Adeptus Mechanicus won 49.2% of 1,222 games in the 28 days before and 49.6% of 1,528 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.2% to 2.3%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 25% 20-40 30% 40-60 22% 60-80 21% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 68% Take and Hold 16% Reconnaissance 8% Purge the Foe 5% Disruption 2% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Lords of the Forge 76% Cohort Cybernetica 31% Rad-zone Corps 27% Skitarii Hunter Cohort 19% Haloscreed Battle Clade 8% Eradication Cohort 6% Cohort Acquisitus 3% Luminen Auto-Choir 2% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Belisarius Cawl 93% Skitarii Rangers 90% Thulia Ghuld 74% Servitor Battleclade 74% Sicarian Infiltrators 73% Ironstrider Ballistarii 73% Skitarii Vanguard 61% Skorpius Disintegrator 58% Tech-priest Enginseer 51% Skitarii Marshal 51% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Thousand Sons Emperor's Children Leagues of Votann Astra Militarum Blood Angels World Eaters Space Wolves Adeptus Custodes 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Cohort Cybernetica + Lords of the Forge2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 50 players · 5 rounds · 5 Sep
14 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Belisarius Cawl220Arc scourge, Cawl’s Omnissian axe, Mechadendrite hive, Solar atomiser
Thulia Ghuld180Jericho‑class conversion resonator, Rod of the War Forge
Battleline
Skitarii Rangers85Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Mechanicus pistol, Arc rifle, Galvanic rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver ...
Skitarii Vanguard85Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Mechanicus pistol, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Radium carbine ...
Other Units
Kastelan Robots330Incendine combustor, Twin Kastelan fist, Close combat weapon, Heavy phosphor blaster, Twin Kastelan phosphor blaster
Kastelan Robots300Incendine combustor, Twin Kastelan fist, Close combat weapon, Heavy phosphor blaster, Twin Kastelan phosphor blaster
Ironstrider Ballistarii250Ironstrider feet, Twin cognis autocannon
Skorpius Disintegrator170Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Skorpius Disintegrator170Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Servitor Battleclade65Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Servitor Battleclade65Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Cybernetica Datasmith + Vingh's Wafers of Dynamism50Mechanicus pistol, Power fist
Cybernetica Datasmith + Vingh's Wafers of Dynamism30Mechanicus pistol, Power fist
Lords of the Forge + Rad-zone Corps2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 44 players · 5 rounds · 26 Sep
9 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Belisarius Cawl220Arc scourge, Cawl’s Omnissian axe, Mechadendrite hive, Solar atomiser
Thulia Ghuld180Jericho‑class conversion resonator, Rod of the War Forge
Tech-priest Enginseer55
Battleline
Skitarii Vanguard85Close combat weapon, Radium carbine, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Skitarii Rangers85Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Skitarii Rangers85Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Dedicated Transports
Skorpius Dunerider75Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber array
Allied Units
Callidus Assassin100Neural shredder, Phase sword and poison blades
Other Units
Kastelan Robots300Heavy phosphor blaster, Twin Kastelan fist
Ironstrider Ballistarii250Ironstrider feet, Twin cognis autocannon
Skorpius Disintegrator170Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Onager Dunecrawler155Broad spectrum data-tether, Cognis heavy stubber, Dunecrawler legs, Eradication beamer
Tech-priest Manipulus90
Servitor Battleclade65Dataspikes, Mechanicus pistol, Heavy arc rifle, Heavy bolter, Servo-claw, Incendine igniter, Meltagun, Phosphor blaster
Cybernetica Datasmith + Vingh's Wafers of Dynamism50Mechanicus pistol, Power fist
Skitarii Marshal35Control stave, Mechanicus pistol

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)

53.4%win rate, rank 6 of 27595 games165 lists from 154 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.01x entry sharegoing first 5.3 points better

Adeptus Mechanicus won 49.6% of 1,528 games in the 28 days before and 55.4% of 1,354 in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 2.3% to 2.7%. The change of +5.8 points is clear.

5 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Lords of the Forge (76% to 27%), Cohort Cybernetica (31% to 79%) and Eradication Cohort (6% to 46%).

12 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Cybernetica Datasmith (48% to 84%), Kastelan Robots (49% to 84%) and Servitor Battleclade (74% to 42%).

7 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Martial Signatum Amplificator (3% to 43%), Necromechanic (28% to 68%) and TL-4ø9 (25% to 5%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 11% 0-20 14% 20-40 22% 40-60 33% 60-80 19% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 46% Take and Hold 31% Reconnaissance 11% Purge the Foe 10% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Cohort Cybernetica 73% Lords of the Forge 33% Eradication Cohort 32% Skitarii Hunter Cohort 13% Haloscreed Battle Clade 11% Rad-zone Corps 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Skitarii Rangers 96% Belisarius Cawl 80% Cybernetica Datasmith 76% Kastelan Robots 76% Ironstrider Ballistarii 75% Thulia Ghuld 73% Sicarian Infiltrators 72% Tech-priest Enginseer 72% Skorpius Disintegrator 71% Onager Dunecrawler 70% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Space Marines Orks Tyranids 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Lords of the Forge 76% 27% -50 -14.0
Detachment Cohort Cybernetica 31% 79% +48 +13.7
Detachment Eradication Cohort 6% 46% +41 +13.3
Enhancement Martial Signatum Amplificator 3% 43% +41 +13.8
Enhancement Necromechanic 28% 68% +40 +11.2
Unit Cybernetica Datasmith 48% 84% +36 +10.7
Unit Kastelan Robots 49% 84% +35 +10.5
Unit Servitor Battleclade 74% 42% -32 -9.1
All 24 shifts: 16 more rows
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Tech-priest Manipulus 49% 20% -29 -8.5
Unit Tech-priest Enginseer 51% 76% +25 +7.2
Detachment Rad-zone Corps 27% 3% -24 -9.4
Unit Onager Dunecrawler 49% 73% +24 +6.8
Unit Skorpius Dunerider 41% 20% -21 -6.5
Enhancement TL-4ø9 25% 5% -20 -7.8
Enhancement Peerless Eradicator 21% 2% -19 -8.3
Unit Skitarii Marshal 51% 34% -17 -4.9
Unit Kataphron Destroyers 27% 10% -17 -6.1
Unit Skitarii Vanguard 61% 44% -17 -4.7
Unit Belisarius Cawl 93% 77% -17 -6.6
Unit Skorpius Disintegrator 58% 74% +16 +4.8
Enhancement Vingh's Wafers of Dynamism 27% 12% -15 -5.4
Enhancement Radial Suffusion 17% 3% -15 -6.8
Detachment Skitarii Hunter Cohort 19% 7% -11 -4.7
Enhancement Cantic Thrallnet 13% 4% -9 -4.3

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Cohort Cybernetica + Eradication Cohort2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 30 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Belisarius Cawl220Arc scourge, Cawl’s Omnissian axe, Mechadendrite hive, Solar atomiser
Thulia Ghuld180Jericho‑class conversion resonator, Rod of the War Forge
Tech-priest Enginseer75
Battleline
Skitarii Rangers85Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Plasma caliver
Skitarii Vanguard85Close combat weapon, Radium carbine, Arc rifle, Plasma caliver
Skitarii Vanguard85Close combat weapon, Radium carbine, Arc rifle, Plasma caliver
Skitarii Vanguard85Close combat weapon, Radium carbine, Arc rifle, Plasma caliver
Other Units
Kastelan Robots300Heavy phosphor blaster, Kastelan fist, Kastelan phosphor blaster
Kataphron Destroyers200Close combat weapon, Cognis flamer, Heavy grav-cannon
Sicarian Infiltrators155Flechette blaster, Taser goad
Hastarii Exterminators100Eradication caster, Hastarii arc blaster, Power weapon, Close combat weapon
Hastarii Exterminators100Eradication caster, Hastarii arc blaster, Power weapon, Close combat weapon
Pteraxii Skystalkers75Flechette blaster, Taser goad, Close combat weapon, Flechette carbine
Sicarian Ruststalkers75Transonic blades and chordclaw, Transonic razor and chordclaw
Sicarian Ruststalkers75Transonic blades and chordclaw, Transonic razor and chordclaw
Skitarii Marshal35Control stave, Mechanicus pistol
Skitarii Marshal35Control stave, Mechanicus pistol
Cybernetica Datasmith + Martial Signatum Amplificator35Mechanicus pistol, Power fist
Cohort Cybernetica + Eradication Cohort2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 18 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
13 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Belisarius Cawl220Arc scourge, Cawl's Omnissian axe, Mechadendrite hive, Solar atomiser
Thulia Ghuld180Jericho-class conversion resonator, Rod of the War Forge
Tech-priest Enginseer75
Other Units
Kastelan Robots300Heavy phosphor blaster, Twin Kastelan fist
Ironstrider Ballistarii280Ironstrider Ballistarius (Twin cognis lascannon), Ironstrider feet, Twin cognis lascannon ...
Ironstrider Ballistarii250Ironstrider Ballistarius (Twin cognis lascannon), Ironstrider feet, Twin cognis lascannon ...
Skorpius Disintegrator170Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Skorpius Disintegrator170Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Skorpius Disintegrator170Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Onager Dunecrawler150Broad spectrum data-tether, Cognis heavy stubber, Dunecrawler legs, Twin Onager heavy phosphor blaster
Cybernetica Datasmith + Martial Signatum Amplificator35Mechanicus pistol, Power fist

Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)

56.9%win rate, rank 1 of 27759 games218 lists from 207 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.28x entry sharegoing first 2.7 points better

Adeptus Mechanicus won 51.7% of 1,446 games in the 28 days before and 56.9% of 759 in the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 2.4% to 2.8%.

5 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Eradication Cohort (17% to 58%), Lords of the Forge (58% to 22%) and Cohort Cybernetica (49% to 84%).

8 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Cybernetica Datasmith (61% to 90%), Kastelan Robots (61% to 89%) and Servitor Battleclade (65% to 38%).

5 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Martial Signatum Amplificator (15% to 53%), Necromechanic (43% to 72%) and TL-4ø9 (17% to 4%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 0% 0-20 13% 20-40 26% 40-60 31% 60-80 30% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 46% Priority Assets 26% Purge the Foe 24% Reconnaissance 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Cohort Cybernetica 84% Eradication Cohort 58% Lords of the Forge 22% Haloscreed Battle Clade 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Skitarii Rangers 94% Cybernetica Datasmith 90% Kastelan Robots 89% Thulia Ghuld 80% Tech-priest Enginseer 78% Skorpius Disintegrator 77% Ironstrider Ballistarii 76% Onager Dunecrawler 75% Belisarius Cawl 74% Sicarian Infiltrators 67% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Death Guard Orks Space Marines Adeptus Custodes Dark Angels Necrons 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Eradication Cohort 17% 58% +41 +10.4
Enhancement Martial Signatum Amplificator 15% 53% +38 +9.9
Detachment Lords of the Forge 58% 22% -36 -8.5
Detachment Cohort Cybernetica 49% 84% +35 +8.6
Enhancement Necromechanic 43% 72% +30 +7.1
Unit Cybernetica Datasmith 61% 90% +29 +7.6
Unit Kastelan Robots 61% 89% +29 +7.5
Unit Servitor Battleclade 65% 38% -27 -6.5
All 18 shifts: 10 more rows
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Tech-priest Manipulus 39% 16% -23 -6.0
Unit Skorpius Dunerider 35% 15% -21 -5.4
Unit Tech-priest Enginseer 60% 78% +18 +4.5
Detachment Rad-zone Corps 19% 1% -18 -6.3
Unit Kataphron Destroyers 23% 6% -17 -5.5
Enhancement TL-4ø9 17% 4% -14 -4.9
Unit Belisarius Cawl 88% 74% -14 -4.3
Enhancement Peerless Eradicator 14% 1% -12 -5.0
Detachment Skitarii Hunter Cohort 15% 3% -12 -4.4
Enhancement Radial Suffusion 12% 1% -11 -4.6

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Cohort Cybernetica + Eradication Cohort2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 8-0 · 143 players · 8 rounds · 23 Oct
Won an event of 100+ players
46 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Belisarius Cawl220Arc scourge, Cawl's Omnissian axe, Mechadendrite hive, Solar atomiser
Thulia Ghuld180Jericho-class conversion resonator, Rod of the War Forge
Tech-priest Enginseer75
Battleline
Skitarii Rangers85Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Skitarii Rangers85Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Other Units
Kastelan Robots300Heavy phosphor blaster, Twin Kastelan fist
Ironstrider Ballistarii250Ironstrider Ballistarius (Twin cognis autocannon), Ironstrider feet, Twin cognis autocannon
Skorpius Disintegrator170Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Skorpius Disintegrator170Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber, Disruptor missile launcher, Ferrumite cannon
Onager Dunecrawler150Broad spectrum data-tether, Cognis heavy stubber, Dunecrawler legs, Twin Onager heavy phosphor blaster
Pteraxii Skystalkers75Flechette blaster, Taser goad, Close combat weapon, Flechette carbine
Pteraxii Skystalkers75Flechette blaster, Taser goad, Close combat weapon, Flechette carbine
Sicarian Infiltrators75Flechette blaster, Taser goad
Serberys Sulphurhounds55Cavalry arc maul, Clawed limbs, Mechanicus pistol, Sulphur breath, Phosphor blast carbine, Phosphor pistol
Cybernetica Datasmith + Martial Signatum Amplificator35Mechanicus pistol, Power fist
Cohort Cybernetica1,995 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 4-1 · 241 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
Show list
Battleline
Skitarii Vanguard85Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Radium carbine, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Skitarii Rangers85Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Skitarii Rangers85Alpha combat weapon, Close combat weapon, Galvanic rifle, Arc rifle, Omnispex, Plasma caliver, Transuranic arquebus
Dedicated Transports
Skorpius Dunerider75Armoured hull, Cognis heavy stubber array
Other Units
Kastelan Robots300Heavy phosphor blaster, Kastelan fist, Kastelan phosphor blaster
Ironstrider Ballistarii250Ironstrider feet, Twin cognis autocannon
Ironstrider Ballistarii250Ironstrider feet, Twin cognis autocannon
Thulia Ghuld180Jericho‑class conversion resonator, Rod of the War Forge
Sydonian Dragoons With Taser Lances170
Onager Dunecrawler150Broad spectrum data-tether, Cognis heavy stubber, Dunecrawler legs, Twin Onager heavy phosphor blaster
Tech-priest Enginseer75
Sicarian Infiltrators75Flechette blaster, Taser goad
Sicarian Ruststalkers75Transonic blades and chordclaw, Transonic razor and chordclaw
Tech-priest Dominus60
Skitarii Marshal45Control stave, Mechanicus pistol
Cybernetica Datasmith35Mechanicus pistol, Power fist

Thousand Sons

Whole edition

50.3%win rate, rank 11 of 288,243 games2,335 lists from 1,401 playerstop-10% finishes 1.29x entry sharegoing first 5.8 points better50.6% adjusted for player skill

Thousand Sons fell from 56.9% in the first period (19 Jun to 21 Jul) to 40.3% in the latest (3 Oct to 25 Oct), one of 10 factions with a clear change over the period. The pairing Hexwarp Thrallband + Sekhetar Cohort has a win rate 14.1 points above the faction average (170 lists). The season figure is 50.3% (rank 11 of 28, 8,243 games), which overstates where it stands now. Hexwarp Thrallband went from 52% to 4% of the faction's lists between the first period and the last 28 days. Sekhetar Cohort lists have a win rate 6.6 points above the faction average and make up 17% of the faction's lists.

Over time

Its share of lists went from 4.2% to 2.1%.

Share of games per week (%) 2 3 4 1.7 3.6 Jul Aug Sep Oct Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval 30 40 50 60 Codex: Space Marines (11th Edi 43.3 56.9 Jul Aug Sep Oct
Period Lists Share of all lists Games Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul 653 4.2% 2,219 56.9%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug 652 3.5% 2,311 51.1%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct 719 3.1% 2,667 47.9%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct 311 2.1% 1,046 40.3%

July balance & rules update was followed by a change of -5.3 points and Codex: Space Marines was followed by a change of -7.3 points in win rate, measured over the 28 days either side.

Around each milestone, 28 days before and after

Milestone Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul) 1,928 / 1,824 56.8% to 51.5% -5.3 -3.3 4.3% to 3.6%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug) 1,808 / 1,902 51.4% to 48.4% -3.0 -1.8 3.7% to 3.2%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep) 1,971 / 2,003 49.4% to 47.6% -1.8 -1.1 3.6% to 3.1%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct) 2,003 / 1,046 47.6% to 40.3% -7.3 -3.8 3.1% to 2.1%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data 1,708 / 488 44.5% to 39.2% -5.3 -2.0 2.9% to 1.8%

Combinations

8 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common is Hexwarp Thrallband + Sekhetar Cohort (170 lists, 7%). Best: Hexwarp Thrallband + Sekhetar Cohort (14.1 points above the faction average).

Combination Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Hexwarp Thrallband + Sekhetar Cohort 170 7% +14.1 ± 1.9 +7.5
Sekhetar Cohort + Warpforged Cabal 156 7% +6.3 ± 2.1 +3.1
Hexwarp Thrallband + Ritual of Regeneration 127 5% -0.8 ± 2.4 -0.3
Changehost of Deceit + Ritual of Regeneration 106 5% -2.3 ± 2.4 -0.9
Ritual of Regeneration + Warpforged Cabal 88 4% -7.2 ± 2.6 -2.7
Ritual of Regeneration + Sekhetar Cohort + Servants of Change 41 2% +0.7 ± 5.1 +0.1
Changehost of Deceit + Sekhetar Cohort 26 1% +4.7 ± 4.3 +1.1
Ritual of Regeneration + Warpmeld Pact 20 1% -8.0 ± 6.2 -1.3

Detachments

9 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 5 of them account for 80% of picks. The most played is Grand Coven (39% of lists), and 33% of lists run more than one detachment. 2 detachments differ from the faction average. Best: Sekhetar Cohort (6.6 points above the faction average, 17% of lists).

Detachment Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z P1 P2 P3 P4
Grand Coven 919 39% -0.7 ± 0.8 -0.8 16% 48% 50% 45%
Ritual of Regeneration 428 18% -1.8 ± 1.2 -1.5 30% 13% 14% 15%
Hexwarp Thrallband 427 18% +4.4 ± 1.2 +3.7 52% 9% 3% 4%
Sekhetar Cohort 401 17% +6.6 ± 1.2 +5.5 32% 10% 12% 13%
Rubricae Phalanx 378 16% -3.1 ± 1.3 -2.3 7% 19% 21% 18%
Warpforged Cabal 280 12% +0.7 ± 1.4 +0.5 14% 11% 11% 14%
Changehost of Deceit 156 7% -0.9 ± 1.8 -0.5 3% 8% 8% 9%
Servants of Change 65 3% -0.6 ± 3.2 -0.2 1% 3% 4% 5%
Warpmeld Pact 28 1% -4.0 ± 5.1 -0.8 1% 1% 1% 3%

Units

A typical list contains 10 distinct units. 8 units appear in at least half of all lists and 20 in at least 10%. The most common is Rubric Marines (84% of lists). 3 datasheets appeared in under 1% of lists: Blue Horrors, Chaos Land Raider, Heldrake.

Of 31 units in 40 or more lists, 2 have a clear effect on results (1 positive, 1 negative). Best: Defiler (3.3 points above comparable lists, 30% of lists). Weakest: Mutalith Vortex Beast (3.2 points below comparable lists, 34% of lists). Mutalith Vortex Beast is in at least 15% of lists but has a win rate below it.

Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -5 -2.5 0 +2.5 +5 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Defiler Mutalith Vortex Beast Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -5 0 +5 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Sekhetar Cohort Hexwarp Thrallband

Most played units

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Rubric Marines 1,951 83.6% -0.6 ± 0.6 -1.0
Scarab Occult Terminators 1,749 74.9% -1.0 ± 0.6 -1.7
Sorcerer In Terminator Armour 1,717 73.5% -0.8 ± 0.6 -1.3
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows 1,424 61.0% -0.5 ± 0.7 -0.8
Sekhetar Robots 1,396 59.8% +1.3 ± 0.6 +2.1
Sorcerer 1,374 58.8% +1.1 ± 0.7 +1.6
Tzaangors 1,286 55.1% +0.2 ± 0.7 +0.3
Magnus The Red 1,245 53.3% +0.3 ± 0.7 +0.4
Daemon Prince of Tzeentch with Wings 1,094 46.9% -0.1 ± 0.8 -0.1
Tzaangor Enlightened 947 40.6% +2.3 ± 0.8 +2.9
Chaos Spawn 933 40.0% +1.3 ± 0.8 +1.6
Mutalith Vortex Beast 789 33.8% -3.2 ± 1.0 -3.3

Other units with a clear effect

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Defiler 695 29.8% +3.3 ± 0.9 +3.6

Pick-rate shifts

Type Name First period Prior 28 days Last 28 days Change vs first period (pp) Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Detachment Hexwarp Thrallband 52% 2% 4% -47 +2
Enhancement Empyric Onslaught 33% 2% 2% -31 +1
Detachment Grand Coven 16% 50% 44% +28 -6
Enhancement Umbralefic Crystal 15% 41% 37% +23 -4
Unit Sekhetar Robots 72% 54% 51% -21 -3
Detachment Sekhetar Cohort 32% 11% 13% -20 +1
Unit Chaos Rhino 17% 41% 34% +18 -7
Unit Mutalith Vortex Beast 24% 36% 41% +17 +5
Enhancement Eldritch Vortex of E'Taph 13% 38% 30% +17 -8
Unit Chaos Spawn 26% 55% 42% +16 -13
Unit Defiler 43% 26% 27% -16 +1
Enhancement Arcane Might 17% 1% 3% -14 +1

Matchups

Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Grey Knights (64.3% over 203 games) and the worst is Dark Angels (43.0% over 341).

Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Imperial Agents 23 71.7% 51.3% to 85.9% 56.7% +15.0 favourable
Grey Knights 203 64.3% 57.5% to 70.6% 53.3% +11.0 favourable
Aeldari 205 63.4% 56.6% to 69.7% 54.8% +8.7 favourable
Blood Angels 234 62.4% 56.0% to 68.4% 54.4% +8.0 favourable
Drukhari 196 58.9% 51.9% to 65.6% 53.4% +5.5 favourable
Chaos Space Marines 368 55.2% 50.1% to 60.2% 53.2% +2.0 favourable
Necrons 561 45.0% 40.9% to 49.1% 48.9% -3.9 unfavourable
Chaos Daemons 331 43.7% 38.4% to 49.0% 45.6% -2.0 unfavourable
Orks 574 43.4% 39.4% to 47.5% 45.1% -1.7 unfavourable
Dark Angels 341 43.0% 37.8% to 48.3% 47.0% -4.0 unfavourable
Deathwatch 49 42.9% 30.0% to 56.7% 46.6% -3.8
All 27 matchups: 16 more rows
Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Black Templars 116 54.3% 45.3% to 63.1% 55.1% -0.8
Emperor's Children 388 53.2% 48.2% to 58.1% 49.0% +4.2
Astra Militarum 252 53.0% 46.8% to 59.0% 59.8% -6.9
Imperial Knights 376 52.3% 47.2% to 57.3% 51.8% +0.5
Death Guard 307 51.3% 45.7% to 56.8% 52.2% -0.9
Space Wolves 199 51.3% 44.4% to 58.1% 51.3% -0.1
Adeptus Custodes 550 51.1% 46.9% to 55.2% 46.2% +4.9
Chaos Knights 203 50.7% 43.9% to 57.5% 53.5% -2.7
Tyranids 477 50.6% 46.2% to 55.1% 50.5% +0.1
Space Marines 678 49.6% 45.9% to 53.4% 51.7% -2.1
Genestealer Cult 129 49.2% 40.7% to 57.7% 52.8% -3.6
World Eaters 313 49.0% 43.5% to 54.6% 50.4% -1.4
Adepta Sororitas 212 48.3% 41.7% to 55.0% 50.1% -1.7
Leagues of Votann 307 47.2% 41.7% to 52.8% 48.5% -1.3
T'au Empire 446 46.9% 42.3% to 51.5% 48.6% -1.7
Adeptus Mechanicus 205 45.6% 38.9% to 52.4% 49.8% -4.2

Results brackets

243 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 21 won X, 89 won X-1 and 133 won X-2, from 548 entries.

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 18% 20-40 28% 40-60 30% 60-80 20% 80-100 line = all factions Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2 3.1% X 4.2% X-1 3.1% X-2 dashed = share of entries, 3.2%
Bracket tables
Tier Lists Share of tier Share of entries Ratio z
X 21 3.1% 3.2% 0.96x -0.2
X-1 89 4.2% 3.2% 1.31x +2.6
X-2 133 3.1% 3.2% 0.97x -0.3
X to X-2 243 3.4% 3.2% 1.07x +1.1
Share of games won Players Share of players All players
0 to 20% 15 3.2% 4.1%
20 to 40% 86 18.5% 17.2%
40 to 60% 132 28.3% 32.2%
60 to 80% 139 29.8% 30.1%
80 to 100% 94 20.2% 16.4%

Enhancements

24 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Umbralefic Crystal (34% of lists).

Enhancement table
Enhancement Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Umbralefic Crystal 783 34% -0.0 ± 0.9 -0.0
Eldritch Vortex of E'Taph 714 31% +1.4 ± 0.9 +1.5
Incandaeum 323 14% +0.9 ± 1.5 +0.6
Empyric Onslaught 276 12% +1.7 ± 1.4 +1.2
Risen Rubricae 247 11% -1.1 ± 1.7 -0.7
Lord of the Rubricae 215 9% -1.1 ± 1.7 -0.6
Arcane Thralls 210 9% +1.7 ± 1.7 +1.0
Curse of Life 171 7% -4.2 ± 1.9 -2.2

Force Disposition

Force Disposition table
Disposition Share of games Games Win rate Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Priority Assets 54% 3,816 50.2% -0.2 ± 0.8
Take and Hold 32% 2,266 48.1% -2.2 ± 1.1
Disruption 5% 359 50.4% +0.5 ± 3.0
Reconnaissance 5% 339 45.1% -5.1 ± 2.6
Purge the Foe 3% 229 51.3% n/a

Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, enhancement effects, Force Disposition, results brackets, terrain layout and list width.

Representative lists

Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties, and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.

Grand Coven1,995 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 131 players · 5 rounds · 12 Sep
Won an event of 100+ players
188 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Magnus The Red455
Daemon Prince of Tzeentch with Wings + Eldritch Vortex of E'Taph205Dark Blessing, Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Battleline
Rubric Marines100Force weapon, Malefic Curse, Warpflame pistol, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Other Units
Scarab Occult Terminators385Force weapon, Inferno combi-bolter, Malefic Curse, Hellfyre missile rack, Prosperine khopesh, Soulreaper cannon
Defiler330Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Sorcerer In Terminator Armour130
Sorcerer95Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol, Pandaemonic Delusion
Tzaangors75Tzaangor blades, Brayhorn, Herd banner
Chaos Spawn65Hideous mutations
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows55Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow
Tzaangor Enlightened50Divining spear
Tzaangor Enlightened50Divining spear
Hexwarp Thrallband + Sekhetar Cohort2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 6-0 · 48 players · 6 rounds · 11 Jul
78 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Magnus The Red455
Tzaangor Shaman60Baleful Devolution, Force stave
Battleline
Rubric Marines100Force weapon, Malefic Curse, Warpflame pistol, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Rubric Marines100Force weapon, Malefic Curse, Warpflame pistol, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Other Units
Scarab Occult Terminators370Force weapon, Inferno combi-bolter, Malefic Curse, Hellfyre missile rack, Prosperine khopesh, Soulreaper cannon
Sekhetar Robots160Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Power claw, Warpflame projector, Pyreflux meltagun
Sekhetar Robots160Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Power claw, Warpflame projector, Pyreflux meltagun
Sekhetar Robots160Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Power claw, Warpflame projector, Pyreflux meltagun
Sorcerer + Empyric Onslaught110Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol, Pandaemonic Delusion, Prosperine khopesh
Sorcerer In Terminator Armour95
Sorcerer + Empyric Onslaught85Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol, Pandaemonic Delusion, Prosperine khopesh
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows55Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow
Tzaangor Enlightened45Divining spear
Tzaangor Enlightened45Divining spear

Team events

48.3%win rate in team events1,807 games444 lists from 383 players-2.6 points against individual eventsgoing first 3.4 points better

Thousand Sons won 48.3% of 1,807 team event games, against 50.8% of 6,436 in individual events: 2.6 points lower (not clear). It makes up 3.8% of team event games and 3.2% of individual event games.

Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 51% Take and Hold 31% Disruption 10% Reconnaissance 6% Purge the Foe 3% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments share win rate Grand Coven 41% Rubricae Phalanx 18% Sekhetar Cohort 16% Warpforged Cabal 15% Hexwarp Thrallband 13% Ritual of Regeneration 13% Changehost of Deceit 5% Servants of Change 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups win rate against Aeldari Chaos Knights Grey Knights Astra Militarum Adeptus Mechanicus Space Wolves Orks Dark Angels 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events. Dashed: team events win rate.

Milestones

5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after, with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.

July balance & rules update (22 July)

51.5%win rate, rank 9 of 281,824 games506 lists from 429 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.02x entry sharegoing first 3.7 points better

Thousand Sons won 56.8% of 1,928 games in the 28 days before and 51.5% of 1,824 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.3% to 3.6%. The change of -5.3 points is clear.

5 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Hexwarp Thrallband (55% to 11%), Grand Coven (14% to 49%) and Sekhetar Cohort (37% to 11%).

4 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Chaos Rhino (16% to 35%), Defiler (41% to 24%) and Sekhetar Robots (73% to 57%).

7 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Eldritch Vortex of E'Taph (12% to 42%), Umbralefic Crystal (13% to 43%) and Empyric Onslaught (36% to 7%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 4% 0-20 18% 20-40 31% 40-60 27% 60-80 20% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 59% Take and Hold 32% Reconnaissance 5% Disruption 3% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Grand Coven 49% Rubricae Phalanx 18% Ritual of Regeneration 12% Warpforged Cabal 11% Hexwarp Thrallband 11% Sekhetar Cohort 11% Changehost of Deceit 8% Servants of Change 3% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Rubric Marines 87% Scarab Occult Terminators 78% Sorcerer In Terminator Armour 75% Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows 64% Sorcerer 63% Magnus The Red 58% Tzaangors 57% Sekhetar Robots 57% Daemon Prince of Tzeentch with Wings 51% Tzaangor Enlightened 39% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Grey Knights Astra Militarum Aeldari Blood Angels Adeptus Mechanicus Dark Angels T'au Empire Space Wolves 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Hexwarp Thrallband 55% 11% -44 -15.2
Detachment Grand Coven 14% 49% +35 +12.4
Enhancement Eldritch Vortex of E'Taph 12% 42% +31 +11.4
Enhancement Umbralefic Crystal 13% 43% +30 +11.0
Enhancement Empyric Onslaught 36% 7% -29 -11.3
Detachment Sekhetar Cohort 37% 11% -26 -9.8
Detachment Ritual of Regeneration 31% 12% -19 -7.4
Unit Chaos Rhino 16% 35% +19 +7.1
All 16 shifts: 8 more rows
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Defiler 41% 24% -16 -5.7
Unit Sekhetar Robots 73% 57% -16 -5.4
Unit Tzaangor Shaman 32% 20% -12 -4.6
Enhancement Arcane Might 17% 5% -12 -6.4
Enhancement Incandaeum 6% 17% +11 +5.9
Detachment Rubricae Phalanx 7% 18% +11 +5.7
Enhancement Curse of Life 13% 4% -10 -5.7
Enhancement Risen Rubricae 4% 13% +9 +5.3

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Grand Coven2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 50 players · 5 rounds · 1 Aug
22 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Magnus The Red455
Daemon Prince of Tzeentch with Wings + Eldritch Vortex of E'Taph205Dark Blessing, Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Sorcerer85Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol, Pandaemonic Delusion
Battleline
Rubric Marines100Force weapon, Malefic Curse, Warpflame pistol, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Other Units
Scarab Occult Terminators385Force weapon, Inferno combi-bolter, Malefic Curse, Hellfyre missile rack, Prosperine khopesh, Soulreaper cannon
Defiler330Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Sorcerer In Terminator Armour115
Sorcerer85Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol, Pandaemonic Delusion
Chaos Spawn65Hideous mutations
Chaos Spawn65Hideous mutations
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows55Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows55Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow
Rubricae Phalanx1,995 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 5-1 · 83 players · 6 rounds · 8 Aug
6 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Daemon Prince of Tzeentch + Arcane Thralls175Dark Blessing, Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Other Units
Scarab Occult Terminators400Force weapon, Inferno combi-bolter, Malefic Curse, Hellfyre missile rack, Prosperine khopesh, Soulreaper cannon
Scarab Occult Terminators385Force weapon, Inferno combi-bolter, Malefic Curse, Hellfyre missile rack, Prosperine khopesh, Soulreaper cannon
Scarab Occult Terminators385Force weapon, Inferno combi-bolter, Malefic Curse, Hellfyre missile rack, Prosperine khopesh, Soulreaper cannon
Sorcerer In Terminator Armour105
Sorcerer In Terminator Armour95
Sorcerer In Terminator Armour95
Sekhetar Robots85Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Power claw, Warpflame projector
Sekhetar Robots85Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Power claw, Warpflame projector
Tzaangors75Autopistol, Chainsword, Brayhorn, Herd banner
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows55Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows55Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow

August balance & rules update (26 August)

48.7%win rate, rank 16 of 27664 games164 lists from 161 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.48x entry sharegoing first 2.6 points better

Thousand Sons won 51.4% of 1,808 games in the 28 days before and 48.4% of 1,902 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.7% to 3.2%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 14% 20-40 27% 40-60 46% 60-80 11% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 56% Take and Hold 33% Reconnaissance 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Grand Coven 48% Rubricae Phalanx 17% Ritual of Regeneration 15% Sekhetar Cohort 13% Warpforged Cabal 12% Changehost of Deceit 10% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Rubric Marines 88% Scarab Occult Terminators 74% Sorcerer In Terminator Armour 73% Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows 68% Sorcerer 63% Sekhetar Robots 63% Magnus The Red 54% Tzaangors 51% Daemon Prince of Tzeentch with Wings 48% Mutalith Vortex Beast 46% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Dark Angels Adeptus Custodes Space Marines Orks 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Rubricae Phalanx1,995 pts
Take and Hold
10th place · record 6-0-1 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Rubric Marines190Force weapon, Malefic Curse, Warpflame pistol, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Rubric Marines100Force weapon, Malefic Curse, Warpflame pistol, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Rubric Marines100Force weapon, Malefic Curse, Warpflame pistol, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino80Armoured tracks, Havoc launcher, Inferno combi-bolter
Chaos Rhino80Armoured tracks, Havoc launcher, Inferno combi-bolter
Other Units
Scarab Occult Terminators385Force weapon, Inferno combi-bolter, Malefic Curse, Hellfyre missile rack, Prosperine khopesh, Soulreaper cannon
Scarab Occult Terminators385Force weapon, Inferno combi-bolter, Malefic Curse, Hellfyre missile rack, Prosperine khopesh, Soulreaper cannon
Sorcerer In Terminator Armour105
Sorcerer In Terminator Armour100
Exalted Sorcerer95Astral Blast, Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol, Prosperine khopesh
Sorcerer95Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol, Pandaemonic Delusion, Prosperine khopesh
Sorcerer95Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol, Pandaemonic Delusion, Prosperine khopesh
Chaos Spawn65Hideous mutations
Chaos Spawn65Hideous mutations
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows55Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow
Sekhetar Cohort + Warpforged Cabal2,000 pts
Priority Assets
25th place · record 7-2 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Ahriman100Inferno bolt pistol, Transmogrifying Blast
Exalted Sorcerer on Disc of Tzeentch90Arcane Fire, Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol
Tzaangor Shaman65Baleful Devolution, Force stave
Other Units
Defiler380Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Defiler330Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Sekhetar Robots190Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Pyreflux meltagun
Sekhetar Robots175Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Pyreflux meltagun
Sekhetar Robots175Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Pyreflux meltagun
Forgefiend140Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Forgefiend140Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows55Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows55Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows55Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow
Tzaangor Enlightened50Divining spear

Orks codex (5 September)

47.6%win rate, rank 17 of 282,003 games555 lists from 489 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.99x entry sharegoing first 7.9 points better

Thousand Sons won 49.4% of 1,971 games in the 28 days before and 47.6% of 2,003 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.6% to 3.1%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 24% 20-40 28% 40-60 29% 60-80 15% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 61% Take and Hold 29% Reconnaissance 5% Disruption 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Grand Coven 50% Rubricae Phalanx 22% Ritual of Regeneration 14% Sekhetar Cohort 11% Warpforged Cabal 11% Changehost of Deceit 7% Servants of Change 4% Hexwarp Thrallband 2% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Rubric Marines 87% Scarab Occult Terminators 75% Sorcerer In Terminator Armour 75% Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows 64% Sorcerer 63% Tzaangors 57% Chaos Spawn 55% Magnus The Red 55% Sekhetar Robots 54% Daemon Prince of Tzeentch with Wings 46% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Grey Knights Blood Angels Drukhari Chaos Space Marines T'au Empire Orks Leagues of Votann Adeptus Mechanicus 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Grand Coven1,995 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 131 players · 5 rounds · 12 Sep
Won an event of 100+ players
72 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Magnus The Red455
Daemon Prince of Tzeentch with Wings + Eldritch Vortex of E'Taph205Dark Blessing, Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Battleline
Rubric Marines100Force weapon, Malefic Curse, Warpflame pistol, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Other Units
Scarab Occult Terminators385Force weapon, Inferno combi-bolter, Malefic Curse, Hellfyre missile rack, Prosperine khopesh, Soulreaper cannon
Defiler330Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Sorcerer In Terminator Armour130
Sorcerer95Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol, Pandaemonic Delusion
Tzaangors75Tzaangor blades, Brayhorn, Herd banner
Chaos Spawn65Hideous mutations
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows55Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow
Tzaangor Enlightened50Divining spear
Tzaangor Enlightened50Divining spear
Sekhetar Cohort + Warpforged Cabal2,000 pts
Priority Assets
60th place · record 3-0 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Daemon Prince of Tzeentch with Wings170Dark Blessing, Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Tzaangor Shaman + Warp Syphon85Baleful Devolution, Force stave
Tzaangor Shaman + Warp Syphon70Baleful Devolution, Force stave
Battleline
Rubric Marines100Force weapon, Malefic Curse, Warpflame pistol, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Rubric Marines100Force weapon, Malefic Curse, Warpflame pistol, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Other Units
Defiler330Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Sekhetar Robots190Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Pyreflux meltagun
Sekhetar Robots175Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Pyreflux meltagun
Sekhetar Robots175Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Pyreflux meltagun
Forgefiend140Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Forgefiend140Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Sorcerer + Occulus Infernum115Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol, Pandaemonic Delusion, Prosperine khopesh
Helbrute110Close combat weapon, Heavy flamer, Helbrute fist
Tzaangor Enlightened50Divining spear
Tzaangor Enlightened50Divining spear

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)

41.3%win rate, rank 27 of 27558 games164 lists from 160 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.94x entry sharegoing first 8.7 points better

Thousand Sons won 47.6% of 2,003 games in the 28 days before and 40.3% of 1,046 in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 3.1% to 2.1%. The change of -7.3 points is clear.

One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Rubric Marines (87% to 76%).

Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 6% 0-20 18% 20-40 33% 40-60 21% 60-80 21% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 48% Take and Hold 33% Disruption 12% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Grand Coven 41% Rubricae Phalanx 21% Ritual of Regeneration 16% Sekhetar Cohort 13% Warpforged Cabal 12% Changehost of Deceit 10% Servants of Change 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Rubric Marines 78% Scarab Occult Terminators 68% Sorcerer In Terminator Armour 67% Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows 62% Tzaangors 54% Sorcerer 53% Sekhetar Robots 52% Magnus The Red 51% Chaos Spawn 43% Mutalith Vortex Beast 41% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Rubric Marines 87% 76% -11 -4.2

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Grand Coven2,000 pts
Priority Assets
3rd place · record 5-1 · 94 players · 6 rounds · 10 Oct
Show list
Characters
Magnus The Red455
Daemon Prince of Tzeentch with Wings + Eldritch Vortex of E'Taph205Dark Blessing, Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Battleline
Rubric Marines190Force weapon, Malefic Curse, Warpflame pistol, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Inferno boltgun, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Rubric Marines100Force weapon, Malefic Curse, Warpflame pistol, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Inferno boltgun, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Rubric Marines100Force weapon, Malefic Curse, Warpflame pistol, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Inferno boltgun, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Other Units
Defiler330Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Forgefiend150Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws
Exalted Sorcerer + Incandaeum110Astral Blast, Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol
Sorcerer95Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol, Pandaemonic Delusion
Exalted Sorcerer + Incandaeum95Astral Blast, Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol
Sekhetar Robots85Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Pyreflux meltagun
Sekhetar Robots85Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Pyreflux meltagun
Grand Coven1,995 pts
Priority Assets
4th place · record 4-1 · 44 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
5 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Magnus The Red455
Daemon Prince of Tzeentch with Wings + Eldritch Vortex of E'Taph205Dark Blessing, Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Battleline
Rubric Marines115Force weapon, Malefic Curse, Warpflame pistol, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Other Units
Scarab Occult Terminators425Force weapon, Inferno combi-bolter, Malefic Curse, Hellfyre missile rack, Prosperine khopesh, Soulreaper cannon
Defiler330Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Sorcerer + Umbralefic Crystal130Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol, Pandaemonic Delusion, Prosperine khopesh
Sorcerer In Terminator Armour110
Sekhetar Robots85Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Power claw, Warpflame projector
Tzaangors75Autopistol, Chainsword, Brayhorn, Herd banner
Chaos Spawn65Hideous mutations

Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)

39.2%win rate, rank 27 of 27488 games147 lists from 143 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.29x entry sharegoing first 3.8 points better

Thousand Sons won 44.5% of 1,708 games in the 28 days before and 39.2% of 488 in the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 2.9% to 1.8%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 42% 20-40 39% 40-60 3% 60-80 13% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 57% Take and Hold 27% Disruption 10% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Grand Coven 50% Rubricae Phalanx 16% Warpforged Cabal 15% Ritual of Regeneration 14% Sekhetar Cohort 12% Changehost of Deceit 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Rubric Marines 73% Scarab Occult Terminators 69% Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows 67% Tzaangors 65% Sorcerer In Terminator Armour 63% Magnus The Red 55% Sorcerer 52% Sekhetar Robots 46% Mutalith Vortex Beast 43% Chaos Spawn 41% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Sekhetar Cohort + Warpforged Cabal2,000 pts
Priority Assets
4th place · record 4-1 · 31 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Exalted Sorcerer on Disc of Tzeentch + Perplexing Cloak115Arcane Fire, Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol, Prosperine khopesh
Ahriman105Black Staff of Ahriman, Inferno bolt pistol, Transmogrifying Blast
Tzaangor Shaman + Warp-Cursed Runemaster80Baleful Devolution, Force stave
Tzaangor Shaman + Warp-Cursed Runemaster75Baleful Devolution, Force stave
Other Units
Defiler380Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Defiler330Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Sekhetar Robots175Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Pyreflux meltagun, Power claw, Warpflame projector
Sekhetar Robots175Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Pyreflux meltagun, Power claw, Warpflame projector
Forgefiend140Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Forgefiend140Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Sekhetar Robots100Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Pyreflux meltagun, Power claw, Warpflame projector
Tzaangors75Tzaangor blades, Brayhorn, Herd banner
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows55Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows55Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow
Sekhetar Cohort + Warpforged Cabal2,000 pts
Priority Assets
2nd place · record 4-1 · 23 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
Show list
Characters
Exalted Sorcerer on Disc of Tzeentch + Occulus Infernum115Arcane Fire, Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol
Ahriman105Inferno bolt pistol, Transmogrifying Blast
Exalted Sorcerer on Disc of Tzeentch + Occulus Infernum95Arcane Fire, Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol
Battleline
Rubric Marines115Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol, Malefic Curse, Close combat weapon, Icon of Flame, Soulreaper cannon, Warpflamer
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino80Armoured tracks, Havoc launcher, Inferno combi-bolter
Other Units
Defiler330Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Sekhetar Robots190Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Power claw, Warpflame projector, Pyreflux meltagun
Sekhetar Robots175Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Power claw, Warpflame projector, Pyreflux meltagun
Sekhetar Robots175Close combat weapon, Heavy warpflamer, Hellfyre missile rack, Power claw, Warpflame projector, Pyreflux meltagun
Chaos Predator Annihilator140Armoured tracks, Havoc launcher, Inferno combi-bolter, Lascannon, Predator twin lascannon
Chaos Predator Annihilator140Armoured tracks, Havoc launcher, Inferno combi-bolter, Lascannon, Predator twin lascannon
Exalted Sorcerer100Astral Blast, Force weapon, Inferno bolt pistol
Chaos Spawn65Hideous mutations
Chaos Spawn65Hideous mutations
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows55Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow
Tzaangor Enlightened with Fatecaster Greatbows55Close combat weapon, Fatecaster greatbow

Adepta Sororitas

Whole edition

50.2%win rate, rank 12 of 285,872 games1,652 lists from 1,010 playerstop-10% finishes 1.07x entry sharegoing first 2.0 points better50.3% adjusted for player skill

Army of Faith lists have a win rate 7.0 points below the faction average and make up 15% of the faction's lists. Adepta Sororitas climbed from 46.4% in the first period (19 Jun to 21 Jul) to 53.7% in the latest (3 Oct to 25 Oct), one of 10 factions with a clear change over the period. The season figure is 50.2% (rank 12 of 28, 5,872 games), which understates where it stands now. Bringers of Flame went from 7% to 46% of the faction's lists between the first period and the last 28 days. Imagifier is in 7% of lists, and lists with it have a win rate 9.8 points below comparable lists.

Detachments

8 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 5 of them account for 80% of picks. The most played is Bringers of Flame (34% of lists), and 61% of lists run more than one detachment. One detachment differs from the faction average. Weakest: Army of Faith (7.0 points below the faction average, 15% of lists).

Detachment Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z P1 P2 P3 P4
Bringers of Flame 554 34% +2.2 ± 1.1 +2.1 7% 32% 42% 46%
Hallowed Martyrs 491 30% +1.2 ± 1.1 +1.1 30% 32% 27% 31%
Chorus of Condemnation 447 27% +1.0 ± 1.2 +0.8 20% 24% 28% 35%
Sacred Champions 417 25% -0.4 ± 1.2 -0.3 18% 31% 31% 19%
Army of Faith 255 15% -7.0 ± 1.5 -4.6 40% 16% 6% 7%
Sanctified Orators 186 11% -3.9 ± 2.0 -2.0 19% 9% 8% 11%
Penitent Host 158 10% -0.5 ± 2.2 -0.2 5% 12% 12% 7%
Champions of Faith 116 7% -4.8 ± 2.6 -1.9 12% 6% 6% 6%

Over time

Share of games per week (%) 2 2.5 2.9 2.3 Jul Aug Sep Oct Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval 30 40 50 60 54.8 53.0 Jul Aug Sep Oct
Period Lists Share of all lists Games Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul 335 2.1% 1,175 46.4%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug 370 2.0% 1,304 47.2%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct 557 2.4% 2,038 52.1%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct 390 2.6% 1,355 53.7%

Around each milestone, 28 days before and after

Milestone Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul) 991 / 1,037 45.2% to 48.1% +2.9 +1.3 2.2% to 2.0%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug) 981 / 1,438 48.8% to 52.1% +3.3 +1.6 2.0% to 2.4%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep) 1,159 / 1,634 47.9% to 53.2% +5.3 +2.7 2.1% to 2.5%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct) 1,634 / 1,355 53.2% to 53.7% +0.5 +0.3 2.5% to 2.7%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data 1,506 / 752 52.2% to 55.5% +3.3 +1.5 2.5% to 2.8%

Units

A typical list contains 12 distinct units. 7 units appear in at least half of all lists and 30 in at least 10%. The most common is Paragon Warsuits (89% of lists). One datasheet never appeared: Death Cult Assassins. One datasheet appeared in under 1% of lists: Crusaders.

Of 35 units in 40 or more lists, 4 have a clear effect on results (2 positive, 2 negative). Best: Celestian Insidiants (4.9 points above comparable lists, 32% of lists) and Triumph Of Saint Katherine (4.4 points above comparable lists, 25% of lists). Weakest: Imagifier (9.8 points below comparable lists, 7% of lists) and Exorcist (4.7 points below comparable lists, 33% of lists). Exorcist and Seraphim Squad are in at least 15% of lists but have a win rate below it.

Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -10 -5 0 +5 +10 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Imagifier Celestian Insidiants Exorcist Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -5 0 +5 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Army of Faith

Most played units

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Paragon Warsuits 1,472 89.1% -0.1 ± 0.6 -0.1
Morvenn Vahl 1,450 87.8% +0.1 ± 0.6 +0.1
Immolator 1,318 79.8% +0.6 ± 0.7 +0.9
Castigator 1,242 75.2% -0.7 ± 0.7 -1.0
Dominion Squad 1,137 68.8% +1.2 ± 0.7 +1.6
Celestian Sacresants 989 59.9% -0.2 ± 0.8 -0.2
Hospitaller 919 55.6% -0.3 ± 0.8 -0.3
Seraphim Squad 806 48.8% -2.6 ± 0.9 -2.9
Battle Sisters Squad 788 47.7% -1.1 ± 0.9 -1.2
Canoness 761 46.1% +2.1 ± 0.9 +2.4
Intranzia Fraye 701 42.4% +2.1 ± 1.0 +2.1
Canoness with Jump Pack 701 42.4% +1.3 ± 1.0 +1.3

Other units with a clear effect

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Celestian Insidiants 531 32.1% +4.9 ± 1.1 +4.4
Triumph Of Saint Katherine 413 25.0% +4.4 ± 1.2 +3.5
Exorcist 548 33.2% -4.7 ± 1.0 -4.5
Imagifier 123 7.4% -9.8 ± 2.3 -4.3

Combinations

9 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common is Bringers of Flame + Chorus of Condemnation (274 lists, 17%). Best: Bringers of Flame + Chorus of Condemnation (6.6 points above the faction average). Weakest: Army of Faith + Sacred Champions (9.0 points below the faction average).

Combination Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Bringers of Flame + Chorus of Condemnation 274 17% +6.6 ± 1.8 +3.7
Bringers of Flame + Sacred Champions 182 11% +1.3 ± 1.8 +0.7
Penitent Host + Sacred Champions 121 7% +2.9 ± 2.7 +1.1
Army of Faith + Chorus of Condemnation 99 6% -5.2 ± 2.5 -2.0
Army of Faith + Sacred Champions 97 6% -9.0 ± 2.8 -3.2
Champions of Faith + Sanctified Orators 64 4% -7.4 ± 3.7 -2.0
Bringers of Flame + Sanctified Orators 44 3% -0.2 ± 4.5 -0.0
Army of Faith + Sanctified Orators 43 3% -10.2 ± 4.4 -2.3

Force Disposition

Priority Assets has a win rate 3.1 points above the faction's other choices and Take and Hold has a win rate 5.7 points below the faction's other choices.

Disposition Share of games Games Win rate Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Priority Assets 59% 3,089 53.3% +3.1 ± 0.9
Take and Hold 15% 812 44.5% -5.7 ± 1.9
Reconnaissance 10% 534 45.3% -5.0 ± 2.2
Disruption 8% 417 45.9% -4.4 ± 2.6
Purge the Foe 7% 389 50.1% +0.0 ± 2.9

Pick-rate shifts

Type Name First period Prior 28 days Last 28 days Change vs first period (pp) Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Unit Intranzia Fraye 22% 46% 64% +42 +18
Detachment Bringers of Flame 7% 44% 46% +39 +1
Detachment Army of Faith 40% 6% 7% -33 +1
Unit Dominion Squad 52% 74% 82% +30 +7
Unit Battle Sisters Squad 66% 39% 41% -25 +2
Unit Zephyrim Squad 51% 27% 29% -22 +3
Unit Canoness with Jump Pack 58% 33% 36% -22 +3
Enhancement Symphonic Payload 8% 22% 29% +21 +7
Enhancement Litanies of Faith 22% 3% 3% -18 +0
Unit Castigator 68% 76% 86% +18 +10
Unit Retributor Squad 41% 32% 24% -18 -8
Unit Arco-flagellants 41% 32% 26% -16 -6

Matchups

Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Aeldari (60.7% over 168 games) and the worst is Orks (42.3% over 415).

Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Aeldari 168 60.7% 53.2% to 67.8% 54.7% +6.0 favourable
Imperial Knights 234 59.6% 53.2% to 65.7% 51.7% +7.9 favourable
Astra Militarum 177 59.0% 51.7% to 66.0% 59.8% -0.7 favourable
Chaos Knights 156 58.0% 50.2% to 65.5% 53.4% +4.6 favourable
Drukhari 121 56.6% 47.7% to 65.1% 53.4% +3.2
Chaos Space Marines 298 56.0% 50.4% to 61.6% 53.1% +2.9 favourable
Grey Knights 131 45.0% 36.8% to 53.6% 53.2% -8.2
Emperor's Children 263 44.9% 39.0% to 50.9% 49.0% -4.1
Leagues of Votann 215 44.0% 37.5% to 50.6% 48.5% -4.5
Orks 415 42.3% 37.6% to 47.1% 45.0% -2.7 unfavourable
Deathwatch 37 35.1% 21.8% to 51.2% 46.6% -11.4
All 27 matchups: 16 more rows
Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Blood Angels 165 55.5% 47.8% to 62.8% 54.3% +1.1
Death Guard 254 54.9% 48.8% to 60.9% 52.1% +2.8
Black Templars 87 54.0% 43.6% to 64.1% 55.0% -1.0
Chaos Daemons 201 53.0% 46.1% to 59.8% 45.6% +7.4
Necrons 356 52.0% 46.8% to 57.1% 48.8% +3.1
Genestealer Cult 79 51.9% 41.1% to 62.6% 52.8% -0.9
Thousand Sons 212 51.7% 45.0% to 58.3% 49.9% +1.7
Space Wolves 151 50.0% 42.1% to 57.9% 51.3% -1.3
World Eaters 252 50.0% 43.9% to 56.1% 50.4% -0.4
T'au Empire 268 49.3% 43.3% to 55.2% 48.5% +0.7
Tyranids 320 48.8% 43.3% to 54.2% 50.4% -1.7
Dark Angels 290 47.1% 41.4% to 52.8% 46.9% +0.2
Imperial Agents 17 47.1% 26.2% to 69.0% 56.6% -9.6
Adeptus Mechanicus 147 46.9% 39.1% to 55.0% 49.7% -2.8
Space Marines 477 46.4% 42.0% to 50.9% 51.7% -5.2
Adeptus Custodes 381 45.7% 40.7% to 50.7% 46.1% -0.5

Results brackets

164 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 15 won X, 50 won X-1 and 99 won X-2, from 393 entries.

Share of players by share of games won 2% 0-20 19% 20-40 33% 40-60 28% 60-80 18% 80-100 line = all factions Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2 2.2% X 2.4% X-1 2.3% X-2 dashed = share of entries, 2.3%
Bracket tables
Tier Lists Share of tier Share of entries Ratio z
X 15 2.2% 2.3% 0.96x -0.2
X-1 50 2.4% 2.3% 1.02x +0.2
X-2 99 2.3% 2.3% 1.01x +0.1
X to X-2 164 2.3% 2.3% 1.01x +0.1
Share of games won Players Share of players All players
0 to 20% 7 2.1% 4.1%
20 to 40% 62 18.7% 17.2%
40 to 60% 110 33.1% 32.2%
60 to 80% 94 28.3% 30.1%
80 to 100% 59 17.8% 16.4%

Enhancements

21 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Through Suffering, Strength (22% of lists).

Enhancement table
Enhancement Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Through Suffering, Strength 370 22% +1.6 ± 1.2 +1.3
Saintly Example 345 21% +0.8 ± 1.3 +0.6
Symphonic Payload 312 19% +0.3 ± 1.4 +0.2
Litanies of Faith 131 8% -3.5 ± 2.1 -1.7
Clarion of Urgency 130 8% -4.0 ± 2.3 -1.8
Writ of Compunction 115 7% -4.3 ± 2.2 -2.0
Catechism of Divine Penitence 113 7% -0.5 ± 2.6 -0.2
Perfervid Haste 101 6% +2.3 ± 2.5 +0.9

Each extra 2.3 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 5.6 points lower; the average list has 12.4. The five most active players account for 3.3% of its games. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, milestone moves, enhancement effects, results brackets and terrain layout.

Representative lists

Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties, and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.

Bringers of Flame + Chorus of Condemnation2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 102 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
Won an event of 100+ players
157 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Intranzia Fraye135Heavy bolter, Mace of Saint Praxedes, Melta missile array, Ministorum heavy flamer, Throne of Blame
Dedicated Transports
Immolator100Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Immolator100Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Immolator100Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Other Units
Morvenn Vahl215Fidelis, Lance of Illumination, Paragon missile launcher
Castigator185Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Exorcist + Symphonic Payload185Armoured tracks, Exorcist missile launcher, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile
Paragon Warsuits165Bolt pistol, Heavy bolter, Paragon grenade launchers, Paragon war blade
Castigator165Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Castigator165Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Mortifiers130Anchorite Sarcophagus, Heavy bolter, Twin penitent buzz-blades
Dominion Squad100Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Dominion Squad90Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Dominion Squad90Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Seraphim Squad75Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Ministorum hand flamer
Hallowed Martyrs1,980 pts
250th place · record 3-0 · 267 players · 8 rounds · 19 Jun
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Triumph Of Saint Katherine235
Morvenn Vahl185Fidelis, Lance of Illumination, Paragon missile launcher
Intranzia Fraye150Heavy bolter, Mace of Saint Praxedes, Melta missile array, Ministorum heavy flamer, Throne of Blame
Saint Celestine150The Ardent Blade, Bolt pistol, Power weapon
Canoness with Jump Pack + Through Suffering, Strength100Blessed halberd
Junith Eruita80Mace of Castigation, Twin Ministorum heavy flamer
Canoness + Saintly Example70Bolt Pistol, Hallowed chainsword
Hospitaller60Bolt pistol, Chirurgeon’s tools
Dedicated Transports
Immolator115Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Twin multi-melta
Sororitas Rhino75Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Other Units
Paragon Warsuits210Bolt pistol, Multi-melta, Paragon grenade launchers, Paragon war mace
Celestian Sacresants140Inferno pistol, Spear of the faithful, Bolt pistol, Hallowed mace
Retributor Squad120Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Inferno pistol, Power weapon, Multi-melta
Retributor Squad120Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Inferno pistol, Power weapon, Multi-melta
Zephyrim Squad80Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Sacred Banner, Bolt pistol
Arco-flagellants45Arco-flails
Arco-flagellants45Arco-flails

Team events

51.0%win rate in team events1,160 games287 lists from 253 players+1.0 points against individual eventsgoing first 1.6 points worse

Adepta Sororitas won 51.0% of 1,160 team event games, against 50.1% of 4,712 in individual events: 1.0 point higher (not clear). It makes up 2.5% of team event games and 2.3% of individual event games.

Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 45% Reconnaissance 17% Disruption 16% Take and Hold 13% Purge the Foe 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments share win rate Bringers of Flame 35% Chorus of Condemnation 28% Hallowed Martyrs 25% Sacred Champions 22% Sanctified Orators 16% Army of Faith 14% Penitent Host 10% Champions of Faith 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups win rate against Death Guard Drukhari Imperial Knights Necrons Tyranids Grey Knights World Eaters Orks 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events. Dashed: team events win rate.

Milestones

5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after, with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.

July balance & rules update (22 July)

48.1%win rate, rank 17 of 281,037 games289 lists from 245 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.92x entry sharegoing first 1.2 points better

Adepta Sororitas won 45.2% of 991 games in the 28 days before and 48.1% of 1,037 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.2% to 2.0%.

2 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Army of Faith (41% to 15%) and Bringers of Flame (7% to 30%).

3 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Zephyrim Squad (52% to 32%), Battle Sisters Squad (66% to 47%) and Saint Celestine (21% to 8%).

One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Litanies of Faith (24% to 8%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 2% 0-20 17% 20-40 38% 40-60 23% 60-80 19% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 61% Take and Hold 15% Reconnaissance 9% Disruption 7% Purge the Foe 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Hallowed Martyrs 35% Bringers of Flame 30% Sacred Champions 29% Chorus of Condemnation 22% Army of Faith 15% Penitent Host 11% Sanctified Orators 10% Champions of Faith 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Paragon Warsuits 88% Morvenn Vahl 88% Immolator 74% Castigator 70% Celestian Sacresants 66% Dominion Squad 64% Hospitaller 55% Canoness 52% Canoness with Jump Pack 48% Battle Sisters Squad 47% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Imperial Knights Tyranids Chaos Space Marines Death Guard Chaos Daemons Adeptus Custodes Emperor's Children Orks 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Army of Faith 41% 15% -27 -7.1
Detachment Bringers of Flame 7% 30% +24 +7.4
Unit Zephyrim Squad 52% 32% -20 -5.0
Unit Battle Sisters Squad 66% 47% -19 -4.6
Enhancement Litanies of Faith 24% 8% -16 -5.2
Unit Saint Celestine 21% 8% -13 -4.5

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Bringers of Flame2,000 pts
Priority Assets
4th place · record 5-1 · 135 players · 6 rounds · 25 Jul
8 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Battle Sisters Squad100Sister Superior with Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Inferno pistol and Power weapon, Battle Sisters with Bolt pistol ...
Dedicated Transports
Immolator115
Immolator115
Immolator115
Other Units
Paragon Warsuits210Paragon Superior with Bolt pistol, Multi-melta, Paragon grenade launchers and Paragon war blade ...
Morvenn Vahl200
Castigator175
Castigator165
Castigator165
Celestian Sacresants150Sacresant Superior with Inferno pistol and Spear of the faithful, Celestian Sacresants with Bolt pistol and Hallowed mace
Celestian Sacresants150Sacresant Superior with Inferno pistol and Spear of the faithful, Celestian Sacresants with Bolt pistol and Hallowed mace
Dominion Squad110Dominion Superior with Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Inferno pistol and Power weapon, Dominions with Bolt pistol ...
Dominion Squad90Dominion Superior with Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Inferno pistol and Power weapon, Dominions with Bolt pistol ...
Hospitaller75
Hospitaller65
Bringers of Flame + Chorus of Condemnation1,990 pts
Priority Assets
4th place · record 4-0-1 · 138 players · 5 rounds · 1 Aug
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Intranzia Fraye135Heavy bolter, Mace of Saint Praxedes, Melta missile array, Ministorum heavy flamer, Throne of Blame
Canoness + Iron Surplice of Saint Istalela70Condemnor boltgun, Hallowed chainsword, Null Rod
Battleline
Battle Sisters Squad100Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Condemnor boltgun, Power weapon, Boltgun, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Simulacrum Imperialis
Dedicated Transports
Immolator100Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Twin heavy bolter
Immolator100Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Twin heavy bolter
Immolator100Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Twin heavy bolter
Allied Units
Callidus Assassin100Neural shredder, Phase sword and poison blades
Other Units
Paragon Warsuits210Bolt pistol, Multi-melta, Paragon grenade launchers, Paragon war blade
Morvenn Vahl200Fidelis, Lance of Illumination, Paragon missile launcher
Exorcist + Symphonic Payload190Armoured tracks, Exorcist missile launcher, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile
Castigator175Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Castigator165Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Castigator165Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Dominion Squad90Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Condemnor boltgun, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Dominion Squad90Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Condemnor boltgun, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis

August balance & rules update (26 August)

47.9%win rate, rank 19 of 27404 games107 lists from 104 playersgoing first 2.4 points worse

Adepta Sororitas won 48.8% of 981 games in the 28 days before and 52.1% of 1,438 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.0% to 2.4%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 65% Take and Hold 10% Purge the Foe 9% Disruption 8% Reconnaissance 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Sacred Champions 38% Bringers of Flame 37% Hallowed Martyrs 30% Chorus of Condemnation 21% Penitent Host 17% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Morvenn Vahl 82% Paragon Warsuits 82% Immolator 75% Castigator 70% Dominion Squad 67% Celestian Sacresants 66% Hospitaller 63% Canoness 58% Battle Sisters Squad 48% Seraphim Squad 45% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Bringers of Flame + Sacred Champions2,000 pts
Priority Assets
4th place · record 3-2 · 23 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
Show list
Characters
Daemonifuge85Bolt pistol, Sanctity, The Outcast’s Weapons
Battleline
Battle Sisters Squad100Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Condemnor boltgun, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Ministorum heavy flamer ...
Dedicated Transports
Immolator100Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Other Units
Triumph Of Saint Katherine245
Paragon Warsuits210Bolt pistol, Multi-melta, Paragon grenade launchers, Paragon war blade
Morvenn Vahl200Fidelis, Lance of Illumination, Paragon missile launcher
Castigator165Armoured tracks, Castigator battle cannon, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Celestian Sacresants150Ministorum hand flamer, Spear of the faithful, Anointed halberd, Bolt pistol, Hallowed mace
Celestian Sacresants150Ministorum hand flamer, Spear of the faithful, Anointed halberd, Bolt pistol, Hallowed mace
Seraphim Squad150Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Ministorum hand flamer
Retributor Squad125Bolt pistol, Chainsword, Close combat weapon, Combi-weapon, Multi-melta
Canoness with Jump Pack + Fire and Fury105Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon
Hospitaller75Bolt pistol, Chirurgeon’s tools
Canoness + Righteous Rage75Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Rod of Office
Hospitaller65Bolt pistol, Chirurgeon’s tools
Bringers of Flame + Chorus of Condemnation1,995 pts
Priority Assets
4th place · record 4-1 · 20 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
4 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Intranzia Fraye135Heavy bolter, Mace of Saint Praxedes, Melta missile array, Ministorum heavy flamer, Throne of Blame
Junith Eruita105Mace of Castigation, Twin Ministorum heavy flamer
Canoness + Iron Surplice of Saint Istalela70Blessed blade, Inferno pistol
Dedicated Transports
Immolator100Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Immolator100Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Other Units
Paragon Warsuits210Bolt pistol, Multi-melta, Paragon grenade launchers, Paragon war mace, Paragon war blade
Morvenn Vahl200Fidelis, Lance of Illumination, Paragon missile launcher
Exorcist + Symphonic Payload190Armoured tracks, Exorcist missile launcher, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile
Castigator175Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter, Castigator battle cannon
Castigator165Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter, Castigator battle cannon
Castigator165Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter, Castigator battle cannon
Retributor Squad125Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combi-weapon, Power weapon, Multi-melta
Dominion Squad90Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Dominion Squad90Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Seraphim Squad75Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Ministorum hand flamer

Orks codex (5 September)

53.2%win rate, rank 6 of 281,634 games450 lists from 388 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.10x entry sharegoing first 0.4 points worse

Adepta Sororitas won 47.9% of 1,159 games in the 28 days before and 53.2% of 1,634 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.1% to 2.5%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 1% 0-20 18% 20-40 27% 40-60 34% 60-80 20% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 63% Take and Hold 12% Reconnaissance 9% Disruption 9% Purge the Foe 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Bringers of Flame 43% Chorus of Condemnation 30% Sacred Champions 29% Hallowed Martyrs 27% Penitent Host 11% Sanctified Orators 9% Army of Faith 7% Champions of Faith 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Paragon Warsuits 88% Morvenn Vahl 86% Immolator 81% Castigator 76% Dominion Squad 73% Celestian Sacresants 55% Hospitaller 53% Seraphim Squad 49% Intranzia Fraye 47% Canoness 45% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Imperial Knights World Eaters Astra Militarum Blood Angels Space Wolves Leagues of Votann Death Guard Adeptus Custodes 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Bringers of Flame + Chorus of Condemnation2,000 pts
Priority Assets
73rd place · record 3-0 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
57 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Intranzia Fraye135Heavy bolter, Mace of Saint Praxedes, Melta missile array, Ministorum heavy flamer, Throne of Blame
Dedicated Transports
Immolator100Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Immolator100Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Other Units
Morvenn Vahl200Fidelis, Lance of Illumination, Paragon missile launcher
Exorcist + Symphonic Payload190Armoured tracks, Exorcist missile launcher, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile
Paragon Warsuits180Bolt pistol, Heavy bolter, Paragon storm bolters, Paragon war blade
Castigator175Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter, Castigator battle cannon
Castigator165Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter, Castigator battle cannon
Castigator165Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter, Castigator battle cannon
Mortifiers130Anchorite Sarcophagus, Heavy bolter, Twin penitent buzz-blades
Mortifiers130Anchorite Sarcophagus, Heavy bolter, Twin penitent buzz-blades
Dominion Squad90Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer ...
Dominion Squad90Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer ...
Seraphim Squad75Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Ministorum hand flamer
Seraphim Squad75Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Ministorum hand flamer
Bringers of Flame + Sacred Champions1,995 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 29 players · 5 rounds · 12 Sep
7 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Dedicated Transports
Immolator100Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Immolator100Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Other Units
Paragon Warsuits210Bolt pistol, Multi-melta, Paragon grenade launchers, Paragon war blade, Paragon war mace
Morvenn Vahl200Fidelis, Lance of Illumination, Paragon missile launcher
Castigator165Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Castigator165Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Celestian Sacresants150Inferno pistol, Spear of the faithful, Bolt pistol, Hallowed mace
Retributor Squad125Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Multi-melta
Celestian Insidiants120Inferno pistol, Null mace, Blessed sword, Condemnor bolt pistol, Denuncia oratory, Ministorum hand flamer ...
Dominion Squad110Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis, Meltagun
Junith Eruita105Mace of Castigation, Twin Ministorum heavy flamer
Canoness with Jump Pack + Righteous Rage90Blessed halberd
Dominion Squad90Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis, Meltagun
Zephyrim Squad75Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Sacred Banner, Bolt pistol
Seraphim Squad75Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Ministorum hand flamer
Hospitaller65Bolt pistol, Chirurgeon’s tools
Arco-flagellants50Arco-flails

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)

51.4%win rate, rank 10 of 27603 games173 lists from 159 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.99x entry sharegoing first 4.4 points better

Adepta Sororitas won 53.2% of 1,634 games in the 28 days before and 53.7% of 1,355 in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 2.5% to 2.7%.

One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Intranzia Fraye (47% to 65%).

Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 0% 0-20 15% 20-40 38% 40-60 18% 60-80 29% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 64% Take and Hold 17% Disruption 11% Reconnaissance 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Bringers of Flame 42% Hallowed Martyrs 37% Chorus of Condemnation 26% Sacred Champions 21% Sanctified Orators 9% Army of Faith 8% Champions of Faith 6% Penitent Host 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Paragon Warsuits 90% Morvenn Vahl 89% Immolator 87% Castigator 85% Dominion Squad 79% Hospitaller 62% Celestian Sacresants 61% Intranzia Fraye 57% Seraphim Squad 51% Battle Sisters Squad 45% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Intranzia Fraye 47% 65% +18 +5.2

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Bringers of Flame + Chorus of Condemnation2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 50 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
21 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Intranzia Fraye135Heavy bolter, Mace of Saint Praxedes, Melta missile array, Ministorum heavy flamer, Throne of Blame
Canoness60Hallowed chainsword, Inferno pistol, Null Rod
Dedicated Transports
Immolator100Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Immolator100Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Immolator100Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Other Units
Morvenn Vahl215Fidelis, Lance of Illumination, Paragon missile launcher
Exorcist + Symphonic Payload190Armoured tracks, Exorcist missile launcher, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile
Castigator185Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Paragon Warsuits165Bolt pistol, Heavy bolter, Paragon storm bolters, Paragon war mace
Castigator165Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Castigator165Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Dominion Squad90Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Dominion Squad90Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Sisters Novitiate Squad90Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Autopistol, Ministorum flamer, Novitiate melee weapons, Sacred Banner ...
Seraphim Squad75Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Ministorum hand flamer
Seraphim Squad75Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Ministorum hand flamer
Bringers of Flame2,000 pts
Priority Assets
2nd place · record 5-0 · 56 players · 5 rounds · 3 Oct
4 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Dedicated Transports
Immolator100Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Immolator100Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Immolator100Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Other Units
Morvenn Vahl200Fidelis, Lance of Illumination, Paragon missile launcher
Paragon Warsuits180Bolt pistol, Heavy bolter, Paragon grenade launchers, Paragon war blade
Castigator175Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Celestian Sacresants170Inferno pistol, Spear of the faithful, Anointed halberd, Bolt pistol
Castigator165Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Castigator165Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Intranzia Fraye135Heavy bolter, Mace of Saint Praxedes, Melta missile array, Ministorum heavy flamer, Throne of Blame
Callidus Assassin100Neural shredder, Phase sword and poison blades
Dominion Squad90Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer ...
Dominion Squad90Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer ...
Sisters Novitiate Squad90Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Autopistol, Ministorum flamer, Novitiate melee weapons, Sacred Banner ...
Seraphim Squad75Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Ministorum hand flamer
Hospitaller65Bolt pistol, Chirurgeon’s tools

Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)

55.5%win rate, rank 2 of 27752 games217 lists from 210 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.12x entry sharegoing first 3.9 points better

Adepta Sororitas won 52.2% of 1,506 games in the 28 days before and 55.5% of 752 in the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 2.5% to 2.8%.

One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Intranzia Fraye (53% to 71%).

Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 16% 20-40 25% 40-60 34% 60-80 22% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 67% Take and Hold 10% Reconnaissance 9% Disruption 8% Purge the Foe 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Bringers of Flame 50% Chorus of Condemnation 42% Hallowed Martyrs 26% Sacred Champions 17% Sanctified Orators 12% Penitent Host 7% Army of Faith 6% Champions of Faith 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Paragon Warsuits 94% Morvenn Vahl 91% Immolator 89% Castigator 88% Dominion Squad 88% Intranzia Fraye 71% Seraphim Squad 53% Celestian Sacresants 45% Hospitaller 44% Exorcist 44% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Adeptus Custodes Necrons Dark Angels World Eaters Space Marines Orks 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Intranzia Fraye 53% 71% +18 +4.3

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Bringers of Flame + Chorus of Condemnation2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 102 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
Won an event of 100+ players
60 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Intranzia Fraye135Heavy bolter, Mace of Saint Praxedes, Melta missile array, Ministorum heavy flamer, Throne of Blame
Dedicated Transports
Immolator100Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Immolator100Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Immolator100Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Other Units
Morvenn Vahl215Fidelis, Lance of Illumination, Paragon missile launcher
Castigator185Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Exorcist + Symphonic Payload185Armoured tracks, Exorcist missile launcher, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile
Paragon Warsuits165Bolt pistol, Heavy bolter, Paragon grenade launchers, Paragon war blade
Castigator165Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Castigator165Armoured tracks, Castigator autocannons, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Mortifiers130Anchorite Sarcophagus, Heavy bolter, Twin penitent buzz-blades
Dominion Squad100Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Dominion Squad90Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Dominion Squad90Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Seraphim Squad75Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Ministorum hand flamer
Champions of Faith + Sanctified Orators2,000 pts
Disruption
2nd place · record 5-0 · 37 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Intranzia Fraye135Heavy bolter, Mace of Saint Praxedes, Melta missile array, Ministorum heavy flamer, Throne of Blame
Dedicated Transports
Immolator100Armoured tracks, Heavy Bolter, Hunter-Killer Missile, Immolation Flamers
Immolator100Armoured tracks, Heavy Bolter, Hunter-Killer Missile, Immolation Flamers
Other Units
Morvenn Vahl215Fidelis, Lance of Illumination, Paragon missile launcher
Paragon Warsuits205Bolt pistol, Multi-melta, Paragon Grenade Launchers, Paragon War Mace, Heavy Bolter, Paragon War Blade
Paragon Warsuits195Bolt pistol, Multi-melta, Paragon Grenade Launchers, Paragon War Mace, Heavy Bolter, Paragon War Blade
Paragon Warsuits165Bolt pistol, Multi-melta, Paragon Grenade Launchers, Paragon War Mace, Heavy Bolter, Paragon War Blade
Mortifiers130Anchorite Sarcophagus, Heavy Bolter, Twin Penitent Buzz-Blades
Retributor Squad125Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combi-weapon, Power weapon, Multi-melta
Celestian Insidiants115Inferno pistol, Null mace, Blessed sword, Condemnor bolt pistol, Denuncia Oratory, Ministorum hand flamer ...
Canoness with Jump Pack + Mark of Devotion105Blessed Halberd
Dominion Squad90Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum Flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Dominion Squad90Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Ministorum hand flamer, Power weapon, Boltgun, Ministorum Flamer, Simulacrum Imperialis
Zephyrim Squad75Plasma pistol, Power Weapon, Sacred Banner, Bolt pistol
Dialogus + Triptych of Judgement55Bolt pistol, Dialogus Staff
Ministorum Priest50Zealot's vindictor
Arco-flagellants50

World Eaters

Whole edition

49.9%win rate, rank 13 of 2810,560 games3,116 lists from 1,883 playerstop-10% finishes 0.78x entry sharegoing first 0.9 points better49.9% adjusted for player skill

World Eaters climbed from 44.5% in the first period (19 Jun to 21 Jul) to 54.5% in the latest (3 Oct to 25 Oct), one of 10 factions with a clear change over the period. Berzerker Warband lists have a win rate 2.5 points above the faction average and make up 57% of the faction's lists. The season figure is 49.9% (rank 13 of 28, 10,560 games), which understates where it stands now. Vessels of Wrath went from 12% to 45% of the faction's lists over the last 28 days compared with the 28 before. The pairing Butchers of Khorne + Goretrack Onslaught has a win rate 14.0 points below the faction average (40 lists).

Over time

Its share of lists went from 3.3% to 6.2%.

Share of games per week (%) 4 6 6.3 3.7 Jul Aug Sep Oct Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval 40 50 60 Codex: Space Marines (11th Edi 53.3 48.3 Jul Aug Sep Oct
Period Lists Share of all lists Games Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul 510 3.3% 1,696 44.5%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug 710 3.9% 2,354 49.5%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct 961 4.2% 3,376 48.7%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct 935 6.2% 3,134 54.5%

Codex: Space Marines was followed by a change of +5.4 points in win rate, measured over the 28 days either side.

Around each milestone, 28 days before and after

Milestone Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul) 1,400 / 1,808 43.6% to 48.7% +5.1 +2.8 3.1% to 3.6%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug) 1,795 / 2,394 49.5% to 48.6% -0.9 -0.6 3.6% to 4.1%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep) 2,019 / 2,688 49.9% to 49.1% -0.8 -0.5 3.7% to 4.1%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct) 2,688 / 3,134 49.1% to 54.5% +5.4 +4.1 4.1% to 6.3%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data 2,902 / 1,748 51.6% to 54.6% +3.1 +2.0 4.9% to 6.5%

Detachments

8 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 5 of them account for 80% of picks. The most played is Berzerker Warband (57% of lists), and 56% of lists run more than one detachment. One detachment differs from the faction average. Best: Berzerker Warband (2.5 points above the faction average, 57% of lists).

Detachment Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z P1 P2 P3 P4
Berzerker Warband 1,778 57% +2.5 ± 0.6 +4.3 52% 44% 57% 71%
Brazen Engines 795 26% +0.3 ± 0.9 +0.3 23% 31% 24% 24%
Vessels of Wrath 736 24% +2.5 ± 0.9 +2.7 14% 16% 13% 46%
Possessed Slaughterband 476 15% -0.2 ± 1.2 -0.2 12% 24% 18% 8%
Khorne Daemonkin 423 14% -1.7 ± 1.2 -1.4 21% 17% 13% 8%
Butchers of Khorne 338 11% +1.2 ± 1.4 +0.9 7% 11% 7% 16%
Goretrack Onslaught 227 7% -4.6 ± 1.9 -2.5 9% 8% 4% 8%
Cult of Blood 27 1% -7.8 ± 4.9 -1.6 1% 1% 1% 0%

Combinations

14 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common is Berzerker Warband + Vessels of Wrath (339 lists, 11%). Best: Berzerker Warband + Vessels of Wrath (8.4 points above the faction average). Weakest: Butchers of Khorne + Goretrack Onslaught (14.0 points below the faction average).

Combination Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Berzerker Warband + Vessels of Wrath 339 11% +8.4 ± 1.5 +5.7
Brazen Engines + Possessed Slaughterband 319 10% +0.6 ± 1.5 +0.4
Brazen Engines + Khorne Daemonkin 202 6% -5.6 ± 1.9 -3.0
Khorne Daemonkin + Vessels of Wrath 123 4% -3.3 ± 2.4 -1.4
Berzerker Warband + Butchers of Khorne 119 4% +6.8 ± 2.3 +2.9
Berzerker Warband + Brazen Engines 111 4% +6.4 ± 2.6 +2.4
Goretrack Onslaught + Vessels of Wrath 101 3% -5.4 ± 2.9 -1.9
Possessed Slaughterband + Vessels of Wrath 82 3% -5.7 ± 2.9 -2.0
Butchers of Khorne + Goretrack Onslaught 40 1% -14.0 ± 4.3 -3.3

Units

A typical list contains 10 distinct units. 9 units appear in at least half of all lists and 21 in at least 10%. The most common is Jakhals (91% of lists). One datasheet never appeared: Warlord Titan. 4 datasheets appeared in under 1% of lists: Chaos Predator Annihilator, Chaos Predator Destructor, Heldrake, Typhon.

Of 27 units in 40 or more lists, 1 has a clear effect on results (1 positive, 0 negative). Best: Forgefiend (2.4 points above comparable lists, 50% of lists).

Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -5 -2.5 0 +2.5 +5 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Forgefiend Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -5 0 +5 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Berzerker Warband

Most played units

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Jakhals 2,825 90.7% +1.2 ± 0.5 +2.5
Exalted Eightbound 2,432 78.0% +0.6 ± 0.5 +1.1
Slaughterbound 2,281 73.2% +0.8 ± 0.5 +1.6
Khorne Berzerkers 2,241 71.9% +1.1 ± 0.5 +2.1
Eightbound 2,146 68.9% +1.1 ± 0.5 +2.0
Khârn The Betrayer 1,929 61.9% +1.5 ± 0.6 +2.5
Angron 1,796 57.6% +1.1 ± 0.6 +1.9
Chaos Rhino 1,777 57.0% +1.7 ± 0.6 +2.9
Forgefiend 1,562 50.1% +2.4 ± 0.6 +3.8
Daemon Prince of Khorne 1,294 41.5% +0.3 ± 0.7 +0.4
Goremongers 1,235 39.6% +1.3 ± 0.7 +1.8
Master of Executions 1,161 37.3% -0.5 ± 0.7 -0.7

Enhancements

21 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Berzerker Glaive (33% of lists). One enhancement differs from the other enhancements in its detachment: Battle-lust (2.6 points above the rest).

Enhancement Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Berzerker Glaive 1,021 33% +0.8 ± 0.8 +1.0
Battle-lust 855 27% +2.6 ± 0.8 +3.2
Frenzied Focus 404 13% +0.2 ± 1.3 +0.2
Helm of Brazen Ire 384 12% -0.6 ± 1.2 -0.5
Disciple of Khorne 318 10% +0.5 ± 1.3 +0.4
Favoured of Khorne 289 9% -2.8 ± 1.6 -1.8
Blade of Endless Bloodshed 266 9% +2.0 ± 1.5 +1.3
Gore-stained Veterans 216 7% +3.3 ± 1.7 +2.0

Pick-rate shifts

Type Name First period Prior 28 days Last 28 days Change vs first period (pp) Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Unit Angron 43% 52% 81% +37 +29
Unit Chaos Spawn 50% 33% 17% -33 -16
Detachment Vessels of Wrath 14% 12% 45% +31 +32
Unit Forgefiend 29% 63% 54% +25 -8
Detachment Berzerker Warband 52% 58% 70% +18 +12
Enhancement Berzerker Glaive 32% 25% 44% +12 +18
Unit Lord Invocatus 12% 39% 29% +16 -10
Unit Daemon Prince of Khorne 47% 40% 31% -16 -10
Enhancement Battle-lust 17% 35% 33% +15 -3
Unit Chaos Rhino 57% 54% 69% +12 +15
Unit Khorne Berzerkers 70% 69% 84% +14 +14
Unit Defiler 35% 29% 21% -14 -8

Matchups

Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Astra Militarum (61.6% over 367 games) and the worst is Orks (43.2% over 725).

Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Imperial Agents 39 66.7% 51.0% to 79.4% 56.3% +10.4 favourable
Astra Militarum 367 61.6% 56.5% to 66.4% 59.4% +2.2 favourable
Deathwatch 95 55.8% 45.8% to 65.4% 46.2% +9.6
Genestealer Cult 142 55.6% 47.4% to 63.6% 52.4% +3.3
Chaos Space Marines 493 55.6% 51.2% to 59.9% 52.7% +2.8 favourable
Adeptus Custodes 703 45.7% 42.1% to 49.4% 45.7% +0.0 unfavourable
Dark Angels 533 45.5% 41.3% to 49.7% 46.5% -1.0 unfavourable
Chaos Daemons 397 44.5% 39.6% to 49.4% 45.2% -0.7 unfavourable
Leagues of Votann 358 44.4% 39.4% to 49.6% 48.1% -3.7 unfavourable
Orks 725 43.2% 39.6% to 46.8% 44.6% -1.5 unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 17 more rows
Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Aeldari 310 54.8% 49.3% to 60.3% 54.3% +0.5
Chaos Knights 249 54.4% 48.2% to 60.5% 53.0% +1.4
Grey Knights 252 53.8% 47.6% to 59.8% 52.8% +1.0
T'au Empire 556 53.3% 49.2% to 57.4% 48.2% +5.2
Drukhari 258 52.1% 46.0% to 58.2% 53.0% -0.9
Black Templars 168 52.1% 44.6% to 59.5% 54.6% -2.6
Space Marines 890 51.9% 48.6% to 55.2% 51.3% +0.6
Space Wolves 292 51.4% 45.7% to 57.0% 50.9% +0.5
Thousand Sons 313 51.0% 45.4% to 56.5% 49.6% +1.4
Tyranids 614 50.8% 46.9% to 54.8% 50.0% +0.8
Blood Angels 347 50.6% 45.3% to 55.8% 53.9% -3.3
Adepta Sororitas 252 50.0% 43.9% to 56.1% 49.6% +0.4
Imperial Knights 403 49.9% 45.0% to 54.7% 51.3% -1.5
Necrons 670 48.8% 45.0% to 52.6% 48.5% +0.4
Death Guard 456 47.0% 42.5% to 51.6% 51.7% -4.7
Emperor's Children 438 46.8% 42.2% to 51.5% 48.6% -1.8
Adeptus Mechanicus 240 46.5% 40.3% to 52.8% 49.4% -2.9

Results brackets

307 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 24 won X, 95 won X-1 and 188 won X-2, from 733 entries.

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 17% 20-40 34% 40-60 31% 60-80 16% 80-100 line = all factions Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2 3.5% X 4.5% X-1 4.4% X-2 dashed = share of entries, 4.3%
Bracket tables
Tier Lists Share of tier Share of entries Ratio z
X 24 3.5% 4.3% 0.82x -1.0
X-1 95 4.5% 4.3% 1.04x +0.4
X-2 188 4.4% 4.3% 1.03x +0.4
X to X-2 307 4.3% 4.3% 1.01x +0.2
Share of games won Players Share of players All players
0 to 20% 22 3.5% 4.1%
20 to 40% 105 16.5% 17.2%
40 to 60% 214 33.7% 32.2%
60 to 80% 194 30.6% 30.1%
80 to 100% 100 15.7% 16.4%

Force Disposition

Force Disposition table
Disposition Share of games Games Win rate Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Purge the Foe 67% 6,394 51.8% +1.9 ± 0.6
Take and Hold 12% 1,142 49.3% -0.6 ± 1.5
Priority Assets 9% 851 49.4% -0.2 ± 1.8
Reconnaissance 6% 559 45.3% -4.5 ± 2.2
Disruption 6% 548 45.9% -3.8 ± 2.4

Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, Force Disposition, results brackets, terrain layout and list width.

Representative lists

Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties, and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.

Berzerker Warband2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 8-1 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
Won an event of 100+ players
532 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Angron330Samni’arius and Spinegrinder
Battleline
Khorne Berzerkers160Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers160Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino75Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Forgefiend145Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Forgefiend145Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Exalted Eightbound130Chainblades
Exalted Eightbound130Chainblades
Eightbound125Chainblades
Eightbound125Chainblades
Slaughterbound + Battle-lust120Lacerator and daemonic claw
Khârn The Betrayer115
Lord Invocatus100Bladed horn, Bolt pistol, Coward’s Bane
Goremongers75Autopistol, Chainblade, Close combat weapon
Jakhals65Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade
Berzerker Warband2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 6-0 · 52 players · 6 rounds · 19 Sep
102 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Angron330Samni’arius and Spinegrinder
Battleline
Khorne Berzerkers160Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers160Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers160Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino75Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Chaos Rhino75Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Eightbound125Chainblades
Eightbound125Chainblades
Khârn The Betrayer115
Lord Invocatus100Bladed horn, Bolt pistol, Coward’s Bane
Master of Executions + Berzerker Glaive95Axe of dismemberment, Bolt pistol
Chaos Spawn95Hideous mutations
Chaos Spawn95Hideous mutations
Chaos Spawn95Hideous mutations
Jakhals65Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade
Jakhals65Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade
Jakhals65Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade

Team events

49.4%win rate in team events1,829 games467 lists from 416 players-0.7 points against individual eventsgoing first 2.8 points better

World Eaters won 49.4% of 1,829 team event games, against 50.0% of 8,731 in individual events: 0.7 points lower (not clear). It makes up 3.9% of team event games and 4.3% of individual event games.

Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 63% Disruption 11% Take and Hold 11% Reconnaissance 8% Priority Assets 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments share win rate Berzerker Warband 57% Brazen Engines 30% Vessels of Wrath 19% Possessed Slaughterband 16% Butchers of Khorne 12% Khorne Daemonkin 11% Goretrack Onslaught 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups win rate against Astra Militarum Adepta Sororitas Blood Angels Grey Knights Chaos Daemons Space Marines Orks Dark Angels 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events. Dashed: team events win rate.

Milestones

5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after, with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.

July balance & rules update (22 July)

48.7%win rate, rank 15 of 281,808 games546 lists from 491 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.85x entry sharegoing first 4.8 points better

World Eaters won 43.6% of 1,400 games in the 28 days before and 48.7% of 1,808 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.1% to 3.6%.

One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Possessed Slaughterband (13% to 25%).

One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Forgefiend (28% to 46%).

Nothing clear turned up in enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 5% 0-20 20% 20-40 39% 40-60 25% 60-80 12% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 66% Take and Hold 16% Reconnaissance 8% Priority Assets 7% Disruption 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Berzerker Warband 44% Brazen Engines 30% Possessed Slaughterband 25% Khorne Daemonkin 16% Vessels of Wrath 15% Butchers of Khorne 10% Goretrack Onslaught 9% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Jakhals 91% Exalted Eightbound 80% Slaughterbound 74% Eightbound 67% Khorne Berzerkers 63% Daemon Prince of Khorne 54% Khârn The Betrayer 52% Forgefiend 46% Angron 46% Chaos Rhino 46% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Chaos Space Marines Death Guard Blood Angels Astra Militarum Orks Space Wolves Leagues of Votann Chaos Daemons 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Forgefiend 28% 46% +18 +5.7
Detachment Possessed Slaughterband 13% 25% +11 +4.4

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Berzerker Warband2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 40 players · 5 rounds · 15 Aug
33 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Angron330Samni’arius and Spinegrinder
Battleline
Khorne Berzerkers170Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers170Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers170Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino75Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Chaos Rhino75Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Exalted Eightbound130Chainblades
Eightbound125Chainblades
Eightbound125Chainblades
Khârn The Betrayer115
Lord Invocatus100Bladed horn, Bolt pistol, Coward’s Bane
Master of Executions + Berzerker Glaive95Axe of dismemberment, Bolt pistol
Chaos Spawn95Hideous mutations
Chaos Spawn95Hideous mutations
Jakhals65Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade
Jakhals65Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade
Brazen Engines + Possessed Slaughterband2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
2nd place · record 4-0-1 · 58 players · 5 rounds · 15 Aug
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Daemon Prince of Khorne + Violent Demise210Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Other Units
Khorne Lord of Skulls505Gorestorm cannon, Great cleaver of Khorne, Skullhurler
Defiler310Ectoplasma destructor, Electroscourge, Excruciator cannon, Heavy baleflamer, Shearing claws
Defiler270Ectoplasma destructor, Electroscourge, Excruciator cannon, Heavy baleflamer, Shearing claws
Maulerfiend + Talons of Butchery160Lasher tendrils, Maulerfiend fists
Maulerfiend + Talons of Butchery160Lasher tendrils, Maulerfiend fists
Eightbound125Chainblades
Slaughterbound + Frenzied Focus120Lacerator and daemonic claw
Goremongers75Autopistol, Chainblade, Close combat weapon
Jakhals65Autopistol, Chainblades, Paired manglers

August balance & rules update (26 August)

47.4%win rate, rank 21 of 27688 games190 lists from 185 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.17x entry sharegoing first 0.5 points better

World Eaters won 49.5% of 1,795 games in the 28 days before and 48.6% of 2,394 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.6% to 4.1%.

One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Berzerker Warband (42% to 54%).

One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Lord Invocatus (21% to 35%).

One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Battle-lust (20% to 31%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 16% 20-40 27% 40-60 38% 60-80 16% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 60% Take and Hold 11% Priority Assets 10% Reconnaissance 10% Disruption 9% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Berzerker Warband 47% Brazen Engines 29% Possessed Slaughterband 21% Khorne Daemonkin 17% Vessels of Wrath 16% Butchers of Khorne 9% Goretrack Onslaught 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Jakhals 91% Exalted Eightbound 81% Slaughterbound 72% Eightbound 68% Khorne Berzerkers 64% Khârn The Betrayer 57% Forgefiend 52% Daemon Prince of Khorne 48% Chaos Rhino 47% Angron 44% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Necrons Orks Space Marines Adeptus Custodes 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Lord Invocatus 21% 35% +14 +5.4
Detachment Berzerker Warband 42% 54% +12 +4.0
Enhancement Battle-lust 20% 31% +11 +4.5

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Berzerker Warband2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 8-1 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
Won an event of 100+ players
15 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Angron330Samni’arius and Spinegrinder
Battleline
Khorne Berzerkers160Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers160Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino75Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Forgefiend145Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Forgefiend145Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Exalted Eightbound130Chainblades
Exalted Eightbound130Chainblades
Eightbound125Chainblades
Eightbound125Chainblades
Slaughterbound + Battle-lust120Lacerator and daemonic claw
Khârn The Betrayer115
Lord Invocatus100Bladed horn, Bolt pistol, Coward’s Bane
Goremongers75Autopistol, Chainblade, Close combat weapon
Jakhals65Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade
Brazen Engines + Possessed Slaughterband1,995 pts
Disruption
19th place · record 8-1 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
21 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Daemon Prince of Khorne200Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Other Units
Defiler300Excruciator cannon, Hades battle cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Forgefiend145Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Forgefiend145Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Eightbound140Chainblades
Maulerfiend140Lasher tendrils, Maulerfiend fists
Exalted Eightbound130Chainblades
Exalted Eightbound130Chainblades
Eightbound125Chainblades
Eightbound125Chainblades
Slaughterbound + Frenzied Focus120Lacerator and daemonic claw
Slaughterbound + Frenzied Focus100Lacerator and daemonic claw
Jakhals65Autopistol, Chainblades, Paired manglers
Jakhals65Autopistol, Chainblades, Paired manglers
Jakhals65Autopistol, Chainblades, Paired manglers

Orks codex (5 September)

49.1%win rate, rank 15 of 282,688 games771 lists from 660 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.03x entry sharegoing first 0.1 points better

World Eaters won 49.9% of 2,019 games in the 28 days before and 49.1% of 2,688 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.7% to 4.1%.

One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Berzerker Warband (44% to 59%).

3 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Lord Invocatus (25% to 40%), Daemon Prince of Khorne (51% to 39%) and Eightbound (66% to 77%).

One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Battle-lust (21% to 36%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 2% 0-20 15% 20-40 33% 40-60 33% 60-80 17% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 72% Take and Hold 8% Priority Assets 8% Disruption 7% Reconnaissance 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Berzerker Warband 59% Brazen Engines 23% Possessed Slaughterband 17% Vessels of Wrath 12% Khorne Daemonkin 12% Butchers of Khorne 7% Goretrack Onslaught 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Jakhals 92% Exalted Eightbound 80% Eightbound 77% Slaughterbound 75% Khorne Berzerkers 70% Forgefiend 63% Khârn The Betrayer 61% Chaos Rhino 55% Angron 53% Goremongers 45% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Grey Knights Space Marines Aeldari Astra Militarum Death Guard Adeptus Custodes Chaos Daemons Adepta Sororitas 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Enhancement Battle-lust 21% 36% +15 +6.1
Detachment Berzerker Warband 44% 59% +15 +5.5
Unit Lord Invocatus 25% 40% +15 +5.7
Unit Daemon Prince of Khorne 51% 39% -12 -4.4
Unit Eightbound 66% 77% +10 +4.3

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Berzerker Warband2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 6-0 · 52 players · 6 rounds · 19 Sep
26 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Angron330Samni’arius and Spinegrinder
Battleline
Khorne Berzerkers160Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers160Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers160Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino75Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Chaos Rhino75Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Eightbound125Chainblades
Eightbound125Chainblades
Khârn The Betrayer115
Lord Invocatus100Bladed horn, Bolt pistol, Coward’s Bane
Master of Executions + Berzerker Glaive95Axe of dismemberment, Bolt pistol
Chaos Spawn95Hideous mutations
Chaos Spawn95Hideous mutations
Chaos Spawn95Hideous mutations
Jakhals65Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade
Jakhals65Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade
Jakhals65Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade
Berzerker Warband2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
96th place · record 3-0 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
196 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Angron330Samni’arius and Spinegrinder
Battleline
Khorne Berzerkers160Chainblade, Icon of Khorne, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers160Chainblade, Icon of Khorne, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Khornate eviscerator
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino75Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Forgefiend145Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Forgefiend145Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Exalted Eightbound130Chainblades
Exalted Eightbound130Chainblades
Eightbound125Chainblades
Eightbound125Chainblades
Slaughterbound + Battle-lust120Lacerator and daemonic claw
Khârn The Betrayer115
Lord Invocatus100Bladed horn, Bolt pistol, Coward’s Bane
Goremongers75Autopistol, Chainblade, Close combat weapon
Jakhals65Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)

54.3%win rate, rank 2 of 271,386 games411 lists from 390 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.00x entry sharegoing first 0.1 points better

World Eaters won 49.1% of 2,688 games in the 28 days before and 54.5% of 3,134 in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 4.1% to 6.3%. The change of +5.4 points is clear.

4 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Vessels of Wrath (12% to 46%), Berzerker Warband (59% to 71%) and Possessed Slaughterband (17% to 8%).

8 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Angron (53% to 82%), Chaos Spawn (33% to 16%) and Chaos Rhino (55% to 70%).

2 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Berzerker Glaive (25% to 45%) and Gore-stained Veterans (4% to 12%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 12% 20-40 38% 40-60 31% 60-80 17% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 66% Take and Hold 13% Priority Assets 11% Disruption 6% Reconnaissance 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Berzerker Warband 69% Vessels of Wrath 43% Brazen Engines 27% Butchers of Khorne 14% Possessed Slaughterband 10% Khorne Daemonkin 9% Goretrack Onslaught 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Jakhals 91% Khorne Berzerkers 82% Angron 80% Exalted Eightbound 78% Slaughterbound 76% Eightbound 71% Khârn The Betrayer 70% Chaos Rhino 68% Forgefiend 59% Goremongers 40% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Chaos Space Marines Imperial Knights Chaos Daemons T'au Empire Dark Angels Leagues of Votann Orks Death Guard 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Vessels of Wrath 12% 46% +34 +15.4
Unit Angron 53% 82% +29 +12.7
Enhancement Berzerker Glaive 25% 45% +20 +8.4
Unit Chaos Spawn 33% 16% -18 -8.6
Unit Chaos Rhino 55% 70% +14 +6.1
Unit Khorne Berzerkers 70% 84% +14 +7.0
Unit Lord Invocatus 40% 28% -12 -5.3
Unit Master of Executions 32% 44% +12 +5.1
All 14 shifts: 6 more rows
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Berzerker Warband 59% 71% +11 +4.9
Unit Khârn The Betrayer 61% 72% +11 +4.7
Unit Lord on Juggernaut 22% 32% +10 +4.5
Detachment Possessed Slaughterband 17% 8% -9 -6.0
Detachment Butchers of Khorne 7% 16% +9 +5.7
Enhancement Gore-stained Veterans 4% 12% +8 +6.1

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Berzerker Warband + Vessels of Wrath2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
2nd place · record 7-1 · 131 players · 8 rounds · 9 Oct
11 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Angron330Samni’arius and Spinegrinder
Battleline
Khorne Berzerkers330Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers330Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers330Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers170Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino75Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Khârn The Betrayer115
Lord on Juggernaut + Battle-lust115Bladed horn, Exalted chainblade, Plasma pistol
Master of Executions + Favoured of Khorne80Axe of dismemberment, Bolt pistol
Jakhals65Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade
Master of Executions + Favoured of Khorne60Axe of dismemberment, Bolt pistol
Berzerker Warband + Vessels of Wrath1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 30 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
126 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Angron330Samni’arius and Spinegrinder
Slaughterbound + Berzerker Glaive90Lacerator and daemonic claw
Slaughterbound + Berzerker Glaive90Lacerator and daemonic claw
Battleline
Khorne Berzerkers170Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino75Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Forgefiend145Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Forgefiend145Ectoplasma cannon, Forgefiend claws, Hades autocannon
Exalted Eightbound130Chainblades
Exalted Eightbound130Chainblades
Slaughterbound + Berzerker Glaive125Lacerator and daemonic claw
Eightbound125Chainblades
Eightbound125Chainblades
Khârn The Betrayer115
Goremongers70Autopistol, Chainblade, Close combat weapon
Jakhals65Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade
Jakhals65Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Icon of Khorne, Mauler chainblade

Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)

54.6%win rate, rank 3 of 271,748 games524 lists from 505 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.25x entry sharegoing first 0.1 points worse

World Eaters won 51.6% of 2,902 games in the 28 days before and 54.6% of 1,748 in the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 4.9% to 6.5%.

2 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Vessels of Wrath (27% to 49%) and Butchers of Khorne (9% to 18%).

4 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Angron (68% to 83%), Master of Executions (34% to 47%) and Forgefiend (62% to 50%).

One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Berzerker Glaive (33% to 45%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 12% 20-40 30% 40-60 31% 60-80 25% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 64% Take and Hold 15% Priority Assets 12% Disruption 7% Reconnaissance 3% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Berzerker Warband 72% Vessels of Wrath 49% Brazen Engines 22% Butchers of Khorne 18% Goretrack Onslaught 9% Khorne Daemonkin 8% Possessed Slaughterband 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Jakhals 91% Khorne Berzerkers 86% Angron 83% Exalted Eightbound 77% Slaughterbound 76% Khârn The Betrayer 74% Chaos Rhino 71% Eightbound 66% Forgefiend 50% Master of Executions 47% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Astra Militarum Drukhari Aeldari Space Wolves Adeptus Custodes Grey Knights Dark Angels Leagues of Votann 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Vessels of Wrath 27% 49% +22 +8.4
Unit Angron 68% 83% +15 +6.0
Unit Master of Executions 34% 47% +13 +4.8
Enhancement Berzerker Glaive 33% 45% +13 +4.7
Unit Forgefiend 62% 50% -11 -4.1
Unit Chaos Spawn 24% 14% -11 -4.8
Detachment Butchers of Khorne 9% 18% +9 +4.9

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Berzerker Warband2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 4-1 · 241 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
Won an event of 100+ players
92 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Khorne Berzerkers170Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers170Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers170Chainblade, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Icon of Khorne, Khornate eviscerator
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino75Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter
Other Units
Angron330Samni’arius and Spinegrinder
Forgefiend140Forgefiend jaws, Hades autocannon
Forgefiend140Forgefiend jaws, Hades autocannon
Exalted Eightbound130Chainblades
Eightbound125Chainblades
Khârn The Betrayer115
Slaughterbound110Lacerator and daemonic claw
Lord Invocatus100Bladed horn, Bolt pistol, Coward’s Bane
Lord on Juggernaut95Bladed horn, Exalted chainblade, Plasma pistol
Jakhals65Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Mauler hainblade, Icon of Khorne
Jakhals65Autopistol, Chainblades, Skullsmasher and mangler, Mauler hainblade, Icon of Khorne
Berzerker Warband + Vessels of Wrath2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 43 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
134 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Angron330Samni’arius and Spinegrinder
Lord Invocatus100Bladed horn, Bolt pistol, Coward’s Bane
Slaughterbound + Battle-lust90Lacerator and daemonic claw
Slaughterbound + Battle-lust90Lacerator and daemonic claw
Battleline
Khorne Berzerkers170Chainblade, Icon of Khorne, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Khornate eviscerator
Khorne Berzerkers170Chainblade, Icon of Khorne, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Khornate eviscerator
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino75Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Chaos Rhino75Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Exalted Eightbound130Chainblades
Eightbound125Chainblades
Eightbound125Chainblades
Khârn The Betrayer115
Slaughterbound + Battle-lust110Lacerator and daemonic claw
Master of Executions + Berzerker Glaive95Axe of dismemberment, Bolt pistol
Goremongers70Autopistol, Chainblade, Close combat weapon
Jakhals65Autopistol, Chainblades, Paired manglers, Mauler chainblade
Jakhals65Autopistol, Chainblades, Paired manglers, Mauler chainblade

Tyranids

Whole edition

49.8%win rate, rank 14 of 2813,907 games4,058 lists from 2,452 playerstop-10% finishes 0.87x entry sharegoing first 1.2 points better49.7% adjusted for player skill

The pairing Assimilation Swarm + Talons of the Norn Queen has a win rate 6.6 points above the faction average (729 lists). Against Imperial Knights it wins 41.3% over 569 games, 10.0 points below what its strength predicts. Tyranids won 49.8% of 13,907 games, rank 14 of 28. Subterranean Assault went from 15% to 29% of the faction's lists over the last 28 days compared with the 28 before. Assimilation Swarm lists have a win rate 4.4 points above the faction average and make up 20% of the faction's lists.

Combinations

12 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common is Assimilation Swarm + Talons of the Norn Queen (729 lists, 18%). Best: Assimilation Swarm + Talons of the Norn Queen (6.6 points above the faction average).

Combination Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Assimilation Swarm + Talons of the Norn Queen 729 18% +6.6 ± 0.9 +7.6
Ambush Predators + Vanguard Onslaught 609 15% -0.8 ± 1.1 -0.7
Crusher Stampede + Talons of the Norn Queen 321 8% -2.9 ± 1.6 -1.8
Synaptic Nexus + Talons of the Norn Queen 219 5% -3.6 ± 1.8 -1.9
Talons of the Norn Queen + Vanguard Onslaught 67 2% -1.7 ± 3.1 -0.6
Ambush Predators + Synaptic Nexus 64 2% -0.4 ± 3.5 -0.1
Ambush Predators + Crusher Stampede 63 2% +0.1 ± 3.5 +0.0
Vanguard Onslaught + Warrior Bioform Onslaught 62 2% +1.1 ± 3.3 +0.3

Matchups

Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Blood Angels (61.3% over 398 games) and the worst is Imperial Knights (41.3% over 569). Against what the faction's strength predicts, Imperial Knights (10.0 points below the prediction) deviates.

Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Blood Angels 398 61.3% 56.4% to 66.0% 53.9% +7.4 favourable
Astra Militarum 476 61.0% 56.6% to 65.3% 59.4% +1.7 favourable
Genestealer Cult 197 59.6% 52.7% to 66.2% 52.3% +7.3 favourable
Chaos Space Marines 623 57.3% 53.4% to 61.1% 52.7% +4.6 favourable
Drukhari 340 54.6% 49.2% to 59.8% 53.0% +1.6
Space Marines 1,087 53.2% 50.2% to 56.1% 51.2% +1.9 favourable
Orks 971 44.9% 41.8% to 48.0% 44.6% +0.3 unfavourable
Dark Angels 652 44.3% 40.6% to 48.2% 46.5% -2.2 unfavourable
Adeptus Custodes 928 42.1% 38.9% to 45.3% 45.7% -3.6 unfavourable
Chaos Daemons 535 41.7% 37.6% to 45.9% 45.2% -3.5 unfavourable
Imperial Knights 569 41.3% 37.3% to 45.4% 51.3% -10.0 unfavourable, below model
All 27 matchups: 16 more rows
Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Black Templars 221 54.5% 47.9% to 61.0% 54.6% -0.1
Aeldari 416 53.8% 49.0% to 58.6% 54.3% -0.4
T'au Empire 716 53.6% 49.9% to 57.2% 48.1% +5.4
Grey Knights 367 52.2% 47.1% to 57.2% 52.8% -0.6
Adeptus Mechanicus 339 52.1% 46.8% to 57.3% 49.3% +2.7
Space Wolves 392 51.5% 46.6% to 56.4% 50.8% +0.7
Death Guard 571 51.4% 47.3% to 55.5% 51.7% -0.3
Adepta Sororitas 320 51.2% 45.8% to 56.7% 49.6% +1.7
Thousand Sons 477 49.4% 44.9% to 53.8% 49.5% -0.1
World Eaters 614 49.2% 45.2% to 53.1% 50.0% -0.8
Necrons 1,013 48.9% 45.8% to 52.0% 48.4% +0.5
Deathwatch 83 48.8% 38.3% to 59.4% 46.1% +2.7
Imperial Agents 56 48.2% 35.7% to 61.0% 56.2% -8.0
Emperor's Children 650 48.1% 44.3% to 51.9% 48.5% -0.5
Leagues of Votann 543 46.9% 42.7% to 51.1% 48.1% -1.2
Chaos Knights 353 45.9% 40.8% to 51.1% 53.0% -7.1

Detachments

10 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 6 of them account for 80% of picks. The most played is Talons of the Norn Queen (36% of lists), and 57% of lists run more than one detachment. 2 detachments differ from the faction average. Best: Assimilation Swarm (4.4 points above the faction average, 20% of lists).

Detachment Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z P1 P2 P3 P4
Talons of the Norn Queen 1,453 36% +2.5 ± 0.6 +4.0 34% 40% 38% 30%
Vanguard Onslaught 843 21% -0.9 ± 0.8 -1.1 22% 24% 22% 14%
Assimilation Swarm 819 20% +4.4 ± 0.8 +5.6 17% 23% 23% 16%
Ambush Predators 789 19% -0.6 ± 0.9 -0.8 18% 24% 20% 14%
Subterranean Assault 725 18% -0.5 ± 0.9 -0.6 16% 13% 15% 31%
Invasion Fleet 660 16% +1.1 ± 1.0 +1.1 18% 14% 16% 17%
Crusher Stampede 428 11% -0.7 ± 1.3 -0.5 12% 12% 10% 10%
Synaptic Nexus 341 8% -2.3 ± 1.4 -1.6 9% 10% 9% 5%
Warrior Bioform Onslaught 175 4% -4.1 ± 2.0 -2.1 6% 4% 5% 2%
Unending Swarm 18 0% -15.3 ± 6.3 -2.4 1% 0% 0% 1%

Units

A typical list contains 12 distinct units. 5 units appear in at least half of all lists and 30 in at least 10%. The most common is Biovores (90% of lists). 7 datasheets appeared in under 1% of lists: Harpy, Harridan, Hierophant, Hive Crone, Mucolid Spores, Spore Mines, Sporocyst.

Of 45 units in 40 or more lists, 5 have a clear effect on results (5 positive, 0 negative). Best: Hive Guard (4.5 points above comparable lists, 9% of lists), Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip (2.4 points above comparable lists, 40% of lists), Hyperadapted Raveners (2.2 points above comparable lists, 40% of lists) and Raveners (2.1 points above comparable lists, 37% of lists). Hive Guard is in under 10% of lists but has a win rate above the faction average.

Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -20 -10 0 +10 +20 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Hierophant Hive Guard Raveners Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -10 0 +10 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Assimilation Swarm

Most played units

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Biovores 3,657 90.1% +1.0 ± 0.4 +2.4
Neurolictor 2,402 59.2% +1.5 ± 0.5 +3.0
Neurotyrant 2,174 53.6% +0.0 ± 0.5 +0.0
The Swarmlord 2,088 51.5% +1.0 ± 0.5 +2.0
Zoanthropes 2,075 51.1% +0.2 ± 0.5 +0.4
Norn Emissary 2,010 49.5% -0.6 ± 0.6 -1.1
Hormagaunts 1,992 49.1% +1.2 ± 0.5 +2.3
Maleceptor 1,919 47.3% +1.2 ± 0.6 +2.2
Lictor 1,885 46.5% +1.4 ± 0.6 +2.5
Von Ryan’s Leapers 1,861 45.9% +1.4 ± 0.6 +2.5
Tyrannofex 1,745 43.0% -0.5 ± 0.6 -0.9
Hyperadapted Raveners 1,642 40.5% +2.2 ± 0.6 +3.7

Other units with a clear effect

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Hive Guard 361 8.9% +4.5 ± 1.2 +3.8
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 1,628 40.1% +2.4 ± 0.6 +4.0
Raveners 1,496 36.9% +2.1 ± 0.6 +3.4
The Red Terror 1,636 40.3% +2.1 ± 0.6 +3.4

Force Disposition

Take and Hold has a win rate 2.3 points above the faction's other choices and Disruption has a win rate 3.3 points below the faction's other choices.

Disposition Share of games Games Win rate Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Take and Hold 46% 5,509 52.1% +2.3 ± 0.7
Disruption 22% 2,694 46.6% -3.3 ± 1.0
Reconnaissance 22% 2,682 49.3% -0.7 ± 1.0
Priority Assets 6% 665 52.3% +2.3 ± 1.8
Purge the Foe 4% 490 43.4% -6.2 ± 2.4

Enhancements

31 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Synaptoprescience (26% of lists). 3 enhancements differ from the other enhancements in their detachment: Enraged Reserves (19.3 points below the rest), Regenerating Monstrosity (11.2 points below the rest) and Vanguard Intellect (5.4 points below the rest).

Enhancement Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Synaptoprescience 1,069 26% +1.8 ± 0.7 +2.6
Encircling Horrors 503 12% +0.5 ± 1.1 +0.5
Trygon Prime 459 11% +0.2 ± 1.1 +0.2
Adaptive Biology 296 7% +0.1 ± 1.5 +0.1
Neuronode 260 6% -1.6 ± 1.6 -1.0
Tremor Senses 244 6% -0.1 ± 1.5 -0.1
Destabilising Predation 233 6% -3.7 ± 1.6 -2.4
Power of the Hive Mind 222 5% -0.6 ± 1.7 -0.3
Vanguard Intellect 175 4% -5.4 ± 1.6 -3.3
Regenerating Monstrosity 61 2% -11.2 ± 2.8 -4.1
Enraged Reserves 27 1% -19.3 ± 4.7 -4.1

Pick-rate shifts

Type Name First period Prior 28 days Last 28 days Change vs first period (pp) Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Unit Neurotyrant 69% 46% 45% -24 -1
Unit Von Ryan’s Leapers 34% 51% 54% +21 +4
Unit The Red Terror 35% 42% 51% +16 +9
Unit The Swarmlord 42% 54% 58% +16 +3
Detachment Subterranean Assault 16% 15% 29% +14 +14
Unit Genestealers 40% 37% 27% -13 -10
Unit Lictor 53% 41% 40% -13 -1
Unit Trygon 15% 15% 27% +12 +12
Unit Deathleaper 31% 24% 20% -12 -4
Unit Broodlord 37% 35% 25% -11 -9
Enhancement Trygon Prime 9% 9% 20% +11 +11
Unit Hyperadapted Raveners 36% 42% 47% +10 +4

Over time

Share of games per week (%) 5 6 5.1 5.4 Jul Aug Sep Oct Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval 45 50 55 47.2 49.0 Jul Aug Sep Oct
Period Lists Share of all lists Games Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul 938 6.0% 3,175 50.0%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug 992 5.4% 3,426 49.4%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct 1,339 5.8% 4,747 50.5%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct 789 5.2% 2,559 49.1%

Around each milestone, 28 days before and after

Milestone Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul) 2,743 / 2,761 50.1% to 48.8% -1.3 -1.0 6.1% to 5.4%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug) 2,664 / 3,393 49.5% to 49.3% -0.2 -0.2 5.4% to 5.7%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep) 3,041 / 3,727 49.8% to 50.4% +0.6 +0.5 5.6% to 5.7%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct) 3,727 / 2,559 50.4% to 49.1% -1.3 -1.0 5.7% to 5.1%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data 3,248 / 1,334 50.8% to 48.7% -2.1 -1.3 5.5% to 5.0%

Results brackets

385 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 28 won X, 107 won X-1 and 250 won X-2, from 939 entries.

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 17% 20-40 36% 40-60 31% 60-80 14% 80-100 line = all factions Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2 4.1% X 5.0% X-1 5.9% X-2 dashed = share of entries, 5.5%
Bracket tables
Tier Lists Share of tier Share of entries Ratio z
X 28 4.1% 5.5% 0.75x -1.6
X-1 107 5.0% 5.5% 0.92x -0.9
X-2 250 5.9% 5.5% 1.07x +1.1
X to X-2 385 5.4% 5.5% 0.99x -0.2
Share of games won Players Share of players All players
0 to 20% 21 2.5% 4.1%
20 to 40% 143 17.2% 17.2%
40 to 60% 298 35.8% 32.2%
60 to 80% 258 31.0% 30.1%
80 to 100% 113 13.6% 16.4%

Each extra 2.4 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 3.7 points lower; the average list has 11.8. Nothing clear turned up in milestone moves, results brackets and terrain layout.

Representative lists

Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties, and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.

Ambush Predators + Vanguard Onslaught2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 60 players · 5 rounds · 5 Sep
277 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Swarmlord210Bone sabres, Synaptic pulse
The Red Terror130Gaping maw, Scything talons
Deathleaper80Lictor claws and talons
Battleline
Hormagaunts70Hormagaunt talons
Other Units
Zoanthropes190Chitinous claws and teeth, Warp Blast
Hyperadapted Raveners165Prime claws and talons, Ravener heavy claws and talons, Venom bolt
Genestealers140Genestealers claws and talons
Genestealers140Genestealers claws and talons
Raveners125Ravener claws and talons
Von Ryan’s Leapers + Cryptophotaic Camouflage105Leaper’s talons
Neurolictor + Encircling Horrors100Piercing claws and talons
Neurolictor + Encircling Horrors100Piercing claws and talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip + Neuronode95Rending claw, Scything talons
Broodlord80
Broodlord80
Von Ryan’s Leapers + Cryptophotaic Camouflage70Leaper’s talons
Biovores60Chitin-barbed limbs, Spore Mine launcher
Lictor60
Subterranean Assault2,000 pts
Disruption
183rd place · record 3-0 · 198 players · 8 rounds · 28 Aug
4 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Swarmlord210Bone sabres, Synaptic pulse
Hyperadapted Raveners165Prime claws and talons, Ravener heavy claws and talons, Venom bolt
Trygon + Trygon Prime160Bio-electric pulse, Trygon scything talons
The Red Terror130Gaping maw, Scything talons
Deathleaper80Lictor claws and talons
Battleline
Gargoyles80Blinding venom, Fleshborer
Hormagaunts70Hormagaunt talons
Hormagaunts70Hormagaunt talons
Other Units
Zoanthropes190Chitinous claws and teeth, Warp Blast
Neurotyrant + Tremor Senses150Neurotyrant claws and lashes, Psychic scream
Raveners125Ravener claws and talons
Raveners125Ravener claws and talons
Screamer-killer125
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip75Lash whip, Rending claw, Scything talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip75Lash whip, Rending claw, Scything talons
Biovores60Chitin-barbed limbs, Spore Mine launcher
Von Ryan’s Leapers55Leaper’s talons
Von Ryan’s Leapers55Leaper’s talons

Team events

49.7%win rate in team events2,679 games679 lists from 592 players-0.1 points against individual eventsgoing first 0.2 points better

Tyranids won 49.7% of 2,679 team event games, against 49.9% of 11,228 in individual events: 0.1 points lower (not clear). It makes up 5.7% of team event games and 5.5% of individual event games.

Force Disposition share win rate Disruption 40% Take and Hold 31% Reconnaissance 21% Priority Assets 6% Purge the Foe 3% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments share win rate Talons of the Norn Queen 32% Vanguard Onslaught 25% Subterranean Assault 24% Ambush Predators 23% Assimilation Swarm 18% Invasion Fleet 10% Synaptic Nexus 9% Crusher Stampede 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups win rate against Astra Militarum Genestealer Cult Blood Angels Chaos Space Marines Chaos Knights Adeptus Custodes Imperial Knights Chaos Daemons 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events. Dashed: team events win rate.

Milestones

5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after, with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.

July balance & rules update (22 July)

48.8%win rate, rank 14 of 282,761 games786 lists from 710 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.02x entry sharegoing first 2.9 points better

Tyranids won 50.1% of 2,743 games in the 28 days before and 48.8% of 2,761 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 6.1% to 5.4%.

2 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Neurotyrant (69% to 56%) and The Swarmlord (42% to 52%).

One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Synaptoprescience (21% to 30%).

Nothing clear turned up in detachments.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 2% 0-20 20% 20-40 38% 40-60 29% 60-80 11% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 47% Disruption 22% Reconnaissance 20% Priority Assets 6% Purge the Foe 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Talons of the Norn Queen 41% Ambush Predators 24% Vanguard Onslaught 24% Assimilation Swarm 23% Invasion Fleet 14% Subterranean Assault 13% Crusher Stampede 12% Synaptic Nexus 10% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Biovores 92% Neurolictor 60% Neurotyrant 56% Norn Emissary 54% The Swarmlord 52% Lictor 52% Zoanthropes 51% Hormagaunts 49% Von Ryan’s Leapers 45% Maleceptor 42% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Chaos Space Marines Astra Militarum Space Marines T'au Empire Dark Angels Chaos Daemons Adepta Sororitas Emperor's Children 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Neurotyrant 69% 56% -12 -5.1
Unit The Swarmlord 42% 52% +10 +4.0
Enhancement Synaptoprescience 21% 30% +9 +4.2

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Assimilation Swarm + Talons of the Norn Queen2,000 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 5-1 · 81 players · 6 rounds · 1 Aug
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
Norn Assimilator + Synaptoprescience295
Norn Emissary + Destabilising Predation290
Norn Emissary + Destabilising Predation290
Norn Assimilator + Synaptoprescience275
Norn Emissary + Destabilising Predation270
Hive Tyrant + Instinctive Defense210
Psychophage110
3× Tyrant Guard80
Biovores60
Lictor60
Lictor60
Subterranean Assault1,995 pts
Disruption
4th place · record 5-1 · 73 players · 6 rounds · 25 Jul
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Swarmlord210Bone sabres, Synaptic pulse
Hyperadapted Raveners165Prime claws and talons, Ravener heavy claws and talons, Venom bolt
Hyperadapted Raveners165Prime claws and talons, Ravener heavy claws and talons, Venom bolt
The Red Terror130Gaping maw, Scything talons
Battleline
Hormagaunts70Hormagaunt talons
Hormagaunts70Hormagaunt talons
Other Units
Hive Guard160Chitinous claws and teeth, Shockcannon
Tyranid Warriors With Melee Bio-weapons150
Old One Eye140
Raveners125Ravener claws and talons
Carnifexes90Bio-plasma, Carnifex crushing claws, Chitinous claws and teeth, Heavy venom cannon, Spine banks
Zoanthropes90Chitinous claws and teeth, Warp Blast
Zoanthropes90Chitinous claws and teeth, Warp Blast
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip75Lash whip, Rending claw, Scything talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip75Lash whip, Rending claw, Scything talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip75Lash whip, Rending claw, Scything talons
Biovores60Chitin-barbed limbs, Spore Mine launcher
Von Ryan’s Leapers55Leaper’s talons

August balance & rules update (26 August)

50.6%win rate, rank 11 of 271,020 games278 lists from 273 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.96x entry sharegoing first 4.3 points better

Tyranids won 49.5% of 2,664 games in the 28 days before and 49.3% of 3,393 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 5.4% to 5.7%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 4% 0-20 22% 20-40 35% 40-60 24% 60-80 16% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 47% Disruption 26% Reconnaissance 18% Priority Assets 5% Purge the Foe 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Talons of the Norn Queen 40% Vanguard Onslaught 23% Ambush Predators 22% Assimilation Swarm 22% Subterranean Assault 14% Invasion Fleet 13% Crusher Stampede 12% Synaptic Nexus 11% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Biovores 88% Neurolictor 61% Neurotyrant 55% The Swarmlord 52% Hormagaunts 52% Zoanthropes 51% Norn Emissary 49% Lictor 46% Von Ryan’s Leapers 45% Maleceptor 44% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Chaos Space Marines Space Marines Emperor's Children Orks Necrons Chaos Daemons Dark Angels Imperial Knights 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Subterranean Assault2,000 pts
Disruption
183rd place · record 3-0 · 198 players · 8 rounds · 28 Aug
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Swarmlord210Bone sabres, Synaptic pulse
Hyperadapted Raveners165Prime claws and talons, Ravener heavy claws and talons, Venom bolt
Trygon + Trygon Prime160Bio-electric pulse, Trygon scything talons
The Red Terror130Gaping maw, Scything talons
Deathleaper80Lictor claws and talons
Battleline
Gargoyles80Blinding venom, Fleshborer
Hormagaunts70Hormagaunt talons
Hormagaunts70Hormagaunt talons
Other Units
Zoanthropes190Chitinous claws and teeth, Warp Blast
Neurotyrant + Tremor Senses150Neurotyrant claws and lashes, Psychic scream
Raveners125Ravener claws and talons
Raveners125Ravener claws and talons
Screamer-killer125
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip75Lash whip, Rending claw, Scything talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip75Lash whip, Rending claw, Scything talons
Biovores60Chitin-barbed limbs, Spore Mine launcher
Von Ryan’s Leapers55Leaper’s talons
Von Ryan’s Leapers55Leaper’s talons
Assimilation Swarm + Talons of the Norn Queen1,990 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 4-1 · 99 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
6 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Red Terror130Gaping maw, Scything talons
Other Units
Norn Assimilator + Synaptoprescience295Monstrous scything talons, Toxinjector Harpoon
Norn Assimilator + Synaptoprescience275Monstrous scything talons, Toxinjector Harpoon
Norn Emissary + Destabilising Predation270Monstrous rending claws, Monstrous scything talons, Psychic Tendril
Hive Tyrant + Parasitic Biomorphology220Monstrous bonesword and lash whip, Monstrous scything talons
The Swarmlord210Bone sabres, Synaptic pulse
Tyrant Guard160Bone cleaver, lash whip and rending claws
Tyrant Guard80Bone cleaver, lash whip and rending claws
Neurolictor80Piercing claws and talons
Neurolictor80Piercing claws and talons
Pyrovores65Chitin-barbed limbs, Flamespurt
Pyrovores65Chitin-barbed limbs, Flamespurt
Biovores60Chitin-barbed limbs, Spore Mine launcher

Orks codex (5 September)

50.4%win rate, rank 10 of 283,727 games1,061 lists from 913 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.00x entry sharegoing first 1.5 points better

Tyranids won 49.8% of 3,041 games in the 28 days before and 50.4% of 3,727 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 5.6% to 5.7%.

One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Lictor (50% to 41%).

Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 1% 0-20 18% 20-40 35% 40-60 29% 60-80 16% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 50% Disruption 25% Reconnaissance 18% Purge the Foe 4% Priority Assets 3% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Talons of the Norn Queen 37% Assimilation Swarm 23% Vanguard Onslaught 22% Ambush Predators 20% Invasion Fleet 17% Subterranean Assault 16% Crusher Stampede 9% Synaptic Nexus 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Biovores 91% Neurolictor 58% The Swarmlord 54% Hormagaunts 50% Von Ryan’s Leapers 50% Norn Emissary 48% Zoanthropes 47% Neurotyrant 45% Tyrannofex 45% Maleceptor 45% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Blood Angels Astra Militarum Drukhari Genestealer Cult Adepta Sororitas Chaos Knights Chaos Daemons Adeptus Custodes 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Lictor 50% 41% -10 -4.3

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Ambush Predators + Vanguard Onslaught2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 60 players · 5 rounds · 5 Sep
86 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Swarmlord210Bone sabres, Synaptic pulse
The Red Terror130Gaping maw, Scything talons
Deathleaper80Lictor claws and talons
Battleline
Hormagaunts70Hormagaunt talons
Other Units
Zoanthropes190Chitinous claws and teeth, Warp Blast
Hyperadapted Raveners165Prime claws and talons, Ravener heavy claws and talons, Venom bolt
Genestealers140Genestealers claws and talons
Genestealers140Genestealers claws and talons
Raveners125Ravener claws and talons
Von Ryan’s Leapers + Cryptophotaic Camouflage105Leaper’s talons
Neurolictor + Encircling Horrors100Piercing claws and talons
Neurolictor + Encircling Horrors100Piercing claws and talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip + Neuronode95Rending claw, Scything talons
Broodlord80
Broodlord80
Von Ryan’s Leapers + Cryptophotaic Camouflage70Leaper’s talons
Biovores60Chitin-barbed limbs, Spore Mine launcher
Lictor60
Invasion Fleet2,000 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 5-1 · 106 players · 6 rounds · 11 Sep
11 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Hive Tyrant195Monstrous bonesword and lash whip, Heavy venom cannon
Battleline
Hormagaunts70Hormagaunt talons
Hormagaunts70Hormagaunt talons
Other Units
Tyrannofex190Powerful limbs, Stinger salvoes, Rupture cannon
Tyrannofex190Powerful limbs, Stinger salvoes, Rupture cannon
Hyperadapted Raveners165Prime claws and talons, Ravener heavy claws and talons, Venom bolt
Hyperadapted Raveners165Prime claws and talons, Ravener heavy claws and talons, Venom bolt
Exocrine145Bio-plasmic cannon, Powerful limbs
Exocrine135Bio-plasmic cannon, Powerful limbs
Exocrine135Bio-plasmic cannon, Powerful limbs
Raveners125Ravener claws and talons
Raveners125Ravener claws and talons
Neurolictor80Piercing claws and talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip75Lash whip, Rending claw, Scything talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip75Lash whip, Rending claw, Scything talons
Biovores60Chitin-barbed limbs, Spore mine launcher

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)

49.6%win rate, rank 12 of 271,225 games366 lists from 348 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.00x entry sharegoing first 3.1 points worse

Tyranids won 50.4% of 3,727 games in the 28 days before and 49.1% of 2,559 in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 5.7% to 5.1%.

One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Subterranean Assault (16% to 31%).

4 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Trygon (15% to 28%), Genestealers (37% to 27%) and Maleceptor (45% to 54%).

One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Trygon Prime (9% to 21%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 1% 0-20 8% 20-40 42% 40-60 39% 60-80 8% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 43% Reconnaissance 27% Disruption 20% Priority Assets 5% Purge the Foe 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Talons of the Norn Queen 31% Subterranean Assault 28% Assimilation Swarm 19% Invasion Fleet 17% Ambush Predators 14% Vanguard Onslaught 13% Crusher Stampede 10% Synaptic Nexus 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Biovores 90% The Swarmlord 56% Neurolictor 54% Zoanthropes 53% Von Ryan’s Leapers 52% Maleceptor 50% Neurotyrant 47% Hormagaunts 46% The Red Terror 46% Hyperadapted Raveners 45% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Chaos Space Marines Astra Militarum Emperor's Children Necrons Orks Dark Angels Imperial Knights Chaos Daemons 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Subterranean Assault 16% 31% +15 +7.7
Unit Trygon 15% 28% +13 +6.9
Enhancement Trygon Prime 9% 21% +12 +7.0
Unit Genestealers 37% 27% -10 -4.4
Unit Maleceptor 45% 54% +9 +4.0
Unit Broodlord 34% 25% -9 -4.2

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Subterranean Assault2,000 pts
Disruption
Won the event · record 5-0 · 26 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
19 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Swarmlord210Bone sabres, Synaptic pulse
Trygon + Trygon Prime155Bio-electric pulse, Trygon scything talons
The Red Terror120Gaping maw, Scything talons
Battleline
Hormagaunts70Hormagaunt talons
Hormagaunts70Hormagaunt talons
Other Units
Zoanthropes190Chitinous claws and teeth, Warp Blast
Hyperadapted Raveners + Synaptic Strategy180Prime claws and talons, Ravener heavy claws and talons, Venom bolt
Maleceptor180Massive scything talons, Psychic overload
Maleceptor180Massive scything talons, Psychic overload
Raveners125Ravener claws and talons
Neurotyrant120Psychic scream
Neurolictor80Piercing claws and talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip75Rending claw, Scything talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip75Rending claw, Scything talons
Biovores60Chitin-barbed limbs, Spore Mine launcher
Von Ryan’s Leapers55Leaper’s talons
Von Ryan’s Leapers55Leaper’s talons
Invasion Fleet1,990 pts
Priority Assets
3rd place · record 4-1 · 50 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Hive Tyrant + Adaptive Biology220Monstrous bonesword and lash whip, Monstrous scything talons
Hyperadapted Raveners180Perfectly Adapted, Prime claws and talons, Ravener heavy claws and talons, Venom bolt
The Red Terror120Gaping maw, Scything talons
Battleline
Hormagaunts70Hormagaunt talons
Hormagaunts70Hormagaunt talons
Hormagaunts70Hormagaunt talons
Other Units
Tyrannofex190Powerful limbs, Rupture cannon, Stinger salvoes, Acid spray
Maleceptor180Massive scything talons, Psychic overload
Maleceptor180Massive scything talons, Psychic overload
Tyrannofex180Powerful limbs, Rupture cannon, Stinger salvoes, Acid spray
Exocrine135Bio-plasmic cannon, Powerful limbs
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip75Lash whip, Rending claw, Scything talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip75Lash whip, Rending claw, Scything talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip75Lash whip, Rending claw, Scything talons
Biovores60Chitin-barbed limbs, Spore mine launcher
Von Ryan’s Leapers55
Von Ryan’s Leapers55

Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)

48.7%win rate, rank 15 of 271,334 games423 lists from 409 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.98x entry sharegoing first 7.6 points better

Tyranids won 50.8% of 3,248 games in the 28 days before and 48.7% of 1,334 in the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 5.5% to 5.0%.

One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Subterranean Assault (20% to 32%).

One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: The Red Terror (44% to 56%).

Nothing clear turned up in enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 4% 0-20 15% 20-40 30% 40-60 30% 60-80 20% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 38% Reconnaissance 37% Disruption 14% Priority Assets 7% Purge the Foe 3% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Subterranean Assault 32% Talons of the Norn Queen 28% Invasion Fleet 17% Vanguard Onslaught 15% Assimilation Swarm 14% Ambush Predators 13% Crusher Stampede 10% Synaptic Nexus 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Biovores 93% The Swarmlord 59% Von Ryan’s Leapers 59% Maleceptor 58% The Red Terror 56% Neurolictor 55% Zoanthropes 54% Hormagaunts 52% Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip 50% Hyperadapted Raveners 49% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against T'au Empire Emperor's Children Chaos Space Marines Necrons World Eaters Orks Leagues of Votann Adeptus Custodes 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Subterranean Assault 20% 32% +12 +4.8
Unit The Red Terror 44% 56% +12 +4.1

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Subterranean Assault2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 35 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
The Swarmlord210Bone sabres, Synaptic pulse
Trygon + Trygon Prime155Bio-electric pulse, Trygon scything talons
The Red Terror120Gaping maw, Scything talons
Other Units
Maleceptor180Massive scything talons, Psychic overload
Maleceptor180Massive scything talons, Psychic overload
Tyrannofex180Acid spray, Powerful limbs, Stinger salvoes
Hyperadapted Raveners165Prime claws and talons, Ravener heavy claws and talons, Venom bolt
Tyranid Warriors With Melee Bio-weapons150
Raveners125Ravener claws and talons
Haruspex125Grasping tongue, Ravenous maw, Shovelling claws
Raveners125Ravener claws and talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip + Synaptic Strategy90Lash whip, Rending claw, Scything talons
Neurolictor80Piercing claws and talons
Biovores60Chitin-barbed limbs, Spore Mine launcher
Von Ryan’s Leapers55Leaper’s talons
Invasion Fleet2,000 pts
Take and Hold
2nd place · record 5-0 · 105 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Hive Tyrant + Adaptive Biology220Heavy venom cannon, Monstrous bonesword and lash whip
Hyperadapted Raveners + Perfectly Adapted180Prime claws and talons, Ravener heavy claws and talons, Venom bolt
Battleline
Hormagaunts70Hormagaunt talons
Hormagaunts70Hormagaunt talons
Other Units
Norn Emissary250Monstrous rending claws, Monstrous scything talons, Psychic Tendril
Maleceptor190Massive scything talons, Psychic overload
Maleceptor180Massive scything talons, Psychic overload
Maleceptor180Massive scything talons, Psychic overload
Tyrannofex180Acid spray, Powerful limbs, Stinger salvoes
Exocrine135Bio-plasmic cannon, Powerful limbs
Neurolictor80Piercing claws and talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip75Rending claw, Scything talons
Tyranid Prime with Lash Whip75Rending claw, Scything talons
Biovores60Chitin-barbed limbs, Spore Mine launcher
Von Ryan’s Leapers55Leaper’s talons

Space Wolves

Whole edition

49.1%win rate, rank 15 of 286,520 games1,868 lists from 1,160 playerstop-10% finishes 0.83x entry sharegoing first 2.0 points better48.7% adjusted for player skill

Champions of Fenris lists have a win rate 7.6 points below the faction average and make up 7% of the faction's lists. The pairing Champions of Fenris + Saga of the Beastslayer has a win rate 16.0 points below the faction average (34 lists). Space Wolves won 49.1% of 6,520 games, rank 15 of 28. Legends of Saga and Song went from 72% to 8% of the faction's lists over the last 28 days compared with the 28 before. Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles is in 4% of lists, and lists with it have a win rate 9.0 points above comparable lists.

Force Disposition

Priority Assets has a win rate 8.3 points below the faction's other choices.

Disposition Share of games Games Win rate Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Take and Hold 68% 3,899 51.1% +2.0 ± 0.8
Purge the Foe 17% 984 48.1% -0.9 ± 1.7
Disruption 8% 454 42.5% -6.5 ± 2.5
Priority Assets 5% 284 40.7% -8.3 ± 2.7
Reconnaissance 2% 131 50.0% n/a

Detachments

13 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 4 of them account for 80% of picks. The most played is Saga of the Great Wolf (53% of lists), and 80% of lists run more than one detachment. One detachment differs from the faction average. Weakest: Champions of Fenris (7.6 points below the faction average, 7% of lists).

Detachment Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z P1 P2 P3 P4
Saga of the Great Wolf 997 53% +1.3 ± 0.8 +1.6 44% 58% 56% 53%
Legends of Saga and Song 951 51% +1.6 ± 0.8 +2.1 48% 70% 72% 5%
Saga of the Beastslayer 550 29% +0.8 ± 1.1 +0.7 26% 23% 26% 43%
Veterans of the Fang 159 9% -4.6 ± 2.1 -2.1 14% 10% 9% 1%
Assault Brethren 141 8% +3.2 ± 2.0 +1.6 0% 0% 0% 32%
Stormlance Task Force 137 7% +2.4 ± 2.2 +1.1 5% 2% 2% 22%
Champions of Fenris 132 7% -7.6 ± 2.1 -3.6 8% 7% 7% 7%
Terminator Storm Force 62 3% +0.4 ± 3.3 +0.1 0% 0% 0% 14%
Saga of the Hunter 49 3% -9.2 ± 3.8 -2.4 3% 4% 3% 1%
Librarius Conclave 38 2% +3.4 ± 4.1 +0.8 5% 2% 2% 0%
Bastion Task Force 27 1% +6.0 ± 4.6 +1.3 2% 2% 2% 0%
Ironstorm Spearhead 21 1% -11.8 ± 6.9 -1.7 2% 1% 1% 1%
Gladius Task Force 16 1% -2.1 ± 6.2 -0.3 2% 1% 1% 0%

Combinations

14 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common is Legends of Saga and Song + Saga of the Great Wolf (581 lists, 31%). Weakest: Champions of Fenris + Saga of the Beastslayer (16.0 points below the faction average).

Combination Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Legends of Saga and Song + Saga of the Great Wolf 581 31% +2.0 ± 1.1 +1.9
Legends of Saga and Song + Saga of the Beastslayer 247 13% +1.9 ± 1.7 +1.1
Champions of Fenris + Saga of the Great Wolf 66 4% -6.9 ± 3.0 -2.4
Saga of the Great Wolf + Veterans of the Fang 65 3% -1.3 ± 3.3 -0.4
Assault Brethren + Saga of the Beastslayer + Stormlance Task Force 58 3% +8.6 ± 2.9 +2.9
Assault Brethren + Saga of the Great Wolf 50 3% +3.3 ± 4.2 +0.8
Saga of the Beastslayer + Saga of the Great Wolf 46 2% -1.6 ± 4.2 -0.4
Saga of the Beastslayer + Veterans of the Fang 43 2% -11.1 ± 4.2 -2.6
Champions of Fenris + Saga of the Beastslayer 34 2% -16.0 ± 4.3 -3.8

Units

A typical list contains 11 distinct units. 5 units appear in at least half of all lists and 28 in at least 10%. The most common is Logan Grimnar (86% of lists).

Of 64 units in 40 or more lists, 4 have a clear effect on results (4 positive, 0 negative). Best: Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles (9.0 points above comparable lists, 4% of lists), Impulsor (6.6 points above comparable lists, 9% of lists), Terminator Assault Squad (3.9 points above comparable lists, 20% of lists) and Scout Squad (2.7 points above comparable lists, 37% of lists). Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles and Impulsor are in under 10% of lists but have a win rate above the faction average.

Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -10 0 +10 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Company Heroes Eradicator Squad with Me Impulsor Terminator Assault Squad Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -10 0 +10 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Champions of Fenris

Most played units

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Logan Grimnar 1,597 85.5% +0.7 ± 0.6 +1.2
Wolf Guard Terminators 1,544 82.7% +0.0 ± 0.6 +0.0
Bjorn The Fell-handed 1,340 71.7% +0.1 ± 0.7 +0.1
Arjac Rockfist 1,163 62.3% +0.2 ± 0.7 +0.2
Wolf Guard Headtakers 1,062 56.9% -0.5 ± 0.7 -0.7
Wolf Guard Battle Leader 921 49.3% +0.2 ± 0.8 +0.2
Intercessor Squad 778 41.6% +0.6 ± 0.8 +0.7
Thunderwolf Cavalry 698 37.4% -0.8 ± 0.9 -0.8
Blood Claws 692 37.0% -0.7 ± 0.9 -0.8
Scout Squad 689 36.9% +2.7 ± 0.9 +3.2
Wulfen with Storm Shields 649 34.7% -0.2 ± 0.9 -0.2
Ragnar Blackmane 629 33.7% -0.1 ± 1.0 -0.1

Other units with a clear effect

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 82 4.4% +9.0 ± 2.8 +3.2
Impulsor 177 9.5% +6.6 ± 1.8 +3.6
Terminator Assault Squad 379 20.3% +3.9 ± 1.3 +3.1

Pick-rate shifts

Type Name First period Prior 28 days Last 28 days Change vs first period (pp) Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Detachment Legends of Saga and Song 48% 72% 8% -40 -64
Unit Bjorn The Fell-handed 83% 88% 32% -51 -55
Unit Arjac Rockfist 60% 74% 35% -25 -40
Enhancement Fierce Example 17% 44% 5% -12 -39
Unit Intercessor Squad 49% 50% 17% -32 -33
Unit Wolf Guard Terminators 87% 92% 60% -27 -32
Detachment Assault Brethren 0% 0% 30% +30 +30
Unit Wolf Guard Headtakers 68% 63% 40% -28 -23
Enhancement Wolf-Touched 1% 0% 29% +28 +28
Enhancement Furious Assault 0% 0% 28% +28 +28
Unit Terminator Assault Squad 9% 19% 36% +27 +17
Unit Ancient In Terminator Armour 2% 5% 28% +26 +23

Matchups

Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Astra Militarum (60.0% over 245 games) and the worst is Chaos Daemons (42.1% over 233).

Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Astra Militarum 245 60.0% 53.8% to 65.9% 58.6% +1.4 favourable
Grey Knights 184 55.7% 48.5% to 62.7% 51.9% +3.8
Chaos Space Marines 309 55.0% 49.4% to 60.5% 51.9% +3.1
Space Marines 565 54.6% 50.5% to 58.7% 50.4% +4.2 favourable
Chaos Knights 169 53.8% 46.3% to 61.2% 52.2% +1.7
Adeptus Custodes 414 44.9% 40.2% to 49.7% 44.9% +0.1 unfavourable
Dark Angels 300 44.8% 39.3% to 50.5% 45.6% -0.8
Orks 442 44.1% 39.6% to 48.8% 43.8% +0.3 unfavourable
Deathwatch 49 42.9% 30.0% to 56.7% 45.3% -2.5
Chaos Daemons 233 42.1% 35.9% to 48.5% 44.3% -2.3 unfavourable
Imperial Agents 21 28.6% 13.8% to 50.0% 55.4% -26.8 unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 16 more rows
Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Aeldari 170 52.1% 44.6% to 59.4% 53.4% -1.4
Genestealer Cult 88 51.7% 41.4% to 61.9% 51.5% +0.2
Blood Angels 219 51.1% 44.6% to 57.7% 53.0% -1.9
Adeptus Mechanicus 149 50.3% 42.4% to 58.3% 48.5% +1.9
Leagues of Votann 191 50.3% 43.2% to 57.3% 47.2% +3.0
Adepta Sororitas 151 50.0% 42.1% to 57.9% 48.7% +1.3
Imperial Knights 256 49.2% 43.2% to 55.3% 50.5% -1.2
Thousand Sons 199 48.7% 41.9% to 55.6% 48.7% +0.1
World Eaters 292 48.6% 43.0% to 54.3% 49.1% -0.5
Tyranids 392 48.5% 43.6% to 53.4% 49.2% -0.7
Black Templars 96 48.4% 38.7% to 58.3% 53.8% -5.3
Drukhari 157 47.5% 39.8% to 55.2% 52.1% -4.7
Death Guard 266 47.4% 41.4% to 53.4% 50.9% -3.5
Necrons 393 46.9% 42.1% to 51.9% 47.6% -0.6
Emperor's Children 255 46.7% 40.6% to 52.8% 47.7% -1.0
T'au Empire 315 45.9% 40.5% to 51.4% 47.3% -1.4

Over time

Share of games per week (%) 2.5 3 3.5 3.5 2.6 Jul Aug Sep Oct Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval 40 50 51.2 45.3 Jul Aug Sep Oct
Period Lists Share of all lists Games Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul 389 2.5% 1,334 47.5%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug 473 2.6% 1,616 50.6%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct 563 2.4% 2,076 48.2%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct 443 2.9% 1,494 50.2%

Around each milestone, 28 days before and after

Milestone Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul) 1,121 / 1,272 47.9% to 51.4% +3.5 +1.7 2.5% to 2.5%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug) 1,261 / 1,509 49.8% to 48.7% -1.1 -0.6 2.6% to 2.6%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep) 1,426 / 1,602 49.4% to 48.0% -1.4 -0.8 2.6% to 2.5%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct) 1,602 / 1,494 48.0% to 50.2% +2.2 +1.2 2.5% to 3.0%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data 1,507 / 841 49.3% to 49.7% +0.4 +0.2 2.5% to 3.1%

Results brackets

206 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 20 won X, 58 won X-1 and 128 won X-2, from 491 entries.

Share of players by share of games won 4% 0-20 15% 20-40 33% 40-60 32% 60-80 15% 80-100 line = all factions Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2 2.9% X 2.7% X-1 3.0% X-2 dashed = share of entries, 2.9%
Bracket tables
Tier Lists Share of tier Share of entries Ratio z
X 20 2.9% 2.9% 1.02x +0.1
X-1 58 2.7% 2.9% 0.95x -0.4
X-2 128 3.0% 2.9% 1.05x +0.5
X to X-2 206 2.9% 2.9% 1.02x +0.2
Share of games won Players Share of players All players
0 to 20% 16 3.7% 4.1%
20 to 40% 66 15.3% 17.2%
40 to 60% 144 33.3% 32.2%
60 to 80% 140 32.4% 30.1%
80 to 100% 66 15.3% 16.4%

Enhancements

19 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Fierce Example (28% of lists).

Enhancement table
Enhancement Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Fierce Example 521 28% +0.7 ± 1.0 +0.7
Skjald's Foretelling 333 18% -0.2 ± 1.3 -0.2
Thirst for Glory 307 16% +1.6 ± 1.3 +1.2
Grimnar's Mark 252 13% +3.6 ± 1.5 +2.4
Chariots of the Storm 152 8% -3.1 ± 2.1 -1.5
Wolf-Touched 141 8% +4.5 ± 2.2 +2.1
Wolf-touched 141 8% -0.7 ± 2.0 -0.4
Furious Assault 128 7% +3.1 ± 2.3 +1.4

By terrain layout, Layout C (+5.1 points over 859 games) differs from the faction average. Each extra 2.5 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 3.6 points lower; the average list has 11.2. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, milestone moves, enhancement effects and results brackets.

Representative lists

Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties, and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.

Legends of Saga and Song + Saga of the Great Wolf2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 6-0 · 83 players · 6 rounds · 8 Aug
13 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Bjorn The Fell-handed160
Other Units
Wolf Guard Terminators + Fierce Example360Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield
Wolf Guard Terminators + Fierce Example360Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield
Wolf Guard Terminators + Fierce Example350Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield
Land Raider Redeemer250Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon
Captain In Terminator Armour105
Logan Grimnar100Axe Morkai, Storm bolter, Tyrnak and Fenrir
Arjac Rockfist95Foehammer
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs85
Outrider Squad70Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Twin bolt rifle
Scout Squad65Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Missile launcher, Scout sniper rifle
Saga of the Beastslayer2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 6-0 · 77 players · 6 rounds · 25 Sep
Show list
Characters
Bjorn The Fell-handed160
Battleline
Blood Claws270Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol
Blood Claws270Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol
Grey Hunters165Bolt carbine, Bolt pistol, Power fist, Astartes chainsword
Blood Claws135Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol
Intercessor Squad80Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Other Units
Wolf Guard Terminators175Relic greataxe, Master-crafted power weapon, Storm Shield
Wulfen170Death Totem, Wulfen weapons
Wulfen170Death Totem, Wulfen weapons
Logan Grimnar100Axe Morkai, Storm bolter, Tyrnak and Fenrir
Ragnar Blackmane90Bolt Pistol, Frostfang
Wolf Guard Battle Leader + Helm of the Beastslayer80Master-crafted power weapon, Storm Shield
Ulrik The Slayer70
Wolf Guard Battle Leader + Helm of the Beastslayer65Master-crafted power weapon, Storm Shield

Team events

48.8%win rate in team events770 games194 lists from 175 players-0.4 points against individual eventsgoing first 5.7 points better

Space Wolves won 48.8% of 770 team event games, against 49.2% of 5,750 in individual events: 0.4 points lower (not clear). It makes up 1.6% of team event games and 2.8% of individual event games.

Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 59% Disruption 18% Purge the Foe 15% Priority Assets 4% Reconnaissance 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments share win rate Legends of Saga and Song 45% Saga of the Great Wolf 45% Saga of the Beastslayer 27% Stormlance Task Force 12% Veterans of the Fang 9% Assault Brethren 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups win rate against Death Guard Astra Militarum Thousand Sons Chaos Daemons World Eaters Adepta Sororitas Dark Angels Emperor's Children 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events. Dashed: team events win rate.

Milestones

5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after, with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.

July balance & rules update (22 July)

51.4%win rate, rank 10 of 281,272 games367 lists from 314 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.12x entry sharegoing first 4.6 points better

Space Wolves won 47.9% of 1,121 games in the 28 days before and 51.4% of 1,272 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.5% to 2.5%.

3 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Fierce Example (18% to 41%), Thirst for Glory (9% to 26%) and Grimnar's Mark (10% to 24%).

Nothing clear turned up in detachments and units.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 5% 0-20 15% 20-40 29% 40-60 31% 60-80 20% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 69% Purge the Foe 14% Disruption 9% Priority Assets 5% Reconnaissance 3% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Legends of Saga and Song 69% Saga of the Great Wolf 59% Saga of the Beastslayer 22% Veterans of the Fang 11% Champions of Fenris 7% Saga of the Hunter 4% Librarius Conclave 3% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Wolf Guard Terminators 93% Logan Grimnar 89% Bjorn The Fell-handed 84% Arjac Rockfist 76% Wolf Guard Headtakers 58% Intercessor Squad 50% Wolf Guard Battle Leader 47% Blood Claws 36% Scout Squad 36% Ragnar Blackmane 33% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Thousand Sons Space Marines World Eaters Astra Militarum Adeptus Custodes Chaos Daemons Dark Angels Orks 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Enhancement Fierce Example 18% 41% +23 +6.5
Enhancement Thirst for Glory 9% 26% +17 +5.7
Enhancement Grimnar's Mark 10% 24% +14 +4.8

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Legends of Saga and Song + Saga of the Great Wolf2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 6-0 · 83 players · 6 rounds · 8 Aug
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Bjorn The Fell-handed160
Other Units
Wolf Guard Terminators + Fierce Example360Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield
Wolf Guard Terminators + Fierce Example360Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield
Wolf Guard Terminators + Fierce Example350Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield
Land Raider Redeemer250Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon
Captain In Terminator Armour105
Logan Grimnar100Axe Morkai, Storm bolter, Tyrnak and Fenrir
Arjac Rockfist95Foehammer
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs85
Outrider Squad70Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol, Twin bolt rifle
Scout Squad65Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Missile launcher, Scout sniper rifle
Legends of Saga and Song + Saga of the Great Wolf2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 6-0 · 73 players · 6 rounds · 25 Jul
19 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Bjorn The Fell-handed160
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon + Chariots of the Storm120Paired combat blades
Other Units
Wolf Guard Terminators + Fierce Example355Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield, Storm bolter
Wolf Guard Terminators + Fierce Example355Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield, Storm bolter
Wolf Guard Terminators + Fierce Example350Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield, Storm bolter
Land Raider Redeemer250Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon
Infiltrator Squad110Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Marksman bolt carbine, Helix Gauntlet, Infiltrator Comms Array
Captain In Terminator Armour105
Logan Grimnar100Axe Morkai, Storm bolter, Tyrnak and Fenrir
Arjac Rockfist95Foehammer

August balance & rules update (26 August)

49.1%win rate, rank 13 of 27474 games124 lists from 122 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.74x entry sharegoing first 1.1 points better

Space Wolves won 49.8% of 1,261 games in the 28 days before and 48.7% of 1,509 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.6% to 2.6%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 63% Purge the Foe 24% Disruption 10% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Legends of Saga and Song 73% Saga of the Great Wolf 53% Saga of the Beastslayer 31% Champions of Fenris 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Wolf Guard Terminators 89% Bjorn The Fell-handed 86% Logan Grimnar 85% Arjac Rockfist 77% Wolf Guard Headtakers 60% Wolf Guard Battle Leader 56% Intercessor Squad 48% Blood Claws 44% Ragnar Blackmane 38% Scout Squad 34% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Legends of Saga and Song + Saga of the Beastslayer2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 6-0 · 64 players · 6 rounds · 29 Aug
Show list
Characters
Bjorn The Fell-handed160
Techmarine55Forge bolter, Grav-pistol, Omnissian power axe, Servo-arm
Battleline
Blood Claws135Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol
Other Units
Wolf Guard Terminators + Thirst for Glory350Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield
Redemptor Dreadnought205Icarus rocket pod, Macro plasma incinerator, Onslaught gatling cannon, Redemptor fist, Twin storm bolter
Wulfen with Storm Shields200Stormfrag auto-launcher, Thunder hammer
Wolf Guard Terminators + Thirst for Glory165Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield
Venerable Dreadnought125Blizzard Shield, Fenrisian great axe, Heavy flamer
Venerable Dreadnought125Blizzard Shield, Fenrisian great axe, Heavy flamer
Thunderwolf Cavalry115Storm Shield, Teeth and Claws, Wolf Guard weapon
Logan Grimnar100Axe Morkai, Storm bolter, Tyrnak and Fenrir
Arjac Rockfist95Foehammer
Ragnar Blackmane90Bolt Pistol, Frostfang
Wolf Guard Battle Leader + Wolf-touched80Storm Shield, Thunder hammer
Legends of Saga and Song + Saga of the Great Wolf2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 3-0 · 40 players · 3 rounds · 29 Aug
Show list
Characters
Bjorn The Fell-handed160
Battleline
Intercessor Squad80Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Close combat weapon
Other Units
Wolf Guard Terminators + Thirst for Glory360Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield
Wolf Guard Terminators + Thirst for Glory360Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield
Repulsor Executioner240Armoured hull, Heavy laser destroyer, Heavy onslaught gatling cannon, Icarus rocket pod, Ironhail heavy stubber ...
Wolf Guard Headtakers170Heavy bolt pistol, Paired master‑crafted power weapons
Venerable Dreadnought125Blizzard Shield, Fenrisian great axe, Heavy flamer
Infiltrator Squad110Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Marksman bolt carbine, Helix Gauntlet, Infiltrator Comms Array
Logan Grimnar100Axe Morkai, Storm bolter, Tyrnak and Fenrir
Arjac Rockfist95Foehammer
Wolf Guard Battle Leader + Skjald's Foretelling90Storm Shield, Thunder hammer
Scout Squad65Bolt pistol, Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Fenrisian Wolves45Fenrisian Wolf, Teeth and claws

Orks codex (5 September)

48.0%win rate, rank 16 of 281,602 games439 lists from 393 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.03x entry sharegoing first 2.8 points better

Space Wolves won 49.4% of 1,426 games in the 28 days before and 48.0% of 1,602 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.6% to 2.5%.

One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Grimnar's Mark (24% to 13%).

Nothing clear turned up in detachments and units.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 1% 0-20 14% 20-40 37% 40-60 29% 60-80 19% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 75% Purge the Foe 9% Disruption 8% Priority Assets 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Legends of Saga and Song 72% Saga of the Great Wolf 57% Saga of the Beastslayer 25% Veterans of the Fang 10% Champions of Fenris 7% Saga of the Hunter 3% Stormlance Task Force 2% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Wolf Guard Terminators 92% Logan Grimnar 89% Bjorn The Fell-handed 88% Arjac Rockfist 75% Wolf Guard Headtakers 63% Wolf Guard Battle Leader 51% Intercessor Squad 51% Scout Squad 41% Blood Claws 41% Ragnar Blackmane 38% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Grey Knights Astra Militarum Chaos Space Marines Adeptus Mechanicus Emperor's Children Chaos Knights Chaos Daemons Adeptus Custodes 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Enhancement Grimnar's Mark 24% 13% -11 -4.1

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Saga of the Beastslayer2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 6-0 · 77 players · 6 rounds · 25 Sep
Show list
Characters
Bjorn The Fell-handed160
Battleline
Blood Claws270Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol
Blood Claws270Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol
Grey Hunters165Bolt carbine, Bolt pistol, Power fist, Astartes chainsword
Blood Claws135Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol
Intercessor Squad80Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Other Units
Wolf Guard Terminators175Relic greataxe, Master-crafted power weapon, Storm Shield
Wulfen170Death Totem, Wulfen weapons
Wulfen170Death Totem, Wulfen weapons
Logan Grimnar100Axe Morkai, Storm bolter, Tyrnak and Fenrir
Ragnar Blackmane90Bolt Pistol, Frostfang
Wolf Guard Battle Leader + Helm of the Beastslayer80Master-crafted power weapon, Storm Shield
Ulrik The Slayer70
Wolf Guard Battle Leader + Helm of the Beastslayer65Master-crafted power weapon, Storm Shield
Space Wolves2,000 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 6-1 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
Show list
Characters
Captain In Terminator Armour110
Other Units
Terminator Assault Squad + Thirst for Glory375Storm Shield, Thunder hammer
Wolf Guard Terminators + Thirst for Glory360Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield
Land Raider Redeemer260Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon
Land Raider Redeemer260Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon
Wolf Guard Terminators + Thirst for Glory185Relic greataxe, Assault cannon, Master-crafted power weapon, Power fist, Storm Shield
logan grimnar (greiner fjall100
Arjac Rockfist95Foehammer
Wolf Scouts90Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Combat blade, Haywire Mine, Plasma gun, Runic stave, Thunderclap, Teeth and claws
Wolf Scouts90Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Combat blade, Haywire Mine, Plasma gun, Runic stave, Thunderclap, Teeth and claws
Chaplain In Terminator Armour75

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)

50.8%win rate, rank 11 of 27653 games193 lists from 189 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.09x entry sharegoing first 6.0 points worse

Space Wolves won 48.0% of 1,602 games in the 28 days before and 50.2% of 1,494 in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 2.5% to 3.0%.

6 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Legends of Saga and Song (72% to 5%), Assault Brethren (0% to 32%) and Stormlance Task Force (2% to 22%).

22 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Bjorn The Fell-handed (88% to 30%), Arjac Rockfist (75% to 32%) and Intercessor Squad (51% to 15%).

7 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Fierce Example (45% to 3%), Wolf-Touched (0% to 30%) and Furious Assault (0% to 29%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 6% 0-20 14% 20-40 28% 40-60 36% 60-80 17% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 67% Purge the Foe 20% Priority Assets 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Saga of the Great Wolf 56% Saga of the Beastslayer 40% Stormlance Task Force 16% Legends of Saga and Song 11% Champions of Fenris 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Logan Grimnar 81% Wolf Guard Terminators 62% Thunderwolf Cavalry 47% Wolf Guard Battle Leader 45% Grey Hunters 42% Wolf Guard Headtakers 39% Arjac Rockfist 39% Wulfen with Storm Shields 36% Bjorn The Fell-handed 33% Terminator Assault Squad 33% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Space Marines Dark Angels Orks 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Legends of Saga and Song 72% 5% -67 -20.6
Unit Bjorn The Fell-handed 88% 30% -58 -17.5
Unit Arjac Rockfist 75% 32% -43 -12.7
Enhancement Fierce Example 45% 3% -42 -14.5
Unit Intercessor Squad 51% 15% -35 -11.2
Unit Wolf Guard Terminators 92% 58% -34 -11.6
Detachment Assault Brethren 0% 32% +32 +12.9
Enhancement Wolf-Touched 0% 30% +30 +12.2
All 35 shifts: 27 more rows
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Enhancement Furious Assault 0% 29% +29 +12.2
Enhancement Imperium's Sword 0% 25% +25 +11.3
Enhancement Thirst for Glory 26% 1% -25 -11.0
Unit Ancient In Terminator Armour 5% 29% +24 +9.5
Unit Wolf Guard Headtakers 63% 39% -24 -7.1
Unit Grey Hunters 18% 42% +24 +7.7
Unit Thunderwolf Cavalry 31% 53% +22 +6.6
Detachment Stormlance Task Force 2% 22% +20 +9.1
Unit Land Raider Redeemer 27% 8% -19 -7.3
Unit Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 0% 19% +19 +9.5
Unit Ragnar Blackmane 38% 20% -18 -5.9
Unit Terminator Assault Squad 19% 37% +18 +5.9
Detachment Saga of the Beastslayer 25% 43% +18 +5.6
Unit Blood Claws 41% 24% -17 -5.3
Unit Outrider Squad 3% 19% +16 +7.6
Unit Impulsor 7% 23% +15 +6.4
Detachment Terminator Storm Force 0% 14% +14 +8.1
Unit Captain on Bike 0% 14% +14 +8.1
Unit Bladeguard Veteran Squad 3% 16% +14 +6.9
Unit Chaplain On Bike 0% 14% +13 +7.7
Unit Terminator Squad 5% 17% +12 +5.8
Enhancement Champion of the First Company 0% 11% +11 +7.2
Enhancement Grimnar's Mark 13% 4% -10 -5.1
Unit Iron Priest 15% 5% -9 -4.6
Unit Infiltrator Squad 13% 3% -9 -5.0
Unit Bladeguard Ancient 0% 9% +9 +6.3
Detachment Veterans of the Fang 10% 1% -9 -5.9

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Saga of the Beastslayer + Stormlance Task Force2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 30 players · 5 rounds · 3 Oct
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor70Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Impulsor70Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Other Units
Thunderwolf Cavalry260Boltgun, Storm Shield, Teeth and Claws, Wolf Guard Weapon
Thunderwolf Cavalry260Boltgun, Storm Shield, Teeth and Claws, Wolf Guard Weapon
Wulfen with Storm Shields250Death Totem, Stormfrag Auto-launcher, Thunder Hammer
Terminator Assault Squad + Furious Assault205Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer
Logan Grimnar150Axe Morkai, Storm Bolter, Tyrnak and Fenrir
Captain on Bike + Wolf-Touched125Plasma Pistol, Thunder Hammer, Twin Bolt Rifle
Company Heroes125Master-crafted Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Combat Knife, Master-crafted Bolt Rifle, Master-crafted Heavy Bolter
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles100
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles100
Chaplain On Bike95
Outrider Squad80Chainsword, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Twin Bolt Rifle, Thunder Hammer
Scout Squad65Bolt Pistol, Combat Knife, Shotgun, Heavy Bolter, Sniper Rifle
Fenrisian Wolves45Fenrisian Wolf, Teeth and Claws
Saga of the Beastslayer + Stormlance Task Force2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
4th place · record 5-1 · 42 players · 6 rounds · 10 Oct
Show list
Characters
Bjorn The Fell-handed160
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon + Imperium's Sword105Paired Combat Blades
Battleline
Intercessor Squad85Bolt Pistol, Bolt Rifle, Grenade Launcher, Knives and Fists, Power Fist
Other Units
Wolf Guard Terminators + Furious Assault410Relic Greataxe, Assault Cannon, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Power Fist, Storm Shield
Thunderwolf Cavalry + Supercharged Engines290Boltgun, Storm Shield, Teeth and Claws, Wolf Guard Weapon
Thunderwolf Cavalry + Supercharged Engines270Boltgun, Storm Shield, Teeth and Claws, Wolf Guard Weapon
Thunderwolf Cavalry + Supercharged Engines270Boltgun, Storm Shield, Teeth and Claws, Wolf Guard Weapon
Wolf Guard Headtakers170Heavy Bolt Pistol, Paired Master-crafted Power Weapons
Logan Grimnar150Axe Morkai, Storm Bolter, Tyrnak and Fenrir
Wolf Priest + Wolf-Touched90Absolvor Bolt Pistol, Crozius Arcanum

Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)

49.7%win rate, rank 12 of 27841 games250 lists from 239 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.05x entry sharegoing first 0.2 points better

Space Wolves won 49.3% of 1,507 games in the 28 days before and 49.7% of 841 in the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 2.5% to 3.1%.

4 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Assault Brethren (1% to 54%), Legends of Saga and Song (46% to 0%) and Terminator Storm Force (2% to 22%).

13 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Bjorn The Fell-handed (64% to 27%), Arjac Rockfist (58% to 27%) and Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles (2% to 29%).

5 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Fierce Example (30% to 0%), Furious Assault (10% to 35%) and Imperium's Sword (8% to 32%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 7% 20-40 38% 40-60 33% 60-80 19% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 67% Purge the Foe 23% Reconnaissance 5% Priority Assets 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Assault Brethren 54% Saga of the Great Wolf 52% Saga of the Beastslayer 45% Stormlance Task Force 26% Terminator Storm Force 22% Champions of Fenris 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Logan Grimnar 87% Thunderwolf Cavalry 59% Wolf Guard Terminators 56% Wulfen with Storm Shields 44% Grey Hunters 41% Terminator Assault Squad 39% Wolf Guard Battle Leader 39% Wolf Guard Headtakers 38% Scout Squad 34% Ancient In Terminator Armour 32% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Adeptus Custodes Dark Angels Orks Tyranids Space Marines Necrons World Eaters 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Assault Brethren 1% 54% +53 +16.3
Detachment Legends of Saga and Song 46% 0% -46 -12.8
Unit Bjorn The Fell-handed 64% 27% -37 -9.4
Unit Arjac Rockfist 58% 27% -31 -7.8
Enhancement Fierce Example 30% 0% -30 -9.6
Unit Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 2% 29% +26 +10.2
Enhancement Furious Assault 10% 35% +25 +8.1
Enhancement Imperium's Sword 8% 32% +24 +8.1
All 22 shifts: 14 more rows
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Intercessor Squad 38% 14% -24 -6.5
Enhancement Wolf-Touched 11% 34% +23 +7.4
Unit Wolf Guard Terminators 78% 56% -22 -6.1
Unit Thunderwolf Cavalry 37% 59% +22 +5.6
Detachment Terminator Storm Force 2% 22% +20 +8.9
Unit Ancient In Terminator Armour 14% 32% +19 +5.8
Detachment Stormlance Task Force 8% 26% +18 +6.4
Unit Impulsor 12% 29% +18 +5.8
Unit Outrider Squad 7% 24% +17 +6.4
Enhancement Thirst for Glory 16% 0% -16 -6.7
Unit Chaplain On Bike 4% 18% +15 +6.4
Unit Captain on Bike 4% 18% +14 +6.3
Unit Land Raider Redeemer 20% 8% -12 -4.3
Unit Company Heroes 1% 10% +9 +5.6

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Assault Brethren + Saga of the Great Wolf2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 111 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
Won an event of 100+ players
Show list
Characters
Bjorn The Fell-handed160
Battleline
Heavy Intercessor Squad115Bolt Pistol, Ceramite Fists, Heavy Bolt Rifle, Heavy Bolter
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor70Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Impulsor70Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Other Units
Wolf Guard Terminators400Master-crafted Power Weapon, Storm Bolter, Assault Cannon, Power Fist, Storm Shield
Terminator Assault Squad + Furious Assault200Twin Lightning Claws, Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer
Logan Grimnar150Axe Morkai, Storm Bolter, Tyrnak and Fenrir
Captain on Bike + Imperium's Sword130Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Twin Bolt Rifle
Venerable Dreadnought130Blizzard Shield, Fenrisian Great Axe, Heavy Flamer
Arjac Rockfist105Foehammer
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles100
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles100
Wolf Scouts95Plasma Pistol, Power Weapon, Bolt Pistol, Combat Knife, Haywire Mine (Once per battle, per unit), Plasma Gun ...
Wolf Scouts95Plasma Pistol, Power Weapon, Bolt Pistol, Combat Knife, Haywire Mine (Once per battle, per unit), Plasma Gun ...
Outrider Squad80Chainsword, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Twin Bolt Rifle, Plasma Pistol, Thunder Hammer
Assault Brethren + Saga of the Beastslayer + Stormlance Task Force2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 43 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
10 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor70Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Impulsor70Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Other Units
Thunderwolf Cavalry260Boltgun, Storm Shield, Teeth and Claws, Wolf Guard Weapon
Thunderwolf Cavalry260Boltgun, Storm Shield, Teeth and Claws, Wolf Guard Weapon
Wulfen with Storm Shields250Death Totem, Stormfrag Auto-launcher, Thunder Hammer
Terminator Assault Squad + Furious Assault205Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer
Logan Grimnar150Axe Morkai, Storm Bolter, Tyrnak and Fenrir
Captain on Bike + Wolf-Touched125Plasma Pistol, Thunder Hammer, Twin Bolt Rifle
Company Heroes125Master-crafted Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Combat Knife, Master-crafted Bolt Rifle, Master-crafted Heavy Bolter
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles100
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles100
Chaplain On Bike95
Outrider Squad80Chainsword, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Twin Bolt Rifle, Thunder Hammer
Scout Squad65Bolt Pistol, Combat Knife, Shotgun, Heavy Bolter, Sniper Rifle
Fenrisian Wolves45Fenrisian Wolf, Teeth and Claws

Imperial Knights

Whole edition

48.6%win rate, rank 16 of 289,758 games2,749 lists from 1,671 playerstop-10% finishes 0.78x entry sharegoing first 1.6 points better48.3% adjusted for player skill

Against Tyranids it wins 58.7% over 569 games, 10.0 points above what its strength predicts. Imperial Knights fell from 53.0% in the first period (19 Jun to 21 Jul) to 46.5% in the latest (3 Oct to 25 Oct), one of 10 factions with a clear change over the period. The season figure is 48.6% (rank 16 of 28, 9,758 games), which overstates where it stands now. Gate Warden Lance went from 44% to 8% of the faction's lists between the first period and the last 28 days.

Matchups

Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Astra Militarum (62.6% over 349 games) and the worst is Chaos Daemons (39.4% over 421). Against what the faction's strength predicts, Tyranids (10.0 points above the prediction) deviates.

Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Astra Militarum 349 62.6% 57.4% to 67.5% 58.1% +4.5 favourable
Black Templars 152 61.8% 53.9% to 69.2% 53.3% +8.5 favourable
Tyranids 569 58.7% 54.6% to 62.7% 48.7% +10.0 favourable, above model
Drukhari 232 55.6% 49.2% to 61.9% 51.7% +3.9
Imperial Agents 41 54.9% 39.9% to 69.0% 54.9% -0.1
Chaos Space Marines 439 44.1% 39.5% to 48.8% 51.4% -7.3 unfavourable
Dark Angels 425 43.1% 38.4% to 47.8% 45.2% -2.1 unfavourable
Orks 632 42.7% 38.9% to 46.6% 43.3% -0.6 unfavourable
Adeptus Custodes 616 41.2% 37.3% to 45.1% 44.4% -3.3 unfavourable
Adepta Sororitas 234 40.4% 34.3% to 46.8% 48.3% -7.9 unfavourable
Leagues of Votann 317 40.1% 34.8% to 45.5% 46.8% -6.7 unfavourable
Chaos Daemons 421 39.4% 34.9% to 44.2% 43.9% -4.4 unfavourable
Deathwatch 63 32.5% 22.3% to 44.8% 44.9% -12.3 unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 14 more rows
Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Blood Angels 290 53.4% 47.7% to 59.1% 52.6% +0.9
Death Guard 421 53.2% 48.4% to 57.9% 50.4% +2.8
Chaos Knights 307 51.5% 45.9% to 57.0% 51.7% -0.2
Space Marines 775 51.0% 47.5% to 54.5% 49.9% +1.1
Space Wolves 256 50.8% 44.7% to 56.8% 49.5% +1.2
World Eaters 403 50.1% 45.3% to 55.0% 48.7% +1.5
Emperor's Children 405 50.0% 45.2% to 54.8% 47.2% +2.8
Adeptus Mechanicus 201 50.0% 43.2% to 56.8% 48.0% +2.0
Necrons 612 49.3% 45.3% to 53.2% 47.1% +2.1
T'au Empire 548 49.0% 44.8% to 53.2% 46.8% +2.2
Thousand Sons 376 47.7% 42.7% to 52.8% 48.2% -0.5
Grey Knights 247 47.2% 41.0% to 53.4% 51.5% -4.3
Aeldari 288 47.0% 41.4% to 52.8% 53.0% -5.9
Genestealer Cult 139 46.4% 38.3% to 54.7% 51.0% -4.6

Over time

Its share of lists went from 4.5% to 3.3%.

Share of games per week (%) 3 4 5 2.8 3.9 Jul Aug Sep Oct Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval 40 50 60 July balance & rules update 46.1 55.6 Jul Aug Sep Oct
Period Lists Share of all lists Games Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul 710 4.5% 2,431 53.0%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug 726 3.9% 2,603 47.7%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct 811 3.5% 3,023 47.0%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct 502 3.3% 1,701 46.5%

July balance & rules update was followed by a change of -5.5 points in win rate, measured over the 28 days either side.

Around each milestone, 28 days before and after

Milestone Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul) 2,114 / 2,127 52.6% to 47.1% -5.5 -3.6 4.7% to 4.2%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug) 2,030 / 2,166 47.3% to 47.5% +0.2 +0.2 4.1% to 3.7%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep) 2,119 / 2,299 47.7% to 46.4% -1.3 -0.9 3.9% to 3.5%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct) 2,299 / 1,701 46.4% to 46.5% +0.1 +0.1 3.5% to 3.4%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data 2,124 / 805 46.8% to 46.2% -0.6 -0.3 3.6% to 3.0%

Force Disposition

Reconnaissance has a win rate 9.5 points below the faction's other choices.

Disposition Share of games Games Win rate Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Purge the Foe 40% 3,304 48.0% -0.5 ± 0.9
Priority Assets 39% 3,276 47.8% -0.9 ± 0.9
Take and Hold 14% 1,195 50.3% +1.8 ± 1.5
Reconnaissance 4% 311 38.9% -9.5 ± 2.7
Disruption 3% 220 43.2% n/a

Pick-rate shifts

Type Name First period Prior 28 days Last 28 days Change vs first period (pp) Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Detachment Gate Warden Lance 44% 10% 8% -36 -2
Enhancement Augury Halo 31% 7% 4% -27 -3
Detachment Valourstrike Lance 10% 40% 36% +26 -4
Enhancement Purgation's Hand 17% 4% 2% -15 -1
Unit Knight Castellan 72% 59% 57% -15 -2
Enhancement Bearer of the Judicant's Helm 5% 20% 19% +14 -1
Detachment Freeblade Company 33% 26% 38% +5 +12
Enhancement Vengeful Tread 10% 3% 2% -8 -1

Results brackets

260 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 15 won X, 67 won X-1 and 178 won X-2, from 668 entries.

Share of players by share of games won 4% 0-20 19% 20-40 35% 40-60 31% 60-80 11% 80-100 line = all factions Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2 2.2% X 3.1% X-1 4.2% X-2 dashed = share of entries, 3.9%
Bracket tables
Tier Lists Share of tier Share of entries Ratio z
X 15 2.2% 3.9% 0.56x -2.3
X-1 67 3.1% 3.9% 0.81x -1.8
X-2 178 4.2% 3.9% 1.07x +0.9
X to X-2 260 3.7% 3.9% 0.94x -1.0
Share of games won Players Share of players All players
0 to 20% 21 3.5% 4.1%
20 to 40% 114 19.1% 17.2%
40 to 60% 210 35.2% 32.2%
60 to 80% 184 30.8% 30.1%
80 to 100% 68 11.4% 16.4%

Units

A typical list contains 6 distinct units. 2 units appear in at least half of all lists and 16 in at least 10%. The most common is Knight Castellan (64% of lists). 9 datasheets appeared in under 1% of lists: Acastus Knight Asterius, Cerastus Knight Acheron, Questoris Knight Magaera, Questoris Knight Styrix, Sir Hekhtur, Skitarii Marshal, Skitarii Vanguard, Tech-priest Dominus, Tech-priest Manipulus.

Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -10 0 +10 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -2 0 +2 1% 3% 10% 30% 100%

Most played units

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Knight Castellan 1,755 63.8% +0.4 ± 0.6 +0.7
Armiger Warglaive 1,598 58.1% +0.7 ± 0.6 +1.1
Knight Crusader 1,332 48.5% +1.0 ± 0.7 +1.5
Armiger Helverin 1,297 47.2% +0.5 ± 0.7 +0.7
Cerastus Knight Lancer 1,289 46.9% +0.7 ± 0.7 +1.0
Knight Destrier 1,214 44.2% -0.1 ± 0.7 -0.2
Cerastus Knight Atrapos 730 26.6% +2.4 ± 0.9 +2.7
Knight Paladin 690 25.1% +0.6 ± 0.9 +0.6
Canis Rex 690 25.1% -0.3 ± 1.0 -0.3
Knight Errant 615 22.4% +1.3 ± 1.0 +1.4
Callidus Assassin 530 19.3% -0.5 ± 1.1 -0.5
Navigator 434 15.8% -0.2 ± 1.1 -0.1

Detachments

8 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 4 of them account for 80% of picks. The most played is Dominus Foebreakers (40% of lists), and 50% of lists run more than one detachment.

Detachment Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z P1 P2 P3 P4
Dominus Foebreakers 1,102 40% +0.4 ± 0.7 +0.5 44% 40% 39% 36%
Freeblade Company 896 33% +1.5 ± 0.8 +1.8 33% 34% 27% 39%
Valourstrike Lance 836 30% -1.5 ± 0.8 -1.8 10% 38% 39% 36%
Gate Warden Lance 505 18% +2.6 ± 1.1 +2.3 44% 11% 10% 8%
Questoris Companions 265 10% +3.1 ± 1.5 +2.1 6% 8% 14% 10%
Throne-bonded Outriders 247 9% -1.5 ± 1.6 -0.9 10% 10% 9% 6%
Questor Forgepact 132 5% -2.0 ± 2.2 -0.9 3% 5% 5% 7%
Spearhead-at-arms 112 4% +0.6 ± 2.3 +0.2 3% 4% 5% 4%

Combinations

8 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common is Dominus Foebreakers + Valourstrike Lance (604 lists, 22%).

Combination table
Combination Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Dominus Foebreakers + Valourstrike Lance 604 22% -1.4 ± 1.1 -1.3
Dominus Foebreakers + Gate Warden Lance 366 13% +4.2 ± 1.4 +2.9
Throne-bonded Outriders + Valourstrike Lance 143 5% -3.8 ± 2.1 -1.8
Gate Warden Lance + Throne-bonded Outriders 82 3% -0.4 ± 3.0 -0.1
Dominus Foebreakers + Spearhead-at-arms 49 2% -2.8 ± 4.0 -0.7
Questor Forgepact + Spearhead-at-arms 41 1% +2.3 ± 3.7 +0.6
Questor Forgepact + Valourstrike Lance 40 1% -9.3 ± 4.7 -2.0
Gate Warden Lance + Questor Forgepact 37 1% -2.7 ± 4.4 -0.6

Enhancements

21 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Archeotech Autoloaders (26% of lists).

Enhancement table
Enhancement Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Archeotech Autoloaders 717 26% -0.1 ± 0.9 -0.1
Hunter's Eye 647 24% +2.9 ± 1.0 +3.0
Bringer of Justice 522 19% +1.3 ± 1.1 +1.2
Mysterious Guardian 504 18% +2.4 ± 1.1 +2.1
Bearer of the Judicant's Helm 447 16% +1.3 ± 1.1 +1.2
Augury Halo 336 12% +1.7 ± 1.4 +1.2
Sanctuary 267 10% -0.2 ± 1.6 -0.1
Bearer of the Iron Chalice 247 9% -2.8 ± 1.5 -1.9

Nothing clear turned up in unit effects, detachment effects, combination effects, enhancement effects, results brackets, terrain layout and list width.

Representative lists

Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties, and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.

Dominus Foebreakers + Valourstrike Lance1,995 pts
Priority Assets
110th place · record 3-0 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
45 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Knight Castellan + Archeotech Autoloaders450Plasma decimator, Shieldbreaker missile launcher, Titanic feet, Twin meltagun, Twin siegebreaker cannon, Volcano lance
Cerastus Knight Atrapos + Bearer of the Judicant's Helm430Atrapos lascutter, Graviton singularity cannon
Canis Rex415Freedom’s Hand, Las-impulsor, Questoris multi-laser
Knight Crusader410Avenger gatling cannon, Heavy flamer, Questoris heavy stubber, Rapid-fire battle cannon, Titanic feet, Twin Icarus autocannon
Allied Units
Sisters of Battle Squad110Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combi-weapon, Power weapon, Boltgun, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Simulacrum Imperialis
Sisters of Battle Immolator105Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Navigator75Force-orb cane, Laspistol
Questoris Companions2,000 pts
Take and Hold
3rd place · record 5-1 · 104 players · 6 rounds · 21 Aug
50 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
Cerastus Knight Lancer + Pennant of Silvered Fury430
Knight Crusader + Wyrmslayer Divination420
2× Canis Rex415Canis Rex: Freedom's Hand, Las-impulsor, Questoris multi-laser, Sir Hekhtur: Close combat weapon, Hekhtur's pistol
Cerastus Knight Atrapos405
Knight Destrier265
watch captain artemis65

Team events

46.7%win rate in team events1,944 games482 lists from 425 players-2.4 points against individual eventsgoing first 1.1 points worse

Imperial Knights won 46.7% of 1,944 team event games, against 49.0% of 7,814 in individual events: 2.4 points lower (not clear). It makes up 4.1% of team event games and 3.9% of individual event games.

Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 47% Priority Assets 31% Take and Hold 12% Reconnaissance 5% Disruption 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments share win rate Dominus Foebreakers 44% Valourstrike Lance 41% Freeblade Company 24% Gate Warden Lance 12% Questoris Companions 11% Throne-bonded Outriders 9% Questor Forgepact 5% Spearhead-at-arms 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups win rate against Drukhari Astra Militarum Tyranids Death Guard Chaos Daemons Adepta Sororitas Dark Angels Aeldari 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events. Dashed: team events win rate.

Milestones

5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after, with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.

July balance & rules update (22 July)

47.1%win rate, rank 20 of 282,127 games576 lists from 501 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.91x entry sharegoing first 0.8 points better

Imperial Knights won 52.6% of 2,114 games in the 28 days before and 47.1% of 2,127 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.7% to 4.2%. The change of -5.5 points is clear.

2 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Gate Warden Lance (48% to 11%) and Valourstrike Lance (10% to 38%).

3 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Augury Halo (34% to 8%), Bearer of the Judicant's Helm (5% to 22%) and Purgation's Hand (19% to 5%).

Nothing clear turned up in units.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 21% 20-40 38% 40-60 30% 60-80 8% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 49% Purge the Foe 34% Take and Hold 11% Reconnaissance 4% Disruption 3% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Dominus Foebreakers 40% Valourstrike Lance 38% Freeblade Company 35% Gate Warden Lance 11% Throne-bonded Outriders 10% Questoris Companions 7% Questor Forgepact 5% Spearhead-at-arms 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Knight Castellan 65% Armiger Warglaive 59% Armiger Helverin 52% Knight Crusader 51% Cerastus Knight Lancer 44% Knight Destrier 42% Knight Paladin 26% Cerastus Knight Atrapos 25% Canis Rex 25% Knight Errant 22% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Death Guard Drukhari Astra Militarum World Eaters Adepta Sororitas Dark Angels Orks Chaos Daemons 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Gate Warden Lance 48% 11% -37 -13.9
Detachment Valourstrike Lance 10% 38% +27 +11.1
Enhancement Augury Halo 34% 8% -26 -11.0
Enhancement Bearer of the Judicant's Helm 5% 22% +16 +8.4
Enhancement Purgation's Hand 19% 5% -14 -7.4

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Gate Warden Lance + Throne-bonded Outriders1,990 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 6-0 · 336 players · 6 rounds · 1 Aug
Show list
Characters
Canis Rex415Freedom’s Hand, Las-impulsor, Questoris multi-laser
Knight Errant + Vengeful Tread370Meltagun, Stormspear rocket pod, Thermal cannon, Thunderstrike gauntlet
Knight Destrier + Augury Halo285Chastiser gatling cannon, Frag bombard, Questoris heavy stubber, Titanic feet
Knight Destrier + Augury Halo285Chastiser gatling cannon, Frag bombard, Questoris heavy stubber, Titanic feet
Allied Units
Sisters of Battle Squad110Bolt pistol, Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Sisters of Battle Immolator105Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Other Units
Armiger Warglaive140Questoris heavy stubber, Reaper chain-cleaver, Thermal spear
Armiger Warglaive140Questoris heavy stubber, Reaper chain-cleaver, Thermal spear
Armiger Warglaive140Questoris heavy stubber, Reaper chain-cleaver, Thermal spear
Dominus Foebreakers + Valourstrike Lance1,995 pts
Priority Assets
4th place · record 4-1 · 36 players · 5 rounds · 15 Aug
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
Knight Castellan + Archeotech Autoloaders450
Cerastus Knight Lancer415
Knight Crusader410
Knight Errant + Bearer of the Judicant's Helm380
Knight Destrier265
Navigator75

August balance & rules update (26 August)

48.8%win rate, rank 15 of 27724 games177 lists from 174 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.44x entry sharegoing first 0.4 points better

Imperial Knights won 47.3% of 2,030 games in the 28 days before and 47.5% of 2,166 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.1% to 3.7%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 8% 0-20 34% 20-40 39% 40-60 18% 60-80 0% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 45% Purge the Foe 33% Take and Hold 17% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Dominus Foebreakers 37% Valourstrike Lance 37% Freeblade Company 30% Questoris Companions 14% Throne-bonded Outriders 10% Gate Warden Lance 7% Questor Forgepact 6% Spearhead-at-arms 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Knight Castellan 63% Armiger Warglaive 60% Cerastus Knight Lancer 53% Knight Destrier 52% Knight Crusader 51% Armiger Helverin 46% Cerastus Knight Atrapos 28% Knight Paladin 24% Canis Rex 23% Knight Errant 20% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Tyranids Space Marines Necrons Adeptus Custodes 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Dominus Foebreakers + Spearhead-at-arms1,990 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 3-0 · 19 players · 3 rounds · 30 Aug
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Knight Castellan + Archeotech Autoloaders450Plasma decimator, Shieldbreaker missile launcher, Titanic feet, Twin meltagun, Twin siegebreaker cannon, Volcano lance
Knight Crusader + Mentor's Pride430Avenger gatling cannon, Heavy flamer, Questoris heavy stubber, Rapid-fire battle cannon, Stormspear rocket pod, Titanic feet
Knight Defender + Tales of Heroism410Conversion beam obliterator, Phosphor blaster, Plasma executor, Titanic feet, Twin incendine combustor
Other Units
Armiger Helverin140Armiger autocannon, Armoured feet, Questoris heavy stubber
Armiger Helverin140Armiger autocannon, Armoured feet, Questoris heavy stubber
Armiger Warglaive140Questoris heavy stubber, Reaper chain-cleaver, Thermal spear
Armiger Warglaive140Questoris heavy stubber, Reaper chain-cleaver, Thermal spear
Armiger Warglaive140Questoris heavy stubber, Reaper chain-cleaver, Thermal spear
Dominus Foebreakers + Gate Warden Lance2,000 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 3-0 · 40 players · 3 rounds · 29 Aug
Show list
Characters
Knight Castellan + Archeotech Autoloaders450Plasma decimator, Shieldbreaker missile launcher, Titanic feet, Twin meltagun, Twin siegebreaker cannon, Volcano lance
Cerastus Knight Lancer + Purgation's Hand435Cerastus shock lance
Knight Crusader + Augury Halo430Avenger gatling cannon, Heavy flamer, Meltagun, Questoris heavy stubber, Rapid-fire battle cannon ...
Knight Gallant + Vengeful Tread370Meltagun, Reaper chainsword, Stormspear rocket pod, Thunderstrike gauntlet
Allied Units
Eversor Assassin110Executioner pistol, Power sword and neuro gauntlet
Culexus Assassin85Animus speculum, Life-draining touch
Inquisitorial Agents60Agent firearm, Agent melee weapon, Eviscerator, Mystic stave, Plasma pistol, Multi-melta
Inquisitorial Agents60Agent firearm, Agent melee weapon, Eviscerator, Mystic stave, Plasma pistol, Multi-melta

Orks codex (5 September)

46.4%win rate, rank 21 of 282,299 games634 lists from 547 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.02x entry sharegoing first 1.9 points better

Imperial Knights won 47.7% of 2,119 games in the 28 days before and 46.4% of 2,299 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.9% to 3.5%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 6% 0-20 16% 20-40 35% 40-60 31% 60-80 12% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 41% Purge the Foe 33% Take and Hold 21% Reconnaissance 4% Disruption 2% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Dominus Foebreakers 39% Valourstrike Lance 39% Freeblade Company 26% Questoris Companions 14% Gate Warden Lance 10% Throne-bonded Outriders 9% Spearhead-at-arms 5% Questor Forgepact 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Knight Castellan 59% Armiger Warglaive 58% Cerastus Knight Lancer 51% Knight Crusader 47% Knight Destrier 46% Armiger Helverin 45% Canis Rex 27% Cerastus Knight Atrapos 27% Knight Paladin 27% Knight Errant 25% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Blood Angels Astra Militarum Grey Knights Space Marines Dark Angels Adeptus Custodes Aeldari Adepta Sororitas 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Dominus Foebreakers + Valourstrike Lance1,995 pts
Priority Assets
110th place · record 3-0 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
5 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Knight Castellan + Archeotech Autoloaders450Plasma decimator, Shieldbreaker missile launcher, Titanic feet, Twin meltagun, Twin siegebreaker cannon, Volcano lance
Cerastus Knight Atrapos + Bearer of the Judicant's Helm430Atrapos lascutter, Graviton singularity cannon
Canis Rex415Freedom’s Hand, Las-impulsor, Questoris multi-laser
Knight Crusader410Avenger gatling cannon, Heavy flamer, Questoris heavy stubber, Rapid-fire battle cannon, Titanic feet, Twin Icarus autocannon
Allied Units
Sisters of Battle Squad110Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combi-weapon, Power weapon, Boltgun, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Simulacrum Imperialis
Sisters of Battle Immolator105Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Navigator75Force-orb cane, Laspistol
Questoris Companions2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 30 players · 5 rounds · 5 Sep
7 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Canis Rex415Freedom’s Hand, Las-impulsor, Questoris multi-laser
Cerastus Knight Lancer415Cerastus shock lance
Cerastus Knight Atrapos405Atrapos lascutter, Graviton singularity cannon
Knight Paladin + Wyrmslayer Divination385Questoris heavy stubber, Rapid-fire battle cannon, Reaper chainsword, Stormspear rocket pod
Cerastus Knight Castigator380Castigator bolt cannon, Tempest warblade

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)

46.8%win rate, rank 19 of 27896 games264 lists from 249 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.82x entry sharegoing first 6.3 points better

Imperial Knights won 46.4% of 2,299 games in the 28 days before and 46.5% of 1,701 in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 3.5% to 3.4%.

One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Freeblade Company (26% to 39%).

One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Hunter's Eye (18% to 28%).

Nothing clear turned up in units.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 2% 0-20 19% 20-40 43% 40-60 30% 60-80 6% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 45% Priority Assets 30% Take and Hold 15% Disruption 6% Reconnaissance 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Freeblade Company 40% Valourstrike Lance 36% Dominus Foebreakers 34% Questoris Companions 10% Gate Warden Lance 8% Throne-bonded Outriders 7% Questor Forgepact 6% Spearhead-at-arms 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Armiger Warglaive 57% Knight Castellan 57% Cerastus Knight Lancer 48% Knight Destrier 45% Armiger Helverin 43% Knight Crusader 42% Canis Rex 28% Cerastus Knight Atrapos 28% Knight Errant 23% Knight Paladin 23% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Tyranids Necrons Space Marines Orks Chaos Daemons T'au Empire World Eaters Adeptus Custodes 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Freeblade Company 26% 39% +13 +4.5
Enhancement Hunter's Eye 18% 28% +10 +4.1

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Freeblade Company2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
3rd place · record 5-0 · 97 players · 5 rounds · 16 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Cerastus Knight Atrapos440Atrapos lascutter, Graviton singularity cannon
Cerastus Knight Atrapos420Atrapos lascutter, Graviton singularity cannon
Cerastus Knight Lancer415Cerastus shock lance
Other Units
Acastus Knight Porphyrion725Helios defence missiles, Lascannon, Titanic feet, Twin magna lascannon
Dominus Foebreakers + Valourstrike Lance2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
4th place · record 4-1 · 42 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Knight Castellan425Plasma decimator, Shieldbreaker missile launcher, Titanic feet, Twin meltagun, Twin siegebreaker cannon, Volcano lance
Knight Crusader + Bearer of the Judicant's Helm420Avenger gatling cannon, Heavy flamer, Questoris heavy stubber, Stormspear rocket pod, Thermal cannon, Titanic feet
Cerastus Knight Lancer415Cerastus shock lance
Knight Destrier265Chastiser gatling cannon, Frag bombard, Questoris heavy stubber, Titanic feet
Knight Destrier265Chastiser gatling cannon, Frag bombard, Questoris heavy stubber, Titanic feet
Allied Units
Voidsmen-at-arms70
Other Units
Armiger Helverin140Armiger autocannon, Armoured feet, Questoris heavy stubber

Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)

46.2%win rate, rank 21 of 27805 games238 lists from 230 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.00x entry sharegoing first 4.1 points better

Imperial Knights won 46.8% of 2,124 games in the 28 days before and 46.2% of 805 in the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 3.6% to 3.0%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 24% 20-40 26% 40-60 34% 60-80 13% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 45% Priority Assets 36% Take and Hold 13% Disruption 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Dominus Foebreakers 39% Freeblade Company 38% Valourstrike Lance 37% Questoris Companions 11% Gate Warden Lance 8% Questor Forgepact 7% Throne-bonded Outriders 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Knight Castellan 55% Knight Crusader 48% Cerastus Knight Lancer 47% Armiger Warglaive 47% Knight Destrier 42% Armiger Helverin 37% Canis Rex 31% Cerastus Knight Atrapos 30% Knight Errant 25% Knight Paladin 25% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Necrons Space Marines Adeptus Custodes Death Guard Orks World Eaters 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Dominus Foebreakers + Valourstrike Lance1,990 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 26 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Knight Castellan + Archeotech Autoloaders450Plasma decimator, Shieldbreaker missile launcher, Titanic feet, Twin meltagun, Twin siegebreaker cannon, Volcano lance
Knight Defender385Conversion beam obliterator, Phosphor blaster, Plasma executor, Titanic feet, Twin incendine combustor
Knight Errant + Bearer of the Judicant's Helm380Meltagun, Reaper chainsword, Thermal cannon
Knight Gallant355Meltagun, Reaper chainsword, Thunderstrike gauntlet
Other Units
Armiger Helverin140Armiger autocannon, Armoured feet, Questoris heavy stubber
Armiger Warglaive140Meltagun, Reaper chain-cleaver, Thermal spear
Armiger Warglaive140Meltagun, Reaper chain-cleaver, Thermal spear
Freeblade Company2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 4-1 · 10 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
Show list
Characters
Knight Crusader + Hunter's Eye420Avenger gatling cannon, Heavy flamer, Meltagun, Stormspear rocket pod, Thermal cannon, Titanic feet
Canis Rex415Freedom’s Hand, Las-impulsor, Questoris multi-laser
Cerastus Knight Lancer415Cerastus shock lance
Knight Destrier + Bringer of Justice295Bellatus reaper chainsword, Questoris heavy stubber, Thundershock spear, Titanic feet
Allied Units
Callidus Assassin100Neural shredder, Phase sword and poison blades
Navigator75Force-orb cane, Laspistol
Other Units
Armiger Helverin140Armiger autocannon, Armoured feet, Meltagun
Armiger Helverin140Armiger autocannon, Armoured feet, Meltagun

Space Marines

Whole edition

48.6%win rate, rank 17 of 2818,737 games5,866 lists from 3,678 playerstop-10% finishes 1.03x entry sharegoing first 1.8 points better47.9% adjusted for player skill

The pairing Assault Brethren + Deathwatch Support + Terminator Storm Force has a win rate 20.0 points above the faction average (135 lists). The Blackwing Shroud enhancement gives a win rate 11.8 points below other lists with the same detachment. Space Marines won 48.6% of 18,737 games, rank 17 of 28. Librarius Conclave went from 46% to 4% of the faction's lists over the last 28 days compared with the 28 before. Dreadnought is in 1% of lists, and lists with it have a win rate 13.6 points below comparable lists.

Combinations

39 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common is Forgefather's Seekers + Librarius Conclave (806 lists, 14%). Best: Assault Brethren + Deathwatch Support + Terminator Storm Force (20.0 points above the faction average). Weakest: Anvil Siege Force + Librarius Conclave (17.0 points below the faction average).

Combination Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Forgefather's Seekers + Librarius Conclave 806 14% +6.1 ± 1.0 +6.1
Librarius Conclave + Reclamation Force 324 6% +6.7 ± 1.5 +4.5
Hammer of Avernii + Librarius Conclave 192 3% +0.4 ± 2.0 +0.2
Librarius Conclave + Shadowmark Talon 192 3% +5.5 ± 2.2 +2.5
Assault Brethren + Deathwatch Support + Terminator Storm Force 135 2% +20.0 ± 1.9 +10.2
Bastion Task Force + Librarius Conclave 87 1% +1.6 ± 3.0 +0.5
Shadowmark Talon + Vengeful Hosts 78 1% -7.7 ± 3.1 -2.5
Hammer of Avernii + Vengeful Hosts 72 1% -0.8 ± 3.1 -0.3
Shadowmark Talon + Subversion Assets 37 1% -15.4 ± 4.2 -3.7
Forgefather's Seekers + Subversion Assets 31 1% -15.6 ± 3.9 -4.0
Forgefather's Seekers + Ironstorm Spearhead 28 0% +14.9 ± 4.9 +3.0
Anvil Siege Force + Librarius Conclave 23 0% -17.0 ± 4.8 -3.5

Over time

Its share of lists went from 8.4% to 9.8%.

Share of games per week (%) 6 8 10 9.9 7.1 Jul Aug Sep Oct Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval 40 50 Codex: Space Marines (11th Edi 53.9 44.0 Jul Aug Sep Oct
Period Lists Share of all lists Games Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul 1,323 8.4% 4,168 50.0%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug 1,461 7.9% 4,635 47.8%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct 1,602 6.9% 5,412 46.0%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct 1,480 9.8% 4,522 51.2%

Codex: Space Marines was followed by a change of +5.9 points and Codex: Adeptus Custodes was followed by a change of +5.2 points in win rate, measured over the 28 days either side.

Around each milestone, 28 days before and after

Milestone Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul) 3,597 / 3,735 50.8% to 47.5% -3.3 -2.8 8.0% to 7.3%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug) 3,486 / 3,934 47.5% to 46.3% -1.2 -1.0 7.1% to 6.7%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep) 3,889 / 4,109 47.7% to 45.2% -2.4 -2.2 7.1% to 6.3%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct) 4,109 / 4,522 45.2% to 51.2% +5.9 +5.5 6.3% to 9.0%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data 4,158 / 2,622 47.3% to 52.5% +5.2 +4.2 7.0% to 9.8%

Force Disposition

Disruption has a win rate 7.2 points below the faction's other choices and Priority Assets has a win rate 2.4 points below the faction's other choices.

Disposition Share of games Games Win rate Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Priority Assets 34% 5,514 46.2% -2.4 ± 0.7
Take and Hold 33% 5,438 50.3% +1.7 ± 0.7
Reconnaissance 14% 2,370 51.2% +2.6 ± 1.1
Purge the Foe 13% 2,174 51.0% +2.4 ± 1.2
Disruption 6% 935 41.3% -7.2 ± 1.7

Enhancements

67 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Temporal Corridor (20% of lists). 4 enhancements differ from the other enhancements in their detachment: Blackwing Shroud (11.8 points below the rest), Adamantine Mantle (11.6 points below the rest), War-tempered Artifice (9.5 points below the rest) and Corporeum Reliquary (8.5 points below the rest).

Enhancement Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Temporal Corridor 1,145 20% +0.5 ± 0.7 +0.7
Immolator 890 15% +0.9 ± 0.9 +1.0
Fusillade 874 15% +1.7 ± 0.9 +1.9
Celerity 630 11% +0.7 ± 1.0 +0.7
Furious Assault 448 8% +1.7 ± 1.2 +1.5
Imperium's Sword 330 6% +2.6 ± 1.4 +1.8
Forged in Battle 266 5% +0.1 ± 1.5 +0.1
Steel Font 254 4% +1.0 ± 1.6 +0.6
War-tempered Artifice 102 2% -9.5 ± 2.6 -3.6
Corporeum Reliquary 89 2% -8.5 ± 2.6 -3.2
Adamantine Mantle 84 1% -11.6 ± 3.0 -3.9
Blackwing Shroud 65 1% -11.8 ± 3.2 -3.6

Units

A typical list contains 12 distinct units. 2 units appear in at least half of all lists and 44 in at least 10%. The most common is Scout Squad (60% of lists). One datasheet never appeared: Sicaran. 9 datasheets appeared in under 1% of lists: Centurion Assault Squad, Corvus Blackstar, Dreadnought, Razorback, Stormraven Gunship, Stormtalon Gunship, Thunderhawk Gunship, Vanguard Veteran Squad, Whirlwind.

Of 102 units in 40 or more lists, 20 have a clear effect on results (11 positive, 9 negative). Best: Captain on Bike (9.5 points above comparable lists, 1% of lists), Kor’sarro Khan (6.5 points above comparable lists, 3% of lists), Suboden Khan (6.0 points above comparable lists, 4% of lists) and Wardens of Ultramar (5.2 points above comparable lists, 11% of lists). Weakest: Dreadnought (13.6 points below comparable lists, 1% of lists), Desolation Squad (13.3 points below comparable lists, 1% of lists), Chaplain In Terminator Armour (8.2 points below comparable lists, 4% of lists) and Captain In Terminator Armour (7.8 points below comparable lists, 7% of lists). Captain on Bike, Kor’sarro Khan, Suboden Khan and Chief Librarian Tigurius are in under 10% of lists but have a win rate above the faction average. Redemptor Dreadnought and Terminator Squad are in at least 15% of lists but have a win rate below it.

Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -10 0 +10 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Dreadnought Captain on Bike Chaplain In Terminator A Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -10 0 +10 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Assault Brethren, Deathw Anvil Siege Force Deathwatch Support

Most played units

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Scout Squad 3,488 59.5% +1.6 ± 0.4 +3.8
Intercessor Squad 3,092 52.7% -0.7 ± 0.5 -1.5
Bladeguard Veteran Squad 2,680 45.7% +0.5 ± 0.5 +1.0
Librarian 2,022 34.5% +0.7 ± 0.6 +1.3
Terminator Assault Squad 2,016 34.4% -0.8 ± 0.6 -1.3
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 1,764 30.1% +0.6 ± 0.6 +0.9
Land Raider Redeemer 1,653 28.2% +1.9 ± 0.6 +3.0
Terminator Squad 1,587 27.1% -3.2 ± 0.7 -4.8
Infernus Squad 1,570 26.8% -0.1 ± 0.7 -0.2
Incursor Squad 1,494 25.5% +3.1 ± 0.6 +4.8
Land Speeder 1,455 24.8% +2.3 ± 0.7 +3.5
Ballistus Dreadnought 1,398 23.8% -1.1 ± 0.7 -1.6

Other units with a clear effect

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Captain on Bike 59 1.0% +9.5 ± 3.1 +3.1
Kor’sarro Khan 200 3.4% +6.5 ± 1.8 +3.6
Suboden Khan 253 4.3% +6.0 ± 1.6 +3.7
Wardens of Ultramar 671 11.4% +5.2 ± 0.9 +5.6
Outrider Squad 724 12.3% +4.3 ± 1.0 +4.5
Judiciar 131 2.2% -6.1 ± 2.0 -3.0
Captain In Terminator Armour 431 7.3% -7.8 ± 1.3 -6.2
Chaplain In Terminator Armour 262 4.5% -8.2 ± 1.5 -5.3
Desolation Squad 54 0.9% -13.3 ± 3.5 -3.8
Dreadnought 49 0.8% -13.6 ± 3.4 -4.0

Detachments

37 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 14 of them account for 80% of picks. The most played is Librarius Conclave (36% of lists), and 63% of lists run more than one detachment. 12 detachments differ from the faction average. Best: Assault Brethren, Deathwatch Support and Terminator Storm Force (17.9 points above the faction average, 0% of lists). Weakest: Anvil Siege Force (12.7 points below the faction average, 1% of lists).

Detachment Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z P1 P2 P3 P4
Librarius Conclave 2,085 36% +2.3 ± 0.6 +4.1 44% 50% 46% 3%
Forgefather's Seekers 1,271 22% +2.1 ± 0.7 +2.9 23% 27% 24% 12%
Blade of Ultramar 539 9% -3.5 ± 1.1 -3.3 17% 10% 9% 2%
Reclamation Force 462 8% +3.1 ± 1.2 +2.7 9% 10% 12% 0%
Assault Brethren 434 7% +5.9 ± 1.2 +4.8 0% 0% 0% 30%
Shadowmark Talon 421 7% -2.2 ± 1.3 -1.7 6% 9% 9% 4%
Vengeful Hosts 400 7% -2.9 ± 1.2 -2.4 0% 12% 13% 1%
Terminator Storm Force 391 7% +5.3 ± 1.3 +4.2 0% 0% 0% 27%
Ironstorm Spearhead 375 6% +1.6 ± 1.4 +1.2 5% 3% 3% 15%
Ceramite Sentinels 367 6% +2.7 ± 1.3 +2.1 5% 5% 6% 8%
Hammer of Avernii 322 5% -0.9 ± 1.4 -0.7 6% 8% 8% 0%
Fulguris Task Force 293 5% -2.5 ± 1.6 -1.6 7% 7% 5% 0%
Spearpoint Task Force 230 4% +0.5 ± 1.6 +0.3 4% 4% 4% 4%
Gladius Task Force 223 4% -9.8 ± 1.9 -5.3 6% 3% 5% 1%

Pick-rate shifts

Type Name First period Prior 28 days Last 28 days Change vs first period (pp) Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Detachment Librarius Conclave 44% 46% 4% -40 -42
Unit Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 0% 0% 41% +41 +41
Unit Librarian 46% 41% 11% -35 -30
Unit Intercessor Squad 64% 61% 28% -35 -33
Unit Lieutenant with Combi-weapon 43% 12% 8% -35 -4
Enhancement Fusillade 35% 13% 1% -34 -12
Unit Impulsor 12% 11% 41% +30 +31
Unit Sternguard Veteran Squad 41% 17% 12% -29 -5
Enhancement Furious Assault 0% 0% 29% +29 +29
Detachment Assault Brethren 0% 0% 28% +28 +28
Unit Marneus Calgar in Armour of Antilochus 32% 26% 4% -28 -22
Unit Marneus Calgar 0% 0% 27% +27 +27

Matchups

Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Black Templars (58.7% over 317 games) and the worst is Chaos Daemons (44.3% over 727).

Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Black Templars 317 58.7% 53.2% to 64.0% 53.4% +5.3 favourable
Astra Militarum 713 55.7% 52.0% to 59.3% 58.2% -2.5 favourable
Aeldari 560 54.6% 50.4% to 58.6% 53.1% +1.5 favourable
Adepta Sororitas 477 53.6% 49.1% to 58.0% 48.3% +5.2
Grey Knights 455 51.0% 46.4% to 55.6% 51.5% -0.6
Tyranids 1,087 46.8% 43.9% to 49.8% 48.8% -1.9 unfavourable
Adeptus Custodes 1,181 46.6% 43.7% to 49.4% 44.5% +2.1 unfavourable
Space Wolves 565 45.4% 41.3% to 49.5% 49.6% -4.2 unfavourable
Leagues of Votann 637 45.3% 41.5% to 49.2% 46.8% -1.5 unfavourable
T'au Empire 950 44.8% 41.7% to 48.0% 46.9% -2.0 unfavourable
Orks 1,356 44.6% 42.0% to 47.3% 43.4% +1.2 unfavourable
Chaos Daemons 727 44.3% 40.7% to 47.9% 43.9% +0.4 unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 15 more rows
Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Thousand Sons 678 50.4% 46.6% to 54.1% 48.3% +2.1
Death Guard 854 50.2% 46.8% to 53.5% 50.5% -0.3
Chaos Space Marines 868 50.1% 46.7% to 53.4% 51.5% -1.4
Adeptus Mechanicus 461 49.6% 45.0% to 54.1% 48.1% +1.5
Necrons 1,302 49.5% 46.8% to 52.3% 47.2% +2.4
Genestealer Cult 295 49.5% 43.8% to 55.2% 51.1% -1.6
Chaos Knights 508 49.4% 45.1% to 53.7% 51.8% -2.4
Blood Angels 615 49.3% 45.3% to 53.2% 52.7% -3.4
Imperial Agents 68 49.3% 37.7% to 60.9% 55.0% -5.7
Imperial Knights 775 49.0% 45.5% to 52.5% 50.1% -1.1
Dark Angels 956 48.2% 45.1% to 51.4% 45.3% +3.0
World Eaters 890 48.1% 44.8% to 51.4% 48.7% -0.6
Emperor's Children 870 48.0% 44.7% to 51.4% 47.3% +0.7
Drukhari 436 47.1% 42.5% to 51.8% 51.7% -4.6
Deathwatch 136 46.3% 38.2% to 54.7% 44.9% +1.4

Results brackets

540 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 60 won X, 176 won X-1 and 304 won X-2, from 1,368 entries.

Share of players by share of games won 5% 0-20 18% 20-40 33% 40-60 27% 60-80 18% 80-100 line = all factions Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2 8.8% X 8.3% X-1 7.1% X-2 dashed = share of entries, 8.0%
Bracket tables
Tier Lists Share of tier Share of entries Ratio z
X 60 8.8% 8.0% 1.10x +0.8
X-1 176 8.3% 8.0% 1.04x +0.5
X-2 304 7.1% 8.0% 0.89x -2.1
X to X-2 540 7.6% 8.0% 0.96x -1.1
Share of games won Players Share of players All players
0 to 20% 56 4.8% 4.1%
20 to 40% 215 18.4% 17.2%
40 to 60% 380 32.5% 32.2%
60 to 80% 313 26.8% 30.1%
80 to 100% 205 17.5% 16.4%

Each extra 2.5 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 4.6 points lower; the average list has 12.2. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, results brackets and terrain layout.

Representative lists

Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties, and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.

Assault Brethren, Deathwatch Support, and Terminator Storm Force2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 7-1 · 131 players · 8 rounds · 9 Oct
Won an event of 100+ players
32 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Roboute Guilliman415Emperor’s Sword, Hand of Dominion
Librarian In Phobos Armour75
Battleline
Heavy Intercessor Squad115Bolt Pistol, Ceramite Fists, Heavy Bolt Rifle
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor70Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Impulsor70Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Allied Units
Deathwatch Terminator Squad200Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer, Chainfist, Plasma Cannon
Deathwatch Terminator Squad200Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer, Chainfist, Plasma Cannon
Other Units
Bladeguard Veteran Squad + Furious Assault190Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Sword
Marneus Calgar180Gauntlets of Ultramar
Wardens of Ultramar115Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Bolt Rifle, Ceramite Fists, Archeotech Laspistol, Power Weapon ...
Eradicator Squad100
Eradicator Squad100
Reiver Squad85Grapnel Launchers, Grav-chutes, Bolt Carbine, Monomolecular Combat Knife, Special-issue Bolt Pistol
Reiver Squad85Grapnel Launchers, Grav-chutes, Bolt Carbine, Monomolecular Combat Knife, Special-issue Bolt Pistol
Forgefather's Seekers + Librarius Conclave1,990 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 6-0 · 135 players · 6 rounds · 25 Jul
Won an event of 100+ players
42 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Librarian In Terminator Armour110
Captain In Gravis Armour90
Vulkan He’stan85Bolt Pistol, Gauntlet of the Forge, Spear of Vulkan
Adrax Agatone80Drakkis, Malleus Noctum
Other Units
Terminator Squad320Power fist, Storm bolter, Cyclone missile launcher
Land Raider Redeemer250Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon
Land Raider Redeemer250Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon
Aggressor Squad165Flamestorm gauntlets, Twin power fists
Bladeguard Veteran Squad160Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma pistol, Heavy bolt pistol
Eradicator Squad90
Eradicator Squad90
Infernus Squad85Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Pyreblaster
Infernus Squad85Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Pyreblaster
Scout Squad65Bolt pistol, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolter, Missile launcher
Scout Squad65Bolt pistol, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolter, Missile launcher

Team events

49.8%win rate in team events2,369 games604 lists from 552 players+1.5 points against individual eventsgoing first 1.4 points better

Space Marines won 49.8% of 2,369 team event games, against 48.4% of 16,368 in individual events: 1.5 points higher (not clear). It makes up 5.0% of team event games and 8.1% of individual event games.

Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 32% Reconnaissance 23% Take and Hold 20% Disruption 14% Purge the Foe 12% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments share win rate Librarius Conclave 33% Forgefather's Seekers 21% Shadowmark Talon 11% Blade of Ultramar 10% Terminator Storm Force 8% Assault Brethren 7% Reclamation Force 6% Ceramite Sentinels 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups win rate against World Eaters Imperial Knights Space Wolves Astra Militarum Adeptus Custodes Tyranids Leagues of Votann T'au Empire 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events. Dashed: team events win rate.

Milestones

5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after, with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.

July balance & rules update (22 July)

47.5%win rate, rank 19 of 283,735 games1,154 lists from 1,011 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.99x entry sharegoing first 0.0 points worse

Space Marines won 50.8% of 3,597 games in the 28 days before and 47.5% of 3,735 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 8.0% to 7.3%.

One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Vengeful Hosts (0% to 12%).

8 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Sternguard Veteran Squad (44% to 20%), Lieutenant with Combi-weapon (43% to 20%) and Repulsor Executioner (29% to 16%).

One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Fusillade (38% to 15%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 7% 0-20 21% 20-40 28% 40-60 28% 60-80 15% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 36% Take and Hold 29% Reconnaissance 17% Purge the Foe 11% Disruption 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Librarius Conclave 49% Forgefather's Seekers 27% Vengeful Hosts 12% Reclamation Force 11% Blade of Ultramar 10% Shadowmark Talon 8% Hammer of Avernii 8% Fulguris Task Force 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Scout Squad 65% Intercessor Squad 59% Bladeguard Veteran Squad 51% Librarian 42% Terminator Assault Squad 35% Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 34% Land Raider Redeemer 34% Infernus Squad 33% Librarian In Terminator Armour 30% Terminator Squad 29% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Aeldari Black Templars Astra Militarum World Eaters Chaos Daemons T'au Empire Drukhari Space Wolves 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Sternguard Veteran Squad 44% 20% -24 -12.3
Enhancement Fusillade 38% 15% -23 -12.6
Unit Lieutenant with Combi-weapon 43% 20% -23 -11.7
Unit Repulsor Executioner 29% 16% -13 -7.4
Unit Vanguard Veteran Squad With Jump Packs 14% 26% +12 +7.3
Detachment Vengeful Hosts 0% 12% +12 +11.9
Unit Aggressor Squad 15% 26% +10 +6.2
Unit Victrix Honour Guard 27% 17% -10 -6.0
All 10 shifts: 2 more rows
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Terminator Squad 19% 29% +10 +5.5
Unit Librarian In Terminator Armour 21% 30% +9 +4.7

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Forgefather's Seekers + Librarius Conclave1,990 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 6-0 · 135 players · 6 rounds · 25 Jul
Won an event of 100+ players
17 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Librarian In Terminator Armour110
Captain In Gravis Armour90
Vulkan He’stan85Bolt Pistol, Gauntlet of the Forge, Spear of Vulkan
Adrax Agatone80Drakkis, Malleus Noctum
Other Units
Terminator Squad320Power fist, Storm bolter, Cyclone missile launcher
Land Raider Redeemer250Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon
Land Raider Redeemer250Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon
Aggressor Squad165Flamestorm gauntlets, Twin power fists
Bladeguard Veteran Squad160Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma pistol, Heavy bolt pistol
Eradicator Squad90
Eradicator Squad90
Infernus Squad85Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Pyreblaster
Infernus Squad85Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Pyreblaster
Scout Squad65Bolt pistol, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolter, Missile launcher
Scout Squad65Bolt pistol, Boltgun, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolter, Missile launcher
Librarius Conclave + Shadowmark Talon2,000 pts
2nd place · record 6-0 · 135 players · 6 rounds · 8 Aug
14 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Aethon Shaan100Claws of Severax, Heavy Bolt Pistol
Battleline
Intercessor Squad80Bolt pistol, Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt Rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Intercessor Squad80Bolt pistol, Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt Rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Other Units
Centurion Devastator Squad350Centurion Fists, Centurion missile launcher, Grav-cannon
Terminator Assault Squad340Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer, Twin Lightning Claws
Terminator Squad320Storm bolter, Power fist, Cyclone missile launcher
Inceptor Squad125Close combat weapon, Assault Bolters
Inceptor Squad125Close combat weapon, Assault Bolters
Librarian In Terminator Armour110
Librarian In Terminator Armour100
Incursor Squad85Bolt pistol, Occulus Bolt Carbine, Paired Combat Blades
Reiver Squad75Combat Knife, Special Issue Bolt Pistol
Scout Squad65Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Astartes Chainsword, Combat Knife
Lieutenant In Phobos Armour45

August balance & rules update (26 August)

48.2%win rate, rank 17 of 271,303 games368 lists from 360 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.85x entry sharegoing first 0.4 points better

Space Marines won 47.5% of 3,486 games in the 28 days before and 46.3% of 3,934 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 7.1% to 6.7%.

One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Eradicator Squad (30% to 21%).

Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 1% 0-20 23% 20-40 41% 40-60 23% 60-80 13% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 34% Take and Hold 32% Reconnaissance 17% Purge the Foe 10% Disruption 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Librarius Conclave 48% Forgefather's Seekers 24% Vengeful Hosts 14% Reclamation Force 11% Hammer of Avernii 10% Blade of Ultramar 10% Shadowmark Talon 9% Ceramite Sentinels 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Scout Squad 65% Intercessor Squad 63% Bladeguard Veteran Squad 48% Terminator Assault Squad 40% Librarian 40% Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 35% Terminator Squad 35% Librarian In Terminator Armour 33% Land Raider Redeemer 32% Lieutenant 29% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Blood Angels World Eaters T'au Empire Chaos Knights Dark Angels Emperor's Children Tyranids Leagues of Votann 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Eradicator Squad 30% 21% -8 -4.6

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Librarius Conclave + Shadowmark Talon2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 99 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
10 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Aethon Shaan100Claws of Severax, Heavy bolt pistol
Battleline
Intercessor Squad80Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Intercessor Squad80Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Other Units
Centurion Devastator Squad350Centurion fists, Centurion missile launcher, Grav-cannon
Terminator Assault Squad340Storm Shield, Thunder hammer, Twin lightning claws
Terminator Squad320Power fist, Storm bolter, Cyclone missile launcher
Inceptor Squad125Assault bolters, Close combat weapon
Inceptor Squad125Assault bolters, Close combat weapon
Librarian In Terminator Armour110
Librarian In Terminator Armour100
Incursor Squad85Bolt pistol, Occulus bolt carbine, Paired combat blades, Haywire Mine
Reiver Squad75Combat knife, Grapnel Launcher, Reiver Grav-chute, Special issue bolt pistol
Scout Squad65Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Heavy bolter
Lieutenant In Phobos Armour45
Forgefather's Seekers + Librarius Conclave2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 22 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
Show list
Characters
Vulkan He’stan95Bolt Pistol, Gauntlet of the Forge, Spear of Vulkan
Battleline
Intercessor Squad80Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Other Units
Land Raider Redeemer260Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon, Hunter-killer missile
Land Raider Redeemer260Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon, Hunter-killer missile
Inceptor Squad250Close combat weapon, Plasma exterminators
Infernus Squad180Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Pyreblaster
Aggressor Squad165Flamestorm gauntlets, Twin power fists
Aggressor Squad165Flamestorm gauntlets, Twin power fists
Land Speeder105Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Land Speeder105Close-combat weapon, Multi-melta, Onslaught gatling cannon, Stormfury missile launcher
Librarian + Temporal Corridor95Bolt pistol, Force weapon, Smite
Captain In Gravis Armour90
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs85
Scout Squad65Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Boltgun, Missile launcher, Scout sniper rifle

Orks codex (5 September)

45.2%win rate, rank 24 of 284,109 games1,234 lists from 1,073 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.78x entry sharegoing first 2.2 points better

Space Marines won 47.7% of 3,889 games in the 28 days before and 45.2% of 4,109 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 7.1% to 6.3%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 7% 0-20 20% 20-40 37% 40-60 25% 60-80 11% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 38% Take and Hold 32% Reconnaissance 16% Purge the Foe 9% Disruption 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Librarius Conclave 46% Forgefather's Seekers 24% Vengeful Hosts 12% Reclamation Force 12% Shadowmark Talon 9% Blade of Ultramar 8% Hammer of Avernii 7% Ceramite Sentinels 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Scout Squad 65% Intercessor Squad 61% Bladeguard Veteran Squad 48% Librarian 41% Terminator Assault Squad 39% Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 35% Land Raider Redeemer 33% Librarian In Terminator Armour 33% Terminator Squad 32% Infernus Squad 30% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Black Templars Blood Angels Thousand Sons Aeldari Chaos Daemons World Eaters T'au Empire Orks 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Forgefather's Seekers + Librarius Conclave2,000 pts
Priority Assets
77th place · record 3-0 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
Show list
Battleline
5× Assault Intercessor Squad75Assault Intercessor Sergeant: Hand flamer, Power fist, Assault Intercessors: 4 with Astartes Chainsword, Heavy Bolt Pistol
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor70
Drop Pod60
Other Units
Land Raider Redeemer260
10× Infernus Squad180Infernus Marines: 9 with Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Pyreblaster, Infernus Sergeant: Bolt pistol ...
10× Infernus Squad180Infernus Marines: 9 with Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Pyreblaster, Infernus Sergeant: Bolt pistol ...
6× Aggressor Squad165Aggressor Sergeant: Twin power fist, Flamestorm Gauntlets, Aggressors: 5 with Twin power fist, Flamestorm Gauntlets
Gladiator Valiant150
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike135
4× Company Heroes105with Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Master-crafted Bolt Rifle, with Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon ...
Librarian + Immolator95
Vulkan He’stan95
3× Eradicator Squad90Eradicator: Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Melta rifle, Eradicator Sergeant: Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon ...
3× Eradicator Squad90Eradicator: Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Melta rifle, Eradicator Sergeant: Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon ...
5× Incursor Squad85with Bolt pistol, Occulus Bolt Carbine, Paired Combat Blades, with Haywire Mine, Bolt pistol, Occulus Bolt Carbine ...
5× Infernus Squad85Infernus Marines: 9 with Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Pyreblaster, Infernus Sergeant: Bolt pistol ...
Librarian + Immolator80
Librarius Conclave + Orbital Assault Force2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 48 players · 5 rounds · 12 Sep
Show list
Other Units
Centurion Devastator Squad395Centurion fists, Centurion missile launcher, Twin lascannon
Terminator Squad320Power fist, Storm bolter, Cyclone missile launcher
Eradicator Squad180Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Melta rifle, Multi-melta
Terminator Assault Squad160Storm Shield, Thunder hammer, Twin lightning claws
Devastator Squad120Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Bolt pistol, Plasma cannon
Librarian In Terminator Armour110
Infiltrator Squad110Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Marksman bolt carbine, Helix Gauntlet, Infiltrator Comms Array
Infiltrator Squad110Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Marksman bolt carbine, Helix Gauntlet, Infiltrator Comms Array
Darnath Lysander100Fist of Dorn
Librarian + Fusillade95Bolt pistol, Force weapon, Smite
Ancient In Terminator Armour85
Tor Garadon80Artificer grav-gun, Hand of Defiance
Apothecary Biologis70Absolvor bolt pistol, Close combat weapon
Scout Squad65Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)

49.3%win rate, rank 14 of 271,900 games607 lists from 585 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.00x entry sharegoing first 3.1 points better

Space Marines's codex arrived on this date.

Space Marines won 45.2% of 4,109 games in the 28 days before and 51.2% of 4,522 in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 6.3% to 9.0%. The change of +5.9 points is clear.

10 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Librarius Conclave (46% to 3%), Assault Brethren (0% to 30%) and Terminator Storm Force (0% to 27%).

31 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles (0% to 42%), Intercessor Squad (61% to 27%) and Impulsor (10% to 42%).

7 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Furious Assault (0% to 30%), Temporal Corridor (28% to 2%) and Imperium's Sword (0% to 22%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 16% 20-40 34% 40-60 24% 60-80 22% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 42% Priority Assets 30% Purge the Foe 15% Reconnaissance 8% Disruption 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Ironstorm Spearhead 16% Forgefather's Seekers 14% Ceramite Sentinels 8% Librarius Conclave 6% Shadowmark Talon 6% Spearpoint Task Force 5% Assault Brethren 5% Stormlance Task Force 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Scout Squad 47% Bladeguard Veteran Squad 37% Terminator Assault Squad 35% Impulsor 35% Eradicator Squad 32% Terminator Squad 30% Intercessor Squad 30% Inceptor Squad 28% Ancient In Terminator Armour 26% Incursor Squad 25% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Necrons Thousand Sons Adepta Sororitas Dark Angels Adeptus Custodes Blood Angels Grey Knights Aeldari 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Librarius Conclave 46% 3% -43 -27.0
Unit Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 0% 42% +42 +26.0
Unit Intercessor Squad 61% 27% -34 -17.7
Unit Impulsor 10% 42% +32 +18.5
Unit Librarian 41% 10% -32 -19.3
Enhancement Furious Assault 0% 30% +30 +21.2
Detachment Assault Brethren 0% 30% +30 +20.8
Unit Marneus Calgar 0% 28% +28 +20.1
All 48 shifts: 40 more rows
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Enhancement Temporal Corridor 28% 2% -27 -20.0
Detachment Terminator Storm Force 0% 27% +27 +19.6
Unit Librarian In Terminator Armour 33% 7% -26 -17.3
Unit Marneus Calgar in Armour of Antilochus 26% 2% -24 -18.2
Enhancement Imperium's Sword 0% 22% +22 +17.8
Unit Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 35% 13% -21 -13.2
Unit Roboute Guilliman 7% 26% +19 +12.9
Unit Scout Squad 65% 46% -19 -9.6
Unit Deathwatch Terminator Squad 0% 17% +17 +15.3
Unit Lieutenant 26% 10% -16 -11.1
Unit Land Raider Redeemer 33% 18% -16 -9.5
Enhancement Celerity 17% 1% -15 -14.7
Unit Infernus Squad 30% 16% -14 -8.8
Unit Librarian In Phobos Armour 2% 16% +14 +12.4
Unit Land Speeder 29% 16% -14 -8.6
Detachment Deathwatch Support 0% 13% +13 +13.2
Unit Reiver Squad 7% 20% +13 +9.7
Enhancement Fusillade 13% 0% -12 -13.4
Detachment Ironstorm Spearhead 3% 15% +12 +10.7
Unit Infiltrator Squad 17% 5% -12 -10.3
Detachment Reclamation Force 12% 0% -12 -13.5
Detachment Forgefather's Seekers 24% 12% -12 -8.1
Enhancement Immolator 17% 6% -12 -9.7
Detachment Vengeful Hosts 12% 1% -12 -12.6
Unit Vulkan He’stan 26% 14% -12 -7.6
Unit Vanguard Veteran Squad With Jump Packs 22% 11% -11 -8.0
Unit Kaius Konorius 0% 11% +11 +11.8
Unit Vindicator 11% 1% -10 -11.3
Detachment Ironclad Champions 0% 10% +10 +11.5
Unit Ancient In Terminator Armour 16% 26% +10 +6.4
Unit Aggressor Squad 28% 18% -10 -6.2
Unit Bladeguard Veteran Squad 48% 39% -10 -5.1
Enhancement Artificer Sarcophagus 0% 10% +10 +11.2
Unit Eradicator Squad 23% 13% -10 -6.5
Unit Company Heroes 13% 22% +9 +6.3
Unit Chaplain On Bike 3% 12% +9 +9.1
Unit Captain Titus 13% 4% -9 -8.6
Unit Outrider Squad 11% 20% +8 +6.0
Detachment Devastator Brethren 0% 8% +8 +10.3
Unit Gladiator Lancer 17% 9% -8 -6.3

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Assault Brethren, Deathwatch Support, and Terminator Storm Force2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 7-1 · 131 players · 8 rounds · 9 Oct
Won an event of 100+ players
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Roboute Guilliman415Emperor’s Sword, Hand of Dominion
Librarian In Phobos Armour75
Battleline
Heavy Intercessor Squad115Bolt Pistol, Ceramite Fists, Heavy Bolt Rifle
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor70Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Impulsor70Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Allied Units
Deathwatch Terminator Squad200Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer, Chainfist, Plasma Cannon
Deathwatch Terminator Squad200Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer, Chainfist, Plasma Cannon
Other Units
Bladeguard Veteran Squad + Furious Assault190Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Sword
Marneus Calgar180Gauntlets of Ultramar
Wardens of Ultramar115Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Bolt Rifle, Ceramite Fists, Archeotech Laspistol, Power Weapon ...
Eradicator Squad100
Eradicator Squad100
Reiver Squad85Grapnel Launchers, Grav-chutes, Bolt Carbine, Monomolecular Combat Knife, Special-issue Bolt Pistol
Reiver Squad85Grapnel Launchers, Grav-chutes, Bolt Carbine, Monomolecular Combat Knife, Special-issue Bolt Pistol
Forgefather's Seekers + Ironstorm Spearhead2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 6-0 · 106 players · 6 rounds · 10 Oct
Won an event of 100+ players
Show list
Characters
Vulkan He’stan105Bolt Pistol, Gauntlet of the Forge, Spear of Vulkan
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor80Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Orbital Comms Array, Storm Bolters
Impulsor80Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Orbital Comms Array, Storm Bolters
Impulsor80Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Orbital Comms Array, Storm Bolters
Other Units
Land Raider Redeemer245Armoured Tracks, Flamestorm Cannon, Hunter-killer Missile, Multi-melta, Storm Bolter, Twin Assault Cannon
Gladiator Valiant185Armoured Hull, Defensive Array, Multi-melta, Twin Las-talon
Aggressor Squad180Flamestorm Gauntlets, Twin Power Fists
Gladiator Valiant165Armoured Hull, Defensive Array, Multi-melta, Twin Las-talon
Gladiator Valiant165Armoured Hull, Defensive Array, Multi-melta, Twin Las-talon
Eradicator Squad with Heavy Bolters100
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles100
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles100
Infernus Squad95Bolt Pistol, Ceramite Fists, Pyreblaster
Infernus Squad95Bolt Pistol, Ceramite Fists, Pyreblaster
Aggressor Squad90Flamestorm Gauntlets, Twin Power Fists
Invader ATVs70Armoured Impact, Bolt Pistol, Multi-melta, Twin Bolt Rifle
Scout Squad65Bolt Pistol, Boltgun, Chainsword, Combat Knife, Missile Launcher, Sniper Rifle

Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)

52.5%win rate, rank 5 of 272,622 games873 lists from 834 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.03x entry sharegoing first 2.3 points better

Space Marines won 47.3% of 4,158 games in the 28 days before and 52.5% of 2,622 in the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 7.0% to 9.8%. The change of +5.2 points is clear.

8 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Assault Brethren (2% to 47%), Terminator Storm Force (2% to 42%) and Librarius Conclave (27% to 0%).

21 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles (8% to 60%), Eradicator Squad (27% to 0%) and Impulsor (22% to 48%).

5 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Furious Assault (13% to 33%), Temporal Corridor (16% to 0%) and Imperium's Sword (10% to 24%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 4% 0-20 15% 20-40 31% 40-60 29% 60-80 21% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 49% Priority Assets 27% Purge the Foe 14% Reconnaissance 5% Disruption 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Assault Brethren 47% Terminator Storm Force 42% Deathwatch Support 21% Ironclad Champions 16% Ironstorm Spearhead 15% Devastator Brethren 13% Forgefather's Seekers 11% Gravis Siege Force 10% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 60% Impulsor 48% Scout Squad 45% Bladeguard Veteran Squad 40% Terminator Assault Squad 37% Marneus Calgar 33% Roboute Guilliman 28% Inceptor Squad 27% Incursor Squad 26% Ancient In Terminator Armour 26% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Drukhari Chaos Space Marines Thousand Sons Astra Militarum Chaos Knights Aeldari Leagues of Votann Adeptus Mechanicus 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 8% 60% +52 +25.9
Detachment Assault Brethren 2% 47% +44 +25.3
Detachment Terminator Storm Force 2% 42% +41 +24.1
Unit Eradicator Squad 27% 0% -27 -16.9
Detachment Librarius Conclave 27% 0% -27 -16.8
Unit Impulsor 22% 48% +26 +12.8
Unit Marneus Calgar 11% 33% +22 +12.6
Unit Intercessor Squad 47% 25% -22 -10.2
All 34 shifts: 26 more rows
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Deathwatch Support 1% 21% +21 +16.6
Enhancement Furious Assault 13% 33% +21 +11.6
Unit Librarian 27% 7% -20 -11.6
Unit Deathwatch Terminator Squad 4% 23% +18 +12.8
Unit Marneus Calgar in Armour of Antilochus 18% 0% -18 -13.1
Unit Librarian In Terminator Armour 21% 5% -16 -10.5
Unit Reiver Squad 9% 25% +16 +10.3
Enhancement Temporal Corridor 16% 0% -16 -12.4
Detachment Ironclad Champions 1% 16% +15 +13.8
Unit Librarian In Phobos Armour 5% 20% +15 +10.9
Unit Roboute Guilliman 14% 28% +14 +8.1
Enhancement Imperium's Sword 10% 24% +14 +8.9
Unit Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 25% 12% -14 -7.9
Detachment Devastator Brethren 0% 13% +13 +12.6
Unit Scout Squad 56% 45% -11 -5.1
Unit Lieutenant 19% 9% -10 -6.6
Unit Infernus Squad 24% 14% -10 -5.5
Detachment Gravis Siege Force 0% 10% +10 +11.1
Enhancement Celerity 10% 0% -10 -9.4
Unit Infiltrator Squad 13% 4% -9 -7.0
Unit Company Heroes 15% 24% +9 +5.0
Unit Land Raider Redeemer 25% 17% -8 -4.6
Detachment Forgefather's Seekers 19% 11% -8 -5.1
Enhancement Immolator 12% 4% -8 -6.5
Unit Captain Titus 11% 3% -8 -7.0
Unit Land Speeder 23% 15% -8 -4.6

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Assault Brethren + Deathwatch Support + Terminator Storm Force1,995 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 50 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
9 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Roboute Guilliman415Emperor’s Sword, Hand of Dominion
Company Heroes + Imperium's Sword145Master-crafted Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Combat Knife, Master-crafted Bolt Rifle, Master-crafted Heavy Bolter
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor70Armoured Hull, Bellicatus Missile Array, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Storm Bolters
Impulsor70Armoured Hull, Bellicatus Missile Array, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Storm Bolters
Allied Units
Deathwatch Terminator Squad220Chainfist, Storm Bolter, Plasma Cannon, Power Fist, Cyclone Missile Launcher
Deathwatch Terminator Squad190Chainfist, Storm Bolter, Plasma Cannon, Power Fist, Cyclone Missile Launcher
Other Units
Marneus Calgar180Gauntlets of Ultramar
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike140Armoured Impact, Stormfury Missile Launcher, Thunderstrike Icarus Rocket Pod, Thunderstrike Las-talon
Victrix Honour Guard135Blades of Honour, Banner of Macragge, Master-crafted Bolt Carbine, Master-crafted Power Weapon
Kaius Konorius100Heavy Bolt Pistol, Severance and Rebuke
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles100
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles100
Scout Squad65Bolt Pistol, Boltgun, Chainsword, Combat Knife, Missile Launcher, Sniper Rifle
Scout Squad65Bolt Pistol, Boltgun, Chainsword, Combat Knife, Missile Launcher, Sniper Rifle
Assault Brethren + Deathwatch Support + Terminator Storm Force2,000 pts
Take and Hold
2nd place · record 6-0 · 85 players · 6 rounds · 17 Oct
43 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Roboute Guilliman415Emperor’s Sword, Hand of Dominion
Librarian In Phobos Armour75
Battleline
Heavy Intercessor Squad115Bolt Pistol, Ceramite Fists, Heavy Bolt Rifle, Heavy Bolter
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor70Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Impulsor70Armoured Hull, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Other Units
Deathwatch Terminator Squad200Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer, Chainfist, Plasma Cannon
Deathwatch Terminator Squad200Storm Shield, Thunder Hammer, Chainfist, Plasma Cannon
Bladeguard Veteran Squad + Furious Assault190Master-crafted Power Sword, Neo-volkite Pistol, Heavy Bolt Pistol
Marneus Calgar180Gauntlets of Ultramar
Wardens of Ultramar115Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Bolt Rifle, Ceramite Fists, Archeotech Laspistol, Power Weapon ...
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles100
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles100
Reiver Squad85Grav-chutes, Bolt Carbine, Monomolecular Combat Knife, Special-issue Bolt Pistol
Reiver Squad85Grav-chutes, Bolt Carbine, Monomolecular Combat Knife, Special-issue Bolt Pistol

Death Guard

Whole edition

48.1%win rate, rank 18 of 2810,233 games2,983 lists from 1,891 playerstop-10% finishes 0.70x entry sharegoing first 3.4 points better47.5% adjusted for player skill

Shamblerot Vectorium lists have a win rate 7.2 points above the faction average and make up 19% of the faction's lists. Death Guard climbed from 45.9% in the first period (19 Jun to 21 Jul) to 52.1% in the latest (3 Oct to 25 Oct), one of 10 factions with a clear change over the period. The season figure is 48.1% (rank 18 of 28, 10,233 games), which understates where it stands now. Shamblerot Vectorium went from 7% to 33% of the faction's lists between the first period and the last 28 days. 38.3% of its players won at least 60% of their games, against 46.5% of all players.

Detachments

9 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 6 of them account for 80% of picks. The most played is Paragons of Putrescence (45% of lists), and 61% of lists run more than one detachment. 3 detachments differ from the faction average. Best: Shamblerot Vectorium (7.2 points above the faction average, 19% of lists). Weakest: Flyblown Host (6.1 points below the faction average, 9% of lists).

Detachment Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z P1 P2 P3 P4
Paragons of Putrescence 1,349 45% +2.1 ± 0.7 +3.0 38% 48% 48% 47%
Virulent Vectorium 899 30% +0.2 ± 0.9 +0.2 30% 33% 27% 31%
Shamblerot Vectorium 562 19% +7.2 ± 1.1 +6.9 7% 10% 22% 33%
Contagion Engines 421 14% -3.0 ± 1.2 -2.5 18% 10% 16% 12%
Champions of Contagion 399 13% -1.3 ± 1.3 -1.0 17% 15% 13% 9%
Tallyband Summoners 316 11% -1.9 ± 1.3 -1.4 9% 13% 13% 7%
Death Lord's Chosen 308 10% -1.7 ± 1.4 -1.2 14% 13% 8% 7%
Mortarion's Hammer 277 9% -4.4 ± 1.6 -2.7 10% 9% 10% 8%
Flyblown Host 254 9% -6.1 ± 1.5 -4.0 13% 11% 6% 5%

Over time

Share of games per week (%) 3 4 5 5.0 4.9 Jul Aug Sep Oct Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval 40 50 51.5 52.4 Jul Aug Sep Oct
Period Lists Share of all lists Games Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul 653 4.2% 2,179 45.9%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug 701 3.8% 2,432 44.3%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct 885 3.8% 3,167 49.5%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct 744 4.9% 2,455 52.1%

Around each milestone, 28 days before and after

Milestone Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul) 1,783 / 1,966 44.5% to 44.1% -0.4 -0.2 4.0% to 3.9%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug) 1,878 / 2,226 43.9% to 48.5% +4.6 +3.0 3.8% to 3.8%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep) 1,941 / 2,593 45.6% to 49.9% +4.4 +2.9 3.6% to 4.0%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct) 2,593 / 2,455 49.9% to 52.1% +2.2 +1.5 4.0% to 4.9%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data 2,524 / 1,318 51.9% to 50.8% -1.1 -0.6 4.3% to 4.9%

Force Disposition

Disruption has a win rate 5.8 points above the faction's other choices.

Disposition Share of games Games Win rate Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Take and Hold 35% 3,128 46.6% -1.6 ± 0.9
Priority Assets 30% 2,694 49.3% +1.2 ± 1.0
Disruption 15% 1,296 53.5% +5.8 ± 1.5
Purge the Foe 12% 1,033 45.0% -3.2 ± 1.7
Reconnaissance 9% 774 48.3% +0.2 ± 1.8

Results brackets

241 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 19 won X, 66 won X-1 and 156 won X-2, from 681 entries.

Share of players by share of games won 5% 0-20 19% 20-40 37% 40-60 27% 60-80 12% 80-100 line = all factions Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2 2.8% X 3.1% X-1 3.7% X-2 dashed = share of entries, 4.0%
Tier Lists Share of tier Share of entries Ratio z
X 19 2.8% 4.0% 0.70x -1.6
X-1 66 3.1% 4.0% 0.78x -2.1
X-2 156 3.7% 4.0% 0.92x -1.1
X to X-2 241 3.4% 4.0% 0.86x -2.5
Share of games won Players Share of players All players
0 to 20% 32 5.4% 4.1%
20 to 40% 115 19.4% 17.2%
40 to 60% 218 36.8% 32.2%
60 to 80% 158 26.7% 30.1%
80 to 100% 69 11.7% 16.4%

Enhancements

28 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Rejuvenating Swarm (23% of lists). One enhancement differs from the other enhancements in its detachment: Insectile Murmuration (10.2 points below the rest).

Enhancement Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Rejuvenating Swarm 685 23% +1.7 ± 0.9 +1.8
Revolting Regeneration 643 22% +1.5 ± 1.0 +1.5
Daemon Weapon of Nurgle 376 13% -1.8 ± 1.3 -1.3
Furnace of Plagues 277 9% -3.4 ± 1.7 -2.1
Sorrowsyphon 252 8% +4.1 ± 1.5 +2.8
Beckoning Blight 227 8% +0.2 ± 1.6 +0.2
Warprot Talisman 218 7% +1.4 ± 1.6 +0.8
Arch Contaminator 183 6% -0.2 ± 1.9 -0.1
Insectile Murmuration 59 2% -10.2 ± 2.8 -3.7

Combinations

16 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common is Paragons of Putrescence + Shamblerot Vectorium (384 lists, 13%). Best: Paragons of Putrescence + Shamblerot Vectorium (11.8 points above the faction average). Weakest: Death Lord's Chosen + Flyblown Host (17.9 points below the faction average).

Combination Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Paragons of Putrescence + Shamblerot Vectorium 384 13% +11.8 ± 1.4 +8.6
Champions of Contagion + Paragons of Putrescence 316 11% -1.7 ± 1.5 -1.1
Death Lord's Chosen + Paragons of Putrescence 186 6% +1.6 ± 1.8 +0.9
Paragons of Putrescence + Tallyband Summoners 181 6% -2.1 ± 1.9 -1.1
Mortarion's Hammer + Paragons of Putrescence 120 4% -3.9 ± 2.6 -1.5
Contagion Engines + Mortarion's Hammer 86 3% -3.1 ± 3.2 -1.0
Contagion Engines + Shamblerot Vectorium 85 3% +4.6 ± 3.2 +1.5
Contagion Engines + Death Lord's Chosen 78 3% -8.2 ± 3.1 -2.6
Flyblown Host + Tallyband Summoners 41 1% -11.7 ± 3.7 -3.2
Flyblown Host + Mortarion's Hammer 38 1% -15.9 ± 4.7 -3.3
Death Lord's Chosen + Flyblown Host 27 1% -17.9 ± 4.3 -4.2

Units

A typical list contains 11 distinct units. 8 units appear in at least half of all lists and 21 in at least 10%. The most common is Poxwalkers (89% of lists). One datasheet never appeared: Death Guard Cultists. 3 datasheets appeared in under 1% of lists: Chaos Predator Annihilator, Miasmic Malignifier, Plague Drones.

Of 35 units in 40 or more lists, 3 have a clear effect on results (3 positive, 0 negative). Best: Malignant Plaguecaster (2.2 points above comparable lists, 56% of lists), Defiler (2.1 points above comparable lists, 45% of lists) and Chaos Rhino (2.1 points above comparable lists, 48% of lists).

Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -5 0 +5 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Malignant Plaguecaster Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -5 0 +5 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Shamblerot Vectorium Flyblown Host Paragons of Putrescence

Most played units

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Poxwalkers 2,639 88.5% +0.7 ± 0.5 +1.5
Deathshroud Terminators 2,187 73.3% -0.0 ± 0.5 -0.0
Lord of Contagion 2,065 69.2% +0.4 ± 0.6 +0.8
Myphitic Blight-hauler 1,907 63.9% -0.1 ± 0.6 -0.1
Malignant Plaguecaster 1,674 56.1% +2.2 ± 0.6 +3.5
Tallyman 1,619 54.3% +0.4 ± 0.6 +0.7
Plague Marines 1,591 53.3% -0.6 ± 0.6 -0.9
Typhus 1,561 52.3% +0.9 ± 0.6 +1.3
Mortarion 1,457 48.8% +1.4 ± 0.6 +2.2
Chaos Rhino 1,445 48.4% +2.1 ± 0.7 +3.2
Defiler 1,341 45.0% +2.1 ± 0.7 +3.3
Lord of Virulence 1,317 44.2% -1.2 ± 0.7 -1.7

Pick-rate shifts

Type Name First period Prior 28 days Last 28 days Change vs first period (pp) Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Unit Mortarion 36% 57% 62% +26 +6
Unit Foetid Bloat-drone with Heavy Blight Launcher 55% 34% 29% -26 -5
Detachment Shamblerot Vectorium 7% 24% 33% +26 +9
Unit Typhus 38% 55% 64% +25 +9
Unit Chaos Rhino 36% 53% 60% +24 +8
Unit Deathshroud Terminators 84% 67% 62% -23 -5
Unit Noxious Blightbringer 11% 24% 34% +22 +10
Unit Defiler 38% 50% 57% +19 +6
Unit Lord of Contagion 78% 64% 59% -19 -5
Unit Plague Marines 62% 49% 43% -18 -6
Unit Myphitic Blight-hauler 56% 69% 73% +17 +4
Unit Malignant Plaguecaster 47% 61% 63% +16 +2

Matchups

Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Chaos Knights (58.3% over 242 games) and the worst is Orks (42.9% over 706).

Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Chaos Knights 242 58.3% 52.0% to 64.3% 51.3% +6.9 favourable
Black Templars 145 55.9% 47.7% to 63.7% 52.9% +2.9
Imperial Agents 45 55.6% 41.2% to 69.1% 54.6% +1.0
World Eaters 456 53.0% 48.4% to 57.5% 48.3% +4.7
Grey Knights 263 52.7% 46.6% to 58.6% 51.1% +1.6
Dark Angels 481 44.6% 40.2% to 49.1% 44.8% -0.2 unfavourable
Chaos Daemons 393 44.0% 39.2% to 49.0% 43.5% +0.5 unfavourable
Drukhari 235 43.8% 37.6% to 50.2% 51.3% -7.4
Necrons 654 43.5% 39.8% to 47.3% 46.7% -3.2 unfavourable
Orks 706 42.9% 39.3% to 46.6% 42.9% -0.0 unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 17 more rows
Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Space Wolves 266 52.6% 46.6% to 58.6% 49.1% +3.5
Aeldari 293 51.4% 45.7% to 57.0% 52.6% -1.2
Blood Angels 317 50.9% 45.5% to 56.4% 52.2% -1.3
Astra Militarum 393 50.8% 45.8% to 55.7% 57.7% -7.0
Chaos Space Marines 497 50.3% 45.9% to 54.7% 51.0% -0.7
Deathwatch 70 50.0% 38.6% to 61.4% 44.5% +5.5
Space Marines 854 49.8% 46.5% to 53.2% 49.5% +0.3
Emperor's Children 420 49.5% 44.8% to 54.3% 46.9% +2.7
Leagues of Votann 408 48.8% 44.0% to 53.6% 46.4% +2.4
Thousand Sons 307 48.7% 43.2% to 54.3% 47.8% +0.9
Tyranids 571 48.6% 44.5% to 52.7% 48.3% +0.3
Imperial Knights 421 46.8% 42.1% to 51.6% 49.6% -2.8
Adeptus Custodes 658 46.6% 42.8% to 50.4% 44.0% +2.6
T'au Empire 497 46.4% 42.0% to 50.8% 46.4% -0.1
Genestealer Cult 136 46.0% 37.8% to 54.3% 50.7% -4.7
Adeptus Mechanicus 251 45.8% 39.8% to 52.0% 47.6% -1.8
Adepta Sororitas 254 45.1% 39.1% to 51.2% 47.9% -2.8

Each extra 2.0 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 3.8 points lower; the average list has 10.5. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, milestone moves and terrain layout.

Representative lists

Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties, and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.

Paragons of Putrescence + Shamblerot Vectorium2,000 pts
Disruption
Won the event · record 6-0 · 116 players · 6 rounds · 12 Sep
Won an event of 100+ players
221 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Mortarion375Lantern, Rotwind, Silence
Malignant Plaguecaster + Sorrowsyphon60Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino75Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Allied Units
Knight Despoiler380Despoiler battle cannon, Diabolus heavy stubber, Ruinspear rocket pod, Titanic feet
Other Units
Defiler330Excruciator cannon, Hades battle cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Poxwalkers130Improvised weapon
Typhus100Lakrimae
Myphitic Blight-hauler95
Myphitic Blight-hauler95
Myphitic Blight-hauler95
Malignant Plaguecaster + Sorrowsyphon70Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Poxwalkers65Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers65Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers65Improvised weapon
Virulent Vectorium2,000 pts
4th place · record 7-1 · 267 players · 8 rounds · 19 Jun
104 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Mortarion380Lantern, Rotwind, Silence
Daemon Prince of Nurgle + Revolting Regeneration215Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Lord of Contagion120Manreaper
Malignant Plaguecaster60Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Malignant Plaguecaster60Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Tallyman50Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol
Battleline
Plague Marines95Plasma gun, Power fist, Blight launcher, Heavy plague weapon, Plague knives, Plague spewer
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino85Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler250Excruciator cannon, Hades battle cannon, Hades lascannon, Shearing claws
Defiler250Excruciator cannon, Hades battle cannon, Hades lascannon, Shearing claws
Deathshroud Terminators160Icon of Despair (Aura), Manreaper, Plaguespurt gauntlet
Chaos Spawn80Hideous mutations
Poxwalkers65Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers65Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers65Improvised weapon

Team events

47.8%win rate in team events2,048 games522 lists from 450 players-0.5 points against individual eventsgoing first 5.2 points better

Death Guard won 47.8% of 2,048 team event games, against 48.2% of 8,185 in individual events: 0.5 points lower (not clear). It makes up 4.4% of team event games and 4.0% of individual event games.

Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 34% Disruption 26% Priority Assets 22% Reconnaissance 9% Purge the Foe 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments share win rate Paragons of Putrescence 45% Virulent Vectorium 30% Shamblerot Vectorium 25% Contagion Engines 12% Champions of Contagion 11% Tallyband Summoners 11% Mortarion's Hammer 7% Flyblown Host 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups win rate against Chaos Space Marines Chaos Knights Leagues of Votann Grey Knights Drukhari Space Marines Space Wolves Adepta Sororitas 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events. Dashed: team events win rate.

Milestones

5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after, with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.

July balance & rules update (22 July)

44.1%win rate, rank 26 of 281,966 games557 lists from 497 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.67x entry sharegoing first 4.9 points better

Death Guard won 44.5% of 1,783 games in the 28 days before and 44.1% of 1,966 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.0% to 3.9%.

One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Contagion Engines (20% to 10%).

One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Foetid Bloat-drone with Heavy Blight Launcher (55% to 42%).

One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Revolting Regeneration (14% to 26%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 11% 0-20 22% 20-40 40% 40-60 23% 60-80 5% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 44% Priority Assets 31% Disruption 9% Purge the Foe 8% Reconnaissance 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Paragons of Putrescence 47% Virulent Vectorium 33% Champions of Contagion 16% Tallyband Summoners 13% Death Lord's Chosen 12% Mortarion's Hammer 10% Flyblown Host 10% Shamblerot Vectorium 10% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Poxwalkers 86% Deathshroud Terminators 83% Lord of Contagion 77% Plague Marines 62% Tallyman 59% Myphitic Blight-hauler 57% Malignant Plaguecaster 52% Typhus 50% Lord of Virulence 48% Chaos Rhino 43% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Aeldari Chaos Knights Space Wolves T'au Empire Dark Angels Necrons Adeptus Custodes Leagues of Votann 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Foetid Bloat-drone with Heavy Blight Launcher 55% 42% -13 -4.2
Enhancement Revolting Regeneration 14% 26% +12 +5.0
Detachment Contagion Engines 20% 10% -10 -4.8

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Virulent Vectorium2,000 pts
Take and Hold
2nd place · record 4-1 · 25 players · 5 rounds · 25 Jul
6 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Mortarion390Lantern, Rotwind, Silence
Daemon Prince of Nurgle + Revolting Regeneration225Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Tallyman60Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol
Battleline
Plague Marines180Plasma gun, Power fist, Blight launcher, Bubotic weapons, Heavy plague weapon, Plague knives, Plague spewer
Plague Marines180Plasma gun, Power fist, Blight launcher, Bubotic weapons, Heavy plague weapon, Plague knives, Plague spewer
Plague Marines180Plasma gun, Power fist, Blight launcher, Bubotic weapons, Heavy plague weapon, Plague knives, Plague spewer
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino75Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Deathshroud Terminators160Icon of Despair (Aura), Manreaper, Plaguespurt gauntlet
Malignant Plaguecaster + Daemon Weapon of Nurgle85Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Malignant Plaguecaster + Daemon Weapon of Nurgle85Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Malignant Plaguecaster + Daemon Weapon of Nurgle70Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Poxwalkers65Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers65Improvised weapon
Biologus Putrifier60Hyper blight grenades, Injector pistol, Plague knives
Biologus Putrifier60Hyper blight grenades, Injector pistol, Plague knives
Biologus Putrifier60Hyper blight grenades, Injector pistol, Plague knives
Virulent Vectorium2,000 pts
Take and Hold
34th place · record 4-1-1 · 336 players · 6 rounds · 1 Aug
18 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Mortarion390Lantern, Rotwind, Silence
Tallyman60Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol
Other Units
Deathshroud Terminators305Icon of Despair (Aura), Manreaper, Plaguespurt gauntlet
Deathshroud Terminators305Icon of Despair (Aura), Manreaper, Plaguespurt gauntlet
Lord of Contagion + Daemon Weapon of Nurgle130Manreaper
Poxwalkers130Improvised weapon
Lord of Contagion + Daemon Weapon of Nurgle120Manreaper
Foetid Bloat-drone100
Foetid Bloat-drone100
Myphitic Blight-hauler100
Myphitic Blight-hauler100
Chaos Spawn80Hideous mutations
Chaos Spawn80Hideous mutations

August balance & rules update (26 August)

47.7%win rate, rank 20 of 27574 games150 lists from 147 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.86x entry sharegoing first 9.2 points worse

Death Guard won 43.9% of 1,878 games in the 28 days before and 48.5% of 2,226 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.8% to 3.8%.

One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Shamblerot Vectorium (10% to 21%).

5 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Mortarion (39% to 54%), Defiler (36% to 48%) and Plague Marines (61% to 49%).

One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Sorrowsyphon (3% to 13%).

Charts for this window

Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 35% Take and Hold 32% Disruption 11% Purge the Foe 11% Reconnaissance 10% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Paragons of Putrescence 50% Virulent Vectorium 25% Tallyband Summoners 18% Contagion Engines 18% Champions of Contagion 15% Shamblerot Vectorium 14% Mortarion's Hammer 11% Flyblown Host 10% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Poxwalkers 84% Deathshroud Terminators 77% Lord of Contagion 74% Myphitic Blight-hauler 63% Tallyman 62% Mortarion 53% Typhus 51% Malignant Plaguecaster 50% Plague Marines 47% Lord of Virulence 46% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Mortarion 39% 54% +15 +5.0
Unit Defiler 36% 48% +13 +4.3
Unit Plague Marines 61% 49% -12 -4.1
Unit Noxious Blightbringer 13% 25% +12 +5.0
Unit Deathshroud Terminators 80% 69% -11 -4.4
Detachment Shamblerot Vectorium 10% 21% +10 +4.9
Enhancement Sorrowsyphon 3% 13% +10 +6.1

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Contagion Engines + Mortarion's Hammer1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
3rd place · record 4-1 · 30 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lord of Virulence + Tendrilous Emissions130Power fist, Twin plague spewer
Other Units
Plagueburst Crawler200Armoured tracks, Entropy cannon, Heavy slugger, Plagueburst mortar, Rothail volley gun
Plagueburst Crawler200Armoured tracks, Entropy cannon, Heavy slugger, Plagueburst mortar, Rothail volley gun
Plagueburst Crawler170Armoured tracks, Entropy cannon, Heavy slugger, Plagueburst mortar, Rothail volley gun
Foetid Bloat-drone with Heavy Blight Launcher135
Foetid Bloat-drone with Heavy Blight Launcher125
Foetid Bloat-drone with Heavy Blight Launcher125
Helbrute + Parasitic Woe‑reaper125Close combat weapon, Heavy flamer, Helbrute fist
Helbrute + Parasitic Woe‑reaper125Close combat weapon, Heavy flamer, Helbrute fist
Foetid Bloat-drone100
Myphitic Blight-hauler95
Myphitic Blight-hauler95
Myphitic Blight-hauler95
Chaos Spawn80Hideous mutations
Poxwalkers65Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers65Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers65Improvised weapon
Paragons of Putrescence + Tallyband Summoners2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 3-0 · 19 players · 3 rounds · 29 Aug
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Rotigus280Gnarlrod, Streams of brackish filth
Great Unclean One265Bilesword, Plague flail, Putrid vomit
Lord of Virulence + Beckoning Blight120Power fist, Twin plague spewer
Lord of Poxes + Host of the Hybridised Pox105Great plague blade, Plasma pistol
Battleline
Plague Marines180Plasma gun, Power fist, Blight launcher, Heavy plague weapon, Plague knives, Plague spewer
Plaguebearers115Plaguesword, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino75Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler330Excruciator cannon, Hades battle cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Chaos Predator Destructor145Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher, Heavy bolter, Predator autocannon
Malignant Plaguecaster + Fell Harvester70Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Beasts of Nurgle70Putrid appendages
Beasts of Nurgle70Putrid appendages
Beasts of Nurgle70Putrid appendages
Biologus Putrifier60Hyper blight grenades, Injector pistol, Plague knives
Nurglings45Diseased claws and teeth

Orks codex (5 September)

49.9%win rate, rank 12 of 282,593 games735 lists from 645 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.09x entry sharegoing first 7.4 points better

Death Guard won 45.6% of 1,941 games in the 28 days before and 49.9% of 2,593 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.6% to 4.0%.

One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Shamblerot Vectorium (12% to 24%).

3 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Mortarion (42% to 57%), Myphitic Blight-hauler (55% to 69%) and Deathshroud Terminators (78% to 67%).

One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Sorrowsyphon (5% to 15%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 2% 0-20 17% 20-40 35% 40-60 31% 60-80 16% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 34% Priority Assets 28% Disruption 22% Reconnaissance 9% Purge the Foe 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Paragons of Putrescence 47% Virulent Vectorium 27% Shamblerot Vectorium 24% Contagion Engines 16% Champions of Contagion 13% Tallyband Summoners 11% Mortarion's Hammer 9% Death Lord's Chosen 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Poxwalkers 90% Myphitic Blight-hauler 69% Deathshroud Terminators 67% Lord of Contagion 64% Malignant Plaguecaster 61% Mortarion 57% Typhus 54% Chaos Rhino 53% Tallyman 51% Defiler 50% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Blood Angels World Eaters Chaos Knights Leagues of Votann Drukhari Adeptus Mechanicus Dark Angels Necrons 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Mortarion 42% 57% +15 +5.3
Unit Myphitic Blight-hauler 55% 69% +14 +5.0
Detachment Shamblerot Vectorium 12% 24% +12 +5.6
Unit Deathshroud Terminators 78% 67% -11 -4.5
Enhancement Sorrowsyphon 5% 15% +10 +5.7

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Paragons of Putrescence + Shamblerot Vectorium2,000 pts
Disruption
Won the event · record 6-0 · 116 players · 6 rounds · 12 Sep
Won an event of 100+ players
82 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Mortarion375Lantern, Rotwind, Silence
Malignant Plaguecaster + Sorrowsyphon60Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino75Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Allied Units
Knight Despoiler380Despoiler battle cannon, Diabolus heavy stubber, Ruinspear rocket pod, Titanic feet
Other Units
Defiler330Excruciator cannon, Hades battle cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Poxwalkers130Improvised weapon
Typhus100Lakrimae
Myphitic Blight-hauler95
Myphitic Blight-hauler95
Myphitic Blight-hauler95
Malignant Plaguecaster + Sorrowsyphon70Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Poxwalkers65Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers65Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers65Improvised weapon
Virulent Vectorium1,995 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 15 players · 5 rounds · 19 Sep
5 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Mortarion375Lantern, Rotwind, Silence
Daemon Prince of Nurgle + Revolting Regeneration225Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Tallyman60Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol
Icon Bearer45Boltgun, Plague knife
Battleline
Plague Marines180Plasma gun, Power fist, Blight launcher, Heavy plague weapon, Plague knives, Plague spewer
Plague Marines180Plasma gun, Power fist, Blight launcher, Heavy plague weapon, Plague knives, Plague spewer
Plague Marines180Plasma gun, Power fist, Blight launcher, Heavy plague weapon, Plague knives, Plague spewer
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino75Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Deathshroud Terminators160Icon of Despair (Aura), Manreaper, Plaguespurt gauntlet
Malignant Plaguecaster + Arch Contaminator85Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Poxwalkers65Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers65Improvised weapon
Biologus Putrifier60Hyper blight grenades, Injector pistol, Plague knives
Malignant Plaguecaster + Arch Contaminator60Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Malignant Plaguecaster + Arch Contaminator60Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Biologus Putrifier60Hyper blight grenades, Injector pistol, Plague knives
Biologus Putrifier60Hyper blight grenades, Injector pistol, Plague knives

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)

53.6%win rate, rank 5 of 271,137 games335 lists from 323 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.96x entry sharegoing first 0.8 points better

Death Guard won 49.9% of 2,593 games in the 28 days before and 52.1% of 2,455 in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 4.0% to 4.9%.

One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Noxious Blightbringer (24% to 34%).

Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 8% 0-20 11% 20-40 31% 40-60 31% 60-80 18% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 29% Take and Hold 29% Disruption 17% Purge the Foe 14% Reconnaissance 10% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Paragons of Putrescence 46% Virulent Vectorium 32% Shamblerot Vectorium 30% Contagion Engines 12% Tallyband Summoners 10% Champions of Contagion 8% Mortarion's Hammer 8% Death Lord's Chosen 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Poxwalkers 88% Myphitic Blight-hauler 70% Malignant Plaguecaster 64% Typhus 62% Deathshroud Terminators 62% Mortarion 61% Chaos Rhino 60% Lord of Contagion 58% Defiler 53% Plague Marines 46% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Leagues of Votann World Eaters Necrons Chaos Space Marines Orks Tyranids T'au Empire Dark Angels 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Noxious Blightbringer 24% 34% +10 +4.2

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Virulent Vectorium2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 47 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
6 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Mortarion375Lantern, Rotwind, Silence
Daemon Prince of Nurgle with Wings + Revolting Regeneration190Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Daemon Prince of Nurgle185Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Typhus90Lakrimae
Tallyman60Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol
Other Units
Defiler330Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Deathshroud Terminators150Icon of Despair (Aura), Manreaper, Plaguespurt gauntlet
Deathshroud Terminators150Icon of Despair (Aura), Manreaper, Plaguespurt gauntlet
Lord of Contagion + Furnace of Plagues135Manreaper
Lord of Contagion + Furnace of Plagues110Manreaper
Myphitic Blight-hauler95
Poxwalkers65Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers65Improvised weapon
Virulent Vectorium2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 39 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
Show list
Characters
Mortarion375Lantern, Rotwind, Silence
Daemon Prince of Nurgle + Revolting Regeneration215Hellforged weapons, Infernal cannon
Typhus90Lakrimae
Tallyman60Close combat weapon, Plasma pistol
Icon Bearer45Boltgun, Plague knife
Battleline
Plague Marines175Plasma gun, Power fist, Blight launcher, Heavy plague weapon, Plague knives, Plague spewer
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino75Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Blightlord Terminators370Bubotic blade, Combi-bolter, Blight launcher, Plague spewer, Reaper autocannon
Defiler330Excruciator cannon, Hades battle cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Chaos Spawn80Hideous mutations
Poxwalkers65Improvised weapon
Biologus Putrifier60Hyper blight grenades, Injector pistol, Plague knives
Malignant Plaguecaster60Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind

Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)

50.8%win rate, rank 9 of 271,318 games409 lists from 393 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.93x entry sharegoing first 1.7 points better

Death Guard won 51.9% of 2,524 games in the 28 days before and 50.8% of 1,318 in the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 4.3% to 4.9%.

One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Knight Despoiler (2% to 12%).

Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 2% 0-20 17% 20-40 36% 40-60 27% 60-80 18% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 32% Take and Hold 25% Disruption 18% Purge the Foe 18% Reconnaissance 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Paragons of Putrescence 47% Shamblerot Vectorium 36% Virulent Vectorium 31% Contagion Engines 12% Champions of Contagion 9% Mortarion's Hammer 8% Death Lord's Chosen 6% Tallyband Summoners 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Poxwalkers 91% Myphitic Blight-hauler 75% Typhus 66% Malignant Plaguecaster 64% Mortarion 64% Chaos Rhino 61% Defiler 60% Deathshroud Terminators 60% Lord of Contagion 59% Tallyman 45% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Chaos Space Marines Imperial Knights Adeptus Custodes Aeldari T'au Empire Leagues of Votann Adeptus Mechanicus Orks 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Knight Despoiler 2% 12% +10 +6.7

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Paragons of Putrescence + Shamblerot Vectorium1,995 pts
Priority Assets
2nd place · record 7-1 · 143 players · 8 rounds · 23 Oct
87 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Mortarion375Lantern, Rotwind, Silence
Malignant Plaguecaster + Sorrowsyphon60Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino75Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Allied Units
Knight Despoiler380Despoiler battle cannon, Diabolus heavy stubber, Ruinspear rocket pod, Titanic feet
Other Units
Defiler330Excruciator cannon, Hades battle cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Poxwalkers130Improvised weapon
Myphitic Blight-hauler95
Myphitic Blight-hauler95
Myphitic Blight-hauler95
Typhus90Lakrimae
Noxious Blightbringer + Rejuvenating Swarm70Cursed plague bell, Plasma pistol
Malignant Plaguecaster + Sorrowsyphon70Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Poxwalkers65Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers65Improvised weapon
Paragons of Putrescence1,995 pts
Disruption
Won the event · record 5-0 · 40 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
87 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Mortarion375Lantern, Rotwind, Silence
Malignant Plaguecaster + Sorrowsyphon60Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino75Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Allied Units
Knight Despoiler380Daemonbreath meltagun, Despoiler battle cannon, Diabolus heavy stubber, Ruinspear rocket pod, Titanic feet
Other Units
Defiler330Excruciator cannon, Hades battle cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Poxwalkers130Improvised weapon
Myphitic Blight-hauler95
Myphitic Blight-hauler95
Myphitic Blight-hauler95
Typhus90Lakrimae
Noxious Blightbringer + Rejuvenating Swarm70Cursed plague bell, Plasma pistol
Malignant Plaguecaster + Sorrowsyphon70Bolt pistol, Corrupted staff, Plague Wind
Poxwalkers65Improvised weapon
Poxwalkers65Improvised weapon

Genestealer Cult

Whole edition

47.5%win rate, rank 19 of 283,617 games1,010 lists from 646 playerstop-10% finishes 1.01x entry sharegoing first 6.6 points better46.6% adjusted for player skill

Genestealer Cult fell from 50.8% in the first period (19 Jun to 21 Jul) to 42.6% in the latest (3 Oct to 25 Oct), one of 10 factions with a clear change over the period. Purestrain Broodswarm lists have a win rate 4.9 points below the faction average and make up 25% of the faction's lists. The season figure is 47.5% (rank 19 of 28, 3,617 games), which overstates where it stands now. Biosanctic Broodsurge went from 25% to 45% of the faction's lists between the first period and the last 28 days.

Over time

Share of games per week (%) 1 1.5 2 1.0 1.2 Jul Aug Sep Oct Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval 40 60 36.1 55.1 Jul Aug Sep Oct
Period Lists Share of all lists Games Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul 210 1.3% 728 50.8%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug 269 1.5% 941 47.9%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct 355 1.5% 1,352 47.7%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct 176 1.2% 596 42.6%

Around each milestone, 28 days before and after

Milestone Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul) 627 / 792 50.0% to 48.4% -1.6 -0.6 1.4% to 1.6%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug) 698 / 1,025 49.6% to 47.6% -2.0 -0.8 1.4% to 1.7%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep) 879 / 990 48.8% to 47.0% -1.8 -0.8 1.6% to 1.5%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct) 990 / 596 47.0% to 42.6% -4.4 -1.7 1.5% to 1.2%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data 827 / 301 45.8% to 41.2% -4.6 -1.4 1.4% to 1.1%

Detachments

9 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 5 of them account for 80% of picks. The most played is Xenocult Masses (62% of lists), and 84% of lists run more than one detachment. One detachment differs from the faction average. Weakest: Purestrain Broodswarm (4.9 points below the faction average, 25% of lists).

Detachment Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z P1 P2 P3 P4
Xenocult Masses 624 62% +0.6 ± 1.0 +0.6 52% 69% 65% 56%
Biosanctic Broodsurge 376 37% +1.7 ± 1.2 +1.4 25% 38% 40% 45%
Heroes of the Uprising 256 25% -4.7 ± 1.6 -2.9 21% 25% 27% 28%
Purestrain Broodswarm 254 25% -4.9 ± 1.6 -3.1 29% 24% 20% 32%
Final Day 157 16% +2.3 ± 1.9 +1.2 19% 16% 14% 14%
Xenocreed Congregation 118 12% -1.5 ± 2.2 -0.7 13% 9% 15% 8%
Outlander Claw 103 10% -6.0 ± 2.6 -2.3 16% 12% 7% 7%
Host of Ascension 41 4% -1.4 ± 4.2 -0.3 5% 3% 3% 6%
Brood Brothers Auxillia 20 2% -7.8 ± 6.0 -1.3 1% 0% 3% 5%

Pick-rate shifts

Type Name First period Prior 28 days Last 28 days Change vs first period (pp) Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Unit Abominant 34% 58% 69% +35 +11
Unit Aberrants 34% 55% 65% +32 +10
Unit Biophagus 41% 67% 66% +25 -1
Detachment Biosanctic Broodsurge 25% 40% 45% +20 +5

Matchups

Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Space Marines (50.5% over 295 games) and the worst is Dark Angels (33.1% over 169).

Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Astra Militarum 125 65.6% 56.9% to 73.4% 57.1% +8.5 favourable
Drukhari 92 61.4% 51.2% to 70.7% 50.6% +10.8 favourable
Imperial Agents 10 60.0% 31.3% to 83.2% 53.9% +6.1
Blood Angels 111 55.0% 45.7% to 63.9% 51.5% +3.4
Death Guard 136 54.0% 45.7% to 62.2% 49.3% +4.7
Orks 239 41.8% 35.8% to 48.2% 42.3% -0.5 unfavourable
Emperor's Children 158 40.5% 33.2% to 48.3% 46.2% -5.7 unfavourable
Tyranids 197 40.4% 33.8% to 47.3% 47.7% -7.3 unfavourable
Adeptus Custodes 210 40.0% 33.6% to 46.7% 43.4% -3.4 unfavourable
Deathwatch 25 40.0% 23.4% to 59.3% 43.8% -3.8
Dark Angels 169 33.1% 26.5% to 40.5% 44.2% -11.0 unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 16 more rows
Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Aeldari 124 54.0% 45.3% to 62.6% 51.9% +2.1
Imperial Knights 139 53.6% 45.3% to 61.7% 49.0% +4.6
Grey Knights 88 52.8% 42.5% to 62.9% 50.4% +2.4
Chaos Space Marines 143 52.4% 44.3% to 60.5% 50.4% +2.1
Black Templars 50 52.0% 38.5% to 65.2% 52.3% -0.3
Thousand Sons 129 50.8% 42.3% to 59.3% 47.2% +3.6
Space Marines 295 50.5% 44.8% to 56.2% 48.9% +1.6
Chaos Knights 78 50.0% 39.2% to 60.8% 50.7% -0.7
Space Wolves 88 48.3% 38.1% to 58.6% 48.5% -0.2
Adepta Sororitas 79 48.1% 37.4% to 58.9% 47.2% +0.9
Leagues of Votann 129 47.3% 38.9% to 55.9% 45.7% +1.6
Adeptus Mechanicus 92 47.3% 37.4% to 57.4% 47.0% +0.3
Chaos Daemons 154 46.8% 39.0% to 54.6% 42.8% +3.9
T'au Empire 187 44.4% 37.4% to 51.5% 45.8% -1.4
World Eaters 142 44.4% 36.4% to 52.6% 47.6% -3.3
Necrons 228 44.3% 38.0% to 50.8% 46.1% -1.8

Results brackets

104 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 12 won X, 32 won X-1 and 60 won X-2, from 249 entries.

Share of players by share of games won 6% 0-20 18% 20-40 27% 40-60 34% 60-80 16% 80-100 line = all factions Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2 1.8% X 1.5% X-1 1.4% X-2 dashed = share of entries, 1.5%
Bracket tables
Tier Lists Share of tier Share of entries Ratio z
X 12 1.8% 1.5% 1.21x +0.7
X-1 32 1.5% 1.5% 1.03x +0.2
X-2 60 1.4% 1.5% 0.97x -0.3
X to X-2 104 1.5% 1.5% 1.01x +0.1
Share of games won Players Share of players All players
0 to 20% 12 5.6% 4.1%
20 to 40% 39 18.2% 17.2%
40 to 60% 57 26.6% 32.2%
60 to 80% 72 33.6% 30.1%
80 to 100% 34 15.9% 16.4%

Units

A typical list contains 12 distinct units. 14 units appear in at least half of all lists and 25 in at least 10%. The most common is Achilles Ridgerunners (97% of lists). One datasheet never appeared: Leman Russ Eradicator. 37 datasheets appeared in under 1% of lists: Aegis Defence Line, Artillery Team, Attilan Rough Riders, Baneblade, Banesword, Basilisk, Cadian Castellan, Cadian Heavy Weapons Squad, Cadian Recon Squad, Cadian Shock Troops, Catachan Heavy Weapons Squad, Catachan Jungle Fighters and 25 more.

Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -5 0 +5 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -5 0 +5 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Purestrain Broodswarm

Most played units

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Achilles Ridgerunners 984 97.4% -0.7 ± 0.8 -0.9
Purestrain Genestealers 950 94.1% -0.5 ± 0.8 -0.6
Neophyte Hybrids 878 86.9% -0.7 ± 0.8 -0.8
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols 821 81.3% -0.8 ± 0.9 -1.0
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers 779 77.1% -0.3 ± 0.9 -0.4
Patriarch 764 75.6% -0.0 ± 0.9 -0.0
Benefictus 722 71.5% +0.2 ± 0.9 +0.2
Reductus Saboteur 668 66.1% -1.5 ± 1.0 -1.5
Biophagus 584 57.8% +0.8 ± 1.0 +0.8
Atalan Jackals 582 57.6% -1.1 ± 1.1 -1.0
Hybrid Metamorphs 582 57.6% -0.6 ± 1.0 -0.5
Goliath Truck 552 54.7% -0.4 ± 1.1 -0.4

Combinations

10 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common is Biosanctic Broodsurge + Xenocult Masses (247 lists, 24%).

Combination table
Combination Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Biosanctic Broodsurge + Xenocult Masses 247 24% +3.4 ± 1.7 +2.0
Heroes of the Uprising + Purestrain Broodswarm + Xenocult Masses 130 13% -5.1 ± 2.4 -2.1
Final Day + Xenocult Masses 116 11% +3.8 ± 2.5 +1.6
Xenocreed Congregation + Xenocult Masses 83 8% -0.9 ± 3.2 -0.3
Biosanctic Broodsurge + Heroes of the Uprising 65 6% -2.5 ± 3.1 -0.8
Outlander Claw + Purestrain Broodswarm 44 4% -8.8 ± 4.9 -1.8
Heroes of the Uprising + Outlander Claw 29 3% -8.7 ± 5.5 -1.6
Final Day + Purestrain Broodswarm 29 3% -0.5 ± 5.1 -0.1

Enhancements

19 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Biomorph Adaptation (27% of lists).

Enhancement table
Enhancement Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Biomorph Adaptation 276 27% +0.7 ± 1.4 +0.5
Predatory Instincts 273 27% +1.7 ± 1.4 +1.2
Gene-tailored Toxins 212 21% -2.2 ± 1.7 -1.2
Mark of the Star Children 210 21% -2.5 ± 1.8 -1.4
Devious Disguises 154 15% -0.7 ± 2.0 -0.3
Inhuman Integration 140 14% +0.4 ± 2.0 +0.2
Enraptured Damnation 120 12% +0.7 ± 2.4 +0.3
Deeds that Speak to the Masses 91 9% -2.2 ± 2.5 -0.9

Force Disposition

Force Disposition table
Disposition Share of games Games Win rate Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Reconnaissance 45% 1,427 48.1% +0.7 ± 1.4
Take and Hold 22% 711 47.5% -0.3 ± 1.9
Priority Assets 19% 590 44.9% -2.7 ± 2.1
Disruption 13% 412 45.8% -1.8 ± 2.7
Purge the Foe 1% 27 51.9% n/a

The five most active players account for 3.9% of its games. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, milestone moves, unit effects, combination effects, enhancement effects, Force Disposition, results brackets, terrain layout and list width.

Representative lists

Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties, and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.

Xenocreed Congregation + Xenocult Masses2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 59 players · 5 rounds · 1 Aug
72 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Reductus Saboteur70Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Demolition charges, Remote explosives
Reductus Saboteur70Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Demolition charges, Remote explosives
Kelermorph60Close combat weapon, Liberator autostubs
Battleline
Neophyte Hybrids135Anointed pistol, Autopistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Hybrid firearm ...
Neophyte Hybrids135Anointed pistol, Autopistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Hybrid firearm ...
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers75
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols70
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols70
Dedicated Transports
Goliath Truck75Armoured hull, Demolition charge cache, Heavy stubber, Twin autocannon
Other Units
Purestrain Genestealers140Cult claws and talons
Hybrid Metamorphs140Hand flamer, Leader’s cult weapons, Cult Icon, Metamorph mutations
Hybrid Metamorphs140Hand flamer, Leader’s cult weapons, Cult Icon, Metamorph mutations
Achilles Ridgerunners95Armoured hull, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur, Twin heavy stubber
Achilles Ridgerunners95Armoured hull, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur, Twin heavy stubber
Purestrain Genestealers85Cult claws and talons
Patriarch80
Acolyte Iconward + Deeds that Speak to the Masses75Autopistol, Cult claws
Benefictus75Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade
Acolyte Iconward + Deeds that Speak to the Masses75Autopistol, Cult claws
Purestrain Genestealers75Cult claws and talons
Acolyte Iconward + Deeds that Speak to the Masses65Autopistol, Cult claws
Biophagus50Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Biophagus50Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Xenocreed Congregation + Xenocult Masses2,000 pts
Priority Assets
2nd place · record 5-0-1 · 116 players · 6 rounds · 12 Sep
6 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Kelermorph60Close combat weapon, Liberator autostubs
Battleline
Neophyte Hybrids + Devious Disguises150Anointed pistol, Autopistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Hybrid firearm ...
Neophyte Hybrids + Devious Disguises135Anointed pistol, Autopistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Hybrid firearm ...
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols130
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols130
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols70
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols70
Other Units
Achilles Ridgerunners180Armoured hull, Heavy mining laser, Spotter, Twin heavy stubber, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur
Hybrid Metamorphs140Hand flamer, Leader’s cult weapons, Cult Icon, Metamorph mutations
Hybrid Metamorphs140Hand flamer, Leader’s cult weapons, Cult Icon, Metamorph mutations
Achilles Ridgerunners105Armoured hull, Heavy mining laser, Spotter, Twin heavy stubber, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur
Primus + Deeds that Speak to the Masses95Cult bonesword, Scoped needle pistol, Toxin injector claw
Achilles Ridgerunners95Armoured hull, Heavy mining laser, Spotter, Twin heavy stubber, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur
Atalan Jackals85Atalan power weapon, Atalan small arms, Close combat weapon, Grenade launcher, Mining laser
Acolyte Iconward + Denunciator of Tyrants75Autopistol, Cult claws
Purestrain Genestealers75Cult claws and talons
Magus + Incendiary Inspiration65Autopistol, Force stave
Biophagus50Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Biophagus50Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Biophagus50Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Acolyte Iconward + Denunciator of Tyrants50Autopistol, Cult claws

Team events

44.3%win rate in team events732 games172 lists from 155 players-4.1 points against individual eventsgoing first 4.1 points better

Genestealer Cult won 44.3% of 732 team event games, against 48.4% of 2,885 in individual events: 4.1 points lower (not clear). It makes up 1.6% of team event games and 1.4% of individual event games.

Force Disposition share win rate Reconnaissance 51% Disruption 30% Take and Hold 10% Priority Assets 9% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments share win rate Xenocult Masses 59% Biosanctic Broodsurge 35% Heroes of the Uprising 35% Purestrain Broodswarm 24% Final Day 14% Outlander Claw 12% Xenocreed Congregation 9% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups win rate against Astra Militarum Aeldari Drukhari World Eaters Orks Necrons T'au Empire Tyranids 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events. Dashed: team events win rate.

Milestones

5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after, with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.

July balance & rules update (22 July)

48.4%win rate, rank 16 of 28792 games221 lists from 195 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.87x entry sharegoing first 11.8 points better

Genestealer Cult won 50.0% of 627 games in the 28 days before and 48.4% of 792 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 1.4% to 1.6%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 8% 0-20 17% 20-40 33% 40-60 23% 60-80 19% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Reconnaissance 50% Take and Hold 22% Priority Assets 15% Disruption 12% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Xenocult Masses 71% Biosanctic Broodsurge 39% Heroes of the Uprising 26% Purestrain Broodswarm 24% Final Day 14% Outlander Claw 14% Xenocreed Congregation 9% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Achilles Ridgerunners 96% Purestrain Genestealers 95% Neophyte Hybrids 91% Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers 81% Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols 81% Benefictus 76% Patriarch 73% Reductus Saboteur 71% Atalan Jackals 58% Biophagus 51% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Space Marines Necrons T'au Empire Tyranids Adeptus Custodes Emperor's Children Orks 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Xenocreed Congregation + Xenocult Masses2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 59 players · 5 rounds · 1 Aug
16 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Reductus Saboteur70Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Demolition charges, Remote explosives
Reductus Saboteur70Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Demolition charges, Remote explosives
Kelermorph60Close combat weapon, Liberator autostubs
Battleline
Neophyte Hybrids135Anointed pistol, Autopistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Hybrid firearm ...
Neophyte Hybrids135Anointed pistol, Autopistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Hybrid firearm ...
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers75
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols70
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols70
Dedicated Transports
Goliath Truck75Armoured hull, Demolition charge cache, Heavy stubber, Twin autocannon
Other Units
Purestrain Genestealers140Cult claws and talons
Hybrid Metamorphs140Hand flamer, Leader’s cult weapons, Cult Icon, Metamorph mutations
Hybrid Metamorphs140Hand flamer, Leader’s cult weapons, Cult Icon, Metamorph mutations
Achilles Ridgerunners95Armoured hull, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur, Twin heavy stubber
Achilles Ridgerunners95Armoured hull, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur, Twin heavy stubber
Purestrain Genestealers85Cult claws and talons
Patriarch80
Acolyte Iconward + Deeds that Speak to the Masses75Autopistol, Cult claws
Benefictus75Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade
Acolyte Iconward + Deeds that Speak to the Masses75Autopistol, Cult claws
Purestrain Genestealers75Cult claws and talons
Acolyte Iconward + Deeds that Speak to the Masses65Autopistol, Cult claws
Biophagus50Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Biophagus50Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Biosanctic Broodsurge + Xenocult Masses2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 4-1 · 31 players · 5 rounds · 15 Aug
33 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Neophyte Hybrids135Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Hybrid firearm, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Mining laser, Seismic cannon, Webber
Neophyte Hybrids135Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Hybrid firearm, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Mining laser, Seismic cannon, Webber
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols130
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers75
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols70
Other Units
Aberrants280Aberrant weapons
Aberrants280Aberrant weapons
Purestrain Genestealers140Cult claws and talons
Patriarch + Biomorph Adaptation105
Abominant + Predatory Instincts105Power sledgehammer
Achilles Ridgerunners95Armoured hull, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur, Twin heavy stubber
Achilles Ridgerunners95Armoured hull, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur, Twin heavy stubber
Abominant + Predatory Instincts85Power sledgehammer
Benefictus75Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade
Benefictus75Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade
Primus70Cult bonesword, Scoped needle pistol, Toxin injector claw
Biophagus50Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad

August balance & rules update (26 August)

49.7%win rate, rank 12 of 27362 games93 lists from 91 playersgoing first 3.7 points better

Genestealer Cult won 49.6% of 698 games in the 28 days before and 47.6% of 1,025 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 1.4% to 1.7%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Force Disposition share win rate Reconnaissance 44% Take and Hold 29% Priority Assets 18% Disruption 9% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Xenocult Masses 66% Biosanctic Broodsurge 41% Heroes of the Uprising 29% Purestrain Broodswarm 23% Xenocreed Congregation 14% Final Day 13% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Achilles Ridgerunners 97% Purestrain Genestealers 96% Neophyte Hybrids 89% Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols 83% Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers 80% Patriarch 77% Benefictus 77% Biophagus 69% Reductus Saboteur 68% Goliath Truck 65% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Heroes of the Uprising + Purestrain Broodswarm + Xenocult Masses1,995 pts
Disruption
3rd place · record 4-0-1 · 71 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Sanctus + Gene-tailored Toxins100
Reductus Saboteur70Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Demolition charges, Remote explosives
Reductus Saboteur70Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Demolition charges, Remote explosives
Battleline
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers140
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers140
Neophyte Hybrids135Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Hybrid firearm, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Mining laser, Seismic cannon, Webber
Neophyte Hybrids135Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Hybrid firearm, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Mining laser, Seismic cannon, Webber
Neophyte Hybrids135Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Hybrid firearm, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Mining laser, Seismic cannon, Webber
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers75
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers75
Other Units
Purestrain Genestealers + Mark of the Star Children170Cult claws and talons
Purestrain Genestealers + Mark of the Star Children105Cult claws and talons
Achilles Ridgerunners95Armoured hull, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur, Twin heavy stubber
Achilles Ridgerunners95Armoured hull, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur, Twin heavy stubber
Atalan Jackals85Atalan small arms, Close combat weapon, Heavy stubber
Atalan Jackals85Atalan small arms, Close combat weapon, Heavy stubber
Benefictus75Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade
Benefictus75Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade
Benefictus75Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade
Nexos60Autopistol, Close combat weapon
Heroes of the Uprising + Purestrain Broodswarm + Xenocult Masses2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
2nd place · record 4-1 · 33 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Sanctus + Gene-tailored Toxins100Close combat weapon, Cult sniper rifle
Sanctus + Gene-tailored Toxins65Close combat weapon, Cult sniper rifle
Sanctus + Gene-tailored Toxins65Close combat weapon, Cult sniper rifle
Kelermorph60Close combat weapon, Liberator autostubs
Jackal Alphus55Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Cult sniper rifle
Battleline
Neophyte Hybrids135Anointed pistol, Autopistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Hybrid firearm ...
Neophyte Hybrids135Anointed pistol, Autopistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Hybrid firearm ...
Neophyte Hybrids135Anointed pistol, Autopistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Hybrid firearm ...
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols70
Neophyte Hybrids70Anointed pistol, Autopistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Hybrid firearm ...
Dedicated Transports
Goliath Truck75Armoured hull, Demolition charge cache, Heavy stubber, Twin autocannon
Other Units
Purestrain Genestealers + Mark of the Star Children170Cult claws and talons
Purestrain Genestealers + Mark of the Star Children170Cult claws and talons
Purestrain Genestealers + Mark of the Star Children115Cult claws and talons
Achilles Ridgerunners95Armoured hull, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur, Twin heavy stubber
Achilles Ridgerunners95Armoured hull, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur, Twin heavy stubber
Atalan Jackals85Atalan power weapon, Atalan small arms, Close combat weapon, Grenade launcher, Mining laser
Patriarch80
Benefictus75Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade
Benefictus75Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade
Benefictus75Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade

Orks codex (5 September)

47.0%win rate, rank 19 of 28990 games262 lists from 225 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.18x entry sharegoing first 0.6 points worse

Genestealer Cult won 48.8% of 879 games in the 28 days before and 47.0% of 990 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 1.6% to 1.5%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 4% 0-20 26% 20-40 15% 40-60 38% 60-80 17% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Reconnaissance 51% Take and Hold 21% Priority Assets 17% Disruption 11% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Xenocult Masses 64% Biosanctic Broodsurge 40% Heroes of the Uprising 26% Purestrain Broodswarm 19% Xenocreed Congregation 15% Final Day 15% Outlander Claw 9% Brood Brothers Auxillia 3% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Achilles Ridgerunners 98% Purestrain Genestealers 94% Neophyte Hybrids 89% Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols 85% Patriarch 79% Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers 73% Benefictus 70% Biophagus 66% Hybrid Metamorphs 66% Goliath Truck 65% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Imperial Knights Orks Space Marines T'au Empire Chaos Daemons Necrons Dark Angels Adeptus Custodes 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Xenocreed Congregation + Xenocult Masses2,000 pts
Priority Assets
2nd place · record 5-0-1 · 116 players · 6 rounds · 12 Sep
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Kelermorph60Close combat weapon, Liberator autostubs
Battleline
Neophyte Hybrids + Devious Disguises150Anointed pistol, Autopistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Hybrid firearm ...
Neophyte Hybrids + Devious Disguises135Anointed pistol, Autopistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Hybrid firearm ...
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols130
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols130
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols70
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols70
Other Units
Achilles Ridgerunners180Armoured hull, Heavy mining laser, Spotter, Twin heavy stubber, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur
Hybrid Metamorphs140Hand flamer, Leader’s cult weapons, Cult Icon, Metamorph mutations
Hybrid Metamorphs140Hand flamer, Leader’s cult weapons, Cult Icon, Metamorph mutations
Achilles Ridgerunners105Armoured hull, Heavy mining laser, Spotter, Twin heavy stubber, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur
Primus + Deeds that Speak to the Masses95Cult bonesword, Scoped needle pistol, Toxin injector claw
Achilles Ridgerunners95Armoured hull, Heavy mining laser, Spotter, Twin heavy stubber, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur
Atalan Jackals85Atalan power weapon, Atalan small arms, Close combat weapon, Grenade launcher, Mining laser
Acolyte Iconward + Denunciator of Tyrants75Autopistol, Cult claws
Purestrain Genestealers75Cult claws and talons
Magus + Incendiary Inspiration65Autopistol, Force stave
Biophagus50Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Biophagus50Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Biophagus50Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Acolyte Iconward + Denunciator of Tyrants50Autopistol, Cult claws
Xenocreed Congregation + Xenocult Masses1,995 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0-1 · 20 players · 6 rounds · 11 Sep
28 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Magus + Deeds that Speak to the Masses75Autopistol, Magus stave
Reductus Saboteur70Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Demolition charges, Remote explosives
Sanctus65
Battleline
Neophyte Hybrids + Devious Disguises150Autopistol, Hybrid Firearm, Close Combat Weapon, Mining Laser, Seismic Cannon, Grenade Launcher, Webber ...
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers140Hand Flamer, Leader's Bio-weapons, Cult Claws & Knife, Demolition Charges, Cult Icon
Neophyte Hybrids + Devious Disguises135Autopistol, Hybrid Firearm, Close Combat Weapon, Mining Laser, Seismic Cannon, Grenade Launcher, Webber ...
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols130Autopistol, Leader's Bio-weapons, Cult Claws & Knife, Heavy Mining Tool, Cult Icon
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers75Hand Flamer, Leader's Bio-weapons, Cult Claws & Knife, Demolition Charges, Cult Icon
Dedicated Transports
Goliath Truck75Demolition charge cache, Goliath wheels, Heavy stubber, Twin autocannon
Other Units
Hybrid Metamorphs140Leader's Bio-weapons, Hand Flamer, Metamorph Mutations, Cult Icon
Hybrid Metamorphs140Leader's Bio-weapons, Hand Flamer, Metamorph Mutations, Cult Icon
Primus + Denunciator of Tyrants95Cult bonesword, Scoped needle pistol, Toxin injector claw
Achilles Ridgerunners95Heavy mortar, Ridgerunner wheels, Survey augur, Twin heavy stubbers
Achilles Ridgerunners95Heavy mortar, Ridgerunner wheels, Survey augur, Twin heavy stubbers
Atalan Jackals85Atalan Small Arms, Close Combat Weapon, Grenade Launcher, Atalan Power Weapon, Mining Laser
Patriarch80
Purestrain Genestealers75Cult Claws & Talons
Benefictus75Close combat weapon, Psionic cascade
Biophagus50Alchemicus familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Biophagus50Alchemicus familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Biophagus50Alchemicus familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Acolyte Iconward50Autopistol, Cult claws

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)

44.1%win rate, rank 25 of 27295 games85 lists from 80 playersgoing first 5.0 points better

Genestealer Cult won 47.0% of 990 games in the 28 days before and 42.6% of 596 in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 1.5% to 1.2%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Force Disposition share win rate Reconnaissance 48% Disruption 18% Priority Assets 18% Take and Hold 15% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Xenocult Masses 49% Biosanctic Broodsurge 46% Purestrain Broodswarm 33% Heroes of the Uprising 25% Final Day 15% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Achilles Ridgerunners 96% Purestrain Genestealers 93% Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols 89% Neophyte Hybrids 78% Patriarch 75% Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers 68% Abominant 68% Hybrid Metamorphs 64% Reductus Saboteur 64% Benefictus 62% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Final Day + Xenocult Masses1,995 pts
Reconnaissance
4th place · record 4-1 · 49 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Neophyte Hybrids135Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Hybrid firearm, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Mining laser, Seismic cannon, Webber
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers75
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers75
Allied Units
Hyperadapted Raveners165Prime claws and talons, Ravener heavy claws and talons, Venom bolt
Hyperadapted Raveners165Prime claws and talons, Ravener heavy claws and talons, Venom bolt
The Red Terror120Gaping maw, Scything talons
Deathleaper80Lictor claws and talons
Von Ryan’s Leapers55Leaper’s talons
Von Ryan’s Leapers55Leaper’s talons
Von Ryan’s Leapers55Leaper’s talons
Other Units
Achilles Ridgerunners180Armoured hull, Heavy mining laser, Spotter, Twin heavy stubber, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur
Achilles Ridgerunners180Armoured hull, Heavy mining laser, Spotter, Twin heavy stubber, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur
Purestrain Genestealers140Cult claws and talons
Aberrants140Aberrant weapons
Achilles Ridgerunners105Armoured hull, Heavy mining laser, Spotter, Twin heavy stubber, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur
Benefictus + Inhuman Integration95Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade
Patriarch + Enraptured Damnation90
Abominant85Power sledgehammer
Purestrain Broodswarm + Xenocreed Congregation2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 3-0 · 20 players · 3 rounds · 10 Oct
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Reductus Saboteur70Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Demolition charges, Remote explosives
Battleline
Neophyte Hybrids135Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Hybrid firearm, Cult Icon, Flamer, Grenade launcher, Mining laser, Seismic cannon
Neophyte Hybrids135Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Hybrid firearm, Cult Icon, Flamer, Grenade launcher, Mining laser, Seismic cannon
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers75
Neophyte Hybrids70Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Hybrid firearm, Cult Icon, Flamer, Grenade launcher, Mining laser, Seismic cannon
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols65
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols65
Other Units
Achilles Ridgerunners180Armoured hull, Heavy mining laser, Spotter, Twin heavy stubber, Survey Augur
Purestrain Genestealers + Mark of the Star Children170Cult claws and talons
Hybrid Metamorphs140Hand flamer, Leader’s cult weapons, Cult Icon, Metamorph mutations
Achilles Ridgerunners115Armoured hull, Heavy mining laser, Spotter, Twin heavy stubber, Survey Augur
Achilles Ridgerunners105Armoured hull, Heavy mining laser, Spotter, Twin heavy stubber, Survey Augur
Primus + Deeds that Speak to the Masses85Cult bonesword, Scoped needle pistol, Toxin injector claw
Primus + Deeds that Speak to the Masses85Cult bonesword, Scoped needle pistol, Toxin injector claw
Purestrain Genestealers + Mark of the Star Children85Cult claws and talons
Patriarch80
Benefictus75Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade
Benefictus75Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade
Purestrain Genestealers + Mark of the Star Children75Cult claws and talons
Acolyte Iconward + Incendiary Inspiration65Autopistol, Cult claws
Biophagus50Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad

Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)

41.2%win rate, rank 25 of 27301 games91 lists from 84 playersgoing first 8.0 points better

Genestealer Cult won 45.8% of 827 games in the 28 days before and 41.2% of 301 in the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 1.4% to 1.1%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Force Disposition share win rate Reconnaissance 38% Take and Hold 25% Priority Assets 24% Disruption 11% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Xenocult Masses 63% Biosanctic Broodsurge 45% Purestrain Broodswarm 32% Heroes of the Uprising 31% Final Day 13% Xenocreed Congregation 10% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Achilles Ridgerunners 100% Purestrain Genestealers 96% Neophyte Hybrids 86% Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols 86% Patriarch 82% Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers 75% Biophagus 71% Abominant 71% Benefictus 71% Aberrants 70% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Biosanctic Broodsurge + Xenocult Masses2,000 pts
Take and Hold
2nd place · record 5-0 · 50 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Abominant85Power sledgehammer
Jackal Alphus55Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Cult sniper rifle
Battleline
Neophyte Hybrids135Anointed pistol, Autopistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Hybrid firearm ...
Neophyte Hybrids135Anointed pistol, Autopistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Cult Icon, Grenade launcher, Hybrid firearm ...
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols120
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols65
Dedicated Transports
Goliath Truck75Armoured hull, Demolition charge cache, Heavy stubber, Twin autocannon
Goliath Truck75Armoured hull, Demolition charge cache, Heavy stubber, Twin autocannon
Other Units
Purestrain Genestealers140Cult claws and talons
Hybrid Metamorphs140Hand flamer, Leader’s cult weapons, Cult Icon, Metamorph mutations
Hybrid Metamorphs140Hand flamer, Leader’s cult weapons, Cult Icon, Metamorph mutations
Achilles Ridgerunners95Armoured hull, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur, Twin heavy stubber
Achilles Ridgerunners95Armoured hull, Heavy mortar, Survey Augur, Twin heavy stubber
Patriarch + Mutagenic Regeneration90
Benefictus75Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade
Benefictus75Close combat weapon, Psionic Cascade
Purestrain Genestealers75Cult claws and talons
Primus60Cult bonesword, Scoped needle pistol, Toxin injector claw
Primus60Cult bonesword, Scoped needle pistol, Toxin injector claw
Primus60Cult bonesword, Scoped needle pistol, Toxin injector claw
Biophagus50Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Biophagus50Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Biophagus50Alchemicus Familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Biosanctic Broodsurge + Purestrain Broodswarm1,995 pts
Priority Assets
2nd place · record 4-1 · 42 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
9 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers75
Acolyte Hybrids With Hand Flamers75
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols65
Acolyte Hybrids With Autopistols65
Other Units
Aberrants280Aberrant weapons
Aberrants280Aberrant weapons
Purestrain Genestealers + Mark of the Star Children170Cult claws and talons
Purestrain Genestealers + Mark of the Star Children170Cult claws and talons
Abominant + Predatory Instincts105Power sledgehammer
Achilles Ridgerunners95Armoured hull, Heavy mortar, Survey augur, Twin heavy stubber
Achilles Ridgerunners95Armoured hull, Heavy mortar, Survey augur, Twin heavy stubber
Abominant + Predatory Instincts85Power sledgehammer
Atalan Jackals85Atalan small arms, Close combat weapon, Heavy stubber
Atalan Jackals85Atalan small arms, Close combat weapon, Heavy stubber
Purestrain Genestealers + Mark of the Star Children85Cult claws and talons
Patriarch80
Biophagus50Alchemicus familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad
Biophagus50Alchemicus familiar, Autopistol, Chemical vials, Injector goad

Grey Knights

Whole edition

47.1%win rate, rank 20 of 286,242 games1,777 lists from 1,045 playerstop-10% finishes 0.75x entry sharegoing first 5.0 points worse46.3% adjusted for player skill

Going first is worth 5.0 points to Grey Knights (44.9% against 49.8%), below the field's 2.3 points. The Predestined Coordinates enhancement gives a win rate 15.4 points below other lists with the same detachment. Grey Knights won 47.1% of 6,242 games, rank 20 of 28. Warpbane Task Force went from 18% to 43% of the faction's lists between the first period and the last 28 days. The pairing Argent Assault + Augurium Task Force has a win rate 23.7 points below the faction average (16 lists).

Force Disposition

Take and Hold has a win rate 6.3 points above the faction's other choices, Disruption has a win rate 8.8 points below the faction's other choices and Reconnaissance has a win rate 10.7 points below the faction's other choices.

Disposition Share of games Games Win rate Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Priority Assets 30% 1,647 44.9% -2.0 ± 1.3
Take and Hold 28% 1,533 53.4% +6.3 ± 1.3
Purge the Foe 25% 1,358 47.7% +0.5 ± 1.5
Disruption 12% 639 38.2% -8.8 ± 2.0
Reconnaissance 6% 303 36.3% -10.7 ± 2.9

Enhancements

16 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Psychic Celerity (33% of lists). One enhancement differs from the other enhancements in its detachment: Predestined Coordinates (15.4 points below the rest).

Enhancement Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Psychic Celerity 592 33% +0.4 ± 1.0 +0.4
Sixty-sixth Seal 456 26% +0.7 ± 1.1 +0.6
Sigil of the Hunt 272 15% -1.6 ± 1.4 -1.1
Boons of Deimos 155 9% -1.0 ± 2.0 -0.5
Tome of Forbidden Ways 137 8% -0.4 ± 2.4 -0.2
Paragon of Sanctity 135 8% -6.2 ± 2.2 -2.8
Purity of Purpose 115 6% -4.7 ± 2.6 -1.8
Pyresoul (Psychic) 98 6% -1.1 ± 2.6 -0.4
Predestined Coordinates 43 2% -15.4 ± 3.2 -4.8

Combinations

10 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common is Argent Assault + Banishers (570 lists, 32%). Weakest: Argent Assault + Augurium Task Force (23.7 points below the faction average).

Combination Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Argent Assault + Banishers 570 32% -0.2 ± 1.2 -0.1
Brotherhood Strike + Fires of Purgation 132 7% +2.6 ± 2.2 +1.2
Argent Assault + Hallowed Conclave 130 7% -0.3 ± 2.3 -0.1
Argent Assault + Brotherhood Strike 94 5% -7.9 ± 3.0 -2.6
Banishers + Immaterial Interdiction 63 4% -9.0 ± 3.3 -2.8
Argent Assault + Sanctic Spearhead 32 2% -13.3 ± 4.4 -3.0
Immaterial Interdiction + Sanctic Spearhead 22 1% -3.0 ± 6.0 -0.5
Banishers + Fires of Purgation 17 1% -8.7 ± 6.7 -1.3
Argent Assault + Augurium Task Force 16 1% -23.7 ± 4.8 -4.9

Detachments

9 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 4 of them account for 80% of picks. The most played is Argent Assault (50% of lists), and 64% of lists run more than one detachment. 3 detachments differ from the faction average. Best: Warpbane Task Force (6.3 points above the faction average, 26% of lists). Weakest: Augurium Task Force (16.3 points below the faction average, 2% of lists).

Detachment Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z P1 P2 P3 P4
Argent Assault 895 50% -2.3 ± 0.8 -2.7 57% 58% 48% 35%
Banishers 686 39% -2.1 ± 0.9 -2.3 40% 44% 38% 30%
Warpbane Task Force 468 26% +6.3 ± 1.1 +5.5 18% 19% 28% 44%
Brotherhood Strike 268 15% -2.5 ± 1.6 -1.5 11% 18% 17% 12%
Fires of Purgation 190 11% -0.7 ± 1.8 -0.4 11% 12% 11% 8%
Hallowed Conclave 146 8% +0.1 ± 2.0 +0.1 16% 8% 5% 6%
Immaterial Interdiction 118 7% -9.4 ± 2.1 -4.4 5% 7% 8% 6%
Sanctic Spearhead 78 4% -6.3 ± 2.9 -2.2 6% 5% 4% 3%
Augurium Task Force 27 2% -16.3 ± 4.3 -3.8 1% 1% 2% 2%

Pick-rate shifts

Type Name First period Prior 28 days Last 28 days Change vs first period (pp) Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Detachment Warpbane Task Force 18% 30% 43% +25 +13
Unit Grand Master Voldus 35% 10% 14% -22 +3
Unit Paladin Squad 74% 64% 53% -21 -11
Unit Brotherhood Chaplain 36% 22% 15% -21 -7
Detachment Argent Assault 57% 48% 36% -21 -12
Unit Purifier Squad 51% 66% 71% +20 +5
Unit Castellan Crowe 48% 63% 67% +18 +3
Unit Land Raider Redeemer 22% 10% 8% -14 -2
Unit Razorback 18% 17% 29% +12 +13
Enhancement Paragon of Sanctity 4% 9% 14% +10 +5
Detachment Hallowed Conclave 16% 5% 6% -10 +1

Matchups

Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Aeldari (56.9% over 174 games) and the worst is Thousand Sons (35.7% over 203).

Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Imperial Agents 20 65.0% 43.3% to 81.9% 53.5% +11.5
Aeldari 174 56.9% 49.5% to 64.0% 51.5% +5.4
Chaos Knights 161 56.8% 49.1% to 64.2% 50.2% +6.6
Adepta Sororitas 131 55.0% 46.4% to 63.2% 46.8% +8.2
Astra Militarum 240 54.2% 47.8% to 60.4% 56.7% -2.5
T'au Empire 328 44.2% 38.9% to 49.6% 45.4% -1.1 unfavourable
Orks 400 43.6% 38.8% to 48.5% 41.9% +1.7 unfavourable
Dark Angels 273 41.9% 36.2% to 47.9% 43.7% -1.8 unfavourable
Chaos Daemons 254 40.2% 34.3% to 46.3% 42.4% -2.3 unfavourable
Leagues of Votann 218 38.5% 32.3% to 45.1% 45.3% -6.8 unfavourable
Thousand Sons 203 35.7% 29.4% to 42.5% 46.7% -11.0 unfavourable
Deathwatch 52 32.7% 21.5% to 46.2% 43.4% -10.7 unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 15 more rows
Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Blood Angels 176 53.1% 45.8% to 60.4% 51.1% +2.0
Adeptus Mechanicus 148 53.0% 45.0% to 60.9% 46.5% +6.5
Imperial Knights 247 52.8% 46.6% to 59.0% 48.5% +4.3
Drukhari 150 50.3% 42.4% to 58.2% 50.2% +0.1
Black Templars 103 49.5% 40.1% to 59.0% 51.8% -2.3
Space Marines 455 49.0% 44.4% to 53.6% 48.5% +0.6
Tyranids 367 47.8% 42.8% to 52.9% 47.2% +0.6
Adeptus Custodes 386 47.7% 42.7% to 52.6% 43.0% +4.7
Death Guard 263 47.3% 41.4% to 53.4% 48.9% -1.6
Chaos Space Marines 292 47.3% 41.6% to 53.0% 49.9% -2.7
Genestealer Cult 88 47.2% 37.1% to 57.5% 49.6% -2.4
World Eaters 252 46.2% 40.2% to 52.4% 47.2% -1.0
Necrons 392 46.2% 41.3% to 51.1% 45.6% +0.5
Emperor's Children 285 45.8% 40.1% to 51.6% 45.8% +0.0
Space Wolves 184 44.3% 37.3% to 51.5% 48.1% -3.8

Over time

Share of games per week (%) 2 2.5 3 2.1 2.2 Jul Aug Sep Oct Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval 40 50 60 48.6 46.0 Jul Aug Sep Oct
Period Lists Share of all lists Games Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul 398 2.5% 1,337 49.4%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug 477 2.6% 1,683 46.3%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct 581 2.5% 2,132 46.4%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct 321 2.1% 1,090 46.9%

Around each milestone, 28 days before and after

Milestone Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul) 1,161 / 1,423 49.9% to 46.5% -3.4 -1.7 2.6% to 2.8%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug) 1,279 / 1,473 46.0% to 46.5% +0.5 +0.2 2.6% to 2.5%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep) 1,397 / 1,663 47.3% to 45.7% -1.6 -0.9 2.6% to 2.6%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct) 1,663 / 1,090 45.7% to 46.9% +1.2 +0.6 2.6% to 2.2%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data 1,520 / 547 46.0% to 46.7% +0.7 +0.3 2.6% to 2.0%

Results brackets

149 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 11 won X, 50 won X-1 and 88 won X-2, from 391 entries.

Share of players by share of games won 4% 0-20 17% 20-40 35% 40-60 28% 60-80 16% 80-100 line = all factions Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2 1.6% X 2.4% X-1 2.1% X-2 dashed = share of entries, 2.3%
Bracket tables
Tier Lists Share of tier Share of entries Ratio z
X 11 1.6% 2.3% 0.71x -1.2
X-1 50 2.4% 2.3% 1.03x +0.2
X-2 88 2.1% 2.3% 0.90x -1.0
X to X-2 149 2.1% 2.3% 0.92x -1.0
Share of games won Players Share of players All players
0 to 20% 14 4.1% 4.1%
20 to 40% 58 17.0% 17.2%
40 to 60% 120 35.1% 32.2%
60 to 80% 96 28.1% 30.1%
80 to 100% 54 15.8% 16.4%

Units

A typical list contains 8 distinct units. 7 units appear in at least half of all lists and 17 in at least 10%. The most common is Strike Squad (90% of lists). 5 datasheets appeared in under 1% of lists: Grey Knights Thunderhawk Gunship, Kaldor Draigo, Land Raider Crusader, Stormraven Gunship, Stormtalon Gunship.

Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -5 0 +5 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -10 0 +10 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Augurium Task Force Immaterial Interdiction Warpbane Task Force

Most played units

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Strike Squad 1,593 89.6% +0.0 ± 0.6 +0.1
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight 1,236 69.6% -0.3 ± 0.7 -0.5
Paladin Squad 1,184 66.6% -0.0 ± 0.7 -0.0
Brotherhood Terminator Squad 1,095 61.6% -0.7 ± 0.7 -0.9
Purifier Squad 1,092 61.5% -0.5 ± 0.8 -0.7
Castellan Crowe 1,040 58.5% -0.8 ± 0.8 -1.0
Interceptor Squad 986 55.5% -0.6 ± 0.8 -0.8
Brotherhood Librarian 732 41.2% -0.8 ± 1.0 -0.9
Purgation Squad 674 37.9% -0.1 ± 1.0 -0.1
Grand Master 507 28.5% +1.0 ± 1.1 +0.9
Nemesis Dreadknight 500 28.1% -2.9 ± 1.1 -2.6
Brotherhood Chaplain 488 27.5% +0.0 ± 1.1 +0.0

Each extra 1.5 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 2.5 points lower; the average list has 7.6. The five most active players account for 3.5% of its games. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, milestone moves, unit effects, results brackets and terrain layout.

Representative lists

Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties, and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.

Argent Assault + Banishers2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 7-0 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
Won an event of 100+ players
40 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Brotherhood Terminator Squad140Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Ancient’s Banner, Incinerator
Strike Squad115Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Dedicated Transports
Rhino70Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Allied Units
Imperial Rhino65Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Watch Captain Artemis65Hellfire Extremis, Master-crafted power weapon
Other Units
Paladin Squad485Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Ancient’s Banner, Psycannon, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Psilencer
Paladin Squad480Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Ancient’s Banner, Psycannon, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Psilencer
Interceptor Squad125Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Interceptor Squad125Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Brotherhood Librarian + Sixty-sixth Seal115Combi-weapon, Nemesis force weapon, Vortex of Doom
Grand Master + Psychic Celerity110Nemesis force weapon, Psycannon
Purgation Squad105Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Close combat weapon, Incinerator
Warpbane Task Force1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 6-0 · 85 players · 6 rounds · 17 Oct
40 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight250
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight240
Battleline
Brotherhood Terminator Squad195Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Psycannon, Ancient’s Banner
Strike Squad125Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Close Combat Weapon, Psycannon
Dedicated Transports
Razorback75Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm Bolter, Twin lascannon
Razorback75Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm Bolter, Twin lascannon
Allied Units
Eversor Assassin110Executioner pistol, Power sword and neuro gauntlet
Other Units
Purifier Squad290Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter, Close combat weapon, Psycannon
Purifier Squad145Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter, Close combat weapon, Psycannon
Interceptor Squad135Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter
Interceptor Squad135Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter
Grand Master + Radiant Champion115Nemesis force weapon, Psycannon
Castellan Crowe105Black Blade of Antwyr, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter

Team events

43.4%win rate in team events1,201 games300 lists from 268 players-4.6 points against individual eventsgoing first 4.3 points worse

Grey Knights won 43.4% of 1,201 team event games, against 48.0% of 5,041 in individual events: 4.6 points lower (not clear). It makes up 2.6% of team event games and 2.5% of individual event games.

Force Disposition share win rate Disruption 29% Purge the Foe 24% Priority Assets 22% Take and Hold 19% Reconnaissance 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments share win rate Argent Assault 48% Banishers 37% Warpbane Task Force 21% Brotherhood Strike 21% Fires of Purgation 16% Immaterial Interdiction 10% Hallowed Conclave 5% Sanctic Spearhead 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups win rate against Adepta Sororitas Drukhari Chaos Knights Space Marines Thousand Sons Leagues of Votann Orks Dark Angels 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events. Dashed: team events win rate.

Milestones

5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after, with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.

July balance & rules update (22 July)

46.5%win rate, rank 21 of 281,423 games396 lists from 333 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.79x entry sharegoing first 6.8 points worse

Grey Knights won 49.9% of 1,161 games in the 28 days before and 46.5% of 1,423 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.6% to 2.8%.

One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Grand Master Voldus (37% to 15%).

Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 7% 0-20 16% 20-40 41% 40-60 24% 60-80 11% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 39% Take and Hold 22% Purge the Foe 20% Disruption 13% Reconnaissance 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Argent Assault 59% Banishers 45% Brotherhood Strike 19% Warpbane Task Force 17% Fires of Purgation 12% Hallowed Conclave 8% Immaterial Interdiction 8% Sanctic Spearhead 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Strike Squad 93% Paladin Squad 74% Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight 69% Brotherhood Terminator Squad 63% Purifier Squad 56% Castellan Crowe 53% Interceptor Squad 51% Brotherhood Librarian 45% Purgation Squad 38% Brotherhood Chaplain 33% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Astra Militarum Imperial Knights Death Guard Chaos Space Marines Orks Chaos Daemons Thousand Sons Leagues of Votann 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Grand Master Voldus 37% 15% -22 -6.8

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Argent Assault + Banishers2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 20 players · 5 rounds · 25 Jul
8 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight240
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight230
Battleline
Strike Squad120Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Other Units
Paladin Squad370Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Ancient’s Banner, Psilencer, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Psycannon
Interceptor Squad250Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Land Raider Redeemer250Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon
Paladin Squad215Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Ancient’s Banner, Psilencer, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Psycannon
Interceptor Squad125Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Grand Master + Sixty-sixth Seal120Nemesis force weapon, Psycannon
Brotherhood Chaplain + Psychic Celerity80Crozius arcanum, Storm bolter
Argent Assault + Hallowed Conclave2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 3-0 · 53 players · 3 rounds · 31 Jul
Show list
Characters
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight230
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight230
Brotherhood Chaplain + Psychic Celerity90Crozius arcanum, Storm bolter
Brotherhood Chaplain + Psychic Celerity80Crozius arcanum, Storm bolter
Battleline
Brotherhood Terminator Squad140Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Ancient’s Banner
Brotherhood Terminator Squad140Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Ancient’s Banner
Brotherhood Terminator Squad140Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Ancient’s Banner
Other Units
Paladin Squad475Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Ancient’s Banner, Psycannon, Apothecary’s Narthecium
Paladin Squad475Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Ancient’s Banner, Psycannon, Apothecary’s Narthecium

August balance & rules update (26 August)

49.0%win rate, rank 14 of 27469 games124 lists from 123 playersgoing first 8.8 points worse

Grey Knights won 46.0% of 1,279 games in the 28 days before and 46.5% of 1,473 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.6% to 2.5%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 30% Priority Assets 26% Purge the Foe 22% Disruption 18% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Argent Assault 50% Banishers 37% Brotherhood Strike 25% Warpbane Task Force 24% Fires of Purgation 11% Immaterial Interdiction 9% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Strike Squad 97% Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight 71% Paladin Squad 69% Purifier Squad 66% Castellan Crowe 65% Brotherhood Terminator Squad 61% Brotherhood Librarian 44% Interceptor Squad 43% Purgation Squad 43% Brotherhood Chaplain 33% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Warpbane Task Force2,000 pts
Take and Hold
3rd place · record 6-1-1 · 198 players · 8 rounds · 28 Aug
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight250
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight240
Battleline
Brotherhood Terminator Squad180Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Ancient’s Banner, Psycannon
Strike Squad115Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Close combat weapon, Psycannon
Dedicated Transports
Razorback75Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter, Twin lascannon
Razorback75Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter, Twin lascannon
Allied Units
Eversor Assassin110Executioner pistol, Power sword and neuro gauntlet
Other Units
Purifier Squad260Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm bolter, Close combat weapon, Psycannon
Purifier Squad130Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm bolter, Close combat weapon, Psycannon
Interceptor Squad125Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Interceptor Squad125Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Grand Master + Radiant Champion110Nemesis force weapon, Psycannon
Purgation Squad105Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Close combat weapon, Psilencer
Castellan Crowe100Black Blade of Antwyr, Purifying Flame, Storm bolter
Argent Assault + Brotherhood Strike1,985 pts
Purge the Foe
351st place · record 1-1 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
10 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
5× Strike Squad115Justicar: Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Grey Knight: 4 with Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
5× Strike Squad115Justicar: Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Grey Knight: 4 with Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Dedicated Transports
Razorback75
Other Units
10× Paladin Squad485Paragon: Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Paladin: 3 with Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter ...
10× Purifier Squad260with Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm bolter, with Close combat weapon, Psycannon, Purifying Flame ...
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight255
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight245
5× Interceptor Squad125Justicar: Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Interceptor: 4 with Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Brotherhood Librarian + Psychic Celerity105
5× Purgation Squad105Justicar: Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Purgator: 4 with Close combat weapon, Incinerator
Castellan Crowe100

Orks codex (5 September)

45.7%win rate, rank 23 of 281,663 games457 lists from 392 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.91x entry sharegoing first 2.8 points worse

Grey Knights won 47.3% of 1,397 games in the 28 days before and 45.7% of 1,663 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.6% to 2.6%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 21% 20-40 34% 40-60 26% 60-80 16% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 34% Take and Hold 34% Purge the Foe 13% Disruption 12% Reconnaissance 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Argent Assault 48% Banishers 38% Warpbane Task Force 30% Brotherhood Strike 15% Fires of Purgation 11% Immaterial Interdiction 7% Hallowed Conclave 5% Sanctic Spearhead 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Strike Squad 91% Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight 71% Brotherhood Terminator Squad 67% Purifier Squad 65% Paladin Squad 64% Castellan Crowe 62% Interceptor Squad 53% Purgation Squad 45% Brotherhood Librarian 42% Grand Master 31% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Aeldari Astra Militarum Death Guard Chaos Space Marines Orks World Eaters Space Wolves Thousand Sons 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Argent Assault + Banishers2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 7-0 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
Won an event of 100+ players
20 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Brotherhood Terminator Squad140Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Ancient’s Banner, Incinerator
Strike Squad115Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Dedicated Transports
Rhino70Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Allied Units
Imperial Rhino65Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Watch Captain Artemis65Hellfire Extremis, Master-crafted power weapon
Other Units
Paladin Squad485Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Ancient’s Banner, Psycannon, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Psilencer
Paladin Squad480Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Ancient’s Banner, Psycannon, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Psilencer
Interceptor Squad125Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Interceptor Squad125Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter
Brotherhood Librarian + Sixty-sixth Seal115Combi-weapon, Nemesis force weapon, Vortex of Doom
Grand Master + Psychic Celerity110Nemesis force weapon, Psycannon
Purgation Squad105Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Close combat weapon, Incinerator
Warpbane Task Force2,000 pts
Take and Hold
74th place · record 3-0 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight230
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight230
Brotherhood Techmarine70Forge bolter, Grav-pistol, Omnissian power axe, Servo-arm
Battleline
Strike Squad115Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Close combat weapon, Psycannon
Strike Squad115Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Close combat weapon, Psycannon
Strike Squad115Nemesis force weapon, Storm bolter, Close combat weapon, Psycannon
Dedicated Transports
Razorback75Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter, Twin lascannon
Razorback75Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter, Twin lascannon
Razorback75Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter, Twin lascannon
Other Units
Land Raider220Armoured tracks, Godhammer lascannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin heavy bolter
Nemesis Dreadknight210Gatling psilencer, Heavy psycannon, Nemesis daemon greathammer
Nemesis Dreadknight210Gatling psilencer, Heavy psycannon, Nemesis daemon greathammer
Purifier Squad130Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm bolter, Close combat weapon, Psycannon
Purifier Squad130Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm bolter, Close combat weapon, Psycannon

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)

47.1%win rate, rank 18 of 27543 games157 lists from 148 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.91x entry sharegoing first 0.7 points worse

Grey Knights won 45.7% of 1,663 games in the 28 days before and 46.9% of 1,090 in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 2.6% to 2.2%.

One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Warpbane Task Force (30% to 44%).

One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Razorback (16% to 30%).

Nothing clear turned up in enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 12% 0-20 9% 20-40 35% 40-60 21% 60-80 24% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 29% Take and Hold 28% Purge the Foe 24% Disruption 11% Reconnaissance 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Argent Assault 42% Warpbane Task Force 37% Banishers 36% Brotherhood Strike 13% Fires of Purgation 8% Hallowed Conclave 6% Immaterial Interdiction 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Strike Squad 87% Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight 73% Purifier Squad 69% Castellan Crowe 67% Interceptor Squad 66% Brotherhood Terminator Squad 62% Paladin Squad 56% Purgation Squad 41% Brotherhood Librarian 39% Nemesis Dreadknight 27% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Warpbane Task Force 30% 44% +15 +4.2
Unit Razorback 16% 30% +14 +4.6

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Warpbane Task Force2,000 pts
Take and Hold
2nd place · record 4-1 · 39 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight240
Battleline
Brotherhood Terminator Squad150Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Ancient’s Banner, Incinerator
Brotherhood Terminator Squad150Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Ancient’s Banner, Incinerator
Brotherhood Terminator Squad150Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Ancient’s Banner, Incinerator
Strike Squad125Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter
Other Units
Purifier Squad290Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter
Purifier Squad290Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter
Interceptor Squad270Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter
Nemesis Dreadknight220Heavy incinerator, Heavy psycannon, Nemesis daemon greathammer
Grand Master + Radiant Champion115Nemesis force weapon, Psycannon
Warpbane Task Force1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
3rd place · record 4-1 · 27 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight235
Battleline
Strike Squad125Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter
Strike Squad125Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter
Other Units
Paladin Squad400Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Ancient’s Banner, Psycannon, Apothecary’s Narthecium
Purifier Squad290Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter
Nemesis Dreadknight220Gatling psilencer, Heavy psycannon, Nemesis daemon greathammer, Heavy incinerator
Nemesis Dreadknight220Gatling psilencer, Heavy psycannon, Nemesis daemon greathammer, Heavy incinerator
Purifier Squad145Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter
Grand Master Voldus130Malleus Argyrum, Searing Purity, Storm Bolter
Castellan Crowe105Black Blade of Antwyr, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter

Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)

46.7%win rate, rank 20 of 27547 games164 lists from 156 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.69x entry sharegoing first 7.8 points worse

Grey Knights won 46.0% of 1,520 games in the 28 days before and 46.7% of 547 in the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 2.6% to 2.0%.

One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Warpbane Task Force (33% to 51%).

One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Purgation Squad (43% to 24%).

Nothing clear turned up in enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 0% 0-20 22% 20-40 35% 40-60 30% 60-80 14% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 37% Purge the Foe 32% Priority Assets 20% Disruption 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Warpbane Task Force 51% Argent Assault 27% Banishers 24% Brotherhood Strike 10% Fires of Purgation 8% Immaterial Interdiction 6% Hallowed Conclave 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Strike Squad 86% Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight 79% Purifier Squad 75% Castellan Crowe 69% Interceptor Squad 65% Brotherhood Terminator Squad 59% Paladin Squad 48% Razorback 34% Nemesis Dreadknight 29% Brotherhood Librarian 28% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against World Eaters Space Marines Adeptus Custodes 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Purgation Squad 43% 24% -19 -4.2
Detachment Warpbane Task Force 33% 51% +19 +4.2

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Warpbane Task Force1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 6-0 · 85 players · 6 rounds · 17 Oct
13 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight250
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight240
Battleline
Brotherhood Terminator Squad195Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Apothecary’s Narthecium, Psycannon, Ancient’s Banner
Strike Squad125Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Close Combat Weapon, Psycannon
Dedicated Transports
Razorback75Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm Bolter, Twin lascannon
Razorback75Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm Bolter, Twin lascannon
Allied Units
Eversor Assassin110Executioner pistol, Power sword and neuro gauntlet
Other Units
Purifier Squad290Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter, Close combat weapon, Psycannon
Purifier Squad145Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter, Close combat weapon, Psycannon
Interceptor Squad135Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter
Interceptor Squad135Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter
Grand Master + Radiant Champion115Nemesis force weapon, Psycannon
Castellan Crowe105Black Blade of Antwyr, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter
Warpbane Task Force2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 36 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight240
Grand Master In Nemesis Dreadknight240
Brotherhood Librarian95Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Vortex of Doom
Brotherhood Techmarine75Forge bolter, Grav-pistol, Omnissian power axe, Servo-arm
Battleline
Strike Squad125Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Close Combat Weapon, Psycannon
Strike Squad125Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Close Combat Weapon, Psycannon
Dedicated Transports
Razorback75Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm Bolter, Twin lascannon
Razorback75Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm Bolter, Twin lascannon
Other Units
Land Raider220Armoured tracks, Godhammer lascannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm Bolter, Twin heavy bolter
Nemesis Dreadknight220Gatling psilencer, Heavy psycannon, Nemesis greatsword, Nemesis daemon greathammer
Nemesis Dreadknight220Gatling psilencer, Heavy psycannon, Nemesis greatsword, Nemesis daemon greathammer
Purifier Squad145Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter, Close Combat Weapon, Psycannon
Purifier Squad145Nemesis force weapon, Purifying Flame, Storm Bolter, Close Combat Weapon, Psycannon

Chaos Space Marines

Whole edition

47.1%win rate, rank 21 of 2811,032 games3,207 lists from 2,037 playerstop-10% finishes 0.86x entry sharegoing first 2.9 points better45.9% adjusted for player skill

Chaos Space Marines fell from 51.4% in the first period (19 Jun to 21 Jul) to 45.5% in the latest (3 Oct to 25 Oct), one of 10 factions with a clear change over the period. The pairing Devotees of Destruction + Nightmare Hunt has a win rate 17.4 points below the faction average (25 lists). The season figure is 47.1% (rank 21 of 28, 11,032 games), which overstates where it stands now. Mutilators went from 12% to 48% of the faction's lists between the first period and the last 28 days. The Eye of Tzeentch enhancement gives a win rate 19.9 points below other lists with the same detachment.

Over time

Share of games per week (%) 4 5 6 7 3.5 6.8 Jul Aug Sep Oct Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval 40 50 60 45.3 60.7 Jul Aug Sep Oct
Period Lists Share of all lists Games Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul 758 4.8% 2,628 51.4%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug 823 4.5% 2,835 45.6%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct 1,007 4.4% 3,554 45.8%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct 619 4.1% 2,015 45.5%

Around each milestone, 28 days before and after

Milestone Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul) 2,079 / 2,271 49.2% to 45.6% -3.6 -2.3 4.6% to 4.5%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug) 2,199 / 2,515 45.5% to 45.4% -0.1 -0.1 4.5% to 4.3%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep) 2,447 / 2,793 45.4% to 45.9% +0.5 +0.4 4.5% to 4.3%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct) 2,793 / 2,015 45.9% to 45.5% -0.4 -0.3 4.3% to 4.0%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data 2,622 / 945 46.7% to 44.5% -2.2 -1.1 4.4% to 3.5%

Force Disposition

Priority Assets has a win rate 4.0 points below the faction's other choices.

Disposition Share of games Games Win rate Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Take and Hold 27% 2,606 46.1% -1.0 ± 1.0
Priority Assets 23% 2,173 43.1% -4.0 ± 1.1
Purge the Foe 19% 1,830 50.0% +3.1 ± 1.3
Disruption 16% 1,550 44.5% -2.7 ± 1.4
Reconnaissance 14% 1,355 47.5% +0.6 ± 1.5

Combinations

18 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common is Cabal of Chaos + Fellhammer Siege-host (223 lists, 7%). Weakest: Devotees of Destruction + Nightmare Hunt (17.4 points below the faction average).

Combination Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Cabal of Chaos + Fellhammer Siege-host 223 7% +4.1 ± 1.9 +2.1
Cabal of Chaos + Veterans of the Long War 219 7% +3.2 ± 2.0 +1.6
Murdertalon Raiders + Veterans of the Long War 167 5% +0.3 ± 2.3 +0.1
Cabal of Chaos + Soulforged Warpack 130 4% +1.9 ± 2.4 +0.8
Cabal of Chaos + Warpstrike Champions 112 3% +3.8 ± 2.6 +1.5
Devotees of Destruction + Veterans of the Long War 93 3% -4.2 ± 3.2 -1.3
Devotees of Destruction + Warpstrike Champions 93 3% -5.5 ± 2.9 -1.9
Murdertalon Raiders + Warpstrike Champions 65 2% -9.5 ± 3.3 -2.9
Devotees of Destruction + Fellhammer Siege-host 59 2% -11.3 ± 3.1 -3.6
Cabal of Chaos + Nightmare Hunt 57 2% -16.6 ± 3.0 -5.5
Devotees of Destruction + Nightmare Hunt 25 1% -17.4 ± 4.1 -4.2

Enhancements

41 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Tempting Addendum (7% of lists). 3 enhancements differ from the other enhancements in their detachment: Eye of Tzeentch (19.9 points below the rest), Eye of the Warp (14.0 points below the rest) and Mark of the Hound (13.2 points below the rest).

Enhancement Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Tempting Addendum 221 7% +2.3 ± 1.6 +1.4
Touched by the Warp 214 7% -1.7 ± 1.8 -0.9
Pact of Cursed Pinions 208 6% -0.7 ± 1.7 -0.4
Conduit of Chaos 191 6% -3.9 ± 1.8 -2.1
Dread Reaver 169 5% -0.9 ± 1.9 -0.4
Akshur's Binding Runes 139 4% -1.3 ± 2.2 -0.6
Intoxicating Elixir 134 4% -0.1 ± 2.2 -0.1
Tzagulla 125 4% +1.4 ± 2.1 +0.7
Mark of the Hound 49 2% -13.2 ± 3.7 -3.6
Eye of the Warp 35 1% -14.0 ± 4.3 -3.2
Eye of Tzeentch 25 1% -19.9 ± 4.9 -4.0

Units

A typical list contains 11 distinct units. 3 units appear in at least half of all lists and 36 in at least 10%. The most common is Cultist Mob (88% of lists). 3 datasheets never appeared: Cultist Mob with Firearms, Reaver Titan, Rogue Psyker. One datasheet appeared in under 1% of lists: Khorne Berzerkers.

Of 57 units in 40 or more lists, 19 have a clear effect on results (5 positive, 14 negative). Best: Masters of the Maelstrom (4.7 points above comparable lists, 41% of lists), Cypher (3.8 points above comparable lists, 21% of lists), Huron Blackheart (3.2 points above comparable lists, 36% of lists) and Chaos Bikers (3.1 points above comparable lists, 35% of lists). Weakest: Khorne Lord Of Skulls (11.3 points below comparable lists, 2% of lists), Sorcerer (7.8 points below comparable lists, 6% of lists), Chaos Predator Annihilator (7.6 points below comparable lists, 5% of lists) and Havocs (7.6 points below comparable lists, 14% of lists). Beasts Of Nurgle is in under 10% of lists but has a win rate above the faction average. Forgefiend, Obliterators, Warp Talons and Chaos Lord are in at least 15% of lists but have a win rate below it.

Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -10 -5 0 +5 +10 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Khorne Lord Of Skulls Sorcerer Havocs Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -20 -10 0 +10 +20 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Dread Talons Nightmare Hunt Devotees of Destruction

Most played units

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Cultist Mob 2,804 87.4% +0.4 ± 0.5 +0.9
Chosen 1,860 58.0% +1.4 ± 0.6 +2.3
Defiler 1,769 55.2% +1.9 ± 0.6 +3.2
Chaos Rhino 1,523 47.5% +0.8 ± 0.7 +1.2
Masters of the Maelstrom 1,318 41.1% +4.7 ± 0.7 +6.9
Red Corsairs Raiders 1,303 40.6% +1.7 ± 0.7 +2.5
Chaos Terminator Squad 1,251 39.0% -3.2 ± 0.7 -4.4
Legionaries 1,245 38.8% -3.3 ± 0.7 -4.6
Huron Blackheart 1,157 36.1% +3.2 ± 0.7 +4.4
Chaos Bikers 1,137 35.5% +3.1 ± 0.7 +4.4
Kravek Morne 1,087 33.9% +1.8 ± 0.8 +2.4
Mutilators 1,055 32.9% +1.9 ± 0.8 +2.5

Other units with a clear effect

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Warp Talons 690 21.5% -4.0 ± 1.0 -4.2
Obliterators 902 28.1% -4.3 ± 0.9 -5.0
Helbrute 357 11.1% -4.9 ± 1.4 -3.4
Forgefiend 552 17.2% -5.9 ± 1.1 -5.3
Red Corsairs Reave-Captain 234 7.3% -6.4 ± 1.7 -3.7
Heretic Astartes Daemon Prince 194 6.0% -6.5 ± 1.8 -3.7
Havocs 455 14.2% -7.6 ± 1.2 -6.1
Chaos Predator Annihilator 149 4.6% -7.6 ± 2.1 -3.7
Sorcerer 202 6.3% -7.8 ± 1.7 -4.6
Khorne Lord Of Skulls 50 1.6% -11.3 ± 3.3 -3.4

Detachments

17 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 9 of them account for 80% of picks. The most played is Cabal of Chaos (26% of lists), and 50% of lists run more than one detachment. 4 detachments differ from the faction average. Weakest: Dread Talons (18.7 points below the faction average, 1% of lists).

Detachment Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z P1 P2 P3 P4
Cabal of Chaos 845 26% +0.6 ± 0.9 +0.7 20% 29% 26% 32%
Veterans of the Long War 538 17% -1.0 ± 1.1 -0.8 16% 17% 17% 17%
Pactbound Zealots 424 13% +1.9 ± 1.3 +1.5 18% 14% 10% 11%
Murdertalon Raiders 393 12% -3.7 ± 1.2 -3.0 19% 13% 10% 6%
Devotees of Destruction 377 12% -7.2 ± 1.4 -5.3 10% 14% 12% 10%
Fellhammer Siege-host 366 11% -0.6 ± 1.3 -0.5 11% 15% 11% 8%
Renegade Raiders 363 11% +1.9 ± 1.3 +1.4 11% 12% 11% 11%
Creations of Bile 314 10% +2.2 ± 1.4 +1.6 5% 8% 12% 15%
Warpstrike Champions 300 9% -2.6 ± 1.4 -1.8 7% 9% 10% 13%
Soulforged Warpack 266 8% +1.7 ± 1.6 +1.1 12% 9% 6% 6%
Huron's Marauders 235 7% +0.9 ± 1.7 +0.5 5% 4% 11% 8%
Nightmare Hunt 91 3% -13.3 ± 2.2 -6.2 4% 3% 2% 2%
Cult of the Arkifane 56 2% -11.7 ± 4.0 -2.9 2% 1% 2% 1%
Chaos Cult 47 1% -1.1 ± 3.8 -0.3 1% 2% 1% 2%

Pick-rate shifts

Type Name First period Prior 28 days Last 28 days Change vs first period (pp) Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Unit Mutilators 12% 45% 48% +35 +2
Unit Chaos Terminator Squad 26% 41% 53% +27 +12
Unit Kravek Morne 22% 42% 45% +23 +2
Unit Sorcerer In Terminator Armour 17% 22% 35% +19 +13
Unit Fabius Bile 10% 21% 26% +16 +5
Unit Huron Blackheart 42% 36% 26% -16 -9
Unit Warp Talons 29% 20% 14% -15 -7
Unit Defiler 63% 49% 48% -15 -1
Unit Vashtorr The Arkifane 32% 22% 18% -14 -4
Detachment Murdertalon Raiders 19% 10% 6% -13 -4
Detachment Cabal of Chaos 20% 27% 31% +12 +4
Unit Abaddon The Despoiler 25% 17% 14% -12 -3

Matchups

Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Black Templars (58.2% over 184 games) and the worst is Emperor's Children (39.5% over 481).

Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Black Templars 184 58.2% 50.9% to 65.0% 51.9% +6.2 favourable
Astra Militarum 387 58.1% 53.2% to 63.0% 56.7% +1.4 favourable
Imperial Knights 439 55.9% 51.2% to 60.5% 48.6% +7.3 favourable
Imperial Agents 34 54.4% 38.1% to 69.8% 53.5% +0.9
Grey Knights 292 52.7% 47.0% to 58.4% 50.1% +2.7
Thousand Sons 368 44.8% 39.8% to 49.9% 46.8% -2.0 unfavourable
World Eaters 493 44.4% 40.1% to 48.8% 47.3% -2.8 unfavourable
T'au Empire 589 44.1% 40.1% to 48.1% 45.4% -1.4 unfavourable
Adepta Sororitas 298 44.0% 38.4% to 49.6% 46.9% -2.9 unfavourable
Leagues of Votann 355 43.9% 38.9% to 49.1% 45.4% -1.4 unfavourable
Orks 800 43.4% 40.0% to 46.8% 41.9% +1.4 unfavourable
Tyranids 623 42.7% 38.9% to 46.6% 47.3% -4.6 unfavourable
Deathwatch 73 42.5% 31.8% to 53.9% 43.5% -1.0
Dark Angels 495 42.3% 38.0% to 46.7% 43.8% -1.5 unfavourable
Emperor's Children 481 39.5% 35.2% to 43.9% 45.8% -6.3 unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 12 more rows
Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Aeldari 320 52.2% 46.7% to 57.6% 51.6% +0.6
Space Marines 868 49.9% 46.6% to 53.3% 48.5% +1.4
Death Guard 497 49.7% 45.3% to 54.1% 49.0% +0.7
Blood Angels 321 49.4% 43.9% to 54.8% 51.2% -1.8
Necrons 713 48.2% 44.6% to 51.9% 45.7% +2.5
Drukhari 263 48.1% 42.1% to 54.1% 50.3% -2.2
Genestealer Cult 143 47.6% 39.5% to 55.7% 49.6% -2.1
Adeptus Mechanicus 274 47.1% 41.3% to 53.0% 46.6% +0.5
Adeptus Custodes 695 46.6% 42.9% to 50.3% 43.0% +3.6
Chaos Knights 278 46.4% 40.6% to 52.3% 50.3% -3.9
Chaos Daemons 440 45.8% 41.2% to 50.5% 42.5% +3.3
Space Wolves 309 45.0% 39.5% to 50.6% 48.1% -3.1

Results brackets

283 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 33 won X, 74 won X-1 and 176 won X-2, from 754 entries.

Share of players by share of games won 6% 0-20 21% 20-40 30% 40-60 28% 60-80 15% 80-100 line = all factions Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2 4.8% X 3.5% X-1 4.1% X-2 dashed = share of entries, 4.4%
Bracket tables
Tier Lists Share of tier Share of entries Ratio z
X 33 4.8% 4.4% 1.10x +0.6
X-1 74 3.5% 4.4% 0.79x -2.1
X-2 176 4.1% 4.4% 0.94x -0.9
X to X-2 283 4.0% 4.4% 0.91x -1.6
Share of games won Players Share of players All players
0 to 20% 37 5.7% 4.1%
20 to 40% 139 21.5% 17.2%
40 to 60% 194 29.9% 32.2%
60 to 80% 182 28.1% 30.1%
80 to 100% 96 14.8% 16.4%

Each extra 2.3 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 3.1 points lower; the average list has 10.9. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, milestone moves, results brackets and terrain layout.

Representative lists

Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties, and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.

Renegade Raiders1,990 pts
Won the event · record 6-0 · 133 players · 6 rounds · 18 Jul
Won an event of 100+ players
34 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Vashtorr The Arkifane205
Lord Discordant On Helstalker175
Warpsmith60Flamer tendril, Forge weapon, Melta tendril, Plasma pistol
Battleline
Cultist Mob50Bolt pistol, Brutal assault weapon, Autopistol
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino75Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Chaos Rhino75Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Allied Units
Noise Marines145Close combat weapon, Sonic blaster, Blastmaster
Noise Marines145Close combat weapon, Sonic blaster, Blastmaster
Other Units
Defiler320Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Hades lascannon, Shearing claws
Masters of the Maelstrom135Absolvor bolt pistol, Reductor array, Force stave, Mind Wrench, Axe of Ending, Bolt pistol, Laspistol, Power sabre ...
Chosen125Boltgun, Chaos Icon, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Accursed weapon, Bolt pistol, Paired accursed weapons
Huron Blackheart120Tyrant’s Claw and exalted power weapon, Tyrant’s Claw heavy flamer
Raptors110Heavy melee weapon, Plasma pistol, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Flamer, Mutations
Red Corsairs Raiders110Boltgun, Hand flamer, Reaver’s blade, Bolt pistol, Meltagun, Power fist
Chaos Bikers70Chaos Icon, Close combat weapon, Combi-bolter, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Plasma gun
Traitor Guardsmen Squad70Boltgun, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Flamer, Lasgun, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Devotees of Destruction + Veterans of the Long War2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0-1 · 104 players · 6 rounds · 21 Aug
Won an event of 100+ players
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Vashtorr The Arkifane220
Battleline
Cultist Mob50Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Cultist Mob50Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino65Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Combi-weapon, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler330Excruciator cannon, Hades battle cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Chaos Vindicator185Armoured tracks, Combi-weapon, Demolisher cannon, Havoc launcher
Chaos Vindicator185Armoured tracks, Combi-weapon, Demolisher cannon, Havoc launcher
Mutilators165Fleshmetal weapons
Masters of the Maelstrom145Absolvor bolt pistol, Reductor array, Force stave, Mind Wrench, Axe of Ending, Bolt pistol, Laspistol, Power sabre ...
Chosen135Boltgun, Chaos Icon, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Accursed weapon, Bolt pistol, Combi-weapon, Paired accursed weapons
Huron Blackheart130Tyrant’s Claw and exalted power weapon, Tyrant’s Claw heavy flamer
Red Corsairs Raiders110Boltgun, Hand flamer, Reaver’s blade, Bolt pistol, Meltagun, Power fist
Accursed Cultists90Blasphemous appendages, Hideous mutations
Chaos Bikers70Chaos Icon, Close combat weapon, Combi-bolter, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Meltagun
Chaos Bikers70Chaos Icon, Close combat weapon, Combi-bolter, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Meltagun

Team events

48.5%win rate in team events2,244 games567 lists from 496 players+1.8 points against individual eventsgoing first 4.7 points better

Chaos Space Marines won 48.5% of 2,244 team event games, against 46.7% of 8,788 in individual events: 1.8 points higher (not clear). It makes up 4.8% of team event games and 4.3% of individual event games.

Force Disposition share win rate Disruption 25% Purge the Foe 22% Priority Assets 20% Take and Hold 17% Reconnaissance 16% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments share win rate Cabal of Chaos 22% Pactbound Zealots 16% Veterans of the Long War 15% Renegade Raiders 14% Creations of Bile 11% Huron's Marauders 10% Warpstrike Champions 9% Fellhammer Siege-host 9% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups win rate against Imperial Knights Aeldari Drukhari Astra Militarum Death Guard Orks Chaos Daemons Tyranids 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events. Dashed: team events win rate.

Milestones

5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after, with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.

July balance & rules update (22 July)

45.6%win rate, rank 22 of 282,271 games658 lists from 571 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.93x entry sharegoing first 3.2 points better

Chaos Space Marines won 49.2% of 2,079 games in the 28 days before and 45.6% of 2,271 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.6% to 4.5%.

One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Murdertalon Raiders (22% to 12%).

One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Mutilators (12% to 28%).

Nothing clear turned up in enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 4% 0-20 17% 20-40 35% 40-60 31% 60-80 13% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 31% Priority Assets 27% Reconnaissance 16% Disruption 16% Purge the Foe 10% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Cabal of Chaos 28% Veterans of the Long War 16% Fellhammer Siege-host 16% Pactbound Zealots 15% Devotees of Destruction 15% Murdertalon Raiders 12% Renegade Raiders 11% Soulforged Warpack 9% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Cultist Mob 87% Defiler 62% Chosen 57% Chaos Rhino 46% Red Corsairs Raiders 43% Chaos Bikers 38% Huron Blackheart 38% Legionaries 37% Masters of the Maelstrom 37% Chaos Terminator Squad 36% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Black Templars Death Guard Astra Militarum Aeldari Emperor's Children Dark Angels World Eaters T'au Empire 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Mutilators 12% 28% +16 +7.1
Detachment Murdertalon Raiders 22% 12% -10 -4.5

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Cabal of Chaos + Veterans of the Long War1,995 pts
Take and Hold
2nd place · record 5-0 · 138 players · 5 rounds · 1 Aug
6 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Vashtorr The Arkifane220
Heretic Astartes Daemon Prince With Wings200
Heretic Astartes Daemon Prince With Wings180
Battleline
Cultist Mob50Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Cultist Mob50Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino65Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler370Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Defiler330Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Masters of the Maelstrom145Absolvor bolt pistol, Reductor array, Force stave, Mind Wrench, Axe of Ending, Bolt pistol, Laspistol, Power sabre ...
Chosen135Boltgun, Chaos Icon, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Accursed weapon, Bolt pistol, Combi-weapon, Paired accursed weapons
Huron Blackheart130Tyrant’s Claw and exalted power weapon, Tyrant’s Claw heavy flamer
Venomcrawler120Excruciator cannon, Soulflayer tendrils and claws
Murdertalon Raiders + Veterans of the Long War1,990 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 23 players · 5 rounds · 25 Jul
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Warpsmith + Eye of Abaddon75Flamer tendril, Forge weapon, Melta tendril, Plasma pistol
Battleline
Cultist Mob50Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Other Units
Defiler330Excruciator cannon, Hades battle cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Warp Talons280Warp claws
Chaos Vindicator185Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Demolisher cannon, Havoc launcher
Chaos Predator Destructor150Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Havoc launcher, Lascannon, Predator autocannon
Masters of the Maelstrom145Absolvor bolt pistol, Reductor array, Force stave, Mind Wrench, Axe of Ending, Bolt pistol, Laspistol, Power sabre ...
Chosen135Boltgun, Chaos Icon, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Accursed weapon, Bolt pistol, Combi-weapon, Paired accursed weapons
Huron Blackheart130Tyrant’s Claw and exalted power weapon, Tyrant’s Claw heavy flamer
Possessed120Chaos Icon, Hideous mutations
Raptors110Heavy melee weapon, Plasma pistol, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol
Red Corsairs Raiders110Boltgun, Hand flamer, Reaver’s blade, Bolt pistol, Meltagun, Power fist
Chaos Lord with Jump Pack + Pact of Cursed Pinions100Plasma pistol, Power fist
Chaos Bikers70Chaos Icon, Close combat weapon, Combi-bolter, Power fist, Bolt pistol, Plasma gun

August balance & rules update (26 August)

45.5%win rate, rank 25 of 27761 games212 lists from 206 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.94x entry sharegoing first 4.6 points better

Chaos Space Marines won 45.5% of 2,199 games in the 28 days before and 45.4% of 2,515 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.5% to 4.3%.

One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Huron's Marauders (4% to 12%).

3 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Defiler (60% to 48%), Mutilators (29% to 40%) and Warpsmith (34% to 24%).

Nothing clear turned up in enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 6% 0-20 34% 20-40 20% 40-60 29% 60-80 11% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 29% Priority Assets 24% Purge the Foe 20% Reconnaissance 15% Disruption 13% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Cabal of Chaos 22% Devotees of Destruction 14% Veterans of the Long War 14% Fellhammer Siege-host 13% Pactbound Zealots 12% Huron's Marauders 11% Creations of Bile 11% Renegade Raiders 11% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Cultist Mob 85% Chosen 61% Defiler 51% Chaos Rhino 50% Chaos Terminator Squad 44% Masters of the Maelstrom 43% Legionaries 43% Huron Blackheart 42% Red Corsairs Raiders 39% Chaos Bikers 33% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Space Marines Adeptus Custodes Necrons T'au Empire Tyranids 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Defiler 60% 48% -13 -4.7
Unit Mutilators 29% 40% +12 +4.5
Unit Warpsmith 34% 24% -10 -4.1
Detachment Huron's Marauders 4% 12% +8 +5.6

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Cabal of Chaos + Chaos Cult1,995 pts
Priority Assets
2nd place · record 4-0-1 · 37 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
Show list
Characters
Heretic Astartes Daemon Prince With Wings200
Heretic Astartes Daemon Prince With Wings180
Battleline
Cultist Mob50Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Cultist Mob50Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Cultist Mob50Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Allied Units
Nurglings45Diseased claws and teeth
Other Units
Defiler330Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Accursed Cultists215Blasphemous appendages, Hideous mutations
Accursed Cultists195Blasphemous appendages, Hideous mutations
Accursed Cultists195Blasphemous appendages, Hideous mutations
Dark Commune + Incendiary Goad130Autopistol, Commune stave, Close combat weapon, Warp Curse, Chaos Icon, Commune blade
Dark Commune + Incendiary Goad115Autopistol, Commune stave, Close combat weapon, Warp Curse, Chaos Icon, Commune blade
Dark Commune + Incendiary Goad100Autopistol, Commune stave, Close combat weapon, Warp Curse, Chaos Icon, Commune blade
Traitor Guardsmen Squad70Close combat weapon, Corrupted pistol, Lasgun
Traitor Guardsmen Squad70Close combat weapon, Corrupted pistol, Lasgun
Huron's Marauders1,995 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 12 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Cultist Mob50Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Cultist Mob50Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino65Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Combi-weapon, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Chaos Terminator Squad350Combi-bolter, Power fist, Accursed weapon, Chainfist, Reaper autocannon
Chosen270Boltgun, Chaos Icon, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Accursed weapon, Bolt pistol, Combi-weapon, Paired accursed weapons
Possessed250Hideous mutations, Chaos Icon
Mutilators165Fleshmetal weapons
Mutilators165Fleshmetal weapons
Masters of the Maelstrom145Absolvor bolt pistol, Reductor array, Force stave, Mind Wrench, Axe of Ending, Bolt pistol, Laspistol, Power sabre ...
Chosen135Boltgun, Chaos Icon, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Accursed weapon, Bolt pistol, Combi-weapon, Paired accursed weapons
Huron Blackheart130Tyrant’s Claw and exalted power weapon, Tyrant’s Claw heavy flamer
Kravek Morne120Baleflamer, Combi-bolter, Last Argument and power fist, Servo-harness
Fabius Bile100Chirurgeon, Rod of Torment, Xyclos Needler, Surgeon Acolyte’s tools

Orks codex (5 September)

45.9%win rate, rank 22 of 282,793 games795 lists from 699 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.88x entry sharegoing first 4.2 points better

Chaos Space Marines won 45.4% of 2,447 games in the 28 days before and 45.9% of 2,793 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 4.5% to 4.3%.

2 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Mutilators (31% to 45%) and Kravek Morne (30% to 43%).

Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 9% 0-20 19% 20-40 30% 40-60 27% 60-80 15% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 25% Take and Hold 25% Priority Assets 20% Reconnaissance 18% Disruption 12% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Cabal of Chaos 27% Veterans of the Long War 18% Devotees of Destruction 12% Creations of Bile 12% Renegade Raiders 11% Huron's Marauders 11% Fellhammer Siege-host 10% Warpstrike Champions 10% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Cultist Mob 88% Chosen 60% Defiler 50% Chaos Rhino 49% Masters of the Maelstrom 45% Mutilators 45% Red Corsairs Raiders 43% Kravek Morne 43% Chaos Terminator Squad 41% Legionaries 40% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Imperial Knights World Eaters Aeldari Space Marines Adeptus Custodes Dark Angels Emperor's Children Leagues of Votann 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Mutilators 31% 45% +15 +5.8
Unit Kravek Morne 30% 43% +12 +4.8

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Devotees of Destruction + Veterans of the Long War2,000 pts
Priority Assets
3rd place · record 5-1 · 77 players · 6 rounds · 25 Sep
5 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Cultist Mob50Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Cultist Mob50Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino65Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter, Combi-weapon, Havoc launcher
Other Units
Defiler330Excruciator cannon, Hades battle cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Chaos Vindicator185Armoured tracks, Combi-weapon, Demolisher cannon, Havoc launcher
Chaos Vindicator185Armoured tracks, Combi-weapon, Demolisher cannon, Havoc launcher
Mutilators165Fleshmetal weapons
Obliterators160Crushing fists, Fleshmetal guns
Obliterators160Crushing fists, Fleshmetal guns
Masters of the Maelstrom145Absolvor bolt pistol, Reductor array, Force stave, Mind Wrench, Axe of Ending, Bolt pistol, Laspistol, Power sabre ...
Chosen135Boltgun, Chaos Icon, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Accursed weapon, Bolt pistol, Combi-weapon, Paired accursed weapons
Kravek Morne120Baleflamer, Combi-bolter, Last Argument and power fist, Servo-harness
Red Corsairs Raiders110Boltgun, Hand flamer, Reaver’s blade, Bolt pistol, Meltagun, Power fist
Master Of Possession70
Chaos Bikers70Chaos Icon, Close combat weapon, Combi-bolter, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Meltagun
Cabal of Chaos + Fellhammer Siege-host1,990 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 5-1 · 52 players · 6 rounds · 19 Sep
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lord Discordant On Helstalker175
Battleline
Cultist Mob50Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Other Units
Abaddon The Despoiler295
Chosen270Boltgun, Chaos Icon, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Accursed weapon, Bolt pistol, Combi-weapon, Paired accursed weapons
Possessed260Hideous mutations
Possessed250Hideous mutations
Possessed250Hideous mutations
Mutilators165Fleshmetal weapons
Mutilators165Fleshmetal weapons
Red Corsairs Raiders110Boltgun, Hand flamer, Reaver’s blade, Bolt pistol, Meltagun, Power fist

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)

46.4%win rate, rank 21 of 271,070 games319 lists from 299 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.88x entry sharegoing first 7.3 points better

Chaos Space Marines won 45.9% of 2,793 games in the 28 days before and 45.5% of 2,015 in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 4.3% to 4.0%.

2 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Chaos Terminator Squad (41% to 55%) and Sorcerer In Terminator Armour (22% to 36%).

Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 5% 0-20 29% 20-40 21% 40-60 29% 60-80 16% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 28% Priority Assets 23% Disruption 22% Purge the Foe 19% Reconnaissance 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Cabal of Chaos 33% Veterans of the Long War 18% Warpstrike Champions 13% Creations of Bile 13% Pactbound Zealots 11% Devotees of Destruction 11% Renegade Raiders 10% Fellhammer Siege-host 9% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Cultist Mob 88% Chosen 54% Chaos Terminator Squad 50% Chaos Rhino 48% Defiler 48% Mutilators 47% Kravek Morne 45% Masters of the Maelstrom 37% Legionaries 36% Sorcerer In Terminator Armour 35% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Necrons Dark Angels Adeptus Custodes Death Guard Chaos Daemons T'au Empire World Eaters Tyranids 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Chaos Terminator Squad 41% 55% +14 +5.3
Unit Sorcerer In Terminator Armour 22% 36% +14 +5.6

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Cabal of Chaos + Veterans of the Long War2,000 pts
Take and Hold
3rd place · record 5-1 · 106 players · 6 rounds · 10 Oct
Show list
Battleline
Cultist Mob50Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Cultist Mob50Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Other Units
Chaos Terminator Squad370Chainfist, Combi-bolter, Accursed weapon, Power fist, Reaper autocannon
Defiler330Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Possessed260Chaos Icon, Hideous mutations
Possessed260Chaos Icon, Hideous mutations
Mutilators165Fleshmetal weapons
Kravek Morne130Baleflamer, Combi-bolter, Last Argument and power fist, Servo-harness
Red Corsairs Raiders120Boltgun, Hand flamer, Reaver’s blade, Bolt pistol, Meltagun, Power fist
Sorcerer In Terminator Armour105
Chaos Bikers80Close Combat Weapon, Combi-bolter, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Chaos Icon, Meltagun
Chaos Bikers80Close Combat Weapon, Combi-bolter, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Chaos Icon, Meltagun
Cabal of Chaos + Veterans of the Long War2,000 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 4-1 · 40 players · 5 rounds · 3 Oct
8 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Heretic Astartes Daemon Prince With Wings180
Kravek Morne130Baleflamer, Combi-bolter, Last Argument and power fist, Servo-harness
Fabius Bile110Chirurgeon, Rod of Torment, Xyclos Needler, Surgeon Acolyte’s tools
Battleline
Cultist Mob50Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Dedicated Transports
Chaos Rhino65Armoured tracks, Combi-bolter
Allied Units
Noise Marines160Close Combat Weapon, Power sword, Screamer pistol, Blastmaster, Sonic blaster
Other Units
Defiler330Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Hades lascannon, Shearing claws
Mutilators165Fleshmetal weapons
Obliterators160Crushing fists, Fleshmetal guns
Obliterators160Crushing fists, Fleshmetal guns
Masters of the Maelstrom150Absolvor bolt pistol, Reductor array, Force stave, Mind Wrench, Axe of Ending, Bolt pistol, Laspistol, Power sabre ...
Chosen140Boltgun, Chaos Icon, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Accursed weapon, Bolt pistol, Combi-weapon, Paired accursed weapons
Red Corsairs Raiders120Boltgun, Hand flamer, Reaver’s blade, Bolt pistol, Meltagun, Power fist
Chaos Bikers80Chaos Icon, Close Combat Weapon, Combi-bolter, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Meltagun

Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)

44.5%win rate, rank 24 of 27945 games300 lists from 292 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.76x entry sharegoing first 1.8 points worse

Chaos Space Marines won 46.7% of 2,622 games in the 28 days before and 44.5% of 945 in the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 4.4% to 3.5%.

One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Chaos Terminator Squad (45% to 60%).

Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 8% 0-20 27% 20-40 27% 40-60 27% 60-80 11% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 34% Priority Assets 23% Disruption 20% Purge the Foe 15% Reconnaissance 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Cabal of Chaos 30% Veterans of the Long War 17% Creations of Bile 16% Renegade Raiders 13% Warpstrike Champions 13% Pactbound Zealots 11% Devotees of Destruction 10% Huron's Marauders 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Cultist Mob 88% Chaos Terminator Squad 60% Chosen 51% Mutilators 50% Kravek Morne 46% Defiler 46% Chaos Rhino 43% Masters of the Maelstrom 41% Legionaries 40% Sorcerer In Terminator Armour 37% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against T'au Empire Adeptus Custodes Tyranids Necrons World Eaters Space Marines Death Guard Dark Angels 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Chaos Terminator Squad 45% 60% +15 +4.3

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Cabal of Chaos + Veterans of the Long War1,985 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 30 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lord Discordant On Helstalker165
Battleline
Cultist Mob50Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Cultist Mob50Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Other Units
Chaos Terminator Squad370Chainfist, Combi-bolter, Accursed weapon, Power fist, Reaper autocannon
Defiler330Ectoplasma destructor, Excruciator cannon, Heavy reaper autocannon, Shearing claws
Chosen280Boltgun, Chaos Icon, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Accursed weapon, Bolt pistol, Paired accursed weapons
Mutilators165Fleshmetal weapons
Masters of the Maelstrom150Absolvor bolt pistol, Reductor array, Force stave, Mind Wrench, Axe of Ending, Bolt pistol, Laspistol, Power sabre ...
Kravek Morne130Baleflamer, Combi-bolter, Last Argument and power fist, Servo-harness
Fabius Bile110Chirurgeon, Rod of Torment, Xyclos Needler, Surgeon Acolyte’s tools
Sorcerer In Terminator Armour105
Chaos Bikers80Chaos Icon, Close Combat Weapon, Combi-bolter, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Meltagun
Cabal of Chaos + Renegade Warband1,995 pts
Priority Assets
4th place · record 4-1 · 30 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
Show list
Characters
Vashtorr The Arkifane220
Lord Discordant On Helstalker190
Lord Discordant On Helstalker165
Battleline
Cultist Mob50Autopistol, Brutal assault weapon
Other Units
Mutilators185Fleshmetal weapons
Obliterators170Crushing fists, Fleshmetal guns
Mutilators165Fleshmetal weapons
Mutilators165Fleshmetal weapons
Obliterators160Crushing fists, Fleshmetal guns
Obliterators160Crushing fists, Fleshmetal guns
Maulerfiend125Magma cutters, Maulerfiend fists
Chaos Bikers80Chaos Icon, Close Combat Weapon, Combi-bolter, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Meltagun
Chaos Bikers80Chaos Icon, Close Combat Weapon, Combi-bolter, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Meltagun
Chaos Bikers80Chaos Icon, Close Combat Weapon, Combi-bolter, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Meltagun

Chaos Knights

Whole edition

46.9%win rate, rank 22 of 286,148 games1,742 lists from 1,148 playerstop-10% finishes 0.59x entry sharegoing first 1.4 points better46.1% adjusted for player skill

Results depend on event size: the faction's effect is +4.2 points in events of 24 players or fewer and -4.5 points in events above 48. Houndpack Lance lists have a win rate 5.8 points above the faction average and make up 33% of the faction's lists. Chaos Knights won 46.9% of 6,148 games, rank 22 of 28. Hunting Warpack went from 21% to 55% of the faction's lists between the first period and the last 28 days. 34.8% of its players won at least 60% of their games, against 46.5% of all players.

Force Disposition

Reconnaissance has a win rate 6.7 points above the faction's other choices, Purge the Foe has a win rate 5.1 points below the faction's other choices and Priority Assets has a win rate 4.2 points below the faction's other choices.

Disposition Share of games Games Win rate Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Reconnaissance 40% 2,184 53.5% +6.7 ± 1.1
Priority Assets 21% 1,128 42.7% -4.2 ± 1.4
Take and Hold 17% 905 45.2% -1.7 ± 1.5
Purge the Foe 16% 871 42.0% -5.1 ± 1.6
Disruption 6% 332 45.3% -1.8 ± 2.5

Detachments

8 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 6 of them account for 80% of picks. The most played is Hunting Warpack (40% of lists), and 70% of lists run more than one detachment. 3 detachments differ from the faction average. Best: Houndpack Lance (5.8 points above the faction average, 33% of lists).

Detachment Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z P1 P2 P3 P4
Hunting Warpack 704 40% +3.0 ± 0.9 +3.3 21% 27% 52% 54%
Houndpack Lance 576 33% +5.8 ± 1.0 +5.9 17% 23% 41% 47%
Infernal Lance 335 19% -1.4 ± 1.3 -1.1 30% 15% 17% 18%
Iconoclast Fiefdom 322 18% +4.4 ± 1.3 +3.3 21% 31% 13% 11%
Bastions of Tyranny 282 16% -3.3 ± 1.4 -2.3 18% 23% 14% 11%
Traitoris Lance 276 16% -3.0 ± 1.4 -2.2 19% 23% 13% 10%
Lords of Dread 275 16% -2.1 ± 1.5 -1.5 18% 19% 15% 11%
Helhunt Lance 160 9% +1.3 ± 1.9 +0.7 9% 11% 8% 9%

Results brackets

117 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 4 won X, 36 won X-1 and 77 won X-2, from 376 entries.

Share of players by share of games won 7% 0-20 16% 20-40 42% 40-60 25% 60-80 10% 80-100 line = all factions Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2 0.6% X 1.7% X-1 1.8% X-2 dashed = share of entries, 2.2%
Tier Lists Share of tier Share of entries Ratio z
X 4 0.6% 2.2% 0.27x -2.9
X-1 36 1.7% 2.2% 0.77x -1.6
X-2 77 1.8% 2.2% 0.82x -1.7
X to X-2 117 1.7% 2.2% 0.75x -3.1
Share of games won Players Share of players All players
0 to 20% 24 7.4% 4.1%
20 to 40% 52 16.0% 17.2%
40 to 60% 136 41.8% 32.2%
60 to 80% 81 24.9% 30.1%
80 to 100% 32 9.8% 16.4%

Combinations

11 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common is Houndpack Lance + Hunting Warpack (329 lists, 19%). Best: Houndpack Lance + Hunting Warpack (7.3 points above the faction average). Weakest: Hunting Warpack + Lords of Dread (10.0 points below the faction average).

Combination Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Houndpack Lance + Hunting Warpack 329 19% +7.3 ± 1.4 +5.2
Hunting Warpack + Traitoris Lance 153 9% -5.2 ± 1.9 -2.7
Houndpack Lance + Iconoclast Fiefdom 147 8% +5.3 ± 2.1 +2.5
Bastions of Tyranny + Lords of Dread 128 7% -3.0 ± 2.1 -1.4
Helhunt Lance + Hunting Warpack 112 6% +1.8 ± 2.4 +0.8
Iconoclast Fiefdom + Lords of Dread 67 4% +0.6 ± 3.2 +0.2
Hunting Warpack + Lords of Dread 64 4% -10.0 ± 3.1 -3.2
Bastions of Tyranny + Traitoris Lance 61 4% -6.8 ± 3.5 -2.0

Enhancements

25 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Snarling Rivalry (29% of lists). One enhancement differs from the other enhancements in its detachment: Snarling Rivalry (3.8 points above the rest).

Enhancement Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Snarling Rivalry 498 29% +3.8 ± 1.0 +3.6
Final Howl 269 15% +2.7 ± 1.5 +1.8
Veil of Medrengard 173 10% -0.5 ± 1.7 -0.3
Hate-filled Dominion 170 10% -0.1 ± 1.8 -0.1
Warp-borne Stalker 163 9% +0.2 ± 2.0 +0.1
Throne Mechanicum of Skulls 160 9% +1.9 ± 1.9 +1.0
Preyslayer's Mantle 154 9% +2.1 ± 2.0 +1.0
Panoply of the Cursed Knights 154 9% +3.6 ± 2.0 +1.8

Units

A typical list contains 5 distinct units. 4 units appear in at least half of all lists and 15 in at least 10%. The most common is War Dog Karnivore (74% of lists). 12 datasheets appeared in under 1% of lists: Accursed Cultists, Chaos Acastus Knight Asterius, Chaos Acastus Knight Porphyrion, Chaos Cerastus Knight Acheron, Chaos Questoris Knight Magaera, Chaos Questoris Knight Styrix, Cultist Firebrand, Daemon Prince Of Chaos With Wings, Dark Commune, Sloppity Bilepiper, Traitor Enforcer, War Dog Moirax.

Of 20 units in 40 or more lists, 3 have a clear effect on results (3 positive, 0 negative). Best: War Dog Executioner (2.7 points above comparable lists, 53% of lists), War Dog Stalker (2.6 points above comparable lists, 53% of lists) and War Dog Brigand (2.3 points above comparable lists, 58% of lists). Fellgor Beastmen is in under 10% of lists but has a win rate above the faction average.

Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -5 0 +5 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% War Dog Executioner Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -5 0 +5 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Houndpack Lance Iconoclast Fiefdom Hunting Warpack

Most played units

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
War Dog Karnivore 1,290 74.1% +1.7 ± 0.7 +2.5
War Dog Brigand 1,002 57.5% +2.3 ± 0.8 +3.1
War Dog Executioner 921 52.9% +2.7 ± 0.8 +3.4
War Dog Stalker 920 52.8% +2.6 ± 0.8 +3.3
Knight Despoiler 623 35.8% +0.1 ± 1.0 +0.1
Nurglings 589 33.8% +2.5 ± 1.0 +2.6
Knight Abominant 502 28.8% -0.2 ± 1.0 -0.2
Knight Rampager 459 26.3% -0.5 ± 1.1 -0.4
Knight Tyrant 434 24.9% +0.9 ± 1.1 +0.8
War Dog Huntsman 332 19.1% +1.3 ± 1.4 +1.0
Chaos Cerastus Knight Lancer 328 18.8% +0.1 ± 1.3 +0.1
Knight Desecrator 326 18.7% +1.5 ± 1.3 +1.1

Pick-rate shifts

Type Name First period Prior 28 days Last 28 days Change vs first period (pp) Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Enhancement Snarling Rivalry 10% 39% 44% +34 +5
Detachment Hunting Warpack 21% 54% 55% +33 +0
Detachment Houndpack Lance 17% 43% 48% +31 +5
Enhancement Final Howl 6% 22% 28% +22 +6
Unit War Dog Executioner 40% 61% 61% +21 +1
Unit Knight Abominant 37% 22% 20% -17 -2
Unit Knight Despoiler 48% 30% 31% -17 +1
Unit War Dog Karnivore 68% 81% 81% +14 +1
Enhancement Panoply of the Cursed Knights 2% 14% 14% +12 +0
Enhancement Preyslayer's Mantle 5% 10% 14% +9 +4

Matchups

Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Astra Militarum (58.2% over 233 games) and the worst is Adeptus Custodes (36.3% over 395).

Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Imperial Agents 22 77.3% 56.6% to 89.9% 53.2% +24.0 favourable
Astra Militarum 233 58.2% 51.7% to 64.3% 56.4% +1.7 favourable
Blood Angels 187 57.0% 49.8% to 63.8% 50.9% +6.1
Drukhari 136 54.4% 46.0% to 62.5% 50.0% +4.5
Tyranids 353 54.1% 48.9% to 59.2% 47.0% +7.1
Chaos Daemons 225 43.3% 37.0% to 49.9% 42.2% +1.1 unfavourable
Adepta Sororitas 156 42.0% 34.5% to 49.8% 46.6% -4.6 unfavourable
Emperor's Children 269 41.8% 36.1% to 47.8% 45.5% -3.7 unfavourable
Deathwatch 55 41.8% 29.7% to 55.0% 43.2% -1.4
Death Guard 242 41.7% 35.7% to 48.0% 48.7% -6.9 unfavourable
Orks 404 39.7% 35.1% to 44.6% 41.7% -1.9 unfavourable
Adeptus Custodes 395 36.3% 31.7% to 41.2% 42.7% -6.4 unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 15 more rows
Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Chaos Space Marines 278 53.6% 47.7% to 59.4% 49.7% +3.9
Space Marines 508 50.6% 46.3% to 54.9% 48.2% +2.4
Genestealer Cult 78 50.0% 39.2% to 60.8% 49.3% +0.7
Thousand Sons 203 49.3% 42.5% to 56.1% 46.5% +2.7
Imperial Knights 307 48.5% 43.0% to 54.1% 48.3% +0.2
Aeldari 184 48.4% 41.3% to 55.5% 51.3% -2.9
Necrons 394 48.4% 43.5% to 53.3% 45.4% +2.9
Adeptus Mechanicus 134 47.8% 39.5% to 56.2% 46.3% +1.4
Black Templars 93 47.3% 37.5% to 57.4% 51.6% -4.3
Space Wolves 169 46.2% 38.8% to 53.7% 47.8% -1.7
World Eaters 249 45.6% 39.5% to 51.8% 47.0% -1.4
Leagues of Votann 200 44.8% 38.0% to 51.7% 45.1% -0.3
T'au Empire 275 44.2% 38.4% to 50.1% 45.1% -0.9
Dark Angels 238 43.9% 37.7% to 50.3% 43.5% +0.4
Grey Knights 161 43.2% 35.8% to 50.9% 49.8% -6.6

Over time

Share of games per week (%) 2 2.5 3 2.1 2.6 Jul Aug Sep Oct Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval 30 40 50 45.3 38.1 Jul Aug Sep Oct
Period Lists Share of all lists Games Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul 345 2.2% 1,202 43.0%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug 415 2.3% 1,465 46.1%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct 634 2.7% 2,296 48.7%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct 348 2.3% 1,185 48.4%

Around each milestone, 28 days before and after

Milestone Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul) 992 / 1,210 44.1% to 45.3% +1.2 +0.6 2.2% to 2.4%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug) 1,125 / 1,704 46.3% to 49.1% +2.8 +1.5 2.3% to 2.9%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep) 1,275 / 1,811 46.4% to 49.8% +3.5 +1.9 2.3% to 2.8%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct) 1,811 / 1,185 49.8% to 48.4% -1.4 -0.8 2.8% to 2.4%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data 1,573 / 572 49.6% to 47.7% -1.8 -0.7 2.6% to 2.1%

Each extra 1.5 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 2.6 points lower; the average list has 5.4. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, milestone moves and terrain layout.

Representative lists

Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties, and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.

Lords of Dread2,000 pts
4th place · record 4-1 · 66 players · 5 rounds · 20 Jun
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Chaos Cerastus Knight Lancer + Mirror of Fates415Cerastus shock lance
Knight Despoiler + Warp-borne Stalker415Despoiler gatling cannon, Diabolus heavy stubber, Heavy darkflamer, Ruinspear rocket pod, Titanic feet ...
Knight Despoiler + Warp-borne Stalker390Despoiler gatling cannon, Diabolus heavy stubber, Heavy darkflamer, Ruinspear rocket pod, Titanic feet ...
Allied Units
Nurglings40Diseased claws and teeth
Nurglings40Diseased claws and teeth
Other Units
Chaos Acastus Knight Porphyrion700Helios defence missiles, Lascannon, Titanic feet, Twin magna lascannon
Houndpack Lance + Hunting Warpack2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 18 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
138 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle160
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl155
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle145
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle145
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle145
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle145
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle145
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry140
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry140
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry140
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl135
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl135
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl135
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl135

Team events

43.1%win rate in team events1,367 games332 lists from 304 players-4.9 points against individual eventsgoing first 4.0 points worse

Chaos Knights won 43.1% of 1,367 team event games, against 48.0% of 4,781 in individual events: 4.9 points lower (clear). It makes up 2.9% of team event games and 2.4% of individual event games.

Force Disposition share win rate Reconnaissance 49% Priority Assets 16% Purge the Foe 14% Disruption 11% Take and Hold 10% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments share win rate Hunting Warpack 45% Houndpack Lance 37% Iconoclast Fiefdom 16% Infernal Lance 15% Bastions of Tyranny 14% Traitoris Lance 14% Lords of Dread 11% Helhunt Lance 11% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups win rate against Tyranids Drukhari Astra Militarum Blood Angels Thousand Sons Adeptus Mechanicus Orks Adeptus Custodes 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events. Dashed: team events win rate.

Milestones

5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after, with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.

July balance & rules update (22 July)

45.3%win rate, rank 23 of 281,210 games333 lists from 290 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.76x entry sharegoing first 2.3 points better

Chaos Knights won 44.1% of 992 games in the 28 days before and 45.3% of 1,210 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.2% to 2.4%.

One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Infernal Lance (29% to 13%).

Nothing clear turned up in units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 11% 0-20 15% 20-40 39% 40-60 26% 60-80 9% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Reconnaissance 28% Take and Hold 24% Priority Assets 21% Purge the Foe 19% Disruption 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Hunting Warpack 30% Iconoclast Fiefdom 30% Traitoris Lance 24% Bastions of Tyranny 24% Houndpack Lance 23% Lords of Dread 20% Infernal Lance 13% Helhunt Lance 11% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate War Dog Karnivore 66% War Dog Brigand 50% War Dog Executioner 49% War Dog Stalker 46% Knight Abominant 39% Knight Despoiler 35% Knight Tyrant 33% Nurglings 31% Knight Rampager 30% Cultist Mob 26% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Blood Angels Chaos Space Marines Space Marines T'au Empire Adeptus Custodes Leagues of Votann Emperor's Children Orks 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Infernal Lance 29% 13% -16 -5.0

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Bastions of Tyranny + Traitoris Lance2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
3rd place · record 4-1 · 36 players · 5 rounds · 15 Aug
Show list
Characters
Knight Tyrant + Veil of Medrengard435Brimstone volcano lance, Ectoplasma decimator, Gheiststrike missile launcher, Titanic feet, Twin Desecrator cannon ...
Knight Abominant355Balemace, Diabolus heavy stubber, Electroscourge, Volkite combustor
Knight Abominant355Balemace, Diabolus heavy stubber, Electroscourge, Volkite combustor
Knight Desecrator355Desecrator laser destructor, Diabolus heavy stubber, Warpstrike claw
Allied Units
Nurglings90Diseased claws and teeth
Other Units
War Dog Brigand140Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Havoc multi-launcher
War Dog Huntsman135Daemonbreath meltagun, Daemonbreath spear, Reaper chaintalon
War Dog Huntsman135Daemonbreath meltagun, Daemonbreath spear, Reaper chaintalon
Houndpack Lance + Iconoclast Fiefdom1,990 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 3-0 · 34 players · 3 rounds · 25 Jul
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl175Havoc multi-launcher, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw, Diabolus heavy stubber
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl170Havoc multi-launcher, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw, Diabolus heavy stubber
War Dog Brigand + Loping Predator150Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber
Allied Units
Traitor Guardsmen Squad70Close combat weapon, Corrupted pistol, Flamer, Lasgun, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Fellgor Beastmen60Bolt pistol, Chainsword, Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Corrupted stave, Great weapon
Cultist Mob50Bolt pistol, Brutal assault weapon, Autopistol
Other Units
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl155Havoc multi-launcher, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw, Diabolus heavy stubber
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl155Havoc multi-launcher, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw, Diabolus heavy stubber
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl155Havoc multi-launcher, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw, Diabolus heavy stubber
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl155Havoc multi-launcher, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw, Diabolus heavy stubber
War Dog Brigand + Loping Predator140Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber
War Dog Brigand + Loping Predator140Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber
War Dog Brigand + Loping Predator140Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber
War Dog Brigand + Loping Predator140Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber
War Dog Stalker135Avenger chaincannon, Diabolus heavy stubber, Slaughterclaw

August balance & rules update (26 August)

44.6%win rate, rank 26 of 27485 games124 lists from 121 playersgoing first 4.6 points worse

Chaos Knights won 46.3% of 1,125 games in the 28 days before and 49.1% of 1,704 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.3% to 2.9%.

3 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Hunting Warpack (26% to 52%), Iconoclast Fiefdom (32% to 14%) and Houndpack Lance (24% to 40%).

3 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: War Dog Karnivore (66% to 81%), Cultist Mob (27% to 13%) and Knight Tyrant (33% to 20%).

3 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Snarling Rivalry (18% to 37%), Final Howl (6% to 18%) and Panoply of the Cursed Knights (3% to 12%).

Charts for this window

Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 35% Reconnaissance 27% Take and Hold 15% Disruption 13% Purge the Foe 10% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Hunting Warpack 42% Houndpack Lance 26% Infernal Lance 21% Bastions of Tyranny 19% Traitoris Lance 18% Iconoclast Fiefdom 16% Helhunt Lance 15% Lords of Dread 15% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate War Dog Karnivore 77% War Dog Brigand 55% War Dog Stalker 53% War Dog Executioner 52% Knight Despoiler 40% Nurglings 38% Knight Rampager 32% Knight Abominant 31% Knight Tyrant 27% Knight Desecrator 26% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Hunting Warpack 26% 52% +26 +7.4
Enhancement Snarling Rivalry 18% 37% +19 +5.7
Detachment Iconoclast Fiefdom 32% 14% -18 -6.1
Detachment Houndpack Lance 24% 40% +16 +4.7
Unit War Dog Karnivore 66% 81% +15 +4.7
Unit Cultist Mob 27% 13% -14 -5.0
Unit Knight Tyrant 33% 20% -13 -4.3
Enhancement Final Howl 6% 18% +12 +5.0
All 9 shifts: one more row
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Enhancement Panoply of the Cursed Knights 3% 12% +10 +4.7

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Bastions of Tyranny + Houndpack Lance1,995 pts
Reconnaissance
2nd place · record 4-1 · 39 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
Show list
Characters
Knight Desecrator355Desecrator laser destructor, Diabolus heavy stubber, Warpstrike claw
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl175Havoc multi-launcher, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl170Havoc multi-launcher, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl155Havoc multi-launcher, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
Other Units
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl155Havoc multi-launcher, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl155Havoc multi-launcher, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Brigand140Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Havoc multi-launcher
War Dog Brigand140Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Havoc multi-launcher
War Dog Brigand140Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Havoc multi-launcher
War Dog Brigand140Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Havoc multi-launcher
War Dog Stalker135Daemonbreath spear, Havoc multi-launcher, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Stalker135Daemonbreath spear, Havoc multi-launcher, Slaughterclaw
Infernal Lance2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 3-0 · 30 players · 3 rounds · 29 Aug
Show list
Characters
Knight Despoiler410Despoiler gatling cannon, Diabolus heavy stubber, Heavy darkflamer, Ruinspear rocket pod, Titanic feet, Despoiler battle cannon
Knight Despoiler410Despoiler gatling cannon, Diabolus heavy stubber, Heavy darkflamer, Ruinspear rocket pod, Titanic feet, Despoiler battle cannon
Chaos Cerastus Knight Castigator370Castigator bolt cannon, Tempest warblade
Allied Units
Plaguebearers115Plaguesword, Daemonic Icon, Instrument of Chaos
Other Units
War Dog Karnivore145Havoc multi-launcher, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore145Havoc multi-launcher, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore145Havoc multi-launcher, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Executioner130Armoured feet, Daemonbreath meltagun, War Dog autocannon
War Dog Executioner130Armoured feet, Daemonbreath meltagun, War Dog autocannon

Orks codex (5 September)

49.8%win rate, rank 13 of 281,811 games510 lists from 452 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.84x entry sharegoing first 1.9 points better

Chaos Knights won 46.4% of 1,275 games in the 28 days before and 49.8% of 1,811 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.3% to 2.8%.

3 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Hunting Warpack (31% to 54%), Houndpack Lance (26% to 45%) and Iconoclast Fiefdom (28% to 13%).

One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Cultist Mob (24% to 11%).

3 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Snarling Rivalry (21% to 39%), Final Howl (9% to 22%) and Panoply of the Cursed Knights (5% to 14%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 5% 0-20 12% 20-40 48% 40-60 24% 60-80 12% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Reconnaissance 52% Priority Assets 22% Take and Hold 16% Purge the Foe 8% Disruption 3% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Hunting Warpack 54% Houndpack Lance 45% Infernal Lance 16% Lords of Dread 15% Iconoclast Fiefdom 13% Bastions of Tyranny 12% Traitoris Lance 12% Helhunt Lance 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate War Dog Karnivore 81% War Dog Brigand 66% War Dog Executioner 61% War Dog Stalker 58% Nurglings 33% Knight Despoiler 30% Knight Abominant 21% Knight Rampager 19% War Dog Huntsman 19% Knight Tyrant 19% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Blood Angels Space Wolves Tyranids Space Marines Death Guard Chaos Daemons Dark Angels Adeptus Custodes 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Hunting Warpack 31% 54% +23 +6.7
Detachment Houndpack Lance 26% 45% +18 +5.5
Enhancement Snarling Rivalry 21% 39% +18 +5.6
Detachment Iconoclast Fiefdom 28% 13% -16 -5.7
Enhancement Final Howl 9% 22% +13 +5.2
Unit Cultist Mob 24% 11% -12 -4.9
Enhancement Panoply of the Cursed Knights 5% 14% +9 +4.4

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Houndpack Lance + Hunting Warpack2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
4th place · record 4-1 · 34 players · 5 rounds · 26 Sep
17 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
War Dog Karnivore + Panoply of the Cursed Knights160Diabolus heavy stubber, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl155Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl145Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber
Allied Units
Beasts Of Nurgle80
Nurglings45Diseased claws and teeth
Other Units
War Dog Karnivore + Panoply of the Cursed Knights145Diabolus heavy stubber, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore + Panoply of the Cursed Knights145Diabolus heavy stubber, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore + Panoply of the Cursed Knights145Diabolus heavy stubber, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore + Panoply of the Cursed Knights145Diabolus heavy stubber, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore + Panoply of the Cursed Knights145Diabolus heavy stubber, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry140Armoured feet, Daemonbreath meltagun, War Dog autocannon
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry140Armoured feet, Daemonbreath meltagun, War Dog autocannon
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry140Armoured feet, Daemonbreath meltagun, War Dog autocannon
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl135Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl135Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber
Houndpack Lance + Hunting Warpack2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 3-0 · 32 players · 3 rounds · 26 Sep
51 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl165Diabolus heavy stubber, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl160Diabolus heavy stubber, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry140Armoured feet, Diabolus heavy stubber, War Dog autocannon
Other Units
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl145Diabolus heavy stubber, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl145Diabolus heavy stubber, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl145Diabolus heavy stubber, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore + Final Howl145Diabolus heavy stubber, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry140Armoured feet, Diabolus heavy stubber, War Dog autocannon
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry140Armoured feet, Diabolus heavy stubber, War Dog autocannon
War Dog Stalker135Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Stalker135Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Stalker135Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Stalker135Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Stalker135Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber, Slaughterclaw

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)

49.0%win rate, rank 16 of 27613 games179 lists from 169 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.93x entry sharegoing first 1.2 points better

Chaos Knights won 49.8% of 1,811 games in the 28 days before and 48.4% of 1,185 in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 2.8% to 2.4%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 14% 20-40 39% 40-60 22% 60-80 22% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Reconnaissance 52% Purge the Foe 18% Priority Assets 15% Take and Hold 9% Disruption 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Hunting Warpack 56% Houndpack Lance 49% Infernal Lance 19% Traitoris Lance 12% Iconoclast Fiefdom 10% Helhunt Lance 9% Bastions of Tyranny 8% Lords of Dread 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate War Dog Karnivore 78% War Dog Executioner 64% War Dog Brigand 64% War Dog Stalker 59% Nurglings 34% Knight Despoiler 31% Knight Rampager 21% War Dog Huntsman 21% Knight Abominant 21% Beasts Of Nurgle 19% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Necrons Space Marines Adeptus Custodes 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Houndpack Lance + Hunting Warpack2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 18 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
22 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle160
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl155
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle145
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle145
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle145
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle145
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle145
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry140
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry140
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry140
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl135
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl135
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl135
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl135
Infernal Lance1,990 pts
Purge the Foe
4th place · record 4-1 · 24 players · 5 rounds · 16 Oct
Show list
Characters
Knight Despoiler + Bestial Aspect440Daemonbreath meltagun, Despoiler gatling cannon, Heavy darkflamer, Ruinspear rocket pod, Titanic feet
Knight Despoiler + Bestial Aspect440Daemonbreath meltagun, Despoiler gatling cannon, Heavy darkflamer, Ruinspear rocket pod, Titanic feet
Chaos Cerastus Knight Lancer385Cerastus shock lance
Knight Desecrator + Knight Diabolus375Desecrator laser destructor, Diabolus heavy stubber, Reaper chainsword
Knight Rampager350Diabolus heavy stubber, Reaper chainsword, Warpstrike claw

Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)

47.7%win rate, rank 17 of 27572 games169 lists from 162 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.85x entry sharegoing first 2.4 points better

Chaos Knights won 49.6% of 1,573 games in the 28 days before and 47.7% of 572 in the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 2.6% to 2.1%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 3% 0-20 14% 20-40 40% 40-60 37% 60-80 6% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Reconnaissance 49% Take and Hold 18% Purge the Foe 16% Priority Assets 12% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Hunting Warpack 52% Houndpack Lance 46% Infernal Lance 17% Lords of Dread 16% Bastions of Tyranny 14% Iconoclast Fiefdom 11% Helhunt Lance 9% Traitoris Lance 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate War Dog Karnivore 85% War Dog Brigand 63% War Dog Stalker 59% War Dog Executioner 58% Nurglings 32% Knight Despoiler 30% Knight Rampager 26% War Dog Huntsman 25% Knight Tyrant 24% Knight Abominant 21% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Space Marines Necrons Adeptus Custodes 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Houndpack Lance + Hunting Warpack2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 3-0 · 30 players · 3 rounds · 25 Oct
29 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Other Units
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle160Diabolus heavy stubber, Houndpack Lance Character, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl155Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber, Houndpack Lance Character
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl145Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber, Houndpack Lance Character
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle145Diabolus heavy stubber, Houndpack Lance Character, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle145Diabolus heavy stubber, Houndpack Lance Character, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle145Diabolus heavy stubber, Houndpack Lance Character, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Karnivore + Preyslayer's Mantle145Diabolus heavy stubber, Houndpack Lance Character, Reaper chaintalon, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry140Armoured feet, Diabolus heavy stubber, War Dog autocannon
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry140Armoured feet, Diabolus heavy stubber, War Dog autocannon
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry140Armoured feet, Diabolus heavy stubber, War Dog autocannon
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl135Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber, Houndpack Lance Character
War Dog Brigand + Final Howl135Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber, Houndpack Lance Character
War Dog Stalker135Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber, Slaughterclaw
War Dog Stalker135Daemonbreath spear, Diabolus heavy stubber, Slaughterclaw
Hunting Warpack + Traitoris Lance1,995 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 3-0 · 16 players · 3 rounds · 17 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Chaos Cerastus Knight Lancer + Nightmare's Master405Cerastus shock lance
Knight Abominant + Malevolent Heraldry385Balemace, Diabolus heavy stubber, Electroscourge, Volkite combustor
Knight Abominant + Malevolent Heraldry380Balemace, Diabolus heavy stubber, Electroscourge, Volkite combustor
Other Units
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry140Armoured feet, Diabolus heavy stubber, War Dog autocannon
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry140Armoured feet, Diabolus heavy stubber, War Dog autocannon
War Dog Executioner + Snarling Rivalry140Armoured feet, Diabolus heavy stubber, War Dog autocannon
War Dog Brigand135Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Havoc multi-launcher
War Dog Brigand135Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Havoc multi-launcher
War Dog Brigand135Armoured feet, Avenger chaincannon, Daemonbreath spear, Havoc multi-launcher

Drukhari

Whole edition

46.9%win rate, rank 23 of 285,741 games1,604 lists from 952 playerstop-10% finishes 0.92x entry sharegoing first 1.3 points worse45.9% adjusted for player skill

The pairing Exhibition of Slaughter + Realspace Raiders has a win rate 19.9 points below the faction average (21 lists). Drukhari won 46.9% of 5,741 games, 3.1 points below an even win rate (rank 23 of 28). Skysplinter Assault went from 63% to 43% of the faction's lists between the first period and the last 28 days.

Combinations

10 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common is Exhibition of Slaughter + Skysplinter Assault (669 lists, 42%). Best: Exhibition of Slaughter + Spectacle of Spite (16.5 points above the faction average). Weakest: Exhibition of Slaughter + Realspace Raiders (19.9 points below the faction average).

Combination Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Exhibition of Slaughter + Skysplinter Assault 669 42% +0.8 ± 1.1 +0.7
Exhibition of Slaughter + Kabalite Cartel 253 16% -5.2 ± 1.7 -3.2
Kabalite Agonysts + Skysplinter Assault 131 8% +1.4 ± 2.6 +0.5
Kabalite Cartel + Tools of Torment 88 5% +2.0 ± 2.9 +0.7
Kabalite Agonysts + Spectacle of Spite 40 2% +1.8 ± 4.5 +0.4
Skysplinter Assault + Tools of Torment 35 2% +6.4 ± 4.8 +1.3
Realspace Raiders + Tools of Torment 32 2% +3.6 ± 4.7 +0.8
Exhibition of Slaughter + Spectacle of Spite 25 2% +16.5 ± 5.4 +3.0
Exhibition of Slaughter + Realspace Raiders 21 1% -19.9 ± 5.5 -3.6

Pick-rate shifts

Type Name First period Prior 28 days Last 28 days Change vs first period (pp) Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Detachment Skysplinter Assault 63% 51% 43% -20 -8
Unit Scourges with Shardcarbines 13% 29% 32% +18 +3
Unit Reavers 78% 68% 61% -17 -7
Detachment Kabalite Cartel 12% 27% 28% +17 +2
Enhancement Leechbite Plate 3% 6% 12% +9 +5

Matchups

Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Death Guard (56.2% over 235 games) and the worst is Chaos Daemons (34.5% over 203).

Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Death Guard 235 56.2% 49.8% to 62.4% 48.7% +7.4
Black Templars 67 56.0% 44.1% to 67.2% 51.7% +4.3
Astra Militarum 204 55.9% 49.0% to 62.5% 56.5% -0.6
Imperial Agents 20 55.0% 34.2% to 74.2% 53.3% +1.7
Space Marines 436 52.9% 48.2% to 57.5% 48.3% +4.6
Orks 389 41.5% 36.7% to 46.5% 41.7% -0.2 unfavourable
Thousand Sons 196 41.1% 34.4% to 48.1% 46.6% -5.5 unfavourable
Emperor's Children 278 40.5% 34.9% to 46.3% 45.6% -5.1 unfavourable
Genestealer Cult 92 38.6% 29.3% to 48.8% 49.4% -10.8 unfavourable
Chaos Daemons 203 34.5% 28.3% to 41.3% 42.2% -7.8 unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 17 more rows
Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Space Wolves 157 52.5% 44.8% to 60.2% 47.9% +4.7
Deathwatch 44 52.3% 37.9% to 66.2% 43.2% +9.1
Chaos Space Marines 263 51.9% 45.9% to 57.9% 49.7% +2.2
Blood Angels 174 51.4% 44.1% to 58.8% 50.9% +0.5
Grey Knights 150 49.7% 41.8% to 57.6% 49.8% -0.1
Leagues of Votann 231 49.6% 43.2% to 56.0% 45.1% +4.5
Aeldari 167 48.5% 41.0% to 56.0% 51.3% -2.8
World Eaters 258 47.9% 41.8% to 54.0% 47.0% +0.9
Dark Angels 245 46.3% 40.2% to 52.6% 43.5% +2.8
Chaos Knights 136 45.6% 37.5% to 54.0% 50.0% -4.5
Necrons 367 45.5% 40.5% to 50.6% 45.5% +0.0
Tyranids 340 45.4% 40.2% to 50.8% 47.0% -1.6
Adeptus Mechanicus 130 45.0% 36.7% to 53.6% 46.4% -1.4
Adeptus Custodes 343 44.9% 39.7% to 50.2% 42.8% +2.1
T'au Empire 263 44.7% 38.8% to 50.7% 45.2% -0.5
Imperial Knights 232 44.4% 38.1% to 50.8% 48.3% -3.9
Adepta Sororitas 121 43.4% 34.9% to 52.3% 46.6% -3.2

Over time

Share of games per week (%) 2 2.5 3 1.8 2.8 Jul Aug Sep Oct Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval 40 50 60 44.0 52.4 Jul Aug Sep Oct
Period Lists Share of all lists Games Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul 422 2.7% 1,453 48.5%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug 408 2.2% 1,462 49.2%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct 490 2.1% 1,859 44.9%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct 284 1.9% 967 44.9%

Around each milestone, 28 days before and after

Milestone Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul) 1,226 / 1,165 47.8% to 49.5% +1.8 +0.9 2.7% to 2.3%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug) 1,173 / 1,334 48.5% to 45.3% -3.2 -1.6 2.4% to 2.3%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep) 1,262 / 1,415 47.8% to 43.9% -3.9 -2.0 2.3% to 2.2%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct) 1,415 / 967 43.9% to 44.9% +1.0 +0.5 2.2% to 1.9%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data 1,220 / 514 44.9% to 44.6% -0.4 -0.1 2.1% to 1.9%

Results brackets

143 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 15 won X, 40 won X-1 and 88 won X-2, from 400 entries.

Share of players by share of games won 5% 0-20 21% 20-40 32% 40-60 28% 60-80 15% 80-100 line = all factions Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2 2.2% X 1.9% X-1 2.1% X-2 dashed = share of entries, 2.3%
Bracket tables
Tier Lists Share of tier Share of entries Ratio z
X 15 2.2% 2.3% 0.94x -0.2
X-1 40 1.9% 2.3% 0.80x -1.4
X-2 88 2.1% 2.3% 0.88x -1.2
X to X-2 143 2.0% 2.3% 0.87x -1.8
Share of games won Players Share of players All players
0 to 20% 16 4.8% 4.1%
20 to 40% 69 20.6% 17.2%
40 to 60% 108 32.2% 32.2%
60 to 80% 93 27.8% 30.1%
80 to 100% 49 14.6% 16.4%

Units

A typical list contains 14 distinct units. 15 units appear in at least half of all lists and 21 in at least 10%. The most common is Venom (98% of lists). 8 datasheets appeared in under 1% of lists: Corsair Skyreavers, Grotesques, Prince Yriel, Razorwing Jetfighter, Shadowseer, Starfangs, Urien Rakarth, Voidweaver.

Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -5 0 +5 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -5 0 +5 1% 3% 10% 30% 100%

Most played units

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Venom 1,571 97.9% -0.0 ± 0.6 -0.1
Incubi 1,471 91.7% +0.1 ± 0.7 +0.2
Wyches 1,423 88.7% +0.1 ± 0.7 +0.2
Scourges with Heavy Weapons 1,405 87.6% +0.1 ± 0.7 +0.2
Lady Malys 1,382 86.2% +0.1 ± 0.7 +0.2
Mandrakes 1,367 85.2% +0.1 ± 0.7 +0.2
Archon 1,361 84.9% -0.1 ± 0.7 -0.2
Raider 1,334 83.2% -0.4 ± 0.7 -0.7
Drazhar 1,235 77.0% +0.5 ± 0.7 +0.7
Reavers 1,100 68.6% -0.5 ± 0.7 -0.7
Succubus 1,060 66.1% -0.5 ± 0.8 -0.6
Kabalite Warriors 1,046 65.2% -0.3 ± 0.8 -0.3

Detachments

8 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 4 of them account for 80% of picks. The most played is Exhibition of Slaughter (66% of lists), and 85% of lists run more than one detachment.

Detachment Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z P1 P2 P3 P4
Exhibition of Slaughter 1,053 66% -1.2 ± 0.8 -1.6 61% 72% 69% 58%
Skysplinter Assault 882 55% +0.3 ± 0.8 +0.4 63% 60% 51% 43%
Kabalite Cartel 360 22% -2.1 ± 1.3 -1.6 12% 25% 26% 28%
Kabalite Agonysts 207 13% -0.0 ± 1.7 -0.0 10% 12% 13% 17%
Tools of Torment 176 11% +4.4 ± 1.9 +2.3 9% 10% 12% 13%
Spectacle of Spite 94 6% +6.2 ± 2.4 +2.7 5% 5% 5% 11%
Realspace Raiders 78 5% -2.2 ± 2.6 -0.9 6% 2% 6% 6%
Reaper's Wager 69 4% +0.6 ± 2.9 +0.2 8% 2% 2% 7%

Enhancements

14 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Periapt of Torments (48% of lists).

Enhancement table
Enhancement Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Periapt of Torments 770 48% -0.5 ± 0.9 -0.5
Nightmare Shroud 665 41% +0.9 ± 1.0 +1.0
Webway Awl 123 8% -2.4 ± 2.0 -1.2
Elixir of the Corpse Courts 112 7% +3.8 ± 2.3 +1.7
Leechbite Plate 111 7% -1.7 ± 2.4 -0.7
Spiteful Raider 110 7% +0.2 ± 2.3 +0.1
Morghenna's Curse 74 5% +1.8 ± 2.6 +0.7
Informant Network 73 5% -2.0 ± 3.0 -0.7

Force Disposition

Force Disposition table
Disposition Share of games Games Win rate Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Reconnaissance 73% 3,585 46.9% -0.0 ± 0.9
Disruption 14% 709 45.0% -1.9 ± 1.9
Priority Assets 5% 238 50.4% n/a
Purge the Foe 5% 236 50.0% n/a
Take and Hold 3% 124 40.7% n/a

Each extra 2.2 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 2.6 points lower; the average list has 13.7. The five most active players account for 3.3% of its games. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, milestone moves, unit effects, detachment effects, enhancement effects, Force Disposition, results brackets and terrain layout.

Representative lists

Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties, and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.

Exhibition of Slaughter2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
2nd place · record 7-1 · 190 players · 8 rounds · 14 Aug
503 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Wyches90Hekatrix, Power weapon, Wych, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Wyches90Hekatrix, Power weapon, Wych, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Wyches90Hekatrix, Power weapon, Wych, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Wyches90Hekatrix, Power weapon, Wych, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Dedicated Transports
Raider75Bladevanes and chainsnares, Dark lance
Raider75Bladevanes and chainsnares, Dark lance
Venom75Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Other Units
Incubi190Incubi Shrine Token, Klaivex, Demiklaives, Incubi, Klaive
Scourges with Heavy Weapons130Solarite, Shardcarbine, Scourge, Dark lance
Scourges with Heavy Weapons130Solarite, Shardcarbine, Scourge, Dark lance
Archon + Nightmare Shroud100Huskblade, Shadowfield, Splinter pistol
Lady Malys100Lady’s Blade, Razor fan
Incubi90Incubi Shrine Token, Klaivex, Demiklaives, Incubi, Klaive
Incubi90Incubi Shrine Token, Klaivex, Demiklaives, Incubi, Klaive
Drazhar85Executioner’s demiklaives
Lelith Hesperax80Lelith’s blades
Mandrakes80Nightfiend, Glimmersteel blade, Mandrake
Reavers75Arena Champion, Cluster caltrops, Heat lance, Splinter pistol, Reaver, Splinter rifle
Succubus + Periapt of Torments70Archite glaive and agoniser
Exhibition of Slaughter + Kabalite Cartel1,995 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 49 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
598 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Kabalite Warriors110Phantasm Grenade Launcher, Power weapon, Splinter rifle, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Shredder, Splinter cannon
Kabalite Warriors110Phantasm Grenade Launcher, Power weapon, Splinter rifle, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Shredder, Splinter cannon
Wyches90Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Dedicated Transports
Raider75Bladevanes and chainsnares, Dark lance
Venom75Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Other Units
Scourges with Heavy Weapons130Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine, Heat lance, Dark lance
Hand of the Archon115Kabalite Icon, Power weapon, Splinter rifle, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Pain sculptors, Razorflail ...
Archon + Informant Network110Huskblade, Shadowfield, Soul Trap
Ravager110Bladevanes, Disintegrator cannon
Ravager110Bladevanes, Disintegrator cannon
Scourges with Heavy Weapons110Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine, Heat lance, Dark lance
Lady Malys100Lady’s Blade, Razor fan
Incubi90Incubi Shrine Token, Demi-Klaive, Klaive
Incubi90Incubi Shrine Token, Demi-Klaive, Klaive
Drazhar85Executioner’s demiklaives
Archon + Informant Network85Huskblade, Shadowfield, Soul Trap
Mandrakes80Baleblast, Glimmersteel blade
Succubus + Periapt of Torments70Archite glaive and agoniser
Cronos55Spirit syphon, Spirit-leech tentacles

Team events

43.8%win rate in team events1,252 games308 lists from 266 players-3.9 points against individual eventsgoing first 1.9 points worse

Drukhari won 43.8% of 1,252 team event games, against 47.8% of 4,489 in individual events: 3.9 points lower (not clear). It makes up 2.7% of team event games and 2.2% of individual event games.

Force Disposition share win rate Reconnaissance 71% Disruption 20% Priority Assets 4% Purge the Foe 3% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments share win rate Exhibition of Slaughter 67% Skysplinter Assault 54% Kabalite Cartel 22% Kabalite Agonysts 13% Tools of Torment 9% Spectacle of Spite 6% Realspace Raiders 5% Reaper's Wager 3% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups win rate against Adeptus Mechanicus Death Guard Astra Militarum Blood Angels Orks Chaos Daemons Adepta Sororitas Imperial Knights 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events. Dashed: team events win rate.

Milestones

5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after, with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.

July balance & rules update (22 July)

49.5%win rate, rank 13 of 281,165 games321 lists from 267 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.92x entry sharegoing first 3.3 points worse

Drukhari won 47.8% of 1,226 games in the 28 days before and 49.5% of 1,165 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.7% to 2.3%.

One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Kabalite Cartel (11% to 23%).

One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Periapt of Torments (38% to 55%).

Nothing clear turned up in units.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 8% 0-20 19% 20-40 31% 40-60 25% 60-80 16% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Reconnaissance 79% Disruption 12% Purge the Foe 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Exhibition of Slaughter 73% Skysplinter Assault 62% Kabalite Cartel 23% Kabalite Agonysts 13% Tools of Torment 9% Spectacle of Spite 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Venom 99% Incubi 96% Mandrakes 90% Wyches 89% Lady Malys 88% Scourges with Heavy Weapons 87% Archon 86% Raider 85% Drazhar 80% Reavers 69% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Dark Angels Space Marines Death Guard Chaos Space Marines Necrons Imperial Knights Emperor's Children Chaos Daemons 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Enhancement Periapt of Torments 38% 55% +17 +4.4
Detachment Kabalite Cartel 11% 23% +13 +4.4

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Exhibition of Slaughter2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
2nd place · record 7-1 · 190 players · 8 rounds · 14 Aug
109 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Wyches90Hekatrix, Power weapon, Wych, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Wyches90Hekatrix, Power weapon, Wych, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Wyches90Hekatrix, Power weapon, Wych, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Wyches90Hekatrix, Power weapon, Wych, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Dedicated Transports
Raider75Bladevanes and chainsnares, Dark lance
Raider75Bladevanes and chainsnares, Dark lance
Venom75Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Other Units
Incubi190Incubi Shrine Token, Klaivex, Demiklaives, Incubi, Klaive
Scourges with Heavy Weapons130Solarite, Shardcarbine, Scourge, Dark lance
Scourges with Heavy Weapons130Solarite, Shardcarbine, Scourge, Dark lance
Archon + Nightmare Shroud100Huskblade, Shadowfield, Splinter pistol
Lady Malys100Lady’s Blade, Razor fan
Incubi90Incubi Shrine Token, Klaivex, Demiklaives, Incubi, Klaive
Incubi90Incubi Shrine Token, Klaivex, Demiklaives, Incubi, Klaive
Drazhar85Executioner’s demiklaives
Lelith Hesperax80Lelith’s blades
Mandrakes80Nightfiend, Glimmersteel blade, Mandrake
Reavers75Arena Champion, Cluster caltrops, Heat lance, Splinter pistol, Reaver, Splinter rifle
Succubus + Periapt of Torments70Archite glaive and agoniser
Exhibition of Slaughter + Skysplinter Assault2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
2nd place · record 6-0 · 73 players · 6 rounds · 25 Jul
140 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Kabalite Warriors110Blast pistol, Phantasm Grenade Launcher, Power weapon, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Shredder ...
Wyches90Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Wyches90Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Dedicated Transports
Raider75Bladevanes and chainsnares, Dark lance
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Other Units
Scourges with Heavy Weapons130Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine, Dark lance, Heat lance
Hand of the Archon115Blast pistol, Kabalite Icon, Power weapon, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Pain sculptors, Razorflail ...
Ravager110Bladevanes, Disintegrator cannon
Ravager110Bladevanes, Disintegrator cannon
Scourges with Heavy Weapons110Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine, Dark lance, Heat lance
Lady Malys100Lady’s Blade, Razor fan
Archon + Nightmare Shroud100Huskblade, Shadowfield, Soul Trap
Cronos100Spirit syphon, Spirit vortex, Spirit-leech tentacles
Incubi90Incubi Shrine Token, Demiklaives, Klaive
Incubi90Incubi Shrine Token, Demiklaives, Klaive
Drazhar85Executioner’s demiklaives
Mandrakes80Baleblast, Glimmersteel blade
Reavers75Bladevanes, Grav-talon, Heat lance, Splinter pistol, Splinter rifle
Scourges with Shardcarbines75Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine, Shredder
Succubus + Periapt of Torments70Archite glaive and agoniser

August balance & rules update (26 August)

48.2%win rate, rank 18 of 27444 games112 lists from 108 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.76x entry sharegoing first 2.2 points better

Drukhari won 48.5% of 1,173 games in the 28 days before and 45.3% of 1,334 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.4% to 2.3%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Force Disposition share win rate Reconnaissance 82% Disruption 10% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Exhibition of Slaughter 77% Skysplinter Assault 57% Kabalite Cartel 23% Tools of Torment 10% Kabalite Agonysts 9% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Venom 99% Wyches 94% Mandrakes 92% Lady Malys 92% Incubi 90% Archon 88% Scourges with Heavy Weapons 88% Raider 85% Drazhar 79% Succubus 74% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Kabalite Agonysts + Skysplinter Assault1,995 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 3-0 · 19 players · 3 rounds · 31 Aug
38 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Kabalite Warriors110Blast pistol, Kabalite Icon, Power weapon, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Shredder, Splinter cannon, Splinter rifle
Wyches90Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Dedicated Transports
Raider75Bladevanes and chainsnares, Dark lance
Venom75Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Other Units
Incubi180Incubi Shrine Token, Demiklaives, Klaive
Scourges with Heavy Weapons130Blast pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Dark lance
Hand of the Archon115Blast pistol, Kabalite Icon, Power weapon, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Pain sculptors, Razorflail ...
Ravager110Bladevanes, Disintegrator cannon
Ravager110Bladevanes, Disintegrator cannon
Archon + Nightmare Shroud100Huskblade, Shadowfield, Soul Trap, Splinter pistol
Lady Malys100Lady’s Blade, Razor fan
Incubi100Incubi Shrine Token, Demiklaives, Klaive
Archon + Nightmare Shroud100Huskblade, Shadowfield, Soul Trap, Splinter pistol
Incubi90Incubi Shrine Token, Demiklaives, Klaive
Drazhar85Executioner’s demiklaives
Mandrakes80Baleblast, Glimmersteel blade
Reavers75Bladevanes, Cluster caltrops, Heat lance, Splinter pistol, Splinter rifle
Scourges with Shardcarbines75Blast pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Shardcarbine, Shredder
Exhibition of Slaughter + Skysplinter Assault2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
3rd place · record 3-0 · 25 players · 3 rounds · 29 Aug
55 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lady Malys100Lady’s Blade, Razor fan
Drazhar85Executioner’s demiklaives
Archon80Huskblade, Shadowfield, Splinter pistol
Lelith Hesperax80Lelith’s blades
Succubus + Periapt of Torments70Archite glaive and agoniser
Battleline
Kabalite Warriors110Blast pistol, Phantasm Grenade Launcher, Power weapon, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Shredder ...
Wyches90Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Wyches90Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Dedicated Transports
Raider75Bladevanes and chainsnares, Dark lance
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Other Units
Hellions180Hellglaive, Phantasm Grenade Launcher, Splinter pods
Scourges with Heavy Weapons130Blast pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Dark lance
Scourges with Heavy Weapons130Blast pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Dark lance
Cronos100Spirit syphon, Spirit vortex, Spirit-leech tentacles
Hellions90Hellglaive, Phantasm Grenade Launcher, Splinter pods
Incubi90Demiklaives, Klaive
Mandrakes80Baleblast, Glimmersteel blade
Reavers75Bladevanes, Cluster caltrops, Heat lance, Splinter pistol, Splinter rifle
Reavers75Bladevanes, Cluster caltrops, Heat lance, Splinter pistol, Splinter rifle
Scourges with Shardcarbines75Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine

Orks codex (5 September)

43.9%win rate, rank 26 of 281,415 games378 lists from 333 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.77x entry sharegoing first 2.9 points worse

Drukhari won 47.8% of 1,262 games in the 28 days before and 43.9% of 1,415 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.3% to 2.2%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 5% 0-20 21% 20-40 31% 40-60 22% 60-80 21% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Reconnaissance 71% Disruption 18% Purge the Foe 6% Priority Assets 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Exhibition of Slaughter 67% Skysplinter Assault 50% Kabalite Cartel 27% Kabalite Agonysts 14% Tools of Torment 13% Realspace Raiders 6% Spectacle of Spite 5% Reaper's Wager 3% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Venom 98% Incubi 92% Scourges with Heavy Weapons 91% Wyches 90% Mandrakes 87% Lady Malys 87% Raider 86% Archon 86% Drazhar 79% Succubus 74% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Astra Militarum Death Guard Chaos Space Marines Space Marines Tyranids Chaos Daemons Orks Emperor's Children 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Exhibition of Slaughter2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 68 players · 5 rounds · 26 Sep
77 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Kabalite Warriors110Blast pistol, Phantasm Grenade Launcher, Power weapon, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Shredder ...
Wyches90Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Wyches90Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Dedicated Transports
Raider75Bladevanes and chainsnares, Dark lance
Raider75Bladevanes and chainsnares, Dark lance
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Allied Units
Corsair Voidreavers65Close combat weapon, Mistshield, Neuro disruptor, Power sword, Shuriken pistol
Other Units
Scourges with Heavy Weapons130Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine, Dark lance, Heat lance
Hand of the Archon115Blast pistol, Kabalite Icon, Power weapon, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Pain sculptors, Razorflail ...
Scourges with Heavy Weapons110Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine, Dark lance, Heat lance
archon gheislein de wiart100
Lady Malys100Lady’s Blade, Razor fan
Cronos100Spirit syphon, Spirit vortex, Spirit-leech tentacles
Incubi90Incubi Shrine Token, Demiklaives, Klaive
Incubi90Incubi Shrine Token, Demiklaives, Klaive
Drazhar85Executioner’s demiklaives
Lelith Hesperax80Lelith’s blades
Mandrakes80Baleblast, Glimmersteel blade
Reavers75Bladevanes, Cluster caltrops, Heat lance, Splinter pistol, Splinter rifle
Scourges with Shardcarbines75Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine, Shredder
Succubus + Periapt of Torments70Archite glaive and agoniser
Exhibition of Slaughter + Skysplinter Assault1,995 pts
Reconnaissance
3rd place · record 4-0-1 · 72 players · 5 rounds · 26 Sep
84 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Wyches90Blast Pistol, Power Weapon, Splinter Pistol, Hekatarii Blade, Gladiatorial Weapons
Wyches90Blast Pistol, Power Weapon, Splinter Pistol, Hekatarii Blade, Gladiatorial Weapons
Wyches90Blast Pistol, Power Weapon, Splinter Pistol, Hekatarii Blade, Gladiatorial Weapons
Wyches90Blast Pistol, Power Weapon, Splinter Pistol, Hekatarii Blade, Gladiatorial Weapons
Wyches90Blast Pistol, Power Weapon, Splinter Pistol, Hekatarii Blade, Gladiatorial Weapons
Wyches90Blast Pistol, Power Weapon, Splinter Pistol, Hekatarii Blade, Gladiatorial Weapons
Dedicated Transports
Raider75Bladevanes & chainsnares, Dark lance
Raider75Bladevanes & chainsnares, Dark lance
Venom75Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom75Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Other Units
Incubi190Demiklaives, Klaive, Incubi Shrine Token
Archon + Nightmare Shroud100Huskblade, Shadowfield, Soul trap
Lady Malys100Lady’s blade, Razor fan
Incubi90Demiklaives, Klaive, Incubi Shrine Token
Incubi90Demiklaives, Klaive, Incubi Shrine Token
Drazhar85Executioner’s demiklaives
Lelith Hesperax80Lelith’s blades
Mandrakes80Baleblast, Glimmersteel Blade
Reavers75Splinter Pistol, Bladevanes, Cluster Caltrops, Heat Lance, Splinter Rifle
Succubus + Periapt of Torments70Archite glaive & agoniser

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)

45.3%win rate, rank 23 of 27453 games135 lists from 131 playersgoing first 12.9 points better

Drukhari won 43.9% of 1,415 games in the 28 days before and 44.9% of 967 in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 2.2% to 1.9%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Force Disposition share win rate Reconnaissance 69% Disruption 14% Priority Assets 11% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Exhibition of Slaughter 57% Skysplinter Assault 47% Kabalite Cartel 24% Kabalite Agonysts 19% Spectacle of Spite 10% Reaper's Wager 9% Tools of Torment 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Venom 96% Incubi 90% Wyches 90% Scourges with Heavy Weapons 87% Raider 85% Archon 84% Lady Malys 84% Mandrakes 83% Drazhar 80% Kabalite Warriors 67% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Exhibition of Slaughter + Kabalite Cartel1,995 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 49 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
50 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Kabalite Warriors110Phantasm Grenade Launcher, Power weapon, Splinter rifle, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Shredder, Splinter cannon
Kabalite Warriors110Phantasm Grenade Launcher, Power weapon, Splinter rifle, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Shredder, Splinter cannon
Wyches90Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Dedicated Transports
Raider75Bladevanes and chainsnares, Dark lance
Venom75Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Other Units
Scourges with Heavy Weapons130Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine, Heat lance, Dark lance
Hand of the Archon115Kabalite Icon, Power weapon, Splinter rifle, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Pain sculptors, Razorflail ...
Archon + Informant Network110Huskblade, Shadowfield, Soul Trap
Ravager110Bladevanes, Disintegrator cannon
Ravager110Bladevanes, Disintegrator cannon
Scourges with Heavy Weapons110Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine, Heat lance, Dark lance
Lady Malys100Lady’s Blade, Razor fan
Incubi90Incubi Shrine Token, Demi-Klaive, Klaive
Incubi90Incubi Shrine Token, Demi-Klaive, Klaive
Drazhar85Executioner’s demiklaives
Archon + Informant Network85Huskblade, Shadowfield, Soul Trap
Mandrakes80Baleblast, Glimmersteel blade
Succubus + Periapt of Torments70Archite glaive and agoniser
Cronos55Spirit syphon, Spirit-leech tentacles
Exhibition of Slaughter + Spectacle of Spite2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 27 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
5 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Kabalite Warriors110Blast pistol, Phantasm Grenade Launcher, Power weapon, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Shredder ...
Wyches90Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Wyches90Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Wyches90Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Wyches90Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Dedicated Transports
Raider75Bladevanes and chainsnares, Dark lance
Raider75Bladevanes and chainsnares, Dark lance
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Other Units
Hellions180Hellglaive, Splinter pods
Scourges with Heavy Weapons130Blast pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Dark lance
Scourges with Heavy Weapons130Blast pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Dark lance
Lady Malys100Lady’s Blade, Razor fan
Incubi90Klaive
Hellions90Hellglaive, Splinter pods
Drazhar85Executioner’s demiklaives
Lelith Hesperax80Lelith’s blades
Scourges with Shardcarbines75Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine
Succubus + Morghenna's Curse70Archite glaive and agoniser
Cronos55Spirit syphon, Spirit-leech tentacles
Succubus + Morghenna's Curse50Archite glaive and agoniser
Succubus + Morghenna's Curse50Archite glaive and agoniser

Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)

44.6%win rate, rank 23 of 27514 games149 lists from 146 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.87x entry sharegoing first 2.0 points worse

Drukhari won 44.9% of 1,220 games in the 28 days before and 44.6% of 514 in the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 2.1% to 1.9%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 0% 0-20 23% 20-40 37% 40-60 26% 60-80 14% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Reconnaissance 64% Disruption 18% Priority Assets 8% Take and Hold 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Exhibition of Slaughter 58% Skysplinter Assault 40% Kabalite Cartel 32% Tools of Torment 17% Kabalite Agonysts 15% Spectacle of Spite 12% Realspace Raiders 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Venom 97% Scourges with Heavy Weapons 95% Incubi 88% Lady Malys 86% Raider 85% Archon 85% Wyches 83% Mandrakes 82% Drazhar 75% Kabalite Warriors 74% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Kabalite Agonysts + Skysplinter Assault2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 24 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
10 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Kabalite Warriors110Blast pistol, Phantasm Grenade Launcher, Power weapon, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Shredder ...
Kabalite Warriors110Blast pistol, Phantasm Grenade Launcher, Power weapon, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Shredder ...
Wyches90Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Dedicated Transports
Raider75Bladevanes and chainsnares, Dark lance
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Allied Units
Solitaire105Flip Belt, Solitaire weapons
Kharseth80Dread of the Deep Void, Waystave
Other Units
Incubi180Incubi Shrine Token, Demiklaives, Klaive
Scourges with Heavy Weapons130Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine, Dark lance
Scourges with Heavy Weapons130Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine, Dark lance
Archon + Nightmare Shroud100Huskblade, Shadowfield, Soul Trap
Lady Malys100Lady’s Blade, Razor fan
Incubi90Incubi Shrine Token, Demiklaives, Klaive
Hellions90Hellglaive, Phantasm Grenade Launcher, Splinter pistol, Splinter pods, Stunclaw
Hellions90Hellglaive, Phantasm Grenade Launcher, Splinter pistol, Splinter pods, Stunclaw
Drazhar85Executioner’s demiklaives
Archon + Nightmare Shroud80Huskblade, Shadowfield, Soul Trap
Lelith Hesperax80Lelith’s blades
Mandrakes80Baleblast, Glimmersteel blade
Skysplinter Assault + Tools of Torment1,995 pts
Reconnaissance
3rd place · record 4-1 · 46 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Wyches90Blast pistol, Power weapon, Gladiatorial weapons, Hekatarii blade, Splinter pistol
Dedicated Transports
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Venom65Bladevanes, Splinter cannon
Other Units
Talos + Elixir of the Corpse Courts165Macro-scalpel, Twin heat lance
Talos + Elixir of the Corpse Courts155Macro-scalpel, Twin heat lance
Talos + Elixir of the Corpse Courts155Macro-scalpel, Twin heat lance
Scourges with Heavy Weapons130Blast pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Dark lance
Scourges with Heavy Weapons130Blast pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Dark lance
Hand of the Archon115Blast pistol, Kabalite Icon, Power weapon, Blaster, Close combat weapon, Dark lance, Pain sculptors, Razorflail ...
Ravager110Bladevanes, Disintegrator cannon
Archon + Nightmare Shroud100Huskblade, Shadowfield, Soul Trap
Incubi90Incubi Shrine Token, Demiklaives, Klaive
Incubi90Incubi Shrine Token, Demiklaives, Klaive
Drazhar85Executioner’s demiklaives
Lelith Hesperax80Lelith’s blades
Mandrakes80Baleblast, Glimmersteel blade
Reavers75Bladevanes, Grav-talon, Heat lance, Splinter pistol, Splinter rifle
Reavers75Bladevanes, Grav-talon, Heat lance, Splinter pistol, Splinter rifle
Scourges with Shardcarbines75Close combat weapon, Shardcarbine, Shredder

Blood Angels

Whole edition

46.0%win rate, rank 24 of 287,157 games2,056 lists from 1,357 playerstop-10% finishes 0.57x entry sharegoing first 2.2 points better44.4% adjusted for player skill

Blood Angels won 46.0% of 7,157 games, 4.0 points below an even win rate (rank 24 of 28). 38.9% of its players won at least 60% of their games, against 46.5% of all players. Assault Brethren went from 0% to 46% of the faction's lists between the first period and the last 28 days. Ironstorm Spearhead lists have a win rate 10.9 points above the faction average and make up 3% of the faction's lists.

Over time

Share of games per week (%) 2 2.5 3 3.5 2.8 3.8 Jul Aug Sep Oct Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval 40 50 Codex: Space Marines (11th Edi 48.5 48.7 Jul Aug Sep Oct
Period Lists Share of all lists Games Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul 482 3.1% 1,660 46.8%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug 547 3.0% 1,884 47.6%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct 652 2.8% 2,337 43.0%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct 375 2.5% 1,276 48.2%

Codex: Space Marines was followed by a change of +6.2 points in win rate, measured over the 28 days either side.

Around each milestone, 28 days before and after

Milestone Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul) 1,358 / 1,438 46.3% to 47.7% +1.4 +0.8 3.0% to 2.8%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug) 1,429 / 1,698 47.2% to 43.3% -3.9 -2.2 2.9% to 2.9%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep) 1,693 / 1,779 46.3% to 42.0% -4.3 -2.5 3.1% to 2.7%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct) 1,779 / 1,276 42.0% to 48.2% +6.2 +3.4 2.7% to 2.5%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data 1,408 / 790 44.0% to 47.5% +3.5 +1.6 2.4% to 3.0%

Results brackets

187 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 14 won X, 47 won X-1 and 126 won X-2, from 532 entries.

Share of players by share of games won 5% 0-20 18% 20-40 38% 40-60 27% 60-80 12% 80-100 line = all factions Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2 2.1% X 2.2% X-1 3.0% X-2 dashed = share of entries, 3.1%
Tier Lists Share of tier Share of entries Ratio z
X 14 2.1% 3.1% 0.66x -1.6
X-1 47 2.2% 3.1% 0.71x -2.4
X-2 126 3.0% 3.1% 0.95x -0.6
X to X-2 187 2.6% 3.1% 0.85x -2.2
Share of games won Players Share of players All players
0 to 20% 21 4.7% 4.1%
20 to 40% 82 18.2% 17.2%
40 to 60% 172 38.2% 32.2%
60 to 80% 122 27.1% 30.1%
80 to 100% 53 11.8% 16.4%

Detachments

17 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 8 of them account for 80% of picks. The most played is Liberator Assault Group (37% of lists), and 31% of lists run more than one detachment. One detachment differs from the faction average. Best: Ironstorm Spearhead (10.9 points above the faction average, 3% of lists).

Detachment Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z P1 P2 P3 P4
Liberator Assault Group 769 37% +0.4 ± 0.9 +0.5 45% 44% 45% 4%
Rage-cursed Onslaught 321 16% +1.3 ± 1.4 +0.9 24% 16% 17% 1%
Stormlance Task Force 290 14% +2.8 ± 1.3 +2.2 10% 18% 18% 7%
Legacy of Grace 225 11% +1.1 ± 1.5 +0.7 13% 16% 11% 0%
Assault Brethren 185 9% +4.6 ± 1.8 +2.5 0% 0% 0% 49%
Encarmine Speartip 161 8% -1.7 ± 2.0 -0.8 4% 3% 3% 28%
Angelic Inheritors 144 7% -5.1 ± 2.0 -2.6 7% 6% 6% 10%
Vengeful Hosts 134 7% -1.8 ± 2.0 -0.9 0% 13% 10% 1%
Tacticus Attack Force 103 5% +5.8 ± 2.3 +2.5 0% 0% 0% 27%
Wrath of the Doomed 94 5% +0.1 ± 2.6 +0.0 2% 2% 3% 13%
The Angelic Host 78 4% -4.5 ± 3.0 -1.5 4% 5% 4% 1%
Ironclad Champions 60 3% +2.9 ± 3.3 +0.9 0% 0% 0% 16%
Ironstorm Spearhead 54 3% +10.9 ± 3.5 +3.2 0% 0% 0% 14%
Terminator Storm Force 47 2% +0.1 ± 3.7 +0.0 0% 0% 0% 13%

Units

A typical list contains 12 distinct units. 8 units appear in at least half of all lists and 31 in at least 10%. The most common is Sanguinary Guard (90% of lists). 2 datasheets never appeared: Astraeus, Kratos. One datasheet appeared in under 1% of lists: Mastodon.

Of 66 units in 40 or more lists, 6 have a clear effect on results (4 positive, 2 negative). Best: Chaplain On Bike (8.0 points above comparable lists, 4% of lists), Reiver Squad (6.7 points above comparable lists, 8% of lists), Baal Predator (2.9 points above comparable lists, 30% of lists) and Sanguinary Priest (2.4 points above comparable lists, 51% of lists). Weakest: Infernus Squad (9.2 points below comparable lists, 2% of lists) and Terminator Squad (7.1 points below comparable lists, 6% of lists). Chaplain On Bike and Reiver Squad are in under 10% of lists but have a win rate above the faction average.

Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -10 -5 0 +5 +10 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Infernus Squad Chaplain On Bike Terminator Squad Reiver Squad Baal Predator Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -10 0 +10 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Ironstorm Spearhead

Most played units

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Sanguinary Guard 1,850 90.0% +0.6 ± 0.6 +1.0
Captain With Jump Pack 1,476 71.8% +0.4 ± 0.6 +0.6
Death Company Marines With Jump Packs 1,354 65.9% +0.7 ± 0.7 +1.0
Scout Squad 1,315 64.0% +1.3 ± 0.7 +2.0
Commander Dante 1,079 52.5% +0.2 ± 0.7 +0.3
Intercessor Squad 1,065 51.8% +0.2 ± 0.7 +0.3
Sanguinary Priest 1,056 51.4% +2.4 ± 0.7 +3.3
Lemartes 1,049 51.0% +0.6 ± 0.7 +0.9
Bladeguard Veteran Squad 994 48.3% +2.0 ± 0.8 +2.6
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 968 47.1% -0.2 ± 0.8 -0.3
Chaplain With Jump Pack 684 33.3% -0.8 ± 0.9 -0.9
Chief Librarian Mephiston 614 29.9% +0.1 ± 1.0 +0.1

Other units with a clear effect

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Chaplain On Bike 85 4.1% +8.0 ± 2.4 +3.3
Reiver Squad 165 8.0% +6.7 ± 1.7 +3.9
Baal Predator 612 29.8% +2.9 ± 0.9 +3.2
Terminator Squad 121 5.9% -7.1 ± 2.2 -3.3
Infernus Squad 43 2.1% -9.2 ± 3.0 -3.1

Pick-rate shifts

Type Name First period Prior 28 days Last 28 days Change vs first period (pp) Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Enhancement Furious Assault 0% 0% 52% +52 +52
Detachment Assault Brethren 0% 0% 46% +46 +46
Enhancement Imperium's Sword 0% 0% 39% +39 +39
Detachment Liberator Assault Group 45% 46% 7% -37 -38
Unit Death Company Marines With Jump Packs 72% 76% 39% -33 -38
Unit Intercessor Squad 61% 57% 26% -35 -31
Unit Lemartes 56% 60% 32% -24 -28
Unit Chaplain With Jump Pack 35% 41% 14% -20 -26
Detachment Tacticus Attack Force 0% 0% 25% +25 +25
Unit Bladeguard Veteran Squad 49% 57% 33% -16 -23
Detachment Encarmine Speartip 4% 3% 26% +22 +23
Unit Lieutenant with Combi-weapon 33% 14% 10% -23 -5

Matchups

Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Astra Militarum (56.3% over 245 games) and the worst is Thousand Sons (37.6% over 234).

Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Astra Militarum 245 56.3% 50.1% to 62.4% 55.6% +0.8 favourable
Imperial Agents 23 52.2% 33.0% to 70.8% 52.4% -0.2
Black Templars 126 51.2% 42.6% to 59.8% 50.7% +0.5
Space Marines 615 50.7% 46.8% to 54.7% 47.3% +3.4
Chaos Space Marines 321 50.6% 45.2% to 56.1% 48.8% +1.8
T'au Empire 369 43.2% 38.3% to 48.3% 44.3% -1.0 unfavourable
Leagues of Votann 220 42.5% 36.2% to 49.1% 44.2% -1.7 unfavourable
Adeptus Custodes 414 42.3% 37.6% to 47.1% 41.9% +0.4 unfavourable
Orks 475 41.4% 37.0% to 45.8% 40.8% +0.6 unfavourable
Chaos Daemons 265 40.9% 35.2% to 47.0% 41.3% -0.4 unfavourable
Tyranids 398 38.7% 34.0% to 43.6% 46.1% -7.4 unfavourable
Thousand Sons 234 37.6% 31.6% to 44.0% 45.6% -8.0 unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 15 more rows
Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Aeldari 220 50.5% 43.9% to 57.0% 50.4% +0.1
World Eaters 347 49.4% 44.2% to 54.7% 46.1% +3.3
Death Guard 317 49.1% 43.6% to 54.5% 47.8% +1.3
Space Wolves 219 48.9% 42.3% to 55.4% 47.0% +1.9
Drukhari 174 48.6% 41.2% to 55.9% 49.1% -0.5
Dark Angels 316 48.4% 43.0% to 53.9% 42.6% +5.8
Necrons 436 46.9% 42.3% to 51.6% 44.5% +2.4
Grey Knights 176 46.9% 39.6% to 54.2% 48.9% -2.0
Imperial Knights 290 46.6% 40.9% to 52.3% 47.4% -0.9
Genestealer Cult 111 45.0% 36.1% to 54.3% 48.5% -3.4
Adeptus Mechanicus 174 44.8% 37.6% to 52.2% 45.4% -0.6
Adepta Sororitas 165 44.5% 37.2% to 52.2% 45.7% -1.1
Emperor's Children 276 44.4% 38.6% to 50.3% 44.7% -0.3
Deathwatch 44 43.2% 29.7% to 57.8% 42.3% +0.9
Chaos Knights 187 43.0% 36.2% to 50.2% 49.1% -6.1

Combinations

7 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common is Legacy of Grace + Stormlance Task Force (147 lists, 7%).

Combination table
Combination Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Legacy of Grace + Stormlance Task Force 147 7% +2.9 ± 2.1 +1.4
Stormlance Task Force + Vengeful Hosts 83 4% +1.3 ± 2.7 +0.5
The Angelic Host + Vengeful Hosts 28 1% -0.8 ± 5.9 -0.1
Assault Brethren + Ironclad Champions + Tacticus Attack Force 26 1% +6.1 ± 5.7 +1.1
Assault Brethren + Encarmine Speartip + Tacticus Attack Force 25 1% +7.5 ± 4.3 +1.7
Bastion Task Force + Legacy of Grace 19 1% +14.8 ± 5.3 +2.8
Legacy of Grace + The Angelic Host 19 1% -5.4 ± 5.5 -1.0

Enhancements

22 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Gift of Foresight (10% of lists).

Enhancement table
Enhancement Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Gift of Foresight 214 10% -1.7 ± 1.6 -1.0
Furious Assault 212 10% +2.9 ± 1.7 +1.7
Rage-fuelled Warrior 197 10% -0.4 ± 1.7 -0.2
Imperium's Sword 156 8% +5.0 ± 1.9 +2.6
Carmine Reliquary 147 7% -2.3 ± 2.1 -1.1
Angel's Fang 107 5% +1.7 ± 2.5 +0.7
Orksbane 101 5% -1.7 ± 2.2 -0.7
Speed of the Primarch 99 5% +5.2 ± 2.5 +2.1

Force Disposition

Force Disposition table
Disposition Share of games Games Win rate Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Take and Hold 51% 3,212 45.6% -0.5 ± 0.9
Purge the Foe 24% 1,486 48.6% +2.5 ± 1.4
Priority Assets 18% 1,112 46.4% +0.4 ± 1.5
Disruption 6% 380 41.1% -4.9 ± 2.4
Reconnaissance 1% 71 38.0% n/a

Each extra 2.3 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 4.4 points lower; the average list has 11.9. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, combination effects, enhancement effects, Force Disposition and terrain layout.

Representative lists

Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties, and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.

Assault Brethren + Ironclad Champions + Tacticus Attack Force2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 70 players · 5 rounds · 23 Oct
Show list
Characters
Company Heroes125Master-crafted Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Combat Knife, Master-crafted Bolt Rifle, Master-crafted Heavy Bolter
Battleline
Intercessor Squad85Bolt Pistol, Bolt Rifle, Grenade Launcher, Knives and Fists, Thunder Hammer
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor70Armoured Hull, Bellicatus Missile Array, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Storm Bolters
Other Units
Sanguinary Guard + Furious Assault300Angelus Boltgun, Encarmine Weapon, Inferno Pistol
Sanguinary Guard + Furious Assault285Angelus Boltgun, Encarmine Weapon, Inferno Pistol
Death Company Dreadnought + Artificer Sarcophagus205Blood Fist Bolt Rifles, Blood Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Death Company Dreadnought + Artificer Sarcophagus205Blood Fist Bolt Rifles, Blood Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Commander Dante140Perdition Pistol, The Axe Mortalis
Sanguinary Guard + Furious Assault135Angelus Boltgun, Encarmine Weapon, Inferno Pistol
Captain With Jump Pack110
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles100
Captain With Jump Pack90
Reiver Squad85Grapnel Launchers, Grav-chutes, Bolt Carbine, Monomolecular Combat Knife, Special-issue Bolt Pistol
Scout Squad65Bolt Pistol, Chainsword, Shotgun, Combat Knife, Missile Launcher, Sniper Rifle
Assault Brethren + Encarmine Speartip + Ironclad Champions1,995 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 50 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Librarian In Phobos Armour75
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor70Armoured Hull, Fragstorm Grenade Launchers, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome
Other Units
Sanguinary Guard + Furious Assault285Angelus Boltgun, Encarmine Weapon, Inferno Pistol
Inceptor Squad260Ceramite Fists, Plasma Exterminators
Death Company Dreadnought + Venerable Champion205Blood Fist Bolt Rifles, Blood Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Death Company Dreadnought + Venerable Champion195Blood Fist Bolt Rifles, Blood Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Brutalis Dreadnought160Bolt Rifles, Brutalis Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Sanguinary Guard + Furious Assault145Angelus Boltgun, Encarmine Weapon, Inferno Pistol
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles100
Captain With Jump Pack90
Death Company Marines90Chainsword, Eviscerator, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Inferno Pistol, Power Fist
Incursor Squad90Bolt Pistol, Occulus Bolt Carbine, Paired Combat Blades
Reiver Squad85Grapnel Launchers, Grav-chutes, Bolt Carbine, Monomolecular Combat Knife, Special-issue Bolt Pistol
Chaplain + Imperium's Sword80Absolvor Bolt Pistol, Crozius Arcanum
Scout Squad65Bolt Pistol, Boltgun, Chainsword, Combat Knife, Heavy Bolter

Team events

46.1%win rate in team events868 games215 lists from 198 players+0.1 points against individual eventsgoing first 5.9 points better

Blood Angels won 46.1% of 868 team event games, against 46.0% of 6,289 in individual events: 0.1 points higher (not clear). It makes up 1.8% of team event games and 3.1% of individual event games.

Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 36% Take and Hold 28% Priority Assets 17% Disruption 16% Reconnaissance 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments share win rate Rage-cursed Onslaught 32% Liberator Assault Group 25% Stormlance Task Force 10% Legacy of Grace 7% Angelic Inheritors 7% The Angelic Host 7% Assault Brethren 6% Encarmine Speartip 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups win rate against Imperial Knights Astra Militarum Necrons Death Guard Leagues of Votann Adeptus Custodes World Eaters Tyranids 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events. Dashed: team events win rate.

Milestones

5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after, with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.

July balance & rules update (22 July)

47.7%win rate, rank 18 of 281,438 games408 lists from 371 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.95x entry sharegoing first 0.2 points better

Blood Angels won 46.3% of 1,358 games in the 28 days before and 47.7% of 1,438 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.0% to 2.8%.

One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Vengeful Hosts (0% to 11%).

One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Vanguard Veteran Squad With Jump Packs (15% to 34%).

Nothing clear turned up in enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 5% 0-20 18% 20-40 36% 40-60 26% 60-80 15% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 56% Purge the Foe 20% Priority Assets 19% Disruption 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Liberator Assault Group 47% Legacy of Grace 16% Rage-cursed Onslaught 16% Stormlance Task Force 15% Vengeful Hosts 11% Angelic Inheritors 6% The Angelic Host 5% Encarmine Speartip 3% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Sanguinary Guard 92% Captain With Jump Pack 75% Death Company Marines With Jump Packs 69% Scout Squad 64% Intercessor Squad 58% Sanguinary Priest 54% Commander Dante 53% Bladeguard Veteran Squad 52% Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 51% Lemartes 51% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Aeldari Astra Militarum Death Guard Chaos Space Marines Chaos Knights Leagues of Votann Thousand Sons Emperor's Children 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Vanguard Veteran Squad With Jump Packs 15% 34% +19 +6.2
Detachment Vengeful Hosts 0% 11% +11 +6.8

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Stormlance Task Force + Vengeful Hosts2,000 pts
Take and Hold
3rd place · record 5-1 · 46 players · 6 rounds · 15 Aug
Show list
Characters
The Sanguinor130Encarmine broadsword
Other Units
Sanguinary Guard260Angelus boltgun, Encarmine spear, Inferno pistol, Sanguinary Banner, Encarmine blade
Inceptor Squad250Close combat weapon, Plasma exterminators
Vindicator185Armoured tracks, Demolisher cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Bladeguard Veteran Squad170Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma pistol, Heavy bolt pistol
Sanguinary Guard145Angelus boltgun, Encarmine spear, Inferno pistol, Sanguinary Banner, Encarmine blade
Commander Dante125Perdition Pistol, The Axe Mortalis
Sanguinary Guard125Angelus boltgun, Encarmine spear, Inferno pistol, Sanguinary Banner, Encarmine blade
Infiltrator Squad110Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Marksman bolt carbine, Helix Gauntlet, Infiltrator Comms Array
Captain With Jump Pack100
Captain With Jump Pack95
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs95
Sanguinary Priest75Absolvor bolt pistol, Astartes chainsword
Chaplain + Feinting Withdrawal70Absolvor bolt pistol, Crozius arcanum
Scout Squad65Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife
The Angelic Host + Vengeful Hosts1,995 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 25 players · 5 rounds · 25 Jul
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Intercessor Squad80Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Other Units
Sanguinary Guard260Angelus boltgun, Encarmine blade, Inferno pistol, Sanguinary Banner, Encarmine spear
Death Company Marines With Jump Packs230
Death Company Marines With Jump Packs135
Sanguinary Guard125Angelus boltgun, Encarmine blade, Inferno pistol, Sanguinary Banner, Encarmine spear
Inceptor Squad125Assault bolters, Close combat weapon, Plasma exterminators
Inceptor Squad125Assault bolters, Close combat weapon, Plasma exterminators
Death Company Marines With Jump Packs120
Lemartes100Absolvor bolt pistol, The Blood Crozius
Captain With Jump Pack100
Captain With Jump Pack95
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs95
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs95
Suppressor Squad85Accelerator autocannon, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon
Chaplain With Jump Pack80
Chaplain With Jump Pack80
Scout Squad65Astartes shotgun, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Boltgun, Missile launcher, Scout sniper rifle

August balance & rules update (26 August)

46.0%win rate, rank 23 of 27558 games150 lists from 147 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.74x entry sharegoing first 3.0 points worse

Blood Angels won 47.2% of 1,429 games in the 28 days before and 43.3% of 1,698 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.9% to 2.9%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 50% Purge the Foe 25% Priority Assets 14% Disruption 11% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Liberator Assault Group 43% Stormlance Task Force 20% Rage-cursed Onslaught 17% Vengeful Hosts 11% Legacy of Grace 9% Angelic Inheritors 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Sanguinary Guard 91% Captain With Jump Pack 73% Scout Squad 73% Death Company Marines With Jump Packs 72% Sanguinary Priest 61% Commander Dante 59% Bladeguard Veteran Squad 56% Intercessor Squad 53% Lemartes 50% Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 45% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Adeptus Custodes Necrons Space Marines 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Liberator Assault Group2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 23 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon95Paired combat blades
Battleline
Intercessor Squad80Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Astartes grenade launcher, Close combat weapon
Other Units
Sanguinary Guard260Angelus boltgun, Encarmine spear, Inferno pistol, Sanguinary Banner
Death Company Marines With Jump Packs230
Death Company Marines With Jump Packs230
Bladeguard Veteran Squad170Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma pistol, Heavy bolt pistol
Commander Dante125Perdition Pistol, The Axe Mortalis
Baal Predator125Armoured tracks, Baal flamestorm cannon, Heavy flamer, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Vanguard Veteran Squad With Jump Packs110
Lemartes100Absolvor bolt pistol, The Blood Crozius
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs95
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs95
Chaplain With Jump Pack80
Sanguinary Priest75Absolvor bolt pistol, Astartes chainsword
Scout Squad65Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife
Scout Squad65Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife
Rage-cursed Onslaught1,990 pts
Purge the Foe
75th place · record 7-2 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
Show list
Other Units
Death Company Marines With Jump Packs230
Death Company Marines With Jump Packs230
Land Raider220Armoured tracks, Godhammer lascannon, Hunter-killer missile, Twin heavy bolter
Bladeguard Veteran Squad170Master-crafted power weapon, Neo-volkite pistol, Heavy bolt pistol
Death Company Marines160Astartes chainsword, Eviscerator, Heavy bolt pistol, Inferno pistol, Power fist
Gladiator Lancer160Armoured hull, Icarus rocket pod, Lancer laser destroyer, Storm bolter
Gladiator Lancer160Armoured hull, Icarus rocket pod, Lancer laser destroyer, Storm bolter
Sanguinary Guard120Angelus boltgun, Encarmine blade, Inferno pistol, Sanguinary Banner
Chaplain With Jump Pack115
Lemartes100Absolvor bolt pistol, The Blood Crozius
Sanguinary Priest75Absolvor bolt pistol, Astartes chainsword
Scout Squad65Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Missile launcher
Scout Squad65Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Missile launcher
Chaplain60Absolvor bolt pistol, Crozius arcanum
Chaplain60Absolvor bolt pistol, Crozius arcanum

Orks codex (5 September)

42.0%win rate, rank 27 of 281,779 games502 lists from 455 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.57x entry sharegoing first 3.8 points better

Blood Angels won 46.3% of 1,693 games in the 28 days before and 42.0% of 1,779 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.1% to 2.7%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 7% 0-20 19% 20-40 45% 40-60 21% 60-80 7% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 54% Purge the Foe 23% Priority Assets 17% Disruption 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Liberator Assault Group 46% Stormlance Task Force 18% Rage-cursed Onslaught 18% Legacy of Grace 12% Vengeful Hosts 9% Angelic Inheritors 5% The Angelic Host 4% Wrath of the Doomed 3% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Sanguinary Guard 90% Death Company Marines With Jump Packs 77% Captain With Jump Pack 72% Scout Squad 68% Lemartes 61% Intercessor Squad 58% Bladeguard Veteran Squad 56% Sanguinary Priest 56% Commander Dante 52% Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 51% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Astra Militarum Adeptus Mechanicus World Eaters Space Wolves Thousand Sons Chaos Knights Orks Tyranids 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Headhunter Task Force + Wrath of the Doomed2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
2nd place · record 5-0 · 72 players · 5 rounds · 26 Sep
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Vindicator + Astartes Tank Ace225Armoured tracks, Demolisher cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Vindicator + Astartes Tank Ace220Armoured tracks, Demolisher cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Other Units
Land Raider Redeemer260Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon
Vindicator + Astartes Tank Ace185Armoured tracks, Demolisher cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Gladiator Lancer160Armoured hull, Icarus rocket pod, Ironhail heavy stubber, Lancer laser destroyer, Storm bolter
Gladiator Valiant150Armoured hull, Icarus rocket pod, Ironhail heavy stubber, Multi-melta, Twin las-talon
Predator Destructor140Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Predator autocannon, Storm bolter
Storm Speeder Hammerstrike140Close combat weapon, Hammerstrike missile launcher, Krakstorm grenade launcher, Melta destroyer
Baal Predator135Armoured tracks, Baal flamestorm cannon, Heavy flamer, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Storm Speeder Thunderstrike135Close combat weapon, Stormfury missiles, Thunderstrike las-talon, Twin Icarus rocket pod
Baal Predator125Armoured tracks, Baal flamestorm cannon, Heavy flamer, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Baal Predator125Armoured tracks, Baal flamestorm cannon, Heavy flamer, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Liberator Assault Group1,995 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 4-1 · 38 players · 5 rounds · 19 Sep
Show list
Battleline
Intercessor Squad150Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Astartes grenade launcher, Close combat weapon
Assault Intercessor Squad80Plasma pistol, Thunder hammer, Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor70Armoured hull, Bellicatus missile array, Fragstorm grenade launcher, Ironhail heavy stubber
Other Units
Death Company Marines With Jump Packs230
Bladeguard Veteran Squad170Heavy bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon
Terminator Assault Squad165Storm Shield, Thunder hammer, Twin lightning claws
Gladiator Lancer160Armoured hull, Fragstorm grenade launcher, Icarus rocket pod, Ironhail heavy stubber, Lancer laser destroyer
Ballistus Dreadnought150Armoured feet, Ballistus lascannon, Ballistus missile launcher, Twin storm bolter
Sanguinary Guard120Angelus boltgun, Encarmine spear, Inferno pistol, Sanguinary Banner
Captain + Rage-fuelled Warrior115Heavy bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon, Relic Shield
Lemartes100Absolvor bolt pistol, The Blood Crozius
Captain With Jump Pack95
Sanguinary Priest75Absolvor bolt pistol, Astartes chainsword
Chaplain In Terminator Armour75
Reiver Squad75Combat knife, Special issue bolt pistol
Scout Squad65Bolt pistol, Boltgun, Close combat weapon
Chaplain60Absolvor bolt pistol, Crozius arcanum
Ancient40Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Close combat weapon

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)

49.5%win rate, rank 13 of 27486 games144 lists from 140 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.18x entry sharegoing first 6.3 points better

Blood Angels won 42.0% of 1,779 games in the 28 days before and 48.2% of 1,276 in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 2.7% to 2.5%. The change of +6.2 points is clear.

12 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Assault Brethren (0% to 49%), Liberator Assault Group (46% to 4%) and Tacticus Attack Force (0% to 27%).

21 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Death Company Marines With Jump Packs (77% to 35%), Intercessor Squad (58% to 24%) and Lemartes (61% to 29%).

7 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Furious Assault (0% to 57%), Imperium's Sword (0% to 42%) and Angelic Executioner (1% to 15%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 0% 0-20 21% 20-40 30% 40-60 30% 60-80 18% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 45% Priority Assets 24% Purge the Foe 21% Disruption 10% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Encarmine Speartip 25% Wrath of the Doomed 14% Liberator Assault Group 11% Angelic Inheritors 10% Assault Brethren, Ironclad Champions and Tacticus Attack Force 8% Stormlance Task Force 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Sanguinary Guard 87% Captain With Jump Pack 71% Scout Squad 59% Death Company Marines With Jump Packs 44% Commander Dante 44% Sanguinary Priest 40% Lemartes 37% Baal Predator 35% Bladeguard Veteran Squad 34% Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 33% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Enhancement Furious Assault 0% 57% +57 +19.3
Detachment Assault Brethren 0% 49% +49 +17.7
Unit Death Company Marines With Jump Packs 77% 35% -42 -12.6
Detachment Liberator Assault Group 46% 4% -42 -13.6
Enhancement Imperium's Sword 0% 42% +42 +15.9
Unit Intercessor Squad 58% 24% -34 -10.0
Unit Lemartes 61% 29% -32 -9.3
Unit Chaplain With Jump Pack 41% 12% -29 -9.5
All 40 shifts: 32 more rows
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Tacticus Attack Force 0% 27% +27 +12.5
Detachment Encarmine Speartip 3% 28% +25 +10.7
Unit Bladeguard Veteran Squad 56% 31% -25 -7.4
Unit Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 0% 24% +24 +11.7
Unit Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 51% 30% -22 -6.4
Unit Company Heroes 2% 22% +20 +9.5
Unit Sanguinary Priest 56% 39% -18 -5.1
Unit Chief Librarian Mephiston 33% 16% -17 -5.7
Detachment Rage-cursed Onslaught 18% 1% -17 -8.0
Unit Redemptor Dreadnought 5% 21% +16 +7.5
Unit Impulsor 10% 26% +16 +6.3
Detachment Ironclad Champions 0% 16% +16 +9.3
Enhancement Angelic Executioner 1% 15% +14 +7.8
Unit Vindicator 15% 1% -13 -6.8
Detachment Ironstorm Spearhead 0% 14% +13 +8.1
Unit Infiltrator Squad 17% 4% -13 -5.8
Detachment Terminator Storm Force 0% 13% +13 +8.2
Enhancement Gift of Foresight 14% 1% -12 -6.5
Detachment Legacy of Grace 12% 0% -12 -6.7
Enhancement Rage-fuelled Warrior 13% 1% -12 -6.4
Detachment Stormlance Task Force 18% 7% -11 -4.7
Unit Brutalis Dreadnought 5% 15% +10 +5.3
Unit Librarian In Phobos Armour 0% 10% +10 +7.1
Unit Inceptor Squad 11% 21% +10 +4.0
Enhancement Artificer Sarcophagus 0% 10% +10 +7.2
Detachment Wrath of the Doomed 3% 13% +10 +5.4
Unit Reiver Squad 6% 16% +10 +4.6
Unit Chaplain On Bike 2% 12% +10 +5.8
Unit Ancient In Terminator Armour 5% 14% +9 +4.5
Detachment Vengeful Hosts 9% 1% -8 -5.5
Unit Librarian 12% 4% -8 -4.3
Enhancement Carmine Reliquary 8% 0% -8 -5.5

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Campeones férreos, Fuerza de ataque Tacticus y Hermandad de asalto1,995 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 22 players · 5 rounds · 3 Oct
Show list
Characters
bibliotecario con armadura phobos75
Dedicated Transports
Rhino70Bólter tormenta, Misil cazador-asesino, Orugas blindadas
Other Units
escuadra de veteranos de ferreaguardia180
dreadnought de la compañía de la muerte165
dreadnought de la compañía de la muerte165
dreadnought brutalis160
dreadnought brutalis160
dreadnought ballistus150
héroes de la compañía125
escuadra de veteranos de vanguardia con propulsores de salto110
capitán90
escuadra de incursores90
escuadra de incursores90
escuadra de intercesores de asalto85
escuadra de batidores80
escuadra de batidores80
sacerdote sanguinario60
capellán60
Assault Brethren, Ironclad Champions and Tacticus Attack Force2,000 pts
Take and Hold
5th place · record 5-1 · 42 players · 6 rounds · 10 Oct
Show list
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor70Armoured Hull, Bellicatus Missile Array, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Storm Bolters
Other Units
Sanguinary Guard + Furious Assault300Angelus Boltgun, Encarmine Weapon, Inferno Pistol
Sanguinary Guard + Furious Assault285Angelus Boltgun, Encarmine Weapon, Inferno Pistol
Sanguinary Guard + Furious Assault275Angelus Boltgun, Encarmine Weapon, Inferno Pistol
Death Company Dreadnought + Venerable Champion195Blood Fist Bolt Rifles, Blood Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Death Company Dreadnought + Venerable Champion165Blood Fist Bolt Rifles, Blood Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Commander Dante140Perdition Pistol, The Axe Mortalis
Company Heroes125Master-crafted Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Combat Knife, Master-crafted Bolt Rifle, Master-crafted Heavy Bolter
Captain With Jump Pack110
Eradicator Squad100
Captain With Jump Pack90
Outrider Squad80Chainsword, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Twin Bolt Rifle
Scout Squad65Bolt Pistol, Boltgun, Combat Knife

Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)

47.5%win rate, rank 18 of 27790 games231 lists from 221 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.00x entry sharegoing first 2.1 points better

Blood Angels won 44.0% of 1,408 games in the 28 days before and 47.5% of 790 in the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 2.4% to 3.0%.

9 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Assault Brethren (2% to 77%), Tacticus Attack Force (1% to 43%) and Liberator Assault Group (32% to 0%).

14 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Death Company Marines With Jump Packs (65% to 29%), Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles (2% to 35%) and Lemartes (52% to 25%).

6 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Furious Assault (17% to 62%), Imperium's Sword (12% to 46%) and Angelic Executioner (6% to 16%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 4% 0-20 17% 20-40 31% 40-60 30% 60-80 18% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 48% Purge the Foe 29% Priority Assets 17% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Assault Brethren 77% Tacticus Attack Force 43% Encarmine Speartip 30% Ironclad Champions 26% Terminator Storm Force 19% Ironstorm Spearhead 18% Wrath of the Doomed 13% Angelic Inheritors 11% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Sanguinary Guard 86% Captain With Jump Pack 69% Scout Squad 58% Commander Dante 42% Baal Predator 41% Sanguinary Priest 38% Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 35% Death Company Marines With Jump Packs 29% Bladeguard Veteran Squad 29% Impulsor 29% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Adeptus Custodes Space Marines World Eaters Necrons Orks 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Assault Brethren 2% 77% +75 +20.0
Enhancement Furious Assault 17% 62% +45 +11.6
Detachment Tacticus Attack Force 1% 43% +42 +13.7
Unit Death Company Marines With Jump Packs 65% 29% -35 -8.6
Enhancement Imperium's Sword 12% 46% +33 +9.4
Unit Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 2% 35% +33 +11.5
Detachment Liberator Assault Group 32% 0% -32 -9.7
Unit Lemartes 52% 25% -27 -6.6
All 29 shifts: 21 more rows
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Intercessor Squad 48% 22% -26 -6.5
Detachment Ironclad Champions 0% 26% +25 +10.4
Unit Company Heroes 6% 28% +22 +7.5
Unit Chaplain With Jump Pack 33% 11% -21 -6.0
Unit Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs 46% 27% -19 -4.8
Detachment Encarmine Speartip 11% 30% +19 +6.0
Detachment Terminator Storm Force 0% 19% +19 +8.7
Unit Bladeguard Veteran Squad 48% 29% -18 -4.5
Unit Chief Librarian Mephiston 30% 13% -17 -4.8
Detachment Ironstorm Spearhead 3% 18% +15 +6.7
Unit Impulsor 14% 29% +15 +4.4
Detachment Rage-cursed Onslaught 13% 0% -13 -5.7
Unit Reiver Squad 8% 19% +12 +4.3
Enhancement Angelic Executioner 6% 16% +10 +4.2
Enhancement Gift of Foresight 10% 0% -10 -5.0
Unit Eradicator Squad 10% 0% -10 -5.0
Unit Vindicator 10% 0% -10 -4.8
Enhancement Artificer Sarcophagus 2% 12% +9 +4.7
Unit Librarian In Phobos Armour 3% 12% +9 +4.5
Enhancement Rage-fuelled Warrior 8% 0% -8 -4.6
Detachment Legacy of Grace 8% 0% -8 -4.5

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Assault Brethren + Ironclad Champions + Tacticus Attack Force2,000 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 70 players · 5 rounds · 23 Oct
Show list
Characters
Company Heroes125Master-crafted Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Combat Knife, Master-crafted Bolt Rifle, Master-crafted Heavy Bolter
Battleline
Intercessor Squad85Bolt Pistol, Bolt Rifle, Grenade Launcher, Knives and Fists, Thunder Hammer
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor70Armoured Hull, Bellicatus Missile Array, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Storm Bolters
Other Units
Sanguinary Guard + Furious Assault300Angelus Boltgun, Encarmine Weapon, Inferno Pistol
Sanguinary Guard + Furious Assault285Angelus Boltgun, Encarmine Weapon, Inferno Pistol
Death Company Dreadnought + Artificer Sarcophagus205Blood Fist Bolt Rifles, Blood Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Death Company Dreadnought + Artificer Sarcophagus205Blood Fist Bolt Rifles, Blood Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Commander Dante140Perdition Pistol, The Axe Mortalis
Sanguinary Guard + Furious Assault135Angelus Boltgun, Encarmine Weapon, Inferno Pistol
Captain With Jump Pack110
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles100
Captain With Jump Pack90
Reiver Squad85Grapnel Launchers, Grav-chutes, Bolt Carbine, Monomolecular Combat Knife, Special-issue Bolt Pistol
Scout Squad65Bolt Pistol, Chainsword, Shotgun, Combat Knife, Missile Launcher, Sniper Rifle
Assault Brethren + Encarmine Speartip + Ironclad Champions1,995 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 5-0 · 50 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Librarian In Phobos Armour75
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor70Armoured Hull, Fragstorm Grenade Launchers, Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Shield Dome
Other Units
Sanguinary Guard + Furious Assault285Angelus Boltgun, Encarmine Weapon, Inferno Pistol
Inceptor Squad260Ceramite Fists, Plasma Exterminators
Death Company Dreadnought + Venerable Champion205Blood Fist Bolt Rifles, Blood Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Death Company Dreadnought + Venerable Champion195Blood Fist Bolt Rifles, Blood Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Brutalis Dreadnought160Bolt Rifles, Brutalis Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Sanguinary Guard + Furious Assault145Angelus Boltgun, Encarmine Weapon, Inferno Pistol
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles100
Captain With Jump Pack90
Death Company Marines90Chainsword, Eviscerator, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Inferno Pistol, Power Fist
Incursor Squad90Bolt Pistol, Occulus Bolt Carbine, Paired Combat Blades
Reiver Squad85Grapnel Launchers, Grav-chutes, Bolt Carbine, Monomolecular Combat Knife, Special-issue Bolt Pistol
Chaplain + Imperium's Sword80Absolvor Bolt Pistol, Crozius Arcanum
Scout Squad65Bolt Pistol, Boltgun, Chainsword, Combat Knife, Heavy Bolter

Aeldari

Whole edition

45.6%win rate, rank 25 of 287,034 games1,994 lists from 1,270 playerstop-10% finishes 0.71x entry sharegoing first 0.9 points better44.0% adjusted for player skill

Aeldari won 45.6% of 7,034 games, 4.4 points below an even win rate (rank 25 of 28). The pairing Armoured Warhost + Corsair Coterie has a win rate 23.3 points below the faction average (15 lists). Warlock Skyrunners went from 53% to 5% of the faction's lists between the first period and the last 28 days. Wraithknight is in 4% of lists, and lists with it have a win rate 10.6 points below comparable lists.

Combinations

18 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common is Armoured Warhost + Serpent's Brood (151 lists, 8%). Best: Armoured Warhost + Guardian Battlehost (14.7 points above the faction average). Weakest: Armoured Warhost + Corsair Coterie (23.3 points below the faction average).

Combination Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Armoured Warhost + Serpent's Brood 151 8% -4.0 ± 2.4 -1.7
Armoured Warhost + Seer Council 145 7% +4.7 ± 2.2 +2.1
Armoured Warhost + Spirit Conclave 122 6% +1.6 ± 2.9 +0.5
Path of the Outcast + Seer Council 122 6% +4.7 ± 2.3 +2.0
Armoured Warhost + Windrider Host 81 4% -1.7 ± 3.3 -0.5
Path of the Outcast + Spirit Conclave 77 4% +2.5 ± 3.7 +0.7
Path of the Outcast + Windrider Host 74 4% -3.2 ± 3.2 -1.0
Corsair Coterie + Path of the Outcast 67 3% -1.6 ± 3.3 -0.5
Armoured Warhost + Guardian Battlehost 62 3% +14.7 ± 3.6 +4.0
Armoured Warhost + Corsair Coterie 15 1% -23.3 ± 3.4 -6.8

Units

A typical list contains 13 distinct units. 3 units appear in at least half of all lists and 41 in at least 10%. The most common is Rangers (62% of lists). 4 datasheets never appeared: Corsair Cloud Dancer Band, Hornet, Karandras, Nightwing. 12 datasheets appeared in under 1% of lists: Bonesinger, Crimson Hunter, Hemlock Wraithfighter, Revenant Titan, The Visarch, Vibro Cannon Platform, Ynnari Archon, Ynnari Incubi, Ynnari Raider, Ynnari Reavers, Ynnari Succubus, Ynnari Wyches.

Of 58 units in 40 or more lists, 5 have a clear effect on results (1 positive, 4 negative). Best: Farseer Skyrunner (3.2 points above comparable lists, 31% of lists). Weakest: Wraithknight (10.6 points below comparable lists, 4% of lists), Solitaire (7.6 points below comparable lists, 9% of lists), Wraithknight with Ghostglaive (6.9 points below comparable lists, 6% of lists) and Death Jester (6.4 points below comparable lists, 9% of lists).

Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -10 -5 0 +5 +10 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Wraithknight Solitaire Farseer Skyrunner Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -5 0 +5 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Seer Council

Most played units

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Rangers 1,235 61.9% -0.0 ± 0.7 -0.0
Avatar of Khaine 1,122 56.3% +1.5 ± 0.8 +2.0
Warp Spiders 1,019 51.1% -0.3 ± 0.8 -0.3
Howling Banshees 944 47.3% -0.4 ± 0.8 -0.5
Eldrad Ulthran 936 46.9% +1.5 ± 0.8 +1.8
Fire Dragons 929 46.6% -0.2 ± 0.8 -0.2
Lhykhis 783 39.3% -0.3 ± 0.9 -0.4
Jain Zar 777 39.0% +1.3 ± 0.9 +1.4
Corsair Voidreavers 774 38.8% +1.3 ± 0.9 +1.5
War Walkers 761 38.2% +0.3 ± 0.9 +0.3
Fuegan 676 33.9% +1.0 ± 0.9 +1.1
Swooping Hawks 660 33.1% -0.6 ± 1.0 -0.6

Other units with a clear effect

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Farseer Skyrunner 628 31.5% +3.2 ± 1.0 +3.2
Death Jester 174 8.7% -6.4 ± 2.0 -3.2
Wraithknight with Ghostglaive 117 5.9% -6.9 ± 2.3 -3.1
Solitaire 189 9.5% -7.6 ± 1.9 -4.0
Wraithknight 81 4.1% -10.6 ± 2.9 -3.7

Detachments

14 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 8 of them account for 80% of picks. The most played is Armoured Warhost (34% of lists), and 64% of lists run more than one detachment. One detachment differs from the faction average. Best: Seer Council (3.9 points above the faction average, 18% of lists).

Detachment Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z P1 P2 P3 P4
Armoured Warhost 687 34% +0.7 ± 1.0 +0.7 29% 40% 34% 34%
Path of the Outcast 435 22% +0.1 ± 1.3 +0.1 28% 22% 23% 14%
Aspect Host 402 20% -0.8 ± 1.3 -0.6 20% 12% 20% 31%
Seer Council 356 18% +3.9 ± 1.2 +3.1 18% 20% 17% 15%
Spirit Conclave 273 14% +0.3 ± 1.7 +0.2 9% 13% 16% 16%
Serpent's Brood 189 9% -2.4 ± 1.9 -1.3 11% 8% 10% 9%
Windrider Host 187 9% -2.7 ± 1.9 -1.4 11% 10% 10% 6%
Eldritch Raiders 151 8% -1.6 ± 2.2 -0.8 5% 9% 8% 8%
Twilight Flickers 116 6% +1.9 ± 2.2 +0.9 3% 7% 5% 8%
Corsair Coterie 110 6% -6.0 ± 2.4 -2.4 8% 7% 3% 4%
Fateful Performance 102 5% -2.3 ± 2.6 -0.9 3% 5% 5% 8%
Warhost 95 5% -3.2 ± 2.4 -1.3 3% 7% 5% 3%
Guardian Battlehost 77 4% +7.7 ± 2.8 +2.7 3% 5% 4% 2%
Devoted of Ynnead 34 2% -5.4 ± 4.0 -1.4 2% 2% 2% 2%

Pick-rate shifts

Type Name First period Prior 28 days Last 28 days Change vs first period (pp) Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Unit Warlock Skyrunners 53% 8% 5% -48 -3
Unit Avatar of Khaine 34% 62% 71% +37 +9
Unit Farseer Skyrunner 7% 44% 39% +32 -5
Unit Warlock 19% 3% 2% -18 -1
Unit Shroud Runners 30% 17% 13% -17 -4
Detachment Path of the Outcast 28% 22% 14% -14 -8
Unit Rangers 67% 62% 53% -14 -10
Unit Autarch 12% 11% 22% +10 +11
Unit Dragon Knights 0% 18% 11% +11 -7
Enhancement Aspect of Murder 1% 2% 8% +7 +7

Matchups

Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Astra Militarum (57.4% over 249 games) and the worst is Thousand Sons (36.6% over 205).

Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Imperial Agents 27 63.0% 44.2% to 78.5% 52.0% +11.0
Astra Militarum 249 57.4% 51.2% to 63.4% 55.2% +2.3 favourable
Imperial Knights 288 53.0% 47.2% to 58.6% 47.0% +5.9
Chaos Knights 184 51.6% 44.5% to 58.7% 48.7% +2.9
Drukhari 167 51.5% 44.0% to 59.0% 48.7% +2.8
Space Marines 560 45.4% 41.4% to 49.6% 46.9% -1.5 unfavourable
Orks 475 44.6% 40.2% to 49.1% 40.4% +4.2 unfavourable
Dark Angels 292 41.6% 36.1% to 47.3% 42.2% -0.6 unfavourable
Necrons 457 41.6% 37.1% to 46.1% 44.1% -2.6 unfavourable
Emperor's Children 296 40.5% 35.1% to 46.2% 44.3% -3.7 unfavourable
Adepta Sororitas 168 39.3% 32.2% to 46.8% 45.3% -6.0 unfavourable
Adeptus Custodes 460 38.5% 34.1% to 43.0% 41.5% -3.0 unfavourable
Thousand Sons 205 36.6% 30.3% to 43.4% 45.2% -8.7 unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 14 more rows
Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Adeptus Mechanicus 186 49.7% 42.6% to 56.8% 45.0% +4.7
Blood Angels 220 49.5% 43.0% to 56.1% 49.6% -0.1
Black Templars 126 49.2% 40.6% to 57.8% 50.3% -1.1
Death Guard 293 48.6% 43.0% to 54.3% 47.4% +1.2
Space Wolves 170 47.9% 40.6% to 55.4% 46.6% +1.4
Chaos Space Marines 320 47.8% 42.4% to 53.3% 48.4% -0.6
Deathwatch 46 46.7% 33.1% to 60.8% 41.9% +4.8
Tyranids 416 46.2% 41.4% to 51.0% 45.7% +0.4
Genestealer Cult 124 46.0% 37.4% to 54.7% 48.1% -2.1
Leagues of Votann 225 45.6% 39.2% to 52.1% 43.8% +1.8
World Eaters 310 45.2% 39.7% to 50.7% 45.7% -0.5
T'au Empire 341 45.0% 39.8% to 50.3% 43.9% +1.2
Chaos Daemons 255 44.5% 38.5% to 50.6% 41.0% +3.6
Grey Knights 174 43.1% 36.0% to 50.5% 48.5% -5.4

Over time

Share of games per week (%) 2.5 2.75 3 3.25 2.7 2.6 Jul Aug Sep Oct Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval 40 50 47.4 44.2 Jul Aug Sep Oct
Period Lists Share of all lists Games Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul 445 2.8% 1,496 43.4%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug 507 2.8% 1,800 45.2%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct 642 2.8% 2,381 46.6%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct 400 2.7% 1,357 46.6%

Around each milestone, 28 days before and after

Milestone Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul) 1,286 / 1,451 43.3% to 44.9% +1.6 +0.8 2.9% to 2.9%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug) 1,363 / 1,705 44.6% to 46.4% +1.8 +1.0 2.8% to 2.9%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep) 1,542 / 1,817 45.5% to 46.9% +1.4 +0.8 2.8% to 2.8%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct) 1,817 / 1,357 46.9% to 46.6% -0.2 -0.1 2.8% to 2.7%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data 1,647 / 714 46.4% to 47.1% +0.7 +0.3 2.8% to 2.7%

Results brackets

173 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 11 won X, 40 won X-1 and 122 won X-2, from 458 entries.

Share of players by share of games won 6% 0-20 19% 20-40 34% 40-60 30% 60-80 12% 80-100 line = all factions Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2 1.6% X 1.9% X-1 2.9% X-2 dashed = share of entries, 2.7%
Bracket tables
Tier Lists Share of tier Share of entries Ratio z
X 11 1.6% 2.7% 0.60x -1.7
X-1 40 1.9% 2.7% 0.70x -2.3
X-2 122 2.9% 2.7% 1.07x +0.8
X to X-2 173 2.4% 2.7% 0.91x -1.2
Share of games won Players Share of players All players
0 to 20% 23 6.0% 4.1%
20 to 40% 71 18.5% 17.2%
40 to 60% 129 33.7% 32.2%
60 to 80% 114 29.8% 30.1%
80 to 100% 46 12.0% 16.4%

Enhancements

24 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Torc of Morai-Heg (8% of lists).

Enhancement table
Enhancement Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Torc of Morai-Heg 153 8% +4.2 ± 1.9 +2.2
Light of Clarity 125 6% +3.0 ± 2.3 +1.3
Weavers' Wail 103 5% -3.4 ± 2.5 -1.3
Lucid Eye 95 5% -1.5 ± 2.6 -0.6
Alacritous Assault 94 5% -2.9 ± 2.8 -1.0
Assassins' Eye 80 4% -5.3 ± 2.6 -2.1
Rune of Mists 74 4% -2.2 ± 3.2 -0.7
Guiding Presence 61 3% -4.4 ± 3.6 -1.2

Force Disposition

Force Disposition table
Disposition Share of games Games Win rate Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Reconnaissance 43% 2,643 45.6% -0.0 ± 1.1
Priority Assets 26% 1,639 47.2% +1.8 ± 1.3
Take and Hold 13% 806 46.2% +0.7 ± 2.0
Disruption 13% 794 44.5% -1.2 ± 1.9
Purge the Foe 5% 319 46.6% +1.1 ± 3.3

Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, milestone moves, enhancement effects, Force Disposition, results brackets, terrain layout and list width.

Representative lists

Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties, and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.

Aspect Host2,000 pts
Priority Assets
4th place · record 5-1 · 116 players · 6 rounds · 12 Sep
Show list
Characters
Avatar of Khaine250The Wailing Doom
Eldrad Ulthran120Mind War, Shuriken pistol, The Staff of Ulthamar and witchblade
Dedicated Transports
Wave Serpent115Shuriken cannon, Twin bright lance, Wraithbone hull
Other Units
Dragon Knights180Drakesteed Fangs and Talons, Laser Lance, Solar Carbine
Howling Banshees165Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Dire Avengers140Aspect Shrine Token, Avenger shuriken catapult, Close combat weapon
Dire Avengers140Aspect Shrine Token, Avenger shuriken catapult, Close combat weapon
Asurmen135Bloody Twins, Sword of Asur
Wraithlord125Bright lance, Flamer, Ghostglaive, Wraithbone fists
Wraithlord125Bright lance, Flamer, Ghostglaive, Wraithbone fists
Wraithlord125Bright lance, Flamer, Ghostglaive, Wraithbone fists
Jain Zar105Blade of Destruction, Silent Death
Dark Reapers95Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Dark Reapers95Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Howling Banshees85Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Aspect Host2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 47 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Avatar of Khaine250The Wailing Doom
Farseer Skyrunner60Eldritch Storm, Shuriken pistol, Singing spear, Twin shuriken catapult
Other Units
Asurmen135Bloody Twins, Sword of Asur
Falcon130Bright lance, Pulse laser, Shuriken cannon, Wraithbone hull
Fire Dragons110Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Exarch’s Dragon fusion gun, Dragon fusion gun
Jain Zar105Blade of Destruction, Silent Death
Shining Spears100Shimmershield, Shuriken cannon, Star lance, Laser lance, Twin shuriken catapult
Shining Spears100Shimmershield, Shuriken cannon, Star lance, Laser lance, Twin shuriken catapult
Dark Reapers95Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Dark Reapers95Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Dark Reapers95Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Swooping Hawks95Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Hawk’s talon, Lasblaster
Swooping Hawks95Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Hawk’s talon, Lasblaster
Howling Banshees85Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Howling Banshees85Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Howling Banshees85Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
War Walkers80Bright lance, Scatter laser, War Walker feet
Dire Avengers70Aspect Shrine Token, Avenger shuriken catapult, Close combat weapon
Autarch70Dragon fusion gun, Star glaive
Rangers60Close combat weapon, Long rifle, Shuriken pistol

Team events

45.6%win rate in team events1,451 games347 lists from 297 players+0.1 points against individual eventsgoing first 0.4 points better

Aeldari won 45.6% of 1,451 team event games, against 45.5% of 5,583 in individual events: 0.1 points higher (not clear). It makes up 3.1% of team event games and 2.8% of individual event games.

Force Disposition share win rate Reconnaissance 51% Disruption 19% Priority Assets 15% Take and Hold 10% Purge the Foe 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments share win rate Armoured Warhost 31% Path of the Outcast 27% Seer Council 19% Spirit Conclave 15% Aspect Host 14% Windrider Host 10% Fateful Performance 8% Serpent's Brood 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups win rate against Adeptus Mechanicus Imperial Knights Astra Militarum Chaos Knights Necrons Thousand Sons Chaos Daemons Dark Angels 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events. Dashed: team events win rate.

Milestones

5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after, with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.

July balance & rules update (22 July)

44.9%win rate, rank 24 of 281,451 games403 lists from 352 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.77x entry sharegoing first 1.0 points better

Aeldari won 43.3% of 1,286 games in the 28 days before and 44.9% of 1,451 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.9% to 2.9%.

3 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Farseer Skyrunner (8% to 33%), Avatar of Khaine (36% to 58%) and Warlock Skyrunners (54% to 38%).

Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 7% 0-20 23% 20-40 37% 40-60 24% 60-80 9% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Reconnaissance 48% Disruption 18% Priority Assets 17% Take and Hold 14% Purge the Foe 3% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Armoured Warhost 39% Path of the Outcast 21% Seer Council 21% Spirit Conclave 14% Aspect Host 13% Eldritch Raiders 9% Windrider Host 9% Corsair Coterie 9% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Rangers 64% Avatar of Khaine 58% Warp Spiders 53% Eldrad Ulthran 47% Fire Dragons 44% Howling Banshees 43% Corsair Voidreavers 43% War Walkers 41% Warlock Conclave 41% Lhykhis 38% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Astra Militarum Chaos Knights World Eaters Imperial Knights Space Marines Blood Angels Thousand Sons Necrons 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Farseer Skyrunner 8% 33% +26 +8.9
Unit Avatar of Khaine 36% 58% +22 +6.3
Unit Warlock Skyrunners 54% 38% -17 -4.7

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Armoured Warhost + Spirit Conclave2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
3rd place · record 5-1 · 73 players · 6 rounds · 25 Jul
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Autarch Wayleaper70Dragon fusion gun, Star glaive
Spiritseer + Rune of Mists65Shuriken pistol, Witch staff
Spiritseer + Rune of Mists55Shuriken pistol, Witch staff
Other Units
Fire Prism150Prism cannon, Shuriken cannon, Wraithbone hull
Fire Prism150Prism cannon, Shuriken cannon, Wraithbone hull
Wraithguard145Close combat weapon, D-scythe
Wraithguard145Close combat weapon, D-scythe
Wraithblades140Forceshield, Ghostaxe
Wraithblades140Forceshield, Ghostaxe
Wraithlord125Bright lance, Flamer, Ghostglaive, Wraithbone fists
Wraithlord125Bright lance, Flamer, Ghostglaive, Wraithbone fists
Wraithlord125Bright lance, Flamer, Ghostglaive, Wraithbone fists
Shroud Runners90Close combat weapon, Long rifle, Scatter laser, Shuriken pistol
War Walkers85Shuriken cannon, War Walker feet
Rangers60Close combat weapon, Long rifle, Shuriken pistol
Warlock Conclave55Destructor, Shuriken pistol, Singing Spear
Warlock Conclave55Destructor, Shuriken pistol, Singing Spear
Warlock Conclave55Destructor, Shuriken pistol, Singing Spear
Warlock Skyrunners55Destructor, Shuriken pistol, Singing Spear, Twin shuriken catapult
Warlock Skyrunners55Destructor, Shuriken pistol, Singing Spear, Twin shuriken catapult
Warlock Skyrunners55Destructor, Shuriken pistol, Singing Spear, Twin shuriken catapult
Path of the Outcast + Seer Council2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 42 players · 5 rounds · 15 Aug
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Storm Guardians110Close combat weapon, Flamer, Fusion gun, Power sword, Shuriken pistol, Serpent shield
Other Units
Fire Dragons240Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Firepike, Dragon fusion gun
Dark Reapers210Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Lhykhis135Brood Twain, Spider’s Fangs, Weaverender
Eldrad Ulthran130Mind War, Shuriken pistol, The Staff of Ulthamar and witchblade
Fuegan130Fire Axe, Searsong
Warlock Conclave120Destructor, Shuriken pistol, Singing Spear
Jain Zar105Blade of Destruction, Silent Death
Warp Spiders105Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Powerblade array, Death spinner, Death weavers, Spinneret rifle
Warp Spiders105Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Powerblade array, Death spinner, Death weavers, Spinneret rifle
Maugan Ra100Maugetar
Howling Banshees85Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Striking Scorpions75Aspect Shrine Token, Biting blade, Shuriken pistol, Scorpion chainsword
Warlock + Torc of Morai-Heg65Destructor, Shuriken pistol, Singing Spear
Rangers60Close combat weapon, Long rifle, Shuriken pistol
Rangers60Close combat weapon, Long rifle, Shuriken pistol
Warlock Skyrunners55Destructor, Shuriken pistol, Singing Spear, Twin shuriken catapult
Warlock Skyrunners55Destructor, Shuriken pistol, Singing Spear, Twin shuriken catapult
Warlock Skyrunners55Destructor, Shuriken pistol, Singing Spear, Twin shuriken catapult

August balance & rules update (26 August)

45.6%win rate, rank 24 of 27564 games148 lists from 146 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.32x entry sharegoing first 1.2 points better

Aeldari won 44.6% of 1,363 games in the 28 days before and 46.4% of 1,705 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.8% to 2.9%.

3 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Warlock Skyrunners (34% to 12%), Warlock (24% to 5%) and Dragon Knights (9% to 19%).

Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Force Disposition share win rate Reconnaissance 50% Priority Assets 29% Take and Hold 11% Disruption 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Armoured Warhost 34% Path of the Outcast 24% Seer Council 20% Aspect Host 16% Spirit Conclave 15% Serpent's Brood 11% Windrider Host 11% Warhost 9% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Rangers 67% Avatar of Khaine 60% Warp Spiders 56% War Walkers 47% Eldrad Ulthran 46% Howling Banshees 43% Lhykhis 43% Fire Dragons 42% Corsair Voidreavers 41% Farseer Skyrunner 40% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Space Marines Orks Adeptus Custodes 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Warlock Skyrunners 34% 12% -22 -7.8
Unit Warlock 24% 5% -19 -7.9
Unit Dragon Knights 9% 19% +10 +4.1

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Aspect Host2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 3-0 · 28 players · 3 rounds · 30 Aug
Show list
Characters
Avatar of Khaine250The Wailing Doom
Battleline
Corsair Voidreavers65Close combat weapon, Mistshield, Neuro disruptor, Power sword, Shredder, Shuriken pistol, Shuriken rifle
Dedicated Transports
Wave Serpent115Shuriken cannon, Twin bright lance, Wraithbone hull
Other Units
Fire Dragons240Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Firepike, Dragon fusion gun
Fuegan130Fire Axe, Searsong
Jain Zar105Blade of Destruction, Silent Death
Warp Spiders105Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Death weavers, Spinneret rifle, Death spinner
Dark Reapers95Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Dark Reapers95Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Swooping Hawks95Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Exarch’s lasblaster, Lasblaster
Howling Banshees85Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Howling Banshees85Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Howling Banshees85Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Windriders80Close combat weapon, Shuriken cannon
Windriders80Close combat weapon, Shuriken cannon
Windriders80Close combat weapon, Shuriken cannon
Autarch75Dragon fusion gun, Star glaive
Autarch75Dragon fusion gun, Star glaive
Rangers60Close combat weapon, Long rifle, Shuriken pistol
Path of the Outcast + Spirit Conclave1,985 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 2-1 · 19 players · 3 rounds · 31 Aug
Show list
Characters
Avatar of Khaine250The Wailing Doom
Spiritseer + Rune of Mists65Shuriken pistol, Witch staff
Spiritseer + Rune of Mists55Shuriken pistol, Witch staff
Spiritseer + Rune of Mists55Shuriken pistol, Witch staff
Other Units
Wraithknight385Scattershield, Starcannon, Suncannon, Titanic feet
Wraithguard145Close combat weapon, D-scythe
Wraithguard145Close combat weapon, D-scythe
Wraithguard145Close combat weapon, D-scythe
Wraithblades140Forceshield, Ghostaxe, Ghostswords
Wraithblades140Forceshield, Ghostaxe, Ghostswords
Wraithlord125Bright lance, Ghostglaive, Shuriken catapult, Wraithbone fists
Wraithlord125Bright lance, Ghostglaive, Shuriken catapult, Wraithbone fists
Shroud Runners90Close combat weapon, Long rifle, Scatter laser, Shuriken pistol
Rangers60Close combat weapon, Long rifle, Shuriken pistol
Rangers60Close combat weapon, Long rifle, Shuriken pistol

Orks codex (5 September)

46.9%win rate, rank 20 of 281,817 games494 lists from 439 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.87x entry sharegoing first 3.5 points better

Aeldari won 45.5% of 1,542 games in the 28 days before and 46.9% of 1,817 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 2.8% to 2.8%.

2 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Warlock Skyrunners (26% to 9%) and Warlock (19% to 3%).

Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 5% 0-20 16% 20-40 40% 40-60 24% 60-80 15% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Reconnaissance 37% Priority Assets 35% Take and Hold 14% Disruption 8% Purge the Foe 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Armoured Warhost 34% Path of the Outcast 22% Aspect Host 21% Seer Council 17% Spirit Conclave 16% Windrider Host 10% Serpent's Brood 9% Eldritch Raiders 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Rangers 62% Avatar of Khaine 62% Warp Spiders 51% Eldrad Ulthran 50% Howling Banshees 47% Fire Dragons 46% Farseer Skyrunner 44% Lhykhis 41% Jain Zar 39% Corsair Voidreavers 37% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Imperial Knights Blood Angels Drukhari Astra Militarum Adepta Sororitas World Eaters Emperor's Children Adeptus Custodes 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Warlock Skyrunners 26% 9% -18 -7.2
Unit Warlock 19% 3% -16 -8.1

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Aspect Host2,000 pts
Priority Assets
4th place · record 5-1 · 116 players · 6 rounds · 12 Sep
Show list
Characters
Avatar of Khaine250The Wailing Doom
Eldrad Ulthran120Mind War, Shuriken pistol, The Staff of Ulthamar and witchblade
Dedicated Transports
Wave Serpent115Shuriken cannon, Twin bright lance, Wraithbone hull
Other Units
Dragon Knights180Drakesteed Fangs and Talons, Laser Lance, Solar Carbine
Howling Banshees165Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Dire Avengers140Aspect Shrine Token, Avenger shuriken catapult, Close combat weapon
Dire Avengers140Aspect Shrine Token, Avenger shuriken catapult, Close combat weapon
Asurmen135Bloody Twins, Sword of Asur
Wraithlord125Bright lance, Flamer, Ghostglaive, Wraithbone fists
Wraithlord125Bright lance, Flamer, Ghostglaive, Wraithbone fists
Wraithlord125Bright lance, Flamer, Ghostglaive, Wraithbone fists
Jain Zar105Blade of Destruction, Silent Death
Dark Reapers95Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Dark Reapers95Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Howling Banshees85Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Armoured Warhost + Eldritch Raiders2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
3rd place · record 5-1 · 85 players · 6 rounds · 18 Sep
Show list
Characters
Avatar of Khaine250The Wailing Doom
Kharseth85Dread of the Deep Void, Waystave
Dedicated Transports
Wave Serpent115Shuriken cannon, Twin bright lance, Wraithbone hull
Other Units
Corsair Voidscarred + Alacritous Assault160Close combat weapon, Mistshield, Power sword, Shuriken pistol, Blaster, Faolchú, Fusion pistol, Paired Hekatarii blades ...
Lhykhis135Brood Twain, Spider’s Fangs, Weaverender
Fuegan130Fire Axe, Searsong
Falcon130Bright lance, Pulse laser, Shuriken cannon, Wraithbone hull
Fire Dragons120Close combat weapon, Dragon axe, Dragon fusion pistol, Dragon fusion gun
Fire Dragons120Close combat weapon, Dragon axe, Dragon fusion pistol, Dragon fusion gun
Warp Spiders105Close combat weapon, Powerblade array, Death spinner, Death weavers, Spinneret rifle
Warp Spiders105Close combat weapon, Powerblade array, Death spinner, Death weavers, Spinneret rifle
Prince Yriel95Eye of Wrath, Shuriken pistol, Spear of Twilight
War Walkers80Bright lance, Scatter laser, War Walker feet
War Walkers80Bright lance, Scatter laser, War Walker feet
Autarch75Dragon fusion gun, Star glaive
Striking Scorpions75Scorpion chainsword, Scorpion’s claw, Shuriken pistol
Corsair Voidscarred + Alacritous Assault70Close combat weapon, Mistshield, Power sword, Shuriken pistol, Blaster, Faolchú, Fusion pistol, Paired Hekatarii blades ...
Dire Avengers70Avenger shuriken catapult, Close combat weapon

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)

46.1%win rate, rank 22 of 27643 games181 lists from 175 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.87x entry sharegoing first 3.0 points better

Aeldari won 46.9% of 1,817 games in the 28 days before and 46.6% of 1,357 in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 2.8% to 2.7%.

One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Autarch (11% to 23%).

Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 9% 0-20 21% 20-40 24% 40-60 32% 60-80 15% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Reconnaissance 35% Priority Assets 31% Take and Hold 17% Disruption 8% Purge the Foe 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Armoured Warhost 32% Aspect Host 30% Spirit Conclave 18% Path of the Outcast 15% Seer Council 13% Serpent's Brood 10% Fateful Performance 8% Twilight Flickers 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Avatar of Khaine 70% Howling Banshees 55% Fire Dragons 54% Rangers 52% Warp Spiders 47% Jain Zar 43% Eldrad Ulthran 41% Farseer Skyrunner 40% Fuegan 38% Lhykhis 35% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Space Marines Necrons World Eaters Orks 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Autarch 11% 23% +12 +4.9

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Aspect Host2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
4th place · record 4-1 · 97 players · 5 rounds · 16 Oct
Show list
Battleline
Corsair Voidreavers65Close combat weapon, Mistshield, Neuro disruptor, Power sword, Blaster, Shuriken pistol
Corsair Voidreavers65Close combat weapon, Mistshield, Neuro disruptor, Power sword, Blaster, Shuriken pistol
Dedicated Transports
Wave Serpent115Shuriken cannon, Twin bright lance, Wraithbone hull
Other Units
Swooping Hawks190Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Hawk’s talon, Lasblaster
Asurmen135Bloody Twins, Sword of Asur
Lhykhis135Brood Twain, Spider’s Fangs, Weaverender
Fuegan130Fire Axe, Searsong
Fire Dragons110Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Firepike, Dragon fusion gun
Jain Zar105Blade of Destruction, Silent Death
Warp Spiders105Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Powerblade array, Death spinner
Shining Spears100Shimmershield, Shuriken cannon, Star lance, Laser lance, Twin shuriken catapult
Shining Spears100Shimmershield, Shuriken cannon, Star lance, Laser lance, Twin shuriken catapult
Prince Yriel95Eye of Wrath, Shuriken pistol, Spear of Twilight
Swooping Hawks95Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Hawk’s talon, Lasblaster
Howling Banshees85Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Howling Banshees85Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Howling Banshees85Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Dire Avengers70Aspect Shrine Token, Avenger shuriken catapult, Close combat weapon
Dire Avengers70Aspect Shrine Token, Avenger shuriken catapult, Close combat weapon
Rangers60Close combat weapon, Long rifle, Shuriken pistol
Aspect Host2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
2nd place · record 4-1 · 21 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
Show list
Characters
Avatar of Khaine250The Wailing Doom
Battleline
Storm Guardians100Close combat weapon, Flamer, Fusion gun, Power sword, Shuriken pistol, Serpent shield
Corsair Voidreavers65Close combat weapon, Mistshield, Neuro disruptor, Power sword, Blaster, Shuriken pistol
Other Units
Swooping Hawks190Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Hawk’s talon, Lasblaster
Swooping Hawks190Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Hawk’s talon, Lasblaster
Lhykhis135Brood Twain, Spider’s Fangs, Weaverender
Baharroth125Fury of the Tempest, Shining Blade
Warp Spiders105Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Powerblade array, Death spinner, Death weavers, Spinneret rifle
Jain Zar105Blade of Destruction, Silent Death
Warp Spiders105Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Powerblade array, Death spinner, Death weavers, Spinneret rifle
Shining Spears100Shimmershield, Shuriken cannon, Star lance, Laser lance, Twin shuriken catapult
Shining Spears100Shimmershield, Shuriken cannon, Star lance, Laser lance, Twin shuriken catapult
Dark Reapers95Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Dark Reapers95Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Howling Banshees85Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
War Walkers80Bright lance, Scatter laser, War Walker feet
Striking Scorpions75Aspect Shrine Token, Biting blade, Shuriken pistol, Scorpion chainsword

Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)

47.1%win rate, rank 19 of 27714 games219 lists from 212 playersX to X-2 finishes 1.14x entry sharegoing first 4.5 points worse

Aeldari won 46.4% of 1,647 games in the 28 days before and 47.1% of 714 in the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 2.8% to 2.7%.

One unit shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Autarch (12% to 27%).

Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 6% 0-20 17% 20-40 23% 40-60 40% 60-80 15% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 39% Reconnaissance 36% Take and Hold 13% Disruption 7% Purge the Foe 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Armoured Warhost 35% Aspect Host 32% Seer Council 16% Spirit Conclave 14% Path of the Outcast 12% Serpent's Brood 8% Twilight Flickers 8% Eldritch Raiders 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Avatar of Khaine 73% Howling Banshees 58% Fire Dragons 58% Jain Zar 52% Rangers 52% Warp Spiders 46% Eldrad Ulthran 45% Fuegan 45% Corsair Voidreavers 41% War Walkers 39% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Tyranids Space Marines Necrons Death Guard Adeptus Custodes Orks World Eaters 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Autarch 12% 27% +15 +5.0

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Aspect Host2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 5-0 · 47 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Avatar of Khaine250The Wailing Doom
Farseer Skyrunner60Eldritch Storm, Shuriken pistol, Singing spear, Twin shuriken catapult
Other Units
Asurmen135Bloody Twins, Sword of Asur
Falcon130Bright lance, Pulse laser, Shuriken cannon, Wraithbone hull
Fire Dragons110Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Exarch’s Dragon fusion gun, Dragon fusion gun
Jain Zar105Blade of Destruction, Silent Death
Shining Spears100Shimmershield, Shuriken cannon, Star lance, Laser lance, Twin shuriken catapult
Shining Spears100Shimmershield, Shuriken cannon, Star lance, Laser lance, Twin shuriken catapult
Dark Reapers95Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Dark Reapers95Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Dark Reapers95Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Missile launcher, Reaper launcher
Swooping Hawks95Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Hawk’s talon, Lasblaster
Swooping Hawks95Aspect Shrine Token, Close combat weapon, Hawk’s talon, Lasblaster
Howling Banshees85Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Howling Banshees85Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
Howling Banshees85Aspect Shrine Token, Executioner, Shuriken pistol, Banshee blade
War Walkers80Bright lance, Scatter laser, War Walker feet
Dire Avengers70Aspect Shrine Token, Avenger shuriken catapult, Close combat weapon
Autarch70Dragon fusion gun, Star glaive
Rangers60Close combat weapon, Long rifle, Shuriken pistol
Fateful Performance + Seer Council1,985 pts
Disruption
4th place · record 4-1 · 26 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
Show list
Battleline
11× Storm Guardians100Storm Guardian: 6 with Close Combat Weapon, Shuriken Pistol, Storm Guardian with Flamer: 2 with Close Combat Weapon ...
Dedicated Transports
Starweaver70
Other Units
10× Fire Dragons240Fire Dragon Exarch: Close combat weapon, Firepike, Fire Dragon: 9 with Close combat weapon, Dragon Fusion Gun
10× Howling Banshees165Howling Banshee Exarch: Executioner, Shuriken Pistol, Howling Banshee: 9 with Banshee Blade, Shuriken Pistol
Fuegan130
Eldrad Ulthran120
4× Warlock Conclave110
Jain Zar105
Solitaire105
Troupe Master + A Foot in the Future90
5× Troupe85Lead Player: Power sword, Fusion Pistol, Player with Harlequin's Special Weapon: Harlequin's Special Weapon ...
5× Troupe85Lead Player: Power sword, Fusion Pistol, Player with Harlequin's Special Weapon: Harlequin's Special Weapon ...
Farseer Skyrunner + Torc of Morai-Heg80
3× Windriders80
3× Windriders80
5× Corsair Skyreavers75with Corsair Blade, Shuriken Pistol, with Close combat weapon, Corsair blaster, with Close combat weapon, Fusion gun ...
5× Corsair Skyreavers75with Corsair Blade, Shuriken Pistol, with Close combat weapon, Corsair blaster, with Close combat weapon, Fusion gun ...
Shadowseer + Mistweave70
Farseer60
Farseer Skyrunner + Torc of Morai-Heg60

Black Templars

Whole edition

45.3%win rate, rank 26 of 283,737 games1,103 lists from 732 playerstop-10% finishes 0.90x entry sharegoing first 4.6 points better44.1% adjusted for player skill

Redemptor Dreadnought is in 11% of lists, and lists with it have a win rate 7.0 points below comparable lists. Black Templars won 45.3% of 3,737 games, 4.7 points below an even win rate (rank 26 of 28). Assault Brethren went from 0% to 40% of the faction's lists between the first period and the last 28 days. The pairing Godhammer Assault Force + Marshal's Household has a win rate 14.4 points below the faction average (20 lists).

Units

A typical list contains 12 distinct units. 10 units appear in at least half of all lists and 29 in at least 10%. The most common is Emperor’s Champion (70% of lists). One datasheet never appeared: Falchion.

Of 55 units in 40 or more lists, 2 have a clear effect on results (1 positive, 1 negative). Best: Assault Intercessor Squad (3.8 points above comparable lists, 54% of lists). Weakest: Redemptor Dreadnought (7.0 points below comparable lists, 11% of lists).

Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -10 -5 0 +5 +10 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Redemptor Dreadnought Assault Intercessor Squa Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -10 -5 0 +5 +10 1% 3% 10% 30% 100%

Most played units

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Emperor’s Champion 770 69.8% +2.2 ± 0.9 +2.4
Sword Brethren Squad 739 67.0% -0.1 ± 0.9 -0.1
Crusader Squad 689 62.5% +0.8 ± 0.9 +0.8
Repulsor Executioner 682 61.8% +0.3 ± 1.0 +0.3
Scout Squad 666 60.4% +1.9 ± 1.0 +2.0
High Marshal Helbrecht 649 58.8% +1.0 ± 1.0 +1.0
Castellan 644 58.4% +1.0 ± 1.0 +1.0
Marshal 621 56.3% +0.5 ± 1.0 +0.5
Assault Intercessor Squad 595 53.9% +3.8 ± 1.1 +3.6
Intercessor Squad 568 51.5% +1.3 ± 1.1 +1.2
Chaplain Grimaldus 423 38.3% +3.1 ± 1.2 +2.6
Bladeguard Veteran Squad 396 35.9% +2.9 ± 1.2 +2.5

Other units with a clear effect

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Redemptor Dreadnought 123 11.2% -7.0 ± 2.3 -3.0

Combinations

11 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common is Vindication Task Force + Wrathful Procession (54 lists, 5%). Weakest: Godhammer Assault Force + Marshal's Household (14.4 points below the faction average).

Combination Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Vindication Task Force + Wrathful Procession 54 5% +4.5 ± 3.6 +1.3
Companions of Vehemence + Wrathful Procession 47 4% -0.1 ± 4.6 -0.0
Companions of Vehemence + Marshal's Household 47 4% -6.4 ± 3.7 -1.7
Marshal's Household + Stormlance Task Force 38 3% -3.4 ± 3.8 -0.9
Godhammer Assault Force + The Living Miracle 29 3% +0.1 ± 4.8 +0.0
Stormlance Task Force + The Living Miracle 21 2% -2.1 ± 4.9 -0.4
Companions of Vehemence + The Living Miracle 21 2% -10.3 ± 6.1 -1.7
Ironstorm Spearhead + Marshal's Household 21 2% -5.0 ± 5.7 -0.9
Godhammer Assault Force + Marshal's Household 20 2% -14.4 ± 4.8 -3.0

Pick-rate shifts

Type Name First period Prior 28 days Last 28 days Change vs first period (pp) Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Enhancement Furious Assault 0% 0% 47% +47 +47
Detachment Assault Brethren 0% 0% 40% +40 +40
Unit Marshal 69% 67% 30% -39 -36
Enhancement Imperium's Sword 0% 0% 35% +35 +35
Unit Intercessor Squad 57% 61% 32% -24 -29
Unit Bladeguard Veteran Squad 29% 29% 56% +27 +27
Unit High Marshal Helbrecht 51% 54% 78% +27 +24
Unit Chaplain Grimaldus 27% 37% 53% +26 +15
Detachment The Living Miracle 26% 10% 1% -25 -9
Unit Assault Intercessor Squad 61% 64% 40% -21 -24
Detachment Bastion Task Force 18% 26% 2% -16 -24
Enhancement Guiding Omens 25% 9% 1% -24 -9

Matchups

Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is World Eaters (47.9% over 168 games) and the worst is Imperial Knights (38.2% over 152).

Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Imperial Agents 22 59.1% 38.7% to 76.7% 51.6% +7.5
Astra Militarum 125 54.8% 46.1% to 63.3% 54.8% -0.0
Adeptus Mechanicus 88 53.4% 43.1% to 63.5% 44.7% +8.7
Chaos Knights 93 52.7% 42.6% to 62.5% 48.4% +4.3
Space Wolves 96 51.6% 41.7% to 61.3% 46.2% +5.3
Adeptus Custodes 217 42.6% 36.2% to 49.3% 41.2% +1.5 unfavourable
Chaos Daemons 148 42.6% 34.9% to 50.6% 40.6% +1.9
Chaos Space Marines 184 41.8% 35.0% to 49.1% 48.1% -6.2 unfavourable
Space Marines 317 41.3% 36.0% to 46.8% 46.6% -5.3 unfavourable
Emperor's Children 154 38.3% 31.0% to 46.2% 43.9% -5.6 unfavourable
Imperial Knights 152 38.2% 30.8% to 46.1% 46.7% -8.5 unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 16 more rows
Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Aeldari 126 50.8% 42.2% to 59.4% 49.7% +1.1
Grey Knights 103 50.5% 41.0% to 59.9% 48.2% +2.3
Blood Angels 126 48.8% 40.2% to 57.4% 49.3% -0.5
Genestealer Cult 50 48.0% 34.8% to 61.5% 47.7% +0.3
World Eaters 168 47.9% 40.5% to 55.4% 45.4% +2.6
Orks 251 46.4% 40.3% to 52.6% 40.1% +6.3
Dark Angels 143 46.2% 38.2% to 54.3% 41.9% +4.2
Adepta Sororitas 87 46.0% 35.9% to 56.4% 45.0% +1.0
Thousand Sons 116 45.7% 36.9% to 54.7% 44.9% +0.8
Tyranids 221 45.5% 39.0% to 52.1% 45.4% +0.1
Death Guard 145 44.1% 36.3% to 52.3% 47.1% -2.9
Necrons 229 44.1% 37.8% to 50.6% 43.8% +0.3
Drukhari 67 44.0% 32.8% to 55.9% 48.3% -4.3
Deathwatch 32 43.8% 28.2% to 60.7% 41.6% +2.2
T'au Empire 174 43.7% 36.5% to 51.1% 43.5% +0.1
Leagues of Votann 103 43.2% 34.1% to 52.8% 43.5% -0.3

Over time

Share of games per week (%) 1.25 1.5 1.75 1.9 1.8 Jul Aug Sep Oct Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval 40 60 44.8 57.6 Jul Aug Sep Oct
Period Lists Share of all lists Games Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul 241 1.5% 819 47.3%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug 265 1.4% 906 44.0%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct 335 1.5% 1,150 45.2%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct 262 1.7% 862 45.1%

Around each milestone, 28 days before and after

Milestone Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul) 673 / 683 45.2% to 44.0% -1.2 -0.4 1.5% to 1.3%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug) 735 / 836 45.1% to 46.1% +1.0 +0.4 1.5% to 1.4%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep) 838 / 877 45.0% to 44.5% -0.5 -0.2 1.5% to 1.3%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct) 877 / 862 44.5% to 45.1% +0.5 +0.2 1.3% to 1.7%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data 807 / 530 43.8% to 45.7% +1.9 +0.7 1.4% to 2.0%

Results brackets

91 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 9 won X, 21 won X-1 and 61 won X-2, from 264 entries.

Share of players by share of games won 5% 0-20 24% 20-40 33% 40-60 27% 60-80 11% 80-100 line = all factions Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2 1.3% X 1.0% X-1 1.4% X-2 dashed = share of entries, 1.5%
Bracket tables
Tier Lists Share of tier Share of entries Ratio z
X 9 1.3% 1.5% 0.86x -0.5
X-1 21 1.0% 1.5% 0.64x -2.1
X-2 61 1.4% 1.5% 0.93x -0.6
X to X-2 91 1.3% 1.5% 0.83x -1.7
Share of games won Players Share of players All players
0 to 20% 12 5.2% 4.1%
20 to 40% 56 24.3% 17.2%
40 to 60% 76 33.0% 32.2%
60 to 80% 61 26.5% 30.1%
80 to 100% 25 10.9% 16.4%

Detachments

19 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 10 of them account for 80% of picks. The most played is Marshal's Household (20% of lists), and 49% of lists run more than one detachment.

Detachment Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z P1 P2 P3 P4
Marshal's Household 217 20% -3.8 ± 1.6 -2.3 15% 21% 19% 24%
Bastion Task Force 184 17% +1.2 ± 1.8 +0.7 18% 21% 24% 1%
Wrathful Procession 147 13% +3.1 ± 2.2 +1.4 17% 18% 16% 2%
The Living Miracle 132 12% -3.2 ± 2.3 -1.4 26% 12% 11% 1%
Companions of Vehemence 130 12% -2.4 ± 2.3 -1.1 13% 18% 13% 2%
Assault Brethren 112 10% +3.7 ± 2.4 +1.5 0% 0% 0% 43%
Ironstorm Spearhead 104 9% +4.0 ± 2.5 +1.6 10% 3% 4% 23%
Stormlance Task Force 99 9% +2.0 ± 2.5 +0.8 10% 10% 11% 4%
Vindication Task Force 97 9% +2.8 ± 2.3 +1.2 10% 11% 12% 2%
Godhammer Assault Force 75 7% -2.2 ± 2.8 -0.8 10% 11% 7% 0%
Gladius Task Force 69 6% +5.7 ± 3.3 +1.8 8% 6% 10% 1%
Ceramite Sentinels 55 5% +6.5 ± 3.4 +1.9 5% 6% 7% 0%
Tacticus Attack Force 47 4% +6.4 ± 3.7 +1.8 0% 0% 0% 18%
Armoured Speartip 36 3% +4.0 ± 4.7 +0.9 3% 5% 4% 0%

Enhancements

24 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Furious Assault (12% of lists).

Enhancement table
Enhancement Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Furious Assault 128 12% +1.7 ± 2.2 +0.8
Blades of Valour 125 11% +1.8 ± 2.2 +0.8
Guiding Omens 124 11% -0.0 ± 2.3 -0.0
Hero of the Chapter 99 9% -0.9 ± 2.2 -0.4
Imperium's Sword 96 9% +1.5 ± 2.6 +0.6
Consecrating Aura 94 9% +1.1 ± 2.5 +0.4
Fervent Exemplars 88 8% +0.8 ± 2.2 +0.4
Incendiary Animus 80 7% -2.0 ± 2.7 -0.7

Force Disposition

Force Disposition table
Disposition Share of games Games Win rate Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Take and Hold 50% 1,652 47.4% +2.1 ± 1.2
Purge the Foe 25% 837 40.8% -4.6 ± 1.8
Priority Assets 20% 653 44.6% -0.9 ± 1.9
Disruption 4% 121 38.4% n/a
Reconnaissance 1% 35 41.4% n/a

Each extra 2.6 distinct units in a list goes with a win rate 3.2 points lower; the average list has 12.2. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, milestone moves, detachment effects, enhancement effects, Force Disposition, results brackets and terrain layout.

Representative lists

Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties, and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.

Vindication Task Force + Wrathful Procession2,000 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 6-2 · 198 players · 8 rounds · 28 Aug
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon95Paired combat blades
Battleline
Crusader Squad290Master-crafted power weapon, Pyre pistol, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolt pistol, Power fist
Crusader Squad290Master-crafted power weapon, Pyre pistol, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolt pistol, Power fist
Crusader Squad290Master-crafted power weapon, Pyre pistol, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolt pistol, Power fist
Assault Intercessor Squad150Plasma pistol, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol
Intercessor Squad80Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Other Units
Land Raider Redeemer260Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon
High Marshal Helbrecht110Ferocity, Sword of the High Marshals
Chaplain Grimaldus100Artificer crozius, Plasma pistol, Close combat weapon
Emperor’s Champion90Black Sword, Bolt Pistol
Scout Squad65Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Astartes shotgun, Missile launcher, Scout sniper rifle
Execrator50Absolvor bolt pistol, Crozius arcanum, Master-crafted power weapon
Crusade Ancient + Orb of the Emperor's Aegis50Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon
Crusade Ancient + Orb of the Emperor's Aegis40Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon
Crusade Ancient + Orb of the Emperor's Aegis40Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon
Bastion Task Force2,000 pts
Won the event · record 5-0 · 66 players · 5 rounds · 20 Jun
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
High Marshal Helbrecht120Ferocity, Sword of the High Marshals
Chaplain Grimaldus110Artificer crozius, Plasma pistol, Close combat weapon
Emperor’s Champion100Black Sword, Bolt Pistol
Captain + Bombast Omnivox95Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted bolter, Power fist
Marshal + Blades of Valour95Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma pistol
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon85Paired combat blades
Battleline
Assault Intercessor Squad150Hand flamer, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol
Crusader Squad150Master-crafted power weapon, Pyre pistol, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolt pistol, Power fist
Intercessor Squad80Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Assault Intercessor Squad75Hand flamer, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol
Assault Intercessor Squad75Hand flamer, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol
Assault Intercessor Squad75Hand flamer, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol
Other Units
Repulsor Executioner235Armoured hull, Heavy laser destroyer, Heavy onslaught gatling cannon, Icarus rocket pod, Multi-melta ...
Repulsor Executioner235Armoured hull, Heavy laser destroyer, Heavy onslaught gatling cannon, Icarus rocket pod, Multi-melta ...
Repulsor180Armoured hull, Hunter-slayer missile, Las-talon, Multi-melta, Repulsor defensive array, Twin lascannon
Scout Squad70Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife
Scout Squad70Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife

Team events

43.0%win rate in team events363 games98 lists from 93 players-2.6 points against individual eventsgoing first 11.3 points better

Black Templars won 43.0% of 363 team event games, against 45.6% of 3,374 in individual events: 2.6 points lower (not clear). It makes up 0.8% of team event games and 1.7% of individual event games.

Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 47% Purge the Foe 28% Priority Assets 15% Disruption 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments share win rate Marshal's Household 18% Companions of Vehemence 17% Wrathful Procession 15% Stormlance Task Force 13% Assault Brethren 10% Godhammer Assault Force 10% The Living Miracle 10% Bastion Task Force 9% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.

Milestones

5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after, with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.

July balance & rules update (22 July)

44.0%win rate, rank 27 of 28683 games200 lists from 179 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.72x entry sharegoing first 4.8 points better

Black Templars won 45.2% of 673 games in the 28 days before and 44.0% of 683 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 1.5% to 1.3%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 11% 0-20 27% 20-40 34% 40-60 23% 60-80 5% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 52% Purge the Foe 24% Priority Assets 17% Disruption 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Bastion Task Force 22% Marshal's Household 19% Wrathful Procession 18% Companions of Vehemence 16% The Living Miracle 14% Godhammer Assault Force 12% Stormlance Task Force 11% Vindication Task Force 11% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Emperor’s Champion 74% Crusader Squad 70% Repulsor Executioner 68% Sword Brethren Squad 68% Scout Squad 60% Marshal 60% Castellan 60% Intercessor Squad 57% Assault Intercessor Squad 56% High Marshal Helbrecht 51% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Tyranids Necrons Space Marines Adeptus Custodes Chaos Space Marines 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Armoured Speartip2,000 pts
Take and Hold
2nd place · record 5-0 · 38 players · 5 rounds · 15 Aug
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon95Paired combat blades
Techmarine55Forge bolter, Grav-pistol, Omnissian power axe, Servo-arm
Techmarine55Forge bolter, Grav-pistol, Omnissian power axe, Servo-arm
Other Units
Land Raider Redeemer270Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Twin assault cannon
Land Raider Redeemer250Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Twin assault cannon
Land Raider Redeemer250Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Twin assault cannon
Bladeguard Veteran Squad170Heavy bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon
Bladeguard Veteran Squad160Heavy bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon
Bladeguard Veteran Squad160Heavy bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon
Sword Brethren Squad130Sword Brother, Heavy bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma pistol, Pyre pistol
Sword Brethren Squad130Sword Brother, Heavy bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma pistol, Pyre pistol
Castellan70Combi-weapon, Master-crafted power weapon
Castellan70Combi-weapon, Master-crafted power weapon
Lieutenant45Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Master-crafted bolter
Lieutenant45Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Master-crafted bolter
Lieutenant45Bolt Pistol, Close combat weapon, Master-crafted bolter
Bastion Task Force2,000 pts
Take and Hold
10th place · record 5-1 · 123 players · 6 rounds · 15 Aug
Show list
Battleline
Crusader Squad150Master-crafted Power Weapon, Pyre Pistol, Bolt Pistol, Astartes Chainsword, Close Combat Weapon ...
Crusader Squad150Master-crafted Power Weapon, Pyre Pistol, Bolt Pistol, Astartes Chainsword, Close Combat Weapon ...
Crusader Squad150Master-crafted Power Weapon, Pyre Pistol, Bolt Pistol, Astartes Chainsword, Close Combat Weapon ...
Intercessor Squad80Bolt Pistol, Bolt Rifle and Astartes Grenade Launcher, Power Fist, Bolt Rifle, Close Combat Weapon
Assault Intercessor Squad75Plasma Pistol, Power Fist, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Astartes Chainsword
Assault Intercessor Squad75Plasma Pistol, Power Fist, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Astartes Chainsword
Assault Intercessor Squad75Plasma Pistol, Power Fist, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Astartes Chainsword
Other Units
Repulsor Executioner265Armoured hull, Heavy laser destroyer, Heavy onslaught gatling cannon, Icarus rocket pod, Multi-melta ...
Repulsor Executioner265Armoured hull, Heavy laser destroyer, Heavy onslaught gatling cannon, Icarus rocket pod, Multi-melta ...
High Marshal Helbrecht110Ferocity, Sword of the high marshals
Vanguard Veteran Squad With Jump Packs105Plasma Pistol and Master-crafted Power Weapon, Heavy Bolt Pistol and Master-crafted Power Weapon
Vanguard Veteran Squad With Jump Packs105Plasma Pistol and Master-crafted Power Weapon, Heavy Bolt Pistol and Master-crafted Power Weapon
Chaplain Grimaldus100Plasma Pistol, Artificer Crozius, Close Combat Weapon
Marshal + Blades Of Valour95Combi-weapon, Master-crafted power weapon
Emperor’s Champion90Black sword, Bolt pistol
Scout Squad65Bolt Pistol, Close Combat Weapon, Astartes Chainsword, Combat Knife
Lieutenant45Neo-volkite pistol, master-crafted power weapon and storm shield

August balance & rules update (26 August)

47.3%win rate, rank 22 of 27273 games76 lists from 73 playersgoing first 8.9 points better

Black Templars won 45.1% of 735 games in the 28 days before and 46.1% of 836 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 1.5% to 1.4%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 52% Priority Assets 20% Purge the Foe 16% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Wrathful Procession 18% Marshal's Household 17% Bastion Task Force 17% The Living Miracle 16% Vindication Task Force 14% Gladius Task Force 14% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Emperor’s Champion 71% Sword Brethren Squad 68% Marshal 66% Scout Squad 64% Crusader Squad 63% Repulsor Executioner 63% High Marshal Helbrecht 59% Castellan 54% Intercessor Squad 54% Assault Intercessor Squad 51% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Vindication Task Force + Wrathful Procession2,000 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 6-2 · 198 players · 8 rounds · 28 Aug
Show list
Characters
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon95Paired combat blades
Battleline
Crusader Squad290Master-crafted power weapon, Pyre pistol, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolt pistol, Power fist
Crusader Squad290Master-crafted power weapon, Pyre pistol, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolt pistol, Power fist
Crusader Squad290Master-crafted power weapon, Pyre pistol, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolt pistol, Power fist
Assault Intercessor Squad150Plasma pistol, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol
Intercessor Squad80Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Other Units
Land Raider Redeemer260Armoured tracks, Flamestorm cannon, Hunter-killer missile, Multi-melta, Storm bolter, Twin assault cannon
High Marshal Helbrecht110Ferocity, Sword of the High Marshals
Chaplain Grimaldus100Artificer crozius, Plasma pistol, Close combat weapon
Emperor’s Champion90Black Sword, Bolt Pistol
Scout Squad65Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Astartes shotgun, Missile launcher, Scout sniper rifle
Execrator50Absolvor bolt pistol, Crozius arcanum, Master-crafted power weapon
Crusade Ancient + Orb of the Emperor's Aegis50Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon
Crusade Ancient + Orb of the Emperor's Aegis40Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon
Crusade Ancient + Orb of the Emperor's Aegis40Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon
Ironstorm Spearhead + Wrathful Procession2,000 pts
Take and Hold
4th place · record 4-1 · 39 players · 5 rounds · 29 Aug
Show list
Characters
Emperor’s Champion + The Flesh Is Weak110Black Sword, Bolt Pistol
Techmarine + Adept of the Omnissiah90Forge bolter, Grav-pistol, Omnissian power axe, Servo-arm
Techmarine + Adept of the Omnissiah55Forge bolter, Grav-pistol, Omnissian power axe, Servo-arm
Battleline
Assault Intercessor Squad150Plasma pistol, Power fist, Astartes chainsword, Heavy bolt pistol
Crusader Squad150Master-crafted power weapon, Pyre pistol, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolt pistol, Power fist
Crusader Squad150Master-crafted power weapon, Pyre pistol, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolt pistol, Power fist
Intercessor Squad80Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Astartes grenade launcher, Close combat weapon
Other Units
Repulsor Executioner265Armoured hull, Heavy laser destroyer, Heavy onslaught gatling cannon, Icarus rocket pod, Multi-melta ...
Repulsor Executioner265Armoured hull, Heavy laser destroyer, Heavy onslaught gatling cannon, Icarus rocket pod, Multi-melta ...
Gladiator Lancer160Armoured hull, Icarus rocket pod, Lancer laser destroyer, Multi-melta, Storm bolter
Ballistus Dreadnought150Armoured feet, Ballistus lascannon, Ballistus missile launcher, Twin storm bolter
Chaplain Grimaldus100Artificer crozius, Plasma pistol, Close combat weapon
Execrator + Adaptable Executioner70Absolvor bolt pistol, Crozius arcanum, Master-crafted power weapon
Scout Squad65Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat knife, Missile launcher
Execrator + Adaptable Executioner50Absolvor bolt pistol, Crozius arcanum, Master-crafted power weapon
Lieutenant45Bolt Pistol, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Master-crafted bolter, Master-crafted power weapon
Lieutenant45Bolt Pistol, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Master-crafted bolter, Master-crafted power weapon

Orks codex (5 September)

44.5%win rate, rank 25 of 28877 games259 lists from 232 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.70x entry sharegoing first 2.2 points better

Black Templars won 45.0% of 838 games in the 28 days before and 44.5% of 877 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 1.5% to 1.3%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 2% 0-20 24% 20-40 39% 40-60 22% 60-80 12% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 58% Priority Assets 23% Purge the Foe 16% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Bastion Task Force 27% Marshal's Household 19% Wrathful Procession 15% Companions of Vehemence 14% Stormlance Task Force 11% Vindication Task Force 11% The Living Miracle 10% Ceramite Sentinels 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Emperor’s Champion 75% Sword Brethren Squad 71% Crusader Squad 71% Marshal 66% Scout Squad 64% Repulsor Executioner 64% Assault Intercessor Squad 63% Intercessor Squad 63% Castellan 57% High Marshal Helbrecht 56% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Chaos Daemons Orks Tyranids T'au Empire Necrons Space Marines Adeptus Custodes 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Bastion Task Force1,995 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 3-0 · 50 players · 3 rounds · 13 Sep
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Crusader Squad290Master-crafted power weapon, Pyre pistol, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolt pistol, Power fist
Crusader Squad290Master-crafted power weapon, Pyre pistol, Astartes chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Heavy bolt pistol, Power fist
Intercessor Squad80Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Intercessor Squad80Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt pistol, Bolt rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Assault Intercessor Squad75Heavy bolt pistol, Power fist, Astartes chainsword
Assault Intercessor Squad75Heavy bolt pistol, Power fist, Astartes chainsword
Other Units
Repulsor Executioner265Armoured hull, Heavy laser destroyer, Heavy onslaught gatling cannon, Icarus rocket pod, Multi-melta ...
Repulsor Executioner265Armoured hull, Heavy laser destroyer, Heavy onslaught gatling cannon, Icarus rocket pod, Multi-melta ...
High Marshal Helbrecht110Ferocity, Sword of the High Marshals
Chaplain Grimaldus100Artificer crozius, Plasma pistol, Close combat weapon
Marshal + Blades of Valour95Master-crafted power weapon, Plasma pistol
Emperor’s Champion90Black Sword, Bolt Pistol
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs85
Crusade Ancient + Bombast Omnivox55Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon
Crusade Ancient + Bombast Omnivox40Bolt pistol, Master-crafted power weapon
Marshal's Household1,995 pts
Take and Hold
2nd place · record 4-1 · 24 players · 5 rounds · 2 Oct
Show list
Battleline
Assault Intercessor Squad + Furious Assault100Chainsword, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Plasma Pistol, Power Fist
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor90Armoured Hull, Multi-melta, Orbital Comms Array, Storm Bolters
Impulsor90Armoured Hull, Multi-melta, Orbital Comms Array, Storm Bolters
Other Units
Terminator Squad410Cyclone Missile Launcher, Power Fist, Storm Bolter
Repulsor Executioner275Armoured Hull, Defensive Array, Heavy Laser Destroyer, Heavy Onslaught Gatling Cannon, Multi-melta, Twin Heavy Bolter
High Marshal Helbrecht125Ferocity, Sword of the High Marshals
Sword Brethren Squad + Furious Assault125Sword Brother, Hand Flamer, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Plasma Pistol, Thunder Hammer
Chaplain Grimaldus120Close combat weapon, Artificer crozius, Plasma Pistol
Sword Brethren Squad + Furious Assault115Sword Brother, Hand Flamer, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Plasma Pistol, Thunder Hammer
Captain + Imperium's Sword110Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Bolter, Master-crafted Power Weapon
Ancient In Terminator Armour100
Incursor Squad95Bolt Pistol, Occulus Bolt Carbine, Paired Combat Blades
Eradicator Squad90
Castellan75Combi-weapon, Master-crafted Power Weapon
Castellan75Combi-weapon, Master-crafted Power Weapon

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)

44.1%win rate, rank 24 of 27332 games103 lists from 100 playersgoing first 12.0 points better

Black Templars won 44.5% of 877 games in the 28 days before and 45.1% of 862 in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 1.3% to 1.7%.

8 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Assault Brethren (0% to 43%), Bastion Task Force (27% to 1%) and Ironstorm Spearhead (4% to 23%).

17 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Marshal (66% to 29%), Intercessor Squad (63% to 31%) and Bladeguard Veteran Squad (29% to 57%).

7 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Furious Assault (1% to 48%), Imperium's Sword (1% to 36%) and Blades of Valour (17% to 1%).

Charts for this window

Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 49% Purge the Foe 28% Priority Assets 18% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Marshal's Household 25% Assault Brethren and Vow-sworn Crusaders 20% Ironstorm Spearhead 17% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate High Marshal Helbrecht 75% Emperor’s Champion 63% Sword Brethren Squad 60% Bladeguard Veteran Squad 59% Castellan 54% Scout Squad 54% Chaplain Grimaldus 52% Crusader Squad 52% Repulsor Executioner 50% Assault Intercessor Squad 47% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Enhancement Furious Assault 1% 48% +48 +12.6
Detachment Assault Brethren 0% 43% +43 +11.9
Unit Marshal 66% 29% -37 -8.5
Enhancement Imperium's Sword 1% 36% +35 +10.3
Unit Intercessor Squad 63% 31% -32 -7.3
Unit Bladeguard Veteran Squad 29% 57% +28 +6.4
Detachment Bastion Task Force 27% 1% -25 -8.4
Unit Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 0% 25% +25 +8.6
All 32 shifts: 24 more rows
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Lieutenant 42% 18% -25 -6.1
Unit Crusader Squad 71% 47% -24 -5.6
Unit Assault Intercessor Squad 63% 39% -24 -5.5
Unit High Marshal Helbrecht 56% 78% +23 +5.5
Unit Execrator 31% 11% -19 -5.4
Unit Impulsor 20% 40% +19 +4.8
Detachment Ironstorm Spearhead 4% 23% +19 +6.4
Detachment Tacticus Attack Force 0% 18% +18 +7.1
Enhancement Blades of Valour 17% 1% -15 -6.2
Unit Apothecary 6% 21% +15 +5.0
Unit Crusade Ancient 27% 13% -14 -4.0
Unit Bladeguard Ancient 4% 18% +14 +5.0
Enhancement Hero of the Chapter 14% 0% -13 -5.9
Unit Rhino 0% 13% +13 +5.8
Unit Inceptor Squad 3% 16% +13 +5.0
Detachment Wrathful Procession 15% 2% -12 -5.1
Enhancement Redoubtable Machine Spirit 0% 13% +12 +5.6
Enhancement Consecrating Aura 6% 18% +12 +4.2
Detachment Companions of Vehemence 14% 2% -12 -4.9
Unit Infiltrator Squad 15% 5% -11 -4.1
Unit Reiver Squad 3% 13% +10 +4.4
Detachment Vindication Task Force 11% 2% -10 -4.5
Detachment The Living Miracle 10% 1% -9 -4.6
Enhancement Guiding Omens 9% 1% -9 -4.5

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Ironstorm Spearhead2,000 pts
Purge the Foe
Won the event · record 5-0 · 21 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
Show list
Battleline
Assault Intercessor Squad170Chainsword, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Plasma Pistol, Thunder Hammer
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor80Armoured Hull, Multi-melta, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Impulsor80Armoured Hull, Multi-melta, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Rhino70Armoured Tracks, Hunter-killer Missile, Storm Bolter
Other Units
Repulsor Executioner275Armoured Hull, Defensive Array, Heavy Laser Destroyer, Heavy Onslaught Gatling Cannon, Multi-melta, Twin Heavy Bolter
Repulsor Executioner275Armoured Hull, Defensive Array, Heavy Laser Destroyer, Heavy Onslaught Gatling Cannon, Multi-melta, Twin Heavy Bolter
Bladeguard Veteran Squad180Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Sword
Outrider Squad160Chainsword, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Twin Bolt Rifle
High Marshal Helbrecht125Ferocity, Sword of the High Marshals
Chaplain Grimaldus120Close combat weapon, Artificer crozius, Plasma Pistol
Sword Brethren Squad115Sword Brother, Hand Flamer, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Thunder Hammer, Twin Lightning Claws
Emperor’s Champion100
Chaplain On Bike95
Incursor Squad90Bolt Pistol, Occulus Bolt Carbine, Paired Combat Blades
Scout Squad65Bolt Pistol, Boltgun, Combat Knife, Heavy Bolter, Sniper Rifle
Gladius Task Force2,000 pts
Priority Assets
3rd place · record 4-1 · 48 players · 5 rounds · 3 Oct
Show list
Characters
Emperor’s Champion90
Battleline
Crusader Squad290Master-crafted Power Weapon, Pyre Pistol, Astartes Chainsword, Bolt pistol, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Power fist
Crusader Squad290Master-crafted Power Weapon, Pyre Pistol, Astartes Chainsword, Bolt pistol, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Power fist
Crusader Squad290Master-crafted Power Weapon, Pyre Pistol, Astartes Chainsword, Bolt pistol, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Power fist
Crusader Squad150Master-crafted Power Weapon, Pyre Pistol, Astartes Chainsword, Bolt pistol, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Power fist
Intercessor Squad80Astartes grenade launcher, Bolt pistol, Bolt Rifle, Power fist, Close combat weapon
Other Units
High Marshal Helbrecht110Ferocity, Sword of the High Marshals
Chaplain Grimaldus100Close Combat Weapon, Artificer Crozius, Plasma Pistol
Eradicator Squad90
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs85
Assault Intercessors With Jump Packs85
Marshal80Combi-weapon, Master-crafted Power Weapon
Scout Squad65Astartes Chainsword, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Combat Knife, Heavy Bolter, Scout Sniper Rifle
Invader Atv60
Lieutenant45Master-crafted power weapon, Neo-volkite Pistol, Storm Shield
Lieutenant45Master-crafted power weapon, Neo-volkite Pistol, Storm Shield
Lieutenant45Master-crafted power weapon, Neo-volkite Pistol, Storm Shield

Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)

45.7%win rate, rank 22 of 27530 games159 lists from 154 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.93x entry sharegoing first 8.7 points better

Black Templars won 43.8% of 807 games in the 28 days before and 45.7% of 530 in the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 1.4% to 2.0%.

6 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Assault Brethren (1% to 69%), Tacticus Attack Force (0% to 29%) and Ironstorm Spearhead (10% to 27%).

7 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles (4% to 35%), Marshal (50% to 25%) and Intercessor Squad (51% to 27%).

3 enhancements shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Furious Assault (21% to 50%), Imperium's Sword (14% to 40%) and Blades of Valour (12% to 0%).

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 7% 0-20 18% 20-40 31% 40-60 33% 60-80 11% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Take and Hold 46% Purge the Foe 35% Priority Assets 18% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Assault Brethren 69% Tacticus Attack Force 29% Ironstorm Spearhead 27% Marshal's Household 24% Ironclad Champions 15% Terminator Storm Force 15% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate High Marshal Helbrecht 81% Scout Squad 57% Bladeguard Veteran Squad 56% Emperor’s Champion 56% Chaplain Grimaldus 52% Sword Brethren Squad 52% Castellan 50% Repulsor Executioner 45% Impulsor 43% Crusader Squad 43% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Assault Brethren 1% 69% +67 +14.7
Unit Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles 4% 35% +30 +8.1
Enhancement Furious Assault 21% 50% +29 +6.1
Detachment Tacticus Attack Force 0% 29% +29 +8.7
Enhancement Imperium's Sword 14% 40% +26 +6.0
Unit Marshal 50% 25% -25 -5.0
Unit Intercessor Squad 51% 27% -24 -4.7
Unit Assault Intercessor Squad 55% 35% -21 -4.1
All 16 shifts: 8 more rows
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Lieutenant 33% 14% -19 -4.2
Unit Apothecary 9% 26% +18 +4.8
Detachment Ironstorm Spearhead 10% 27% +17 +4.5
Detachment Bastion Task Force 17% 0% -17 -5.4
Unit Rhino 4% 16% +12 +4.0
Enhancement Blades of Valour 12% 0% -12 -4.4
Detachment Wrathful Procession 11% 0% -11 -4.3
Detachment Companions of Vehemence 10% 0% -10 -4.2

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Devastator Brethren + Ironclad Champions + Ironstorm Spearhead1,995 pts
Priority Assets
3rd place · record 4-1 · 74 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
Show list
Characters
Captain In Gravis Armour90
Lieutenant with Combi-weapon85Combi-weapon, Paired Combat Blades
Techmarine55Forge Bolter, Grav-pistol, Omnissian Power Axe and Servo-arm
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor80Armoured Hull, Multi-melta, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Impulsor80Armoured Hull, Multi-melta, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Other Units
Repulsor Executioner275Armoured Hull, Defensive Array, Heavy Laser Destroyer, Heavy Onslaught Gatling Cannon, Multi-melta, Twin Heavy Bolter
Brutalis Dreadnought160Bolt Rifles, Brutalis Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Brutalis Dreadnought160Bolt Rifles, Brutalis Fists, Twin Icarus Ironhail Heavy Stubber, Twin Multi-melta
Gladiator Valiant155Armoured Hull, Defensive Array, Multi-melta, Twin Las-talon
Gladiator Valiant155Armoured Hull, Defensive Array, Multi-melta, Twin Las-talon
Inceptor Squad130Assault Bolters, Ceramite Fists
Company Heroes125Master-crafted Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Combat Knife, Master-crafted Bolt Rifle, Master-crafted Heavy Bolter
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles100
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles100
Incursor Squad90Bolt Pistol, Occulus Bolt Carbine, Paired Combat Blades
Incursor Squad90Bolt Pistol, Occulus Bolt Carbine, Paired Combat Blades
Scout Squad65Bolt Pistol, Boltgun, Combat Knife, Heavy Bolter, Sniper Rifle
Assault Brethren + Marshal's Household + Tacticus Attack Force1,995 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 18 players · 5 rounds · 24 Oct
Show list
Characters
Company Heroes125Master-crafted Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Combat Knife, Master-crafted Bolt Rifle, Master-crafted Heavy Bolter
Execrator65Absolvor Bolt Pistol, Crozius Arcanum, Master-crafted Power Weapon
Execrator65Absolvor Bolt Pistol, Crozius Arcanum, Master-crafted Power Weapon
Battleline
Assault Intercessor Squad170Chainsword, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Plasma Pistol, Power Fist
Dedicated Transports
Impulsor80Armoured Hull, Multi-melta, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Impulsor80Armoured Hull, Multi-melta, Shield Dome, Storm Bolters
Rhino70Armoured Tracks, Hunter-killer Missile, Storm Bolter
Rhino70Armoured Tracks, Hunter-killer Missile, Storm Bolter
Other Units
Sword Brethren Squad140Sword Brother, Hand Flamer, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Plasma Pistol, Thunder Hammer, Twin Lightning Claws
High Marshal Helbrecht125Ferocity, Sword of the High Marshals
Chaplain Grimaldus120Close combat weapon, Artificer crozius, Plasma Pistol
Sword Brethren Squad115Sword Brother, Hand Flamer, Heavy Bolt Pistol, Master-crafted Power Weapon, Plasma Pistol, Thunder Hammer, Twin Lightning Claws
Emperor’s Champion100
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles100
Eradicator Squad with Melta Rifles100
Incursor Squad90Bolt Pistol, Occulus Bolt Carbine, Paired Combat Blades
Incursor Squad90Bolt Pistol, Occulus Bolt Carbine, Paired Combat Blades
Castellan + Furious Assault85Combi-weapon, Master-crafted Power Weapon
Castellan + Furious Assault75Combi-weapon, Master-crafted Power Weapon
Apothecary + Imperium's Sword65Absolvor Bolt Pistol, Reductor Pistol, Servo-armature
Scout Squad65Bolt Pistol, Boltgun, Chainsword, Combat Knife, Heavy Bolter, Sniper Rifle

Imperial Agents

Whole edition

43.7%win rate, rank 27 of 28868 games241 lists from 147 playerstop-10% finishes 0.96x entry sharegoing first 2.0 points better41.1% adjusted for player skill

Imperial Agents won 43.7% of 868 games, 6.3 points below an even win rate (rank 27 of 28). Veiled Blade Elimination Force went from 5% to 100% of the faction's lists between the first period and the last 28 days. Without its three most active players the win rate would be 41.6%, so a few players carry part of the result. With 868 games the intervals are wide throughout.

Pick-rate shifts

Type Name First period Prior 28 days Last 28 days Change vs first period (pp) Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Detachment Veiled Blade Elimination Force 5% 94% 100% +95 +6

Matchups

Among pairings with 60 or more games, the best matchup is Space Marines (50.7% over 68 games) and the worst is Orks (34.8% over 66).

Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Space Wolves 21 71.4% 50.0% to 86.2% 44.6% +26.8 favourable
T'au Empire 35 55.7% 39.5% to 70.8% 41.9% +13.8
Adepta Sororitas 17 52.9% 31.0% to 73.8% 43.4% +9.6
Tyranids 56 51.8% 39.0% to 64.3% 43.8% +8.0
Space Marines 68 50.7% 39.1% to 62.3% 45.0% +5.7
Adeptus Custodes 50 36.0% 24.1% to 49.9% 39.6% -3.6 unfavourable
Grey Knights 20 35.0% 18.1% to 56.7% 46.5% -11.5
Orks 66 34.8% 24.5% to 46.9% 38.5% -3.7 unfavourable
World Eaters 39 33.3% 20.6% to 49.0% 43.7% -10.4 unfavourable
Thousand Sons 23 28.3% 14.1% to 48.7% 43.3% -15.0 unfavourable
Chaos Knights 22 22.7% 10.1% to 43.4% 46.8% -24.0 unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 16 more rows
Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Deathwatch 4 50.0% 15.0% to 85.0% 40.0% +10.0
Necrons 46 48.9% 35.1% to 62.9% 42.2% +6.7
Chaos Daemons 30 48.3% 31.7% to 65.4% 39.1% +9.3
Blood Angels 23 47.8% 29.2% to 67.0% 47.6% +0.2
Leagues of Votann 21 47.6% 28.3% to 67.6% 41.9% +5.8
Adeptus Mechanicus 16 46.9% 25.5% to 69.4% 43.1% +3.8
Astra Militarum 30 46.7% 30.2% to 63.9% 53.2% -6.5
Chaos Space Marines 34 45.6% 30.2% to 61.9% 46.5% -0.9
Imperial Knights 41 45.1% 31.0% to 60.1% 45.1% +0.1
Drukhari 20 45.0% 25.8% to 65.8% 46.7% -1.7
Death Guard 45 44.4% 30.9% to 58.8% 45.4% -1.0
Emperor's Children 44 42.0% 28.7% to 56.7% 42.3% -0.3
Black Templars 22 40.9% 23.3% to 61.3% 48.4% -7.5
Genestealer Cult 10 40.0% 16.8% to 68.7% 46.1% -6.1
Aeldari 27 37.0% 21.5% to 55.8% 48.0% -11.0
Dark Angels 38 36.8% 23.4% to 52.7% 40.3% -3.5

Over time

Share of games per week (%) 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.5 Jul Aug Sep Oct Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval 20 40 60 38.3 54.7 Jul Aug Sep Oct
Period Lists Share of all lists Games Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul 44 0.3% 155 44.2%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug 66 0.4% 238 41.2%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct 89 0.4% 334 46.4%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct 42 0.3% 141 41.1%

Around each milestone, 28 days before and after

Milestone Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul) 112 / 173 40.2% to 44.2% +4.0 +0.7 0.2% to 0.3%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug) 197 / 230 40.4% to 47.4% +7.0 +1.4 0.4% to 0.4%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep) 231 / 260 42.4% to 47.1% +4.7 +1.0 0.4% to 0.4%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct) 260 / 141 47.1% to 41.1% -6.0 -1.1 0.4% to 0.3%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data 245 / 57 44.9% to 45.6% +0.7 +0.1 0.4% to 0.2%

Results brackets

23 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 2 won X, 8 won X-1 and 13 won X-2, from 65 entries.

Share of players by share of games won 7% 0-20 18% 20-40 41% 40-60 20% 60-80 15% 80-100 line = all factions Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2 0.3% X 0.4% X-1 0.3% X-2 dashed = share of entries, 0.4%
Bracket tables
Tier Lists Share of tier Share of entries Ratio z
X 2 0.3% 0.4% 0.77x -0.4
X-1 8 0.4% 0.4% 0.99x -0.0
X-2 13 0.3% 0.4% 0.80x -0.8
X to X-2 23 0.3% 0.4% 0.86x -0.7
Share of games won Players Share of players All players
0 to 20% 4 6.6% 4.1%
20 to 40% 11 18.0% 17.2%
40 to 60% 25 41.0% 32.2%
60 to 80% 12 19.7% 30.1%
80 to 100% 9 14.8% 16.4%

Units

A typical list contains 14 distinct units. 15 units appear in at least half of all lists and 25 in at least 10%. The most common is Subductor Squad (89% of lists).

Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -5 0 +5 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -2 -1 0 +1 +2 1% 3% 10% 30% 100%

Most played units

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Subductor Squad 214 88.8% +1.3 ± 1.7 +0.8
Imperial Navy Breachers 196 81.3% +1.9 ± 1.8 +1.0
Inquisitor Kroyle 173 71.8% -0.7 ± 2.0 -0.4
Sisters of Battle Squad 168 69.7% +1.1 ± 2.0 +0.6
Rogue Trader Entourage 164 68.0% +0.5 ± 2.0 +0.2
Sisters of Battle Immolator 159 66.0% +1.7 ± 2.0 +0.8
Deathwatch Kill Team 157 65.1% -0.1 ± 1.9 -0.0
Callidus Assassin 156 64.7% +0.4 ± 2.1 +0.2
Navigator 154 63.9% +1.5 ± 1.9 +0.8
Inquisitor 152 63.1% +1.8 ± 2.0 +0.9
Inquisitor Draxus 152 63.1% +0.5 ± 1.9 +0.3
Inquisitorial Agents 140 58.1% +0.4 ± 2.3 +0.2

Detachments

3 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 2 of them account for 80% of picks. The most played is Veiled Blade Elimination Force (79% of lists), and 75% of lists run more than one detachment.

Detachment Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z P1 P2 P3 P4
Veiled Blade Elimination Force 191 79% -1.1 ± 1.8 -0.6 5% 94% 96% 100%
Imperialis Fleet 187 78% -0.0 ± 1.9 -0.0 68% 82% 76% 83%
Ordo Hereticus, Purgation Force 16 7% +2.2 ± 3.9 +0.6 14% 6% 6% 2%

Combinations

One combination of two or more detachments appears in 15 or more lists. The most common is Imperialis Fleet + Veiled Blade Elimination Force (153 lists, 63%).

Combination table
Combination Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Imperialis Fleet + Veiled Blade Elimination Force 153 63% +0.8 ± 2.3 +0.3

Enhancements

4 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Clandestine Operation (70% of lists).

Enhancement table
Enhancement Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Clandestine Operation 169 70% +0.2 ± 1.9 +0.1
Combat Landers 134 56% +0.8 ± 2.1 +0.4
Fleetmaster 82 34% +0.6 ± 3.1 +0.2
Digital Weapons 64 27% +0.1 ± 3.1 +0.0

Force Disposition

Force Disposition table
Disposition Share of games Games Win rate Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Reconnaissance 63% 502 45.7% +2.1 ± 2.3
Disruption 25% 200 40.5% n/a
Purge the Foe 5% 41 37.8% n/a
Take and Hold 4% 29 34.5% n/a
Priority Assets 3% 21 42.9% n/a

The five most active players account for 16.3% of its games. Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, milestone moves, unit effects, detachment effects, combination effects, enhancement effects, Force Disposition, results brackets, terrain layout and list width.

Representative lists

Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties, and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.

Imperialis Fleet + Veiled Blade Elimination Force1,985 pts
Reconnaissance
6th place · record 5-1 · 104 players · 6 rounds · 21 Aug
6 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Culexus Assassin95Animus speculum, Life-draining touch
Navigator + Clandestine Operation75Force-orb cane, Laspistol
Battleline
Aquila Kill Team200Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Stalker bolt rifle, Heavy thunder hammer ...
Deathwatch Kill Team190Astartes shield, Xenophase blade, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Infernus heavy bolter, Power weapon, Frag cannon
Deathwatch Kill Team190Astartes shield, Xenophase blade, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Infernus heavy bolter, Power weapon, Frag cannon
Aquila Kill Team100Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Stalker bolt rifle, Heavy thunder hammer ...
Aquila Kill Team100Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Stalker bolt rifle, Heavy thunder hammer ...
Imperial Navy Breachers90Close combat weapon, Navis shotgun, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun, Navis heavy shotgun
Dedicated Transports
Imperial Rhino65Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Imperial Rhino65Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Other Units
Sanctifiers100Burning hands, Holy fire, Close combat weapon, Salvationist Medikit, Death Cult blades, Ministorum flamer, Plasma gun ...
Sanctifiers100Burning hands, Holy fire, Close combat weapon, Salvationist Medikit, Death Cult blades, Ministorum flamer, Plasma gun ...
Watch Master95Vigil spear
Watch Master95Vigil spear
Watch Master95Vigil spear
Subductor Squad85Arbites shotpistol, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Subductor Squad85Arbites shotpistol, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Subductor Squad85Arbites shotpistol, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Inquisitor Draxus75Dirgesinger, Power fist, Psychic Tempest
Imperialis Fleet2,000 pts
2nd place · record 5-0 · 66 players · 5 rounds · 20 Jun
Show list
Characters
Watch Master + Clandestine Operation110Vigil spear
Inquisitor Kroyle100Butcher blade, Garralisk’s claws and teeth, Jindarii tox‑cycler, Stubcarbine
Rogue Trader Entourage + Fleetmaster95Household pistol, Monomolecular cane-rapier, Dartmask, Death Cult power blade, Close combat weapon, Voltaic pistol ...
Watch Master + Clandestine Operation95Vigil spear
Watch Master + Clandestine Operation95Vigil spear
Inquisitor Coteaz75Bolt pistol, Glovodan Psyber‐eagle, Nemesis daemon hammer, Psychic Blast
Watch Captain Artemis65Hellfire Extremis, Master-crafted power weapon
Inquisitor55Combi-weapon, Force weapon, Psychic Gifts, Psychic Shock Wave
Inquisitor55Combi-weapon, Force weapon, Psychic Gifts, Psychic Shock Wave
Battleline
Deathwatch Kill Team190Astartes shield, Xenophase blade, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Frag cannon, Power weapon, Combi-weapon
Deathwatch Kill Team190Astartes shield, Xenophase blade, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Frag cannon, Power weapon, Combi-weapon
Deathwatch Kill Team190Astartes shield, Xenophase blade, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Frag cannon, Power weapon, Combi-weapon
Deathwatch Kill Team100Astartes shield, Xenophase blade, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Frag cannon, Power weapon, Combi-weapon
Imperial Navy Breachers90Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Autopistol, Chainfist, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun ...
Dedicated Transports
Inquisitorial Chimera70Armoured tracks, Heavy flamer, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lasgun array
Inquisitorial Chimera70Armoured tracks, Heavy flamer, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lasgun array
Other Units
Subductor Squad85Arbites shotpistol, Nuncio-acquila, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Subductor Squad85Arbites shotpistol, Nuncio-acquila, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Subductor Squad85Arbites shotpistol, Nuncio-acquila, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Inquisitorial Agents50Tome‐skull, Agent firearm, Agent melee weapon, Eviscerator, Mystic stave, Plasma pistol, Multi-melta
Inquisitorial Agents50Tome‐skull, Agent firearm, Agent melee weapon, Eviscerator, Mystic stave, Plasma pistol, Multi-melta

Team events

98 games in team events, too few for a breakdown.

Milestones

5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after, with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.

July balance & rules update (22 July)

44.2%win rate, rank 25 of 28173 games48 lists from 43 playersgoing first 11.2 points worse

Imperial Agents won 40.2% of 112 games in the 28 days before and 44.2% of 173 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 0.2% to 0.3%.

One detachment shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Veiled Blade Elimination Force (3% to 92%).

Nothing clear turned up in units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Force Disposition share win rate Reconnaissance 75% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Veiled Blade Elimination Force 92% Imperialis Fleet 81% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Subductor Squad 88% Imperial Navy Breachers 79% Deathwatch Kill Team 67% Inquisitor Draxus 65% Navigator 65% Rogue Trader Entourage 65% Inquisitor 62% Inquisitor Kroyle 62% Watch Master 60% Imperial Rhino 54% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Detachment Veiled Blade Elimination Force 3% 92% +89 +7.8

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Imperialis Fleet + Veiled Blade Elimination Force1,995 pts
Reconnaissance
5th place · record 5-1 · 135 players · 6 rounds · 25 Jul
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Culexus Assassin95Animus speculum, Life-draining touch
Navigator + Combat Landers70Force-orb cane, Laspistol
Battleline
Aquila Kill Team200Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Stalker bolt rifle, Astartes shield ...
Deathwatch Kill Team190Combi-weapon, Xenophase blade, Black Shield blades, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Frag cannon ...
Deathwatch Kill Team190Combi-weapon, Xenophase blade, Black Shield blades, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Frag cannon ...
Aquila Kill Team100Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Stalker bolt rifle, Astartes shield ...
Aquila Kill Team100Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Stalker bolt rifle, Astartes shield ...
Imperial Navy Breachers90Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Autopistol, Chainfist, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun ...
Dedicated Transports
Imperial Rhino65Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Imperial Rhino65Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Other Units
Watch Master + Clandestine Operation110Vigil spear
Sanctifiers100Burning hands, Holy fire, Close combat weapon, Salvationist Medikit, Death Cult blades, Ministorum flamer, Plasma gun ...
Sanctifiers100Burning hands, Holy fire, Close combat weapon, Salvationist Medikit, Death Cult blades, Ministorum flamer, Plasma gun ...
Watch Master + Clandestine Operation95Vigil spear
Watch Master + Clandestine Operation95Vigil spear
Subductor Squad85Arbites shotpistol, Nuncio-acquila, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Subductor Squad85Arbites shotpistol, Nuncio-acquila, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Subductor Squad85Arbites shotpistol, Nuncio-acquila, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Inquisitor Draxus75Dirgesinger, Power fist, Psychic Tempest
Imperialis Fleet + Veiled Blade Elimination Force2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 3-0 · 17 players · 3 rounds · 8 Aug
Show list
Characters
Vindicare Assassin130Exitus pistol, Exitus rifle, Vindicare combat knife
Callidus Assassin115Neural shredder, Phase sword and poison blades
Inquisitor Kroyle100Butcher blade, Garralisk’s claws and teeth, Jindarii tox‑cycler, Stubcarbine
Navigator + Combat Landers70Force-orb cane, Laspistol
Battleline
Imperial Navy Breachers90Close combat weapon, Navis shotgun, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun, Navis heavy shotgun
Imperial Navy Breachers90Close combat weapon, Navis shotgun, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun, Navis heavy shotgun
Imperial Navy Breachers90Close combat weapon, Navis shotgun, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun, Navis heavy shotgun
Dedicated Transports
Sisters of Battle Immolator90Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Sisters of Battle Immolator90Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Inquisitorial Chimera60Armoured tracks, Heavy flamer, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lasgun array
Inquisitorial Chimera60Armoured tracks, Heavy flamer, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lasgun array
Other Units
Inquisitorial Agents100Agent firearm, Agent melee weapon, Eviscerator, Mystic stave, Plasma pistol, Multi-melta
Inquisitorial Agents100Agent firearm, Agent melee weapon, Eviscerator, Mystic stave, Plasma pistol, Multi-melta
Sisters of Battle Squad100Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Inferno pistol, Power weapon, Boltgun, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Simulacrum Imperialis
Sisters of Battle Squad100Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Inferno pistol, Power weapon, Boltgun, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Simulacrum Imperialis
Rogue Trader Entourage + Fleetmaster95Household pistol, Monomolecular cane-rapier, Dartmask, Death Cult power blade, Close combat weapon, Voltaic pistol ...
Subductor Squad85Arbites shotpistol, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Subductor Squad85Arbites shotpistol, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Subductor Squad85Arbites shotpistol, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Inquisitor Draxus75Dirgesinger, Power fist, Psychic Tempest
Inquisitor + Digital Weapons70Combi-weapon, Force weapon, Psychic Gifts, Psychic Shock Wave
Inquisitor + Digital Weapons65Combi-weapon, Force weapon, Psychic Gifts, Psychic Shock Wave
Inquisitor + Digital Weapons55Combi-weapon, Force weapon, Psychic Gifts, Psychic Shock Wave

August balance & rules update (26 August)

Imperial Agents won 40.4% of 197 games in the 28 days before and 47.4% of 230 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 0.4% to 0.4%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Imperialis Fleet + Veiled Blade Elimination Force2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
Won the event · record 3-0 · 14 players · 3 rounds · 30 Aug
Show list
Characters
Vindicare Assassin130Exitus pistol, Exitus rifle, Vindicare combat knife
Eversor Assassin115Executioner pistol, Power sword and neuro gauntlet
Navigator + Combat Landers70Force-orb cane, Laspistol
Battleline
Deathwatch Kill Team190Combi-weapon, Xenophase blade, Astartes shield, Black Shield blades, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Power weapon
Deathwatch Kill Team190Combi-weapon, Xenophase blade, Astartes shield, Black Shield blades, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Power weapon
Imperial Navy Breachers90Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Autopistol, Chainfist, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun ...
Imperial Navy Breachers90Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Autopistol, Chainfist, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun ...
Imperial Navy Breachers90Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Autopistol, Chainfist, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun ...
Vigilant Squad85Arbites combat shotgun, Arbites shotpistol, Close combat weapon, Arbites grenade launcher, Heavy stubber, Mechanical bite
Dedicated Transports
Sisters of Battle Immolator90Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Immolation flamers
Allied Units
Cerastus Knight Atrapos405Atrapos lascutter, Graviton singularity cannon
Other Units
Watch Master + Clandestine Operation110Vigil spear
Sisters of Battle Squad100Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Condemnor boltgun, Power weapon, Boltgun, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Simulacrum Imperialis
Watch Master + Clandestine Operation95Vigil spear
Rogue Trader Entourage + Fleetmaster95Household pistol, Monomolecular cane-rapier, Dartmask, Death Cult power blade, Close combat weapon, Voltaic pistol ...
Inquisitor55Combi-weapon, Force weapon, Psychic Gifts, Psychic Shock Wave

Orks codex (5 September)

47.1%win rate, rank 18 of 28260 games70 lists from 53 playersgoing first 0.6 points better

Imperial Agents won 42.4% of 231 games in the 28 days before and 47.1% of 260 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 0.4% to 0.4%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Force Disposition share win rate Reconnaissance 80% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Veiled Blade Elimination Force 94% Imperialis Fleet 79% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Subductor Squad 94% Imperial Navy Breachers 89% Sisters of Battle Immolator 76% Sisters of Battle Squad 76% Callidus Assassin 73% Rogue Trader Entourage 73% Inquisitor Kroyle 73% Navigator 69% Inquisitor Draxus 67% Inquisitorial Agents 66% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Imperialis Fleet + Veiled Blade Elimination Force2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
4th place · record 4-1 · 60 players · 5 rounds · 5 Sep
10 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Callidus Assassin115Neural shredder, Phase sword and poison blades
Eversor Assassin115Executioner pistol, Power sword and neuro gauntlet
Inquisitor Kroyle100Butcher blade, Garralisk’s claws and teeth, Jindarii tox‑cycler, Stubcarbine
Navigator60Force-orb cane, Laspistol
Battleline
Aquila Kill Team200Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Stalker bolt rifle, Heavy thunder hammer ...
Deathwatch Kill Team190Astartes shield, Xenophase blade, Close combat weapon, Deathwatch thunder hammer, Frag cannon, Infernus heavy bolter, Power weapon
Imperial Navy Breachers90Close combat weapon, Navis shotgun, Autopistol, Chainfist, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun ...
Dedicated Transports
Sisters of Battle Immolator105Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Twin multi-melta
Sisters of Battle Immolator105Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Twin multi-melta
Imperial Rhino65Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Inquisitorial Chimera60Armoured tracks, Heavy flamer, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lasgun array
Other Units
Watch Master + Clandestine Operation110Vigil spear
Inquisitorial Agents100Tome‐skull, Agent firearm, Agent melee weapon, Eviscerator, Mystic stave, Plasma pistol, Multi-melta
Sisters of Battle Squad100Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Inferno pistol, Power weapon, Boltgun, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Simulacrum Imperialis
Sisters of Battle Squad100Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Inferno pistol, Power weapon, Boltgun, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Simulacrum Imperialis
Subductor Squad85Arbites shotpistol, Nuncio-acquila, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Subductor Squad85Arbites shotpistol, Nuncio-acquila, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Subductor Squad85Arbites shotpistol, Nuncio-acquila, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Inquisitor Draxus75Dirgesinger, Power fist, Psychic Tempest
Inquisitor55Bolt pistol, Force weapon, Psychic Gifts, Psychic Shock Wave
Imperialis Fleet + Veiled Blade Elimination Force2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
2nd place · record 4-1 · 33 players · 5 rounds · 26 Sep
Show list
Characters
Callidus Assassin115Neural shredder, Phase sword and poison blades
Eversor Assassin115Executioner pistol, Power sword and neuro gauntlet
Inquisitor Kroyle100Butcher blade, Garralisk’s claws and teeth, Jindarii tox‑cycler, Stubcarbine
Battleline
Imperial Navy Breachers90Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Autopistol, Chainfist, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun ...
Imperial Navy Breachers90Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Autopistol, Chainfist, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun ...
Imperial Navy Breachers90Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Power weapon, Autopistol, Chainfist, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun ...
Dedicated Transports
Imperial Rhino65Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Other Units
Inquisitorial Agents100Tome‐skull, Agent firearm, Agent melee weapon, Eviscerator, Mystic stave, Plasma pistol, Multi-melta
Inquisitorial Agents100Tome‐skull, Agent firearm, Agent melee weapon, Eviscerator, Mystic stave, Plasma pistol, Multi-melta
Sanctifiers100Burning hands, Holy fire, Close combat weapon, Salvationist Medikit, Death Cult blades, Ministorum flamer, Plasma gun ...
Sanctifiers100Burning hands, Holy fire, Close combat weapon, Salvationist Medikit, Death Cult blades, Ministorum flamer, Plasma gun ...
Sanctifiers100Burning hands, Holy fire, Close combat weapon, Salvationist Medikit, Death Cult blades, Ministorum flamer, Plasma gun ...
Rogue Trader Entourage + Combat Landers85Household pistol, Monomolecular cane-rapier, Dartmask, Death Cult power blade, Close combat weapon, Voltaic pistol ...
Subductor Squad85Arbites shotpistol, Nuncio-acquila, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Subductor Squad85Arbites shotpistol, Nuncio-acquila, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Subductor Squad85Arbites shotpistol, Nuncio-acquila, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Inquisitor Draxus75Dirgesinger, Power fist, Psychic Tempest
Rogue Trader Entourage + Combat Landers75Household pistol, Monomolecular cane-rapier, Dartmask, Death Cult power blade, Close combat weapon, Voltaic pistol ...
Inquisitor + Clandestine Operation70Combi-weapon, Force weapon, Psychic Gifts, Psychic Shock Wave
Inquisitor + Clandestine Operation55Combi-weapon, Force weapon, Psychic Gifts, Psychic Shock Wave
Inquisitorial Agents50Tome‐skull, Agent firearm, Agent melee weapon, Eviscerator, Mystic stave, Plasma pistol, Multi-melta
Voidsmen-at-arms50
Ministorum Priest40Zealot’s vindictor
Ministorum Priest40Zealot’s vindictor
Ministorum Priest40Zealot’s vindictor

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)

Imperial Agents won 47.1% of 260 games in the 28 days before and 41.1% of 141 in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 0.4% to 0.3%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Imperialis Fleet + Veiled Blade Elimination Force2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
2nd place · record 4-1 · 31 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
3 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Callidus Assassin + Decoy Targets115Neural shredder, Phase sword & poison blades
Eversor Assassin + Intraneural Biotech115Executioner pistol, Power sword & neuro gauntlet
Inquisitor Kroyle100Butcher blade, Garralisk's claws & teeth, Jindarii tox-cycler, Stubcarbine
Navigator + Combat Landers70Force-orb cane, Laspistol
Navigator + Combat Landers60Force-orb cane, Laspistol
Battleline
Aquila Kill Team100Plasma Pistol, Power Weapon, Bolt Pistol, Close Combat Weapon, Hellstorm Bolt Rifle and Astartes Grenade Launcher ...
Imperial Navy Breachers90Close Combat Weapon, Bolt Pistol and Power Weapon, Meltagun, Demolition Charge, Navis Heavy Shotgun, Endurant Shield ...
Imperial Navy Breachers90Close Combat Weapon, Bolt Pistol and Power Weapon, Meltagun, Demolition Charge, Navis Heavy Shotgun, Endurant Shield ...
Dedicated Transports
Sisters of Battle Immolator90Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Twin heavy bolter
Imperial Rhino65Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm bolter
Inquisitorial Chimera60Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lasgun array
Inquisitorial Chimera60Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lasgun array
Other Units
Inquisitorial Agents100Agent Firearm, Agent Melee Weapon, Tome-skull, Agent Firearm and Mystic Stave, Agent Firearm and Eviscerator ...
Inquisitorial Agents100Agent Firearm, Agent Melee Weapon, Tome-skull, Agent Firearm and Mystic Stave, Agent Firearm and Eviscerator ...
Sanctifiers100Holy Fire, Burning Hands, Close Combat Weapon, Salvationist Medikit, Death Cult Blades, Sanctifier Melee Weapon ...
Sisters of Battle Squad100Bolt Pistol, Close Combat Weapon, Inferno Pistol, Power Weapon, Boltgun, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Simulacrum Imperialis and Boltgun
Rogue Trader Entourage + Fleetmaster95Household Pistol, Monomolecular Cane-rapier, Dartmask, Death Cult Power Blade, Voltaic Pistol, Close Combat Weapon ...
Subductor Squad85Arbites Shotpistol, Shock Maul, Mechanical Bite
Subductor Squad85Arbites Shotpistol, Shock Maul, Mechanical Bite
Subductor Squad85Arbites Shotpistol, Shock Maul, Mechanical Bite
Inquisitor Draxus75Dirgesinger, Power fist, Psychic tempest
Inquisitor + Digital Weapons65Combi-weapon, Psychic gift, psychic shock wave and force weapon
Inquisitor + Digital Weapons55Combi-weapon, Psychic gift, psychic shock wave and force weapon
Ministorum Priest40Zealot’s vindictor
Veiled Blade Elimination Force2,000 pts
Disruption
3rd place · record 2-1 · 12 players · 3 rounds · 3 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
Aquila Kill Team200
Aquila Kill Team200
Dedicated Transports
Sisters of Battle Immolator105
Sisters of Battle Immolator105
Sisters of Battle Immolator105
Inquisitorial Chimera60
Inquisitorial Chimera60
Other Units
Grey Knights Terminator Squad175
Armiger Warglaive140
Armiger Warglaive140
Inquisitorial Agents100
Inquisitorial Agents100
Sisters of Battle Squad100
Sisters of Battle Squad100
Sisters of Battle Squad100
Subductor Squad85
Inquisitor70
Inquisitor55

Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)

Too few games for a before and after comparison: 245 before and 57 after.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Imperialis Fleet + Veiled Blade Elimination Force2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
4th place · record 2-0-1 · 26 players · 3 rounds · 24 Oct
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Vindicare Assassin130Exitus pistol, Exitus rifle, Vindicare combat knife
Callidus Assassin115Neural shredder, Phase sword and poison blades
Inquisitor Kroyle100Butcher blade, Garralisk’s claws and teeth, Jindarii tox‑cycler, Stubcarbine
Navigator + Clandestine Operation75Force-orb cane, Laspistol
Navigator + Clandestine Operation60Force-orb cane, Laspistol
Battleline
Imperial Navy Breachers90Close combat weapon, Navis shotgun, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun, Navis heavy shotgun
Imperial Navy Breachers90Close combat weapon, Navis shotgun, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun, Navis heavy shotgun
Dedicated Transports
Sisters of Battle Immolator90Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile, Twin heavy bolter
Imperial Rhino65Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm Bolter
Imperial Rhino65Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Storm Bolter
Inquisitorial Chimera60Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lasgun array
Inquisitorial Chimera60Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lasgun array
Other Units
Inquisitorial Agents100Agent firearm, Agent melee weapon, Eviscerator, Mystic stave, Plasma pistol, Multi-melta
Inquisitorial Agents100Agent firearm, Agent melee weapon, Eviscerator, Mystic stave, Plasma pistol, Multi-melta
Sanctifiers100Burning hands, Holy fire, Close combat weapon, Salvationist Medikit, Death Cult blades, Ministorum flamer, Plasma gun ...
Sanctifiers100Burning hands, Holy fire, Close combat weapon, Salvationist Medikit, Death Cult blades, Ministorum flamer, Plasma gun ...
Sisters of Battle Squad100Bolt pistol, Close combat weapon, Inferno pistol, Power weapon, Boltgun, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Simulacrum Imperialis
Rogue Trader Entourage + Fleetmaster95Household pistol, Monomolecular cane-rapier, Dartmask, Death Cult power blade, Close combat weapon, Voltaic pistol ...
Subductor Squad85Arbites shotpistol, Nuncio-acquila, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Subductor Squad85Arbites shotpistol, Nuncio-acquila, Shock maul, Mechanical bite
Inquisitor Draxus75Dirgesinger, Power fist, Psychic Tempest
Inquisitor + Digital Weapons65Bolt pistol, Force weapon, Psychic Gifts, Psychic Shock Wave
Inquisitor + Digital Weapons55Bolt pistol, Force weapon, Psychic Gifts, Psychic Shock Wave
Ministorum Priest40Zealot’s vindictor
Veiled Blade Elimination Force1,980 pts
Reconnaissance
3rd place · record 1-2 · 5 players · 3 rounds · 25 Oct
Show list
Characters
Vindicare Assassin130Exitus pistol, Exitus rifle, Vindicare combat knife
Callidus Assassin115Neural shredder, Phase sword and poison blades
Eversor Assassin115Executioner pistol, Power sword and neuro gauntlet
Culexus Assassin95Animus speculum, Life-draining touch
Rogue Trader Entourage + Fleetmaster95Household pistol, Monomolecular cane-rapier, Dartmask, Death Cult power blade, Close combat weapon, Voltaic pistol ...
Navigator + Combat Landers70Force-orb cane, Laspistol
Battleline
Imperial Navy Breachers90Close combat weapon, Navis shotgun, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun, Navis heavy shotgun, Navis las-volley
Imperial Navy Breachers90Close combat weapon, Navis shotgun, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun, Navis heavy shotgun, Navis las-volley
Imperial Navy Breachers90Close combat weapon, Navis shotgun, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun, Navis heavy shotgun, Navis las-volley
Imperial Navy Breachers90Close combat weapon, Navis shotgun, Demolition charge, Endurant Shield, Meltagun, Navis heavy shotgun, Navis las-volley
Other Units
Grey Knights Terminator Squad180Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Narthecium, Psycannon
Grey Knights Terminator Squad180Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Narthecium, Psycannon
Grey Knights Terminator Squad180Nemesis force weapon, Storm Bolter, Narthecium, Psycannon
comando vigías de la muerte115
comando vigías de la muerte115
comando vigías de la muerte115
comando vigías de la muerte115

Astra Militarum

Whole edition

40.3%win rate, rank 28 of 288,479 games2,482 lists from 1,616 playerstop-10% finishes 0.48x entry sharegoing first 3.8 points better37.2% adjusted for player skill

Astra Militarum has the lowest win rate of the 28 factions: 40.3% over 8,479 games. 31.1% of its players won at least 60% of their games, against 46.5% of all players. Bridgehead Strike went from 11% to 25% of the faction's lists between the first period and the last 28 days. Astra Militarum supplies 2.3% of the lists that won X to X-2 in their events, against 3.2% of entries.

Results brackets

162 lists finished at X to X-2 across the 396 events with at least 5 rounds: 6 won X, 44 won X-1 and 112 won X-2, from 553 entries.

Share of players by share of games won 9% 0-20 29% 20-40 30% 40-60 22% 60-80 9% 80-100 line = all factions Share of the lists that won X, X-1, X-2 0.9% X 2.1% X-1 2.6% X-2 dashed = share of entries, 3.2%
Tier Lists Share of tier Share of entries Ratio z
X 6 0.9% 3.2% 0.27x -3.5
X-1 44 2.1% 3.2% 0.64x -3.0
X-2 112 2.6% 3.2% 0.81x -2.2
X to X-2 162 2.3% 3.2% 0.71x -4.5
Share of games won Players Share of players All players
0 to 20% 43 9.0% 4.1%
20 to 40% 140 29.4% 17.2%
40 to 60% 145 30.5% 32.2%
60 to 80% 107 22.5% 30.1%
80 to 100% 41 8.6% 16.4%

Units

A typical list contains 12 distinct units. 4 units appear in at least half of all lists and 36 in at least 10%. The most common is Cadian Shock Troops (56% of lists). 3 datasheets never appeared: Knight Preceptor, Rapier Laser Destroyer Battery, Sergeant Harker. 9 datasheets appeared in under 1% of lists: Aegis Defence Line, Avenger Strike Fighter, Cyclops Demolition Vehicle, Deathstrike, Manticore, Valkyrie, Vulture Gunship, Warhound Titan, Wyvern.

Of 66 units in 40 or more lists, 6 have a clear effect on results (2 positive, 4 negative). Best: Lord Solar Leontus (2.7 points above comparable lists, 39% of lists) and Gaunt’s Ghosts (2.2 points above comparable lists, 51% of lists). Weakest: Cadian Heavy Weapons Squad (8.8 points below comparable lists, 4% of lists), Armoured Sentinels (7.8 points below comparable lists, 6% of lists), Cadian Castellan (4.4 points below comparable lists, 18% of lists) and Chimera (3.6 points below comparable lists, 25% of lists). Doomhammer is in under 10% of lists but has a win rate above the faction average. Cadian Castellan and Chimera are in at least 15% of lists but have a win rate below it.

Units: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -5 0 +5 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Cadian Heavy Weapons Squ Cadian Castellan Lord Solar Leontus Detachments: effect on win rate (points) by share of lists -10 -5 0 +5 +10 1% 3% 10% 30% 100% Armoured Infantry Bridgehead Strike

Most played units

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Cadian Shock Troops 1,391 56.0% -0.9 ± 0.7 -1.4
Tech-Priest Enginseer 1,390 56.0% +1.0 ± 0.7 +1.5
Scout Sentinels 1,288 51.9% +1.3 ± 0.7 +1.9
Gaunt’s Ghosts 1,272 51.2% +2.2 ± 0.7 +3.2
Cadian Command Squad 1,155 46.5% -0.5 ± 0.7 -0.7
Hellhound 1,089 43.9% +1.8 ± 0.7 +2.4
Rogal Dorn Commander 1,033 41.6% -0.9 ± 0.8 -1.2
Lord Solar Leontus 958 38.6% +2.7 ± 0.8 +3.5
Tempestus Scions 947 38.2% +0.1 ± 0.8 +0.2
Krieg Combat Engineers 906 36.5% +1.1 ± 0.8 +1.4
Bullgryn Squad 861 34.7% +0.5 ± 0.8 +0.6
Commissar 838 33.8% -1.5 ± 0.9 -1.8

Other units with a clear effect

Unit Lists In % of lists Effect on win rate (pp) z
Chimera 625 25.2% -3.6 ± 1.0 -3.6
Cadian Castellan 452 18.2% -4.4 ± 1.2 -3.7
Armoured Sentinels 158 6.4% -7.8 ± 1.9 -4.0
Cadian Heavy Weapons Squad 96 3.9% -8.8 ± 2.7 -3.2

Combinations

16 combinations of two or more detachments appear in 15 or more lists. The most common is Abhuman Auxiliaries + Steel Hammer (288 lists, 12%). Best: Abhuman Auxiliaries + Hammer of the Emperor (11.8 points above the faction average). Weakest: Abhuman Auxiliaries + Armoured Infantry (13.2 points below the faction average).

Combination Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Abhuman Auxiliaries + Steel Hammer 288 12% -3.3 ± 1.6 -2.1
Designation Force + Steel Hammer 232 9% +0.0 ± 1.8 +0.0
Bridgehead Strike + Combined Arms 169 7% +6.6 ± 2.1 +3.2
Bridgehead Strike + Mechanised Assault 122 5% +7.1 ± 2.6 +2.8
Combined Arms + Designation Force 117 5% +0.1 ± 2.6 +0.0
Bridgehead Strike + Steel Hammer 97 4% +1.7 ± 2.9 +0.6
Abhuman Auxiliaries + Combined Arms 86 3% -0.4 ± 3.1 -0.1
Designation Force + Hammer of the Emperor 81 3% +0.0 ± 3.1 +0.0
Abhuman Auxiliaries + Hammer of the Emperor 50 2% +11.8 ± 3.9 +3.1
Abhuman Auxiliaries + Armoured Infantry 16 1% -13.2 ± 3.4 -3.8

Detachments

11 detachments appear in 15 or more lists; 6 of them account for 80% of picks. The most played is Steel Hammer (28% of lists), and 63% of lists run more than one detachment. 2 detachments differ from the faction average. Best: Bridgehead Strike (3.3 points above the faction average, 21% of lists). Weakest: Armoured Infantry (9.4 points below the faction average, 3% of lists).

Detachment Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z P1 P2 P3 P4
Steel Hammer 706 28% +0.6 ± 1.0 +0.7 22% 34% 28% 29%
Designation Force 630 25% -0.5 ± 1.0 -0.5 25% 28% 24% 24%
Bridgehead Strike 520 21% +3.3 ± 1.1 +3.0 11% 20% 27% 25%
Abhuman Auxiliaries 517 21% -0.6 ± 1.1 -0.5 12% 27% 22% 22%
Grizzled Company 510 21% -0.2 ± 1.1 -0.2 31% 17% 16% 19%
Combined Arms 438 18% +1.0 ± 1.2 +0.8 7% 17% 23% 22%
Hammer of the Emperor 210 8% +1.7 ± 1.8 +1.0 11% 7% 8% 8%
Mechanised Assault 203 8% +4.4 ± 1.8 +2.5 7% 7% 10% 7%
Siege Regiment 142 6% -1.6 ± 2.1 -0.8 5% 7% 5% 6%
Armoured Infantry 74 3% -9.4 ± 2.9 -3.2 4% 4% 2% 2%
Recon Element 53 2% -7.5 ± 3.9 -1.9 4% 2% 2% 1%

Pick-rate shifts

Type Name First period Prior 28 days Last 28 days Change vs first period (pp) Change vs prior 28 (pp)
Detachment Bridgehead Strike 11% 28% 25% +15 -3
Detachment Combined Arms 7% 23% 22% +14 -1
Unit Leman Russ Exterminator 24% 39% 37% +13 -2
Detachment Grizzled Company 31% 16% 19% -12 +3
Enhancement Grand Strategist 5% 14% 16% +11 +2
Detachment Abhuman Auxiliaries 12% 22% 22% +10 -1
Unit Leman Russ Commander 12% 27% 21% +9 -6
Enhancement Exemplar of Duty 3% 12% 12% +9 +0
Unit Tempestus Aquilons 10% 20% 19% +9 -1

Matchups

Among pairings with 150 or more games, the best matchup is Death Guard (49.2% over 393 games) and the worst is Chaos Daemons (33.6% over 302).

Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Imperial Agents 30 53.3% 36.1% to 69.8% 46.8% +6.5
Death Guard 393 49.2% 44.3% to 54.2% 42.3% +7.0
Thousand Sons 252 47.0% 41.0% to 53.2% 40.2% +6.9
Grey Knights 240 45.8% 39.6% to 52.2% 43.3% +2.5
Black Templars 125 45.2% 36.7% to 53.9% 45.2% +0.0
Space Marines 713 44.3% 40.7% to 48.0% 41.8% +2.5 unfavourable
Blood Angels 245 43.7% 37.6% to 49.9% 44.4% -0.8 unfavourable
Aeldari 249 42.6% 36.6% to 48.8% 44.8% -2.3 unfavourable
Chaos Space Marines 387 41.9% 37.0% to 46.8% 43.3% -1.4 unfavourable
Chaos Knights 233 41.8% 35.7% to 48.3% 43.6% -1.7 unfavourable
Adepta Sororitas 177 41.0% 34.0% to 48.3% 40.2% +0.7 unfavourable
Emperor's Children 381 40.6% 35.7% to 45.6% 39.2% +1.3 unfavourable
Dark Angels 408 40.3% 35.7% to 45.1% 37.3% +3.0 unfavourable
Space Wolves 245 40.0% 34.1% to 46.2% 41.4% -1.4 unfavourable
Orks 569 39.4% 35.4% to 43.4% 35.5% +3.8 unfavourable
Tyranids 476 39.0% 34.7% to 43.4% 40.6% -1.7 unfavourable
T'au Empire 407 38.5% 33.9% to 43.3% 38.8% -0.4 unfavourable
World Eaters 367 38.4% 33.6% to 43.5% 40.6% -2.2 unfavourable
Imperial Knights 349 37.4% 32.5% to 42.6% 41.9% -4.5 unfavourable
Leagues of Votann 300 37.0% 31.7% to 42.6% 38.8% -1.8 unfavourable
Adeptus Custodes 506 36.4% 32.3% to 40.6% 36.6% -0.2 unfavourable
Adeptus Mechanicus 177 35.6% 28.9% to 42.9% 40.0% -4.4 unfavourable
Genestealer Cult 125 34.4% 26.6% to 43.1% 42.9% -8.5 unfavourable
Necrons 577 34.2% 30.5% to 38.2% 39.1% -4.9 unfavourable
Chaos Daemons 302 33.6% 28.5% to 39.1% 36.0% -2.4 unfavourable
All 27 matchups: 2 more rows
Opponent Games Win rate 95% CI Model expects Diff (pp) Reading
Drukhari 204 44.1% 37.5% to 51.0% 43.5% +0.6
Deathwatch 42 40.5% 27.0% to 55.5% 37.0% +3.5

Over time

Share of games per week (%) 3 4 5 2.6 5.2 Jul Aug Sep Oct Win rate per week (%), band is the 95% interval 30 40 50 40.7 43.7 Jul Aug Sep Oct
Period Lists Share of all lists Games Win rate
P1: 19 Jun to 21 Jul 587 3.7% 2,013 38.2%
P2: 22 Jul to 25 Aug 658 3.6% 2,177 41.5%
P3: 26 Aug to 2 Oct 780 3.4% 2,748 40.3%
P4: 3 Oct to 25 Oct 457 3.0% 1,541 41.4%

Around each milestone, 28 days before and after

Milestone Games before / after Win rate Change (pp) z Share of games
July balance & rules update (22 Jul) 1,595 / 1,687 36.6% to 40.9% +4.3 +2.4 3.5% to 3.3%
August balance & rules update (26 Aug) 1,678 / 1,889 40.7% to 40.3% -0.4 -0.3 3.4% to 3.2%
Codex: Orks (11th Edition) releases (5 Sep) 1,803 / 2,183 40.9% to 40.1% -0.8 -0.5 3.3% to 3.4%
Codex: Space Marines (11th Edition) releases and Power Armour update (Space Marine toughness and strength increase) (3 Oct) 2,183 / 1,541 40.1% to 41.4% +1.3 +0.8 3.4% to 3.1%
Codex: Adeptus Custodes (11th Edition) releases (17 Oct), 9 days of data 1,975 / 810 41.0% to 39.9% -1.0 -0.5 3.3% to 3.0%

Enhancements

25 enhancements appear in 25 or more lists. The most common is Battalion Commander (21% of lists).

Enhancement table
Enhancement Lists Pick Effect on win rate (pp) z
Battalion Commander 510 21% -0.0 ± 1.1 -0.0
Engine Speaker 370 15% +2.2 ± 1.3 +1.7
Exemplar of Duty 278 11% -0.8 ± 1.4 -0.6
Grand Strategist 262 11% +0.0 ± 1.6 +0.0
Titan Killer 248 10% +3.8 ± 1.6 +2.4
Abhuman Detail 188 8% +1.3 ± 1.7 +0.8
Long-range Scout 151 6% -2.3 ± 2.2 -1.1
Bombast-class Vox-array 119 5% -1.8 ± 2.2 -0.8

Force Disposition

Force Disposition table
Disposition Share of games Games Win rate Effect vs faction's other choices (pp)
Priority Assets 32% 2,362 42.8% +2.6 ± 1.1
Purge the Foe 26% 1,922 39.5% -0.8 ± 1.1
Take and Hold 22% 1,598 37.3% -3.2 ± 1.3
Reconnaissance 16% 1,151 43.0% +2.9 ± 1.6
Disruption 4% 286 39.0% -1.5 ± 2.7

Nothing clear turned up in matchups against the strength model, milestone moves, enhancement effects, Force Disposition, terrain layout and list width.

Representative lists

Up to two complete lists from the whole edition (1,950 parsed points or more). Lists are picked for how well they did in how large an event (wins and top placings in events with many players and rounds count most), with the more played build winning near-ties, and the two picks differ in detachment or in at least 40% of their units.

Bridgehead Strike2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 83 players · 5 rounds · 3 Oct
Show list
Characters
Gaunt’s Ghosts95Ibram Gaunt, Gaunt’s chainsword, Colm Corbec, Straight silver knife, Elim Rawne, Hlaine Larkin, ’Try Again’ Bragg ...
Tech-Priest Enginseer45Enginseer axe, Mechanicus pistol, Servo-arm
Battleline
Cadian Shock Troops70Shock Trooper Sergeant, Chainsword, Shock Trooper, Lasgun, Meltagun, Plasma gun, Vox-caster
Death Korps Of Krieg70
Other Units
Rogal Dorn Battle Tank260Armoured tracks, Coaxial autocannon, Heavy stubber, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Oppressor cannon, Pulveriser cannon
Leman Russ Demolisher175Armoured tracks, Demolisher battle cannon, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Multi-melta
Tempestus Scions150Tempestor, Power fist, Tempestus Scion, Hot-shot lasgun, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Tempestus Scions150Tempestor, Power fist, Tempestus Scion, Hot-shot lasgun, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Lord Solar Leontus130Conquest, Konstantin’s hooves, Sol’s Righteous Gaze
Basilisk115Armoured tracks, Earthshaker cannon, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile
Kasrkin105Kasrkin Sergeant, Power weapon, Kasrkin, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Hot-shot marksman rifle, Melta Mine ...
Militarum Tempestus Command Squad95Tempestus Scion, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Hot-shot volley gun, Medi-pack, Meltagun, Plasma gun ...
Tempestus Aquilons95Tempestor Aquilon, Hot-shot laspistol, Power weapon, Sentry hot‐shot volley gun, Tempestus Aquilon, Hot-shot lascarbine ...
militarum tempestus command squada85
Krieg Combat Engineers65Krieg Engineer Watchmaster, Power weapon, Krieg Combat Engineer, Close combat weapon, Combat shotgun, Flamer, Remote Mine
Cadian Command Squad + Death Mask of Ollanius60Cadian Commander, Power fist, Cadian Veteran Guardsman, Lasgun, Master Vox, Medi-pack, Regimental Standard
Attilan Rough Riders60Rough Rider Sergeant, Lasgun, Laspistol, Power sabre, Steed’s hooves, Rough Rider
Death Riders60Ridemaster, Frag lance, Power sabre, Savage claws, Death Rider
Ratlings60Ratling Sniper, Sniper rifle
Scout Sentinels55Close combat weapon, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Sentinel chainsaw
Combined Arms + Designation Force2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
85th place · record 3-0 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
2 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Gaunt’s Ghosts95Bolt Pistol, Gaunt’s chainsword, Corbec’s hot-shot lascarbine, Straight silver knife, Rawne’s lascarbine ...
Ogryn Bodyguard40Brute Shield, Bullgryn maul, Close combat weapon
Battleline
Death Korps Of Krieg135
Other Units
Bullgryn Squad200Bullgryn maul, Close combat weapon, Slabshield, Brute Shield
Leman Russ Battle Tank175Armoured tracks, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Leman Russ battle cannon, Multi-melta
Leman Russ Battle Tank175Armoured tracks, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Leman Russ battle cannon, Multi-melta
Tempestus Scions150Plasma pistol, Power fist, Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Meltagun, Plasma gun, Vox-caster
Tempestus Scions150Plasma pistol, Power fist, Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Meltagun, Plasma gun, Vox-caster
Commissar Yarrick120Bale Eye, Laspistol, Power klaw, Power sword, Storm bolter
Tempestus Aquilons95Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lascarbine, Sentry flamer, Hot‐shot long‐las, Plasma carbine
Militarum Tempestus Command Squad85Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Hot-shot volley gun, Medi-pack, Meltagun, Plasma gun ...
Militarum Tempestus Command Squad85Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Hot-shot volley gun, Medi-pack, Meltagun, Plasma gun ...
Cadian Recon Squad80Close combat weapon, Lasgun, Autostubber, Laspistol, Long-las, Missile launcher, Plasma gun, Vox-caster, Vox‑relay Beacon
Krieg Combat Engineers65Hand flamer, Power weapon, Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Combat shotgun, Flamer, Remote Mine
Krieg Combat Engineers65Hand flamer, Power weapon, Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Combat shotgun, Flamer, Remote Mine
Krieg Command Squad60Laspistol, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Power weapon, Alchemyk Counteragents, Close combat weapon, Servo-scribes, Lasgun ...
Death Riders60Death Rider lascarbine, Frag lance, Power sabre, Savage claws
Scout Sentinels55Close combat weapon, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Sentinel chainsaw
Scout Sentinels55Close combat weapon, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Sentinel chainsaw
Scout Sentinels55Close combat weapon, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Sentinel chainsaw

Team events

39.2%win rate in team events1,536 games390 lists from 342 players-1.3 points against individual eventsgoing first 0.1 points worse

Astra Militarum won 39.2% of 1,536 team event games, against 40.5% of 6,943 in individual events: 1.3 points lower (not clear). It makes up 3.3% of team event games and 3.4% of individual event games.

Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 31% Reconnaissance 25% Purge the Foe 19% Take and Hold 17% Disruption 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Detachments share win rate Designation Force 28% Steel Hammer 24% Grizzled Company 21% Bridgehead Strike 19% Abhuman Auxiliaries 17% Combined Arms 14% Mechanised Assault 10% Hammer of the Emperor 10% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: individual events. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: team events.
Matchups win rate against Death Guard Grey Knights Adeptus Mechanicus Drukhari Tyranids Imperial Knights Genestealer Cult T'au Empire 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: individual events. Dashed: team events win rate.

Milestones

5 milestones fall inside the data. Each is compared over the 28 days before and after, with the faction's own detachments, units and enhancements.

July balance & rules update (22 July)

40.9%win rate, rank 28 of 281,687 games501 lists from 459 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.77x entry sharegoing first 1.5 points better

Astra Militarum won 36.6% of 1,595 games in the 28 days before and 40.9% of 1,687 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.5% to 3.3%.

2 detachments shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Abhuman Auxiliaries (14% to 26%) and Combined Arms (7% to 18%).

One enhancement shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Exemplar of Duty (4% to 17%).

Nothing clear turned up in units.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 8% 0-20 33% 20-40 29% 40-60 23% 60-80 8% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 29% Purge the Foe 27% Take and Hold 23% Reconnaissance 19% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Steel Hammer 32% Designation Force 28% Abhuman Auxiliaries 26% Bridgehead Strike 19% Grizzled Company 18% Combined Arms 18% Hammer of the Emperor 7% Mechanised Assault 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Cadian Shock Troops 58% Tech-Priest Enginseer 58% Scout Sentinels 52% Gaunt’s Ghosts 51% Cadian Command Squad 49% Hellhound 43% Rogal Dorn Commander 41% Lord Solar Leontus 40% Tempestus Scions 39% Bullgryn Squad 38% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Death Guard Dark Angels Chaos Space Marines Space Marines Thousand Sons Grey Knights Leagues of Votann Chaos Daemons 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Enhancement Exemplar of Duty 4% 17% +13 +6.9
Detachment Abhuman Auxiliaries 14% 26% +12 +4.8
Detachment Combined Arms 7% 18% +10 +4.8

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Bridgehead Strike + Steel Hammer2,000 pts
Priority Assets
4th place · record 4-1 · 30 players · 5 rounds · 25 Jul
Show list
Characters
Banesword + Battalion Commander445Armoured tracks, Lascannon, Quake cannon, Twin heavy bolter
Stormsword430Armoured tracks, Lascannon, Stormsword siege cannon, Twin heavy bolter
Baneblade415Armoured tracks, Baneblade cannon, Coaxial autocannon, Demolisher cannon, Heavy stubber, Lascannon, Twin heavy bolter
Lord Solar Leontus130Conquest, Konstantin’s hooves, Sol’s Righteous Gaze
Gaunt’s Ghosts95Bolt Pistol, Gaunt’s chainsword, Corbec’s hot-shot lascarbine, Straight silver knife, Rawne’s lascarbine ...
Tech-Priest Enginseer + Engine Speaker60Enginseer axe, Mechanicus pistol, Servo-arm
Tech-Priest Enginseer + Engine Speaker45Enginseer axe, Mechanicus pistol, Servo-arm
Other Units
Hellhound125Armoured tracks, Heavy flamer, Hunter-killer missile, Inferno cannon
Hellhound125Armoured tracks, Heavy flamer, Hunter-killer missile, Inferno cannon
Krieg Combat Engineers65Hand flamer, Power weapon, Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Flamer, Remote Mine, Trench club
Krieg Combat Engineers65Hand flamer, Power weapon, Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Flamer, Remote Mine, Trench club
Grizzled Company2,000 pts
Priority Assets
2nd place · record 4-1 · 26 players · 5 rounds · 1 Aug
Show list
Characters
Rogal Dorn Commander290Armoured tracks, Castigator gatling cannon, Coaxial autocannon, Heavy stubber, Multi-melta, Oppressor cannon
Gaunt’s Ghosts95Bolt Pistol, Gaunt’s chainsword, Corbec’s hot-shot lascarbine, Straight silver knife, Rawne’s lascarbine ...
Sly Marbo55Envenomed blade, Ripper pistol
Tech-Priest Enginseer45Enginseer axe, Mechanicus pistol, Servo-arm
Other Units
Leman Russ Battle Tank195Armoured tracks, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Leman Russ battle cannon, Plasma cannon
Leman Russ Battle Tank185Armoured tracks, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Leman Russ battle cannon, Plasma cannon
Leman Russ Battle Tank185Armoured tracks, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Leman Russ battle cannon, Plasma cannon
Tempestus Scions150Plasma pistol, Power fist, Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Meltagun, Plasma gun, Vox-caster
Lord Solar Leontus130Conquest, Konstantin’s hooves, Sol’s Righteous Gaze
Hellhound125Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Melta cannon, Multi-melta, Heavy flamer, Inferno cannon
Hellhound125Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Melta cannon, Multi-melta, Heavy flamer, Inferno cannon
Bullgryn Squad90Brute Shield, Bullgryn maul, Close combat weapon
Militarum Tempestus Command Squad85Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Master Vox, Medi-pack, Plasma gun, Regimental Standard ...
Lord Marshal Dreir75Laspistol, Sabre of Sacrifice, Savage claws
Attilan Rough Riders60Hunting lance, Lasgun, Laspistol, Steed’s hooves
Death Riders60Death Rider lascarbine, Frag lance, Power sabre, Savage claws
Commissar + Abhuman Detail50Plasma pistol, Power weapon

August balance & rules update (26 August)

41.0%win rate, rank 27 of 27565 games142 lists from 139 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.57x entry sharegoing first 0.6 points better

Astra Militarum won 40.7% of 1,678 games in the 28 days before and 40.3% of 1,889 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.4% to 3.2%.

5 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Leman Russ Exterminator (23% to 38%), Leman Russ Battle Tank (23% to 36%) and Leman Russ Vanquisher (15% to 27%).

Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 34% Purge the Foe 25% Take and Hold 19% Reconnaissance 17% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Steel Hammer 30% Designation Force 27% Abhuman Auxiliaries 24% Combined Arms 24% Bridgehead Strike 21% Grizzled Company 18% Mechanised Assault 8% Hammer of the Emperor 7% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Tech-Priest Enginseer 59% Cadian Shock Troops 55% Scout Sentinels 51% Cadian Command Squad 49% Gaunt’s Ghosts 48% Hellhound 45% Lord Solar Leontus 40% Tempestus Scions 39% Krieg Combat Engineers 39% Kasrkin 39% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Leman Russ Exterminator 23% 38% +15 +5.3
Unit Leman Russ Battle Tank 23% 36% +12 +4.4
Unit Leman Russ Vanquisher 15% 27% +12 +4.6
Unit Krieg Heavy Weapons Squad 18% 7% -11 -5.3
Unit Leman Russ Commander 14% 24% +10 +4.0

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Armoured Infantry + Designation Force1,995 pts
Reconnaissance
27th place · record 7-2 · 383 players · 9 rounds · 4 Sep
Show list
Battleline
Cadian Shock Troops70Close combat weapon, Sergeant’s autogun, Lasgun, Meltagun, Plasma gun, Vox-caster
Cadian Shock Troops70Close combat weapon, Sergeant’s autogun, Lasgun, Meltagun, Plasma gun, Vox-caster
Cadian Shock Troops70Close combat weapon, Sergeant’s autogun, Lasgun, Meltagun, Plasma gun, Vox-caster
Other Units
Leman Russ Vanquisher145Armoured tracks, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Multi-melta, Vanquisher battle cannon
Hippogriff AFV140Armoured hull, Melta cannon, Meltagun, Vigilator cannon
Hellhound125Armoured tracks, Heavy flamer, Hunter-killer missile, Inferno cannon
Hellhound125Armoured tracks, Heavy flamer, Hunter-killer missile, Inferno cannon
Kasrkin120Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Hot-shot marksman rifle ...
Kasrkin105Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Hot-shot marksman rifle ...
Kasrkin105Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Hot-shot marksman rifle ...
Tempestus Aquilons95Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lascarbine, Sentry flamer, Hot‐shot long‐las, Melta carbine
Tempestus Aquilons95Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lascarbine, Sentry flamer, Hot‐shot long‐las, Melta carbine
Tempestus Aquilons95Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lascarbine, Sentry flamer, Hot‐shot long‐las, Melta carbine
Ursula Creed85Duty and Vengeance, Power weapon
Cadian Recon Squad80Close combat weapon, Lasgun, Autostubber, Laspistol, Long-las, Meltagun, Missile launcher, Vox-caster, Vox‑relay Beacon
Hippogriff AFV70Armoured hull, Melta cannon, Meltagun, Vigilator cannon
Cadian Command Squad60Plasma pistol, Power fist, Close combat weapon, Laspistol, Meltagun, Lasgun, Master Vox, Medi-pack, Regimental Standard
Attilan Rough Riders60Hunting lance, Lasgun, Laspistol, Power sabre, Steed’s hooves
Attilan Rough Riders60Hunting lance, Lasgun, Laspistol, Power sabre, Steed’s hooves
Cadian Castellan55Plasma pistol, Power fist
Cadian Castellan55Plasma pistol, Power fist
Scout Sentinels55Autocannon, Close combat weapon, Hunter-killer missile, Sentinel chainsaw
Scout Sentinels55Autocannon, Close combat weapon, Hunter-killer missile, Sentinel chainsaw
Grizzled Company2,000 pts
Priority Assets
3rd place · record 3-0 · 20 players · 3 rounds · 29 Aug
Show list
Characters
Rogal Dorn Commander305Armoured tracks, Coaxial autocannon, Heavy stubber, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Oppressor cannon, Pulveriser cannon
Rogal Dorn Commander290Armoured tracks, Coaxial autocannon, Heavy stubber, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Oppressor cannon, Pulveriser cannon
Gaunt’s Ghosts95Bolt Pistol, Gaunt’s chainsword, Corbec’s hot-shot lascarbine, Straight silver knife, Rawne’s lascarbine ...
Sly Marbo55Envenomed blade, Ripper pistol
Tech-Priest Enginseer45Enginseer axe, Mechanicus pistol, Servo-arm
Tech-Priest Enginseer45Enginseer axe, Mechanicus pistol, Servo-arm
Battleline
Cadian Shock Troops70Close combat weapon, Sergeant’s autogun, Grenade launcher, Lasgun, Plasma gun, Vox-caster
Cadian Shock Troops70Close combat weapon, Sergeant’s autogun, Grenade launcher, Lasgun, Plasma gun, Vox-caster
Catachan Jungle Fighters70Close combat weapon, Laspistol, Flamer, Lasgun, Vox-caster
Catachan Jungle Fighters70Close combat weapon, Laspistol, Flamer, Lasgun, Vox-caster
Dedicated Transports
Taurox65Armoured tracks, Storm bolter, Twin autocannon
Other Units
Leman Russ Battle Tank175Armoured tracks, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Leman Russ battle cannon, Multi-melta
Leman Russ Exterminator160Armoured tracks, Exterminator autocannon, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile
Hellhound125Armoured tracks, Heavy flamer, Hunter-killer missile, Inferno cannon
Kasrkin105Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Hot-shot marksman rifle ...
Ursula Creed85Duty and Vengeance, Power weapon
Cadian Command Squad60Plasma pistol, Power fist, Close combat weapon, Plasma gun, Lasgun, Master Vox, Medi-pack, Regimental Standard
Scout Sentinels55Close combat weapon, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Sentinel chainsaw, Autocannon
Scout Sentinels55Close combat weapon, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Sentinel chainsaw, Autocannon

Orks codex (5 September)

40.1%win rate, rank 28 of 282,183 games638 lists from 558 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.71x entry sharegoing first 3.0 points better

Astra Militarum won 40.9% of 1,803 games in the 28 days before and 40.1% of 2,183 in the 28 days after. Its share of games went from 3.3% to 3.4%.

5 units shifted by at least 8 points of its lists. Largest: Leman Russ Exterminator (25% to 39%), Leman Russ Vanquisher (16% to 29%) and Leman Russ Battle Tank (26% to 37%).

Nothing clear turned up in detachments and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 10% 0-20 26% 20-40 29% 40-60 22% 60-80 12% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 37% Purge the Foe 24% Take and Hold 22% Reconnaissance 14% Disruption 4% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Bridgehead Strike 28% Steel Hammer 28% Designation Force 24% Combined Arms 23% Abhuman Auxiliaries 22% Grizzled Company 16% Mechanised Assault 10% Hammer of the Emperor 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Tech-Priest Enginseer 57% Scout Sentinels 54% Gaunt’s Ghosts 52% Cadian Shock Troops 51% Hellhound 45% Cadian Command Squad 42% Leman Russ Exterminator 39% Tempestus Scions 39% Leman Russ Battle Tank 37% Lord Solar Leontus 36% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Chaos Space Marines Thousand Sons Death Guard Space Marines Dark Angels Adeptus Custodes Blood Angels Leagues of Votann 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.
Type Name Before After Change (pp) z
Unit Leman Russ Exterminator 25% 39% +14 +5.0
Unit Leman Russ Vanquisher 16% 29% +12 +5.0
Unit Leman Russ Battle Tank 26% 37% +12 +4.3
Unit Leman Russ Commander 16% 27% +11 +4.4
Unit Krieg Heavy Weapons Squad 17% 8% -9 -4.5

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Combined Arms + Designation Force2,000 pts
Reconnaissance
85th place · record 3-0 · 163 players · 7 rounds · 11 Sep
1 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Characters
Gaunt’s Ghosts95Bolt Pistol, Gaunt’s chainsword, Corbec’s hot-shot lascarbine, Straight silver knife, Rawne’s lascarbine ...
Ogryn Bodyguard40Brute Shield, Bullgryn maul, Close combat weapon
Battleline
Death Korps Of Krieg135
Other Units
Bullgryn Squad200Bullgryn maul, Close combat weapon, Slabshield, Brute Shield
Leman Russ Battle Tank175Armoured tracks, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Leman Russ battle cannon, Multi-melta
Leman Russ Battle Tank175Armoured tracks, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Leman Russ battle cannon, Multi-melta
Tempestus Scions150Plasma pistol, Power fist, Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Meltagun, Plasma gun, Vox-caster
Tempestus Scions150Plasma pistol, Power fist, Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Meltagun, Plasma gun, Vox-caster
Commissar Yarrick120Bale Eye, Laspistol, Power klaw, Power sword, Storm bolter
Tempestus Aquilons95Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lascarbine, Sentry flamer, Hot‐shot long‐las, Plasma carbine
Militarum Tempestus Command Squad85Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Hot-shot volley gun, Medi-pack, Meltagun, Plasma gun ...
Militarum Tempestus Command Squad85Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Hot-shot volley gun, Medi-pack, Meltagun, Plasma gun ...
Cadian Recon Squad80Close combat weapon, Lasgun, Autostubber, Laspistol, Long-las, Missile launcher, Plasma gun, Vox-caster, Vox‑relay Beacon
Krieg Combat Engineers65Hand flamer, Power weapon, Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Combat shotgun, Flamer, Remote Mine
Krieg Combat Engineers65Hand flamer, Power weapon, Autopistol, Close combat weapon, Combat shotgun, Flamer, Remote Mine
Krieg Command Squad60Laspistol, Plasma pistol, Power fist, Power weapon, Alchemyk Counteragents, Close combat weapon, Servo-scribes, Lasgun ...
Death Riders60Death Rider lascarbine, Frag lance, Power sabre, Savage claws
Scout Sentinels55Close combat weapon, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Sentinel chainsaw
Scout Sentinels55Close combat weapon, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Sentinel chainsaw
Scout Sentinels55Close combat weapon, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Sentinel chainsaw
Abhuman Auxiliaries + Combined Arms2,000 pts
Take and Hold
3rd place · record 4-1 · 70 players · 5 rounds · 26 Sep
Show list
Characters
Rogal Dorn Commander + Grand Strategist305Armoured tracks, Coaxial autocannon, Heavy stubber, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Oppressor cannon, Pulveriser cannon
Lord Solar Leontus130Conquest, Konstantin’s hooves, Sol’s Righteous Gaze
Commissar30Plasma pistol, Power weapon
Commissar30Plasma pistol, Power weapon
Other Units
Bullgryn Squad215Brute Shield, Bullgryn maul, Close combat weapon
Bullgryn Squad200Brute Shield, Bullgryn maul, Close combat weapon
Leman Russ Battle Tank160Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Leman Russ battle cannon
Leman Russ Battle Tank160Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Leman Russ battle cannon
Leman Russ Exterminator160Armoured tracks, Exterminator autocannon, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile
Leman Russ Eradicator145Armoured tracks, Eradicator nova cannon, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile
Leman Russ Vanquisher135Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Vanquisher battle cannon
Kasrkin105Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Hot-shot marksman rifle ...
Kasrkin105Plasma pistol, Power weapon, Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Hot-shot marksman rifle ...
Ratlings60Close combat weapon, Sniper rifle
Ratlings60Close combat weapon, Sniper rifle

Space Marines codex and Power Armour update (3 October)

43.0%win rate, rank 26 of 27731 games213 lists from 205 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.80x entry sharegoing first 6.6 points better

Astra Militarum won 40.1% of 2,183 games in the 28 days before and 41.4% of 1,541 in the 23 days after. Its share of games went from 3.4% to 3.1%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 11% 0-20 23% 20-40 30% 40-60 30% 60-80 6% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Priority Assets 32% Purge the Foe 26% Take and Hold 22% Reconnaissance 15% Disruption 5% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Bridgehead Strike 28% Steel Hammer 26% Combined Arms 23% Designation Force 23% Abhuman Auxiliaries 20% Grizzled Company 20% Hammer of the Emperor 10% Mechanised Assault 8% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Cadian Shock Troops 57% Tech-Priest Enginseer 56% Gaunt’s Ghosts 54% Scout Sentinels 48% Cadian Command Squad 48% Lord Solar Leontus 46% Hellhound 44% Krieg Combat Engineers 41% Bullgryn Squad 39% Rogal Dorn Commander 39% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Space Marines Death Guard Adeptus Custodes Tyranids World Eaters Orks 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Bridgehead Strike2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 83 players · 5 rounds · 3 Oct
Show list
Characters
Gaunt’s Ghosts95Ibram Gaunt, Gaunt’s chainsword, Colm Corbec, Straight silver knife, Elim Rawne, Hlaine Larkin, ’Try Again’ Bragg ...
Tech-Priest Enginseer45Enginseer axe, Mechanicus pistol, Servo-arm
Battleline
Cadian Shock Troops70Shock Trooper Sergeant, Chainsword, Shock Trooper, Lasgun, Meltagun, Plasma gun, Vox-caster
Death Korps Of Krieg70
Other Units
Rogal Dorn Battle Tank260Armoured tracks, Coaxial autocannon, Heavy stubber, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Oppressor cannon, Pulveriser cannon
Leman Russ Demolisher175Armoured tracks, Demolisher battle cannon, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Multi-melta
Tempestus Scions150Tempestor, Power fist, Tempestus Scion, Hot-shot lasgun, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Tempestus Scions150Tempestor, Power fist, Tempestus Scion, Hot-shot lasgun, Meltagun, Plasma gun
Lord Solar Leontus130Conquest, Konstantin’s hooves, Sol’s Righteous Gaze
Basilisk115Armoured tracks, Earthshaker cannon, Heavy bolter, Hunter-killer missile
Kasrkin105Kasrkin Sergeant, Power weapon, Kasrkin, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Hot-shot marksman rifle, Melta Mine ...
Militarum Tempestus Command Squad95Tempestus Scion, Hot-shot lasgun, Hot-shot laspistol, Hot-shot volley gun, Medi-pack, Meltagun, Plasma gun ...
Tempestus Aquilons95Tempestor Aquilon, Hot-shot laspistol, Power weapon, Sentry hot‐shot volley gun, Tempestus Aquilon, Hot-shot lascarbine ...
militarum tempestus command squada85
Krieg Combat Engineers65Krieg Engineer Watchmaster, Power weapon, Krieg Combat Engineer, Close combat weapon, Combat shotgun, Flamer, Remote Mine
Cadian Command Squad + Death Mask of Ollanius60Cadian Commander, Power fist, Cadian Veteran Guardsman, Lasgun, Master Vox, Medi-pack, Regimental Standard
Attilan Rough Riders60Rough Rider Sergeant, Lasgun, Laspistol, Power sabre, Steed’s hooves, Rough Rider
Death Riders60Ridemaster, Frag lance, Power sabre, Savage claws, Death Rider
Ratlings60Ratling Sniper, Sniper rifle
Scout Sentinels55Close combat weapon, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Sentinel chainsaw
Abhuman Auxiliaries + Steel Hammer1,995 pts
Take and Hold
Won the event · record 4-1 · 16 players · 5 rounds · 10 Oct
Show list
Characters
Stormsword + Battalion Commander460Armoured tracks, Lascannon, Stormsword siege cannon, Twin heavy bolter
Doomhammer + Assault Hatches405Armoured tracks, Lascannon, Magma cannon, Twin heavy bolter
Tech-Priest Enginseer + Engine Speaker60Enginseer axe, Mechanicus pistol, Servo-arm
Tech-Priest Enginseer + Engine Speaker45Enginseer axe, Mechanicus pistol, Servo-arm
Ministorum Priest35Zealot’s vindictor
Other Units
Bullgryn Squad230Brute Shield, Bullgryn maul, Close combat weapon
Bullgryn Squad200Brute Shield, Bullgryn maul, Close combat weapon
Bullgryn Squad200Brute Shield, Bullgryn maul, Close combat weapon
Ogryn Squad120Ripper gun
Ogryn Squad60Ripper gun
Ogryn Squad60Ripper gun
Commissar + Exemplar of Duty40Plasma pistol, Power weapon
Commissar + Exemplar of Duty40Plasma pistol, Power weapon
Commissar + Exemplar of Duty40Plasma pistol, Power weapon

Adeptus Custodes codex (17 October)

39.9%win rate, rank 26 of 27810 games244 lists from 232 playersX to X-2 finishes 0.85x entry sharegoing first 5.6 points better

Astra Militarum won 41.0% of 1,975 games in the 28 days before and 39.9% of 810 in the 9 days after. Its share of games went from 3.3% to 3.0%.

Nothing clear turned up in detachments, units and enhancements.

Charts for this window

Share of players by share of games won 10% 0-20 27% 20-40 28% 40-60 25% 60-80 10% 80-100 line = all factions
Force Disposition share win rate Purge the Foe 27% Take and Hold 26% Priority Assets 25% Reconnaissance 15% Disruption 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Detachments share win rate Steel Hammer 32% Designation Force 25% Abhuman Auxiliaries 23% Bridgehead Strike 23% Combined Arms 20% Grizzled Company 19% Mechanised Assault 7% Hammer of the Emperor 6% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Most played units share win rate Tech-Priest Enginseer 63% Scout Sentinels 56% Cadian Shock Troops 55% Gaunt’s Ghosts 52% Hellhound 47% Cadian Command Squad 44% Rogal Dorn Commander 43% Leman Russ Exterminator 39% Lord Solar Leontus 39% Krieg Combat Engineers 37% 25% 75% Bar: share. Tick: whole edition. Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Dashed: this window.
Matchups win rate against Tyranids Death Guard Dark Angels Orks Necrons Adeptus Custodes T'au Empire World Eaters 20% to 80% Dot and line: win rate, 95% range. Tick: model expectation. Dashed: overall in this window.

Representative lists from this milestone until the next one (28 days at most)

Grizzled Company2,000 pts
Priority Assets
Won the event · record 5-0 · 35 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
Show list
Characters
Rogal Dorn Commander290Armoured tracks, Coaxial autocannon, Heavy stubber, Meltagun, Multi-melta, Oppressor cannon, Pulveriser cannon
Leman Russ Commander200Armoured tracks, Exterminator autocannon, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon
Gaunt’s Ghosts95Bolt Pistol, Gaunt’s chainsword, Corbec’s hot-shot lascarbine, Straight silver knife, Rawne’s lascarbine ...
Tech-Priest Enginseer45Enginseer axe, Mechanicus pistol, Servo-arm
Battleline
Cadian Shock Troops70Close combat weapon, Sergeant’s autogun, Lasgun, Meltagun, Plasma gun, Vox-caster
Other Units
Leman Russ Battle Tank175Armoured tracks, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Leman Russ battle cannon, Multi-melta
Leman Russ Demolisher165Armoured tracks, Demolisher battle cannon, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon
Leman Russ Exterminator165Armoured tracks, Exterminator autocannon, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon
Leman Russ Eradicator150Armoured tracks, Eradicator nova cannon, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon
Leman Russ Executioner150Armoured tracks, Executioner plasma cannon, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon
Leman Russ Vanquisher135Armoured tracks, Heavy bolter, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Vanquisher battle cannon
Leman Russ Punisher130Armoured tracks, Heavy flamer, Heavy stubber, Hunter-killer missile, Punisher gatling cannon
Hellhound115Armoured tracks, Hunter-killer missile, Inferno cannon, Multi-melta
Ratlings60Close combat weapon, Sniper rifle
Scout Sentinels55Close combat weapon, Hunter-killer missile, Lascannon, Sentinel chainsaw
Bridgehead Strike + Combined Arms2,000 pts
Take and Hold
117th place · record 5-0 · 241 players · 5 rounds · 17 Oct
5 other complete lists of this faction in the period were close variants of this one.
Show list
Battleline
10× Cadian Shock Troops70with Close combat weapon, Lasgun, with Vox-caster, Close combat weapon, Lasgun, with Close combat weapon, Meltagun ...
Other Units
Rogal Dorn Commander + Grand Strategist305
Leman Russ Battle Tank175
Leman Russ Battle Tank175
Leman Russ Exterminator170
10× Tempestus Scions150with Close combat weapon, Hot-shot lasgun, with Vox-caster, Close combat weapon, Hot-shot laspistol ...
Leman Russ Eradicator145
Leman Russ Vanquisher130
Leman Russ Vanquisher130
Hellhound115
6× Gaunt’s Ghosts95with Bragg's autocannon, Straight silver knife, with Corbec's hot-shot lascarbine, Straight silver knife ...
5× Militarum Tempestus Command Squad85with Close combat weapon, Hot-shot volley gun, with Close combat weapon, Plasma gun, with Medi-pack ...
Ursula Creed85
5× Cadian Command Squad60with Close combat weapon, Plasma gun, Plasma pistol, with Master vox, Close combat weapon, Lasgun, with Medi-pack ...
Scout Sentinels55
Scout Sentinels55

40k 11th edition: faction balance, updated 28 October 2026.